这篇文章不错，转发给_老虎社区_美港股上老虎 - 老虎社区

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@期权小班长：AI现状：打一巴掌给个枣

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":512421749625784,"tweetId":"512421749625784","gmtCreate":1766130006132,"gmtModify":1766130008430,"author":{"id":3507454436270334,"idStr":"3507454436270334","authorId":3507454436270334,"authorIdStr":"3507454436270334","name":"必胜giegie","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":1,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看</body></html>","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/512421749625784","repostId":512257818833000,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":512257818833000,"tweetId":"512257818833000","gmtCreate":1766076131787,"gmtModify":1766076169551,"author":{"id":3527667590215376,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorId":3527667590215376,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"最简单的期权策略实践者","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b-1","templateUuid":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b","name":"月度最佳创作者","description":"每月精华帖数量及质量位于社区TOP3的创作者","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0cad6192443c33dca826a001250fbd4","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ccd98c646815ce7610b0df338e060cc","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.02","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"累计发表精华帖>=3（或有料帖>=10），且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖（或4篇有料帖）并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.12.20","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":36502,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c","categoryId":"20b8d1944bae4805b371322c2ab986d4","name":"期权Q&A：期权知识，你问我答","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"你想知道的期权知识都在这里，咨询期权问题@期权小助手","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/672d6bc9cf055ebef009d5ee69bfef82"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01e06edc4674cccb2f91c3ab0f3e6b54","width":"1044","height":"1060"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d542fb1d7dab40e5444b8374195768d7","width":"1042","height":"1120"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e11e20106f651d663b65001d76f28cf0","width":"1038","height":"1090"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c522c48381f280675dde751e4429bf6","width":"1044","height":"1124"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c21829aaa9edadbb43f10b8bb8e774","width":"1042","height":"836"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cdfb5a5efb009a854d7286c9b91856e","width":"1042","height":"806"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/841127fc1a5589473884a8c6067d48d5","width":"1206","height":"1597"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dfacfd769ca8c28d54a31012d9880ed","width":"1206","height":"1612"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/643a129d05b98ee7916ea3da90414c31","width":"2614","height":"164"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bacbef9e295d0a2c497401140451c6b1","width":"2624","height":"162"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01e06edc4674cccb2f91c3ab0f3e6b54","width":"1044","height":"1060"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d542fb1d7dab40e5444b8374195768d7","width":"1042","height":"1120"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e11e20106f651d663b65001d76f28cf0","width":"1038","height":"1090"}],"title":"AI现状：打一巴掌给个枣","html":"<html><head></head><body><p><a data-mention-id=\"MU\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美光科技\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a> </p><p>美光财报虽然很好，资本支出控制也得当，但还是回到最根本的问题，资本依然认为AI变现赶不上烧钱的速度，并且开始退出无营收项目，遏制了市场过热情绪。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"OWL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Blue Owl Capital Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OWL\">$Blue Owl Capital Inc.(OWL)$</a> 不再支持甲骨文 <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"甲骨文\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> 项目融资的影响非常大。100亿的项目说跑就跑，肯定是投资方看到了什么东西。</p><p>加之上周 <a data-mention-id=\"FRMI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Fermi Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRMI\">$Fermi Inc.(FRMI)$</a> 大客户跑路，股价腰斩，再怎么不敏感，也应该察觉到有些事情已经不对了。</p><p>所以美光虽然声称未来业绩继续由AI驱动，这个驱动力是加速扩大，还是停滞收缩，我们就猜不到了。</p><p>但美光26年产能已经全部锁定，未来营收有保障，所以作为纯收钱且具有稀缺性的一方，估值也不高，是AI板块里下跌缓冲垫最厚的公司之一。AI产业链全体回调情况下，200美元是一个值得关注的价格。</p><p>财报大单方面，出现了比较罕见的事件，大单买入价内call获得盈利，12月26日到期和1月16日到期200call <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20251226 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020251226%20200.0%20CALL\">$MU 20251226 200.0 CALL$</a>  <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20260116 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020260116%20200.0%20CALL\">$MU 20260116 200.0 CALL$</a> ，分别开仓买入1万手和7383万手看涨。大单认为财报后股价在230～240左右。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01e06edc4674cccb2f91c3ab0f3e6b54\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1060\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>机构看涨价差roll 仓到下周，平仓本周184call-191call组合，开仓sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20177.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL$</a> +buy call182.5组合 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20182.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>也就是说，当前价格很适合sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20185.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>老黄昨天发布声明称尚未对OpenAI进行任何投资。这个时候出现这种极力撇清关系的声明也是一种信号。</p><p>股价预期不太乐观，看跌期权开仓显示未来几周股价会去160走一遭。对于160这个价格看跌和抄底的都有，所以下周或下下周跌到160可以考虑sell put做空波动率或者抄底。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d542fb1d7dab40e5444b8374195768d7\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1120\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>坏消息看涨大单跑路平仓了 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020260220%20600.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL$</a> ；好消息是大单好像是有内幕的韭菜，今天又开新仓买入了： <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020260220%20645.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL$</a>  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a>  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a> </p><p>目前来看特斯拉近期应该都会维持在450以上，不过波动比较大，可以善用sell put追涨 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251226%20450.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e11e20106f651d663b65001d76f28cf0\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1090\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>目前来看这一轮反弹至少回到690之下，似乎正好过完圣诞，圣诞行情看起来不会迟到。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c522c48381f280675dde751e4429bf6\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1124\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"谷歌A\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$</a> </p><p>谷歌破位空头追加看跌到260以及210的看跌大单：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260123%20260.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT$</a> </p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260130%20260.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT$</a> </p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260515%20210.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>如果OpenAI真的因为融不到资破产，把谷歌股价拉下水，反倒是极佳的抄底机会，谷歌就会成为真正的AI第一股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c21829aaa9edadbb43f10b8bb8e774\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"836\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"BABA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"阿里巴巴\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> </p><p>阿里出现看跌价差，做空股价到140以下，125以上：</p><p>buy put<a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020260320%20140.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>sell put <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020260320%20125.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cdfb5a5efb009a854d7286c9b91856e\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"806\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>long call进场买入，开仓量惊人，100call<a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020260320%20100.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL$</a> 开仓买入5万手，85call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020260130%2085.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL$</a> 开仓买入1万手，总计约2250万美元。</p><p>但考虑到严重的债务问题，建议谨慎关注。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/841127fc1a5589473884a8c6067d48d5\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"1597\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dfacfd769ca8c28d54a31012d9880ed\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"1612\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"AMZN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"亚马逊\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> </p><p>价差大单买入看涨明年股价上涨至260～310区间：</p><p>买入 <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020260821%20260.0%20CALL\">$AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020260821%20310.0%20CALL\">$AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/643a129d05b98ee7916ea3da90414c31\" tg-width=\"2614\" tg-height=\"164\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"FXI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国大盘股ETF-iShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> </p><p>预计中概回调，大单采用了免费做空策略sell call+buy put：</p><p>sell call42 <a data-mention-id=\"FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"FXI\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020260417%2042.0%20CALL\">$FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>buy put34 <a data-mention-id=\"FXI 20260417 34.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"FXI\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020260417%2034.0%20PUT\">$FXI 20260417 34.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bacbef9e295d0a2c497401140451c6b1\" tg-width=\"2624\" tg-height=\"162\"></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p><a data-mention-id=\"MU\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"美光科技\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">$美光科技(MU)$</a> </p><p>美光财报虽然很好，资本支出控制也得当，但还是回到最根本的问题，资本依然认为AI变现赶不上烧钱的速度，并且开始退出无营收项目，遏制了市场过热情绪。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"OWL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Blue Owl Capital Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OWL\">$Blue Owl Capital Inc.(OWL)$</a> 不再支持甲骨文 <a data-mention-id=\"ORCL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"甲骨文\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> 项目融资的影响非常大。100亿的项目说跑就跑，肯定是投资方看到了什么东西。</p><p>加之上周 <a data-mention-id=\"FRMI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Fermi Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRMI\">$Fermi Inc.(FRMI)$</a> 大客户跑路，股价腰斩，再怎么不敏感，也应该察觉到有些事情已经不对了。</p><p>所以美光虽然声称未来业绩继续由AI驱动，这个驱动力是加速扩大，还是停滞收缩，我们就猜不到了。</p><p>但美光26年产能已经全部锁定，未来营收有保障，所以作为纯收钱且具有稀缺性的一方，估值也不高，是AI板块里下跌缓冲垫最厚的公司之一。AI产业链全体回调情况下，200美元是一个值得关注的价格。</p><p>财报大单方面，出现了比较罕见的事件，大单买入价内call获得盈利，12月26日到期和1月16日到期200call <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20251226 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020251226%20200.0%20CALL\">$MU 20251226 200.0 CALL$</a>  <a data-mention-id=\"MU 20260116 200.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MU\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MU%2020260116%20200.0%20CALL\">$MU 20260116 200.0 CALL$</a> ，分别开仓买入1万手和7383万手看涨。大单认为财报后股价在230～240左右。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01e06edc4674cccb2f91c3ab0f3e6b54\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1060\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>机构看涨价差roll 仓到下周，平仓本周184call-191call组合，开仓sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20177.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL$</a> +buy call182.5组合 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20182.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>也就是说，当前价格很适合sell call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020251226%20185.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>老黄昨天发布声明称尚未对OpenAI进行任何投资。这个时候出现这种极力撇清关系的声明也是一种信号。</p><p>股价预期不太乐观，看跌期权开仓显示未来几周股价会去160走一遭。对于160这个价格看跌和抄底的都有，所以下周或下下周跌到160可以考虑sell put做空波动率或者抄底。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d542fb1d7dab40e5444b8374195768d7\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"1120\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>坏消息看涨大单跑路平仓了 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020260220%20600.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL$</a> ；好消息是大单好像是有内幕的韭菜，今天又开新仓买入了： <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020260220%20645.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL$</a>  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a>  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL\">$TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL$&nbsp;</a> </p><p>目前来看特斯拉近期应该都会维持在450以上，不过波动比较大，可以善用sell put追涨 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020251226%20450.0%20PUT\">$TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e11e20106f651d663b65001d76f28cf0\" tg-width=\"1038\" tg-height=\"1090\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"SPY\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"标普500ETF\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> </p><p>目前来看这一轮反弹至少回到690之下，似乎正好过完圣诞，圣诞行情看起来不会迟到。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c522c48381f280675dde751e4429bf6\" tg-width=\"1044\" tg-height=\"1124\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"谷歌A\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$谷歌A(GOOGL)$</a> </p><p>谷歌破位空头追加看跌到260以及210的看跌大单：</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260123%20260.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT$</a> </p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260130%20260.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT$</a> </p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"GOOGL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/GOOGL%2020260515%20210.0%20PUT\">$GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>如果OpenAI真的因为融不到资破产，把谷歌股价拉下水，反倒是极佳的抄底机会，谷歌就会成为真正的AI第一股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65c21829aaa9edadbb43f10b8bb8e774\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"836\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"BABA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"阿里巴巴\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> </p><p>阿里出现看跌价差，做空股价到140以下，125以上：</p><p>buy put<a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020260320%20140.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>sell put <a data-mention-id=\"BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"BABA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BABA%2020260320%20125.0%20PUT\">$BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cdfb5a5efb009a854d7286c9b91856e\" tg-width=\"1042\" tg-height=\"806\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"CRWV\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CoreWeave, Inc.\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> </p><p>long call进场买入，开仓量惊人，100call<a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020260320%20100.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL$</a> 开仓买入5万手，85call <a data-mention-id=\"CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"CRWV\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CRWV%2020260130%2085.0%20CALL\">$CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL$</a> 开仓买入1万手，总计约2250万美元。</p><p>但考虑到严重的债务问题，建议谨慎关注。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/841127fc1a5589473884a8c6067d48d5\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"1597\"></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8dfacfd769ca8c28d54a31012d9880ed\" tg-width=\"1206\" tg-height=\"1612\"></p><p><a data-mention-id=\"AMZN\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"亚马逊\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> </p><p>价差大单买入看涨明年股价上涨至260～310区间：</p><p>买入 <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020260821%20260.0%20CALL\">$AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AMZN\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMZN%2020260821%20310.0%20CALL\">$AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/643a129d05b98ee7916ea3da90414c31\" tg-width=\"2614\" tg-height=\"164\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"FXI\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"中国大盘股ETF-iShares\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> </p><p>预计中概回调，大单采用了免费做空策略sell call+buy put：</p><p>sell call42 <a data-mention-id=\"FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"FXI\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020260417%2042.0%20CALL\">$FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>buy put34 <a data-mention-id=\"FXI 20260417 34.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"FXI\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020260417%2034.0%20PUT\">$FXI 20260417 34.0 PUT$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bacbef9e295d0a2c497401140451c6b1\" tg-width=\"2624\" tg-height=\"162\"></p></body></html>","text":"$美光科技(MU)$ 美光财报虽然很好，资本支出控制也得当，但还是回到最根本的问题，资本依然认为AI变现赶不上烧钱的速度，并且开始退出无营收项目，遏制了市场过热情绪。 $Blue Owl Capital Inc.(OWL)$ 不再支持甲骨文 $甲骨文(ORCL)$ 项目融资的影响非常大。100亿的项目说跑就跑，肯定是投资方看到了什么东西。 加之上周 $Fermi Inc.(FRMI)$ 大客户跑路，股价腰斩，再怎么不敏感，也应该察觉到有些事情已经不对了。 所以美光虽然声称未来业绩继续由AI驱动，这个驱动力是加速扩大，还是停滞收缩，我们就猜不到了。 但美光26年产能已经全部锁定，未来营收有保障，所以作为纯收钱且具有稀缺性的一方，估值也不高，是AI板块里下跌缓冲垫最厚的公司之一。AI产业链全体回调情况下，200美元是一个值得关注的价格。 财报大单方面，出现了比较罕见的事件，大单买入价内call获得盈利，12月26日到期和1月16日到期200call $MU 20251226 200.0 CALL$ $MU 20260116 200.0 CALL$ ，分别开仓买入1万手和7383万手看涨。大单认为财报后股价在230～240左右。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 机构看涨价差roll 仓到下周，平仓本周184call-191call组合，开仓sell call $NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL$ +buy call182.5组合 $NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL$ 。 也就是说，当前价格很适合sell call $NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL$ 老黄昨天发布声明称尚未对OpenAI进行任何投资。这个时候出现这种极力撇清关系的声明也是一种信号。 股价预期不太乐观，看跌期权开仓显示未来几周股价会去160走一遭。对于160这个价格看跌和抄底的都有，所以下周或下下周跌到160可以考虑sell put做空波动率或者抄底。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ 坏消息看涨大单跑路平仓了 $TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL$ ；好消息是大单好像是有内幕的韭菜，今天又开新仓买入了： $TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL$ $TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL$ $TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL$ 目前来看特斯拉近期应该都会维持在450以上，不过波动比较大，可以善用sell put追涨 $TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT$ $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 目前来看这一轮反弹至少回到690之下，似乎正好过完圣诞，圣诞行情看起来不会迟到。 $谷歌A(GOOGL)$ 谷歌破位空头追加看跌到260以及210的看跌大单： $GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT$ $GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT$ $GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT$ 如果OpenAI真的因为融不到资破产，把谷歌股价拉下水，反倒是极佳的抄底机会，谷歌就会成为真正的AI第一股。 $阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 阿里出现看跌价差，做空股价到140以下，125以上： buy put$BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT$ sell put $BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT$ $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ long call进场买入，开仓量惊人，100call$CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL$ 开仓买入5万手，85call $CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL$ 开仓买入1万手，总计约2250万美元。 但考虑到严重的债务问题，建议谨慎关注。 $亚马逊(AMZN)$ 价差大单买入看涨明年股价上涨至260～310区间： 买入 $AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL$ 卖出 $AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL$ $中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$ 预计中概回调，大单采用了免费做空策略sell call+buy put： sell call42 $FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL$ buy put34 $FXI 20260417 34.0 PUT$","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/512257818833000","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","OWL","BABA","MU","ORCL","FXI","AMZN","GOOGL","FRMI","CRWV","TSLA","SPY","TSLA 20260220 600.0 CALL","GOOGL 20260130 260.0 PUT","TSLA 20251226 450.0 PUT","NVDA 20251226 185.0 CALL","GOOGL 20260515 210.0 PUT","FXI 20260417 34.0 PUT","AMZN 20260821 260.0 CALL","CRWV 20260130 85.0 CALL","NVDA 20251226 177.5 CALL","TSLA 20260220 655.0 CALL","GOOGL 20260123 260.0 PUT","NVDA 20251226 182.5 CALL","MU 20251226 200.0 CALL","TSLA 20260220 650.0 CALL","AMZN 20260821 310.0 CALL","CRWV 20260320 100.0 CALL","MU 20260116 200.0 CALL","BABA 20260320 140.0 PUT","FXI 20260417 42.0 CALL","TSLA 20260220 645.0 CALL","BABA 20260320 125.0 PUT","09988"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2394,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":27,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/512421749625784"}