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@期权小班长：AI现状：打一巴掌给个枣

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data-mention-id=\"MU\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美光科技\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a> </p><p>美光财报虽然很好，资本支出控制也得当，但还是回到最根本的问题，资本依然认为AI变现赶不上烧钱的速度，并且开始退出无营收项目，遏制了市场过热情绪。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"OWL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Blue Owl Capital Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OWL\">$Blue Owl Capital Inc.(OWL)$</a> 不再支持甲骨文 <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"甲骨文\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> 项目融资的影响非常大。100亿的项目说跑就跑，肯定是投资方看到了什么东西。</p><p>加之上周 <a data-mention-id=\"FRMI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Fermi Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRMI\">$Fermi Inc.(FRMI)$</a> 大客户跑路，股价腰斩，再怎么不敏感，也应该察觉到有些事情已经不对了。</p><p>所以美光虽然声称未来业绩继续由AI驱动，这个驱动力是加速扩大，还是停滞收缩，我们就猜不到了。</p><p>但美光26年产能已经全部锁定，未来营收有保障，所以作为纯收钱且具有稀缺性的一方，估值也不高，是AI板块里下跌缓冲垫最厚的公司之一。AI产业链全体回调情况下，200美元是一个值得关注的价格。</p><p>财报大单方面，出现了比较罕见的事件，大单买入价内call获得盈利，12月26日到期和1月16日到期200call <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20251226 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020251226%20200.0%20CALL\">$MU 20251226 200.0 CALL$</a>  <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20260116 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020260116%20200.0%20CALL\">$MU 20260116 200.0 CALL$</a> ，分别开仓买入1万手和7383万手看涨。大单认为财报后股价在230～240左右。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01e06edc4674cccb2f91c3ab0f3e6b54\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1060\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>机构看涨价差roll 仓到下周，平仓本周184call-191call组合，开仓sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20177.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL$</a> +buy call182.5组合 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20182.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>也就是说，当前价格很适合sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20185.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>老黄昨天发布声明称尚未对OpenAI进行任何投资。这个时候出现这种极力撇清关系的声明也是一种信号。</p><p>股价预期不太乐观，看跌期权开仓显示未来几周股价会去160走一遭。对于160这个价格看跌和抄底的都有，所以下周或下下周跌到160可以考虑sell put做空波动率或者抄底。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d542fb1d7dab40e5444b8374195768d7\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1120\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>坏消息看涨大单跑路平仓了 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020260220%20600.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL$</a> ；好消息是大单好像是有内幕的韭菜，今天又开新仓买入了： <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020260220%20645.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL$</a>  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a>  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a> </p><p>目前来看特斯拉近期应该都会维持在450以上，不过波动比较大，可以善用sell put追涨 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251226%20450.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e11e20106f651d663b65001d76f28cf0\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1090\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>目前来看这一轮反弹至少回到690之下，似乎正好过完圣诞，圣诞行情看起来不会迟到。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c522c48381f280675dde751e4429bf6\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1124\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"谷歌A\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$</a> </p><p>谷歌破位空头追加看跌到260以及210的看跌大单：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260123%20260.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT$</a> </p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260130%20260.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT$</a> </p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260515%20210.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>如果OpenAI真的因为融不到资破产，把谷歌股价拉下水，反倒是极佳的抄底机会，谷歌就会成为真正的AI第一股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c21829aaa9edadbb43f10b8bb8e774\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"836\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"BABA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"阿里巴巴\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> </p><p>阿里出现看跌价差，做空股价到140以下，125以上：</p><p>buy put<a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020260320%20140.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>sell put <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020260320%20125.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cdfb5a5efb009a854d7286c9b91856e\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"806\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>long call进场买入，开仓量惊人，100call<a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020260320%20100.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL$</a> 开仓买入5万手，85call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020260130%2085.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL$</a> 开仓买入1万手，总计约2250万美元。</p><p>但考虑到严重的债务问题，建议谨慎关注。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/841127fc1a5589473884a8c6067d48d5\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"1597\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dfacfd769ca8c28d54a31012d9880ed\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"1612\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"AMZN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"亚马逊\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> </p><p>价差大单买入看涨明年股价上涨至260～310区间：</p><p>买入 <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020260821%20260.0%20CALL\">$AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020260821%20310.0%20CALL\">$AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/643a129d05b98ee7916ea3da90414c31\" tg-width=\"2614\" tg-height=\"164\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"FXI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国大盘股ETF-iShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> </p><p>预计中概回调，大单采用了免费做空策略sell call+buy put：</p><p>sell call42 <a data-mention-id=\"FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"FXI\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020260417%2042.0%20CALL\">$FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>buy put34 <a data-mention-id=\"FXI 20260417 34.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"FXI\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020260417%2034.0%20PUT\">$FXI 20260417 34.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bacbef9e295d0a2c497401140451c6b1\" tg-width=\"2624\" tg-height=\"162\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><a data-mention-id=\"MU\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美光科技\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a> </p><p>美光财报虽然很好，资本支出控制也得当，但还是回到最根本的问题，资本依然认为AI变现赶不上烧钱的速度，并且开始退出无营收项目，遏制了市场过热情绪。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"OWL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Blue Owl Capital Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OWL\">$Blue Owl Capital Inc.(OWL)$</a> 不再支持甲骨文 <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"甲骨文\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> 项目融资的影响非常大。100亿的项目说跑就跑，肯定是投资方看到了什么东西。</p><p>加之上周 <a data-mention-id=\"FRMI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Fermi Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRMI\">$Fermi Inc.(FRMI)$</a> 大客户跑路，股价腰斩，再怎么不敏感，也应该察觉到有些事情已经不对了。</p><p>所以美光虽然声称未来业绩继续由AI驱动，这个驱动力是加速扩大，还是停滞收缩，我们就猜不到了。</p><p>但美光26年产能已经全部锁定，未来营收有保障，所以作为纯收钱且具有稀缺性的一方，估值也不高，是AI板块里下跌缓冲垫最厚的公司之一。AI产业链全体回调情况下，200美元是一个值得关注的价格。</p><p>财报大单方面，出现了比较罕见的事件，大单买入价内call获得盈利，12月26日到期和1月16日到期200call <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20251226 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020251226%20200.0%20CALL\">$MU 20251226 200.0 CALL$</a>  <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20260116 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020260116%20200.0%20CALL\">$MU 20260116 200.0 CALL$</a> ，分别开仓买入1万手和7383万手看涨。大单认为财报后股价在230～240左右。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01e06edc4674cccb2f91c3ab0f3e6b54\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1060\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>机构看涨价差roll 仓到下周，平仓本周184call-191call组合，开仓sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20177.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL$</a> +buy call182.5组合 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20182.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>也就是说，当前价格很适合sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20185.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>老黄昨天发布声明称尚未对OpenAI进行任何投资。这个时候出现这种极力撇清关系的声明也是一种信号。</p><p>股价预期不太乐观，看跌期权开仓显示未来几周股价会去160走一遭。对于160这个价格看跌和抄底的都有，所以下周或下下周跌到160可以考虑sell put做空波动率或者抄底。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d542fb1d7dab40e5444b8374195768d7\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1120\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>坏消息看涨大单跑路平仓了 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020260220%20600.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL$</a> ；好消息是大单好像是有内幕的韭菜，今天又开新仓买入了： <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020260220%20645.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL$</a>  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a>  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a> </p><p>目前来看特斯拉近期应该都会维持在450以上，不过波动比较大，可以善用sell put追涨 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251226%20450.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e11e20106f651d663b65001d76f28cf0\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1090\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>目前来看这一轮反弹至少回到690之下，似乎正好过完圣诞，圣诞行情看起来不会迟到。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c522c48381f280675dde751e4429bf6\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1124\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"谷歌A\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$</a> </p><p>谷歌破位空头追加看跌到260以及210的看跌大单：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260123%20260.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT$</a> </p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260130%20260.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT$</a> </p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260515%20210.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>如果OpenAI真的因为融不到资破产，把谷歌股价拉下水，反倒是极佳的抄底机会，谷歌就会成为真正的AI第一股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c21829aaa9edadbb43f10b8bb8e774\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"836\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"BABA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"阿里巴巴\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> </p><p>阿里出现看跌价差，做空股价到140以下，125以上：</p><p>buy put<a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020260320%20140.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>sell put <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020260320%20125.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cdfb5a5efb009a854d7286c9b91856e\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"806\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>long call进场买入，开仓量惊人，100call<a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020260320%20100.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL$</a> 开仓买入5万手，85call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020260130%2085.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL$</a> 开仓买入1万手，总计约2250万美元。</p><p>但考虑到严重的债务问题，建议谨慎关注。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/841127fc1a5589473884a8c6067d48d5\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"1597\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dfacfd769ca8c28d54a31012d9880ed\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"1612\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"AMZN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"亚马逊\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> </p><p>价差大单买入看涨明年股价上涨至260～310区间：</p><p>买入 <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020260821%20260.0%20CALL\">$AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020260821%20310.0%20CALL\">$AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/643a129d05b98ee7916ea3da90414c31\" tg-width=\"2614\" tg-height=\"164\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"FXI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国大盘股ETF-iShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> </p><p>预计中概回调，大单采用了免费做空策略sell call+buy put：</p><p>sell call42 <a data-mention-id=\"FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"FXI\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020260417%2042.0%20CALL\">$FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>buy put34 <a data-mention-id=\"FXI 20260417 34.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"FXI\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020260417%2034.0%20PUT\">$FXI 20260417 34.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bacbef9e295d0a2c497401140451c6b1\" tg-width=\"2624\" tg-height=\"162\"></p></body></html>","text":"$美光科技(MU)$ 美光财报虽然很好，资本支出控制也得当，但还是回到最根本的问题，资本依然认为AI变现赶不上烧钱的速度，并且开始退出无营收项目，遏制了市场过热情绪。 $Blue Owl Capital Inc.(OWL)$ 不再支持甲骨文 $甲骨文(ORCL)$ 项目融资的影响非常大。100亿的项目说跑就跑，肯定是投资方看到了什么东西。 加之上周 $Fermi Inc.(FRMI)$ 大客户跑路，股价腰斩，再怎么不敏感，也应该察觉到有些事情已经不对了。 所以美光虽然声称未来业绩继续由AI驱动，这个驱动力是加速扩大，还是停滞收缩，我们就猜不到了。 但美光26年产能已经全部锁定，未来营收有保障，所以作为纯收钱且具有稀缺性的一方，估值也不高，是AI板块里下跌缓冲垫最厚的公司之一。AI产业链全体回调情况下，200美元是一个值得关注的价格。 财报大单方面，出现了比较罕见的事件，大单买入价内call获得盈利，12月26日到期和1月16日到期200call $MU 20251226 200.0 CALL$ $MU 20260116 200.0 CALL$ ，分别开仓买入1万手和7383万手看涨。大单认为财报后股价在230～240左右。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 机构看涨价差roll 仓到下周，平仓本周184call-191call组合，开仓sell call $NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL$ +buy call182.5组合 $NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL$ 。 也就是说，当前价格很适合sell call $NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL$ 老黄昨天发布声明称尚未对OpenAI进行任何投资。这个时候出现这种极力撇清关系的声明也是一种信号。 股价预期不太乐观，看跌期权开仓显示未来几周股价会去160走一遭。对于160这个价格看跌和抄底的都有，所以下周或下下周跌到160可以考虑sell put做空波动率或者抄底。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 坏消息看涨大单跑路平仓了 $TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL$ ；好消息是大单好像是有内幕的韭菜，今天又开新仓买入了： $TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL$ $TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL$ $TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL$ 目前来看特斯拉近期应该都会维持在450以上，不过波动比较大，可以善用sell put追涨 $TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 目前来看这一轮反弹至少回到690之下，似乎正好过完圣诞，圣诞行情看起来不会迟到。 $谷歌A(GOOGL)$ 谷歌破位空头追加看跌到260以及210的看跌大单： $GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT$ $GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT$ $GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT$ 如果OpenAI真的因为融不到资破产，把谷歌股价拉下水，反倒是极佳的抄底机会，谷歌就会成为真正的AI第一股。 $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 阿里出现看跌价差，做空股价到140以下，125以上： buy put$BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT$ sell put $BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT$ $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ long call进场买入，开仓量惊人，100call$CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL$ 开仓买入5万手，85call $CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL$ 开仓买入1万手，总计约2250万美元。 但考虑到严重的债务问题，建议谨慎关注。 $亚马逊(AMZN)$ 价差大单买入看涨明年股价上涨至260～310区间： 买入 $AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL$ 卖出 $AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL$ $中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$ 预计中概回调，大单采用了免费做空策略sell call+buy put： sell call42 $FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL$ buy put34 $FXI 20260417 34.0 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