FJW
03-12
11
@期权小班长:
高波动率行情或将持续2个月
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<a data-mention-id=\"VIX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500波动率指数\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> </p><p>今天先聊聊波动率指数vix的期权大单,接下来一段行情可能会比较杀人诛心,看波动率指数会比较直观。</p><p>现在的行情属于见底了,没完全见底。大家不怕抄底,怕的是漫长的筑底过程,耐心耗尽后再来一跌,清的鸟兽散,然后市场拉涨,完成散户清理计划。</p><p>典型的是中概1月行情。</p><p>具体来说机构前两天做了VIX的看涨价差roll仓,sell call下限从30提升至35,buy call上限从60提升至75。</p><p>这样的大单有两组,分别是4月中旬到期和5月中旬到期,也就是说5月中旬前市场行情都不得安生。</p><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250416 35.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250416%2035.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20250416 35.0 CALL$</a> 成交量9.96万手,买 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250416 75.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250416%2075.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20250416 75.0 CALL$</a> 成交量9.96万手。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d823af137e2aa88c84cb7870d17fed63\" tg-width=\"2520\" tg-height=\"256\"></p><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250521 35.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250521%2035.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20250521 35.0 CALL$</a>成交量4.98万手,买 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250521 75.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250521%2075.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20250521 75.0 CALL$</a> 成交量4.98万手</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42ae1c1064335f899c23c5fa8fe073e5\" tg-width=\"2516\" tg-height=\"266\"></p><p>提高VIX看涨上限的同时,VIX平均水位也在上涨,10号有人买入蝴蝶大单,认为5月中VIX大概率在17~23之间,中值20:</p><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250521 17.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250521%2017.0%20PUT\">$VIX 20250521 17.0 PUT$</a>,卖 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250521 20.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250521%2020.0%20PUT\">$VIX 20250521 20.0 PUT$</a> 买<a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250521 23.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250521%2023.0%20PUT\">$VIX 20250521 23.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bad7f31aefca1ce0749d6d3a0bac5f6d\" tg-width=\"2516\" tg-height=\"214\"></p><p>vix价格不降有很多种可能性,比如一次大暴跌像24年8月那样,或者大盘迟迟未能反弹回支撑位以上比如2018年9~12月,又或者来回走s形大震荡。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/309b3909f10df6709b09da7137000aae\" tg-width=\"2034\" tg-height=\"1450\"></p><p>以上无论哪种可能性,对于刚刚抄底的朋友来说都不是什么好消息,但必须要做好这方面的心理准备。操作上慎重上杠杆,购买短期价外call,时间损耗会非常大。</p><p>想当初2亿远期看涨大单 <a data-mention-id=\"YINN 20260116 27.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"YINN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/YINN%2020260116%2027.0%20CALL\">$YINN 20260116 27.0 CALL$</a> 都没能扛过洗盘更何况普通人。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>周一机构继续roll仓sell call,预计本周上限低于114。看涨期权新增未平仓高于看跌期权,下限110以上比较合理,毕竟下周理想状态是回到120附近把最大量未平仓集中杀掉。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf055701de850a83e5206e2adca6bb64\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1028\"></p><p>近期最大看跌大单出现了, <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251121 105.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251121%20105.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251121 105.0 PUT$</a> 开仓1.2万手,成交额1816万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd009fa6257cc788744422263bf73d3b\" tg-width=\"2510\" tg-height=\"96\"></p><p>同日场内大单买入看涨价差大单:买入 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20260320 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020260320%20115.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20260320 115.0 CALL$</a> 成交额1095万,卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20260320 140.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020260320%20140.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20260320 140.0 CALL$</a> 成交额695万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f9dfa94b2672f10fd531baf52555a6b\" tg-width=\"2512\" tg-height=\"154\"></p><p>如果想激进看涨可以参考这个大单,虽然这个策略隐含意思交易者对于上半年反弹高位没什么把握,但股价不涨也不会亏:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250620 85.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%2085.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250620 85.0 PUT$</a> </p></li><li><p>买<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20260620 150.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20260620 150.0 CALL$ </a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc9059aeb4e7b7aa509a8135f462796f\" tg-width=\"2512\" tg-height=\"150\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"VIX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500波动率指数\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> </p><p>今天先聊聊波动率指数vix的期权大单,接下来一段行情可能会比较杀人诛心,看波动率指数会比较直观。</p><p>现在的行情属于见底了,没完全见底。大家不怕抄底,怕的是漫长的筑底过程,耐心耗尽后再来一跌,清的鸟兽散,然后市场拉涨,完成散户清理计划。</p><p>典型的是中概1月行情。</p><p>具体来说机构前两天做了VIX的看涨价差roll仓,sell call下限从30提升至35,buy call上限从60提升至75。</p><p>这样的大单有两组,分别是4月中旬到期和5月中旬到期,也就是说5月中旬前市场行情都不得安生。</p><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250416 35.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250416%2035.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20250416 35.0 CALL$</a> 成交量9.96万手,买 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250416 75.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250416%2075.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20250416 75.0 CALL$</a> 成交量9.96万手。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d823af137e2aa88c84cb7870d17fed63\" tg-width=\"2520\" tg-height=\"256\"></p><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250521 35.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250521%2035.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20250521 35.0 CALL$</a>成交量4.98万手,买 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250521 75.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250521%2075.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20250521 75.0 CALL$</a> 成交量4.98万手</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42ae1c1064335f899c23c5fa8fe073e5\" tg-width=\"2516\" tg-height=\"266\"></p><p>提高VIX看涨上限的同时,VIX平均水位也在上涨,10号有人买入蝴蝶大单,认为5月中VIX大概率在17~23之间,中值20:</p><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250521 17.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250521%2017.0%20PUT\">$VIX 20250521 17.0 PUT$</a>,卖 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250521 20.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250521%2020.0%20PUT\">$VIX 20250521 20.0 PUT$</a> 买<a data-mention-id=\"VIX 20250521 23.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"VIX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020250521%2023.0%20PUT\">$VIX 20250521 23.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bad7f31aefca1ce0749d6d3a0bac5f6d\" tg-width=\"2516\" tg-height=\"214\"></p><p>vix价格不降有很多种可能性,比如一次大暴跌像24年8月那样,或者大盘迟迟未能反弹回支撑位以上比如2018年9~12月,又或者来回走s形大震荡。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/309b3909f10df6709b09da7137000aae\" tg-width=\"2034\" tg-height=\"1450\"></p><p>以上无论哪种可能性,对于刚刚抄底的朋友来说都不是什么好消息,但必须要做好这方面的心理准备。操作上慎重上杠杆,购买短期价外call,时间损耗会非常大。</p><p>想当初2亿远期看涨大单 <a data-mention-id=\"YINN 20260116 27.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"YINN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/YINN%2020260116%2027.0%20CALL\">$YINN 20260116 27.0 CALL$</a> 都没能扛过洗盘更何况普通人。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>周一机构继续roll仓sell call,预计本周上限低于114。看涨期权新增未平仓高于看跌期权,下限110以上比较合理,毕竟下周理想状态是回到120附近把最大量未平仓集中杀掉。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf055701de850a83e5206e2adca6bb64\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1028\"></p><p>近期最大看跌大单出现了, <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251121 105.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251121%20105.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251121 105.0 PUT$</a> 开仓1.2万手,成交额1816万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd009fa6257cc788744422263bf73d3b\" tg-width=\"2510\" tg-height=\"96\"></p><p>同日场内大单买入看涨价差大单:买入 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20260320 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020260320%20115.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20260320 115.0 CALL$</a> 成交额1095万,卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20260320 140.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020260320%20140.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20260320 140.0 CALL$</a> 成交额695万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f9dfa94b2672f10fd531baf52555a6b\" tg-width=\"2512\" tg-height=\"154\"></p><p>如果想激进看涨可以参考这个大单,虽然这个策略隐含意思交易者对于上半年反弹高位没什么把握,但股价不涨也不会亏:</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250620 85.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%2085.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250620 85.0 PUT$</a> </p></li><li><p>买<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20260620 150.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20260620 150.0 CALL$ </a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc9059aeb4e7b7aa509a8135f462796f\" tg-width=\"2512\" tg-height=\"150\"></p></body></html>","text":"$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ 今天先聊聊波动率指数vix的期权大单,接下来一段行情可能会比较杀人诛心,看波动率指数会比较直观。 现在的行情属于见底了,没完全见底。大家不怕抄底,怕的是漫长的筑底过程,耐心耗尽后再来一跌,清的鸟兽散,然后市场拉涨,完成散户清理计划。 典型的是中概1月行情。 具体来说机构前两天做了VIX的看涨价差roll仓,sell call下限从30提升至35,buy call上限从60提升至75。 这样的大单有两组,分别是4月中旬到期和5月中旬到期,也就是说5月中旬前市场行情都不得安生。 卖 $VIX 20250416 35.0 CALL$ 成交量9.96万手,买 $VIX 20250416 75.0 CALL$ 成交量9.96万手。 卖 $VIX 20250521 35.0 CALL$成交量4.98万手,买 $VIX 20250521 75.0 CALL$ 成交量4.98万手 提高VIX看涨上限的同时,VIX平均水位也在上涨,10号有人买入蝴蝶大单,认为5月中VIX大概率在17~23之间,中值20: 买 $VIX 20250521 17.0 PUT$,卖 $VIX 20250521 20.0 PUT$ 买$VIX 20250521 23.0 PUT$ vix价格不降有很多种可能性,比如一次大暴跌像24年8月那样,或者大盘迟迟未能反弹回支撑位以上比如2018年9~12月,又或者来回走s形大震荡。 以上无论哪种可能性,对于刚刚抄底的朋友来说都不是什么好消息,但必须要做好这方面的心理准备。操作上慎重上杠杆,购买短期价外call,时间损耗会非常大。 想当初2亿远期看涨大单 $YINN 20260116 27.0 CALL$ 都没能扛过洗盘更何况普通人。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 周一机构继续roll仓sell call,预计本周上限低于114。看涨期权新增未平仓高于看跌期权,下限110以上比较合理,毕竟下周理想状态是回到120附近把最大量未平仓集中杀掉。 近期最大看跌大单出现了, $NVDA 20251121 105.0 PUT$ 开仓1.2万手,成交额1816万。 同日场内大单买入看涨价差大单:买入 $NVDA 20260320 115.0 CALL$ 成交额1095万,卖出 $NVDA 20260320 140.0 CALL$ 成交额695万。 如果想激进看涨可以参考这个大单,虽然这个策略隐含意思交易者对于上半年反弹高位没什么把握,但股价不涨也不会亏: 卖 $NVDA 20250620 85.0 PUT$ 买$NVDA 20260620 150.0 CALL$","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/412430828601552","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","VIX","YINN","NVDA 20260320 140.0 CALL","NVDA 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