peterongwk
2021-11-15
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Goldman Sachs sees U.S. core PCE halving by end of 2022<blockquote>高盛预计美国核心PCE到2022年底将减半</blockquote>
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In the 12 months through September, the so-called core PCE price index increased 3.6% for a fourth straight month.</p><p><blockquote>不包括波动较大的食品和能源部分的PCE指数继8月份上涨0.3%后，9月份上涨0.2%。截至9月份的12个月中，所谓的核心PCE物价指数连续第四个月上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs sees U.S. core PCE halving by end of 2022<blockquote>高盛预计美国核心PCE到2022年底将减半</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs sees U.S. core PCE halving by end of 2022<blockquote>高盛预计美国核心PCE到2022年底将减半</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-15 22:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Goldman Sachs has forecast growth in the U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index to nearly halve by the end of 2022, as the U.S. bank expects a surge in commodity prices and supply-chain constraints to ease after causing near-term price spikes.</p><p><blockquote>高盛预测，到2022年底，美国核心个人消费支出(PCE)指数的增长将几乎减半，因为这家美国银行预计大宗商品价格飙升和供应链限制在导致近期价格飙升后将有所缓解。</blockquote></p><p> Economists at Goldman Sachs expect the core PCE index - the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure - to fall to 2.3% by end of next year from 4.4% at the close of 2021, as demand for goods should moderate with the peak stay-at-home and stimulus effects fading.</p><p><blockquote>高盛(Goldman Sachs)经济学家预计，核心PCE指数（美联储首选的通胀指标）到明年年底将从2021年底的4.4%降至2.3%，因为随着居家高峰期的到来，商品需求应该会放缓。和刺激效应消退。</blockquote></p><p> While current inflation overshoot has been \"startling\", they attribute it entirely to a surge in durable goods prices, driven by severe and persistent supply and demand imbalances.</p><p><blockquote>尽管当前的通胀超调“令人震惊”，但他们将其完全归因于耐用品价格飙升，而耐用品价格是由严重且持续的供需失衡推动的。</blockquote></p><p> \"The current inflation surge will get worse this winter before it gets better,\" Goldman's chief economist Jan Hatzius said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>高盛首席经济学家Jan Hatzius在一份报告中表示：“当前的通胀飙升在好转之前，今年冬天会变得更糟。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We do expect persistent inflationary pressure from faster growth of wages and rents, but only enough to keep inflation moderately above 2%, in line with the Fed's goal under its new framework.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们确实预计工资和租金的更快增长将带来持续的通胀压力，但仅足以将通胀率保持在2%以上，这符合美联储在新框架下的目标。”</blockquote></p><p> The PCE index, excluding the volatile food and energy component, climbed 0.2% in September, following a 0.3% rise in August. In the 12 months through September, the so-called core PCE price index increased 3.6% for a fourth straight month.</p><p><blockquote>不包括波动较大的食品和能源部分的PCE指数继8月份上涨0.3%后，9月份上涨0.2%。截至9月份的12个月中，所谓的核心PCE物价指数连续第四个月上涨3.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/goldman-sachs-sees-us-core-pce-halving-by-end-2022-2021-11-15/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/goldman-sachs-sees-us-core-pce-halving-by-end-2022-2021-11-15/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180077435","content_text":"Goldman Sachs has forecast growth in the U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index to nearly halve by the end of 2022, as the U.S. bank expects a surge in commodity prices and supply-chain constraints to ease after causing near-term price spikes.\nEconomists at Goldman Sachs expect the core PCE index - the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure - to fall to 2.3% by end of next year from 4.4% at the close of 2021, as demand for goods should moderate with the peak stay-at-home and stimulus effects fading.\nWhile current inflation overshoot has been \"startling\", they attribute it entirely to a surge in durable goods prices, driven by severe and persistent supply and demand imbalances.\n\"The current inflation surge will get worse this winter before it gets better,\" Goldman's chief economist Jan Hatzius said in a note.\n\"We do expect persistent inflationary pressure from faster growth of wages and rents, but only enough to keep inflation moderately above 2%, in line with the Fed's goal under its new framework.\"\nThe PCE index, excluding the volatile food and energy component, climbed 0.2% in September, following a 0.3% rise in August. In the 12 months through September, the so-called core PCE price index increased 3.6% for a fourth straight month.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":763,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":7,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/873770681"}
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