大天外菩提
06-18
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@期权小班长：
段永平sell put苹果释放了什么信号
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put苹果释放了什么信号","html":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"苹果\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> </p><p>周末，段永平段总久违的再次发布了自己的交易记录，于周五6月13日卖出999手2026年1月到期195put <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT$ </a> ，获得权利金约为144万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21236ffddd3cbfe0a1b7f77da083280d\" tg-width=\"1707\" tg-height=\"1280\"></p><p>段总给出了年化收益，按每手14.45计算，年化是18%左右。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06d255f5f7bf3c66aca22b3f4a3487f\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"1238\"></p><p>不过根据大单筛选器搜索记录，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT$ </a>这个put在上周四6月12日同样有卖出记录，交易数量也是999手左右，疑似也是段总的单子。没晒单也很合理，因为人家也没义务每笔都晒。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2b9e2778e78265b9aafd298ee3de4e5\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"258\"></p><p>我们来分析一下这个策略。周五苹果收盘196.45，sell put行权价选择195相当于平价，平价sell put一般意味着横盘偏看涨趋势，或者交易者十分愿意接盘。</p><p>即使到期日是半年后，这种行权价选择也似乎很激进，毕竟英伟达段永平并没有选择平价sell put。</p><p>但苹果195这个位置也很有意思，一年之前也就是2024年6月初苹果股价就是195，再往前一年2023年苹果股价依然是195。按苹果的业务增长和估值，半年后如果能以195接盘很划算。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f24e7bdb6b785ff9e6c1fccdff20d10d\" tg-width=\"2016\" tg-height=\"1250\"></p><p>只讨论近期趋势的话，在其他科技股不断反弹迈向原先高位的情况下，只有苹果原地踏步在200上下震荡，很不合理。</p><p>所以哪怕宏观威胁没有结束，未来几周可能会回调，此时sell put195<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT$ </a>问题也不大。</p><p>从期权开仓情况来看，市场为6月20日之后的风险做好了对冲准备，目标价175。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb99be9eaf35b224257a50a5716630d3\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"896\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>周一经历了一场**空。本周是三巫日，外加上周五伊朗以色列摩擦，市场对本周上限预期较低，和上周持平。</p><p>结果周一开盘情绪缓和直接逼空了，这里点名AMD和PLTR，尤其是AMD开盘逼空一次，机构调仓行权价126过低又被逼空一次，当前sell call调仓132。</p><p>英伟达后续也可能会逼空，机构sell call行权价是145～146。值得注意的是，上周五有人买入6月27日到期142call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250627 142.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250627%20142.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250627 142.0 CALL$</a> ，成交额400多万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b1aa44121e56ba5b080ed54be83fc83\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"962\"></p><p>本周震荡区间140～150，考虑发生逼空或者突破146失败后做150的sell call。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84a373c26f0d98b2d88d1e9f77b0956\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1028\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"甲骨文\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> </p><p>long call买入甲骨文看涨期权170call <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL 20270617 170.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ORCL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL%2020270617%20170.0%20CALL\">$ORCL 20270617 170.0 CALL$</a> ，成交额 1500多万</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10037620368c82a9b80c99a4ef331f19\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"150\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>周五收盘预期本周震荡区间是585.8-608.2，周一开盘后预期变成了592.6 -609.4。</p><p>从开仓情况来看本周预期偏跌，看到590。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65285831553de557753aab53f74d8ec4\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"798\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>尚未出现逼空，显得不太正常。机构本周sell call行权价选择330、337.5和345几个档位，非常极限。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/175f202f5abb9ba324f76baec25ca704\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"898\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"USO\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美国原油ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a> </p><p>原油做空大单选择了0成本看跌，卖出90call，买入77put，卖出71put。</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/USO 20250815 90.0 CALL\">$USO 20250815 90.0 CALL$ </a> </p></li><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"USO 20250815 77.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"USO\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/USO%2020250815%2077.0%20PUT\">$USO 20250815 77.0 PUT$</a> </p></li><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"USO 20250815 71.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"USO\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/USO%2020250815%2071.0%20PUT\">$USO 20250815 71.0 PUT$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecde1a80320140d34c1bfeef2680c562\" tg-width=\"2486\" tg-height=\"204\"></p><p></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"苹果\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> </p><p>周末，段永平段总久违的再次发布了自己的交易记录，于周五6月13日卖出999手2026年1月到期195put <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT$ </a> ，获得权利金约为144万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21236ffddd3cbfe0a1b7f77da083280d\" tg-width=\"1707\" tg-height=\"1280\"></p><p>段总给出了年化收益，按每手14.45计算，年化是18%左右。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e06d255f5f7bf3c66aca22b3f4a3487f\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"1238\"></p><p>不过根据大单筛选器搜索记录，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT$ </a>这个put在上周四6月12日同样有卖出记录，交易数量也是999手左右，疑似也是段总的单子。没晒单也很合理，因为人家也没义务每笔都晒。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2b9e2778e78265b9aafd298ee3de4e5\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"258\"></p><p>我们来分析一下这个策略。周五苹果收盘196.45，sell put行权价选择195相当于平价，平价sell put一般意味着横盘偏看涨趋势，或者交易者十分愿意接盘。</p><p>即使到期日是半年后，这种行权价选择也似乎很激进，毕竟英伟达段永平并没有选择平价sell put。</p><p>但苹果195这个位置也很有意思，一年之前也就是2024年6月初苹果股价就是195，再往前一年2023年苹果股价依然是195。按苹果的业务增长和估值，半年后如果能以195接盘很划算。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f24e7bdb6b785ff9e6c1fccdff20d10d\" tg-width=\"2016\" tg-height=\"1250\"></p><p>只讨论近期趋势的话，在其他科技股不断反弹迈向原先高位的情况下，只有苹果原地踏步在200上下震荡，很不合理。</p><p>所以哪怕宏观威胁没有结束，未来几周可能会回调，此时sell put195<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT\">$AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT$ </a>问题也不大。</p><p>从期权开仓情况来看，市场为6月20日之后的风险做好了对冲准备，目标价175。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb99be9eaf35b224257a50a5716630d3\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"896\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>周一经历了一场**空。本周是三巫日，外加上周五伊朗以色列摩擦，市场对本周上限预期较低，和上周持平。</p><p>结果周一开盘情绪缓和直接逼空了，这里点名AMD和PLTR，尤其是AMD开盘逼空一次，机构调仓行权价126过低又被逼空一次，当前sell call调仓132。</p><p>英伟达后续也可能会逼空，机构sell call行权价是145～146。值得注意的是，上周五有人买入6月27日到期142call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250627 142.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250627%20142.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250627 142.0 CALL$</a> ，成交额400多万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b1aa44121e56ba5b080ed54be83fc83\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"962\"></p><p>本周震荡区间140～150，考虑发生逼空或者突破146失败后做150的sell call。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84a373c26f0d98b2d88d1e9f77b0956\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1028\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"甲骨文\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> </p><p>long call买入甲骨文看涨期权170call <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL 20270617 170.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ORCL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL%2020270617%20170.0%20CALL\">$ORCL 20270617 170.0 CALL$</a> ，成交额 1500多万</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10037620368c82a9b80c99a4ef331f19\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"150\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>周五收盘预期本周震荡区间是585.8-608.2，周一开盘后预期变成了592.6 -609.4。</p><p>从开仓情况来看本周预期偏跌，看到590。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65285831553de557753aab53f74d8ec4\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"798\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>尚未出现逼空，显得不太正常。机构本周sell call行权价选择330、337.5和345几个档位，非常极限。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/175f202f5abb9ba324f76baec25ca704\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"898\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"USO\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美国原油ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a> </p><p>原油做空大单选择了0成本看跌，卖出90call，买入77put，卖出71put。</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/USO 20250815 90.0 CALL\">$USO 20250815 90.0 CALL$ </a> </p></li><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"USO 20250815 77.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"USO\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/USO%2020250815%2077.0%20PUT\">$USO 20250815 77.0 PUT$</a> </p></li><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"USO 20250815 71.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"USO\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/USO%2020250815%2071.0%20PUT\">$USO 20250815 71.0 PUT$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecde1a80320140d34c1bfeef2680c562\" tg-width=\"2486\" tg-height=\"204\"></p><p></p></body></html>","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 周末，段永平段总久违的再次发布了自己的交易记录，于周五6月13日卖出999手2026年1月到期195put $AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT$ ，获得权利金约为144万。 段总给出了年化收益，按每手14.45计算，年化是18%左右。 不过根据大单筛选器搜索记录，$AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT$ 这个put在上周四6月12日同样有卖出记录，交易数量也是999手左右，疑似也是段总的单子。没晒单也很合理，因为人家也没义务每笔都晒。 我们来分析一下这个策略。周五苹果收盘196.45，sell put行权价选择195相当于平价，平价sell put一般意味着横盘偏看涨趋势，或者交易者十分愿意接盘。 即使到期日是半年后，这种行权价选择也似乎很激进，毕竟英伟达段永平并没有选择平价sell put。 但苹果195这个位置也很有意思，一年之前也就是2024年6月初苹果股价就是195，再往前一年2023年苹果股价依然是195。按苹果的业务增长和估值，半年后如果能以195接盘很划算。 只讨论近期趋势的话，在其他科技股不断反弹迈向原先高位的情况下，只有苹果原地踏步在200上下震荡，很不合理。 所以哪怕宏观威胁没有结束，未来几周可能会回调，此时sell put195$AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT$ 问题也不大。 从期权开仓情况来看，市场为6月20日之后的风险做好了对冲准备，目标价175。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 周一经历了一场**空。本周是三巫日，外加上周五伊朗以色列摩擦，市场对本周上限预期较低，和上周持平。 结果周一开盘情绪缓和直接逼空了，这里点名AMD和PLTR，尤其是AMD开盘逼空一次，机构调仓行权价126过低又被逼空一次，当前sell call调仓132。 英伟达后续也可能会逼空，机构sell call行权价是145～146。值得注意的是，上周五有人买入6月27日到期142call $NVDA 20250627 142.0 CALL$ ，成交额400多万。 本周震荡区间140～150，考虑发生逼空或者突破146失败后做150的sell call。 $甲骨文(ORCL)$ long call买入甲骨文看涨期权170call $ORCL 20270617 170.0 CALL$ ，成交额 1500多万 $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 周五收盘预期本周震荡区间是585.8-608.2，周一开盘后预期变成了592.6 -609.4。 从开仓情况来看本周预期偏跌，看到590。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 尚未出现逼空，显得不太正常。机构本周sell call行权价选择330、337.5和345几个档位，非常极限。 $美国原油ETF(USO)$ 原油做空大单选择了0成本看跌，卖出90call，买入77put，卖出71put。 卖 $USO 20250815 90.0 CALL$ 买 $USO 20250815 77.0 PUT$ 卖 $USO 20250815 71.0 PUT$","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/446798820429968","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","USO","TSLA","AAPL","SPY","ORCL","USO 20250815 90.0 CALL","ORCL 20270617 170.0 CALL","AAPL 20260116 195.0 PUT","USO 20250815 71.0 PUT","USO 20250815 77.0 PUT","NVDA 20250627 142.0 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