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冬天的月亮

冬天的月亮

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冬天的月亮

12-29 20:04

明年继续看账

冬天的月亮

12-27

做美股比较省事买入好的标的，只要长期持有就能有不错的收益做大爱需要跟随市场的脚步和资金的关注点不断的做热点，才能有好的收益

冬天的月亮

12-26

大概率是利好，可以巩固英伟达龙头地位

冬天的月亮

12-24

长期看好黄金，白银今年暴涨大部分人没有想到明年很可能还会涨，但是要想在翻倍很难

冬天的月亮

12-24

比特币近期大跌，要想走好需要反复的横盘震荡，目前很难说，已经见底了尽管跌了这么多，因此看好比特币的，想投资比特币的还需要耐心等上升趋势走出来再入场不迟

冬天的月亮

12-24

勉强跑赢，以后要买ETF。

冬天的月亮

12-24

微软在这次人工智能的浪潮中好像被遗忘一样；风头让英伟达谷歌给抢去了

冬天的月亮

12-23

我选英伟达谷歌博通高通以及台积电

冬天的月亮

12-18

长线看涨黄金，白银短线看好，但要注意见顶风险

冬天的月亮

12-17

买苹果，特斯拉就行

冬天的月亮

12-16

博通今年涨的太多了，等一段时间重新站上20日均线再看

冬天的月亮

12-15

[强]

@躺平躺到地狱了:黄金期指周五冲高回落涨0.39%周涨2.42%均超期。上周预判“继续维持强势振荡重心不断上移走势大概率”正确。4398见顶调整最低探至3901.3回踩10周均线后，沿10周均振荡上行，本轮调整调幅之小反弹之快大超期。观点：短中长线均为多头趋势，后市继续上涨大概率。短线压力4398，支撑5日均。中线支撑20日均。技术指标：短线看：5日均上，20日均上，多头趋势。中线看：5周均上，20周均上，多头趋势。长线看：5月均上，20月均上，多头趋势。黄金自2022年11月3日最低1618.3点以来一直处于大的上升通道中，没有见顶迹象，长期看涨--黄金期指本周复盘和下周预判

冬天的月亮

12-13

看好明年走势，大牛市目前看还没有结束信号，具体能涨多少很难预判

冬天的月亮

12-13

圣诞行情大概率是没有了，因为一是年内涨幅太大了，二是因为目前处于周线级别调整中

冬天的月亮

12-12

甲骨文是科技明星股市场表现一直比较好主要是长得太高了，长得是估值太高了，杀溢价后世应该还会起来的

冬天的月亮

12-12

风水学在大A市场上还是比较盛行的在市场没有主线炒无可炒的时候会蹦出来

冬天的月亮

12-11

有点拿不准，感觉热度都不高

冬天的月亮

12-11

应该会助力特斯拉的，不过我更看好spaceX

冬天的月亮

12-10

接近对英伟达利好有限因为第一说不定什么，什么时候就又被禁止了，第二中国也在寻找国产替代，努力克服卡脖子问题

冬天的月亮

12-10

我更看好甲骨文

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2、最新消息： 躺观黄金（纽约黄金期指期指主连）： 一、消息面、基本面： 1、地缘政治：世界局势总体平稳。 2、关税贸易战：相对平稳。 3、市场需求：一是全球央行购金需求维持高位，为金价提供长期支撑。二是越来越多投资者资产配置一部分黄金不断增加投资市场需求；三是社会经济高速发展，世界老百性更加富足，消费需求巨大且增速较快，消费升级和结婚刚需等扩大黄金需求。 4、通胀预期：当前通胀压力仍在。长期来看温和通胀是趋势，为黄金提供长期上涨支撑。&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 5、美元指数：理论上：美元指数走低，以美元计价资产价格有走高动能；美元指数走高，以美元计价资产价格有走低动能。周线上看：2025年9月17日最低至96.224点后持续反弹，11月21日100.390以来持续阴跌 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均上 ，超短多头趋势。 短期：20日均上，20均向上，短期多头趋势。 中期：5周均上，20周均上，20周均向上，中期多头趋势。 长期：5月均上，20月均上，长期多头趋势。25年11月涨跌幅：+6.05%。2024年涨跌幅：27.39%（东财数据） 2、macd：日线金叉（第12天）、周线金叉（第15周）、月线2023年3月以来持续金叉。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、SKDJ指标：日K值73左右，周K值70左右。（日线调整中：SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号）（牛市中：周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中：低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值） 4、神奇9转（日线低9作用大）：日线：高6，周线：无，月线","listText":"前言：1、长线看黄金：长期看涨，小调整小机会，大调整大机会。以年为单位长期持有盈利概率99.99%。稳键的可以做为资产配置，长期配备一定仓位。 2、最新消息： 躺观黄金（纽约黄金期指期指主连）： 一、消息面、基本面： 1、地缘政治：世界局势总体平稳。 2、关税贸易战：相对平稳。 3、市场需求：一是全球央行购金需求维持高位，为金价提供长期支撑。二是越来越多投资者资产配置一部分黄金不断增加投资市场需求；三是社会经济高速发展，世界老百性更加富足，消费需求巨大且增速较快，消费升级和结婚刚需等扩大黄金需求。 4、通胀预期：当前通胀压力仍在。长期来看温和通胀是趋势，为黄金提供长期上涨支撑。&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 5、美元指数：理论上：美元指数走低，以美元计价资产价格有走高动能；美元指数走高，以美元计价资产价格有走低动能。周线上看：2025年9月17日最低至96.224点后持续反弹，11月21日100.390以来持续阴跌 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均上 ，超短多头趋势。 短期：20日均上，20均向上，短期多头趋势。 中期：5周均上，20周均上，20周均向上，中期多头趋势。 长期：5月均上，20月均上，长期多头趋势。25年11月涨跌幅：+6.05%。2024年涨跌幅：27.39%（东财数据） 2、macd：日线金叉（第12天）、周线金叉（第15周）、月线2023年3月以来持续金叉。（经验：日线金叉，20均上，20均走平或向上大概率会迎来一波上涨。经验：周线金叉行情往往更持久） 3、SKDJ指标：日K值73左右，周K值70左右。（日线调整中：SKDJ低位金叉特别是低位金叉底背离是判断短线见底的重要信号）（牛市中：周SKDJ高位横盘钝化是常态。周线、月级调整中：低位金叉在判断短线见底上有重要参考价值） 4、神奇9转（日线低9作用大）：日线：高6，周线：无，月线","text":"前言：1、长线看黄金：长期看涨，小调整小机会，大调整大机会。以年为单位长期持有盈利概率99.99%。稳键的可以做为资产配置，长期配备一定仓位。 2、最新消息： 躺观黄金（纽约黄金期指期指主连）： 一、消息面、基本面： 1、地缘政治：世界局势总体平稳。 2、关税贸易战：相对平稳。 3、市场需求：一是全球央行购金需求维持高位，为金价提供长期支撑。二是越来越多投资者资产配置一部分黄金不断增加投资市场需求；三是社会经济高速发展，世界老百性更加富足，消费需求巨大且增速较快，消费升级和结婚刚需等扩大黄金需求。 4、通胀预期：当前通胀压力仍在。长期来看温和通胀是趋势，为黄金提供长期上涨支撑。 5、美元指数：理论上：美元指数走低，以美元计价资产价格有走高动能；美元指数走高，以美元计价资产价格有走低动能。周线上看：2025年9月17日最低至96.224点后持续反弹，11月21日100.390以来持续阴跌 二、技术面： 1、均线 超短：5日均上 ，超短多头趋势。 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authorId":"4105098796277020","name":"冬天的月亮","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd5a46c667881e644840c7c1a5b49ad9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105098796277020","authorIdStr":"4105098796277020"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"比特币本周表现不尽如人意，冲高回落， 下周比特币怎么走，请谈谈你的看法","listText":"比特币本周表现不尽如人意，冲高回落， 下周比特币怎么走，请谈谈你的看法","text":"比特币本周表现不尽如人意，冲高回落， 下周比特币怎么走，请谈谈你的看法","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/460871321137888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"BTC期指周五跌1.51%低期，周涨0.53%符期。解析：123615点来调整第9天，周五再创调整新低115675，大大低于预期，调整时间比预期更长，目前看没有调整结束信号，短线继续在20日均上横盘振荡大概率，支撑位20日均。原预判5日10均粘时便是调整到位之时错误，现预判5日10日20日均三线粘合时大概率是调整到位之时。随着BTC价格越来越高体量越来越大暴发力和波动性呈下降趋势，涨速也越来越缓，越来越表现为慢牛走势。以太坊持续跑赢BTC便是明证。超短：5日均粘，振荡趋势；短线：20均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均上，20周均上，多头趋势--BTC期指本周复盘和下周预判","text":"BTC期指周五跌1.51%低期，周涨0.53%符期。解析：123615点来调整第9天，周五再创调整新低115675，大大低于预期，调整时间比预期更长，目前看没有调整结束信号，短线继续在20日均上横盘振荡大概率，支撑位20日均。原预判5日10均粘时便是调整到位之时错误，现预判5日10日20日均三线粘合时大概率是调整到位之时。随着BTC价格越来越高体量越来越大暴发力和波动性呈下降趋势，涨速也越来越缓，越来越表现为慢牛走势。以太坊持续跑赢BTC便是明证。超短：5日均粘，振荡趋势；短线：20均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均上，20周均上，多头趋势--BTC期指本周复盘和下周预判","html":"BTC期指周五跌1.51%低期，周涨0.53%符期。解析：123615点来调整第9天，周五再创调整新低115675，大大低于预期，调整时间比预期更长，目前看没有调整结束信号，短线继续在20日均上横盘振荡大概率，支撑位20日均。原预判5日10均粘时便是调整到位之时错误，现预判5日10日20日均三线粘合时大概率是调整到位之时。随着BTC价格越来越高体量越来越大暴发力和波动性呈下降趋势，涨速也越来越缓，越来越表现为慢牛走势。以太坊持续跑赢BTC便是明证。超短：5日均粘，振荡趋势；短线：20均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均上，20周均上，多头趋势--BTC期指本周复盘和下周预判"},{"author":{"id":"3553113391523849","authorId":"3553113391523849","name":"苍穹之剑888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1116df09126afc8292cd7625a79d25cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553113391523849","authorIdStr":"3553113391523849"},"content":"比特币最近线调整之中，预计还得调整一段时间","text":"比特币最近线调整之中，预计还得调整一段时间","html":"比特币最近线调整之中，预计还得调整一段时间"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":458215309849312,"gmtCreate":1752906335769,"gmtModify":1752907146412,"author":{"id":"4105098796277020","authorId":"4105098796277020","name":"冬天的月亮","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd5a46c667881e644840c7c1a5b49ad9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105098796277020","authorIdStr":"4105098796277020"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"本周美国众议院通过了稳定币法案， 特朗普签署了该法案，但比特币表现不尽如人意，冲高回落， 下周比特币怎么走，请谈谈你的看法","listText":"本周美国众议院通过了稳定币法案， 特朗普签署了该法案，但比特币表现不尽如人意，冲高回落， 下周比特币怎么走，请谈谈你的看法","text":"本周美国众议院通过了稳定币法案， 特朗普签署了该法案，但比特币表现不尽如人意，冲高回落， 下周比特币怎么走，请谈谈你的看法","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/458215309849312","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"BTC期指周五跌1.36%符期，周跌0.40%低期。解析：本周众议院通过加密货币法案，特签署法案并计划签署行政令允许美养老金账户投资加密货币。重大利好下冲高回落横盘振荡，而以太坊连续四周跑赢BTC，说明BTC价格越来越高体量越来越大暴发力和波动呈下降趋势。维持之前观点：当前大概率处于日线2浪调整浪中，待5日10日均粘合时大概率是调整到位之时。短线围绕5日均横盘振荡大概率。近期市场环境好，BTC基本按自身节奏规律运行。江恩法则测算本轮上涨第一目标位131200，待市场验证。超短：5日均下，空头趋势；短线：20均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均上，20周均上，多头趋势--BTC期指本周复盘和下周预判","text":"BTC期指周五跌1.36%符期，周跌0.40%低期。解析：本周众议院通过加密货币法案，特签署法案并计划签署行政令允许美养老金账户投资加密货币。重大利好下冲高回落横盘振荡，而以太坊连续四周跑赢BTC，说明BTC价格越来越高体量越来越大暴发力和波动呈下降趋势。维持之前观点：当前大概率处于日线2浪调整浪中，待5日10日均粘合时大概率是调整到位之时。短线围绕5日均横盘振荡大概率。近期市场环境好，BTC基本按自身节奏规律运行。江恩法则测算本轮上涨第一目标位131200，待市场验证。超短：5日均下，空头趋势；短线：20均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均上，20周均上，多头趋势--BTC期指本周复盘和下周预判","html":"BTC期指周五跌1.36%符期，周跌0.40%低期。解析：本周众议院通过加密货币法案，特签署法案并计划签署行政令允许美养老金账户投资加密货币。重大利好下冲高回落横盘振荡，而以太坊连续四周跑赢BTC，说明BTC价格越来越高体量越来越大暴发力和波动呈下降趋势。维持之前观点：当前大概率处于日线2浪调整浪中，待5日10日均粘合时大概率是调整到位之时。短线围绕5日均横盘振荡大概率。近期市场环境好，BTC基本按自身节奏规律运行。江恩法则测算本轮上涨第一目标位131200，待市场验证。超短：5日均下，空头趋势；短线：20均上，多头趋势；中线：5周均上，20周均上，多头趋势--BTC期指本周复盘和下周预判"},{"author":{"id":"3553132940914627","authorId":"3553132940914627","name":"小小虎AAA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7abfc59ca1cba0a8373455c9e9b3c58e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553132940914627","authorIdStr":"3553132940914627"},"content":"近期横盘震荡中线看涨长期看涨","text":"近期横盘震荡中线看涨长期看涨","html":"近期横盘震荡中线看涨长期看涨"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":514258818576872,"gmtCreate":1766524917654,"gmtModify":1766524920972,"author":{"id":"4105098796277020","authorId":"4105098796277020","name":"冬天的月亮","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd5a46c667881e644840c7c1a5b49ad9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105098796277020","authorIdStr":"4105098796277020"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"微软在这次人工智能的浪潮中好像被遗忘一样；风头让英伟达谷歌给抢去了","listText":"微软在这次人工智能的浪潮中好像被遗忘一样；风头让英伟达谷歌给抢去了","text":"微软在这次人工智能的浪潮中好像被遗忘一样；风头让英伟达谷歌给抢去了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/514258818576872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000712","authorId":"9000000000000712","name":"AndreaClarissa","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000712","authorIdStr":"9000000000000712"},"content":"微软其实在AI底层布局很深，市场低估了","text":"微软其实在AI底层布局很深，市场低估了","html":"微软其实在AI底层布局很深，市场低估了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":504069021819096,"gmtCreate":1764097566868,"gmtModify":1764097569711,"author":{"id":"4105098796277020","authorId":"4105098796277020","name":"冬天的月亮","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd5a46c667881e644840c7c1a5b49ad9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105098796277020","authorIdStr":"4105098796277020"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"只能说 有点东西。未来跌跌涨涨上升是大趋势，必须看好","listText":"只能说 有点东西。未来跌跌涨涨上升是大趋势，必须看好","text":"只能说 有点东西。未来跌跌涨涨上升是大趋势，必须看好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/504069021819096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000533","authorId":"9000000000000533","name":"JoBloor","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000533","authorIdStr":"9000000000000533"},"content":"每次回调都是加仓机会！","text":"每次回调都是加仓机会！","html":"每次回调都是加仓机会！"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":514226353046032,"gmtCreate":1766573989304,"gmtModify":1766573991841,"author":{"id":"4105098796277020","authorId":"4105098796277020","name":"冬天的月亮","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd5a46c667881e644840c7c1a5b49ad9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4105098796277020","authorIdStr":"4105098796277020"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"长期看好黄金， 白银今年暴涨大部分人没有想到明年很可能还会涨，但是要想在翻倍很难","listText":"长期看好黄金， 白银今年暴涨大部分人没有想到明年很可能还会涨，但是要想在翻倍很难","text":"长期看好黄金， 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