悟空的花果山
09-29
等待机会
@期权小班长：
剧烈洗盘
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true}","description":"你想知道的期权知识都在这里，咨询期权问题@期权小助手","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672d6bc9cf055ebef009d5ee69bfef82"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d904e3c6ed8d775c9bb049d2fbc8ba00","width":"1038","height":"1054"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a18c9c04876ab6f68d20f060f52d99a","width":"1042","height":"1058"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c7dc0e9ec9bafacd8fcb5cad7f26ad","width":"1040","height":"1058"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0197e5683916a528a6ddd9b6af6fee51","width":"1042","height":"1058"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99cebb1c2625114fc53630d945bf619b","width":"1038","height":"896"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1ccf4573edf393095a644d1c882476a","width":"1038","height":"962"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5f02f11be8f249c2782555b85df02b","width":"2478","height":"360"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f901782d9194cd2817e9375d6fa8929","width":"2558","height":"1438"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02ff5a650e2a469dccf2556facc653e5","width":"1040","height":"738"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d904e3c6ed8d775c9bb049d2fbc8ba00","width":"1038","height":"1054"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a18c9c04876ab6f68d20f060f52d99a","width":"1042","height":"1058"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c7dc0e9ec9bafacd8fcb5cad7f26ad","width":"1040","height":"1058"}],"title":"剧烈洗盘","html":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>看了一下极端的开仓价差，不排除10月3日这周比上周波动更剧烈。</p><p>具体表现为机构sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 182.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20182.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 182.5 CALL$</a> 以及 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 180 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 180 CALL$ </a> ，对冲buy call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 190 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 190 CALL$ </a> 以及<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20187.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$</a> ，阻力跟上周类似低于185。</p><p>看跌开仓就比较悲观了，虽然我预计依然很难跌到170以下 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20170.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$</a> ，但依旧有很多160以下开仓占据主导。</p><p>不过还是跟上周看法一样，按区间波动考虑策略，跌到170附近sell put<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20170.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$</a> ，180以上考虑sell call<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ </a>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d904e3c6ed8d775c9bb049d2fbc8ba00\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1054\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>考虑机构又在密集开仓看涨期权，特斯拉存在一定逼空可能。</p><p>sell call行权价 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20437.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20442.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251003 445 CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 445 CALL$ </a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 452.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20452.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 452.5 CALL$</a> ，对冲buy call行权价 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 462.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20462.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 462.5 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20470.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 477.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20477.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 477.5 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>看跌价差是 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20432.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20417.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$</a> 。</p><p>所以本周适合的双卖区间是<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20470.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$</a> 和<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20417.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a18c9c04876ab6f68d20f060f52d99a\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>spy开仓也是比较微妙状态，本周预计波动区间650～670，下限和上限对比上周预期波动区间655～665都有所拓展。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c7dc0e9ec9bafacd8fcb5cad7f26ad\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"INTC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英特尔\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a> </p><p>英特尔很难分析，主要是不知道什么时候又蹦出来一个什么合作。</p><p>就一般市场行情来看，40看涨期权开仓量很大，构成近期阻力位。看跌期权回调位看法不统一，保守派认为25更安全，激进派认为34就很合理。</p><p>分享两个投机开仓，一个是sell put25 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251121%2025.0%20PUT\">$INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT$</a> buy call45<a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251121 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251121%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251121 45.0 CALL$</a> ；另一个是buy call38 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251107 38.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251107%2038.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251107 38.0 CALL$</a> ，sell call 45 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251107 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251107%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251107 45.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0197e5683916a528a6ddd9b6af6fee51\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AMD\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美国超微公司\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> </p><p>横盘非常久依然没有突破迹象，本周机构sell call 162.5<a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20162.5%20CALL\">$AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL$</a> ，buy call 170 <a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 170.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20170.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20251003 170.0 CALL$</a> .</p><p>sell put参考价150 <a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 150.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20150.0%20PUT\">$AMD 20251003 150.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99cebb1c2625114fc53630d945bf619b\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"896\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BABA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"阿里巴巴\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> </p><p>阿里继续高歌猛进。机构sell call177.5 <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020251003%20177.5%20CALL\">$BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL$</a> ， 对冲buy call 187.5 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL\">$BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ </a> 。短期sell put行权价参考 <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20251003 165.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020251003%20165.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20251003 165.0 PUT$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1ccf4573edf393095a644d1c882476a\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"962\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>发表一下暴论，年底CRWV可能上160。</p><p>中期long call 进驻CRWV了，并且开始进行第一轮roll仓。</p><p>机构平仓3万手10月到期115call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251017 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251017%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20251017 115.0 CALL$</a>，roll仓3万手到12月到期160call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251219%20160.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>大单显示115call方向为买入，160方向为卖出。还是我说过的问题，机构订单方向不准确。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5f02f11be8f249c2782555b85df02b\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"360\"></p><p>之所以这么笃定，因为机构在9月初分批次开仓115call时方向是买入，单腿开仓方向可信度比多腿的高，总不能说开仓买入关仓也是买入吧？不过这也只是我根据经验和成交的合理推断，信与不信在个人。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f901782d9194cd2817e9375d6fa8929\" tg-width=\"2558\" tg-height=\"1438\"></p><p>另外还有远期long call开仓，分别是大单买入开仓1844手150call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020270115%20150.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL$</a>成交额700多万，以及大单买入开仓1990手200call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020270115%20200.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL$</a> 成交额500多万。</p><p>crwv这种成长股不适合单纯sell put，会亏损阿尔法，做多考虑正股或者sell put+buy call对冲型策略。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02ff5a650e2a469dccf2556facc653e5\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"738\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>看了一下极端的开仓价差，不排除10月3日这周比上周波动更剧烈。</p><p>具体表现为机构sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 182.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20182.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 182.5 CALL$</a> 以及 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 180 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 180 CALL$ </a> ，对冲buy call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 190 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 190 CALL$ </a> 以及<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20187.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$</a> ，阻力跟上周类似低于185。</p><p>看跌开仓就比较悲观了，虽然我预计依然很难跌到170以下 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20170.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$</a> ，但依旧有很多160以下开仓占据主导。</p><p>不过还是跟上周看法一样，按区间波动考虑策略，跌到170附近sell put<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251003%20170.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$</a> ，180以上考虑sell call<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL\">$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ </a>。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d904e3c6ed8d775c9bb049d2fbc8ba00\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1054\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>考虑机构又在密集开仓看涨期权，特斯拉存在一定逼空可能。</p><p>sell call行权价 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20437.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20442.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251003 445 CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 445 CALL$ </a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 452.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20452.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 452.5 CALL$</a> ，对冲buy call行权价 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 462.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20462.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 462.5 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20470.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 477.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20477.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 477.5 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>看跌价差是 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20432.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20417.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$</a> 。</p><p>所以本周适合的双卖区间是<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20470.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$</a> 和<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251003%20417.5%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a18c9c04876ab6f68d20f060f52d99a\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>spy开仓也是比较微妙状态，本周预计波动区间650～670，下限和上限对比上周预期波动区间655～665都有所拓展。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93c7dc0e9ec9bafacd8fcb5cad7f26ad\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"INTC\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英特尔\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a> </p><p>英特尔很难分析，主要是不知道什么时候又蹦出来一个什么合作。</p><p>就一般市场行情来看，40看涨期权开仓量很大，构成近期阻力位。看跌期权回调位看法不统一，保守派认为25更安全，激进派认为34就很合理。</p><p>分享两个投机开仓，一个是sell put25 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251121%2025.0%20PUT\">$INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT$</a> buy call45<a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251121 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251121%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251121 45.0 CALL$</a> ；另一个是buy call38 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251107 38.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251107%2038.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251107 38.0 CALL$</a> ，sell call 45 <a data-mention-id=\"INTC 20251107 45.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"INTC\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/INTC%2020251107%2045.0%20CALL\">$INTC 20251107 45.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0197e5683916a528a6ddd9b6af6fee51\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AMD\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美国超微公司\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> </p><p>横盘非常久依然没有突破迹象，本周机构sell call 162.5<a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20162.5%20CALL\">$AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL$</a> ，buy call 170 <a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 170.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20170.0%20CALL\">$AMD 20251003 170.0 CALL$</a> .</p><p>sell put参考价150 <a data-mention-id=\"AMD 20251003 150.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMD\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMD%2020251003%20150.0%20PUT\">$AMD 20251003 150.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99cebb1c2625114fc53630d945bf619b\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"896\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"BABA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"阿里巴巴\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> </p><p>阿里继续高歌猛进。机构sell call177.5 <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020251003%20177.5%20CALL\">$BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL$</a> ， 对冲buy call 187.5 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL\">$BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ </a> 。短期sell put行权价参考 <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20251003 165.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020251003%20165.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20251003 165.0 PUT$</a> 。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1ccf4573edf393095a644d1c882476a\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"962\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>发表一下暴论，年底CRWV可能上160。</p><p>中期long call 进驻CRWV了，并且开始进行第一轮roll仓。</p><p>机构平仓3万手10月到期115call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251017 115.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251017%20115.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20251017 115.0 CALL$</a>，roll仓3万手到12月到期160call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020251219%20160.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>大单显示115call方向为买入，160方向为卖出。还是我说过的问题，机构订单方向不准确。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5f02f11be8f249c2782555b85df02b\" tg-width=\"2478\" tg-height=\"360\"></p><p>之所以这么笃定，因为机构在9月初分批次开仓115call时方向是买入，单腿开仓方向可信度比多腿的高，总不能说开仓买入关仓也是买入吧？不过这也只是我根据经验和成交的合理推断，信与不信在个人。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f901782d9194cd2817e9375d6fa8929\" tg-width=\"2558\" tg-height=\"1438\"></p><p>另外还有远期long call开仓，分别是大单买入开仓1844手150call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020270115%20150.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL$</a>成交额700多万，以及大单买入开仓1990手200call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020270115%20200.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL$</a> 成交额500多万。</p><p>crwv这种成长股不适合单纯sell put，会亏损阿尔法，做多考虑正股或者sell put+buy call对冲型策略。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02ff5a650e2a469dccf2556facc653e5\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"738\"></p></body></html>","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 看了一下极端的开仓价差，不排除10月3日这周比上周波动更剧烈。 具体表现为机构sell call $NVDA 20251003 182.5 CALL$ 以及 $NVDA 20251003 180 CALL$ ，对冲buy call $NVDA 20251003 190 CALL$ 以及$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ ，阻力跟上周类似低于185。 看跌开仓就比较悲观了，虽然我预计依然很难跌到170以下 $NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$ ，但依旧有很多160以下开仓占据主导。 不过还是跟上周看法一样，按区间波动考虑策略，跌到170附近sell put$NVDA 20251003 170.0 PUT$ ，180以上考虑sell call$NVDA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ 。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 考虑机构又在密集开仓看涨期权，特斯拉存在一定逼空可能。 sell call行权价 $TSLA 20251003 437.5 CALL$ $TSLA 20251003 442.5 CALL$ $TSLA 20251003 445 CALL$ $TSLA 20251003 452.5 CALL$ ，对冲buy call行权价 $TSLA 20251003 462.5 CALL$ $TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$ $TSLA 20251003 477.5 CALL$ 。 看跌价差是 $TSLA 20251003 432.5 PUT$ $TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$ 。 所以本周适合的双卖区间是$TSLA 20251003 470.0 CALL$ 和$TSLA 20251003 417.5 PUT$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ spy开仓也是比较微妙状态，本周预计波动区间650～670，下限和上限对比上周预期波动区间655～665都有所拓展。 $英特尔(INTC)$ 英特尔很难分析，主要是不知道什么时候又蹦出来一个什么合作。 就一般市场行情来看，40看涨期权开仓量很大，构成近期阻力位。看跌期权回调位看法不统一，保守派认为25更安全，激进派认为34就很合理。 分享两个投机开仓，一个是sell put25 $INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT$ buy call45$INTC 20251121 45.0 CALL$ ；另一个是buy call38 $INTC 20251107 38.0 CALL$ ，sell call 45 $INTC 20251107 45.0 CALL$ 。 $美国超微公司(AMD)$ 横盘非常久依然没有突破迹象，本周机构sell call 162.5$AMD 20251003 162.5 CALL$ ，buy call 170 $AMD 20251003 170.0 CALL$ . sell put参考价150 $AMD 20251003 150.0 PUT$ $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 阿里继续高歌猛进。机构sell call177.5 $BABA 20251003 177.5 CALL$ ， 对冲buy call 187.5 $BABA 20251003 187.5 CALL$ 。短期sell put行权价参考 $BABA 20251003 165.0 PUT$ 。 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 发表一下暴论，年底CRWV可能上160。 中期long call 进驻CRWV了，并且开始进行第一轮roll仓。 机构平仓3万手10月到期115call $CRWV 20251017 115.0 CALL$，roll仓3万手到12月到期160call $CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL$ 。 大单显示115call方向为买入，160方向为卖出。还是我说过的问题，机构订单方向不准确。 之所以这么笃定，因为机构在9月初分批次开仓115call时方向是买入，单腿开仓方向可信度比多腿的高，总不能说开仓买入关仓也是买入吧？不过这也只是我根据经验和成交的合理推断，信与不信在个人。 另外还有远期long call开仓，分别是大单买入开仓1844手150call $CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL$成交额700多万，以及大单买入开仓1990手200call $CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL$ 成交额500多万。 crwv这种成长股不适合单纯sell put，会亏损阿尔法，做多考虑正股或者sell put+buy call对冲型策略。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/483921488425064","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","BABA","INTC","CRWV","TSLA","AMD","SPY","INTC 20251121 25.0 PUT","CRWV 20270115 150.0 CALL","CRWV 20251219 160.0 CALL","CRWV 20270115 200.0 CALL","INTC 20251121 45.0 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