Mr豪哥
07-08
感谢班长分享
@期权小班长:
波动率再次反弹,或有日级别回调
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data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a></p><p>近期市场可能会发生 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500波动率指数\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 20以上30以下级别的波动。</p><p>回调喊了两周了,我还是要继续喊,英伟达该做备兑了,从趋势来看近期回调不可避免,本周sell call不亏。</p><p>本周机构sell call行权价160、162.5和165,对冲170和172.5。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efd04905049bc1f9ce9baacb36ec053e\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"962\"></p><p>看跌期权有个值得注意的,机构开仓了2.7万手115put <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250711 115.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250711%20115.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250711 115.0 PUT$</a> ,大概率是赌波动率骤然上升。这波回调我预期应该是140左右,最差到130。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc6835ceac5e40ab16d0744e791af3fc\" tg-width=\"2484\" tg-height=\"98\"></p><p>近期谨慎做多,之前抄底的远期多头停止加仓并且开始平仓了:<a data-mention-id=\"ARM 20270617 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ARM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ARM%2020270617%20115.0%20CALL\">$ARM 20270617 115.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20270617 155.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020270617%20155.0%20CALL\">$GOOGL 20270617 155.0 CALL$</a></p><p>本周不考虑sell put,做sell call 165 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250711 165.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250711%20165.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250711 165.0 CALL$</a></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a></p><p>跟上周浅尝辄止的回调不一样,这周有人想赌个大的。</p><p>本周到期看跌期权开仓145put<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250711 145.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250711%20145.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20250711 145.0 PUT$</a> (场内交易),以及235put <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250711 235.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250711%20235.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20250711 235.0 PUT$</a> ,都是买入方向。</p><p>主要是参政这事,树敌可太多了,特斯拉简直是立着靶子被人打。145put比较偏向赌波动率,235put我跟了一手,很便宜就当买彩票了。</p><p>看涨期权机构sell call 327.5。 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250711 327.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250711%20327.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20250711 327.5 CALL$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d9d66eb610b28ac87741ed218a9bc2\" tg-width=\"1036\" tg-height=\"832\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"XLF\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"金融ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLF\">$金融ETF(XLF)$</a></p><p>下周财报季银行股先打头阵,xlf创新高,但看涨开仓大单是熊市价差看跌,9月前股价低于56,或者说近期看涨期权损耗很大,那意思就是大概率财报后回调呗。</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖<a data-mention-id=\"XLF 20250919 56.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"XLF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/XLF%2020250919%2056.0%20CALL\">$XLF 20250919 56.0 CALL$</a></p></li><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"XLF 20250919 59.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"XLF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/XLF%2020250919%2059.0%20CALL\">$XLF 20250919 59.0 CALL$</a></p></li></ul><p>看跌大单是sell put 51 <a data-mention-id=\"XLF 20250718 51.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"XLF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/XLF%2020250718%2051.0%20PUT\">$XLF 20250718 51.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37b9218cc22e011df49a729cb0ccd279\" tg-width=\"2482\" tg-height=\"154\"></p><p>BAC有同样的大单是sell call 55<a data-mention-id=\"BAC 20250919 55.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BAC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BAC%2020250919%2055.0%20CALL\">$BAC 20250919 55.0 CALL$</a></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"AAPL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"苹果\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a></p><p>217.5call和220call开仓里买方居多,不出意外本周开盘就被坑杀了。本周大概率继续在210上下震荡。</p><p>总体来说苹果的看涨和看跌期权在200~215之间较劲厉害是件好事,说明跟其他股票相比在大盘回调时会更抗跌,最差预期还是回到200。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa3a445c99a07527ce286d1f8ba587d4\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"834\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"HOOD\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Robinhood\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOOD\">$Robinhood(HOOD)$</a></p><p>有一组本周到期看跌价差大单:买入87put <a data-mention-id=\"HOOD 20250711 87.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"HOOD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/HOOD%2020250711%2087.0%20PUT\">$HOOD 20250711 87.0 PUT$</a> ,卖出83put <a data-mention-id=\"HOOD 20250711 83.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"HOOD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/HOOD%2020250711%2083.0%20PUT\">$HOOD 20250711 83.0 PUT$</a> 。</p><p>综上本周不要追涨,周一先做个sell call 165 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250711 165.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250711%20165.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250711 165.0 CALL$</a>,以及买张彩票 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250711 235.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250711%20235.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20250711 235.0 PUT$</a> ,其他明天再看情况。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a></p><p>近期市场可能会发生 <a data-mention-id=\"VIX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500波动率指数\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIX\">$标普500波动率指数(VIX)$</a> 20以上30以下级别的波动。</p><p>回调喊了两周了,我还是要继续喊,英伟达该做备兑了,从趋势来看近期回调不可避免,本周sell call不亏。</p><p>本周机构sell call行权价160、162.5和165,对冲170和172.5。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efd04905049bc1f9ce9baacb36ec053e\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"962\"></p><p>看跌期权有个值得注意的,机构开仓了2.7万手115put <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250711 115.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250711%20115.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250711 115.0 PUT$</a> ,大概率是赌波动率骤然上升。这波回调我预期应该是140左右,最差到130。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc6835ceac5e40ab16d0744e791af3fc\" tg-width=\"2484\" tg-height=\"98\"></p><p>近期谨慎做多,之前抄底的远期多头停止加仓并且开始平仓了:<a data-mention-id=\"ARM 20270617 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ARM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ARM%2020270617%20115.0%20CALL\">$ARM 20270617 115.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20270617 155.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020270617%20155.0%20CALL\">$GOOGL 20270617 155.0 CALL$</a></p><p>本周不考虑sell put,做sell call 165 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250711 165.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250711%20165.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250711 165.0 CALL$</a></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a></p><p>跟上周浅尝辄止的回调不一样,这周有人想赌个大的。</p><p>本周到期看跌期权开仓145put<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250711 145.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250711%20145.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20250711 145.0 PUT$</a> (场内交易),以及235put <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250711 235.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250711%20235.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20250711 235.0 PUT$</a> ,都是买入方向。</p><p>主要是参政这事,树敌可太多了,特斯拉简直是立着靶子被人打。145put比较偏向赌波动率,235put我跟了一手,很便宜就当买彩票了。</p><p>看涨期权机构sell call 327.5。 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250711 327.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250711%20327.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20250711 327.5 CALL$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d9d66eb610b28ac87741ed218a9bc2\" tg-width=\"1036\" tg-height=\"832\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"XLF\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"金融ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLF\">$金融ETF(XLF)$</a></p><p>下周财报季银行股先打头阵,xlf创新高,但看涨开仓大单是熊市价差看跌,9月前股价低于56,或者说近期看涨期权损耗很大,那意思就是大概率财报后回调呗。</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖<a data-mention-id=\"XLF 20250919 56.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"XLF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/XLF%2020250919%2056.0%20CALL\">$XLF 20250919 56.0 CALL$</a></p></li><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"XLF 20250919 59.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"XLF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/XLF%2020250919%2059.0%20CALL\">$XLF 20250919 59.0 CALL$</a></p></li></ul><p>看跌大单是sell put 51 <a data-mention-id=\"XLF 20250718 51.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"XLF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/XLF%2020250718%2051.0%20PUT\">$XLF 20250718 51.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37b9218cc22e011df49a729cb0ccd279\" tg-width=\"2482\" tg-height=\"154\"></p><p>BAC有同样的大单是sell call 55<a data-mention-id=\"BAC 20250919 55.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BAC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BAC%2020250919%2055.0%20CALL\">$BAC 20250919 55.0 CALL$</a></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"AAPL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"苹果\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a></p><p>217.5call和220call开仓里买方居多,不出意外本周开盘就被坑杀了。本周大概率继续在210上下震荡。</p><p>总体来说苹果的看涨和看跌期权在200~215之间较劲厉害是件好事,说明跟其他股票相比在大盘回调时会更抗跌,最差预期还是回到200。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa3a445c99a07527ce286d1f8ba587d4\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"834\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"HOOD\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Robinhood\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOOD\">$Robinhood(HOOD)$</a></p><p>有一组本周到期看跌价差大单:买入87put <a data-mention-id=\"HOOD 20250711 87.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"HOOD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/HOOD%2020250711%2087.0%20PUT\">$HOOD 20250711 87.0 PUT$</a> ,卖出83put <a data-mention-id=\"HOOD 20250711 83.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"HOOD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/HOOD%2020250711%2083.0%20PUT\">$HOOD 20250711 83.0 PUT$</a> 。</p><p>综上本周不要追涨,周一先做个sell call 165 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250711 165.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250711%20165.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250711 165.0 CALL$</a>,以及买张彩票 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20250711 235.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020250711%20235.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20250711 235.0 PUT$</a> ,其他明天再看情况。</p></body></html>","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 近期市场可能会发生 $标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ 20以上30以下级别的波动。 回调喊了两周了,我还是要继续喊,英伟达该做备兑了,从趋势来看近期回调不可避免,本周sell call不亏。 本周机构sell call行权价160、162.5和165,对冲170和172.5。 看跌期权有个值得注意的,机构开仓了2.7万手115put $NVDA 20250711 115.0 PUT$ ,大概率是赌波动率骤然上升。这波回调我预期应该是140左右,最差到130。 近期谨慎做多,之前抄底的远期多头停止加仓并且开始平仓了:$ARM 20270617 115.0 CALL$ $GOOGL 20270617 155.0 CALL$ 本周不考虑sell put,做sell call 165 $NVDA 20250711 165.0 CALL$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 跟上周浅尝辄止的回调不一样,这周有人想赌个大的。 本周到期看跌期权开仓145put$TSLA 20250711 145.0 PUT$ (场内交易),以及235put $TSLA 20250711 235.0 PUT$ ,都是买入方向。 主要是参政这事,树敌可太多了,特斯拉简直是立着靶子被人打。145put比较偏向赌波动率,235put我跟了一手,很便宜就当买彩票了。 看涨期权机构sell call 327.5。 $TSLA 20250711 327.5 CALL$ $金融ETF(XLF)$ 下周财报季银行股先打头阵,xlf创新高,但看涨开仓大单是熊市价差看跌,9月前股价低于56,或者说近期看涨期权损耗很大,那意思就是大概率财报后回调呗。 卖$XLF 20250919 56.0 CALL$ 买 $XLF 20250919 59.0 CALL$ 看跌大单是sell put 51 $XLF 20250718 51.0 PUT$ BAC有同样的大单是sell call 55$BAC 20250919 55.0 CALL$ $苹果(AAPL)$ 217.5call和220call开仓里买方居多,不出意外本周开盘就被坑杀了。本周大概率继续在210上下震荡。 总体来说苹果的看涨和看跌期权在200~215之间较劲厉害是件好事,说明跟其他股票相比在大盘回调时会更抗跌,最差预期还是回到200。 $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 有一组本周到期看跌价差大单:买入87put $HOOD 20250711 87.0 PUT$ ,卖出83put $HOOD 20250711 83.0 PUT$ 。 综上本周不要追涨,周一先做个sell call 165 $NVDA 20250711 165.0 CALL$,以及买张彩票 $TSLA 20250711 235.0 PUT$ 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