悟空的花果山
09-29 22:53
等待机会
@期权小班长：
剧烈洗盘
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<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>看了一下极端的开仓价差，不排除10月3日这周比上周波动更剧烈。</p><p>具体表现为机构sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 182.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20182.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 182.5 CALL$</a> 以及 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 180 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 180 CALL$ </a> ，对冲buy call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 190 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 190 CALL$ </a> 以及<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20187.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$</a> ，阻力跟上周类似低于185。</p><p>看跌开仓就比较悲观了，虽然我预计依然很难跌到170以下 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20170.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$</a> ，但依旧有很多160以下开仓占据主导。</p><p>不过还是跟上周看法一样，按区间波动考虑策略，跌到170附近sell put<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20170.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$</a> ，180以上考虑sell call<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ </a>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d904e3c6ed8d775c9bb049d2fbc8ba00\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1054\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>考虑机构又在密集开仓看涨期权，特斯拉存在一定逼空可能。</p><p>sell call行权价 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20437.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20442.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251003 445 CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 445 CALL$ </a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 452.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20452.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 452.5 CALL$</a> ，对冲buy call行权价 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 462.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20462.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 462.5 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20470.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 477.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20477.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 477.5 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>看跌价差是 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20432.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20417.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$</a> 。</p><p>所以本周适合的双卖区间是<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20470.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$</a> 和<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20417.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a18c9c04876ab6f68d20f060f52d99a\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>spy开仓也是比较微妙状态，本周预计波动区间650～670，下限和上限对比上周预期波动区间655～665都有所拓展。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c7dc0e9ec9bafacd8fcb5cad7f26ad\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"INTC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英特尔\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a> </p><p>英特尔很难分析，主要是不知道什么时候又蹦出来一个什么合作。</p><p>就一般市场行情来看，40看涨期权开仓量很大，构成近期阻力位。看跌期权回调位看法不统一，保守派认为25更安全，激进派认为34就很合理。</p><p>分享两个投机开仓，一个是sell put25 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251121%2025.0%20PUT\">$INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT$</a> buy call45<a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251121 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251121%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251121 45.0 CALL$</a> ；另一个是buy call38 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251107 38.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251107%2038.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251107 38.0 CALL$</a> ，sell call 45 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251107 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251107%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251107 45.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0197e5683916a528a6ddd9b6af6fee51\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AMD\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美国超微公司\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> </p><p>横盘非常久依然没有突破迹象，本周机构sell call 162.5<a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20162.5%20CALL\">$AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL$</a> ，buy call 170 <a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 170.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20170.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20251003 170.0 CALL$</a> .</p><p>sell put参考价150 <a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 150.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20150.0%20PUT\">$AMD 20251003 150.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99cebb1c2625114fc53630d945bf619b\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"896\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BABA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"阿里巴巴\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> </p><p>阿里继续高歌猛进。机构sell call177.5 <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020251003%20177.5%20CALL\">$BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL$</a> ， 对冲buy call 187.5 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL\">$BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ </a> 。短期sell put行权价参考 <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20251003 165.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020251003%20165.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20251003 165.0 PUT$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1ccf4573edf393095a644d1c882476a\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"962\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>发表一下暴论，年底CRWV可能上160。</p><p>中期long call 进驻CRWV了，并且开始进行第一轮roll仓。</p><p>机构平仓3万手10月到期115call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251017 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251017%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20251017 115.0 CALL$</a>，roll仓3万手到12月到期160call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251219%20160.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>大单显示115call方向为买入，160方向为卖出。还是我说过的问题，机构订单方向不准确。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5f02f11be8f249c2782555b85df02b\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"360\"></p><p>之所以这么笃定，因为机构在9月初分批次开仓115call时方向是买入，单腿开仓方向可信度比多腿的高，总不能说开仓买入关仓也是买入吧？不过这也只是我根据经验和成交的合理推断，信与不信在个人。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f901782d9194cd2817e9375d6fa8929\" tg-width=\"2558\" tg-height=\"1438\"></p><p>另外还有远期long call开仓，分别是大单买入开仓1844手150call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020270115%20150.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL$</a>成交额700多万，以及大单买入开仓1990手200call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020270115%20200.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL$</a> 成交额500多万。</p><p>crwv这种成长股不适合单纯sell put，会亏损阿尔法，做多考虑正股或者sell put+buy call对冲型策略。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02ff5a650e2a469dccf2556facc653e5\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"738\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>看了一下极端的开仓价差，不排除10月3日这周比上周波动更剧烈。</p><p>具体表现为机构sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 182.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20182.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 182.5 CALL$</a> 以及 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 180 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 180 CALL$ </a> ，对冲buy call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 190 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 190 CALL$ </a> 以及<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20187.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$</a> ，阻力跟上周类似低于185。</p><p>看跌开仓就比较悲观了，虽然我预计依然很难跌到170以下 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20170.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$</a> ，但依旧有很多160以下开仓占据主导。</p><p>不过还是跟上周看法一样，按区间波动考虑策略，跌到170附近sell put<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20170.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$</a> ，180以上考虑sell call<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ </a>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d904e3c6ed8d775c9bb049d2fbc8ba00\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1054\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>考虑机构又在密集开仓看涨期权，特斯拉存在一定逼空可能。</p><p>sell call行权价 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20437.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20442.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251003 445 CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 445 CALL$ </a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 452.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20452.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 452.5 CALL$</a> ，对冲buy call行权价 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 462.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20462.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 462.5 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20470.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 477.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20477.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 477.5 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>看跌价差是 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20432.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20417.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$</a> 。</p><p>所以本周适合的双卖区间是<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20470.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$</a> 和<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20417.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a18c9c04876ab6f68d20f060f52d99a\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>spy开仓也是比较微妙状态，本周预计波动区间650～670，下限和上限对比上周预期波动区间655～665都有所拓展。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c7dc0e9ec9bafacd8fcb5cad7f26ad\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"INTC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英特尔\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a> </p><p>英特尔很难分析，主要是不知道什么时候又蹦出来一个什么合作。</p><p>就一般市场行情来看，40看涨期权开仓量很大，构成近期阻力位。看跌期权回调位看法不统一，保守派认为25更安全，激进派认为34就很合理。</p><p>分享两个投机开仓，一个是sell put25 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251121%2025.0%20PUT\">$INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT$</a> buy call45<a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251121 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251121%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251121 45.0 CALL$</a> ；另一个是buy call38 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251107 38.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251107%2038.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251107 38.0 CALL$</a> ，sell call 45 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251107 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251107%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251107 45.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0197e5683916a528a6ddd9b6af6fee51\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AMD\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美国超微公司\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> </p><p>横盘非常久依然没有突破迹象，本周机构sell call 162.5<a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20162.5%20CALL\">$AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL$</a> ，buy call 170 <a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 170.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20170.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20251003 170.0 CALL$</a> .</p><p>sell put参考价150 <a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 150.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20150.0%20PUT\">$AMD 20251003 150.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99cebb1c2625114fc53630d945bf619b\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"896\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BABA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"阿里巴巴\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> </p><p>阿里继续高歌猛进。机构sell call177.5 <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020251003%20177.5%20CALL\">$BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL$</a> ， 对冲buy call 187.5 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL\">$BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ </a> 。短期sell put行权价参考 <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20251003 165.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020251003%20165.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20251003 165.0 PUT$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1ccf4573edf393095a644d1c882476a\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"962\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>发表一下暴论，年底CRWV可能上160。</p><p>中期long call 进驻CRWV了，并且开始进行第一轮roll仓。</p><p>机构平仓3万手10月到期115call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251017 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251017%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20251017 115.0 CALL$</a>，roll仓3万手到12月到期160call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251219%20160.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>大单显示115call方向为买入，160方向为卖出。还是我说过的问题，机构订单方向不准确。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5f02f11be8f249c2782555b85df02b\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"360\"></p><p>之所以这么笃定，因为机构在9月初分批次开仓115call时方向是买入，单腿开仓方向可信度比多腿的高，总不能说开仓买入关仓也是买入吧？不过这也只是我根据经验和成交的合理推断，信与不信在个人。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f901782d9194cd2817e9375d6fa8929\" tg-width=\"2558\" tg-height=\"1438\"></p><p>另外还有远期long call开仓，分别是大单买入开仓1844手150call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020270115%20150.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL$</a>成交额700多万，以及大单买入开仓1990手200call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020270115%20200.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL$</a> 成交额500多万。</p><p>crwv这种成长股不适合单纯sell put，会亏损阿尔法，做多考虑正股或者sell put+buy call对冲型策略。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02ff5a650e2a469dccf2556facc653e5\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"738\"></p></body></html>","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 看了一下极端的开仓价差，不排除10月3日这周比上周波动更剧烈。 具体表现为机构sell call $NVDA 20251003 182.5 CALL$ 以及 $NVDA 20251003 180 CALL$ ，对冲buy call $NVDA 20251003 190 CALL$ 以及$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ ，阻力跟上周类似低于185。 看跌开仓就比较悲观了，虽然我预计依然很难跌到170以下 $NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$ ，但依旧有很多160以下开仓占据主导。 不过还是跟上周看法一样，按区间波动考虑策略，跌到170附近sell put$NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$ ，180以上考虑sell call$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ 。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 考虑机构又在密集开仓看涨期权，特斯拉存在一定逼空可能。 sell call行权价 $TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL$ $TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL$ $TSLA 20251003 445 CALL$ $TSLA 20251003 452.5 CALL$ ，对冲buy call行权价 $TSLA 20251003 462.5 CALL$ $TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$ $TSLA 20251003 477.5 CALL$ 。 看跌价差是 $TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT$ $TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$ 。 所以本周适合的双卖区间是$TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$ 和$TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ spy开仓也是比较微妙状态，本周预计波动区间650～670，下限和上限对比上周预期波动区间655～665都有所拓展。 $英特尔(INTC)$ 英特尔很难分析，主要是不知道什么时候又蹦出来一个什么合作。 就一般市场行情来看，40看涨期权开仓量很大，构成近期阻力位。看跌期权回调位看法不统一，保守派认为25更安全，激进派认为34就很合理。 分享两个投机开仓，一个是sell put25 $INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT$ buy call45$INTC 20251121 45.0 CALL$ ；另一个是buy call38 $INTC 20251107 38.0 CALL$ ，sell call 45 $INTC 20251107 45.0 CALL$ 。 $美国超微公司(AMD)$ 横盘非常久依然没有突破迹象，本周机构sell call 162.5$AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL$ ，buy call 170 $AMD 20251003 170.0 CALL$ . sell put参考价150 $AMD 20251003 150.0 PUT$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 阿里继续高歌猛进。机构sell call177.5 $BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL$ ， 对冲buy call 187.5 $BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ 。短期sell put行权价参考 $BABA 20251003 165.0 PUT$ 。 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 发表一下暴论，年底CRWV可能上160。 中期long call 进驻CRWV了，并且开始进行第一轮roll仓。 机构平仓3万手10月到期115call $CRWV 20251017 115.0 CALL$，roll仓3万手到12月到期160call $CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL$ 。 大单显示115call方向为买入，160方向为卖出。还是我说过的问题，机构订单方向不准确。 之所以这么笃定，因为机构在9月初分批次开仓115call时方向是买入，单腿开仓方向可信度比多腿的高，总不能说开仓买入关仓也是买入吧？不过这也只是我根据经验和成交的合理推断，信与不信在个人。 另外还有远期long call开仓，分别是大单买入开仓1844手150call $CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL$成交额700多万，以及大单买入开仓1990手200call $CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL$ 成交额500多万。 crwv这种成长股不适合单纯sell put，会亏损阿尔法，做多考虑正股或者sell put+buy call对冲型策略。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/483921488425064","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","BABA","INTC","CRWV","TSLA","AMD","SPY","BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL","NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT","TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT","BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL","AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL","TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL","NVDA 20251003 180 CALL","INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT","TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT","CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL","TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL","NVDA 20251003 190 CALL","CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL","AMD 20251003 170.0 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