悟空的花果山
03-24
一般预计四月初反弹,会提前一个星期 希望本周反弹哈哈
@期权小班长:
期权场内大单出手了,中概股4月看跌
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call。大单到期日都选定了4月月权,说明回调时间比较明确。</p><p>不过和回调相比,我觉得更准确的描述是去杠杆,毕竟想上车的人也很多,回调太多属于做慈善。而拖一拖时间,既能损耗杠杆,又让想上车的人不那么轻松。</p><p>到时候再看吧,反正是拖延战,等后面空头陆续进场再说。</p><p>所以以当前时间点,sell call策略会更靠谱一些,毕竟涵盖了横盘和下跌两种趋势。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"FXI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国大盘股ETF-iShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> </p><p>场内大单,买入 4月到期34put<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI 20250417 34 PUT\">$FXI 20250417 34 PUT$ </a> ,成交量5.53万,成交额116.21万</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5ded820fc9b764cc444c5dd5271d3f1\" tg-width=\"2514\" tg-height=\"112\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"KWEB\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a> </p><p>场内大单,卖出4月到期37call<a data-mention-id=\"KWEB%2020250417%2037.0%20CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"KWEB 20250417 37.0 CALL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB%2020250417%2037.0%20CALL\">$KWEB 20250417 37.0 CALL$</a> ,成交量2.2万手,成交额284.28万</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93e2d2544cfb92f9a1afd2193bd98ccf\" tg-width=\"2522\" tg-height=\"110\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"ASHR\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"德银沪深300指数ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASHR\">$德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$</a> </p><p>场内大单,持股+期权 <a data-mention-id=\"ASHR 20250417 28.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ASHR\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ASHR%2020250417%2028.0%20CALL\">$ASHR 20250417 28.0 CALL$</a> ,成交量1万手,成交额43万。</p><p>对于这单的方向我比较怀疑,有概率是备兑。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/322eac4c7d8646d80da957b32cb3d06d\" tg-width=\"2516\" tg-height=\"104\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"PDD\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"拼多多\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> </p><p>拼多多的情况就比较复杂了,多空对打,感觉有信息差。空头肯定在买回调,多头在买什么?</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"PDD 20250425 128.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"PDD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PDD%2020250425%20128.0%20PUT\">$PDD 20250425 128.0 PUT$</a> 看跌买入。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"PDD 20250425 145.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"PDD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PDD%2020250425%20145.0%20CALL\">$PDD 20250425 145.0 CALL$</a> 既有买入也有卖出,两个相反开仓。其中做空的是场内大单。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"PDD 20250620 135.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"PDD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PDD%2020250620%20135.0%20CALL\">$PDD 20250620 135.0 CALL$</a> 看涨买入,理论上没有问题,但杀敌一千自损八百,谁跟谁死。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82d403428e9afa588532adab7dafa0bb\" tg-width=\"2514\" tg-height=\"528\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>先放一下5日内关仓数据,看跌本周关仓远高于看涨。可以看出之前买跨式的土豪本周持续关仓,输的很彻底。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c8102de3bfafd8d57d659f442ba682d\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"638\"></p><p>当初1月30日12块买入的122call<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250321 122.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250321%20122.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250321 122.0 CALL$</a> ,现在只剩0.04。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47f9bf7dcc2c0c926ce948c42199a909\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1732\"></p><p>1月30日买入价值11块的122put <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250321 122.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250321%20122.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250321 122.0 PUT$</a> ,现在价值5块。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62ca180bb65a86490a4810d957b92157\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1751\"></p><p>其实空头这次差一点就成功了,特意挑财报后、大盘回调的时候做空同时散布谣言,想要渲染恐慌迫使多头清仓出货,甚至只要额外多一个黑天鹅,股价就能跌到90,只可惜没有发生。但这种情况今年可能会再次预演。</p><p>这次回调让我意识到空头从来不是守株待兔,而是会借天时地利投入一定的盘外成本砸盘,所以市场弱的时候该怂还是得怂,有人会借机搞事。</p><p>看未平仓排序,4月依旧继续震荡,但有财报季预期支撑应该还行,100~130。下周预期跟本周差不多,110~124。有可能下周最低价不止110,但撑过月底到月初就反弹了,所以胆大的可以继续做110sell put,胆小的选110以下行权价。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/040d0b12681f08566dbcc4455df1d092\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1054\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 需要注意 4月到期220put<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250404 220.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250404%20220.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20250404 220.0 PUT$</a> 新开仓2万手,但买卖方向各半。理论上我偏向4月初大盘反弹看涨,但如果交车报告持续拉垮,看跌也很合理。可以下周继续关注。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>一分钟也没有为三巫日清场而悲哀,马上赶来的是4月中概看跌大单!</p><p>本来想感慨两句三巫日,但前三周差不多都bb完了,如果月权未平仓数据过重,市场肯定提前调整,到期日当天就已经尘埃落定了。</p><p>要说当周注意事项也有,比如因为三巫日目标过于明确导致羊毛党过多,当周某些行权价开仓暴涨。虽然是羊毛党薅的都是价外但也会造成一定的市场波动。</p><p>4月重头戏在中概看跌,FXI大单是买入看跌,KWEB是sell call。大单到期日都选定了4月月权,说明回调时间比较明确。</p><p>不过和回调相比,我觉得更准确的描述是去杠杆,毕竟想上车的人也很多,回调太多属于做慈善。而拖一拖时间,既能损耗杠杆,又让想上车的人不那么轻松。</p><p>到时候再看吧,反正是拖延战,等后面空头陆续进场再说。</p><p>所以以当前时间点,sell call策略会更靠谱一些,毕竟涵盖了横盘和下跌两种趋势。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"FXI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国大盘股ETF-iShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> </p><p>场内大单,买入 4月到期34put<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI 20250417 34 PUT\">$FXI 20250417 34 PUT$ </a> ,成交量5.53万,成交额116.21万</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5ded820fc9b764cc444c5dd5271d3f1\" tg-width=\"2514\" tg-height=\"112\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"KWEB\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a> </p><p>场内大单,卖出4月到期37call<a data-mention-id=\"KWEB%2020250417%2037.0%20CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"KWEB 20250417 37.0 CALL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/KWEB%2020250417%2037.0%20CALL\">$KWEB 20250417 37.0 CALL$</a> ,成交量2.2万手,成交额284.28万</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93e2d2544cfb92f9a1afd2193bd98ccf\" tg-width=\"2522\" tg-height=\"110\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"ASHR\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"德银沪深300指数ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASHR\">$德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$</a> </p><p>场内大单,持股+期权 <a data-mention-id=\"ASHR 20250417 28.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ASHR\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ASHR%2020250417%2028.0%20CALL\">$ASHR 20250417 28.0 CALL$</a> ,成交量1万手,成交额43万。</p><p>对于这单的方向我比较怀疑,有概率是备兑。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/322eac4c7d8646d80da957b32cb3d06d\" tg-width=\"2516\" tg-height=\"104\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"PDD\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"拼多多\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$</a> </p><p>拼多多的情况就比较复杂了,多空对打,感觉有信息差。空头肯定在买回调,多头在买什么?</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"PDD 20250425 128.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"PDD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PDD%2020250425%20128.0%20PUT\">$PDD 20250425 128.0 PUT$</a> 看跌买入。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"PDD 20250425 145.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"PDD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PDD%2020250425%20145.0%20CALL\">$PDD 20250425 145.0 CALL$</a> 既有买入也有卖出,两个相反开仓。其中做空的是场内大单。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"PDD 20250620 135.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"PDD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/PDD%2020250620%20135.0%20CALL\">$PDD 20250620 135.0 CALL$</a> 看涨买入,理论上没有问题,但杀敌一千自损八百,谁跟谁死。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82d403428e9afa588532adab7dafa0bb\" tg-width=\"2514\" tg-height=\"528\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>先放一下5日内关仓数据,看跌本周关仓远高于看涨。可以看出之前买跨式的土豪本周持续关仓,输的很彻底。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c8102de3bfafd8d57d659f442ba682d\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"638\"></p><p>当初1月30日12块买入的122call<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250321 122.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250321%20122.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250321 122.0 CALL$</a> ,现在只剩0.04。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47f9bf7dcc2c0c926ce948c42199a909\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1732\"></p><p>1月30日买入价值11块的122put <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250321 122.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250321%20122.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250321 122.0 PUT$</a> ,现在价值5块。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62ca180bb65a86490a4810d957b92157\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1751\"></p><p>其实空头这次差一点就成功了,特意挑财报后、大盘回调的时候做空同时散布谣言,想要渲染恐慌迫使多头清仓出货,甚至只要额外多一个黑天鹅,股价就能跌到90,只可惜没有发生。但这种情况今年可能会再次预演。</p><p>这次回调让我意识到空头从来不是守株待兔,而是会借天时地利投入一定的盘外成本砸盘,所以市场弱的时候该怂还是得怂,有人会借机搞事。</p><p>看未平仓排序,4月依旧继续震荡,但有财报季预期支撑应该还行,100~130。下周预期跟本周差不多,110~124。有可能下周最低价不止110,但撑过月底到月初就反弹了,所以胆大的可以继续做110sell put,胆小的选110以下行权价。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/040d0b12681f08566dbcc4455df1d092\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1054\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 需要注意 4月到期220put<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250404 220.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250404%20220.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20250404 220.0 PUT$</a> 新开仓2万手,但买卖方向各半。理论上我偏向4月初大盘反弹看涨,但如果交车报告持续拉垮,看跌也很合理。可以下周继续关注。</p></body></html>","text":"一分钟也没有为三巫日清场而悲哀,马上赶来的是4月中概看跌大单! 本来想感慨两句三巫日,但前三周差不多都bb完了,如果月权未平仓数据过重,市场肯定提前调整,到期日当天就已经尘埃落定了。 要说当周注意事项也有,比如因为三巫日目标过于明确导致羊毛党过多,当周某些行权价开仓暴涨。虽然是羊毛党薅的都是价外但也会造成一定的市场波动。 4月重头戏在中概看跌,FXI大单是买入看跌,KWEB是sell call。大单到期日都选定了4月月权,说明回调时间比较明确。 不过和回调相比,我觉得更准确的描述是去杠杆,毕竟想上车的人也很多,回调太多属于做慈善。而拖一拖时间,既能损耗杠杆,又让想上车的人不那么轻松。 到时候再看吧,反正是拖延战,等后面空头陆续进场再说。 所以以当前时间点,sell call策略会更靠谱一些,毕竟涵盖了横盘和下跌两种趋势。 $中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$ 场内大单,买入 4月到期34put$FXI 20250417 34 PUT$ ,成交量5.53万,成交额116.21万 $中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$ 场内大单,卖出4月到期37call$KWEB 20250417 37.0 CALL$ ,成交量2.2万手,成交额284.28万 $德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$ 场内大单,持股+期权 $ASHR 20250417 28.0 CALL$ ,成交量1万手,成交额43万。 对于这单的方向我比较怀疑,有概率是备兑。 $拼多多(PDD)$ 拼多多的情况就比较复杂了,多空对打,感觉有信息差。空头肯定在买回调,多头在买什么? $PDD 20250425 128.0 PUT$ 看跌买入。 $PDD 20250425 145.0 CALL$ 既有买入也有卖出,两个相反开仓。其中做空的是场内大单。 $PDD 20250620 135.0 CALL$ 看涨买入,理论上没有问题,但杀敌一千自损八百,谁跟谁死。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 先放一下5日内关仓数据,看跌本周关仓远高于看涨。可以看出之前买跨式的土豪本周持续关仓,输的很彻底。 当初1月30日12块买入的122call$NVDA 20250321 122.0 CALL$ ,现在只剩0.04。 1月30日买入价值11块的122put $NVDA 20250321 122.0 PUT$ ,现在价值5块。 其实空头这次差一点就成功了,特意挑财报后、大盘回调的时候做空同时散布谣言,想要渲染恐慌迫使多头清仓出货,甚至只要额外多一个黑天鹅,股价就能跌到90,只可惜没有发生。但这种情况今年可能会再次预演。 这次回调让我意识到空头从来不是守株待兔,而是会借天时地利投入一定的盘外成本砸盘,所以市场弱的时候该怂还是得怂,有人会借机搞事。 看未平仓排序,4月依旧继续震荡,但有财报季预期支撑应该还行,100~130。下周预期跟本周差不多,110~124。有可能下周最低价不止110,但撑过月底到月初就反弹了,所以胆大的可以继续做110sell put,胆小的选110以下行权价。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 需要注意 4月到期220put$TSLA 20250404 220.0 PUT$ 新开仓2万手,但买卖方向各半。理论上我偏向4月初大盘反弹看涨,但如果交车报告持续拉垮,看跌也很合理。可以下周继续关注。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/415918209269832","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","ASHR","KWEB","PDD","TSLA","FXI"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2167,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":754,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":49,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/416980996895192"}
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