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2021-05-01
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U.S. stocks have risen to all-time highs this year. Should you ‘sell in May and go away’?<blockquote>美股今年已升至历史新高。你应该“在五月卖掉然后离开”吗？</blockquote>
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Should you ‘sell in May and go away’?<blockquote>美股今年已升至历史新高。你应该“在五月卖掉然后离开”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2132548564","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"In the past, the sell-in-May strategy shakes out better in Europe than in the U.S.\n\nStocks have been","content":"<p>In the past, the sell-in-May strategy shakes out better in Europe than in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>过去，五月卖出策略在欧洲的效果比在美国更好。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18b93b4406770158f62b0e2dd392f424\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"822\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Stocks have been on a tear this year, leaving investors to question whether to \"sell in May and go away.\"</p><p><blockquote>今年股市一直在上涨，让投资者质疑是否“在五月卖出并离开”。</blockquote></p><p> \"With stocks at record highs, some investors may be tempted to follow the old adage,\" a team of strategists at UBS Group's global wealth management division, wrote in a note Friday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银集团全球财富管理部门的策略师团队周五在一份报告中写道：“随着股市创下历史新高，一些投资者可能会倾向于遵循这句古老的格言。”</blockquote></p><p> The hypothesis is that equities tend to underperform in the six months through October, so investors should sell stocks at the start of May, invest in cash and then re-enter the market in late autumn, the strategists said. Historically, the approach has worked for Europe, but not as well in the U.S., according to their note.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，假设股市在截至10月份的六个月内往往表现不佳，因此投资者应该在5月初出售股票，投资现金，然后在深秋重新进入市场。根据他们的报告，从历史上看，这种方法在欧洲很有效，但在美国效果不佳。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the U.S., a stay invested strategy has tended to outperform, particularly in recent years,\" the strategists said. \"Market composition, with the U.S. market more tilted towards growth stocks, partly explains the outperformance.\"</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示：“在美国，保持投资策略往往表现出色，尤其是近年来。”“市场构成，美国市场更倾向于成长型股票，部分解释了表现优异的原因。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b499645739c349ea55647a2512665932\" tg-width=\"1064\" tg-height=\"808\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The technology sector now accounts for 27% of the S&P 500, or much higher than the 8% weighting for the MSCI Europe index, according to UBS. For that reason, investors who tried timing the U.S. equity benchmark for \"seasonal reasons\" would have missed the outperformance of growth stocks in the bull market since the global financial crisis of 2008-09.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银的数据显示，科技行业目前占标普500的27%，远高于MSCI欧洲指数8%的权重。出于这个原因，试图出于“季节性原因”选择美国股市基准时机的投资者将错过自2008-09年全球金融危机以来成长型股票在牛市中的优异表现。</blockquote></p><p> Using the past as a guide, the UBS team recommends staying invested, even through they also point to historical evidence in Europe that supported a sell-in-May strategy.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银团队以过去为指导，建议保持投资，尽管他们也指出欧洲的历史证据支持5月份的卖出策略。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past 15 years, returns in Europe have been negative in June 80% of the time, according to the report. \"This has contributed to a sell-in-May strategy outperforming a stay invested strategy during those years,\" the strategists said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，在过去15年中，欧洲6月份80%的回报率为负。策略师表示：“这导致5月份卖出策略的表现优于那些年的继续投资策略。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the U.S. stock market has risen to all-time records this year, including as recently as this week, as measured by the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average benchmarks. The S&P 500 rose to a record 4,211.47 finish on April 29, for example, and was up 11.3% this year as of Friday's close.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，根据标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数基准衡量，美国股市今年已升至历史纪录，包括最近的本周。例如，标普500在4月29日升至创纪录的4,211.47点，截至周五收盘，今年已上涨11.3%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are now entering a time of year when stocks have historically found it more challenging to advance,\" according to the UBS report. \"With many equity indexes making new highs, some measures of sentiment looking extended, and ongoing concerns about the spread of new COVID-19 variants,\" some investors may be contemplating selling.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银的报告称：“我们现在正进入一年中历史上股市上涨更具挑战性的时期。”“随着许多股指创下新高，一些情绪指标看起来有所延长，以及对新的COVID-19变种传播的持续担忧，”一些投资者可能正在考虑抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Billionaire investor Leon Cooperman, a self-described \"fully invested bear,\" told CNBC on Friday that he has \"an eye on the exit\" given a coming expected rise in taxes, inflation and a \"reasonably richly appraised market.\"</p><p><blockquote>自称“完全投资空头”的亿万富翁投资者莱昂·库珀曼(Leon Cooperman)周五对CNBC表示，鉴于税收、通胀和“估值相当高的市场”即将到来，他“正在关注退出”。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, said in a blog Friday that the six months from May through October have been \"some of the weakest months of the year for stocks\" in the past 10 years. \"But with an accommodative Fed, fiscal and monetary policy, along with an economy that is opening faster than nearly anyone expected, we'd use any weakness as an opportunity to add to positions,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial首席市场策略师Ryan Detrick周五在博客中表示，5月至10月的六个月是过去10年来“股市一年中最疲软的月份”。他表示：“但随着美联储、财政和货币政策的宽松，以及经济开放速度快于几乎所有人的预期，我们会利用任何疲软作为增仓的机会。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50be26e2a50ece27ce6023a634a9e705\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"725\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> \"Here's the catch,\" Detrick said. \"Stocks have actually been higher during these worst months of the year eight of the past ten years.\"</p><p><blockquote>“问题是，”德特里克说。“在过去十年中最糟糕的八个月里，股市实际上走高。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks have risen to all-time highs this year. Should you ‘sell in May and go away’?<blockquote>美股今年已升至历史新高。你应该“在五月卖掉然后离开”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks have risen to all-time highs this year. Should you ‘sell in May and go away’?<blockquote>美股今年已升至历史新高。你应该“在五月卖掉然后离开”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-03 08:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In the past, the sell-in-May strategy shakes out better in Europe than in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>过去，五月卖出策略在欧洲的效果比在美国更好。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18b93b4406770158f62b0e2dd392f424\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"822\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Stocks have been on a tear this year, leaving investors to question whether to \"sell in May and go away.\"</p><p><blockquote>今年股市一直在上涨，让投资者质疑是否“在五月卖出并离开”。</blockquote></p><p> \"With stocks at record highs, some investors may be tempted to follow the old adage,\" a team of strategists at UBS Group's global wealth management division, wrote in a note Friday.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银集团全球财富管理部门的策略师团队周五在一份报告中写道：“随着股市创下历史新高，一些投资者可能会倾向于遵循这句古老的格言。”</blockquote></p><p> The hypothesis is that equities tend to underperform in the six months through October, so investors should sell stocks at the start of May, invest in cash and then re-enter the market in late autumn, the strategists said. Historically, the approach has worked for Europe, but not as well in the U.S., according to their note.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，假设股市在截至10月份的六个月内往往表现不佳，因此投资者应该在5月初出售股票，投资现金，然后在深秋重新进入市场。根据他们的报告，从历史上看，这种方法在欧洲很有效，但在美国效果不佳。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the U.S., a stay invested strategy has tended to outperform, particularly in recent years,\" the strategists said. \"Market composition, with the U.S. market more tilted towards growth stocks, partly explains the outperformance.\"</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示：“在美国，保持投资策略往往表现出色，尤其是近年来。”“市场构成，美国市场更倾向于成长型股票，部分解释了表现优异的原因。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b499645739c349ea55647a2512665932\" tg-width=\"1064\" tg-height=\"808\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The technology sector now accounts for 27% of the S&P 500, or much higher than the 8% weighting for the MSCI Europe index, according to UBS. For that reason, investors who tried timing the U.S. equity benchmark for \"seasonal reasons\" would have missed the outperformance of growth stocks in the bull market since the global financial crisis of 2008-09.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银的数据显示，科技行业目前占标普500的27%，远高于MSCI欧洲指数8%的权重。出于这个原因，试图出于“季节性原因”选择美国股市基准时机的投资者将错过自2008-09年全球金融危机以来成长型股票在牛市中的优异表现。</blockquote></p><p> Using the past as a guide, the UBS team recommends staying invested, even through they also point to historical evidence in Europe that supported a sell-in-May strategy.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银团队以过去为指导，建议保持投资，尽管他们也指出欧洲的历史证据支持5月份的卖出策略。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past 15 years, returns in Europe have been negative in June 80% of the time, according to the report. \"This has contributed to a sell-in-May strategy outperforming a stay invested strategy during those years,\" the strategists said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称，在过去15年中，欧洲6月份80%的回报率为负。策略师表示：“这导致5月份卖出策略的表现优于那些年的继续投资策略。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the U.S. stock market has risen to all-time records this year, including as recently as this week, as measured by the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average benchmarks. The S&P 500 rose to a record 4,211.47 finish on April 29, for example, and was up 11.3% this year as of Friday's close.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，根据标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数基准衡量，美国股市今年已升至历史纪录，包括最近的本周。例如，标普500在4月29日升至创纪录的4,211.47点，截至周五收盘，今年已上涨11.3%。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are now entering a time of year when stocks have historically found it more challenging to advance,\" according to the UBS report. \"With many equity indexes making new highs, some measures of sentiment looking extended, and ongoing concerns about the spread of new COVID-19 variants,\" some investors may be contemplating selling.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银的报告称：“我们现在正进入一年中历史上股市上涨更具挑战性的时期。”“随着许多股指创下新高，一些情绪指标看起来有所延长，以及对新的COVID-19变种传播的持续担忧，”一些投资者可能正在考虑抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Billionaire investor Leon Cooperman, a self-described \"fully invested bear,\" told CNBC on Friday that he has \"an eye on the exit\" given a coming expected rise in taxes, inflation and a \"reasonably richly appraised market.\"</p><p><blockquote>自称“完全投资空头”的亿万富翁投资者莱昂·库珀曼(Leon Cooperman)周五对CNBC表示，鉴于税收、通胀和“估值相当高的市场”即将到来，他“正在关注退出”。</blockquote></p><p> Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, said in a blog Friday that the six months from May through October have been \"some of the weakest months of the year for stocks\" in the past 10 years. \"But with an accommodative Fed, fiscal and monetary policy, along with an economy that is opening faster than nearly anyone expected, we'd use any weakness as an opportunity to add to positions,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>LPL Financial首席市场策略师Ryan Detrick周五在博客中表示，5月至10月的六个月是过去10年来“股市一年中最疲软的月份”。他表示：“但随着美联储、财政和货币政策的宽松，以及经济开放速度快于几乎所有人的预期，我们会利用任何疲软作为增仓的机会。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50be26e2a50ece27ce6023a634a9e705\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"725\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> \"Here's the catch,\" Detrick said. \"Stocks have actually been higher during these worst months of the year eight of the past ten years.\"</p><p><blockquote>“问题是，”德特里克说。“在过去十年中最糟糕的八个月里，股市实际上走高。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-stocks-have-risen-to-all-time-highs-this-year-should-you-sell-in-may-and-go-away-11619818845?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-stocks-have-risen-to-all-time-highs-this-year-should-you-sell-in-may-and-go-away-11619818845?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2132548564","content_text":"In the past, the sell-in-May strategy shakes out better in Europe than in the U.S.\n\nStocks have been on a tear this year, leaving investors to question whether to \"sell in May and go away.\"\n\"With stocks at record highs, some investors may be tempted to follow the old adage,\" a team of strategists at UBS Group's global wealth management division, wrote in a note Friday.\nThe hypothesis is that equities tend to underperform in the six months through October, so investors should sell stocks at the start of May, invest in cash and then re-enter the market in late autumn, the strategists said. Historically, the approach has worked for Europe, but not as well in the U.S., according to their note.\n\"In the U.S., a stay invested strategy has tended to outperform, particularly in recent years,\" the strategists said. \"Market composition, with the U.S. market more tilted towards growth stocks, partly explains the outperformance.\"\n\nThe technology sector now accounts for 27% of the S&P 500, or much higher than the 8% weighting for the MSCI Europe index, according to UBS. For that reason, investors who tried timing the U.S. equity benchmark for \"seasonal reasons\" would have missed the outperformance of growth stocks in the bull market since the global financial crisis of 2008-09.\nUsing the past as a guide, the UBS team recommends staying invested, even through they also point to historical evidence in Europe that supported a sell-in-May strategy.\nOver the past 15 years, returns in Europe have been negative in June 80% of the time, according to the report. \"This has contributed to a sell-in-May strategy outperforming a stay invested strategy during those years,\" the strategists said.\nMeanwhile, the U.S. stock market has risen to all-time records this year, including as recently as this week, as measured by the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average benchmarks. The S&P 500 rose to a record 4,211.47 finish on April 29, for example, and was up 11.3% this year as of Friday's close.\n\"We are now entering a time of year when stocks have historically found it more challenging to advance,\" according to the UBS report. \"With many equity indexes making new highs, some measures of sentiment looking extended, and ongoing concerns about the spread of new COVID-19 variants,\" some investors may be contemplating selling.\nBillionaire investor Leon Cooperman, a self-described \"fully invested bear,\" told CNBC on Friday that he has \"an eye on the exit\" given a coming expected rise in taxes, inflation and a \"reasonably richly appraised market.\"\nRyan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, said in a blog Friday that the six months from May through October have been \"some of the weakest months of the year for stocks\" in the past 10 years. \"But with an accommodative Fed, fiscal and monetary policy, along with an economy that is opening faster than nearly anyone expected, we'd use any weakness as an opportunity to add to positions,\" he said.\n\n\"Here's the catch,\" Detrick said. \"Stocks have actually been higher during these worst months of the year eight of the past ten years.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SH":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":10,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/101060253"}
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