破发概率：根据Dee_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

破发概率：根据DeepSeek AI预测，乐观情境首日或涨20-30%（对应243-263港元），但若定价过高或市场情绪转向，可能复制奈雪、茶百道的破发路径。
估值争议：按发行价计算，动态市盈率约21.8倍，高于古茗（14.5倍）、低于茶百道（25倍），需结合港股流动性折价综合判断。
政策风险：食品安全监管趋严，低价策略可能面临原材料成本上涨压力。

茶饮股财报扎堆！蜜雪，古茗...买哪家？

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