Heng8818
2022-01-20
Love apple
Apple Stock: How To Trade It Before And After Earnings<blockquote>苹果股票：如何在盈利前后进行交易</blockquote>
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Here is how Apple stock tends to perform around earnings day, and what","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Buy the rumor, sell the news? Here is how Apple stock tends to perform around earnings day, and what potential investors should think about before pushing the “buy” button.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>买谣言，卖消息？以下是苹果股票在财报日前后的表现，以及潜在投资者在按下“买入”按钮之前应该考虑的事项。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Apple will report its fiscal Q1 results on Thursday, January 27. The Apple Maven has already started to preview the event, and we will cover the results and earnings call in real time.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于1月27日星期四公布第一季度财报。苹果专家已经开始预览活动，我们将实时报道结果和收益看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p>Today, I turn the focus to Apple stock’s performance around the company’s earnings day. Is now a good time to buy shares ahead of the results? How does the stock tend to perform before and after earnings?</p><p><blockquote>今天，我将焦点转向苹果股票在公司财报日前后的表现。现在是在业绩公布之前购买股票的好时机吗？该股票在盈利前后的表现如何？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park, in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Buy AAPL on earnings day</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在财报日买入AAPL</b></blockquote></p><p>Have you heard the phrase “buy the rumor, sell the news”? It turns out that, historically, Apple stock has <i>not</i> traded in line with the mantra during earnings seasons.</p><p><blockquote>你听说过“买谣言，卖新闻”这句话吗？事实证明，从历史上看，苹果股票<i>不</i>在财报季期间按照口号进行交易。</blockquote></p><p>A few months ago, I ran an analysis on AAPL’s performance before and after earnings day. A bit of a surprise to me, the stock tends to <i>underperform</i> its own two-week average ahead of the earnings release; but then the price tends to <i>spike</i> shortly after the results are published.</p><p><blockquote>几个月前，我对AAPL在财报日前后的表现进行了分析。令我有点惊讶的是，该股往往<i>表现不佳</i>财报发布前的两周平均值；但价格往往<i>尖峰</i>结果公布后不久。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dbcbd828ea8b0f101472179795433cf\" tg-width=\"892\" tg-height=\"514\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 2: Median 2-week returns, Earnings vs. non-earnings.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：两周回报率中位数，盈利与非盈利。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Since publishing the chart above for the first time, Apple released earnings twice: in fiscal Q3 and Q4 of last year.</p><p><blockquote>自首次发布上图以来，苹果已两次发布财报：去年第三财季和第四财季。</blockquote></p><p>After July 27, AAPL stock moved generally sideways for two weeks, but eventually started to climb through early September. After October 28, something similar happened: sideways through early November, then viciously higher in the following four weeks.</p><p><blockquote>7月27日之后，AAPL股价普遍横盘整理了两周，但最终在9月初开始攀升。10月28日之后，类似的事情发生了：11月初横盘整理，然后在接下来的四周内恶性走高。</blockquote></p><p>The narrative that seems to fit the observations is the following: traders and investors position themselves ahead of earnings. When the results come out, bulls and bears engage in a tug of war to determine if the results and outlook seem good enough. Eventually, after digesting the numbers and commentary, the market settles largely with the bulls.</p><p><blockquote>似乎符合观察结果的叙述如下：交易者和投资者将自己定位在收益之前。当结果出来时，多头和空头进行拉锯战，以确定结果和前景是否足够好。最终，在消化了数据和评论后，市场基本上与多头和解。</blockquote></p><p><b>Consider seasonality</b></p><p><blockquote><b>考虑季节性</b></blockquote></p><p>Looking not much more than a couple of months past fiscal Q1 earnings day may further encourage investors to buy AAPL soon. The chart below shows that, from a seasonality perspective, December and January tend to be the worst months to own AAPL.</p><p><blockquote>距离第一季度财报日仅几个月，可能会进一步鼓励投资者尽快购买苹果公司。下图显示，从季节性角度来看，12月和1月往往是持有AAPL最糟糕的月份。</blockquote></p><p>While AAPL managed to climb through the end of December 2021, January has, in fact, been a challenging month for the stock so far.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AAPL在2021年12月底成功攀升，但事实上，1月份对该股来说是充满挑战的一个月。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/815dafc7decf67564014bbbd36f5cf1a\" tg-width=\"1238\" tg-height=\"292\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 3: Average monthly returns vs. S&P 500 (seasonality).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图3：平均月回报率与标普500（季节性）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>The better news is that February tends to mark a long, four-month period of outperformance over the S&P 500. This is probably the case because investors finally leave behind concerns over the performance of the new iPhone in the holiday quarter and start to think longer term.</p><p><blockquote>更好的消息是，二月份往往标志着长达四个月的表现优于标普500。这可能是因为投资者终于抛开了对新款iPhone在假日季度表现的担忧，开始考虑更长远的问题。</blockquote></p><p><b>Don’t forget fundamentals and value</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不要忘记基本面和价值</b></blockquote></p><p>Of course, earnings trends and seasonality are only two factors to consider when deciding whether to buy Apple stock. More important is to assess Apple’s business fundamentals, and how much an investor might be willing to pay for them.</p><p><blockquote>当然，盈利趋势和季节性只是决定是否购买苹果股票时需要考虑的两个因素。更重要的是评估苹果的商业基本面，以及投资者可能愿意为此支付多少费用。</blockquote></p><p>I believe that the Cupertno company continues to be one of the best (if not <i>the</i> best) consumer product and service companies in the world. My concern until recently was whether valuations were a bit too rich, following the dizzying Q4 rally.</p><p><blockquote>我相信Cupertno公司仍然是最好的公司之一（如果不是<i>the</i>世界上最好的）消费品和服务公司。直到最近，我还担心，在第四季度令人眼花缭乱的反弹之后，估值是否有点过高。</blockquote></p><p>Here, I am slightly encouraged by the fact that AAPL price has dipped 8% from the January 3 peak. While $167 per share still does not sound like a once-in-a-lifetime bargain, the figure is easier on the eyes of a buyer than $180-plus.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，AAPL价格较1月3日的峰值下跌了8%，这一事实让我略感鼓舞。虽然每股167美元听起来仍然不像是一生一次的便宜货，但对于买家来说，这个数字比180美元以上更容易。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock: How To Trade It Before And After Earnings<blockquote>苹果股票：如何在盈利前后进行交易</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock: How To Trade It Before And After Earnings<blockquote>苹果股票：如何在盈利前后进行交易</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-20 22:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Buy the rumor, sell the news? Here is how Apple stock tends to perform around earnings day, and what potential investors should think about before pushing the “buy” button.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>买谣言，卖消息？以下是苹果股票在财报日前后的表现，以及潜在投资者在按下“买入”按钮之前应该考虑的事项。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Apple will report its fiscal Q1 results on Thursday, January 27. The Apple Maven has already started to preview the event, and we will cover the results and earnings call in real time.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于1月27日星期四公布第一季度财报。苹果专家已经开始预览活动，我们将实时报道结果和收益看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p>Today, I turn the focus to Apple stock’s performance around the company’s earnings day. Is now a good time to buy shares ahead of the results? How does the stock tend to perform before and after earnings?</p><p><blockquote>今天，我将焦点转向苹果股票在公司财报日前后的表现。现在是在业绩公布之前购买股票的好时机吗？该股票在盈利前后的表现如何？</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f77cd919bf55f9c7b79f631b0255910\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"697\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 1: Apple Park, in Cupertino, CA.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的苹果公园。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Buy AAPL on earnings day</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在财报日买入AAPL</b></blockquote></p><p>Have you heard the phrase “buy the rumor, sell the news”? It turns out that, historically, Apple stock has <i>not</i> traded in line with the mantra during earnings seasons.</p><p><blockquote>你听说过“买谣言，卖新闻”这句话吗？事实证明，从历史上看，苹果股票<i>不</i>在财报季期间按照口号进行交易。</blockquote></p><p>A few months ago, I ran an analysis on AAPL’s performance before and after earnings day. A bit of a surprise to me, the stock tends to <i>underperform</i> its own two-week average ahead of the earnings release; but then the price tends to <i>spike</i> shortly after the results are published.</p><p><blockquote>几个月前，我对AAPL在财报日前后的表现进行了分析。令我有点惊讶的是，该股往往<i>表现不佳</i>财报发布前的两周平均值；但价格往往<i>尖峰</i>结果公布后不久。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4dbcbd828ea8b0f101472179795433cf\" tg-width=\"892\" tg-height=\"514\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 2: Median 2-week returns, Earnings vs. non-earnings.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图2：两周回报率中位数，盈利与非盈利。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Since publishing the chart above for the first time, Apple released earnings twice: in fiscal Q3 and Q4 of last year.</p><p><blockquote>自首次发布上图以来，苹果已两次发布财报：去年第三财季和第四财季。</blockquote></p><p>After July 27, AAPL stock moved generally sideways for two weeks, but eventually started to climb through early September. After October 28, something similar happened: sideways through early November, then viciously higher in the following four weeks.</p><p><blockquote>7月27日之后，AAPL股价普遍横盘整理了两周，但最终在9月初开始攀升。10月28日之后，类似的事情发生了：11月初横盘整理，然后在接下来的四周内恶性走高。</blockquote></p><p>The narrative that seems to fit the observations is the following: traders and investors position themselves ahead of earnings. When the results come out, bulls and bears engage in a tug of war to determine if the results and outlook seem good enough. Eventually, after digesting the numbers and commentary, the market settles largely with the bulls.</p><p><blockquote>似乎符合观察结果的叙述如下：交易者和投资者将自己定位在收益之前。当结果出来时，多头和空头进行拉锯战，以确定结果和前景是否足够好。最终，在消化了数据和评论后，市场基本上与多头和解。</blockquote></p><p><b>Consider seasonality</b></p><p><blockquote><b>考虑季节性</b></blockquote></p><p>Looking not much more than a couple of months past fiscal Q1 earnings day may further encourage investors to buy AAPL soon. The chart below shows that, from a seasonality perspective, December and January tend to be the worst months to own AAPL.</p><p><blockquote>距离第一季度财报日仅几个月，可能会进一步鼓励投资者尽快购买苹果公司。下图显示，从季节性角度来看，12月和1月往往是持有AAPL最糟糕的月份。</blockquote></p><p>While AAPL managed to climb through the end of December 2021, January has, in fact, been a challenging month for the stock so far.</p><p><blockquote>虽然AAPL在2021年12月底成功攀升，但事实上，1月份对该股来说是充满挑战的一个月。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/815dafc7decf67564014bbbd36f5cf1a\" tg-width=\"1238\" tg-height=\"292\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Figure 3: Average monthly returns vs. S&P 500 (seasonality).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图3：平均月回报率与标普500（季节性）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>The better news is that February tends to mark a long, four-month period of outperformance over the S&P 500. This is probably the case because investors finally leave behind concerns over the performance of the new iPhone in the holiday quarter and start to think longer term.</p><p><blockquote>更好的消息是，二月份往往标志着长达四个月的表现优于标普500。这可能是因为投资者终于抛开了对新款iPhone在假日季度表现的担忧，开始考虑更长远的问题。</blockquote></p><p><b>Don’t forget fundamentals and value</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不要忘记基本面和价值</b></blockquote></p><p>Of course, earnings trends and seasonality are only two factors to consider when deciding whether to buy Apple stock. More important is to assess Apple’s business fundamentals, and how much an investor might be willing to pay for them.</p><p><blockquote>当然，盈利趋势和季节性只是决定是否购买苹果股票时需要考虑的两个因素。更重要的是评估苹果的商业基本面，以及投资者可能愿意为此支付多少费用。</blockquote></p><p>I believe that the Cupertno company continues to be one of the best (if not <i>the</i> best) consumer product and service companies in the world. My concern until recently was whether valuations were a bit too rich, following the dizzying Q4 rally.</p><p><blockquote>我相信Cupertno公司仍然是最好的公司之一（如果不是<i>the</i>世界上最好的）消费品和服务公司。直到最近，我还担心，在第四季度令人眼花缭乱的反弹之后，估值是否有点过高。</blockquote></p><p>Here, I am slightly encouraged by the fact that AAPL price has dipped 8% from the January 3 peak. While $167 per share still does not sound like a once-in-a-lifetime bargain, the figure is easier on the eyes of a buyer than $180-plus.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，AAPL价格较1月3日的峰值下跌了8%，这一事实让我略感鼓舞。虽然每股167美元听起来仍然不像是一生一次的便宜货，但对于买家来说，这个数字比180美元以上更容易。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-how-to-trade-it-before-and-after-earnings\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-how-to-trade-it-before-and-after-earnings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126677206","content_text":"Buy the rumor, sell the news? Here is how Apple stock tends to perform around earnings day, and what potential investors should think about before pushing the “buy” button.Apple will report its fiscal Q1 results on Thursday, January 27. The Apple Maven has already started to preview the event, and we will cover the results and earnings call in real time.Today, I turn the focus to Apple stock’s performance around the company’s earnings day. Is now a good time to buy shares ahead of the results? How does the stock tend to perform before and after earnings?Figure 1: Apple Park, in Cupertino, CA.Buy AAPL on earnings dayHave you heard the phrase “buy the rumor, sell the news”? It turns out that, historically, Apple stock has not traded in line with the mantra during earnings seasons.A few months ago, I ran an analysis on AAPL’s performance before and after earnings day. A bit of a surprise to me, the stock tends to underperform its own two-week average ahead of the earnings release; but then the price tends to spike shortly after the results are published.Figure 2: Median 2-week returns, Earnings vs. non-earnings.Since publishing the chart above for the first time, Apple released earnings twice: in fiscal Q3 and Q4 of last year.After July 27, AAPL stock moved generally sideways for two weeks, but eventually started to climb through early September. After October 28, something similar happened: sideways through early November, then viciously higher in the following four weeks.The narrative that seems to fit the observations is the following: traders and investors position themselves ahead of earnings. When the results come out, bulls and bears engage in a tug of war to determine if the results and outlook seem good enough. Eventually, after digesting the numbers and commentary, the market settles largely with the bulls.Consider seasonalityLooking not much more than a couple of months past fiscal Q1 earnings day may further encourage investors to buy AAPL soon. The chart below shows that, from a seasonality perspective, December and January tend to be the worst months to own AAPL.While AAPL managed to climb through the end of December 2021, January has, in fact, been a challenging month for the stock so far.Figure 3: Average monthly returns vs. S&P 500 (seasonality).The better news is that February tends to mark a long, four-month period of outperformance over the S&P 500. This is probably the case because investors finally leave behind concerns over the performance of the new iPhone in the holiday quarter and start to think longer term.Don’t forget fundamentals and valueOf course, earnings trends and seasonality are only two factors to consider when deciding whether to buy Apple stock. More important is to assess Apple’s business fundamentals, and how much an investor might be willing to pay for them.I believe that the Cupertno company continues to be one of the best (if not the best) consumer product and service companies in the world. My concern until recently was whether valuations were a bit too rich, following the dizzying Q4 rally.Here, I am slightly encouraged by the fact that AAPL price has dipped 8% from the January 3 peak. While $167 per share still does not sound like a once-in-a-lifetime bargain, the figure is easier on the eyes of a buyer than $180-plus.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2083,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":9,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/630312882"}
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