纳指100逼近200日均线

震哥的投资世界

2025-03-03

最近几天纳指100逼近200日均线，受群友启发，震哥拉了一张图：看看最近几年纳指100接近或跌破200日均线的情况

最近5年有5次跌破或接近的情况

(1) 20年疫情: 3-4月跌破200日均线，美联储量化宽松后收复

(2) 22年加息周期：长期跌破，直到23年才收复

(3) 23年3月硅谷银行：逼近拉起

(4) 24年8月日本加息，非农不及预期：跌破拉起，时间持续很短

(5) 现在周4接近200日均线

图片

震哥的结论：

没有系统性风险的时候（比如疫情，恶性通胀，流动性危机），纳指100很难长时间跌破200日均线

那么这次面临系统性风险吗？

风险提示：文中看法可能充满笔者个人偏见或错误。提及的任何个股或基金，不作为买入建议，请坚持独立思考。

$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$

乐观情绪下降！市场将会如何演绎？

美伊局势重回紧张，三大美股指回落，标普和纳指跌离纪录高位。特朗普称已“彻底封锁”霍尔木兹海峡，直至伊朗愿达成协议。【乐观预期下降，接下来会开启调整吗？你的操作策略是？】

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

akone
2025-03-04
akone
美股是否有系统性风险？
- goog:
  有
- 快乐小狗_123:
  没有
震哥的投资世界
2025-03-04
震哥的投资世界
我认为目前没有。更多是波动和反身性
影枫16
2025-03-03
影枫16
跟进[开心]

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