泰格宝贝
09-20
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@期权小班长：
特斯拉会涨到500吗？
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP，发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
1
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":480410500587768,"tweetId":"480410500587768","gmtCreate":1758311481940,"gmtModify":1758311484136,"author":{"id":3443867179032518,"idStr":"3443867179032518","authorId":3443867179032518,"authorIdStr":"3443867179032518","name":"泰格宝贝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b052cb567c398a183fbf29b1a85ed2dc","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":7,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body>这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看</body></html>","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/480410500587768","repostId":480397648478944,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":480397648478944,"tweetId":"480397648478944","gmtCreate":1758295005824,"gmtModify":1758297475631,"author":{"id":3527667590215376,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorId":3527667590215376,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"最简单的期权策略实践者","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b-1","templateUuid":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b","name":"月度最佳创作者","description":"每月精华帖数量及质量位于社区TOP3的创作者","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0cad6192443c33dca826a001250fbd4","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ccd98c646815ce7610b0df338e060cc","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.02","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"累计发表精华帖>=3（或有料帖>=10），且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖（或4篇有料帖）并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.10.19","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":36114,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c","categoryId":"20b8d1944bae4805b371322c2ab986d4","name":"期权Q&A：期权知识，你问我答","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"你想知道的期权知识都在这里，咨询期权问题@期权小助手","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672d6bc9cf055ebef009d5ee69bfef82"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c243ba1452b6e0eabedabdf746c977db","width":"1044","height":"992"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0b6aeb513ca3d615af6a27741d69660","width":"2478","height":"196"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71a06c55f7b541fda786784681f40f64","width":"2474","height":"254"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ab3bd623c894e12e3acb2a8cc135319","width":"2484","height":"254"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/697a8646c8a2b26a4045e10f0e59c587","width":"1038","height":"1024"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/566463df36c084435f337f5f988e50eb","width":"1042","height":"1058"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6f26288a570789cb7d68bfcc4f103be","width":"1038","height":"994"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/905215c9c3e0473c97698b764124643f","width":"2478","height":"256"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c243ba1452b6e0eabedabdf746c977db","width":"1044","height":"992"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0b6aeb513ca3d615af6a27741d69660","width":"2478","height":"196"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71a06c55f7b541fda786784681f40f64","width":"2474","height":"254"}],"title":"特斯拉会涨到500吗？","html":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>周四的开仓很不一般，11月到期的开仓特别多。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c243ba1452b6e0eabedabdf746c977db\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"992\"></p><p>周四机构进行long call roll仓，平仓了3.4万手11月到期355call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL$ </a> ，roll到相同到期日的455call <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20455.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL$</a> ，开仓5万手。手数上升但成交额有所下降，平仓2.87亿，开仓1.61亿。</p><p>选择价外行权价roll仓在大单roll仓里比较罕见，有时候股价上涨机构可能反而变得保守，比如甲骨文看涨roll仓了280，比现价300要低。</p><p>只能说机构在继续看好特斯拉的上涨趋势。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0b6aeb513ca3d615af6a27741d69660\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"196\"></p><p>除此之外11月到期500的看涨期权 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20500.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL$</a> 开仓了1.9万手，成交额约3800万。跟455call交易方式不一样，500call看起来是零售下单买入的，成交方向有买有卖。但我个人觉得有点像是同一家机构开仓，用相对少量资金看涨特斯拉到500。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71a06c55f7b541fda786784681f40f64\" tg-width=\"2474\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>然后我认为还是这家机构，为了对冲买入了10月和11月370～270的看跌价差：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20370.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT$</a> ，开仓1.7万手</p></li><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20270.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT$</a> ，开仓1.7万手</p></li></ul><p>以及</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT$ </a> ，开仓2.6万手</p></li><li><p>卖 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT$ </a> ，开仓2.6万手</p></li></ul><p>最后一个11月开仓，是卖出11月到期380看跌期权 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20380.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT$</a> ，期权开仓7000手，粗略估算成交额约1600万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ab3bd623c894e12e3acb2a8cc135319\" tg-width=\"2484\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>可以预计后面两个月特斯拉依然是非常适合做sell put的标的，行权价甚至可以选400。当然我仅提供比较保守的策略，激进做多有风险，毕竟大单也买看跌对冲了。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"INTC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英特尔\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a> </p><p>期权持仓变动非常激烈，主要以看涨期权为主，因为高开波动率升高，适合买卖方围绕看涨期权构建策略。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/697a8646c8a2b26a4045e10f0e59c587\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1024\"></p><p>具体开仓情况，对于英特尔未来走势有两派观点，一是继续看涨到37以上 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020260116%2037.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL$</a> 45以下 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020260116%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL$</a> ；另一派是认为会逐渐回调到27～28左右，比如sell call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL\">$INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL$ </a> 。</p><p>短期来看跟甲骨文问题一样，英特尔无法证明英伟达的帮助能有效提高短期收入，所以看涨动力不足，就算有上涨契机，可能也要等财报看管理层如何画饼。虽然我认为大概率就是没有短期营收方面的利好，但后面股价表现也不会很差，也是sell put的好标的。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/566463df36c084435f337f5f988e50eb\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>没什么变化，还是170～180区间震荡，然后有可能下探165。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6f26288a570789cb7d68bfcc4f103be\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"994\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>机构大单roll仓，从本周到期108put～115call，roll仓到下周到期110put，125call</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 108.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20108.0%20PUT\">$CRWV 20250919 108.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250926 110.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250926%20110.0%20PUT\">$CRWV 20250926 110.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250926 125.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250926%20125.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250926 125.0 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/905215c9c3e0473c97698b764124643f\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"256\"></p><p>值得一提的是，9月12日股价回调，机构将126<a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 126.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20126.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 126.0 CALL$</a> roll到115 <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>看跌那条腿我偏向是卖出，看涨不太好确定， 参考性上看跌>看涨。也就是说除非突发新利好，下周大多时间会在110～125之间震荡洗盘。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>周四的开仓很不一般，11月到期的开仓特别多。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c243ba1452b6e0eabedabdf746c977db\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"992\"></p><p>周四机构进行long call roll仓，平仓了3.4万手11月到期355call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL$ </a> ，roll到相同到期日的455call <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20455.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL$</a> ，开仓5万手。手数上升但成交额有所下降，平仓2.87亿，开仓1.61亿。</p><p>选择价外行权价roll仓在大单roll仓里比较罕见，有时候股价上涨机构可能反而变得保守，比如甲骨文看涨roll仓了280，比现价300要低。</p><p>只能说机构在继续看好特斯拉的上涨趋势。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0b6aeb513ca3d615af6a27741d69660\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"196\"></p><p>除此之外11月到期500的看涨期权 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20500.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL$</a> 开仓了1.9万手，成交额约3800万。跟455call交易方式不一样，500call看起来是零售下单买入的，成交方向有买有卖。但我个人觉得有点像是同一家机构开仓，用相对少量资金看涨特斯拉到500。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71a06c55f7b541fda786784681f40f64\" tg-width=\"2474\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>然后我认为还是这家机构，为了对冲买入了10月和11月370～270的看跌价差：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20370.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT$</a> ，开仓1.7万手</p></li><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20270.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT$</a> ，开仓1.7万手</p></li></ul><p>以及</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT$ </a> ，开仓2.6万手</p></li><li><p>卖 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT$ </a> ，开仓2.6万手</p></li></ul><p>最后一个11月开仓，是卖出11月到期380看跌期权 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20380.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT$</a> ，期权开仓7000手，粗略估算成交额约1600万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ab3bd623c894e12e3acb2a8cc135319\" tg-width=\"2484\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>可以预计后面两个月特斯拉依然是非常适合做sell put的标的，行权价甚至可以选400。当然我仅提供比较保守的策略，激进做多有风险，毕竟大单也买看跌对冲了。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"INTC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英特尔\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a> </p><p>期权持仓变动非常激烈，主要以看涨期权为主，因为高开波动率升高，适合买卖方围绕看涨期权构建策略。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/697a8646c8a2b26a4045e10f0e59c587\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1024\"></p><p>具体开仓情况，对于英特尔未来走势有两派观点，一是继续看涨到37以上 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020260116%2037.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL$</a> 45以下 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020260116%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL$</a> ；另一派是认为会逐渐回调到27～28左右，比如sell call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL\">$INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL$ </a> 。</p><p>短期来看跟甲骨文问题一样，英特尔无法证明英伟达的帮助能有效提高短期收入，所以看涨动力不足，就算有上涨契机，可能也要等财报看管理层如何画饼。虽然我认为大概率就是没有短期营收方面的利好，但后面股价表现也不会很差，也是sell put的好标的。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/566463df36c084435f337f5f988e50eb\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>没什么变化，还是170～180区间震荡，然后有可能下探165。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6f26288a570789cb7d68bfcc4f103be\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"994\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>机构大单roll仓，从本周到期108put～115call，roll仓到下周到期110put，125call</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 108.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20108.0%20PUT\">$CRWV 20250919 108.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250926 110.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250926%20110.0%20PUT\">$CRWV 20250926 110.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250926 125.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250926%20125.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250926 125.0 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/905215c9c3e0473c97698b764124643f\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"256\"></p><p>值得一提的是，9月12日股价回调，机构将126<a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 126.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20126.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 126.0 CALL$</a> roll到115 <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>看跌那条腿我偏向是卖出，看涨不太好确定， 参考性上看跌>看涨。也就是说除非突发新利好，下周大多时间会在110～125之间震荡洗盘。</p></body></html>","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 周四的开仓很不一般，11月到期的开仓特别多。 周四机构进行long call roll仓，平仓了3.4万手11月到期355call $TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL$ ，roll到相同到期日的455call $TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL$ ，开仓5万手。手数上升但成交额有所下降，平仓2.87亿，开仓1.61亿。 选择价外行权价roll仓在大单roll仓里比较罕见，有时候股价上涨机构可能反而变得保守，比如甲骨文看涨roll仓了280，比现价300要低。 只能说机构在继续看好特斯拉的上涨趋势。 除此之外11月到期500的看涨期权 $TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL$ 开仓了1.9万手，成交额约3800万。跟455call交易方式不一样，500call看起来是零售下单买入的，成交方向有买有卖。但我个人觉得有点像是同一家机构开仓，用相对少量资金看涨特斯拉到500。 然后我认为还是这家机构，为了对冲买入了10月和11月370～270的看跌价差： 买 $TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT$ ，开仓1.7万手 卖 $TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT$ ，开仓1.7万手 以及 买 $TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT$ ，开仓2.6万手 卖 $TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT$ ，开仓2.6万手 最后一个11月开仓，是卖出11月到期380看跌期权 $TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT$ ，期权开仓7000手，粗略估算成交额约1600万。 可以预计后面两个月特斯拉依然是非常适合做sell put的标的，行权价甚至可以选400。当然我仅提供比较保守的策略，激进做多有风险，毕竟大单也买看跌对冲了。 $英特尔(INTC)$ 期权持仓变动非常激烈，主要以看涨期权为主，因为高开波动率升高，适合买卖方围绕看涨期权构建策略。 具体开仓情况，对于英特尔未来走势有两派观点，一是继续看涨到37以上 $INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL$ 45以下 $INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL$ ；另一派是认为会逐渐回调到27～28左右，比如sell call $INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL$ 。 短期来看跟甲骨文问题一样，英特尔无法证明英伟达的帮助能有效提高短期收入，所以看涨动力不足，就算有上涨契机，可能也要等财报看管理层如何画饼。虽然我认为大概率就是没有短期营收方面的利好，但后面股价表现也不会很差，也是sell put的好标的。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 没什么变化，还是170～180区间震荡，然后有可能下探165。 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 机构大单roll仓，从本周到期108put～115call，roll仓到下周到期110put，125call $CRWV 20250919 108.0 PUT$ $CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$ $CRWV 20250926 110.0 PUT$ $CRWV 20250926 125.0 CALL$ 值得一提的是，9月12日股价回调，机构将126$CRWV 20250919 126.0 CALL$ roll到115 $CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$ 。 看跌那条腿我偏向是卖出，看涨不太好确定， 参考性上看跌>看涨。也就是说除非突发新利好，下周大多时间会在110～125之间震荡洗盘。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/480397648478944","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","INTC","CRWV","TSLA","TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT","TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL","TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL","INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL","INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL","TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL","TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT","TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2027,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":899,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":27,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/480410500587768"}
精彩评论