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Projme
2021-12-23
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Projme
2021-12-21
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How Amazon Takes Customers From Walmart, Target, and Costco<blockquote>亚马逊如何吸引沃尔玛、塔吉特和好市多的顾客</blockquote>
Projme
2021-12-20
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Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>
Projme
2021-12-19
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Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列,辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>
Projme
2021-12-18
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Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>
Projme
2021-12-17
Noted thanks
Projme
2021-12-17
Ok thanks
Projme
2021-12-17
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@MillionaireTiger:Pfizer Announced its Acquisition of Arena Pharmaceuticals in a $6.7 Billion
Projme
2021-12-17
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Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>
Projme
2021-12-16
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@库巴财经:注意,一包烟的平均价格要涨到59块!
Projme
2021-12-16
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Projme
2021-12-16
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Projme
2021-12-16
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Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>
Projme
2021-12-15
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Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
Projme
2021-12-14
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Projme
2021-12-13
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Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>
Projme
2021-12-12
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US IPO Week Ahead: IoT solutions, wine, and satellites in a 3 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:三周IPO中的物联网解决方案、葡萄酒和卫星</blockquote>
Projme
2021-12-11
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Projme
2021-12-10
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Projme
2021-12-09
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'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”:华尔街分析师对2022年美国股市的看法</blockquote>
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The research was done using the first nine months of 2021 to avoid any \"holiday-specific shopping swings.\"</p><p><blockquote>报告称,这项研究调查了“在实体店购物,然后在当天或第二天内补充亚马逊订单的个人”。这项研究是在2021年前9个月进行的,以避免任何“特定假期的购物波动”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Huge Opportunities for Walmart and Target</b></p><p><blockquote><b>沃尔玛和塔吉特的巨大机遇</b></blockquote></p><p> Showrooming not only means a loss of sales, it can also be a drain on resources. If for example, a customer ties up a Target associate asking questions about a big-ticket electronic item they then buy on Amazon, that's time the employee could have spent with another customer.</p><p><blockquote>陈列室不仅意味着销售损失,还会消耗资源。例如,如果一名客户联系了一名目标员工,询问他们随后在亚马逊上购买的大件电子产品的问题,那么该员工本可以与另一名客户共度时光。</blockquote></p><p> \"Each retailer analyzed has the opportunity for increased dollar sales if they capture these 'within-a-day' purchases while consumers are still in their store,\" the study found. Roughly three-quarters of all customers for the other three retailers also shop with Amazon (76% of Walmart shoppers, 77% of Target shoppers, 75% of Costco shoppers).</p><p><blockquote>研究发现:“如果每家被分析的零售商在消费者仍在商店时抓住这些‘一天之内’的购买,他们就有机会增加美元销售额。”其他三家零售商大约四分之三的顾客也在亚马逊购物(76%的沃尔玛购物者、77%的塔吉特购物者、75%的好市多购物者)。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart customers are the most likely to also make an Amazon purchase within 24 hours of visiting one of the brick-and-mortar chain's physical stores. Just over half (53%) of Walmart shoppers bought something on Amazon within a day of shopping in-store at Walmart while only 38% of Costco and Target customers did that.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的顾客也最有可能在参观实体连锁店的实体店后24小时内从亚马逊购物。超过一半(53%)的沃尔玛购物者在沃尔玛店内购物后的一天内就在亚马逊上购买了一些东西,而只有38%的好市多和塔吉特顾客这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Target, however, had the largest opportunity to capture sales lost to Amazon with a 24-hour period having had the customer in its store. \"By preventing leaked same-day trips to Amazon, Target has the potential to capture 10.3% in incremental sales, followed by Walmart (+7.2%) and Costco (+4.7%),\" the report showed.</p><p><blockquote>然而,塔吉特在顾客进入其商店的24小时内,最有机会弥补输给亚马逊的销售额。报告显示:“通过防止亚马逊当天行程被泄露,塔吉特有可能获得10.3%的增量销售额,其次是沃尔玛(+7.2%)和好市多(+4.7%)。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee9debb06b1c85aae26193b4e0f8541\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Driving Customers to Amazon?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么驱使顾客来到亚马逊?</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers had a number of different reasons for ordering items from Amazon despite having recently been inside a Walmart, Target, or Costco. These include:</p><p><blockquote>尽管消费者最近去过沃尔玛、塔吉特或好市多,但他们从亚马逊订购商品有许多不同的原因。其中包括:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>30% of Walmart shoppers and 24% of Target shoppers ordered from Amazon because the product they wanted was not available in the store they visited.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>30%的沃尔玛购物者和24%的塔吉特购物者从亚马逊订购,因为他们想要的产品在他们访问的商店中没有。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>About a third (30%) of both Target and Walmart shoppers cited \"ease of delivery\" as to why they ordered from Amazon despite being in a physical store.</p><p><blockquote><li>大约三分之一(30%)的塔吉特和沃尔玛购物者将“送货方便”作为他们尽管在实体店却从亚马逊订购的原因。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Lower prices on Amazon was the reason named by 22% of Walmart shoppers and 20% of Target shoppers.</p><p><blockquote><li>22%的沃尔玛购物者和20%的塔吉特购物者认为亚马逊价格较低是原因。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> \"Nearly 2-in-5 consumers (39%) said Walmart should focus on product availability, 14 points higher than those who said the same for Target (25%),\" Numerator reported.\" \"Offering lower prices was the top recommendation from Target shoppers (39%), compared to 36% of Walmart shoppers. Improving the in-store experience represented the largest gap (21 points) between Walmart and Target shoppers, with nearly 1 in 3 Walmart shoppers (28%) making this request, compared to 7% of Target shoppers.</p><p><blockquote>Numerator报道称:“近五分之二(39%)的消费者表示,沃尔玛应该关注产品供应,比塔吉特百货(25%)的受访者高出14个百分点。”“提供更低的价格是Target购物者(39%)的首要建议,而沃尔玛购物者的这一比例为36%。改善店内体验是沃尔玛和Target购物者之间的最大差距(21分),近三分之一的沃尔玛购物者(28%)提出了这一要求,而Target购物者的这一比例为7%。</blockquote></p><p> Numerator surveyed more than 1,000 verified Target and Walmart customers who made a following verified Amazon purchase to create the report.</p><p><blockquote>Numerator调查了1000多名经过验证的Target和Walmart客户,这些客户在亚马逊上进行了以下经过验证的购买,以创建这份报告。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Amazon Takes Customers From Walmart, Target, and Costco<blockquote>亚马逊如何吸引沃尔玛、塔吉特和好市多的顾客</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Amazon Takes Customers From Walmart, Target, and Costco<blockquote>亚马逊如何吸引沃尔玛、塔吉特和好市多的顾客</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-21 16:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Major retailers including Walmart(<b>WMT</b>) and Target(<b>TGT</b>) have substantial opportunities to grow the sales if they could stop customers from showrooming, according to a new reportfrom Numerator.</p><p><blockquote>主要零售商包括沃尔玛(<b>WMT</b>)和目标(<b>TGT</b>根据Numerator的一份新报告,如果他们能够阻止客户进入展厅,他们就有很大的机会增加销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Showrooming is the practice of consumers visiting a brick-and-mortar retailer to look at an item before then buying it online.</p><p><blockquote>陈列室是消费者在网上购买之前先去实体零售商那里看一件商品的做法。</blockquote></p><p> The study examined \"individuals who shopped in-store at a brick-and-mortar location and then supplemented with an Amazon order within the same day or the day immediately following,\" according to the report. The research was done using the first nine months of 2021 to avoid any \"holiday-specific shopping swings.\"</p><p><blockquote>报告称,这项研究调查了“在实体店购物,然后在当天或第二天内补充亚马逊订单的个人”。这项研究是在2021年前9个月进行的,以避免任何“特定假期的购物波动”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Huge Opportunities for Walmart and Target</b></p><p><blockquote><b>沃尔玛和塔吉特的巨大机遇</b></blockquote></p><p> Showrooming not only means a loss of sales, it can also be a drain on resources. If for example, a customer ties up a Target associate asking questions about a big-ticket electronic item they then buy on Amazon, that's time the employee could have spent with another customer.</p><p><blockquote>陈列室不仅意味着销售损失,还会消耗资源。例如,如果一名客户联系了一名目标员工,询问他们随后在亚马逊上购买的大件电子产品的问题,那么该员工本可以与另一名客户共度时光。</blockquote></p><p> \"Each retailer analyzed has the opportunity for increased dollar sales if they capture these 'within-a-day' purchases while consumers are still in their store,\" the study found. Roughly three-quarters of all customers for the other three retailers also shop with Amazon (76% of Walmart shoppers, 77% of Target shoppers, 75% of Costco shoppers).</p><p><blockquote>研究发现:“如果每家被分析的零售商在消费者仍在商店时抓住这些‘一天之内’的购买,他们就有机会增加美元销售额。”其他三家零售商大约四分之三的顾客也在亚马逊购物(76%的沃尔玛购物者、77%的塔吉特购物者、75%的好市多购物者)。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart customers are the most likely to also make an Amazon purchase within 24 hours of visiting one of the brick-and-mortar chain's physical stores. Just over half (53%) of Walmart shoppers bought something on Amazon within a day of shopping in-store at Walmart while only 38% of Costco and Target customers did that.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的顾客也最有可能在参观实体连锁店的实体店后24小时内从亚马逊购物。超过一半(53%)的沃尔玛购物者在沃尔玛店内购物后的一天内就在亚马逊上购买了一些东西,而只有38%的好市多和塔吉特顾客这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Target, however, had the largest opportunity to capture sales lost to Amazon with a 24-hour period having had the customer in its store. \"By preventing leaked same-day trips to Amazon, Target has the potential to capture 10.3% in incremental sales, followed by Walmart (+7.2%) and Costco (+4.7%),\" the report showed.</p><p><blockquote>然而,塔吉特在顾客进入其商店的24小时内,最有机会弥补输给亚马逊的销售额。报告显示:“通过防止亚马逊当天行程被泄露,塔吉特有可能获得10.3%的增量销售额,其次是沃尔玛(+7.2%)和好市多(+4.7%)。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee9debb06b1c85aae26193b4e0f8541\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Driving Customers to Amazon?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么驱使顾客来到亚马逊?</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers had a number of different reasons for ordering items from Amazon despite having recently been inside a Walmart, Target, or Costco. These include:</p><p><blockquote>尽管消费者最近去过沃尔玛、塔吉特或好市多,但他们从亚马逊订购商品有许多不同的原因。其中包括:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>30% of Walmart shoppers and 24% of Target shoppers ordered from Amazon because the product they wanted was not available in the store they visited.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>30%的沃尔玛购物者和24%的塔吉特购物者从亚马逊订购,因为他们想要的产品在他们访问的商店中没有。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>About a third (30%) of both Target and Walmart shoppers cited \"ease of delivery\" as to why they ordered from Amazon despite being in a physical store.</p><p><blockquote><li>大约三分之一(30%)的塔吉特和沃尔玛购物者将“送货方便”作为他们尽管在实体店却从亚马逊订购的原因。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Lower prices on Amazon was the reason named by 22% of Walmart shoppers and 20% of Target shoppers.</p><p><blockquote><li>22%的沃尔玛购物者和20%的塔吉特购物者认为亚马逊价格较低是原因。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> \"Nearly 2-in-5 consumers (39%) said Walmart should focus on product availability, 14 points higher than those who said the same for Target (25%),\" Numerator reported.\" \"Offering lower prices was the top recommendation from Target shoppers (39%), compared to 36% of Walmart shoppers. Improving the in-store experience represented the largest gap (21 points) between Walmart and Target shoppers, with nearly 1 in 3 Walmart shoppers (28%) making this request, compared to 7% of Target shoppers.</p><p><blockquote>Numerator报道称:“近五分之二(39%)的消费者表示,沃尔玛应该关注产品供应,比塔吉特百货(25%)的受访者高出14个百分点。”“提供更低的价格是Target购物者(39%)的首要建议,而沃尔玛购物者的这一比例为36%。改善店内体验是沃尔玛和Target购物者之间的最大差距(21分),近三分之一的沃尔玛购物者(28%)提出了这一要求,而Target购物者的这一比例为7%。</blockquote></p><p> Numerator surveyed more than 1,000 verified Target and Walmart customers who made a following verified Amazon purchase to create the report.</p><p><blockquote>Numerator调查了1000多名经过验证的Target和Walmart客户,这些客户在亚马逊上进行了以下经过验证的购买,以创建这份报告。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/how-amazon-takes-customers-from-walmart-target-and-costco\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","COST":"好市多","TGT":"塔吉特","WMT":"沃尔玛"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/how-amazon-takes-customers-from-walmart-target-and-costco","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149192768","content_text":"Major retailers including Walmart(WMT) and Target(TGT) have substantial opportunities to grow the sales if they could stop customers from showrooming, according to a new reportfrom Numerator.\nShowrooming is the practice of consumers visiting a brick-and-mortar retailer to look at an item before then buying it online.\nThe study examined \"individuals who shopped in-store at a brick-and-mortar location and then supplemented with an Amazon order within the same day or the day immediately following,\" according to the report. The research was done using the first nine months of 2021 to avoid any \"holiday-specific shopping swings.\"\nHuge Opportunities for Walmart and Target\nShowrooming not only means a loss of sales, it can also be a drain on resources. If for example, a customer ties up a Target associate asking questions about a big-ticket electronic item they then buy on Amazon, that's time the employee could have spent with another customer.\n\"Each retailer analyzed has the opportunity for increased dollar sales if they capture these 'within-a-day' purchases while consumers are still in their store,\" the study found. Roughly three-quarters of all customers for the other three retailers also shop with Amazon (76% of Walmart shoppers, 77% of Target shoppers, 75% of Costco shoppers).\nWalmart customers are the most likely to also make an Amazon purchase within 24 hours of visiting one of the brick-and-mortar chain's physical stores. Just over half (53%) of Walmart shoppers bought something on Amazon within a day of shopping in-store at Walmart while only 38% of Costco and Target customers did that.\nTarget, however, had the largest opportunity to capture sales lost to Amazon with a 24-hour period having had the customer in its store. \"By preventing leaked same-day trips to Amazon, Target has the potential to capture 10.3% in incremental sales, followed by Walmart (+7.2%) and Costco (+4.7%),\" the report showed.\n\nWhat's Driving Customers to Amazon?\nConsumers had a number of different reasons for ordering items from Amazon despite having recently been inside a Walmart, Target, or Costco. These include:\n\n30% of Walmart shoppers and 24% of Target shoppers ordered from Amazon because the product they wanted was not available in the store they visited.\nAbout a third (30%) of both Target and Walmart shoppers cited \"ease of delivery\" as to why they ordered from Amazon despite being in a physical store.\nLower prices on Amazon was the reason named by 22% of Walmart shoppers and 20% of Target shoppers.\n\n\"Nearly 2-in-5 consumers (39%) said Walmart should focus on product availability, 14 points higher than those who said the same for Target (25%),\" Numerator reported.\" \"Offering lower prices was the top recommendation from Target shoppers (39%), compared to 36% of Walmart shoppers. Improving the in-store experience represented the largest gap (21 points) between Walmart and Target shoppers, with nearly 1 in 3 Walmart shoppers (28%) making this request, compared to 7% of Target shoppers.\nNumerator surveyed more than 1,000 verified Target and Walmart customers who made a following verified Amazon purchase to create the report.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TGT":0.9,"COST":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"WMT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693360135,"gmtCreate":1639971921504,"gmtModify":1639971921687,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693360135","repostId":"1183475424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183475424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639967829,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183475424?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183475424","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li> <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li> <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li> <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li> <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段,美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表,并为最早在3月份加息做准备。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景受到侵蚀,加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票,但苹果股票在很大程度上仍保持弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及AR/VR和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下,苹果预计将在未来实现更多增长。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金,而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此,尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险,但随着苹果估值接近3万亿美元,其看涨论点仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一,苹果(纳斯达克:AAPL)今年以来涨幅接近40%。该股不久前曾达到182.13美元的峰值,目前距离成为第一家市值达到3万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到7%,仅占以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数的15%左右。自20世纪90年代末以来,苹果的市值增长了220倍以上,这得益于该公司不断抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求的能力。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面预计将帮助该股抵御明年即将加息的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来最热的水平,美联储周三决定将加快缩减每月1200亿美元债券回购计划的步伐,从11月开始的每月150亿美元减少到每月300亿美元。这将有效地结束刺激计划,该计划是在3月份大流行开始时实施的,而不是最初计划的7月份。预计加息将很快开始,以应对不断上涨的物价压力,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认,这一过程只有在缩减结束后才会以渐进的速度开始。最新的点阵图显示,从2022年初开始,联邦基金利率有可能从接近零的水平上升三个25个百分点,2023年再上升三个百分点,2024年再上升两个百分点。如果实现,这一过程将在2024年将基金利率提高至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者转向规避风险,因为他们担心未来收益的价值会加速侵蚀,以及资本成本上升导致业务增长停滞,尤其是高增长股票,但苹果在美联储发布后上涨了近3%关于政策收紧的最新消息。该股12月15日收于179.30美元,接近周一182美元的峰值。美联储更新后,苹果的上涨以及其他大型科技股的类似上涨趋势推动纳斯达克100指数盘中上涨2.4%,这表明投资者更愿意将资金投资于增长前景强劲的公司以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假期对苹果12月季度销售有利,该股估值预计将比预期更早进入3万亿美元区间。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购以及新的尖端产品预计在可预见的未来带来的额外收入贡献也将成为支持公司持续强劲的基本面并保持该股的关键催化剂尽管即将加息,但估值仍高于3万亿美元。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景,我们将该股12个月目标价上调至209.43美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年基本面前景概述和回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致商店断断续续关闭,导致销售额损失超过90亿美元,但该公司今年的收入较2020财年增长了33%,达到3660亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入,比上一年增长了20%以上。本年度的成功主要归功于一系列新产品的推出和功能升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列,以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone销量今年增长了39%,是其他细分市场中增长最快的,占苹果2021财年收入的一半以上。这一结果与去年移动设备需求下滑形成鲜明对比,当时消费者准备应对大流行带来的经济不确定性。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快,预计未来几年iPhone销量将保持强劲。2022年可能推出的更实惠的支持5G的iPhone SE预计也将通过吸引“超过10亿非高端Android用户”的切换者来进一步提高苹果的市场份额,并将活跃安装基数推向另一个历史新高。在推出支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s后,最近几个季度观察到的iPhone销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头,升级者和转换者的数量以两位数强劲增长。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动iPhone的销售贡献。Verizon和AT&T等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售,以鼓励迁移到他们在全国范围内花费数十亿美元建设的5G网络。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内斥资超过7000亿美元建设5G网络,这突显出随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回成本,iPhone市场未来将面临巨大的额外增长机会。他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac和iPad的销售额在2021财年也大幅增长,收入分别达到创纪录的352亿美元和319亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新的M1驱动的iMac后,苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的M1处理器使最新的MacBook“在游戏之外的几乎所有生产力用例上都比任何基于英特尔的设备都好”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的难以置信的需求,从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计,该公司在9月份季度的Mac产品出货量超过320万台,这推动了该部门创纪录的收入,同时将其在全球PC销量中的排名提升至其他供应商中的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入M1处理器也增强了其在利用全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑需求激增方面的地位,使该公司能够构建具有创新功能的设备,这些设备可以无缝集成到其周边配件和服务生态系统中,以吸引邻近收入。随着后大流行时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用,全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求预计将在未来几年保持高位——预计到2025年,这些行业的市场规模将分别增长到2243亿美元和6000亿美元,这为苹果的Mac和iPad市场带来了有利的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近关于苹果打算加强其内部芯片开发能力的猜测可能会在未来几年进一步推进其技术的进步,并吸引对其产品的额外需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师来增强其在“无线电、射频集成电路和无线片上系统(“SoC”)”以及“用于连接蓝牙和Wi-Fi的半导体”的开发能力。这些发展预计将进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成,并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性,使其芯片部门成为该公司“最宝贵的资产”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务业的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面,强大的用户基础使该部门在2021财年的收入达到创纪录的超过684亿美元,比上一年增长27%。迄今为止,苹果的高利润服务已吸引了超过7.45亿付费用户,比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其各种服务平台(从苹果音乐到iCloud存储解决方案)中不断推动基于订阅的商业模式,再加上近年来针对关键消费者趋势的有吸引力的新产品,一直是该公司快速增长的关键驱动力。-扩大利润。为现有服务平台推出的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品预计将进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品在全球使用不断增加所带来的邻近机会的覆盖范围,例如,全球音乐流媒体市场预计将以16%的复合年增长率扩张,预计未来五年价值将达到610亿美元,凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果One捆绑包预计将成为未来几年促进服务部门销售的关键贡献者,吸引新用户为订阅服务付费,如果没有捆绑折扣,他们就不会这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将利好苹果快速增长的服务板块。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长,未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于AAPL拥有世界上最大和使用最多的应用商店之一,有理由假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果App Store涉嫌违反反垄断的审查越来越多——其中最引人注目的是与Epic Games正在进行的法律斗争——但该公司对确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性的持续关注可能会挽救局面。根据Morgan Stanley对美国和中国4000名苹果产品用户进行的一项调查,尽管开发者正在争取在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,但大多数用户都表示对苹果应用商店的忠诚度,因为它提供了“安全、隐私和交易便利性的价值”。作为Epic Games提起的长达一年的诉讼的一部分,苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers在9月份下令的App Store变更,这是App Store持续强劲的另一个迹象。该公司辩称,法院授权的允许App Store用户“直接从网络上的开发者那里购买”的命令将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前,开发者正在争取让应用用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,该生态系统向开发者收取高达所有购买30%的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉,法院关于是否需要实施App Store变更的最终决定可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决,即苹果必须允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率,App Store的收入预计每年最多只会减少40亿美元,这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到App Store用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视,实际的量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基础和相关服务平台用户,苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此,未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子和设备的先驱预计将在2023年初推出VR耳机和AR眼镜,这是一项新兴技术,近几个月来,随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多,这项技术的发展势头越来越大。与市场上已有的大多数VR头显类似,苹果的将配备3D显示屏,为从游戏到交流的各种活动提供身临其境的环境。差异化因素将是该公司计划在设备中实现一流的图形芯片,以促进超高分辨率显示。即将推出的VR头显最终将为其AR眼镜奠定基础,苹果预计这将是“更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年,与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为8000亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的70%以上,而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力,该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的AR/VR耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会,还可以利用与相关应用程序、软件和服务平台使用相关的邻近收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>对苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测预计也将在可预见的未来为该股带来有意义的上涨。该公司现在计划到2025年推出新的产品类别,届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场的价值预计将达到2000亿美元以上。最终的汽车可能会向其现有产品组合致敬,例如“类似iPad的触摸屏”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面,据信苹果已经完成了定制芯片的开发,用于为车辆的自动驾驶功能提供动力。据该州DMV称,最新的芯片将很快应用到其现有的改装SUV车队中,以便在加利福尼亚州进行测试,这表明即将推出的芯片即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了“随着时间的推移,新产品和服务对材料收入的持续贡献”,但上述新产品类别发布的额外上行空间仍然缺失。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出,这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期AR/VR设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高1500亿美元。随着时间的推移,当元宇宙趋势继续获得主流关注时,苹果预计将从AR/VR领域获得超过2000亿美元的年收入,这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值前景和即将加息的潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果2021财年年终业绩和12月季度指引的最新预测,我们的基本情况预测预计到2022财年末总净销售额为4393亿美元,到2026财年将进一步增长至6685亿美元。我们预测中应用于各部门收入的增长假设与我们对该股的最新分析基本保持不变,并额外考虑了管理层对供应限制影响和即将加息的近期前景。具体来说,2021财年下半年由于全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延迟造成的90亿美元收入损失(即6月季度约30亿美元,9月季度约60亿美元)预计将恶化2022财年上半年。尽管供应链挑战有所改善,但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将导致未来几个季度销量损失更大。尽管如此,苹果仍为未来强劲的基本面做好了准备,这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测:</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部财务预测(苹果_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf)。有关所应用的材料增长假设的更多详情,请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑,我们将苹果股票的12个月目标价修正为209.43美元。基于12月17日171.14美元的最后交易价格,这意味着超过22%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期内的贴现现金流(“DCF”)分析得出的,并结合前几节中分析的针对苹果近期发展更新的财务预测。与我们最初的估值分析类似,我们采用了8%的WACC来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司当前的资本结构和强劲的资产负债表,贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务的很大一部分是固定利率票据,预计其增长资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况,管理层打算在加息之前部署以实现额外增长,而不必产生增量资本成本。预计这将进一步巩固投资者对苹果股票的信心,因为他们在担心利率上升带来的更广泛市场压力的情况下继续“转向优质股票”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为19.8倍,这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品领域即将推出,所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善,并抵消即将加息的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、敏感性分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述分析,预计未来两年在当前接近零的联邦基金利率基础上增加175至200个基点,从基本面和估值角度来看,预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求,加上新的创新,预计将进一步增强该公司的基本增长前景。因此,这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表,并进一步增强其抵御更广泛的宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上,为应对即将加息带来的风险,对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加,甚至可能会推动苹果的估值增长势头。考虑到这些因素,苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一,尽管加息即将到来,但其近期仍强劲上涨至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 10:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li> <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li> <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li> <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li> <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段,美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表,并为最早在3月份加息做准备。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景受到侵蚀,加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票,但苹果股票在很大程度上仍保持弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及AR/VR和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下,苹果预计将在未来实现更多增长。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金,而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此,尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险,但随着苹果估值接近3万亿美元,其看涨论点仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一,苹果(纳斯达克:AAPL)今年以来涨幅接近40%。该股不久前曾达到182.13美元的峰值,目前距离成为第一家市值达到3万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到7%,仅占以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数的15%左右。自20世纪90年代末以来,苹果的市值增长了220倍以上,这得益于该公司不断抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求的能力。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面预计将帮助该股抵御明年即将加息的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来最热的水平,美联储周三决定将加快缩减每月1200亿美元债券回购计划的步伐,从11月开始的每月150亿美元减少到每月300亿美元。这将有效地结束刺激计划,该计划是在3月份大流行开始时实施的,而不是最初计划的7月份。预计加息将很快开始,以应对不断上涨的物价压力,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认,这一过程只有在缩减结束后才会以渐进的速度开始。最新的点阵图显示,从2022年初开始,联邦基金利率有可能从接近零的水平上升三个25个百分点,2023年再上升三个百分点,2024年再上升两个百分点。如果实现,这一过程将在2024年将基金利率提高至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者转向规避风险,因为他们担心未来收益的价值会加速侵蚀,以及资本成本上升导致业务增长停滞,尤其是高增长股票,但苹果在美联储发布后上涨了近3%关于政策收紧的最新消息。该股12月15日收于179.30美元,接近周一182美元的峰值。美联储更新后,苹果的上涨以及其他大型科技股的类似上涨趋势推动纳斯达克100指数盘中上涨2.4%,这表明投资者更愿意将资金投资于增长前景强劲的公司以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假期对苹果12月季度销售有利,该股估值预计将比预期更早进入3万亿美元区间。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购以及新的尖端产品预计在可预见的未来带来的额外收入贡献也将成为支持公司持续强劲的基本面并保持该股的关键催化剂尽管即将加息,但估值仍高于3万亿美元。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景,我们将该股12个月目标价上调至209.43美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年基本面前景概述和回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致商店断断续续关闭,导致销售额损失超过90亿美元,但该公司今年的收入较2020财年增长了33%,达到3660亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入,比上一年增长了20%以上。本年度的成功主要归功于一系列新产品的推出和功能升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列,以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone销量今年增长了39%,是其他细分市场中增长最快的,占苹果2021财年收入的一半以上。这一结果与去年移动设备需求下滑形成鲜明对比,当时消费者准备应对大流行带来的经济不确定性。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快,预计未来几年iPhone销量将保持强劲。2022年可能推出的更实惠的支持5G的iPhone SE预计也将通过吸引“超过10亿非高端Android用户”的切换者来进一步提高苹果的市场份额,并将活跃安装基数推向另一个历史新高。在推出支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s后,最近几个季度观察到的iPhone销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头,升级者和转换者的数量以两位数强劲增长。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动iPhone的销售贡献。Verizon和AT&T等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售,以鼓励迁移到他们在全国范围内花费数十亿美元建设的5G网络。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内斥资超过7000亿美元建设5G网络,这突显出随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回成本,iPhone市场未来将面临巨大的额外增长机会。他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac和iPad的销售额在2021财年也大幅增长,收入分别达到创纪录的352亿美元和319亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新的M1驱动的iMac后,苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的M1处理器使最新的MacBook“在游戏之外的几乎所有生产力用例上都比任何基于英特尔的设备都好”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的难以置信的需求,从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计,该公司在9月份季度的Mac产品出货量超过320万台,这推动了该部门创纪录的收入,同时将其在全球PC销量中的排名提升至其他供应商中的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入M1处理器也增强了其在利用全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑需求激增方面的地位,使该公司能够构建具有创新功能的设备,这些设备可以无缝集成到其周边配件和服务生态系统中,以吸引邻近收入。随着后大流行时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用,全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求预计将在未来几年保持高位——预计到2025年,这些行业的市场规模将分别增长到2243亿美元和6000亿美元,这为苹果的Mac和iPad市场带来了有利的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近关于苹果打算加强其内部芯片开发能力的猜测可能会在未来几年进一步推进其技术的进步,并吸引对其产品的额外需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师来增强其在“无线电、射频集成电路和无线片上系统(“SoC”)”以及“用于连接蓝牙和Wi-Fi的半导体”的开发能力。这些发展预计将进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成,并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性,使其芯片部门成为该公司“最宝贵的资产”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务业的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面,强大的用户基础使该部门在2021财年的收入达到创纪录的超过684亿美元,比上一年增长27%。迄今为止,苹果的高利润服务已吸引了超过7.45亿付费用户,比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其各种服务平台(从苹果音乐到iCloud存储解决方案)中不断推动基于订阅的商业模式,再加上近年来针对关键消费者趋势的有吸引力的新产品,一直是该公司快速增长的关键驱动力。-扩大利润。为现有服务平台推出的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品预计将进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品在全球使用不断增加所带来的邻近机会的覆盖范围,例如,全球音乐流媒体市场预计将以16%的复合年增长率扩张,预计未来五年价值将达到610亿美元,凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果One捆绑包预计将成为未来几年促进服务部门销售的关键贡献者,吸引新用户为订阅服务付费,如果没有捆绑折扣,他们就不会这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将利好苹果快速增长的服务板块。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长,未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于AAPL拥有世界上最大和使用最多的应用商店之一,有理由假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果App Store涉嫌违反反垄断的审查越来越多——其中最引人注目的是与Epic Games正在进行的法律斗争——但该公司对确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性的持续关注可能会挽救局面。根据Morgan Stanley对美国和中国4000名苹果产品用户进行的一项调查,尽管开发者正在争取在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,但大多数用户都表示对苹果应用商店的忠诚度,因为它提供了“安全、隐私和交易便利性的价值”。作为Epic Games提起的长达一年的诉讼的一部分,苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers在9月份下令的App Store变更,这是App Store持续强劲的另一个迹象。该公司辩称,法院授权的允许App Store用户“直接从网络上的开发者那里购买”的命令将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前,开发者正在争取让应用用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,该生态系统向开发者收取高达所有购买30%的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉,法院关于是否需要实施App Store变更的最终决定可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决,即苹果必须允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率,App Store的收入预计每年最多只会减少40亿美元,这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到App Store用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视,实际的量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基础和相关服务平台用户,苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此,未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子和设备的先驱预计将在2023年初推出VR耳机和AR眼镜,这是一项新兴技术,近几个月来,随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多,这项技术的发展势头越来越大。与市场上已有的大多数VR头显类似,苹果的将配备3D显示屏,为从游戏到交流的各种活动提供身临其境的环境。差异化因素将是该公司计划在设备中实现一流的图形芯片,以促进超高分辨率显示。即将推出的VR头显最终将为其AR眼镜奠定基础,苹果预计这将是“更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年,与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为8000亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的70%以上,而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力,该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的AR/VR耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会,还可以利用与相关应用程序、软件和服务平台使用相关的邻近收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>对苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测预计也将在可预见的未来为该股带来有意义的上涨。该公司现在计划到2025年推出新的产品类别,届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场的价值预计将达到2000亿美元以上。最终的汽车可能会向其现有产品组合致敬,例如“类似iPad的触摸屏”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面,据信苹果已经完成了定制芯片的开发,用于为车辆的自动驾驶功能提供动力。据该州DMV称,最新的芯片将很快应用到其现有的改装SUV车队中,以便在加利福尼亚州进行测试,这表明即将推出的芯片即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了“随着时间的推移,新产品和服务对材料收入的持续贡献”,但上述新产品类别发布的额外上行空间仍然缺失。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出,这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期AR/VR设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高1500亿美元。随着时间的推移,当元宇宙趋势继续获得主流关注时,苹果预计将从AR/VR领域获得超过2000亿美元的年收入,这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值前景和即将加息的潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果2021财年年终业绩和12月季度指引的最新预测,我们的基本情况预测预计到2022财年末总净销售额为4393亿美元,到2026财年将进一步增长至6685亿美元。我们预测中应用于各部门收入的增长假设与我们对该股的最新分析基本保持不变,并额外考虑了管理层对供应限制影响和即将加息的近期前景。具体来说,2021财年下半年由于全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延迟造成的90亿美元收入损失(即6月季度约30亿美元,9月季度约60亿美元)预计将恶化2022财年上半年。尽管供应链挑战有所改善,但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将导致未来几个季度销量损失更大。尽管如此,苹果仍为未来强劲的基本面做好了准备,这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测:</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部财务预测(苹果_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf)。有关所应用的材料增长假设的更多详情,请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑,我们将苹果股票的12个月目标价修正为209.43美元。基于12月17日171.14美元的最后交易价格,这意味着超过22%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期内的贴现现金流(“DCF”)分析得出的,并结合前几节中分析的针对苹果近期发展更新的财务预测。与我们最初的估值分析类似,我们采用了8%的WACC来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司当前的资本结构和强劲的资产负债表,贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务的很大一部分是固定利率票据,预计其增长资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况,管理层打算在加息之前部署以实现额外增长,而不必产生增量资本成本。预计这将进一步巩固投资者对苹果股票的信心,因为他们在担心利率上升带来的更广泛市场压力的情况下继续“转向优质股票”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为19.8倍,这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品领域即将推出,所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善,并抵消即将加息的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、敏感性分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述分析,预计未来两年在当前接近零的联邦基金利率基础上增加175至200个基点,从基本面和估值角度来看,预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求,加上新的创新,预计将进一步增强该公司的基本增长前景。因此,这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表,并进一步增强其抵御更广泛的宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上,为应对即将加息带来的风险,对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加,甚至可能会推动苹果的估值增长势头。考虑到这些因素,苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一,尽管加息即将到来,但其近期仍强劲上涨至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183475424","content_text":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\nWhile rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.\nApple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.\nIts strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.\nAs such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.\n\nguvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAs one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.\nAnd Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.\nSource: Bloomberg\nWhile rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.\nWith the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.\nFY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects\nFiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.\nKey Developments in Products\niPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.\nMac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.\nRecent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.\nKey Developments in Services\nOn the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.\nContinued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.\nCurrently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.\nKey Catalysts Ahead\nApple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.\nOver the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.\nSpeculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.\nWhile Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.\nValuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases\nAdjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.\n\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.\nDrawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nThe revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.\nThe valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\n\nii. Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion\nBased on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699477392,"gmtCreate":1639885342923,"gmtModify":1639885343048,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699477392","repostId":"1122414343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122414343","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639884070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122414343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-19 11:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列,辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122414343","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5","content":"<p>The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&A prospects. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的医疗保健股表现优于大盘指数中的所有其他板块,涨幅约为2.5%,主要得益于并购前景。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>科技股以及与COVID-19死灰复燃作斗争的股票领涨,而整体指数下跌约1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Among stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena Pharmaceuticals </a> dominated with a ~83.8% rise after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer </a> agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner </a> also joined the M&A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle </a> for the electronic-medical-records company.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一周市值超过20亿美元、日均成交量超过10万的股票中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena制药公司</a>之后上涨约83.8%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>同意以约6.7 B美元的价格收购该生物技术公司,溢价100%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a>也加入了并购推动的涨势,本周上涨约20.7%,有报道称来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a>电子病历公司。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccine developer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax </a> jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开发商、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>由于投资者欢迎世界卫生组织批准该公司的COVID-19疫苗,股价上涨约30.5%。当欧洲监管机构的专家小组将于下周审查该疫苗的营销授权时,这家总部位于马里兰州的生物技术公司可能会进一步受益。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven Pharmaceutical </a> posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant Sciences </a> added ~22.6%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven制药</a>在该公司宣布NURTEC ODT(rimegepant)在以色列获得批准后,该公司每周上涨约25.2%,使其成为该偏头痛药物在美国以外的首个监管胜利。与此同时,Vir Biotechnology(纳斯达克股票代码:VIR)飙升约23.7%,成为本月第二周涨幅最大的股票之一。本周出现的更多数据证实了该公司与葛兰素史克(纽约证券交易所股票代码:GSK)合作开发的COVID-19疗法具有奥密克戎中和作用。跻身涨幅前五名的还有,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant科学</a>增加了约22.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Notable gainer: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的赢家:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE)本周成为头条新闻,再次提高了COVID-19疫苗的销售指引,因为迅速传播的奥密克戎变种凸显了加强注射的必要性。尽管周五突然结束了连续六天的涨势,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>总部位于美国的制药巨头股价上涨约12.7%,创下2009年3月以来的最佳单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Among worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在本周表现最差的公司中,两家新IPO的生物技术公司Instil Bio(纳斯达克股票代码:TIL)和Exscientia(纳斯达克股票代码:EXAI)脱颖而出,尽管它们在华尔街获得了良好的评级,但分别下跌了19.3%和约13.5%。与此同时,处方药比价平台运营商GoodRx Holdings(纳斯达克股票代码:GDRX)股价下跌约15.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Last week’s best performer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">Bright Health Group</a>, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.</p><p><blockquote>上周表现最好的,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">光明健康集团</a>,暴跌约13.1%,受到唯一卖出评级的伤害<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>尽管这家投资银行以基本积极的观点开始了对管理式医疗的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">CAR</a> T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.</p><p><blockquote>Allogene Therapeutics(纳斯达克股票代码:ALLO)在ASH介绍实验性同种异体药物1期数据后股价下跌约12.3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">车</a>T疗法未能让投资者兴奋,其中包括Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management,该公司几天后出售了约160万股该生物技术公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列,辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列,辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-19 11:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&A prospects. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的医疗保健股表现优于大盘指数中的所有其他板块,涨幅约为2.5%,主要得益于并购前景。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>科技股以及与COVID-19死灰复燃作斗争的股票领涨,而整体指数下跌约1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Among stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena Pharmaceuticals </a> dominated with a ~83.8% rise after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer </a> agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner </a> also joined the M&A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle </a> for the electronic-medical-records company.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一周市值超过20亿美元、日均成交量超过10万的股票中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena制药公司</a>之后上涨约83.8%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>同意以约6.7 B美元的价格收购该生物技术公司,溢价100%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a>也加入了并购推动的涨势,本周上涨约20.7%,有报道称来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a>电子病历公司。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccine developer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax </a> jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开发商、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>由于投资者欢迎世界卫生组织批准该公司的COVID-19疫苗,股价上涨约30.5%。当欧洲监管机构的专家小组将于下周审查该疫苗的营销授权时,这家总部位于马里兰州的生物技术公司可能会进一步受益。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven Pharmaceutical </a> posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant Sciences </a> added ~22.6%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven制药</a>在该公司宣布NURTEC ODT(rimegepant)在以色列获得批准后,该公司每周上涨约25.2%,使其成为该偏头痛药物在美国以外的首个监管胜利。与此同时,Vir Biotechnology(纳斯达克股票代码:VIR)飙升约23.7%,成为本月第二周涨幅最大的股票之一。本周出现的更多数据证实了该公司与葛兰素史克(纽约证券交易所股票代码:GSK)合作开发的COVID-19疗法具有奥密克戎中和作用。跻身涨幅前五名的还有,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant科学</a>增加了约22.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Notable gainer: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的赢家:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE)本周成为头条新闻,再次提高了COVID-19疫苗的销售指引,因为迅速传播的奥密克戎变种凸显了加强注射的必要性。尽管周五突然结束了连续六天的涨势,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>总部位于美国的制药巨头股价上涨约12.7%,创下2009年3月以来的最佳单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Among worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在本周表现最差的公司中,两家新IPO的生物技术公司Instil Bio(纳斯达克股票代码:TIL)和Exscientia(纳斯达克股票代码:EXAI)脱颖而出,尽管它们在华尔街获得了良好的评级,但分别下跌了19.3%和约13.5%。与此同时,处方药比价平台运营商GoodRx Holdings(纳斯达克股票代码:GDRX)股价下跌约15.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Last week’s best performer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">Bright Health Group</a>, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.</p><p><blockquote>上周表现最好的,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">光明健康集团</a>,暴跌约13.1%,受到唯一卖出评级的伤害<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>尽管这家投资银行以基本积极的观点开始了对管理式医疗的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">CAR</a> T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.</p><p><blockquote>Allogene Therapeutics(纳斯达克股票代码:ALLO)在ASH介绍实验性同种异体药物1期数据后股价下跌约12.3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">车</a>T疗法未能让投资者兴奋,其中包括Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management,该公司几天后出售了约160万股该生物技术公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781487-novavax-vir-among-healthcare-gainers-pfizer-posts-best-rally-in-a-decade\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4007":"制药","CERN":"美国塞纳","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","ORCL":"甲骨文","PFE":"辉瑞","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","ARNA":"阿里那","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781487-novavax-vir-among-healthcare-gainers-pfizer-posts-best-rally-in-a-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122414343","content_text":"The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&A prospects. Healthcare technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.\nAmong stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, Arena Pharmaceuticals dominated with a ~83.8% rise after Pfizer agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. Cerner also joined the M&A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from Oracle for the electronic-medical-records company.\nVaccine developer, Novavax jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.\nBiohaven Pharmaceutical posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, Roivant Sciences added ~22.6%.\nNotable gainer: Pfizer (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the New York-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.\nAmong worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.\nLast week’s best performer, Bright Health Group, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by Goldman Sachs even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.\nAllogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic CAR T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARNA":0.9,"CERN":0.9,"ORCL":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699647060,"gmtCreate":1639797639201,"gmtModify":1639797750333,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699647060","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)-华尔街周五收低,受大型科技股拖累,投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种,并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对飙升的通胀后,美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%,Alphabet下跌1.9%,均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%,价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌,金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示,疫情可能会持续到明年,这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备,一项研究警告说,迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出,年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示:“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎,就会出现波动,我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位?”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘,而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%,收于35,365.44点,标普500下跌1.03%,收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%,至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是,小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后,上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期,美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股,远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周,标普500下跌1.9%,道琼斯指数下跌1.7%,纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中,甲骨文股价下跌6.4%,此前《华尔街日报》报道称,这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判,交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润,但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测,该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1;在纳斯达克,1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)-华尔街周五收低,受大型科技股拖累,投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种,并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对飙升的通胀后,美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%,Alphabet下跌1.9%,均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%,价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌,金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示,疫情可能会持续到明年,这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备,一项研究警告说,迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出,年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示:“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎,就会出现波动,我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位?”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘,而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%,收于35,365.44点,标普500下跌1.03%,收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%,至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是,小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后,上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期,美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股,远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周,标普500下跌1.9%,道琼斯指数下跌1.7%,纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中,甲骨文股价下跌6.4%,此前《华尔街日报》报道称,这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判,交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润,但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测,该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1;在纳斯达克,1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699067824,"gmtCreate":1639724897113,"gmtModify":1639724897113,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted thanks","listText":"Noted thanks","text":"Noted thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699067824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699066695,"gmtCreate":1639724326658,"gmtModify":1639724326787,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok thanks","listText":"Ok thanks","text":"Ok thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699066695","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699066941,"gmtCreate":1639724295384,"gmtModify":1639724295535,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699066941","repostId":"607944827","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":607944827,"gmtCreate":1639481361363,"gmtModify":1639504322704,"author":{"id":"3527667618821228","authorId":"3527667618821228","name":"MillionaireTiger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8901a3026957857b6996ae953d595bee","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667618821228","authorIdStr":"3527667618821228"},"themes":[],"title":"Pfizer Announced its Acquisition of Arena Pharmaceuticals in a $6.7 Billion","htmlText":"Hey Tigers! Do you notice Pfizer's new play? Pfizer announced its acquisition of Arena Pharmaceuticals today in a $6.7 billion deal for the company’s research on inflammatory conditions affecting the stomach and intestine. Pfizer will pay Arena $100/share in cash. Shares of Arena stock nearly doubled yesterday as the company pursues treatments for ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s disease, as well as other dermatological, gastrointestinal, and cardiac conditions — Arena’s etrasimod drug for ulcerative colitis/Crohn’s is currently in late-stage trials. The acquisition’s timing is no coincidence as Pfizer also investigates treatments for gastrointestinal conditions. Pfizer is on a roll, lately. In addition to the o","listText":"Hey Tigers! Do you notice Pfizer's new play? Pfizer announced its acquisition of Arena Pharmaceuticals today in a $6.7 billion deal for the company’s research on inflammatory conditions affecting the stomach and intestine. Pfizer will pay Arena $100/share in cash. Shares of Arena stock nearly doubled yesterday as the company pursues treatments for ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s disease, as well as other dermatological, gastrointestinal, and cardiac conditions — Arena’s etrasimod drug for ulcerative colitis/Crohn’s is currently in late-stage trials. The acquisition’s timing is no coincidence as Pfizer also investigates treatments for gastrointestinal conditions. Pfizer is on a roll, lately. In addition to the o","text":"Hey Tigers! Do you notice Pfizer's new play? Pfizer announced its acquisition of Arena Pharmaceuticals today in a $6.7 billion deal for the company’s research on inflammatory conditions affecting the stomach and intestine. Pfizer will pay Arena $100/share in cash. Shares of Arena stock nearly doubled yesterday as the company pursues treatments for ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s disease, as well as other dermatological, gastrointestinal, and cardiac conditions — Arena’s etrasimod drug for ulcerative colitis/Crohn’s is currently in late-stage trials. The acquisition’s timing is no coincidence as Pfizer also investigates treatments for gastrointestinal conditions. Pfizer is on a roll, lately. In addition to the o","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607944827","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699068518,"gmtCreate":1639724224334,"gmtModify":1639724224448,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699068518","repostId":"1108936663","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108936663","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639723361,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108936663?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 14:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108936663","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nUber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging econo","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Uber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.</li> <li>Mobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.</li> <li>Future lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.</li> <li>Therefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b93f3ad8b1091da22c151e759153e2\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>优步的送货业务正在蓬勃发展并不断扩大,导致该公司利用规模经济实现盈利。</li><li>随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在从疫情迅速复苏。</li><li>未来不太可能出现以前看到的封锁和covid限制。</li><li>因此,Uber可能是等待变成天鹅的丑小鸭。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction and Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>导言和论文</b></blockquote></p><p> I am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.</p><p><blockquote>我开始相信优步(纽约证券交易所股票代码:UBER)的故事正在像丑小鸭的故事一样展开。在上市初期,Uber就像丑小鸭一样遭受着投资界的无知和不利看法,但今天,我相信Uber离绽放成一只美丽而成功的天鹅指日可待。</blockquote></p><p> Uber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.</p><p><blockquote>随着潜在趋势对该公司有利,优步的业务正在好转。从疫情的深渊到今天的复苏步伐,世界变得更好了,至少对优步来说是这样。其中一个变化是食品配送。在疫情期间,消费者无法舒适地离开家外出就餐,导致这些消费者转向送餐业务,这是优步持续亏损的主要原因。因此,随着外卖趋势从疫情持续增长,优步通过规模经济的业务一直在享受有利趋势,我相信外卖的便利性将使外卖永久渗透到我们的日常生活中。此外,随着出行在各个方面都从疫情中恢复,Uber可能会在2022财年实现盈利。尽管存在稀释风险、新冠疫情和宏观经济风险,但我相信现在终于是考虑投资丑小鸭的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favorable Trend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有利趋势</b></blockquote></p><p> Pandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost 3 fold from 2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.</p><p><blockquote>疫情给我们生活的几乎所有行业和方方面面带来了破坏;然而,对于优步来说,我相信疫情对公司有利。Uber的主要业务是送货和移动出行。在大流行之前,虽然移动业务开始报告积极的调整后EBTIDA,但交付业务继续陷入困境。市场相对较小且竞争激烈,导致优步在销售、营销和开发上花费了大量资金。更糟糕的是,当时没有看到规模经济。然而,对于快递业务来说,时代已经变了。一是外卖行业爆火。例如,Uber的配送业务较2019年第四季度增长了近3倍。该行业的巨大增长使Uber能够利用规模经济来提高利润。此外,外卖文化在人们日常生活中的适应使优步能够将其业务扩展到外卖之外。该公司目前正在运送食品杂货、圣诞树,甚至酒精饮料。因此,随着市场的不断成熟,Uber可以利用规模经济将亏损领先的外卖业务扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Some critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.</p><p><blockquote>一些批评者可能会认为,送货之所以成功,只是因为消费者在疫情期间不愿意外出。我想提出不同的观点。疫情可能是公众适应送货服务背后的驱动因素;然而,便利性是维持这种商业模式的动力。通过过去几十年的创新,我们看到了亚马逊(纳斯达克:AMZN)、Meta Platforms(纳斯达克:FB)和苹果(纳斯达克:AAPL)的崛起,消费者是多么关心便利性。当你可以与他人见面时,为什么还要进行数字社交呢?当你今天就可以去购买产品的时候,为什么要在网上订购套餐,然后等上几天呢?既然已经有了手机,为什么还要用智能手机呢?消费者永远不会回到更不方便的生活方式。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.</p><p><blockquote>与配送业务不同,移动出行业务受到了疫情的损害,但预计随着疫情影响的减弱,移动出行业务将恢复到2019年的水平。如下图所示,全球最大城市的移动业务在封锁后几乎恢复正常,这表明对网约车服务的需求仍然存在。此外,随着疫情的消退和办公室的重新开放,移动业务将继续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a5ee8af7dd1261e2686a20efa4d3b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Covid Fears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新冠恐惧</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Although pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情是快递业务成功的主要原因,但不断恶化的疫情很可能会损害我的看涨论点。移动业务是一个将引领盈利能力的业务部门,将受到严重损害;然而,与主流媒体的观点相反,我认为由于疫苗和公众情绪,这种情况不太可能发生。</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer(NYSE:PFE) on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞(纽约证券交易所股票代码:PFE)12月8日证实,他们的新冠疫苗对奥密克戎变种仍然有效。该公司表示,一项初步研究“表明,三剂[疫苗]可以中和奥密克戎变种,而两剂则显示中和滴度显着降低。”该公司的说法得到了奥密克戎或新冠疫情在许多欧洲国家爆发的支持,包括义大利、法、英等。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe98b474db7223afa7617f0cb8545e42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8849809f79a66a367009de9b31677d63\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/415cdc534da7dc5a6d6f9e754adf099e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Using France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>以法国为例,上面的第一张图显示了Covid病例呈指数级上升,而第二张图显示了死亡率在一定范围内。第三张图所示的疫苗接种率支持了辉瑞关于其疫苗功效的说法,因为虽然感染率在上升,但疫苗导致的死亡人数有限。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.</p><p><blockquote>此外,公众对更多封锁和极端限制的不满很可能会使优步的移动业务部门比之前的疫情爆发更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials and Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Uber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的资产负债表和估值都很棒。根据Uber的季度报告,Uber报告收入同比增长72%,达到48亿美元,调整后EBITDA为800万美元。经过多年的亏损后,快递业务达到了接近盈亏平衡的水平,调整后EBITDA利润率为-0.1%。此外,该公司的移动或移动业务调整后EBITDA利润率为5.5%,与大流行前的利润率持平。总体而言,公司业务的持续改善导致亏损减少和资产负债表更加强劲。优步拥有约56亿美元现金和约330亿美元总资产,而总负债约为200亿美元,总资产负债率(L/A)约为60%。总而言之,我相信在没有重大变化的情况下,Uber的资产负债表足以维持公司的运营。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times price to sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的估值略高。仍未盈利的Uber的市销率约为4.7倍,远期市销率约为3倍。与其他公司相比,这些数字似乎很小,但由于Uber的利润率扩张值得怀疑,我想说Uber目前的估值略高。然而,随着该业务在不久的将来实现盈利,我认为优步略高的估值对于一些投资者来说可能是可以控制的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Investing in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.</p><p><blockquote>投资优步会带来重大风险,包括稀释风险和宏观经济风险。Uber过去几年一直极度无利可图,导致大规模稀释。Uber的流通股在2018年上涨了12.35%,2019年上涨了160.62%,2020年上涨了40.42%,2021年迄今上涨了8.2%。因此,为了维持公司的运营,Uber不断稀释现有股东。因此,实现盈利的任何障碍都可能导致未来更多的稀释。此外,Uber如今财务状况良好的原因是大规模稀释。此外,优步无法控制的宏观经济风险可能会影响该公司。通胀已经处于历史高位,可能会继续保持在这些水平,导致美联储更快地缩减和加息。因此,由于Uber仍未盈利,提高费率很可能会对公司产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> No one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.</p><p><blockquote>没有人确切知道Uber是否会从丑小鸭绽放成美丽的天鹅,但今天,我开始谨慎看好Uber。疫情最终使公司的整体运营受益,导致配送业务蓬勃发展,这有助于优步实现单位经济效益。此外,随着消费者适应更便捷的生活方式,快递业务预计将扩大。对于移动业务来说,损失惨重;然而,正如Uber所展示的那样,随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在强劲复苏至2019年的水平。因此,随着Uber试图扭转业务,我相信投资者应该值得考虑投资Uber。毕竟,Uber可能会绽放成一只美丽的天鹅。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 14:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Uber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.</li> <li>Mobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.</li> <li>Future lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.</li> <li>Therefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b93f3ad8b1091da22c151e759153e2\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>优步的送货业务正在蓬勃发展并不断扩大,导致该公司利用规模经济实现盈利。</li><li>随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在从疫情迅速复苏。</li><li>未来不太可能出现以前看到的封锁和covid限制。</li><li>因此,Uber可能是等待变成天鹅的丑小鸭。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction and Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>导言和论文</b></blockquote></p><p> I am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.</p><p><blockquote>我开始相信优步(纽约证券交易所股票代码:UBER)的故事正在像丑小鸭的故事一样展开。在上市初期,Uber就像丑小鸭一样遭受着投资界的无知和不利看法,但今天,我相信Uber离绽放成一只美丽而成功的天鹅指日可待。</blockquote></p><p> Uber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.</p><p><blockquote>随着潜在趋势对该公司有利,优步的业务正在好转。从疫情的深渊到今天的复苏步伐,世界变得更好了,至少对优步来说是这样。其中一个变化是食品配送。在疫情期间,消费者无法舒适地离开家外出就餐,导致这些消费者转向送餐业务,这是优步持续亏损的主要原因。因此,随着外卖趋势从疫情持续增长,优步通过规模经济的业务一直在享受有利趋势,我相信外卖的便利性将使外卖永久渗透到我们的日常生活中。此外,随着出行在各个方面都从疫情中恢复,Uber可能会在2022财年实现盈利。尽管存在稀释风险、新冠疫情和宏观经济风险,但我相信现在终于是考虑投资丑小鸭的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favorable Trend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有利趋势</b></blockquote></p><p> Pandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost 3 fold from 2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.</p><p><blockquote>疫情给我们生活的几乎所有行业和方方面面带来了破坏;然而,对于优步来说,我相信疫情对公司有利。Uber的主要业务是送货和移动出行。在大流行之前,虽然移动业务开始报告积极的调整后EBTIDA,但交付业务继续陷入困境。市场相对较小且竞争激烈,导致优步在销售、营销和开发上花费了大量资金。更糟糕的是,当时没有看到规模经济。然而,对于快递业务来说,时代已经变了。一是外卖行业爆火。例如,Uber的配送业务较2019年第四季度增长了近3倍。该行业的巨大增长使Uber能够利用规模经济来提高利润。此外,外卖文化在人们日常生活中的适应使优步能够将其业务扩展到外卖之外。该公司目前正在运送食品杂货、圣诞树,甚至酒精饮料。因此,随着市场的不断成熟,Uber可以利用规模经济将亏损领先的外卖业务扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Some critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.</p><p><blockquote>一些批评者可能会认为,送货之所以成功,只是因为消费者在疫情期间不愿意外出。我想提出不同的观点。疫情可能是公众适应送货服务背后的驱动因素;然而,便利性是维持这种商业模式的动力。通过过去几十年的创新,我们看到了亚马逊(纳斯达克:AMZN)、Meta Platforms(纳斯达克:FB)和苹果(纳斯达克:AAPL)的崛起,消费者是多么关心便利性。当你可以与他人见面时,为什么还要进行数字社交呢?当你今天就可以去购买产品的时候,为什么要在网上订购套餐,然后等上几天呢?既然已经有了手机,为什么还要用智能手机呢?消费者永远不会回到更不方便的生活方式。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.</p><p><blockquote>与配送业务不同,移动出行业务受到了疫情的损害,但预计随着疫情影响的减弱,移动出行业务将恢复到2019年的水平。如下图所示,全球最大城市的移动业务在封锁后几乎恢复正常,这表明对网约车服务的需求仍然存在。此外,随着疫情的消退和办公室的重新开放,移动业务将继续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a5ee8af7dd1261e2686a20efa4d3b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Covid Fears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新冠恐惧</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Although pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情是快递业务成功的主要原因,但不断恶化的疫情很可能会损害我的看涨论点。移动业务是一个将引领盈利能力的业务部门,将受到严重损害;然而,与主流媒体的观点相反,我认为由于疫苗和公众情绪,这种情况不太可能发生。</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer(NYSE:PFE) on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞(纽约证券交易所股票代码:PFE)12月8日证实,他们的新冠疫苗对奥密克戎变种仍然有效。该公司表示,一项初步研究“表明,三剂[疫苗]可以中和奥密克戎变种,而两剂则显示中和滴度显着降低。”该公司的说法得到了奥密克戎或新冠疫情在许多欧洲国家爆发的支持,包括义大利、法、英等。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe98b474db7223afa7617f0cb8545e42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8849809f79a66a367009de9b31677d63\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/415cdc534da7dc5a6d6f9e754adf099e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Using France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>以法国为例,上面的第一张图显示了Covid病例呈指数级上升,而第二张图显示了死亡率在一定范围内。第三张图所示的疫苗接种率支持了辉瑞关于其疫苗功效的说法,因为虽然感染率在上升,但疫苗导致的死亡人数有限。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.</p><p><blockquote>此外,公众对更多封锁和极端限制的不满很可能会使优步的移动业务部门比之前的疫情爆发更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials and Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Uber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的资产负债表和估值都很棒。根据Uber的季度报告,Uber报告收入同比增长72%,达到48亿美元,调整后EBITDA为800万美元。经过多年的亏损后,快递业务达到了接近盈亏平衡的水平,调整后EBITDA利润率为-0.1%。此外,该公司的移动或移动业务调整后EBITDA利润率为5.5%,与大流行前的利润率持平。总体而言,公司业务的持续改善导致亏损减少和资产负债表更加强劲。优步拥有约56亿美元现金和约330亿美元总资产,而总负债约为200亿美元,总资产负债率(L/A)约为60%。总而言之,我相信在没有重大变化的情况下,Uber的资产负债表足以维持公司的运营。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times price to sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的估值略高。仍未盈利的Uber的市销率约为4.7倍,远期市销率约为3倍。与其他公司相比,这些数字似乎很小,但由于Uber的利润率扩张值得怀疑,我想说Uber目前的估值略高。然而,随着该业务在不久的将来实现盈利,我认为优步略高的估值对于一些投资者来说可能是可以控制的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Investing in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.</p><p><blockquote>投资优步会带来重大风险,包括稀释风险和宏观经济风险。Uber过去几年一直极度无利可图,导致大规模稀释。Uber的流通股在2018年上涨了12.35%,2019年上涨了160.62%,2020年上涨了40.42%,2021年迄今上涨了8.2%。因此,为了维持公司的运营,Uber不断稀释现有股东。因此,实现盈利的任何障碍都可能导致未来更多的稀释。此外,Uber如今财务状况良好的原因是大规模稀释。此外,优步无法控制的宏观经济风险可能会影响该公司。通胀已经处于历史高位,可能会继续保持在这些水平,导致美联储更快地缩减和加息。因此,由于Uber仍未盈利,提高费率很可能会对公司产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> No one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.</p><p><blockquote>没有人确切知道Uber是否会从丑小鸭绽放成美丽的天鹅,但今天,我开始谨慎看好Uber。疫情最终使公司的整体运营受益,导致配送业务蓬勃发展,这有助于优步实现单位经济效益。此外,随着消费者适应更便捷的生活方式,快递业务预计将扩大。对于移动业务来说,损失惨重;然而,正如Uber所展示的那样,随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在强劲复苏至2019年的水平。因此,随着Uber试图扭转业务,我相信投资者应该值得考虑投资Uber。毕竟,Uber可能会绽放成一只美丽的天鹅。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475598-uber-ugly-duckling-is-growing-up\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475598-uber-ugly-duckling-is-growing-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108936663","content_text":"Summary\n\nUber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.\nMobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.\nFuture lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.\nTherefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.\n\nMOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nIntroduction and Thesis\nI am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.\nUber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.\nFavorable Trend\nPandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost 3 fold from 2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.\nSome critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.\nUnlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.\n\nCovid Fears\nAlthough pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.\nPfizer(NYSE:PFE) on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.\n\nUsing France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.\nFurther, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.\nFinancials and Valuation\nUber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.\nThe valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times price to sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.\nRisks\nInvesting in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.\nSummary\nNo one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBER":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690633347,"gmtCreate":1639662107801,"gmtModify":1639662107923,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690633347","repostId":"607948572","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":607948572,"gmtCreate":1639480602308,"gmtModify":1744960770678,"author":{"id":"3582524673862453","authorId":"3582524673862453","name":"库巴财经","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582524673862453","authorIdStr":"3582524673862453"},"themes":[],"title":"注意,一包烟的平均价格要涨到59块!","htmlText":"现在不光蔬菜,猪肉涨价,居然连烟都要涨价了!前几天在全国控烟学术研讨会上,有专家说为了实现2030年成人的吸烟率下降到20%的控烟目标,烟的价格需要涨到平均每包59块。现在的价格是平均16块,还有43块钱的上涨空间。而且专家也列出了一些相关数据,首先我国不仅是最大的烟草生产国,同时也是最大的消费国,烟草的消费量世界第一,占比44%。烟民的数量超过了3亿,而且还有7.4亿人受二手烟的危害,同时有大约四分之一的癌症死亡是与吸烟相关的。那相应的,抽烟带来的疾病就会增加国家的医疗支出负担。所以为了降低吸烟率,16年国家就提出了“健康中国2030”目标,里面最首要的就是控烟目标,把成人的吸烟率下降到20%。要知道我国的吸烟率从84年的33.9%下降到18年的26.6%,可是足足花了34年,但最近几年呢吸烟率却有不降反升的趋势,如果后期再不采取其他措施的话,等于前面四五年的工作就都浪费掉了,从会议的讨论结果来看,到2030年每包烟的平均价格可能要从现在的16块钱一包提高到59块钱,除此之外还有一些非价格的控烟措施,比如室内不准抽烟,理发监督保障等等,还有以后烟盒可能要参考国外那种非常“露骨的”方式。最后给提醒一下大家,国外机构做了戒烟年龄和肺癌风险的研究,结论是哪怕你现在是60岁的烟民,从现在开始戒烟,得肺癌的风险也会大大降低,都说抽烟难借,但为了自己和家人的身体健康还是早戒早好。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000812\">$陕西金叶(000812)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002191\">$劲嘉股份(002191)$</a> ","listText":"现在不光蔬菜,猪肉涨价,居然连烟都要涨价了!前几天在全国控烟学术研讨会上,有专家说为了实现2030年成人的吸烟率下降到20%的控烟目标,烟的价格需要涨到平均每包59块。现在的价格是平均16块,还有43块钱的上涨空间。而且专家也列出了一些相关数据,首先我国不仅是最大的烟草生产国,同时也是最大的消费国,烟草的消费量世界第一,占比44%。烟民的数量超过了3亿,而且还有7.4亿人受二手烟的危害,同时有大约四分之一的癌症死亡是与吸烟相关的。那相应的,抽烟带来的疾病就会增加国家的医疗支出负担。所以为了降低吸烟率,16年国家就提出了“健康中国2030”目标,里面最首要的就是控烟目标,把成人的吸烟率下降到20%。要知道我国的吸烟率从84年的33.9%下降到18年的26.6%,可是足足花了34年,但最近几年呢吸烟率却有不降反升的趋势,如果后期再不采取其他措施的话,等于前面四五年的工作就都浪费掉了,从会议的讨论结果来看,到2030年每包烟的平均价格可能要从现在的16块钱一包提高到59块钱,除此之外还有一些非价格的控烟措施,比如室内不准抽烟,理发监督保障等等,还有以后烟盒可能要参考国外那种非常“露骨的”方式。最后给提醒一下大家,国外机构做了戒烟年龄和肺癌风险的研究,结论是哪怕你现在是60岁的烟民,从现在开始戒烟,得肺癌的风险也会大大降低,都说抽烟难借,但为了自己和家人的身体健康还是早戒早好。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000812\">$陕西金叶(000812)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002191\">$劲嘉股份(002191)$</a> ","text":"现在不光蔬菜,猪肉涨价,居然连烟都要涨价了!前几天在全国控烟学术研讨会上,有专家说为了实现2030年成人的吸烟率下降到20%的控烟目标,烟的价格需要涨到平均每包59块。现在的价格是平均16块,还有43块钱的上涨空间。而且专家也列出了一些相关数据,首先我国不仅是最大的烟草生产国,同时也是最大的消费国,烟草的消费量世界第一,占比44%。烟民的数量超过了3亿,而且还有7.4亿人受二手烟的危害,同时有大约四分之一的癌症死亡是与吸烟相关的。那相应的,抽烟带来的疾病就会增加国家的医疗支出负担。所以为了降低吸烟率,16年国家就提出了“健康中国2030”目标,里面最首要的就是控烟目标,把成人的吸烟率下降到20%。要知道我国的吸烟率从84年的33.9%下降到18年的26.6%,可是足足花了34年,但最近几年呢吸烟率却有不降反升的趋势,如果后期再不采取其他措施的话,等于前面四五年的工作就都浪费掉了,从会议的讨论结果来看,到2030年每包烟的平均价格可能要从现在的16块钱一包提高到59块钱,除此之外还有一些非价格的控烟措施,比如室内不准抽烟,理发监督保障等等,还有以后烟盒可能要参考国外那种非常“露骨的”方式。最后给提醒一下大家,国外机构做了戒烟年龄和肺癌风险的研究,结论是哪怕你现在是60岁的烟民,从现在开始戒烟,得肺癌的风险也会大大降低,都说抽烟难借,但为了自己和家人的身体健康还是早戒早好。$陕西金叶(000812)$ $劲嘉股份(002191)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607948572","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3977,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690639398,"gmtCreate":1639662025657,"gmtModify":1639662036918,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690639398","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":849,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690630294,"gmtCreate":1639661994813,"gmtModify":1639662034822,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690630294","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":790,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690697117,"gmtCreate":1639661902539,"gmtModify":1639661902644,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690697117","repostId":"1142996286","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142996286","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639659703,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142996286?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 21:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142996286","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock-index futures advanced Thursday morning after the market staged a U-turn the previous trading session, welcoming a Federal Reserve decision to ramp up the pace of its taper and leave interest rates unchanged — for now.$Delta Air Lines$ – Delta rose 2.3% in the premarket after projecting a $200 million fourth-quarter profit. Consensus forecasts were predicting a quarterly loss for Delta, but the carrier said it is seeing strong holiday demand and it is on the path toward exceeding pre-","content":"<p>U.S. stock-index futures advanced Thursday morning after the market staged a U-turn the previous trading session, welcoming a Federal Reserve decision to ramp up the pace of its taper and leave interest rates unchanged — for now.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周四上午上涨,此前市场在前一交易日出现180度大转弯,欢迎美联储决定加快缩减规模并暂时维持利率不变。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 204 points, or 0.57%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 31.25 points, or 0.66%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 115.25 points, or 0.71%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e8a71c62338c2a045263d40bb9c86e4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"368\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">With the Fed giving markets a breather Wednesday, traders will turn their Thursday to fresh Labor Department data on initial weekly jobless claims. First-time unemployment filings are expected to reflect a slight increase after last’s 52-week low.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00,道琼斯指数上涨204点,涨幅0.57%,标准普尔500指数上涨31.25点,涨幅0.66%,纳斯达克100指数上涨115.25点,涨幅0.71%。随着美联储周三给市场喘息的机会,交易员将在周四转向劳工部关于每周首次申请失业救济人数的最新数据。首次申请失业救济人数预计将在去年创下52周低点后小幅上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">Delta Air Lines</a></b> – Delta rose 2.3% in the premarket after projecting a $200 million fourth-quarter profit. Consensus forecasts were predicting a quarterly loss for Delta, but the carrier said it is seeing strong holiday demand and it is on the path toward exceeding pre-pandemic profit levels.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a></b>-达美航空预计第四季度利润为2亿美元,盘前上涨2.3%。市场普遍预测达美航空将出现季度亏损,但该航空公司表示,假期需求强劲,利润有望超过大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACN\">Accenture PLC</a></b> – The consulting firm’s shares surged 6.7% in the premarket after it reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter, and raised its earnings guidance for fiscal 2022. Revenue rose by more than 20% across the four biggest industry groups in Accenture’s customer base.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACN\">埃森哲公司</a></b>-该咨询公司公布最新季度利润和收入好于预期,并上调2022财年盈利指引后,其股价盘前飙升6.7%。埃森哲客户群中四个最大行业集团的收入增长了20%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a></b> – The drugmaker’s shares declined 1% in premarket trading after it said its antibody cocktail loses potency against the omicron Covid-19 variant. Regeneron did say that the cocktail is effective against the delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">再生元制药</a></b>-该制药商表示其抗体鸡尾酒对奥密克戎Covid-19变种失去效力后,其股价在盘前交易中下跌1%。再生元确实说过这种鸡尾酒对德尔塔变异毒株有效。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LEN\">Lennar</a></b> – Lennar reported quarterly earnings of $3.91 per share, below the $4.15 consensus estimate, and the homebuilder’s revenue also fell short of forecasts. Lennar was hurt by higher lumber costs as well as increased labor costs and shortages of raw materials, resulting in delayed home deliveries. Lennar tumbled 6.3% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LEN\">伦纳尔</a></b>-Lennar公布的季度收益为每股3.91美元,低于市场普遍预期的4.15美元,该住宅建筑商的收入也低于预期。Lennar受到木材成本上涨、劳动力成本增加和原材料短缺的影响,导致送货上门延迟。Lennar在盘前下跌6.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVS\">Novartis AG</a></b> – Novartis launched a new share buyback program worth up to $15 billion, with the drug maker planning to complete those repurchases by the end of 2023. Shares jumped 4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVS\">诺华公司</a></b>-诺华启动了一项价值高达150亿美元的新股票回购计划,该制药商计划在2023年底前完成这些回购。股价在盘前交易中上涨4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a> </b>– <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a> rose 1.1% in the premarket after announcing that it added $12 billion to its share buyback program, bringing the total amount of its repurchase authority to $13.2 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">签证</a> </b>–<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">签证</a>盘前股价上涨1.1%,此前该公司宣布向其股票回购计划增加120亿美元,使其回购授权总额达到132亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SJM\">Smucker's</a> </b>– Smucker struck a deal to sell its natural beverage and grains businesses to private equity firm Nexus Capital Management for $110 million, with the food producer saying it wanted to focus more resources on its core brands.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SJM\">Smucker的</a></b>-Smucker达成协议,以1.1亿美元的价格将其天然饮料和谷物业务出售给私募股权公司Nexus Capital Management,这家食品生产商表示希望将更多资源集中在其核心品牌上。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">Intuitive Surgical</a> </b>– <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">Intuitive Surgical</a> was added to the “conviction buy” list at Goldman Sachs, which points to the company’s pending launch of a new surgical system. Shares added 1.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">直观手术</a></b>–<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">直观手术</a>被添加到高盛的“坚定买入”名单中,这表明该公司即将推出一种新的手术系统。盘前股价上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&T Inc</a> </b>– Morgan Stanley upgraded AT&T to “overweight” from “equal-weight,” saying a recent slide by the stock creates an attractive risk-reward profile. The firm said there are several other key factors driving the upgrade, including the pending completion of the WarnerMedia/Discoverymerger. AT&T gained 1.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&T公司</a></b>-摩根士丹利将AT&T的评级从“同等权重”上调至“跑赢大盘”,称该股近期的下滑创造了有吸引力的风险回报状况。该公司表示,还有其他几个关键因素推动了此次升级,包括WarnerMedia/Discovery合并即将完成。AT&T在盘前交易中上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> </b>– The pet products seller’s stock added 1.9% in the premarket after Needham began coverage with a “buy” rating. The firm feels Petco should outperform competitors in the pet category, given its presence in multiple channels including veterinary hospitals.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco健康和保健公司。</a></b>-在Needham开始给予“买入”评级后,这家宠物产品销售商的股价在盘前上涨了1.9%。该公司认为,鉴于Petco在包括兽医医院在内的多个渠道中的存在,它应该会超越宠物类别的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\">Shopify</a> </b>– The e-commerce platform operator rallied 2.9% in premarket trading after Evercore upgraded it to “outperform” from “in line.” Evercore noted that the stock is about 20% below its year highs and that the company represents a high-quality asset in terms of growth opportunities.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\">Shopify</a></b>–Evercore将其评级从“持平”上调至“跑赢大盘”后,该电子商务平台运营商在盘前交易中上涨2.9%。Evercore指出,该股比年度高点低约20%,就增长机会而言,该公司代表着优质资产。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 21:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock-index futures advanced Thursday morning after the market staged a U-turn the previous trading session, welcoming a Federal Reserve decision to ramp up the pace of its taper and leave interest rates unchanged — for now.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周四上午上涨,此前市场在前一交易日出现180度大转弯,欢迎美联储决定加快缩减规模并暂时维持利率不变。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 204 points, or 0.57%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 31.25 points, or 0.66%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 115.25 points, or 0.71%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e8a71c62338c2a045263d40bb9c86e4\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"368\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">With the Fed giving markets a breather Wednesday, traders will turn their Thursday to fresh Labor Department data on initial weekly jobless claims. First-time unemployment filings are expected to reflect a slight increase after last’s 52-week low.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00,道琼斯指数上涨204点,涨幅0.57%,标准普尔500指数上涨31.25点,涨幅0.66%,纳斯达克100指数上涨115.25点,涨幅0.71%。随着美联储周三给市场喘息的机会,交易员将在周四转向劳工部关于每周首次申请失业救济人数的最新数据。首次申请失业救济人数预计将在去年创下52周低点后小幅上升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">Delta Air Lines</a></b> – Delta rose 2.3% in the premarket after projecting a $200 million fourth-quarter profit. Consensus forecasts were predicting a quarterly loss for Delta, but the carrier said it is seeing strong holiday demand and it is on the path toward exceeding pre-pandemic profit levels.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">达美航空</a></b>-达美航空预计第四季度利润为2亿美元,盘前上涨2.3%。市场普遍预测达美航空将出现季度亏损,但该航空公司表示,假期需求强劲,利润有望超过大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACN\">Accenture PLC</a></b> – The consulting firm’s shares surged 6.7% in the premarket after it reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter, and raised its earnings guidance for fiscal 2022. Revenue rose by more than 20% across the four biggest industry groups in Accenture’s customer base.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ACN\">埃森哲公司</a></b>-该咨询公司公布最新季度利润和收入好于预期,并上调2022财年盈利指引后,其股价盘前飙升6.7%。埃森哲客户群中四个最大行业集团的收入增长了20%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a></b> – The drugmaker’s shares declined 1% in premarket trading after it said its antibody cocktail loses potency against the omicron Covid-19 variant. Regeneron did say that the cocktail is effective against the delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">再生元制药</a></b>-该制药商表示其抗体鸡尾酒对奥密克戎Covid-19变种失去效力后,其股价在盘前交易中下跌1%。再生元确实说过这种鸡尾酒对德尔塔变异毒株有效。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LEN\">Lennar</a></b> – Lennar reported quarterly earnings of $3.91 per share, below the $4.15 consensus estimate, and the homebuilder’s revenue also fell short of forecasts. Lennar was hurt by higher lumber costs as well as increased labor costs and shortages of raw materials, resulting in delayed home deliveries. Lennar tumbled 6.3% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LEN\">伦纳尔</a></b>-Lennar公布的季度收益为每股3.91美元,低于市场普遍预期的4.15美元,该住宅建筑商的收入也低于预期。Lennar受到木材成本上涨、劳动力成本增加和原材料短缺的影响,导致送货上门延迟。Lennar在盘前下跌6.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVS\">Novartis AG</a></b> – Novartis launched a new share buyback program worth up to $15 billion, with the drug maker planning to complete those repurchases by the end of 2023. Shares jumped 4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVS\">诺华公司</a></b>-诺华启动了一项价值高达150亿美元的新股票回购计划,该制药商计划在2023年底前完成这些回购。股价在盘前交易中上涨4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a> </b>– <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a> rose 1.1% in the premarket after announcing that it added $12 billion to its share buyback program, bringing the total amount of its repurchase authority to $13.2 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">签证</a> </b>–<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">签证</a>盘前股价上涨1.1%,此前该公司宣布向其股票回购计划增加120亿美元,使其回购授权总额达到132亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SJM\">Smucker's</a> </b>– Smucker struck a deal to sell its natural beverage and grains businesses to private equity firm Nexus Capital Management for $110 million, with the food producer saying it wanted to focus more resources on its core brands.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SJM\">Smucker的</a></b>-Smucker达成协议,以1.1亿美元的价格将其天然饮料和谷物业务出售给私募股权公司Nexus Capital Management,这家食品生产商表示希望将更多资源集中在其核心品牌上。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">Intuitive Surgical</a> </b>– <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">Intuitive Surgical</a> was added to the “conviction buy” list at Goldman Sachs, which points to the company’s pending launch of a new surgical system. Shares added 1.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">直观手术</a></b>–<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">直观手术</a>被添加到高盛的“坚定买入”名单中,这表明该公司即将推出一种新的手术系统。盘前股价上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&T Inc</a> </b>– Morgan Stanley upgraded AT&T to “overweight” from “equal-weight,” saying a recent slide by the stock creates an attractive risk-reward profile. The firm said there are several other key factors driving the upgrade, including the pending completion of the WarnerMedia/Discoverymerger. AT&T gained 1.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">AT&T公司</a></b>-摩根士丹利将AT&T的评级从“同等权重”上调至“跑赢大盘”,称该股近期的下滑创造了有吸引力的风险回报状况。该公司表示,还有其他几个关键因素推动了此次升级,包括WarnerMedia/Discovery合并即将完成。AT&T在盘前交易中上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.</a> </b>– The pet products seller’s stock added 1.9% in the premarket after Needham began coverage with a “buy” rating. The firm feels Petco should outperform competitors in the pet category, given its presence in multiple channels including veterinary hospitals.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WOOF\">Petco健康和保健公司。</a></b>-在Needham开始给予“买入”评级后,这家宠物产品销售商的股价在盘前上涨了1.9%。该公司认为,鉴于Petco在包括兽医医院在内的多个渠道中的存在,它应该会超越宠物类别的竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\">Shopify</a> </b>– The e-commerce platform operator rallied 2.9% in premarket trading after Evercore upgraded it to “outperform” from “in line.” Evercore noted that the stock is about 20% below its year highs and that the company represents a high-quality asset in terms of growth opportunities.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHOP\">Shopify</a></b>–Evercore将其评级从“持平”上调至“跑赢大盘”后,该电子商务平台运营商在盘前交易中上涨2.9%。Evercore指出,该股比年度高点低约20%,就增长机会而言,该公司代表着优质资产。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142996286","content_text":"U.S. stock-index futures advanced Thursday morning after the market staged a U-turn the previous trading session, welcoming a Federal Reserve decision to ramp up the pace of its taper and leave interest rates unchanged — for now.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 204 points, or 0.57%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 31.25 points, or 0.66%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 115.25 points, or 0.71%.With the Fed giving markets a breather Wednesday, traders will turn their Thursday to fresh Labor Department data on initial weekly jobless claims. First-time unemployment filings are expected to reflect a slight increase after last’s 52-week low.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket: \nDelta Air Lines – Delta rose 2.3% in the premarket after projecting a $200 million fourth-quarter profit. Consensus forecasts were predicting a quarterly loss for Delta, but the carrier said it is seeing strong holiday demand and it is on the path toward exceeding pre-pandemic profit levels.\nAccenture PLC – The consulting firm’s shares surged 6.7% in the premarket after it reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for its latest quarter, and raised its earnings guidance for fiscal 2022. Revenue rose by more than 20% across the four biggest industry groups in Accenture’s customer base.\nRegeneron Pharmaceuticals – The drugmaker’s shares declined 1% in premarket trading after it said its antibody cocktail loses potency against the omicron Covid-19 variant. Regeneron did say that the cocktail is effective against the delta variant.\nLennar – Lennar reported quarterly earnings of $3.91 per share, below the $4.15 consensus estimate, and the homebuilder’s revenue also fell short of forecasts. Lennar was hurt by higher lumber costs as well as increased labor costs and shortages of raw materials, resulting in delayed home deliveries. Lennar tumbled 6.3% in premarket action.\nNovartis AG – Novartis launched a new share buyback program worth up to $15 billion, with the drug maker planning to complete those repurchases by the end of 2023. Shares jumped 4% in premarket trading.\nVisa – Visa rose 1.1% in the premarket after announcing that it added $12 billion to its share buyback program, bringing the total amount of its repurchase authority to $13.2 billion.\nSmucker's – Smucker struck a deal to sell its natural beverage and grains businesses to private equity firm Nexus Capital Management for $110 million, with the food producer saying it wanted to focus more resources on its core brands.\nIntuitive Surgical – Intuitive Surgical was added to the “conviction buy” list at Goldman Sachs, which points to the company’s pending launch of a new surgical system. Shares added 1.2% in the premarket.\nAT&T Inc – Morgan Stanley upgraded AT&T to “overweight” from “equal-weight,” saying a recent slide by the stock creates an attractive risk-reward profile. The firm said there are several other key factors driving the upgrade, including the pending completion of the WarnerMedia/Discoverymerger. AT&T gained 1.5% in premarket trading.\nPetco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. – The pet products seller’s stock added 1.9% in the premarket after Needham began coverage with a “buy” rating. The firm feels Petco should outperform competitors in the pet category, given its presence in multiple channels including veterinary hospitals.\nShopify – The e-commerce platform operator rallied 2.9% in premarket trading after Evercore upgraded it to “outperform” from “in line.” Evercore noted that the stock is about 20% below its year highs and that the company represents a high-quality asset in terms of growth opportunities.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607407206,"gmtCreate":1639574830837,"gmtModify":1639574830940,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607407206","repostId":"1144636661","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144636661","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639573288,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144636661?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 21:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144636661","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. Stock futures traded flat Wednesday morning as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's ","content":"<p>U.S. Stock futures traded flat Wednesday morning as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's final monetary policy decision of 2021 and weighed the central bank's potential response to persistent inflationary pressures.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周三上午持平,投资者展望美联储2021年最终货币政策决定,并权衡央行对持续通胀压力的潜在反应。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 16 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 0.75 point, or 0.02%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 9.25 points, or 0.06%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00,道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨16点,涨幅0.05%,标普500电子迷你指数上涨0.75点,涨幅0.02%,纳斯达克100电子迷你指数下跌9.25点,涨幅0.06%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34286b7e4b17094339c3a583ba0a4e13\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> All eyes on Wednesday will be on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy statement and press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Many market participants expect these will set the stage for the Fed to speed the withdrawal of its crisis-era stimulus programs, with the firming economic recovery and soaring inflation suggesting the central bank has room for a more hawkish tilt to policy. </p><p><blockquote>周三所有人的目光都将集中在美联储的货币政策声明和美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会上。许多市场人士预计,这些将为美联储加快退出危机时期的刺激计划奠定基础,经济复苏企稳和通胀飙升表明美联储有空间在政策上更加鹰派。</blockquote></p><p> Last week's Consumer Price Index showed the fastest surge in U.S. consumer prices since 1982 on a year-over-year basis in November. And on Tuesday, the U.S. Producer Price Index jumped by the most on record at a 9.6% year-over-year increase for last month.</p><p><blockquote>上周的消费者价格指数显示,11月份美国消费者价格同比涨幅为1982年以来最快。周二,美国生产者价格指数上个月同比上涨9.6%,创有记录以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, many investors anticipate the Fed will ramp up the rate of tapering of its asset-purchasing program, which took place at a rate of $120 billion per month in combined Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities from the start of the pandemic through November. Last month, the Fed began dialing back these purchases by $15 billion, and announced another $15 billion reduction for December.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说,许多投资者预计美联储将加快资产购买计划的缩减速度,从疫情开始到11月,美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券的缩减速度为每月1200亿美元。上个月,美联储开始将这些购买量减少150亿美元,并宣布12月份再减少150亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a> </b>– <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a> gained 2.2% in premarket trading, after announcing it would produce a record 800,000 vehicles in January. Toyota is ramping up output to make up for prior production lost to parts shortages.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a></b>–<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>在宣布1月份将生产创纪录的80万辆汽车后,盘前交易中股价上涨2.2%。丰田正在提高产量,以弥补之前因零部件短缺而造成的产量损失。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIR\">Vir Biotechnology, Inc.</a></b> – <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIR\">Vir Biotechnology, Inc.</a> is rallying 4.3% in the premarket, putting it in position to rise for a fifth straight day. The drugmaker announced further data showing that its Covid-19 antibody therapy – developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) – was effective against the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIR\">维尔生物技术公司。</a></b>–<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIR\">维尔生物技术公司。</a>盘前上涨4.3%,连续第五天上涨。该制药商宣布的进一步数据显示,其与葛兰素史克(GSK)合作开发的Covid-19抗体疗法对奥密克戎病毒变种有效。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">Eli Lilly and</a></b> – The drugmaker raised its 2022 profit and revenue forecast ahead of today’s meeting with the investment community, noting that it is on track to meet its goal of delivering 20 new treatments in the 10-year period through 2023. Lilly moved higher by 4.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">礼来公司和</a></b>–该制药商在今天与投资界举行会议之前上调了2022年利润和收入预测,并指出该公司有望实现在截至2023年的10年内提供20种新疗法的目标。礼来公司盘前股价上涨4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RRD\">R.R.Donnelley</a></b> – <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RRD\">R.R.Donnelley</a> agreed to be acquired by Chatham Asset Management – the printing company’s top shareholder – for about $897 million. Donnelley terminated an earlier buyout deal it reached with private equity firm Atlas Holdings after determining that Chatham’s bid was a “superior proposal.” The stock fell 2.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RRD\">唐纳利</a></b>–<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RRD\">唐纳利</a>同意被印刷公司的最大股东查塔姆资产管理公司以约8.97亿美元收购。唐纳利在确定查塔姆的出价是一个“优越的提议”后,终止了早些时候与私募股权公司Atlas Holdings达成的收购协议。该股盘前下跌2.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DPZ\">Domino's Pizza</a></b> – Domino’s fell 2.1% in premarket trading after Barclays downgraded the stock to “underweight” from “equal weight.” Barclays said solid fundamentals and Covid headwinds in the industry as a whole helped Domino’s outperform during the pandemic, but noted that those headwinds for its competitors are now fading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DPZ\">达美乐披萨</a></b>-达美乐在盘前交易中下跌2.1%,此前巴克莱将该股评级从“同等权重”下调至“跑输大盘”。巴克莱表示,整个行业坚实的基本面和新冠疫情不利因素帮助达美乐在疫情期间表现出色,但指出其竞争对手的这些不利因素现在正在消退。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a></b> – Regeneron was downgraded to “market perform” from “outperform” at Bernstein, which cites the risk to Regeneron’s best-selling eye drug Eylea from the future release of biosimilars. Regeneron slid 1.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">再生元制药</a></b>-伯恩斯坦将再生元的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“与大盘持平”,理由是再生元最畅销的眼科药物Eylea未来发布的生物仿制药面临风险。再生元盘前下跌1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIX\">Six Flags Entertainment</a></b> – The theme park operator’s stock rose 2.2% in the premarket after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to “buy” from “neutral,” noting resilient ticket pricing as well as guidance from Six Flags that Goldman considers conservative.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIX\">六旗娱乐</a></b>–高盛将该主题公园运营商的股价从“中性”上调至“买入”,并指出门票定价弹性以及高盛认为保守的六旗游乐园指引,该主题公园运营商的股价在盘前上涨2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWNK\">Hostess Brands Inc</a></b> – The maker of Twinkies and other snack foods was rated “buy” in new coverage at Citi, which said Hostess is exiting the pandemic in a strong position with innovation driving market share gains. Hostess was up 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWNK\">女主人品牌公司</a></b>-这家夹馅面包和其他休闲食品制造商在花旗的新报道中被评为“买入”,该公司表示,Hostess在摆脱疫情时处于强势地位,创新推动了市场份额的增长。Hostess盘前上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">United Parcel Service Inc</a></b> – UBS named the delivery service’s stock as a “top pick,” saying UPS should benefit from increased consumer spending and that it has a greater chance of margin expansion than its rivals. UPS rose 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">联合包裹服务公司</a></b>-瑞银将这家快递服务公司的股票列为“首选”,称UPS应该受益于消费者支出的增加,并且与竞争对手相比,它有更大的机会扩大利润率。UPS在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCMP\">Cabot Microelectronics</a></b> – The advanced materials supplier agreed to be acquired by rivalEntegris(ENTG) in a cash-and-stock deal. Based on Tuesday’s closing prices, the transaction is worth $197.53 per CMC share, compared with CMC’s Tuesday close of $145.97. Entegris fell 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCMP\">卡博特微电子</a></b>-先进材料供应商同意被竞争对手Tegris(ENTG)以现金加股票的方式收购。根据周二收盘价,此次交易价值每股CMC 197.53美元,而CMC周二收盘价为145.97美元。Entegris盘前下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLMN\">Bloomin</a></b> – The Outback Steakhouse parent surged 5.3% in premarket trading after Jefferies added the stock to its “franchise picks” list, saying the company was positioned to benefit from positive structural changes in the casual dining category.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLMN\">布卢明</a></b>–杰富瑞(Jefferies)将该股添加到其“特许经营精选”名单中,称该公司有望受益于休闲餐饮类别的积极结构性变化,该公司股价在盘前交易中飙升5.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-15 21:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. Stock futures traded flat Wednesday morning as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's final monetary policy decision of 2021 and weighed the central bank's potential response to persistent inflationary pressures.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周三上午持平,投资者展望美联储2021年最终货币政策决定,并权衡央行对持续通胀压力的潜在反应。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 16 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 0.75 point, or 0.02%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 9.25 points, or 0.06%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00,道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨16点,涨幅0.05%,标普500电子迷你指数上涨0.75点,涨幅0.02%,纳斯达克100电子迷你指数下跌9.25点,涨幅0.06%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34286b7e4b17094339c3a583ba0a4e13\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"379\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> All eyes on Wednesday will be on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy statement and press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Many market participants expect these will set the stage for the Fed to speed the withdrawal of its crisis-era stimulus programs, with the firming economic recovery and soaring inflation suggesting the central bank has room for a more hawkish tilt to policy. </p><p><blockquote>周三所有人的目光都将集中在美联储的货币政策声明和美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会上。许多市场人士预计,这些将为美联储加快退出危机时期的刺激计划奠定基础,经济复苏企稳和通胀飙升表明美联储有空间在政策上更加鹰派。</blockquote></p><p> Last week's Consumer Price Index showed the fastest surge in U.S. consumer prices since 1982 on a year-over-year basis in November. And on Tuesday, the U.S. Producer Price Index jumped by the most on record at a 9.6% year-over-year increase for last month.</p><p><blockquote>上周的消费者价格指数显示,11月份美国消费者价格同比涨幅为1982年以来最快。周二,美国生产者价格指数上个月同比上涨9.6%,创有记录以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, many investors anticipate the Fed will ramp up the rate of tapering of its asset-purchasing program, which took place at a rate of $120 billion per month in combined Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities from the start of the pandemic through November. Last month, the Fed began dialing back these purchases by $15 billion, and announced another $15 billion reduction for December.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说,许多投资者预计美联储将加快资产购买计划的缩减速度,从疫情开始到11月,美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券的缩减速度为每月1200亿美元。上个月,美联储开始将这些购买量减少150亿美元,并宣布12月份再减少150亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: </b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a> </b>– <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a> gained 2.2% in premarket trading, after announcing it would produce a record 800,000 vehicles in January. Toyota is ramping up output to make up for prior production lost to parts shortages.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a></b>–<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">丰田</a>在宣布1月份将生产创纪录的80万辆汽车后,盘前交易中股价上涨2.2%。丰田正在提高产量,以弥补之前因零部件短缺而造成的产量损失。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIR\">Vir Biotechnology, Inc.</a></b> – <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIR\">Vir Biotechnology, Inc.</a> is rallying 4.3% in the premarket, putting it in position to rise for a fifth straight day. The drugmaker announced further data showing that its Covid-19 antibody therapy – developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) – was effective against the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIR\">维尔生物技术公司。</a></b>–<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIR\">维尔生物技术公司。</a>盘前上涨4.3%,连续第五天上涨。该制药商宣布的进一步数据显示,其与葛兰素史克(GSK)合作开发的Covid-19抗体疗法对奥密克戎病毒变种有效。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">Eli Lilly and</a></b> – The drugmaker raised its 2022 profit and revenue forecast ahead of today’s meeting with the investment community, noting that it is on track to meet its goal of delivering 20 new treatments in the 10-year period through 2023. Lilly moved higher by 4.7% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLY\">礼来公司和</a></b>–该制药商在今天与投资界举行会议之前上调了2022年利润和收入预测,并指出该公司有望实现在截至2023年的10年内提供20种新疗法的目标。礼来公司盘前股价上涨4.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RRD\">R.R.Donnelley</a></b> – <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RRD\">R.R.Donnelley</a> agreed to be acquired by Chatham Asset Management – the printing company’s top shareholder – for about $897 million. Donnelley terminated an earlier buyout deal it reached with private equity firm Atlas Holdings after determining that Chatham’s bid was a “superior proposal.” The stock fell 2.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RRD\">唐纳利</a></b>–<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RRD\">唐纳利</a>同意被印刷公司的最大股东查塔姆资产管理公司以约8.97亿美元收购。唐纳利在确定查塔姆的出价是一个“优越的提议”后,终止了早些时候与私募股权公司Atlas Holdings达成的收购协议。该股盘前下跌2.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DPZ\">Domino's Pizza</a></b> – Domino’s fell 2.1% in premarket trading after Barclays downgraded the stock to “underweight” from “equal weight.” Barclays said solid fundamentals and Covid headwinds in the industry as a whole helped Domino’s outperform during the pandemic, but noted that those headwinds for its competitors are now fading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DPZ\">达美乐披萨</a></b>-达美乐在盘前交易中下跌2.1%,此前巴克莱将该股评级从“同等权重”下调至“跑输大盘”。巴克莱表示,整个行业坚实的基本面和新冠疫情不利因素帮助达美乐在疫情期间表现出色,但指出其竞争对手的这些不利因素现在正在消退。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a></b> – Regeneron was downgraded to “market perform” from “outperform” at Bernstein, which cites the risk to Regeneron’s best-selling eye drug Eylea from the future release of biosimilars. Regeneron slid 1.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">再生元制药</a></b>-伯恩斯坦将再生元的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“与大盘持平”,理由是再生元最畅销的眼科药物Eylea未来发布的生物仿制药面临风险。再生元盘前下跌1.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIX\">Six Flags Entertainment</a></b> – The theme park operator’s stock rose 2.2% in the premarket after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to “buy” from “neutral,” noting resilient ticket pricing as well as guidance from Six Flags that Goldman considers conservative.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIX\">六旗娱乐</a></b>–高盛将该主题公园运营商的股价从“中性”上调至“买入”,并指出门票定价弹性以及高盛认为保守的六旗游乐园指引,该主题公园运营商的股价在盘前上涨2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWNK\">Hostess Brands Inc</a></b> – The maker of Twinkies and other snack foods was rated “buy” in new coverage at Citi, which said Hostess is exiting the pandemic in a strong position with innovation driving market share gains. Hostess was up 1.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWNK\">女主人品牌公司</a></b>-这家夹馅面包和其他休闲食品制造商在花旗的新报道中被评为“买入”,该公司表示,Hostess在摆脱疫情时处于强势地位,创新推动了市场份额的增长。Hostess盘前上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">United Parcel Service Inc</a></b> – UBS named the delivery service’s stock as a “top pick,” saying UPS should benefit from increased consumer spending and that it has a greater chance of margin expansion than its rivals. UPS rose 1.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPS\">联合包裹服务公司</a></b>-瑞银将这家快递服务公司的股票列为“首选”,称UPS应该受益于消费者支出的增加,并且与竞争对手相比,它有更大的机会扩大利润率。UPS在盘前交易中上涨1.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCMP\">Cabot Microelectronics</a></b> – The advanced materials supplier agreed to be acquired by rivalEntegris(ENTG) in a cash-and-stock deal. Based on Tuesday’s closing prices, the transaction is worth $197.53 per CMC share, compared with CMC’s Tuesday close of $145.97. Entegris fell 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCMP\">卡博特微电子</a></b>-先进材料供应商同意被竞争对手Tegris(ENTG)以现金加股票的方式收购。根据周二收盘价,此次交易价值每股CMC 197.53美元,而CMC周二收盘价为145.97美元。Entegris盘前下跌3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLMN\">Bloomin</a></b> – The Outback Steakhouse parent surged 5.3% in premarket trading after Jefferies added the stock to its “franchise picks” list, saying the company was positioned to benefit from positive structural changes in the casual dining category.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLMN\">布卢明</a></b>–杰富瑞(Jefferies)将该股添加到其“特许经营精选”名单中,称该公司有望受益于休闲餐饮类别的积极结构性变化,该公司股价在盘前交易中飙升5.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144636661","content_text":"U.S. Stock futures traded flat Wednesday morning as investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's final monetary policy decision of 2021 and weighed the central bank's potential response to persistent inflationary pressures.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 16 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 0.75 point, or 0.02%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 9.25 points, or 0.06%.\n\nAll eyes on Wednesday will be on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy statement and press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Many market participants expect these will set the stage for the Fed to speed the withdrawal of its crisis-era stimulus programs, with the firming economic recovery and soaring inflation suggesting the central bank has room for a more hawkish tilt to policy. \nLast week's Consumer Price Index showed the fastest surge in U.S. consumer prices since 1982 on a year-over-year basis in November. And on Tuesday, the U.S. Producer Price Index jumped by the most on record at a 9.6% year-over-year increase for last month.\nSpecifically, many investors anticipate the Fed will ramp up the rate of tapering of its asset-purchasing program, which took place at a rate of $120 billion per month in combined Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities from the start of the pandemic through November. Last month, the Fed began dialing back these purchases by $15 billion, and announced another $15 billion reduction for December.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket: \nToyota – Toyota gained 2.2% in premarket trading, after announcing it would produce a record 800,000 vehicles in January. Toyota is ramping up output to make up for prior production lost to parts shortages.\nVir Biotechnology, Inc. – Vir Biotechnology, Inc. is rallying 4.3% in the premarket, putting it in position to rise for a fifth straight day. The drugmaker announced further data showing that its Covid-19 antibody therapy – developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline(GSK) – was effective against the omicron variant.\nEli Lilly and – The drugmaker raised its 2022 profit and revenue forecast ahead of today’s meeting with the investment community, noting that it is on track to meet its goal of delivering 20 new treatments in the 10-year period through 2023. Lilly moved higher by 4.7% in the premarket.\nR.R.Donnelley – R.R.Donnelley agreed to be acquired by Chatham Asset Management – the printing company’s top shareholder – for about $897 million. Donnelley terminated an earlier buyout deal it reached with private equity firm Atlas Holdings after determining that Chatham’s bid was a “superior proposal.” The stock fell 2.8% in the premarket.\nDomino's Pizza – Domino’s fell 2.1% in premarket trading after Barclays downgraded the stock to “underweight” from “equal weight.” Barclays said solid fundamentals and Covid headwinds in the industry as a whole helped Domino’s outperform during the pandemic, but noted that those headwinds for its competitors are now fading.\nRegeneron Pharmaceuticals – Regeneron was downgraded to “market perform” from “outperform” at Bernstein, which cites the risk to Regeneron’s best-selling eye drug Eylea from the future release of biosimilars. Regeneron slid 1.8% in the premarket.\nSix Flags Entertainment – The theme park operator’s stock rose 2.2% in the premarket after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to “buy” from “neutral,” noting resilient ticket pricing as well as guidance from Six Flags that Goldman considers conservative.\nHostess Brands Inc – The maker of Twinkies and other snack foods was rated “buy” in new coverage at Citi, which said Hostess is exiting the pandemic in a strong position with innovation driving market share gains. Hostess was up 1.1% in the premarket.\nUnited Parcel Service Inc – UBS named the delivery service’s stock as a “top pick,” saying UPS should benefit from increased consumer spending and that it has a greater chance of margin expansion than its rivals. UPS rose 1.1% in premarket trading.\nCabot Microelectronics – The advanced materials supplier agreed to be acquired by rivalEntegris(ENTG) in a cash-and-stock deal. Based on Tuesday’s closing prices, the transaction is worth $197.53 per CMC share, compared with CMC’s Tuesday close of $145.97. Entegris fell 3% in the premarket.\nBloomin – The Outback Steakhouse parent surged 5.3% in premarket trading after Jefferies added the stock to its “franchise picks” list, saying the company was positioned to benefit from positive structural changes in the casual dining category.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607939100,"gmtCreate":1639470700772,"gmtModify":1639470700880,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607939100","repostId":"1139239714","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1031,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604600343,"gmtCreate":1639379009793,"gmtModify":1639379009932,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604600343","repostId":"1171271872","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171271872","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639348466,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171271872?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 06:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171271872","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and","content":"<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派,可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少,但周二将包括金宝汤;Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四;周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%,核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%,不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下,10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b> of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数,该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3,而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议,届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%,而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下,10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84,而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值,房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%,而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内,支出预计将增长0.8%,而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套,10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时,房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份,而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后,经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8,与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 06:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派,可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少,但周二将包括金宝汤;Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四;周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%,核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%,不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下,10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b> of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数,该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3,而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议,届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%,而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下,10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84,而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值,房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%,而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内,支出预计将增长0.8%,而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套,10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时,房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份,而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后,经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8,与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PHX":"潘汉德尔油气","ACN":"埃森哲","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","CPB":"金宝汤",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","JILL":"J.Jill Inc.","DRI":"达登饭店","HEI":"海科航空","SCS":"Steelcase Inc.",".DJI":"道琼斯","FDX":"联邦快递","ADBE":"Adobe"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171271872","content_text":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.\nEarnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.\nEconomic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.\nOther data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.\nMonday 12/13\nJ.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.\nTuesday 12/14\nCampbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Federation of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.\nWednesday 12/15\nThe Federal Open Market Committee concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.\nThe BLS reports export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.\nThe Census Bureau reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.\nThursday 12/16\nHeico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureaureleases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.\nThe Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.\nFriday 12/17\nSteelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HEI":0.9,"ACN":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"DRI":0.9,"LEN":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"CPB":0.9,"AVYA":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SCS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"PHX":0.9,"JILL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":930,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604085843,"gmtCreate":1639281970573,"gmtModify":1639281970684,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604085843","repostId":"1103250344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103250344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639280672,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103250344?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-12 11:44","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: IoT solutions, wine, and satellites in a 3 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:三周IPO中的物联网解决方案、葡萄酒和卫星</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103250344","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to r","content":"<p>The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to raise $789 million.</p><p><blockquote>预计未来一周IPO市场将保持相对平静,三起IPO计划筹集7.89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> IoT solutions developer<b>Samsara</b>(IOT) plans to raise $753 million at an $11.6 billion market cap. This \"internet-of-things\" company provides a cloud-based platform that connects the assets of businesses with physical operations, enhancing operational efficiency and asset and employee productivity. Fast growing but highly unprofitable, Samsara saw double-digit growth for customers with $100k+ ARR in the 9mo FY22.</p><p><blockquote>物联网解决方案开发人员<b>轮回</b>(IOT)计划以116亿美元的市值筹集7.53亿美元。这家“物联网”公司提供了一个基于云的平台,将企业的资产与物理运营连接起来,提高了运营效率以及资产和员工的生产力。Samsara增长迅速,但利润极低,在2022财年第9个月,ARR超过10万美元的客户实现了两位数增长。</blockquote></p><p> Wine brand<b>Fresh Vine Wine</b>(VINE) plans to raise $21 million at a $116 million market cap. This celebrity-founded company produces low carb, low calorie premium wines. Growing but highly unprofitable, Fresh Vine sells its wines through wholesale, retail, and DTC channels, and is able to conduct wholesale distribution in all 50 states and Puerto Rico.</p><p><blockquote>葡萄酒品牌<b>鲜藤酒</b>(VINE)计划以1.16亿美元的市值筹集2100万美元。这家名人创立的公司生产低碳水化合物、低热量的优质葡萄酒。Fresh Vine通过批发、零售和DTC渠道销售其葡萄酒,并能够在所有50个州和波多黎各进行批发分销。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap satellite developer<b>Sidus Space</b>(SIDU) plans to raise $15 million at an $81 million market cap. This company provides commercial satellite services such as design, manufacture, launch, and data collection. Sidus Space has generated space-related manufacturing revenues to date, but is highly unprofitable with negative gross margin in the 9mo21.</p><p><blockquote>微型卫星开发商<b>Sidus空间</b>(SIDU)计划以8100万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。这家公司提供设计、制造、发射和数据收集等商业卫星服务。迄今为止,Sidus Space已产生与太空相关的制造收入,但2021年9月毛利率为负,严重无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ead80e54642569e2b7b368c8d50dc265\" tg-width=\"1409\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: IoT solutions, wine, and satellites in a 3 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:三周IPO中的物联网解决方案、葡萄酒和卫星</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: IoT solutions, wine, and satellites in a 3 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:三周IPO中的物联网解决方案、葡萄酒和卫星</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-12 11:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to raise $789 million.</p><p><blockquote>预计未来一周IPO市场将保持相对平静,三起IPO计划筹集7.89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> IoT solutions developer<b>Samsara</b>(IOT) plans to raise $753 million at an $11.6 billion market cap. This \"internet-of-things\" company provides a cloud-based platform that connects the assets of businesses with physical operations, enhancing operational efficiency and asset and employee productivity. Fast growing but highly unprofitable, Samsara saw double-digit growth for customers with $100k+ ARR in the 9mo FY22.</p><p><blockquote>物联网解决方案开发人员<b>轮回</b>(IOT)计划以116亿美元的市值筹集7.53亿美元。这家“物联网”公司提供了一个基于云的平台,将企业的资产与物理运营连接起来,提高了运营效率以及资产和员工的生产力。Samsara增长迅速,但利润极低,在2022财年第9个月,ARR超过10万美元的客户实现了两位数增长。</blockquote></p><p> Wine brand<b>Fresh Vine Wine</b>(VINE) plans to raise $21 million at a $116 million market cap. This celebrity-founded company produces low carb, low calorie premium wines. Growing but highly unprofitable, Fresh Vine sells its wines through wholesale, retail, and DTC channels, and is able to conduct wholesale distribution in all 50 states and Puerto Rico.</p><p><blockquote>葡萄酒品牌<b>鲜藤酒</b>(VINE)计划以1.16亿美元的市值筹集2100万美元。这家名人创立的公司生产低碳水化合物、低热量的优质葡萄酒。Fresh Vine通过批发、零售和DTC渠道销售其葡萄酒,并能够在所有50个州和波多黎各进行批发分销。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap satellite developer<b>Sidus Space</b>(SIDU) plans to raise $15 million at an $81 million market cap. This company provides commercial satellite services such as design, manufacture, launch, and data collection. Sidus Space has generated space-related manufacturing revenues to date, but is highly unprofitable with negative gross margin in the 9mo21.</p><p><blockquote>微型卫星开发商<b>Sidus空间</b>(SIDU)计划以8100万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。这家公司提供设计、制造、发射和数据收集等商业卫星服务。迄今为止,Sidus Space已产生与太空相关的制造收入,但2021年9月毛利率为负,严重无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ead80e54642569e2b7b368c8d50dc265\" tg-width=\"1409\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89474/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-IoT-solutions-wine-and-satellites-in-a-3-IPO-week\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SIDU":"Sidus Space Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IOT":"Samsara, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89474/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-IoT-solutions-wine-and-satellites-in-a-3-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103250344","content_text":"The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to raise $789 million.\nIoT solutions developerSamsara(IOT) plans to raise $753 million at an $11.6 billion market cap. This \"internet-of-things\" company provides a cloud-based platform that connects the assets of businesses with physical operations, enhancing operational efficiency and asset and employee productivity. Fast growing but highly unprofitable, Samsara saw double-digit growth for customers with $100k+ ARR in the 9mo FY22.\nWine brandFresh Vine Wine(VINE) plans to raise $21 million at a $116 million market cap. This celebrity-founded company produces low carb, low calorie premium wines. Growing but highly unprofitable, Fresh Vine sells its wines through wholesale, retail, and DTC channels, and is able to conduct wholesale distribution in all 50 states and Puerto Rico.\nMicro-cap satellite developerSidus Space(SIDU) plans to raise $15 million at an $81 million market cap. This company provides commercial satellite services such as design, manufacture, launch, and data collection. Sidus Space has generated space-related manufacturing revenues to date, but is highly unprofitable with negative gross margin in the 9mo21.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0,"VINE":0,".DJI":0,"IOT":0,"SIDU":0,".IXIC":0}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605528633,"gmtCreate":1639194249614,"gmtModify":1639194249728,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605528633","repostId":"2190767366","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605388178,"gmtCreate":1639113978638,"gmtModify":1639113978739,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605388178","repostId":"2190964556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602536237,"gmtCreate":1639039485895,"gmtModify":1639039486028,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4097453463145590","authorIdStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602536237","repostId":"2190503698","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2190503698","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1639038865,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2190503698?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 16:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”:华尔街分析师对2022年美国股市的看法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2190503698","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve an","content":"<p>'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Lisa Shalett</p><p><blockquote>“2022年将是关键的一年,全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决,商业周期从极端情况正常化,”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>丽莎·沙莱特</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71e96005daaaf18cef4eb11fc31ef1c7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根大通策略师表示,“略微收紧的货币政策”应该会成为2022年市场的阻力</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者开始应对疫情下货币政策的拐点,近期市场波动性飙升可能预示着2022年美国股市将更加坎坷。</blockquote></p><p> \"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团美国消费者财富管理部门投资策略主管肖恩·斯奈德(Shawn Snyder)在接受电话采访时表示:“美联储可能收紧政策,波动性可能会加剧。”他在谈到冠状病毒的新变种时表示,“奥密克戎给2022年的前景带来了一些麻烦”,尽管投资者似乎对一些早期迹象感到鼓舞,这些迹象表明它可能没有最初担心的那么危险。</blockquote></p><p> The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在11月底跃升,即使自上周以来有所回落,仍高于200日移动均线。数据显示,VIX上周自2021年第一季度以来首次突破30,原因是市场对奥密克戎的出现以及美联储可能以比投资者更快的速度从市场上取消部分宽松政策感到不安。预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司经济学家兼投资组合策略总监劳伦·古德温在接受电话采访时表示:“这是一个重大转变,给投资者带来了紧张局势。”她表示,美联储看起来将为明年的潜在加息提供更大的灵活性,通胀压力的增加可能意味着2022年的加息幅度将超过目前的预期,从而产生更多的市场风险。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者担心,如果美联储通过加息大幅收紧货币政策,对利率敏感的成长股和科技股将特别脆弱。FactSet的数据显示,在2021年截至周二上涨近25%后,标普500指数有望连续第三年强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)首席全球投资策略师杰弗里·克莱因托普(Jeffrey Kleintop)在电话中对MarketWatch表示,明年美国股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅,“伴随着更高的波动性”。</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示,她还预计波动性会增加,包括在COVID-19危机期间为消费者提供直接支持的财政刺激措施的消退以及美联储在经济复苏中“放松油门”。她预计明年股市回报率将比2021年迄今为止的涨幅“低得多”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师周三在2022年展望报告中表示,“从现在到2022年上半年,股市的大部分上涨应该会实现,届时货币和财政政策的推动力将最强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街银行纷纷推出2022年标普500预测,高盛集团和摩根大通是最看好美股的银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛12月3日的投资组合策略研究报告,高盛预计2022年底标普500将达到5,100点。与此同时,摩根大通分析师在11月底的一份研究报告中预测,美股基准指数明年将升至5050点,部分原因是“强劲的盈利增长”和缓解供应链困境。根据德意志银行首席投资办公室的幻灯片演示,加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)预测的目标价与摩根大通(JPMorgan)相同,而德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)预测明年标普500将收于5,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,花旗集团10月底的一份研究报告显示,该银行将2022年底的标普500目标定为4,900人。巴克莱在本月的一份美国股票策略报告中预测,该指数明年将收于4,800点,低于该水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师在12月2日的2022年展望报告中写道:“谨慎行事。”“我们认为明年股市的上涨空间有限,”他们表示。他们认为,“家庭和企业的现金储备应该支持温和的盈利增长,但持续的供应链困境、商品消费趋势逆转是关键的尾部风险。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师对标普500明年的目标价低于巴克莱,美国银行上个月的全球研究报告显示,该基准将于2022年底为4,600点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行股票和量化策略主管萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)在11月底关于美国股市前景的媒体吹风会上表示:“不幸的是,我们看到今天与2000年(科技泡沫顶峰)有很多相似之处。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Morgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利对明年的前景更加悲观,导致标普500低于该指数周二收盘价4,686.75点。该银行财富管理部门周一发布的一份报告显示,即使盈利预期增长,2022年底标普500的基本预测仍为4,400。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley Wealth Management首席投资官Lisa Shalett在报告中表示:“我们预计标普500将区间震荡,扣除通胀因素后,债券回报率将为负。”“应该减少固定收益,为更多地投资实物资产和绝对回报基金提供资金。”</blockquote></p><p> The core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示,大摩对标普500“谨慎”观点的核心是基于市盈率通常在“周期中期过渡”期间压缩。她在报告中指出了一张图表,显示“股票中位数已经经历了周期中期的转变。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641e64a82babbbd377cb43247c437118\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根士丹利财富管理报告日期为12月。6, 2021</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.</p><p><blockquote>她的报告显示,“标普500股价中位数已从52周高点修正了15%”,但根据她的报告,该指数一直被目前占其市值40%的15家最大公司所保持高位。</blockquote></p><p> \"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示:“虽然它们可能是伟大的公司,但随着金融状况收紧、利率上升、就业成本增加以及通胀仍然具有挑战性,我们不太相信它们在2022年都会成为伟大的股票。”“我们认为前15名的利润率已经见顶。”</blockquote></p><p> In Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为,“这表明投资者应该转向选股,远离被动指数基金,”她的报告显示。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三的报告称,预计“国际股市、新兴市场和周期性市场领域将大幅跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师援引科技股丰富的纳斯达克综合指数写道:“造成这种情况的原因是我们对加息和小幅收紧货币政策的预期,这对纳斯达克等高市盈率市场来说应该是一个阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗的斯奈德告诉MarketWatch,在“中期”,他喜欢优质股票、“股息增长股”和全球医疗保健股票。他表示,持续的盈利增长和“合理的估值”使医疗保健具有吸引力,该领域的股票押注可以作为投资组合中的“波动抑制器”。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.</p><p><blockquote>美国iShares megatrend和国际ETF主管杰夫·斯皮格尔(Jeff Spiegel)表示,随着“一系列下一代肿瘤疗法即将获得批准,并实现更有针对性的癌症治疗”,免疫学是明年有望加速的三大趋势之一。FactSet数据显示,根据周三午盘交易,iShares Genomics免疫学和医疗保健ETF的股价今年上涨了约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Two other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>明镜周刊在本月的一份报告中写道,2022年另外两个值得关注的大趋势是通过云、5G和网络安全加剧的“数字化转型”,以及机器人和人工智能等“自动化技术”。他写道,自动化技术应该在大流行期间“应对持续的供应链瓶颈和工资上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)的克莱因托普(Kleintop)表示:“我认为明年我们实际上将面临供过于求的问题,而不是短缺。”“这将有助于压低通胀,特别是在明年下半年,不太可能采取激进的加息路径。”</blockquote></p><p> The market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行美洲首席信息官迪帕克·普里(Deepak Puri)在一次媒体吹风会上表示,在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)上周暗示可能会加快缩减每月资产购买规模后,市场预计美联储将在2022年加息三次。周一介绍了他对明年的展望。</blockquote></p><p> While the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.</p><p><blockquote>普里表示,尽管美联储可能会更加积极地缩减购债规模,可能会在3月份而不是6月份完成这一过程,但他预计美联储明年在利率问题上仍将“鸽派”。他表示,普里预测美联储明年只会加息一次,低于共识。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司的古德温表示:“我们预计明年将加息两次。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的Shalett在2022年展望报告中写道,“我们看到了经典的通货再平衡,名义利率和实际利率上升反映了平均增长率和通胀率上升。”她还预计,收益率曲线将变陡,利润率将因成本上升而受到挤压,“利率敏感行业”的市盈率将压缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在周三的报告中表示:“在美国,我们喜欢重新开放和通货再膨胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者。”报告显示,该行策略师预计,到明年年底,10年期国债收益率将升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师Marko Kolanovic表示:“我们的观点是,2022年将是全球全面复苏、全球大流行结束、恢复到COVID-19爆发前正常状况的一年。”该行全球研究联席主管侯赛因·马利克周三在报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> According to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示,“从大多数方面来看,2022年将是关键的一年,全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决,商业周期从极端情况正常化。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”:华尔街分析师对2022年美国股市的看法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-09 16:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Lisa Shalett</p><p><blockquote>“2022年将是关键的一年,全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决,商业周期从极端情况正常化,”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>丽莎·沙莱特</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71e96005daaaf18cef4eb11fc31ef1c7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根大通策略师表示,“略微收紧的货币政策”应该会成为2022年市场的阻力</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者开始应对疫情下货币政策的拐点,近期市场波动性飙升可能预示着2022年美国股市将更加坎坷。</blockquote></p><p> \"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团美国消费者财富管理部门投资策略主管肖恩·斯奈德(Shawn Snyder)在接受电话采访时表示:“美联储可能收紧政策,波动性可能会加剧。”他在谈到冠状病毒的新变种时表示,“奥密克戎给2022年的前景带来了一些麻烦”,尽管投资者似乎对一些早期迹象感到鼓舞,这些迹象表明它可能没有最初担心的那么危险。</blockquote></p><p> The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在11月底跃升,即使自上周以来有所回落,仍高于200日移动均线。数据显示,VIX上周自2021年第一季度以来首次突破30,原因是市场对奥密克戎的出现以及美联储可能以比投资者更快的速度从市场上取消部分宽松政策感到不安。预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司经济学家兼投资组合策略总监劳伦·古德温在接受电话采访时表示:“这是一个重大转变,给投资者带来了紧张局势。”她表示,美联储看起来将为明年的潜在加息提供更大的灵活性,通胀压力的增加可能意味着2022年的加息幅度将超过目前的预期,从而产生更多的市场风险。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者担心,如果美联储通过加息大幅收紧货币政策,对利率敏感的成长股和科技股将特别脆弱。FactSet的数据显示,在2021年截至周二上涨近25%后,标普500指数有望连续第三年强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)首席全球投资策略师杰弗里·克莱因托普(Jeffrey Kleintop)在电话中对MarketWatch表示,明年美国股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅,“伴随着更高的波动性”。</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示,她还预计波动性会增加,包括在COVID-19危机期间为消费者提供直接支持的财政刺激措施的消退以及美联储在经济复苏中“放松油门”。她预计明年股市回报率将比2021年迄今为止的涨幅“低得多”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师周三在2022年展望报告中表示,“从现在到2022年上半年,股市的大部分上涨应该会实现,届时货币和财政政策的推动力将最强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街银行纷纷推出2022年标普500预测,高盛集团和摩根大通是最看好美股的银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛12月3日的投资组合策略研究报告,高盛预计2022年底标普500将达到5,100点。与此同时,摩根大通分析师在11月底的一份研究报告中预测,美股基准指数明年将升至5050点,部分原因是“强劲的盈利增长”和缓解供应链困境。根据德意志银行首席投资办公室的幻灯片演示,加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)预测的目标价与摩根大通(JPMorgan)相同,而德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)预测明年标普500将收于5,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,花旗集团10月底的一份研究报告显示,该银行将2022年底的标普500目标定为4,900人。巴克莱在本月的一份美国股票策略报告中预测,该指数明年将收于4,800点,低于该水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师在12月2日的2022年展望报告中写道:“谨慎行事。”“我们认为明年股市的上涨空间有限,”他们表示。他们认为,“家庭和企业的现金储备应该支持温和的盈利增长,但持续的供应链困境、商品消费趋势逆转是关键的尾部风险。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师对标普500明年的目标价低于巴克莱,美国银行上个月的全球研究报告显示,该基准将于2022年底为4,600点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行股票和量化策略主管萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)在11月底关于美国股市前景的媒体吹风会上表示:“不幸的是,我们看到今天与2000年(科技泡沫顶峰)有很多相似之处。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Morgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利对明年的前景更加悲观,导致标普500低于该指数周二收盘价4,686.75点。该银行财富管理部门周一发布的一份报告显示,即使盈利预期增长,2022年底标普500的基本预测仍为4,400。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley Wealth Management首席投资官Lisa Shalett在报告中表示:“我们预计标普500将区间震荡,扣除通胀因素后,债券回报率将为负。”“应该减少固定收益,为更多地投资实物资产和绝对回报基金提供资金。”</blockquote></p><p> The core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示,大摩对标普500“谨慎”观点的核心是基于市盈率通常在“周期中期过渡”期间压缩。她在报告中指出了一张图表,显示“股票中位数已经经历了周期中期的转变。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641e64a82babbbd377cb43247c437118\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根士丹利财富管理报告日期为12月。6, 2021</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.</p><p><blockquote>她的报告显示,“标普500股价中位数已从52周高点修正了15%”,但根据她的报告,该指数一直被目前占其市值40%的15家最大公司所保持高位。</blockquote></p><p> \"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示:“虽然它们可能是伟大的公司,但随着金融状况收紧、利率上升、就业成本增加以及通胀仍然具有挑战性,我们不太相信它们在2022年都会成为伟大的股票。”“我们认为前15名的利润率已经见顶。”</blockquote></p><p> In Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为,“这表明投资者应该转向选股,远离被动指数基金,”她的报告显示。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三的报告称,预计“国际股市、新兴市场和周期性市场领域将大幅跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师援引科技股丰富的纳斯达克综合指数写道:“造成这种情况的原因是我们对加息和小幅收紧货币政策的预期,这对纳斯达克等高市盈率市场来说应该是一个阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗的斯奈德告诉MarketWatch,在“中期”,他喜欢优质股票、“股息增长股”和全球医疗保健股票。他表示,持续的盈利增长和“合理的估值”使医疗保健具有吸引力,该领域的股票押注可以作为投资组合中的“波动抑制器”。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.</p><p><blockquote>美国iShares megatrend和国际ETF主管杰夫·斯皮格尔(Jeff Spiegel)表示,随着“一系列下一代肿瘤疗法即将获得批准,并实现更有针对性的癌症治疗”,免疫学是明年有望加速的三大趋势之一。FactSet数据显示,根据周三午盘交易,iShares Genomics免疫学和医疗保健ETF的股价今年上涨了约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Two other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>明镜周刊在本月的一份报告中写道,2022年另外两个值得关注的大趋势是通过云、5G和网络安全加剧的“数字化转型”,以及机器人和人工智能等“自动化技术”。他写道,自动化技术应该在大流行期间“应对持续的供应链瓶颈和工资上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)的克莱因托普(Kleintop)表示:“我认为明年我们实际上将面临供过于求的问题,而不是短缺。”“这将有助于压低通胀,特别是在明年下半年,不太可能采取激进的加息路径。”</blockquote></p><p> The market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行美洲首席信息官迪帕克·普里(Deepak Puri)在一次媒体吹风会上表示,在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)上周暗示可能会加快缩减每月资产购买规模后,市场预计美联储将在2022年加息三次。周一介绍了他对明年的展望。</blockquote></p><p> While the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.</p><p><blockquote>普里表示,尽管美联储可能会更加积极地缩减购债规模,可能会在3月份而不是6月份完成这一过程,但他预计美联储明年在利率问题上仍将“鸽派”。他表示,普里预测美联储明年只会加息一次,低于共识。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司的古德温表示:“我们预计明年将加息两次。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的Shalett在2022年展望报告中写道,“我们看到了经典的通货再平衡,名义利率和实际利率上升反映了平均增长率和通胀率上升。”她还预计,收益率曲线将变陡,利润率将因成本上升而受到挤压,“利率敏感行业”的市盈率将压缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在周三的报告中表示:“在美国,我们喜欢重新开放和通货再膨胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者。”报告显示,该行策略师预计,到明年年底,10年期国债收益率将升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师Marko Kolanovic表示:“我们的观点是,2022年将是全球全面复苏、全球大流行结束、恢复到COVID-19爆发前正常状况的一年。”该行全球研究联席主管侯赛因·马利克周三在报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> According to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示,“从大多数方面来看,2022年将是关键的一年,全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决,商业周期从极端情况正常化。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/proceed-with-caution-heres-what-wall-street-analysts-see-for-the-u-s-stock-market-in-2022-11638986154?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","IDNA":"iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","MS":"摩根士丹利","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/proceed-with-caution-heres-what-wall-street-analysts-see-for-the-u-s-stock-market-in-2022-11638986154?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2190503698","content_text":"'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says Morgan Stanley's Lisa Shalett\n‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say\nThe recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.\n\"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.\nThe CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.\n\"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.\nSome investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.\nThe U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.\nGoodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.\n\"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.\nWall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.\nGoldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.\nMeanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.\n\"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"\nBank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.\n\"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.\nMorgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.\n\"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"\nThe core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"\nMORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021\nThe chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.\n\"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"\nIn Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.\nJPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.\n\"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .\nCiti's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.\nImmunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.\nTwo other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.\n\"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"\nThe market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.\nWhile the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.\n\"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.\nMorgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"\n\"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.\n\"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.\nAccording to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SSO":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"OEF":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"MS":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SH":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"END":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"IDNA":0.9,"UPRO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":604085843,"gmtCreate":1639281970573,"gmtModify":1639281970684,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604085843","repostId":"1103250344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103250344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639280672,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103250344?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-12 11:44","market":"sh","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: IoT solutions, wine, and satellites in a 3 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:三周IPO中的物联网解决方案、葡萄酒和卫星</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103250344","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to r","content":"<p>The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to raise $789 million.</p><p><blockquote>预计未来一周IPO市场将保持相对平静,三起IPO计划筹集7.89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> IoT solutions developer<b>Samsara</b>(IOT) plans to raise $753 million at an $11.6 billion market cap. This \"internet-of-things\" company provides a cloud-based platform that connects the assets of businesses with physical operations, enhancing operational efficiency and asset and employee productivity. Fast growing but highly unprofitable, Samsara saw double-digit growth for customers with $100k+ ARR in the 9mo FY22.</p><p><blockquote>物联网解决方案开发人员<b>轮回</b>(IOT)计划以116亿美元的市值筹集7.53亿美元。这家“物联网”公司提供了一个基于云的平台,将企业的资产与物理运营连接起来,提高了运营效率以及资产和员工的生产力。Samsara增长迅速,但利润极低,在2022财年第9个月,ARR超过10万美元的客户实现了两位数增长。</blockquote></p><p> Wine brand<b>Fresh Vine Wine</b>(VINE) plans to raise $21 million at a $116 million market cap. This celebrity-founded company produces low carb, low calorie premium wines. Growing but highly unprofitable, Fresh Vine sells its wines through wholesale, retail, and DTC channels, and is able to conduct wholesale distribution in all 50 states and Puerto Rico.</p><p><blockquote>葡萄酒品牌<b>鲜藤酒</b>(VINE)计划以1.16亿美元的市值筹集2100万美元。这家名人创立的公司生产低碳水化合物、低热量的优质葡萄酒。Fresh Vine通过批发、零售和DTC渠道销售其葡萄酒,并能够在所有50个州和波多黎各进行批发分销。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap satellite developer<b>Sidus Space</b>(SIDU) plans to raise $15 million at an $81 million market cap. This company provides commercial satellite services such as design, manufacture, launch, and data collection. Sidus Space has generated space-related manufacturing revenues to date, but is highly unprofitable with negative gross margin in the 9mo21.</p><p><blockquote>微型卫星开发商<b>Sidus空间</b>(SIDU)计划以8100万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。这家公司提供设计、制造、发射和数据收集等商业卫星服务。迄今为止,Sidus Space已产生与太空相关的制造收入,但2021年9月毛利率为负,严重无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ead80e54642569e2b7b368c8d50dc265\" tg-width=\"1409\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: IoT solutions, wine, and satellites in a 3 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:三周IPO中的物联网解决方案、葡萄酒和卫星</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: IoT solutions, wine, and satellites in a 3 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周:三周IPO中的物联网解决方案、葡萄酒和卫星</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-12 11:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to raise $789 million.</p><p><blockquote>预计未来一周IPO市场将保持相对平静,三起IPO计划筹集7.89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> IoT solutions developer<b>Samsara</b>(IOT) plans to raise $753 million at an $11.6 billion market cap. This \"internet-of-things\" company provides a cloud-based platform that connects the assets of businesses with physical operations, enhancing operational efficiency and asset and employee productivity. Fast growing but highly unprofitable, Samsara saw double-digit growth for customers with $100k+ ARR in the 9mo FY22.</p><p><blockquote>物联网解决方案开发人员<b>轮回</b>(IOT)计划以116亿美元的市值筹集7.53亿美元。这家“物联网”公司提供了一个基于云的平台,将企业的资产与物理运营连接起来,提高了运营效率以及资产和员工的生产力。Samsara增长迅速,但利润极低,在2022财年第9个月,ARR超过10万美元的客户实现了两位数增长。</blockquote></p><p> Wine brand<b>Fresh Vine Wine</b>(VINE) plans to raise $21 million at a $116 million market cap. This celebrity-founded company produces low carb, low calorie premium wines. Growing but highly unprofitable, Fresh Vine sells its wines through wholesale, retail, and DTC channels, and is able to conduct wholesale distribution in all 50 states and Puerto Rico.</p><p><blockquote>葡萄酒品牌<b>鲜藤酒</b>(VINE)计划以1.16亿美元的市值筹集2100万美元。这家名人创立的公司生产低碳水化合物、低热量的优质葡萄酒。Fresh Vine通过批发、零售和DTC渠道销售其葡萄酒,并能够在所有50个州和波多黎各进行批发分销。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap satellite developer<b>Sidus Space</b>(SIDU) plans to raise $15 million at an $81 million market cap. This company provides commercial satellite services such as design, manufacture, launch, and data collection. Sidus Space has generated space-related manufacturing revenues to date, but is highly unprofitable with negative gross margin in the 9mo21.</p><p><blockquote>微型卫星开发商<b>Sidus空间</b>(SIDU)计划以8100万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。这家公司提供设计、制造、发射和数据收集等商业卫星服务。迄今为止,Sidus Space已产生与太空相关的制造收入,但2021年9月毛利率为负,严重无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ead80e54642569e2b7b368c8d50dc265\" tg-width=\"1409\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89474/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-IoT-solutions-wine-and-satellites-in-a-3-IPO-week\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SIDU":"Sidus Space Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IOT":"Samsara, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89474/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-IoT-solutions-wine-and-satellites-in-a-3-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103250344","content_text":"The IPO market is expected to stay relatively quiet in the week ahead with three IPOs scheduled to raise $789 million.\nIoT solutions developerSamsara(IOT) plans to raise $753 million at an $11.6 billion market cap. This \"internet-of-things\" company provides a cloud-based platform that connects the assets of businesses with physical operations, enhancing operational efficiency and asset and employee productivity. Fast growing but highly unprofitable, Samsara saw double-digit growth for customers with $100k+ ARR in the 9mo FY22.\nWine brandFresh Vine Wine(VINE) plans to raise $21 million at a $116 million market cap. This celebrity-founded company produces low carb, low calorie premium wines. Growing but highly unprofitable, Fresh Vine sells its wines through wholesale, retail, and DTC channels, and is able to conduct wholesale distribution in all 50 states and Puerto Rico.\nMicro-cap satellite developerSidus Space(SIDU) plans to raise $15 million at an $81 million market cap. This company provides commercial satellite services such as design, manufacture, launch, and data collection. Sidus Space has generated space-related manufacturing revenues to date, but is highly unprofitable with negative gross margin in the 9mo21.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0,"VINE":0,".DJI":0,"IOT":0,"SIDU":0,".IXIC":0}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871814076,"gmtCreate":1637050883479,"gmtModify":1637050883592,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871814076","repostId":"1110752316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110752316","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637049875,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110752316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UP Fintech Holding Limited to Report Third Quarter 2021 Financial Results on November 30, 2021<blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司将于2021年11月30日公布2021年第三季度财务业绩</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110752316","media":"globenewswire","summary":"BEIJING, Nov. 16, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- UP Fintech Holding Limited (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”","content":"<p>BEIJING, Nov. 16, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- UP Fintech Holding Limited (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: TIGR), a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors, today announced that it will report its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021 before the U.S. market opens on November 30, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>北京,2021年11月16日(环球通讯社)--专注于全球投资者的领先在线经纪公司老虎证券控股有限公司(“老虎证券”或“公司”)(纳斯达克:TIGR)今天宣布,将于2021年11月30日美国市场开盘前公布截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> UP Fintech’s management will hold an earnings conference call at 8:00 AM on November 30, 2021, U.S. Eastern Time (9:00 PM on November 30, 2021 Beijing/Hong Kong Time).</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券管理层将于美国东部时间2021年11月30日上午8:00(京/港时间2021年11月30日晚上9:00)召开财报电话会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conference Call Information:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>电话会议信息:</b></blockquote></p><p> Due to the outbreak of COVID-19, operator assisted conference calls are not available at this time. All participants wishing to attend the call must preregister online before they may receive the dial-in numbers. Preregistration may require a few minutes to complete. UP Fintech would like to apologize for any inconvenience caused by not having an operator.</p><p><blockquote>由于新冠肺炎的爆发,运营商辅助会议评级目前不可用。所有希望参加看涨期权的与会者必须在网上预先登记,然后才能收到拨入号码。预注册可能需要几分钟才能完成。对于没有接线员给您带来的不便,老虎证券深表歉意。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Preregistration Information:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预注册信息:</b></blockquote></p><p> Participants may register for the conference call by navigating to:http://apac.directeventreg.com/registration/event/1560239</p><p><blockquote>与会者可通过以下网址注册参加电话会议:http://apac.directeventreg.com/registration/event/1560239</blockquote></p><p> Once preregistration has been complete, participants will receive dial-in numbers, direct event passcode, and registrant id. The conference ID: is 1560239</p><p><blockquote>预注册完成后,参与者将收到拨入号码、直接活动密码和注册人id。会议ID:是1560239</blockquote></p><p> To join the conference, simply dial the number in the calendar invite you receive after preregistering, enter the passcode followed by your PIN, and you will join the conference instantly.</p><p><blockquote>要加入会议,只需拨打预注册后收到的日历邀请中的号码,输入密码和PIN,您将立即加入会议。</blockquote></p><p> A telephone replay of the call will be available after the conclusion of the conference call through December 8, 2021. Dial-in numbers for the replay are as follows:</p><p><blockquote>电话会议结束后至2021年12月8日,将提供看涨期权的电话重播。重播的拨入号码如下:</blockquote></p><p> International: +61 2 8199 0299</p><p><blockquote>国际:+61 2 819 9 029 9</blockquote></p><p> Passcode: 1560239</p><p><blockquote>密码:1560239</blockquote></p><p> A live and archived webcast of the conference call will be available at https://ir.itiger.com.</p><p><blockquote>电话会议的现场和存档网络广播将在https://ir.itiger.com上提供。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About UP Fintech Holding Limited</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于老虎证券控股有限公司</b></blockquote></p><p> UP Fintech Holding Limited is a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors. The Company’s proprietary mobile and online trading platform enables investors to trade in equities and other financial instruments on multiple exchanges around the world. The Company offers innovative products and services as well as a superior user experience to customers through its “mobile first” strategy, which enables it to better serve and retain current customers as well as attract new ones. The Company offers customers comprehensive brokerage and value-added services, including trade order placement and execution, margin financing, IPO subscription, ESOP management, investor education, community discussion and customer support. The Company’s proprietary infrastructure and advanced technology are able to support trades across multiple currencies, multiple markets, multiple products, multiple execution venues and multiple clearinghouses. For more information on the Company, please visit: https://ir.itiger.com.</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司是一家专注于全球投资者的领先在线经纪公司。该公司专有的移动和在线交易平台使投资者能够在全球多个交易所交易股票和其他金融工具。该公司通过其“移动优先”战略为客户提供创新的产品和服务以及卓越的用户体验,这使其能够更好地服务和留住现有客户以及吸引新客户。该公司为客户提供全面的经纪和增值服务,包括交易订单的下达和执行、保证金融资、IPO认购、员工持股计划管理、投资者教育、社区讨论和客户支持。该公司的专有基础设施和先进技术能够支持跨多种货币、多个市场、多种产品、多个执行场所和多个清算所的交易。有关公司的更多信息,请访问:https://ir.itiger.com。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Relations Contact</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者关系联络人</b></blockquote></p><p> Mr. Clark S. Soucy</p><p><blockquote>克拉克·S·苏西先生</blockquote></p><p> UP Fintech Holding Limited</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司</blockquote></p><p> Email: ir@itiger.com</p><p><blockquote>邮箱:ir@itiger.com</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1573717531661","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UP Fintech Holding Limited to Report Third Quarter 2021 Financial Results on November 30, 2021<blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司将于2021年11月30日公布2021年第三季度财务业绩</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUP Fintech Holding Limited to Report Third Quarter 2021 Financial Results on November 30, 2021<blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司将于2021年11月30日公布2021年第三季度财务业绩</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">globenewswire</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-16 16:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BEIJING, Nov. 16, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- UP Fintech Holding Limited (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: TIGR), a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors, today announced that it will report its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021 before the U.S. market opens on November 30, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>北京,2021年11月16日(环球通讯社)--专注于全球投资者的领先在线经纪公司老虎证券控股有限公司(“老虎证券”或“公司”)(纳斯达克:TIGR)今天宣布,将于2021年11月30日美国市场开盘前公布截至2021年9月30日的第三季度财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> UP Fintech’s management will hold an earnings conference call at 8:00 AM on November 30, 2021, U.S. Eastern Time (9:00 PM on November 30, 2021 Beijing/Hong Kong Time).</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券管理层将于美国东部时间2021年11月30日上午8:00(京/港时间2021年11月30日晚上9:00)召开财报电话会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conference Call Information:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>电话会议信息:</b></blockquote></p><p> Due to the outbreak of COVID-19, operator assisted conference calls are not available at this time. All participants wishing to attend the call must preregister online before they may receive the dial-in numbers. Preregistration may require a few minutes to complete. UP Fintech would like to apologize for any inconvenience caused by not having an operator.</p><p><blockquote>由于新冠肺炎的爆发,运营商辅助会议评级目前不可用。所有希望参加看涨期权的与会者必须在网上预先登记,然后才能收到拨入号码。预注册可能需要几分钟才能完成。对于没有接线员给您带来的不便,老虎证券深表歉意。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Preregistration Information:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预注册信息:</b></blockquote></p><p> Participants may register for the conference call by navigating to:http://apac.directeventreg.com/registration/event/1560239</p><p><blockquote>与会者可通过以下网址注册参加电话会议:http://apac.directeventreg.com/registration/event/1560239</blockquote></p><p> Once preregistration has been complete, participants will receive dial-in numbers, direct event passcode, and registrant id. The conference ID: is 1560239</p><p><blockquote>预注册完成后,参与者将收到拨入号码、直接活动密码和注册人id。会议ID:是1560239</blockquote></p><p> To join the conference, simply dial the number in the calendar invite you receive after preregistering, enter the passcode followed by your PIN, and you will join the conference instantly.</p><p><blockquote>要加入会议,只需拨打预注册后收到的日历邀请中的号码,输入密码和PIN,您将立即加入会议。</blockquote></p><p> A telephone replay of the call will be available after the conclusion of the conference call through December 8, 2021. Dial-in numbers for the replay are as follows:</p><p><blockquote>电话会议结束后至2021年12月8日,将提供看涨期权的电话重播。重播的拨入号码如下:</blockquote></p><p> International: +61 2 8199 0299</p><p><blockquote>国际:+61 2 819 9 029 9</blockquote></p><p> Passcode: 1560239</p><p><blockquote>密码:1560239</blockquote></p><p> A live and archived webcast of the conference call will be available at https://ir.itiger.com.</p><p><blockquote>电话会议的现场和存档网络广播将在https://ir.itiger.com上提供。</blockquote></p><p> <b>About UP Fintech Holding Limited</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关于老虎证券控股有限公司</b></blockquote></p><p> UP Fintech Holding Limited is a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors. The Company’s proprietary mobile and online trading platform enables investors to trade in equities and other financial instruments on multiple exchanges around the world. The Company offers innovative products and services as well as a superior user experience to customers through its “mobile first” strategy, which enables it to better serve and retain current customers as well as attract new ones. The Company offers customers comprehensive brokerage and value-added services, including trade order placement and execution, margin financing, IPO subscription, ESOP management, investor education, community discussion and customer support. The Company’s proprietary infrastructure and advanced technology are able to support trades across multiple currencies, multiple markets, multiple products, multiple execution venues and multiple clearinghouses. For more information on the Company, please visit: https://ir.itiger.com.</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司是一家专注于全球投资者的领先在线经纪公司。该公司专有的移动和在线交易平台使投资者能够在全球多个交易所交易股票和其他金融工具。该公司通过其“移动优先”战略为客户提供创新的产品和服务以及卓越的用户体验,这使其能够更好地服务和留住现有客户以及吸引新客户。该公司为客户提供全面的经纪和增值服务,包括交易订单的下达和执行、保证金融资、IPO认购、员工持股计划管理、投资者教育、社区讨论和客户支持。该公司的专有基础设施和先进技术能够支持跨多种货币、多个市场、多种产品、多个执行场所和多个清算所的交易。有关公司的更多信息,请访问:https://ir.itiger.com。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Relations Contact</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者关系联络人</b></blockquote></p><p> Mr. Clark S. Soucy</p><p><blockquote>克拉克·S·苏西先生</blockquote></p><p> UP Fintech Holding Limited</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司</blockquote></p><p> Email: ir@itiger.com</p><p><blockquote>邮箱:ir@itiger.com</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2021/11/16/2334997/0/en/UP-Fintech-Holding-Limited-to-Report-Third-Quarter-2021-Financial-Results-on-November-30-2021.html\">globenewswire</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TIGR":"老虎证券"},"source_url":"https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2021/11/16/2334997/0/en/UP-Fintech-Holding-Limited-to-Report-Third-Quarter-2021-Financial-Results-on-November-30-2021.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110752316","content_text":"BEIJING, Nov. 16, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- UP Fintech Holding Limited (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: TIGR), a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors, today announced that it will report its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021 before the U.S. market opens on November 30, 2021.\nUP Fintech’s management will hold an earnings conference call at 8:00 AM on November 30, 2021, U.S. Eastern Time (9:00 PM on November 30, 2021 Beijing/Hong Kong Time).\nConference Call Information:\nDue to the outbreak of COVID-19, operator assisted conference calls are not available at this time. All participants wishing to attend the call must preregister online before they may receive the dial-in numbers. Preregistration may require a few minutes to complete. UP Fintech would like to apologize for any inconvenience caused by not having an operator.\nPreregistration Information:\nParticipants may register for the conference call by navigating to:http://apac.directeventreg.com/registration/event/1560239\nOnce preregistration has been complete, participants will receive dial-in numbers, direct event passcode, and registrant id. The conference ID: is 1560239\nTo join the conference, simply dial the number in the calendar invite you receive after preregistering, enter the passcode followed by your PIN, and you will join the conference instantly.\nA telephone replay of the call will be available after the conclusion of the conference call through December 8, 2021. Dial-in numbers for the replay are as follows:\nInternational: +61 2 8199 0299\nPasscode: 1560239\nA live and archived webcast of the conference call will be available at https://ir.itiger.com.\nAbout UP Fintech Holding Limited\nUP Fintech Holding Limited is a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors. The Company’s proprietary mobile and online trading platform enables investors to trade in equities and other financial instruments on multiple exchanges around the world. The Company offers innovative products and services as well as a superior user experience to customers through its “mobile first” strategy, which enables it to better serve and retain current customers as well as attract new ones. The Company offers customers comprehensive brokerage and value-added services, including trade order placement and execution, margin financing, IPO subscription, ESOP management, investor education, community discussion and customer support. The Company’s proprietary infrastructure and advanced technology are able to support trades across multiple currencies, multiple markets, multiple products, multiple execution venues and multiple clearinghouses. For more information on the Company, please visit: https://ir.itiger.com.\nInvestor Relations Contact\nMr. Clark S. Soucy\nUP Fintech Holding Limited\nEmail: ir@itiger.com","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TIGR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846508684,"gmtCreate":1636091950462,"gmtModify":1636092254850,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846508684","repostId":"1128227989","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128227989","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636067303,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128227989?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-05 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下,标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128227989","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.Financials dropped 1","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)-标普500和纳斯达克周四上涨,将收盘纪录高位连涨至六个交易日,因高通强劲的财务预测以及投资者消化了美联储开始减少月度债券购买的决定后,芯片制造商股市飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数小幅下跌,结束了四点收盘的纪录。摩根大通和高盛集团银行股的下跌打压了蓝筹股指数。</blockquote></p><p> Financials dropped 1.3%, most among S&P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.</p><p><blockquote>金融股下跌1.3%,其中大部分是标普500板块,因美国国债收益率下跌,在美联储表示不急于加息的第二天,市场解除了对美联储更快加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>John Hancock Investment Management联席首席投资策略师马修·米斯金(Matthew Miskin)表示:“市场的增长方今天看到了更积极的结果,因为它们受益于收益率的下降。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于美联储宣布缩减规模,市场总体上一直在为更高的收益率做准备。当我们今天走进来时,这种情况已经发生了逆转。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌33.35点,跌幅0.09%,至36,124.23点;标普500上涨19.49点,跌幅0.42%,至4,680.06点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨128.72点,跌幅0.81%,至15,940.31点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&P 500 value index fell 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数上涨1.2%,标普500价值指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among S&P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500板块中,科技和非必需消费品领涨,均上涨约1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.</p><p><blockquote>高通股价上涨12.7%,该公司预测本季度利润和收入好于预期,原因是手机、汽车和其他互联网连接设备所用芯片的需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数上涨3.5%,英伟达飙升12%。</blockquote></p><p> Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>好于预期的第三季度收益有助于提振股市情绪。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据,约有420家公司发布了财报,预计标普500第三季度盈利将同比增长41.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.</p><p><blockquote>爱德华·琼斯投资策略师克雷格·费尔表示:“企业盈利情况仍然相当光明。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场正在奖励那些超出预期并上调前景的公司,而市场正在惩罚那些本季度未达到预期的公司,也许更重要的是,这预示着前景更加糟糕。”</blockquote></p><p> Moderna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价暴跌约18%,该公司将其COVID-19疫苗2021年的销售预测削减了多达50亿美元,并努力灌装和分销小瓶,以满足前所未有的全球需求。Moderna股价拖累标普500医疗保健板块,该板块下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示,上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至近20个月来的最低水平,表明经济正在恢复动力。投资者将从周五的月度就业报告中获得对经济的批判性看法。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1;在纳斯达克,1.24比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下75个52周新高和5个新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得224个新高和38个新低。</blockquote></p><p> About 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有113亿股易手,高于过去20个交易日104亿股的日均水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下,标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq extend record streaks, with boost from chip, growth shares<blockquote>在芯片和成长股的推动下,标普500和纳斯达克延续了创纪录的连胜纪录</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-05 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)-标普500和纳斯达克周四上涨,将收盘纪录高位连涨至六个交易日,因高通强劲的财务预测以及投资者消化了美联储开始减少月度债券购买的决定后,芯片制造商股市飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数小幅下跌,结束了四点收盘的纪录。摩根大通和高盛集团银行股的下跌打压了蓝筹股指数。</blockquote></p><p> Financials dropped 1.3%, most among S&P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.</p><p><blockquote>金融股下跌1.3%,其中大部分是标普500板块,因美国国债收益率下跌,在美联储表示不急于加息的第二天,市场解除了对美联储更快加息的预期。</blockquote></p><p> “The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.</p><p><blockquote>John Hancock Investment Management联席首席投资策略师马修·米斯金(Matthew Miskin)表示:“市场的增长方今天看到了更积极的结果,因为它们受益于收益率的下降。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”</p><p><blockquote>“鉴于美联储宣布缩减规模,市场总体上一直在为更高的收益率做准备。当我们今天走进来时,这种情况已经发生了逆转。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌33.35点,跌幅0.09%,至36,124.23点;标普500上涨19.49点,跌幅0.42%,至4,680.06点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨128.72点,跌幅0.81%,至15,940.31点。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&P 500 value index fell 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数上涨1.2%,标普500价值指数下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among S&P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500板块中,科技和非必需消费品领涨,均上涨约1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.</p><p><blockquote>高通股价上涨12.7%,该公司预测本季度利润和收入好于预期,原因是手机、汽车和其他互联网连接设备所用芯片的需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数上涨3.5%,英伟达飙升12%。</blockquote></p><p> Better-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.</p><p><blockquote>好于预期的第三季度收益有助于提振股市情绪。根据Refinitiv IBES的数据,约有420家公司发布了财报,预计标普500第三季度盈利将同比增长41.2%。</blockquote></p><p> “The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.</p><p><blockquote>爱德华·琼斯投资策略师克雷格·费尔表示:“企业盈利情况仍然相当光明。”</blockquote></p><p> “The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>“市场正在奖励那些超出预期并上调前景的公司,而市场正在惩罚那些本季度未达到预期的公司,也许更重要的是,这预示着前景更加糟糕。”</blockquote></p><p> Moderna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna股价暴跌约18%,该公司将其COVID-19疫苗2021年的销售预测削减了多达50亿美元,并努力灌装和分销小瓶,以满足前所未有的全球需求。Moderna股价拖累标普500医疗保健板块,该板块下跌0.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示,上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至近20个月来的最低水平,表明经济正在恢复动力。投资者将从周五的月度就业报告中获得对经济的批判性看法。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1;在纳斯达克,1.24比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下75个52周新高和5个新低;纳斯达克综合指数录得224个新高和38个新低。</blockquote></p><p> About 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所约有113亿股易手,高于过去20个交易日104亿股的日均水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-nasdaq-extend-record-streaks-with-boost-from-chip-growth-shares-idUSL1N2RV2T0\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-nasdaq-extend-record-streaks-with-boost-from-chip-growth-shares-idUSL1N2RV2T0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128227989","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose on Thursday, extending their streaks of record high closes to six sessions, as chipmaker stocks surged following Qualcomm’s strong financial forecast and investors digested the Federal Reserve’s decision to start reducing its monthly bond purchases.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average posted a slim loss, ending its streak of record closes at four. Declines in shares of banks JPMorgan Chase & Co and Goldman Sachs Group weighed on the blue-chip index.\nFinancials dropped 1.3%, most among S&P 500 sectors, as U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the market unwinding expectations of quicker Fed rate hikes a day after the central bank signaled it was in no hurry to do so.\n“The growth side of the market is seeing more positive results today as they are benefiting from the falling yields that are developing,” said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management.\n“The market had been positioning for higher yields in general given the Fed announcement of tapering. As we walked in today, there has been a reversal in that.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 33.35 points, or 0.09%, to 36,124.23, the S&P 500 gained 19.49 points, or 0.42%, to 4,680.06 and the Nasdaq Composite added 128.72 points, or 0.81%, to 15,940.31.\nThe S&P 500 growth index rose 1.2% while the S&P 500 value index fell 0.5%.\nAmong S&P 500 sectors, tech and consumer discretionary led the way, both rising about 1.5%.\nQualcomm shares jumped 12.7% as the company forecast better-than-expected profits and revenue for its current quarter on soaring demand for chips used in phones, cars and other internet-connected devices.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed 3.5%, with Nvidia soaring 12%.\nBetter-than-expected third-quarter earnings have helped lift sentiment for equities. With about 420 companies having reported, S&P 500 earnings are expected to have climbed 41.2% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Refinitiv IBES.\n“The corporate earnings story remains quite bright,” said Craig Fehr, investment strategist at Edward Jones.\n“The market is rewarding companies that are beating and upping their outlook, and the market is punishing companies that are missing their estimates in the quarter and more importantly, perhaps, signaling a more sour outlook.”\nModerna shares tumbled about 18% as the company slashed the 2021 sales forecast for its COVID-19 vaccine by as much as $5 billion, grappling to fill vials and distribute them to meet unprecedented world demand. Moderna shares weighed on the S&P 500 healthcare sector, which fell 0.8%.\nData showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly 20 months last week, suggesting the economy was regaining momentum. Investors will get a critical view of the economy with the monthly jobs report on Friday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.24-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 75 new 52-week highs and five new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 224 new highs and 38 new lows.\nAbout 11.3 billion shares changed hands in U.S. exchanges, above the 10.4 billion daily average over the last 20 sessions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SSO":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SH":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"UPRO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608935204,"gmtCreate":1638592666915,"gmtModify":1638592666977,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608935204","repostId":"2188578706","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699068518,"gmtCreate":1639724224334,"gmtModify":1639724224448,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699068518","repostId":"1108936663","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108936663","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639723361,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108936663?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 14:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108936663","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nUber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging econo","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Uber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.</li> <li>Mobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.</li> <li>Future lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.</li> <li>Therefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b93f3ad8b1091da22c151e759153e2\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>优步的送货业务正在蓬勃发展并不断扩大,导致该公司利用规模经济实现盈利。</li><li>随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在从疫情迅速复苏。</li><li>未来不太可能出现以前看到的封锁和covid限制。</li><li>因此,Uber可能是等待变成天鹅的丑小鸭。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction and Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>导言和论文</b></blockquote></p><p> I am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.</p><p><blockquote>我开始相信优步(纽约证券交易所股票代码:UBER)的故事正在像丑小鸭的故事一样展开。在上市初期,Uber就像丑小鸭一样遭受着投资界的无知和不利看法,但今天,我相信Uber离绽放成一只美丽而成功的天鹅指日可待。</blockquote></p><p> Uber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.</p><p><blockquote>随着潜在趋势对该公司有利,优步的业务正在好转。从疫情的深渊到今天的复苏步伐,世界变得更好了,至少对优步来说是这样。其中一个变化是食品配送。在疫情期间,消费者无法舒适地离开家外出就餐,导致这些消费者转向送餐业务,这是优步持续亏损的主要原因。因此,随着外卖趋势从疫情持续增长,优步通过规模经济的业务一直在享受有利趋势,我相信外卖的便利性将使外卖永久渗透到我们的日常生活中。此外,随着出行在各个方面都从疫情中恢复,Uber可能会在2022财年实现盈利。尽管存在稀释风险、新冠疫情和宏观经济风险,但我相信现在终于是考虑投资丑小鸭的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favorable Trend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有利趋势</b></blockquote></p><p> Pandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost 3 fold from 2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.</p><p><blockquote>疫情给我们生活的几乎所有行业和方方面面带来了破坏;然而,对于优步来说,我相信疫情对公司有利。Uber的主要业务是送货和移动出行。在大流行之前,虽然移动业务开始报告积极的调整后EBTIDA,但交付业务继续陷入困境。市场相对较小且竞争激烈,导致优步在销售、营销和开发上花费了大量资金。更糟糕的是,当时没有看到规模经济。然而,对于快递业务来说,时代已经变了。一是外卖行业爆火。例如,Uber的配送业务较2019年第四季度增长了近3倍。该行业的巨大增长使Uber能够利用规模经济来提高利润。此外,外卖文化在人们日常生活中的适应使优步能够将其业务扩展到外卖之外。该公司目前正在运送食品杂货、圣诞树,甚至酒精饮料。因此,随着市场的不断成熟,Uber可以利用规模经济将亏损领先的外卖业务扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Some critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.</p><p><blockquote>一些批评者可能会认为,送货之所以成功,只是因为消费者在疫情期间不愿意外出。我想提出不同的观点。疫情可能是公众适应送货服务背后的驱动因素;然而,便利性是维持这种商业模式的动力。通过过去几十年的创新,我们看到了亚马逊(纳斯达克:AMZN)、Meta Platforms(纳斯达克:FB)和苹果(纳斯达克:AAPL)的崛起,消费者是多么关心便利性。当你可以与他人见面时,为什么还要进行数字社交呢?当你今天就可以去购买产品的时候,为什么要在网上订购套餐,然后等上几天呢?既然已经有了手机,为什么还要用智能手机呢?消费者永远不会回到更不方便的生活方式。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.</p><p><blockquote>与配送业务不同,移动出行业务受到了疫情的损害,但预计随着疫情影响的减弱,移动出行业务将恢复到2019年的水平。如下图所示,全球最大城市的移动业务在封锁后几乎恢复正常,这表明对网约车服务的需求仍然存在。此外,随着疫情的消退和办公室的重新开放,移动业务将继续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a5ee8af7dd1261e2686a20efa4d3b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Covid Fears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新冠恐惧</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Although pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情是快递业务成功的主要原因,但不断恶化的疫情很可能会损害我的看涨论点。移动业务是一个将引领盈利能力的业务部门,将受到严重损害;然而,与主流媒体的观点相反,我认为由于疫苗和公众情绪,这种情况不太可能发生。</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer(NYSE:PFE) on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞(纽约证券交易所股票代码:PFE)12月8日证实,他们的新冠疫苗对奥密克戎变种仍然有效。该公司表示,一项初步研究“表明,三剂[疫苗]可以中和奥密克戎变种,而两剂则显示中和滴度显着降低。”该公司的说法得到了奥密克戎或新冠疫情在许多欧洲国家爆发的支持,包括义大利、法、英等。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe98b474db7223afa7617f0cb8545e42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8849809f79a66a367009de9b31677d63\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/415cdc534da7dc5a6d6f9e754adf099e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Using France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>以法国为例,上面的第一张图显示了Covid病例呈指数级上升,而第二张图显示了死亡率在一定范围内。第三张图所示的疫苗接种率支持了辉瑞关于其疫苗功效的说法,因为虽然感染率在上升,但疫苗导致的死亡人数有限。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.</p><p><blockquote>此外,公众对更多封锁和极端限制的不满很可能会使优步的移动业务部门比之前的疫情爆发更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials and Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Uber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的资产负债表和估值都很棒。根据Uber的季度报告,Uber报告收入同比增长72%,达到48亿美元,调整后EBITDA为800万美元。经过多年的亏损后,快递业务达到了接近盈亏平衡的水平,调整后EBITDA利润率为-0.1%。此外,该公司的移动或移动业务调整后EBITDA利润率为5.5%,与大流行前的利润率持平。总体而言,公司业务的持续改善导致亏损减少和资产负债表更加强劲。优步拥有约56亿美元现金和约330亿美元总资产,而总负债约为200亿美元,总资产负债率(L/A)约为60%。总而言之,我相信在没有重大变化的情况下,Uber的资产负债表足以维持公司的运营。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times price to sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的估值略高。仍未盈利的Uber的市销率约为4.7倍,远期市销率约为3倍。与其他公司相比,这些数字似乎很小,但由于Uber的利润率扩张值得怀疑,我想说Uber目前的估值略高。然而,随着该业务在不久的将来实现盈利,我认为优步略高的估值对于一些投资者来说可能是可以控制的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Investing in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.</p><p><blockquote>投资优步会带来重大风险,包括稀释风险和宏观经济风险。Uber过去几年一直极度无利可图,导致大规模稀释。Uber的流通股在2018年上涨了12.35%,2019年上涨了160.62%,2020年上涨了40.42%,2021年迄今上涨了8.2%。因此,为了维持公司的运营,Uber不断稀释现有股东。因此,实现盈利的任何障碍都可能导致未来更多的稀释。此外,Uber如今财务状况良好的原因是大规模稀释。此外,优步无法控制的宏观经济风险可能会影响该公司。通胀已经处于历史高位,可能会继续保持在这些水平,导致美联储更快地缩减和加息。因此,由于Uber仍未盈利,提高费率很可能会对公司产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> No one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.</p><p><blockquote>没有人确切知道Uber是否会从丑小鸭绽放成美丽的天鹅,但今天,我开始谨慎看好Uber。疫情最终使公司的整体运营受益,导致配送业务蓬勃发展,这有助于优步实现单位经济效益。此外,随着消费者适应更便捷的生活方式,快递业务预计将扩大。对于移动业务来说,损失惨重;然而,正如Uber所展示的那样,随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在强劲复苏至2019年的水平。因此,随着Uber试图扭转业务,我相信投资者应该值得考虑投资Uber。毕竟,Uber可能会绽放成一只美丽的天鹅。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber: Ugly Duckling Is Growing Up<blockquote>优步:丑小鸭正在长大</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 14:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Uber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.</li> <li>Mobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.</li> <li>Future lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.</li> <li>Therefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44b93f3ad8b1091da22c151e759153e2\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>优步的送货业务正在蓬勃发展并不断扩大,导致该公司利用规模经济实现盈利。</li><li>随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在从疫情迅速复苏。</li><li>未来不太可能出现以前看到的封锁和covid限制。</li><li>因此,Uber可能是等待变成天鹅的丑小鸭。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction and Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>导言和论文</b></blockquote></p><p> I am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.</p><p><blockquote>我开始相信优步(纽约证券交易所股票代码:UBER)的故事正在像丑小鸭的故事一样展开。在上市初期,Uber就像丑小鸭一样遭受着投资界的无知和不利看法,但今天,我相信Uber离绽放成一只美丽而成功的天鹅指日可待。</blockquote></p><p> Uber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.</p><p><blockquote>随着潜在趋势对该公司有利,优步的业务正在好转。从疫情的深渊到今天的复苏步伐,世界变得更好了,至少对优步来说是这样。其中一个变化是食品配送。在疫情期间,消费者无法舒适地离开家外出就餐,导致这些消费者转向送餐业务,这是优步持续亏损的主要原因。因此,随着外卖趋势从疫情持续增长,优步通过规模经济的业务一直在享受有利趋势,我相信外卖的便利性将使外卖永久渗透到我们的日常生活中。此外,随着出行在各个方面都从疫情中恢复,Uber可能会在2022财年实现盈利。尽管存在稀释风险、新冠疫情和宏观经济风险,但我相信现在终于是考虑投资丑小鸭的时候了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favorable Trend</b></p><p><blockquote><b>有利趋势</b></blockquote></p><p> Pandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost 3 fold from 2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.</p><p><blockquote>疫情给我们生活的几乎所有行业和方方面面带来了破坏;然而,对于优步来说,我相信疫情对公司有利。Uber的主要业务是送货和移动出行。在大流行之前,虽然移动业务开始报告积极的调整后EBTIDA,但交付业务继续陷入困境。市场相对较小且竞争激烈,导致优步在销售、营销和开发上花费了大量资金。更糟糕的是,当时没有看到规模经济。然而,对于快递业务来说,时代已经变了。一是外卖行业爆火。例如,Uber的配送业务较2019年第四季度增长了近3倍。该行业的巨大增长使Uber能够利用规模经济来提高利润。此外,外卖文化在人们日常生活中的适应使优步能够将其业务扩展到外卖之外。该公司目前正在运送食品杂货、圣诞树,甚至酒精饮料。因此,随着市场的不断成熟,Uber可以利用规模经济将亏损领先的外卖业务扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> Some critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.</p><p><blockquote>一些批评者可能会认为,送货之所以成功,只是因为消费者在疫情期间不愿意外出。我想提出不同的观点。疫情可能是公众适应送货服务背后的驱动因素;然而,便利性是维持这种商业模式的动力。通过过去几十年的创新,我们看到了亚马逊(纳斯达克:AMZN)、Meta Platforms(纳斯达克:FB)和苹果(纳斯达克:AAPL)的崛起,消费者是多么关心便利性。当你可以与他人见面时,为什么还要进行数字社交呢?当你今天就可以去购买产品的时候,为什么要在网上订购套餐,然后等上几天呢?既然已经有了手机,为什么还要用智能手机呢?消费者永远不会回到更不方便的生活方式。</blockquote></p><p> Unlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.</p><p><blockquote>与配送业务不同,移动出行业务受到了疫情的损害,但预计随着疫情影响的减弱,移动出行业务将恢复到2019年的水平。如下图所示,全球最大城市的移动业务在封锁后几乎恢复正常,这表明对网约车服务的需求仍然存在。此外,随着疫情的消退和办公室的重新开放,移动业务将继续增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0a5ee8af7dd1261e2686a20efa4d3b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Covid Fears</b></p><p><blockquote><b>新冠恐惧</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Although pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.</p><p><blockquote>尽管疫情是快递业务成功的主要原因,但不断恶化的疫情很可能会损害我的看涨论点。移动业务是一个将引领盈利能力的业务部门,将受到严重损害;然而,与主流媒体的观点相反,我认为由于疫苗和公众情绪,这种情况不太可能发生。</blockquote></p><p> Pfizer(NYSE:PFE) on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞(纽约证券交易所股票代码:PFE)12月8日证实,他们的新冠疫苗对奥密克戎变种仍然有效。该公司表示,一项初步研究“表明,三剂[疫苗]可以中和奥密克戎变种,而两剂则显示中和滴度显着降低。”该公司的说法得到了奥密克戎或新冠疫情在许多欧洲国家爆发的支持,包括义大利、法、英等。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe98b474db7223afa7617f0cb8545e42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"413\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8849809f79a66a367009de9b31677d63\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/415cdc534da7dc5a6d6f9e754adf099e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Using France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>以法国为例,上面的第一张图显示了Covid病例呈指数级上升,而第二张图显示了死亡率在一定范围内。第三张图所示的疫苗接种率支持了辉瑞关于其疫苗功效的说法,因为虽然感染率在上升,但疫苗导致的死亡人数有限。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.</p><p><blockquote>此外,公众对更多封锁和极端限制的不满很可能会使优步的移动业务部门比之前的疫情爆发更具弹性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials and Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Uber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的资产负债表和估值都很棒。根据Uber的季度报告,Uber报告收入同比增长72%,达到48亿美元,调整后EBITDA为800万美元。经过多年的亏损后,快递业务达到了接近盈亏平衡的水平,调整后EBITDA利润率为-0.1%。此外,该公司的移动或移动业务调整后EBITDA利润率为5.5%,与大流行前的利润率持平。总体而言,公司业务的持续改善导致亏损减少和资产负债表更加强劲。优步拥有约56亿美元现金和约330亿美元总资产,而总负债约为200亿美元,总资产负债率(L/A)约为60%。总而言之,我相信在没有重大变化的情况下,Uber的资产负债表足以维持公司的运营。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times price to sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.</p><p><blockquote>Uber的估值略高。仍未盈利的Uber的市销率约为4.7倍,远期市销率约为3倍。与其他公司相比,这些数字似乎很小,但由于Uber的利润率扩张值得怀疑,我想说Uber目前的估值略高。然而,随着该业务在不久的将来实现盈利,我认为优步略高的估值对于一些投资者来说可能是可以控制的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Investing in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.</p><p><blockquote>投资优步会带来重大风险,包括稀释风险和宏观经济风险。Uber过去几年一直极度无利可图,导致大规模稀释。Uber的流通股在2018年上涨了12.35%,2019年上涨了160.62%,2020年上涨了40.42%,2021年迄今上涨了8.2%。因此,为了维持公司的运营,Uber不断稀释现有股东。因此,实现盈利的任何障碍都可能导致未来更多的稀释。此外,Uber如今财务状况良好的原因是大规模稀释。此外,优步无法控制的宏观经济风险可能会影响该公司。通胀已经处于历史高位,可能会继续保持在这些水平,导致美联储更快地缩减和加息。因此,由于Uber仍未盈利,提高费率很可能会对公司产生负面影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> No one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.</p><p><blockquote>没有人确切知道Uber是否会从丑小鸭绽放成美丽的天鹅,但今天,我开始谨慎看好Uber。疫情最终使公司的整体运营受益,导致配送业务蓬勃发展,这有助于优步实现单位经济效益。此外,随着消费者适应更便捷的生活方式,快递业务预计将扩大。对于移动业务来说,损失惨重;然而,正如Uber所展示的那样,随着经济重新开放,移动业务正在强劲复苏至2019年的水平。因此,随着Uber试图扭转业务,我相信投资者应该值得考虑投资Uber。毕竟,Uber可能会绽放成一只美丽的天鹅。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475598-uber-ugly-duckling-is-growing-up\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UBER":"优步"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475598-uber-ugly-duckling-is-growing-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108936663","content_text":"Summary\n\nUber's delivery business is booming and expanding resulting in the company leveraging economies of scale to reach profitability.\nMobility business is fast recovering from the pandemic as the economies reopen.\nFuture lockdowns and covid restrictions that were seen before are not likely.\nTherefore, Uber may be the ugly duckling waiting to become a swan.\n\nMOZCO Mateusz Szymanski/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nIntroduction and Thesis\nI am starting to believe that Uber's(NYSE:UBER)story is unfolding like the story of the ugly duckling. In the early days of going public, Uber suffered ignorance and unfavorable views from the investing community just like the ugly duckling, but today, I believe Uber is just around the corner from blossoming into a beautiful and successful swan.\nUber's business is turning around as the underlying trend forms in favor of the company. From the depths of the pandemic to the pace of recovery seen today, the world changed for good, at least for Uber. One of those changes is food delivery. During the pandemic, consumers could not comfortably leave their houses and dine out resulting in those consumers turning to food delivery permanently growing a business that has been the primary reason for Uber's continuous losses. Thus, as the trend of food delivery continues to grow from the pandemic, Uber's business through economies of scale has been enjoying the favorable trend, and I believe that the convenience of food delivery will allow permanent penetration of delivery in our daily lives. Further, as mobility recovers as well from the pandemic in all aspects, Uber is likely to report a profitable 2022 fiscal year. Although there are risks of dilution,Covid and macroeconomic risks, I believe now is finally the time to consider investing in the ugly duckling.\nFavorable Trend\nPandemic brought devastation across nearly all industries and aspects of our lives; however, for Uber, I believe pandemic turned out to be beneficial for the company. Uber's major businesses are delivery and mobility. Before the pandemic, while the mobility business was starting to report positive adjusted EBTIDA, the delivery business continued to struggle. The market was relatively smaller and competitive leading to Uber spending immense amounts of capital on sales, marketing, and development. Even worse, the economies of scale were not seen at the time. However, times have changed for the delivery business. First, the food delivery industry exploded in popularity. For example, Uber's delivery business grew almost 3 fold from 2019Q4. This massive growth in the industry allowed Uber to leverage economies of scale leading to improving bottom lines. Further, the adaption of the delivery culture in the daily lives of the people allowed Uber to expand its business to more than delivering foods. The company is currently delivering groceries, Christmas trees, and even alcoholic beverages. Therefore, as the market continues to mature, Uber can leverage economies of scale to turn around its loss-leading delivery business into a profitable giant.\nSome critics may argue that delivery was only successful because consumers were not comfortable going outside during the pandemic. I would like to argue otherwise. A pandemic may have been the driving factor behind the adaption of the delivery service by the public; however, convenience was what is and will sustain this business model. Through innovation seen in the past decades, we have seen how much consumers care about convenience through the rise of Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms(NASDAQ:FB), and Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL). Why socialize digitally when you can meet others physically? Why order packages online and wait days when you can simply go buy that product today? Why use smartphones when you already had mobile phones? Consumers will never go back to the more inconvenient way of life.\nUnlike the delivery business, the mobility business was damaged by the pandemic, but it is expected that the mobility business will return to 2019 levels as the impact of the pandemic wanes. As the picture below shows, the mobility business in the world's biggest cities has almost returned to normalcy after the lockdown showing that the demand for ride-hailing services is still present. Further, as pandemic subsides and offices re-open, the mobility business will continue to grow.\n\nCovid Fears\nAlthough pandemic was the leading cause of the delivery business success, a worsening pandemic will most likely damage my bullish thesis. A mobility business, a business segment set to lead profitability, will be heavily damaged; however, contrary to the mainstream media's opinion, I believe this scenario is unlikely to unfold due to vaccines and public sentiments.\nPfizer(NYSE:PFE) on December 8th confirmed that theirCovid vaccines are still effective against the Omicron variant. The company said that a preliminary study \"demonstrates that three doses [of the vaccines] neutralize the Omicron variant while two doses show significantly reduced neutralization titers.\" The company's claims are backed by Omicron orCovid outbreak unfolding in many European nations including Italy, France, the UK, and more.\n\nUsing France as an example, the first picture above shows theCovid cases rising exponentially while the second picture shows the death rate is range-bound. The vaccination rate, shown in the third picture, backs up Pfizer's claim regarding the efficacy of its vaccines because while infections are rising, fatalities are limited due to the vaccines.\nFurther, the public's resent for more lockdowns and extreme restrictions are most likely to make Uber's mobility segment of the business more resilient than previous outbreaks.\nFinancials and Valuation\nUber's balance sheet along with valuation is great. According to Uber's quarterly report, Uber reported revenue growth of 72% year-over-year to $4.8 billion dollars with $8 million positive adjusted EBITDA. After years of losses, the delivery businesses reached a near breakeven level to -0.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Further, the company's mobility or mobility business had a 5.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, which was on par with the pre-pandemic margins. Overall, the continual improvement of the company's business is resulting in decreasing losses and a stronger balance sheet. Uber has about $5.6 billion in cash and about $33 billion in total assets while the total liabilities were about $20 billion bringing total liability to asset ratio (L/A) to about 60%. All in all, I believe Uber's balance sheet is strong enough to sustain the company's operation given no major changes.\nThe valuation of Uber is slightly high. Uber, still unprofitable, trades at about 4.7 times price to sales ratio and about 3 times the forward price to sales ratio. These numbers may seem minimal in comparison with other companies, but because the margin expansion for Uber is questionable, I would say that Uber's valuation today is slightly high. However, as the business turns to reach profitability in the near future, I think the slightly high valuation seen in Uber may be manageable for some investors.\nRisks\nInvesting in Uber comes with significant risks including dilution risks and macroeconomic risks. Uber has been extremely unprofitable for the past years resulting in massive dilution.Uber's outstanding shares increased 12.35% in 2018, 160.62% in 2019, 40.42% in 2020, and 8.2% to date in 2021. As such, to maintain the company's operations, Uber continuously diluted its existing shareholders. Thus, any hurdles to reaching profitability may result in even more dilution in the future. Also, the reason for Uber's financial health today is because of the massive dilution. Further, macroeconomic risks beyond Uber's control may impact the company. Inflation is already at historical highs, and it may continue to stay at these levels resulting in an even faster pace of tapering and rising rates by the Federal Reserve. Therefore, because Uber is still not profitable, raising rates will most likely affect the company negatively.\nSummary\nNo one knows for sure if Uber will blossom into a beautiful swan from an ugly duckling, but today, I am starting to be cautiously bullish on Uber. Pandemic ultimately benefited the company's overall operations leading to a boom in the delivery business, which aided in Uber reaching unit economics. Further, the delivery business is expected to expand as consumers adapt to a more convenient way of life. For the mobility business, there were significant damages; however, as Uber has shown, the mobility business is strongly recovering to 2019 levels as the economies reopen. Therefore, as Uber attempts to turn around its business, I believe investors should worth consider investing in Uber. After all, Uber may blossom into a beautiful swan.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBER":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603997814,"gmtCreate":1638349691893,"gmtModify":1638349692047,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603997814","repostId":"1104706908","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":390,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":873789930,"gmtCreate":1636987170955,"gmtModify":1636987193840,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873789930","repostId":"1166861637","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845933727,"gmtCreate":1636261244300,"gmtModify":1636261419581,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845933727","repostId":"2181074782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606653893,"gmtCreate":1638875920687,"gmtModify":1638876099266,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606653893","repostId":"1102192068","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600163070,"gmtCreate":1638093965891,"gmtModify":1638093965978,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600163070","repostId":"2186432895","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":877172079,"gmtCreate":1637905776622,"gmtModify":1637905776674,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877172079","repostId":"1140860026","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140860026","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637904477,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140860026?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-26 13:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the Stock Market Open Today? Here Are the Black Friday Hours.<blockquote>今天股市开市吗?这是黑色星期五的时间。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140860026","media":"Barrons","summary":"Fresh off Thanksgiving, many Americans may be looking for deals on Black Friday—with investors likel","content":"<p>Fresh off Thanksgiving, many Americans may be looking for deals on Black Friday—with investors likely planning to trade on U.S. exchanges. Here’s what you need to know before trying to make changes to your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>感恩节刚过,许多美国人可能会在黑色星期五寻找交易——投资者可能计划在美国交易所进行交易。在尝试更改您的投资组合之前,您需要了解以下内容。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is the Stock Market Closed on Black Friday?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>黑色星期五股市休市吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> No, the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will be open on Black Friday. But you’ll have to get your trades in early, because both close at 1 p.m. Eastern.</p><p><blockquote>不,纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将在黑色星期五开放。但您必须早点进行交易,因为两者都在下午1点收盘。东部。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. bond markets and U.S. over-the-counter markets will shut down at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote>美国债券市场和美国场外交易市场将于下午2点关闭。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are Foreign Stock Exchanges Open on Black Friday?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外国证券交易所在黑色星期五开放吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The Toronto Stock Exchange, the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, the London Stock Exchange, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange will all be open on Black Friday.</p><p><blockquote>多伦多证券交易所、法兰克福证券交易所、伦敦证券交易所、上海证券交易所都将在黑色星期五开市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Has the Stock Market Previously Performed on Black Friday?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市此前在黑色星期五的表现如何?</b></blockquote></p><p> From 2001 to 2020, the S&P 500‘s performance on Black Friday was mixed, finishing up just half of the time. The index gained more than 1% on three Black Fridays—in 2001, 2007, and 2012—while it slipped 1.7% on the “retail holiday” in 2009.</p><p><blockquote>从2001年到2020年,标普500在黑色星期五的表现好坏参半,只有一半的时间结束。该指数在2001年、2007年和2012年的三个黑色星期五上涨了1%以上,而在2009年的“零售假期”下跌了1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Does Black Friday Mean for Retailers?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>黑色星期五对零售商意味着什么?</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors have been optimistic in the leadup to the holiday season. Many retailers have had to learn how to leverage the pandemic for their physical stores—and they’ve seen increased bricks-and-mortar shopping.</p><p><blockquote>投资者在假期前一直持乐观态度。许多零售商不得不学习如何在他们的实体店中利用疫情——他们已经看到实体购物的增加。</blockquote></p><p> Last week, retail giant Walmart (ticker: WMT) reported third-quarter earnings and sales that beat Wall Street estimates, with the company raising its fiscal-year guidance. Home Depot(HD) also reported third-quarter earnings that beat earnings expectations, thanks to continued interest in home improvement amid a strong housing market.</p><p><blockquote>上周,零售巨头沃尔玛(股票代码:WMT)公布的第三季度收益和销售额超出了华尔街的预期,该公司上调了财年指引。家得宝(HD)也公布了超出预期的第三季度收益,这要归功于强劲的房地产市场对家居装修的持续兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Retail stocks have largely performed well so far this year: the SPDR S&P Retail exchange-traded fund (XRT) is up roughly 60%, while the S&P 500 has gained around 25%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD), which is evenly weighted so that price movements aren’t too swayed by any one stock,has climbed about 30%.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止,零售股基本上表现良好:SPDR S&P零售交易所交易基金(XRT)上涨了约60%,而标普500则上涨了约25%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品ETF(RCD)的权重均匀,因此价格变动不会受到任何一只股票的太大影响,该ETF已上涨约30%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is the Stock Market Open on Cyber Monday?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>网络星期一股市开放吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes. The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will return to normal trading hours and open at 9:30 a.m. Eastern on Nov. 29th, or Cyber Monday, when many retailers are planning to offer special discounts online.</p><p><blockquote>是的。纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将恢复正常交易时间,上午9:30开市。东部时间11月29日,即网络星期一,许多零售商计划在网上提供特别折扣。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. bond markets and U.S. over-the-counter markets will also resume regular hours of operation.</p><p><blockquote>美国债券市场和美国场外交易市场也将恢复正常营业时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the Stock Market Open Today? Here Are the Black Friday Hours.<blockquote>今天股市开市吗?这是黑色星期五的时间。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the Stock Market Open Today? Here Are the Black Friday Hours.<blockquote>今天股市开市吗?这是黑色星期五的时间。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-26 13:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Fresh off Thanksgiving, many Americans may be looking for deals on Black Friday—with investors likely planning to trade on U.S. exchanges. Here’s what you need to know before trying to make changes to your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>感恩节刚过,许多美国人可能会在黑色星期五寻找交易——投资者可能计划在美国交易所进行交易。在尝试更改您的投资组合之前,您需要了解以下内容。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is the Stock Market Closed on Black Friday?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>黑色星期五股市休市吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> No, the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will be open on Black Friday. But you’ll have to get your trades in early, because both close at 1 p.m. Eastern.</p><p><blockquote>不,纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将在黑色星期五开放。但您必须早点进行交易,因为两者都在下午1点收盘。东部。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. bond markets and U.S. over-the-counter markets will shut down at 2 p.m.</p><p><blockquote>美国债券市场和美国场外交易市场将于下午2点关闭。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are Foreign Stock Exchanges Open on Black Friday?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>外国证券交易所在黑色星期五开放吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The Toronto Stock Exchange, the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, the London Stock Exchange, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange will all be open on Black Friday.</p><p><blockquote>多伦多证券交易所、法兰克福证券交易所、伦敦证券交易所、上海证券交易所都将在黑色星期五开市。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Has the Stock Market Previously Performed on Black Friday?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市此前在黑色星期五的表现如何?</b></blockquote></p><p> From 2001 to 2020, the S&P 500‘s performance on Black Friday was mixed, finishing up just half of the time. The index gained more than 1% on three Black Fridays—in 2001, 2007, and 2012—while it slipped 1.7% on the “retail holiday” in 2009.</p><p><blockquote>从2001年到2020年,标普500在黑色星期五的表现好坏参半,只有一半的时间结束。该指数在2001年、2007年和2012年的三个黑色星期五上涨了1%以上,而在2009年的“零售假期”下跌了1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Does Black Friday Mean for Retailers?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>黑色星期五对零售商意味着什么?</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors have been optimistic in the leadup to the holiday season. Many retailers have had to learn how to leverage the pandemic for their physical stores—and they’ve seen increased bricks-and-mortar shopping.</p><p><blockquote>投资者在假期前一直持乐观态度。许多零售商不得不学习如何在他们的实体店中利用疫情——他们已经看到实体购物的增加。</blockquote></p><p> Last week, retail giant Walmart (ticker: WMT) reported third-quarter earnings and sales that beat Wall Street estimates, with the company raising its fiscal-year guidance. Home Depot(HD) also reported third-quarter earnings that beat earnings expectations, thanks to continued interest in home improvement amid a strong housing market.</p><p><blockquote>上周,零售巨头沃尔玛(股票代码:WMT)公布的第三季度收益和销售额超出了华尔街的预期,该公司上调了财年指引。家得宝(HD)也公布了超出预期的第三季度收益,这要归功于强劲的房地产市场对家居装修的持续兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> Retail stocks have largely performed well so far this year: the SPDR S&P Retail exchange-traded fund (XRT) is up roughly 60%, while the S&P 500 has gained around 25%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD), which is evenly weighted so that price movements aren’t too swayed by any one stock,has climbed about 30%.</p><p><blockquote>今年迄今为止,零售股基本上表现良好:SPDR S&P零售交易所交易基金(XRT)上涨了约60%,而标普500则上涨了约25%。景顺标普500等权重非必需消费品ETF(RCD)的权重均匀,因此价格变动不会受到任何一只股票的太大影响,该ETF已上涨约30%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is the Stock Market Open on Cyber Monday?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>网络星期一股市开放吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes. The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will return to normal trading hours and open at 9:30 a.m. Eastern on Nov. 29th, or Cyber Monday, when many retailers are planning to offer special discounts online.</p><p><blockquote>是的。纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将恢复正常交易时间,上午9:30开市。东部时间11月29日,即网络星期一,许多零售商计划在网上提供特别折扣。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. bond markets and U.S. over-the-counter markets will also resume regular hours of operation.</p><p><blockquote>美国债券市场和美国场外交易市场也将恢复正常营业时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-hours-black-friday-cyber-monday-51637782967?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-hours-black-friday-cyber-monday-51637782967?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140860026","content_text":"Fresh off Thanksgiving, many Americans may be looking for deals on Black Friday—with investors likely planning to trade on U.S. exchanges. Here’s what you need to know before trying to make changes to your portfolio.\nIs the Stock Market Closed on Black Friday?\nNo, the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will be open on Black Friday. But you’ll have to get your trades in early, because both close at 1 p.m. Eastern.\nU.S. bond markets and U.S. over-the-counter markets will shut down at 2 p.m.\nAre Foreign Stock Exchanges Open on Black Friday?\nThe Toronto Stock Exchange, the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, the London Stock Exchange, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange will all be open on Black Friday.\nHow Has the Stock Market Previously Performed on Black Friday?\nFrom 2001 to 2020, the S&P 500‘s performance on Black Friday was mixed, finishing up just half of the time. The index gained more than 1% on three Black Fridays—in 2001, 2007, and 2012—while it slipped 1.7% on the “retail holiday” in 2009.\nWhat Does Black Friday Mean for Retailers?\nInvestors have been optimistic in the leadup to the holiday season. Many retailers have had to learn how to leverage the pandemic for their physical stores—and they’ve seen increased bricks-and-mortar shopping.\nLast week, retail giant Walmart (ticker: WMT) reported third-quarter earnings and sales that beat Wall Street estimates, with the company raising its fiscal-year guidance. Home Depot(HD) also reported third-quarter earnings that beat earnings expectations, thanks to continued interest in home improvement amid a strong housing market.\nRetail stocks have largely performed well so far this year: the SPDR S&P Retail exchange-traded fund (XRT) is up roughly 60%, while the S&P 500 has gained around 25%. The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD), which is evenly weighted so that price movements aren’t too swayed by any one stock,has climbed about 30%.\nIs the Stock Market Open on Cyber Monday?\nYes. The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will return to normal trading hours and open at 9:30 a.m. Eastern on Nov. 29th, or Cyber Monday, when many retailers are planning to offer special discounts online.\nU.S. bond markets and U.S. over-the-counter markets will also resume regular hours of operation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879178525,"gmtCreate":1636696713939,"gmtModify":1636696714117,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879178525","repostId":"1104158261","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693797249,"gmtCreate":1640075977965,"gmtModify":1640075978113,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693797249","repostId":"1149192768","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149192768","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640075659,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149192768?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 16:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Amazon Takes Customers From Walmart, Target, and Costco<blockquote>亚马逊如何吸引沃尔玛、塔吉特和好市多的顾客</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149192768","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Major retailers including Walmart(WMT) and Target(TGT) have substantial opportunities to grow the sa","content":"<p>Major retailers including Walmart(<b>WMT</b>) and Target(<b>TGT</b>) have substantial opportunities to grow the sales if they could stop customers from showrooming, according to a new reportfrom Numerator.</p><p><blockquote>主要零售商包括沃尔玛(<b>WMT</b>)和目标(<b>TGT</b>根据Numerator的一份新报告,如果他们能够阻止客户进入展厅,他们就有很大的机会增加销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Showrooming is the practice of consumers visiting a brick-and-mortar retailer to look at an item before then buying it online.</p><p><blockquote>陈列室是消费者在网上购买之前先去实体零售商那里看一件商品的做法。</blockquote></p><p> The study examined \"individuals who shopped in-store at a brick-and-mortar location and then supplemented with an Amazon order within the same day or the day immediately following,\" according to the report. The research was done using the first nine months of 2021 to avoid any \"holiday-specific shopping swings.\"</p><p><blockquote>报告称,这项研究调查了“在实体店购物,然后在当天或第二天内补充亚马逊订单的个人”。这项研究是在2021年前9个月进行的,以避免任何“特定假期的购物波动”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Huge Opportunities for Walmart and Target</b></p><p><blockquote><b>沃尔玛和塔吉特的巨大机遇</b></blockquote></p><p> Showrooming not only means a loss of sales, it can also be a drain on resources. If for example, a customer ties up a Target associate asking questions about a big-ticket electronic item they then buy on Amazon, that's time the employee could have spent with another customer.</p><p><blockquote>陈列室不仅意味着销售损失,还会消耗资源。例如,如果一名客户联系了一名目标员工,询问他们随后在亚马逊上购买的大件电子产品的问题,那么该员工本可以与另一名客户共度时光。</blockquote></p><p> \"Each retailer analyzed has the opportunity for increased dollar sales if they capture these 'within-a-day' purchases while consumers are still in their store,\" the study found. Roughly three-quarters of all customers for the other three retailers also shop with Amazon (76% of Walmart shoppers, 77% of Target shoppers, 75% of Costco shoppers).</p><p><blockquote>研究发现:“如果每家被分析的零售商在消费者仍在商店时抓住这些‘一天之内’的购买,他们就有机会增加美元销售额。”其他三家零售商大约四分之三的顾客也在亚马逊购物(76%的沃尔玛购物者、77%的塔吉特购物者、75%的好市多购物者)。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart customers are the most likely to also make an Amazon purchase within 24 hours of visiting one of the brick-and-mortar chain's physical stores. Just over half (53%) of Walmart shoppers bought something on Amazon within a day of shopping in-store at Walmart while only 38% of Costco and Target customers did that.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的顾客也最有可能在参观实体连锁店的实体店后24小时内从亚马逊购物。超过一半(53%)的沃尔玛购物者在沃尔玛店内购物后的一天内就在亚马逊上购买了一些东西,而只有38%的好市多和塔吉特顾客这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Target, however, had the largest opportunity to capture sales lost to Amazon with a 24-hour period having had the customer in its store. \"By preventing leaked same-day trips to Amazon, Target has the potential to capture 10.3% in incremental sales, followed by Walmart (+7.2%) and Costco (+4.7%),\" the report showed.</p><p><blockquote>然而,塔吉特在顾客进入其商店的24小时内,最有机会弥补输给亚马逊的销售额。报告显示:“通过防止亚马逊当天行程被泄露,塔吉特有可能获得10.3%的增量销售额,其次是沃尔玛(+7.2%)和好市多(+4.7%)。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee9debb06b1c85aae26193b4e0f8541\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Driving Customers to Amazon?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么驱使顾客来到亚马逊?</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers had a number of different reasons for ordering items from Amazon despite having recently been inside a Walmart, Target, or Costco. These include:</p><p><blockquote>尽管消费者最近去过沃尔玛、塔吉特或好市多,但他们从亚马逊订购商品有许多不同的原因。其中包括:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>30% of Walmart shoppers and 24% of Target shoppers ordered from Amazon because the product they wanted was not available in the store they visited.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>30%的沃尔玛购物者和24%的塔吉特购物者从亚马逊订购,因为他们想要的产品在他们访问的商店中没有。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>About a third (30%) of both Target and Walmart shoppers cited \"ease of delivery\" as to why they ordered from Amazon despite being in a physical store.</p><p><blockquote><li>大约三分之一(30%)的塔吉特和沃尔玛购物者将“送货方便”作为他们尽管在实体店却从亚马逊订购的原因。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Lower prices on Amazon was the reason named by 22% of Walmart shoppers and 20% of Target shoppers.</p><p><blockquote><li>22%的沃尔玛购物者和20%的塔吉特购物者认为亚马逊价格较低是原因。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> \"Nearly 2-in-5 consumers (39%) said Walmart should focus on product availability, 14 points higher than those who said the same for Target (25%),\" Numerator reported.\" \"Offering lower prices was the top recommendation from Target shoppers (39%), compared to 36% of Walmart shoppers. Improving the in-store experience represented the largest gap (21 points) between Walmart and Target shoppers, with nearly 1 in 3 Walmart shoppers (28%) making this request, compared to 7% of Target shoppers.</p><p><blockquote>Numerator报道称:“近五分之二(39%)的消费者表示,沃尔玛应该关注产品供应,比塔吉特百货(25%)的受访者高出14个百分点。”“提供更低的价格是Target购物者(39%)的首要建议,而沃尔玛购物者的这一比例为36%。改善店内体验是沃尔玛和Target购物者之间的最大差距(21分),近三分之一的沃尔玛购物者(28%)提出了这一要求,而Target购物者的这一比例为7%。</blockquote></p><p> Numerator surveyed more than 1,000 verified Target and Walmart customers who made a following verified Amazon purchase to create the report.</p><p><blockquote>Numerator调查了1000多名经过验证的Target和Walmart客户,这些客户在亚马逊上进行了以下经过验证的购买,以创建这份报告。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Amazon Takes Customers From Walmart, Target, and Costco<blockquote>亚马逊如何吸引沃尔玛、塔吉特和好市多的顾客</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Amazon Takes Customers From Walmart, Target, and Costco<blockquote>亚马逊如何吸引沃尔玛、塔吉特和好市多的顾客</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-21 16:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Major retailers including Walmart(<b>WMT</b>) and Target(<b>TGT</b>) have substantial opportunities to grow the sales if they could stop customers from showrooming, according to a new reportfrom Numerator.</p><p><blockquote>主要零售商包括沃尔玛(<b>WMT</b>)和目标(<b>TGT</b>根据Numerator的一份新报告,如果他们能够阻止客户进入展厅,他们就有很大的机会增加销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Showrooming is the practice of consumers visiting a brick-and-mortar retailer to look at an item before then buying it online.</p><p><blockquote>陈列室是消费者在网上购买之前先去实体零售商那里看一件商品的做法。</blockquote></p><p> The study examined \"individuals who shopped in-store at a brick-and-mortar location and then supplemented with an Amazon order within the same day or the day immediately following,\" according to the report. The research was done using the first nine months of 2021 to avoid any \"holiday-specific shopping swings.\"</p><p><blockquote>报告称,这项研究调查了“在实体店购物,然后在当天或第二天内补充亚马逊订单的个人”。这项研究是在2021年前9个月进行的,以避免任何“特定假期的购物波动”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Huge Opportunities for Walmart and Target</b></p><p><blockquote><b>沃尔玛和塔吉特的巨大机遇</b></blockquote></p><p> Showrooming not only means a loss of sales, it can also be a drain on resources. If for example, a customer ties up a Target associate asking questions about a big-ticket electronic item they then buy on Amazon, that's time the employee could have spent with another customer.</p><p><blockquote>陈列室不仅意味着销售损失,还会消耗资源。例如,如果一名客户联系了一名目标员工,询问他们随后在亚马逊上购买的大件电子产品的问题,那么该员工本可以与另一名客户共度时光。</blockquote></p><p> \"Each retailer analyzed has the opportunity for increased dollar sales if they capture these 'within-a-day' purchases while consumers are still in their store,\" the study found. Roughly three-quarters of all customers for the other three retailers also shop with Amazon (76% of Walmart shoppers, 77% of Target shoppers, 75% of Costco shoppers).</p><p><blockquote>研究发现:“如果每家被分析的零售商在消费者仍在商店时抓住这些‘一天之内’的购买,他们就有机会增加美元销售额。”其他三家零售商大约四分之三的顾客也在亚马逊购物(76%的沃尔玛购物者、77%的塔吉特购物者、75%的好市多购物者)。</blockquote></p><p> Walmart customers are the most likely to also make an Amazon purchase within 24 hours of visiting one of the brick-and-mortar chain's physical stores. Just over half (53%) of Walmart shoppers bought something on Amazon within a day of shopping in-store at Walmart while only 38% of Costco and Target customers did that.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔玛的顾客也最有可能在参观实体连锁店的实体店后24小时内从亚马逊购物。超过一半(53%)的沃尔玛购物者在沃尔玛店内购物后的一天内就在亚马逊上购买了一些东西,而只有38%的好市多和塔吉特顾客这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Target, however, had the largest opportunity to capture sales lost to Amazon with a 24-hour period having had the customer in its store. \"By preventing leaked same-day trips to Amazon, Target has the potential to capture 10.3% in incremental sales, followed by Walmart (+7.2%) and Costco (+4.7%),\" the report showed.</p><p><blockquote>然而,塔吉特在顾客进入其商店的24小时内,最有机会弥补输给亚马逊的销售额。报告显示:“通过防止亚马逊当天行程被泄露,塔吉特有可能获得10.3%的增量销售额,其次是沃尔玛(+7.2%)和好市多(+4.7%)。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bee9debb06b1c85aae26193b4e0f8541\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>What's Driving Customers to Amazon?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么驱使顾客来到亚马逊?</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers had a number of different reasons for ordering items from Amazon despite having recently been inside a Walmart, Target, or Costco. These include:</p><p><blockquote>尽管消费者最近去过沃尔玛、塔吉特或好市多,但他们从亚马逊订购商品有许多不同的原因。其中包括:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>30% of Walmart shoppers and 24% of Target shoppers ordered from Amazon because the product they wanted was not available in the store they visited.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>30%的沃尔玛购物者和24%的塔吉特购物者从亚马逊订购,因为他们想要的产品在他们访问的商店中没有。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>About a third (30%) of both Target and Walmart shoppers cited \"ease of delivery\" as to why they ordered from Amazon despite being in a physical store.</p><p><blockquote><li>大约三分之一(30%)的塔吉特和沃尔玛购物者将“送货方便”作为他们尽管在实体店却从亚马逊订购的原因。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li>Lower prices on Amazon was the reason named by 22% of Walmart shoppers and 20% of Target shoppers.</p><p><blockquote><li>22%的沃尔玛购物者和20%的塔吉特购物者认为亚马逊价格较低是原因。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> \"Nearly 2-in-5 consumers (39%) said Walmart should focus on product availability, 14 points higher than those who said the same for Target (25%),\" Numerator reported.\" \"Offering lower prices was the top recommendation from Target shoppers (39%), compared to 36% of Walmart shoppers. Improving the in-store experience represented the largest gap (21 points) between Walmart and Target shoppers, with nearly 1 in 3 Walmart shoppers (28%) making this request, compared to 7% of Target shoppers.</p><p><blockquote>Numerator报道称:“近五分之二(39%)的消费者表示,沃尔玛应该关注产品供应,比塔吉特百货(25%)的受访者高出14个百分点。”“提供更低的价格是Target购物者(39%)的首要建议,而沃尔玛购物者的这一比例为36%。改善店内体验是沃尔玛和Target购物者之间的最大差距(21分),近三分之一的沃尔玛购物者(28%)提出了这一要求,而Target购物者的这一比例为7%。</blockquote></p><p> Numerator surveyed more than 1,000 verified Target and Walmart customers who made a following verified Amazon purchase to create the report.</p><p><blockquote>Numerator调查了1000多名经过验证的Target和Walmart客户,这些客户在亚马逊上进行了以下经过验证的购买,以创建这份报告。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/how-amazon-takes-customers-from-walmart-target-and-costco\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","COST":"好市多","TGT":"塔吉特","WMT":"沃尔玛"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/how-amazon-takes-customers-from-walmart-target-and-costco","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149192768","content_text":"Major retailers including Walmart(WMT) and Target(TGT) have substantial opportunities to grow the sales if they could stop customers from showrooming, according to a new reportfrom Numerator.\nShowrooming is the practice of consumers visiting a brick-and-mortar retailer to look at an item before then buying it online.\nThe study examined \"individuals who shopped in-store at a brick-and-mortar location and then supplemented with an Amazon order within the same day or the day immediately following,\" according to the report. The research was done using the first nine months of 2021 to avoid any \"holiday-specific shopping swings.\"\nHuge Opportunities for Walmart and Target\nShowrooming not only means a loss of sales, it can also be a drain on resources. If for example, a customer ties up a Target associate asking questions about a big-ticket electronic item they then buy on Amazon, that's time the employee could have spent with another customer.\n\"Each retailer analyzed has the opportunity for increased dollar sales if they capture these 'within-a-day' purchases while consumers are still in their store,\" the study found. Roughly three-quarters of all customers for the other three retailers also shop with Amazon (76% of Walmart shoppers, 77% of Target shoppers, 75% of Costco shoppers).\nWalmart customers are the most likely to also make an Amazon purchase within 24 hours of visiting one of the brick-and-mortar chain's physical stores. Just over half (53%) of Walmart shoppers bought something on Amazon within a day of shopping in-store at Walmart while only 38% of Costco and Target customers did that.\nTarget, however, had the largest opportunity to capture sales lost to Amazon with a 24-hour period having had the customer in its store. \"By preventing leaked same-day trips to Amazon, Target has the potential to capture 10.3% in incremental sales, followed by Walmart (+7.2%) and Costco (+4.7%),\" the report showed.\n\nWhat's Driving Customers to Amazon?\nConsumers had a number of different reasons for ordering items from Amazon despite having recently been inside a Walmart, Target, or Costco. These include:\n\n30% of Walmart shoppers and 24% of Target shoppers ordered from Amazon because the product they wanted was not available in the store they visited.\nAbout a third (30%) of both Target and Walmart shoppers cited \"ease of delivery\" as to why they ordered from Amazon despite being in a physical store.\nLower prices on Amazon was the reason named by 22% of Walmart shoppers and 20% of Target shoppers.\n\n\"Nearly 2-in-5 consumers (39%) said Walmart should focus on product availability, 14 points higher than those who said the same for Target (25%),\" Numerator reported.\" \"Offering lower prices was the top recommendation from Target shoppers (39%), compared to 36% of Walmart shoppers. Improving the in-store experience represented the largest gap (21 points) between Walmart and Target shoppers, with nearly 1 in 3 Walmart shoppers (28%) making this request, compared to 7% of Target shoppers.\nNumerator surveyed more than 1,000 verified Target and Walmart customers who made a following verified Amazon purchase to create the report.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TGT":0.9,"COST":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"WMT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602536237,"gmtCreate":1639039485895,"gmtModify":1639039486028,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602536237","repostId":"2190503698","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2190503698","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1639038865,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2190503698?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 16:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”:华尔街分析师对2022年美国股市的看法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2190503698","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve an","content":"<p>'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Lisa Shalett</p><p><blockquote>“2022年将是关键的一年,全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决,商业周期从极端情况正常化,”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>丽莎·沙莱特</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71e96005daaaf18cef4eb11fc31ef1c7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根大通策略师表示,“略微收紧的货币政策”应该会成为2022年市场的阻力</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者开始应对疫情下货币政策的拐点,近期市场波动性飙升可能预示着2022年美国股市将更加坎坷。</blockquote></p><p> \"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团美国消费者财富管理部门投资策略主管肖恩·斯奈德(Shawn Snyder)在接受电话采访时表示:“美联储可能收紧政策,波动性可能会加剧。”他在谈到冠状病毒的新变种时表示,“奥密克戎给2022年的前景带来了一些麻烦”,尽管投资者似乎对一些早期迹象感到鼓舞,这些迹象表明它可能没有最初担心的那么危险。</blockquote></p><p> The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在11月底跃升,即使自上周以来有所回落,仍高于200日移动均线。数据显示,VIX上周自2021年第一季度以来首次突破30,原因是市场对奥密克戎的出现以及美联储可能以比投资者更快的速度从市场上取消部分宽松政策感到不安。预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司经济学家兼投资组合策略总监劳伦·古德温在接受电话采访时表示:“这是一个重大转变,给投资者带来了紧张局势。”她表示,美联储看起来将为明年的潜在加息提供更大的灵活性,通胀压力的增加可能意味着2022年的加息幅度将超过目前的预期,从而产生更多的市场风险。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者担心,如果美联储通过加息大幅收紧货币政策,对利率敏感的成长股和科技股将特别脆弱。FactSet的数据显示,在2021年截至周二上涨近25%后,标普500指数有望连续第三年强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)首席全球投资策略师杰弗里·克莱因托普(Jeffrey Kleintop)在电话中对MarketWatch表示,明年美国股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅,“伴随着更高的波动性”。</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示,她还预计波动性会增加,包括在COVID-19危机期间为消费者提供直接支持的财政刺激措施的消退以及美联储在经济复苏中“放松油门”。她预计明年股市回报率将比2021年迄今为止的涨幅“低得多”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师周三在2022年展望报告中表示,“从现在到2022年上半年,股市的大部分上涨应该会实现,届时货币和财政政策的推动力将最强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街银行纷纷推出2022年标普500预测,高盛集团和摩根大通是最看好美股的银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛12月3日的投资组合策略研究报告,高盛预计2022年底标普500将达到5,100点。与此同时,摩根大通分析师在11月底的一份研究报告中预测,美股基准指数明年将升至5050点,部分原因是“强劲的盈利增长”和缓解供应链困境。根据德意志银行首席投资办公室的幻灯片演示,加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)预测的目标价与摩根大通(JPMorgan)相同,而德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)预测明年标普500将收于5,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,花旗集团10月底的一份研究报告显示,该银行将2022年底的标普500目标定为4,900人。巴克莱在本月的一份美国股票策略报告中预测,该指数明年将收于4,800点,低于该水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师在12月2日的2022年展望报告中写道:“谨慎行事。”“我们认为明年股市的上涨空间有限,”他们表示。他们认为,“家庭和企业的现金储备应该支持温和的盈利增长,但持续的供应链困境、商品消费趋势逆转是关键的尾部风险。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师对标普500明年的目标价低于巴克莱,美国银行上个月的全球研究报告显示,该基准将于2022年底为4,600点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行股票和量化策略主管萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)在11月底关于美国股市前景的媒体吹风会上表示:“不幸的是,我们看到今天与2000年(科技泡沫顶峰)有很多相似之处。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Morgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利对明年的前景更加悲观,导致标普500低于该指数周二收盘价4,686.75点。该银行财富管理部门周一发布的一份报告显示,即使盈利预期增长,2022年底标普500的基本预测仍为4,400。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley Wealth Management首席投资官Lisa Shalett在报告中表示:“我们预计标普500将区间震荡,扣除通胀因素后,债券回报率将为负。”“应该减少固定收益,为更多地投资实物资产和绝对回报基金提供资金。”</blockquote></p><p> The core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示,大摩对标普500“谨慎”观点的核心是基于市盈率通常在“周期中期过渡”期间压缩。她在报告中指出了一张图表,显示“股票中位数已经经历了周期中期的转变。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641e64a82babbbd377cb43247c437118\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根士丹利财富管理报告日期为12月。6, 2021</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.</p><p><blockquote>她的报告显示,“标普500股价中位数已从52周高点修正了15%”,但根据她的报告,该指数一直被目前占其市值40%的15家最大公司所保持高位。</blockquote></p><p> \"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示:“虽然它们可能是伟大的公司,但随着金融状况收紧、利率上升、就业成本增加以及通胀仍然具有挑战性,我们不太相信它们在2022年都会成为伟大的股票。”“我们认为前15名的利润率已经见顶。”</blockquote></p><p> In Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为,“这表明投资者应该转向选股,远离被动指数基金,”她的报告显示。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三的报告称,预计“国际股市、新兴市场和周期性市场领域将大幅跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师援引科技股丰富的纳斯达克综合指数写道:“造成这种情况的原因是我们对加息和小幅收紧货币政策的预期,这对纳斯达克等高市盈率市场来说应该是一个阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗的斯奈德告诉MarketWatch,在“中期”,他喜欢优质股票、“股息增长股”和全球医疗保健股票。他表示,持续的盈利增长和“合理的估值”使医疗保健具有吸引力,该领域的股票押注可以作为投资组合中的“波动抑制器”。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.</p><p><blockquote>美国iShares megatrend和国际ETF主管杰夫·斯皮格尔(Jeff Spiegel)表示,随着“一系列下一代肿瘤疗法即将获得批准,并实现更有针对性的癌症治疗”,免疫学是明年有望加速的三大趋势之一。FactSet数据显示,根据周三午盘交易,iShares Genomics免疫学和医疗保健ETF的股价今年上涨了约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Two other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>明镜周刊在本月的一份报告中写道,2022年另外两个值得关注的大趋势是通过云、5G和网络安全加剧的“数字化转型”,以及机器人和人工智能等“自动化技术”。他写道,自动化技术应该在大流行期间“应对持续的供应链瓶颈和工资上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)的克莱因托普(Kleintop)表示:“我认为明年我们实际上将面临供过于求的问题,而不是短缺。”“这将有助于压低通胀,特别是在明年下半年,不太可能采取激进的加息路径。”</blockquote></p><p> The market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行美洲首席信息官迪帕克·普里(Deepak Puri)在一次媒体吹风会上表示,在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)上周暗示可能会加快缩减每月资产购买规模后,市场预计美联储将在2022年加息三次。周一介绍了他对明年的展望。</blockquote></p><p> While the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.</p><p><blockquote>普里表示,尽管美联储可能会更加积极地缩减购债规模,可能会在3月份而不是6月份完成这一过程,但他预计美联储明年在利率问题上仍将“鸽派”。他表示,普里预测美联储明年只会加息一次,低于共识。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司的古德温表示:“我们预计明年将加息两次。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的Shalett在2022年展望报告中写道,“我们看到了经典的通货再平衡,名义利率和实际利率上升反映了平均增长率和通胀率上升。”她还预计,收益率曲线将变陡,利润率将因成本上升而受到挤压,“利率敏感行业”的市盈率将压缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在周三的报告中表示:“在美国,我们喜欢重新开放和通货再膨胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者。”报告显示,该行策略师预计,到明年年底,10年期国债收益率将升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师Marko Kolanovic表示:“我们的观点是,2022年将是全球全面复苏、全球大流行结束、恢复到COVID-19爆发前正常状况的一年。”该行全球研究联席主管侯赛因·马利克周三在报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> According to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示,“从大多数方面来看,2022年将是关键的一年,全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决,商业周期从极端情况正常化。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Proceed with caution': here's what Wall Street analysts see for the U.S. stock market in 2022<blockquote>“谨慎行事”:华尔街分析师对2022年美国股市的看法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-09 16:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Lisa Shalett</p><p><blockquote>“2022年将是关键的一年,全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决,商业周期从极端情况正常化,”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>丽莎·沙莱特</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71e96005daaaf18cef4eb11fc31ef1c7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根大通策略师表示,“略微收紧的货币政策”应该会成为2022年市场的阻力</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者开始应对疫情下货币政策的拐点,近期市场波动性飙升可能预示着2022年美国股市将更加坎坷。</blockquote></p><p> \"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团美国消费者财富管理部门投资策略主管肖恩·斯奈德(Shawn Snyder)在接受电话采访时表示:“美联储可能收紧政策,波动性可能会加剧。”他在谈到冠状病毒的新变种时表示,“奥密克戎给2022年的前景带来了一些麻烦”,尽管投资者似乎对一些早期迹象感到鼓舞,这些迹象表明它可能没有最初担心的那么危险。</blockquote></p><p> The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示,芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在11月底跃升,即使自上周以来有所回落,仍高于200日移动均线。数据显示,VIX上周自2021年第一季度以来首次突破30,原因是市场对奥密克戎的出现以及美联储可能以比投资者更快的速度从市场上取消部分宽松政策感到不安。预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司经济学家兼投资组合策略总监劳伦·古德温在接受电话采访时表示:“这是一个重大转变,给投资者带来了紧张局势。”她表示,美联储看起来将为明年的潜在加息提供更大的灵活性,通胀压力的增加可能意味着2022年的加息幅度将超过目前的预期,从而产生更多的市场风险。</blockquote></p><p> Some investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者担心,如果美联储通过加息大幅收紧货币政策,对利率敏感的成长股和科技股将特别脆弱。FactSet的数据显示,在2021年截至周二上涨近25%后,标普500指数有望连续第三年强劲上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)首席全球投资策略师杰弗里·克莱因托普(Jeffrey Kleintop)在电话中对MarketWatch表示,明年美国股市可能会出现更温和的涨幅,“伴随着更高的波动性”。</blockquote></p><p> Goodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>古德温表示,她还预计波动性会增加,包括在COVID-19危机期间为消费者提供直接支持的财政刺激措施的消退以及美联储在经济复苏中“放松油门”。她预计明年股市回报率将比2021年迄今为止的涨幅“低得多”。</blockquote></p><p> \"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师周三在2022年展望报告中表示,“从现在到2022年上半年,股市的大部分上涨应该会实现,届时货币和财政政策的推动力将最强劲”。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街银行纷纷推出2022年标普500预测,高盛集团和摩根大通是最看好美股的银行之一。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.</p><p><blockquote>根据高盛12月3日的投资组合策略研究报告,高盛预计2022年底标普500将达到5,100点。与此同时,摩根大通分析师在11月底的一份研究报告中预测,美股基准指数明年将升至5050点,部分原因是“强劲的盈利增长”和缓解供应链困境。根据德意志银行首席投资办公室的幻灯片演示,加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)预测的目标价与摩根大通(JPMorgan)相同,而德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)预测明年标普500将收于5,000点。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,花旗集团10月底的一份研究报告显示,该银行将2022年底的标普500目标定为4,900人。巴克莱在本月的一份美国股票策略报告中预测,该指数明年将收于4,800点,低于该水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"</p><p><blockquote>巴克莱分析师在12月2日的2022年展望报告中写道:“谨慎行事。”“我们认为明年股市的上涨空间有限,”他们表示。他们认为,“家庭和企业的现金储备应该支持温和的盈利增长,但持续的供应链困境、商品消费趋势逆转是关键的尾部风险。”</blockquote></p><p> Bank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行分析师对标普500明年的目标价低于巴克莱,美国银行上个月的全球研究报告显示,该基准将于2022年底为4,600点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行股票和量化策略主管萨维塔·萨勃拉曼尼亚(Savita Subramanian)在11月底关于美国股市前景的媒体吹风会上表示:“不幸的是,我们看到今天与2000年(科技泡沫顶峰)有很多相似之处。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Morgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利对明年的前景更加悲观,导致标普500低于该指数周二收盘价4,686.75点。该银行财富管理部门周一发布的一份报告显示,即使盈利预期增长,2022年底标普500的基本预测仍为4,400。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley Wealth Management首席投资官Lisa Shalett在报告中表示:“我们预计标普500将区间震荡,扣除通胀因素后,债券回报率将为负。”“应该减少固定收益,为更多地投资实物资产和绝对回报基金提供资金。”</blockquote></p><p> The core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示,大摩对标普500“谨慎”观点的核心是基于市盈率通常在“周期中期过渡”期间压缩。她在报告中指出了一张图表,显示“股票中位数已经经历了周期中期的转变。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/641e64a82babbbd377cb43247c437118\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摩根士丹利财富管理报告日期为12月。6, 2021</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.</p><p><blockquote>她的报告显示,“标普500股价中位数已从52周高点修正了15%”,但根据她的报告,该指数一直被目前占其市值40%的15家最大公司所保持高位。</blockquote></p><p> \"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示:“虽然它们可能是伟大的公司,但随着金融状况收紧、利率上升、就业成本增加以及通胀仍然具有挑战性,我们不太相信它们在2022年都会成为伟大的股票。”“我们认为前15名的利润率已经见顶。”</blockquote></p><p> In Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利认为,“这表明投资者应该转向选股,远离被动指数基金,”她的报告显示。</blockquote></p><p> JPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通周三的报告称,预计“国际股市、新兴市场和周期性市场领域将大幅跑赢大盘”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通策略师援引科技股丰富的纳斯达克综合指数写道:“造成这种情况的原因是我们对加息和小幅收紧货币政策的预期,这对纳斯达克等高市盈率市场来说应该是一个阻力。”</blockquote></p><p> Citi's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>花旗的斯奈德告诉MarketWatch,在“中期”,他喜欢优质股票、“股息增长股”和全球医疗保健股票。他表示,持续的盈利增长和“合理的估值”使医疗保健具有吸引力,该领域的股票押注可以作为投资组合中的“波动抑制器”。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.</p><p><blockquote>美国iShares megatrend和国际ETF主管杰夫·斯皮格尔(Jeff Spiegel)表示,随着“一系列下一代肿瘤疗法即将获得批准,并实现更有针对性的癌症治疗”,免疫学是明年有望加速的三大趋势之一。FactSet数据显示,根据周三午盘交易,iShares Genomics免疫学和医疗保健ETF的股价今年上涨了约0.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Two other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>明镜周刊在本月的一份报告中写道,2022年另外两个值得关注的大趋势是通过云、5G和网络安全加剧的“数字化转型”,以及机器人和人工智能等“自动化技术”。他写道,自动化技术应该在大流行期间“应对持续的供应链瓶颈和工资上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财(Charles Schwab)的克莱因托普(Kleintop)表示:“我认为明年我们实际上将面临供过于求的问题,而不是短缺。”“这将有助于压低通胀,特别是在明年下半年,不太可能采取激进的加息路径。”</blockquote></p><p> The market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行美洲首席信息官迪帕克·普里(Deepak Puri)在一次媒体吹风会上表示,在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)上周暗示可能会加快缩减每月资产购买规模后,市场预计美联储将在2022年加息三次。周一介绍了他对明年的展望。</blockquote></p><p> While the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.</p><p><blockquote>普里表示,尽管美联储可能会更加积极地缩减购债规模,可能会在3月份而不是6月份完成这一过程,但他预计美联储明年在利率问题上仍将“鸽派”。他表示,普里预测美联储明年只会加息一次,低于共识。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.</p><p><blockquote>纽约人寿投资公司的古德温表示:“我们预计明年将加息两次。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的Shalett在2022年展望报告中写道,“我们看到了经典的通货再平衡,名义利率和实际利率上升反映了平均增长率和通胀率上升。”她还预计,收益率曲线将变陡,利润率将因成本上升而受到挤压,“利率敏感行业”的市盈率将压缩。</blockquote></p><p> \"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通在周三的报告中表示:“在美国,我们喜欢重新开放和通货再膨胀主题以及债券收益率上升的受益者。”报告显示,该行策略师预计,到明年年底,10年期国债收益率将升至2.25%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席全球市场策略师Marko Kolanovic表示:“我们的观点是,2022年将是全球全面复苏、全球大流行结束、恢复到COVID-19爆发前正常状况的一年。”该行全球研究联席主管侯赛因·马利克周三在报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> According to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shalett表示,“从大多数方面来看,2022年将是关键的一年,全球大流行造成的失衡开始解决,商业周期从极端情况正常化。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/proceed-with-caution-heres-what-wall-street-analysts-see-for-the-u-s-stock-market-in-2022-11638986154?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","IDNA":"iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","MS":"摩根士丹利","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/proceed-with-caution-heres-what-wall-street-analysts-see-for-the-u-s-stock-market-in-2022-11638986154?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2190503698","content_text":"'2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes,' says Morgan Stanley's Lisa Shalett\n‘Marginally tighter monetary policy’ should be a headwind for markets in 2022, JPMorgan strategists say\nThe recent spike in market volatility may herald a bumpier U.S. stock market in 2022, as investors come to grips with an inflection point in monetary policy in the pandemic.\n\"There probably will be some elevated volatility around the potential tightening of Fed policy,\" said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citigroup's U.S. consumer wealth management division, in a phone interview. \"Omicron throws in a bit of a wrench\" to the 2022 outlook, he said of the new variant of the coronavirus, though investors have appeared encouraged by some early signs that it may be less dangerous than initially feared.\nThe CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, jumped in late November and remains above its 200-day moving average even after subsiding since last week, according to FactSet data. The VIX broke above 30 last week for the first time since the first quarter of 2021, the data show, amid market jitters over the emergence of omicron and the potential move by the Federal Reserve to remove some accommodation from the market faster than investors had anticipated.\n\"That's a big transition that creates tension for investors,\" said Lauren Goodwin, economist and director of portfolio strategy at New York Life Investment, in a phone interview. The Fed looks to be positioning for more flexibility for potential interest rate hikes next year, with increased inflationary pressure likely to mean more rate rises in 2022 than currently expected, creating more market risk, she said.\nSome investors worry that interest rate-sensitive growth and technology stocks would be particularly vulnerable should the Fed aggressively tighten its monetary policy through rate hikes. The S&P 500 index, which has a large exposure to tech, is on track for a third straight year of strong gains after rising almost 25% in 2021 through Tuesday, according to FactSet.\nThe U.S. stock market will probably deliver more modest gains \"accompanied by higher volatility\" next year, Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told MarketWatch by phone.\nGoodwin said she also expects increased volatility, amid transitions that include the fading of the fiscal stimulus that provided direct support to consumers during the COVID-19 crisis and the Fed taking its \"foot off the gas\" in the economic recovery. She expects \"much lower\" stock-market returns next year compared to gains so far in 2021.\n\"Most of the equity upside should be realized between now\" and the first half of 2022, \"when monetary and fiscal policy tailwinds will be strongest,\" JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists said in a 2022 outlook report Wednesday.\nWall Street banks have been rolling out their 2022 forecasts for the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan being among the most bullish on U.S. stocks.\nGoldman expects the S&P 500 will end 2022 at 5,100, according to a portfolio strategy research report from the bank dated Dec. 3. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts predicted in a research report at the end of November that the U.S. stock benchmark will rise next year to 5,050, partly on \"robust earnings growth\" and easing supply chain woes. RBC Capital Markets has forecast the same price target as JPMorgan, while Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will end next year at 5,000, according to a slide presentation from its chief investment office.\nMeanwhile, Citigroup set an S&P 500 target of 4,900 for the end of 2022, a research report from the bank in late October shows. Coming in below that level, Barclays predicted in a U.S. equity strategy report this month that the index will finish next year at 4,800.\n\"Proceed with caution,\" the Barclays analysts wrote in their 2022 outlook report dated Dec. 2. \"We see limited upside for equities next year,\" they said. In their view, \"household and corporate cash hoards should support modest earnings growth but persistent supply chain woes, reversal of goods consumption to trend are key tail risks.\"\nBank of America's analysts have a lower price target than Barclays for the S&P 500 next year, with a BofA Global Research report last month showing the benchmark will end 2022 at 4,600.\n\"Unfortunately we see a lot of similarities between today and 2000 -- the tech bubble peak,\" said Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy at BofA, during a late November media briefing on their U.S. stock market outlook.\nMorgan Stanley has a more bearish outlook for next year that puts the S&P 500 below the index's close Tuesday at 4,686.75. A report Monday from the bank's wealth management division shows a base-case forecast of 4,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2022 even with an expected gain in earnings.\n\"We expect the S&P 500 to be range-bound and volatile, and bond returns to be negative net of inflation,\" said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in the note. \"Fixed income should be reduced to fund greater exposure to real assets and to absolute return funds.\"\nThe core of Morgan Stanley's \"cautious\" view on the S&P 500 is based on price-to-earnings ratios typically compressing during \"a midcycle transition,\" Shalett said. She pointed to a chart in her note showing that \"median stock has traversed the midcycle transition.\"\nMORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT REPORT DATED DEC. 6, 2021\nThe chart shows \"the median S&P 500 stock has corrected 15% from its 52-week high,\" but the index has been kept aloft by the 15 largest companies now accounting for 40% of its market capitalization, according to her note.\n\"While they may be great companies, we are less convinced they will all be great stocks in 2022 as financial conditions tighten, interest rates rise, employment costs increase and inflation remains challenging,\" Shalett said. \"We think profit margins for the top 15 have peaked.\"\nIn Morgan Stanley's view, \"this suggests investors should move toward stock picking and away from passive index funds,\" her note shows.\nJPMorgan expects that \"international equities, emerging markets and cyclical market segments will significantly outperform,\" according to its report Wednesday.\n\"The reason for this is our expectation for increasing interest rates and marginally tighter monetary policy that should be a headwind for high-multiple markets such as the Nasdaq,\" the JPMorgan strategists wrote, citing the tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index .\nCiti's Snyder told MarketWatch that during \"midcycle\" he likes high-quality stocks, \"dividend-growers\" and global healthcare equities. Consistent earnings growth and \"reasonable valuations\" make healthcare attractive, he said, and stock bets in the area can serve as \"a volatility dampener\" in portfolios.\nImmunology is one of three megatrends poised to accelerate next year as \"a range of next-gen oncological therapeutics come up for approval and enable more targeted cancer treatment,\" according to Jeff Spiegel, head of U.S. iShares megatrend and international ETFs. Shares of the iShares Genomics Immunology and Healthcare ETF were up about 0.2% this year based on midday trading Wednesday, FactSet data show, at last check.\nTwo other megatrends to watch in 2022 are \"digital transformation\" intensifying through the cloud, 5G and cybersecurity, and \"automation technologies\" such as robotics and artificial intelligence, Spiegel wrote in a report this month. Automation technologies should grow \"in response to ongoing supply chain bottlenecks and wage inflation\" in the pandemic, he wrote.\n\"I think we'll actually be dealing with gluts next year rather than shortages,\" said Charles Schwab's Kleintop. \"That will help drive down inflation, particularly in the second half of next year, making an aggressive path of rate hikes unlikely.\"\nThe market is expecting three rate hikes by the U.S. central bank in 2022 after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled last week that it may speed up the tapering of its monthly asset purchases, said Deepak Puri, Deutsche Bank's CIO for the America, during a media briefing Monday on his outlook for next year.\nWhile the Fed may become more aggressive in tapering its bond purchases, potentially completing the process in March instead of June, said Puri, he expects the Fed will still be \"dovish\" on rates next year. Puri forecasts that the Fed will raise rates just once next year, which is below consensus, he said.\n\"We expect two rate hikes next year,\" said New York Life Investment's Goodwin.\nMorgan Stanley's Shalett wrote in her 2022 outlook note that \"we see a classic reflationary rebalancing in which higher nominal and real rates reflect higher average growth and inflation rates.\" She also expects yield curves will steepen, profit margins to be squeezed by rising costs, and price-to-earnings ratios to compress in \"rate-sensitive sectors.\"\n\"Within the U.S., we like reopening and reflationary themes and beneficiaries of higher bond yields,\" JPMorgan said in its report Wednesday. The bank's strategists expect the yield on the 10-year Treasury note will rise to 2.25% by the end of next year, the report shows.\n\"Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an end of the global pandemic, and a return to normal conditions we had prior to the COVID-19 outbreak,\" Marko Kolanovic, chief global markets strategist at JPMorgan, and the bank's global co-head of research Hussein Malik wrote in the report Wednesday.\nAccording to Shalett, \"on most counts, 2022 will be a critical year when the imbalances wrought by the global pandemic begin to resolve and the business cycle normalizes from extremes.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SSO":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"OEF":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"MS":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SH":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"END":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"IDNA":0.9,"UPRO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":776,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602384090,"gmtCreate":1638972890245,"gmtModify":1638972890338,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602384090","repostId":"1183863090","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183863090","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638968845,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183863090?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-08 21:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183863090","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. futures climbed for a third day after rising the most since March on Tuesday,as investors asses","content":"<p>U.S. futures climbed for a third day after rising the most since March on Tuesday,as investors assessed the uncertain effects of the Omicron variant on the economy.</p><p><blockquote>美国期货在周二创下3月以来最大涨幅后连续第三天攀升,因投资者评估奥密克戎变体对经济的不确定影响。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 48 points, or 0.13%.The S&P 500 e-minis were up 8 points, or 0.17%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 38.25 points, or 0.23%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00,道指e-minis上涨48点,涨幅0.13%。标普500 e-minis上涨8点,涨幅0.17%,纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨38.25点,涨幅0.23%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31985372e2ecc4486843a08080c6b077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets cheered news that BioNTech and Pfizer said that a three-shot course of their COVID-19 vaccine was shown to generate a neutralising effect against the new Omicron variant in a laboratory test.</p><p><blockquote>BioNTech和辉瑞表示,在实验室测试中,他们的COVID-19疫苗的三针疗程显示出对新的奥密克戎变种产生中和作用,市场对此欢呼雀跃。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Pfizer(PFE),BioNTech(BNTX)</b> – The companies said studies showed that three doses of their Covid-19 vaccine neutralized the omicron variant, while two doses still offered protection. Pfizer and BioNTech also said they’re continuing to work on an omicron-specific vaccine. Pfizer and BioNTech came well off earlier premarket lows on the news, with Pfizer up 0.7% and BioNTech trimming its loss to 1%.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞(PFE)、BioNTech(BNTX)</b>-两家公司表示,研究表明,三剂Covid-19疫苗中和了奥密克戎变种,而两剂疫苗仍然提供保护。辉瑞和BioNTech还表示,他们正在继续研究一种针对奥密克戎病的疫苗。受此消息影响,辉瑞和BioNTech大幅摆脱了早些时候的盘前低点,辉瑞上涨0.7%,BioNTech将跌幅收窄至1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>RLX Technology(RLX)</b> – RLX Technology announced that its board of directors has authorized a share repurchase program under which the Company may repurchase up to $500 million of its shares over a period until December 31, 2023.The shares jumped 9.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>RLX科技(RLX)</b>-RLX科技宣布,其董事会已批准一项股票回购计划,根据该计划,该公司可能在截至2023年12月31日的一段时间内回购最多5亿美元的股票。该股在盘前交易中上涨9.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SentinelOne(</b><b>S</b><b>)</b> – SentinelOne stock plunged 10% in premarket trading after soaring 13.4% yesterday.SentinelOne reported quarterly losses of $(0.26) per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $(0.18) by 44.44 percent. This is a 69.41 percent increase over losses of $(0.85) per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $56.02 million which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $49.57 million by 13.01 percent.</p><p><blockquote><b>哨兵(</b><b>S</b><b>)</b>-SentinelOne股价在昨日飙升13.4%后,在盘前交易中暴跌10%。SentinelOne公布季度每股亏损0.26美元,比分析师普遍预期的0.18美元低44.44%。与去年同期每股亏损(0.85)美元相比,增加了69.41%。该公司报告季度销售额为5602万美元,比分析师普遍预期的4957万美元高出13.01%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stitch Fix(SFIX)</b> – Stitch was hammered by 24.3% in the premarket after issuing current-quarter revenue guidance and membership metrics that fell short of Wall Street forecasts. The online apparel retailer did post a narrower-than-expected loss for its latest quarter and better-than-expected revenue, but not enough to sway investor concerns.</p><p><blockquote><b>缝合固定(SFIX)</b>-Stitch发布的本季度收入指引和会员指标未达到华尔街预测,盘前股价下跌24.3%。这家在线服装零售商最近一个季度的亏损确实低于预期,收入也好于预期,但不足以动摇投资者的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ChargePoint Holdings(CHPT)</b> – ChargePoint posted an adjusted loss of 14 cents per share for its latest quarter, 1 cent wider than anticipated, while the charging station network operator saw revenue slightly above estimates. The company did give stronger-than-expected current-quarter revenue guidance and raised its full-year outlook. Despite the upbeat outlook, ChargePoint fell 3.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>ChargePoint控股(CHPT)</b>–ChargePoint公布最新季度调整后每股亏损14美分,比预期高出1美分,而这家充电站网络运营商的收入略高于预期。该公司确实给出了强于预期的本季度收入指引,并上调了全年预期。尽管前景乐观,ChargePoint在盘前交易中仍下跌3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PagerDuty(PD)</b> – PagerDuty reported an adjusted quarterly loss of 7 cents per share, 2 cents narrower than analysts had predicted, while revenue topped Street forecasts. The maker of IT response software also gave better-than-expected current-quarter revenue guidance, and its stock surged 11% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>寻呼机值班(PD)</b>-PagerDuty公布调整后季度每股亏损7美分,比分析师预期收窄2美分,而营收则超出华尔街预期。这家IT响应软件制造商也给出了好于预期的本季度收入指引,其股价在盘前飙升11%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Campbell Soup(CPB)</b> – The food producer beat estimates by 8 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 89 cents per share, although revenue was slightly below analyst forecasts. Campbell said demand remains elevated for its products, and that it’s been able to moderate the impact of higher input costs through strong pricing and productivity improvements. The stock fell 0.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>金宝汤(CPB)</b>–该食品生产商调整后季度收益为每股89美分,超出预期8美分,尽管收入略低于分析师预期。坎贝尔表示,对其产品的需求仍然很高,并且能够通过强劲的定价和生产率提高来缓解投入成本上升的影响。该股盘前下跌0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thor Industries(THO)</b> – The recreational vehicle maker earned $4.34 per share for its latest quarter, well above the $3.24 consensus estimate. Revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts amid continued strong demand. Thor rose 2.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>托尔工业(THO)</b>-这家休闲车制造商最近一个季度的每股收益为4.34美元,远高于市场普遍预期的3.24美元。由于需求持续强劲,收入也高于华尔街的预期。Thor在盘前交易中上涨2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Weber(WEBR)</b> – The grill maker’s stock jumped 10.3% in the premarket after it reported a narrower-than-expected loss for its latest quarter and beat Wall Street revenue forecasts. Weber lost 13 cents per share, 5 cents less than analysts had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote><b>韦伯(WEBR)</b>-这家烧烤制造商公布最新季度亏损窄于预期并超出华尔街收入预期后,其股价在盘前上涨10.3%。韦伯每股亏损13美分,比分析师预期少5美分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Toll Brothers(TOL)</b> – Toll Brothers earned $3.02 per share for its latest quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $2.49, while the luxury home builder also reported better-than-expected revenue. It is also projecting 20% growth in fiscal 2022 revenue as demand remains elevated. Toll added 2.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Toll Brothers(TOL)</b>-Toll Brothers最近一个季度的每股收益为3.02美元,而市场普遍预期为2.49美元,而这家豪华住宅建筑商也公布了好于预期的收入。由于需求仍然很高,该公司还预计2022财年收入将增长20%。Toll盘前上涨2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BlackRock(BLK)</b> – The asset management firm is pulling about $2 trillion of assets from <b>State Street(STT)</b>, which had served as the sole custodian of BlackRock’s ETFs. BlackRock will be shifting some of its ETF custodianship to <b>Citigroup(C)</b>,<b>JPMorgan Chase(JPM)</b> and <b>Bank of America(BAC)</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>贝莱德(BLK)</b>-该资产管理公司正在从<b>道富银行(STT)</b>该公司曾担任贝莱德ETF的唯一托管人。贝莱德将把部分ETF托管权转移至<b>花旗集团(C)</b>,<b>摩根大通(JPM)</b>和<b>美国银行(BAC)</b>.</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Dave & Buster’s</b><b>(PLAY)</b> – Dave & Buster’s beat estimates by 8 cents with a quarterly profit of 23 cents per share, while the operator of entertainment center-themed restaurants also saw revenue come in above Street forecasts. Dave & Buster’s rallied 5.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>戴夫和巴斯特的</b><b>(播放)</b>–Dave&Buster的季度利润为每股23美分,超出预期8美分,而娱乐中心主题餐厅的运营商的收入也高于华尔街的预测。Dave&Buster's盘前上涨5.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-08 21:07</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. futures climbed for a third day after rising the most since March on Tuesday,as investors assessed the uncertain effects of the Omicron variant on the economy.</p><p><blockquote>美国期货在周二创下3月以来最大涨幅后连续第三天攀升,因投资者评估奥密克戎变体对经济的不确定影响。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 48 points, or 0.13%.The S&P 500 e-minis were up 8 points, or 0.17%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 38.25 points, or 0.23%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00,道指e-minis上涨48点,涨幅0.13%。标普500 e-minis上涨8点,涨幅0.17%,纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨38.25点,涨幅0.23%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31985372e2ecc4486843a08080c6b077\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"412\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Markets cheered news that BioNTech and Pfizer said that a three-shot course of their COVID-19 vaccine was shown to generate a neutralising effect against the new Omicron variant in a laboratory test.</p><p><blockquote>BioNTech和辉瑞表示,在实验室测试中,他们的COVID-19疫苗的三针疗程显示出对新的奥密克戎变种产生中和作用,市场对此欢呼雀跃。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Pfizer(PFE),BioNTech(BNTX)</b> – The companies said studies showed that three doses of their Covid-19 vaccine neutralized the omicron variant, while two doses still offered protection. Pfizer and BioNTech also said they’re continuing to work on an omicron-specific vaccine. Pfizer and BioNTech came well off earlier premarket lows on the news, with Pfizer up 0.7% and BioNTech trimming its loss to 1%.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞(PFE)、BioNTech(BNTX)</b>-两家公司表示,研究表明,三剂Covid-19疫苗中和了奥密克戎变种,而两剂疫苗仍然提供保护。辉瑞和BioNTech还表示,他们正在继续研究一种针对奥密克戎病的疫苗。受此消息影响,辉瑞和BioNTech大幅摆脱了早些时候的盘前低点,辉瑞上涨0.7%,BioNTech将跌幅收窄至1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>RLX Technology(RLX)</b> – RLX Technology announced that its board of directors has authorized a share repurchase program under which the Company may repurchase up to $500 million of its shares over a period until December 31, 2023.The shares jumped 9.7% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>RLX科技(RLX)</b>-RLX科技宣布,其董事会已批准一项股票回购计划,根据该计划,该公司可能在截至2023年12月31日的一段时间内回购最多5亿美元的股票。该股在盘前交易中上涨9.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SentinelOne(</b><b>S</b><b>)</b> – SentinelOne stock plunged 10% in premarket trading after soaring 13.4% yesterday.SentinelOne reported quarterly losses of $(0.26) per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $(0.18) by 44.44 percent. This is a 69.41 percent increase over losses of $(0.85) per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $56.02 million which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $49.57 million by 13.01 percent.</p><p><blockquote><b>哨兵(</b><b>S</b><b>)</b>-SentinelOne股价在昨日飙升13.4%后,在盘前交易中暴跌10%。SentinelOne公布季度每股亏损0.26美元,比分析师普遍预期的0.18美元低44.44%。与去年同期每股亏损(0.85)美元相比,增加了69.41%。该公司报告季度销售额为5602万美元,比分析师普遍预期的4957万美元高出13.01%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stitch Fix(SFIX)</b> – Stitch was hammered by 24.3% in the premarket after issuing current-quarter revenue guidance and membership metrics that fell short of Wall Street forecasts. The online apparel retailer did post a narrower-than-expected loss for its latest quarter and better-than-expected revenue, but not enough to sway investor concerns.</p><p><blockquote><b>缝合固定(SFIX)</b>-Stitch发布的本季度收入指引和会员指标未达到华尔街预测,盘前股价下跌24.3%。这家在线服装零售商最近一个季度的亏损确实低于预期,收入也好于预期,但不足以动摇投资者的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ChargePoint Holdings(CHPT)</b> – ChargePoint posted an adjusted loss of 14 cents per share for its latest quarter, 1 cent wider than anticipated, while the charging station network operator saw revenue slightly above estimates. The company did give stronger-than-expected current-quarter revenue guidance and raised its full-year outlook. Despite the upbeat outlook, ChargePoint fell 3.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>ChargePoint控股(CHPT)</b>–ChargePoint公布最新季度调整后每股亏损14美分,比预期高出1美分,而这家充电站网络运营商的收入略高于预期。该公司确实给出了强于预期的本季度收入指引,并上调了全年预期。尽管前景乐观,ChargePoint在盘前交易中仍下跌3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PagerDuty(PD)</b> – PagerDuty reported an adjusted quarterly loss of 7 cents per share, 2 cents narrower than analysts had predicted, while revenue topped Street forecasts. The maker of IT response software also gave better-than-expected current-quarter revenue guidance, and its stock surged 11% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>寻呼机值班(PD)</b>-PagerDuty公布调整后季度每股亏损7美分,比分析师预期收窄2美分,而营收则超出华尔街预期。这家IT响应软件制造商也给出了好于预期的本季度收入指引,其股价在盘前飙升11%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Campbell Soup(CPB)</b> – The food producer beat estimates by 8 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 89 cents per share, although revenue was slightly below analyst forecasts. Campbell said demand remains elevated for its products, and that it’s been able to moderate the impact of higher input costs through strong pricing and productivity improvements. The stock fell 0.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>金宝汤(CPB)</b>–该食品生产商调整后季度收益为每股89美分,超出预期8美分,尽管收入略低于分析师预期。坎贝尔表示,对其产品的需求仍然很高,并且能够通过强劲的定价和生产率提高来缓解投入成本上升的影响。该股盘前下跌0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thor Industries(THO)</b> – The recreational vehicle maker earned $4.34 per share for its latest quarter, well above the $3.24 consensus estimate. Revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts amid continued strong demand. Thor rose 2.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>托尔工业(THO)</b>-这家休闲车制造商最近一个季度的每股收益为4.34美元,远高于市场普遍预期的3.24美元。由于需求持续强劲,收入也高于华尔街的预期。Thor在盘前交易中上涨2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Weber(WEBR)</b> – The grill maker’s stock jumped 10.3% in the premarket after it reported a narrower-than-expected loss for its latest quarter and beat Wall Street revenue forecasts. Weber lost 13 cents per share, 5 cents less than analysts had anticipated.</p><p><blockquote><b>韦伯(WEBR)</b>-这家烧烤制造商公布最新季度亏损窄于预期并超出华尔街收入预期后,其股价在盘前上涨10.3%。韦伯每股亏损13美分,比分析师预期少5美分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Toll Brothers(TOL)</b> – Toll Brothers earned $3.02 per share for its latest quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $2.49, while the luxury home builder also reported better-than-expected revenue. It is also projecting 20% growth in fiscal 2022 revenue as demand remains elevated. Toll added 2.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Toll Brothers(TOL)</b>-Toll Brothers最近一个季度的每股收益为3.02美元,而市场普遍预期为2.49美元,而这家豪华住宅建筑商也公布了好于预期的收入。由于需求仍然很高,该公司还预计2022财年收入将增长20%。Toll盘前上涨2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BlackRock(BLK)</b> – The asset management firm is pulling about $2 trillion of assets from <b>State Street(STT)</b>, which had served as the sole custodian of BlackRock’s ETFs. BlackRock will be shifting some of its ETF custodianship to <b>Citigroup(C)</b>,<b>JPMorgan Chase(JPM)</b> and <b>Bank of America(BAC)</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>贝莱德(BLK)</b>-该资产管理公司正在从<b>道富银行(STT)</b>该公司曾担任贝莱德ETF的唯一托管人。贝莱德将把部分ETF托管权转移至<b>花旗集团(C)</b>,<b>摩根大通(JPM)</b>和<b>美国银行(BAC)</b>.</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Dave & Buster’s</b><b>(PLAY)</b> – Dave & Buster’s beat estimates by 8 cents with a quarterly profit of 23 cents per share, while the operator of entertainment center-themed restaurants also saw revenue come in above Street forecasts. Dave & Buster’s rallied 5.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>戴夫和巴斯特的</b><b>(播放)</b>–Dave&Buster的季度利润为每股23美分,超出预期8美分,而娱乐中心主题餐厅的运营商的收入也高于华尔街的预测。Dave&Buster's盘前上涨5.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BLK":"贝莱德","S":"SentinelOne, Inc","SFIX":"Stitch Fix Inc.","WEBR":"Weber Inc.","PFE":"辉瑞","TOL":"托尔兄弟",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","PLAY":"Dave & Buster","CPB":"金宝汤","CHPT":"ChargePoint Holdings Inc.","RLX":"雾芯科技",".DJI":"道琼斯","PD":"PagerDuty, Inc.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","THO":"索尔工业","STT":"道富银行"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183863090","content_text":"U.S. futures climbed for a third day after rising the most since March on Tuesday,as investors assessed the uncertain effects of the Omicron variant on the economy.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 48 points, or 0.13%.The S&P 500 e-minis were up 8 points, or 0.17%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 38.25 points, or 0.23%.\n\nMarkets cheered news that BioNTech and Pfizer said that a three-shot course of their COVID-19 vaccine was shown to generate a neutralising effect against the new Omicron variant in a laboratory test.\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\nPfizer(PFE),BioNTech(BNTX) – The companies said studies showed that three doses of their Covid-19 vaccine neutralized the omicron variant, while two doses still offered protection. Pfizer and BioNTech also said they’re continuing to work on an omicron-specific vaccine. Pfizer and BioNTech came well off earlier premarket lows on the news, with Pfizer up 0.7% and BioNTech trimming its loss to 1%.\nRLX Technology(RLX) – RLX Technology announced that its board of directors has authorized a share repurchase program under which the Company may repurchase up to $500 million of its shares over a period until December 31, 2023.The shares jumped 9.7% in premarket trading.\nSentinelOne(S) – SentinelOne stock plunged 10% in premarket trading after soaring 13.4% yesterday.SentinelOne reported quarterly losses of $(0.26) per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $(0.18) by 44.44 percent. This is a 69.41 percent increase over losses of $(0.85) per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $56.02 million which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $49.57 million by 13.01 percent.\nStitch Fix(SFIX) – Stitch was hammered by 24.3% in the premarket after issuing current-quarter revenue guidance and membership metrics that fell short of Wall Street forecasts. The online apparel retailer did post a narrower-than-expected loss for its latest quarter and better-than-expected revenue, but not enough to sway investor concerns.\nChargePoint Holdings(CHPT) – ChargePoint posted an adjusted loss of 14 cents per share for its latest quarter, 1 cent wider than anticipated, while the charging station network operator saw revenue slightly above estimates. The company did give stronger-than-expected current-quarter revenue guidance and raised its full-year outlook. Despite the upbeat outlook, ChargePoint fell 3.8% in premarket trading.\nPagerDuty(PD) – PagerDuty reported an adjusted quarterly loss of 7 cents per share, 2 cents narrower than analysts had predicted, while revenue topped Street forecasts. The maker of IT response software also gave better-than-expected current-quarter revenue guidance, and its stock surged 11% in premarket action.\nCampbell Soup(CPB) – The food producer beat estimates by 8 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 89 cents per share, although revenue was slightly below analyst forecasts. Campbell said demand remains elevated for its products, and that it’s been able to moderate the impact of higher input costs through strong pricing and productivity improvements. The stock fell 0.6% in the premarket.\nThor Industries(THO) – The recreational vehicle maker earned $4.34 per share for its latest quarter, well above the $3.24 consensus estimate. Revenue was also above Wall Street forecasts amid continued strong demand. Thor rose 2.5% in premarket trading.\nWeber(WEBR) – The grill maker’s stock jumped 10.3% in the premarket after it reported a narrower-than-expected loss for its latest quarter and beat Wall Street revenue forecasts. Weber lost 13 cents per share, 5 cents less than analysts had anticipated.\nToll Brothers(TOL) – Toll Brothers earned $3.02 per share for its latest quarter, compared with a consensus estimate of $2.49, while the luxury home builder also reported better-than-expected revenue. It is also projecting 20% growth in fiscal 2022 revenue as demand remains elevated. Toll added 2.1% in the premarket.\nBlackRock(BLK) – The asset management firm is pulling about $2 trillion of assets from State Street(STT), which had served as the sole custodian of BlackRock’s ETFs. BlackRock will be shifting some of its ETF custodianship to Citigroup(C),JPMorgan Chase(JPM) and Bank of America(BAC).\nDave & Buster’s(PLAY) – Dave & Buster’s beat estimates by 8 cents with a quarterly profit of 23 cents per share, while the operator of entertainment center-themed restaurants also saw revenue come in above Street forecasts. Dave & Buster’s rallied 5.6% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLAY":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"SFIX":0.9,"TOL":0.9,"PD":0.9,"CPB":0.9,"BLK":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"STT":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"THO":0.9,"RLX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"S":0.9,"WEBR":0.9,"CHPT":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"NQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691560288,"gmtCreate":1640221383888,"gmtModify":1640221403661,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691560288","repostId":"2193113147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605388178,"gmtCreate":1639113978638,"gmtModify":1639113978739,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605388178","repostId":"2190964556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":658,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876013284,"gmtCreate":1637243627467,"gmtModify":1637243627929,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876013284","repostId":"1164154545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164154545","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637242506,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164154545?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-18 21:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164154545","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. jobless claims total 268,000, about as expected.Stock-index futures remain slightly higher afte","content":"<p>U.S. jobless claims total 268,000, about as expected.Stock-index futures remain slightly higher after weekly jobless claims.</p><p><blockquote>美国初请失业金人数总计268,000人,与预期大致相同。每周初请失业金人数后,股指期货仍小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:34 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 25 points, or 0.07%. S&P 500 e-minis were up 11.5 points, or 0.24% and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 81.5 points, or 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午8:34,道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨25点,即0.07%。标普500 e-mini上涨11.5点,即0.24%,纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨81.5点,即0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2323335c4b6a87d86114934b4851738\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"184\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia(NVDA)</b> – Nvidia came in 6 cents above estimates with adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.17 per share, and the graphics chip maker saw revenue come in above forecasts as well. Nvidia is benefiting from high demand for videogame and data center chips. The stock jumped 8.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达(NVDA)</b>-Nvidia调整后季度收益为每股1.17美元,比预期高出6美分,这家图形芯片制造商的收入也高于预期。英伟达受益于对视频游戏和数据中心芯片的高需求。该股盘前上涨8.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alibaba(BABA)</b> – The Chinese e-commerce giant slid 6.4% in premarket action after top- and bottom-line misses in its latest quarterly report. Alibaba is attributing the drop in profit from a year ago to a decline in the value of its equity investments.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW(父亲)</b>-这家中国电子商务巨头在最新季度报告中营收和利润均未达标后,盘前股价下跌6.4%。阿里巴巴-SW将利润较一年前下降归因于其股权投资价值下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>JD.com(JD)</b> – JD.com beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines with the China-based e-commerce company continuing to benefit from sustained and elevated demand for online shopping. Shares rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>京东(JD)</b>-京东的营收和利润均超出预期,这家总部位于中国的电子商务公司继续受益于在线购物需求的持续增长。盘前股价上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Macy’s(M)</b> – Macy’s surged 11.1% in the premarket after the retailer reported better-than-expected quarterly sales and profit, and raised its full-year outlook. Macy’s earned an adjusted $1.23 per share for the quarter, well above the 31-cent consensus estimate, and the raised forecast is easing concern about holiday season inventory shortages.</p><p><blockquote><b>梅西百货(M)</b>-梅西百货盘前飙升11.1%,此前该零售商公布季度销售额和利润好于预期,并上调了全年预期。梅西百货本季度调整后每股收益为1.23美元,远高于31美分的普遍预期,上调的预测缓解了人们对假日季库存短缺的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Roblox(RBLX)</b> – Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Roblox to $150 per share from $88. The new target is 20% above where the stock closed Wednesday and is the highest among major Wall Street firms, according to FactSet. Shares rose nearly 4% in premarket trading Thursday.</p><p><blockquote><b>机器人(RBLX)</b>-摩根士丹利将Roblox的目标价从每股88美元上调至150美元。FactSet的数据显示,新目标比该股周三收盘价高出20%,是华尔街主要公司中最高的。周四盘前交易中,股价上涨近4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BJ’s Wholesale(BJ) </b>– The warehouse retailer beat estimates by 11 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 91 cents per share, while revenue and comparable-store sales also topped forecasts. BJ’s also announced a new stock buyback program worth up to $500 million.The shares rose 6.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>北京批发(BJ)</b>-这家仓储零售商调整后季度收益为每股91美分,超出预期11美分,而收入和同店销售额也超出预期。BJ还宣布了一项价值高达5亿美元的新股票回购计划。该公司股价在盘前上涨6.</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kohl’s(KSS)</b> – Kohl’s rallied 8.5% in premarket trading as the retailer reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.65 per share compared with a consensus estimate of 64 cents. Kohl’s also reported better-than-expected revenue and comparable store sales, and raised its full-year sales forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国柯尔百货公司(KSS)</b>-Kohl's在盘前交易中上涨8.5%,该零售商公布调整后季度收益为每股1.65美元,而市场普遍预期为64美分。Kohl's还公布了好于预期的营收和可比门店销售额,并上调了全年销售预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Petco(WOOF)</b> – The pet products retailer beat estimates by 2 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 20 cents per share and revenue also above estimates. Comparable store sales were also better than expected, and Petco raised its full-year forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>Petco(WOOF)</b>-这家宠物产品零售商超出预期2美分,调整后季度收益为每股20美分,收入也高于预期。可比门店销售额也好于预期,Petco上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cisco Systems(CSCO)</b> – Cisco tumbled 6.8% in premarket trading after forecasting current-quarter revenue below forecasts. The networking equipment company is seeing supply chain and other issues driving up costs. Cisco did report better-than-expected earnings for its most recent quarter, but revenue was slightly short of Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>思科系统公司(CSCO)</b>-思科在预测本季度收入低于预期后,在盘前交易中下跌6.8%。这家网络设备公司发现供应链和其他问题推高了成本。思科最近一个季度的盈利确实好于预期,但收入略低于华尔街的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sonos(SONO)</b> – Sonos matched estimates in reporting a quarterly loss of 7 cents per share, but the maker of wireless home audio equipment saw revenue come in slightly below analyst projections. However, Sonos also issued a better-than-expected fiscal 2022 sales forecast, even in the face of supply constraints that are impacting its production levels, and the stock added 3.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Sonos(睡眠)</b>-Sonos报告季度每股亏损7美分,符合预期,但这家无线家庭音频设备制造商的收入略低于分析师预测。然而,Sonos还发布了好于预期的2022财年销售预测,即使面临影响其生产水平的供应限制,该股在盘前上涨了3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bath & Body Works(BBWI)</b> – Bath & Body Works reported an adjusted quarterly profit of 92 cents per share, beating the 60 cents consensus estimate, while the personal care products retailer also saw revenue beat Wall Street forecasts. The quarterly report was the first for Bath & Body Works as a standalone company following the split-up of L Brands. The stock gained 6.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>沐浴与身体工程(BBWI)</b>-Bath&Body Works报告调整后季度利润为每股92美分,超出市场普遍预期的60美分,而这家个人护理产品零售商的收入也超出了华尔街的预期。这是Bath&Body Works在L Brands分拆后作为独立公司发布的第一份季度报告。该股在盘前交易中上涨6.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Victoria’s Secret(VSCO)</b> – Victoria’s Secret shares surged 10.9% in premarket trading after the company beat estimates by 10 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 81 cents per share. This was the first quarterly report for Victoria’s Secret as a standalone company, also a product of the L Brands split-up.</p><p><blockquote><b>维多利亚的秘密(VSCO)</b>-维多利亚的秘密股价在盘前交易中飙升10.9%,此前该公司调整后季度收益为每股81美分,超出预期10美分。这是维多利亚的秘密作为独立公司的第一份季度报告,也是L Brands分拆的产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere(DE)</b> – Deere workers approved a new six-year contract after rejecting two previous tentative deals, ending a strike that began October 14. Deere rose 2.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere(DE)</b>-Deere工人在拒绝了之前的两项暂定协议后批准了一份新的六年合同,结束了10月14日开始的罢工。Deere盘前上涨2.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Maxeon Solar Technologies(MAXN)</b> – U.S.-listed shares of Singapore-based Maxeon Solar Technologies fell 10% as the solar technology company forecast dismal fourth-quarter revenue after posting downbeat quarterly earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>Maxeon太阳能技术公司(MAXN)</b>-总部位于新加坡的Maxeon Solar Technologies在美国上市的股价下跌10%,该太阳能技术公司在公布悲观的季度收益后预测第四季度营收将惨淡。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-18 21:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. jobless claims total 268,000, about as expected.Stock-index futures remain slightly higher after weekly jobless claims.</p><p><blockquote>美国初请失业金人数总计268,000人,与预期大致相同。每周初请失业金人数后,股指期货仍小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:34 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 25 points, or 0.07%. S&P 500 e-minis were up 11.5 points, or 0.24% and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 81.5 points, or 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午8:34,道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨25点,即0.07%。标普500 e-mini上涨11.5点,即0.24%,纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨81.5点,即0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2323335c4b6a87d86114934b4851738\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"184\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Nvidia(NVDA)</b> – Nvidia came in 6 cents above estimates with adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.17 per share, and the graphics chip maker saw revenue come in above forecasts as well. Nvidia is benefiting from high demand for videogame and data center chips. The stock jumped 8.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达(NVDA)</b>-Nvidia调整后季度收益为每股1.17美元,比预期高出6美分,这家图形芯片制造商的收入也高于预期。英伟达受益于对视频游戏和数据中心芯片的高需求。该股盘前上涨8.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alibaba(BABA)</b> – The Chinese e-commerce giant slid 6.4% in premarket action after top- and bottom-line misses in its latest quarterly report. Alibaba is attributing the drop in profit from a year ago to a decline in the value of its equity investments.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴-SW(父亲)</b>-这家中国电子商务巨头在最新季度报告中营收和利润均未达标后,盘前股价下跌6.4%。阿里巴巴-SW将利润较一年前下降归因于其股权投资价值下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>JD.com(JD)</b> – JD.com beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines with the China-based e-commerce company continuing to benefit from sustained and elevated demand for online shopping. Shares rose 3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>京东(JD)</b>-京东的营收和利润均超出预期,这家总部位于中国的电子商务公司继续受益于在线购物需求的持续增长。盘前股价上涨3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Macy’s(M)</b> – Macy’s surged 11.1% in the premarket after the retailer reported better-than-expected quarterly sales and profit, and raised its full-year outlook. Macy’s earned an adjusted $1.23 per share for the quarter, well above the 31-cent consensus estimate, and the raised forecast is easing concern about holiday season inventory shortages.</p><p><blockquote><b>梅西百货(M)</b>-梅西百货盘前飙升11.1%,此前该零售商公布季度销售额和利润好于预期,并上调了全年预期。梅西百货本季度调整后每股收益为1.23美元,远高于31美分的普遍预期,上调的预测缓解了人们对假日季库存短缺的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Roblox(RBLX)</b> – Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Roblox to $150 per share from $88. The new target is 20% above where the stock closed Wednesday and is the highest among major Wall Street firms, according to FactSet. Shares rose nearly 4% in premarket trading Thursday.</p><p><blockquote><b>机器人(RBLX)</b>-摩根士丹利将Roblox的目标价从每股88美元上调至150美元。FactSet的数据显示,新目标比该股周三收盘价高出20%,是华尔街主要公司中最高的。周四盘前交易中,股价上涨近4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BJ’s Wholesale(BJ) </b>– The warehouse retailer beat estimates by 11 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 91 cents per share, while revenue and comparable-store sales also topped forecasts. BJ’s also announced a new stock buyback program worth up to $500 million.The shares rose 6.1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>北京批发(BJ)</b>-这家仓储零售商调整后季度收益为每股91美分,超出预期11美分,而收入和同店销售额也超出预期。BJ还宣布了一项价值高达5亿美元的新股票回购计划。该公司股价在盘前上涨6.</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kohl’s(KSS)</b> – Kohl’s rallied 8.5% in premarket trading as the retailer reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.65 per share compared with a consensus estimate of 64 cents. Kohl’s also reported better-than-expected revenue and comparable store sales, and raised its full-year sales forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国柯尔百货公司(KSS)</b>-Kohl's在盘前交易中上涨8.5%,该零售商公布调整后季度收益为每股1.65美元,而市场普遍预期为64美分。Kohl's还公布了好于预期的营收和可比门店销售额,并上调了全年销售预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Petco(WOOF)</b> – The pet products retailer beat estimates by 2 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 20 cents per share and revenue also above estimates. Comparable store sales were also better than expected, and Petco raised its full-year forecast.</p><p><blockquote><b>Petco(WOOF)</b>-这家宠物产品零售商超出预期2美分,调整后季度收益为每股20美分,收入也高于预期。可比门店销售额也好于预期,Petco上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Cisco Systems(CSCO)</b> – Cisco tumbled 6.8% in premarket trading after forecasting current-quarter revenue below forecasts. The networking equipment company is seeing supply chain and other issues driving up costs. Cisco did report better-than-expected earnings for its most recent quarter, but revenue was slightly short of Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote><b>思科系统公司(CSCO)</b>-思科在预测本季度收入低于预期后,在盘前交易中下跌6.8%。这家网络设备公司发现供应链和其他问题推高了成本。思科最近一个季度的盈利确实好于预期,但收入略低于华尔街的预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sonos(SONO)</b> – Sonos matched estimates in reporting a quarterly loss of 7 cents per share, but the maker of wireless home audio equipment saw revenue come in slightly below analyst projections. However, Sonos also issued a better-than-expected fiscal 2022 sales forecast, even in the face of supply constraints that are impacting its production levels, and the stock added 3.6% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Sonos(睡眠)</b>-Sonos报告季度每股亏损7美分,符合预期,但这家无线家庭音频设备制造商的收入略低于分析师预测。然而,Sonos还发布了好于预期的2022财年销售预测,即使面临影响其生产水平的供应限制,该股在盘前上涨了3.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bath & Body Works(BBWI)</b> – Bath & Body Works reported an adjusted quarterly profit of 92 cents per share, beating the 60 cents consensus estimate, while the personal care products retailer also saw revenue beat Wall Street forecasts. The quarterly report was the first for Bath & Body Works as a standalone company following the split-up of L Brands. The stock gained 6.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>沐浴与身体工程(BBWI)</b>-Bath&Body Works报告调整后季度利润为每股92美分,超出市场普遍预期的60美分,而这家个人护理产品零售商的收入也超出了华尔街的预期。这是Bath&Body Works在L Brands分拆后作为独立公司发布的第一份季度报告。该股在盘前交易中上涨6.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Victoria’s Secret(VSCO)</b> – Victoria’s Secret shares surged 10.9% in premarket trading after the company beat estimates by 10 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 81 cents per share. This was the first quarterly report for Victoria’s Secret as a standalone company, also a product of the L Brands split-up.</p><p><blockquote><b>维多利亚的秘密(VSCO)</b>-维多利亚的秘密股价在盘前交易中飙升10.9%,此前该公司调整后季度收益为每股81美分,超出预期10美分。这是维多利亚的秘密作为独立公司的第一份季度报告,也是L Brands分拆的产品。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere(DE)</b> – Deere workers approved a new six-year contract after rejecting two previous tentative deals, ending a strike that began October 14. Deere rose 2.4% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere(DE)</b>-Deere工人在拒绝了之前的两项暂定协议后批准了一份新的六年合同,结束了10月14日开始的罢工。Deere盘前上涨2.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Maxeon Solar Technologies(MAXN)</b> – U.S.-listed shares of Singapore-based Maxeon Solar Technologies fell 10% as the solar technology company forecast dismal fourth-quarter revenue after posting downbeat quarterly earnings.</p><p><blockquote><b>Maxeon太阳能技术公司(MAXN)</b>-总部位于新加坡的Maxeon Solar Technologies在美国上市的股价下跌10%,该太阳能技术公司在公布悲观的季度收益后预测第四季度营收将惨淡。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SONO":"搜诺思公司","M":"梅西百货",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","CSCO":"思科","DE":"迪尔股份有限公司","MAXN":"Maxeon Solar Technologies Ltd","KSS":"柯尔百货",".DJI":"道琼斯","NVDA":"英伟达","BJ":"BJ批发俱乐部","VSCO":"维多利亚的秘密","RBLX":"Roblox Corporation","BBWI":"Bath & Body Works Inc.","WOOF":"Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.","JD":"京东"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164154545","content_text":"U.S. jobless claims total 268,000, about as expected.Stock-index futures remain slightly higher after weekly jobless claims.\nAt 8:34 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 25 points, or 0.07%. S&P 500 e-minis were up 11.5 points, or 0.24% and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 81.5 points, or 0.5%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\nNvidia(NVDA) – Nvidia came in 6 cents above estimates with adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.17 per share, and the graphics chip maker saw revenue come in above forecasts as well. Nvidia is benefiting from high demand for videogame and data center chips. The stock jumped 8.2% in the premarket.\nAlibaba(BABA) – The Chinese e-commerce giant slid 6.4% in premarket action after top- and bottom-line misses in its latest quarterly report. Alibaba is attributing the drop in profit from a year ago to a decline in the value of its equity investments.\nJD.com(JD) – JD.com beat estimates on both the top and bottom lines with the China-based e-commerce company continuing to benefit from sustained and elevated demand for online shopping. Shares rose 3% in the premarket.\nMacy’s(M) – Macy’s surged 11.1% in the premarket after the retailer reported better-than-expected quarterly sales and profit, and raised its full-year outlook. Macy’s earned an adjusted $1.23 per share for the quarter, well above the 31-cent consensus estimate, and the raised forecast is easing concern about holiday season inventory shortages.\nRoblox(RBLX) – Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Roblox to $150 per share from $88. The new target is 20% above where the stock closed Wednesday and is the highest among major Wall Street firms, according to FactSet. Shares rose nearly 4% in premarket trading Thursday.\nBJ’s Wholesale(BJ) – The warehouse retailer beat estimates by 11 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 91 cents per share, while revenue and comparable-store sales also topped forecasts. BJ’s also announced a new stock buyback program worth up to $500 million.The shares rose 6.1% in the premarket.\nKohl’s(KSS) – Kohl’s rallied 8.5% in premarket trading as the retailer reported adjusted quarterly earnings of $1.65 per share compared with a consensus estimate of 64 cents. Kohl’s also reported better-than-expected revenue and comparable store sales, and raised its full-year sales forecast.\nPetco(WOOF) – The pet products retailer beat estimates by 2 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 20 cents per share and revenue also above estimates. Comparable store sales were also better than expected, and Petco raised its full-year forecast.\nCisco Systems(CSCO) – Cisco tumbled 6.8% in premarket trading after forecasting current-quarter revenue below forecasts. The networking equipment company is seeing supply chain and other issues driving up costs. Cisco did report better-than-expected earnings for its most recent quarter, but revenue was slightly short of Wall Street forecasts.\nSonos(SONO) – Sonos matched estimates in reporting a quarterly loss of 7 cents per share, but the maker of wireless home audio equipment saw revenue come in slightly below analyst projections. However, Sonos also issued a better-than-expected fiscal 2022 sales forecast, even in the face of supply constraints that are impacting its production levels, and the stock added 3.6% in premarket action.\nBath & Body Works(BBWI) – Bath & Body Works reported an adjusted quarterly profit of 92 cents per share, beating the 60 cents consensus estimate, while the personal care products retailer also saw revenue beat Wall Street forecasts. The quarterly report was the first for Bath & Body Works as a standalone company following the split-up of L Brands. The stock gained 6.4% in premarket trading.\nVictoria’s Secret(VSCO) – Victoria’s Secret shares surged 10.9% in premarket trading after the company beat estimates by 10 cents with adjusted quarterly earnings of 81 cents per share. This was the first quarterly report for Victoria’s Secret as a standalone company, also a product of the L Brands split-up.\nDeere(DE) – Deere workers approved a new six-year contract after rejecting two previous tentative deals, ending a strike that began October 14. Deere rose 2.4% in the premarket.\nMaxeon Solar Technologies(MAXN) – U.S.-listed shares of Singapore-based Maxeon Solar Technologies fell 10% as the solar technology company forecast dismal fourth-quarter revenue after posting downbeat quarterly earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NQmain":0.9,"BJ":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"JD":0.9,"MAXN":0.9,"RBLX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"KSS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"BBWI":0.9,"DE":0.9,"SONO":0.9,"CSCO":0.9,"M":0.9,"VSCO":0.9,"WOOF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693360135,"gmtCreate":1639971921504,"gmtModify":1639971921687,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693360135","repostId":"1183475424","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183475424","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639967829,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183475424?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 10:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183475424","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to a","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>With inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.</li> <li>While rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.</li> <li>Apple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.</li> <li>Its strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.</li> <li>As such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdf73ac36a98ce54b343c7e6b613f4d9\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>guvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着通胀处于40年来最热的阶段,美联储决定加快刺激缩减时间表,并为最早在3月份加息做准备。</li><li>尽管由于担心估值前景受到侵蚀,加息历来会阻止投资者购买成长型股票,但苹果股票在很大程度上仍保持弹性。</li><li>在对其现有产品的强劲需求以及AR/VR和自动驾驶汽车等新兴技术带来的新机遇的支持下,苹果预计将在未来实现更多增长。</li><li>其强劲的净现金状况也提供了足够的干粉来为未来几年的额外增长提供资金,而不会在利率上升的情况下产生额外的资本成本。</li><li>因此,尽管未来存在更广泛的市场估值风险,但随着苹果估值接近3万亿美元,其看涨论点仍然完好无损。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>guvendemir/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一,苹果(纳斯达克:AAPL)今年以来涨幅接近40%。该股不久前曾达到182.13美元的峰值,目前距离成为第一家市值达到3万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到7%,仅占以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数的15%左右。自20世纪90年代末以来,苹果的市值增长了220倍以上,这得益于该公司不断抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求的能力。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面预计将帮助该股抵御明年即将加息的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来最热的水平,美联储周三决定将加快缩减每月1200亿美元债券回购计划的步伐,从11月开始的每月150亿美元减少到每月300亿美元。这将有效地结束刺激计划,该计划是在3月份大流行开始时实施的,而不是最初计划的7月份。预计加息将很快开始,以应对不断上涨的物价压力,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认,这一过程只有在缩减结束后才会以渐进的速度开始。最新的点阵图显示,从2022年初开始,联邦基金利率有可能从接近零的水平上升三个25个百分点,2023年再上升三个百分点,2024年再上升两个百分点。如果实现,这一过程将在2024年将基金利率提高至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者转向规避风险,因为他们担心未来收益的价值会加速侵蚀,以及资本成本上升导致业务增长停滞,尤其是高增长股票,但苹果在美联储发布后上涨了近3%关于政策收紧的最新消息。该股12月15日收于179.30美元,接近周一182美元的峰值。美联储更新后,苹果的上涨以及其他大型科技股的类似上涨趋势推动纳斯达克100指数盘中上涨2.4%,这表明投资者更愿意将资金投资于增长前景强劲的公司以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假期对苹果12月季度销售有利,该股估值预计将比预期更早进入3万亿美元区间。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购以及新的尖端产品预计在可预见的未来带来的额外收入贡献也将成为支持公司持续强劲的基本面并保持该股的关键催化剂尽管即将加息,但估值仍高于3万亿美元。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景,我们将该股12个月目标价上调至209.43美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年基本面前景概述和回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致商店断断续续关闭,导致销售额损失超过90亿美元,但该公司今年的收入较2020财年增长了33%,达到3660亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入,比上一年增长了20%以上。本年度的成功主要归功于一系列新产品的推出和功能升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列,以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone销量今年增长了39%,是其他细分市场中增长最快的,占苹果2021财年收入的一半以上。这一结果与去年移动设备需求下滑形成鲜明对比,当时消费者准备应对大流行带来的经济不确定性。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快,预计未来几年iPhone销量将保持强劲。2022年可能推出的更实惠的支持5G的iPhone SE预计也将通过吸引“超过10亿非高端Android用户”的切换者来进一步提高苹果的市场份额,并将活跃安装基数推向另一个历史新高。在推出支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s后,最近几个季度观察到的iPhone销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头,升级者和转换者的数量以两位数强劲增长。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动iPhone的销售贡献。Verizon和AT&T等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售,以鼓励迁移到他们在全国范围内花费数十亿美元建设的5G网络。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内斥资超过7000亿美元建设5G网络,这突显出随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回成本,iPhone市场未来将面临巨大的额外增长机会。他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac和iPad的销售额在2021财年也大幅增长,收入分别达到创纪录的352亿美元和319亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新的M1驱动的iMac后,苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的M1处理器使最新的MacBook“在游戏之外的几乎所有生产力用例上都比任何基于英特尔的设备都好”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的难以置信的需求,从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计,该公司在9月份季度的Mac产品出货量超过320万台,这推动了该部门创纪录的收入,同时将其在全球PC销量中的排名提升至其他供应商中的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入M1处理器也增强了其在利用全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑需求激增方面的地位,使该公司能够构建具有创新功能的设备,这些设备可以无缝集成到其周边配件和服务生态系统中,以吸引邻近收入。随着后大流行时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用,全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求预计将在未来几年保持高位——预计到2025年,这些行业的市场规模将分别增长到2243亿美元和6000亿美元,这为苹果的Mac和iPad市场带来了有利的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近关于苹果打算加强其内部芯片开发能力的猜测可能会在未来几年进一步推进其技术的进步,并吸引对其产品的额外需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师来增强其在“无线电、射频集成电路和无线片上系统(“SoC”)”以及“用于连接蓝牙和Wi-Fi的半导体”的开发能力。这些发展预计将进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成,并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性,使其芯片部门成为该公司“最宝贵的资产”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务业的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面,强大的用户基础使该部门在2021财年的收入达到创纪录的超过684亿美元,比上一年增长27%。迄今为止,苹果的高利润服务已吸引了超过7.45亿付费用户,比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其各种服务平台(从苹果音乐到iCloud存储解决方案)中不断推动基于订阅的商业模式,再加上近年来针对关键消费者趋势的有吸引力的新产品,一直是该公司快速增长的关键驱动力。-扩大利润。为现有服务平台推出的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品预计将进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品在全球使用不断增加所带来的邻近机会的覆盖范围,例如,全球音乐流媒体市场预计将以16%的复合年增长率扩张,预计未来五年价值将达到610亿美元,凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果One捆绑包预计将成为未来几年促进服务部门销售的关键贡献者,吸引新用户为订阅服务付费,如果没有捆绑折扣,他们就不会这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将利好苹果快速增长的服务板块。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长,未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于AAPL拥有世界上最大和使用最多的应用商店之一,有理由假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果App Store涉嫌违反反垄断的审查越来越多——其中最引人注目的是与Epic Games正在进行的法律斗争——但该公司对确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性的持续关注可能会挽救局面。根据Morgan Stanley对美国和中国4000名苹果产品用户进行的一项调查,尽管开发者正在争取在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,但大多数用户都表示对苹果应用商店的忠诚度,因为它提供了“安全、隐私和交易便利性的价值”。作为Epic Games提起的长达一年的诉讼的一部分,苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers在9月份下令的App Store变更,这是App Store持续强劲的另一个迹象。该公司辩称,法院授权的允许App Store用户“直接从网络上的开发者那里购买”的命令将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前,开发者正在争取让应用用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,该生态系统向开发者收取高达所有购买30%的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉,法院关于是否需要实施App Store变更的最终决定可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决,即苹果必须允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率,App Store的收入预计每年最多只会减少40亿美元,这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到App Store用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视,实际的量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基础和相关服务平台用户,苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此,未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子和设备的先驱预计将在2023年初推出VR耳机和AR眼镜,这是一项新兴技术,近几个月来,随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多,这项技术的发展势头越来越大。与市场上已有的大多数VR头显类似,苹果的将配备3D显示屏,为从游戏到交流的各种活动提供身临其境的环境。差异化因素将是该公司计划在设备中实现一流的图形芯片,以促进超高分辨率显示。即将推出的VR头显最终将为其AR眼镜奠定基础,苹果预计这将是“更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年,与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为8000亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的70%以上,而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力,该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的AR/VR耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会,还可以利用与相关应用程序、软件和服务平台使用相关的邻近收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>对苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测预计也将在可预见的未来为该股带来有意义的上涨。该公司现在计划到2025年推出新的产品类别,届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场的价值预计将达到2000亿美元以上。最终的汽车可能会向其现有产品组合致敬,例如“类似iPad的触摸屏”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面,据信苹果已经完成了定制芯片的开发,用于为车辆的自动驾驶功能提供动力。据该州DMV称,最新的芯片将很快应用到其现有的改装SUV车队中,以便在加利福尼亚州进行测试,这表明即将推出的芯片即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了“随着时间的推移,新产品和服务对材料收入的持续贡献”,但上述新产品类别发布的额外上行空间仍然缺失。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出,这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期AR/VR设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高1500亿美元。随着时间的推移,当元宇宙趋势继续获得主流关注时,苹果预计将从AR/VR领域获得超过2000亿美元的年收入,这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值前景和即将加息的潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果2021财年年终业绩和12月季度指引的最新预测,我们的基本情况预测预计到2022财年末总净销售额为4393亿美元,到2026财年将进一步增长至6685亿美元。我们预测中应用于各部门收入的增长假设与我们对该股的最新分析基本保持不变,并额外考虑了管理层对供应限制影响和即将加息的近期前景。具体来说,2021财年下半年由于全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延迟造成的90亿美元收入损失(即6月季度约30亿美元,9月季度约60亿美元)预计将恶化2022财年上半年。尽管供应链挑战有所改善,但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将导致未来几个季度销量损失更大。尽管如此,苹果仍为未来强劲的基本面做好了准备,这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测:</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部财务预测(苹果_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf)。有关所应用的材料增长假设的更多详情,请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑,我们将苹果股票的12个月目标价修正为209.43美元。基于12月17日171.14美元的最后交易价格,这意味着超过22%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期内的贴现现金流(“DCF”)分析得出的,并结合前几节中分析的针对苹果近期发展更新的财务预测。与我们最初的估值分析类似,我们采用了8%的WACC来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司当前的资本结构和强劲的资产负债表,贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务的很大一部分是固定利率票据,预计其增长资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况,管理层打算在加息之前部署以实现额外增长,而不必产生增量资本成本。预计这将进一步巩固投资者对苹果股票的信心,因为他们在担心利率上升带来的更广泛市场压力的情况下继续“转向优质股票”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为19.8倍,这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品领域即将推出,所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善,并抵消即将加息的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、敏感性分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述分析,预计未来两年在当前接近零的联邦基金利率基础上增加175至200个基点,从基本面和估值角度来看,预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求,加上新的创新,预计将进一步增强该公司的基本增长前景。因此,这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表,并进一步增强其抵御更广泛的宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上,为应对即将加息带来的风险,对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加,甚至可能会推动苹果的估值增长势头。考虑到这些因素,苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一,尽管加息即将到来,但其近期仍强劲上涨至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: The Strongest Shield Against Rate Hikes<blockquote>苹果股票:抵御加息的最强盾牌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.</p><p><blockquote>作为全球表现最好的股票之一,苹果(纳斯达克:AAPL)今年以来涨幅接近40%。该股不久前曾达到182.13美元的峰值,目前距离成为第一家市值达到3万亿美元的美国上市公司还不到7%,仅占以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数的15%左右。自20世纪90年代末以来,苹果的市值增长了220倍以上,这得益于该公司不断抓住对其创新产品和服务组合的强劲需求的能力。</blockquote></p><p> And Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>苹果强劲的基本面预计将帮助该股抵御明年即将加息的不利影响。随着通胀达到近四十年来最热的水平,美联储周三决定将加快缩减每月1200亿美元债券回购计划的步伐,从11月开始的每月150亿美元减少到每月300亿美元。这将有效地结束刺激计划,该计划是在3月份大流行开始时实施的,而不是最初计划的7月份。预计加息将很快开始,以应对不断上涨的物价压力,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔确认,这一过程只有在缩减结束后才会以渐进的速度开始。最新的点阵图显示,从2022年初开始,联邦基金利率有可能从接近零的水平上升三个25个百分点,2023年再上升三个百分点,2024年再上升两个百分点。如果实现,这一过程将在2024年将基金利率提高至2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ef3ca2d04c1b55a465e12bfae79890e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.</p><p><blockquote>虽然加息通常会导致投资者转向规避风险,因为他们担心未来收益的价值会加速侵蚀,以及资本成本上升导致业务增长停滞,尤其是高增长股票,但苹果在美联储发布后上涨了近3%关于政策收紧的最新消息。该股12月15日收于179.30美元,接近周一182美元的峰值。美联储更新后,苹果的上涨以及其他大型科技股的类似上涨趋势推动纳斯达克100指数盘中上涨2.4%,这表明投资者更愿意将资金投资于增长前景强劲的公司以应对即将加息带来的风险。</blockquote></p><p> With the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.</p><p><blockquote>随着即将到来的假期对苹果12月季度销售有利,该股估值预计将比预期更早进入3万亿美元区间。苹果整个产品线的持续强劲需求、慷慨的股票回购以及新的尖端产品预计在可预见的未来带来的额外收入贡献也将成为支持公司持续强劲的基本面并保持该股的关键催化剂尽管即将加息,但估值仍高于3万亿美元。考虑到大盘的近期发展和苹果的增长前景,我们将该股12个月目标价上调至209.43美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>FY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021财年基本面前景概述和回顾</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Fiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.</p><p><blockquote>2021财年对苹果来说是重要的一年。尽管冠状病毒反复爆发和供应链限制导致商店断断续续关闭,导致销售额损失超过90亿美元,但该公司今年的收入较2020财年增长了33%,达到3660亿美元。每个产品和服务部门都实现了创纪录的收入,比上一年增长了20%以上。本年度的成功主要归功于一系列新产品的推出和功能升级。其中最引人注目的包括支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s系列,以及支持M1的MacBook Pro和iPad Pro。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Products</b></p><p><blockquote><b>产品的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p> iPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone销量今年增长了39%,是其他细分市场中增长最快的,占苹果2021财年收入的一半以上。这一结果与去年移动设备需求下滑形成鲜明对比,当时消费者准备应对大流行带来的经济不确定性。随着全球5G设备升级步伐不断加快,预计未来几年iPhone销量将保持强劲。2022年可能推出的更实惠的支持5G的iPhone SE预计也将通过吸引“超过10亿非高端Android用户”的切换者来进一步提高苹果的市场份额,并将活跃安装基数推向另一个历史新高。在推出支持5G的iPhone 12s和iPhone 13s后,最近几个季度观察到的iPhone销售模式进一步证实了预期的势头,升级者和转换者的数量以两位数强劲增长。苹果与手机运营商的紧密联系预计也将在未来几年推动iPhone的销售贡献。Verizon和AT&T等美国知名无线运营商已经热衷于促进iPhone 12和iPhone 13等支持5G的设备的销售,以鼓励迁移到他们在全国范围内花费数十亿美元建设的5G网络。预计全球电信公司将在未来五年内斥资超过7000亿美元建设5G网络,这突显出随着运营商推动十年来最强劲的多年升级周期以收回成本,iPhone市场未来将面临巨大的额外增长机会。他们的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Mac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.</p><p><blockquote>Mac和iPad的销售额在2021财年也大幅增长,收入分别达到创纪录的352亿美元和319亿美元。继今年早些时候推出全新的M1驱动的iMac后,苹果还在10月份推出了重新设计的M1-Pro/M1-Max驱动的MacBook Pro。定制的M1处理器使最新的MacBook“在游戏之外的几乎所有生产力用例上都比任何基于英特尔的设备都好”。这相应地推动了不同消费者群体对便携式工作站的难以置信的需求,从专业创作者和摄影师到企业用户和学生。据估计,该公司在9月份季度的Mac产品出货量超过320万台,这推动了该部门创纪录的收入,同时将其在全球PC销量中的排名提升至其他供应商中的第四位。在苹果的计算产品中引入M1处理器也增强了其在利用全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑需求激增方面的地位,使该公司能够构建具有创新功能的设备,这些设备可以无缝集成到其周边配件和服务生态系统中,以吸引邻近收入。随着后大流行时代混合工作和学习安排的加速采用,全球对个人电脑和多功能平板电脑等便携式工作站的需求预计将在未来几年保持高位——预计到2025年,这些行业的市场规模将分别增长到2243亿美元和6000亿美元,这为苹果的Mac和iPad市场带来了有利的趋势。</blockquote></p><p> Recent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.</p><p><blockquote>最近关于苹果打算加强其内部芯片开发能力的猜测可能会在未来几年进一步推进其技术的进步,并吸引对其产品的额外需求。该公司目前正在寻找工程师来增强其在“无线电、射频集成电路和无线片上系统(“SoC”)”以及“用于连接蓝牙和Wi-Fi的半导体”的开发能力。这些发展预计将进一步增强苹果设备之间的无缝集成,并增加其产品和服务生态系统的粘性,使其芯片部门成为该公司“最宝贵的资产”之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Developments in Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>服务业的主要发展</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.</p><p><blockquote>在服务方面,强大的用户基础使该部门在2021财年的收入达到创纪录的超过684亿美元,比上一年增长27%。迄今为止,苹果的高利润服务已吸引了超过7.45亿付费用户,比过去五年增长了五倍。苹果在其各种服务平台(从苹果音乐到iCloud存储解决方案)中不断推动基于订阅的商业模式,再加上近年来针对关键消费者趋势的有吸引力的新产品,一直是该公司快速增长的关键驱动力。-扩大利润。为现有服务平台推出的令人兴奋的新附加功能包括苹果音乐的空间音频和无损音频以及苹果音乐语音计划。新的基于订阅的产品预计将进一步扩大苹果对智能手机、笔记本电脑和其他先进家用电子产品在全球使用不断增加所带来的邻近机会的覆盖范围,例如,全球音乐流媒体市场预计将以16%的复合年增长率扩张,预计未来五年价值将达到610亿美元,凸显了苹果音乐的巨大增长空间。苹果最新推出的苹果One捆绑包预计将成为未来几年促进服务部门销售的关键贡献者,吸引新用户为订阅服务付费,如果没有捆绑折扣,他们就不会这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Continued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.</p><p><blockquote>移动应用市场需求的持续增长也将利好苹果快速增长的服务板块。全球移动应用市场预计将以18.4%的CAGR增长,未来五年市值将超过4000亿美元。由于AAPL拥有世界上最大和使用最多的应用商店之一,有理由假设相关收入将以类似的速度增长。尽管全球监管机构对苹果App Store涉嫌违反反垄断的审查越来越多——其中最引人注目的是与Epic Games正在进行的法律斗争——但该公司对确保用户隐私、安全和交易便利性的持续关注可能会挽救局面。根据Morgan Stanley对美国和中国4000名苹果产品用户进行的一项调查,尽管开发者正在争取在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,但大多数用户都表示对苹果应用商店的忠诚度,因为它提供了“安全、隐私和交易便利性的价值”。作为Epic Games提起的长达一年的诉讼的一部分,苹果最近成功推迟了美国地区法官Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers在9月份下令的App Store变更,这是App Store持续强劲的另一个迹象。该公司辩称,法院授权的允许App Store用户“直接从网络上的开发者那里购买”的命令将对他们的隐私安全构成威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Currently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.</p><p><blockquote>目前,开发者正在争取让应用用户在苹果生态系统之外进行交易的权利,该生态系统向开发者收取高达所有购买30%的高额佣金。随着苹果继续对该裁决提出上诉,法院关于是否需要实施App Store变更的最终决定可能至少还需要一年时间。但即使做出不利的裁决,即苹果必须允许开发者将用户重定向到其生态系统之外的支付和/或降低其应用内购买佣金率,App Store的收入预计每年最多只会减少40亿美元,这不会对其估值前景产生重大影响。考虑到App Store用户对苹果通过该平台提供的安全性和便利性水平的重视,实际的量化影响甚至可能低于市场预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Catalysts Ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>未来的关键催化剂</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.</p><p><blockquote>由于其庞大的设备安装基础和相关服务平台用户,苹果无疑是将新兴技术带入主流的关键门户。正因为如此,未来几年备受期待的AR/VR耳机和自动驾驶汽车等尖端产品的推出可能会将该股推向新的高度。这家颠覆性消费电子和设备的先驱预计将在2023年初推出VR耳机和AR眼镜,这是一项新兴技术,近几个月来,随着有关元宇宙的讨论越来越多,这项技术的发展势头越来越大。与市场上已有的大多数VR头显类似,苹果的将配备3D显示屏,为从游戏到交流的各种活动提供身临其境的环境。差异化因素将是该公司计划在设备中实现一流的图形芯片,以促进超高分辨率显示。即将推出的VR头显最终将为其AR眼镜奠定基础,苹果预计这将是“更大的机会”。</blockquote></p><p> Over the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.</p><p><blockquote>未来五年,与元宇宙相关的机会预计将发展成为8000亿美元的市场。相关软件和服务销售预计将推动预计潜在市场的70%以上,而其余部分可能由硬件销售推动。这为苹果带来了强劲的推动力,该公司不仅可以通过销售即将推出的AR/VR耳机来利用不断增长的元宇宙机会,还可以利用与相关应用程序、软件和服务平台使用相关的邻近收入。</blockquote></p><p> Speculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.</p><p><blockquote>对苹果正在开发自动驾驶电动汽车的猜测预计也将在可预见的未来为该股带来有意义的上涨。该公司现在计划到2025年推出新的产品类别,届时全球自动驾驶汽车市场的价值预计将达到2000亿美元以上。最终的汽车可能会向其现有产品组合致敬,例如“类似iPad的触摸屏”信息娱乐系统。在技术方面,据信苹果已经完成了定制芯片的开发,用于为车辆的自动驾驶功能提供动力。据该州DMV称,最新的芯片将很快应用到其现有的改装SUV车队中,以便在加利福尼亚州进行测试,这表明即将推出的芯片即将推出。</blockquote></p><p> While Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.</p><p><blockquote>虽然苹果目前的市值可能已经反映了“随着时间的推移,新产品和服务对材料收入的持续贡献”,但上述新产品类别发布的额外上行空间仍然缺失。但随着苹果AR/VR设备即将推出,这种情况可能会在未来12个月内发生变化。对早期AR/VR设备销售的近期预测预计将使苹果的估值至少提高1500亿美元。随着时间的推移,当元宇宙趋势继续获得主流关注时,苹果预计将从AR/VR领域获得超过2000亿美元的年收入,这可能会在其当前市值的基础上再增加15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值前景和即将加息的潜在影响</b></blockquote></p><p> Adjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>调整我们对苹果2021财年年终业绩和12月季度指引的最新预测,我们的基本情况预测预计到2022财年末总净销售额为4393亿美元,到2026财年将进一步增长至6685亿美元。我们预测中应用于各部门收入的增长假设与我们对该股的最新分析基本保持不变,并额外考虑了管理层对供应限制影响和即将加息的近期前景。具体来说,2021财年下半年由于全行业芯片短缺和大流行导致的制造延迟造成的90亿美元收入损失(即6月季度约30亿美元,9月季度约60亿美元)预计将恶化2022财年上半年。尽管供应链挑战有所改善,但对苹果产品的持续强劲需求将导致未来几个季度销量损失更大。尽管如此,苹果仍为未来强劲的基本面做好了准备,这将有助于缓解投资者因即将加息而对估值的一些担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5aa95136cfca6f95b962ea36eadab74\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"257\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Financial Projections:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测:</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6585b165abd25fab7d171dd944d05156\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"316\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部财务预测(苹果_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf)。有关所应用的材料增长假设的更多详情,请参阅此处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Drawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述考虑,我们将苹果股票的12个月目标价修正为209.43美元。基于12月17日171.14美元的最后交易价格,这意味着超过22%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e88e904b5b900fbcdf4541d856570e2d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"230\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>修订后的价格目标是使用十年离散期内的贴现现金流(“DCF”)分析得出的,并结合前几节中分析的针对苹果近期发展更新的财务预测。与我们最初的估值分析类似,我们采用了8%的WACC来贴现苹果的预计自由现金流。考虑到公司当前的资本结构和强劲的资产负债表,贴现函数反映了公司的风险状况。考虑到苹果现有债务的很大一部分是固定利率票据,预计其增长资本成本不会因即将加息而发生重大变化。该公司还拥有持续强劲的净现金状况,管理层打算在加息之前部署以实现额外增长,而不必产生增量资本成本。预计这将进一步巩固投资者对苹果股票的信心,因为他们在担心利率上升带来的更广泛市场压力的情况下继续“转向优质股票”。</blockquote></p><p> The valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>估值分析还假设退出倍数为19.8倍,这与当前市场对苹果在预测期内增长轨迹的预期一致。考虑到AR/VR设备和自动驾驶汽车等新产品领域即将推出,所应用的退出倍数假设甚至可能在未来12个月内进一步改善,并抵消即将加息的任何潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p> <i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f992ef8b2b59ea879f69a7b1e7ad52\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <i>ii. Sensitivity Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、敏感性分析:</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8b21dae04fd263929ab26bd8d83907\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者,数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>基于上述分析,预计未来两年在当前接近零的联邦基金利率基础上增加175至200个基点,从基本面和估值角度来看,预计不会对苹果的业绩造成重大不利影响。全球对苹果产品和服务的强劲需求,加上新的创新,预计将进一步增强该公司的基本增长前景。因此,这将进一步改善苹果的资产负债表,并进一步增强其抵御更广泛的宏观逆风带来的估值下行压力的地位。事实上,为应对即将加息带来的风险,对优质成长型股票的需求不断增加,甚至可能会推动苹果的估值增长势头。考虑到这些因素,苹果仍然是表现最好的科技股之一,尽管加息即将到来,但其近期仍强劲上涨至3万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475887-apple-stock-aapl-strongest-shield-against-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183475424","content_text":"Summary\n\nWith inflation running its hottest course in 40 years, the Federal Reserve has decided to accelerate the stimulus tapering schedule and prepare for raising interest rates as early as March.\nWhile rate hikes have historically deterred investors from growth stocks due to concerns over eroding valuation prospects, the Apple stock has remained largely resilient.\nApple is expected to realize additional upsides ahead, sustained by robust demand for its existing offerings and new opportunities arising from nascent technologies like AR/VR and autonomous vehicles.\nIts strong net cash position also provides sufficient dry powder to fund additional growth in coming years without incurring additional costs of capital amidst rising interest rates.\nAs such, Apple's bullish thesis remains intact as it approaches a $3 trillion valuation, despite broader market valuation risks ahead.\n\nguvendemir/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nAs one of the world’s best performing stocks, Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL) has gained close to 40% this year. The stock, which last peaked at $182.13 not too long ago, is currently less than 7% from being the first U.S. publicly listed company to reach a $3 trillion market value and single-handedly accounts for about 15% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100’s performance. Apple’s market value has grown by more than 220x since the late 1990s, buoyed by the company’s continuous ability to capture robust demand for its innovative portfolio of products and services.\nAnd Apple’s strong fundamentals are expected to help the stock defy adverse impacts from the imminent rate hikes beginning next year. With inflation running at its hottest in almost four decades, the Federal Reserve decided Wednesday that it will increase the pace at which it is dialing back on the $120 billion monthly bond repurchasing program from $15 billion per month, which began in November, to $30 billion per month. This would effectively conclude the stimulus program, put in place at the onset of the pandemic, coming March, rather than in July as initially planned. Rate hikes are expected to begin soon after to counter rising price pressures, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell affirming that the process will only begin after tapering ends and at a gradual pace. The latest dot plot indicates potential for the Federal Fund Rate to lift-off from near-zero beginning early 2022 with three quarter-point increases, plus another three in 2023 and two more in 2024. If materialized, the process would up the funds rate to 2.1% by 2024.\nSource: Bloomberg\nWhile rate hikes typically cause investors to turn risk averse due to concerns over faster erosion of value on future gains and stalled business growth due to rising costs of capital, especially for high-growth stocks, Apple gained close to 3% upon release of the Fed’s update on policy tightening. The stock closed at $179.30 on December 15th, nearing its peak of $182 on Monday. Apple’s rally, along with similar uptrends observed across other mega-cap tech stocks, accordingly drove intra-day gains of 2.4% for the Nasdaq 100 following the Federal Reserve’s update, indicating investors’ preference to park their money in companies with robust growth prospects to counter risks from the impending rate increases.\nWith the coming holiday season a boon for Apple’s December-quarter sales, the stock’s valuation is expected to enter in the $3 trillion territory sooner than expected. Continued robust demand observed across Apple’s entire product line, generous share buy-backs, and additional revenue contributions expected within the foreseeable future resulting from new, cutting-edge products will also be key catalysts to support the company’s persistently strong fundamentals and keep the stock’s valuation above $3 trillion despite the impending rate hikes. Considering recent developments to the broader market and Apple’s growth prospects, we are raising our 12-month price target for the stock to $209.43.\nFY 2021 Overview and Recap of Fundamental Prospects\nFiscal 2021 was a big year for Apple. The company’s revenues for the year grew 33% from fiscal 2020 to $366 billion, despite on-and-off store closures resulting from recurring coronavirus outbreaks and supply chain constraints that have led to more than $9 billion in lost sales. Every product and service segment achieved record-setting revenues with more than 20% growth from previous year results. Much of the year’s success were attributable to a series of new product launches and feature upgrades. The most notable of which included the 5G-enabled family of iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, as well as the M1-powered MacBook Pro and iPad Pro.\nKey Developments in Products\niPhone sales grew by 39% this year, the most amongst other segments, and drove more than half of Apple’s fiscal 2021 revenues. The results were a stark contrast to last year’s slump in demand for the mobile device when consumers braced for pandemic-driven economic uncertainties. iPhone sales are expected to remain robust in coming years as global 5G device upgrades continue to gather pace. The likely launch of a more affordable 5G-enabled iPhone SE in 2022 is also expected to further Apple’s market share gains by attracting switchers from “more than a billion non-premium Android users”, and drive the active installed base to another all-time high. The anticipated momentum is further corroborated by iPhone sales patterns observed in recent quarters following the launch of 5G-enabled iPhone 12s and iPhone 13s, where the number of upgraders and switchers grew by strong double digits. Apple’s strong ties with cell-phone carriers is also expected to drive meaningful iPhone sales contributions in coming years. Reputable wireless carriers in the U.S. like Verizon and AT&T have already been keen on promoting the sale of 5G-enabled devices like the iPhone 12 and iPhone 13 to encourage migration to the 5G network that they have spent billions of dollars on building across the nation. Telecom companies around the world are expected to spend more than $700 billion over the next five years on building-out the 5G network, underscoring significant additional growth opportunities ahead for the iPhone segment as carriers push for the strongest multiyear upgrade cycle in a decade to recoup their investments.\nMac and iPad sales also grew significantly in fiscal 2021, reaching record revenues of $35.2 billion and $31.9 billion, respectively. Following the introduction of the all-new M1-powered iMac earlier this year, Apple also unveiled the reimagined M1-Pro / M1-Max powered MacBook Pro in October. The custom M1 processors made the newest MacBook “better than any Intel-based device for nearly every productivity use case outside of gaming”. This accordingly drove incredible demand for the portable workstation from a diverse group of consumers, ranging from professional creators and photographers to corporate users and students. The company is estimated to have shipped over 3.2 million units of Mac products during the September quarter, which drove record-setting revenues for the segment, while boosting its rank in global PC sales to fourth place amongst other vendors. The introduction of M1-processors in Apple’s computing products also bolstered its position in capitalizing on the surge in global demand for PCs and multi-purpose tablets by allowing the company to build devices with innovative features that can be seamlessly integrated across its ecosystem of peripheral accessories and services to draw adjacent revenues. With accelerated adoption of hybrid work and study arrangements in the post-pandemic era, global demand for portable workstations like PCs and multi-purpose tablets are expected to remain elevated in coming years – the sectors are expected to grow into a $224.3 billion and$600 billion market, respectively, by 2025, which makes favorable trends for Apple’s Mac and iPad segments.\nRecent speculations on Apple’s intentions to strengthen its in-house chip development capacity will likely further the advancement of its technologies offered in coming years and draw additional demand to its products. The company is currently looking for engineers to build-out its capacity in the development of “wireless radios, radio-frequency integrated circuits, and a wireless system-on-chip (“SoC”)”, as well as “semiconductors for connecting Bluetooth and Wi-Fi”. These developments are expected to further enhance seamless integration across Apple’s devices and increase stickiness to its ecosystem of product and service offerings, making its chip unit one of the company’s “most prized assets”.\nKey Developments in Services\nOn the services front, a strong subscriber base had enabled the segment to hit record-setting revenues of more than $68.4 billion in fiscal 2021, up 27% from the prior year. To date, Apple has garnered more than 745 million paid subscribers across its high-margin service offerings, representing a five-fold increase over the last five years. Apple’s increasing push for a subscription-based business model across its wide variety of service platforms, ranging from Apple Music to iCloud storage solutions, paired with attractive new offerings that address key consumer trends in recent years have been a key driver to the company’s fast-expanding margins. New exciting add-on features introduced for existing service platforms include Spatial Audio and Lossless Audiofor Apple Music and the Apple Music Voice Plan. The new subscription-based offerings are expected to further Apple’s reach to adjacent opportunities stemming from increasing global usage of smartphones, laptops and other advanced home electronic products – for instance, the global music streaming market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 16% towards a projected value of $61 billion over the next five years, underscoring significant growth headroom for Apple Music. And Apple’s latest introduction of the Apple One bundle is expected to be a key contributor to furthering service segment sales in coming years by attracting new users to pay for subscription services that they otherwise would not have had it not been for the bundle discounts.\nContinued growth in market demand for mobile applications will also be a boon to Apple’s fast-growing services segment. The global market for mobile applications is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.4% and reach a market value of more than $400 billion over the next five years. With AAPL hosting one of the largest and most used app stores in the world, it would be reasonable to assume that related revenues would grow at a similar pace. Despite mounting global regulatory scrutiny over Apple’s alleged antitrust violations with its App Store – the most notable of which stemming from an ongoing legal battle with Epic Games– the company’s continued focus on ensuring user privacy, security, and ease of transactions might have saved the day. According to a survey of 4,000 Apple product users performed by Morgan Stanley across the U.S. and China, most have indicated loyalty to Apple’s App store due to the “value of security, privacy and ease of transactions” provided, despite developers pushing for rights to transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem. Apple’s recent success in delaying App Store changes ordered by U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in September as part of a year-long lawsuit brought against by Epic Games is another sign of the App Store’s continued strength. The company has argued that the court-mandated order to allow App Store users to “buy directly from developers on the web” would be a threat to the security of their privacy.\nCurrently, developers are fighting for their rights to have app users transact outside of Apple’s ecosystem, which charges developers a hefty commission fee of up to 30% on all purchases. As Apple continues with its appeal of the ruling, the ultimate court decision on whether App Store changes would need to be implemented could take at least another year. But even with an unfavorable ruling, where Apple would have to allow developers to redirect users to payments outside of its ecosystem and/or lower its in-app purchase commission rate, App Store revenues are only expected to decrease by at most $4 billion per year which will not place a material impact on its valuation prospects. The actual quantified impact might even be less than what the market has forecasted, considering the value that App Store users have ascribed to the level of security and convenience that Apple has offered through the platform.\nKey Catalysts Ahead\nApple is undoubtedly a key gateway to bringing emerging technologies to the mainstream due to its massive installed base of devices and related service platform users. And because of this, the highly anticipated launch of cutting-edge products like AR/VR headsets and autonomous vehicles in coming years will likely catapult the stock to new heights. The pioneer of disruptive consumer electronics and devices is expected to launch a VR headset and AR glasses by early 2023, a nascent technology that has been picking up steam in recent months with increasing talks of the metaverse. Similar to most VR headsets already available in the market, Apple’s will feature a 3D display to enable an immersive environment for a variety of activities from gaming to communicating. The differentiating factor will be the company’s plans to implement best-in-class graphics chips in the device to facilitate ultra-high-resolution displays. The impending VR headset will ultimately lay the foundation for its AR glasses, which Apple expects to be the “larger opportunity”.\nOver the next five years, opportunities pertaining to the metaverse are expected to blossom into an $800 billion market. Related software and service sales are expected to drive more than 70% of the projected addressable market, while the remainder will likely be driven by hardware sales. This makes strong tailwinds for Apple, which does not only stand to capitalize on growing metaverse opportunities through the sale of its impending AR/VR headset, but also adjacent revenues pertaining to the usage of related apps, software and service platforms.\nSpeculations on Apple’s ongoing development of a self-driving electric car is also expected to materialize into meaningful upsides for the stock within the foreseeable future. The company is now planning to launch the new product category by 2025, at which time the global autonomous vehicle market is expected to reach a value of more than $200 billion. The eventual car will likely feature homages to its existing product portfolio, like an “iPad-like touch screen” infotainment system. And on the technology front, Apple is believed to have completed the development of a custom silicon for powering the vehicle’s autonomous driving capabilities. The newest chips will soon be implemented into its existing fleet of retrofitted SUVs for testing in California according to the state’s DMV, a sign that the impending launch is near.\nWhile Apple’s current market value may already be reflective of “consistent material revenue contributions from new products and services over time”, additional upsides from the above-mentioned new product category launches are still missing. But this will likely change within the next 12 months as the impending launch of an Apple AR/VR device draws near. Near-term projections on early AR/VR device sales are expected to boost Apple’s valuation by at least $150 billion. And over time when metaverse trends continue to gain mainstream traction, Apple is expected to generate more than $200 billion in annual revenues from the AR/VR segment, which could add another 15% on top of its current market value.\nValuation Prospects and Potential Impacts from the Impending Rate Increases\nAdjusting our most recent forecast for Apple’s fiscal 2021 year-end results and December-quarter guidance, our base case projection estimates total net sales of $439.3 billion by the end of fiscal 2022, with further growth towards $668.5 billion by fiscal 2026. The growth assumptions applied across segment revenues in our forecast remains largely unchanged from our most recent analysis on the stock, with additional consideration for management’s near-term outlook on supply constraint impacts and the impending rate hikes. Specifically, lost revenues of $9 billion (i.e. approximately $3 billion during June-quarter and $6 billion during September-quarter) attributable to industry-wide chip shortages and pandemic-driven manufacturing delays during the second half of fiscal 2021 is expected to worsen into the first half of fiscal 2022. While there have been observed improvements to supply chain challenges, continuously robust demand for Apple products is what will drive a higher volume of lost sales in coming quarters. Nonetheless, Apple remains well-positioned for strong fundamentals ahead, which will help to alleviate some of investors’ concerns on valuation due to impending rate hikes.\n\ni. Base Case Financial Projections:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast (Apple_-_Forecasted_Financial_Information.pdf). Please refer here for further detail on material growth assumptions applied.\nDrawing on the above considerations, our 12-month price target for the Apple stock has been revised to $209.43. This represents upside potential of more than 22% based on the last traded price of $171.14 on December 17th.\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nThe revised price target is derived using a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis over a ten-year discrete period in conjunction with the financial projections updated for Apple’s recent developments as analyzed in earlier sections. Similar to our original valuation analysis, we have applied a WACC of 8% to discount Apple’s projected free cash flows. The discount function is reflective of the company’s risk profile, taking into consideration its current capital structure and strong balance sheet. Apple’s cost of capital for growth is not expected to change significantly as a result of the impending rate hikes, considering a large portion of its existing debt are fixed-rate notes. The company also boasts a consistently robust net cash position, in which management intends to deploy towards additional growth without having to incur incremental capital costs ahead of interest rate increases. This is expected to further cement investors’ confidence in the Apple stock, as they continue their “flight to quality” amidst fear of broader market pressure from rising interest rates.\nThe valuation analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 19.8x, which is consistent with current market expectations on Apple’s growth trajectory over the forecasted period. The applied exit multiple assumption could even improve further within the next 12 months, considering the impending launch of new product segments like AR/VR devices and autonomous vehicles, and offset any potential impacts from the upcoming increases to interest rates.\ni. Base Case Valuation Analysis:\n\nii. Sensitivity Analysis:\nSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.\nConclusion\nBased on the foregoing analysis, the anticipated addition of 175 to 200 basis points to the current near-zero Federal Fund Rate over the next two years is not expected to cause material adverse impacts to Apple’s performance from both a fundamental and valuation perspective. Robust global demand for Apple products and services, paired with new innovations are expected to further bolster the company’s fundamental growth prospects. This would accordingly bring additional improvements to Apple’s balance sheet, and further strengthen its position against downward valuation pressures from broader macro headwinds. In fact, increasing demand for quality growth stocks to counter risks resulting from the impending rate hikes might even fuel Apple’s valuation growth momentum. On these considerations, Apple remains one of the best-performing tech stocks to own given its robust uptrend to $3 trillion in the near-term despite impending rate hikes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699477392,"gmtCreate":1639885342923,"gmtModify":1639885343048,"author":{"id":"4097453463145590","authorId":"4097453463145590","name":"Projme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0af029fd435ad08e3c35f4a579ab4977","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4097453463145590","idStr":"4097453463145590"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699477392","repostId":"1122414343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122414343","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639884070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122414343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-19 11:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列,辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122414343","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5","content":"<p>The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&A prospects. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的医疗保健股表现优于大盘指数中的所有其他板块,涨幅约为2.5%,主要得益于并购前景。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>科技股以及与COVID-19死灰复燃作斗争的股票领涨,而整体指数下跌约1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Among stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena Pharmaceuticals </a> dominated with a ~83.8% rise after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer </a> agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner </a> also joined the M&A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle </a> for the electronic-medical-records company.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一周市值超过20亿美元、日均成交量超过10万的股票中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena制药公司</a>之后上涨约83.8%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>同意以约6.7 B美元的价格收购该生物技术公司,溢价100%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a>也加入了并购推动的涨势,本周上涨约20.7%,有报道称来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a>电子病历公司。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccine developer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax </a> jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开发商、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>由于投资者欢迎世界卫生组织批准该公司的COVID-19疫苗,股价上涨约30.5%。当欧洲监管机构的专家小组将于下周审查该疫苗的营销授权时,这家总部位于马里兰州的生物技术公司可能会进一步受益。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven Pharmaceutical </a> posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant Sciences </a> added ~22.6%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven制药</a>在该公司宣布NURTEC ODT(rimegepant)在以色列获得批准后,该公司每周上涨约25.2%,使其成为该偏头痛药物在美国以外的首个监管胜利。与此同时,Vir Biotechnology(纳斯达克股票代码:VIR)飙升约23.7%,成为本月第二周涨幅最大的股票之一。本周出现的更多数据证实了该公司与葛兰素史克(纽约证券交易所股票代码:GSK)合作开发的COVID-19疗法具有奥密克戎中和作用。跻身涨幅前五名的还有,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant科学</a>增加了约22.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Notable gainer: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的赢家:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE)本周成为头条新闻,再次提高了COVID-19疫苗的销售指引,因为迅速传播的奥密克戎变种凸显了加强注射的必要性。尽管周五突然结束了连续六天的涨势,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>总部位于美国的制药巨头股价上涨约12.7%,创下2009年3月以来的最佳单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Among worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在本周表现最差的公司中,两家新IPO的生物技术公司Instil Bio(纳斯达克股票代码:TIL)和Exscientia(纳斯达克股票代码:EXAI)脱颖而出,尽管它们在华尔街获得了良好的评级,但分别下跌了19.3%和约13.5%。与此同时,处方药比价平台运营商GoodRx Holdings(纳斯达克股票代码:GDRX)股价下跌约15.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Last week’s best performer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">Bright Health Group</a>, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.</p><p><blockquote>上周表现最好的,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">光明健康集团</a>,暴跌约13.1%,受到唯一卖出评级的伤害<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>尽管这家投资银行以基本积极的观点开始了对管理式医疗的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">CAR</a> T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.</p><p><blockquote>Allogene Therapeutics(纳斯达克股票代码:ALLO)在ASH介绍实验性同种异体药物1期数据后股价下跌约12.3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">车</a>T疗法未能让投资者兴奋,其中包括Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management,该公司几天后出售了约160万股该生物技术公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Novavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列,辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovavax, Vir among healthcare gainers, Pfizer posts best rally in a decade<blockquote>Novavax、Vir跻身医疗保健股涨幅之列,辉瑞(Pfizer)创下十年来最佳涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-19 11:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&A prospects. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的医疗保健股表现优于大盘指数中的所有其他板块,涨幅约为2.5%,主要得益于并购前景。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>科技股以及与COVID-19死灰复燃作斗争的股票领涨,而整体指数下跌约1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Among stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena Pharmaceuticals </a> dominated with a ~83.8% rise after <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer </a> agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">Cerner </a> also joined the M&A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">Oracle </a> for the electronic-medical-records company.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一周市值超过20亿美元、日均成交量超过10万的股票中,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARNA\">Arena制药公司</a>之后上涨约83.8%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>同意以约6.7 B美元的价格收购该生物技术公司,溢价100%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CERN\">塞尔纳</a>也加入了并购推动的涨势,本周上涨约20.7%,有报道称来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">神谕</a>电子病历公司。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccine developer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax </a> jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗开发商、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>由于投资者欢迎世界卫生组织批准该公司的COVID-19疫苗,股价上涨约30.5%。当欧洲监管机构的专家小组将于下周审查该疫苗的营销授权时,这家总部位于马里兰州的生物技术公司可能会进一步受益。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven Pharmaceutical </a> posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant Sciences </a> added ~22.6%.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHVN\">Biohaven制药</a>在该公司宣布NURTEC ODT(rimegepant)在以色列获得批准后,该公司每周上涨约25.2%,使其成为该偏头痛药物在美国以外的首个监管胜利。与此同时,Vir Biotechnology(纳斯达克股票代码:VIR)飙升约23.7%,成为本月第二周涨幅最大的股票之一。本周出现的更多数据证实了该公司与葛兰素史克(纽约证券交易所股票代码:GSK)合作开发的COVID-19疗法具有奥密克戎中和作用。跻身涨幅前五名的还有,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROIV\">Roivant科学</a>增加了约22.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Notable gainer: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a>-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的赢家:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE)本周成为头条新闻,再次提高了COVID-19疫苗的销售指引,因为迅速传播的奥密克戎变种凸显了加强注射的必要性。尽管周五突然结束了连续六天的涨势,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>总部位于美国的制药巨头股价上涨约12.7%,创下2009年3月以来的最佳单周涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Among worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>在本周表现最差的公司中,两家新IPO的生物技术公司Instil Bio(纳斯达克股票代码:TIL)和Exscientia(纳斯达克股票代码:EXAI)脱颖而出,尽管它们在华尔街获得了良好的评级,但分别下跌了19.3%和约13.5%。与此同时,处方药比价平台运营商GoodRx Holdings(纳斯达克股票代码:GDRX)股价下跌约15.6%。</blockquote></p><p> Last week’s best performer, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">Bright Health Group</a>, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.</p><p><blockquote>上周表现最好的,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHG\">光明健康集团</a>,暴跌约13.1%,受到唯一卖出评级的伤害<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>尽管这家投资银行以基本积极的观点开始了对管理式医疗的报道。</blockquote></p><p> Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">CAR</a> T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.</p><p><blockquote>Allogene Therapeutics(纳斯达克股票代码:ALLO)在ASH介绍实验性同种异体药物1期数据后股价下跌约12.3%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00699\">车</a>T疗法未能让投资者兴奋,其中包括Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management,该公司几天后出售了约160万股该生物技术公司的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781487-novavax-vir-among-healthcare-gainers-pfizer-posts-best-rally-in-a-decade\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4007":"制药","CERN":"美国塞纳","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","ORCL":"甲骨文","PFE":"辉瑞","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","ARNA":"阿里那","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3781487-novavax-vir-among-healthcare-gainers-pfizer-posts-best-rally-in-a-decade","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122414343","content_text":"The healthcare stocks in the S&P 500 outperformed all other sectors in the broader index with a ~2.5% gain thanks mainly to M&A prospects. Healthcare technology, along with names battling the resurgence of COVID-19, led the gainers while the overall index fell ~1.9%.\nAmong stocks with more than $2B market capitalization and 100K average daily volume over the past week, Arena Pharmaceuticals dominated with a ~83.8% rise after Pfizer agreed to acquire it in a ~$6.7B deal with 100% premium for the biotech. Cerner also joined the M&A-driven rally to gain ~20.7% over the week amid reports of a potential ~$30B bid from Oracle for the electronic-medical-records company.\nVaccine developer, Novavax jumped ~30.5% as investors welcomed the WHO clearance for the company’s COVID-19 shot. Further gains for the Maryland-based biotech are likely when an expert panel of the European regulators is set to review the marketing authorization for the vaccine next week.\nBiohaven Pharmaceutical posted a ~25.2% weekly rise after the company announced the approval for NURTEC ODT (rimegepant) in Israel, making it the first regulatory win for the migraine drug outside the U.S. Meanwhile, Vir Biotechnology (NASDAQ:VIR) surged ~23.7% to stand among best gainers for the second week this month. More data emerged this week confirming the Omicron-neutralizing effect of the company’s COVID-19 therapy developed in partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK). Rounding out the top five gainers, Roivant Sciences added ~22.6%.\nNotable gainer: Pfizer (PFE) made headlines throughout the week, raising its sales guidance for the COVID-19 vaccine once again as the rapidly spreading Omicron variant highlighted the need for booster shots. Despite an abrupt end to its six-day rally on Friday, the New York-based pharma giant with a ~12.7% rise recorded its best weekly gain since March 2009.\nAmong worst performers of the week, two newly IPO’ed biotechs, Instil Bio (NASDAQ:TIL) and Exscientia (NASDAQ:EXAI), stood out, falling 19.3% and ~13.5%, respectively, despite their favorable ratings on Wall Street. Meanwhile, GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ:GDRX), an operator of a price comparison platform for prescription medicine slumped ~15.6%.\nLast week’s best performer, Bright Health Group, crashed ~13.1%, hurt by the sole Sell rating issued by Goldman Sachs even as the investment bank kicked off its coverage on managed care with largely positive views.\nAllogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ:ALLO) dropped ~12.3% after the company’s ASH presentations on Phase 1 data for experimental allogeneic CAR T therapies failed to excite investors, including Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management, which sold ~1.6M shares of the biotech several days later.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARNA":0.9,"CERN":0.9,"ORCL":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}