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2021-12-16
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Fed heads for the exits despite Omicron. Who will follow?<blockquote>尽管有奥密克戎，美联储仍将退出。谁会跟随？</blockquote>
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Who will follow?<blockquote>尽管有奥密克戎，美联储仍将退出。谁会跟随？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143095001","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve didn't beat around the bush on Wednesday when it signaled that ","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve didn't beat around the bush on Wednesday when it signaled that raging inflation is its biggest risk and not the potential economic damage from the fast-spreading Omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-美联储周三没有拐弯抹角，暗示通胀加剧是其最大风险，而不是快速蔓延的奥密克戎变种造成的潜在经济损害。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed doubled the pace at which it will reduce its bond purchases, while new forecasts from policymakers signaled as many as three interest rate increases next year. Chair Jerome Powell then waxed enthusiastically about the strength of the U.S. job market.</p><p><blockquote>美联储将减少债券购买的速度提高了一倍，而政策制定者的新预测表明明年将加息多达三次。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔随后对美国就业市场的强劲表现充满热情。</blockquote></p><p> \"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell told a news conference. \"In my view, we are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在新闻发布会上表示：“经济不再需要越来越多的政策支持。”“在我看来，我们正在朝着最大限度就业的方向取得快速进展。”</blockquote></p><p> Whether any of the Fed's peers are ready to follow its lead, however, will become clear in the next 24 hours with a rapid-fire succession of meetings by the Bank of England, European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着英国央行、欧洲央行和日本央行连续召开会议，美联储是否准备好效仿美联储的做法将在未来24小时内变得明朗。</blockquote></p><p> Of the three, however, only the BoE is likely to take more than a baby step in trimming the monumental support provided to its economy through the pandemic. That could set the stage for a choppy 2022 with a Fed determined to end its asset purchases as fast as possible and kick off interest rates soon after, while others will be more hesitant to shift so decisively in that direction.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在这三个国家中，只有英国央行可能会在削减疫情为其经济提供的巨大支持方面迈出不止一小步。这可能会为动荡的2022年奠定基础，美联储决心尽快结束资产购买，并在不久后启动利率，而其他国家将更加犹豫是否要如此果断地朝这个方向转变。</blockquote></p><p> The BoE could become the first of the major central banks to raise interest rates at Thursday's policy meeting, but the United Kingdom is also where friction between Omicron and way-over-target inflation is playing out most vividly.</p><p><blockquote>英国央行可能成为第一个在周四的政策会议上加息的主要央行，但英国也是奥密克戎与远超目标通胀之间摩擦最明显的地方。</blockquote></p><p> UK daily coronavirus infections are now at their highest since the earliest days of the pandemic, forcing Prime Minister Boris Johnson this week to join with opposition lawmakers in imposing new restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>英国每日冠状病毒感染人数目前处于大流行初期以来的最高水平，迫使首相鲍里斯·约翰逊本周与反对派议员一起实施新的限制。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, shocking data on Wednesday showed consumer price inflation at a decade-high rate and bets in financial markets on a December rate hike jumped to 60% from about a third.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，周三令人震惊的数据显示，消费者价格通胀率达到十年来的最高水平，金融市场对12月加息的押注从约三分之一跃升至60%。</blockquote></p><p> \"There is now the real risk of inflation becoming entrenched – especially considering the signs of second-round effects in terms of rising wages, supported by a strong labour market – but this is balanced against the threat to the economic recovery from the new Omicron variant,\" said Ellie Henderson, an economist at bank Investec.</p><p><blockquote>“现在确实存在通胀根深蒂固的风险——特别是考虑到在强劲的劳动力市场的支持下，工资上涨出现了第二轮影响的迹象——但这与新奥密克戎对经济复苏的威胁是平衡的。”天达银行经济学家Ellie Henderson表示。</blockquote></p><p> Investors and economists are not expecting anything nearly as bold this week from either the ECB or BOJ.</p><p><blockquote>投资者和经济学家预计欧洲央行或日本央行本周不会做出如此大胆的举动。</blockquote></p><p> The ECB is expected to be among the last to tighten policy, and the current unusually vibrant debate is focused on whether to dial back an exceptionally generous stimulus scheme just a notch. The caution is easy to understand. The bank has undershot its inflation target for most of the past decade, so it would rather move too late than too early, fearing that a misguided policy tweak could unravel years of work.</p><p><blockquote>预计欧洲央行将是最后收紧政策的国家之一，当前异常激烈的辩论集中在是否将异常慷慨的刺激计划缩减一个档次。谨慎很容易理解。在过去十年的大部分时间里，央行都没有达到通胀目标，因此它宁愿行动太晚也不愿行动太早，担心错误的政策调整可能会毁掉多年的工作。</blockquote></p><p> The euro zone's recovery is also trailing others. The bloc is just getting back to its pre-pandemic size and the job market could take another two years to recover. Debt levels are also at record highs, particularly in the bloc's south, so any big retreat could widen the spread between German and Italian debt, raising questions about the sustainability of these debt levels.</p><p><blockquote>欧元区的复苏也落后于其他国家。欧盟刚刚恢复到大流行前的规模，就业市场可能还需要两年时间才能复苏。债务水平也处于历史高位，特别是在欧盟南部，因此任何大幅回落都可能扩大德国和意大利债务之间的利差，引发人们对这些债务水平可持续性的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Given that the risk of moving too quick appears to far outweigh the risk of moving too slow, the ECB is likely to take only the smallest step towards removing extraordinary stimulus this week and will signal copious support, including thorough record low rates, at least through next year.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于行动过快的风险似乎远远超过行动过慢的风险，欧洲央行本周可能只会在取消非常规刺激措施方面迈出最小的一步，并将发出大量支持信号，包括彻底的创纪录低利率，至少到明年。</blockquote></p><p> In Japan, the consumer-level inflation that is tearing through other parts of the globe remains largely absent. As such, only a marginal reduction in corporate asset purchases is under discussion at Friday's BOJ meeting.</p><p><blockquote>在日本，席卷全球其他地区的消费者层面的通胀基本上仍然不存在。因此，周五的日本央行会议仅讨论了小幅减少企业资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> Even if the others are not hard on the Fed's heels, Powell and the Fed appear to have set the agenda for a tumultuous 2022 as central bankers chart their ways to the exits, albeit at dramatically different paces.</p><p><blockquote>即使其他人没有紧随美联储之后，鲍威尔和美联储似乎已经为动荡的2022年制定了议程，各国央行行长们正在规划退出的道路，尽管步伐截然不同。</blockquote></p><p> \"You saw it in his congressional remarks that were more about tightening sooner than it was about worrying about the health of the global economy,\" said Vincent Reinhart, chief economist for Dreyfuss & Mellon. The Fed and other central banks are \"conveying a sense that they are heading for the exits. Modern central banking is much about managing expectations and they do not want to be seen as behind the curve.\"</p><p><blockquote>Dreyfuss&Mellon首席经济学家文森特·莱因哈特(Vincent Reinhart)表示：“你可以从他的国会讲话中看到，他更多的是关于尽快收紧政策，而不是担心全球经济的健康状况。”美联储和其他央行正在“传达一种他们正在走向退出的感觉。现代央行在很大程度上是管理预期，他们不希望被视为落后于形势。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed heads for the exits despite Omicron. Who will follow?<blockquote>尽管有奥密克戎，美联储仍将退出。谁会跟随？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed heads for the exits despite Omicron. Who will follow?<blockquote>尽管有奥密克戎，美联储仍将退出。谁会跟随？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 14:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve didn't beat around the bush on Wednesday when it signaled that raging inflation is its biggest risk and not the potential economic damage from the fast-spreading Omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-美联储周三没有拐弯抹角，暗示通胀加剧是其最大风险，而不是快速蔓延的奥密克戎变种造成的潜在经济损害。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed doubled the pace at which it will reduce its bond purchases, while new forecasts from policymakers signaled as many as three interest rate increases next year. Chair Jerome Powell then waxed enthusiastically about the strength of the U.S. job market.</p><p><blockquote>美联储将减少债券购买的速度提高了一倍，而政策制定者的新预测表明明年将加息多达三次。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔随后对美国就业市场的强劲表现充满热情。</blockquote></p><p> \"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell told a news conference. \"In my view, we are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在新闻发布会上表示：“经济不再需要越来越多的政策支持。”“在我看来，我们正在朝着最大限度就业的方向取得快速进展。”</blockquote></p><p> Whether any of the Fed's peers are ready to follow its lead, however, will become clear in the next 24 hours with a rapid-fire succession of meetings by the Bank of England, European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan.</p><p><blockquote>然而，随着英国央行、欧洲央行和日本央行连续召开会议，美联储是否准备好效仿美联储的做法将在未来24小时内变得明朗。</blockquote></p><p> Of the three, however, only the BoE is likely to take more than a baby step in trimming the monumental support provided to its economy through the pandemic. That could set the stage for a choppy 2022 with a Fed determined to end its asset purchases as fast as possible and kick off interest rates soon after, while others will be more hesitant to shift so decisively in that direction.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在这三个国家中，只有英国央行可能会在削减疫情为其经济提供的巨大支持方面迈出不止一小步。这可能会为动荡的2022年奠定基础，美联储决心尽快结束资产购买，并在不久后启动利率，而其他国家将更加犹豫是否要如此果断地朝这个方向转变。</blockquote></p><p> The BoE could become the first of the major central banks to raise interest rates at Thursday's policy meeting, but the United Kingdom is also where friction between Omicron and way-over-target inflation is playing out most vividly.</p><p><blockquote>英国央行可能成为第一个在周四的政策会议上加息的主要央行，但英国也是奥密克戎与远超目标通胀之间摩擦最明显的地方。</blockquote></p><p> UK daily coronavirus infections are now at their highest since the earliest days of the pandemic, forcing Prime Minister Boris Johnson this week to join with opposition lawmakers in imposing new restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>英国每日冠状病毒感染人数目前处于大流行初期以来的最高水平，迫使首相鲍里斯·约翰逊本周与反对派议员一起实施新的限制。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, shocking data on Wednesday showed consumer price inflation at a decade-high rate and bets in financial markets on a December rate hike jumped to 60% from about a third.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，周三令人震惊的数据显示，消费者价格通胀率达到十年来的最高水平，金融市场对12月加息的押注从约三分之一跃升至60%。</blockquote></p><p> \"There is now the real risk of inflation becoming entrenched – especially considering the signs of second-round effects in terms of rising wages, supported by a strong labour market – but this is balanced against the threat to the economic recovery from the new Omicron variant,\" said Ellie Henderson, an economist at bank Investec.</p><p><blockquote>“现在确实存在通胀根深蒂固的风险——特别是考虑到在强劲的劳动力市场的支持下，工资上涨出现了第二轮影响的迹象——但这与新奥密克戎对经济复苏的威胁是平衡的。”天达银行经济学家Ellie Henderson表示。</blockquote></p><p> Investors and economists are not expecting anything nearly as bold this week from either the ECB or BOJ.</p><p><blockquote>投资者和经济学家预计欧洲央行或日本央行本周不会做出如此大胆的举动。</blockquote></p><p> The ECB is expected to be among the last to tighten policy, and the current unusually vibrant debate is focused on whether to dial back an exceptionally generous stimulus scheme just a notch. The caution is easy to understand. The bank has undershot its inflation target for most of the past decade, so it would rather move too late than too early, fearing that a misguided policy tweak could unravel years of work.</p><p><blockquote>预计欧洲央行将是最后收紧政策的国家之一，当前异常激烈的辩论集中在是否将异常慷慨的刺激计划缩减一个档次。谨慎很容易理解。在过去十年的大部分时间里，央行都没有达到通胀目标，因此它宁愿行动太晚也不愿行动太早，担心错误的政策调整可能会毁掉多年的工作。</blockquote></p><p> The euro zone's recovery is also trailing others. The bloc is just getting back to its pre-pandemic size and the job market could take another two years to recover. Debt levels are also at record highs, particularly in the bloc's south, so any big retreat could widen the spread between German and Italian debt, raising questions about the sustainability of these debt levels.</p><p><blockquote>欧元区的复苏也落后于其他国家。欧盟刚刚恢复到大流行前的规模，就业市场可能还需要两年时间才能复苏。债务水平也处于历史高位，特别是在欧盟南部，因此任何大幅回落都可能扩大德国和意大利债务之间的利差，引发人们对这些债务水平可持续性的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Given that the risk of moving too quick appears to far outweigh the risk of moving too slow, the ECB is likely to take only the smallest step towards removing extraordinary stimulus this week and will signal copious support, including thorough record low rates, at least through next year.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于行动过快的风险似乎远远超过行动过慢的风险，欧洲央行本周可能只会在取消非常规刺激措施方面迈出最小的一步，并将发出大量支持信号，包括彻底的创纪录低利率，至少到明年。</blockquote></p><p> In Japan, the consumer-level inflation that is tearing through other parts of the globe remains largely absent. As such, only a marginal reduction in corporate asset purchases is under discussion at Friday's BOJ meeting.</p><p><blockquote>在日本，席卷全球其他地区的消费者层面的通胀基本上仍然不存在。因此，周五的日本央行会议仅讨论了小幅减少企业资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> Even if the others are not hard on the Fed's heels, Powell and the Fed appear to have set the agenda for a tumultuous 2022 as central bankers chart their ways to the exits, albeit at dramatically different paces.</p><p><blockquote>即使其他人没有紧随美联储之后，鲍威尔和美联储似乎已经为动荡的2022年制定了议程，各国央行行长们正在规划退出的道路，尽管步伐截然不同。</blockquote></p><p> \"You saw it in his congressional remarks that were more about tightening sooner than it was about worrying about the health of the global economy,\" said Vincent Reinhart, chief economist for Dreyfuss & Mellon. The Fed and other central banks are \"conveying a sense that they are heading for the exits. Modern central banking is much about managing expectations and they do not want to be seen as behind the curve.\"</p><p><blockquote>Dreyfuss&Mellon首席经济学家文森特·莱因哈特(Vincent Reinhart)表示：“你可以从他的国会讲话中看到，他更多的是关于尽快收紧政策，而不是担心全球经济的健康状况。”美联储和其他央行正在“传达一种他们正在走向退出的感觉。现代央行在很大程度上是管理预期，他们不希望被视为落后于形势。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-exits-despite-omicron-060632193.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-exits-despite-omicron-060632193.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143095001","content_text":"(Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve didn't beat around the bush on Wednesday when it signaled that raging inflation is its biggest risk and not the potential economic damage from the fast-spreading Omicron variant.\nThe Fed doubled the pace at which it will reduce its bond purchases, while new forecasts from policymakers signaled as many as three interest rate increases next year. Chair Jerome Powell then waxed enthusiastically about the strength of the U.S. job market.\n\"The economy no longer needs increasing amounts of policy support,\" Powell told a news conference. \"In my view, we are making rapid progress toward maximum employment.\"\nWhether any of the Fed's peers are ready to follow its lead, however, will become clear in the next 24 hours with a rapid-fire succession of meetings by the Bank of England, European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan.\nOf the three, however, only the BoE is likely to take more than a baby step in trimming the monumental support provided to its economy through the pandemic. That could set the stage for a choppy 2022 with a Fed determined to end its asset purchases as fast as possible and kick off interest rates soon after, while others will be more hesitant to shift so decisively in that direction.\nThe BoE could become the first of the major central banks to raise interest rates at Thursday's policy meeting, but the United Kingdom is also where friction between Omicron and way-over-target inflation is playing out most vividly.\nUK daily coronavirus infections are now at their highest since the earliest days of the pandemic, forcing Prime Minister Boris Johnson this week to join with opposition lawmakers in imposing new restrictions.\nOn the other hand, shocking data on Wednesday showed consumer price inflation at a decade-high rate and bets in financial markets on a December rate hike jumped to 60% from about a third.\n\"There is now the real risk of inflation becoming entrenched – especially considering the signs of second-round effects in terms of rising wages, supported by a strong labour market – but this is balanced against the threat to the economic recovery from the new Omicron variant,\" said Ellie Henderson, an economist at bank Investec.\nInvestors and economists are not expecting anything nearly as bold this week from either the ECB or BOJ.\nThe ECB is expected to be among the last to tighten policy, and the current unusually vibrant debate is focused on whether to dial back an exceptionally generous stimulus scheme just a notch. The caution is easy to understand. The bank has undershot its inflation target for most of the past decade, so it would rather move too late than too early, fearing that a misguided policy tweak could unravel years of work.\nThe euro zone's recovery is also trailing others. The bloc is just getting back to its pre-pandemic size and the job market could take another two years to recover. Debt levels are also at record highs, particularly in the bloc's south, so any big retreat could widen the spread between German and Italian debt, raising questions about the sustainability of these debt levels.\nGiven that the risk of moving too quick appears to far outweigh the risk of moving too slow, the ECB is likely to take only the smallest step towards removing extraordinary stimulus this week and will signal copious support, including thorough record low rates, at least through next year.\nIn Japan, the consumer-level inflation that is tearing through other parts of the globe remains largely absent. As such, only a marginal reduction in corporate asset purchases is under discussion at Friday's BOJ meeting.\nEven if the others are not hard on the Fed's heels, Powell and the Fed appear to have set the agenda for a tumultuous 2022 as central bankers chart their ways to the exits, albeit at dramatically different paces.\n\"You saw it in his congressional remarks that were more about tightening sooner than it was about worrying about the health of the global economy,\" said Vincent Reinhart, chief economist for Dreyfuss & Mellon. The Fed and other central banks are \"conveying a sense that they are heading for the exits. Modern central banking is much about managing expectations and they do not want to be seen as behind the curve.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2187,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/690321527"}
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