勇敢小飞猪
12-16
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看
@期权小班长：
三巫日当周谨防回调
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data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a></p><p>机构对于本周下跌趋势非常有自信，所以用价差策略把181～191区间的行权价全做满了。导致结果就是，如果本周英伟达股价不压在179以下，小概率会发生逼空大幅反弹到185。</p><p>但大概率事件是股价先回调到170，不排除170以下，然后反弹。毕竟本周三巫日，170put和160put是重点斩杀线，下跌时极好的sell put机会，行权价可以选170或者165 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251219 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251219%20170.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251219 170.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251219 165.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251219%20165.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251219 165.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b9ddc83ae066bd112a21952a4e78c6d\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1056\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a></p><p>SPY本周开启先回调后反弹新高模式，</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d337b172b80c69480367c7d04b868a79\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1060\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"AVGO\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"博通\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">$博通(AVGO)$</a></p><p>周五开仓看跌大单，目标价310 <a data-mention-id=\"AVGO 20260220 310.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AVGO\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AVGO%2020260220%20310.0%20PUT\">$AVGO 20260220 310.0 PUT$</a> ，成交额360万美元。</p><p>跌到310前先不考虑抄底。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b51b57860df2ce359f832f9e9689d62\" tg-width=\"2488\" tg-height=\"102\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"ORCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"甲骨文\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a></p><p>180有月线支撑，所以180和170都有sell put开仓 <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL 20251226 180.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ORCL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL%2020251226%20180.0%20PUT\">$ORCL 20251226 180.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL 20260116 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ORCL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL%2020260116%20170.0%20PUT\">$ORCL 20260116 170.0 PUT$</a> ，但最稳的还是等待看能不能到160。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e23da6f8881a15d03ab2f6e764b6dc88\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1030\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a></p><p>特斯拉周一行情比较激烈，主要钩子是本周到期500call开仓6.45万手 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251219 500.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251219%20500.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251219 500.0 CALL$</a> ，未平仓量达到了10.79万手，非常客观，直接把机构的本周价差策略拉爆了：sell call <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251219 462.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251219%20462.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251219 462.5 CALL$</a> ，buy call <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251219 482.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251219%20482.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251219 482.5 CALL$</a> </p><p>看成交量这6万手可能平仓了，做个sell call<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251219 520.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251219%20520.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251219 520.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>回调预期420～450，到这个位置考虑sell put。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ce6360c0286087339531ca93b18fa93\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1026\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"META\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Meta Platforms, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$</a></p><p>META可以考虑做600的sell put <a data-mention-id=\"META 20251226 600.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"META\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/META%2020251226%20600.0%20PUT\">$META 20251226 600.0 PUT$</a> ，虽然跟其他高位高估值股票相比，meta风险更低，不过本周需要稳一手。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f455b60f10e8a4a059b325e675b94c62\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1024\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NFLX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"奈飞\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a></p><p>奈飞的期权开仓显示触底迹象，股价大约在90～100区间震荡，趁回调可以考虑sell put<a data-mention-id=\"NFLX 20251219 90.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NFLX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NFLX%2020251219%2090.0%20PUT\">$NFLX 20251219 90.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc9ccc4fdd42a66d10c8d2233e5b4e1\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"MU\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美光科技\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a></p><p>本周三盘后财报，依旧是财报预期很好，但不知道市场怎么看。</p><p>周五有些期权组合认为本周震荡区间会在210～260之间，也比较符合隐含波动区间215～265。我觉得财报可以做宽跨卖出sell call280 <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20251219 280.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020251219%20280.0%20CALL\">$MU 20251219 280.0 CALL$</a> 和sell put 210 <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20251219 210.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020251219%20210.0%20PUT\">$MU 20251219 210.0 PUT$</a> ，都需要在财报发布后开盘平仓，毕竟收盘价格就不好说了。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ef4cd5ea0d546c6eb12e5b40dbd9c8d\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"960\"></p><p>我觉得sell put那条腿不做也行，因为上周有大单buy put做空买入5250手 210put <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20260320 210.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020260320%20210.0%20PUT\">$MU 20260320 210.0 PUT$</a> ，成交额981万美元。感觉财报后美光也不免一跌。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b9f4bc3d9ee5c14cc32c071448cbe5a\" tg-width=\"2486\" tg-height=\"102\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a></p><p>机构对于本周下跌趋势非常有自信，所以用价差策略把181～191区间的行权价全做满了。导致结果就是，如果本周英伟达股价不压在179以下，小概率会发生逼空大幅反弹到185。</p><p>但大概率事件是股价先回调到170，不排除170以下，然后反弹。毕竟本周三巫日，170put和160put是重点斩杀线，下跌时极好的sell put机会，行权价可以选170或者165 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251219 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251219%20170.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251219 170.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251219 165.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251219%20165.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20251219 165.0 PUT$</a></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b9ddc83ae066bd112a21952a4e78c6d\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1056\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a></p><p>SPY本周开启先回调后反弹新高模式，</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d337b172b80c69480367c7d04b868a79\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1060\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"AVGO\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"博通\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">$博通(AVGO)$</a></p><p>周五开仓看跌大单，目标价310 <a data-mention-id=\"AVGO 20260220 310.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AVGO\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AVGO%2020260220%20310.0%20PUT\">$AVGO 20260220 310.0 PUT$</a> ，成交额360万美元。</p><p>跌到310前先不考虑抄底。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b51b57860df2ce359f832f9e9689d62\" tg-width=\"2488\" tg-height=\"102\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"ORCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"甲骨文\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a></p><p>180有月线支撑，所以180和170都有sell put开仓 <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL 20251226 180.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ORCL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL%2020251226%20180.0%20PUT\">$ORCL 20251226 180.0 PUT$</a> <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL 20260116 170.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"ORCL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ORCL%2020260116%20170.0%20PUT\">$ORCL 20260116 170.0 PUT$</a> ，但最稳的还是等待看能不能到160。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e23da6f8881a15d03ab2f6e764b6dc88\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1030\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a></p><p>特斯拉周一行情比较激烈，主要钩子是本周到期500call开仓6.45万手 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251219 500.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251219%20500.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251219 500.0 CALL$</a> ，未平仓量达到了10.79万手，非常客观，直接把机构的本周价差策略拉爆了：sell call <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251219 462.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251219%20462.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251219 462.5 CALL$</a> ，buy call <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251219 482.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251219%20482.5%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251219 482.5 CALL$</a> </p><p>看成交量这6万手可能平仓了，做个sell call<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251219 520.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251219%20520.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20251219 520.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>回调预期420～450，到这个位置考虑sell put。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ce6360c0286087339531ca93b18fa93\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1026\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"META\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Meta Platforms, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$</a></p><p>META可以考虑做600的sell put <a data-mention-id=\"META 20251226 600.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"META\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/META%2020251226%20600.0%20PUT\">$META 20251226 600.0 PUT$</a> ，虽然跟其他高位高估值股票相比，meta风险更低，不过本周需要稳一手。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f455b60f10e8a4a059b325e675b94c62\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1024\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NFLX\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"奈飞\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a></p><p>奈飞的期权开仓显示触底迹象，股价大约在90～100区间震荡，趁回调可以考虑sell put<a data-mention-id=\"NFLX 20251219 90.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NFLX\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NFLX%2020251219%2090.0%20PUT\">$NFLX 20251219 90.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc9ccc4fdd42a66d10c8d2233e5b4e1\" tg-width=\"1040\" tg-height=\"1058\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"MU\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美光科技\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a></p><p>本周三盘后财报，依旧是财报预期很好，但不知道市场怎么看。</p><p>周五有些期权组合认为本周震荡区间会在210～260之间，也比较符合隐含波动区间215～265。我觉得财报可以做宽跨卖出sell call280 <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20251219 280.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020251219%20280.0%20CALL\">$MU 20251219 280.0 CALL$</a> 和sell put 210 <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20251219 210.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020251219%20210.0%20PUT\">$MU 20251219 210.0 PUT$</a> ，都需要在财报发布后开盘平仓，毕竟收盘价格就不好说了。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ef4cd5ea0d546c6eb12e5b40dbd9c8d\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"960\"></p><p>我觉得sell put那条腿不做也行，因为上周有大单buy put做空买入5250手 210put <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20260320 210.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020260320%20210.0%20PUT\">$MU 20260320 210.0 PUT$</a> ，成交额981万美元。感觉财报后美光也不免一跌。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b9f4bc3d9ee5c14cc32c071448cbe5a\" tg-width=\"2486\" tg-height=\"102\"></p></body></html>","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 机构对于本周下跌趋势非常有自信，所以用价差策略把181～191区间的行权价全做满了。导致结果就是，如果本周英伟达股价不压在179以下，小概率会发生逼空大幅反弹到185。 但大概率事件是股价先回调到170，不排除170以下，然后反弹。毕竟本周三巫日，170put和160put是重点斩杀线，下跌时极好的sell put机会，行权价可以选170或者165 $NVDA 20251219 170.0 PUT$ $NVDA 20251219 165.0 PUT$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ SPY本周开启先回调后反弹新高模式， $博通(AVGO)$ 周五开仓看跌大单，目标价310 $AVGO 20260220 310.0 PUT$ ，成交额360万美元。 跌到310前先不考虑抄底。 $甲骨文(ORCL)$ 180有月线支撑，所以180和170都有sell put开仓 $ORCL 20251226 180.0 PUT$ $ORCL 20260116 170.0 PUT$ ，但最稳的还是等待看能不能到160。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 特斯拉周一行情比较激烈，主要钩子是本周到期500call开仓6.45万手 $TSLA 20251219 500.0 CALL$ ，未平仓量达到了10.79万手，非常客观，直接把机构的本周价差策略拉爆了：sell call $TSLA 20251219 462.5 CALL$ ，buy call $TSLA 20251219 482.5 CALL$ 看成交量这6万手可能平仓了，做个sell call$TSLA 20251219 520.0 CALL$ 回调预期420～450，到这个位置考虑sell put。 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ META可以考虑做600的sell put $META 20251226 600.0 PUT$ ，虽然跟其他高位高估值股票相比，meta风险更低，不过本周需要稳一手。 $奈飞(NFLX)$ 奈飞的期权开仓显示触底迹象，股价大约在90～100区间震荡，趁回调可以考虑sell put$NFLX 20251219 90.0 PUT$ $美光科技(MU)$ 本周三盘后财报，依旧是财报预期很好，但不知道市场怎么看。 周五有些期权组合认为本周震荡区间会在210～260之间，也比较符合隐含波动区间215～265。我觉得财报可以做宽跨卖出sell call280 $MU 20251219 280.0 CALL$ 和sell put 210 $MU 20251219 210.0 PUT$ ，都需要在财报发布后开盘平仓，毕竟收盘价格就不好说了。 我觉得sell put那条腿不做也行，因为上周有大单buy put做空买入5250手 210put $MU 20260320 210.0 PUT$ ，成交额981万美元。感觉财报后美光也不免一跌。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511171012083816","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","META","AVGO","NFLX","MU","ORCL","TSLA","SPY","ORCL 20260116 170.0 PUT","AVGO 20260220 310.0 PUT","MU 20260320 210.0 PUT","ORCL 20251226 180.0 PUT","META 20251226 600.0 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