慧_4909
2022-10-10
期权做空你比较推荐put价差策略，能避免持股时产生的时间损耗。举例是买实值put. 卖虚值put吧？！换call的话可否怎么玩？！请教大师！
@期权小班长：
VIX飙升至150是一种怎样的体验？
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
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幸运无畏虎
2022-10-10
幸运无畏虎
披荆斩棘，活成自己想要的样子。
彩衫
2022-10-10
彩衫
[鬼脸]
勇勇勇
2022-10-10
勇勇勇
[得意]
長乐
2022-10-10
長乐
😊
RoyYep
2022-10-10
RoyYep
[微笑]
嗜血天隼
2022-10-10
嗜血天隼
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期权做空你比较推荐put价差策略，能避免持股时产生的时间损耗。举例是买实值put. 卖虚值put吧？！换call的话可否怎么玩？！请教大师！</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>\n 期权做空你比较推荐put价差策略，能避免持股时产生的时间损耗。举例是买实值put. 卖虚值put吧？！换call的话可否怎么玩？！请教大师！</body></html>","text":"期权做空你比较推荐put价差策略，能避免持股时产生的时间损耗。举例是买实值put. 卖虚值put吧？！换call的话可否怎么玩？！请教大师！","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666339923","repostId":666099970,"repostType":1,"repost":{"magic":2,"id":666099970,"tweetId":"666099970","gmtCreate":1665229261590,"gmtModify":1665388837691,"author":{"id":3527667590215376,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorId":3527667590215376,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","vip":2,"userType":2,"introduction":"最简单的期权策略实践者","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b-1","templateUuid":"99ab5418acee46419c22b9c7ac12257b","name":"月度最佳创作者","description":"每月精华帖数量及质量位于社区TOP3的创作者","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0cad6192443c33dca826a001250fbd4","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ccd98c646815ce7610b0df338e060cc","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.02","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[{"badgeId":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd-1","templateUuid":"3f8f4b8c193b4343a88817ce07587dbd","name":"星级创作者","description":"累计发表精华帖>=3（或有料帖>=10），且30天内发表过至少一篇精华帖（或4篇有料帖）并参与过评论","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1866dcf97a73be1c330f85862546aedc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5c5fa8e2c7683bb5a7fce8753ee456","redirectLinkEnabled":1,"redirectLink":"https://www.laohu8.com/activity/market/2023/star-contributors/","hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.05.09","individualDisplayEnabled":1,"backgroundColor":{"dark":"#675a37","tint":"#f9ebc2"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#ffffff","tint":"#ab7a0e"}}],"fanSize":34376,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[{"themeId":"bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c","categoryId":"20b8d1944bae4805b371322c2ab986d4","name":"期权Q&A：期权知识，你问我答","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":bc6e8e4b405b43429905237d8c15ff4c}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020230322%20150.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20230322 150.0 CALL$</a><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/692e6048cd0096a6c41c612a99bf2114\" tg-width=\"1036\" tg-height=\"1888\">周四收盘前有人以95万美元买入了5万份VIX看涨期权，行权价格是150，到期日是2023年3月22日<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020230322%20150.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20230322 150.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>众所周知，VIX最高涨到过89，分别是2008年10月以及2020年3月。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4d57548c19614103665bc688cda23b4\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1699\">而这两年的走势图如下，2020年3月最低大跌26%，2008年10月最大跌幅是27.9%：<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48c42224b97d477254895d03f137009a\" tg-width=\"932\" tg-height=\"1315\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d6bd2bb944d72313fa954e3717ad74f\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1683\">所以VIX价格达到150，市场会跌成什么样我不敢想象。。。</p><p>一个比较有意思的问题，假如vix有涨到150的可能性，那么为什么不去买其他极端的大盘put或者个股put呢？比如特斯拉行权价为50的put。</p><p>买过期权的朋友都知道极其价外期权因为delta极小，所以基本不怎么随价格波动，这也是我们之前做sell put的基础。</p><p>但是你会发现周五VIX仅仅涨2.75%，价格达到31.36，这张期权的价格涨了28%，受益于高iv放大了波动性。</p><p>这是将杠杆放大到极致的选择。</p><h4>下面谈谈就业数据和财报问题</h4><p>9月非农就业人数增加263,000人，8月增加315,000人。失业率出人意料地降至3.5%，与50年来的最低水平持平。</p><p>一句话总结就是就业市场依然很强劲，就业人数超预期但逐月减少，可失业率降到最低。不失业就说明大家和公司都有钱，有钱就会继续消费，然后通胀就会继续。</p><p>数据公布后各联储主席纷纷发表鹰派言论，更进一步刺激了大盘下行。纽约联邦储备银行行长威廉姆斯说，利率需要随着时间的推移升至4.5%左右，但紧缩行动的速度和最终峰值将取决于经济表现。</p><p>数据显示，3月份的最终利率会更高，达到4.65%，而对2023年11月会议的预期，周一降至4.22%，周五跃升至4.49%。</p><p>财报方面，从9月16日起就再没有利好消息：</p><ul> \n <li>联邦快递提前披露财报大跌21%</li> \n <li>9月20日福特公司宣布通胀抬升成本，股价大跌12%，</li> \n <li>耐克在30号披露财报，库存大幅增加，股价跌12.8%。</li> \n <li>同日美光公布Q4销售额，比预期低近20亿美元。</li> \n <li>10月7日AMD公布Q3初步业绩，营收比预期下调10亿美元，同比增长下降近一半。</li> \n</ul><p>根据彭博资讯的数据，分析师预计第三季度每股收益将同比增长3.2%，低于6月份的逾10%。目前预计2023年企业收益将增长6.4%左右，低于今年年初的10%左右。</p><p>标准普尔500指数成份股公司的盈利增长预期已稳步下调，毕竟：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/668822868\" target=\"_blank\">除了高通胀高利率，还有库存过剩</a></p><p>如果从标准普尔500指数的收益收益率中减去不断飙升的通胀，那么实际的股票收益率就会为负，离低点不远。</p><h4>交易方向</h4><p>算上大桥事件，10月交易方向上基本已经定调了：做空。</p><p>做空方法很多，期权做空我比较推荐put价差策略，能避免持股时产生的时间损耗。</p><p></p><p>感谢虎友长期支持，没想到在老虎收获了这么多粉丝。我平时比较忙，有时候文章发的比较晚，思考还是做个集中交流的地方，对期权感兴趣也愿意分享的朋友欢迎+ discord：https://discord.gg/66mPAcKK</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>好像跟克里米亚大桥被炸一比，非农数据和财报也不太重要了。和可衡量风险相比，黑天鹅永远排名第一。</p><p>写下标题前大桥还没被毁，现在我对于标题产生了新的想法，该不会买了这张期权的人知道大桥要被炸吧？<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020230322%20150.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20230322 150.0 CALL$</a><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/692e6048cd0096a6c41c612a99bf2114\" tg-width=\"1036\" tg-height=\"1888\">周四收盘前有人以95万美元买入了5万份VIX看涨期权，行权价格是150，到期日是2023年3月22日<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/VIX%2020230322%20150.0%20CALL\">$VIX 20230322 150.0 CALL$</a> 。</p><p>众所周知，VIX最高涨到过89，分别是2008年10月以及2020年3月。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4d57548c19614103665bc688cda23b4\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1699\">而这两年的走势图如下，2020年3月最低大跌26%，2008年10月最大跌幅是27.9%：<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48c42224b97d477254895d03f137009a\" tg-width=\"932\" tg-height=\"1315\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d6bd2bb944d72313fa954e3717ad74f\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1683\">所以VIX价格达到150，市场会跌成什么样我不敢想象。。。</p><p>一个比较有意思的问题，假如vix有涨到150的可能性，那么为什么不去买其他极端的大盘put或者个股put呢？比如特斯拉行权价为50的put。</p><p>买过期权的朋友都知道极其价外期权因为delta极小，所以基本不怎么随价格波动，这也是我们之前做sell put的基础。</p><p>但是你会发现周五VIX仅仅涨2.75%，价格达到31.36，这张期权的价格涨了28%，受益于高iv放大了波动性。</p><p>这是将杠杆放大到极致的选择。</p><h4>下面谈谈就业数据和财报问题</h4><p>9月非农就业人数增加263,000人，8月增加315,000人。失业率出人意料地降至3.5%，与50年来的最低水平持平。</p><p>一句话总结就是就业市场依然很强劲，就业人数超预期但逐月减少，可失业率降到最低。不失业就说明大家和公司都有钱，有钱就会继续消费，然后通胀就会继续。</p><p>数据公布后各联储主席纷纷发表鹰派言论，更进一步刺激了大盘下行。纽约联邦储备银行行长威廉姆斯说，利率需要随着时间的推移升至4.5%左右，但紧缩行动的速度和最终峰值将取决于经济表现。</p><p>数据显示，3月份的最终利率会更高，达到4.65%，而对2023年11月会议的预期，周一降至4.22%，周五跃升至4.49%。</p><p>财报方面，从9月16日起就再没有利好消息：</p><ul> \n <li>联邦快递提前披露财报大跌21%</li> \n <li>9月20日福特公司宣布通胀抬升成本，股价大跌12%，</li> \n <li>耐克在30号披露财报，库存大幅增加，股价跌12.8%。</li> \n <li>同日美光公布Q4销售额，比预期低近20亿美元。</li> \n <li>10月7日AMD公布Q3初步业绩，营收比预期下调10亿美元，同比增长下降近一半。</li> \n</ul><p>根据彭博资讯的数据，分析师预计第三季度每股收益将同比增长3.2%，低于6月份的逾10%。目前预计2023年企业收益将增长6.4%左右，低于今年年初的10%左右。</p><p>标准普尔500指数成份股公司的盈利增长预期已稳步下调，毕竟：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/668822868\" target=\"_blank\">除了高通胀高利率，还有库存过剩</a></p><p>如果从标准普尔500指数的收益收益率中减去不断飙升的通胀，那么实际的股票收益率就会为负，离低点不远。</p><h4>交易方向</h4><p>算上大桥事件，10月交易方向上基本已经定调了：做空。</p><p>做空方法很多，期权做空我比较推荐put价差策略，能避免持股时产生的时间损耗。</p><p></p><p>感谢虎友长期支持，没想到在老虎收获了这么多粉丝。我平时比较忙，有时候文章发的比较晚，思考还是做个集中交流的地方，对期权感兴趣也愿意分享的朋友欢迎+ discord：https://discord.gg/66mPAcKK</p></body></html>","text":"好像跟克里米亚大桥被炸一比，非农数据和财报也不太重要了。和可衡量风险相比，黑天鹅永远排名第一。 写下标题前大桥还没被毁，现在我对于标题产生了新的想法，该不会买了这张期权的人知道大桥要被炸吧？$VIX 20230322 150.0 CALL$周四收盘前有人以95万美元买入了5万份VIX看涨期权，行权价格是150，到期日是2023年3月22日$VIX 20230322 150.0 CALL$ 。 众所周知，VIX最高涨到过89，分别是2008年10月以及2020年3月。而这两年的走势图如下，2020年3月最低大跌26%，2008年10月最大跌幅是27.9%：所以VIX价格达到150，市场会跌成什么样我不敢想象。。。 一个比较有意思的问题，假如vix有涨到150的可能性，那么为什么不去买其他极端的大盘put或者个股put呢？比如特斯拉行权价为50的put。 买过期权的朋友都知道极其价外期权因为delta极小，所以基本不怎么随价格波动，这也是我们之前做sell put的基础。 但是你会发现周五VIX仅仅涨2.75%，价格达到31.36，这张期权的价格涨了28%，受益于高iv放大了波动性。 这是将杠杆放大到极致的选择。 下面谈谈就业数据和财报问题 9月非农就业人数增加263,000人，8月增加315,000人。失业率出人意料地降至3.5%，与50年来的最低水平持平。 一句话总结就是就业市场依然很强劲，就业人数超预期但逐月减少，可失业率降到最低。不失业就说明大家和公司都有钱，有钱就会继续消费，然后通胀就会继续。 数据公布后各联储主席纷纷发表鹰派言论，更进一步刺激了大盘下行。纽约联邦储备银行行长威廉姆斯说，利率需要随着时间的推移升至4.5%左右，但紧缩行动的速度和最终峰值将取决于经济表现。 数据显示，3月份的最终利率会更高，达到4.65%，而对2023年11月会议的预期，周一降至4.22%，周五跃升至4.49%。 财报方面，从9月16日起就再没有利好消息： 联邦快递提前披露财报大跌21% 9月20日福特公司宣布通胀抬升成本，股价大跌12%， 耐克在30号披露财报，库存大幅增加，股价跌12.8%。 同日美光公布Q4销售额，比预期低近20亿美元。 10月7日AMD公布Q3初步业绩，营收比预期下调10亿美元，同比增长下降近一半。 根据彭博资讯的数据，分析师预计第三季度每股收益将同比增长3.2%，低于6月份的逾10%。目前预计2023年企业收益将增长6.4%左右，低于今年年初的10%左右。 标准普尔500指数成份股公司的盈利增长预期已稳步下调，毕竟：除了高通胀高利率，还有库存过剩 如果从标准普尔500指数的收益收益率中减去不断飙升的通胀，那么实际的股票收益率就会为负，离低点不远。 交易方向 算上大桥事件，10月交易方向上基本已经定调了：做空。 做空方法很多，期权做空我比较推荐put价差策略，能避免持股时产生的时间损耗。 感谢虎友长期支持，没想到在老虎收获了这么多粉丝。我平时比较忙，有时候文章发的比较晚，思考还是做个集中交流的地方，对期权感兴趣也愿意分享的朋友欢迎+ 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