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香蕉大皮也大

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香蕉大皮也大

04-07 19:43

mark

摩通重申对特斯拉“减持”评级，年终目标价定在145美元

香蕉大皮也大

04-06 20:04

准备收割了

这只AI股一年暴涨862%，却被华尔街集体忽视

香蕉大皮也大

04-03

mark

期权聚焦 | 特斯拉现巨额看跌大单：4,000万美元买入Put构建保护策略；Sell Call大单反映短线看空情绪

香蕉大皮也大

03-20

国内哪个不是蒸馏

香蕉大皮也大

03-20

小米这种垃圾看好。嗷嗷

香蕉大皮也大

02-26

硬起来吧

诺和诺德(NVO.US)斥资最高21亿美元携手Vivtex，加码下一代口服减肥药

香蕉大皮也大

02-26

mark

百度：四季度营收327亿元，AI应用收入27亿元同比增长110%

香蕉大皮也大

02-25

snow

香蕉大皮也大

02-25

谁重仓美团

香蕉大皮也大

02-19

…

香蕉大皮也大

02-18

段20年前的相貌挺好的

段永平试水“AI交易”：卖苹果加仓英伟达，“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus

香蕉大皮也大

02-18

买，然后放消息，然后吹牛逼

巴菲特“收山之作”：Q4再抛苹果美银，猛砍亚马逊，首次新进纽约时报

香蕉大皮也大

02-18

狗

股价回调不合理！知名科技分析师Dan Ives力挺苹果，维持“跑赢大盘”评级

香蕉大皮也大

02-12

$智谱(02513)$ 垃圾蒸馏坐等崩盘

香蕉大皮也大

02-06

估计170-180

香蕉大皮也大

01-29

老黄你是个实在人吗

黄仁勋：英伟达今年将实现大幅增长，台积电未来十年需要大幅增加产能

香蕉大皮也大

01-27

14什么意思

香蕉大皮也大

01-19

8000中多少呢

香蕉大皮也大

01-15

$燃石医学(BNR)$ 这什么👻

香蕉大皮也大

01-15

一个个的认值价值

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n摩通重申对特斯拉“减持”评级，年终目标价定在145美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-07 11:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>4月7日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>日前向<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>投资者发出最新警告，告诫后者要为后市更多的下跌做好准备。特斯拉4月开局表现不佳，其第一季度的交付报告令人失望。这家电动汽车公司当季仅售出358000辆汽车，较分析师的预期低4%，更是较摩根大通预测的385000辆低7%。尽管特斯拉一季度交付量同比增长6.3%，但这一增长是在去年同期较低的基数基础上实现的，而且较去年第四季度创纪录的交付量出现了显著环比下降。</p><p>这些交付数据促使摩根大通分析师Ryan Brinkman重申了对特斯拉的“减持”评级，并将该股年终目标价格定在145美元，较周一的水平低近60%。创纪录的滞销库存，是摩根大通看空特斯拉的核心依据。该行在研报中写道：“未售出的新车库存激增，进一步加剧特斯拉的自由现金流困境。2026年一季度，特斯拉产量较交付量多出 50363 辆，单季库存积压规模创下历史新高。”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8350896f4f33c86bc28f200b67ab82b4","relate_stocks":{"IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED 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辆，单季库存积压规模创下历史新高。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":550728447901976,"gmtCreate":1775477096458,"gmtModify":1775477098874,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"准备收割了","listText":"准备收割了","text":"准备收割了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/550728447901976","repostId":"1184224829","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1184224829","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1775459067,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184224829?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-06 15:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"这只AI股一年暴涨862%，却被华尔街集体忽视","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184224829","media":"Barrons巴伦","summary":"AI算力投入热潮，早已带飞一众手握大厂订单的光通信龙头，如Ciena、Coherent和Lumentum，应用光电的客户也包括亚马逊和微软等公司。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">一年前，应用光电 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAOI\">Applied Optoelectronics Inc.</a> 还是一只无人关注、持续亏损的科技股，最为人所知的是它在2017年因亚马逊砍掉订单而导致股价崩盘。如今，它已然成为美股市场最火热的中型市值标的之一。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这家光通信企业于本周四盘后披露：再度拿下某超大规模云计算客户7100万美元的数据中心收发器新订单；自今年3月中旬以来，该客户累计下单金额已达1.24亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">该股周四盘后交易上涨4%，至108.86美元，但相比近期的疯狂走势，这点涨幅不值一提：<strong>今年以来，该股已飙升198%，过去12个月更是暴涨862%，公司市值随之攀升至78亿美元。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/75ac3201b1b504bbfda56bb2204f84f9\" tg-width=\"1093\" tg-height=\"718\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">暴涨原因之一是：2025年公司营收同比大增83%，主要受其有线电视终端市场几乎增长至原来三倍的推动。但更重要的原因是：人工智能。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Needham分析师Ryan Koontz上个月在一份研究报告中写道：“在需求加速增长、交付周期不断拉长的情况下，许多AI生态系统参与者如今正通过至少2—3年期的合同来锁定关键光学产品和组件的供应。”该机构对该股给予“买入”评级，并设定130美元的目标价。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">AI算力投入热潮，早已带飞一众手握大厂订单的光通信龙头，如Ciena、Coherent和Lumentum。这一逻辑早已广为人知。但应用光电的合作客户也并非小角色。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>微软是该公司收发器的最大买家，此外，应用光电还在去年3月获得了亚马逊的一笔投资，这笔投资会随着这家科技巨头逐步完成最高40亿美元的采购而分期生效。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2025年四季度，应用光电的数据中心业务营收占比已升至总营收的56%。Needham预测，伴随亚马逊等巨头加码采购高端800G、1.6T收发器，2026年这一占比还将大幅提升。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>尽管势头强劲，目前仅有7家华尔街机构覆盖该股，顶尖大型投行更是集体缺席。根据FactSet的数据，Ciena、Coherent和Lumentum各自至少有23位分析师覆盖。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这种差距并非毫无原因。即便算上业绩爆发的2025年，应用光电自2017年以来仍未实现净利润。当年，占其全年营收一半的核心客户（市场公认是亚马逊）突然大幅砍单，直接重创业绩。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此后，这只股票多年低迷，从2017年收盘高点99.61美元一路下跌，最低在2022年7月跌至1.50美元谷底。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">覆盖应用光电的分析师预计，该公司2026年每股盈利为0.94美元，2027年将达到4.64美元。该股未来12个月的预期市盈率为55.1倍，这一估值倍数高于Coherent的37.2倍，但低于Lumentum和Ciena。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">鉴于如此高的估值溢价，要复刻过去一年862%的暴涨将会非常困难，但华尔街现在起关注这家公司，依旧不算太晚。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1748071825094","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>这只AI股一年暴涨862%，却被华尔街集体忽视</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n这只AI股一年暴涨862%，却被华尔街集体忽视\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-04-06 15:04 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/5VxQBZPBPATBD69iv10mJQ><strong>Barrons巴伦</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>一年前，应用光电 Applied Optoelectronics Inc. 还是一只无人关注、持续亏损的科技股，最为人所知的是它在2017年因亚马逊砍掉订单而导致股价崩盘。如今，它已然成为美股市场最火热的中型市值标的之一。这家光通信企业于本周四盘后披露：再度拿下某超大规模云计算客户7100万美元的数据中心收发器新订单；自今年3月中旬以来，该客户累计下单金额已达1.24亿美元。该股周四盘后交易上涨...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/5VxQBZPBPATBD69iv10mJQ\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://investors.ao-inc.com/system/files-encrypted/nasdaq_kms/inline-images/home-profile-img_.jpg","relate_stocks":{"AAOI":"Applied Optoelectronics Inc."},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/5VxQBZPBPATBD69iv10mJQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184224829","content_text":"一年前，应用光电 Applied Optoelectronics Inc. 还是一只无人关注、持续亏损的科技股，最为人所知的是它在2017年因亚马逊砍掉订单而导致股价崩盘。如今，它已然成为美股市场最火热的中型市值标的之一。这家光通信企业于本周四盘后披露：再度拿下某超大规模云计算客户7100万美元的数据中心收发器新订单；自今年3月中旬以来，该客户累计下单金额已达1.24亿美元。该股周四盘后交易上涨4%，至108.86美元，但相比近期的疯狂走势，这点涨幅不值一提：今年以来，该股已飙升198%，过去12个月更是暴涨862%，公司市值随之攀升至78亿美元。暴涨原因之一是：2025年公司营收同比大增83%，主要受其有线电视终端市场几乎增长至原来三倍的推动。但更重要的原因是：人工智能。Needham分析师Ryan Koontz上个月在一份研究报告中写道：“在需求加速增长、交付周期不断拉长的情况下，许多AI生态系统参与者如今正通过至少2—3年期的合同来锁定关键光学产品和组件的供应。”该机构对该股给予“买入”评级，并设定130美元的目标价。AI算力投入热潮，早已带飞一众手握大厂订单的光通信龙头，如Ciena、Coherent和Lumentum。这一逻辑早已广为人知。但应用光电的合作客户也并非小角色。微软是该公司收发器的最大买家，此外，应用光电还在去年3月获得了亚马逊的一笔投资，这笔投资会随着这家科技巨头逐步完成最高40亿美元的采购而分期生效。2025年四季度，应用光电的数据中心业务营收占比已升至总营收的56%。Needham预测，伴随亚马逊等巨头加码采购高端800G、1.6T收发器，2026年这一占比还将大幅提升。尽管势头强劲，目前仅有7家华尔街机构覆盖该股，顶尖大型投行更是集体缺席。根据FactSet的数据，Ciena、Coherent和Lumentum各自至少有23位分析师覆盖。这种差距并非毫无原因。即便算上业绩爆发的2025年，应用光电自2017年以来仍未实现净利润。当年，占其全年营收一半的核心客户（市场公认是亚马逊）突然大幅砍单，直接重创业绩。此后，这只股票多年低迷，从2017年收盘高点99.61美元一路下跌，最低在2022年7月跌至1.50美元谷底。覆盖应用光电的分析师预计，该公司2026年每股盈利为0.94美元，2027年将达到4.64美元。该股未来12个月的预期市盈率为55.1倍，这一估值倍数高于Coherent的37.2倍，但低于Lumentum和Ciena。鉴于如此高的估值溢价，要复刻过去一年862%的暴涨将会非常困难，但华尔街现在起关注这家公司，依旧不算太晚。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAOI":2.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":549573257503400,"gmtCreate":1775194988866,"gmtModify":1775194991238,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/549573257503400","repostId":"1131798451","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131798451","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"期权策略分享","home_visible":1,"media_name":"期权女巫","id":"1020040791","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89"},"pubTimestamp":1775186432,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131798451?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-03 11:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"期权聚焦 | 特斯拉现巨额看跌大单：4,000万美元买入Put构建保护策略；Sell Call大单反映短线看空情绪","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131798451","media":"期权女巫","summary":"TSLA收于360.59美元，跌5.42%；一季度交付量未达市场预期，成为当日主要利空。$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$廉价看跌保护： 另有买入7,500张行权价230美元的远月深度虚值看跌期权，成本极低，类似为极端下跌风险购买的“保险”。$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$这些大单共同描绘了一幅图景：部分大资金在股价下跌后寻求下行保护，同时也有资金押注反弹空间有限。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>TSLA收于360.59美元，跌5.42%；一季度交付量未达市场预期，成为当日主要利空。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>潜在反弹催化与风险</strong>: 交付走弱令估值承压，但下半年“小型车”与FSD授权若顺利落地、毛利率企稳，有望推动需求与盈利回升；若宏观需求继续放缓或软件收入兑现低于预期，股价仍可能延续调整。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>期权指标分析</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>1. 隐含波动率 (IV) 与成交量概览</strong></p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p><strong>隐含波动率 (IV)：</strong> 50.14% (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li><li><p><strong>IV百分位 (IV Percentile)：</strong> 20.32% (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li><li><p><strong>看涨/看跌比率 (Call/Put Ratio)：</strong> 1.22 (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>分析：</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">TSLA当前的隐含波动率处于历史较低水平（IV百分位20.32%），期权定价相对“便宜”，表明市场对短期剧烈波动的预期有所降温。看涨/看跌比率略高于1，显示整体交易情绪未明显偏向悲观。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>2. 未平仓数 (OI) 分析 - 关键到期日聚焦</strong><br/>在下周到期的2026-04-10到期合约中，市场头寸分布揭示了关键价位：</p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>行权价400.0的看涨期权聚集了<strong>12,176</strong>张未平仓合约，是OI最集中的点位。</p></li><li><p>行权价350.0和360.0的看跌期权分别有<strong>9,745</strong>张和<strong>5,091</strong>张OI，显示下方存在一定的保护性或投机性买盘。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b9c932ea3e8bf7c2261c1f71a30fdc94\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1673\" tg-height=\"710\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>3. 大单交易显露复杂博弈</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">近两日的大额交易显示多空策略分化：</p><ol start=\"1\" style=\"list-style-type: decimal;\"><li><p><strong>巨额对冲或看空：</strong> 出现一笔买入<strong>2,925张</strong>2026-04-17到期、行权价500美元的深度实值看跌期权的大单，成交额高达<strong>4113万美元</strong>。同时段还出现了一笔卖出相同到期日、行权价450美元的看跌期权，或是在构建复杂的熊市看跌价差策略，对冲现有股票头寸的下行风险。‌<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT\" title=\"$TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT$\" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89e78c516b6560c79ce61284999bd1dd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"356\"/></p><p><strong>短线看涨情绪受制：</strong> 同时，有一笔卖出<strong>4,751张</strong>2026-04-06到期、行权价380美元的虚值看涨期权的大单，这可能是投资者认为股价短期内难以突破380美元，通过卖出看涨期权来收取权利金。‌<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL\" title=\"$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$\" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bf4df3dd5be7c4e09a03e2239102e137\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"357\"/></p><p><strong>廉价看跌保护：</strong> 另有买入<strong>7,500张</strong>行权价230美元的远月深度虚值看跌期权，成本极低，类似为极端下跌风险购买的“保险”。<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT\" title=\"$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/03aaa721ebb07c360042a89ec0f2e136\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"375\"/></p></li></ol><p style=\"text-align: start;\">这些大单共同描绘了一幅图景：部分大资金在股价下跌后寻求下行保护（买入实值Put），同时也有资金押注反弹空间有限（卖出虚值Call）。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>策略参考</strong><br/>鉴于当前IV处于历史相对低位，期权卖方可以考虑卖出行权价在400美元以上的虚值看涨期权，以赚取时间价值；若不愿承担无限风险，可构建看跌价差策略以锁定风险和收益。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权聚焦 | 特斯拉现巨额看跌大单：4,000万美元买入Put构建保护策略；Sell Call大单反映短线看空情绪</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ 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.h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权聚焦 | 特斯拉现巨额看跌大单：4,000万美元买入Put构建保护策略；Sell Call大单反映短线看空情绪\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1020040791\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">期权女巫 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-03 11:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>TSLA收于360.59美元，跌5.42%；一季度交付量未达市场预期，成为当日主要利空。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>潜在反弹催化与风险</strong>: 交付走弱令估值承压，但下半年“小型车”与FSD授权若顺利落地、毛利率企稳，有望推动需求与盈利回升；若宏观需求继续放缓或软件收入兑现低于预期，股价仍可能延续调整。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>期权指标分析</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>1. 隐含波动率 (IV) 与成交量概览</strong></p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p><strong>隐含波动率 (IV)：</strong> 50.14% (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li><li><p><strong>IV百分位 (IV Percentile)：</strong> 20.32% (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li><li><p><strong>看涨/看跌比率 (Call/Put Ratio)：</strong> 1.22 (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>分析：</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">TSLA当前的隐含波动率处于历史较低水平（IV百分位20.32%），期权定价相对“便宜”，表明市场对短期剧烈波动的预期有所降温。看涨/看跌比率略高于1，显示整体交易情绪未明显偏向悲观。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>2. 未平仓数 (OI) 分析 - 关键到期日聚焦</strong><br/>在下周到期的2026-04-10到期合约中，市场头寸分布揭示了关键价位：</p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>行权价400.0的看涨期权聚集了<strong>12,176</strong>张未平仓合约，是OI最集中的点位。</p></li><li><p>行权价350.0和360.0的看跌期权分别有<strong>9,745</strong>张和<strong>5,091</strong>张OI，显示下方存在一定的保护性或投机性买盘。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b9c932ea3e8bf7c2261c1f71a30fdc94\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1673\" tg-height=\"710\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>3. 大单交易显露复杂博弈</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">近两日的大额交易显示多空策略分化：</p><ol start=\"1\" style=\"list-style-type: decimal;\"><li><p><strong>巨额对冲或看空：</strong> 出现一笔买入<strong>2,925张</strong>2026-04-17到期、行权价500美元的深度实值看跌期权的大单，成交额高达<strong>4113万美元</strong>。同时段还出现了一笔卖出相同到期日、行权价450美元的看跌期权，或是在构建复杂的熊市看跌价差策略，对冲现有股票头寸的下行风险。‌<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT\" title=\"$TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT$\" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89e78c516b6560c79ce61284999bd1dd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"356\"/></p><p><strong>短线看涨情绪受制：</strong> 同时，有一笔卖出<strong>4,751张</strong>2026-04-06到期、行权价380美元的虚值看涨期权的大单，这可能是投资者认为股价短期内难以突破380美元，通过卖出看涨期权来收取权利金。‌<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL\" title=\"$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$\" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bf4df3dd5be7c4e09a03e2239102e137\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"357\"/></p><p><strong>廉价看跌保护：</strong> 另有买入<strong>7,500张</strong>行权价230美元的远月深度虚值看跌期权，成本极低，类似为极端下跌风险购买的“保险”。<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT\" title=\"$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/03aaa721ebb07c360042a89ec0f2e136\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"375\"/></p></li></ol><p style=\"text-align: start;\">这些大单共同描绘了一幅图景：部分大资金在股价下跌后寻求下行保护（买入实值Put），同时也有资金押注反弹空间有限（卖出虚值Call）。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>策略参考</strong><br/>鉴于当前IV处于历史相对低位，期权卖方可以考虑卖出行权价在400美元以上的虚值看涨期权，以赚取时间价值；若不愿承担无限风险，可构建看跌价差策略以锁定风险和收益。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131798451","content_text":"TSLA收于360.59美元，跌5.42%；一季度交付量未达市场预期，成为当日主要利空。潜在反弹催化与风险: 交付走弱令估值承压，但下半年“小型车”与FSD授权若顺利落地、毛利率企稳，有望推动需求与盈利回升；若宏观需求继续放缓或软件收入兑现低于预期，股价仍可能延续调整。期权指标分析1. 隐含波动率 (IV) 与成交量概览隐含波动率 (IV)： 50.14% (截至2026-04-03)。IV百分位 (IV Percentile)： 20.32% (截至2026-04-03)。看涨/看跌比率 (Call/Put Ratio)： 1.22 (截至2026-04-03)。分析：TSLA当前的隐含波动率处于历史较低水平（IV百分位20.32%），期权定价相对“便宜”，表明市场对短期剧烈波动的预期有所降温。看涨/看跌比率略高于1，显示整体交易情绪未明显偏向悲观。2. 未平仓数 (OI) 分析 - 关键到期日聚焦在下周到期的2026-04-10到期合约中，市场头寸分布揭示了关键价位：行权价400.0的看涨期权聚集了12,176张未平仓合约，是OI最集中的点位。行权价350.0和360.0的看跌期权分别有9,745张和5,091张OI，显示下方存在一定的保护性或投机性买盘。3. 大单交易显露复杂博弈近两日的大额交易显示多空策略分化：巨额对冲或看空： 出现一笔买入2,925张2026-04-17到期、行权价500美元的深度实值看跌期权的大单，成交额高达4113万美元。同时段还出现了一笔卖出相同到期日、行权价450美元的看跌期权，或是在构建复杂的熊市看跌价差策略，对冲现有股票头寸的下行风险。‌$TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT$短线看涨情绪受制： 同时，有一笔卖出4,751张2026-04-06到期、行权价380美元的虚值看涨期权的大单，这可能是投资者认为股价短期内难以突破380美元，通过卖出看涨期权来收取权利金。‌$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$廉价看跌保护： 另有买入7,500张行权价230美元的远月深度虚值看跌期权，成本极低，类似为极端下跌风险购买的“保险”。$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$这些大单共同描绘了一幅图景：部分大资金在股价下跌后寻求下行保护（买入实值Put），同时也有资金押注反弹空间有限（卖出虚值Call）。策略参考鉴于当前IV处于历史相对低位，期权卖方可以考虑卖出行权价在400美元以上的虚值看涨期权，以赚取时间价值；若不愿承担无限风险，可构建看跌价差策略以锁定风险和收益。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":54,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":544752835482968,"gmtCreate":1774005675702,"gmtModify":1774005678004,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"国内哪个不是蒸馏","listText":"国内哪个不是蒸馏","text":"国内哪个不是蒸馏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/544752835482968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":544752414602344,"gmtCreate":1774005559700,"gmtModify":1774012801196,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"小米这种垃圾看好。嗷嗷","listText":"小米这种垃圾看好。嗷嗷","text":"小米这种垃圾看好。嗷嗷","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/544752414602344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":536971432399192,"gmtCreate":1772107706102,"gmtModify":1772111024229,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"硬起来吧","listText":"硬起来吧","text":"硬起来吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/536971432399192","repostId":"2614295080","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2614295080","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1772026931,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2614295080?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-25 21:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"诺和诺德(NVO.US)斥资最高21亿美元携手Vivtex，加码下一代口服减肥药","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2614295080","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，丹麦制药商诺和诺德周三表示，已与总部位于美国的Vivtex公司达成一项价值高达21亿美元的合作协议，共同开发用于治疗肥胖症和糖尿病的下一代口服药物。据了解，此次合作的核心价值在于Vivtex所拥有的颠覆性口服给药研发平台。两家公司表示，Vivtex的平台利用肠道筛选检测、递送技术及人工智能工具，助力生物药物实现片剂化给药。诺和诺德目前提供用于治疗肥胖症和2型糖尿病的GLP-1药物，包括Wegovy、Ozempic及口服糖尿病药物Rybelsus。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP获悉，丹麦制药商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVO\">诺和诺德</a>(NVO.US)周三表示，已与总部位于美国的Vivtex公司达成一项价值高达21亿美元的合作协议，共同开发用于治疗肥胖症和糖尿病的下一代口服药物。</p><p>根据该合作安排，这家私营公司将授权其部分口服药物递送技术，而诺和诺德将负责全球开发和商业化。</p><p>据了解，此次合作的核心价值在于Vivtex所拥有的颠覆性口服给药研发平台。该平台由麻省理工学院著名科学家、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRNA\">Moderna</a>联合创始人Robert Langer及其团队参与开发，核心技术整合了先进的胃肠道芯片模型、高通量自动化机器人筛选以及人工智能预测算法。</p><p>通过这套系统，研发团队能够以前所未有的速度模拟药物在人体肠道内的吸收过程，从成千上万种复杂的配方组合中精准识别出能够显著提高<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000504\">生物</a>利用度的最佳方案，从而突破多肽和蛋白质类药物长期以来难以跨越的肠道吸收屏障。</p><p><strong>以下是部分细节：</strong></p><p>根据协议，诺和诺德除支付一笔未公开的预付款外，还将支付里程碑付款及未来产品销售的特许权使用费。</p><p>该合作旨在通过改善生物药物在肠道中的吸收方式，使原本需注射给药的生物药物得以制成口服剂型。</p><p>两家公司表示，Vivtex的平台利用肠道筛选检测、递送技术及人工智能工具，助力生物药物实现片剂化给药。</p><p>诺和诺德目前提供用于治疗肥胖症和2型糖尿病的GLP-1药物，包括Wegovy、Ozempic及口服糖尿病药物Rybelsus。</p><p>今年1月，这家丹麦制药商在美国推出了Wegovy片剂，这是全球首个用于治疗肥胖症的口服药物。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>诺和诺德(NVO.US)斥资最高21亿美元携手Vivtex，加码下一代口服减肥药</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n诺和诺德(NVO.US)斥资最高21亿美元携手Vivtex，加码下一代口服减肥药\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-25 21:42 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1407309.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，丹麦制药商诺和诺德(NVO.US)周三表示，已与总部位于美国的Vivtex公司达成一项价值高达21亿美元的合作协议，共同开发用于治疗肥胖症和糖尿病的下一代口服药物。根据该合作安排，这家私营公司将授权其部分口服药物递送技术，而诺和诺德将负责全球开发和商业化。据了解，此次合作的核心价值在于Vivtex所拥有的颠覆性口服给药研发平台。该平台由麻省理工学院著名科学家、Moderna联合...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1407309.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVOX":"2倍做多NVO ETF-Defiance","LU1093756168.USD":"FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4599":"减肥药","NVO":"诺和诺德","BK4007":"制药","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","LU0154236417.USD":"BGF US FLEXIBLE EQUITY \"A2\" ACC","LU1093756325.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin K2 Alt Strat Fd A (acc) SGD-H1","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","NVOH":"Novo Nordisk A/S B Shares ADRhedged"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1407309.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2614295080","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，丹麦制药商诺和诺德(NVO.US)周三表示，已与总部位于美国的Vivtex公司达成一项价值高达21亿美元的合作协议，共同开发用于治疗肥胖症和糖尿病的下一代口服药物。根据该合作安排，这家私营公司将授权其部分口服药物递送技术，而诺和诺德将负责全球开发和商业化。据了解，此次合作的核心价值在于Vivtex所拥有的颠覆性口服给药研发平台。该平台由麻省理工学院著名科学家、Moderna联合创始人Robert Langer及其团队参与开发，核心技术整合了先进的胃肠道芯片模型、高通量自动化机器人筛选以及人工智能预测算法。通过这套系统，研发团队能够以前所未有的速度模拟药物在人体肠道内的吸收过程，从成千上万种复杂的配方组合中精准识别出能够显著提高生物利用度的最佳方案，从而突破多肽和蛋白质类药物长期以来难以跨越的肠道吸收屏障。以下是部分细节：根据协议，诺和诺德除支付一笔未公开的预付款外，还将支付里程碑付款及未来产品销售的特许权使用费。该合作旨在通过改善生物药物在肠道中的吸收方式，使原本需注射给药的生物药物得以制成口服剂型。两家公司表示，Vivtex的平台利用肠道筛选检测、递送技术及人工智能工具，助力生物药物实现片剂化给药。诺和诺德目前提供用于治疗肥胖症和2型糖尿病的GLP-1药物，包括Wegovy、Ozempic及口服糖尿病药物Rybelsus。今年1月，这家丹麦制药商在美国推出了Wegovy片剂，这是全球首个用于治疗肥胖症的口服药物。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVOX":0.6,"NVOH":0.6,"NVO":1.96}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":536894040286880,"gmtCreate":1772096739077,"gmtModify":1772096741170,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/536894040286880","repostId":"1120641198","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1120641198","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1772096592,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120641198?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-26 17:03","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"百度：四季度营收327亿元，AI应用收入27亿元同比增长110%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120641198","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"NON-GAAP净利润39亿元。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a> ：2025年第四季度营收327.4亿元人民币，环比增长5%，市场预估326.6亿元。全年总营收为1291亿元，同比微降3%，主要受传统业务收缩影响，但AI新业务的强劲增长有效对冲了部分压力。</p><p>四季度NON-GAAP净利润39亿元。NON-GAAP净利润率为12%，NON-GAAP每股美国存托股稀释收益为人民币10.62元（1.52美元）；</p><p>四季度经调整EBITDA为人民币47亿元（676百万美元）及经调整EBITDA利润率为14%。</p><h3 id=\"id_3220697910\">业务表现</h3><p>四季度，AI原生营销服务收入达到27亿元，同比增长110%。2025年12月，百度APP的月活跃用户达到679百万，同比持平。2025年12月，文心助手的月活跃用户达到202百万。</p><p>四季度，智能云基础设施收入为58亿元，AI高性能计算设施收入的订阅收入同比增长143%。2025年全年，智能云基础设施收入为约200亿元，同比增长34%。</p><p>四季度，百度的无人车服务萝卜快跑提供的全无人自动驾驶营运订单达到3.4百万单，季度内单周订单量峰值超过300,000单。总订单量同比增长超过200%。截至2026年2月，萝卜快跑累计为公众提供的自动驾驶出行服务订单超过20百万单。</p><h3 id=\"id_626126150\">股份回购</h3><p>百度：公司董事会已于2026年2月授权一项新的股份回购计划，据此，本公司可回购最多50亿美元的股份，有效期至2028年12月31日。董事会亦已首次批准采纳本公司普通股的股息政策，其中可能包括定期及/或特别股息分派。</p><h3 id=\"id_762494051\">盘前表现</h3><p>百度周四盘前股价震荡，截至发稿跌幅1.99%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c7c0a6bfd4b6a636524b26406c44eb7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1166\" tg-height=\"404\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>百度：四季度营收327亿元，AI应用收入27亿元同比增长110%</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a> ：2025年第四季度营收327.4亿元人民币，环比增长5%，市场预估326.6亿元。全年总营收为1291亿元，同比微降3%，主要受传统业务收缩影响，但AI新业务的强劲增长有效对冲了部分压力。</p><p>四季度NON-GAAP净利润39亿元。NON-GAAP净利润率为12%，NON-GAAP每股美国存托股稀释收益为人民币10.62元（1.52美元）；</p><p>四季度经调整EBITDA为人民币47亿元（676百万美元）及经调整EBITDA利润率为14%。</p><h3 id=\"id_3220697910\">业务表现</h3><p>四季度，AI原生营销服务收入达到27亿元，同比增长110%。2025年12月，百度APP的月活跃用户达到679百万，同比持平。2025年12月，文心助手的月活跃用户达到202百万。</p><p>四季度，智能云基础设施收入为58亿元，AI高性能计算设施收入的订阅收入同比增长143%。2025年全年，智能云基础设施收入为约200亿元，同比增长34%。</p><p>四季度，百度的无人车服务萝卜快跑提供的全无人自动驾驶营运订单达到3.4百万单，季度内单周订单量峰值超过300,000单。总订单量同比增长超过200%。截至2026年2月，萝卜快跑累计为公众提供的自动驾驶出行服务订单超过20百万单。</p><h3 id=\"id_626126150\">股份回购</h3><p>百度：公司董事会已于2026年2月授权一项新的股份回购计划，据此，本公司可回购最多50亿美元的股份，有效期至2028年12月31日。董事会亦已首次批准采纳本公司普通股的股息政策，其中可能包括定期及/或特别股息分派。</p><h3 id=\"id_762494051\">盘前表现</h3><p>百度周四盘前股价震荡，截至发稿跌幅1.99%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c7c0a6bfd4b6a636524b26406c44eb7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1166\" tg-height=\"404\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cb3c6c3c55603d00a14ee3389850b7f","relate_stocks":{"BIDU":"百度","09888":"百度集团-SW"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120641198","content_text":"百度 ：2025年第四季度营收327.4亿元人民币，环比增长5%，市场预估326.6亿元。全年总营收为1291亿元，同比微降3%，主要受传统业务收缩影响，但AI新业务的强劲增长有效对冲了部分压力。四季度NON-GAAP净利润39亿元。NON-GAAP净利润率为12%，NON-GAAP每股美国存托股稀释收益为人民币10.62元（1.52美元）；四季度经调整EBITDA为人民币47亿元（676百万美元）及经调整EBITDA利润率为14%。业务表现四季度，AI原生营销服务收入达到27亿元，同比增长110%。2025年12月，百度APP的月活跃用户达到679百万，同比持平。2025年12月，文心助手的月活跃用户达到202百万。四季度，智能云基础设施收入为58亿元，AI高性能计算设施收入的订阅收入同比增长143%。2025年全年，智能云基础设施收入为约200亿元，同比增长34%。四季度，百度的无人车服务萝卜快跑提供的全无人自动驾驶营运订单达到3.4百万单，季度内单周订单量峰值超过300,000单。总订单量同比增长超过200%。截至2026年2月，萝卜快跑累计为公众提供的自动驾驶出行服务订单超过20百万单。股份回购百度：公司董事会已于2026年2月授权一项新的股份回购计划，据此，本公司可回购最多50亿美元的股份，有效期至2028年12月31日。董事会亦已首次批准采纳本公司普通股的股息政策，其中可能包括定期及/或特别股息分派。盘前表现百度周四盘前股价震荡，截至发稿跌幅1.99%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BIDU":2,"09888":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":536627628815104,"gmtCreate":1772033489958,"gmtModify":1772033492464,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"snow","listText":"snow","text":"snow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/536627628815104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":536680182886640,"gmtCreate":1772002377178,"gmtModify":1772002379332,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"谁重仓美团","listText":"谁重仓美团","text":"谁重仓美团","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/536680182886640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":989,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":534474999318176,"gmtCreate":1771506152903,"gmtModify":1771506154682,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"…","listText":"…","text":"…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/534474999318176","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":533967812007432,"gmtCreate":1771384187171,"gmtModify":1771384189717,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"段20年前的相貌挺好的","listText":"段20年前的相貌挺好的","text":"段20年前的相貌挺好的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533967812007432","repostId":"2612049231","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2612049231","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1771379884,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2612049231?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-18 09:58","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"段永平试水“AI交易”：卖苹果加仓英伟达，“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2612049231","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"段永平Q4共增持了六只股票，其中增持幅度最大的是英伟达，增持幅度第二大的股票是伯克希尔哈撒韦；同时，段永平也减持了五只股票，减持幅度最大的是苹果。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>CoreWeave专门搭建高性能GPU集群，把算力租给AI公司和企业客户；如果说GPU是心脏，Credo提供的高速互联芯片和光模块就是血管，跟AI服务器迭代高度绑定；Tempus则致力于将AI应用于精准医疗，尤其是肿瘤领域。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>在大幅减持第一大重仓股苹果的同时，知名投资人段永平在Q4将英伟达仓位狂拉逾11倍，并轻仓“试水”三家极具代表性的AI垂直领域公司。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>数据显示，段永平Q4共增持了六只股票，其中增持幅度最大的是英伟达，增持幅度第二大的股票是伯克希尔哈撒韦；同时，段永平也减持了五只股票，减持幅度最大的是苹果。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392545a009bcf09f2c078f8e9d1b3126\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"438\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这位曾以重仓网易、茅台、苹果著称的价值投资大佬，正在用真金白银完成对人工智能时代的深度建仓。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcdb4f5cee5eaa6c20ba310989a7845\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_790947635\">“狂加”英伟达、“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>文件显示，段永平在Q4一口气增持了663.93万股英伟达，持仓数量激增1110.62%</strong>，总持股数达到723.71万股，持仓市值跃升至13.5亿美元，将英伟达直接推升至其组合的第三大重仓股（占比7.72%）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在重注“卖水人”英伟达之外，段永平还开仓了三家“新面孔”。虽然合计仓位占比仅约0.28%，但选股逻辑极为老辣，精准覆盖了AI产业链的算力、连接与应用三个关键节点：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>CoreWeave：算力租赁的“包租公”</strong><br/>新进29.99万股。在所有巨头都在争抢GPU的当下，CoreWeave专门搭建高性能GPU集群，把算力租给AI公司和企业客户。这是一家典型的“卖铲子”公司，虽然面临重资产、高折旧的财务压力，但在算力紧缺周期内拥有极强的议价权。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Credo Technology ：数据中心的“高速公路”</strong><br/>新进14.13万股。如果说GPU是心脏，Credo提供的高速互联芯片和光模块就是血管。AI服务器集群对数据传输速度要求极高，段永平此举意在押注数据中心升级带来的确定性增量，这是一种与AI服务器迭代高度绑定的“伴生性投资”。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Tempus AI：AI医疗的“落地实验”</strong><br/>新进11万股。不同于前两者的硬件属性，Tempus致力于将AI应用于精准医疗，尤其是肿瘤领域。这是段永平在AI垂直应用层的尝试。不过，医疗行业监管严、周期长，虽然这代表了AI从“算力”向“生产力”转化的终极方向，但盈利能力仍在验证阶段，更像是一场耐力赛。</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_1651169234\">减持苹果，增持伯克希尔</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在进攻AI的同时，段永平也对传统的“压舱石”进行了显著的再平衡。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Q4，苹果依然是其头号重仓股，持仓市值高达87.97亿美元，占比50.3%。<strong>然而，Q4期间他减持了247.06万股苹果，减持幅度达7.09%。</strong>这一动作可能源于对单一标的持仓过重的风险控制，也可能是为了腾挪资金加码AI。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，作为防御性资产的<strong>伯克希尔B </strong>获得了大幅增持。段永平买入近198.5万股，增持幅度达38.24%，使其稳居第二大重仓股（占比20.63%）。这种“左手科技成长，右手价值防御”的结构，依然是其投资组合的基石。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，段永平还增持了<strong>谷歌、拼多多</strong>，并大幅减持了光刻机巨头<strong>阿斯麦</strong>（减持幅度87.63%），显示出他对不同科技巨头未来增长潜力的判断出现了分化。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>段永平试水“AI交易”：卖苹果加仓英伟达，“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n段永平试水“AI交易”：卖苹果加仓英伟达，“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-02-18 09:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>CoreWeave专门搭建高性能GPU集群，把算力租给AI公司和企业客户；如果说GPU是心脏，Credo提供的高速互联芯片和光模块就是血管，跟AI服务器迭代高度绑定；Tempus则致力于将AI应用于精准医疗，尤其是肿瘤领域。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>在大幅减持第一大重仓股苹果的同时，知名投资人段永平在Q4将英伟达仓位狂拉逾11倍，并轻仓“试水”三家极具代表性的AI垂直领域公司。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>数据显示，段永平Q4共增持了六只股票，其中增持幅度最大的是英伟达，增持幅度第二大的股票是伯克希尔哈撒韦；同时，段永平也减持了五只股票，减持幅度最大的是苹果。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392545a009bcf09f2c078f8e9d1b3126\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"438\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这位曾以重仓网易、茅台、苹果著称的价值投资大佬，正在用真金白银完成对人工智能时代的深度建仓。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcdb4f5cee5eaa6c20ba310989a7845\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_790947635\">“狂加”英伟达、“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>文件显示，段永平在Q4一口气增持了663.93万股英伟达，持仓数量激增1110.62%</strong>，总持股数达到723.71万股，持仓市值跃升至13.5亿美元，将英伟达直接推升至其组合的第三大重仓股（占比7.72%）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在重注“卖水人”英伟达之外，段永平还开仓了三家“新面孔”。虽然合计仓位占比仅约0.28%，但选股逻辑极为老辣，精准覆盖了AI产业链的算力、连接与应用三个关键节点：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>CoreWeave：算力租赁的“包租公”</strong><br/>新进29.99万股。在所有巨头都在争抢GPU的当下，CoreWeave专门搭建高性能GPU集群，把算力租给AI公司和企业客户。这是一家典型的“卖铲子”公司，虽然面临重资产、高折旧的财务压力，但在算力紧缺周期内拥有极强的议价权。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Credo Technology ：数据中心的“高速公路”</strong><br/>新进14.13万股。如果说GPU是心脏，Credo提供的高速互联芯片和光模块就是血管。AI服务器集群对数据传输速度要求极高，段永平此举意在押注数据中心升级带来的确定性增量，这是一种与AI服务器迭代高度绑定的“伴生性投资”。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Tempus AI：AI医疗的“落地实验”</strong><br/>新进11万股。不同于前两者的硬件属性，Tempus致力于将AI应用于精准医疗，尤其是肿瘤领域。这是段永平在AI垂直应用层的尝试。不过，医疗行业监管严、周期长，虽然这代表了AI从“算力”向“生产力”转化的终极方向，但盈利能力仍在验证阶段，更像是一场耐力赛。</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_1651169234\">减持苹果，增持伯克希尔</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在进攻AI的同时，段永平也对传统的“压舱石”进行了显著的再平衡。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Q4，苹果依然是其头号重仓股，持仓市值高达87.97亿美元，占比50.3%。<strong>然而，Q4期间他减持了247.06万股苹果，减持幅度达7.09%。</strong>这一动作可能源于对单一标的持仓过重的风险控制，也可能是为了腾挪资金加码AI。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，作为防御性资产的<strong>伯克希尔B </strong>获得了大幅增持。段永平买入近198.5万股，增持幅度达38.24%，使其稳居第二大重仓股（占比20.63%）。这种“左手科技成长，右手价值防御”的结构，依然是其投资组合的基石。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，段永平还增持了<strong>谷歌、拼多多</strong>，并大幅减持了光刻机巨头<strong>阿斯麦</strong>（减持幅度87.63%），显示出他对不同科技巨头未来增长潜力的判断出现了分化。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f8fa40fbf2bafa712e6587729f3ea91","relate_stocks":{"LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","AAPD":"1倍做空AAPL 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：数据中心的“高速公路”新进14.13万股。如果说GPU是心脏，Credo提供的高速互联芯片和光模块就是血管。AI服务器集群对数据传输速度要求极高，段永平此举意在押注数据中心升级带来的确定性增量，这是一种与AI服务器迭代高度绑定的“伴生性投资”。Tempus AI：AI医疗的“落地实验”新进11万股。不同于前两者的硬件属性，Tempus致力于将AI应用于精准医疗，尤其是肿瘤领域。这是段永平在AI垂直应用层的尝试。不过，医疗行业监管严、周期长，虽然这代表了AI从“算力”向“生产力”转化的终极方向，但盈利能力仍在验证阶段，更像是一场耐力赛。减持苹果，增持伯克希尔在进攻AI的同时，段永平也对传统的“压舱石”进行了显著的再平衡。Q4，苹果依然是其头号重仓股，持仓市值高达87.97亿美元，占比50.3%。然而，Q4期间他减持了247.06万股苹果，减持幅度达7.09%。这一动作可能源于对单一标的持仓过重的风险控制，也可能是为了腾挪资金加码AI。与此同时，作为防御性资产的伯克希尔B 获得了大幅增持。段永平买入近198.5万股，增持幅度达38.24%，使其稳居第二大重仓股（占比20.63%）。这种“左手科技成长，右手价值防御”的结构，依然是其投资组合的基石。此外，段永平还增持了谷歌、拼多多，并大幅减持了光刻机巨头阿斯麦（减持幅度87.63%），显示出他对不同科技巨头未来增长潜力的判断出现了分化。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPW":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"AAPL":1.91,"AAPU":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"CRWD":1.87,"AAPB":0.6,"NVD2.UK":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"MACW.SI":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVDA":1.95,"CORD":0.6,"CWVX":0.6,"3NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"APLY":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"AAPD":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"AAPY":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"CRWG":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"AAPX":0.6,"NVDQ":0.6,"CRWU":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":533946027958480,"gmtCreate":1771378887400,"gmtModify":1771379354300,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"买，然后放消息，然后吹牛逼","listText":"买，然后放消息，然后吹牛逼","text":"买，然后放消息，然后吹牛逼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533946027958480","repostId":"2612496724","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2612496724","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1771367111,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2612496724?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-18 06:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"巴菲特“收山之作”：Q4再抛苹果美银，猛砍亚马逊，首次新进纽约时报","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2612496724","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"伯克希尔Q4连续第三季抛苹果，苹果持仓市值减少28亿美元，仍是头号重仓股，美银持仓一年半来减持50%，仍是第三代重仓股；亚马逊持股环比减少230万股、降幅77%；新进纽约时报超过506万股，市值3.52亿美元。该报盘后一度涨超10%。更新中","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>伯克希尔连续三季抛苹果，Q4苹果持仓市值减少28亿美元，仍是头号重仓股；美银持股一年半来减少50%，仍是第三大重仓股；亚马逊持股环比减少230万股、降幅77%；新进纽约时报超过506万股，市值3.52亿美元；增持雪佛龙12.3亿美元、安达保险持股数增逾9%。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司在“股神”巴菲特卸任CEO前最后一个季度继续调整科技巨头持仓，减持多只重仓股的同时，首次建仓传统媒体纽约时报。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美东时间2月17日周二美股盘后，递交美国证监会（SEC）的13F文件披露，伯克希尔2025年第四季度大幅削减所持亚马逊股份（AMZN）超过77%，并且连续第三个季度减持苹果（AAPL）。伯克希尔还继续抛售美国银行（BAC），对该行的持股比例降至略低于7%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报（NYT）是伯克希尔四季度唯一新进的个股，当季建仓超过506万股，市值约3.52亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本周二公布的是巴菲特执掌伯克希尔60年的最后一份13F持仓报告，巴菲特的继任者Greg Abel已于2026年1月1日正式接任CEO。伯克希尔将于2月28日公布全年业绩，届时将发布Abel作为CEO的首封致股东信。</p><h2 id=\"55c41946\">持续减持苹果与美银</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据13F文件，伯克希尔四季度抛售苹果超过1029万股，持股数环比三季度减少4.3%，季末苹果持仓市值环比减少约28亿美元，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的22.69%降至22.60%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">以环比减少的市值看，苹果是伯克希尔四季度减持最多的个股，但减持股份还不及前一季。三季度伯克希尔减持苹果约4179万股，持股数环比减少逾14.9%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管持续减持，到四季度末，苹果仍是伯克希尔的头号重仓股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行是又一持续被伯克希尔减持的重仓股。四季度伯克希尔卖出将近5080万股美银，持股数环比减少8.9%，持仓占比降至6.89%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到四季度末，美银仍是伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。但伯克希尔的美银持股已经从2024年中的10.3亿股降至5.17亿股，相当于过去一年半来，该行已被减持约50%。</p><h2 id=\"cd3cd5ca\">亚马逊持股猛降77%</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">按持仓占比变动计算，亚马逊是伯克希尔四季度减持幅度最大的个股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">13F文件显示，四季度亚马逊在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的0.82%骤降至0.19%，环比降幅达0.63个百分点，持股数量减少至约230万股，环比下降逾77.2%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔于2019年首次买入亚马逊。巴菲特当时表示，虽然他历来对科技股持谨慎态度，但没有更早买入这家在线零售巨头的股票是“愚蠢的”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">亚马逊股价进入2026年以来已累跌约11%，遭遇20年来最大同期跌幅。本周二，亚马逊刚刚结束连跌九个交易日的2006年以来最长连跌日。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">截至上周五的九个交易日内，亚马逊市值合计蒸发超4500亿美元，体现了投资者对亚马逊庞大AI相关支出合理性的质疑。亚马逊本月5日公布四季度财报时透露，计划2026年资本支出2000亿美元，年度投入规模超过其他任一科技巨头。</p><h2 id=\"bba77103\">建仓纽约时报</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报是伯克希尔四季度唯一新建仓的个股。当季伯克希尔买入506.7万股，市值超过3.52亿美元，持有纽约时报约3.1%的股份，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中位列第30位，占比0.13%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔曾长期持有媒体股资产，但在2020年以1.4亿美元将旗下报纸业务出售给Lee Enterprises。巴菲特曾担任华盛顿邮报最大外部股东和董事会成员。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报股价近期表现强劲，今年以来上涨6%，目前接近历史高点74.59美元，过去12个月累计涨幅达50%。</p><h2 id=\"d7874ebc\">增持雪佛龙和安达保险</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔四季度较大幅增持了石油巨头雪佛龙（CVX）和瑞士安达保险（Chubb）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，伯克希尔增持安达保险（CB）将近292万股，持股数环比增长9.3%，持股在投资组合中占比从三季度的3.31%升至3.90%，环比提高0.59个百分点。以持仓占比升幅看，安达保险是四季度增持最多的个股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四季度伯克希尔买入雪佛龙逾809万股，持股数环比增长6.6%，持股占比环比增加0.15个百分点至7.24%，市值则环比增加约12.3亿美元。以持仓市值的增幅看，雪佛龙则是四季度增持之最。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔四季度还增持了36.8万股达美乐披萨（DPZ），持股数环比增长12.3%，持仓增至约14亿美元，排在第20位。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔对另一必需消费品类股卡夫亨氏的持仓四季度保持不变。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Abel近期表示，他支持卡夫亨氏暂停拆分调味品和食品杂货业务的决定。卡夫亨氏在1月的监管文件中披露，最大股东伯克希尔可能出售其持有的近全部3.256亿股。巴菲特去年曾对华尔街日报表示，伯克希尔不支持该拆分计划。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">根据SEC规定，管理至少1亿美元美国股票的机构投资者必须在每个季度结束后45天内提交13F文件。尽管这些文件提供的是过时的持仓信息，但伯克希尔的披露仍被市场参与者广泛解读，以寻求对该公司投资决策的洞察。</p><h2 id=\"id_507732878\">十大重仓股仍是“老面孔”</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到四季度末，以持仓市值计，伯克希尔的十大重仓股都是前一季的“老面孔”，排名大多和三季度相同，只有穆迪和西方石油的排名对换。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">和三季度一样，四季度这些重仓股之中也只有四只被调整持仓，分别是苹果、美国运通被减持，雪佛龙、安达保险被增持。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">三季度首次跻身前十的谷歌母公司Alphabet依然排在第十位。三季度被Alphabet挤出前十的肾脏透析服务商德维特（DVA）四季度仍位列第11。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四季度伯克希尔的十大重仓股分别是：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>苹果（AAPL）</p></li><li><p>美国运通（AXP）</p></li><li><p>美银（BAC）</p></li><li><p>可口可乐（KO）</p></li><li><p>雪佛龙（CVX）</p></li><li><p>穆迪（MCO），排名从第七升至第六。</p></li><li><p>西方石油（OXY），排名从第六降至第七。</p></li><li><p>瑞士安达保险（Chubb）（CB）。</p></li><li><p>卡夫亨氏（KHC）。</p></li><li><p>Alphabet（GOOGL）</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afc19aa8909429c6e0e54a471a917e7c\" tg-width=\"1643\" tg-height=\"648\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>巴菲特“收山之作”：Q4再抛苹果美银，猛砍亚马逊，首次新进纽约时报</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n巴菲特“收山之作”：Q4再抛苹果美银，猛砍亚马逊，首次新进纽约时报\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-02-18 06:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>伯克希尔连续三季抛苹果，Q4苹果持仓市值减少28亿美元，仍是头号重仓股；美银持股一年半来减少50%，仍是第三大重仓股；亚马逊持股环比减少230万股、降幅77%；新进纽约时报超过506万股，市值3.52亿美元；增持雪佛龙12.3亿美元、安达保险持股数增逾9%。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司在“股神”巴菲特卸任CEO前最后一个季度继续调整科技巨头持仓，减持多只重仓股的同时，首次建仓传统媒体纽约时报。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美东时间2月17日周二美股盘后，递交美国证监会（SEC）的13F文件披露，伯克希尔2025年第四季度大幅削减所持亚马逊股份（AMZN）超过77%，并且连续第三个季度减持苹果（AAPL）。伯克希尔还继续抛售美国银行（BAC），对该行的持股比例降至略低于7%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报（NYT）是伯克希尔四季度唯一新进的个股，当季建仓超过506万股，市值约3.52亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本周二公布的是巴菲特执掌伯克希尔60年的最后一份13F持仓报告，巴菲特的继任者Greg Abel已于2026年1月1日正式接任CEO。伯克希尔将于2月28日公布全年业绩，届时将发布Abel作为CEO的首封致股东信。</p><h2 id=\"55c41946\">持续减持苹果与美银</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据13F文件，伯克希尔四季度抛售苹果超过1029万股，持股数环比三季度减少4.3%，季末苹果持仓市值环比减少约28亿美元，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的22.69%降至22.60%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">以环比减少的市值看，苹果是伯克希尔四季度减持最多的个股，但减持股份还不及前一季。三季度伯克希尔减持苹果约4179万股，持股数环比减少逾14.9%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管持续减持，到四季度末，苹果仍是伯克希尔的头号重仓股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行是又一持续被伯克希尔减持的重仓股。四季度伯克希尔卖出将近5080万股美银，持股数环比减少8.9%，持仓占比降至6.89%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到四季度末，美银仍是伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。但伯克希尔的美银持股已经从2024年中的10.3亿股降至5.17亿股，相当于过去一年半来，该行已被减持约50%。</p><h2 id=\"cd3cd5ca\">亚马逊持股猛降77%</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">按持仓占比变动计算，亚马逊是伯克希尔四季度减持幅度最大的个股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">13F文件显示，四季度亚马逊在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的0.82%骤降至0.19%，环比降幅达0.63个百分点，持股数量减少至约230万股，环比下降逾77.2%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔于2019年首次买入亚马逊。巴菲特当时表示，虽然他历来对科技股持谨慎态度，但没有更早买入这家在线零售巨头的股票是“愚蠢的”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">亚马逊股价进入2026年以来已累跌约11%，遭遇20年来最大同期跌幅。本周二，亚马逊刚刚结束连跌九个交易日的2006年以来最长连跌日。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">截至上周五的九个交易日内，亚马逊市值合计蒸发超4500亿美元，体现了投资者对亚马逊庞大AI相关支出合理性的质疑。亚马逊本月5日公布四季度财报时透露，计划2026年资本支出2000亿美元，年度投入规模超过其他任一科技巨头。</p><h2 id=\"bba77103\">建仓纽约时报</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报是伯克希尔四季度唯一新建仓的个股。当季伯克希尔买入506.7万股，市值超过3.52亿美元，持有纽约时报约3.1%的股份，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中位列第30位，占比0.13%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔曾长期持有媒体股资产，但在2020年以1.4亿美元将旗下报纸业务出售给Lee Enterprises。巴菲特曾担任华盛顿邮报最大外部股东和董事会成员。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报股价近期表现强劲，今年以来上涨6%，目前接近历史高点74.59美元，过去12个月累计涨幅达50%。</p><h2 id=\"d7874ebc\">增持雪佛龙和安达保险</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔四季度较大幅增持了石油巨头雪佛龙（CVX）和瑞士安达保险（Chubb）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，伯克希尔增持安达保险（CB）将近292万股，持股数环比增长9.3%，持股在投资组合中占比从三季度的3.31%升至3.90%，环比提高0.59个百分点。以持仓占比升幅看，安达保险是四季度增持最多的个股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四季度伯克希尔买入雪佛龙逾809万股，持股数环比增长6.6%，持股占比环比增加0.15个百分点至7.24%，市值则环比增加约12.3亿美元。以持仓市值的增幅看，雪佛龙则是四季度增持之最。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔四季度还增持了36.8万股达美乐披萨（DPZ），持股数环比增长12.3%，持仓增至约14亿美元，排在第20位。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔对另一必需消费品类股卡夫亨氏的持仓四季度保持不变。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Abel近期表示，他支持卡夫亨氏暂停拆分调味品和食品杂货业务的决定。卡夫亨氏在1月的监管文件中披露，最大股东伯克希尔可能出售其持有的近全部3.256亿股。巴菲特去年曾对华尔街日报表示，伯克希尔不支持该拆分计划。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">根据SEC规定，管理至少1亿美元美国股票的机构投资者必须在每个季度结束后45天内提交13F文件。尽管这些文件提供的是过时的持仓信息，但伯克希尔的披露仍被市场参与者广泛解读，以寻求对该公司投资决策的洞察。</p><h2 id=\"id_507732878\">十大重仓股仍是“老面孔”</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到四季度末，以持仓市值计，伯克希尔的十大重仓股都是前一季的“老面孔”，排名大多和三季度相同，只有穆迪和西方石油的排名对换。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">和三季度一样，四季度这些重仓股之中也只有四只被调整持仓，分别是苹果、美国运通被减持，雪佛龙、安达保险被增持。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">三季度首次跻身前十的谷歌母公司Alphabet依然排在第十位。三季度被Alphabet挤出前十的肾脏透析服务商德维特（DVA）四季度仍位列第11。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四季度伯克希尔的十大重仓股分别是：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>苹果（AAPL）</p></li><li><p>美国运通（AXP）</p></li><li><p>美银（BAC）</p></li><li><p>可口可乐（KO）</p></li><li><p>雪佛龙（CVX）</p></li><li><p>穆迪（MCO），排名从第七升至第六。</p></li><li><p>西方石油（OXY），排名从第六降至第七。</p></li><li><p>瑞士安达保险（Chubb）（CB）。</p></li><li><p>卡夫亨氏（KHC）。</p></li><li><p>Alphabet（GOOGL）</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afc19aa8909429c6e0e54a471a917e7c\" tg-width=\"1643\" tg-height=\"648\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9beffeecb928009bf6287e307899ffe3","relate_stocks":{"IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0742534661.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD (hedged)","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU2592432038.USD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","IE00BDCRKT87.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU1642822529.SGD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0302445910.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL 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USD"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3765821","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2612496724","content_text":"伯克希尔连续三季抛苹果，Q4苹果持仓市值减少28亿美元，仍是头号重仓股；美银持股一年半来减少50%，仍是第三大重仓股；亚马逊持股环比减少230万股、降幅77%；新进纽约时报超过506万股，市值3.52亿美元；增持雪佛龙12.3亿美元、安达保险持股数增逾9%。伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司在“股神”巴菲特卸任CEO前最后一个季度继续调整科技巨头持仓，减持多只重仓股的同时，首次建仓传统媒体纽约时报。美东时间2月17日周二美股盘后，递交美国证监会（SEC）的13F文件披露，伯克希尔2025年第四季度大幅削减所持亚马逊股份（AMZN）超过77%，并且连续第三个季度减持苹果（AAPL）。伯克希尔还继续抛售美国银行（BAC），对该行的持股比例降至略低于7%。纽约时报（NYT）是伯克希尔四季度唯一新进的个股，当季建仓超过506万股，市值约3.52亿美元。本周二公布的是巴菲特执掌伯克希尔60年的最后一份13F持仓报告，巴菲特的继任者Greg Abel已于2026年1月1日正式接任CEO。伯克希尔将于2月28日公布全年业绩，届时将发布Abel作为CEO的首封致股东信。持续减持苹果与美银据13F文件，伯克希尔四季度抛售苹果超过1029万股，持股数环比三季度减少4.3%，季末苹果持仓市值环比减少约28亿美元，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的22.69%降至22.60%。以环比减少的市值看，苹果是伯克希尔四季度减持最多的个股，但减持股份还不及前一季。三季度伯克希尔减持苹果约4179万股，持股数环比减少逾14.9%。尽管持续减持，到四季度末，苹果仍是伯克希尔的头号重仓股。美国银行是又一持续被伯克希尔减持的重仓股。四季度伯克希尔卖出将近5080万股美银，持股数环比减少8.9%，持仓占比降至6.89%。到四季度末，美银仍是伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。但伯克希尔的美银持股已经从2024年中的10.3亿股降至5.17亿股，相当于过去一年半来，该行已被减持约50%。亚马逊持股猛降77%按持仓占比变动计算，亚马逊是伯克希尔四季度减持幅度最大的个股。13F文件显示，四季度亚马逊在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的0.82%骤降至0.19%，环比降幅达0.63个百分点，持股数量减少至约230万股，环比下降逾77.2%。伯克希尔于2019年首次买入亚马逊。巴菲特当时表示，虽然他历来对科技股持谨慎态度，但没有更早买入这家在线零售巨头的股票是“愚蠢的”。亚马逊股价进入2026年以来已累跌约11%，遭遇20年来最大同期跌幅。本周二，亚马逊刚刚结束连跌九个交易日的2006年以来最长连跌日。截至上周五的九个交易日内，亚马逊市值合计蒸发超4500亿美元，体现了投资者对亚马逊庞大AI相关支出合理性的质疑。亚马逊本月5日公布四季度财报时透露，计划2026年资本支出2000亿美元，年度投入规模超过其他任一科技巨头。建仓纽约时报纽约时报是伯克希尔四季度唯一新建仓的个股。当季伯克希尔买入506.7万股，市值超过3.52亿美元，持有纽约时报约3.1%的股份，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中位列第30位，占比0.13%。伯克希尔曾长期持有媒体股资产，但在2020年以1.4亿美元将旗下报纸业务出售给Lee Enterprises。巴菲特曾担任华盛顿邮报最大外部股东和董事会成员。纽约时报股价近期表现强劲，今年以来上涨6%，目前接近历史高点74.59美元，过去12个月累计涨幅达50%。增持雪佛龙和安达保险伯克希尔四季度较大幅增持了石油巨头雪佛龙（CVX）和瑞士安达保险（Chubb）。其中，伯克希尔增持安达保险（CB）将近292万股，持股数环比增长9.3%，持股在投资组合中占比从三季度的3.31%升至3.90%，环比提高0.59个百分点。以持仓占比升幅看，安达保险是四季度增持最多的个股。四季度伯克希尔买入雪佛龙逾809万股，持股数环比增长6.6%，持股占比环比增加0.15个百分点至7.24%，市值则环比增加约12.3亿美元。以持仓市值的增幅看，雪佛龙则是四季度增持之最。伯克希尔四季度还增持了36.8万股达美乐披萨（DPZ），持股数环比增长12.3%，持仓增至约14亿美元，排在第20位。伯克希尔对另一必需消费品类股卡夫亨氏的持仓四季度保持不变。Abel近期表示，他支持卡夫亨氏暂停拆分调味品和食品杂货业务的决定。卡夫亨氏在1月的监管文件中披露，最大股东伯克希尔可能出售其持有的近全部3.256亿股。巴菲特去年曾对华尔街日报表示，伯克希尔不支持该拆分计划。根据SEC规定，管理至少1亿美元美国股票的机构投资者必须在每个季度结束后45天内提交13F文件。尽管这些文件提供的是过时的持仓信息，但伯克希尔的披露仍被市场参与者广泛解读，以寻求对该公司投资决策的洞察。十大重仓股仍是“老面孔”到四季度末，以持仓市值计，伯克希尔的十大重仓股都是前一季的“老面孔”，排名大多和三季度相同，只有穆迪和西方石油的排名对换。和三季度一样，四季度这些重仓股之中也只有四只被调整持仓，分别是苹果、美国运通被减持，雪佛龙、安达保险被增持。三季度首次跻身前十的谷歌母公司Alphabet依然排在第十位。三季度被Alphabet挤出前十的肾脏透析服务商德维特（DVA）四季度仍位列第11。四季度伯克希尔的十大重仓股分别是：苹果（AAPL）美国运通（AXP）美银（BAC）可口可乐（KO）雪佛龙（CVX）穆迪（MCO），排名从第七升至第六。西方石油（OXY），排名从第六降至第七。瑞士安达保险（Chubb）（CB）。卡夫亨氏（KHC）。Alphabet（GOOGL）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":2,"NYT":2,"AAPL":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":533943769592968,"gmtCreate":1771378254055,"gmtModify":1771379354034,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"狗","listText":"狗","text":"狗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533943769592968","repostId":"2612468012","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2612468012","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1771340546,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2612468012?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-17 23:02","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"股价回调不合理！知名科技分析师Dan Ives力挺苹果，维持“跑赢大盘”评级","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2612468012","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，苹果公司周二成为华尔街关注焦点。韦德布什证券发布最新研报指出，近期苹果股价的回调“并不合理”，并认为2026年将是苹果真正树立人工智能旗帜的关键一年。韦德布什分析师、科技板块知名多头Dan Ives领衔的研究团队在报告中表示，过去几周苹果股价走弱，主要源于市场担忧部分备受期待的AI功能，尤其是与Siri相关的AI升级，可能出现延迟。基于上述判断，韦德布什维持对苹果的“跑赢大盘”评级，并给予350美元的目标价。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>2月17日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司周二成为华尔街关注焦点。韦德布什证券发布最新研报指出，近期苹果股价的回调“并不合理”，并认为2026年将是苹果真正树立人工智能(AI)旗帜的关键一年。</p><p>韦德布什分析师、科技板块知名多头Dan Ives领衔的研究团队在报告中表示，过去几周苹果股价走弱，主要源于市场担忧部分备受期待的AI功能，尤其是与Siri相关的AI升级，可能出现延迟。在过去一年里，投资者对苹果在AI战略上的“反复拉锯”已显得有些疲惫。不过，分析师认为，这种担忧被明显放大了。</p><p>报告指出，苹果当前的核心任务并非“抢时间点”，而是把AI战略“一次性做对”。从目前进展看，苹果仍有望在今年夏季前后推出其更先进的AI功能，这些功能可能分阶段出现在iOS 26.4、iOS 26.5版本中，并最终在9月发布的iOS 27中全面落地。分析师强调，对首席执行官库克和苹果而言，真正的重头戏在于为开发者和消费者构建一个完整、可持续的AI平台，而这一布局将在2026年全面开花结果。</p><p>基于上述判断，韦德布什维持对苹果的“跑赢大盘”评级，并给予350美元的目标价。</p><p>在更深入的分析中，韦德布什也承认，市场对苹果AI前景“心有余悸”并非毫无依据。过去一年，苹果在AI领域的推进节奏和对外沟通确实多次引发质疑。但分析师指出，近期的一系列进展正在扭转这一局面，包括与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>(GOOG.US,GOOGL.US)达成的合作协议，以及引入新的外部高管力量，都显示出苹果管理层已清楚认识到，全新Siri必须成功，且不容再犯错误。</p><p>韦德布什进一步表示，去年的AI“失误”反而为2026年Siri AI平台的正式亮相创造了更大的想象空间。当前华尔街明显低估了这一平台对苹果长期叙事的意义。分析师直言，市场“房间里的大象”依旧是苹果尚未完全显现的AI战略，但考虑到苹果拥有全球最大的消费级生态系统，约25亿台活跃iOS设备和15亿部iPhone，现在正是苹果全面加速AI布局的最佳时机。</p><p>在商业化层面，韦德布什认为，随着AI战略在2026年逐步兑现，其变现潜力有望在未来数年为苹果股价贡献每股75至100美元的增量价值。分析师总结称，一旦AI故事真正展开，市场对苹果的重新定价空间仍然相当可观。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>股价回调不合理！知名科技分析师Dan Ives力挺苹果，维持“跑赢大盘”评级</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n股价回调不合理！知名科技分析师Dan Ives力挺苹果，维持“跑赢大盘”评级\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-17 23:02 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1405816.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2月17日，苹果公司周二成为华尔街关注焦点。韦德布什证券发布最新研报指出，近期苹果股价的回调“并不合理”，并认为2026年将是苹果真正树立人工智能(AI)旗帜的关键一年。韦德布什分析师、科技板块知名多头Dan Ives领衔的研究团队在报告中表示，过去几周苹果股价走弱，主要源于市场担忧部分备受期待的AI功能，尤其是与Siri相关的AI升级，可能出现延迟。在过去一年里，投资者对苹果在AI战略上的“反复...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1405816.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8bf4565bc4c9ea6e0ff587a10365663","relate_stocks":{"LU0726765562.USD":"JPM GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD HEDGED) INC","LU1235294995.USD":"FIDELITY GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USDHDG) ACC","IE00B7KXQ091.USD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Inc USD","LU0289739343.SGD":"SUSTAINABLE GLOBAL THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","LU2381873111.SGD":"BGF SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL EQUITY HIGH INCOME \"A6\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU2347655073.USD":"JPM GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USDHDG) INC A","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY 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27中全面落地。分析师强调，对首席执行官库克和苹果而言，真正的重头戏在于为开发者和消费者构建一个完整、可持续的AI平台，而这一布局将在2026年全面开花结果。基于上述判断，韦德布什维持对苹果的“跑赢大盘”评级，并给予350美元的目标价。在更深入的分析中，韦德布什也承认，市场对苹果AI前景“心有余悸”并非毫无依据。过去一年，苹果在AI领域的推进节奏和对外沟通确实多次引发质疑。但分析师指出，近期的一系列进展正在扭转这一局面，包括与谷歌(GOOG.US,GOOGL.US)达成的合作协议，以及引入新的外部高管力量，都显示出苹果管理层已清楚认识到，全新Siri必须成功，且不容再犯错误。韦德布什进一步表示，去年的AI“失误”反而为2026年Siri 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href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3764440\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1c866c487eb9e101f73a62d4495ce9","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3764440","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147386700","content_text":"29日，英伟达CEO黄仁勋称，对Rubin的需求令人难以置信的强劲。能源对美国、台湾和欧洲来说是一个巨大挑战。正与英特尔合作开发定制x86处理器。台积电未来十年需要大幅增加产能。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":2,"NVDA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":569,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":526204017755384,"gmtCreate":1769492667780,"gmtModify":1769492670214,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"14什么意思","listText":"14什么意思","text":"14什么意思","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/526204017755384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":523317353968056,"gmtCreate":1768786508096,"gmtModify":1768786511546,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"8000中多少呢","listText":"8000中多少呢","text":"8000中多少呢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/523317353968056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":522057880707512,"gmtCreate":1768491593374,"gmtModify":1768491598290,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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11:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"摩通重申对特斯拉“减持”评级，年终目标价定在145美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150865113","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月7日，$摩根大通$日前向$特斯拉$投资者发出最新警告，告诫后者要为后市更多的下跌做好准备。特斯拉4月开局表现不佳，其第一季度的交付报告令人失望。这些交付数据促使摩根大通分析师Ryan Brinkman重申了对特斯拉的“减持”评级，并将该股年终目标价格定在145美元，较周一的水平低近60%。创纪录的滞销库存，是摩根大通看空特斯拉的核心依据。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>4月7日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>日前向<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>投资者发出最新警告，告诫后者要为后市更多的下跌做好准备。特斯拉4月开局表现不佳，其第一季度的交付报告令人失望。这家电动汽车公司当季仅售出358000辆汽车，较分析师的预期低4%，更是较摩根大通预测的385000辆低7%。尽管特斯拉一季度交付量同比增长6.3%，但这一增长是在去年同期较低的基数基础上实现的，而且较去年第四季度创纪录的交付量出现了显著环比下降。</p><p>这些交付数据促使摩根大通分析师Ryan Brinkman重申了对特斯拉的“减持”评级，并将该股年终目标价格定在145美元，较周一的水平低近60%。创纪录的滞销库存，是摩根大通看空特斯拉的核心依据。该行在研报中写道：“未售出的新车库存激增，进一步加剧特斯拉的自由现金流困境。2026年一季度，特斯拉产量较交付量多出 50363 辆，单季库存积压规模创下历史新高。”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n摩通重申对特斯拉“减持”评级，年终目标价定在145美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-07 11:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>4月7日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>日前向<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>投资者发出最新警告，告诫后者要为后市更多的下跌做好准备。特斯拉4月开局表现不佳，其第一季度的交付报告令人失望。这家电动汽车公司当季仅售出358000辆汽车，较分析师的预期低4%，更是较摩根大通预测的385000辆低7%。尽管特斯拉一季度交付量同比增长6.3%，但这一增长是在去年同期较低的基数基础上实现的，而且较去年第四季度创纪录的交付量出现了显著环比下降。</p><p>这些交付数据促使摩根大通分析师Ryan Brinkman重申了对特斯拉的“减持”评级，并将该股年终目标价格定在145美元，较周一的水平低近60%。创纪录的滞销库存，是摩根大通看空特斯拉的核心依据。该行在研报中写道：“未售出的新车库存激增，进一步加剧特斯拉的自由现金流困境。2026年一季度，特斯拉产量较交付量多出 50363 辆，单季库存积压规模创下历史新高。”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8350896f4f33c86bc28f200b67ab82b4","relate_stocks":{"IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED 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Brinkman重申了对特斯拉的“减持”评级，并将该股年终目标价格定在145美元，较周一的水平低近60%。创纪录的滞销库存，是摩根大通看空特斯拉的核心依据。该行在研报中写道：“未售出的新车库存激增，进一步加剧特斯拉的自由现金流困境。2026年一季度，特斯拉产量较交付量多出 50363 辆，单季库存积压规模创下历史新高。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":43,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":550728447901976,"gmtCreate":1775477096458,"gmtModify":1775477098874,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"准备收割了","listText":"准备收割了","text":"准备收割了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/550728447901976","repostId":"1184224829","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1184224829","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1775459067,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184224829?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-06 15:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"这只AI股一年暴涨862%，却被华尔街集体忽视","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184224829","media":"Barrons巴伦","summary":"AI算力投入热潮，早已带飞一众手握大厂订单的光通信龙头，如Ciena、Coherent和Lumentum，应用光电的客户也包括亚马逊和微软等公司。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">一年前，应用光电 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAOI\">Applied Optoelectronics Inc.</a> 还是一只无人关注、持续亏损的科技股，最为人所知的是它在2017年因亚马逊砍掉订单而导致股价崩盘。如今，它已然成为美股市场最火热的中型市值标的之一。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这家光通信企业于本周四盘后披露：再度拿下某超大规模云计算客户7100万美元的数据中心收发器新订单；自今年3月中旬以来，该客户累计下单金额已达1.24亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">该股周四盘后交易上涨4%，至108.86美元，但相比近期的疯狂走势，这点涨幅不值一提：<strong>今年以来，该股已飙升198%，过去12个月更是暴涨862%，公司市值随之攀升至78亿美元。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/75ac3201b1b504bbfda56bb2204f84f9\" tg-width=\"1093\" tg-height=\"718\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">暴涨原因之一是：2025年公司营收同比大增83%，主要受其有线电视终端市场几乎增长至原来三倍的推动。但更重要的原因是：人工智能。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Needham分析师Ryan Koontz上个月在一份研究报告中写道：“在需求加速增长、交付周期不断拉长的情况下，许多AI生态系统参与者如今正通过至少2—3年期的合同来锁定关键光学产品和组件的供应。”该机构对该股给予“买入”评级，并设定130美元的目标价。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">AI算力投入热潮，早已带飞一众手握大厂订单的光通信龙头，如Ciena、Coherent和Lumentum。这一逻辑早已广为人知。但应用光电的合作客户也并非小角色。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>微软是该公司收发器的最大买家，此外，应用光电还在去年3月获得了亚马逊的一笔投资，这笔投资会随着这家科技巨头逐步完成最高40亿美元的采购而分期生效。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2025年四季度，应用光电的数据中心业务营收占比已升至总营收的56%。Needham预测，伴随亚马逊等巨头加码采购高端800G、1.6T收发器，2026年这一占比还将大幅提升。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>尽管势头强劲，目前仅有7家华尔街机构覆盖该股，顶尖大型投行更是集体缺席。根据FactSet的数据，Ciena、Coherent和Lumentum各自至少有23位分析师覆盖。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这种差距并非毫无原因。即便算上业绩爆发的2025年，应用光电自2017年以来仍未实现净利润。当年，占其全年营收一半的核心客户（市场公认是亚马逊）突然大幅砍单，直接重创业绩。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此后，这只股票多年低迷，从2017年收盘高点99.61美元一路下跌，最低在2022年7月跌至1.50美元谷底。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">覆盖应用光电的分析师预计，该公司2026年每股盈利为0.94美元，2027年将达到4.64美元。该股未来12个月的预期市盈率为55.1倍，这一估值倍数高于Coherent的37.2倍，但低于Lumentum和Ciena。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">鉴于如此高的估值溢价，要复刻过去一年862%的暴涨将会非常困难，但华尔街现在起关注这家公司，依旧不算太晚。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1748071825094","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>这只AI股一年暴涨862%，却被华尔街集体忽视</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n这只AI股一年暴涨862%，却被华尔街集体忽视\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-04-06 15:04 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/5VxQBZPBPATBD69iv10mJQ><strong>Barrons巴伦</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>一年前，应用光电 Applied Optoelectronics Inc. 还是一只无人关注、持续亏损的科技股，最为人所知的是它在2017年因亚马逊砍掉订单而导致股价崩盘。如今，它已然成为美股市场最火热的中型市值标的之一。这家光通信企业于本周四盘后披露：再度拿下某超大规模云计算客户7100万美元的数据中心收发器新订单；自今年3月中旬以来，该客户累计下单金额已达1.24亿美元。该股周四盘后交易上涨...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/5VxQBZPBPATBD69iv10mJQ\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://investors.ao-inc.com/system/files-encrypted/nasdaq_kms/inline-images/home-profile-img_.jpg","relate_stocks":{"AAOI":"Applied Optoelectronics Inc."},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/5VxQBZPBPATBD69iv10mJQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184224829","content_text":"一年前，应用光电 Applied Optoelectronics Inc. 还是一只无人关注、持续亏损的科技股，最为人所知的是它在2017年因亚马逊砍掉订单而导致股价崩盘。如今，它已然成为美股市场最火热的中型市值标的之一。这家光通信企业于本周四盘后披露：再度拿下某超大规模云计算客户7100万美元的数据中心收发器新订单；自今年3月中旬以来，该客户累计下单金额已达1.24亿美元。该股周四盘后交易上涨4%，至108.86美元，但相比近期的疯狂走势，这点涨幅不值一提：今年以来，该股已飙升198%，过去12个月更是暴涨862%，公司市值随之攀升至78亿美元。暴涨原因之一是：2025年公司营收同比大增83%，主要受其有线电视终端市场几乎增长至原来三倍的推动。但更重要的原因是：人工智能。Needham分析师Ryan Koontz上个月在一份研究报告中写道：“在需求加速增长、交付周期不断拉长的情况下，许多AI生态系统参与者如今正通过至少2—3年期的合同来锁定关键光学产品和组件的供应。”该机构对该股给予“买入”评级，并设定130美元的目标价。AI算力投入热潮，早已带飞一众手握大厂订单的光通信龙头，如Ciena、Coherent和Lumentum。这一逻辑早已广为人知。但应用光电的合作客户也并非小角色。微软是该公司收发器的最大买家，此外，应用光电还在去年3月获得了亚马逊的一笔投资，这笔投资会随着这家科技巨头逐步完成最高40亿美元的采购而分期生效。2025年四季度，应用光电的数据中心业务营收占比已升至总营收的56%。Needham预测，伴随亚马逊等巨头加码采购高端800G、1.6T收发器，2026年这一占比还将大幅提升。尽管势头强劲，目前仅有7家华尔街机构覆盖该股，顶尖大型投行更是集体缺席。根据FactSet的数据，Ciena、Coherent和Lumentum各自至少有23位分析师覆盖。这种差距并非毫无原因。即便算上业绩爆发的2025年，应用光电自2017年以来仍未实现净利润。当年，占其全年营收一半的核心客户（市场公认是亚马逊）突然大幅砍单，直接重创业绩。此后，这只股票多年低迷，从2017年收盘高点99.61美元一路下跌，最低在2022年7月跌至1.50美元谷底。覆盖应用光电的分析师预计，该公司2026年每股盈利为0.94美元，2027年将达到4.64美元。该股未来12个月的预期市盈率为55.1倍，这一估值倍数高于Coherent的37.2倍，但低于Lumentum和Ciena。鉴于如此高的估值溢价，要复刻过去一年862%的暴涨将会非常困难，但华尔街现在起关注这家公司，依旧不算太晚。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAOI":2.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":30,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":531847867463232,"gmtCreate":1770864757209,"gmtModify":1770865469194,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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坐等崩盘","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/531847867463232","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1342,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":518664835031744,"gmtCreate":1767602624578,"gmtModify":1767602626724,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"信你个鬼","listText":"信你个鬼","text":"信你个鬼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/518664835031744","repostId":"1196675860","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1196675860","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1767602441,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196675860?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-05 16:40","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"利好来了！高盛：建议高配中国股票","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196675860","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月5日，高盛发布题为《中国2026年展望：探索新动能》的宏观报告。报告称，2026年建议高配中国股票。高盛股票策略团队此前在亚太范围内建议高配A股和港股，预计2026年和2027年中国股市将每年上涨15%至20%，分别由14%和12%的盈利增长以及约10%的估值向上重估所支撑。报告分析，2026年，中国出口存在结构性上行空间；投资在政策支持下有望反弹；政策对服务消费更加重视，并鼓励增加假期和带薪休假。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>1月5日，高盛发布题为《中国2026年展望：探索新动能》的报告。报告称，2026年建议高配中国股票。</p><p>高盛预计2026年和2027年中国股票将每年上涨15%至20%，企业盈利在2026年与2027年将分别增长14%和12%，并有望叠加约10%的估值修复潜力。盈利增长加速的驱动因素包括人工智能应用、“出海”趋势和“反内卷”政策。</p><p>同时，高盛也提到，当前估值相对国际可比市场存在折价，而中国资产对国际与本土投资者具备一定分散化价值，可能促进资金进一步进入市场。</p><p>高盛指出，近年来中国经济发生了重大变化。预计中国实际出口量增速在2025年达到约8%之后，2026年将增长5%。中国经常账户顺差将从2025年占GDP的3.6%扩大至2026年的4.2%。</p><p>高盛认为，从外部环境看，中国出口仍存在结构性上行空间。随着全球产业链重构、中国制造业竞争力和高附加值产品占比提升，未来几年中国出口韧性有望保持，经常账户或将持续处于较为稳健的状态。</p><p>投资方面，按GDP支出法口径，高盛预计固定资本形成总额增速将从2025年的1.5%反弹至2026年的3.5%。财政扩张将重点支持高科技、城市更新及民生相关基础设施等领域。</p><p>消费方面，高盛预计2026年居民消费增速将放缓，但政府消费有望加速并抵消个人消费的疲弱。近期政策公告显示，消费品以旧换新“国补”计划将在2026年延续。考虑到政策支持方向与潜在的结构性上行空间，高盛认为服务消费增速将超过商品消费增速。</p><p>另外，高盛预测中国实际GDP增速将在2026年达到4.8%，这一数字高于4.5%的市场普遍预期。高盛指出，中国在出口展现出的结构性韧性以及预期中更为积极的政策宽松，将成为新一年的关键支撑。</p><p>“我们对2026年经济增长和通胀的预测均高于市场共识，背后的假设是2026年政策宽松力度加大，包括两次10个基点的降息和我们估算的广义财政赤字扩大1.2个百分点。这两项预测都比市场共识预测略偏鸽派。”高盛称。</p><p>在基准情形下，高盛预计2026年会有1次“降准+降息”组合：2026年一季度降准50个基点并降息10个基点，三季度再降息10个基点。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>利好来了！高盛：建议高配中国股票</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n利好来了！高盛：建议高配中国股票\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-01-05 16:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>1月5日，高盛发布题为《中国2026年展望：探索新动能》的报告。报告称，2026年建议高配中国股票。</p><p>高盛预计2026年和2027年中国股票将每年上涨15%至20%，企业盈利在2026年与2027年将分别增长14%和12%，并有望叠加约10%的估值修复潜力。盈利增长加速的驱动因素包括人工智能应用、“出海”趋势和“反内卷”政策。</p><p>同时，高盛也提到，当前估值相对国际可比市场存在折价，而中国资产对国际与本土投资者具备一定分散化价值，可能促进资金进一步进入市场。</p><p>高盛指出，近年来中国经济发生了重大变化。预计中国实际出口量增速在2025年达到约8%之后，2026年将增长5%。中国经常账户顺差将从2025年占GDP的3.6%扩大至2026年的4.2%。</p><p>高盛认为，从外部环境看，中国出口仍存在结构性上行空间。随着全球产业链重构、中国制造业竞争力和高附加值产品占比提升，未来几年中国出口韧性有望保持，经常账户或将持续处于较为稳健的状态。</p><p>投资方面，按GDP支出法口径，高盛预计固定资本形成总额增速将从2025年的1.5%反弹至2026年的3.5%。财政扩张将重点支持高科技、城市更新及民生相关基础设施等领域。</p><p>消费方面，高盛预计2026年居民消费增速将放缓，但政府消费有望加速并抵消个人消费的疲弱。近期政策公告显示，消费品以旧换新“国补”计划将在2026年延续。考虑到政策支持方向与潜在的结构性上行空间，高盛认为服务消费增速将超过商品消费增速。</p><p>另外，高盛预测中国实际GDP增速将在2026年达到4.8%，这一数字高于4.5%的市场普遍预期。高盛指出，中国在出口展现出的结构性韧性以及预期中更为积极的政策宽松，将成为新一年的关键支撑。</p><p>“我们对2026年经济增长和通胀的预测均高于市场共识，背后的假设是2026年政策宽松力度加大，包括两次10个基点的降息和我们估算的广义财政赤字扩大1.2个百分点。这两项预测都比市场共识预测略偏鸽派。”高盛称。</p><p>在基准情形下，高盛预计2026年会有1次“降准+降息”组合：2026年一季度降准50个基点并降息10个基点，三季度再降息10个基点。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数","HSI":"恒生指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196675860","content_text":"1月5日，高盛发布题为《中国2026年展望：探索新动能》的报告。报告称，2026年建议高配中国股票。高盛预计2026年和2027年中国股票将每年上涨15%至20%，企业盈利在2026年与2027年将分别增长14%和12%，并有望叠加约10%的估值修复潜力。盈利增长加速的驱动因素包括人工智能应用、“出海”趋势和“反内卷”政策。同时，高盛也提到，当前估值相对国际可比市场存在折价，而中国资产对国际与本土投资者具备一定分散化价值，可能促进资金进一步进入市场。高盛指出，近年来中国经济发生了重大变化。预计中国实际出口量增速在2025年达到约8%之后，2026年将增长5%。中国经常账户顺差将从2025年占GDP的3.6%扩大至2026年的4.2%。高盛认为，从外部环境看，中国出口仍存在结构性上行空间。随着全球产业链重构、中国制造业竞争力和高附加值产品占比提升，未来几年中国出口韧性有望保持，经常账户或将持续处于较为稳健的状态。投资方面，按GDP支出法口径，高盛预计固定资本形成总额增速将从2025年的1.5%反弹至2026年的3.5%。财政扩张将重点支持高科技、城市更新及民生相关基础设施等领域。消费方面，高盛预计2026年居民消费增速将放缓，但政府消费有望加速并抵消个人消费的疲弱。近期政策公告显示，消费品以旧换新“国补”计划将在2026年延续。考虑到政策支持方向与潜在的结构性上行空间，高盛认为服务消费增速将超过商品消费增速。另外，高盛预测中国实际GDP增速将在2026年达到4.8%，这一数字高于4.5%的市场普遍预期。高盛指出，中国在出口展现出的结构性韧性以及预期中更为积极的政策宽松，将成为新一年的关键支撑。“我们对2026年经济增长和通胀的预测均高于市场共识，背后的假设是2026年政策宽松力度加大，包括两次10个基点的降息和我们估算的广义财政赤字扩大1.2个百分点。这两项预测都比市场共识预测略偏鸽派。”高盛称。在基准情形下，高盛预计2026年会有1次“降准+降息”组合：2026年一季度降准50个基点并降息10个基点，三季度再降息10个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":2,"399006":2,"HSI":2,"HSTECH":2,"000001.SH":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":866,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3468401218530340","authorId":"3468401218530340","name":"Flt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce8c973727f5d5c4e4d0352cca858172","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3468401218530340","idStr":"3468401218530340"},"content":"哈哈，伤的很深","text":"哈哈，伤的很深","html":"哈哈，伤的很深"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":520488283293176,"gmtCreate":1768093668040,"gmtModify":1768093670164,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这些所谓的专家放出这些言论什么意思","listText":"这些所谓的专家放出这些言论什么意思","text":"这些所谓的专家放出这些言论什么意思","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/520488283293176","repostId":"1199939577","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199939577","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"致力于提供最及时的财经资讯，最专业的解读分析，覆盖宏观经济、金融机构、A股市场、上市公司、投资理财等财经领域。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"券商中国","id":"9","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f"},"pubTimestamp":1768092201,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199939577?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-11 08:43","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"涨价，涨价！新能源替代潮来袭，下一个“苹果级”回报就在眼前？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199939577","media":"券商中国","summary":"10年之后，王传福的预言正在变为现实，而新能源龙头企业也或将迎来高利润和高股东回报阶段。现在投新能源龙头企业，正类似2011年段永平买入苹果公司或者巴菲特在2015年买入苹果公司。据中国汽车流通协会数据，2025年11月国内新能源乘用车零售渗透率增长至59.3%，较去年同期提升7个百分点。在2025年12月第一周，这一数字更是首次突破60%达62.2%，新能源汽车已成为大多消费者的选择。新能源汽车的替代率目前已经接近10%，未来是10%到100%的市场空间。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>2025年以来，铜涨价、锂涨价，镍钴涨价，铝涨价，甚至连硫磺也在涨价，这显然不是单纯的经济复苏或货币现象所致，因为水泥、玻璃、钢铁等其他资源品行情依然在底部盘整。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“春江水暖鸭先知”，榕树投资翟敬勇对新能源行业的跟踪长达10年。他感受到的是一轮由于新能源行业需求爆发而导致的资源品涨价超级周期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2016年，比亚迪董事长王传福也曾在一个论坛上预言，“电动汽车的发展给锂资源从丰富带来紧张，给镁资源带来巨大的提升和利用，对铜资源可能会带来短缺。”10年之后，王传福的预言正在变为现实，而新能源龙头企业也或将迎来高利润和高股东回报阶段。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇是一位自下而上的投资者，他总是在调研的路上，过去近30年的时间跑了500多家上市公司。2015年以来，翟敬勇的调研重心非常自然地从万华化学、贵州茅台等传统经济龙头公司身上，转向了宁德时代、阳光电源等新能源公司身上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇近期在接受券商中国记者采访时认为，新能源汽车销量国内乘用车渗透率今年已经接近60%，对于投资者来说，业绩大爆发的新能源龙头企业已经迎来高股东回报时刻，这一行业从十年之前的负债率偏高、估值高企等“难投”阶段，变为高利润、高现金流、低负债率、低估值、高股东回报的“甜蜜”阶段，类似巴菲特在2015年买入苹果公司或段永平在2011年买入苹果公司的阶段。</p><h2 id=\"id_2912409282\">相似的逻辑或在上演？</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇早在两年前就重仓多家新能源龙头企业，在他看来，这些企业在其买入之时的估值仅有5到8倍。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在2024年初，某新能源电池龙头企业股价最低为140元/股，市值为5800亿元。翟敬勇计算认为，这家公司2025年的账面利润大概在700亿元，如果将质保金和加速折旧的利润加回利润总额，那么这家企业的年利润大概在1000亿元，这是因为该公司每年提取的100多亿的质保金动用的概率非常小，而该公司的折旧年限仅为3年，远远低于同行业8年的平均折旧年限。按照当时的市值来算，该公司的实际估值仅为6倍左右。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇认为，价值投资的核心是不会变的，即“买股票就是买公司，用4毛钱的东西买1块钱的东西”，因此便宜就是硬道理，无论是当下买新能源龙头企业，还是段永平2011年买苹果公司，亦或是巴菲特2015年买苹果公司，都是基于同样的道理。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">苹果在2006年下半年，推出第一款iPhone 1，从那个时候，市场开始慢慢接受智能手机。但是，苹果公司的利润率并没有上来，在那个时候展现的是一个高PE估值。段永平是在2011年开始买入苹果公司的，那个时候苹果市值约3000亿美元，苹果公司账上有1000亿美元的现金，那个时候苹果的年利润不到200亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在2011年时，段永平认为，苹果未来5年左右盈利大概率会涨很多，年利润至少会到达500亿美元，那就相当于用2000亿美元左右市值买个目前每年赚接近200亿美元，未来5年左右会赚到年赚500亿美元以上的公司，而且往后还会继续很好。段永平说，如果有这个结论，买苹果不过是个简单算术题，你只要根据你自己的机会成本就可以决定了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2026年元旦，段永平晒出了他所管理的一个账户。该账户持仓全部是苹果公司，最早的一笔是2011年11月18日买入，耗资180.26万美元，截至2025年12月31日，盈利3392.08万美元，总回报1881.8%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇说，当前阶段买入新能源龙头企业，类似2011年买入苹果公司，彼时智能手机的保有率正开始从10%上升到100%。智能手机在2011年时不到中国市场手机保有量的10%，而现在新能源汽车的保有量也不到传统汽车保有量的10%。现在投新能源龙头企业，正类似2011年段永平买入苹果公司或者巴菲特在2015年买入苹果公司。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇认为，随着智能手机的大规模普及，苹果公司赚得盆满钵满，段永平买入苹果公司之时，苹果公司的市值仅为3000亿美元，而此后的10年时间中，苹果公司仅用分红加回购的方式就为股东派发超过1万亿美元，未来随着新能源汽车保有量从10%上升到100%，新能源龙头公司也必将超预期地回报股东。</p><h2 id=\"id_1289073398\">新能源行业的爆发推动上游资源品涨价</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2016年，比亚迪董事长王传福曾在一个论坛上预言，“电动汽车的发展给锂资源从丰富带来紧张，给镁资源带来巨大的提升和利用，对铜资源可能会带来短缺。”10年之后，王传福的预言正在变为现实。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇对新能源行业的上游资源品公司进行了布局，他认为国内汽车保有量为3.53亿辆，而‌全国新能源汽车保有量为3140万辆‌，新能源汽车目前占比不到10%，未来十年的大趋势是新能源汽车几乎全部替代传统汽车，这一趋势与2011年智能手机替代功能性手机一样，龙头企业的利润空间就此相对确定性地打开，也拉动了上游资源品价格上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据中国汽车流通协会数据，2025年11月国内新能源乘用车零售渗透率增长至59.3%，较去年同期提升7个百分点。在2025年12月第一周，这一数字更是首次突破60%达62.2%，新能源汽车已成为大多消费者的选择。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">王传福在2016年论坛上还表示，其实很多新生事物的发展，比如像平板电视代替显像管电视、数码代替胶卷，有时候1%需要10年甚至更长的时间。但是到了1%就认为拐点已经出现，从1%—10%不需要10年，仅仅5年就够了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">新能源汽车的替代率目前已经接近10%，未来是10%到100%的市场空间。不只是宁德时代、比亚迪这样的企业看到了机会，就连万华化学这样的传统企业也在布局电池行业，带动了电池行业上游资源品的价格上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">投资是一个“优中选优”的过程。翟敬勇认为，投资需要突破心中的“魔障”，不能躺在功劳簿上一劳永逸，价值投资就是“寻找伟大的企业，坚持好股好价”，当好的机会来临时一定要重仓持有，而非浅尝辄止。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>涨价，涨价！新能源替代潮来袭，下一个“苹果级”回报就在眼前？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n涨价，涨价！新能源替代潮来袭，下一个“苹果级”回报就在眼前？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-01-11 08:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>2025年以来，铜涨价、锂涨价，镍钴涨价，铝涨价，甚至连硫磺也在涨价，这显然不是单纯的经济复苏或货币现象所致，因为水泥、玻璃、钢铁等其他资源品行情依然在底部盘整。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“春江水暖鸭先知”，榕树投资翟敬勇对新能源行业的跟踪长达10年。他感受到的是一轮由于新能源行业需求爆发而导致的资源品涨价超级周期。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2016年，比亚迪董事长王传福也曾在一个论坛上预言，“电动汽车的发展给锂资源从丰富带来紧张，给镁资源带来巨大的提升和利用，对铜资源可能会带来短缺。”10年之后，王传福的预言正在变为现实，而新能源龙头企业也或将迎来高利润和高股东回报阶段。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇是一位自下而上的投资者，他总是在调研的路上，过去近30年的时间跑了500多家上市公司。2015年以来，翟敬勇的调研重心非常自然地从万华化学、贵州茅台等传统经济龙头公司身上，转向了宁德时代、阳光电源等新能源公司身上。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇近期在接受券商中国记者采访时认为，新能源汽车销量国内乘用车渗透率今年已经接近60%，对于投资者来说，业绩大爆发的新能源龙头企业已经迎来高股东回报时刻，这一行业从十年之前的负债率偏高、估值高企等“难投”阶段，变为高利润、高现金流、低负债率、低估值、高股东回报的“甜蜜”阶段，类似巴菲特在2015年买入苹果公司或段永平在2011年买入苹果公司的阶段。</p><h2 id=\"id_2912409282\">相似的逻辑或在上演？</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇早在两年前就重仓多家新能源龙头企业，在他看来，这些企业在其买入之时的估值仅有5到8倍。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在2024年初，某新能源电池龙头企业股价最低为140元/股，市值为5800亿元。翟敬勇计算认为，这家公司2025年的账面利润大概在700亿元，如果将质保金和加速折旧的利润加回利润总额，那么这家企业的年利润大概在1000亿元，这是因为该公司每年提取的100多亿的质保金动用的概率非常小，而该公司的折旧年限仅为3年，远远低于同行业8年的平均折旧年限。按照当时的市值来算，该公司的实际估值仅为6倍左右。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇认为，价值投资的核心是不会变的，即“买股票就是买公司，用4毛钱的东西买1块钱的东西”，因此便宜就是硬道理，无论是当下买新能源龙头企业，还是段永平2011年买苹果公司，亦或是巴菲特2015年买苹果公司，都是基于同样的道理。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">苹果在2006年下半年，推出第一款iPhone 1，从那个时候，市场开始慢慢接受智能手机。但是，苹果公司的利润率并没有上来，在那个时候展现的是一个高PE估值。段永平是在2011年开始买入苹果公司的，那个时候苹果市值约3000亿美元，苹果公司账上有1000亿美元的现金，那个时候苹果的年利润不到200亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在2011年时，段永平认为，苹果未来5年左右盈利大概率会涨很多，年利润至少会到达500亿美元，那就相当于用2000亿美元左右市值买个目前每年赚接近200亿美元，未来5年左右会赚到年赚500亿美元以上的公司，而且往后还会继续很好。段永平说，如果有这个结论，买苹果不过是个简单算术题，你只要根据你自己的机会成本就可以决定了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2026年元旦，段永平晒出了他所管理的一个账户。该账户持仓全部是苹果公司，最早的一笔是2011年11月18日买入，耗资180.26万美元，截至2025年12月31日，盈利3392.08万美元，总回报1881.8%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇说，当前阶段买入新能源龙头企业，类似2011年买入苹果公司，彼时智能手机的保有率正开始从10%上升到100%。智能手机在2011年时不到中国市场手机保有量的10%，而现在新能源汽车的保有量也不到传统汽车保有量的10%。现在投新能源龙头企业，正类似2011年段永平买入苹果公司或者巴菲特在2015年买入苹果公司。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇认为，随着智能手机的大规模普及，苹果公司赚得盆满钵满，段永平买入苹果公司之时，苹果公司的市值仅为3000亿美元，而此后的10年时间中，苹果公司仅用分红加回购的方式就为股东派发超过1万亿美元，未来随着新能源汽车保有量从10%上升到100%，新能源龙头公司也必将超预期地回报股东。</p><h2 id=\"id_1289073398\">新能源行业的爆发推动上游资源品涨价</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2016年，比亚迪董事长王传福曾在一个论坛上预言，“电动汽车的发展给锂资源从丰富带来紧张，给镁资源带来巨大的提升和利用，对铜资源可能会带来短缺。”10年之后，王传福的预言正在变为现实。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">翟敬勇对新能源行业的上游资源品公司进行了布局，他认为国内汽车保有量为3.53亿辆，而‌全国新能源汽车保有量为3140万辆‌，新能源汽车目前占比不到10%，未来十年的大趋势是新能源汽车几乎全部替代传统汽车，这一趋势与2011年智能手机替代功能性手机一样，龙头企业的利润空间就此相对确定性地打开，也拉动了上游资源品价格上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据中国汽车流通协会数据，2025年11月国内新能源乘用车零售渗透率增长至59.3%，较去年同期提升7个百分点。在2025年12月第一周，这一数字更是首次突破60%达62.2%，新能源汽车已成为大多消费者的选择。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">王传福在2016年论坛上还表示，其实很多新生事物的发展，比如像平板电视代替显像管电视、数码代替胶卷，有时候1%需要10年甚至更长的时间。但是到了1%就认为拐点已经出现，从1%—10%不需要10年，仅仅5年就够了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">新能源汽车的替代率目前已经接近10%，未来是10%到100%的市场空间。不只是宁德时代、比亚迪这样的企业看到了机会，就连万华化学这样的传统企业也在布局电池行业，带动了电池行业上游资源品的价格上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">投资是一个“优中选优”的过程。翟敬勇认为，投资需要突破心中的“魔障”，不能躺在功劳簿上一劳永逸，价值投资就是“寻找伟大的企业，坚持好股好价”，当好的机会来临时一定要重仓持有，而非浅尝辄止。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a530a2a17bc301499c9e286759c5657e","relate_stocks":{"300274":"阳光电源","300750":"宁德时代","03750":"宁德时代"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199939577","content_text":"2025年以来，铜涨价、锂涨价，镍钴涨价，铝涨价，甚至连硫磺也在涨价，这显然不是单纯的经济复苏或货币现象所致，因为水泥、玻璃、钢铁等其他资源品行情依然在底部盘整。“春江水暖鸭先知”，榕树投资翟敬勇对新能源行业的跟踪长达10年。他感受到的是一轮由于新能源行业需求爆发而导致的资源品涨价超级周期。2016年，比亚迪董事长王传福也曾在一个论坛上预言，“电动汽车的发展给锂资源从丰富带来紧张，给镁资源带来巨大的提升和利用，对铜资源可能会带来短缺。”10年之后，王传福的预言正在变为现实，而新能源龙头企业也或将迎来高利润和高股东回报阶段。翟敬勇是一位自下而上的投资者，他总是在调研的路上，过去近30年的时间跑了500多家上市公司。2015年以来，翟敬勇的调研重心非常自然地从万华化学、贵州茅台等传统经济龙头公司身上，转向了宁德时代、阳光电源等新能源公司身上。翟敬勇近期在接受券商中国记者采访时认为，新能源汽车销量国内乘用车渗透率今年已经接近60%，对于投资者来说，业绩大爆发的新能源龙头企业已经迎来高股东回报时刻，这一行业从十年之前的负债率偏高、估值高企等“难投”阶段，变为高利润、高现金流、低负债率、低估值、高股东回报的“甜蜜”阶段，类似巴菲特在2015年买入苹果公司或段永平在2011年买入苹果公司的阶段。相似的逻辑或在上演？翟敬勇早在两年前就重仓多家新能源龙头企业，在他看来，这些企业在其买入之时的估值仅有5到8倍。在2024年初，某新能源电池龙头企业股价最低为140元/股，市值为5800亿元。翟敬勇计算认为，这家公司2025年的账面利润大概在700亿元，如果将质保金和加速折旧的利润加回利润总额，那么这家企业的年利润大概在1000亿元，这是因为该公司每年提取的100多亿的质保金动用的概率非常小，而该公司的折旧年限仅为3年，远远低于同行业8年的平均折旧年限。按照当时的市值来算，该公司的实际估值仅为6倍左右。翟敬勇认为，价值投资的核心是不会变的，即“买股票就是买公司，用4毛钱的东西买1块钱的东西”，因此便宜就是硬道理，无论是当下买新能源龙头企业，还是段永平2011年买苹果公司，亦或是巴菲特2015年买苹果公司，都是基于同样的道理。苹果在2006年下半年，推出第一款iPhone 1，从那个时候，市场开始慢慢接受智能手机。但是，苹果公司的利润率并没有上来，在那个时候展现的是一个高PE估值。段永平是在2011年开始买入苹果公司的，那个时候苹果市值约3000亿美元，苹果公司账上有1000亿美元的现金，那个时候苹果的年利润不到200亿美元。在2011年时，段永平认为，苹果未来5年左右盈利大概率会涨很多，年利润至少会到达500亿美元，那就相当于用2000亿美元左右市值买个目前每年赚接近200亿美元，未来5年左右会赚到年赚500亿美元以上的公司，而且往后还会继续很好。段永平说，如果有这个结论，买苹果不过是个简单算术题，你只要根据你自己的机会成本就可以决定了。2026年元旦，段永平晒出了他所管理的一个账户。该账户持仓全部是苹果公司，最早的一笔是2011年11月18日买入，耗资180.26万美元，截至2025年12月31日，盈利3392.08万美元，总回报1881.8%。翟敬勇说，当前阶段买入新能源龙头企业，类似2011年买入苹果公司，彼时智能手机的保有率正开始从10%上升到100%。智能手机在2011年时不到中国市场手机保有量的10%，而现在新能源汽车的保有量也不到传统汽车保有量的10%。现在投新能源龙头企业，正类似2011年段永平买入苹果公司或者巴菲特在2015年买入苹果公司。翟敬勇认为，随着智能手机的大规模普及，苹果公司赚得盆满钵满，段永平买入苹果公司之时，苹果公司的市值仅为3000亿美元，而此后的10年时间中，苹果公司仅用分红加回购的方式就为股东派发超过1万亿美元，未来随着新能源汽车保有量从10%上升到100%，新能源龙头公司也必将超预期地回报股东。新能源行业的爆发推动上游资源品涨价2016年，比亚迪董事长王传福曾在一个论坛上预言，“电动汽车的发展给锂资源从丰富带来紧张，给镁资源带来巨大的提升和利用，对铜资源可能会带来短缺。”10年之后，王传福的预言正在变为现实。翟敬勇对新能源行业的上游资源品公司进行了布局，他认为国内汽车保有量为3.53亿辆，而‌全国新能源汽车保有量为3140万辆‌，新能源汽车目前占比不到10%，未来十年的大趋势是新能源汽车几乎全部替代传统汽车，这一趋势与2011年智能手机替代功能性手机一样，龙头企业的利润空间就此相对确定性地打开，也拉动了上游资源品价格上涨。据中国汽车流通协会数据，2025年11月国内新能源乘用车零售渗透率增长至59.3%，较去年同期提升7个百分点。在2025年12月第一周，这一数字更是首次突破60%达62.2%，新能源汽车已成为大多消费者的选择。王传福在2016年论坛上还表示，其实很多新生事物的发展，比如像平板电视代替显像管电视、数码代替胶卷，有时候1%需要10年甚至更长的时间。但是到了1%就认为拐点已经出现，从1%—10%不需要10年，仅仅5年就够了。新能源汽车的替代率目前已经接近10%，未来是10%到100%的市场空间。不只是宁德时代、比亚迪这样的企业看到了机会，就连万华化学这样的传统企业也在布局电池行业，带动了电池行业上游资源品的价格上涨。投资是一个“优中选优”的过程。翟敬勇认为，投资需要突破心中的“魔障”，不能躺在功劳簿上一劳永逸，价值投资就是“寻找伟大的企业，坚持好股好价”，当好的机会来临时一定要重仓持有，而非浅尝辄止。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"300274":2,"300750":2,"03750":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1044,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3572071041496714","authorId":"3572071041496714","name":"alexande007","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7204136f9322395ab13073bd18d7ef40","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3572071041496714","idStr":"3572071041496714"},"content":"反着听就对了，说明新能源汽车倒闭潮来袭","text":"反着听就对了，说明新能源汽车倒闭潮来袭","html":"反着听就对了，说明新能源汽车倒闭潮来袭"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":549573257503400,"gmtCreate":1775194988866,"gmtModify":1775194991238,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"mark","listText":"mark","text":"mark","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/549573257503400","repostId":"1131798451","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131798451","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"期权策略分享","home_visible":1,"media_name":"期权女巫","id":"1020040791","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89"},"pubTimestamp":1775186432,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131798451?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-04-03 11:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"期权聚焦 | 特斯拉现巨额看跌大单：4,000万美元买入Put构建保护策略；Sell Call大单反映短线看空情绪","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131798451","media":"期权女巫","summary":"TSLA收于360.59美元，跌5.42%；一季度交付量未达市场预期，成为当日主要利空。$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$廉价看跌保护： 另有买入7,500张行权价230美元的远月深度虚值看跌期权，成本极低，类似为极端下跌风险购买的“保险”。$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$这些大单共同描绘了一幅图景：部分大资金在股价下跌后寻求下行保护，同时也有资金押注反弹空间有限。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>TSLA收于360.59美元，跌5.42%；一季度交付量未达市场预期，成为当日主要利空。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>潜在反弹催化与风险</strong>: 交付走弱令估值承压，但下半年“小型车”与FSD授权若顺利落地、毛利率企稳，有望推动需求与盈利回升；若宏观需求继续放缓或软件收入兑现低于预期，股价仍可能延续调整。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>期权指标分析</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>1. 隐含波动率 (IV) 与成交量概览</strong></p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p><strong>隐含波动率 (IV)：</strong> 50.14% (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li><li><p><strong>IV百分位 (IV Percentile)：</strong> 20.32% (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li><li><p><strong>看涨/看跌比率 (Call/Put Ratio)：</strong> 1.22 (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>分析：</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">TSLA当前的隐含波动率处于历史较低水平（IV百分位20.32%），期权定价相对“便宜”，表明市场对短期剧烈波动的预期有所降温。看涨/看跌比率略高于1，显示整体交易情绪未明显偏向悲观。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>2. 未平仓数 (OI) 分析 - 关键到期日聚焦</strong><br/>在下周到期的2026-04-10到期合约中，市场头寸分布揭示了关键价位：</p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>行权价400.0的看涨期权聚集了<strong>12,176</strong>张未平仓合约，是OI最集中的点位。</p></li><li><p>行权价350.0和360.0的看跌期权分别有<strong>9,745</strong>张和<strong>5,091</strong>张OI，显示下方存在一定的保护性或投机性买盘。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b9c932ea3e8bf7c2261c1f71a30fdc94\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1673\" tg-height=\"710\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>3. 大单交易显露复杂博弈</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">近两日的大额交易显示多空策略分化：</p><ol start=\"1\" style=\"list-style-type: decimal;\"><li><p><strong>巨额对冲或看空：</strong> 出现一笔买入<strong>2,925张</strong>2026-04-17到期、行权价500美元的深度实值看跌期权的大单，成交额高达<strong>4113万美元</strong>。同时段还出现了一笔卖出相同到期日、行权价450美元的看跌期权，或是在构建复杂的熊市看跌价差策略，对冲现有股票头寸的下行风险。‌<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT\" title=\"$TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT$\" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89e78c516b6560c79ce61284999bd1dd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"356\"/></p><p><strong>短线看涨情绪受制：</strong> 同时，有一笔卖出<strong>4,751张</strong>2026-04-06到期、行权价380美元的虚值看涨期权的大单，这可能是投资者认为股价短期内难以突破380美元，通过卖出看涨期权来收取权利金。‌<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL\" title=\"$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$\" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bf4df3dd5be7c4e09a03e2239102e137\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"357\"/></p><p><strong>廉价看跌保护：</strong> 另有买入<strong>7,500张</strong>行权价230美元的远月深度虚值看跌期权，成本极低，类似为极端下跌风险购买的“保险”。<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT\" title=\"$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/03aaa721ebb07c360042a89ec0f2e136\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"375\"/></p></li></ol><p style=\"text-align: start;\">这些大单共同描绘了一幅图景：部分大资金在股价下跌后寻求下行保护（买入实值Put），同时也有资金押注反弹空间有限（卖出虚值Call）。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>策略参考</strong><br/>鉴于当前IV处于历史相对低位，期权卖方可以考虑卖出行权价在400美元以上的虚值看涨期权，以赚取时间价值；若不愿承担无限风险，可构建看跌价差策略以锁定风险和收益。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权聚焦 | 特斯拉现巨额看跌大单：4,000万美元买入Put构建保护策略；Sell Call大单反映短线看空情绪</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ 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.h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权聚焦 | 特斯拉现巨额看跌大单：4,000万美元买入Put构建保护策略；Sell Call大单反映短线看空情绪\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1020040791\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">期权女巫 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-04-03 11:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>TSLA收于360.59美元，跌5.42%；一季度交付量未达市场预期，成为当日主要利空。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>潜在反弹催化与风险</strong>: 交付走弱令估值承压，但下半年“小型车”与FSD授权若顺利落地、毛利率企稳，有望推动需求与盈利回升；若宏观需求继续放缓或软件收入兑现低于预期，股价仍可能延续调整。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>期权指标分析</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>1. 隐含波动率 (IV) 与成交量概览</strong></p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p><strong>隐含波动率 (IV)：</strong> 50.14% (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li><li><p><strong>IV百分位 (IV Percentile)：</strong> 20.32% (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li><li><p><strong>看涨/看跌比率 (Call/Put Ratio)：</strong> 1.22 (截至2026-04-03)。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>分析：</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">TSLA当前的隐含波动率处于历史较低水平（IV百分位20.32%），期权定价相对“便宜”，表明市场对短期剧烈波动的预期有所降温。看涨/看跌比率略高于1，显示整体交易情绪未明显偏向悲观。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>2. 未平仓数 (OI) 分析 - 关键到期日聚焦</strong><br/>在下周到期的2026-04-10到期合约中，市场头寸分布揭示了关键价位：</p><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li><p>行权价400.0的看涨期权聚集了<strong>12,176</strong>张未平仓合约，是OI最集中的点位。</p></li><li><p>行权价350.0和360.0的看跌期权分别有<strong>9,745</strong>张和<strong>5,091</strong>张OI，显示下方存在一定的保护性或投机性买盘。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b9c932ea3e8bf7c2261c1f71a30fdc94\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1673\" tg-height=\"710\"/></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>3. 大单交易显露复杂博弈</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">近两日的大额交易显示多空策略分化：</p><ol start=\"1\" style=\"list-style-type: decimal;\"><li><p><strong>巨额对冲或看空：</strong> 出现一笔买入<strong>2,925张</strong>2026-04-17到期、行权价500美元的深度实值看跌期权的大单，成交额高达<strong>4113万美元</strong>。同时段还出现了一笔卖出相同到期日、行权价450美元的看跌期权，或是在构建复杂的熊市看跌价差策略，对冲现有股票头寸的下行风险。‌<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT\" title=\"$TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT$\" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/89e78c516b6560c79ce61284999bd1dd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"356\"/></p><p><strong>短线看涨情绪受制：</strong> 同时，有一笔卖出<strong>4,751张</strong>2026-04-06到期、行权价380美元的虚值看涨期权的大单，这可能是投资者认为股价短期内难以突破380美元，通过卖出看涨期权来收取权利金。‌<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL\" title=\"$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$\" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bf4df3dd5be7c4e09a03e2239102e137\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"357\"/></p><p><strong>廉价看跌保护：</strong> 另有买入<strong>7,500张</strong>行权价230美元的远月深度虚值看跌期权，成本极低，类似为极端下跌风险购买的“保险”。<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT\" title=\"$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$ \" class=\"immutable-element\">$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/03aaa721ebb07c360042a89ec0f2e136\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"375\"/></p></li></ol><p style=\"text-align: start;\">这些大单共同描绘了一幅图景：部分大资金在股价下跌后寻求下行保护（买入实值Put），同时也有资金押注反弹空间有限（卖出虚值Call）。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>策略参考</strong><br/>鉴于当前IV处于历史相对低位，期权卖方可以考虑卖出行权价在400美元以上的虚值看涨期权，以赚取时间价值；若不愿承担无限风险，可构建看跌价差策略以锁定风险和收益。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e49ab90f6352b6ebbb45091ad18b5a2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131798451","content_text":"TSLA收于360.59美元，跌5.42%；一季度交付量未达市场预期，成为当日主要利空。潜在反弹催化与风险: 交付走弱令估值承压，但下半年“小型车”与FSD授权若顺利落地、毛利率企稳，有望推动需求与盈利回升；若宏观需求继续放缓或软件收入兑现低于预期，股价仍可能延续调整。期权指标分析1. 隐含波动率 (IV) 与成交量概览隐含波动率 (IV)： 50.14% (截至2026-04-03)。IV百分位 (IV Percentile)： 20.32% (截至2026-04-03)。看涨/看跌比率 (Call/Put Ratio)： 1.22 (截至2026-04-03)。分析：TSLA当前的隐含波动率处于历史较低水平（IV百分位20.32%），期权定价相对“便宜”，表明市场对短期剧烈波动的预期有所降温。看涨/看跌比率略高于1，显示整体交易情绪未明显偏向悲观。2. 未平仓数 (OI) 分析 - 关键到期日聚焦在下周到期的2026-04-10到期合约中，市场头寸分布揭示了关键价位：行权价400.0的看涨期权聚集了12,176张未平仓合约，是OI最集中的点位。行权价350.0和360.0的看跌期权分别有9,745张和5,091张OI，显示下方存在一定的保护性或投机性买盘。3. 大单交易显露复杂博弈近两日的大额交易显示多空策略分化：巨额对冲或看空： 出现一笔买入2,925张2026-04-17到期、行权价500美元的深度实值看跌期权的大单，成交额高达4113万美元。同时段还出现了一笔卖出相同到期日、行权价450美元的看跌期权，或是在构建复杂的熊市看跌价差策略，对冲现有股票头寸的下行风险。‌$TSLA 20260417 500.0 PUT$短线看涨情绪受制： 同时，有一笔卖出4,751张2026-04-06到期、行权价380美元的虚值看涨期权的大单，这可能是投资者认为股价短期内难以突破380美元，通过卖出看涨期权来收取权利金。‌$TSLA 20260406 380.0 CALL$廉价看跌保护： 另有买入7,500张行权价230美元的远月深度虚值看跌期权，成本极低，类似为极端下跌风险购买的“保险”。$TSLA 20260410 230.0 PUT$这些大单共同描绘了一幅图景：部分大资金在股价下跌后寻求下行保护（买入实值Put），同时也有资金押注反弹空间有限（卖出虚值Call）。策略参考鉴于当前IV处于历史相对低位，期权卖方可以考虑卖出行权价在400美元以上的虚值看涨期权，以赚取时间价值；若不愿承担无限风险，可构建看跌价差策略以锁定风险和收益。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":54,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":533967812007432,"gmtCreate":1771384187171,"gmtModify":1771384189717,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"段20年前的相貌挺好的","listText":"段20年前的相貌挺好的","text":"段20年前的相貌挺好的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533967812007432","repostId":"2612049231","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2612049231","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1771379884,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2612049231?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-18 09:58","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"段永平试水“AI交易”：卖苹果加仓英伟达，“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2612049231","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"段永平Q4共增持了六只股票，其中增持幅度最大的是英伟达，增持幅度第二大的股票是伯克希尔哈撒韦；同时，段永平也减持了五只股票，减持幅度最大的是苹果。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>CoreWeave专门搭建高性能GPU集群，把算力租给AI公司和企业客户；如果说GPU是心脏，Credo提供的高速互联芯片和光模块就是血管，跟AI服务器迭代高度绑定；Tempus则致力于将AI应用于精准医疗，尤其是肿瘤领域。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>在大幅减持第一大重仓股苹果的同时，知名投资人段永平在Q4将英伟达仓位狂拉逾11倍，并轻仓“试水”三家极具代表性的AI垂直领域公司。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>数据显示，段永平Q4共增持了六只股票，其中增持幅度最大的是英伟达，增持幅度第二大的股票是伯克希尔哈撒韦；同时，段永平也减持了五只股票，减持幅度最大的是苹果。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392545a009bcf09f2c078f8e9d1b3126\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"438\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这位曾以重仓网易、茅台、苹果著称的价值投资大佬，正在用真金白银完成对人工智能时代的深度建仓。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcdb4f5cee5eaa6c20ba310989a7845\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_790947635\">“狂加”英伟达、“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>文件显示，段永平在Q4一口气增持了663.93万股英伟达，持仓数量激增1110.62%</strong>，总持股数达到723.71万股，持仓市值跃升至13.5亿美元，将英伟达直接推升至其组合的第三大重仓股（占比7.72%）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在重注“卖水人”英伟达之外，段永平还开仓了三家“新面孔”。虽然合计仓位占比仅约0.28%，但选股逻辑极为老辣，精准覆盖了AI产业链的算力、连接与应用三个关键节点：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>CoreWeave：算力租赁的“包租公”</strong><br/>新进29.99万股。在所有巨头都在争抢GPU的当下，CoreWeave专门搭建高性能GPU集群，把算力租给AI公司和企业客户。这是一家典型的“卖铲子”公司，虽然面临重资产、高折旧的财务压力，但在算力紧缺周期内拥有极强的议价权。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Credo Technology ：数据中心的“高速公路”</strong><br/>新进14.13万股。如果说GPU是心脏，Credo提供的高速互联芯片和光模块就是血管。AI服务器集群对数据传输速度要求极高，段永平此举意在押注数据中心升级带来的确定性增量，这是一种与AI服务器迭代高度绑定的“伴生性投资”。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Tempus AI：AI医疗的“落地实验”</strong><br/>新进11万股。不同于前两者的硬件属性，Tempus致力于将AI应用于精准医疗，尤其是肿瘤领域。这是段永平在AI垂直应用层的尝试。不过，医疗行业监管严、周期长，虽然这代表了AI从“算力”向“生产力”转化的终极方向，但盈利能力仍在验证阶段，更像是一场耐力赛。</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_1651169234\">减持苹果，增持伯克希尔</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在进攻AI的同时，段永平也对传统的“压舱石”进行了显著的再平衡。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Q4，苹果依然是其头号重仓股，持仓市值高达87.97亿美元，占比50.3%。<strong>然而，Q4期间他减持了247.06万股苹果，减持幅度达7.09%。</strong>这一动作可能源于对单一标的持仓过重的风险控制，也可能是为了腾挪资金加码AI。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，作为防御性资产的<strong>伯克希尔B </strong>获得了大幅增持。段永平买入近198.5万股，增持幅度达38.24%，使其稳居第二大重仓股（占比20.63%）。这种“左手科技成长，右手价值防御”的结构，依然是其投资组合的基石。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，段永平还增持了<strong>谷歌、拼多多</strong>，并大幅减持了光刻机巨头<strong>阿斯麦</strong>（减持幅度87.63%），显示出他对不同科技巨头未来增长潜力的判断出现了分化。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>段永平试水“AI交易”：卖苹果加仓英伟达，“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n段永平试水“AI交易”：卖苹果加仓英伟达，“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-02-18 09:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>CoreWeave专门搭建高性能GPU集群，把算力租给AI公司和企业客户；如果说GPU是心脏，Credo提供的高速互联芯片和光模块就是血管，跟AI服务器迭代高度绑定；Tempus则致力于将AI应用于精准医疗，尤其是肿瘤领域。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>在大幅减持第一大重仓股苹果的同时，知名投资人段永平在Q4将英伟达仓位狂拉逾11倍，并轻仓“试水”三家极具代表性的AI垂直领域公司。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>数据显示，段永平Q4共增持了六只股票，其中增持幅度最大的是英伟达，增持幅度第二大的股票是伯克希尔哈撒韦；同时，段永平也减持了五只股票，减持幅度最大的是苹果。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392545a009bcf09f2c078f8e9d1b3126\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"438\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这位曾以重仓网易、茅台、苹果著称的价值投资大佬，正在用真金白银完成对人工智能时代的深度建仓。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcdb4f5cee5eaa6c20ba310989a7845\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_790947635\">“狂加”英伟达、“新入”CoreWeave、Credo和Tempus</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>文件显示，段永平在Q4一口气增持了663.93万股英伟达，持仓数量激增1110.62%</strong>，总持股数达到723.71万股，持仓市值跃升至13.5亿美元，将英伟达直接推升至其组合的第三大重仓股（占比7.72%）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在重注“卖水人”英伟达之外，段永平还开仓了三家“新面孔”。虽然合计仓位占比仅约0.28%，但选股逻辑极为老辣，精准覆盖了AI产业链的算力、连接与应用三个关键节点：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>CoreWeave：算力租赁的“包租公”</strong><br/>新进29.99万股。在所有巨头都在争抢GPU的当下，CoreWeave专门搭建高性能GPU集群，把算力租给AI公司和企业客户。这是一家典型的“卖铲子”公司，虽然面临重资产、高折旧的财务压力，但在算力紧缺周期内拥有极强的议价权。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Credo Technology ：数据中心的“高速公路”</strong><br/>新进14.13万股。如果说GPU是心脏，Credo提供的高速互联芯片和光模块就是血管。AI服务器集群对数据传输速度要求极高，段永平此举意在押注数据中心升级带来的确定性增量，这是一种与AI服务器迭代高度绑定的“伴生性投资”。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Tempus AI：AI医疗的“落地实验”</strong><br/>新进11万股。不同于前两者的硬件属性，Tempus致力于将AI应用于精准医疗，尤其是肿瘤领域。这是段永平在AI垂直应用层的尝试。不过，医疗行业监管严、周期长，虽然这代表了AI从“算力”向“生产力”转化的终极方向，但盈利能力仍在验证阶段，更像是一场耐力赛。</p></li></ul><h2 id=\"id_1651169234\">减持苹果，增持伯克希尔</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在进攻AI的同时，段永平也对传统的“压舱石”进行了显著的再平衡。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Q4，苹果依然是其头号重仓股，持仓市值高达87.97亿美元，占比50.3%。<strong>然而，Q4期间他减持了247.06万股苹果，减持幅度达7.09%。</strong>这一动作可能源于对单一标的持仓过重的风险控制，也可能是为了腾挪资金加码AI。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">与此同时，作为防御性资产的<strong>伯克希尔B </strong>获得了大幅增持。段永平买入近198.5万股，增持幅度达38.24%，使其稳居第二大重仓股（占比20.63%）。这种“左手科技成长，右手价值防御”的结构，依然是其投资组合的基石。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，段永平还增持了<strong>谷歌、拼多多</strong>，并大幅减持了光刻机巨头<strong>阿斯麦</strong>（减持幅度87.63%），显示出他对不同科技巨头未来增长潜力的判断出现了分化。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f8fa40fbf2bafa712e6587729f3ea91","relate_stocks":{"LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","AAPD":"1倍做空AAPL 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：数据中心的“高速公路”新进14.13万股。如果说GPU是心脏，Credo提供的高速互联芯片和光模块就是血管。AI服务器集群对数据传输速度要求极高，段永平此举意在押注数据中心升级带来的确定性增量，这是一种与AI服务器迭代高度绑定的“伴生性投资”。Tempus AI：AI医疗的“落地实验”新进11万股。不同于前两者的硬件属性，Tempus致力于将AI应用于精准医疗，尤其是肿瘤领域。这是段永平在AI垂直应用层的尝试。不过，医疗行业监管严、周期长，虽然这代表了AI从“算力”向“生产力”转化的终极方向，但盈利能力仍在验证阶段，更像是一场耐力赛。减持苹果，增持伯克希尔在进攻AI的同时，段永平也对传统的“压舱石”进行了显著的再平衡。Q4，苹果依然是其头号重仓股，持仓市值高达87.97亿美元，占比50.3%。然而，Q4期间他减持了247.06万股苹果，减持幅度达7.09%。这一动作可能源于对单一标的持仓过重的风险控制，也可能是为了腾挪资金加码AI。与此同时，作为防御性资产的伯克希尔B 获得了大幅增持。段永平买入近198.5万股，增持幅度达38.24%，使其稳居第二大重仓股（占比20.63%）。这种“左手科技成长，右手价值防御”的结构，依然是其投资组合的基石。此外，段永平还增持了谷歌、拼多多，并大幅减持了光刻机巨头阿斯麦（减持幅度87.63%），显示出他对不同科技巨头未来增长潜力的判断出现了分化。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPW":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"AAPL":1.91,"AAPU":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"CRWD":1.87,"AAPB":0.6,"NVD2.UK":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"MACW.SI":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVDA":1.95,"CORD":0.6,"CWVX":0.6,"3NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"APLY":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"AAPD":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"AAPY":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"CRWG":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"AAPX":0.6,"NVDQ":0.6,"CRWU":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":533946027958480,"gmtCreate":1771378887400,"gmtModify":1771379354300,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"买，然后放消息，然后吹牛逼","listText":"买，然后放消息，然后吹牛逼","text":"买，然后放消息，然后吹牛逼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/533946027958480","repostId":"2612496724","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2612496724","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1771367111,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2612496724?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-18 06:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"巴菲特“收山之作”：Q4再抛苹果美银，猛砍亚马逊，首次新进纽约时报","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2612496724","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"伯克希尔Q4连续第三季抛苹果，苹果持仓市值减少28亿美元，仍是头号重仓股，美银持仓一年半来减持50%，仍是第三代重仓股；亚马逊持股环比减少230万股、降幅77%；新进纽约时报超过506万股，市值3.52亿美元。该报盘后一度涨超10%。更新中","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>伯克希尔连续三季抛苹果，Q4苹果持仓市值减少28亿美元，仍是头号重仓股；美银持股一年半来减少50%，仍是第三大重仓股；亚马逊持股环比减少230万股、降幅77%；新进纽约时报超过506万股，市值3.52亿美元；增持雪佛龙12.3亿美元、安达保险持股数增逾9%。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司在“股神”巴菲特卸任CEO前最后一个季度继续调整科技巨头持仓，减持多只重仓股的同时，首次建仓传统媒体纽约时报。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美东时间2月17日周二美股盘后，递交美国证监会（SEC）的13F文件披露，伯克希尔2025年第四季度大幅削减所持亚马逊股份（AMZN）超过77%，并且连续第三个季度减持苹果（AAPL）。伯克希尔还继续抛售美国银行（BAC），对该行的持股比例降至略低于7%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报（NYT）是伯克希尔四季度唯一新进的个股，当季建仓超过506万股，市值约3.52亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本周二公布的是巴菲特执掌伯克希尔60年的最后一份13F持仓报告，巴菲特的继任者Greg Abel已于2026年1月1日正式接任CEO。伯克希尔将于2月28日公布全年业绩，届时将发布Abel作为CEO的首封致股东信。</p><h2 id=\"55c41946\">持续减持苹果与美银</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据13F文件，伯克希尔四季度抛售苹果超过1029万股，持股数环比三季度减少4.3%，季末苹果持仓市值环比减少约28亿美元，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的22.69%降至22.60%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">以环比减少的市值看，苹果是伯克希尔四季度减持最多的个股，但减持股份还不及前一季。三季度伯克希尔减持苹果约4179万股，持股数环比减少逾14.9%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管持续减持，到四季度末，苹果仍是伯克希尔的头号重仓股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行是又一持续被伯克希尔减持的重仓股。四季度伯克希尔卖出将近5080万股美银，持股数环比减少8.9%，持仓占比降至6.89%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到四季度末，美银仍是伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。但伯克希尔的美银持股已经从2024年中的10.3亿股降至5.17亿股，相当于过去一年半来，该行已被减持约50%。</p><h2 id=\"cd3cd5ca\">亚马逊持股猛降77%</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">按持仓占比变动计算，亚马逊是伯克希尔四季度减持幅度最大的个股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">13F文件显示，四季度亚马逊在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的0.82%骤降至0.19%，环比降幅达0.63个百分点，持股数量减少至约230万股，环比下降逾77.2%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔于2019年首次买入亚马逊。巴菲特当时表示，虽然他历来对科技股持谨慎态度，但没有更早买入这家在线零售巨头的股票是“愚蠢的”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">亚马逊股价进入2026年以来已累跌约11%，遭遇20年来最大同期跌幅。本周二，亚马逊刚刚结束连跌九个交易日的2006年以来最长连跌日。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">截至上周五的九个交易日内，亚马逊市值合计蒸发超4500亿美元，体现了投资者对亚马逊庞大AI相关支出合理性的质疑。亚马逊本月5日公布四季度财报时透露，计划2026年资本支出2000亿美元，年度投入规模超过其他任一科技巨头。</p><h2 id=\"bba77103\">建仓纽约时报</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报是伯克希尔四季度唯一新建仓的个股。当季伯克希尔买入506.7万股，市值超过3.52亿美元，持有纽约时报约3.1%的股份，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中位列第30位，占比0.13%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔曾长期持有媒体股资产，但在2020年以1.4亿美元将旗下报纸业务出售给Lee Enterprises。巴菲特曾担任华盛顿邮报最大外部股东和董事会成员。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报股价近期表现强劲，今年以来上涨6%，目前接近历史高点74.59美元，过去12个月累计涨幅达50%。</p><h2 id=\"d7874ebc\">增持雪佛龙和安达保险</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔四季度较大幅增持了石油巨头雪佛龙（CVX）和瑞士安达保险（Chubb）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，伯克希尔增持安达保险（CB）将近292万股，持股数环比增长9.3%，持股在投资组合中占比从三季度的3.31%升至3.90%，环比提高0.59个百分点。以持仓占比升幅看，安达保险是四季度增持最多的个股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四季度伯克希尔买入雪佛龙逾809万股，持股数环比增长6.6%，持股占比环比增加0.15个百分点至7.24%，市值则环比增加约12.3亿美元。以持仓市值的增幅看，雪佛龙则是四季度增持之最。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔四季度还增持了36.8万股达美乐披萨（DPZ），持股数环比增长12.3%，持仓增至约14亿美元，排在第20位。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔对另一必需消费品类股卡夫亨氏的持仓四季度保持不变。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Abel近期表示，他支持卡夫亨氏暂停拆分调味品和食品杂货业务的决定。卡夫亨氏在1月的监管文件中披露，最大股东伯克希尔可能出售其持有的近全部3.256亿股。巴菲特去年曾对华尔街日报表示，伯克希尔不支持该拆分计划。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">根据SEC规定，管理至少1亿美元美国股票的机构投资者必须在每个季度结束后45天内提交13F文件。尽管这些文件提供的是过时的持仓信息，但伯克希尔的披露仍被市场参与者广泛解读，以寻求对该公司投资决策的洞察。</p><h2 id=\"id_507732878\">十大重仓股仍是“老面孔”</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到四季度末，以持仓市值计，伯克希尔的十大重仓股都是前一季的“老面孔”，排名大多和三季度相同，只有穆迪和西方石油的排名对换。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">和三季度一样，四季度这些重仓股之中也只有四只被调整持仓，分别是苹果、美国运通被减持，雪佛龙、安达保险被增持。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">三季度首次跻身前十的谷歌母公司Alphabet依然排在第十位。三季度被Alphabet挤出前十的肾脏透析服务商德维特（DVA）四季度仍位列第11。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四季度伯克希尔的十大重仓股分别是：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>苹果（AAPL）</p></li><li><p>美国运通（AXP）</p></li><li><p>美银（BAC）</p></li><li><p>可口可乐（KO）</p></li><li><p>雪佛龙（CVX）</p></li><li><p>穆迪（MCO），排名从第七升至第六。</p></li><li><p>西方石油（OXY），排名从第六降至第七。</p></li><li><p>瑞士安达保险（Chubb）（CB）。</p></li><li><p>卡夫亨氏（KHC）。</p></li><li><p>Alphabet（GOOGL）</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afc19aa8909429c6e0e54a471a917e7c\" tg-width=\"1643\" tg-height=\"648\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>巴菲特“收山之作”：Q4再抛苹果美银，猛砍亚马逊，首次新进纽约时报</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n巴菲特“收山之作”：Q4再抛苹果美银，猛砍亚马逊，首次新进纽约时报\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-02-18 06:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>伯克希尔连续三季抛苹果，Q4苹果持仓市值减少28亿美元，仍是头号重仓股；美银持股一年半来减少50%，仍是第三大重仓股；亚马逊持股环比减少230万股、降幅77%；新进纽约时报超过506万股，市值3.52亿美元；增持雪佛龙12.3亿美元、安达保险持股数增逾9%。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司在“股神”巴菲特卸任CEO前最后一个季度继续调整科技巨头持仓，减持多只重仓股的同时，首次建仓传统媒体纽约时报。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美东时间2月17日周二美股盘后，递交美国证监会（SEC）的13F文件披露，伯克希尔2025年第四季度大幅削减所持亚马逊股份（AMZN）超过77%，并且连续第三个季度减持苹果（AAPL）。伯克希尔还继续抛售美国银行（BAC），对该行的持股比例降至略低于7%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报（NYT）是伯克希尔四季度唯一新进的个股，当季建仓超过506万股，市值约3.52亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本周二公布的是巴菲特执掌伯克希尔60年的最后一份13F持仓报告，巴菲特的继任者Greg Abel已于2026年1月1日正式接任CEO。伯克希尔将于2月28日公布全年业绩，届时将发布Abel作为CEO的首封致股东信。</p><h2 id=\"55c41946\">持续减持苹果与美银</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据13F文件，伯克希尔四季度抛售苹果超过1029万股，持股数环比三季度减少4.3%，季末苹果持仓市值环比减少约28亿美元，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的22.69%降至22.60%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">以环比减少的市值看，苹果是伯克希尔四季度减持最多的个股，但减持股份还不及前一季。三季度伯克希尔减持苹果约4179万股，持股数环比减少逾14.9%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管持续减持，到四季度末，苹果仍是伯克希尔的头号重仓股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行是又一持续被伯克希尔减持的重仓股。四季度伯克希尔卖出将近5080万股美银，持股数环比减少8.9%，持仓占比降至6.89%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到四季度末，美银仍是伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。但伯克希尔的美银持股已经从2024年中的10.3亿股降至5.17亿股，相当于过去一年半来，该行已被减持约50%。</p><h2 id=\"cd3cd5ca\">亚马逊持股猛降77%</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">按持仓占比变动计算，亚马逊是伯克希尔四季度减持幅度最大的个股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">13F文件显示，四季度亚马逊在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的0.82%骤降至0.19%，环比降幅达0.63个百分点，持股数量减少至约230万股，环比下降逾77.2%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔于2019年首次买入亚马逊。巴菲特当时表示，虽然他历来对科技股持谨慎态度，但没有更早买入这家在线零售巨头的股票是“愚蠢的”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">亚马逊股价进入2026年以来已累跌约11%，遭遇20年来最大同期跌幅。本周二，亚马逊刚刚结束连跌九个交易日的2006年以来最长连跌日。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">截至上周五的九个交易日内，亚马逊市值合计蒸发超4500亿美元，体现了投资者对亚马逊庞大AI相关支出合理性的质疑。亚马逊本月5日公布四季度财报时透露，计划2026年资本支出2000亿美元，年度投入规模超过其他任一科技巨头。</p><h2 id=\"bba77103\">建仓纽约时报</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报是伯克希尔四季度唯一新建仓的个股。当季伯克希尔买入506.7万股，市值超过3.52亿美元，持有纽约时报约3.1%的股份，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中位列第30位，占比0.13%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔曾长期持有媒体股资产，但在2020年以1.4亿美元将旗下报纸业务出售给Lee Enterprises。巴菲特曾担任华盛顿邮报最大外部股东和董事会成员。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约时报股价近期表现强劲，今年以来上涨6%，目前接近历史高点74.59美元，过去12个月累计涨幅达50%。</p><h2 id=\"d7874ebc\">增持雪佛龙和安达保险</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔四季度较大幅增持了石油巨头雪佛龙（CVX）和瑞士安达保险（Chubb）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其中，伯克希尔增持安达保险（CB）将近292万股，持股数环比增长9.3%，持股在投资组合中占比从三季度的3.31%升至3.90%，环比提高0.59个百分点。以持仓占比升幅看，安达保险是四季度增持最多的个股。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四季度伯克希尔买入雪佛龙逾809万股，持股数环比增长6.6%，持股占比环比增加0.15个百分点至7.24%，市值则环比增加约12.3亿美元。以持仓市值的增幅看，雪佛龙则是四季度增持之最。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔四季度还增持了36.8万股达美乐披萨（DPZ），持股数环比增长12.3%，持仓增至约14亿美元，排在第20位。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">伯克希尔对另一必需消费品类股卡夫亨氏的持仓四季度保持不变。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Abel近期表示，他支持卡夫亨氏暂停拆分调味品和食品杂货业务的决定。卡夫亨氏在1月的监管文件中披露，最大股东伯克希尔可能出售其持有的近全部3.256亿股。巴菲特去年曾对华尔街日报表示，伯克希尔不支持该拆分计划。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">根据SEC规定，管理至少1亿美元美国股票的机构投资者必须在每个季度结束后45天内提交13F文件。尽管这些文件提供的是过时的持仓信息，但伯克希尔的披露仍被市场参与者广泛解读，以寻求对该公司投资决策的洞察。</p><h2 id=\"id_507732878\">十大重仓股仍是“老面孔”</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到四季度末，以持仓市值计，伯克希尔的十大重仓股都是前一季的“老面孔”，排名大多和三季度相同，只有穆迪和西方石油的排名对换。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">和三季度一样，四季度这些重仓股之中也只有四只被调整持仓，分别是苹果、美国运通被减持，雪佛龙、安达保险被增持。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">三季度首次跻身前十的谷歌母公司Alphabet依然排在第十位。三季度被Alphabet挤出前十的肾脏透析服务商德维特（DVA）四季度仍位列第11。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">四季度伯克希尔的十大重仓股分别是：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>苹果（AAPL）</p></li><li><p>美国运通（AXP）</p></li><li><p>美银（BAC）</p></li><li><p>可口可乐（KO）</p></li><li><p>雪佛龙（CVX）</p></li><li><p>穆迪（MCO），排名从第七升至第六。</p></li><li><p>西方石油（OXY），排名从第六降至第七。</p></li><li><p>瑞士安达保险（Chubb）（CB）。</p></li><li><p>卡夫亨氏（KHC）。</p></li><li><p>Alphabet（GOOGL）</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afc19aa8909429c6e0e54a471a917e7c\" tg-width=\"1643\" tg-height=\"648\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9beffeecb928009bf6287e307899ffe3","relate_stocks":{"IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0742534661.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD (hedged)","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU2592432038.USD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0456855351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Global Equity A (acc) SGD","IE00BDCRKT87.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL DYNAMIC ASSET ALLOCATION \"ADC\" (USD) INC","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU1642822529.SGD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0302445910.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL 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USD"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3765821","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2612496724","content_text":"伯克希尔连续三季抛苹果，Q4苹果持仓市值减少28亿美元，仍是头号重仓股；美银持股一年半来减少50%，仍是第三大重仓股；亚马逊持股环比减少230万股、降幅77%；新进纽约时报超过506万股，市值3.52亿美元；增持雪佛龙12.3亿美元、安达保险持股数增逾9%。伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司在“股神”巴菲特卸任CEO前最后一个季度继续调整科技巨头持仓，减持多只重仓股的同时，首次建仓传统媒体纽约时报。美东时间2月17日周二美股盘后，递交美国证监会（SEC）的13F文件披露，伯克希尔2025年第四季度大幅削减所持亚马逊股份（AMZN）超过77%，并且连续第三个季度减持苹果（AAPL）。伯克希尔还继续抛售美国银行（BAC），对该行的持股比例降至略低于7%。纽约时报（NYT）是伯克希尔四季度唯一新进的个股，当季建仓超过506万股，市值约3.52亿美元。本周二公布的是巴菲特执掌伯克希尔60年的最后一份13F持仓报告，巴菲特的继任者Greg Abel已于2026年1月1日正式接任CEO。伯克希尔将于2月28日公布全年业绩，届时将发布Abel作为CEO的首封致股东信。持续减持苹果与美银据13F文件，伯克希尔四季度抛售苹果超过1029万股，持股数环比三季度减少4.3%，季末苹果持仓市值环比减少约28亿美元，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的22.69%降至22.60%。以环比减少的市值看，苹果是伯克希尔四季度减持最多的个股，但减持股份还不及前一季。三季度伯克希尔减持苹果约4179万股，持股数环比减少逾14.9%。尽管持续减持，到四季度末，苹果仍是伯克希尔的头号重仓股。美国银行是又一持续被伯克希尔减持的重仓股。四季度伯克希尔卖出将近5080万股美银，持股数环比减少8.9%，持仓占比降至6.89%。到四季度末，美银仍是伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。但伯克希尔的美银持股已经从2024年中的10.3亿股降至5.17亿股，相当于过去一年半来，该行已被减持约50%。亚马逊持股猛降77%按持仓占比变动计算，亚马逊是伯克希尔四季度减持幅度最大的个股。13F文件显示，四季度亚马逊在伯克希尔投资组合中的占比从三季度的0.82%骤降至0.19%，环比降幅达0.63个百分点，持股数量减少至约230万股，环比下降逾77.2%。伯克希尔于2019年首次买入亚马逊。巴菲特当时表示，虽然他历来对科技股持谨慎态度，但没有更早买入这家在线零售巨头的股票是“愚蠢的”。亚马逊股价进入2026年以来已累跌约11%，遭遇20年来最大同期跌幅。本周二，亚马逊刚刚结束连跌九个交易日的2006年以来最长连跌日。截至上周五的九个交易日内，亚马逊市值合计蒸发超4500亿美元，体现了投资者对亚马逊庞大AI相关支出合理性的质疑。亚马逊本月5日公布四季度财报时透露，计划2026年资本支出2000亿美元，年度投入规模超过其他任一科技巨头。建仓纽约时报纽约时报是伯克希尔四季度唯一新建仓的个股。当季伯克希尔买入506.7万股，市值超过3.52亿美元，持有纽约时报约3.1%的股份，持仓在伯克希尔投资组合中位列第30位，占比0.13%。伯克希尔曾长期持有媒体股资产，但在2020年以1.4亿美元将旗下报纸业务出售给Lee Enterprises。巴菲特曾担任华盛顿邮报最大外部股东和董事会成员。纽约时报股价近期表现强劲，今年以来上涨6%，目前接近历史高点74.59美元，过去12个月累计涨幅达50%。增持雪佛龙和安达保险伯克希尔四季度较大幅增持了石油巨头雪佛龙（CVX）和瑞士安达保险（Chubb）。其中，伯克希尔增持安达保险（CB）将近292万股，持股数环比增长9.3%，持股在投资组合中占比从三季度的3.31%升至3.90%，环比提高0.59个百分点。以持仓占比升幅看，安达保险是四季度增持最多的个股。四季度伯克希尔买入雪佛龙逾809万股，持股数环比增长6.6%，持股占比环比增加0.15个百分点至7.24%，市值则环比增加约12.3亿美元。以持仓市值的增幅看，雪佛龙则是四季度增持之最。伯克希尔四季度还增持了36.8万股达美乐披萨（DPZ），持股数环比增长12.3%，持仓增至约14亿美元，排在第20位。伯克希尔对另一必需消费品类股卡夫亨氏的持仓四季度保持不变。Abel近期表示，他支持卡夫亨氏暂停拆分调味品和食品杂货业务的决定。卡夫亨氏在1月的监管文件中披露，最大股东伯克希尔可能出售其持有的近全部3.256亿股。巴菲特去年曾对华尔街日报表示，伯克希尔不支持该拆分计划。根据SEC规定，管理至少1亿美元美国股票的机构投资者必须在每个季度结束后45天内提交13F文件。尽管这些文件提供的是过时的持仓信息，但伯克希尔的披露仍被市场参与者广泛解读，以寻求对该公司投资决策的洞察。十大重仓股仍是“老面孔”到四季度末，以持仓市值计，伯克希尔的十大重仓股都是前一季的“老面孔”，排名大多和三季度相同，只有穆迪和西方石油的排名对换。和三季度一样，四季度这些重仓股之中也只有四只被调整持仓，分别是苹果、美国运通被减持，雪佛龙、安达保险被增持。三季度首次跻身前十的谷歌母公司Alphabet依然排在第十位。三季度被Alphabet挤出前十的肾脏透析服务商德维特（DVA）四季度仍位列第11。四季度伯克希尔的十大重仓股分别是：苹果（AAPL）美国运通（AXP）美银（BAC）可口可乐（KO）雪佛龙（CVX）穆迪（MCO），排名从第七升至第六。西方石油（OXY），排名从第六降至第七。瑞士安达保险（Chubb）（CB）。卡夫亨氏（KHC）。Alphabet（GOOGL）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":2,"NYT":2,"AAPL":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":512772550583224,"gmtCreate":1766215650897,"gmtModify":1766220722897,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"比高启盛还不要脸","listText":"比高启盛还不要脸","text":"比高启盛还不要脸","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/512772550583224","repostId":"2592116411","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2592116411","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1766201319,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2592116411?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-20 11:28","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"高盛2026年全球股市展望：更广泛的牛市，更宽泛的AI受益者","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2592116411","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"高盛预计2026年全球股市牛市延续，市值加权总回报率达15%，主要由盈利增长而非估值扩张驱动。市场呈现拓宽趋势，非美市场表现将优于美股，亚太新兴市场回报率预期达18%。AI红利从核心科技巨头扩散至更广泛行业，尤其是那些能利用AI及相关技术提升利润率和生产力的企业。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>高盛预计2026年全球股市牛市延续，市值加权总回报率达15%，主要由盈利增长而非估值扩张驱动。市场呈现拓宽趋势，非美市场表现将优于美股，亚太新兴市场回报率预期达18%。AI红利从核心科技巨头扩散至更广泛行业，尤其是那些能利用AI及相关技术提升利润率和生产力的企业。</p></blockquote><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>称，2026年全球股市将延续牛市行情，但指数回报率将低于2025年，市场将呈现更广泛的多元化特征。AI红利从核心科技巨头向更广泛领域扩散。</p><p>12月20日，据追风交易台消息，高盛在最新发布的2026年全球股票策略展望报告中表示，在持续的经济增长和美联储进一步温和宽松的支撑下，股市仍有上涨空间。</p><p>高盛将当前市场定义为周期中的&#34;乐观&#34;阶段，预计这一阶段将在2026年延续。以市值加权计算，<strong>2026年全球股市价格回报率将达到13%，包含股息后总回报率为15%</strong>。大部分回报将由盈利增长驱动，而非估值扩张。</p><p>报告称，<strong>2025年全球股市已呈现明显的拓宽趋势</strong>，首次出现美股跑输其他主要市场的情况，欧洲、中国和亚洲市场的美元总回报几乎是美国的两倍，<strong>预计这一趋势将在2026年持续强化，非美市场表现将优于美股，</strong>打破此前市场高度集中的格局。</p><p>该行强调，当前科技板块的主导地位并非由AI单一因素驱动，而是始于金融危机后，由持续的盈利增长支撑，且当前估值并未达到历史泡沫水平。2026年，<strong>AI红利将进一步扩散，受益范围从核心科技巨头延伸至更广泛的行业与企业，尤其是那些能利用AI及相关技术提升利润率和生产力的企业。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_2661155958\">经济扩张与政策宽松支撑牛市延续</h2><p>高盛称，2026年全球经济将维持全面扩张态势，美联储有望进一步适度宽松货币政策，这一宏观环境为股市提供坚实支撑。</p><p>从收益预期来看，该行预计，按区域市值加权计算，2026年全球股市美元计价的价格回报率为13%，含股息回报率达15%，且大部分收益由盈利增长驱动。</p><p>高盛认为，<strong>当前市场正处于股市周期的 “乐观阶段”，这一阶段的典型特征是投资者信心提升，估值往往会进一步上涨，为核心预期带来上行风险，有望推动市场实现超预期表现。</strong></p><p>该行将股市周期分为四个阶段：&#34;绝望&#34;阶段（熊市）、&#34;希望&#34;阶段（估值驱动的反弹）、&#34;增长&#34;阶段（盈利驱动的最长阶段）和&#34;乐观&#34;阶段（投资者信心增强，估值再次上升）。</p><p>以新冠疫情触发的熊市作为当前周期起点，高盛观察到相当典型的周期演进：<strong>2025年是早期乐观阶段的典型例子，许多股市（特别是估值较低的美国以外市场）出现估值上升和盈利增长并存的情况。</strong></p><p>同时，报告指出，历史数据显示，在无衰退的情况下，即便估值处于高位，股市也难以出现大幅回调或熊市。</p><p>美国12个月前瞻市盈率达到22.3倍，即使剔除大型科技股也达到20.2倍。日本、欧洲和新兴市场的估值同样接近或达到历史高点。</p><p>在高估值背景下，高盛<strong>预计2026年的回报更多将由基本面盈利增长而非估值扩张驱动</strong>。该行的盈利模型显示：</p><blockquote><p>2026年所有地区将实现持续正增长，增速超过2025年。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>预计盈利增长12%，STOXX 600增长5%，日本TOPIX增长9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002540\">亚太</a>（除日本）增长16%。</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_2718064074\">牛市拓宽，非美与非科技板块崛起</h2><p>报告称，2025年全球股市已呈现明显的拓宽趋势，这一趋势将在2026年持续强化，打破此前市场高度集中的格局。</p><p>高盛表示，2025年近十五年来首次出现美股表现不佳的情况，欧洲、中国、亚洲等主要市场的总回报率（美元计价）几乎是美股的两倍。</p><blockquote><p>意大利（54%）、西班牙（73%）、韩国（71%）等特定市场表现尤为突出，新兴市场在盈利增长提速、美国利率下降及美元走弱的双重利好下，开始显著上涨。</p></blockquote><p>高盛预测，<strong>2026年美股仍将小幅跑输全球其他市场，MSCI<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002284\">亚太</a>（除日本）指数和MSCI新兴市场指数的美元计价总回报率均有望达到18%，远超标普500指数15%的预期。</strong></p><p><strong>风格方面，</strong>美国市场仍以成长股为主导，但在非美市场，价值股表现更优，打破了过去十年成长股一统天下的格局。</p><p>高盛表示，金融、矿业等传统价值板块成功从“价值陷阱”转型为“价值创造者”，而科技资本支出的扩大也为“旧经济”中的基础设施相关领域带来了新的增长机遇。</p><p><strong>行业方面，</strong>收益拓宽趋势同样明显。2025年科技与金融（分别属于成长和价值板块）成为领涨行业，而房地产和医疗保健（分别属于周期和防御板块）则表现滞后，反映出成长与价值板块内部均有优质标的脱颖而出。</p><p>标普500指数中，前七大科技巨头的盈利贡献占比将从2025年的50%降至2026年的46%，其余493家公司的盈利增速将从7%提升至9%，行业集中度进一步下降。</p><h2 id=\"id_2155885943\">AI红利：从核心巨头到广泛受益者的扩散</h2><p>2026年，AI红利将进一步扩散，受益范围从核心科技巨头延伸至更广泛的行业与企业。</p><p>高盛强调，当前的科技股狂热并非破裂前的泡沫。与2000年互联网泡沫时期相比，当前的科技巨头拥有更强的资产负债表和实打实的现金流。</p><p>然而，2025年初由DeepSeek引发的市场波动警示了投资者：<strong>AI竞争正在加剧，且成本结构正在变化。</strong></p><p>高盛观察到，五大AI超大规模计算商（Hyperscalers）之间的股票相关性已从80%暴跌至20%。这表明投资者不再盲目买入整个板块，而是开始挑剔谁是最终赢家。</p><p>高盛认为，<strong>这种分化意味着，即便是在科技板块内部，多元化配置也能带来更优的风险调整后收益。</strong></p><p>报告指出，2026年，投资者将越来越关注科技行业之外的AI受益者，尤其是那些能利用AI及相关技术提升利润率和生产力的企业。</p><blockquote><p>科技资本支出的溢出效应将持续显现，推动工业、材料、金融等非科技板块中的相关企业实现增长，形成“AI+行业”的跨界增长浪潮，进一步拓宽牛市的行业覆盖面。</p></blockquote></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高盛2026年全球股市展望：更广泛的牛市，更宽泛的AI受益者</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛2026年全球股市展望：更广泛的牛市，更宽泛的AI受益者\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-12-20 11:28</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>高盛预计2026年全球股市牛市延续，市值加权总回报率达15%，主要由盈利增长而非估值扩张驱动。市场呈现拓宽趋势，非美市场表现将优于美股，亚太新兴市场回报率预期达18%。AI红利从核心科技巨头扩散至更广泛行业，尤其是那些能利用AI及相关技术提升利润率和生产力的企业。</p></blockquote><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>称，2026年全球股市将延续牛市行情，但指数回报率将低于2025年，市场将呈现更广泛的多元化特征。AI红利从核心科技巨头向更广泛领域扩散。</p><p>12月20日，据追风交易台消息，高盛在最新发布的2026年全球股票策略展望报告中表示，在持续的经济增长和美联储进一步温和宽松的支撑下，股市仍有上涨空间。</p><p>高盛将当前市场定义为周期中的&#34;乐观&#34;阶段，预计这一阶段将在2026年延续。以市值加权计算，<strong>2026年全球股市价格回报率将达到13%，包含股息后总回报率为15%</strong>。大部分回报将由盈利增长驱动，而非估值扩张。</p><p>报告称，<strong>2025年全球股市已呈现明显的拓宽趋势</strong>，首次出现美股跑输其他主要市场的情况，欧洲、中国和亚洲市场的美元总回报几乎是美国的两倍，<strong>预计这一趋势将在2026年持续强化，非美市场表现将优于美股，</strong>打破此前市场高度集中的格局。</p><p>该行强调，当前科技板块的主导地位并非由AI单一因素驱动，而是始于金融危机后，由持续的盈利增长支撑，且当前估值并未达到历史泡沫水平。2026年，<strong>AI红利将进一步扩散，受益范围从核心科技巨头延伸至更广泛的行业与企业，尤其是那些能利用AI及相关技术提升利润率和生产力的企业。</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_2661155958\">经济扩张与政策宽松支撑牛市延续</h2><p>高盛称，2026年全球经济将维持全面扩张态势，美联储有望进一步适度宽松货币政策，这一宏观环境为股市提供坚实支撑。</p><p>从收益预期来看，该行预计，按区域市值加权计算，2026年全球股市美元计价的价格回报率为13%，含股息回报率达15%，且大部分收益由盈利增长驱动。</p><p>高盛认为，<strong>当前市场正处于股市周期的 “乐观阶段”，这一阶段的典型特征是投资者信心提升，估值往往会进一步上涨，为核心预期带来上行风险，有望推动市场实现超预期表现。</strong></p><p>该行将股市周期分为四个阶段：&#34;绝望&#34;阶段（熊市）、&#34;希望&#34;阶段（估值驱动的反弹）、&#34;增长&#34;阶段（盈利驱动的最长阶段）和&#34;乐观&#34;阶段（投资者信心增强，估值再次上升）。</p><p>以新冠疫情触发的熊市作为当前周期起点，高盛观察到相当典型的周期演进：<strong>2025年是早期乐观阶段的典型例子，许多股市（特别是估值较低的美国以外市场）出现估值上升和盈利增长并存的情况。</strong></p><p>同时，报告指出，历史数据显示，在无衰退的情况下，即便估值处于高位，股市也难以出现大幅回调或熊市。</p><p>美国12个月前瞻市盈率达到22.3倍，即使剔除大型科技股也达到20.2倍。日本、欧洲和新兴市场的估值同样接近或达到历史高点。</p><p>在高估值背景下，高盛<strong>预计2026年的回报更多将由基本面盈利增长而非估值扩张驱动</strong>。该行的盈利模型显示：</p><blockquote><p>2026年所有地区将实现持续正增长，增速超过2025年。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>预计盈利增长12%，STOXX 600增长5%，日本TOPIX增长9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002540\">亚太</a>（除日本）增长16%。</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_2718064074\">牛市拓宽，非美与非科技板块崛起</h2><p>报告称，2025年全球股市已呈现明显的拓宽趋势，这一趋势将在2026年持续强化，打破此前市场高度集中的格局。</p><p>高盛表示，2025年近十五年来首次出现美股表现不佳的情况，欧洲、中国、亚洲等主要市场的总回报率（美元计价）几乎是美股的两倍。</p><blockquote><p>意大利（54%）、西班牙（73%）、韩国（71%）等特定市场表现尤为突出，新兴市场在盈利增长提速、美国利率下降及美元走弱的双重利好下，开始显著上涨。</p></blockquote><p>高盛预测，<strong>2026年美股仍将小幅跑输全球其他市场，MSCI<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002284\">亚太</a>（除日本）指数和MSCI新兴市场指数的美元计价总回报率均有望达到18%，远超标普500指数15%的预期。</strong></p><p><strong>风格方面，</strong>美国市场仍以成长股为主导，但在非美市场，价值股表现更优，打破了过去十年成长股一统天下的格局。</p><p>高盛表示，金融、矿业等传统价值板块成功从“价值陷阱”转型为“价值创造者”，而科技资本支出的扩大也为“旧经济”中的基础设施相关领域带来了新的增长机遇。</p><p><strong>行业方面，</strong>收益拓宽趋势同样明显。2025年科技与金融（分别属于成长和价值板块）成为领涨行业，而房地产和医疗保健（分别属于周期和防御板块）则表现滞后，反映出成长与价值板块内部均有优质标的脱颖而出。</p><p>标普500指数中，前七大科技巨头的盈利贡献占比将从2025年的50%降至2026年的46%，其余493家公司的盈利增速将从7%提升至9%，行业集中度进一步下降。</p><h2 id=\"id_2155885943\">AI红利：从核心巨头到广泛受益者的扩散</h2><p>2026年，AI红利将进一步扩散，受益范围从核心科技巨头延伸至更广泛的行业与企业。</p><p>高盛强调，当前的科技股狂热并非破裂前的泡沫。与2000年互联网泡沫时期相比，当前的科技巨头拥有更强的资产负债表和实打实的现金流。</p><p>然而，2025年初由DeepSeek引发的市场波动警示了投资者：<strong>AI竞争正在加剧，且成本结构正在变化。</strong></p><p>高盛观察到，五大AI超大规模计算商（Hyperscalers）之间的股票相关性已从80%暴跌至20%。这表明投资者不再盲目买入整个板块，而是开始挑剔谁是最终赢家。</p><p>高盛认为，<strong>这种分化意味着，即便是在科技板块内部，多元化配置也能带来更优的风险调整后收益。</strong></p><p>报告指出，2026年，投资者将越来越关注科技行业之外的AI受益者，尤其是那些能利用AI及相关技术提升利润率和生产力的企业。</p><blockquote><p>科技资本支出的溢出效应将持续显现，推动工业、材料、金融等非科技板块中的相关企业实现增长，形成“AI+行业”的跨界增长浪潮，进一步拓宽牛市的行业覆盖面。</p></blockquote></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82005fdd5a20870413111b3adc1a547","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3761759","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2592116411","content_text":"高盛预计2026年全球股市牛市延续，市值加权总回报率达15%，主要由盈利增长而非估值扩张驱动。市场呈现拓宽趋势，非美市场表现将优于美股，亚太新兴市场回报率预期达18%。AI红利从核心科技巨头扩散至更广泛行业，尤其是那些能利用AI及相关技术提升利润率和生产力的企业。高盛称，2026年全球股市将延续牛市行情，但指数回报率将低于2025年，市场将呈现更广泛的多元化特征。AI红利从核心科技巨头向更广泛领域扩散。12月20日，据追风交易台消息，高盛在最新发布的2026年全球股票策略展望报告中表示，在持续的经济增长和美联储进一步温和宽松的支撑下，股市仍有上涨空间。高盛将当前市场定义为周期中的\"乐观\"阶段，预计这一阶段将在2026年延续。以市值加权计算，2026年全球股市价格回报率将达到13%，包含股息后总回报率为15%。大部分回报将由盈利增长驱动，而非估值扩张。报告称，2025年全球股市已呈现明显的拓宽趋势，首次出现美股跑输其他主要市场的情况，欧洲、中国和亚洲市场的美元总回报几乎是美国的两倍，预计这一趋势将在2026年持续强化，非美市场表现将优于美股，打破此前市场高度集中的格局。该行强调，当前科技板块的主导地位并非由AI单一因素驱动，而是始于金融危机后，由持续的盈利增长支撑，且当前估值并未达到历史泡沫水平。2026年，AI红利将进一步扩散，受益范围从核心科技巨头延伸至更广泛的行业与企业，尤其是那些能利用AI及相关技术提升利润率和生产力的企业。经济扩张与政策宽松支撑牛市延续高盛称，2026年全球经济将维持全面扩张态势，美联储有望进一步适度宽松货币政策，这一宏观环境为股市提供坚实支撑。从收益预期来看，该行预计，按区域市值加权计算，2026年全球股市美元计价的价格回报率为13%，含股息回报率达15%，且大部分收益由盈利增长驱动。高盛认为，当前市场正处于股市周期的 “乐观阶段”，这一阶段的典型特征是投资者信心提升，估值往往会进一步上涨，为核心预期带来上行风险，有望推动市场实现超预期表现。该行将股市周期分为四个阶段：\"绝望\"阶段（熊市）、\"希望\"阶段（估值驱动的反弹）、\"增长\"阶段（盈利驱动的最长阶段）和\"乐观\"阶段（投资者信心增强，估值再次上升）。以新冠疫情触发的熊市作为当前周期起点，高盛观察到相当典型的周期演进：2025年是早期乐观阶段的典型例子，许多股市（特别是估值较低的美国以外市场）出现估值上升和盈利增长并存的情况。同时，报告指出，历史数据显示，在无衰退的情况下，即便估值处于高位，股市也难以出现大幅回调或熊市。美国12个月前瞻市盈率达到22.3倍，即使剔除大型科技股也达到20.2倍。日本、欧洲和新兴市场的估值同样接近或达到历史高点。在高估值背景下，高盛预计2026年的回报更多将由基本面盈利增长而非估值扩张驱动。该行的盈利模型显示：2026年所有地区将实现持续正增长，增速超过2025年。标普500预计盈利增长12%，STOXX 600增长5%，日本TOPIX增长9%，亚太（除日本）增长16%。牛市拓宽，非美与非科技板块崛起报告称，2025年全球股市已呈现明显的拓宽趋势，这一趋势将在2026年持续强化，打破此前市场高度集中的格局。高盛表示，2025年近十五年来首次出现美股表现不佳的情况，欧洲、中国、亚洲等主要市场的总回报率（美元计价）几乎是美股的两倍。意大利（54%）、西班牙（73%）、韩国（71%）等特定市场表现尤为突出，新兴市场在盈利增长提速、美国利率下降及美元走弱的双重利好下，开始显著上涨。高盛预测，2026年美股仍将小幅跑输全球其他市场，MSCI亚太（除日本）指数和MSCI新兴市场指数的美元计价总回报率均有望达到18%，远超标普500指数15%的预期。风格方面，美国市场仍以成长股为主导，但在非美市场，价值股表现更优，打破了过去十年成长股一统天下的格局。高盛表示，金融、矿业等传统价值板块成功从“价值陷阱”转型为“价值创造者”，而科技资本支出的扩大也为“旧经济”中的基础设施相关领域带来了新的增长机遇。行业方面，收益拓宽趋势同样明显。2025年科技与金融（分别属于成长和价值板块）成为领涨行业，而房地产和医疗保健（分别属于周期和防御板块）则表现滞后，反映出成长与价值板块内部均有优质标的脱颖而出。标普500指数中，前七大科技巨头的盈利贡献占比将从2025年的50%降至2026年的46%，其余493家公司的盈利增速将从7%提升至9%，行业集中度进一步下降。AI红利：从核心巨头到广泛受益者的扩散2026年，AI红利将进一步扩散，受益范围从核心科技巨头延伸至更广泛的行业与企业。高盛强调，当前的科技股狂热并非破裂前的泡沫。与2000年互联网泡沫时期相比，当前的科技巨头拥有更强的资产负债表和实打实的现金流。然而，2025年初由DeepSeek引发的市场波动警示了投资者：AI竞争正在加剧，且成本结构正在变化。高盛观察到，五大AI超大规模计算商（Hyperscalers）之间的股票相关性已从80%暴跌至20%。这表明投资者不再盲目买入整个板块，而是开始挑剔谁是最终赢家。高盛认为，这种分化意味着，即便是在科技板块内部，多元化配置也能带来更优的风险调整后收益。报告指出，2026年，投资者将越来越关注科技行业之外的AI受益者，尤其是那些能利用AI及相关技术提升利润率和生产力的企业。科技资本支出的溢出效应将持续显现，推动工业、材料、金融等非科技板块中的相关企业实现增长，形成“AI+行业”的跨界增长浪潮，进一步拓宽牛市的行业覆盖面。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":544752835482968,"gmtCreate":1774005675702,"gmtModify":1774005678004,"author":{"id":"4090487371938690","authorId":"4090487371938690","name":"香蕉大皮也大","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090487371938690","idStr":"4090487371938690"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"国内哪个不是蒸馏","listText":"国内哪个不是蒸馏","text":"国内哪个不是蒸馏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/544752835482968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}