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7b6294b7
2022-05-17
好
腾讯音乐盘前涨超4%，在线音乐付费用户突破8000万
7b6294b7
2022-05-17
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7b6294b7
2022-05-16
哈哈
领先指标：美国人狂搜“经济衰退”
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charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>领先指标：美国人狂搜“经济衰退”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n领先指标：美国人狂搜“经济衰退”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-15 13:21 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3659365><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>最近几周，风险意识在全球范围内急剧上升，而不仅仅是在金融市场。显示这一点的一个指标是美国人对关键词“衰退”的谷歌搜索，该指标以2020年3月的搜索情况作为100的基准值，涵盖搜索量在内所有相关维度。根据德意志银行的数据，该指标近期大幅飙升。德银策略师Jim Reid在最近的报告中表示，图表显示了在2010年代的大部分时间里，人们几乎没什么衰退担忧，并指出，后全球金融危机周期与图表显示的非常不同，即...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3659365\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3659365","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2235109948","content_text":"最近几周，风险意识在全球范围内急剧上升，而不仅仅是在金融市场。显示这一点的一个指标是美国人对关键词“衰退”的谷歌搜索，该指标以2020年3月的搜索情况作为100的基准值，涵盖搜索量在内所有相关维度。根据德意志银行的数据，该指标近期大幅飙升。德银策略师Jim Reid在最近的报告中表示，图表显示了在2010年代的大部分时间里，人们几乎没什么衰退担忧，并指出，后全球金融危机周期与图表显示的非常不同，即：美国的产出和就业缺口只花了8年时间就得以弥合，但是实体经济仍处于全球金融危机的长期阴影中。有趣的是，该指标在2019年8月也曾飙升，当时2/10年期美债收益率曲线短暂倒挂，随着收益率曲线重新变陡，该指数很快开始下降。当然，如果没有新冠疫情，我们永远不会知道2020年会发生什么，因为“疫情衰退”顺手就接棒了这一指数。Reid表示，如果过去6周趋于陡峭的收益率曲线（尽管过去48小时趋于平缓）将意味着对“衰退”的搜索开始下降，那将会很有趣。不过，至少对德行的策略师来说，该指标所显示的衰退风险目前已远远超出收益率曲线所暗示的，因此该指标可能会在更长时间内保持在高位。德银在5周前首次官方提出“美国2023年陷入衰退”的预测，奇怪的是，尽管如今美国消费者信心指数崩溃，但除德银之外，仍然很少有经济学家认同这一点。对于市场走势，Reid认为，随着美联储被迫大幅加息并且其影响会有滞后，与2022年相比，2023年更有可能出现衰退。从市场角度来看，这仍有一段距离。甚至在明年大幅下跌之前，市场仍可能出现大幅反弹。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":615332938,"gmtCreate":1652775653924,"gmtModify":1652775653924,"author":{"id":"4110428389617242","authorId":"4110428389617242","name":"7b6294b7","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110428389617242","authorIdStr":"4110428389617242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好","listText":"好","text":"好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/615332938","repostId":"1158480323","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158480323","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1652774696,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158480323?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-05-17 16:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"腾讯音乐盘前涨超4%，在线音乐付费用户突破8000万","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158480323","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周二，腾讯音乐盘前涨超4%，Q1营收66.4亿元超预期，在线音乐付费用户突破8000万。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周二，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>盘前涨超4%，Q1营收66.4亿元超预期，在线音乐付费用户突破8000万。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d30a59fca77ba7f9bc25c1f624bae210\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>腾讯音乐盘前涨超4%，在线音乐付费用户突破8000万</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n腾讯音乐盘前涨超4%，在线音乐付费用户突破8000万\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-17 16:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>周二，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>盘前涨超4%，Q1营收66.4亿元超预期，在线音乐付费用户突破8000万。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d30a59fca77ba7f9bc25c1f624bae210\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"397\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43f9c28a89ee807c03e7c639a3677608","relate_stocks":{"TME":"腾讯音乐"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158480323","content_text":"周二，腾讯音乐盘前涨超4%，Q1营收66.4亿元超预期，在线音乐付费用户突破8000万。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":615300716,"gmtCreate":1652766982435,"gmtModify":1652768558566,"author":{"id":"4110428389617242","authorId":"4110428389617242","name":"7b6294b7","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110428389617242","authorIdStr":"4110428389617242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"对","listText":"对","text":"对","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/615300716","repostId":"2236257527","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":615063124,"gmtCreate":1652686077968,"gmtModify":1652687023162,"author":{"id":"4110428389617242","authorId":"4110428389617242","name":"7b6294b7","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4110428389617242","authorIdStr":"4110428389617242"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哈哈","listText":"哈哈","text":"哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/615063124","repostId":"2235109948","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2235109948","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1652592099,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2235109948?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-05-15 13:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"领先指标：美国人狂搜“经济衰退”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2235109948","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"“衰退”又上“谷歌热搜”，上一次是在疫情期间。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>最近几周，风险意识在全球范围内急剧上升，而不仅仅是在金融市场。</p><p><b>显示这一点的一个指标是美国人对关键词“衰退”的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>搜索</b>，该指标以2020年3月的搜索情况作为100的基准值，涵盖搜索量在内所有相关维度。</p><p>根据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>的数据，<b>该指标近期大幅飙升。</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/621435e1a0968308c171d5fb3d02f110\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"300\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>德银策略师Jim Reid在最近的报告中表示，图表显示了<b>在2010年代的大部分时间里，人们几乎没什么衰退担忧</b>，并指出，后全球金融危机周期与图表显示的非常不同，即：美国的产出和就业缺口只花了8年时间就得以弥合，但是实体经济仍处于全球金融危机的长期阴影中。</p><p>有趣的是，该指标在2019年8月也曾飙升，当时2/10年期美债收益率曲线短暂倒挂，随着收益率曲线重新变陡，该指数很快开始下降。当然，如果没有新冠疫情，我们永远不会知道2020年会发生什么，因为“疫情衰退”顺手就接棒了这一指数。</p><p>Reid表示，<b>如果过去6周趋于陡峭的收益率曲线（尽管过去48小时趋于平缓）将意味着对“衰退”的搜索开始下降，那将会很有趣。</b>不过，至少对德行的策略师来说，该指标所显示的衰退风险目前已远远超出收益率曲线所暗示的，因此该指标可能会在更长时间内保持在高位。</p><p>德银在5周前首次官方提出“美国2023年陷入衰退”的预测，奇怪的是，尽管如今美国消费者信心指数崩溃，但除德银之外，仍然很少有经济学家认同这一点。</p><p>对于市场走势，Reid认为，<b>随着美联储被迫大幅加息并且其影响会有滞后</b>，与2022年相比，2023年更有可能出现衰退。<b>从市场角度来看，这仍有一段距离。甚至在明年大幅下跌之前，市场仍可能出现大幅反弹。</b></p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>领先指标：美国人狂搜“经济衰退”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n领先指标：美国人狂搜“经济衰退”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-15 13:21 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3659365><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>最近几周，风险意识在全球范围内急剧上升，而不仅仅是在金融市场。显示这一点的一个指标是美国人对关键词“衰退”的谷歌搜索，该指标以2020年3月的搜索情况作为100的基准值，涵盖搜索量在内所有相关维度。根据德意志银行的数据，该指标近期大幅飙升。德银策略师Jim Reid在最近的报告中表示，图表显示了在2010年代的大部分时间里，人们几乎没什么衰退担忧，并指出，后全球金融危机周期与图表显示的非常不同，即...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3659365\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3659365","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2235109948","content_text":"最近几周，风险意识在全球范围内急剧上升，而不仅仅是在金融市场。显示这一点的一个指标是美国人对关键词“衰退”的谷歌搜索，该指标以2020年3月的搜索情况作为100的基准值，涵盖搜索量在内所有相关维度。根据德意志银行的数据，该指标近期大幅飙升。德银策略师Jim Reid在最近的报告中表示，图表显示了在2010年代的大部分时间里，人们几乎没什么衰退担忧，并指出，后全球金融危机周期与图表显示的非常不同，即：美国的产出和就业缺口只花了8年时间就得以弥合，但是实体经济仍处于全球金融危机的长期阴影中。有趣的是，该指标在2019年8月也曾飙升，当时2/10年期美债收益率曲线短暂倒挂，随着收益率曲线重新变陡，该指数很快开始下降。当然，如果没有新冠疫情，我们永远不会知道2020年会发生什么，因为“疫情衰退”顺手就接棒了这一指数。Reid表示，如果过去6周趋于陡峭的收益率曲线（尽管过去48小时趋于平缓）将意味着对“衰退”的搜索开始下降，那将会很有趣。不过，至少对德行的策略师来说，该指标所显示的衰退风险目前已远远超出收益率曲线所暗示的，因此该指标可能会在更长时间内保持在高位。德银在5周前首次官方提出“美国2023年陷入衰退”的预测，奇怪的是，尽管如今美国消费者信心指数崩溃，但除德银之外，仍然很少有经济学家认同这一点。对于市场走势，Reid认为，随着美联储被迫大幅加息并且其影响会有滞后，与2022年相比，2023年更有可能出现衰退。从市场角度来看，这仍有一段距离。甚至在明年大幅下跌之前，市场仍可能出现大幅反弹。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
