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@期权小班长：2月月权到期周，批量期权作废不得不防

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和baba。本周比较特殊，周五是月权到期日，本周到期期权在总未平仓数据里占比很大，意味着机构需要处理掉这些期权。在交易时需要考虑到这一点。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>根据周五新增排序，多头想周初拉爆英伟达，盘前股价达到141以上。</p><p>刚好机构上周五sell call 141 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250221 141.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250221%20141.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250221 141.0 CALL$</a> ，开仓5.4万手，对冲买入149，开仓3.2万手。从新增开仓来看有向150靠近的趋势，有一定概率会逼空成功。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29436637837aa85bdf4c4e6881b99815\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"802\"></p><p>不过这爆拉未必是好心，根据未平仓总体排序情况，看涨排名第一就是本周到期140call，有17.6万手未平仓。</p><p>本周大概率冲高回落，不过看跌头部未平仓期权的行权价比较低，不知道是回140还是回130。</p><p>考虑下周到期期权<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250228 150.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20250228 150.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a> 放量，可能不会回调的太厉害，毕竟有财报预期吊着市场胃口。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56fa44e738c9e82d69ed41d33d164422\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1056\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>根据最新更新未平仓排序，2月跟3月特斯拉大概率在300～400之间震荡。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4509ca4183141ffbe3e4cbbb9697e4c\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"772\"></p><p>本周机构sell call 365对冲买入390。看跌期权开仓都是极度价外，感觉股价会趋于走稳，波动率会大降。sell put 选择300即可。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5ae34c7853b1b3e9ca6dffb689edb76\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"674\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"KWEB\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a> </p><p>根据未平仓排序，本周到期头部数据是36call，有6.69万手，和30put，有3.5万手。意味着本周收盘股价大概率在30～36之间。</p><p>这张表的亮点头部数据集中于3月，所以本周结束后到3月底前肯定还有一波洗盘。但在此之前股价还是有机会靠近40。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb29eece68763ec628338f585a9f3ba\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1024\"></p><p>按新增排序会发现本周到期看跌期权放量明显，回调目标是33。</p><p>另外3月初的看涨期权开始布局，目标是40。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d9bea0a5a1f28cd1ab858e1898da788\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"676\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"FXI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国大盘股ETF-iShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> </p><p>如图按未平仓数量排序，头部期权到期日主要是3月，2月到期的看涨未平仓头部是32，看跌未平仓头部是31。股价或向此区间移动。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e023e4d3461b10775b65040c30558cf7\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p>根据看跌新增数据，本周大概率回调到34以下。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460f796e919d5fcc7c0d294adbc10334\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"578\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BABA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"阿里巴巴\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> </p><p>阿里未平仓行权价相比股价保守的多，然而新开仓非常激进。本周到期的头部未平仓看涨期权都是价内。要杀价内期权也不一定需要跌，只要不涨即可。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d83144b3cc72ca15e5039ade94096a4e\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"992\"></p><p>根据未平仓新增数据，130以上看涨数据放量明显，不过数量并不能形成逼空，这仓白开了。所以本周收盘大概率低于130。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/020d8e3d5a032855a3b5381b3e08e5a9\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"610\"></p><p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>顺序是英伟达、特斯拉、kweb、fxi 和baba。本周比较特殊，周五是月权到期日，本周到期期权在总未平仓数据里占比很大，意味着机构需要处理掉这些期权。在交易时需要考虑到这一点。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>根据周五新增排序，多头想周初拉爆英伟达，盘前股价达到141以上。</p><p>刚好机构上周五sell call 141 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250221 141.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250221%20141.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250221 141.0 CALL$</a> ，开仓5.4万手，对冲买入149，开仓3.2万手。从新增开仓来看有向150靠近的趋势，有一定概率会逼空成功。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29436637837aa85bdf4c4e6881b99815\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"802\"></p><p>不过这爆拉未必是好心，根据未平仓总体排序情况，看涨排名第一就是本周到期140call，有17.6万手未平仓。</p><p>本周大概率冲高回落，不过看跌头部未平仓期权的行权价比较低，不知道是回140还是回130。</p><p>考虑下周到期期权<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250228 150.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20250228 150.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a> 放量，可能不会回调的太厉害，毕竟有财报预期吊着市场胃口。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56fa44e738c9e82d69ed41d33d164422\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1056\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>根据最新更新未平仓排序，2月跟3月特斯拉大概率在300～400之间震荡。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4509ca4183141ffbe3e4cbbb9697e4c\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"772\"></p><p>本周机构sell call 365对冲买入390。看跌期权开仓都是极度价外，感觉股价会趋于走稳，波动率会大降。sell put 选择300即可。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5ae34c7853b1b3e9ca6dffb689edb76\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"674\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"KWEB\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a> </p><p>根据未平仓排序，本周到期头部数据是36call，有6.69万手，和30put，有3.5万手。意味着本周收盘股价大概率在30～36之间。</p><p>这张表的亮点头部数据集中于3月，所以本周结束后到3月底前肯定还有一波洗盘。但在此之前股价还是有机会靠近40。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb29eece68763ec628338f585a9f3ba\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1024\"></p><p>按新增排序会发现本周到期看跌期权放量明显，回调目标是33。</p><p>另外3月初的看涨期权开始布局，目标是40。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d9bea0a5a1f28cd1ab858e1898da788\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"676\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"FXI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国大盘股ETF-iShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> </p><p>如图按未平仓数量排序，头部期权到期日主要是3月，2月到期的看涨未平仓头部是32，看跌未平仓头部是31。股价或向此区间移动。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e023e4d3461b10775b65040c30558cf7\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p>根据看跌新增数据，本周大概率回调到34以下。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/460f796e919d5fcc7c0d294adbc10334\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"578\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BABA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"阿里巴巴\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> </p><p>阿里未平仓行权价相比股价保守的多，然而新开仓非常激进。本周到期的头部未平仓看涨期权都是价内。要杀价内期权也不一定需要跌，只要不涨即可。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d83144b3cc72ca15e5039ade94096a4e\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"992\"></p><p>根据未平仓新增数据，130以上看涨数据放量明显，不过数量并不能形成逼空，这仓白开了。所以本周收盘大概率低于130。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/020d8e3d5a032855a3b5381b3e08e5a9\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"610\"></p><p></p></body></html>","text":"顺序是英伟达、特斯拉、kweb、fxi 和baba。本周比较特殊，周五是月权到期日，本周到期期权在总未平仓数据里占比很大，意味着机构需要处理掉这些期权。在交易时需要考虑到这一点。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 根据周五新增排序，多头想周初拉爆英伟达，盘前股价达到141以上。 刚好机构上周五sell call 141 $NVDA 20250221 141.0 CALL$ ，开仓5.4万手，对冲买入149，开仓3.2万手。从新增开仓来看有向150靠近的趋势，有一定概率会逼空成功。 不过这爆拉未必是好心，根据未平仓总体排序情况，看涨排名第一就是本周到期140call，有17.6万手未平仓。 本周大概率冲高回落，不过看跌头部未平仓期权的行权价比较低，不知道是回140还是回130。 考虑下周到期期权$NVDA 20250228 150.0 CALL$ 放量，可能不会回调的太厉害，毕竟有财报预期吊着市场胃口。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 根据最新更新未平仓排序，2月跟3月特斯拉大概率在300～400之间震荡。 本周机构sell call 365对冲买入390。看跌期权开仓都是极度价外，感觉股价会趋于走稳，波动率会大降。sell put 选择300即可。 $中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$ 根据未平仓排序，本周到期头部数据是36call，有6.69万手，和30put，有3.5万手。意味着本周收盘股价大概率在30～36之间。 这张表的亮点头部数据集中于3月，所以本周结束后到3月底前肯定还有一波洗盘。但在此之前股价还是有机会靠近40。 按新增排序会发现本周到期看跌期权放量明显，回调目标是33。 另外3月初的看涨期权开始布局，目标是40。 $中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$ 如图按未平仓数量排序，头部期权到期日主要是3月，2月到期的看涨未平仓头部是32，看跌未平仓头部是31。股价或向此区间移动。 根据看跌新增数据，本周大概率回调到34以下。 $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 阿里未平仓行权价相比股价保守的多，然而新开仓非常激进。本周到期的头部未平仓看涨期权都是价内。要杀价内期权也不一定需要跌，只要不涨即可。 根据未平仓新增数据，130以上看涨数据放量明显，不过数量并不能形成逼空，这仓白开了。所以本周收盘大概率低于130。","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/404978938638744","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","BABA","TSLA","FXI","KWEB","09988"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1573,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":546,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/404960539415144"}