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2021-08-03
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast for the Week Ahead: Tech May Outperform the Dow Jones<blockquote>纳斯达克100指数未来一周预测：科技股可能跑赢道琼斯指数</blockquote>
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On the chart below is a ratio of the Nasdaq 100 versus the Dow Jones. When the line is rising, that means the former is outperforming the latter and vice versa. The ratio can be seen tending to inversely track the 10-year Treasury yield.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>纳斯达克100指数未来可能继续跑赢道琼斯期货</li><li>国债利率下降、德尔塔变异毒株、软NFP可能发挥关键作用</li><li>纳斯达克100指数着眼于看跌上升楔形，但请留意支撑</li></ul><h3><b>纳斯达克100指数未来会继续跑赢道琼斯期货吗？</b></h3>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">纳斯达克100</a>本周可能会受益于关键的基本面力量，为以科技股为主的指数跑赢道琼斯期货打开大门。下图是纳斯达克100指数与道琼斯指数的比率。当这条线上升时，这意味着前者的表现优于后者，反之亦然。可以看出，该比率倾向于反向跟踪10年期国债收益率。</blockquote></p><p> Declines in the latter have been occurring amid a combination of weakening global growth prospects and cooling concerns about sooner-than-anticipated Fed tapering. Rising Covid cases around the world amid t spread of the more contagious Delta variant have been forcing nations, such as Australia and recently China, to reintroduce lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>后者的下降是在全球增长前景疲软和对美联储早于预期缩减规模的担忧降温的共同作用下发生的。随着传染性更强的德尔塔变异毒株的传播，世界各地的新冠病例不断增加，迫使澳大利亚和最近的中国等国家重新实施封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Unsurprisingly, this has applied outsized pressure on cyclical stocks, which are over-represented in the Dow Jones. Tech shares have seen material outperformance compared to other sectors since last year’s Covid outbreak. With that in mind, investors may continue favoring the Nasdaq 100 in the short term as the Delta variant threatens the global economy.</p><p><blockquote>不出所料，这给道琼斯指数中代表性过高的周期性股票带来了巨大压力。自去年新冠疫情爆发以来，科技股的表现明显优于其他板块。考虑到这一点，由于Delta变体威胁到全球经济，投资者可能会在短期内继续青睐纳斯达克100指数。</blockquote></p><p> All eyes are turning to Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report, where a softer-than-anticipated outcome risks further denting confidence in economic recovery prospects. If that sends longer-term Treasury yields lower still, then the Nasdaq 100 could continue outperforming the Dow Jones in the following trading sessions.</p><p><blockquote>所有人的目光都转向周五的美国非农就业报告，该报告弱于预期的结果可能会进一步削弱人们对经济复苏前景的信心。如果这导致长期国债收益率进一步走低，那么纳斯达克100指数可能会在接下来的交易日继续跑赢道琼斯指数。</blockquote></p><p> There are a couple of risks that traders out to be mindful of however. It is possible that a materially weaker jobs report induces aggressive risk aversion in financial markets. In such a scenario, the Nasdaq 100 may be more vulnerable considering perceived lofty valuations in the tech sector. Meanwhile, the US Senate may pass a $550 billion infrastructure bill this week. That could revive bond yields, bring forward Fed tapering bets and skewing capital flows in favor of the Dow relative to the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>然而，交易者需要注意一些风险。就业报告大幅疲软可能会引发金融市场激进的避险情绪。在这种情况下，考虑到科技行业的高估值，纳斯达克100指数可能更容易受到影响。与此同时，美国参议院本周可能通过一项5500亿美元的基建法案。这可能会重振债券收益率，提前美联储缩减规模的押注，并使资本流动相对于纳斯达克偏向道琼斯指数。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9143840c3a1f935e97a82472b46adedc\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Chart Created in TradingView</p><p><blockquote>TradingView中创建的图表</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>NASDAQ 100 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS</b></h3> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">NASDAQ 100</a> finds itself trading within a bearish Rising Wedge chart pattern. A breakout lower may open the door for reversing the near-term uptrend. Negative RSI divergence also shows that upside momentum may be fading. That can at times precede a turn lower. Such an outcome would likely place the focus on the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The line may act as key support, from which the dominant uptrend might resume.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>纳斯达克100技术分析</b></h3>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">纳斯达克100</a>发现自己在看跌上升楔形图模式中交易。突破走低可能会为扭转近期上升趋势打开大门。RSI背离为负也表明上行动力可能正在消退。这有时会先于下跌。这样的结果可能会将焦点放在100天简单移动平均线(SMA)上。该线可能作为关键支撑，主导上升趋势可能会恢复。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4629e2bd942115d872a3e54871ba160\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Chart Created in TradingView</p><p><blockquote>TradingView中创建的图表</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1568971417606","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq 100 Forecast for the Week Ahead: Tech May Outperform the Dow Jones<blockquote>纳斯达克100指数未来一周预测：科技股可能跑赢道琼斯指数</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq 100 Forecast for the Week Ahead: Tech May Outperform the Dow Jones<blockquote>纳斯达克100指数未来一周预测：科技股可能跑赢道琼斯指数</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">DailyFX</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-03 14:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>NASDAQ 100, DOW JONES FUTURES, 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD, NFPS – WEEK AHEAD</b></p><p><blockquote><b>纳斯达克100指数、道琼斯期货、10年期国债收益率、NFP-未来一周</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Nasdaq 100 may continue outperforming Dow Jones futures ahead</li> <li>Falling Treasury rates, Delta variant, soft NFPs may play key role</li> <li>Nasdaq 100 eyeing bearish Rising Wedge however, watch support</li> </ul> <h3><b>WILL NASDAQ 100 CONTINUE OUTPERFORMING DOW JONES FUTURES AHEAD?</b></h3> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">NASDAQ 100</a> could stand to benefit from key fundamental forces this week, opening the door for the tech-heavy index to outperform Dow Jones futures. On the chart below is a ratio of the Nasdaq 100 versus the Dow Jones. When the line is rising, that means the former is outperforming the latter and vice versa. The ratio can be seen tending to inversely track the 10-year Treasury yield.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>纳斯达克100指数未来可能继续跑赢道琼斯期货</li><li>国债利率下降、德尔塔变异毒株、软NFP可能发挥关键作用</li><li>纳斯达克100指数着眼于看跌上升楔形，但请留意支撑</li></ul><h3><b>纳斯达克100指数未来会继续跑赢道琼斯期货吗？</b></h3>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">纳斯达克100</a>本周可能会受益于关键的基本面力量，为以科技股为主的指数跑赢道琼斯期货打开大门。下图是纳斯达克100指数与道琼斯指数的比率。当这条线上升时，这意味着前者的表现优于后者，反之亦然。可以看出，该比率倾向于反向跟踪10年期国债收益率。</blockquote></p><p> Declines in the latter have been occurring amid a combination of weakening global growth prospects and cooling concerns about sooner-than-anticipated Fed tapering. Rising Covid cases around the world amid t spread of the more contagious Delta variant have been forcing nations, such as Australia and recently China, to reintroduce lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>后者的下降是在全球增长前景疲软和对美联储早于预期缩减规模的担忧降温的共同作用下发生的。随着传染性更强的德尔塔变异毒株的传播，世界各地的新冠病例不断增加，迫使澳大利亚和最近的中国等国家重新实施封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Unsurprisingly, this has applied outsized pressure on cyclical stocks, which are over-represented in the Dow Jones. Tech shares have seen material outperformance compared to other sectors since last year’s Covid outbreak. With that in mind, investors may continue favoring the Nasdaq 100 in the short term as the Delta variant threatens the global economy.</p><p><blockquote>不出所料，这给道琼斯指数中代表性过高的周期性股票带来了巨大压力。自去年新冠疫情爆发以来，科技股的表现明显优于其他板块。考虑到这一点，由于Delta变体威胁到全球经济，投资者可能会在短期内继续青睐纳斯达克100指数。</blockquote></p><p> All eyes are turning to Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report, where a softer-than-anticipated outcome risks further denting confidence in economic recovery prospects. If that sends longer-term Treasury yields lower still, then the Nasdaq 100 could continue outperforming the Dow Jones in the following trading sessions.</p><p><blockquote>所有人的目光都转向周五的美国非农就业报告，该报告弱于预期的结果可能会进一步削弱人们对经济复苏前景的信心。如果这导致长期国债收益率进一步走低，那么纳斯达克100指数可能会在接下来的交易日继续跑赢道琼斯指数。</blockquote></p><p> There are a couple of risks that traders out to be mindful of however. It is possible that a materially weaker jobs report induces aggressive risk aversion in financial markets. In such a scenario, the Nasdaq 100 may be more vulnerable considering perceived lofty valuations in the tech sector. Meanwhile, the US Senate may pass a $550 billion infrastructure bill this week. That could revive bond yields, bring forward Fed tapering bets and skewing capital flows in favor of the Dow relative to the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>然而，交易者需要注意一些风险。就业报告大幅疲软可能会引发金融市场激进的避险情绪。在这种情况下，考虑到科技行业的高估值，纳斯达克100指数可能更容易受到影响。与此同时，美国参议院本周可能通过一项5500亿美元的基建法案。这可能会重振债券收益率，提前美联储缩减规模的押注，并使资本流动相对于纳斯达克偏向道琼斯指数。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9143840c3a1f935e97a82472b46adedc\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Chart Created in TradingView</p><p><blockquote>TradingView中创建的图表</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>NASDAQ 100 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS</b></h3> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">NASDAQ 100</a> finds itself trading within a bearish Rising Wedge chart pattern. A breakout lower may open the door for reversing the near-term uptrend. Negative RSI divergence also shows that upside momentum may be fading. That can at times precede a turn lower. Such an outcome would likely place the focus on the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The line may act as key support, from which the dominant uptrend might resume.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>纳斯达克100技术分析</b></h3>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">纳斯达克100</a>发现自己在看跌上升楔形图模式中交易。突破走低可能会为扭转近期上升趋势打开大门。RSI背离为负也表明上行动力可能正在消退。这有时会先于下跌。这样的结果可能会将焦点放在100天简单移动平均线(SMA)上。该线可能作为关键支撑，主导上升趋势可能会恢复。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4629e2bd942115d872a3e54871ba160\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"294\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Chart Created in TradingView</p><p><blockquote>TradingView中创建的图表</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/article/special_report/2021/08/03/Nasdaq-100-Forecast-for-the-Week-Ahead-Tech-May-Outperform-the-Dow-Jones.html\">DailyFX</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NDX":"纳斯达克100指数",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/article/special_report/2021/08/03/Nasdaq-100-Forecast-for-the-Week-Ahead-Tech-May-Outperform-the-Dow-Jones.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132007290","content_text":"NASDAQ 100, DOW JONES FUTURES, 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD, NFPS – WEEK AHEAD\n\nNasdaq 100 may continue outperforming Dow Jones futures ahead\nFalling Treasury rates, Delta variant, soft NFPs may play key role\nNasdaq 100 eyeing bearish Rising Wedge however, watch support\n\nWILL NASDAQ 100 CONTINUE OUTPERFORMING DOW JONES FUTURES AHEAD?\nThe NASDAQ 100 could stand to benefit from key fundamental forces this week, opening the door for the tech-heavy index to outperform Dow Jones futures. On the chart below is a ratio of the Nasdaq 100 versus the Dow Jones. When the line is rising, that means the former is outperforming the latter and vice versa. The ratio can be seen tending to inversely track the 10-year Treasury yield.\nDeclines in the latter have been occurring amid a combination of weakening global growth prospects and cooling concerns about sooner-than-anticipated Fed tapering. Rising Covid cases around the world amid t spread of the more contagious Delta variant have been forcing nations, such as Australia and recently China, to reintroduce lockdowns.\nUnsurprisingly, this has applied outsized pressure on cyclical stocks, which are over-represented in the Dow Jones. Tech shares have seen material outperformance compared to other sectors since last year’s Covid outbreak. With that in mind, investors may continue favoring the Nasdaq 100 in the short term as the Delta variant threatens the global economy.\nAll eyes are turning to Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report, where a softer-than-anticipated outcome risks further denting confidence in economic recovery prospects. If that sends longer-term Treasury yields lower still, then the Nasdaq 100 could continue outperforming the Dow Jones in the following trading sessions.\nThere are a couple of risks that traders out to be mindful of however. It is possible that a materially weaker jobs report induces aggressive risk aversion in financial markets. In such a scenario, the Nasdaq 100 may be more vulnerable considering perceived lofty valuations in the tech sector. Meanwhile, the US Senate may pass a $550 billion infrastructure bill this week. That could revive bond yields, bring forward Fed tapering bets and skewing capital flows in favor of the Dow relative to the Nasdaq.\nChart Created in TradingView\nNASDAQ 100 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS\nThe NASDAQ 100 finds itself trading within a bearish Rising Wedge chart pattern. A breakout lower may open the door for reversing the near-term uptrend. Negative RSI divergence also shows that upside momentum may be fading. That can at times precede a turn lower. Such an outcome would likely place the focus on the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The line may act as key support, from which the dominant uptrend might resume.\nChart Created in TradingView","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NDX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1391,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/804486225"}
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