杰西美
05-07
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@期权小班长：
下一步是回调？
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP，发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
1
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":432404184068368,"tweetId":"432404184068368","gmtCreate":1746579713779,"gmtModify":1746579715495,"author":{"id":22255755744717,"idStr":"22255755744717","authorId":22255755744717,"authorIdStr":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":1,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body><p>这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看</p></body></html>","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/432404184068368","repostId":431854051709088,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":431854051709088,"tweetId":"431854051709088","gmtCreate":1746459093331,"gmtModify":1746459126574,"author":{"id":3527667590215376,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorId":3527667590215376,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"最简单的期权策略实践者","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b-1","templateUuid":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b","name":"月度最佳创作者","description":"每月精华帖数量及质量位于社区TOP3的创作者","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0cad6192443c33dca826a001250fbd4","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ccd98c646815ce7610b0df338e060cc","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.02","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"累计发表精华帖>=3（或有料帖>=10），且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖（或4篇有料帖）并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.10.07","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":35552,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c","categoryId":"20b8d1944bae4805b371322c2ab986d4","name":"期权Q&A：期权知识，你问我答","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"你想知道的期权知识都在这里，咨询期权问题@期权小助手","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672d6bc9cf055ebef009d5ee69bfef82"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/417dbb7718c91078f9548b62a05da504","width":"2114","height":"164"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca49fa1ea2e62dbd97de0fdeeb497cfd","width":"1844","height":"1193"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9dc4c96b931c9317c6190e6741015f","width":"1169","height":"1634"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c79c7dbf988322783b4a178d47a95c17","width":"2067","height":"168"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c14f93d14e4530f53dffabf0ab886f0b","width":"984","height":"704"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c13f0f5abda7ec3fab072835d67dae89","width":"1869","height":"357"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58d339f311318e2697862a4195da760f","width":"2108","height":"124"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5f628e9a315d9400f3c2788a726b7d","width":"899","height":"759"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e138f1c84aa7e34e8a006da7cc5cdf91","width":"2117","height":"171"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3729c00f81106a07a8d2b8659e2bd35","width":"2105","height":"162"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8136a3a6607a61b642bf925e9f8ca81f","width":"2072","height":"162"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/417dbb7718c91078f9548b62a05da504","width":"2114","height":"164"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca49fa1ea2e62dbd97de0fdeeb497cfd","width":"1844","height":"1193"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9dc4c96b931c9317c6190e6741015f","width":"1169","height":"1634"}],"title":"下一步是回调？","html":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"苹果\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> </p><p>市场整体反弹回关税前位置，然而并不是所有科技股都是同样的待遇，比如苹果，周五有大单卖出2.6万手6月到期240call <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020250620%20240.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL$</a>。 </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/417dbb7718c91078f9548b62a05da504\" tg-width=\"2114\" tg-height=\"164\"></p><p>240这个位置有点说法，是3月10日美股暴跌前的位置，当天市场对美国经济健康状况的担忧扭转了投资者的风险偏好，美元指数一度跌至去年11月以来的最低点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca49fa1ea2e62dbd97de0fdeeb497cfd\" tg-width=\"1844\" tg-height=\"1193\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>微软财报利好带动市场周五直接反弹回关税前位置。不过当前这个位置争议很大，对于英伟达来说处于财报前看涨和回调压力两种叠加状态。</p><p>具体表现为，周四有人开仓买入7万手5月23日到期115call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20115.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9dc4c96b931c9317c6190e6741015f\" tg-width=\"1169\" tg-height=\"1634\"></p><p>另一边空头在周四周五持续开仓买入看跌价差进行做空：买 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2099.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$</a>，卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250516 90.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2090.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 90.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c79c7dbf988322783b4a178d47a95c17\" tg-width=\"2067\" tg-height=\"168\"></p><p>经过两天集中交易，目前5月16日99put未平仓数量达到8.2万手，也就是说这两周有概率英伟达会回调100。</p><p>股价上限方面，机构本周看涨价差套利策略是sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250509 120.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250509%20120.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250509 120.0 CALL$</a> ，buy call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250509 130.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20250509 130.0 CALL$ </a> 。本周波动区间在100~120之间。</p><p>不过这个上限120是被上周暴涨逼出来的，实际上限可能没有这么高。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c14f93d14e4530f53dffabf0ab886f0b\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"704\"></p><p>整体来说看涨115也好<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20115.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$</a> ，看跌到99也好 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2099.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$</a>，这两周内都有可能发生，但结合当前局势和月权未平仓，激进看涨并不可取。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AMD\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美国超微公司\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> </p><p>机构本周看涨价差套利策略是sell call <a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20250509 105.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020250509%20105.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20250509 105.0 CALL$</a> ，buy call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD 20250509 114.0 CALL\">$AMD 20250509 114.0 CALL$ </a>，所以本周上限是105。这个价格，对于本周要发财报的股票来说，预期实在不算好。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c13f0f5abda7ec3fab072835d67dae89\" tg-width=\"1869\" tg-height=\"357\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"SOXL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$</a> </p><p>大单sell put <a data-mention-id=\"SOXL 20251121 16.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"SOXL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SOXL%2020251121%2016.0%20PUT\">$SOXL 20251121 16.0 PUT$</a> ，开仓9522手。</p><p>这个大单介于有点说法和有点问题之间。首先说问题在哪，16这个价格是4月2日宣布关税前的水平位，smh和soxx这些正常etf已经反弹到位了，唯独soxl三倍杠杆仍然低于16。</p><p>有没有一种可能，soxl没反弹到16是因为杠杆损耗而不是有套利空间？</p><p>当然如果大单卖方不傻，是经过深思熟虑后的操作，说明当前位置sell put 16不亏。</p><p>不过这个操作还是很怪，总之评价为钱多。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58d339f311318e2697862a4195da760f\" tg-width=\"2108\" tg-height=\"124\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>本周波动区间260~305。上限305来自机构sell call行权价；下限260来自空头，周五有人开仓买入2.6万手260put <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250509 260.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250509%20260.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20250509 260.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5f628e9a315d9400f3c2788a726b7d\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"759\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e138f1c84aa7e34e8a006da7cc5cdf91\" tg-width=\"2117\" tg-height=\"171\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"亚马逊\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> </p><p>亚马逊long call大单roll 仓， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN 20250620 180.0 CALL\">$AMZN 20250620 180.0 CALL$ </a> roll到 <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20250815 180.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020250815%20180.0%20CALL\">$AMZN 20250815 180.0 CALL$</a> ，行权价180不变，符合预期。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3729c00f81106a07a8d2b8659e2bd35\" tg-width=\"2105\" tg-height=\"162\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"微软\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> </p><p>值得注意，虽然微软财报爆发利好，但机构long call大单roll仓行权价依然选择了保守价格400 <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20250815 400.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020250815%20400.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20250815 400.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量相比roll仓前有所增加，从2.6万增加到3.1万手。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8136a3a6607a61b642bf925e9f8ca81f\" tg-width=\"2072\" tg-height=\"162\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"苹果\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> </p><p>市场整体反弹回关税前位置，然而并不是所有科技股都是同样的待遇，比如苹果，周五有大单卖出2.6万手6月到期240call <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020250620%20240.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL$</a>。 </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/417dbb7718c91078f9548b62a05da504\" tg-width=\"2114\" tg-height=\"164\"></p><p>240这个位置有点说法，是3月10日美股暴跌前的位置，当天市场对美国经济健康状况的担忧扭转了投资者的风险偏好，美元指数一度跌至去年11月以来的最低点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca49fa1ea2e62dbd97de0fdeeb497cfd\" tg-width=\"1844\" tg-height=\"1193\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>微软财报利好带动市场周五直接反弹回关税前位置。不过当前这个位置争议很大，对于英伟达来说处于财报前看涨和回调压力两种叠加状态。</p><p>具体表现为，周四有人开仓买入7万手5月23日到期115call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20115.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9dc4c96b931c9317c6190e6741015f\" tg-width=\"1169\" tg-height=\"1634\"></p><p>另一边空头在周四周五持续开仓买入看跌价差进行做空：买 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2099.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$</a>，卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250516 90.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2090.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 90.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c79c7dbf988322783b4a178d47a95c17\" tg-width=\"2067\" tg-height=\"168\"></p><p>经过两天集中交易，目前5月16日99put未平仓数量达到8.2万手，也就是说这两周有概率英伟达会回调100。</p><p>股价上限方面，机构本周看涨价差套利策略是sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250509 120.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250509%20120.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250509 120.0 CALL$</a> ，buy call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250509 130.0 CALL\">$NVDA 20250509 130.0 CALL$ </a> 。本周波动区间在100~120之间。</p><p>不过这个上限120是被上周暴涨逼出来的，实际上限可能没有这么高。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c14f93d14e4530f53dffabf0ab886f0b\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"704\"></p><p>整体来说看涨115也好<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20115.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$</a> ，看跌到99也好 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2099.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$</a>，这两周内都有可能发生，但结合当前局势和月权未平仓，激进看涨并不可取。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AMD\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美国超微公司\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> </p><p>机构本周看涨价差套利策略是sell call <a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20250509 105.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020250509%20105.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20250509 105.0 CALL$</a> ，buy call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD 20250509 114.0 CALL\">$AMD 20250509 114.0 CALL$ </a>，所以本周上限是105。这个价格，对于本周要发财报的股票来说，预期实在不算好。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c13f0f5abda7ec3fab072835d67dae89\" tg-width=\"1869\" tg-height=\"357\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"SOXL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$</a> </p><p>大单sell put <a data-mention-id=\"SOXL 20251121 16.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"SOXL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SOXL%2020251121%2016.0%20PUT\">$SOXL 20251121 16.0 PUT$</a> ，开仓9522手。</p><p>这个大单介于有点说法和有点问题之间。首先说问题在哪，16这个价格是4月2日宣布关税前的水平位，smh和soxx这些正常etf已经反弹到位了，唯独soxl三倍杠杆仍然低于16。</p><p>有没有一种可能，soxl没反弹到16是因为杠杆损耗而不是有套利空间？</p><p>当然如果大单卖方不傻，是经过深思熟虑后的操作，说明当前位置sell put 16不亏。</p><p>不过这个操作还是很怪，总之评价为钱多。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58d339f311318e2697862a4195da760f\" tg-width=\"2108\" tg-height=\"124\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>本周波动区间260~305。上限305来自机构sell call行权价；下限260来自空头，周五有人开仓买入2.6万手260put <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250509 260.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250509%20260.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20250509 260.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5f628e9a315d9400f3c2788a726b7d\" tg-width=\"899\" tg-height=\"759\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e138f1c84aa7e34e8a006da7cc5cdf91\" tg-width=\"2117\" tg-height=\"171\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"亚马逊\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> </p><p>亚马逊long call大单roll 仓， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN 20250620 180.0 CALL\">$AMZN 20250620 180.0 CALL$ </a> roll到 <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20250815 180.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020250815%20180.0%20CALL\">$AMZN 20250815 180.0 CALL$</a> ，行权价180不变，符合预期。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3729c00f81106a07a8d2b8659e2bd35\" tg-width=\"2105\" tg-height=\"162\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"微软\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> </p><p>值得注意，虽然微软财报爆发利好，但机构long call大单roll仓行权价依然选择了保守价格400 <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20250815 400.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020250815%20400.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20250815 400.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量相比roll仓前有所增加，从2.6万增加到3.1万手。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8136a3a6607a61b642bf925e9f8ca81f\" tg-width=\"2072\" tg-height=\"162\"></p></body></html>","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 市场整体反弹回关税前位置，然而并不是所有科技股都是同样的待遇，比如苹果，周五有大单卖出2.6万手6月到期240call $AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL$。 240这个位置有点说法，是3月10日美股暴跌前的位置，当天市场对美国经济健康状况的担忧扭转了投资者的风险偏好，美元指数一度跌至去年11月以来的最低点。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 微软财报利好带动市场周五直接反弹回关税前位置。不过当前这个位置争议很大，对于英伟达来说处于财报前看涨和回调压力两种叠加状态。 具体表现为，周四有人开仓买入7万手5月23日到期115call $NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$ 。 另一边空头在周四周五持续开仓买入看跌价差进行做空：买 $NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$，卖 $NVDA 20250516 90.0 PUT$ 经过两天集中交易，目前5月16日99put未平仓数量达到8.2万手，也就是说这两周有概率英伟达会回调100。 股价上限方面，机构本周看涨价差套利策略是sell call $NVDA 20250509 120.0 CALL$ ，buy call $NVDA 20250509 130.0 CALL$ 。本周波动区间在100~120之间。 不过这个上限120是被上周暴涨逼出来的，实际上限可能没有这么高。 整体来说看涨115也好$NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$ ，看跌到99也好 $NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$，这两周内都有可能发生，但结合当前局势和月权未平仓，激进看涨并不可取。 $美国超微公司(AMD)$ 机构本周看涨价差套利策略是sell call $AMD 20250509 105.0 CALL$ ，buy call $AMD 20250509 114.0 CALL$ ，所以本周上限是105。这个价格，对于本周要发财报的股票来说，预期实在不算好。 $三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ 大单sell put $SOXL 20251121 16.0 PUT$ ，开仓9522手。 这个大单介于有点说法和有点问题之间。首先说问题在哪，16这个价格是4月2日宣布关税前的水平位，smh和soxx这些正常etf已经反弹到位了，唯独soxl三倍杠杆仍然低于16。 有没有一种可能，soxl没反弹到16是因为杠杆损耗而不是有套利空间？ 当然如果大单卖方不傻，是经过深思熟虑后的操作，说明当前位置sell put 16不亏。 不过这个操作还是很怪，总之评价为钱多。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 本周波动区间260~305。上限305来自机构sell call行权价；下限260来自空头，周五有人开仓买入2.6万手260put $TSLA 20250509 260.0 PUT$ $亚马逊(AMZN)$ 亚马逊long call大单roll 仓， $AMZN 20250620 180.0 CALL$ roll到 $AMZN 20250815 180.0 CALL$ ，行权价180不变，符合预期。 $微软(MSFT)$ 值得注意，虽然微软财报爆发利好，但机构long call大单roll仓行权价依然选择了保守价格400 $MSFT 20250815 400.0 CALL$ ，成交量相比roll仓前有所增加，从2.6万增加到3.1万手。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/431854051709088","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","AMZN","AAPL","SOXL","TSLA","MSFT","AMD","SOXL 20251121 16.0 PUT"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1987,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":886,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":27,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/432404184068368"}
精彩评论