胡小丙易经预测的个人主页 - 老虎社区

胡小丙易经预测

胡小丙易经预测

经济学分析，股权架构，商业法律，企業管理諮詢，税务筹划，财务管理，易经风水预测

IP属地：辽宁

78关注

41粉丝

8主题

0勋章

胡小丙易经预测

2021-12-10

$AAPL 20211231 205.0 CALL$ 肯定跌，立帖为证。

胡小丙易经预测

2024-07-28

我的水平也不弱，中国奇门遁甲预测第一人，国服第一。一阳道人，100% 胜率

胡小丙易经预测

2020-11-12

中概股又特么财务造假。

新能源汽车股持续走高，小鹏、理想、蔚来纷纷创新高

胡小丙易经预测

2020-11-17

去你大爷的！

格兰瑟姆：美股已经泡沫化，未来十年的回报在不断降低

胡小丙易经预测

2024-06-14

请问是咨询战略规划吗？如果是的话未来肯定是人工智能量化交易的天下了，你们这种平台吃的是用户量，可惜的是我们的政策是防止资金外流，所以未来十年应该扩展海外市场普通法系国家与大陆法系国家才是正途，以后会有越来越多的的人投身于基金与人工智能，所以这种吃手续费的市场会萎缩，所以老虎应该再基金与保险，人工智能领域深挖。

胡小丙易经预测

2025-09-06

12点23分写了自己的一个经历，这就是我的昵称由来

胡小丙易经预测

2021-01-13

美国是允许个人破产的，中国不允许，所以花呗在中国可以，在美国不行。

抱歉，原内容已删除

胡小丙易经预测

2020-10-27

马云遮一下发财了，直接亚洲首富了

抱歉，原内容已删除

胡小丙易经预测

2025-09-06

易经预测涨跌的可以参赛吗？

胡小丙易经预测

2025-07-24

Replying to @盲人摸大象:注意⚠️审题//@盲人摸大象:英伟达现在都已经172，怎么还上150？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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@盲人摸大象:注意⚠️审题//@盲人摸大象:英伟达现在都已经172，怎么还上150？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/460187043713128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":412359786414128,"gmtCreate":1741708495682,"gmtModify":1741708916744,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3441825629255336","idStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我以前就告诉自己不要加杠杆，可还是没忍住诱惑，差点没爆仓，幸亏今天涨回去一点","listText":"我以前就告诉自己不要加杠杆，可还是没忍住诱惑，差点没爆仓，幸亏今天涨回去一点","text":"我以前就告诉自己不要加杠杆，可还是没忍住诱惑，差点没爆仓，幸亏今天涨回去一点","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf74c6c4b47b7e1e39bcf707cb866586"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/412359786414128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2904,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":405646588252720,"gmtCreate":1740061667485,"gmtModify":1740061671581,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3441825629255336","idStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDX\">$T-REX 2X LONG NVIDIA DAILY TARGET ETF(NVDX)$&nbsp;</a> 为你安排，为你守候(｡･ω･｡)ﾉ♡&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDX\">$T-REX 2X LONG NVIDIA DAILY TARGET ETF(NVDX)$&nbsp;</a> 为你安排，为你守候(｡･ω･｡)ﾉ♡&nbsp;","text":"$T-REX 2X LONG NVIDIA DAILY TARGET ETF(NVDX)$ 为你安排，为你守候(｡･ω･｡)ﾉ♡","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cec4cc3cbc4c23cc5687d99c9ffd481e","width":"1092","height":"1570"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/405646588252720","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361702387191960,"gmtCreate":1729339677941,"gmtModify":1729339680146,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3441825629255336","idStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"当然是要投资赚钱，只要不买带杠杆的东西，早发都会是富翁。","listText":"当然是要投资赚钱，只要不买带杠杆的东西，早发都会是富翁。","text":"当然是要投资赚钱，只要不买带杠杆的东西，早发都会是富翁。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361702387191960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3493,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361701933273416,"gmtCreate":1729339574055,"gmtModify":1729339576169,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3441825629255336","idStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这是自相矛盾的话题，赚钱就是投资，投资即是赚钱","listText":"这是自相矛盾的话题，赚钱就是投资，投资即是赚钱","text":"这是自相矛盾的话题，赚钱就是投资，投资即是赚钱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361701933273416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356737770770504,"gmtCreate":1728103647975,"gmtModify":1728104842851,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3441825629255336","idStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TQQQ 20260116 120.0 CALL\">$TQQQ 20260116 120.0 CALL$</a> 轻轻松松拿捏","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TQQQ 20260116 120.0 CALL\">$TQQQ 20260116 120.0 CALL$</a> 轻轻松松拿捏","text":"$TQQQ 20260116 120.0 CALL$ 轻轻松松拿捏","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/358df5f81a7f4a428b274ecf3a82d6a3","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356737770770504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":351426306814136,"gmtCreate":1726836434646,"gmtModify":1726836436497,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3441825629255336","idStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"5% 还低？","listText":"5% 还低？","text":"5% 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5，我咨询一次都是二万块的","text":"老虎又来咨询了，座位一个专业从业十五年的咨询师，我来回答一下吧！ 1，老虎定位不正确，估计老虎现在想做什么他们决策层还没有想明白或者说他们老板没有想清楚老虎怎么走，要去哪里。 2，老虎 app 不应该是 6 组，一般情况下只能是 4 组，最多是五组，五组都很拥挤了 5，我咨询一次都是二万块的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318182953594952","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318181823418536,"gmtCreate":1718719651380,"gmtModify":1718719653917,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3441825629255336","idStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4142416961445330\">@尖沙咀啵嘴</a>:我觉得吧，更应该看司法官司和征信，这样的话你这种人就没资格了。还高质量？你有多大啊？耽误你交友了？你这么高端你怎么不去参加欧洲选秀啊？//<a 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[捂脸]","text":"你买call说跌? [捂脸]","html":"你买call说跌? 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胜率","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cdf3b1caad2807372c4aa5ced3538d5","width":"1290","height":"2796"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0f20289d23ea01927b940f6bb5f44d","width":"1046","height":"1229"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a0f5f4e632c12525db92fd0795426bb","width":"1290","height":"2796"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/332488679538792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":304824659,"gmtCreate":1605195832671,"gmtModify":1703836734333,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441825629255336","authorIdStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"中概股又特么财务造假。","listText":"中概股又特么财务造假。","text":"中概股又特么财务造假。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/304824659","repostId":"1161607041","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161607041","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1605195693,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161607041?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-11-12 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n新能源汽车股持续走高，小鹏、理想、蔚来纷纷创新高\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-11-12 23:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>11月12日美股盘中，中概新能源汽车股涨幅扩大，小鹏汽车涨超18%，理想汽车涨近15%，蔚来涨超9%，纷纷刷新盘中新高。</p><p>此前，小鹏汽车发布三季报引爆新能源汽车行情。财报显示，三季度小鹏汽车营收19.9亿元，同比增长342%；第三季度汽车交付8578辆，同比增265.8%；第三季度Non-GAAP净亏损8.64亿元，去年同期为7.5亿元；第三季度毛利率为4.6%，2019年同期为-10.1%。同时，预计第四季度营收约为22亿元人民币，预计第四季度汽车交付量约为1万辆。<b>相关阅读：</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1197637938\" target=\"_blank\"><b>小鹏汽车第三季度汽车交付8578辆，同比增长265.8%</b></a><b></b></p><p>此外，理想汽车将于明日盘前发布三季度财务报告。</p><p><b>相关阅读：</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159977378\" target=\"_blank\"><b>理想汽车财报前瞻：势不可挡，交付量有望出现飞跃</b></a></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65f621791f7091f557def8d3d134e223\" tg-width=\"666\" tg-height=\"476\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4af8fbfd005048e432642ca54fcd41db\" tg-width=\"666\" tg-height=\"476\"></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58684740797ecd5bbb5c8635293a7f76\" tg-width=\"666\" tg-height=\"476\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84f744795d09d7af7b33d92664a4cdff","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161607041","content_text":"11月12日美股盘中，中概新能源汽车股涨幅扩大，小鹏汽车涨超18%，理想汽车涨近15%，蔚来涨超9%，纷纷刷新盘中新高。此前，小鹏汽车发布三季报引爆新能源汽车行情。财报显示，三季度小鹏汽车营收19.9亿元，同比增长342%；第三季度汽车交付8578辆，同比增265.8%；第三季度Non-GAAP净亏损8.64亿元，去年同期为7.5亿元；第三季度毛利率为4.6%，2019年同期为-10.1%。同时，预计第四季度营收约为22亿元人民币，预计第四季度汽车交付量约为1万辆。相关阅读：小鹏汽车第三季度汽车交付8578辆，同比增长265.8%此外，理想汽车将于明日盘前发布三季度财务报告。相关阅读：理想汽车财报前瞻：势不可挡，交付量有望出现飞跃","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"LI":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4105,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":307513489,"gmtCreate":1605592998241,"gmtModify":1703838465545,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441825629255336","authorIdStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"去你大爷的！","listText":"去你大爷的！","text":"去你大爷的！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/307513489","repostId":"1141383026","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1141383026","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1605580650,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141383026?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-11-17 10:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"格兰瑟姆：美股已经泡沫化，未来十年的回报在不断降低","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141383026","media":"腾讯美股","summary":"格兰瑟姆强调，美国股市的泡沫已经严重脱离了经济现实，站在当前的节点上，哪怕真正有效的疫苗面世，哪怕国会通过了新的刺激法案，也都无法改变泡沫的属性了。格兰瑟姆在此前曾经成功预见到了三次重大的市场泡沫，即","content":"<blockquote>\n 格兰瑟姆强调，美国股市的泡沫已经严重脱离了经济现实，站在当前的节点上，哪怕真正有效的疫苗面世，哪怕国会通过了新的刺激法案，也都无法改变泡沫的属性了。格兰瑟姆在此前曾经成功预见到了三次重大的市场泡沫，即1989年日本资产价格泡沫，2000年互联网泡沫，以及2008年房市危机。\n</blockquote>\n<p>“涨势越富有投机性，持续时间越长，我们就越能够肯定，那就是个实实在在的泡沫。”美股大选后一路走高，上周再度创下纪录的同时，传奇投资人格兰瑟姆（Jeremy Grantham）也再度发声，对现实表达了深度忧虑。</p>\n<p>格兰瑟姆强调，美国股市的泡沫已经严重脱离了经济现实，站在当前的节点上，哪怕真正有效的疫苗面世，哪怕国会通过了新的刺激法案，也都无法改变泡沫的属性了。</p>\n<p>格兰瑟姆表示，美股从3月低点开始，经历了一场“强有力的，迅速的，以及在许多方面都堪称是名副其实的疯狂”的涨势，现在他更加确信，市场是处在泡沫之中了。这位GMO创始人、首席投资策略师断言：“涨势越富有投机性，持续时间越长，我们就越能够肯定，那就是个实实在在的泡沫。”</p>\n<p>6月间，格兰瑟姆就表示了对美股形成泡沫的担忧，当时他建议投资者不要保留任何美股敞口，并且预言说，自己可能正在见证投资生涯中的第四次重大市场泡沫。然而，从他宣布这一判断时至今，标普500指数又上涨了大约14%，格兰瑟姆不得不感叹，投资者的“疯狂行为”只能让他越发认定美国是处在泡沫当中了。</p>\n<p>“现在单单市场上涨都已经无法满足大家了，市场还必须加速上涨。从3月4月之交到现在，市场上涨的速度简直是令人发指。”格兰瑟姆说，现在股市已经拥有了自己的想法，独立于经济现实而运行了。</p>\n<p>“好消息可以让市场上涨，而坏消息居然也可以。”格兰瑟姆指出，“这正是泡沫的特质。当疯狂已经开始，不管什么东西都很难让其停下来了。”</p>\n<p>他补充说，哪怕有了有效的新冠病毒疫苗，哪怕能够有更多的财政刺激出炉，也不足以改变股市是处在泡沫之中的这个现实。</p>\n<p>格兰瑟姆在此前曾经成功预见到了三次重大的市场泡沫，即1989年日本资产价格泡沫，2000年互联网泡沫，以及2008年房市危机。</p>\n<p>周四，他预言说，当下的泡沫行情完全可能再持续一年，但是价格想要再涨上两年，就是“极端不可能”的了。</p>\n<p>“我从来就没有过什么幻觉，我知道自己无法准确预见到泡沫破灭的时间，我原本也不会拿这个去定义成功与否。”格兰瑟姆评论道，“我只是确信，市场迟早有一天会跌到比我建议大家退场时更低的水平。”</p>\n<p>他还补充说，联储的超低利率和廉价货币政策对推高资产价格起到了巨大的影响。</p>\n<p>“有一个现实是你终究无法改变的，这就是高价格资产所能够提供的回报率总是不及低价格资产。”格兰瑟姆表示，“你不可能两头都占着。你要么当下吃个痛快，要么未来细水长流，但是不可能两者兼得。价格当下在不断上涨，其实也就意味着我们在不断付出代价，这代价就是未来十年的回报在不断降低。”</p>","source":"txmg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n格兰瑟姆：美股已经泡沫化，未来十年的回报在不断降低\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-11-17 10:37 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20201116A0GZSN00><strong>腾讯美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>格兰瑟姆强调，美国股市的泡沫已经严重脱离了经济现实，站在当前的节点上，哪怕真正有效的疫苗面世，哪怕国会通过了新的刺激法案，也都无法改变泡沫的属性了。格兰瑟姆在此前曾经成功预见到了三次重大的市场泡沫，即1989年日本资产价格泡沫，2000年互联网泡沫，以及2008年房市危机。\n\n“涨势越富有投机性，持续时间越长，我们就越能够肯定，那就是个实实在在的泡沫。”美股大选后一路走高，上周再度创下纪录的同时，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20201116A0GZSN00\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b3b5e72649367d0aafd9bcbbca9bcd1","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20201116A0GZSN00","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141383026","content_text":"格兰瑟姆强调，美国股市的泡沫已经严重脱离了经济现实，站在当前的节点上，哪怕真正有效的疫苗面世，哪怕国会通过了新的刺激法案，也都无法改变泡沫的属性了。格兰瑟姆在此前曾经成功预见到了三次重大的市场泡沫，即1989年日本资产价格泡沫，2000年互联网泡沫，以及2008年房市危机。\n\n“涨势越富有投机性，持续时间越长，我们就越能够肯定，那就是个实实在在的泡沫。”美股大选后一路走高，上周再度创下纪录的同时，传奇投资人格兰瑟姆（Jeremy Grantham）也再度发声，对现实表达了深度忧虑。\n格兰瑟姆强调，美国股市的泡沫已经严重脱离了经济现实，站在当前的节点上，哪怕真正有效的疫苗面世，哪怕国会通过了新的刺激法案，也都无法改变泡沫的属性了。\n格兰瑟姆表示，美股从3月低点开始，经历了一场“强有力的，迅速的，以及在许多方面都堪称是名副其实的疯狂”的涨势，现在他更加确信，市场是处在泡沫之中了。这位GMO创始人、首席投资策略师断言：“涨势越富有投机性，持续时间越长，我们就越能够肯定，那就是个实实在在的泡沫。”\n6月间，格兰瑟姆就表示了对美股形成泡沫的担忧，当时他建议投资者不要保留任何美股敞口，并且预言说，自己可能正在见证投资生涯中的第四次重大市场泡沫。然而，从他宣布这一判断时至今，标普500指数又上涨了大约14%，格兰瑟姆不得不感叹，投资者的“疯狂行为”只能让他越发认定美国是处在泡沫当中了。\n“现在单单市场上涨都已经无法满足大家了，市场还必须加速上涨。从3月4月之交到现在，市场上涨的速度简直是令人发指。”格兰瑟姆说，现在股市已经拥有了自己的想法，独立于经济现实而运行了。\n“好消息可以让市场上涨，而坏消息居然也可以。”格兰瑟姆指出，“这正是泡沫的特质。当疯狂已经开始，不管什么东西都很难让其停下来了。”\n他补充说，哪怕有了有效的新冠病毒疫苗，哪怕能够有更多的财政刺激出炉，也不足以改变股市是处在泡沫之中的这个现实。\n格兰瑟姆在此前曾经成功预见到了三次重大的市场泡沫，即1989年日本资产价格泡沫，2000年互联网泡沫，以及2008年房市危机。\n周四，他预言说，当下的泡沫行情完全可能再持续一年，但是价格想要再涨上两年，就是“极端不可能”的了。\n“我从来就没有过什么幻觉，我知道自己无法准确预见到泡沫破灭的时间，我原本也不会拿这个去定义成功与否。”格兰瑟姆评论道，“我只是确信，市场迟早有一天会跌到比我建议大家退场时更低的水平。”\n他还补充说，联储的超低利率和廉价货币政策对推高资产价格起到了巨大的影响。\n“有一个现实是你终究无法改变的，这就是高价格资产所能够提供的回报率总是不及低价格资产。”格兰瑟姆表示，“你不可能两头都占着。你要么当下吃个痛快，要么未来细水长流，但是不可能两者兼得。价格当下在不断上涨，其实也就意味着我们在不断付出代价，这代价就是未来十年的回报在不断降低。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":316781493330200,"gmtCreate":1718378368910,"gmtModify":1718607527541,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441825629255336","authorIdStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"请问是咨询战略规划吗？如果是的话未来肯定是人工智能量化交易的天下了，你们这种平台吃的是用户量，可惜的是我们的政策是防止资金外流，所以未来十年应该扩展海外市场普通法系国家与大陆法系国家才是正途，以后会有越来越多的的人投身于基金与人工智能，所以这种吃手续费的市场会萎缩，所以老虎应该再基金与保险，人工智能领域深挖。","listText":"请问是咨询战略规划吗？如果是的话未来肯定是人工智能量化交易的天下了，你们这种平台吃的是用户量，可惜的是我们的政策是防止资金外流，所以未来十年应该扩展海外市场普通法系国家与大陆法系国家才是正途，以后会有越来越多的的人投身于基金与人工智能，所以这种吃手续费的市场会萎缩，所以老虎应该再基金与保险，人工智能领域深挖。","text":"请问是咨询战略规划吗？如果是的话未来肯定是人工智能量化交易的天下了，你们这种平台吃的是用户量，可惜的是我们的政策是防止资金外流，所以未来十年应该扩展海外市场普通法系国家与大陆法系国家才是正途，以后会有越来越多的的人投身于基金与人工智能，所以这种吃手续费的市场会萎缩，所以老虎应该再基金与保险，人工智能领域深挖。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316781493330200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":475488793956760,"gmtCreate":1757089417647,"gmtModify":1757089429724,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441825629255336","authorIdStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"12点23分写了自己的一个经历，这就是我的昵称由来","listText":"12点23分写了自己的一个经历，这就是我的昵称由来","text":"12点23分写了自己的一个经历，这就是我的昵称由来","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb128888161e46bc963baa810ffe5d87"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/475488793956760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":335367891,"gmtCreate":1610533405913,"gmtModify":1703745004262,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441825629255336","authorIdStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"&nbsp;美国是允许个人破产的，中国不允许，所以花呗在中国可以，在美国不行。","listText":"&nbsp;美国是允许个人破产的，中国不允许，所以花呗在中国可以，在美国不行。","text":"美国是允许个人破产的，中国不允许，所以花呗在中国可以，在美国不行。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/335367891","repostId":"1173015155","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301729484,"gmtCreate":1603771329648,"gmtModify":1703830642489,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3441825629255336","authorIdStr":"3441825629255336"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"马云遮一下发财了，直接亚洲首富了","listText":"马云遮一下发财了，直接亚洲首富了","text":"马云遮一下发财了，直接亚洲首富了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301729484","repostId":"1154269255","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":475483999023544,"gmtCreate":1757088635511,"gmtModify":1757088647512,"author":{"id":"3441825629255336","authorId":"3441825629255336","name":"胡小丙易经预测","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1763b4d13013ff9de6866e5d0e8f20","crmLeve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