泰格宝贝
09-20
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@期权小班长：
特斯拉会涨到500吗？
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<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>周四的开仓很不一般，11月到期的开仓特别多。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c243ba1452b6e0eabedabdf746c977db\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"992\"></p><p>周四机构进行long call roll仓，平仓了3.4万手11月到期355call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL$ </a> ，roll到相同到期日的455call <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20455.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL$</a> ，开仓5万手。手数上升但成交额有所下降，平仓2.87亿，开仓1.61亿。</p><p>选择价外行权价roll仓在大单roll仓里比较罕见，有时候股价上涨机构可能反而变得保守，比如甲骨文看涨roll仓了280，比现价300要低。</p><p>只能说机构在继续看好特斯拉的上涨趋势。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0b6aeb513ca3d615af6a27741d69660\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"196\"></p><p>除此之外11月到期500的看涨期权 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20500.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL$</a> 开仓了1.9万手，成交额约3800万。跟455call交易方式不一样，500call看起来是零售下单买入的，成交方向有买有卖。但我个人觉得有点像是同一家机构开仓，用相对少量资金看涨特斯拉到500。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71a06c55f7b541fda786784681f40f64\" tg-width=\"2474\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>然后我认为还是这家机构，为了对冲买入了10月和11月370～270的看跌价差：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20370.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT$</a> ，开仓1.7万手</p></li><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20270.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT$</a> ，开仓1.7万手</p></li></ul><p>以及</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT$ </a> ，开仓2.6万手</p></li><li><p>卖 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT$ </a> ，开仓2.6万手</p></li></ul><p>最后一个11月开仓，是卖出11月到期380看跌期权 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20380.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT$</a> ，期权开仓7000手，粗略估算成交额约1600万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ab3bd623c894e12e3acb2a8cc135319\" tg-width=\"2484\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>可以预计后面两个月特斯拉依然是非常适合做sell put的标的，行权价甚至可以选400。当然我仅提供比较保守的策略，激进做多有风险，毕竟大单也买看跌对冲了。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"INTC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英特尔\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a> </p><p>期权持仓变动非常激烈，主要以看涨期权为主，因为高开波动率升高，适合买卖方围绕看涨期权构建策略。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/697a8646c8a2b26a4045e10f0e59c587\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1024\"></p><p>具体开仓情况，对于英特尔未来走势有两派观点，一是继续看涨到37以上 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020260116%2037.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL$</a> 45以下 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020260116%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL$</a> ；另一派是认为会逐渐回调到27～28左右，比如sell call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL\">$INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL$ </a> 。</p><p>短期来看跟甲骨文问题一样，英特尔无法证明英伟达的帮助能有效提高短期收入，所以看涨动力不足，就算有上涨契机，可能也要等财报看管理层如何画饼。虽然我认为大概率就是没有短期营收方面的利好，但后面股价表现也不会很差，也是sell put的好标的。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/566463df36c084435f337f5f988e50eb\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>没什么变化，还是170～180区间震荡，然后有可能下探165。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6f26288a570789cb7d68bfcc4f103be\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"994\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>机构大单roll仓，从本周到期108put～115call，roll仓到下周到期110put，125call</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 108.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20108.0%20PUT\">$CRWV 20250919 108.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250926 110.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250926%20110.0%20PUT\">$CRWV 20250926 110.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250926 125.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250926%20125.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250926 125.0 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/905215c9c3e0473c97698b764124643f\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"256\"></p><p>值得一提的是，9月12日股价回调，机构将126<a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 126.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20126.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 126.0 CALL$</a> roll到115 <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>看跌那条腿我偏向是卖出，看涨不太好确定， 参考性上看跌>看涨。也就是说除非突发新利好，下周大多时间会在110～125之间震荡洗盘。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>周四的开仓很不一般，11月到期的开仓特别多。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c243ba1452b6e0eabedabdf746c977db\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"992\"></p><p>周四机构进行long call roll仓，平仓了3.4万手11月到期355call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL$ </a> ，roll到相同到期日的455call <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20455.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL$</a> ，开仓5万手。手数上升但成交额有所下降，平仓2.87亿，开仓1.61亿。</p><p>选择价外行权价roll仓在大单roll仓里比较罕见，有时候股价上涨机构可能反而变得保守，比如甲骨文看涨roll仓了280，比现价300要低。</p><p>只能说机构在继续看好特斯拉的上涨趋势。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0b6aeb513ca3d615af6a27741d69660\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"196\"></p><p>除此之外11月到期500的看涨期权 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20500.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL$</a> 开仓了1.9万手，成交额约3800万。跟455call交易方式不一样，500call看起来是零售下单买入的，成交方向有买有卖。但我个人觉得有点像是同一家机构开仓，用相对少量资金看涨特斯拉到500。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71a06c55f7b541fda786784681f40f64\" tg-width=\"2474\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>然后我认为还是这家机构，为了对冲买入了10月和11月370～270的看跌价差：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20370.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT$</a> ，开仓1.7万手</p></li><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20270.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT$</a> ，开仓1.7万手</p></li></ul><p>以及</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT$ </a> ，开仓2.6万手</p></li><li><p>卖 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT$ </a> ，开仓2.6万手</p></li></ul><p>最后一个11月开仓，是卖出11月到期380看跌期权 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251121%20380.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT$</a> ，期权开仓7000手，粗略估算成交额约1600万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ab3bd623c894e12e3acb2a8cc135319\" tg-width=\"2484\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>可以预计后面两个月特斯拉依然是非常适合做sell put的标的，行权价甚至可以选400。当然我仅提供比较保守的策略，激进做多有风险，毕竟大单也买看跌对冲了。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"INTC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英特尔\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a> </p><p>期权持仓变动非常激烈，主要以看涨期权为主，因为高开波动率升高，适合买卖方围绕看涨期权构建策略。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/697a8646c8a2b26a4045e10f0e59c587\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1024\"></p><p>具体开仓情况，对于英特尔未来走势有两派观点，一是继续看涨到37以上 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020260116%2037.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL$</a> 45以下 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020260116%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL$</a> ；另一派是认为会逐渐回调到27～28左右，比如sell call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL\">$INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL$ </a> 。</p><p>短期来看跟甲骨文问题一样，英特尔无法证明英伟达的帮助能有效提高短期收入，所以看涨动力不足，就算有上涨契机，可能也要等财报看管理层如何画饼。虽然我认为大概率就是没有短期营收方面的利好，但后面股价表现也不会很差，也是sell put的好标的。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/566463df36c084435f337f5f988e50eb\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>没什么变化，还是170～180区间震荡，然后有可能下探165。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6f26288a570789cb7d68bfcc4f103be\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"994\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>机构大单roll仓，从本周到期108put～115call，roll仓到下周到期110put，125call</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 108.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20108.0%20PUT\">$CRWV 20250919 108.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250926 110.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250926%20110.0%20PUT\">$CRWV 20250926 110.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250926 125.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250926%20125.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250926 125.0 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/905215c9c3e0473c97698b764124643f\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"256\"></p><p>值得一提的是，9月12日股价回调，机构将126<a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 126.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20126.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 126.0 CALL$</a> roll到115 <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020250919%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>看跌那条腿我偏向是卖出，看涨不太好确定， 参考性上看跌>看涨。也就是说除非突发新利好，下周大多时间会在110～125之间震荡洗盘。</p></body></html>","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 周四的开仓很不一般，11月到期的开仓特别多。 周四机构进行long call roll仓，平仓了3.4万手11月到期355call $TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL$ ，roll到相同到期日的455call $TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL$ ，开仓5万手。手数上升但成交额有所下降，平仓2.87亿，开仓1.61亿。 选择价外行权价roll仓在大单roll仓里比较罕见，有时候股价上涨机构可能反而变得保守，比如甲骨文看涨roll仓了280，比现价300要低。 只能说机构在继续看好特斯拉的上涨趋势。 除此之外11月到期500的看涨期权 $TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL$ 开仓了1.9万手，成交额约3800万。跟455call交易方式不一样，500call看起来是零售下单买入的，成交方向有买有卖。但我个人觉得有点像是同一家机构开仓，用相对少量资金看涨特斯拉到500。 然后我认为还是这家机构，为了对冲买入了10月和11月370～270的看跌价差： 买 $TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT$ ，开仓1.7万手 卖 $TSLA 20251121 270.0 PUT$ ，开仓1.7万手 以及 买 $TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT$ ，开仓2.6万手 卖 $TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT$ ，开仓2.6万手 最后一个11月开仓，是卖出11月到期380看跌期权 $TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT$ ，期权开仓7000手，粗略估算成交额约1600万。 可以预计后面两个月特斯拉依然是非常适合做sell put的标的，行权价甚至可以选400。当然我仅提供比较保守的策略，激进做多有风险，毕竟大单也买看跌对冲了。 $英特尔(INTC)$ 期权持仓变动非常激烈，主要以看涨期权为主，因为高开波动率升高，适合买卖方围绕看涨期权构建策略。 具体开仓情况，对于英特尔未来走势有两派观点，一是继续看涨到37以上 $INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL$ 45以下 $INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL$ ；另一派是认为会逐渐回调到27～28左右，比如sell call $INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL$ 。 短期来看跟甲骨文问题一样，英特尔无法证明英伟达的帮助能有效提高短期收入，所以看涨动力不足，就算有上涨契机，可能也要等财报看管理层如何画饼。虽然我认为大概率就是没有短期营收方面的利好，但后面股价表现也不会很差，也是sell put的好标的。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 没什么变化，还是170～180区间震荡，然后有可能下探165。 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 机构大单roll仓，从本周到期108put～115call，roll仓到下周到期110put，125call $CRWV 20250919 108.0 PUT$ $CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$ $CRWV 20250926 110.0 PUT$ $CRWV 20250926 125.0 CALL$ 值得一提的是，9月12日股价回调，机构将126$CRWV 20250919 126.0 CALL$ roll到115 $CRWV 20250919 115.0 CALL$ 。 看跌那条腿我偏向是卖出，看涨不太好确定， 参考性上看跌>看涨。也就是说除非突发新利好，下周大多时间会在110～125之间震荡洗盘。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/480397648478944","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","INTC","CRWV","TSLA","TSLA 20251121 380.0 PUT","TSLA 20251121 455.0 CALL","TSLA 20251031 370.0 PUT","TSLA 20251031 270.0 PUT","TSLA 20251121 355.0 CALL","INTC 20260116 45.0 CALL","INTC 20260116 37.0 CALL","TSLA 20251121 500.0 CALL","TSLA 20251121 370.0 PUT","INTC 20251024 27.0 CALL","TSLA 20251121 270.0 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