悟空的花果山
09-16
tsla 下周再涨吧 现在太可怕了😱
@期权小班长：
市场翻脸！？sell call大单做空甲骨文
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下周再涨吧 现在太可怕了😱</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>tsla 下周再涨吧 现在太可怕了😱</body></html>","text":"tsla 下周再涨吧 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call大单做空甲骨文","html":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>特斯拉开盘拉到426然后回调了，为什么呢？因为机构sell call大仓位再次被逼空平仓了。</p><p>周五机构做空最高的价差区间是405 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250919 405.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20250919 405.0 CALL$ </a> ～425 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250919 425.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20250919 425.0 CALL$ </a> ，预期股价低于405，对冲买入425call。</p><p>其他区间如图蓝色部分，可以自行把低价和高价配对。总之结果就如上周预言，直接来了个连续逼空，从392.5一直爆到425。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dbfd9af80893be8a5843563d311b266\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p>不出意外开盘再度roll 仓，机构先把价内的395～415价差平仓锊，上调做空区间432.5 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250919 432.5 CALL\">$TSLA 20250919 432.5 CALL$ </a> ～452.5<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250919 452.5 CALL\">$TSLA 20250919 452.5 CALL$ </a>，预计本周股价不高于432.5，对冲452.5</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2af8ab87d4fafc5086a2199321ce954a\" tg-width=\"2474\" tg-height=\"258\"></p><p>总感觉上周甲骨文老板过于风光激起了马斯克的胜负心。熟悉马斯克的朋友都知道，老马人生最爱干的事第一是创业，第二就是当榜一大哥，别管是哪个榜。</p><p>所以我总感觉吧，恐怕特斯拉这波不会停留在420，可以视回调情况做多。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLL\">$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$</a> </p><p>特斯拉两倍杠杆ETF有个看涨大单，12月底到期30call <a data-mention-id=\"TSLL 20251219 30.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLL%2020251219%2030.0%20CALL\">$TSLL 20251219 30.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量8000手。</p><p>虽然筛选器标签是卖出，不过我个人观察价差后的结果比较偏向买入，这事就见仁见智吧。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12874befaff2efa15e9ecf45adbdddbf\" tg-width=\"2480\" tg-height=\"100\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca10cb01fff7e095b2ecac3400370f42\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"640\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>spy的期权开仓可以看出本周比较偏向回调，毕竟三巫日以稳为主。预计波动区间645～660，也就是说我发文时差不多该跌了。</p><p>但没想到上周甲骨文在大盘下跌边缘力挽狂澜，本周特斯拉接棒发力。不知道马斯克会不会考虑到三巫日等下周再涨，给做市商们一个面子，</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8e0a79ecee65c4c1f382d51b2cba10\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>本周收盘悬念不大，介于170～180之间。</p><p>机构看涨价差是卖182.5 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250919 182.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250919%20182.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250919 182.5 CALL$</a> 买190 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250919 190.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250919%20190.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250919 190.0 CALL$</a> 。类似策略还有几个区间比如182.5～192.5，180～185等等，如图蓝色区域。</p><p>看跌价差大单有买入177.5 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250919 177.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250919%20177.5%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250919 177.5 PUT$</a> ，卖出165 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250919 165 PUT\">$NVDA 20250919 165 PUT$ </a> 。看跌177.5以下，165以上。符合周波动预期。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a781ecefceb9b8e7e838b94f25837291\" tg-width=\"1036\" tg-height=\"1056\"></p><p>从整体开仓来看，10月份依然有可能会收在170以上。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be21d51abae01e834c68f0400160e71\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1056\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"甲骨文\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> </p><p>很尴尬，甲骨文涨幅有种透支过度的感觉，似乎市场又不想认可财报业绩了。</p><p>有一张深度做空的sell call大单卖出10月到期230call <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL 20251017 230.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ORCL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL%2020251017%20230.0%20CALL\">$ORCL 20251017 230.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量8000手，成交额5324万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6385407b3c91047c117c3c215f95bd7a\" tg-width=\"2482\" tg-height=\"96\"></p><p>往常我会把这张做空大单理解为类似正股做空，因为深度价内call保证金变化不大，但看完期权开仓后感觉有些人是真心认为甲骨文应该回到240。</p><p>近两周可能会回调280，有正股的做好备兑策略。sell call行权价可以选320以上 <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL 20250919 320.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ORCL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL%2020250919%20320.0%20CALL\">$ORCL 20250919 320.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d1fe89c122d1d3a75c0f888a32e612f\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"898\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>有甲骨文预期在前，机构趁着上周五大回调开始对CRWV布局。</p><p>主要看涨大单有两组，一组是sell put+buy call，买入10月底到期130call，卖出同样到期日105put。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251031 105.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251031%20105.0%20PUT\">$CRWV 20251031 105.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251031 130.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251031%20130.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20251031 130.0 CALL$</a> ，各开仓1.2万手。</p><p>策略效果有点类似持股+buy call，不过采用这种策略主要目的是为了避免横盘磨损。如果是持股+buy call，横盘俩月纯亏损。有sell put托底就不亏。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/021594e657999887944f89346389d4cc\" tg-width=\"2474\" tg-height=\"256\"></p><p>另一张大单比较纯粹，就是buy call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20260918 130.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020260918%20130.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20260918 130.0 CALL$</a> ，开仓7370手，成交额接近2000万。</p><p>要是害怕时间磨损也可以学上面一组策略做短期sell put。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b99bef7f0db63decd7b10c9df762669c\" tg-width=\"2480\" tg-height=\"310\"></p><p>有一说一，CRWV波动率挺贵，周内波动8%赶上财报了，但除非是100%纯空头，否则只做空波动率并不太划算。对于这种潜力很大的成长股，持正股或者略微上杠杆才会符合心理预期。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>特斯拉开盘拉到426然后回调了，为什么呢？因为机构sell call大仓位再次被逼空平仓了。</p><p>周五机构做空最高的价差区间是405 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250919 405.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20250919 405.0 CALL$ </a> ～425 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250919 425.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20250919 425.0 CALL$ </a> ，预期股价低于405，对冲买入425call。</p><p>其他区间如图蓝色部分，可以自行把低价和高价配对。总之结果就如上周预言，直接来了个连续逼空，从392.5一直爆到425。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dbfd9af80893be8a5843563d311b266\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p>不出意外开盘再度roll 仓，机构先把价内的395～415价差平仓锊，上调做空区间432.5 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250919 432.5 CALL\">$TSLA 20250919 432.5 CALL$ </a> ～452.5<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20250919 452.5 CALL\">$TSLA 20250919 452.5 CALL$ </a>，预计本周股价不高于432.5，对冲452.5</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2af8ab87d4fafc5086a2199321ce954a\" tg-width=\"2474\" tg-height=\"258\"></p><p>总感觉上周甲骨文老板过于风光激起了马斯克的胜负心。熟悉马斯克的朋友都知道，老马人生最爱干的事第一是创业，第二就是当榜一大哥，别管是哪个榜。</p><p>所以我总感觉吧，恐怕特斯拉这波不会停留在420，可以视回调情况做多。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLL\">$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$</a> </p><p>特斯拉两倍杠杆ETF有个看涨大单，12月底到期30call <a data-mention-id=\"TSLL 20251219 30.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLL%2020251219%2030.0%20CALL\">$TSLL 20251219 30.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量8000手。</p><p>虽然筛选器标签是卖出，不过我个人观察价差后的结果比较偏向买入，这事就见仁见智吧。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12874befaff2efa15e9ecf45adbdddbf\" tg-width=\"2480\" tg-height=\"100\"></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca10cb01fff7e095b2ecac3400370f42\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"640\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>spy的期权开仓可以看出本周比较偏向回调，毕竟三巫日以稳为主。预计波动区间645～660，也就是说我发文时差不多该跌了。</p><p>但没想到上周甲骨文在大盘下跌边缘力挽狂澜，本周特斯拉接棒发力。不知道马斯克会不会考虑到三巫日等下周再涨，给做市商们一个面子，</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da8e0a79ecee65c4c1f382d51b2cba10\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>本周收盘悬念不大，介于170～180之间。</p><p>机构看涨价差是卖182.5 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250919 182.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250919%20182.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250919 182.5 CALL$</a> 买190 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250919 190.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250919%20190.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250919 190.0 CALL$</a> 。类似策略还有几个区间比如182.5～192.5，180～185等等，如图蓝色区域。</p><p>看跌价差大单有买入177.5 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250919 177.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250919%20177.5%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250919 177.5 PUT$</a> ，卖出165 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250919 165 PUT\">$NVDA 20250919 165 PUT$ </a> 。看跌177.5以下，165以上。符合周波动预期。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a781ecefceb9b8e7e838b94f25837291\" tg-width=\"1036\" tg-height=\"1056\"></p><p>从整体开仓来看，10月份依然有可能会收在170以上。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5be21d51abae01e834c68f0400160e71\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1056\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"甲骨文\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> </p><p>很尴尬，甲骨文涨幅有种透支过度的感觉，似乎市场又不想认可财报业绩了。</p><p>有一张深度做空的sell call大单卖出10月到期230call <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL 20251017 230.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ORCL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL%2020251017%20230.0%20CALL\">$ORCL 20251017 230.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量8000手，成交额5324万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6385407b3c91047c117c3c215f95bd7a\" tg-width=\"2482\" tg-height=\"96\"></p><p>往常我会把这张做空大单理解为类似正股做空，因为深度价内call保证金变化不大，但看完期权开仓后感觉有些人是真心认为甲骨文应该回到240。</p><p>近两周可能会回调280，有正股的做好备兑策略。sell call行权价可以选320以上 <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL 20250919 320.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ORCL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL%2020250919%20320.0%20CALL\">$ORCL 20250919 320.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d1fe89c122d1d3a75c0f888a32e612f\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"898\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>有甲骨文预期在前，机构趁着上周五大回调开始对CRWV布局。</p><p>主要看涨大单有两组，一组是sell put+buy call，买入10月底到期130call，卖出同样到期日105put。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251031 105.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251031%20105.0%20PUT\">$CRWV 20251031 105.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251031 130.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251031%20130.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20251031 130.0 CALL$</a> ，各开仓1.2万手。</p><p>策略效果有点类似持股+buy call，不过采用这种策略主要目的是为了避免横盘磨损。如果是持股+buy call，横盘俩月纯亏损。有sell put托底就不亏。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/021594e657999887944f89346389d4cc\" tg-width=\"2474\" tg-height=\"256\"></p><p>另一张大单比较纯粹，就是buy call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20260918 130.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020260918%20130.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20260918 130.0 CALL$</a> ，开仓7370手，成交额接近2000万。</p><p>要是害怕时间磨损也可以学上面一组策略做短期sell put。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b99bef7f0db63decd7b10c9df762669c\" tg-width=\"2480\" tg-height=\"310\"></p><p>有一说一，CRWV波动率挺贵，周内波动8%赶上财报了，但除非是100%纯空头，否则只做空波动率并不太划算。对于这种潜力很大的成长股，持正股或者略微上杠杆才会符合心理预期。</p></body></html>","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 特斯拉开盘拉到426然后回调了，为什么呢？因为机构sell call大仓位再次被逼空平仓了。 周五机构做空最高的价差区间是405 $TSLA 20250919 405.0 CALL$ ～425 $TSLA 20250919 425.0 CALL$ ，预期股价低于405，对冲买入425call。 其他区间如图蓝色部分，可以自行把低价和高价配对。总之结果就如上周预言，直接来了个连续逼空，从392.5一直爆到425。 不出意外开盘再度roll 仓，机构先把价内的395～415价差平仓锊，上调做空区间432.5 $TSLA 20250919 432.5 CALL$ ～452.5$TSLA 20250919 452.5 CALL$ ，预计本周股价不高于432.5，对冲452.5 总感觉上周甲骨文老板过于风光激起了马斯克的胜负心。熟悉马斯克的朋友都知道，老马人生最爱干的事第一是创业，第二就是当榜一大哥，别管是哪个榜。 所以我总感觉吧，恐怕特斯拉这波不会停留在420，可以视回调情况做多。 $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 特斯拉两倍杠杆ETF有个看涨大单，12月底到期30call $TSLL 20251219 30.0 CALL$ ，成交量8000手。 虽然筛选器标签是卖出，不过我个人观察价差后的结果比较偏向买入，这事就见仁见智吧。 $标普500ETF(SPY)$ spy的期权开仓可以看出本周比较偏向回调，毕竟三巫日以稳为主。预计波动区间645～660，也就是说我发文时差不多该跌了。 但没想到上周甲骨文在大盘下跌边缘力挽狂澜，本周特斯拉接棒发力。不知道马斯克会不会考虑到三巫日等下周再涨，给做市商们一个面子， $英伟达(NVDA)$ 本周收盘悬念不大，介于170～180之间。 机构看涨价差是卖182.5 $NVDA 20250919 182.5 CALL$ 买190 $NVDA 20250919 190.0 CALL$ 。类似策略还有几个区间比如182.5～192.5，180～185等等，如图蓝色区域。 看跌价差大单有买入177.5 $NVDA 20250919 177.5 PUT$ ，卖出165 $NVDA 20250919 165 PUT$ 。看跌177.5以下，165以上。符合周波动预期。 从整体开仓来看，10月份依然有可能会收在170以上。 $甲骨文(ORCL)$ 很尴尬，甲骨文涨幅有种透支过度的感觉，似乎市场又不想认可财报业绩了。 有一张深度做空的sell call大单卖出10月到期230call $ORCL 20251017 230.0 CALL$ ，成交量8000手，成交额5324万。 往常我会把这张做空大单理解为类似正股做空，因为深度价内call保证金变化不大，但看完期权开仓后感觉有些人是真心认为甲骨文应该回到240。 近两周可能会回调280，有正股的做好备兑策略。sell call行权价可以选320以上 $ORCL 20250919 320.0 CALL$ $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 有甲骨文预期在前，机构趁着上周五大回调开始对CRWV布局。 主要看涨大单有两组，一组是sell put+buy call，买入10月底到期130call，卖出同样到期日105put。 $CRWV 20251031 105.0 PUT$ $CRWV 20251031 130.0 CALL$ ，各开仓1.2万手。 策略效果有点类似持股+buy call，不过采用这种策略主要目的是为了避免横盘磨损。如果是持股+buy call，横盘俩月纯亏损。有sell put托底就不亏。 另一张大单比较纯粹，就是buy call $CRWV 20260918 130.0 CALL$ ，开仓7370手，成交额接近2000万。 要是害怕时间磨损也可以学上面一组策略做短期sell put。 有一说一，CRWV波动率挺贵，周内波动8%赶上财报了，但除非是100%纯空头，否则只做空波动率并不太划算。对于这种潜力很大的成长股，持正股或者略微上杠杆才会符合心理预期。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/478937863114952","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","ORCL","CRWV","TSLA","TSLL","SPY","TSLL 20251219 30.0 CALL","CRWV 20260918 130.0 CALL","CRWV 20251031 130.0 CALL","CRWV 20251031 105.0 PUT","ORCL 20251017 230.0 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