Xiaobaibaix的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Xiaobaibaix

Xiaobaibaix

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28粉丝

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0勋章

2021-12-16

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$T.T

2021-12-05

Goooo paypall

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-05

HODL HODL

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-24

Lets gooooo 10x

2021-11-19

$HUA MEDICINE-B(02552)$Weeeee

2021-11-17

$HUA MEDICINE-B(02552)$Anytime now before commercialisation heheh

2021-11-12

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$up up up uppp

2021-11-12

$Intel(INTC)$come onnnnn heheheh

2021-11-11

$HUA MEDICINE-B(02552)$This is a very good stock to own :)

2021-11-10

$Intel(INTC)$Gooo intel heheh

2021-11-10

$HUA MEDICINE-B(02552)$To the mooooon

2021-11-09

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$Crypto is hottt

2021-11-09

$HUA MEDICINE-B(02552)$hehehe

2021-11-09

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$Gogogogo stay strongg weee

2021-11-09

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$yayyy

2021-11-07

$Pfizer(PFE)$Goooo pfizerr

2021-11-07

GOOOO MODERNAAA

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-06

$Intel(INTC)$lets gooo intel

2021-11-06

$Pfizer(PFE)$Hehehehe

2021-11-05

$Intel(INTC)$Gooo intel hehehe

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weee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866195453","repostId":"1125374890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125374890","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632744172,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125374890?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-27 20:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125374890","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Futures tracking the Dow and the S&P 500 index edged lower on Monday, as investors pivoted towards e","content":"<p>Futures tracking the Dow and the S&amp;P 500 index edged lower on Monday, as investors pivoted towards economically sensitive sectors, with focus turning towards upcoming economic readings and ongoing talks over increased government spending.</p>\n<p>At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 80 points, or 0.23%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 3 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 82 points, or 0.54%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4dd720e715d3a3b5dbc5f98f96311fd\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Oil majors Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corp rose 1.8% and 1.7% in premarket trade, respectively, tracking crude prices, while big lenders including JPMorgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America Corp gained about 0.8%.</p>\n<p>Investors will now watch for a raft of economic indicators, including durable goods orders and the ISM manufacturing index this week to gauge the pace of the recovery, as well as bipartisan talks over raising the $28.4 trillion debt ceiling.</p>\n<p>The U.S. Congress faces a Sept. 30 deadline to prevent the second partial government shutdown in three years, while a vote on the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill is scheduled for Thursday.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>Alphabet</b><b>(GOOGL) </b>– Alphabet’s Google unit&nbsp;will cut the commissions&nbsp;it collects on third-party software sales in its Cloud Marketplace. That’s according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC, who said Google will now collect just 3% of sales compared to the prior 20%.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla</b><b>(TSLA) </b>– Tesla&nbsp;rolled out a software update&nbsp;that allows customers to request access to its Full Self-Driving beta software. Access will be granted to Tesla drivers who get a sufficiently high safety score.</p>\n<p><b>Gores Guggenheim</b><b>(GGPI)</b> – The special purpose acquisition company&nbsp;will take electric car maker Polestar public&nbsp;through a merger, at a valuation of $20 billion including debt. Polestar is controlled by car maker Volvo and its parent Zhejiang Geely Holding Group. Gores rose 3.5% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>Acceleron Pharma</b><b>(XLRN) </b>– Acceleron is in talks to be acquired by an unidentified large pharmaceutical company for about $180 per share, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg.Bristol-Myers Squibb(BMY) is considered one potential candidate, as it already owns an 11.5% stake in Acceleron.</p>\n<p><b>Box(BOX) </b>– Box was upgraded to “market outperform” from “market perform” at JMP Securities, which cited the cloud computing company’s execution among other factors. Box added 2% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Altice USA(ATUS)</b> – The broadband and video company was downgraded to “neutral” from “outperform” at Credit Suisse, which notes the likely short-term negative impact from an aggressive fiber buildout strategy. Altice USA slid 1.6% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>Toyota Motor(TM)</b> – The automaker’s shares rose 1.3% in the premarket after the company said it had completed a 25.8 million share buyback.</p>\n<p><b>Best Buy(BBY)</b> – The electronics retailer was named a “top idea” at Piper Sandler, which is enthusiastic about the upcoming rollout of Best Buy’s new “Best Buy Total Tech” membership program.</p>\n<p><b>Gannett(GCI) </b>– The USA Today publisher said it was seeking to refinance up to $550 million in senior secured debt. Gannett said its plan was subject to market conditions and that there is no assurance it will be able to execute the refinancing.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title> Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-27 20:02</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Futures tracking the Dow and the S&amp;P 500 index edged lower on Monday, as investors pivoted towards economically sensitive sectors, with focus turning towards upcoming economic readings and ongoing talks over increased government spending.</p>\n<p>At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 80 points, or 0.23%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 3 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 82 points, or 0.54%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4dd720e715d3a3b5dbc5f98f96311fd\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Oil majors Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corp rose 1.8% and 1.7% in premarket trade, respectively, tracking crude prices, while big lenders including JPMorgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America Corp gained about 0.8%.</p>\n<p>Investors will now watch for a raft of economic indicators, including durable goods orders and the ISM manufacturing index this week to gauge the pace of the recovery, as well as bipartisan talks over raising the $28.4 trillion debt ceiling.</p>\n<p>The U.S. Congress faces a Sept. 30 deadline to prevent the second partial government shutdown in three years, while a vote on the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill is scheduled for Thursday.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>Alphabet</b><b>(GOOGL) </b>– Alphabet’s Google unit&nbsp;will cut the commissions&nbsp;it collects on third-party software sales in its Cloud Marketplace. That’s according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC, who said Google will now collect just 3% of sales compared to the prior 20%.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla</b><b>(TSLA) </b>– Tesla&nbsp;rolled out a software update&nbsp;that allows customers to request access to its Full Self-Driving beta software. Access will be granted to Tesla drivers who get a sufficiently high safety score.</p>\n<p><b>Gores Guggenheim</b><b>(GGPI)</b> – The special purpose acquisition company&nbsp;will take electric car maker Polestar public&nbsp;through a merger, at a valuation of $20 billion including debt. Polestar is controlled by car maker Volvo and its parent Zhejiang Geely Holding Group. Gores rose 3.5% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>Acceleron Pharma</b><b>(XLRN) </b>– Acceleron is in talks to be acquired by an unidentified large pharmaceutical company for about $180 per share, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg.Bristol-Myers Squibb(BMY) is considered one potential candidate, as it already owns an 11.5% stake in Acceleron.</p>\n<p><b>Box(BOX) </b>– Box was upgraded to “market outperform” from “market perform” at JMP Securities, which cited the cloud computing company’s execution among other factors. Box added 2% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Altice USA(ATUS)</b> – The broadband and video company was downgraded to “neutral” from “outperform” at Credit Suisse, which notes the likely short-term negative impact from an aggressive fiber buildout strategy. Altice USA slid 1.6% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>Toyota Motor(TM)</b> – The automaker’s shares rose 1.3% in the premarket after the company said it had completed a 25.8 million share buyback.</p>\n<p><b>Best Buy(BBY)</b> – The electronics retailer was named a “top idea” at Piper Sandler, which is enthusiastic about the upcoming rollout of Best Buy’s new “Best Buy Total Tech” membership program.</p>\n<p><b>Gannett(GCI) </b>– The USA Today publisher said it was seeking to refinance up to $550 million in senior secured debt. Gannett said its plan was subject to market conditions and that there is no assurance it will be able to execute the refinancing.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌","GCI":"甘尼特","XOM":"埃克森美孚","BBY":"百思买",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ATUS":"Altice USA Inc.","XLRN":"Acceleron Pharma Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TSLA":"特斯拉","BOX":"Box Inc","TM":"丰田汽车","CVX":"雪佛龙",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125374890","content_text":"Futures tracking the Dow and the S&P 500 index edged lower on Monday, as investors pivoted towards economically sensitive sectors, with focus turning towards upcoming economic readings and ongoing talks over increased government spending.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 80 points, or 0.23%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 3 points, or 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 82 points, or 0.54%.\n\nOil majors Exxon Mobil and Chevron Corp rose 1.8% and 1.7% in premarket trade, respectively, tracking crude prices, while big lenders including JPMorgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America Corp gained about 0.8%.\nInvestors will now watch for a raft of economic indicators, including durable goods orders and the ISM manufacturing index this week to gauge the pace of the recovery, as well as bipartisan talks over raising the $28.4 trillion debt ceiling.\nThe U.S. Congress faces a Sept. 30 deadline to prevent the second partial government shutdown in three years, while a vote on the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill is scheduled for Thursday.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nAlphabet(GOOGL) – Alphabet’s Google unit will cut the commissions it collects on third-party software sales in its Cloud Marketplace. That’s according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to CNBC, who said Google will now collect just 3% of sales compared to the prior 20%.\nTesla(TSLA) – Tesla rolled out a software update that allows customers to request access to its Full Self-Driving beta software. Access will be granted to Tesla drivers who get a sufficiently high safety score.\nGores Guggenheim(GGPI) – The special purpose acquisition company will take electric car maker Polestar public through a merger, at a valuation of $20 billion including debt. Polestar is controlled by car maker Volvo and its parent Zhejiang Geely Holding Group. Gores rose 3.5% in premarket trading.\nAcceleron Pharma(XLRN) – Acceleron is in talks to be acquired by an unidentified large pharmaceutical company for about $180 per share, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg.Bristol-Myers Squibb(BMY) is considered one potential candidate, as it already owns an 11.5% stake in Acceleron.\nBox(BOX) – Box was upgraded to “market outperform” from “market perform” at JMP Securities, which cited the cloud computing company’s execution among other factors. Box added 2% in the premarket.\nAltice USA(ATUS) – The broadband and video company was downgraded to “neutral” from “outperform” at Credit Suisse, which notes the likely short-term negative impact from an aggressive fiber buildout strategy. Altice USA slid 1.6% in premarket action.\nToyota Motor(TM) – The automaker’s shares rose 1.3% in the premarket after the company said it had completed a 25.8 million share buyback.\nBest Buy(BBY) – The electronics retailer was named a “top idea” at Piper Sandler, which is enthusiastic about the upcoming rollout of Best Buy’s new “Best Buy Total Tech” membership program.\nGannett(GCI) – The USA Today publisher said it was seeking to refinance up to $550 million in senior secured debt. Gannett said its plan was subject to market conditions and that there is no assurance it will be able to execute the refinancing.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":815490531,"gmtCreate":1630711020723,"gmtModify":1631892570377,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>its gonna get better right?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>its gonna get better right?","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$its gonna get better right?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0f078870c5ecb3604c1c08437f7c0fd","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815490531","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":867293478,"gmtCreate":1633267888650,"gmtModify":1633267889080,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Teslaaaa gooo","listText":"Teslaaaa gooo","text":"Teslaaaa gooo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867293478","repostId":"1195986801","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1195986801","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633237941,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1195986801?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-03 13:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla's Q3 Numbers Are 'Eye Popping' and Hard to Poke Holes In","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195986801","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Tesla, Inc. reported Saturday record quarterly deliveries despite the surrounding turbulence. An analyst at Wedbush Securities sees the performance as \"massive.\". The Tesla Analyst:Daniel Ives maintained an Outperform rating and $1,000 price target for Tesla shares.The Tesla Thesis:Tesla's third-quarter deliveries of 241,000 beat even the bull-case whisper number on the Street, analyst Ives said in a note. The strength, the analyst said, was driven byrobust Model 3/Y salesof 232, 000.Total produ","content":"<p><b>Tesla, Inc.</b>&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Saturday record quarterly deliveries despite the surrounding turbulence. An analyst at Wedbush Securities sees the performance as \"massive.\"</p>\n<p><b>The Tesla Analyst:</b>Daniel Ives maintained an Outperform rating and $1,000 price target for Tesla shares.</p>\n<p><b>The Tesla Thesis:</b>Tesla's third-quarter deliveries of 241,000 beat even the bull-case whisper number on the Street, analyst Ives said in a note. The strength, the analyst said, was driven byrobust Model 3/Y salesof 232, 000.</p>\n<p>Total production in the quarter was 238,000, about 10,000 ahead of Wedbush's and Street estimates, the analyst said.</p>\n<p>\"Taking a step back, with the chip shortage a major overhang on the auto space and logistical issues globally, these delivery numbers were \"eye-popping\" and speak&nbsp;to an EV demand trajectory that looks quite robust for Tesla heading into 4Q and 2022,\" Ives wrote in the note.</p>\n<p>Wedbush's estimate of 150,000 deliveries for September, according to the analyst, is a clear indicator of the green tidal wave taking hold for Tesla across the board. China demand may have rebounded in the quarter and will be a focus for the bulls digesting these results, he added.</p>\n<p>\"In a nutshell, these numbers are hard to poke holes in and will be a major feather in the cap for the bulls on Monday morning and should improve broader sentiment on the EV space as a whole,\" Wedbush said.</p>\n<p><b>Tesla Price Action:</b>Tesla shares closed Friday's session down 0.03% at $775.22 and were down an incremental 0.03% in after-hours trading.</p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla's Q3 Numbers Are 'Eye Popping' and Hard to Poke Holes In</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla's Q3 Numbers Are 'Eye Popping' and Hard to Poke Holes In\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-03 13:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/10/23207870/why-teslas-q3-numbers-are-eye-popping-and-hard-to-poke-holes-in><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla, Inc. reported Saturday record quarterly deliveries despite the surrounding turbulence. An analyst at Wedbush Securities sees the performance as \"massive.\"\nThe Tesla Analyst:Daniel Ives ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/10/23207870/why-teslas-q3-numbers-are-eye-popping-and-hard-to-poke-holes-in\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/21/10/23207870/why-teslas-q3-numbers-are-eye-popping-and-hard-to-poke-holes-in","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195986801","content_text":"Tesla, Inc. reported Saturday record quarterly deliveries despite the surrounding turbulence. An analyst at Wedbush Securities sees the performance as \"massive.\"\nThe Tesla Analyst:Daniel Ives maintained an Outperform rating and $1,000 price target for Tesla shares.\nThe Tesla Thesis:Tesla's third-quarter deliveries of 241,000 beat even the bull-case whisper number on the Street, analyst Ives said in a note. The strength, the analyst said, was driven byrobust Model 3/Y salesof 232, 000.\nTotal production in the quarter was 238,000, about 10,000 ahead of Wedbush's and Street estimates, the analyst said.\n\"Taking a step back, with the chip shortage a major overhang on the auto space and logistical issues globally, these delivery numbers were \"eye-popping\" and speak to an EV demand trajectory that looks quite robust for Tesla heading into 4Q and 2022,\" Ives wrote in the note.\nWedbush's estimate of 150,000 deliveries for September, according to the analyst, is a clear indicator of the green tidal wave taking hold for Tesla across the board. China demand may have rebounded in the quarter and will be a focus for the bulls digesting these results, he added.\n\"In a nutshell, these numbers are hard to poke holes in and will be a major feather in the cap for the bulls on Monday morning and should improve broader sentiment on the EV space as a whole,\" Wedbush said.\nTesla Price Action:Tesla shares closed Friday's session down 0.03% at $775.22 and were down an incremental 0.03% in after-hours trading.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863870599,"gmtCreate":1632378794211,"gmtModify":1632800789643,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863870599","repostId":"2169577876","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2169577876","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632378712,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2169577876?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-23 14:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The stock market would plunge 33% if the government defaults: Moody's","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2169577876","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"President Joe Biden very often cites research from Moody's when he is trying to make a point on the ","content":"<p>President Joe Biden very often cites research from Moody's when he is trying to make a point on the U.S. economy.</p>\n<p>He should use the latest from Moody's Mark Zandi to emphasize any point being made to fellow politicians on both sides of the aisle on the need to get a debt ceiling deal done ASAP.</p>\n<p>\"Shutting the government down would not be an immediate hit to the economy, but a default would be a catastrophic blow to the nascent economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic,\" said Zandi, the widely followed chief economist of Moody's — who rose to fame for prescient calls before and during the Great Recession — in a new piece of research.</p>\n<p>The blow from a default on our debt due to lawmakers not extending the debt ceiling would be particularly acute to investors in the stock market, according to Zandi.</p>\n<p>\"Stock prices would be cut almost in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-third at the worst of the sell-off, wiping out $15 trillion in household wealth. Treasury yields, mortgage rates, and other consumer and corporate borrowing rates spike, at least until the debt limit is resolved and Treasury payments resume. Even then, rates never fall back to where they were previously. Since U.S. Treasury securities no longer would be risk free, future generations of Americans would pay a steep economic price,\" said Zandi, referring to the potential fallout in asset markets.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2b5e8cf7bd50ad09af17efee9c3bb97\" tg-width=\"716\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Consumer confidence is waning as debt ceiling concerns begin to inch higher.Moody's</p>\n<p>In large part, the stock market pressure would reflect the major economic blow dealt from the debt default.</p>\n<p>Explains Zandi, \"The hit to consumer, business and investor confidence would be severe. If the impasse over the debt limit lasts through all of November, the Treasury will have no choice but to eliminate a cash deficit of approximately $200 billion by slashing government spending. Annualized, this is equal to more than 10% of GDP. The economic blow would be devastating.\"</p>\n<p>Zandi's dire predictions come on the heels of Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warning of \"catastrophe\" if the debt ceiling debate isn't settled.</p>\n<p>\"The U.S. has never defaulted. Not once. Doing so would likely precipitate a historic financial crisis that would compound the damage of the continuing public health emergency. Default could trigger a spike in interest rates, a steep drop in stock prices and other financial turmoil. Our current economic recovery would reverse into recession, with billions of dollars of growth and millions of jobs lost,\" Yellen said in an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal.</p>\n<p>As it stands, lawmakers remain locked in a contentious battle on the issue.</p>\n<p>On Tuesday, the Democrat-led House passed a short-term government funding bill that maintains funding through Dec. 3. It also includes a provision to suspend the debt limit through Dec. 16, 2022.</p>\n<p>But, the bill is likely to die on the floor of the Republican-controlled Senate.</p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The stock market would plunge 33% if the government defaults: Moody's</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe stock market would plunge 33% if the government defaults: Moody's\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-23 14:31 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-stock-market-would-plunge-33-if-the-government-defaults-moodys-183852033.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>President Joe Biden very often cites research from Moody's when he is trying to make a point on the U.S. economy.\nHe should use the latest from Moody's Mark Zandi to emphasize any point being made to ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-stock-market-would-plunge-33-if-the-government-defaults-moodys-183852033.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-stock-market-would-plunge-33-if-the-government-defaults-moodys-183852033.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2169577876","content_text":"President Joe Biden very often cites research from Moody's when he is trying to make a point on the U.S. economy.\nHe should use the latest from Moody's Mark Zandi to emphasize any point being made to fellow politicians on both sides of the aisle on the need to get a debt ceiling deal done ASAP.\n\"Shutting the government down would not be an immediate hit to the economy, but a default would be a catastrophic blow to the nascent economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic,\" said Zandi, the widely followed chief economist of Moody's — who rose to fame for prescient calls before and during the Great Recession — in a new piece of research.\nThe blow from a default on our debt due to lawmakers not extending the debt ceiling would be particularly acute to investors in the stock market, according to Zandi.\n\"Stock prices would be cut almost in one-third at the worst of the sell-off, wiping out $15 trillion in household wealth. Treasury yields, mortgage rates, and other consumer and corporate borrowing rates spike, at least until the debt limit is resolved and Treasury payments resume. Even then, rates never fall back to where they were previously. Since U.S. Treasury securities no longer would be risk free, future generations of Americans would pay a steep economic price,\" said Zandi, referring to the potential fallout in asset markets.\nConsumer confidence is waning as debt ceiling concerns begin to inch higher.Moody's\nIn large part, the stock market pressure would reflect the major economic blow dealt from the debt default.\nExplains Zandi, \"The hit to consumer, business and investor confidence would be severe. If the impasse over the debt limit lasts through all of November, the Treasury will have no choice but to eliminate a cash deficit of approximately $200 billion by slashing government spending. Annualized, this is equal to more than 10% of GDP. The economic blow would be devastating.\"\nZandi's dire predictions come on the heels of Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warning of \"catastrophe\" if the debt ceiling debate isn't settled.\n\"The U.S. has never defaulted. Not once. Doing so would likely precipitate a historic financial crisis that would compound the damage of the continuing public health emergency. Default could trigger a spike in interest rates, a steep drop in stock prices and other financial turmoil. Our current economic recovery would reverse into recession, with billions of dollars of growth and millions of jobs lost,\" Yellen said in an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal.\nAs it stands, lawmakers remain locked in a contentious battle on the issue.\nOn Tuesday, the Democrat-led House passed a short-term government funding bill that maintains funding through Dec. 3. It also includes a provision to suspend the debt limit through Dec. 16, 2022.\nBut, the bill is likely to die on the floor of the Republican-controlled Senate.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":75,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881132791,"gmtCreate":1631315796413,"gmtModify":1631883903058,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$Pfizer(PFE)$</a>Hodl hodl hodl","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$Pfizer(PFE)$</a>Hodl hodl hodl","text":"$Pfizer(PFE)$Hodl hodl hodl","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beebab21d63663fa86e43917680a4181","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881132791","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817471322,"gmtCreate":1630984173366,"gmtModify":1631890078421,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wew ! Go cryptos ! hehe","listText":"Wew ! Go cryptos ! hehe","text":"Wew ! Go cryptos ! hehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817471322","repostId":"1155654239","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":851382238,"gmtCreate":1634870428369,"gmtModify":1634870428534,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dont lose faith hehehe&nbsp;","listText":"Dont lose faith hehehe&nbsp;","text":"Dont lose faith hehehe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851382238","repostId":"2177467336","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825837721,"gmtCreate":1634216187366,"gmtModify":1634216187541,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Go Nio !!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>Go Nio !!","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$Go Nio !!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34844cbae9d922c464281098c2f68290","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825837721","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":886111104,"gmtCreate":1631574881408,"gmtModify":1631890078406,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go appleee","listText":"Go appleee","text":"Go appleee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886111104","repostId":"1171919128","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171919128","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631547161,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171919128?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-13 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple App Store: The Tide Is Turning","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171919128","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nA US Federal District Court judge has ruled mostly in Apple’s favor in their case with Epic","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>A US Federal District Court judge has ruled mostly in Apple’s favor in their case with Epic Games.</li>\n <li>Despite that, and in conjunction with a recent settlement with Japanese regulators, Apple will be getting rid of their anti-steering rule. This is a bigger change than people think.</li>\n <li>The threat to Apple doesn't end with the Epic trial. There are bigger threats coming from the executive and legislative branches in the US, and regulators in Europe and Asia.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/323e8503a813d4996ee819f5591992b8\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images News</span></p>\n<p><b>It Does Not End Here</b></p>\n<p>For&nbsp;some time now, I&nbsp;have been warning&nbsp;that&nbsp;antitrust law was about to change, and these changes would not be favorable to Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), and that investors need to take these threats seriously. In every one of these attempts, I was rebuffed in the comments by many Apple shareholders telling me that these fears and warnings were overblown. “Long and strong AAPL!” cheerleading seems to be popular.Confirmation bias&nbsp;is a strong thing, and you should fight it every single day.</p>\n<p>My last attempt was&nbsp;less than two weeks ago, and I was similarly dismissed, and even accused of being a short-selling tout to boot. That last suggestion is pretty funny to anyone who has had to listen to me drone on about Apple stock the last 16 years. The consequence of those 16 years is that I have a lot of Apple stock, so I take things like this very seriously.</p>\n<p>Friday’s decision in Epic v. Apple had one part very bad news for Apple, but mostly a rejection of Epic’s main claim — that iOS is a market unto itself. But the bigger threat continues to be from Congress, where they can change the law in a single session. The House has already passed several bipartisan bills through committee, and three of them seem to have pretty wide support with the rest of the House. A narrower, but just as damaging companion bill is about to start working its way through the Senate. Keep your eyes on Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota and Mike Lee of Utah.</p>\n<p>Then we have regulatory action in the EU, Apple’s second most important region, where antitrust enforcers are siding with Spotify(NYSE:SPOT)in their dispute over in-app payments. Apple has already settled with Japan over their anti-steering rules. South Korea is forcing Apple and Google(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)to allow third-party in-app payments. China is a black hole of regulatory mystery.</p>\n<p>The tide is turning on Apple on this issue. If you think this begins and ends with the Epic case, you haven’t been paying attention.</p>\n<p>Right now the threat is confined to App Store, but this is the end of the beginning, not the beginning of the end. This new antitrust movement may come for other parts of Apple, like the other pillar of their fast-growing Services segment, AppleCare, and even dig deeper into the way Apple likes to do business.</p>\n<p><b>What The Ruling Says</b></p>\n<p>Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers hewed very closely to existing law, because that’s what usually happens in District Court, the lowest level of the federal system. She mostly had bad news for Epic, and targeted bad news for Apple.</p>\n<p>The case rested on how the court defined the “relevant market” in question. Epic wanted it to be iOS, a market unto itself because of the high walls Apple builds around the ecosystem. Judge Rogers rejected that novel claim pretty handily. But she also rejected Apple’s definition: all gaming transactions, including PCs and consoles. She settled on mobile gaming transactions, so essentially the iOS-Android duopoly of mobile gaming transactions.</p>\n<p>Here is the meat of the decision that follows from that:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Given the trial record, the Court cannot ultimately conclude that Apple is a monopolist under either federal or state antitrust laws. While the Court finds that Apple enjoys considerable market share of over 55% and extraordinarily high profit margins, these factors alone do not show antitrust conduct. Success is not illegal…\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n Nonetheless, the trial did show that Apple is engaging in anticompetitive conduct under California’s competition laws. The Court concludes that Apple’s anti-steering provisions hide critical information from consumers and illegally stifle consumer choice. When coupled with Apple’s incipient antitrust violations, these anti-steering provisions are anticompetitive and a nationwide remedy to eliminate those provisions is warranted.\n</blockquote>\n<p>The most important thing to note here is that the problem for Apple is California law, not federal law. Federal law changing is where the real threat remains, and we are already well into that process.</p>\n<p>Judge Rogers ruled that Apple has to get rid of their anti-steering rules. App developers will now be allowed to inform users of less expensive options on their website, with a link. We’ll talk about the implications in a moment. Apple charges developers 30% for in-app payments, and the first year of in-app subscriptions (15% thereafter). In-app payments and subscriptions are substantially where all of App Store revenue comes from, about 28% of the Services segment and 5.4% of all revenue in calendar 2020.</p>\n<p>Also, in the category of rounding errors, Epic has to pay Apple the $3.6 million they owe them when they breached their contract. That’s about 0.001% of Apple’s 2021 top line.</p>\n<p><b>Epic’s Game</b></p>\n<p>If you read&nbsp;my first article&nbsp;about the trial from when the pre-trial filings dropped, you may notice that I was a bit confused about what precisely Epic’s game was here. The foundation of their entire argument — that iOS was a market unto itself — was novel, to say the least. At least one of their lawyers must have informed them of the low likelihood of success on their main claims. Moreover, they burned a lot of pages on arguments not central to their case, but seem more geared towards tarnishing Apple’s reputation.</p>\n<p>My current understanding is that this case was a publicity stunt. What’s more, it worked. The point was to get this issue into the public conversation. Here I am writing about it, and here you are reading about it. But more importantly, the tide is turning in Washington, and I think the issues raised by this trial have accelerated that.</p>\n<p><b>The Anti-Steering Rule</b></p>\n<p>Like many of the App Store rules, the anti-steering rule was part of a multi-year whack-a-mole process where developers tried to find ways to cut out Apple, and Apple closed those holes. Apple fought very hard to keep this rule, but now seems to be capitulating. They settled with Japanese regulators recently on the anti-steering rules as it applied to media subscription apps, and applied the settlement to the rest of the world as well, maybe in anticipation of this ruling. With the Epic ruling, the anti-steering rule is gone.</p>\n<p>When a game developer like Epic sells their virtual currency on the App Store, they have a 30% payment fee. When they make the same transaction on their website, it is probably under 3%. This was always what this was about. Epic wanted to have their own in-app payment system to supersede Apple’s, without the friction of sending people to the website. Judge Rogers rejected that, but gave Epic a partial victory by banning Apple’s anti-steering rules.</p>\n<p>The anti-steering rules prevented app developers from having text and links to their own much less expensive in-app payments or subscriptions on their websites. This is a real loss for Apple, and puts the whole structure of the two most lucrative payment methods in the App Store at risk.</p>\n<p>Let’s say a gaming company pays a 2.5% processing fee on their website. That means they have 27.5 percentage points of marketing to play with. They could give that entire 27.5% to users in the form of a rebate or freebies. It certainly increases friction to have to leave a game you're having fun with, but if there is a big, friendly, dark-patterned button that says “Want free money?” I think a lot of people would tap that button. What’s more, they get to book the same amount in revenue, and stick the cost down in sales and marketing.</p>\n<p>That’s just one example of how companies may decide to go with this. That’s a lot of margin to play with. The reason Apple had this rule in the first place is that they feared someone would find the magic formula that would provide more revenue by eschewing in-app payments altogether, and everyone else would copy them. They had fought very hard to keep this rule for a reason.</p>\n<p>Just after the news broke, a friend who knows&nbsp;I own both stocks&nbsp;trolled me with this Bloomberg Terminal screenshot:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78570d7ae73401a933b2359f3dcd47da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)is a pure-play mobile gaming company. The vast majority of their revenues come from in-app payments from iOS and Android, the rest from their website sales. Their cost-of-revenues almost all goes to Apple and Google. In the TTM, they had a 74.4% gross margin. If they pay a 2.5% processing fee for website sales, that means 84% of their transaction value was through iOS and Android. If they could get that to 50-50, that would raise all their margins down to EBT by 10 percentage points. If they could get to 73% of sales on the website, they would have a 90% gross margin.</p>\n<p>There is a lot of money at stake, and a huge incentive for gaming and subscription media companies to figure out how to thread this needle. And that’s all in the absence of further action by the other two branches of government.</p>\n<p><b>The Executive Branch</b></p>\n<p>This is a good place to discuss the theoretical underpinnings of the new antitrust movement, because two of its leaders now work in the Biden administration. The movement is sometimes referred to as the “neo-Brandeis” movement after Supreme Court Justice Louis Brandeis, because it harkens back to a much earlier era of antitrust enforcement that drastically changed in the 1980s.</p>\n<p>In 1978, Robert Bork (yes,that Robert Bork) wrote a very influential book called&nbsp;<i>The Antitrust Paradox</i>. His theory urged a refocusing of enforcement away from competition, and towards consumer benefit as the main test. He argued that antitrust enforcement was propping up smaller, less efficient companies to the detriment of the economy.</p>\n<p>The 1982 AT&amp;T breakup consent decree became the prototype for the new enforcement. By controlling local and long distance telecommunication, as well as the equipment, AT&amp;T had been underinvesting and overcharging for decades. Their breakup brought an explosion of investment into telecommunications, and brought down prices quickly for landline service and equipment. That became the limit of antitrust enforcement.</p>\n<p>But the focus on consumer benefit has affected competition, and that’s what the neo-Brandeis movement hopes to change. They want antitrust enforcement to return to the way it was a century ago, with more of a focus on how large companies affect competition. Lina Khan, a law professor at Columbia, now runs the FTC, the primary antitrust enforcer in the federal government. Her 2017 law review article, “Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox” was the spark that lit this fire. Her colleague at Columbia Law, Tim Wu, is also one of the leaders of this movement. He is a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisors, and his fingerprints are all over&nbsp;the July competition executive order.</p>\n<p>The order was very wide ranging, with 72 initiatives covering 14 departments and agencies. Most of it does not relate to Apple, but it gives you an idea of the wide breadth of the order. As it relates to Apple:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Right-to-repair is a huge threat to the other pillar of Services, AppleCare, which I estimate at 25%-30% of the segment. But more than that, it would change the way Apple makes devices. Apple squeezes out efficiency gains by attaching pooled memory directly to the main processor die, and by soldering storage into the motherboard. Both of these would likely be prohibited to them, and the devices would suffer.</li>\n <li>The FTC is two months into a yearlong frisk of the mobile app ecosystem. Based on previous writings, Lina Khan will likely recommend third party app stores, “sideloading” directly from the web, and an end to the in-app payments monopoly.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Executive branch action is always subject to court challenges, and they can take very long to implement. But Congress can change the law in a single session. And they are already into that process.</p>\n<p><b>The Legislative Branch</b></p>\n<p>Since there are two houses of Congress, this issue is off on two tracks. The House Judiciary Committee recently passed a suite of bipartisan bills. Of the ones that I think have a good likelihood of passing the full House, here’s how it affects Apple:</p>\n<p>They would be required to allow third party app stores, sideloading, and third party payments in the Apple App Store.</p>\n<p>Restricting Apple’s ability to acquire smaller companies. In the past 6 years, Apple has bought around 100 companies, which works out to about one every three weeks on average. It looks like they had been accelerating since fiscal 2018, but then abruptly stopped in fiscal 2021. The reason is the new leader of the FTC.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2fc9a2578663cc746fdb19ca19dea4c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>The big bulge you see there in 2014 is the Beats acquisition at $3 billion, which remains the exception. Otherwise, Apple buys very small companies for tens or hundreds of millions, usually shuts down any products they may have, and absorbs the talent and IP into Apple proper. Apple’s chip design unit, a cornerstone of their current success, began this way in 2008.</p>\n<p><b>No more private APIs.</b>This would mean everything, like the Apple Pay-enabling NFC chip, would be open to competitors.</p>\n<p><b>No more discriminatory rules.</b>Apple doesn’t force real-world product and service providers like Uber(NYSE:UBER)to use in-app payments. Apple would either have to try and get Uber to pay them 30%, or drop the requirement altogether.</p>\n<p><b>The end of the Google search deal.</b>Google currently pays Apple a purported $12 billion a year to make Google the default search engine on iOS. This cash goes directly to EBT.</p>\n<p><b>They would have to expose more user data to developers.</b></p>\n<p><b>Formalizing the anti-steering decision.</b></p>\n<p><b>Anti-retaliation provision.</b>If these bills were law, Epic would still be on the App Store while they sued Apple.</p>\n<p>After the House is done wrangling over budget reconciliation, I think these bills will hit the House floor this fall or winter, and I think that they have a high likelihood of passing in something like their current form.</p>\n<p>But bills also have to clear the Senate, and they move slower. Things are just getting started there. The big movers in the Senate are Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota and Mike Lee of Utah. Klobuchar has&nbsp;written a long book&nbsp;on the subject, and it is not friendly towards Apple. She has also authored a new bill, Open App Markets Act. It is more narrow than the House suite, but not by much. It would still force Apple to allow third party app stores, sideloading, and third party in-app payments. They would also have to get rid of their private APIs. The bill is narrower than the House suite, and less of a threat to Apple, but still would mean the end of App Store as a driver of growth.<i>The Senate bill is the better outcome for Apple, and it is still terrible.</i></p>\n<p>I believe that we will see something pass before the next Presidential election, or even in this Congressional session. The best Apple shareholders can hope for is that the final bill gets watered down considerably.</p>\n<p><b>Outside The US</b></p>\n<p>This is in no way limited to the US. We already discussed the Japanese settlement, and South Korea is forcing Apple and Google to allow third party in-app payments. The case that is farthest along in the EU is Spotify’s, which would force Apple to not charge fees to competing services, so that means music, podcasts, games, video and fitness.</p>\n<p>The Chinese Communist Party remains the&nbsp;second biggest tail risk in the world&nbsp;after climate change. Apple’s regulatory risk there is uniquely high, both on the supply and demand sides. Apple has already given into them by not providing their Chinese customers with the same level of privacy as everyone else. With the mood in China right now, who knows where that goes.</p>\n<p><b>What Losing Control Of App Store Looks Like</b></p>\n<p>Stone Fox Capital here at Seeking Alpha is&nbsp;out with an article&nbsp;pivoting off Katy Huberty's estimation of a 2% earnings loss if the top 20 apps on the App Store were able to eschew in-app payments. Stone Fox would also like you to care about that seemingly small number:</p>\n<blockquote>\n Apple won most of their legal case with Epic Games based on the ruling announced on September 10, but the tech giant lost the ultimate battle. The stock remains priced for perfection while the company continues to have growth paths chipped away from the business.\n</blockquote>\n<p>My last article on this subject was called “Chipping Away at App Store.” This is what is happening and the trend is now clear. There is a mood globally to take Apple down a peg, and it is happening too slowly for many people to realize it is happening.</p>\n<p>My own way of modeling the worst case is through my DCF model. It’s modeled as a 25% hit to Services in the first year, with services gross margin reduced from 68% to 65%, followed by a slightly increased growth rate in the segment because of composition effects — the rest of Services grows faster than App Store. I used to model that happening in fiscal 2024, but I have moved that up to fiscal 2023, beginning less than 13 months from now.</p>\n<p>Here is the effect on fair value on my base case:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94b635fe7a2473aafe36bd095a1206b6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"352\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Even with the very slow start for the reason Stone Fox says — the share price has gotten way out ahead of cash flows — my base case still shows an 11% CAGR in fair value through the end of fiscal 2025. The App Store collapse takes that down to an 8% CAGR, 12% lower by 2025.</p>\n<p>Circling back, Stone Fox puts a button on this more succinctly than I can:</p>\n<blockquote>\n The key investor takeaway is that Apple has a bright future. The company will continue generating profits with operating cash flows topping $100 billion annually, but the tech giant will struggle to generate the growth needed to warrant the current stock price. The 2% hit to earnings might not seem meaningful, but the amount is very harmful to a stock priced for perfection.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>How To Take This Seriously</b></p>\n<p>In my last article on this subject, someone cheekily replied in the comments, “‘Please take this seriously.’ What does that even mean?” That’s a good question. The first part of the answer is to stop pretending it’s not happening.</p>\n<p>“If your time horizon is short, now is a good time to take profits.” I have been using that phrase frequently since Apple hit $140. The last chart just formalizes it with math, but my opinion is that Apple will remain range-bound for some time, between $125 and $155, roughly. I still mean it: if your time horizon is short, now is a good time to take profits.</p>\n<p>But I also believe that no other company is as prepared for the future of technology, regardless of what that brings. That is a&nbsp;far longer discussion. I have been buying Apple shares on the dip since 2005, which is two splits ago. My last buy was in January 2019, when Apple reported that they would miss guidance for the first time in many years. At the time, the commentariat was telling me that Apple’s best days were behind them. I tried to explain that Apple was in a transitional phase, part of a strategy they launched around 2015 to focus more on the growth of the iPhone user base than sales. The strategy would pay off soon, I predicted, and it did in fiscal 2021. That seems like a very long time ago now.</p>\n<p>A consequence of buying the dip from 2005 to 2019 is that I own way too many Apple shares that I could never bring myself to sell. I am massively overweight Apple. There is a “What To Do With The Apple Shares” clause in my will. It is our largest asset, worth more than the house. That has not made me nervous until the last few months, when the tide seemed to start turning on Apple on this issue. I also used to be someone who did not take this threat seriously. I am going to start shaving my position as opportunities present themselves, and one may happen this week with the iPhone launch on Tuesday.</p>\n<p><i>To be clear, I will remain overweight Apple, just less so, and I remain bullish in the long term. But I no longer feel the safety I once did with this wildly overweight position.</i></p>\n<p>In contrast, if you are a long term investor who does not have a massively overweight position, watch, wait and fight confirmation bias every day. If you think this begins and ends with Epic, you haven’t been paying attention.</p>\n<p>Please take this seriously.</p>\n<p>I will be back in a few days with hopefully happier news from the iPhone launch on Tuesday. The big question is whether Apple can begin shipping iPhone before the quarter is out.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple App Store: The Tide Is Turning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple App Store: The Tide Is Turning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-13 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454891-apple-app-store-the-tide-is-turning><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nA US Federal District Court judge has ruled mostly in Apple’s favor in their case with Epic Games.\nDespite that, and in conjunction with a recent settlement with Japanese regulators, Apple ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454891-apple-app-store-the-tide-is-turning\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4454891-apple-app-store-the-tide-is-turning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171919128","content_text":"Summary\n\nA US Federal District Court judge has ruled mostly in Apple’s favor in their case with Epic Games.\nDespite that, and in conjunction with a recent settlement with Japanese regulators, Apple will be getting rid of their anti-steering rule. This is a bigger change than people think.\nThe threat to Apple doesn't end with the Epic trial. There are bigger threats coming from the executive and legislative branches in the US, and regulators in Europe and Asia.\n\nChip Somodevilla/Getty Images News\nIt Does Not End Here\nFor some time now, I have been warning that antitrust law was about to change, and these changes would not be favorable to Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), and that investors need to take these threats seriously. In every one of these attempts, I was rebuffed in the comments by many Apple shareholders telling me that these fears and warnings were overblown. “Long and strong AAPL!” cheerleading seems to be popular.Confirmation bias is a strong thing, and you should fight it every single day.\nMy last attempt was less than two weeks ago, and I was similarly dismissed, and even accused of being a short-selling tout to boot. That last suggestion is pretty funny to anyone who has had to listen to me drone on about Apple stock the last 16 years. The consequence of those 16 years is that I have a lot of Apple stock, so I take things like this very seriously.\nFriday’s decision in Epic v. Apple had one part very bad news for Apple, but mostly a rejection of Epic’s main claim — that iOS is a market unto itself. But the bigger threat continues to be from Congress, where they can change the law in a single session. The House has already passed several bipartisan bills through committee, and three of them seem to have pretty wide support with the rest of the House. A narrower, but just as damaging companion bill is about to start working its way through the Senate. Keep your eyes on Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota and Mike Lee of Utah.\nThen we have regulatory action in the EU, Apple’s second most important region, where antitrust enforcers are siding with Spotify(NYSE:SPOT)in their dispute over in-app payments. Apple has already settled with Japan over their anti-steering rules. South Korea is forcing Apple and Google(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)to allow third-party in-app payments. China is a black hole of regulatory mystery.\nThe tide is turning on Apple on this issue. If you think this begins and ends with the Epic case, you haven’t been paying attention.\nRight now the threat is confined to App Store, but this is the end of the beginning, not the beginning of the end. This new antitrust movement may come for other parts of Apple, like the other pillar of their fast-growing Services segment, AppleCare, and even dig deeper into the way Apple likes to do business.\nWhat The Ruling Says\nJudge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers hewed very closely to existing law, because that’s what usually happens in District Court, the lowest level of the federal system. She mostly had bad news for Epic, and targeted bad news for Apple.\nThe case rested on how the court defined the “relevant market” in question. Epic wanted it to be iOS, a market unto itself because of the high walls Apple builds around the ecosystem. Judge Rogers rejected that novel claim pretty handily. But she also rejected Apple’s definition: all gaming transactions, including PCs and consoles. She settled on mobile gaming transactions, so essentially the iOS-Android duopoly of mobile gaming transactions.\nHere is the meat of the decision that follows from that:\n\n Given the trial record, the Court cannot ultimately conclude that Apple is a monopolist under either federal or state antitrust laws. While the Court finds that Apple enjoys considerable market share of over 55% and extraordinarily high profit margins, these factors alone do not show antitrust conduct. Success is not illegal…\n\n\n Nonetheless, the trial did show that Apple is engaging in anticompetitive conduct under California’s competition laws. The Court concludes that Apple’s anti-steering provisions hide critical information from consumers and illegally stifle consumer choice. When coupled with Apple’s incipient antitrust violations, these anti-steering provisions are anticompetitive and a nationwide remedy to eliminate those provisions is warranted.\n\nThe most important thing to note here is that the problem for Apple is California law, not federal law. Federal law changing is where the real threat remains, and we are already well into that process.\nJudge Rogers ruled that Apple has to get rid of their anti-steering rules. App developers will now be allowed to inform users of less expensive options on their website, with a link. We’ll talk about the implications in a moment. Apple charges developers 30% for in-app payments, and the first year of in-app subscriptions (15% thereafter). In-app payments and subscriptions are substantially where all of App Store revenue comes from, about 28% of the Services segment and 5.4% of all revenue in calendar 2020.\nAlso, in the category of rounding errors, Epic has to pay Apple the $3.6 million they owe them when they breached their contract. That’s about 0.001% of Apple’s 2021 top line.\nEpic’s Game\nIf you read my first article about the trial from when the pre-trial filings dropped, you may notice that I was a bit confused about what precisely Epic’s game was here. The foundation of their entire argument — that iOS was a market unto itself — was novel, to say the least. At least one of their lawyers must have informed them of the low likelihood of success on their main claims. Moreover, they burned a lot of pages on arguments not central to their case, but seem more geared towards tarnishing Apple’s reputation.\nMy current understanding is that this case was a publicity stunt. What’s more, it worked. The point was to get this issue into the public conversation. Here I am writing about it, and here you are reading about it. But more importantly, the tide is turning in Washington, and I think the issues raised by this trial have accelerated that.\nThe Anti-Steering Rule\nLike many of the App Store rules, the anti-steering rule was part of a multi-year whack-a-mole process where developers tried to find ways to cut out Apple, and Apple closed those holes. Apple fought very hard to keep this rule, but now seems to be capitulating. They settled with Japanese regulators recently on the anti-steering rules as it applied to media subscription apps, and applied the settlement to the rest of the world as well, maybe in anticipation of this ruling. With the Epic ruling, the anti-steering rule is gone.\nWhen a game developer like Epic sells their virtual currency on the App Store, they have a 30% payment fee. When they make the same transaction on their website, it is probably under 3%. This was always what this was about. Epic wanted to have their own in-app payment system to supersede Apple’s, without the friction of sending people to the website. Judge Rogers rejected that, but gave Epic a partial victory by banning Apple’s anti-steering rules.\nThe anti-steering rules prevented app developers from having text and links to their own much less expensive in-app payments or subscriptions on their websites. This is a real loss for Apple, and puts the whole structure of the two most lucrative payment methods in the App Store at risk.\nLet’s say a gaming company pays a 2.5% processing fee on their website. That means they have 27.5 percentage points of marketing to play with. They could give that entire 27.5% to users in the form of a rebate or freebies. It certainly increases friction to have to leave a game you're having fun with, but if there is a big, friendly, dark-patterned button that says “Want free money?” I think a lot of people would tap that button. What’s more, they get to book the same amount in revenue, and stick the cost down in sales and marketing.\nThat’s just one example of how companies may decide to go with this. That’s a lot of margin to play with. The reason Apple had this rule in the first place is that they feared someone would find the magic formula that would provide more revenue by eschewing in-app payments altogether, and everyone else would copy them. They had fought very hard to keep this rule for a reason.\nJust after the news broke, a friend who knows I own both stocks trolled me with this Bloomberg Terminal screenshot:\n\nRoblox(NYSE:RBLX)is a pure-play mobile gaming company. The vast majority of their revenues come from in-app payments from iOS and Android, the rest from their website sales. Their cost-of-revenues almost all goes to Apple and Google. In the TTM, they had a 74.4% gross margin. If they pay a 2.5% processing fee for website sales, that means 84% of their transaction value was through iOS and Android. If they could get that to 50-50, that would raise all their margins down to EBT by 10 percentage points. If they could get to 73% of sales on the website, they would have a 90% gross margin.\nThere is a lot of money at stake, and a huge incentive for gaming and subscription media companies to figure out how to thread this needle. And that’s all in the absence of further action by the other two branches of government.\nThe Executive Branch\nThis is a good place to discuss the theoretical underpinnings of the new antitrust movement, because two of its leaders now work in the Biden administration. The movement is sometimes referred to as the “neo-Brandeis” movement after Supreme Court Justice Louis Brandeis, because it harkens back to a much earlier era of antitrust enforcement that drastically changed in the 1980s.\nIn 1978, Robert Bork (yes,that Robert Bork) wrote a very influential book called The Antitrust Paradox. His theory urged a refocusing of enforcement away from competition, and towards consumer benefit as the main test. He argued that antitrust enforcement was propping up smaller, less efficient companies to the detriment of the economy.\nThe 1982 AT&T breakup consent decree became the prototype for the new enforcement. By controlling local and long distance telecommunication, as well as the equipment, AT&T had been underinvesting and overcharging for decades. Their breakup brought an explosion of investment into telecommunications, and brought down prices quickly for landline service and equipment. That became the limit of antitrust enforcement.\nBut the focus on consumer benefit has affected competition, and that’s what the neo-Brandeis movement hopes to change. They want antitrust enforcement to return to the way it was a century ago, with more of a focus on how large companies affect competition. Lina Khan, a law professor at Columbia, now runs the FTC, the primary antitrust enforcer in the federal government. Her 2017 law review article, “Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox” was the spark that lit this fire. Her colleague at Columbia Law, Tim Wu, is also one of the leaders of this movement. He is a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisors, and his fingerprints are all over the July competition executive order.\nThe order was very wide ranging, with 72 initiatives covering 14 departments and agencies. Most of it does not relate to Apple, but it gives you an idea of the wide breadth of the order. As it relates to Apple:\n\nRight-to-repair is a huge threat to the other pillar of Services, AppleCare, which I estimate at 25%-30% of the segment. But more than that, it would change the way Apple makes devices. Apple squeezes out efficiency gains by attaching pooled memory directly to the main processor die, and by soldering storage into the motherboard. Both of these would likely be prohibited to them, and the devices would suffer.\nThe FTC is two months into a yearlong frisk of the mobile app ecosystem. Based on previous writings, Lina Khan will likely recommend third party app stores, “sideloading” directly from the web, and an end to the in-app payments monopoly.\n\nExecutive branch action is always subject to court challenges, and they can take very long to implement. But Congress can change the law in a single session. And they are already into that process.\nThe Legislative Branch\nSince there are two houses of Congress, this issue is off on two tracks. The House Judiciary Committee recently passed a suite of bipartisan bills. Of the ones that I think have a good likelihood of passing the full House, here’s how it affects Apple:\nThey would be required to allow third party app stores, sideloading, and third party payments in the Apple App Store.\nRestricting Apple’s ability to acquire smaller companies. In the past 6 years, Apple has bought around 100 companies, which works out to about one every three weeks on average. It looks like they had been accelerating since fiscal 2018, but then abruptly stopped in fiscal 2021. The reason is the new leader of the FTC.\nData by YCharts\nThe big bulge you see there in 2014 is the Beats acquisition at $3 billion, which remains the exception. Otherwise, Apple buys very small companies for tens or hundreds of millions, usually shuts down any products they may have, and absorbs the talent and IP into Apple proper. Apple’s chip design unit, a cornerstone of their current success, began this way in 2008.\nNo more private APIs.This would mean everything, like the Apple Pay-enabling NFC chip, would be open to competitors.\nNo more discriminatory rules.Apple doesn’t force real-world product and service providers like Uber(NYSE:UBER)to use in-app payments. Apple would either have to try and get Uber to pay them 30%, or drop the requirement altogether.\nThe end of the Google search deal.Google currently pays Apple a purported $12 billion a year to make Google the default search engine on iOS. This cash goes directly to EBT.\nThey would have to expose more user data to developers.\nFormalizing the anti-steering decision.\nAnti-retaliation provision.If these bills were law, Epic would still be on the App Store while they sued Apple.\nAfter the House is done wrangling over budget reconciliation, I think these bills will hit the House floor this fall or winter, and I think that they have a high likelihood of passing in something like their current form.\nBut bills also have to clear the Senate, and they move slower. Things are just getting started there. The big movers in the Senate are Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota and Mike Lee of Utah. Klobuchar has written a long book on the subject, and it is not friendly towards Apple. She has also authored a new bill, Open App Markets Act. It is more narrow than the House suite, but not by much. It would still force Apple to allow third party app stores, sideloading, and third party in-app payments. They would also have to get rid of their private APIs. The bill is narrower than the House suite, and less of a threat to Apple, but still would mean the end of App Store as a driver of growth.The Senate bill is the better outcome for Apple, and it is still terrible.\nI believe that we will see something pass before the next Presidential election, or even in this Congressional session. The best Apple shareholders can hope for is that the final bill gets watered down considerably.\nOutside The US\nThis is in no way limited to the US. We already discussed the Japanese settlement, and South Korea is forcing Apple and Google to allow third party in-app payments. The case that is farthest along in the EU is Spotify’s, which would force Apple to not charge fees to competing services, so that means music, podcasts, games, video and fitness.\nThe Chinese Communist Party remains the second biggest tail risk in the world after climate change. Apple’s regulatory risk there is uniquely high, both on the supply and demand sides. Apple has already given into them by not providing their Chinese customers with the same level of privacy as everyone else. With the mood in China right now, who knows where that goes.\nWhat Losing Control Of App Store Looks Like\nStone Fox Capital here at Seeking Alpha is out with an article pivoting off Katy Huberty's estimation of a 2% earnings loss if the top 20 apps on the App Store were able to eschew in-app payments. Stone Fox would also like you to care about that seemingly small number:\n\n Apple won most of their legal case with Epic Games based on the ruling announced on September 10, but the tech giant lost the ultimate battle. The stock remains priced for perfection while the company continues to have growth paths chipped away from the business.\n\nMy last article on this subject was called “Chipping Away at App Store.” This is what is happening and the trend is now clear. There is a mood globally to take Apple down a peg, and it is happening too slowly for many people to realize it is happening.\nMy own way of modeling the worst case is through my DCF model. It’s modeled as a 25% hit to Services in the first year, with services gross margin reduced from 68% to 65%, followed by a slightly increased growth rate in the segment because of composition effects — the rest of Services grows faster than App Store. I used to model that happening in fiscal 2024, but I have moved that up to fiscal 2023, beginning less than 13 months from now.\nHere is the effect on fair value on my base case:\n\nEven with the very slow start for the reason Stone Fox says — the share price has gotten way out ahead of cash flows — my base case still shows an 11% CAGR in fair value through the end of fiscal 2025. The App Store collapse takes that down to an 8% CAGR, 12% lower by 2025.\nCircling back, Stone Fox puts a button on this more succinctly than I can:\n\n The key investor takeaway is that Apple has a bright future. The company will continue generating profits with operating cash flows topping $100 billion annually, but the tech giant will struggle to generate the growth needed to warrant the current stock price. The 2% hit to earnings might not seem meaningful, but the amount is very harmful to a stock priced for perfection.\n\nHow To Take This Seriously\nIn my last article on this subject, someone cheekily replied in the comments, “‘Please take this seriously.’ What does that even mean?” That’s a good question. The first part of the answer is to stop pretending it’s not happening.\n“If your time horizon is short, now is a good time to take profits.” I have been using that phrase frequently since Apple hit $140. The last chart just formalizes it with math, but my opinion is that Apple will remain range-bound for some time, between $125 and $155, roughly. I still mean it: if your time horizon is short, now is a good time to take profits.\nBut I also believe that no other company is as prepared for the future of technology, regardless of what that brings. That is a far longer discussion. I have been buying Apple shares on the dip since 2005, which is two splits ago. My last buy was in January 2019, when Apple reported that they would miss guidance for the first time in many years. At the time, the commentariat was telling me that Apple’s best days were behind them. I tried to explain that Apple was in a transitional phase, part of a strategy they launched around 2015 to focus more on the growth of the iPhone user base than sales. The strategy would pay off soon, I predicted, and it did in fiscal 2021. That seems like a very long time ago now.\nA consequence of buying the dip from 2005 to 2019 is that I own way too many Apple shares that I could never bring myself to sell. I am massively overweight Apple. There is a “What To Do With The Apple Shares” clause in my will. It is our largest asset, worth more than the house. That has not made me nervous until the last few months, when the tide seemed to start turning on Apple on this issue. I also used to be someone who did not take this threat seriously. I am going to start shaving my position as opportunities present themselves, and one may happen this week with the iPhone launch on Tuesday.\nTo be clear, I will remain overweight Apple, just less so, and I remain bullish in the long term. But I no longer feel the safety I once did with this wildly overweight position.\nIn contrast, if you are a long term investor who does not have a massively overweight position, watch, wait and fight confirmation bias every day. If you think this begins and ends with Epic, you haven’t been paying attention.\nPlease take this seriously.\nI will be back in a few days with hopefully happier news from the iPhone launch on Tuesday. The big question is whether Apple can begin shipping iPhone before the quarter is out.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813620843,"gmtCreate":1630199502882,"gmtModify":1704956880148,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"New competitor heheheh","listText":"New competitor heheheh","text":"New competitor heheheh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813620843","repostId":"1123342356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":249,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810078607,"gmtCreate":1629937015509,"gmtModify":1633681366094,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Weeee","listText":"Weeee","text":"Weeee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810078607","repostId":"2162059919","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":845997205,"gmtCreate":1636260710556,"gmtModify":1636260711009,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GOOOO MODERNAAA","listText":"GOOOO MODERNAAA","text":"GOOOO MODERNAAA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845997205","repostId":"2181742244","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1024,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856110597,"gmtCreate":1635159641951,"gmtModify":1635159642454,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Know that everyone gonna profit!!!","listText":"Know that everyone gonna profit!!!","text":"Know that everyone gonna profit!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856110597","repostId":"2178808449","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":882552038,"gmtCreate":1631710680724,"gmtModify":1631890078403,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lets gooo cryptoo","listText":"Lets gooo cryptoo","text":"Lets gooo cryptoo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882552038","repostId":"1189494600","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189494600","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631710166,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189494600?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 20:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Crypto stocks surged in premarket trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189494600","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Crypto stocks surged in premarket trading.Canaan,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Riot Blockchain,Bit Mi","content":"<p>Crypto stocks surged in premarket trading.Canaan,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Riot Blockchain,Bit Mining,SoS Ltd,Square&nbsp;and&nbsp;Coinbase&nbsp;climbed&nbsp;between 0.6% and 4.9%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327fd78b7f70fc897563280664c8905f\" tg-width=\"398\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Cathie Wood Expects Bitcoin to Rise to More Than $500,000 Over Next Five Years;</p>\n<p>Fidelity Pushed for Bitcoin ETF Approval in Private SEC Meeting;</p>\n<p>EU Targets Blockchain, Data in ‘Make or Break’ Tech Investment;</p>\n<p>Canaan Clocks 507% Revenue Growth In Q2, Expands Margin;</p>\n<p>Riot Blockchain stock price target raised to $82 from $51 at B. Riley.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crypto stocks surged in premarket trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrypto stocks surged in premarket trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-15 20:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Crypto stocks surged in premarket trading.Canaan,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Riot Blockchain,Bit Mining,SoS Ltd,Square&nbsp;and&nbsp;Coinbase&nbsp;climbed&nbsp;between 0.6% and 4.9%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/327fd78b7f70fc897563280664c8905f\" tg-width=\"398\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Cathie Wood Expects Bitcoin to Rise to More Than $500,000 Over Next Five Years;</p>\n<p>Fidelity Pushed for Bitcoin ETF Approval in Private SEC Meeting;</p>\n<p>EU Targets Blockchain, Data in ‘Make or Break’ Tech Investment;</p>\n<p>Canaan Clocks 507% Revenue Growth In Q2, Expands Margin;</p>\n<p>Riot Blockchain stock price target raised to $82 from $51 at B. Riley.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CAN":"嘉楠科技","EBON":"亿邦国际","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","NCTY":"第九城市","MARA":"MARA Holdings","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","SOS":"SOS Limited"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189494600","content_text":"Crypto stocks surged in premarket trading.Canaan,Marathon Digital,Bit Digital,Riot Blockchain,Bit Mining,SoS Ltd,Square and Coinbase climbed between 0.6% and 4.9%.\n\nCathie Wood Expects Bitcoin to Rise to More Than $500,000 Over Next Five Years;\nFidelity Pushed for Bitcoin ETF Approval in Private SEC Meeting;\nEU Targets Blockchain, Data in ‘Make or Break’ Tech Investment;\nCanaan Clocks 507% Revenue Growth In Q2, Expands Margin;\nRiot Blockchain stock price target raised to $82 from $51 at B. Riley.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":83,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817001520,"gmtCreate":1630888519860,"gmtModify":1631890078428,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Closed :(","listText":"Closed :(","text":"Closed :(","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817001520","repostId":"1126654067","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126654067","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630885254,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126654067?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126654067","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be cl","content":"<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.</p>\n<p>U.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.</p>\n<p>On Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc.&nbsp;-owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average,&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;or Nasdaq Composite indexes.</p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite&nbsp;was on track to book its 35th&nbsp;all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.</p>\n<p>Sifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was&nbsp;yielding around 1.33%&nbsp;after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.</p>\n<p>However, the&nbsp;Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that&nbsp;235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p>\n<p>Trading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil&nbsp;and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.</p>\n<p>Is there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?</p>\n<p>Probably not.</p>\n<p>But the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f0f061a4ddd2ca31c53f8aa68e3cce\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c780a46e32d055feb3e3f5e10fc987f\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p>\n<p>But if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s&nbsp;Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.</p>\n<p>It is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.</p>\n<p>Markets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100&nbsp;index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng&nbsp;and the Shanghai Composite Index.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-06 07:40 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","ICE":"洲际交易所",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126654067","content_text":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.\nOn Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.\nThe S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.\nSifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.\nHowever, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.\nTrading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.\nIs there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?\nProbably not.\nBut the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nThe S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nBut if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.\nIt is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.\nMarkets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815309447,"gmtCreate":1630640060789,"gmtModify":1631883903412,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$Pfizer(PFE)$</a>:(","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">$Pfizer(PFE)$</a>:(","text":"$Pfizer(PFE)$:(","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25d3691a60ef3c1aca1dda49d1ab3165","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815309447","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":85,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":879123686,"gmtCreate":1636692508650,"gmtModify":1636692509102,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>up up up uppp","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>up up up uppp","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$up up up uppp","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e55a4d4d55e8d282c5ffba6f736e073b","width":"1080","height":"2424"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879123686","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1098,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858232208,"gmtCreate":1635055334144,"gmtModify":1635055334618,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GOOD VALUE HEHE","listText":"GOOD VALUE HEHE","text":"GOOD VALUE HEHE","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858232208","repostId":"1100055241","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100055241","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635040192,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100055241?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-24 09:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel: Good Value Or Value Trap?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100055241","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Intel had a mixed earnings report that sent some investors running for the hills.The company beat earnings and actually raised guidance for 2021, but they signaled that supply chain issues remain and profitability in 2022 will be lower.After the sell-off, is Intel a good value or a value trap?The waters have been pretty rough for Intel Corp.  investors over the past few years.It seems like every time the sun comes out...there is another storm right around the corner.As highlighted on the earning","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Intel had a mixed earnings report&nbsp;that sent some investors running for the hills.</li>\n <li>The company beat earnings and actually raised guidance for 2021, but they signaled that supply chain issues remain and profitability in 2022 will be lower.</li>\n <li>After the sell-off, is Intel a good value or a value trap?</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c02609041d90c055d66b217f06706d28\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1022\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>4kodiak/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>The waters have been pretty rough for Intel Corp. (INTC) investors over the past few years.</p>\n<p>It seems like every time the sun comes out...there is another storm right around the corner.</p>\n<p>As highlighted on the earnings call last night, the next \"storm\" brewing for Intel is continued supply chain issues (component shortages in the PC business) and reduced near-term profitability from rising capital expenditure needs, which has sent the stock plummeting 11% this morning into the abyss.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bd612f6f25b6e86d7a72b38440d513f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>However, buying the dips has actually been pretty lucrative in the recent past...if, of course, you were lucky enough to fade the rallies.</p>\n<p>To be fair, Intel has had its fair share of challenges this year, despite general tailwinds in the industry (i.e., chip demand far outpacing supply).</p>\n<p>Specifically, Intel has had some well-documented manufacturing blunders that have caused major delays and loss of some market share...mainly to Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).</p>\n<p>This has triggered concern amongst investors that the stock may be a potential \"value trap\" now.</p>\n<p>All that said, Intel is dedicated to spending $25 billion to $28 billion in 2022 and just broke ground on some new fabs.</p>\n<p>Personally, I don't think we are anywhere near peak demand for chips and I believe that Intel's fabrication capabilities are (and will continue to be) a huge advantage for the company for years to come.</p>\n<p>So how can we structure a trade to take advantage of the upside potential in the stock (after this pullback) while also protecting ourselves from more near-term downside (if any)?</p>\n<p><b>It's a perfect situation for a \"Triple Play\" trade!</b></p>\n<p>Intel Corp.</p>\n<p><b>Sector/Industry:</b>Technology/Semiconductors</p>\n<blockquote>\n Intel is the world's largest chipmaker. It designs and manufactures microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors. It was the prime proponent of Moore's Law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing, though the firm has recently faced manufacturing delays. While Intel's server processor business has benefited from the shift to the cloud, the firm has also been expanding into new adjacencies as the personal computer market has stagnated. These include areas such as the Internet of Things, artificial intelligence, and automotive. Intel has been active on the merger and acquisitions front, acquiring Altera, Mobileye, and Habana Labs in order to bolster these efforts in non-PC arenas.\n</blockquote>\n<p><i>Source: YCharts</i></p>\n<p><b>Valuation/Upside Potential</b></p>\n<p>Intel looks extremely attractive from a valuation standpoint and is currently trading at a decent discount to all of its long-term valuation metrics (hence the high Value Ranking of 10).</p>\n<p>Specifically, Intel is trading at a nice discount to its historical P/E multiple on a forward basis (10.6x 2021 earnings).<i>Note that the company actually just increased its guidance for fiscal 2021 earnings to $5.28 per share</i>.</p>\n<p>That said, as supply chain worries decrease over time, we definitely think there could be some room for margin expansion in the future.</p>\n<p>If you put just a 12x-14x multiple on consensus forward earnings of $5.28 per share for FYE 2021, that would equate to a $63.00- $73.00 stock price (representing 25%-45% upside from current levels).</p>\n<p>Although it probably won't get there in a straight line...</p>\n<p><b>\"Triple Play\" Trade Analysis</b></p>\n<p>A \"Triple Play\" trade involves simultaneously selling a cash-secured put and a covered call on a stock that you own.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3af23e0208929d569a6e62a12a9607\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source: Option Income Advisor</span></p>\n<p>Note that if you don't currently own INTC stock, you will want to buy it before you write the covered call.</p>\n<p>This trade will allow you to take advantage of the upside potential in the stock while also protecting some of the near-term downside (if any).</p>\n<p><b>Step 1: Sell Cash-Secured Puts (50% of position size)</b></p>\n<p>The first step of the Triple Play trade is to sell a cash-secured put on the stock for 50% of your target position size. For example, if you wanted to own 400 shares of INTC... you would sell 2 cash-secured put contract, which represents 200 shares of stock.</p>\n<p>The three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Premium Yield % (or Average Monthly Yield %): Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).<i>Assumes that the option is fully cash secured.</i></li>\n <li>Margin-of-Safety %: Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.</li>\n <li>Delta: A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><i>Note that there's always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.</i></p>\n<p><i>Investors always should be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance. Selling CSPs can be adapted to suit your needs.</i></p>\n<p>As discussed in the video, we like the $45.00-$50.00 range for INTC in the near term. So we like the following cash-secured put:</p>\n<p><i><b>INTC Nov 19th $47.50.00 Put (28 days until expiration)</b></i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Option Premium: ~$0.58 premium</li>\n <li>Average Monthly Yield %: 1.3% (15.6% annualized)</li>\n <li>Margin-of-Safety %: 4.2%</li>\n <li>Delta: 28</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Step 2: Buy the Stock (50% of position size)</b></p>\n<p><i>Note: At the time of publication, INTC was trading at $49.60. If you already own the stock, you can skip to Step 3.</i></p>\n<p>The second step of the Triple Play is to buy the stock (50% of your target position size). For example, if you wanted to own 400 shares of INTC... you would buy 200 shares of stock.</p>\n<p><b>Step 3: Sell Covered Calls On Your Stock Position (*optional*)</b></p>\n<p>A covered call strategy will help generate some short-term income, maintain some upside exposure, and mitigate some downside risk.</p>\n<p>With a covered call, you are agreeing to sell your stock at a higher price (your call option strike price) but you get to keep your call option premium either way.</p>\n<p>As discussed in the video, since we like the upside potential in the near term with INTC, you will want to give yourself some room for the stock to run.<b>So we would actually recommend waiting for the stock to trade a little higher before selling covered calls.</b></p>\n<p>That said, if you wanted to execute the covered calls today, I would certainly consider taking less premium income to preserve more potential upside profit. For example, the $53.00 call would give you an extra 0.5% of income per month (6.0% annualized)...which would essentially triple your dividend yield on the stock!</p>\n<p><i><b>INTC Nov 19th $53.00 Call (28 days until expiration)</b></i></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Option Premium: ~$0.25 premium</li>\n <li>Average Monthly Yield %: 0.5% (6.0% annualized)</li>\n <li>Upside Profit %: 7.4%</li>\n <li>Delta: 15</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>This Triple Play trade will allow you to take advantage of the upside potential in INTC stock while also giving you some downside cushion if shares trade lower in the near term. As the covered calls and cash-secured puts expire, you can rinse and repeat the Triple Play trade!</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel: Good Value Or Value Trap?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel: Good Value Or Value Trap?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-24 09:49 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4461530-intel-intc-stock-good-value-or-value-trap><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nIntel had a mixed earnings report that sent some investors running for the hills.\nThe company beat earnings and actually raised guidance for 2021, but they signaled that supply chain issues ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4461530-intel-intc-stock-good-value-or-value-trap\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4461530-intel-intc-stock-good-value-or-value-trap","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100055241","content_text":"Summary\n\nIntel had a mixed earnings report that sent some investors running for the hills.\nThe company beat earnings and actually raised guidance for 2021, but they signaled that supply chain issues remain and profitability in 2022 will be lower.\nAfter the sell-off, is Intel a good value or a value trap?\n\n4kodiak/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe waters have been pretty rough for Intel Corp. (INTC) investors over the past few years.\nIt seems like every time the sun comes out...there is another storm right around the corner.\nAs highlighted on the earnings call last night, the next \"storm\" brewing for Intel is continued supply chain issues (component shortages in the PC business) and reduced near-term profitability from rising capital expenditure needs, which has sent the stock plummeting 11% this morning into the abyss.\n\nHowever, buying the dips has actually been pretty lucrative in the recent past...if, of course, you were lucky enough to fade the rallies.\nTo be fair, Intel has had its fair share of challenges this year, despite general tailwinds in the industry (i.e., chip demand far outpacing supply).\nSpecifically, Intel has had some well-documented manufacturing blunders that have caused major delays and loss of some market share...mainly to Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).\nThis has triggered concern amongst investors that the stock may be a potential \"value trap\" now.\nAll that said, Intel is dedicated to spending $25 billion to $28 billion in 2022 and just broke ground on some new fabs.\nPersonally, I don't think we are anywhere near peak demand for chips and I believe that Intel's fabrication capabilities are (and will continue to be) a huge advantage for the company for years to come.\nSo how can we structure a trade to take advantage of the upside potential in the stock (after this pullback) while also protecting ourselves from more near-term downside (if any)?\nIt's a perfect situation for a \"Triple Play\" trade!\nIntel Corp.\nSector/Industry:Technology/Semiconductors\n\n Intel is the world's largest chipmaker. It designs and manufactures microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors. It was the prime proponent of Moore's Law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing, though the firm has recently faced manufacturing delays. While Intel's server processor business has benefited from the shift to the cloud, the firm has also been expanding into new adjacencies as the personal computer market has stagnated. These include areas such as the Internet of Things, artificial intelligence, and automotive. Intel has been active on the merger and acquisitions front, acquiring Altera, Mobileye, and Habana Labs in order to bolster these efforts in non-PC arenas.\n\nSource: YCharts\nValuation/Upside Potential\nIntel looks extremely attractive from a valuation standpoint and is currently trading at a decent discount to all of its long-term valuation metrics (hence the high Value Ranking of 10).\nSpecifically, Intel is trading at a nice discount to its historical P/E multiple on a forward basis (10.6x 2021 earnings).Note that the company actually just increased its guidance for fiscal 2021 earnings to $5.28 per share.\nThat said, as supply chain worries decrease over time, we definitely think there could be some room for margin expansion in the future.\nIf you put just a 12x-14x multiple on consensus forward earnings of $5.28 per share for FYE 2021, that would equate to a $63.00- $73.00 stock price (representing 25%-45% upside from current levels).\nAlthough it probably won't get there in a straight line...\n\"Triple Play\" Trade Analysis\nA \"Triple Play\" trade involves simultaneously selling a cash-secured put and a covered call on a stock that you own.\nSource: Option Income Advisor\nNote that if you don't currently own INTC stock, you will want to buy it before you write the covered call.\nThis trade will allow you to take advantage of the upside potential in the stock while also protecting some of the near-term downside (if any).\nStep 1: Sell Cash-Secured Puts (50% of position size)\nThe first step of the Triple Play trade is to sell a cash-secured put on the stock for 50% of your target position size. For example, if you wanted to own 400 shares of INTC... you would sell 2 cash-secured put contract, which represents 200 shares of stock.\nThe three main data points we look at when analyzing a cash-secured put trade are:\n\nPremium Yield % (or Average Monthly Yield %): Measure of expected return on capital assuming that the option expires worthless (out-of-the-money).Assumes that the option is fully cash secured.\nMargin-of-Safety %: Measure of downside protection or the percentage that the underlying stock could decline and would still allow you to break even on the option trade.\nDelta: A good proxy for the probability that the put option will finish in-the-money.\n\nNote that there's always a negative correlation between Premium Yield and Margin of Safety: The higher the Premium Yield for a given strike month, the lower the Margin of Safety.\nInvestors always should be honest with themselves about their risk tolerance. Selling CSPs can be adapted to suit your needs.\nAs discussed in the video, we like the $45.00-$50.00 range for INTC in the near term. So we like the following cash-secured put:\nINTC Nov 19th $47.50.00 Put (28 days until expiration)\n\nOption Premium: ~$0.58 premium\nAverage Monthly Yield %: 1.3% (15.6% annualized)\nMargin-of-Safety %: 4.2%\nDelta: 28\n\nStep 2: Buy the Stock (50% of position size)\nNote: At the time of publication, INTC was trading at $49.60. If you already own the stock, you can skip to Step 3.\nThe second step of the Triple Play is to buy the stock (50% of your target position size). For example, if you wanted to own 400 shares of INTC... you would buy 200 shares of stock.\nStep 3: Sell Covered Calls On Your Stock Position (*optional*)\nA covered call strategy will help generate some short-term income, maintain some upside exposure, and mitigate some downside risk.\nWith a covered call, you are agreeing to sell your stock at a higher price (your call option strike price) but you get to keep your call option premium either way.\nAs discussed in the video, since we like the upside potential in the near term with INTC, you will want to give yourself some room for the stock to run.So we would actually recommend waiting for the stock to trade a little higher before selling covered calls.\nThat said, if you wanted to execute the covered calls today, I would certainly consider taking less premium income to preserve more potential upside profit. For example, the $53.00 call would give you an extra 0.5% of income per month (6.0% annualized)...which would essentially triple your dividend yield on the stock!\nINTC Nov 19th $53.00 Call (28 days until expiration)\n\nOption Premium: ~$0.25 premium\nAverage Monthly Yield %: 0.5% (6.0% annualized)\nUpside Profit %: 7.4%\nDelta: 15\n\nConclusion\nThis Triple Play trade will allow you to take advantage of the upside potential in INTC stock while also giving you some downside cushion if shares trade lower in the near term. As the covered calls and cash-secured puts expire, you can rinse and repeat the Triple Play trade!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":252,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868618506,"gmtCreate":1632638234705,"gmtModify":1632647413390,"author":{"id":"4090835245062940","authorId":"4090835245062940","name":"Xiaobaibaix","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19263ccc92eb63259fac52b84116dbc7","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4090835245062940","authorIdStr":"4090835245062940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Paypal weee","listText":"Paypal weee","text":"Paypal weee","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868618506","repostId":"2170614636","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}