【降息迷局】9月？11月？不降息？

2024-05-17

美国上周初请失业金人数略高预期，4月新屋开工与营建许可的数据也稍逊市场预期，此前有报告称，零售销售大幅下滑……经济数据整体显示出降温态势，也表明降息在望。但同时美联储官员却在不同场合表示，利率应该在更长时间内保持在高位……这引发市场猜测到底何时降息？而高利率对美国到底利大于弊还是弊大于利？美联储一直不“松口”真的是因为高通胀吗？

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美联储会议来袭！9月降息概率几成？

本周超级宏观周，美联储将于7月31日凌晨2点公布最新利率决议结果，随后鲍威尔将发表新闻发布会，美联储7月议息会议维持利率不变的概率已接近100%，【大家觉得鲍威尔是否会针对9月降息的鸽派言论？将会如何影响美股涨势？】

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