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NKFC
08-08
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@我爱广州GZ:【港股打新】银诺医药:散户拿不到货,拭目以待5000倍?
NKFC
08-04
666
@LMF.66:
$海天味业(03288)$
投个票看看结果,看着换手率好低啊
NKFC
06-30
$绿茶集团(06831)$
打新亏了,还有手续费,破玩意还在引人进场
NKFC
06-23
$iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF(SGOV)$
$iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF(SGOV)$
NKFC
06-20
$三花智控(02050)$
垃圾玩意,隔壁药的80%涨幅
NKFC
05-16
$谷歌(GOOG)$
为什么大家不等他突破170啊
NKFC
03-10
$康方生物(09926)$
外资流出
NKFC
03-06
Call
美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数22.1万人,预期23.5万人
NKFC
03-06
$理文造纸(02314)$
溜了溜了
[得意]
[得意]
[得意]
NKFC
03-05
黄金涨起来[财迷]
美国2月"小非农"大幅不及预期,美股指数期货震荡走低
NKFC
03-04
$赤峰黄金(06693)$
只能小入一手了,黄金最近跌📉
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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银诺医药的核心看点,全压在一款GLP-1产品上: 依苏帕格鲁肽α(商品名:怡诺轻) 图片 GLP-1这玩意儿火啊,既能治2型糖尿病 (T2D),又能治肥胖和超重,绝对是医药界的印钞机。弗若斯特沙利文说,中国GLP-1肥胖或超重药物市场,预计将从2024年的人民币4亿元,暴增至2028年的人民币200亿元 目前全球GLP-1市场基本被诺和诺德和礼来两家巨头垄断 ,但银诺医药牛就牛在,它是亚洲第一家、全球第三家商业化原研人源长效GLP-1受体激动剂的公司 。这个国产第一的名头,故事就很好听了。 图片 银诺虽然不是全球首家做GLP-1的,但是银诺的GLP-1优势很明显: 1、血统纯正:人源长效GLP-1,副作用风险更低,作用时间更长,半衰期长达204小时 。 2、效果能打:III期临床数据显示,单药治疗24周后,高剂量组能把糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)从基线降低2.2% ,这个数据相当能打。 3、进度够快:治疗2型糖尿病的适应症已于2025年1月获国家药监局(NMPA)批准,2月份就已经在中国商业化了,京东都卖了不少了。治疗肥胖和超重的IIb/III期临床试验也于2025年3月启动,预计2026年四季度完成 。 这个赛道很性感,年复合增长率高达123.3%,市场就在这里,看谁能抢到。 图片 二、财务状况 Biotech公司的财报,老规矩,都是亏的。 收入:刚开始卖药,2025年前五个月,开始有收入了,收入3810万元,从0到1,这一步已经迈出去了。毛利率高达89.3%,不过这个毛利率不可持续,只是表面光鲜,因为商业化前的生产成本都算进了研发费用,短期看看就好 。 销售费用方面,2025年前五个月,随着开始卖药,销售费用暴增至人民币3750万元,导致亏损扩大至人民币9790万,这在抢市场阶段,不可避免。 亏损:2023年亏损人民币7.33亿元,2024年亏损收窄至人民币","listText":"一、核心赛道 银诺医药的核心看点,全压在一款GLP-1产品上: 依苏帕格鲁肽α(商品名:怡诺轻) 图片 GLP-1这玩意儿火啊,既能治2型糖尿病 (T2D),又能治肥胖和超重,绝对是医药界的印钞机。弗若斯特沙利文说,中国GLP-1肥胖或超重药物市场,预计将从2024年的人民币4亿元,暴增至2028年的人民币200亿元 目前全球GLP-1市场基本被诺和诺德和礼来两家巨头垄断 ,但银诺医药牛就牛在,它是亚洲第一家、全球第三家商业化原研人源长效GLP-1受体激动剂的公司 。这个国产第一的名头,故事就很好听了。 图片 银诺虽然不是全球首家做GLP-1的,但是银诺的GLP-1优势很明显: 1、血统纯正:人源长效GLP-1,副作用风险更低,作用时间更长,半衰期长达204小时 。 2、效果能打:III期临床数据显示,单药治疗24周后,高剂量组能把糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)从基线降低2.2% ,这个数据相当能打。 3、进度够快:治疗2型糖尿病的适应症已于2025年1月获国家药监局(NMPA)批准,2月份就已经在中国商业化了,京东都卖了不少了。治疗肥胖和超重的IIb/III期临床试验也于2025年3月启动,预计2026年四季度完成 。 这个赛道很性感,年复合增长率高达123.3%,市场就在这里,看谁能抢到。 图片 二、财务状况 Biotech公司的财报,老规矩,都是亏的。 收入:刚开始卖药,2025年前五个月,开始有收入了,收入3810万元,从0到1,这一步已经迈出去了。毛利率高达89.3%,不过这个毛利率不可持续,只是表面光鲜,因为商业化前的生产成本都算进了研发费用,短期看看就好 。 销售费用方面,2025年前五个月,随着开始卖药,销售费用暴增至人民币3750万元,导致亏损扩大至人民币9790万,这在抢市场阶段,不可避免。 亏损:2023年亏损人民币7.33亿元,2024年亏损收窄至人民币","text":"一、核心赛道 银诺医药的核心看点,全压在一款GLP-1产品上: 依苏帕格鲁肽α(商品名:怡诺轻) 图片 GLP-1这玩意儿火啊,既能治2型糖尿病 (T2D),又能治肥胖和超重,绝对是医药界的印钞机。弗若斯特沙利文说,中国GLP-1肥胖或超重药物市场,预计将从2024年的人民币4亿元,暴增至2028年的人民币200亿元 目前全球GLP-1市场基本被诺和诺德和礼来两家巨头垄断 ,但银诺医药牛就牛在,它是亚洲第一家、全球第三家商业化原研人源长效GLP-1受体激动剂的公司 。这个国产第一的名头,故事就很好听了。 图片 银诺虽然不是全球首家做GLP-1的,但是银诺的GLP-1优势很明显: 1、血统纯正:人源长效GLP-1,副作用风险更低,作用时间更长,半衰期长达204小时 。 2、效果能打:III期临床数据显示,单药治疗24周后,高剂量组能把糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)从基线降低2.2% ,这个数据相当能打。 3、进度够快:治疗2型糖尿病的适应症已于2025年1月获国家药监局(NMPA)批准,2月份就已经在中国商业化了,京东都卖了不少了。治疗肥胖和超重的IIb/III期临床试验也于2025年3月启动,预计2026年四季度完成 。 这个赛道很性感,年复合增长率高达123.3%,市场就在这里,看谁能抢到。 图片 二、财务状况 Biotech公司的财报,老规矩,都是亏的。 收入:刚开始卖药,2025年前五个月,开始有收入了,收入3810万元,从0到1,这一步已经迈出去了。毛利率高达89.3%,不过这个毛利率不可持续,只是表面光鲜,因为商业化前的生产成本都算进了研发费用,短期看看就好 。 销售费用方面,2025年前五个月,随着开始卖药,销售费用暴增至人民币3750万元,导致亏损扩大至人民币9790万,这在抢市场阶段,不可避免。 亏损:2023年亏损人民币7.33亿元,2024年亏损收窄至人民币","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86ff2dce4b6b66cadfa4998dfa405ffb","width":"394","height":"711"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0393bc3b1eaf19fc57c9ffd76833526a","width":"1080","height":"432"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e148a738c0a2bad19e9827a08d0af9c6","width":"900","height":"600"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/464902842429576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":96,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":463943963754864,"gmtCreate":1754273379639,"gmtModify":1754273381171,"author":{"id":"4203572277516002","authorId":"4203572277516002","name":"NKFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48491f5c5c5defcc6e6d5cd0f203449c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4203572277516002","authorIdStr":"4203572277516002"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"666","listText":"666","text":"666","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/463943963754864","repostId":"462208146309416","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":462208146309416,"gmtCreate":1753862419552,"gmtModify":1753864767615,"author":{"id":"4186468935957522","authorId":"4186468935957522","name":"LMF.66","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddb520c94309e9534f9bb5402e55950","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4186468935957522","authorIdStr":"4186468935957522"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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为什么大家不等他突破170啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435678839223120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":411871335473656,"gmtCreate":1741588029243,"gmtModify":1741588030823,"author":{"id":"4203572277516002","authorId":"4203572277516002","name":"NKFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48491f5c5c5defcc6e6d5cd0f203449c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4203572277516002","authorIdStr":"4203572277516002"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09926\">$康方生物(09926)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 外资流出","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09926\">$康方生物(09926)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 外资流出","text":"$康方生物(09926)$ 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21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数22.1万人,预期23.5万人","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105140158","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"前值24.2万人。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数22.1万人,预期23.5万人,前值24.2万人。</p><p>美国至2月22日当周续请失业金人数 189.7万人,预期188万人,前值由186.2万人修正为185.5万人。</p><p>美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数四周均值 22.425万人,前值22.4万人。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数22.1万人,预期23.5万人</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数22.1万人,预期23.5万人\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-06 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数22.1万人,预期23.5万人,前值24.2万人。</p><p>美国至2月22日当周续请失业金人数 189.7万人,预期188万人,前值由186.2万人修正为185.5万人。</p><p>美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数四周均值 22.425万人,前值22.4万人。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5712911a97692958e444016d45d93118","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105140158","content_text":"美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数22.1万人,预期23.5万人,前值24.2万人。美国至2月22日当周续请失业金人数 189.7万人,预期188万人,前值由186.2万人修正为185.5万人。美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数四周均值 22.425万人,前值22.4万人。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":1,".IXIC":1,".SPX":1,"ESmain":1,"NQmain":1,"QQQ":1,"SPY":1,"SQQQ":1,"TQQQ":1,"YMmain":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":933,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":410520278241904,"gmtCreate":1741239636296,"gmtModify":1741242266737,"author":{"id":"4203572277516002","authorId":"4203572277516002","name":"NKFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48491f5c5c5defcc6e6d5cd0f203449c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4203572277516002","authorIdStr":"4203572277516002"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02314\">$理文造纸(02314)$ </a>溜了溜了<a href=\"\">[得意] </a><a href=\"\">[得意] </a><a href=\"\">[得意] </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02314\">$理文造纸(02314)$ </a>溜了溜了<a href=\"\">[得意] </a><a href=\"\">[得意] </a><a href=\"\">[得意] </a>","text":"$理文造纸(02314)$ 溜了溜了[得意] [得意] [得意] ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410520278241904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":410305323229808,"gmtCreate":1741181737877,"gmtModify":1741182156579,"author":{"id":"4203572277516002","authorId":"4203572277516002","name":"NKFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48491f5c5c5defcc6e6d5cd0f203449c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4203572277516002","authorIdStr":"4203572277516002"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"黄金涨起来[财迷] ","listText":"黄金涨起来[财迷] ","text":"黄金涨起来[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410305323229808","repostId":"1116350559","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116350559","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1741180592,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116350559?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-03-05 21:16","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国2月\"小非农\"大幅不及预期,美股指数期货震荡走低","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116350559","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"为2024年7月以来最小增幅。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美国2月ADP就业人数增加7.7万人,为2024年7月以来最小增幅。预期增加14万人,前值增加18.3万人。</p><p>美股期指震荡走低,截至发稿,标普500及道指期货一度转跌。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cae5b09c5623931d2deaa8ed98b67a7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a76722873b56e211018ceff7c6e8ee2d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>将于周五公布的美国2月非农就业数据预计将让市场进一步了解美国劳动力市场以及经济的状况。据市场预测,美国2月非农就业人数预计将增加13.3万个岗位,低于1月的14.3万;失业率预计为4%。非农就业数据一直是衡量美国经济健康状况的重要指标,若连续两个月非农新增就业数量减少,这表明企业的扩张意愿降低,经济增长动能减弱,将极大地增加美联储降息的压力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国经济前景惹担忧</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着美国经济数据疲软和贸易紧张局势加剧损害消费者信心和商业活动,美国经济增长担忧再次成为金融市场的关注焦点。当地时间3月3日(周一),亚特兰大联储的GDPNow模型对美国2025年第一季度的GDP预测为萎缩2.825%,该数据是自2020年新冠疫情以来最糟糕的美国GDP预测。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是,上周五,GDPNow模型就将美国第一季度GDP预期修正为收缩1.5%。而在一个月前,该模型的预测是增长2.33%。也就是说,短短一个月时间,该模型就连续做出美国一季度经济将出现大幅收缩的预测。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Genvil Wealth Management首席投资官 Francois Savary 在谈到美国消费者和企业信心减弱时表示:“对经济而言,有一件事至关重要,那就是信心,而信心已经受到了打击。”“我不认为经济衰退已经成定局,但这也是我们决定减少美国股票投资的一个原因。”加拿大商会首席执行官坎迪斯·莱恩警告称,美国的关税政策正迫使加拿大和美国走向“经济衰退、失业和经济灾难”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对美国经济陷入滞涨的担忧在近期有所升温。多位顶级分析师表示,美国可能面临高通胀和低经济增长并存的局面。阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家托斯滕·斯洛克表示,他认为滞胀的要素可能已经出现。他指出,全球贸易更加碎片化、全球移民增加以及其他国家的工业政策限制了竞争,所有这些都可能导致价格上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">BCA Research首席策略师达瓦尔·乔希认为,美国最早可能在今年第二季度陷入“迷你滞胀”。乔希表示,通胀看起来已经“卡在”美联储2%的目标之上。更高的价格将使美联储不愿在今年进一步降息,这可能会加剧经济增长放缓。他补充道,“我认为这可能很快就会发生”。Stifel董事总经理兼首席股票策略师巴里·班尼斯特表示,他预计美国将在2025年下半年陷入温和的滞胀局面,并认为这种情况可能导致美股下跌10%。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国2月\"小非农\"大幅不及预期,美股指数期货震荡走低</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国2月\"小非农\"大幅不及预期,美股指数期货震荡走低\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-05 21:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>美国2月ADP就业人数增加7.7万人,为2024年7月以来最小增幅。预期增加14万人,前值增加18.3万人。</p><p>美股期指震荡走低,截至发稿,标普500及道指期货一度转跌。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cae5b09c5623931d2deaa8ed98b67a7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a76722873b56e211018ceff7c6e8ee2d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>将于周五公布的美国2月非农就业数据预计将让市场进一步了解美国劳动力市场以及经济的状况。据市场预测,美国2月非农就业人数预计将增加13.3万个岗位,低于1月的14.3万;失业率预计为4%。非农就业数据一直是衡量美国经济健康状况的重要指标,若连续两个月非农新增就业数量减少,这表明企业的扩张意愿降低,经济增长动能减弱,将极大地增加美联储降息的压力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国经济前景惹担忧</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着美国经济数据疲软和贸易紧张局势加剧损害消费者信心和商业活动,美国经济增长担忧再次成为金融市场的关注焦点。当地时间3月3日(周一),亚特兰大联储的GDPNow模型对美国2025年第一季度的GDP预测为萎缩2.825%,该数据是自2020年新冠疫情以来最糟糕的美国GDP预测。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是,上周五,GDPNow模型就将美国第一季度GDP预期修正为收缩1.5%。而在一个月前,该模型的预测是增长2.33%。也就是说,短短一个月时间,该模型就连续做出美国一季度经济将出现大幅收缩的预测。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Genvil Wealth Management首席投资官 Francois Savary 在谈到美国消费者和企业信心减弱时表示:“对经济而言,有一件事至关重要,那就是信心,而信心已经受到了打击。”“我不认为经济衰退已经成定局,但这也是我们决定减少美国股票投资的一个原因。”加拿大商会首席执行官坎迪斯·莱恩警告称,美国的关税政策正迫使加拿大和美国走向“经济衰退、失业和经济灾难”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对美国经济陷入滞涨的担忧在近期有所升温。多位顶级分析师表示,美国可能面临高通胀和低经济增长并存的局面。阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家托斯滕·斯洛克表示,他认为滞胀的要素可能已经出现。他指出,全球贸易更加碎片化、全球移民增加以及其他国家的工业政策限制了竞争,所有这些都可能导致价格上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">BCA Research首席策略师达瓦尔·乔希认为,美国最早可能在今年第二季度陷入“迷你滞胀”。乔希表示,通胀看起来已经“卡在”美联储2%的目标之上。更高的价格将使美联储不愿在今年进一步降息,这可能会加剧经济增长放缓。他补充道,“我认为这可能很快就会发生”。Stifel董事总经理兼首席股票策略师巴里·班尼斯特表示,他预计美国将在2025年下半年陷入温和的滞胀局面,并认为这种情况可能导致美股下跌10%。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5712911a97692958e444016d45d93118","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116350559","content_text":"美国2月ADP就业人数增加7.7万人,为2024年7月以来最小增幅。预期增加14万人,前值增加18.3万人。美股期指震荡走低,截至发稿,标普500及道指期货一度转跌。将于周五公布的美国2月非农就业数据预计将让市场进一步了解美国劳动力市场以及经济的状况。据市场预测,美国2月非农就业人数预计将增加13.3万个岗位,低于1月的14.3万;失业率预计为4%。非农就业数据一直是衡量美国经济健康状况的重要指标,若连续两个月非农新增就业数量减少,这表明企业的扩张意愿降低,经济增长动能减弱,将极大地增加美联储降息的压力。美国经济前景惹担忧随着美国经济数据疲软和贸易紧张局势加剧损害消费者信心和商业活动,美国经济增长担忧再次成为金融市场的关注焦点。当地时间3月3日(周一),亚特兰大联储的GDPNow模型对美国2025年第一季度的GDP预测为萎缩2.825%,该数据是自2020年新冠疫情以来最糟糕的美国GDP预测。值得注意的是,上周五,GDPNow模型就将美国第一季度GDP预期修正为收缩1.5%。而在一个月前,该模型的预测是增长2.33%。也就是说,短短一个月时间,该模型就连续做出美国一季度经济将出现大幅收缩的预测。Genvil Wealth Management首席投资官 Francois Savary 在谈到美国消费者和企业信心减弱时表示:“对经济而言,有一件事至关重要,那就是信心,而信心已经受到了打击。”“我不认为经济衰退已经成定局,但这也是我们决定减少美国股票投资的一个原因。”加拿大商会首席执行官坎迪斯·莱恩警告称,美国的关税政策正迫使加拿大和美国走向“经济衰退、失业和经济灾难”。对美国经济陷入滞涨的担忧在近期有所升温。多位顶级分析师表示,美国可能面临高通胀和低经济增长并存的局面。阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家托斯滕·斯洛克表示,他认为滞胀的要素可能已经出现。他指出,全球贸易更加碎片化、全球移民增加以及其他国家的工业政策限制了竞争,所有这些都可能导致价格上涨。BCA Research首席策略师达瓦尔·乔希认为,美国最早可能在今年第二季度陷入“迷你滞胀”。乔希表示,通胀看起来已经“卡在”美联储2%的目标之上。更高的价格将使美联储不愿在今年进一步降息,这可能会加剧经济增长放缓。他补充道,“我认为这可能很快就会发生”。Stifel董事总经理兼首席股票策略师巴里·班尼斯特表示,他预计美国将在2025年下半年陷入温和的滞胀局面,并认为这种情况可能导致美股下跌10%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":1.1,"NQmain":1.1,"YMmain":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":409802280415504,"gmtCreate":1741059283776,"gmtModify":1741064423978,"author":{"id":"4203572277516002","authorId":"4203572277516002","name":"NKFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48491f5c5c5defcc6e6d5cd0f203449c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4203572277516002","authorIdStr":"4203572277516002"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06693\">$赤峰黄金(06693)$</a> 只能小入一手了,黄金最近跌📉","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06693\">$赤峰黄金(06693)$</a> 只能小入一手了,黄金最近跌📉","text":"$赤峰黄金(06693)$ 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","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410520278241904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":13765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":448041051775480,"gmtCreate":1750408027849,"gmtModify":1750409738800,"author":{"id":"4203572277516002","authorId":"4203572277516002","name":"NKFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48491f5c5c5defcc6e6d5cd0f203449c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4203572277516002","idStr":"4203572277516002"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02050\">$三花智控(02050)$</a> 垃圾玩意,隔壁药的80%涨幅","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02050\">$三花智控(02050)$</a> 垃圾玩意,隔壁药的80%涨幅","text":"$三花智控(02050)$ 垃圾玩意,隔壁药的80%涨幅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/448041051775480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":465271330955664,"gmtCreate":1754617194641,"gmtModify":1754617196275,"author":{"id":"4203572277516002","authorId":"4203572277516002","name":"NKFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48491f5c5c5defcc6e6d5cd0f203449c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4203572277516002","idStr":"4203572277516002"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/465271330955664","repostId":"464902842429576","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":464902842429576,"gmtCreate":1754526972648,"gmtModify":1754527883011,"author":{"id":"4185768856935242","authorId":"4185768856935242","name":"我爱广州GZ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2da52acd293ca9fd16f4a24f639e1dd7","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4185768856935242","idStr":"4185768856935242"},"themes":[],"title":"【港股打新】银诺医药:散户拿不到货,拭目以待5000倍?","htmlText":"一、核心赛道 银诺医药的核心看点,全压在一款GLP-1产品上: 依苏帕格鲁肽α(商品名:怡诺轻) 图片 GLP-1这玩意儿火啊,既能治2型糖尿病 (T2D),又能治肥胖和超重,绝对是医药界的印钞机。弗若斯特沙利文说,中国GLP-1肥胖或超重药物市场,预计将从2024年的人民币4亿元,暴增至2028年的人民币200亿元 目前全球GLP-1市场基本被诺和诺德和礼来两家巨头垄断 ,但银诺医药牛就牛在,它是亚洲第一家、全球第三家商业化原研人源长效GLP-1受体激动剂的公司 。这个国产第一的名头,故事就很好听了。 图片 银诺虽然不是全球首家做GLP-1的,但是银诺的GLP-1优势很明显: 1、血统纯正:人源长效GLP-1,副作用风险更低,作用时间更长,半衰期长达204小时 。 2、效果能打:III期临床数据显示,单药治疗24周后,高剂量组能把糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)从基线降低2.2% ,这个数据相当能打。 3、进度够快:治疗2型糖尿病的适应症已于2025年1月获国家药监局(NMPA)批准,2月份就已经在中国商业化了,京东都卖了不少了。治疗肥胖和超重的IIb/III期临床试验也于2025年3月启动,预计2026年四季度完成 。 这个赛道很性感,年复合增长率高达123.3%,市场就在这里,看谁能抢到。 图片 二、财务状况 Biotech公司的财报,老规矩,都是亏的。 收入:刚开始卖药,2025年前五个月,开始有收入了,收入3810万元,从0到1,这一步已经迈出去了。毛利率高达89.3%,不过这个毛利率不可持续,只是表面光鲜,因为商业化前的生产成本都算进了研发费用,短期看看就好 。 销售费用方面,2025年前五个月,随着开始卖药,销售费用暴增至人民币3750万元,导致亏损扩大至人民币9790万,这在抢市场阶段,不可避免。 亏损:2023年亏损人民币7.33亿元,2024年亏损收窄至人民币","listText":"一、核心赛道 银诺医药的核心看点,全压在一款GLP-1产品上: 依苏帕格鲁肽α(商品名:怡诺轻) 图片 GLP-1这玩意儿火啊,既能治2型糖尿病 (T2D),又能治肥胖和超重,绝对是医药界的印钞机。弗若斯特沙利文说,中国GLP-1肥胖或超重药物市场,预计将从2024年的人民币4亿元,暴增至2028年的人民币200亿元 目前全球GLP-1市场基本被诺和诺德和礼来两家巨头垄断 ,但银诺医药牛就牛在,它是亚洲第一家、全球第三家商业化原研人源长效GLP-1受体激动剂的公司 。这个国产第一的名头,故事就很好听了。 图片 银诺虽然不是全球首家做GLP-1的,但是银诺的GLP-1优势很明显: 1、血统纯正:人源长效GLP-1,副作用风险更低,作用时间更长,半衰期长达204小时 。 2、效果能打:III期临床数据显示,单药治疗24周后,高剂量组能把糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)从基线降低2.2% ,这个数据相当能打。 3、进度够快:治疗2型糖尿病的适应症已于2025年1月获国家药监局(NMPA)批准,2月份就已经在中国商业化了,京东都卖了不少了。治疗肥胖和超重的IIb/III期临床试验也于2025年3月启动,预计2026年四季度完成 。 这个赛道很性感,年复合增长率高达123.3%,市场就在这里,看谁能抢到。 图片 二、财务状况 Biotech公司的财报,老规矩,都是亏的。 收入:刚开始卖药,2025年前五个月,开始有收入了,收入3810万元,从0到1,这一步已经迈出去了。毛利率高达89.3%,不过这个毛利率不可持续,只是表面光鲜,因为商业化前的生产成本都算进了研发费用,短期看看就好 。 销售费用方面,2025年前五个月,随着开始卖药,销售费用暴增至人民币3750万元,导致亏损扩大至人民币9790万,这在抢市场阶段,不可避免。 亏损:2023年亏损人民币7.33亿元,2024年亏损收窄至人民币","text":"一、核心赛道 银诺医药的核心看点,全压在一款GLP-1产品上: 依苏帕格鲁肽α(商品名:怡诺轻) 图片 GLP-1这玩意儿火啊,既能治2型糖尿病 (T2D),又能治肥胖和超重,绝对是医药界的印钞机。弗若斯特沙利文说,中国GLP-1肥胖或超重药物市场,预计将从2024年的人民币4亿元,暴增至2028年的人民币200亿元 目前全球GLP-1市场基本被诺和诺德和礼来两家巨头垄断 ,但银诺医药牛就牛在,它是亚洲第一家、全球第三家商业化原研人源长效GLP-1受体激动剂的公司 。这个国产第一的名头,故事就很好听了。 图片 银诺虽然不是全球首家做GLP-1的,但是银诺的GLP-1优势很明显: 1、血统纯正:人源长效GLP-1,副作用风险更低,作用时间更长,半衰期长达204小时 。 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数22.1万人,预期23.5万人\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-06 21:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数22.1万人,预期23.5万人,前值24.2万人。</p><p>美国至2月22日当周续请失业金人数 189.7万人,预期188万人,前值由186.2万人修正为185.5万人。</p><p>美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数四周均值 22.425万人,前值22.4万人。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5712911a97692958e444016d45d93118","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105140158","content_text":"美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数22.1万人,预期23.5万人,前值24.2万人。美国至2月22日当周续请失业金人数 189.7万人,预期188万人,前值由186.2万人修正为185.5万人。美国至3月1日当周初请失业金人数四周均值 22.425万人,前值22.4万人。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":1,".IXIC":1,".SPX":1,"ESmain":1,"NQmain":1,"QQQ":1,"SPY":1,"SQQQ":1,"TQQQ":1,"YMmain":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":933,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":410305323229808,"gmtCreate":1741181737877,"gmtModify":1741182156579,"author":{"id":"4203572277516002","authorId":"4203572277516002","name":"NKFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48491f5c5c5defcc6e6d5cd0f203449c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4203572277516002","idStr":"4203572277516002"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"黄金涨起来[财迷] ","listText":"黄金涨起来[财迷] ","text":"黄金涨起来[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410305323229808","repostId":"1116350559","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1116350559","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1741180592,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116350559?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-03-05 21:16","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国2月\"小非农\"大幅不及预期,美股指数期货震荡走低","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116350559","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"为2024年7月以来最小增幅。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美国2月ADP就业人数增加7.7万人,为2024年7月以来最小增幅。预期增加14万人,前值增加18.3万人。</p><p>美股期指震荡走低,截至发稿,标普500及道指期货一度转跌。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cae5b09c5623931d2deaa8ed98b67a7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a76722873b56e211018ceff7c6e8ee2d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>将于周五公布的美国2月非农就业数据预计将让市场进一步了解美国劳动力市场以及经济的状况。据市场预测,美国2月非农就业人数预计将增加13.3万个岗位,低于1月的14.3万;失业率预计为4%。非农就业数据一直是衡量美国经济健康状况的重要指标,若连续两个月非农新增就业数量减少,这表明企业的扩张意愿降低,经济增长动能减弱,将极大地增加美联储降息的压力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国经济前景惹担忧</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着美国经济数据疲软和贸易紧张局势加剧损害消费者信心和商业活动,美国经济增长担忧再次成为金融市场的关注焦点。当地时间3月3日(周一),亚特兰大联储的GDPNow模型对美国2025年第一季度的GDP预测为萎缩2.825%,该数据是自2020年新冠疫情以来最糟糕的美国GDP预测。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是,上周五,GDPNow模型就将美国第一季度GDP预期修正为收缩1.5%。而在一个月前,该模型的预测是增长2.33%。也就是说,短短一个月时间,该模型就连续做出美国一季度经济将出现大幅收缩的预测。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Genvil Wealth Management首席投资官 Francois Savary 在谈到美国消费者和企业信心减弱时表示:“对经济而言,有一件事至关重要,那就是信心,而信心已经受到了打击。”“我不认为经济衰退已经成定局,但这也是我们决定减少美国股票投资的一个原因。”加拿大商会首席执行官坎迪斯·莱恩警告称,美国的关税政策正迫使加拿大和美国走向“经济衰退、失业和经济灾难”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对美国经济陷入滞涨的担忧在近期有所升温。多位顶级分析师表示,美国可能面临高通胀和低经济增长并存的局面。阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家托斯滕·斯洛克表示,他认为滞胀的要素可能已经出现。他指出,全球贸易更加碎片化、全球移民增加以及其他国家的工业政策限制了竞争,所有这些都可能导致价格上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">BCA Research首席策略师达瓦尔·乔希认为,美国最早可能在今年第二季度陷入“迷你滞胀”。乔希表示,通胀看起来已经“卡在”美联储2%的目标之上。更高的价格将使美联储不愿在今年进一步降息,这可能会加剧经济增长放缓。他补充道,“我认为这可能很快就会发生”。Stifel董事总经理兼首席股票策略师巴里·班尼斯特表示,他预计美国将在2025年下半年陷入温和的滞胀局面,并认为这种情况可能导致美股下跌10%。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国2月\"小非农\"大幅不及预期,美股指数期货震荡走低</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国2月\"小非农\"大幅不及预期,美股指数期货震荡走低\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-03-05 21:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>美国2月ADP就业人数增加7.7万人,为2024年7月以来最小增幅。预期增加14万人,前值增加18.3万人。</p><p>美股期指震荡走低,截至发稿,标普500及道指期货一度转跌。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cae5b09c5623931d2deaa8ed98b67a7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a76722873b56e211018ceff7c6e8ee2d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>将于周五公布的美国2月非农就业数据预计将让市场进一步了解美国劳动力市场以及经济的状况。据市场预测,美国2月非农就业人数预计将增加13.3万个岗位,低于1月的14.3万;失业率预计为4%。非农就业数据一直是衡量美国经济健康状况的重要指标,若连续两个月非农新增就业数量减少,这表明企业的扩张意愿降低,经济增长动能减弱,将极大地增加美联储降息的压力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美国经济前景惹担忧</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着美国经济数据疲软和贸易紧张局势加剧损害消费者信心和商业活动,美国经济增长担忧再次成为金融市场的关注焦点。当地时间3月3日(周一),亚特兰大联储的GDPNow模型对美国2025年第一季度的GDP预测为萎缩2.825%,该数据是自2020年新冠疫情以来最糟糕的美国GDP预测。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是,上周五,GDPNow模型就将美国第一季度GDP预期修正为收缩1.5%。而在一个月前,该模型的预测是增长2.33%。也就是说,短短一个月时间,该模型就连续做出美国一季度经济将出现大幅收缩的预测。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Genvil Wealth Management首席投资官 Francois Savary 在谈到美国消费者和企业信心减弱时表示:“对经济而言,有一件事至关重要,那就是信心,而信心已经受到了打击。”“我不认为经济衰退已经成定局,但这也是我们决定减少美国股票投资的一个原因。”加拿大商会首席执行官坎迪斯·莱恩警告称,美国的关税政策正迫使加拿大和美国走向“经济衰退、失业和经济灾难”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对美国经济陷入滞涨的担忧在近期有所升温。多位顶级分析师表示,美国可能面临高通胀和低经济增长并存的局面。阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家托斯滕·斯洛克表示,他认为滞胀的要素可能已经出现。他指出,全球贸易更加碎片化、全球移民增加以及其他国家的工业政策限制了竞争,所有这些都可能导致价格上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">BCA Research首席策略师达瓦尔·乔希认为,美国最早可能在今年第二季度陷入“迷你滞胀”。乔希表示,通胀看起来已经“卡在”美联储2%的目标之上。更高的价格将使美联储不愿在今年进一步降息,这可能会加剧经济增长放缓。他补充道,“我认为这可能很快就会发生”。Stifel董事总经理兼首席股票策略师巴里·班尼斯特表示,他预计美国将在2025年下半年陷入温和的滞胀局面,并认为这种情况可能导致美股下跌10%。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5712911a97692958e444016d45d93118","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116350559","content_text":"美国2月ADP就业人数增加7.7万人,为2024年7月以来最小增幅。预期增加14万人,前值增加18.3万人。美股期指震荡走低,截至发稿,标普500及道指期货一度转跌。将于周五公布的美国2月非农就业数据预计将让市场进一步了解美国劳动力市场以及经济的状况。据市场预测,美国2月非农就业人数预计将增加13.3万个岗位,低于1月的14.3万;失业率预计为4%。非农就业数据一直是衡量美国经济健康状况的重要指标,若连续两个月非农新增就业数量减少,这表明企业的扩张意愿降低,经济增长动能减弱,将极大地增加美联储降息的压力。美国经济前景惹担忧随着美国经济数据疲软和贸易紧张局势加剧损害消费者信心和商业活动,美国经济增长担忧再次成为金融市场的关注焦点。当地时间3月3日(周一),亚特兰大联储的GDPNow模型对美国2025年第一季度的GDP预测为萎缩2.825%,该数据是自2020年新冠疫情以来最糟糕的美国GDP预测。值得注意的是,上周五,GDPNow模型就将美国第一季度GDP预期修正为收缩1.5%。而在一个月前,该模型的预测是增长2.33%。也就是说,短短一个月时间,该模型就连续做出美国一季度经济将出现大幅收缩的预测。Genvil Wealth Management首席投资官 Francois Savary 在谈到美国消费者和企业信心减弱时表示:“对经济而言,有一件事至关重要,那就是信心,而信心已经受到了打击。”“我不认为经济衰退已经成定局,但这也是我们决定减少美国股票投资的一个原因。”加拿大商会首席执行官坎迪斯·莱恩警告称,美国的关税政策正迫使加拿大和美国走向“经济衰退、失业和经济灾难”。对美国经济陷入滞涨的担忧在近期有所升温。多位顶级分析师表示,美国可能面临高通胀和低经济增长并存的局面。阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家托斯滕·斯洛克表示,他认为滞胀的要素可能已经出现。他指出,全球贸易更加碎片化、全球移民增加以及其他国家的工业政策限制了竞争,所有这些都可能导致价格上涨。BCA Research首席策略师达瓦尔·乔希认为,美国最早可能在今年第二季度陷入“迷你滞胀”。乔希表示,通胀看起来已经“卡在”美联储2%的目标之上。更高的价格将使美联储不愿在今年进一步降息,这可能会加剧经济增长放缓。他补充道,“我认为这可能很快就会发生”。Stifel董事总经理兼首席股票策略师巴里·班尼斯特表示,他预计美国将在2025年下半年陷入温和的滞胀局面,并认为这种情况可能导致美股下跌10%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ESmain":1.1,"NQmain":1.1,"YMmain":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":409802280415504,"gmtCreate":1741059283776,"gmtModify":1741064423978,"author":{"id":"4203572277516002","authorId":"4203572277516002","name":"NKFC","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48491f5c5c5defcc6e6d5cd0f203449c","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4203572277516002","idStr":"4203572277516002"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06693\">$赤峰黄金(06693)$</a> 只能小入一手了,黄金最近跌📉","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06693\">$赤峰黄金(06693)$</a> 只能小入一手了,黄金最近跌📉","text":"$赤峰黄金(06693)$ 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