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2021-12-21

Too long to read

NIO Day 2021 总结：蔚来的引爆流行和我们的图穷匕见

2021-12-06

What's happening?

Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.<blockquote>理想汽车股价在港跌超14%，小鹏汽车跌近9%。</blockquote>

2021-11-15

Never heard this company am I outdated?

Dingdong Maicai jumped nearly 5% in premarket trading as its revenue rose 111% in the third quarter<blockquote>叮咚买菜第三季度营收增长111%，盘前交易上涨近5%</blockquote>

2021-11-12

$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$flying without me[流泪]

2021-11-12

$Cyberlux Corp.(CYBL)$happy

2021-11-05

$Progenity, Inc.(PROG)$aiming to 4

2021-11-05

Will it continue raising

2021-11-02

$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$finally a sign going up

2021-10-29

$Spire Global Inc.(SPIR)$please go up

2021-10-15

Squeezing...

BBIG stock surged another 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>BBIG股价在盘前交易中又飙升7%</blockquote>

2021-10-14

To my followers Spir is short squeeze play Due to unusual option activities Buy at 6 it worth 15 or higher

@anniepj:Intresting

2021-10-04

It will cost a million to fix this mess

Amplify Energy shares tumbled more than 35% in premarket trading<blockquote>Amplify Energy股价在盘前交易中暴跌超过35%</blockquote>

2021-10-02

Buy the roumer sell the news

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-29

Intresting

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-21

AgreeSometimes, it’s better to be safe than sorry

Why the Stock Market Tanked Monday—and What to Do About It<blockquote>为什么股市周一暴跌——以及该怎么办</blockquote>

2021-09-21

It will be nice if colour code the Higher and Lower in main articles.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-21

$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$ is this a test to your patince

2021-09-20

Too many competition I guess

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-20

Some small cap stocks are green

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-20

Article is good but a little too long to read on phone

抱歉，原内容已删除

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long to read","listText":"Too long to read","text":"Too long to read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693296688","repostId":"1134502403","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1134502403","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640011132,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134502403?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 22:38","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"NIO Day 2021 总结：蔚来的引爆流行和我们的图穷匕见","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134502403","media":"电动星球News","summary":"今天这篇文章其实不怎么说产品，甚至「战斗」气息会浓一点，先行预警。\n下面开始。\n\n在 NIO Day 2021 结束时，我在想 2021 年对于蔚来意味着什么？\n冒出来的第一个词是「关键转折」。\n李斌","content":"<p><b>今天这篇文章其实不怎么说产品，甚至「战斗」气息会浓一点，先行预警。</b></p>\n<p>下面开始。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f24152f0e483bf9c6ba41cbfdfd52825\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>在 NIO Day 2021 结束时，我在想 2021 年对于蔚来意味着什么？</p>\n<p><b>冒出来的第一个词是「关键转折」。</b></p>\n<p>李斌也说对于蔚来而言，2021 是标志性的一年。经历过疫情、走出 2019 年留下的创伤后遗症，他们找到机会重新做回了蔚来本来应该有的样子：这一年，蔚来的换电站猛增到 700 多座；这一年，蔚来做到了并持续了月销过万；</p>\n<p><b>想到的第二个词是「深蹲起跳」。</b></p>\n<p>说「深蹲」，是因为2021 年是蔚来事实上的产品空窗期，从产品角度也是它最难的一年。</p>\n<p>说「起跳」，则是因为在这最难的一年， ET7、ET5 两款产品的先后发布证，证明蔚来做了所有大家认为它应该做的事情，譬如：「真正围绕智能电动汽车、长期全栈技术去进行底层的研发投入。」</p>\n<p>ET5 发布后官方 App 被订单挤爆的「窘迫」只是这种「起跳」的备注或者说结果。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04466d0b6906f428a799b047cb645389\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"606\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>但在写下这个开头后，我却发现，如果围绕这两点来做 NIO Day 2021 的总结，一点都不「当代」。</p>\n<p>什么「当代」？</p>\n<p><b>需要「厘清」这个时代需要怎样的企业家，需要怎样的中国制造的「当代」。</b></p>\n<p>而「厘清」，很多时候都意味着「战斗」。</p>\n<p>所以，我重新选择了方向，关键词组两个「引爆流行」与「满足期待」，写下的文字也自然越来越「战斗」。</p>\n<p><b>一、引爆流行</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e96db25e9fa473975ad29ab13cd703aa\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>有本书叫做「引爆点」，谈的是流行如何兴起的，以及流行背后的规律。</p>\n<p>书中最核心的理念，就是认为流行是有规律的，而最开始一定是由内行的、核心的使用者发起的。</p>\n<p>这些「内行」发现了好的产品，就会像「邮差」一样，通过主动的传播，让这个产品不断突破圈层，引发小范围的盛行。</p>\n<p><b>到了某个时间节点，这样的「小范围盛行」则被引爆，成为「大众的流行」。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60c0c3dd0d2cf9f4d1b1e13a71c2f54f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>NIODay 2021 当晚，在听到 ET5 发布后现场的尖叫声、看到全网的热烈讨论、圈层内的疯狂推荐、乃至于蔚来官方 App 被预订订单挤爆的消息时，我突然想起了这本书，<b>并「发现」蔚来已经满足了这本书上关于流行的所有关键元素：</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n 一群内行的、有附着力和认同感的车主，「小范围的盛行」事实上是一个超过15万人的社群；\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n 一款更具性价比、并正在被这些「内行」广泛传播、突破圈层的新车，有九种颜色、BaaS后售价低至 25.58 万起的蔚来 ET5。\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>随后的观察，某种程度也印证了我突然的「发现」。</b></p>\n<p>譬如，某个特斯拉铁粉群中，虽然对蔚来还是有「意见」，但对 ET5 却大体是认可，反驳也主要集中在「它其实不如 Model 3 便宜」，或者「当 ET5 发布时，Cybertruck 就出来了。」</p>\n<p>又譬如，在玩赛车的小圈子内，ET5 也在被热烈讨论。以至于圈内的朋友说，看样子要了解下 ET5 了，真得要爆。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6674fb60723b8b1d83294fee9092afe\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>另一些观察，则让人苦笑不得，譬如，微博上集中涌现了对蔚来的「批</b></p>\n<p><b>评」。</b></p>\n<p>之所以哭笑不得，则在于这样的「集中批评」，除了偶尔「酸一酸」产品外，<b>很快都集中在「撕扯」李斌当晚的油车的表述上。</b></p>\n<p>譬如，「简直完全不明白大家为什么还买油车。我完全想不明白。说实话。我觉得怀旧才会买油车。油车除了能闻点汽油味，别的还有什么好？听个响？我认为这个事情有点像什么呢？今天买机械表的人都是讲情怀的。」</p>\n<p>又譬如：「以前确实早期电动汽车有很多使用不方便的地方。今天其实大部分场景下大家如果用惯了，其实哪有那么多焦虑。我一直说现在还说加电焦虑的，基本上都是汽油车用户操电动车用户的心。」</p>\n<p>暂且不论这句话是在当时的特殊语境（如何与BBA的油车竞争）下说出的，<b>从全球趋势、国家政策，乃至于我自己的角度来看，对于这句话的批评或许只能有一句：「瞎说什么大实话」。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d55032ae1dcae9010e794b574f3586d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>丰田前几日一口气发布了十几款电动汽车</p>\n<p><b>什么「大实话」？大势已立！</b></p>\n<p>奔驰现在在发什么旗舰车型？纯电动的EQS 呀！</p>\n<p>对电动车最抵制，甚至喊出「如果电动化会摧毁日本经济」的丰田现在在干嘛？全面电动化，一口气发了 15 台纯电动汽车呀！</p>\n<p>2021 年是什么年？汽车全面电动化的重要拐点年。中国的电动汽车的渗透率已经超过了 20%，也就是现在每卖出 100 台车，其中有 20 台是电动汽车。</p>\n<p>而从 20% 到全面流行需要多长时间？挪威说，三年！2018 年二季度，挪威的电动车渗透率突破 20%，而 2021 年已经是超过90%了。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/338815230677a2206c01ff25e5d51e34\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>那既然是「大实话」，为什么还有人要跳出来拼命「撕扯」？</b></p>\n<p>我想原因无非两个，</p>\n<p>一个是屁股指挥脑袋，因为<b>「带油」，所以要「扯」</b>；</p>\n<p>另一个则是有人试图狙击蔚来的「流行」，产品没办法了，只好从价值观上做文章，说什么「不真诚」、「不给用户选择」、「过度营销」等等</p>\n<p><b>只是，暂且不论李斌是不是一句话就能决定用户的「选择」，从价值观上去抨击蔚来、去指责李斌，其实是站不住脚的。</b></p>\n<p>在这里，我想推荐自己写过的一篇文章，叫做「蔚来的阳谋」。</p>\n<p>里面有一句话是这样说的：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 「对用户好是我们的目的，不是手段。当你不想这个手段事情的话，你会和别人做的不一样…..用户是很通透的，他们可以闻到这些味道。」\n</blockquote>\n<p>顺便去看看下面的评论，譬如这条来自车主@夏小博 的：</p>\n<blockquote>\n 「就很简单的一点，蔚来在把车卖给你以后，会介绍一堆朋友给你，不仅是车友，还有fellow。什么叫“朋友”？交往就仨字，不设防。就这仨字，传统车企需要做的功课，太多太多了。」\n</blockquote>\n<p>我觉得@夏小博 说得挺对，<b>因为批评蔚来、李斌是不是真诚、给不给用户选择，只有它的用户才有资格。</b></p>\n<p>其实，对于蔚来的友商而言，需要琢磨的是这句：<b>「用户企业跟顾客就是上帝有什么区别？」</b></p>\n<p><b>回到谈「流行」好了。</b></p>\n<p>其实，无论是从大的方面，也就是全球趋势、国家政策、20%渗透率这样的市场表现，还是从蔚来内部，也就是一群（超过15万人）内行的、高粘性、高推荐意向的用户、一款正被广泛推荐、高性价比的新车 ET5等等来来看，蔚来的「大众的流行」的确正在路上。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2c5e7d82d28c02759cb527b11eb4e50\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"790\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>当然，没人能预测「时间」，当下的判断更多来自逻辑，也部分来自情感。</p>\n<p><b>2022 年年底再看吧，看看流传出的这张媒体老师发言截图是否属实。</b></p>\n<p><b>二、满足期待</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c330d209e6d70ea4c9d256e52e52d275\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>「满足期待」，满足什么期待？</b></p>\n<p>当下国人对中国企业家的期待，对于真正能代表中国制造的期待，也就是中国的汽车产业，<b>需要联想的柳传志，还是华为的任正非或者福耀的曹德旺。</b></p>\n<p>希望在评论区看到大家的留言。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e62a3ce8eb34af263c0c7da35b9b62c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>而之所以觉得要写这一段，是因为在 18 日当晚的发布会后，我曾经参加了一场小规模的媒体见面会。</p>\n<p>李斌的「油车论」就是在这场发布会上泄出去的，但我为什么没写这个事？<b>因为它并不是这场小规模媒体见面会最有价值的内容。</b></p>\n<p>最有价值的内容，我认为是李斌说他<b>进入汽车行业后觉得自己做的最满意的一件事，以及蔚来为什么要进军海外。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17d75887d07525c885c3f0626f0592d0\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>先说第一个。</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n 「我讲一件事，我给自己打打广告，不好意思。我对我在这个行业里面做的最满意的一件事，不是做蔚来，而是参与创办了大学生方程式….. 每年培养几千学生动手能力」\n</blockquote>\n<p>当时已经是在沟通会尾声了，李斌突然这样说。</p>\n<p>他回忆，那是在2009的时候，易车正要上市。当时无论德国也好、日本也好、美国也好，都有这样大学生汽车竞赛的活动。「大学生花一年时间来搞车，早就特别传统了。」但中国当时已经很多汽车公司，却没有人支持这样的事情，这让李斌非常诧异。</p>\n<p>「我当时只好自己掏钱，第一年掏了两三百万，那个时候钱也不少了。」</p>\n<p>后来，一位媒体人发言说自己在 2013年 曾在易车负责这个项目。当年赞助的几支车队，到现在都跟他还有联系，很多当年的学生都进入了比如像博世这样一线企业。</p>\n<p>「今天我把我的票送给了当时一个车队队长，他亲自参与了ES6的冰雪测试的标定。」</p>\n<p>秦力洪则说，<b>刚才李斌讲了做大学生方程式做了十几年，蔚来在这个方面还是有点情怀的。</b>他们并不觉得到蔚来这儿来实习的，跟学校深度合作或者受了蔚来好处的大学生一定要到蔚来来工作。</p>\n<p>「我觉得对于人才这个事，我们从来认知都比较一致的。」</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7701badeead6f5b374eaab4c5fe3596\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>第二个让我认为有价值的内容则是李斌谈蔚来为何要进军海外？</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n 「我们一点都没有头部的心态，完全没有。我们觉得如果我们就只看某个局部，我们似乎还行。但如果放在全球的视野的角度去看，总要有一家公司代表中国去参与一个更高层面的竞争。」\n</blockquote>\n<p>不得不承认，中国现在虽然毫无疑问是个汽车大国，但却一直不是一个汽车强国。</p>\n<p>燃油车时代，即使在中国本土，卖得最好的车也是日本车、德国车，甚至是合资品牌的车。而放到全球市场、放到高端市场去打量，中国汽车行业真不敢说能拿出一两家能打的。</p>\n<p>当然，我不是说李斌和蔚来一定能成功，因为他们不是想去南美、俄罗斯、非洲卖卖车，而是要「2022年去德国卖，2025年之前肯定要去美国。」甚至是要在 2025 年前，在全球 25 个国家卖车。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fe71bac3b61e20f8824f03ff939b3b5\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>作为一家中国背景的公司，这样做的难度其实比大家想像的还要难十倍。</p>\n<p><b>这不是美国公司或者欧洲公司到中国来卖车，「我们是仰攻。」蔚来可能去了也会头破血流。肯定无数的陷阱和坑等着，但李斌说「总得有人去呀。」</b></p>\n<p>或许正因为这样，从蔚来成立一开始，他们就走了全球研发的路径，从德国慕尼黑、美国硅谷再到中国上海、合肥等地，都做了全面的布局.</p>\n<p>坚持正向研发，尤其是在关键技术，譬如电机、智能驾驶、智能座舱、智能算法等等领域的全栈自研。</p>\n<p><b>现在，他们柏林研发中心也即将投入使用。</b></p>\n<p>他们甚至从四年前就开始研究如何进入美国市场，「每个季度都要开一次会，讨论商业的计划，到底能给它带来什么体验，人家凭什么买我们的车？……怎么弄？其实是非常大的挑战。」</p>\n<p><b>我觉得这才是我想要的中国汽车公司，我想要的企业家。</b></p>\n<p>文章要结尾了，谈一谈标题的胡思乱想。</p>\n<p>曾经很认真想过：<b>谁是汽车行业的任正非，谁是汽车行业的柳传志？</b></p>\n<p>后来觉得写标题不太好，就没用。</p>\n<p>现在标题中的「<b>引爆流行」算是对蔚来的推理与期望，而「图穷匕见」则算是我对当下抹黑蔚来的不满和反击。</b></p>","source":"lsy1574414115752","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Day 2021 总结：蔚来的引爆流行和我们的图穷匕见</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ 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.h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Day 2021 总结：蔚来的引爆流行和我们的图穷匕见\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-12-20 22:38 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bJCw3TosZtxTQGJaQlXt7A><strong>电动星球News</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>今天这篇文章其实不怎么说产品，甚至「战斗」气息会浓一点，先行预警。\n下面开始。\n\n在 NIO Day 2021 结束时，我在想 2021 年对于蔚来意味着什么？\n冒出来的第一个词是「关键转折」。\n李斌也说对于蔚来而言，2021 是标志性的一年。经历过疫情、走出 2019 年留下的创伤后遗症，他们找到机会重新做回了蔚来本来应该有的样子：这一年，蔚来的换电站猛增到 700 多座；这一年，蔚来做到了并...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bJCw3TosZtxTQGJaQlXt7A\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29e13b5d5ed0cf033529756bdd667652","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","NIO":"蔚来","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bJCw3TosZtxTQGJaQlXt7A","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134502403","content_text":"今天这篇文章其实不怎么说产品，甚至「战斗」气息会浓一点，先行预警。\n下面开始。\n\n在 NIO Day 2021 结束时，我在想 2021 年对于蔚来意味着什么？\n冒出来的第一个词是「关键转折」。\n李斌也说对于蔚来而言，2021 是标志性的一年。经历过疫情、走出 2019 年留下的创伤后遗症，他们找到机会重新做回了蔚来本来应该有的样子：这一年，蔚来的换电站猛增到 700 多座；这一年，蔚来做到了并持续了月销过万；\n想到的第二个词是「深蹲起跳」。\n说「深蹲」，是因为2021 年是蔚来事实上的产品空窗期，从产品角度也是它最难的一年。\n说「起跳」，则是因为在这最难的一年， ET7、ET5 两款产品的先后发布证，证明蔚来做了所有大家认为它应该做的事情，譬如：「真正围绕智能电动汽车、长期全栈技术去进行底层的研发投入。」\nET5 发布后官方 App 被订单挤爆的「窘迫」只是这种「起跳」的备注或者说结果。\n\n但在写下这个开头后，我却发现，如果围绕这两点来做 NIO Day 2021 的总结，一点都不「当代」。\n什么「当代」？\n需要「厘清」这个时代需要怎样的企业家，需要怎样的中国制造的「当代」。\n而「厘清」，很多时候都意味着「战斗」。\n所以，我重新选择了方向，关键词组两个「引爆流行」与「满足期待」，写下的文字也自然越来越「战斗」。\n一、引爆流行\n\n有本书叫做「引爆点」，谈的是流行如何兴起的，以及流行背后的规律。\n书中最核心的理念，就是认为流行是有规律的，而最开始一定是由内行的、核心的使用者发起的。\n这些「内行」发现了好的产品，就会像「邮差」一样，通过主动的传播，让这个产品不断突破圈层，引发小范围的盛行。\n到了某个时间节点，这样的「小范围盛行」则被引爆，成为「大众的流行」。\n\nNIODay 2021 当晚，在听到 ET5 发布后现场的尖叫声、看到全网的热烈讨论、圈层内的疯狂推荐、乃至于蔚来官方 App 被预订订单挤爆的消息时，我突然想起了这本书，并「发现」蔚来已经满足了这本书上关于流行的所有关键元素：\n\n 一群内行的、有附着力和认同感的车主，「小范围的盛行」事实上是一个超过15万人的社群；\n\n\n 一款更具性价比、并正在被这些「内行」广泛传播、突破圈层的新车，有九种颜色、BaaS后售价低至 25.58 万起的蔚来 ET5。\n\n随后的观察，某种程度也印证了我突然的「发现」。\n譬如，某个特斯拉铁粉群中，虽然对蔚来还是有「意见」，但对 ET5 却大体是认可，反驳也主要集中在「它其实不如 Model 3 便宜」，或者「当 ET5 发布时，Cybertruck 就出来了。」\n又譬如，在玩赛车的小圈子内，ET5 也在被热烈讨论。以至于圈内的朋友说，看样子要了解下 ET5 了，真得要爆。\n\n另一些观察，则让人苦笑不得，譬如，微博上集中涌现了对蔚来的「批\n评」。\n之所以哭笑不得，则在于这样的「集中批评」，除了偶尔「酸一酸」产品外，很快都集中在「撕扯」李斌当晚的油车的表述上。\n譬如，「简直完全不明白大家为什么还买油车。我完全想不明白。说实话。我觉得怀旧才会买油车。油车除了能闻点汽油味，别的还有什么好？听个响？我认为这个事情有点像什么呢？今天买机械表的人都是讲情怀的。」\n又譬如：「以前确实早期电动汽车有很多使用不方便的地方。今天其实大部分场景下大家如果用惯了，其实哪有那么多焦虑。我一直说现在还说加电焦虑的，基本上都是汽油车用户操电动车用户的心。」\n暂且不论这句话是在当时的特殊语境（如何与BBA的油车竞争）下说出的，从全球趋势、国家政策，乃至于我自己的角度来看，对于这句话的批评或许只能有一句：「瞎说什么大实话」。\n\n丰田前几日一口气发布了十几款电动汽车\n什么「大实话」？大势已立！\n奔驰现在在发什么旗舰车型？纯电动的EQS 呀！\n对电动车最抵制，甚至喊出「如果电动化会摧毁日本经济」的丰田现在在干嘛？全面电动化，一口气发了 15 台纯电动汽车呀！\n2021 年是什么年？汽车全面电动化的重要拐点年。中国的电动汽车的渗透率已经超过了 20%，也就是现在每卖出 100 台车，其中有 20 台是电动汽车。\n而从 20% 到全面流行需要多长时间？挪威说，三年！2018 年二季度，挪威的电动车渗透率突破 20%，而 2021 年已经是超过90%了。\n\n那既然是「大实话」，为什么还有人要跳出来拼命「撕扯」？\n我想原因无非两个，\n一个是屁股指挥脑袋，因为「带油」，所以要「扯」；\n另一个则是有人试图狙击蔚来的「流行」，产品没办法了，只好从价值观上做文章，说什么「不真诚」、「不给用户选择」、「过度营销」等等\n只是，暂且不论李斌是不是一句话就能决定用户的「选择」，从价值观上去抨击蔚来、去指责李斌，其实是站不住脚的。\n在这里，我想推荐自己写过的一篇文章，叫做「蔚来的阳谋」。\n里面有一句话是这样说的：\n\n 「对用户好是我们的目的，不是手段。当你不想这个手段事情的话，你会和别人做的不一样…..用户是很通透的，他们可以闻到这些味道。」\n\n顺便去看看下面的评论，譬如这条来自车主@夏小博 的：\n\n 「就很简单的一点，蔚来在把车卖给你以后，会介绍一堆朋友给你，不仅是车友，还有fellow。什么叫“朋友”？交往就仨字，不设防。就这仨字，传统车企需要做的功课，太多太多了。」\n\n我觉得@夏小博 说得挺对，因为批评蔚来、李斌是不是真诚、给不给用户选择，只有它的用户才有资格。\n其实，对于蔚来的友商而言，需要琢磨的是这句：「用户企业跟顾客就是上帝有什么区别？」\n回到谈「流行」好了。\n其实，无论是从大的方面，也就是全球趋势、国家政策、20%渗透率这样的市场表现，还是从蔚来内部，也就是一群（超过15万人）内行的、高粘性、高推荐意向的用户、一款正被广泛推荐、高性价比的新车 ET5等等来来看，蔚来的「大众的流行」的确正在路上。\n\n当然，没人能预测「时间」，当下的判断更多来自逻辑，也部分来自情感。\n2022 年年底再看吧，看看流传出的这张媒体老师发言截图是否属实。\n二、满足期待\n\n「满足期待」，满足什么期待？\n当下国人对中国企业家的期待，对于真正能代表中国制造的期待，也就是中国的汽车产业，需要联想的柳传志，还是华为的任正非或者福耀的曹德旺。\n希望在评论区看到大家的留言。\n\n而之所以觉得要写这一段，是因为在 18 日当晚的发布会后，我曾经参加了一场小规模的媒体见面会。\n李斌的「油车论」就是在这场发布会上泄出去的，但我为什么没写这个事？因为它并不是这场小规模媒体见面会最有价值的内容。\n最有价值的内容，我认为是李斌说他进入汽车行业后觉得自己做的最满意的一件事，以及蔚来为什么要进军海外。\n\n先说第一个。\n\n 「我讲一件事，我给自己打打广告，不好意思。我对我在这个行业里面做的最满意的一件事，不是做蔚来，而是参与创办了大学生方程式….. 每年培养几千学生动手能力」\n\n当时已经是在沟通会尾声了，李斌突然这样说。\n他回忆，那是在2009的时候，易车正要上市。当时无论德国也好、日本也好、美国也好，都有这样大学生汽车竞赛的活动。「大学生花一年时间来搞车，早就特别传统了。」但中国当时已经很多汽车公司，却没有人支持这样的事情，这让李斌非常诧异。\n「我当时只好自己掏钱，第一年掏了两三百万，那个时候钱也不少了。」\n后来，一位媒体人发言说自己在 2013年 曾在易车负责这个项目。当年赞助的几支车队，到现在都跟他还有联系，很多当年的学生都进入了比如像博世这样一线企业。\n「今天我把我的票送给了当时一个车队队长，他亲自参与了ES6的冰雪测试的标定。」\n秦力洪则说，刚才李斌讲了做大学生方程式做了十几年，蔚来在这个方面还是有点情怀的。他们并不觉得到蔚来这儿来实习的，跟学校深度合作或者受了蔚来好处的大学生一定要到蔚来来工作。\n「我觉得对于人才这个事，我们从来认知都比较一致的。」\n\n第二个让我认为有价值的内容则是李斌谈蔚来为何要进军海外？\n\n 「我们一点都没有头部的心态，完全没有。我们觉得如果我们就只看某个局部，我们似乎还行。但如果放在全球的视野的角度去看，总要有一家公司代表中国去参与一个更高层面的竞争。」\n\n不得不承认，中国现在虽然毫无疑问是个汽车大国，但却一直不是一个汽车强国。\n燃油车时代，即使在中国本土，卖得最好的车也是日本车、德国车，甚至是合资品牌的车。而放到全球市场、放到高端市场去打量，中国汽车行业真不敢说能拿出一两家能打的。\n当然，我不是说李斌和蔚来一定能成功，因为他们不是想去南美、俄罗斯、非洲卖卖车，而是要「2022年去德国卖，2025年之前肯定要去美国。」甚至是要在 2025 年前，在全球 25 个国家卖车。\n\n作为一家中国背景的公司，这样做的难度其实比大家想像的还要难十倍。\n这不是美国公司或者欧洲公司到中国来卖车，「我们是仰攻。」蔚来可能去了也会头破血流。肯定无数的陷阱和坑等着，但李斌说「总得有人去呀。」\n或许正因为这样，从蔚来成立一开始，他们就走了全球研发的路径，从德国慕尼黑、美国硅谷再到中国上海、合肥等地，都做了全面的布局.\n坚持正向研发，尤其是在关键技术，譬如电机、智能驾驶、智能座舱、智能算法等等领域的全栈自研。\n现在，他们柏林研发中心也即将投入使用。\n他们甚至从四年前就开始研究如何进入美国市场，「每个季度都要开一次会，讨论商业的计划，到底能给它带来什么体验，人家凭什么买我们的车？……怎么弄？其实是非常大的挑战。」\n我觉得这才是我想要的中国汽车公司，我想要的企业家。\n文章要结尾了，谈一谈标题的胡思乱想。\n曾经很认真想过：谁是汽车行业的任正非，谁是汽车行业的柳传志？\n后来觉得写标题不太好，就没用。\n现在标题中的「引爆流行」算是对蔚来的推理与期望，而「图穷匕见」则算是我对当下抹黑蔚来的不满和反击。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3348,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608554055,"gmtCreate":1638764300876,"gmtModify":1638764300876,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What's happening?","listText":"What's happening?","text":"What's happening?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608554055","repostId":"1107533977","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107533977","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638754268,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107533977?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 09:31","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.<blockquote>理想汽车股价在港跌超14%，小鹏汽车跌近9%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107533977","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.","content":"<p>Li&nbsp;Auto&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;14%&nbsp;in&nbsp;Hong&nbsp;Kong&nbsp;and&nbsp;XPeng&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;9%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4c63a9e3fe26341f23934616826c6a2\" tg-width=\"747\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12cd5c05e050cc41f92f4263ac49921a\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>理想汽车股价在香港下跌超过14%，小鹏汽车下跌近9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.<blockquote>理想汽车股价在港跌超14%，小鹏汽车跌近9%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLi Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.<blockquote>理想汽车股价在港跌超14%，小鹏汽车跌近9%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-06 09:31</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Li&nbsp;Auto&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;14%&nbsp;in&nbsp;Hong&nbsp;Kong&nbsp;and&nbsp;XPeng&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;9%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4c63a9e3fe26341f23934616826c6a2\" tg-width=\"747\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12cd5c05e050cc41f92f4263ac49921a\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"606\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>理想汽车股价在香港下跌超过14%，小鹏汽车下跌近9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","02015":"理想汽车-W","09868":"小鹏汽车-W","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107533977","content_text":"Li Auto shares fell more than 14% in Hong Kong and XPeng fell nearly 9%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"02015":0.9,"09868":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873735885,"gmtCreate":1636986178114,"gmtModify":1636986178114,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Never heard this company am I outdated?","listText":"Never heard this company am I outdated?","text":"Never heard this company am I outdated?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873735885","repostId":"1174646217","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174646217","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636978518,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174646217?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-15 20:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dingdong Maicai jumped nearly 5% in premarket trading as its revenue rose 111% in the third quarter<blockquote>叮咚买菜第三季度营收增长111%，盘前交易上涨近5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174646217","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Dingdong Maicai jumped nearly 5% in premarket trading as its revenue rose 111% in the third quarter.","content":"<p>Dingdong Maicai jumped nearly 5% in premarket trading as its revenue rose 111%&nbsp;in the third quarter.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee97f1c52a1ae98633bdd95892c01bcb\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">According to the financial report, Dingdong Maicai's revenue in the third quarter of 2021 was 6.19 billion yuan, an increase of 111% over 2.934 billion yuan in the same period of last year.</p><p><blockquote>叮咚买菜第三季度营收增长111%，盘前交易股价上涨近5%。财报显示，叮咚买菜2021年第三季度营收为61.9亿元，较上年同期的29.34亿元增长111%。</blockquote></p><p> The GMV of Dingdong Maicai in the third quarter of 2021 was 7.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 107.7%. Dingdong Maicai's GMV growth rate in the mature Yangtze River Delta region is still as high as 64.8% year-on-year.</p><p><blockquote>叮咚买菜2021年第三季度GMV为70.2亿元，同比增速为107.7%。叮咚买菜在成熟的长三角地区GMV同比增速仍高达64.8%。</blockquote></p><p> By the end of the third quarter of 2021, Dingdong Maicai had 1,375 front warehouses in 37 cities across the country, and the number of cities entering increased by 185% compared with the same period of last year.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年三季度末，叮咚买菜在全国37个城市拥有1375个前置仓，入驻城市数量较去年同期增长185%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dingdong Maicai jumped nearly 5% in premarket trading as its revenue rose 111% in the third quarter<blockquote>叮咚买菜第三季度营收增长111%，盘前交易上涨近5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDingdong Maicai jumped nearly 5% in premarket trading as its revenue rose 111% in the third quarter<blockquote>叮咚买菜第三季度营收增长111%，盘前交易上涨近5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-15 20:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Dingdong Maicai jumped nearly 5% in premarket trading as its revenue rose 111%&nbsp;in the third quarter.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee97f1c52a1ae98633bdd95892c01bcb\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">According to the financial report, Dingdong Maicai's revenue in the third quarter of 2021 was 6.19 billion yuan, an increase of 111% over 2.934 billion yuan in the same period of last year.</p><p><blockquote>叮咚买菜第三季度营收增长111%，盘前交易股价上涨近5%。财报显示，叮咚买菜2021年第三季度营收为61.9亿元，较上年同期的29.34亿元增长111%。</blockquote></p><p> The GMV of Dingdong Maicai in the third quarter of 2021 was 7.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 107.7%. Dingdong Maicai's GMV growth rate in the mature Yangtze River Delta region is still as high as 64.8% year-on-year.</p><p><blockquote>叮咚买菜2021年第三季度GMV为70.2亿元，同比增速为107.7%。叮咚买菜在成熟的长三角地区GMV同比增速仍高达64.8%。</blockquote></p><p> By the end of the third quarter of 2021, Dingdong Maicai had 1,375 front warehouses in 37 cities across the country, and the number of cities entering increased by 185% compared with the same period of last year.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年三季度末，叮咚买菜在全国37个城市拥有1375个前置仓，入驻城市数量较去年同期增长185%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DDL":"叮咚买菜"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174646217","content_text":"Dingdong Maicai jumped nearly 5% in premarket trading as its revenue rose 111% in the third quarter.According to the financial report, Dingdong Maicai's revenue in the third quarter of 2021 was 6.19 billion yuan, an increase of 111% over 2.934 billion yuan in the same period of last year.\nThe GMV of Dingdong Maicai in the third quarter of 2021 was 7.02 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 107.7%. Dingdong Maicai's GMV growth rate in the mature Yangtze River Delta region is still as high as 64.8% year-on-year.\nBy the end of the third quarter of 2021, Dingdong Maicai had 1,375 front warehouses in 37 cities across the country, and the number of cities entering increased by 185% compared with the same period of last year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879919217,"gmtCreate":1636675956840,"gmtModify":1636675956840,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AGC\">$Altimeter Growth Corp.(AGC)$</a>flying without me[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYBL\">$Cyberlux Corp.(CYBL)$</a>happy","text":"$Cyberlux Corp.(CYBL)$happy","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2373b3d714c689290d29d3f834360fb5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879934809","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5900,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846615892,"gmtCreate":1636077597492,"gmtModify":1636077597492,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PROG\">$Progenity, Inc.(PROG)$</a>aiming to 4","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PROG\">$Progenity, Inc.(PROG)$</a>aiming to 4","text":"$Progenity, Inc.(PROG)$aiming to 4","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e3ef450a768cc6d9a34692d59393745","width":"1080","height":"3543"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846615892","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846196294,"gmtCreate":1636066287335,"gmtModify":1636066287335,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will it continue raising&nbsp;","listText":"Will it continue raising&nbsp;","text":"Will it continue raising","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75e0845004bc53757139acbac16027c5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846196294","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843814530,"gmtCreate":1635817197210,"gmtModify":1635817197210,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XELA\">$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$</a>finally a&nbsp;sign&nbsp;going up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XELA\">$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$</a>finally a&nbsp;sign&nbsp;going up","text":"$Exela Technologies, Inc.(XELA)$finally a sign going up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71a0ef4fc4ef3e9cf1f183763c1baad5","width":"1080","height":"2528"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843814530","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5065,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854589445,"gmtCreate":1635467923250,"gmtModify":1635467923250,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPIR\">$Spire Global Inc.(SPIR)$</a>please go up&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPIR\">$Spire Global Inc.(SPIR)$</a>please go up&nbsp;","text":"$Spire Global Inc.(SPIR)$please go up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854589445","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824818880,"gmtCreate":1634300551853,"gmtModify":1634300551853,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Squeezing...","listText":"Squeezing...","text":"Squeezing...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824818880","repostId":"1128013964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128013964","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634114646,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128013964?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 16:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BBIG stock surged another 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>BBIG股价在盘前交易中又飙升7%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128013964","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"BBIG stock surged another 7% in premarket trading after rising 20% yesterday.\n\nOne of the red-hot st","content":"<p>BBIG stock surged another 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;rising 20% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>BBIG股价继昨天上涨20%后，在盘前交易中又飙升7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a16b6bb2a5f5ceed34ed6561a7b64896\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"620\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> One of the red-hot stocks that’s generating a lot of retail investor interest of late is&nbsp;<b>Vinco Ventures</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>BBIG</u></b>). Indeed, yesterday’s 20 rise in BBIG stock is among a number of rallies over the past five trading days. Over this timeframe, BBIG stock has provided investors with gains of more than 20%. That is, for those with the guts to invest in this high-volatility name.</p><p><blockquote>最近引起散户投资者兴趣的热门股票之一是<b>Vinco Ventures</b>（纳斯达克：<b><u>BBIG</u></b>).事实上，BBIG股票昨天上涨20点是过去五个交易日中的一系列上涨之一。在此期间，BBIG股票为投资者带来了超过20%的涨幅。也就是说，对于那些有勇气投资这个高波动性名称的人来说。</blockquote></p><p> Putting BBIG stock in perspective, this is a company that started the year around $1.35 per share. Since then, shares soared to nearly $12.50 per share last month before settling down to below $5 per share last week. What was a near 10-bagger has turned into a five-bagger. For those holding onto this stock long term, perhaps this volatility is nothing to be concerned with.</p><p><blockquote>从BBIG股票的角度来看，这家公司今年年初的股价约为每股1.35美元。此后，该股上个月飙升至每股近12.50美元，上周跌至每股5美元以下。将近10袋的东西变成了5袋的东西。对于那些长期持有这只股票的人来说，也许这种波动没什么好担心的。</blockquote></p><p> One of the reasons behind the rapid ebb and flow of BBIG stock has been this company’s&nbsp;relatively high short interest. Indeed, any highly shorted stock is one that’s likely to give retail investors goosebumps. We’ve all seen the rallies in other short squeeze stocks this year.</p><p><blockquote>BBIG股票快速涨跌背后的原因之一是该公司相对较高的空头兴趣。事实上，任何被高度做空的股票都可能让散户投资者起鸡皮疙瘩。今年我们都看到了其他轧空股票的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> However, there’s another catalyst investors appear to be jumping. Let’s dive into what’s propelling Vinco Ventures higher right now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者似乎正在寻找另一个催化剂。让我们深入了解一下现在是什么推动Vinco Ventures走高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BBIG Stock Surges Ahead of Key Crypto Catalyst</b></p><p><blockquote><b>BBIG股价在关键加密货币催化剂之前飙升</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday, investors appear to be pricing in enthusiasm around a key crypto update set to be unveiled this Friday. Vinco Ventures recently provided investors with a&nbsp;proxy statement&nbsp;for a spinoff. Titled&nbsp;<b>Cryptyde</b>, this spinoff will aim to allow the company to&nbsp;leverage its blockchain technologies&nbsp;further. By doing so, the company will “disrupt consumer facing industries.”</p><p><blockquote>昨天，投资者似乎对将于本周五公布的关键加密更新充满热情。Vinco Ventures最近向投资者提供了一份分拆委托书。标题<b>隐窝</b>此次分拆旨在让该公司进一步利用其区块链技术。通过这样做，该公司将“颠覆面向消费者的行业”。</blockquote></p><p> Sounds good to me.</p><p><blockquote>听起来不错。</blockquote></p><p> Investors appear to be growing increasingly bullish on crypto-related stocks. Crypto prices have continued to surge in recent weeks. Accordingly, companies such as Vinco Ventures that are not only short-squeeze plays but also ones with crypto exposure, represent perhaps the holy grail for speculators right now.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎越来越看好加密货币相关股票。最近几周，加密货币价格持续飙升。因此，像Vinco Ventures这样的公司不仅是空头挤压公司，而且还拥有加密货币敞口，也许是目前投机者的圣杯。</blockquote></p><p> How this spinoff ultimately pans out remains to be seen. However, expectations are that BBIG stock could remain a highly volatile one for some time.</p><p><blockquote>这一分拆最终结果如何还有待观察。然而，预计BBIG股票可能会在一段时间内保持高度波动。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BBIG stock surged another 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>BBIG股价在盘前交易中又飙升7%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBBIG stock surged another 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>BBIG股价在盘前交易中又飙升7%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-13 16:44</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BBIG stock surged another 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;rising 20% yesterday.</p><p><blockquote>BBIG股价继昨天上涨20%后，在盘前交易中又飙升7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a16b6bb2a5f5ceed34ed6561a7b64896\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"620\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> One of the red-hot stocks that’s generating a lot of retail investor interest of late is&nbsp;<b>Vinco Ventures</b>(NASDAQ:<b><u>BBIG</u></b>). Indeed, yesterday’s 20 rise in BBIG stock is among a number of rallies over the past five trading days. Over this timeframe, BBIG stock has provided investors with gains of more than 20%. That is, for those with the guts to invest in this high-volatility name.</p><p><blockquote>最近引起散户投资者兴趣的热门股票之一是<b>Vinco Ventures</b>（纳斯达克：<b><u>BBIG</u></b>).事实上，BBIG股票昨天上涨20点是过去五个交易日中的一系列上涨之一。在此期间，BBIG股票为投资者带来了超过20%的涨幅。也就是说，对于那些有勇气投资这个高波动性名称的人来说。</blockquote></p><p> Putting BBIG stock in perspective, this is a company that started the year around $1.35 per share. Since then, shares soared to nearly $12.50 per share last month before settling down to below $5 per share last week. What was a near 10-bagger has turned into a five-bagger. For those holding onto this stock long term, perhaps this volatility is nothing to be concerned with.</p><p><blockquote>从BBIG股票的角度来看，这家公司今年年初的股价约为每股1.35美元。此后，该股上个月飙升至每股近12.50美元，上周跌至每股5美元以下。将近10袋的东西变成了5袋的东西。对于那些长期持有这只股票的人来说，也许这种波动没什么好担心的。</blockquote></p><p> One of the reasons behind the rapid ebb and flow of BBIG stock has been this company’s&nbsp;relatively high short interest. Indeed, any highly shorted stock is one that’s likely to give retail investors goosebumps. We’ve all seen the rallies in other short squeeze stocks this year.</p><p><blockquote>BBIG股票快速涨跌背后的原因之一是该公司相对较高的空头兴趣。事实上，任何被高度做空的股票都可能让散户投资者起鸡皮疙瘩。今年我们都看到了其他轧空股票的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> However, there’s another catalyst investors appear to be jumping. Let’s dive into what’s propelling Vinco Ventures higher right now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者似乎正在寻找另一个催化剂。让我们深入了解一下现在是什么推动Vinco Ventures走高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BBIG Stock Surges Ahead of Key Crypto Catalyst</b></p><p><blockquote><b>BBIG股价在关键加密货币催化剂之前飙升</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday, investors appear to be pricing in enthusiasm around a key crypto update set to be unveiled this Friday. Vinco Ventures recently provided investors with a&nbsp;proxy statement&nbsp;for a spinoff. Titled&nbsp;<b>Cryptyde</b>, this spinoff will aim to allow the company to&nbsp;leverage its blockchain technologies&nbsp;further. By doing so, the company will “disrupt consumer facing industries.”</p><p><blockquote>昨天，投资者似乎对将于本周五公布的关键加密更新充满热情。Vinco Ventures最近向投资者提供了一份分拆委托书。标题<b>隐窝</b>此次分拆旨在让该公司进一步利用其区块链技术。通过这样做，该公司将“颠覆面向消费者的行业”。</blockquote></p><p> Sounds good to me.</p><p><blockquote>听起来不错。</blockquote></p><p> Investors appear to be growing increasingly bullish on crypto-related stocks. Crypto prices have continued to surge in recent weeks. Accordingly, companies such as Vinco Ventures that are not only short-squeeze plays but also ones with crypto exposure, represent perhaps the holy grail for speculators right now.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎越来越看好加密货币相关股票。最近几周，加密货币价格持续飙升。因此，像Vinco Ventures这样的公司不仅是空头挤压公司，而且还拥有加密货币敞口，也许是目前投机者的圣杯。</blockquote></p><p> How this spinoff ultimately pans out remains to be seen. However, expectations are that BBIG stock could remain a highly volatile one for some time.</p><p><blockquote>这一分拆最终结果如何还有待观察。然而，预计BBIG股票可能会在一段时间内保持高度波动。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBIG":"Vinco Ventures, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128013964","content_text":"BBIG stock surged another 7% in premarket trading after rising 20% yesterday.\n\nOne of the red-hot stocks that’s generating a lot of retail investor interest of late is Vinco Ventures(NASDAQ:BBIG). Indeed, yesterday’s 20 rise in BBIG stock is among a number of rallies over the past five trading days. Over this timeframe, BBIG stock has provided investors with gains of more than 20%. That is, for those with the guts to invest in this high-volatility name.\nPutting BBIG stock in perspective, this is a company that started the year around $1.35 per share. Since then, shares soared to nearly $12.50 per share last month before settling down to below $5 per share last week. What was a near 10-bagger has turned into a five-bagger. For those holding onto this stock long term, perhaps this volatility is nothing to be concerned with.\nOne of the reasons behind the rapid ebb and flow of BBIG stock has been this company’s relatively high short interest. Indeed, any highly shorted stock is one that’s likely to give retail investors goosebumps. We’ve all seen the rallies in other short squeeze stocks this year.\nHowever, there’s another catalyst investors appear to be jumping. Let’s dive into what’s propelling Vinco Ventures higher right now.\nBBIG Stock Surges Ahead of Key Crypto Catalyst\nYesterday, investors appear to be pricing in enthusiasm around a key crypto update set to be unveiled this Friday. Vinco Ventures recently provided investors with a proxy statement for a spinoff. Titled Cryptyde, this spinoff will aim to allow the company to leverage its blockchain technologies further. By doing so, the company will “disrupt consumer facing industries.”\nSounds good to me.\nInvestors appear to be growing increasingly bullish on crypto-related stocks. Crypto prices have continued to surge in recent weeks. Accordingly, companies such as Vinco Ventures that are not only short-squeeze plays but also ones with crypto exposure, represent perhaps the holy grail for speculators right now.\nHow this spinoff ultimately pans out remains to be seen. However, expectations are that BBIG stock could remain a highly volatile one for some time.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBIG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3936,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822748248,"gmtCreate":1634173856774,"gmtModify":1634173856774,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To my followers&nbsp;Spir&nbsp; is short squeeze play&nbsp;&nbsp;Due to unusual option activities&nbsp;Buy at 6 it worth 15 or higher","listText":"To my followers&nbsp;Spir&nbsp; is short squeeze play&nbsp;&nbsp;Due to unusual option activities&nbsp;Buy at 6 it worth 15 or higher","text":"To my followers Spir is short squeeze play Due to unusual option activities Buy at 6 it worth 15 or higher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822748248","repostId":"862258963","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":862258963,"gmtCreate":1632884083200,"gmtModify":1632884083200,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Intresting&nbsp;","listText":"Intresting&nbsp;","text":"Intresting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862258963","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820319441,"gmtCreate":1633352638142,"gmtModify":1633402664159,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It will cost a million to fix this mess&nbsp;","listText":"It will cost a million to fix this mess&nbsp;","text":"It will cost a million to fix this mess","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820319441","repostId":"1132457075","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132457075","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1633335313,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132457075?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-04 16:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amplify Energy shares tumbled more than 35% in premarket trading<blockquote>Amplify Energy股价在盘前交易中暴跌超过35%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132457075","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Amplify Energy shares tumbled more than 35% in premarket trading.\nA large oil spill off the southern","content":"<p>Amplify&nbsp;Energy&nbsp;shares&nbsp;tumbled&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;35%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Amplify Energy股价在盘前交易中暴跌超过35%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/494a504bfe6d18b7e40d9678834b8417\" tg-width=\"891\" tg-height=\"629\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A large oil spill off the southern California coast left fish dead, birds mired in petroleum and wetlands contaminated, in what local officials called an environmental catastrophe.</p><p><blockquote>南加州海岸发生大规模石油泄漏，导致鱼类死亡，鸟类陷入石油泥潭，湿地受到污染，当地官员称之为环境灾难。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. Coast Guard, heading a clean-up response involving federal, state and city agencies, on Sunday announced an around-the-clock investigation into how the spill occurred.</p><p><blockquote>美国海岸警卫队领导了涉及联邦、州和城市机构的清理行动，周日宣布对泄漏事件的发生进行全天候调查。</blockquote></p><p> An estimated 126,000 gallons, or 3,000 barrels, had spread into an oil slick covering about 13 square miles of the Pacific Ocean since it was first reported on Saturday morning, Kim Carr, the mayor of Huntington Beach, told a news conference.</p><p><blockquote>亨廷顿海滩市长金·卡尔(Kim Carr)在新闻发布会上表示，自周六上午首次报道以来，估计已有126,000加仑（即3,000桶）的浮油扩散到覆盖约13平方英里的太平洋。</blockquote></p><p> She called the spill an \"environmental catastrophe\" and a \"potential ecological disaster\". The beachside city, about 40 miles (65 km) south of Los Angeles, was bearing the brunt of the spill.</p><p><blockquote>她称此次泄漏是一场“环境灾难”和“潜在的生态灾难”。这座位于洛杉矶以南约40英里（65公里）的海滨城市首当其冲。</blockquote></p><p> The spill was caused by a breach connected to the Elly oil rig and stretched from the Huntington Beach Pier down to Newport Beach, an area popular with surfers and sunbathers.</p><p><blockquote>泄漏是由与艾莉石油钻井平台相连的缺口造成的，从亨廷顿海滩码头一直延伸到新港海滩，这是一个受冲浪者和日光浴者欢迎的地区。</blockquote></p><p> Carr said the oil rig was operated by Beta Offshore, a California subsidiary of Houston-based Amplify Energy Corporation(AMPY.N). Calls to Beta and Amplify went unanswered.</p><p><blockquote>卡尔表示，该石油钻井平台由总部位于休斯顿的Amplify Energy Corporation（AMPY.N）的加州子公司Beta Offshore运营。评级呼叫Beta和Amplify没有得到答复。</blockquote></p><p> Martyn Willsher, CEO of Amplify Energy, says the&nbsp;pipeline has been shut off&nbsp;and any remaining oil in it had been suctioned off, preventing further releases.</p><p><blockquote>Amplify Energy首席执行官马丁·威尔舍(Martyn Willsher)表示，管道已被关闭，其中剩余的石油已被吸走，防止进一步泄漏。</blockquote></p><p> But not before an estimated 126K gallons of oil had been spilled, spoiling beaches and threatening wetlands south of Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote>但在此之前，估计有12.6万加仑的石油泄漏，破坏了海滩，威胁到洛杉矶南部的湿地。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amplify Energy shares tumbled more than 35% in premarket trading<blockquote>Amplify Energy股价在盘前交易中暴跌超过35%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmplify Energy shares tumbled more than 35% in premarket trading<blockquote>Amplify Energy股价在盘前交易中暴跌超过35%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-04 16:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amplify&nbsp;Energy&nbsp;shares&nbsp;tumbled&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;35%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Amplify Energy股价在盘前交易中暴跌超过35%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/494a504bfe6d18b7e40d9678834b8417\" tg-width=\"891\" tg-height=\"629\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A large oil spill off the southern California coast left fish dead, birds mired in petroleum and wetlands contaminated, in what local officials called an environmental catastrophe.</p><p><blockquote>南加州海岸发生大规模石油泄漏，导致鱼类死亡，鸟类陷入石油泥潭，湿地受到污染，当地官员称之为环境灾难。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. Coast Guard, heading a clean-up response involving federal, state and city agencies, on Sunday announced an around-the-clock investigation into how the spill occurred.</p><p><blockquote>美国海岸警卫队领导了涉及联邦、州和城市机构的清理行动，周日宣布对泄漏事件的发生进行全天候调查。</blockquote></p><p> An estimated 126,000 gallons, or 3,000 barrels, had spread into an oil slick covering about 13 square miles of the Pacific Ocean since it was first reported on Saturday morning, Kim Carr, the mayor of Huntington Beach, told a news conference.</p><p><blockquote>亨廷顿海滩市长金·卡尔(Kim Carr)在新闻发布会上表示，自周六上午首次报道以来，估计已有126,000加仑（即3,000桶）的浮油扩散到覆盖约13平方英里的太平洋。</blockquote></p><p> She called the spill an \"environmental catastrophe\" and a \"potential ecological disaster\". The beachside city, about 40 miles (65 km) south of Los Angeles, was bearing the brunt of the spill.</p><p><blockquote>她称此次泄漏是一场“环境灾难”和“潜在的生态灾难”。这座位于洛杉矶以南约40英里（65公里）的海滨城市首当其冲。</blockquote></p><p> The spill was caused by a breach connected to the Elly oil rig and stretched from the Huntington Beach Pier down to Newport Beach, an area popular with surfers and sunbathers.</p><p><blockquote>泄漏是由与艾莉石油钻井平台相连的缺口造成的，从亨廷顿海滩码头一直延伸到新港海滩，这是一个受冲浪者和日光浴者欢迎的地区。</blockquote></p><p> Carr said the oil rig was operated by Beta Offshore, a California subsidiary of Houston-based Amplify Energy Corporation(AMPY.N). Calls to Beta and Amplify went unanswered.</p><p><blockquote>卡尔表示，该石油钻井平台由总部位于休斯顿的Amplify Energy Corporation（AMPY.N）的加州子公司Beta Offshore运营。评级呼叫Beta和Amplify没有得到答复。</blockquote></p><p> Martyn Willsher, CEO of Amplify Energy, says the&nbsp;pipeline has been shut off&nbsp;and any remaining oil in it had been suctioned off, preventing further releases.</p><p><blockquote>Amplify Energy首席执行官马丁·威尔舍(Martyn Willsher)表示，管道已被关闭，其中剩余的石油已被吸走，防止进一步泄漏。</blockquote></p><p> But not before an estimated 126K gallons of oil had been spilled, spoiling beaches and threatening wetlands south of Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote>但在此之前，估计有12.6万加仑的石油泄漏，破坏了海滩，威胁到洛杉矶南部的湿地。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMPY":"Amplify Energy Corp."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132457075","content_text":"Amplify Energy shares tumbled more than 35% in premarket trading.\nA large oil spill off the southern California coast left fish dead, birds mired in petroleum and wetlands contaminated, in what local officials called an environmental catastrophe.\nThe U.S. Coast Guard, heading a clean-up response involving federal, state and city agencies, on Sunday announced an around-the-clock investigation into how the spill occurred.\nAn estimated 126,000 gallons, or 3,000 barrels, had spread into an oil slick covering about 13 square miles of the Pacific Ocean since it was first reported on Saturday morning, Kim Carr, the mayor of Huntington Beach, told a news conference.\nShe called the spill an \"environmental catastrophe\" and a \"potential ecological disaster\". The beachside city, about 40 miles (65 km) south of Los Angeles, was bearing the brunt of the spill.\nThe spill was caused by a breach connected to the Elly oil rig and stretched from the Huntington Beach Pier down to Newport Beach, an area popular with surfers and sunbathers.\nCarr said the oil rig was operated by Beta Offshore, a California subsidiary of Houston-based Amplify Energy Corporation(AMPY.N). Calls to Beta and Amplify went unanswered.\nMartyn Willsher, CEO of Amplify Energy, says the pipeline has been shut off and any remaining oil in it had been suctioned off, preventing further releases.\nBut not before an estimated 126K gallons of oil had been spilled, spoiling beaches and threatening wetlands south of Los Angeles.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1169,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864229335,"gmtCreate":1633109861305,"gmtModify":1633109861305,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the roumer sell the news","listText":"Buy the roumer sell the news","text":"Buy the roumer sell the news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864229335","repostId":"2172295185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862258963,"gmtCreate":1632884083200,"gmtModify":1632884083200,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Intresting&nbsp;","listText":"Intresting&nbsp;","text":"Intresting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862258963","repostId":"2171860242","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":869015316,"gmtCreate":1632227816935,"gmtModify":1632227816935,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AgreeSometimes, it’s better to be safe than sorry","listText":"AgreeSometimes, it’s better to be safe than sorry","text":"AgreeSometimes, it’s better to be safe than sorry","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869015316","repostId":"1173746472","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1173746472","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632221699,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173746472?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-21 18:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the Stock Market Tanked Monday—and What to Do About It<blockquote>为什么股市周一暴跌——以及该怎么办</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173746472","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The stock market tanked—and a correction may be in the offing. While China Evergrande is getting all","content":"<p>The stock market tanked—and a correction may be in the offing. While China Evergrande is getting all the attention, the real problem might be risks to earnings and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>股市暴跌，调整可能即将到来。尽管中国恒大受到了所有关注，但真正的问题可能是盈利和估值的风险。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.7% Monday, and the index is down 3.9% from its all-time high. That may just be the beginning, says Barry Bannister, Stifel’s chief equity strategist, who calls for the S&amp;P 500 to drop as much as 15% this year. “It’s the coalescing of multiple risks in the fourth quarter that cause us to be cautious through September and October,” Bannister says.</p><p><blockquote>标普500周一下跌1.7%，该指数较历史高点下跌3.9%。Stifel首席股票策略师Barry Bannister表示，这可能只是一个开始，他预计标普500今年将下跌15%。班尼斯特表示：“第四季度多种风险的结合导致我们在9月和10月保持谨慎。”</blockquote></p><p> While Evergrande gets the headlines, the bigger problem right now might be U.S. earnings. The companies in the S&amp;P 500 are expected to earn $217.95 in 2022, up 9.4% from 2021, but there’s plenty of downside risk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然恒大成为头条新闻，但目前更大的问题可能是美国的盈利。标普500公司预计2022年盈利217.95美元，较2021年增长9.4%，但存在很大下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> Supply-chain constraints are hampering companies’ ability to meet sales expectations, while costs continue to rise. Companies from industrial-materials maker PPG Industries (ticker: PPG) to home builder PulteGroup (PHM), have announced that sales and profits for 2021 won’t meet expectations. Investors will get a clearer picture of the supply chain issue when companies report their quarterly earnings this fall.</p><p><blockquote>供应链限制阻碍了公司满足销售预期的能力，而成本持续上升。从工业材料制造商PPG Industries（股票代码：PPG）到住宅建筑商PulteGroup(PHM)等公司都宣布2021年的销售额和利润将达不到预期。当公司今年秋季公布季度收益时，投资者将更清楚地了解供应链问题。</blockquote></p><p> “One question that’s going to start creeping in once we get to the third quarter is how much of the supply chain disruptions and inability to meet demand is going hit companies’ bottom lines,” says Yung Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets. “That’s becoming much more acute.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO资本市场首席投资策略师Yung Yu Ma表示：“一旦进入第三季度，一个问题将开始出现，那就是供应链中断和无法满足需求将在多大程度上影响公司的利润。”。“这种情况变得更加严重。”</blockquote></p><p> The other risk to profits that markets have largely ignored is higher corporate taxes. Goldman Sachs strategists say 2022 earnings per share on the S&amp;P 500 could fall roughly 5% with a corporate tax hike to 25% from the current 21%—and House Democrats recently proposed an increase to 26.5%. With aggregate 2022 analyst estimates for S&amp;P 500 EPS at $217.95, therefore, EPS could fall to $207. At a current 21 times, the index could drop 5% on a corporate tax hike—assuming the forward earnings multiple remains the same.</p><p><blockquote>市场基本上忽视的另一个利润风险是更高的公司税。高盛策略师表示，如果公司税从目前的21%上调至25%，标普500 2022年每股收益可能会下降约5%，而众议院民主党人最近提议将税率上调至26.5%。因此，分析师对标普500 2022年每股收益的总体预期为217.95美元，每股收益可能会降至207美元。以目前的21倍计算，假设预期市盈率保持不变，该指数可能会因公司税上调而下跌5%。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good chance it won’t. One major reason the S&amp;P 500’s average valuation is above its prepandemic level of 19 times—it currently trades at 20.4 times 12-month forward earnings—is because the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen to 1.31% from 1.8% before the pandemic. Lower bond yields make future profits more valuable.</p><p><blockquote>很有可能不会。标普500平均估值高于疫情前19倍水平（目前12个月预期市盈率为20.4倍）的一个主要原因是10年期国债收益率已从疫情前的1.8%降至1.31%。较低的债券收益率使未来的利润更有价值。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good chance yields are heading higher. The Federal Reserve has recently been buying tens of billions of dollars in Treasury bonds a month, driving bond prices up and yields down. But the central bank is now signaling it will wind that program down as soon as this year to zero dollars within a few quarters, which means less money into bonds, lower prices, and higher yields. (We’ll learn more Wednesday when the Fed releases its monetary policy statement.) That catalyst could drive the 10-year Treasury yield back up to 1.8% by year-end and the S&amp;P 500’s multiple down to 19 times, writes Mike Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley.</p><p><blockquote>收益率很有可能会走高。美联储最近一直在每月购买数百亿美元的国债，推动债券价格上涨，收益率下降。但央行现在表示，最快将于今年在几个季度内将该计划缩减至零美元，这意味着投入债券的资金减少、价格下降和收益率上升。（周三美联储发布货币政策声明时我们将了解更多信息。）Mike Wilson写道，这一催化剂可能会推动10年期国债收益率在年底前回升至1.8%，标普500的市盈率降至19倍。摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师。</blockquote></p><p> Combine the lower valuations with the drop in earnings estimates and the S&amp;P 500 could have a lot further to fall. If the index trades at 19 times 2022 earnings of $207, the S&amp;P 500 would trade at 3914, about 10% lower than its current level. If EPS is lower than that because of supply chain problems, the market could fall even harder. Wilson’s worst-case scenario estimate for the index is 3,700 by June, a 15% drop.</p><p><blockquote>将较低的估值与盈利预期的下降结合起来，标普500可能会进一步下跌。如果该指数的交易价格是2022年市盈率207美元的19倍，标普500的交易价格将为3914美元，比当前水平低约10%。如果由于供应链问题导致每股收益低于该水平，市场可能会下跌得更厉害。威尔逊对该指数的最坏情况估计到6月份为3,700点，下降15%。</blockquote></p><p> That means there is still time for investors to play defense. Part of a potential correction would be driven by fears of slower economic growth—and that means investors should own stocks with earnings streams that are less sensitive to changes in economic demand, such as consumer staples, healthcare, utilities, real estate, and telecommunications. History bears that out—when the S&amp;P 500 drops 10%, going back to 1990, those five sectors return about 1%, on average, according to Stifel’s Bannister. “Defensives are a good place to hide if you’re in a September or October coalescing of risks,” says Bannister.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者仍有时间进行防御。潜在调整的部分原因是对经济增长放缓的担忧，这意味着投资者应该持有盈利流对经济需求变化不太敏感的股票，例如必需消费品、医疗保健、公用事业、房地产和电信。历史证明了这一点——根据Stifel的Bannister的说法，从1990年开始，当标普500下跌10%时，这五个行业的平均回报率约为1%。班尼斯特表示：“如果你正处于九月或十月的风险集中时期，防御措施是一个很好的藏身之处。”</blockquote></p><p> Of course, there’s one more place investors can hide: cash. Not only does cash enable investors to load up on stocks when they dip, but if stock and Treasury prices fall, cash will hold its value save for the impact of inflation. The “least attractive asset is sometimes the best asset,” Bannister says.</p><p><blockquote>当然，投资者还有一个可以藏身的地方：现金。现金不仅使投资者能够在股票下跌时买入股票，而且如果股票和国债价格下跌，除了通货膨胀的影响外，现金将保持其价值。班尼斯特说，“最没有吸引力的资产有时是最好的资产”。</blockquote></p><p> Sometimes, it’s better to be safe than sorry.</p><p><blockquote>有时候，安全总比后悔好。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the Stock Market Tanked Monday—and What to Do About It<blockquote>为什么股市周一暴跌——以及该怎么办</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the Stock Market Tanked Monday—and What to Do About It<blockquote>为什么股市周一暴跌——以及该怎么办</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-21 18:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stock market tanked—and a correction may be in the offing. While China Evergrande is getting all the attention, the real problem might be risks to earnings and valuations.</p><p><blockquote>股市暴跌，调整可能即将到来。尽管中国恒大受到了所有关注，但真正的问题可能是盈利和估值的风险。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.7% Monday, and the index is down 3.9% from its all-time high. That may just be the beginning, says Barry Bannister, Stifel’s chief equity strategist, who calls for the S&amp;P 500 to drop as much as 15% this year. “It’s the coalescing of multiple risks in the fourth quarter that cause us to be cautious through September and October,” Bannister says.</p><p><blockquote>标普500周一下跌1.7%，该指数较历史高点下跌3.9%。Stifel首席股票策略师Barry Bannister表示，这可能只是一个开始，他预计标普500今年将下跌15%。班尼斯特表示：“第四季度多种风险的结合导致我们在9月和10月保持谨慎。”</blockquote></p><p> While Evergrande gets the headlines, the bigger problem right now might be U.S. earnings. The companies in the S&amp;P 500 are expected to earn $217.95 in 2022, up 9.4% from 2021, but there’s plenty of downside risk.</p><p><blockquote>虽然恒大成为头条新闻，但目前更大的问题可能是美国的盈利。标普500公司预计2022年盈利217.95美元，较2021年增长9.4%，但存在很大下行风险。</blockquote></p><p> Supply-chain constraints are hampering companies’ ability to meet sales expectations, while costs continue to rise. Companies from industrial-materials maker PPG Industries (ticker: PPG) to home builder PulteGroup (PHM), have announced that sales and profits for 2021 won’t meet expectations. Investors will get a clearer picture of the supply chain issue when companies report their quarterly earnings this fall.</p><p><blockquote>供应链限制阻碍了公司满足销售预期的能力，而成本持续上升。从工业材料制造商PPG Industries（股票代码：PPG）到住宅建筑商PulteGroup(PHM)等公司都宣布2021年的销售额和利润将达不到预期。当公司今年秋季公布季度收益时，投资者将更清楚地了解供应链问题。</blockquote></p><p> “One question that’s going to start creeping in once we get to the third quarter is how much of the supply chain disruptions and inability to meet demand is going hit companies’ bottom lines,” says Yung Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets. “That’s becoming much more acute.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO资本市场首席投资策略师Yung Yu Ma表示：“一旦进入第三季度，一个问题将开始出现，那就是供应链中断和无法满足需求将在多大程度上影响公司的利润。”。“这种情况变得更加严重。”</blockquote></p><p> The other risk to profits that markets have largely ignored is higher corporate taxes. Goldman Sachs strategists say 2022 earnings per share on the S&amp;P 500 could fall roughly 5% with a corporate tax hike to 25% from the current 21%—and House Democrats recently proposed an increase to 26.5%. With aggregate 2022 analyst estimates for S&amp;P 500 EPS at $217.95, therefore, EPS could fall to $207. At a current 21 times, the index could drop 5% on a corporate tax hike—assuming the forward earnings multiple remains the same.</p><p><blockquote>市场基本上忽视的另一个利润风险是更高的公司税。高盛策略师表示，如果公司税从目前的21%上调至25%，标普500 2022年每股收益可能会下降约5%，而众议院民主党人最近提议将税率上调至26.5%。因此，分析师对标普500 2022年每股收益的总体预期为217.95美元，每股收益可能会降至207美元。以目前的21倍计算，假设预期市盈率保持不变，该指数可能会因公司税上调而下跌5%。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good chance it won’t. One major reason the S&amp;P 500’s average valuation is above its prepandemic level of 19 times—it currently trades at 20.4 times 12-month forward earnings—is because the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen to 1.31% from 1.8% before the pandemic. Lower bond yields make future profits more valuable.</p><p><blockquote>很有可能不会。标普500平均估值高于疫情前19倍水平（目前12个月预期市盈率为20.4倍）的一个主要原因是10年期国债收益率已从疫情前的1.8%降至1.31%。较低的债券收益率使未来的利润更有价值。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good chance yields are heading higher. The Federal Reserve has recently been buying tens of billions of dollars in Treasury bonds a month, driving bond prices up and yields down. But the central bank is now signaling it will wind that program down as soon as this year to zero dollars within a few quarters, which means less money into bonds, lower prices, and higher yields. (We’ll learn more Wednesday when the Fed releases its monetary policy statement.) That catalyst could drive the 10-year Treasury yield back up to 1.8% by year-end and the S&amp;P 500’s multiple down to 19 times, writes Mike Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley.</p><p><blockquote>收益率很有可能会走高。美联储最近一直在每月购买数百亿美元的国债，推动债券价格上涨，收益率下降。但央行现在表示，最快将于今年在几个季度内将该计划缩减至零美元，这意味着投入债券的资金减少、价格下降和收益率上升。（周三美联储发布货币政策声明时我们将了解更多信息。）Mike Wilson写道，这一催化剂可能会推动10年期国债收益率在年底前回升至1.8%，标普500的市盈率降至19倍。摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师。</blockquote></p><p> Combine the lower valuations with the drop in earnings estimates and the S&amp;P 500 could have a lot further to fall. If the index trades at 19 times 2022 earnings of $207, the S&amp;P 500 would trade at 3914, about 10% lower than its current level. If EPS is lower than that because of supply chain problems, the market could fall even harder. Wilson’s worst-case scenario estimate for the index is 3,700 by June, a 15% drop.</p><p><blockquote>将较低的估值与盈利预期的下降结合起来，标普500可能会进一步下跌。如果该指数的交易价格是2022年市盈率207美元的19倍，标普500的交易价格将为3914美元，比当前水平低约10%。如果由于供应链问题导致每股收益低于该水平，市场可能会下跌得更厉害。威尔逊对该指数的最坏情况估计到6月份为3,700点，下降15%。</blockquote></p><p> That means there is still time for investors to play defense. Part of a potential correction would be driven by fears of slower economic growth—and that means investors should own stocks with earnings streams that are less sensitive to changes in economic demand, such as consumer staples, healthcare, utilities, real estate, and telecommunications. History bears that out—when the S&amp;P 500 drops 10%, going back to 1990, those five sectors return about 1%, on average, according to Stifel’s Bannister. “Defensives are a good place to hide if you’re in a September or October coalescing of risks,” says Bannister.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者仍有时间进行防御。潜在调整的部分原因是对经济增长放缓的担忧，这意味着投资者应该持有盈利流对经济需求变化不太敏感的股票，例如必需消费品、医疗保健、公用事业、房地产和电信。历史证明了这一点——根据Stifel的Bannister的说法，从1990年开始，当标普500下跌10%时，这五个行业的平均回报率约为1%。班尼斯特表示：“如果你正处于九月或十月的风险集中时期，防御措施是一个很好的藏身之处。”</blockquote></p><p> Of course, there’s one more place investors can hide: cash. Not only does cash enable investors to load up on stocks when they dip, but if stock and Treasury prices fall, cash will hold its value save for the impact of inflation. The “least attractive asset is sometimes the best asset,” Bannister says.</p><p><blockquote>当然，投资者还有一个可以藏身的地方：现金。现金不仅使投资者能够在股票下跌时买入股票，而且如果股票和国债价格下跌，除了通货膨胀的影响外，现金将保持其价值。班尼斯特说，“最没有吸引力的资产有时是最好的资产”。</blockquote></p><p> Sometimes, it’s better to be safe than sorry.</p><p><blockquote>有时候，安全总比后悔好。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/stock-market-correction-china-evergrande-51632171467?mod=mw_latestnews\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/stock-market-correction-china-evergrande-51632171467?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173746472","content_text":"The stock market tanked—and a correction may be in the offing. While China Evergrande is getting all the attention, the real problem might be risks to earnings and valuations.\nThe S&P 500 dropped 1.7% Monday, and the index is down 3.9% from its all-time high. That may just be the beginning, says Barry Bannister, Stifel’s chief equity strategist, who calls for the S&P 500 to drop as much as 15% this year. “It’s the coalescing of multiple risks in the fourth quarter that cause us to be cautious through September and October,” Bannister says.\nWhile Evergrande gets the headlines, the bigger problem right now might be U.S. earnings. The companies in the S&P 500 are expected to earn $217.95 in 2022, up 9.4% from 2021, but there’s plenty of downside risk.\nSupply-chain constraints are hampering companies’ ability to meet sales expectations, while costs continue to rise. Companies from industrial-materials maker PPG Industries (ticker: PPG) to home builder PulteGroup (PHM), have announced that sales and profits for 2021 won’t meet expectations. Investors will get a clearer picture of the supply chain issue when companies report their quarterly earnings this fall.\n“One question that’s going to start creeping in once we get to the third quarter is how much of the supply chain disruptions and inability to meet demand is going hit companies’ bottom lines,” says Yung Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets. “That’s becoming much more acute.”\nThe other risk to profits that markets have largely ignored is higher corporate taxes. Goldman Sachs strategists say 2022 earnings per share on the S&P 500 could fall roughly 5% with a corporate tax hike to 25% from the current 21%—and House Democrats recently proposed an increase to 26.5%. With aggregate 2022 analyst estimates for S&P 500 EPS at $217.95, therefore, EPS could fall to $207. At a current 21 times, the index could drop 5% on a corporate tax hike—assuming the forward earnings multiple remains the same.\nThere’s a good chance it won’t. One major reason the S&P 500’s average valuation is above its prepandemic level of 19 times—it currently trades at 20.4 times 12-month forward earnings—is because the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen to 1.31% from 1.8% before the pandemic. Lower bond yields make future profits more valuable.\nThere’s a good chance yields are heading higher. The Federal Reserve has recently been buying tens of billions of dollars in Treasury bonds a month, driving bond prices up and yields down. But the central bank is now signaling it will wind that program down as soon as this year to zero dollars within a few quarters, which means less money into bonds, lower prices, and higher yields. (We’ll learn more Wednesday when the Fed releases its monetary policy statement.) That catalyst could drive the 10-year Treasury yield back up to 1.8% by year-end and the S&P 500’s multiple down to 19 times, writes Mike Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley.\nCombine the lower valuations with the drop in earnings estimates and the S&P 500 could have a lot further to fall. If the index trades at 19 times 2022 earnings of $207, the S&P 500 would trade at 3914, about 10% lower than its current level. If EPS is lower than that because of supply chain problems, the market could fall even harder. Wilson’s worst-case scenario estimate for the index is 3,700 by June, a 15% drop.\nThat means there is still time for investors to play defense. Part of a potential correction would be driven by fears of slower economic growth—and that means investors should own stocks with earnings streams that are less sensitive to changes in economic demand, such as consumer staples, healthcare, utilities, real estate, and telecommunications. History bears that out—when the S&P 500 drops 10%, going back to 1990, those five sectors return about 1%, on average, according to Stifel’s Bannister. “Defensives are a good place to hide if you’re in a September or October coalescing of risks,” says Bannister.\nOf course, there’s one more place investors can hide: cash. Not only does cash enable investors to load up on stocks when they dip, but if stock and Treasury prices fall, cash will hold its value save for the impact of inflation. The “least attractive asset is sometimes the best asset,” Bannister says.\nSometimes, it’s better to be safe than sorry.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860530053,"gmtCreate":1632186918772,"gmtModify":1632186918772,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It will be nice if colour code the Higher and Lower in main articles.","listText":"It will be nice if colour code the Higher and Lower in main articles.","text":"It will be nice if colour code the Higher and Lower in main articles.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860530053","repostId":"2169533684","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860694814,"gmtCreate":1632169894538,"gmtModify":1632169894538,"author":{"id":"4090766437045130","authorId":"4090766437045130","name":"anniepj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04e1ab86470d448d1d57219f01a4f8fb","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090766437045130","idStr":"4090766437045130"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYRN\">$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$</a> is this a test to your patince&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CYRN\">$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$</a> is this a test to your patince&nbsp;","text":"$Cyren Ltd(CYRN)$ is this a test to your patince","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9c9b517449d03b90f879396110129b1","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860694814","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3563314803922666","authorId":"3563314803922666","name":"名字不好起起起起起","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3563314803922666","idStr":"3563314803922666"},"content":"咱俩同款啊 哈哈哈","text":"咱俩同款啊 哈哈哈","html":"咱俩同款啊 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