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哈利波特長
2023-01-08
可惜你说了不算
美联储已经明确告诉股市:不要大涨
哈利波特長
2022-11-01
大反指说话了
华尔街齐声造势,小摩:加息周期将在2023年初结束
哈利波特長
2022-10-20
$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$
11月就要中期选举,我觉得下探的空间不大,年底的走势我觉得要么震荡行情要么就是反弹行情,12月正常来说还有圣诞行情,所以我没有很悲观年底的走势
哈利波特長
2022-10-18
华尔街的人说的话一句都不能信
美股正酝酿新一波上攻? 市场押注三季报业绩“Beat All”!
哈利波特長
2022-10-14
$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$
难道11000是无敌金刚底?
哈利波特長
2022-07-26
cpi爆雷9.1都暴涨还有什么不可能的,涨就完事了,最近的走势就是向上,中期选举过后可以跌了
抱歉,原内容已删除
哈利波特長
2022-07-19
苹果将会是市场最后一波暴跌的黑天鹅
抱歉,原内容已删除
哈利波特長
2022-07-15
真正的暴跌在20号以后,财报绝对爆雷
抱歉,原内容已删除
哈利波特長
2022-05-09
$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$
现在整个市场都在唱衰美股,美股的泡沫已经破裂,反弹已经不远了,做空者需非常谨慎,个人觉得纳斯达克在11000左右应该会开启新的牛市
哈利波特長
2022-05-06
$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$
这么下去真有可能破12000
哈利波特長
2022-05-05
$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$
评论区一群玩着模拟指点江山的人真是够了
哈利波特長
2022-05-03
$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$
空头力量明显衰竭,
哈利波特長
2022-05-02
$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$
恐慌指数已经涨到30多了,差不多可以做多了
哈利波特長
2022-04-27
$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$
市场真是一点正面的新闻都没有,纳指完了,这么下去再跌2000都不是问题
哈利波特長
2022-03-29
$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$
今晚3个点同志们,拉爆空头,噢耶
哈利波特長
2022-03-29
$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$
以我对纳斯达克的了解,估计这次的反弹直接创新高了,但过程不会那么顺利
哈利波特長
2022-03-23
$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$
印度男孩说了4月4日会有股市的大崩盘,虽然他之前预言了很多都很准,但是我是不太相信一天的时间股市能崩到哪里去
哈利波特長
2022-03-04
$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$
同志们,接下来3-4月将会是全球经济最差的时候,建议空仓,不要乱投资
哈利波特長
2022-02-25
$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$
纳斯达克总是在最绝望的时候给你们惊喜[开心] [开心]
哈利波特長
2022-02-24
$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$
各位好,今年会是历史性的一年,将会发生很多大事,美国今年的经济将会像当年的雷曼公司一样,但当我们渡过这个难关以后,我们将迎来一个全新的世界,这将完全改变我们的生活
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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在周三的一份报告中写道:“会议纪要显示,美联储又在刻意劝阻市场不要相信美联储将在2023年触发看跌期权。”</p><p>当楼市或者资本市场出现大动荡,资产价格大幅下跌的时候,美联储对市场注入流动性避免出现危机,这种现象被“美联储看跌期权”。自上世纪80年代末以来,数千名交易员、投资者和分析师都习惯了美联储看跌期权,他们相信,在动荡时刻,政策制定者总是会通过缩减加息计划或直接降息来支撑市场,因此,许多投资者总是会逢低买入。</p><p>国会证券管理公司(Capitol Securities Management)首席经济策略师 Kent Engelke 在周四的一份报告中表示,这份会议纪要清楚地表明,<b>“众所周知的美联储看跌期权机制已经正式消亡”。</b></p><p>周五,美股大涨,道琼斯工业指数上涨2.1%,标普500指数上涨2.28%,纳斯达克综合指数上涨2.6%;另外,美国12月非农就业报告显示,工资增长意外放缓,ISM服务业指数跌至收缩区间。</p><p>一些市场观察人士想知道,美联储政策制定者会对市场的反应有何反应。目前,美债收益率继续下跌,市场对美联储2月1日加息25个基点的押注从有所提高。</p><p>法国巴黎银行(BNP Paribas)经济学家 Carl Riccadonna、Yelena Shulyatyeva 和 Andrew Schneider 认为,<b>这份非农就业报告在一定程度上缓解了美联储在2月1日加息50个基点的压力,但政策制定者似乎对市场定价越来越没有耐心,因为美联储与市场在联邦基金利率的峰值和首次降息时机方面存在分歧。</b></p><p>牛津经济研究院首席美国经济学家 Ryan Sweet 在周三的一份报告中表示:</p><blockquote>会议纪要明确强调了美联储对通胀的关注,但也强调了他们对金融市场状况开始松动的不满,他们认为这阻碍了他们实现价格稳定的努力。</blockquote><blockquote>从会议纪要中可以看出,美联储将冒着伤害劳动力市场和更广泛经济的风险降低通胀。</blockquote><p>Pantheon Macroeconomics 首席经济学家 Ian Shepherdson 也认为,美联储提到金融状况是为了传达一种信息,即投资者不应指望政策制定者在经济数据出现明显的重大转变之前,会放松通胀底线。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储已经明确告诉股市:不要大涨 </title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ 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class=\"title\">\n美联储已经明确告诉股市:不要大涨 \n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-08 12:11 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3679288><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>市场对美联储今年政策转向的押注不受政策制定者欢迎,只会迫使美联储把降低通胀带来的痛苦延续下去。美联储向市场传递了一个信号——如果股市大幅反弹,将大大延长经济痛苦的时间。美东时间周三下午,美联储发布了12月货币政策会议的会议纪要。纪要中提到,与会者指出,由于货币政策通过金融市场发挥重要作用,所以金融环境不合理的放松(unwarranted easing),特别是因公众误解(FOMC)委员会反应功能而...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3679288\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3679288","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175436624","content_text":"市场对美联储今年政策转向的押注不受政策制定者欢迎,只会迫使美联储把降低通胀带来的痛苦延续下去。美联储向市场传递了一个信号——如果股市大幅反弹,将大大延长经济痛苦的时间。美东时间周三下午,美联储发布了12月货币政策会议的会议纪要。纪要中提到,与会者指出,由于货币政策通过金融市场发挥重要作用,所以金融环境不合理的放松(unwarranted easing),特别是因公众误解(FOMC)委员会反应功能而驱动的放松,将让委员会恢复价格稳定的努力变得复杂。这被分析师和经济学家视为对金融市场参与者的警告,即对美联储在2023年进行政策转向的押注并不受政策制定者的欢迎;而且,在股市反弹甚至整体金融条件放松的情况下,这些押注只会迫使FOMC把降低通胀带来的痛苦延续下去。Navellier & Associates总裁兼创始人 Louis Navellier 在周四的一份报告中表示:用通俗点的话来说,美联储暗示,FOMC成员们不喜欢股市上涨,因为他们担心这可能导致潜在的消费者支出通胀。BMO 资本市场利率策略师 Ian Lyngen 和 Benjamin Jeffery 在周三的一份报告中写道:“会议纪要显示,美联储又在刻意劝阻市场不要相信美联储将在2023年触发看跌期权。”当楼市或者资本市场出现大动荡,资产价格大幅下跌的时候,美联储对市场注入流动性避免出现危机,这种现象被“美联储看跌期权”。自上世纪80年代末以来,数千名交易员、投资者和分析师都习惯了美联储看跌期权,他们相信,在动荡时刻,政策制定者总是会通过缩减加息计划或直接降息来支撑市场,因此,许多投资者总是会逢低买入。国会证券管理公司(Capitol Securities Management)首席经济策略师 Kent Engelke 在周四的一份报告中表示,这份会议纪要清楚地表明,“众所周知的美联储看跌期权机制已经正式消亡”。周五,美股大涨,道琼斯工业指数上涨2.1%,标普500指数上涨2.28%,纳斯达克综合指数上涨2.6%;另外,美国12月非农就业报告显示,工资增长意外放缓,ISM服务业指数跌至收缩区间。一些市场观察人士想知道,美联储政策制定者会对市场的反应有何反应。目前,美债收益率继续下跌,市场对美联储2月1日加息25个基点的押注从有所提高。法国巴黎银行(BNP Paribas)经济学家 Carl Riccadonna、Yelena Shulyatyeva 和 Andrew Schneider 认为,这份非农就业报告在一定程度上缓解了美联储在2月1日加息50个基点的压力,但政策制定者似乎对市场定价越来越没有耐心,因为美联储与市场在联邦基金利率的峰值和首次降息时机方面存在分歧。牛津经济研究院首席美国经济学家 Ryan Sweet 在周三的一份报告中表示:会议纪要明确强调了美联储对通胀的关注,但也强调了他们对金融市场状况开始松动的不满,他们认为这阻碍了他们实现价格稳定的努力。从会议纪要中可以看出,美联储将冒着伤害劳动力市场和更广泛经济的风险降低通胀。Pantheon Macroeconomics 首席经济学家 Ian Shepherdson 也认为,美联储提到金融状况是为了传达一种信息,即投资者不应指望政策制定者在经济数据出现明显的重大转变之前,会放松通胀底线。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":665652587,"gmtCreate":1667278615849,"gmtModify":1667278618429,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3444016586296070","authorIdStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"大反指说话了","listText":"大反指说话了","text":"大反指说话了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/665652587","repostId":"1177705687","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177705687","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667263743,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177705687?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-11-01 08:49","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"华尔街齐声造势,小摩:加息周期将在2023年初结束","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177705687","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"这一次,美股还会被鹰派央行浇灭希望吗?","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>这一次,美股还会被鹰派央行浇灭希望吗?</blockquote><p>越来越多的华尔街分析师加入了认为美联储即将转向的队伍。</p><p>本周,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>在内的策略分析师都在报告中表示,美联储的加息行动即将结束。</p><p>曾经作为华尔街最大看跌分析师之一的摩根士丹利策略师Michael Wilson在周一的报告中表示,包括美股反弹、10年期和3个月期国债收益率曲线倒挂在内的指标“都支持美联储尽早调整政策,而不是推迟”:</p><blockquote>在周期接近尾声时,(反弹)这种价格走势并不罕见,特别是在美联储收紧政策行动接近尾声之际,(因此)我们认为美联储正在接近尾声。</blockquote><blockquote>因此,本周的美联储会议对加息的继续、暂停甚至完全结束至关重要。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f02737c23a5a2f650c93c74b07298a0b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>另一边,摩根大通首席策略师Marko Kolanovic也在本周的报告中预计,美联储可能会在12月加息50基点,在明年一季度再加息25基点后暂停加息:</p><blockquote>欧洲央行态度的转变、英国财政压力的缓解以及加拿大和澳大利亚加息步伐的放缓,增强了人们的乐观情绪,我们认为全球紧缩周期可能在2023年初结束。</blockquote><blockquote>风险市场的一个重要支撑来自以下信号:美联储的收紧步伐已见顶,此后任何进一步加息的规模可能都将变小。</blockquote><p>与Wilson不同的是,Kolanovic此前一直是华尔街最大的多头分析师之一。</p><p>但现在,“大空头”与“大多头”观点开始统一。</p><p>不过,这些策略师也表示,放松紧缩步伐并不意味着全球央行将放松对抗通胀的力度。<b>要实现放松紧缩,就需要消费者的价格压力继续下降。</b></p><p>彭博宏观策略师Simon White指出,目前全球CPI扩散指数处于最高值,该指数反映了全球通胀处于上升趋势的国家的比例,而此前仅在1974年和2008年两次达到该水平,并且达到后迅速开始下降。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ac8cd063cb08ad5e8f2df02e1fa4aef\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>现在,市场的目光都将集中在美联储身上。<b>市场普遍预计美联储将在本周三第四次加息75基点,而美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话也将对市场之后的走向至关重要。</b></p><p>过去两周,美国大型科技股的惨淡业绩使得标普500指数一度跌17%,纳指跌近22%,但随着之后分析师们预测美联储即将转向,美股出现反弹。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>策略师认为,美联储收紧步伐可能放缓、仓位较轻以及对第四季度季节性因素强劲的预期是最近几周美股反弹的背后原因。</p><blockquote>在1970年以来的17次熊市反弹中,标准普尔500指数在44天内平均上涨了15%。</blockquote><p>然而,此前美股每次燃起希望,最终都被鹰派央行所浇灭,这一次呢?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b00ff4a8809dfd3061b2ab28faaa769a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>华尔街齐声造势,小摩:加息周期将在2023年初结束</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华尔街齐声造势,小摩:加息周期将在2023年初结束\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-01 08:49 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3673760><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>这一次,美股还会被鹰派央行浇灭希望吗?越来越多的华尔街分析师加入了认为美联储即将转向的队伍。本周,包括摩根士丹利和摩根大通在内的策略分析师都在报告中表示,美联储的加息行动即将结束。曾经作为华尔街最大看跌分析师之一的摩根士丹利策略师Michael Wilson在周一的报告中表示,包括美股反弹、10年期和3个月期国债收益率曲线倒挂在内的指标“都支持美联储尽早调整政策,而不是推迟”:在周期接近尾声时,(...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3673760\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb5398fed733ffbbc94ab1b9a49946a8","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3673760","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177705687","content_text":"这一次,美股还会被鹰派央行浇灭希望吗?越来越多的华尔街分析师加入了认为美联储即将转向的队伍。本周,包括摩根士丹利和摩根大通在内的策略分析师都在报告中表示,美联储的加息行动即将结束。曾经作为华尔街最大看跌分析师之一的摩根士丹利策略师Michael Wilson在周一的报告中表示,包括美股反弹、10年期和3个月期国债收益率曲线倒挂在内的指标“都支持美联储尽早调整政策,而不是推迟”:在周期接近尾声时,(反弹)这种价格走势并不罕见,特别是在美联储收紧政策行动接近尾声之际,(因此)我们认为美联储正在接近尾声。因此,本周的美联储会议对加息的继续、暂停甚至完全结束至关重要。另一边,摩根大通首席策略师Marko Kolanovic也在本周的报告中预计,美联储可能会在12月加息50基点,在明年一季度再加息25基点后暂停加息:欧洲央行态度的转变、英国财政压力的缓解以及加拿大和澳大利亚加息步伐的放缓,增强了人们的乐观情绪,我们认为全球紧缩周期可能在2023年初结束。风险市场的一个重要支撑来自以下信号:美联储的收紧步伐已见顶,此后任何进一步加息的规模可能都将变小。与Wilson不同的是,Kolanovic此前一直是华尔街最大的多头分析师之一。但现在,“大空头”与“大多头”观点开始统一。不过,这些策略师也表示,放松紧缩步伐并不意味着全球央行将放松对抗通胀的力度。要实现放松紧缩,就需要消费者的价格压力继续下降。彭博宏观策略师Simon White指出,目前全球CPI扩散指数处于最高值,该指数反映了全球通胀处于上升趋势的国家的比例,而此前仅在1974年和2008年两次达到该水平,并且达到后迅速开始下降。现在,市场的目光都将集中在美联储身上。市场普遍预计美联储将在本周三第四次加息75基点,而美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话也将对市场之后的走向至关重要。过去两周,美国大型科技股的惨淡业绩使得标普500指数一度跌17%,纳指跌近22%,但随着之后分析师们预测美联储即将转向,美股出现反弹。高盛策略师认为,美联储收紧步伐可能放缓、仓位较轻以及对第四季度季节性因素强劲的预期是最近几周美股反弹的背后原因。在1970年以来的17次熊市反弹中,标准普尔500指数在44天内平均上涨了15%。然而,此前美股每次燃起希望,最终都被鹰派央行所浇灭,这一次呢?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662197938,"gmtCreate":1666247428824,"gmtModify":1666247431511,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3444016586296070","authorIdStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a>11月就要中期选举,我觉得下探的空间不大,年底的走势我觉得要么震荡行情要么就是反弹行情,12月正常来说还有圣诞行情,所以我没有很悲观年底的走势","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$</a>11月就要中期选举,我觉得下探的空间不大,年底的走势我觉得要么震荡行情要么就是反弹行情,12月正常来说还有圣诞行情,所以我没有很悲观年底的走势","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2212(NQmain)$11月就要中期选举,我觉得下探的空间不大,年底的走势我觉得要么震荡行情要么就是反弹行情,12月正常来说还有圣诞行情,所以我没有很悲观年底的走势","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662197938","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3513037563840185","authorId":"3513037563840185","name":"小虎牙sister","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cdce559dbd14a48087c5dee14003071","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3513037563840185","authorIdStr":"3513037563840185"},"content":"现在跌几天,收拢均线再往上行。看VIX已经下来了,并不具备大跌的恐慌情绪,国债利率也处于最高位,该下来了。","text":"现在跌几天,收拢均线再往上行。看VIX已经下来了,并不具备大跌的恐慌情绪,国债利率也处于最高位,该下来了。","html":"现在跌几天,收拢均线再往上行。看VIX已经下来了,并不具备大跌的恐慌情绪,国债利率也处于最高位,该下来了。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":662903293,"gmtCreate":1666099686212,"gmtModify":1666099690187,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3444016586296070","authorIdStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"华尔街的人说的话一句都不能信","listText":"华尔街的人说的话一句都不能信","text":"华尔街的人说的话一句都不能信","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/662903293","repostId":"2276988781","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2276988781","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666091343,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2276988781?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-10-18 19:09","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"美股正酝酿新一波上攻? 市场押注三季报业绩“Beat All”!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2276988781","media":"智通财经","summary":"财报季来临,市场寄望于业绩表现“Beat All”财报季的到来历来被视为股市低迷时期的强心剂,自2013年以来,在此期间标普500指数有76%的时间实现上涨。当前市场多头力量将反弹的希望寄望于业绩表现“Beat All”——即押注业绩超预期为最重要的影响因素,影响力度超过任何宏观经济等因素。摩根大通以25%的得票率位居第二,该公司上周已公布了超预期的业绩。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美股在经历了上周五的惨淡行情后,本周实现强势反弹。一些华尔街分析师认为,由于投资者们的老朋友——财报季的正式到来,美股短期内实现大幅反弹的可能性非常大。</p><p>今年以来,频繁看空美股的华尔街大空头之一——来自<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>的分析师Michael J. Wilson突然转向唱多美股,Wilson表示,在没有出现盈利大幅下降或者官宣经济衰退的情况之下,美股出现短期反弹的时机已经成熟。</p><p>Wilson在周一的一份报告中写道,标普500指数今年已经下跌了25%,正在测试200周移动均线的“重要支撑底部”,这可能引发技术性反弹。作为华尔街知名唱空人士之一,Wilson表示他“不排除”标普500指数将升至约4150点,这意味着较上周五收盘反弹约16%。</p><p>不过,Wilson还表示,虽然这看起来是一个非常大的波动,但它将与今年和之前的熊市反弹相一致,因此他仍保持对股市长期整体负面的立场。</p><p><b>财报季来临,市场寄望于业绩表现“Beat All”</b></p><p>财报季的到来历来被视为股市低迷时期的强心剂,自2013年以来,在此期间标普500指数有76%的时间实现上涨。当前市场多头力量将反弹的希望寄望于业绩表现“Beat All”——即押注业绩超预期为最重要的影响因素,影响力度超过任何宏观经济等因素。当然,若宏观面出现重大不利因素,比如美国GDP骤降,或者整体CPI再创新高引发加息预期实质性升温,其影响有可能彻底覆盖掉业绩表现。</p><p>MissionSquare首席投资官Wayne Wicker表示:“在当前财报季,尽管在盈利方面的趋势有所下滑,但银行股财报中并没有出现任何真正的负面因素。在未来几周是否会大范围出现负面报告,这将告诉我们这种反弹能否持续延续下去。”</p><p>在当前周期中,从目前市场预期来看,利润预期在四个月内被大幅下调逾三分之二,这是自2020年第一季度以来的最大降幅,这也使得业绩超预期容易实现,反弹障碍很容易被清除。</p><p>另外,从近年来的数据来看,第四季度往往也是美股的最佳反弹季。统计数据显示,在过去20年中,MSCI全球指数仅出现过三次第四季度下跌行情,其中最剧烈的下跌出现在2008年全球金融危机。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/59645a924cb03e81ac25241454c19638\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"416\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>过去的股票表现对本季度来说似乎是个好兆头。在过去20年中,标普500指数在最后一个季度平均上涨了4.1%,而MSCI全球指数在此期间仅出现三次下跌。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>公布的好于预期的业绩帮助提振了周一美股反弹,此前<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>上周五也公布了好于预期的业绩。标普500指数昨日大涨超2.5%,纳斯达克100指数涨幅甚至超3%。</p><p>彭博情报(BI)首席股票策略师Gina Martin Adams在一份报告中写道:“鉴于市场预期较低,业绩可能会在未来几周让股市平静下来,业绩可能很容易超过预期。‘业绩公告周期’可能为被宏观经济数据吸引的市场提供一些宽慰。”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af1c263f8657f49519ec0aa00ffaadbe\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>标普500指数在本世纪多数财报季实现上涨</b></p><p>上个季度就出现了类似的反弹行情,当时美股一度暴跌至6月中旬,然而在财报季期间标普500上涨13%,是有史以来最好的财报季表现,而这与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、摩根大通和有美国“经济晴雨表”之称的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">沃尔玛</a>的业绩具有紧密关联性。</p><p>随着分析师不断下调预期,“超预期”可能不是难事</p><p>在本季度,多数公司业绩超预期,进而触发美股出现类似7月的反弹浪潮的这一情况非常可能再度发生。</p><p>来自22V Research的分析师Dennis Debusschere在给客户的报告中写道:“如果投资者的注意力从预期的联邦基金利率上升移开,那么在超预期环境和美元企稳的情况下,股市短期反弹的可能性就会存在。”不过,在他的预测数据中,本轮业绩周期,发布悲观营收和盈利展望的公司数量飙升至历史观察数据的90%。</p><p>预期数据显示,标普500指数成份股公司第三季度利润预计将增长2.2%,彭博情报(BI)汇编的统计数据显示,6月中旬这一数字为10%。TPW Advisory的创始人兼负责人Jay Pelosky表示,降低的市场预期似乎是一个容易突破的目标。</p><p>如下图所示,来自投资机构Yardeni的统计数据显示,在美联储加息重压之下,分析师们对于标普500成分公司2022年的每股收益预期在不断下滑,主要因分析师们不断下调对这些公司Q3和Q4的业绩预期。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23c330fd660b6d2b49ff849e8d699a30\" tg-width=\"907\" tg-height=\"533\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cd8cfbb443bd259406f150073cf3294\" tg-width=\"924\" tg-height=\"567\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Pelosky周一接受采访时表示:“标准很低——2%的普遍EPS增长,我们认为这一标准将很容易达到和突破。”他表示:“美联储加息预期似乎已被充分消化。盈利可能会很乐观,经济也正在增长。”</p><p>奥本海默股票策略师John Stoltzfus将标普500指数的年终目标位从此前的4800点下调至4000点,不过仍显著高于当前水平。“在我们看来,股市可能出现极端超卖,这可能成为年底前温和反弹的催化剂,”他补表示。积极的因素包括:第三季度业绩超出预期、通胀降低、11 月中期选举的积极成果、以及欧洲在解决财政和能源挑战方面取得进展。</p><p>但是,在美国银行的量化策略主管Savita Subramanian看来,情况并不乐观。Subramanian指出,在本季度财报发布期间,“需求疲软”的提及数量激增,并表示提及"需求疲弱"和ISM制造业指数之间存在长期相关性,目前提及的数量换算成ISM指数为49,低于荣枯分水岭50。</p><p>技术指标暗示短期反弹行情正在路上</p><p>尽管经济动能的不确定性仍令股市的较长期前景承压,但一些技术因素也表明短期内市场情绪将有所改善。尤其值得注意的是,市场宽度看起来更加健康,统计数据显示纽约证交所(New York Stock Exchange)创新低股票数量相对创新高的这一统计指标连续三周下降。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3843b439e2dae14ee1695e983a12d237\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>创下新低的股票数量正在下降</b></p><p>在周一暴涨行情之前,标普500指数收在略低于200周移动均线水平。200周移动均线是一条长期技术性支撑线。据了解,除了21世纪初的互联网泡沫破裂、2008年和2009年的金融危机局势以及2020年的新冠疫情,过去曾多次阻止过美股崩盘行情。</p><p>正如长期看空美国股市的大摩分析师Wilson所言:“标普500指数今年已经下跌了25%,正在测试200周移动均线这一‘重要支撑底部’,这可能引发技术性反弹行情。”作为华尔街最著名的唱空者之一,Wilson表示他“不排除”标普500指数将升至约4150点——意味着较上周五的收盘水平反弹约16%。</p><p><b>苹果等标普500权重股财报至关重要!</b></p><p>在今年7月底,苹果公布的第三财季财报超出市场预期,进而延续了标普500指数自Q2财报季开启的攻势。在苹果、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>等标普500指数权重成分股超预期业绩带动下,该指数在8月中旬创下阶段性新高。</p><p>60%比例的MLIV Pulse调查受访者认为苹果公司至关重要。苹果是标普500指数中权重最大的一家,它将提供经济的一系列迹象,如消费者需求、供应链、美元飙升以及利率上升的影响,该公司将于10月27日公布财报。摩根大通以25%的得票率位居第二,该公司上周已公布了超预期的业绩。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4839620a41738b2122209657d498a28\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>另外,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、亚马逊、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>,以及有“美国经济晴雨表”之称的沃尔玛等大盘股同样占据标普500指数相当大的比例,这些公司的财报对市场情绪将产生重大影响。后者在今年5月曾引发美股全面“剧震”,主要因沃尔玛财报往往能够窥见美国消费市场状况,而消费占据美国GDP比例高达70%。该公司5月公布的不及预期业绩,和悲观业绩指引使得市场对于美国经济预期愈发悲观。</p><p>目前离披露日期最接近的是特斯拉,特斯拉作为全球电动汽车行业的领导者,通过其财报市场能够窥见电动汽车这一高热度行业的需求现状以及前景,以及行业供应链上下游具体情况如何,比如行业整体对镍、铝等重要大宗商品的需求情况,进而影响市场对于全球经济形势的预判。</p><p>特斯拉将于10月19日(周三)美股收盘后公布第三季度业绩,目前市场预计该公司Q3营收为220亿美元,相比之下,上年同期营收为137.57美元,EPS预期为0.99美元,上年同期为0.62美元。由于服务和其他部门的收入超预期,特斯拉在上一季度的收益超过市场普遍预期。统计数据显示,且在过去的12个季度中,特斯拉有11个季度的业绩超过SeekingAlpha数据统计平台的普遍预期。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d8e53d963eda350cc43286df4866892\" tg-width=\"1516\" tg-height=\"589\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股正酝酿新一波上攻? 市场押注三季报业绩“Beat All”!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-18 19:09 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/807204.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美股在经历了上周五的惨淡行情后,本周实现强势反弹。一些华尔街分析师认为,由于投资者们的老朋友——财报季的正式到来,美股短期内实现大幅反弹的可能性非常大。今年以来,频繁看空美股的华尔街大空头之一——来自摩根士丹利的分析师Michael J. Wilson突然转向唱多美股,Wilson表示,在没有出现盈利大幅下降或者官宣经济衰退的情况之下,美股出现短期反弹的时机已经成熟。Wilson在周一的一份报告中...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/807204.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{"WMT":"沃尔玛",".DJI":"道琼斯","AAPL":"苹果",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/807204.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2276988781","content_text":"美股在经历了上周五的惨淡行情后,本周实现强势反弹。一些华尔街分析师认为,由于投资者们的老朋友——财报季的正式到来,美股短期内实现大幅反弹的可能性非常大。今年以来,频繁看空美股的华尔街大空头之一——来自摩根士丹利的分析师Michael J. Wilson突然转向唱多美股,Wilson表示,在没有出现盈利大幅下降或者官宣经济衰退的情况之下,美股出现短期反弹的时机已经成熟。Wilson在周一的一份报告中写道,标普500指数今年已经下跌了25%,正在测试200周移动均线的“重要支撑底部”,这可能引发技术性反弹。作为华尔街知名唱空人士之一,Wilson表示他“不排除”标普500指数将升至约4150点,这意味着较上周五收盘反弹约16%。不过,Wilson还表示,虽然这看起来是一个非常大的波动,但它将与今年和之前的熊市反弹相一致,因此他仍保持对股市长期整体负面的立场。财报季来临,市场寄望于业绩表现“Beat All”财报季的到来历来被视为股市低迷时期的强心剂,自2013年以来,在此期间标普500指数有76%的时间实现上涨。当前市场多头力量将反弹的希望寄望于业绩表现“Beat All”——即押注业绩超预期为最重要的影响因素,影响力度超过任何宏观经济等因素。当然,若宏观面出现重大不利因素,比如美国GDP骤降,或者整体CPI再创新高引发加息预期实质性升温,其影响有可能彻底覆盖掉业绩表现。MissionSquare首席投资官Wayne Wicker表示:“在当前财报季,尽管在盈利方面的趋势有所下滑,但银行股财报中并没有出现任何真正的负面因素。在未来几周是否会大范围出现负面报告,这将告诉我们这种反弹能否持续延续下去。”在当前周期中,从目前市场预期来看,利润预期在四个月内被大幅下调逾三分之二,这是自2020年第一季度以来的最大降幅,这也使得业绩超预期容易实现,反弹障碍很容易被清除。另外,从近年来的数据来看,第四季度往往也是美股的最佳反弹季。统计数据显示,在过去20年中,MSCI全球指数仅出现过三次第四季度下跌行情,其中最剧烈的下跌出现在2008年全球金融危机。过去的股票表现对本季度来说似乎是个好兆头。在过去20年中,标普500指数在最后一个季度平均上涨了4.1%,而MSCI全球指数在此期间仅出现三次下跌。美国银行公布的好于预期的业绩帮助提振了周一美股反弹,此前摩根大通和富国银行上周五也公布了好于预期的业绩。标普500指数昨日大涨超2.5%,纳斯达克100指数涨幅甚至超3%。彭博情报(BI)首席股票策略师Gina Martin Adams在一份报告中写道:“鉴于市场预期较低,业绩可能会在未来几周让股市平静下来,业绩可能很容易超过预期。‘业绩公告周期’可能为被宏观经济数据吸引的市场提供一些宽慰。”标普500指数在本世纪多数财报季实现上涨上个季度就出现了类似的反弹行情,当时美股一度暴跌至6月中旬,然而在财报季期间标普500上涨13%,是有史以来最好的财报季表现,而这与苹果、摩根大通和有美国“经济晴雨表”之称的沃尔玛的业绩具有紧密关联性。随着分析师不断下调预期,“超预期”可能不是难事在本季度,多数公司业绩超预期,进而触发美股出现类似7月的反弹浪潮的这一情况非常可能再度发生。来自22V Research的分析师Dennis Debusschere在给客户的报告中写道:“如果投资者的注意力从预期的联邦基金利率上升移开,那么在超预期环境和美元企稳的情况下,股市短期反弹的可能性就会存在。”不过,在他的预测数据中,本轮业绩周期,发布悲观营收和盈利展望的公司数量飙升至历史观察数据的90%。预期数据显示,标普500指数成份股公司第三季度利润预计将增长2.2%,彭博情报(BI)汇编的统计数据显示,6月中旬这一数字为10%。TPW Advisory的创始人兼负责人Jay Pelosky表示,降低的市场预期似乎是一个容易突破的目标。如下图所示,来自投资机构Yardeni的统计数据显示,在美联储加息重压之下,分析师们对于标普500成分公司2022年的每股收益预期在不断下滑,主要因分析师们不断下调对这些公司Q3和Q4的业绩预期。Pelosky周一接受采访时表示:“标准很低——2%的普遍EPS增长,我们认为这一标准将很容易达到和突破。”他表示:“美联储加息预期似乎已被充分消化。盈利可能会很乐观,经济也正在增长。”奥本海默股票策略师John Stoltzfus将标普500指数的年终目标位从此前的4800点下调至4000点,不过仍显著高于当前水平。“在我们看来,股市可能出现极端超卖,这可能成为年底前温和反弹的催化剂,”他补表示。积极的因素包括:第三季度业绩超出预期、通胀降低、11 月中期选举的积极成果、以及欧洲在解决财政和能源挑战方面取得进展。但是,在美国银行的量化策略主管Savita Subramanian看来,情况并不乐观。Subramanian指出,在本季度财报发布期间,“需求疲软”的提及数量激增,并表示提及\"需求疲弱\"和ISM制造业指数之间存在长期相关性,目前提及的数量换算成ISM指数为49,低于荣枯分水岭50。技术指标暗示短期反弹行情正在路上尽管经济动能的不确定性仍令股市的较长期前景承压,但一些技术因素也表明短期内市场情绪将有所改善。尤其值得注意的是,市场宽度看起来更加健康,统计数据显示纽约证交所(New York Stock Exchange)创新低股票数量相对创新高的这一统计指标连续三周下降。创下新低的股票数量正在下降在周一暴涨行情之前,标普500指数收在略低于200周移动均线水平。200周移动均线是一条长期技术性支撑线。据了解,除了21世纪初的互联网泡沫破裂、2008年和2009年的金融危机局势以及2020年的新冠疫情,过去曾多次阻止过美股崩盘行情。正如长期看空美国股市的大摩分析师Wilson所言:“标普500指数今年已经下跌了25%,正在测试200周移动均线这一‘重要支撑底部’,这可能引发技术性反弹行情。”作为华尔街最著名的唱空者之一,Wilson表示他“不排除”标普500指数将升至约4150点——意味着较上周五的收盘水平反弹约16%。苹果等标普500权重股财报至关重要!在今年7月底,苹果公布的第三财季财报超出市场预期,进而延续了标普500指数自Q2财报季开启的攻势。在苹果、亚马逊等标普500指数权重成分股超预期业绩带动下,该指数在8月中旬创下阶段性新高。60%比例的MLIV Pulse调查受访者认为苹果公司至关重要。苹果是标普500指数中权重最大的一家,它将提供经济的一系列迹象,如消费者需求、供应链、美元飙升以及利率上升的影响,该公司将于10月27日公布财报。摩根大通以25%的得票率位居第二,该公司上周已公布了超预期的业绩。另外,微软、亚马逊、谷歌、特斯拉,以及有“美国经济晴雨表”之称的沃尔玛等大盘股同样占据标普500指数相当大的比例,这些公司的财报对市场情绪将产生重大影响。后者在今年5月曾引发美股全面“剧震”,主要因沃尔玛财报往往能够窥见美国消费市场状况,而消费占据美国GDP比例高达70%。该公司5月公布的不及预期业绩,和悲观业绩指引使得市场对于美国经济预期愈发悲观。目前离披露日期最接近的是特斯拉,特斯拉作为全球电动汽车行业的领导者,通过其财报市场能够窥见电动汽车这一高热度行业的需求现状以及前景,以及行业供应链上下游具体情况如何,比如行业整体对镍、铝等重要大宗商品的需求情况,进而影响市场对于全球经济形势的预判。特斯拉将于10月19日(周三)美股收盘后公布第三季度业绩,目前市场预计该公司Q3营收为220亿美元,相比之下,上年同期营收为137.57美元,EPS预期为0.99美元,上年同期为0.62美元。由于服务和其他部门的收入超预期,特斯拉在上一季度的收益超过市场普遍预期。统计数据显示,且在过去的12个季度中,特斯拉有11个季度的业绩超过SeekingAlpha数据统计平台的普遍预期。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"WMT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":666257694,"gmtCreate":1665704085518,"gmtModify":1665704086882,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3444016586296070","authorIdStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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今晚收复15000不收复我直播倒立拉翔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":81,"commentSize":41,"repostSize":4,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633950882","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":20141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3468582811369800","authorId":"3468582811369800","name":"特朗普他远房大表哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90a63e507b13a8af3eef54fbe7bed4ec","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3468582811369800","idStr":"3468582811369800"},"content":"求你别这样了 上次发誓结果大跌","text":"求你别这样了 上次发誓结果大跌","html":"求你别这样了 上次发誓结果大跌"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633699359,"gmtCreate":1643979183151,"gmtModify":1643990866095,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>告诉你们一个秘密,9点半准时开拉!!噢耶","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>告诉你们一个秘密,9点半准时开拉!!噢耶","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 告诉你们一个秘密,9点半准时开拉!!噢耶","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":24,"commentSize":17,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633699359","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"203105757513414","authorId":"203105757513414","name":"我信了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4429f6d1a0f8d50b14a2e467280377e7","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"203105757513414","idStr":"203105757513414"},"content":"确实开拉了","text":"确实开拉了","html":"确实开拉了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":631046192,"gmtCreate":1644402783726,"gmtModify":1644402783726,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>我猜纳斯达克2月收复16000有人信吗??[开心] [开心] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>我猜纳斯达克2月收复16000有人信吗??[开心] [开心] ","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 我猜纳斯达克2月收复16000有人信吗??[开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":21,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/631046192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639672587,"gmtCreate":1643292969164,"gmtModify":1643298701734,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>今晚必漲,如果又來尾盤放水我就直播倒立吃米田共","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>今晚必漲,如果又來尾盤放水我就直播倒立吃米田共","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 今晚必漲,如果又來尾盤放水我就直播倒立吃米田共","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639672587","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3434046638438343","authorId":"3434046638438343","name":"旭阳特别帅","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/bbe12234effaffbb31106d837a04c53f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3434046638438343","idStr":"3434046638438343"},"content":"没加息资金就跌成这样,后面真回收流动性效果是立竿见影的,股市是用钱堆出来的.认知要到位兄弟.这几天A股、乌克兰事件,老美的美金已经开始回流了,还能蹦跶几天.真加息3-4次,缩表,就开始真的崩了.20年-21年印的钞票超过过去所有的总和,你说有多大的泡沫.崩盘之后,米国会重新救市,但这只能反过来证明他只剩下量化宽松这个招了,就是失败.","text":"没加息资金就跌成这样,后面真回收流动性效果是立竿见影的,股市是用钱堆出来的.认知要到位兄弟.这几天A股、乌克兰事件,老美的美金已经开始回流了,还能蹦跶几天.真加息3-4次,缩表,就开始真的崩了.20年-21年印的钞票超过过去所有的总和,你说有多大的泡沫.崩盘之后,米国会重新救市,但这只能反过来证明他只剩下量化宽松这个招了,就是失败.","html":"没加息资金就跌成这样,后面真回收流动性效果是立竿见影的,股市是用钱堆出来的.认知要到位兄弟.这几天A股、乌克兰事件,老美的美金已经开始回流了,还能蹦跶几天.真加息3-4次,缩表,就开始真的崩了.20年-21年印的钞票超过过去所有的总和,你说有多大的泡沫.崩盘之后,米国会重新救市,但这只能反过来证明他只剩下量化宽松这个招了,就是失败."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941858951,"gmtCreate":1594872816673,"gmtModify":1704207187376,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"国家统计局的数字只有日期是真的","listText":"国家统计局的数字只有日期是真的","text":"国家统计局的数字只有日期是真的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":14,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941858951","repostId":"1198536853","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198536853","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"金融界最会写段子的,段子界最会写时评的,时评界最会搞金融的。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"秦小明","id":"88","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14624778b9ca4a51b885db2ee3ac7208"},"pubTimestamp":1594867776,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198536853?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-07-16 10:49","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"经济数据出炉,股市却跌了!如何解读?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198536853","media":"秦小明","summary":"刚刚,中国国家统计局公布了2020年第二季度经济数据。其中,\nGDP同比增长3.2%,预期3%;\n6月社会消费品零售总额同比增长-1.8%,预期0.3%;\n1-6月固定资产投资增-3.1%,预期-3.","content":"<p>刚刚,中国国家统计局公布了2020年第二季度经济数据。其中,</p>\n<p>GDP同比增长3.2%,预期3%;</p>\n<p>6月社会消费品零售总额同比增长-1.8%,预期0.3%;</p>\n<p>1-6月固定资产投资增-3.1%,预期-3.3%;</p>\n<p>6月城镇调查失业率5.7%,预期6%。</p>\n<p>重要的分项数据中,</p>\n<p>1-6月制造业投资下降11.7%,降幅收窄3.1个百分点;</p>\n<p>基础设施投资同比下降2.7%,降幅比1—5月份收窄3.6个百分点。</p>\n<p>1-6月份,全国房地产开发投资62780亿元,同比增长1.9%, 1-5月份为下降0.3%</p>\n<p>从数据中可以得出以下结论:</p>\n<p><b>1)整体数据基本符合市场预期,但结构上并不理想。</b></p>\n<p>二季度GDP数据出炉之前,市场普遍预期中国经济将录得3%左右的季度增长。与实际公布的3.2%不大。</p>\n<p>但从结构上来看,经济的同比转正,主要得益于投资的反弹,特别是房地产的开发投资,仍然一如既往地扮演了增长压舱石的角色。其在投资的分项中国,同比增长率先转正。</p>\n<p>消费的增长低于市场预期,仍然录得月度负增长。扣除价格因素,同比下降幅度更大这,说明经济增长在消费侧的表现不佳。原因主要是居民的收入(预期)发生较大变化,收入增长前景承压,边际消费倾向下降所致。</p>\n<p><b>2)经济的恢复主要靠“供给侧”,“需求侧”的压力依然较大。</b></p>\n<p>从细分的工业增加值,固定资产投资等可以看出,经济的持续恢复目前主要还靠政府主导的供给侧发力。而制造业,消费等市场自发的需求力量,目前的恢复情况依然没有特别乐观。</p>\n<p><b>3)对资本市场的影响属于“利好兑现”式的利空。</b></p>\n<p>数据公布后,股市转跌,且跌幅较大。截至发稿,中国股市三大指数跌幅均超1%,为连续第三天下跌。</p>\n<p>经济数据总量上本身并不差,但从结构上,的确没有达到市场市场预期。此外,之前A股的突飞猛进,很大程度上也是将中国经济的恢复和增长,预期打得非常满。市场此前的交易逻辑,从经济弱复苏交易到强复苏,甚至有点过热的苗头。</p>\n<p>数据的公布,证实了经济继续复苏的结论,但还谈不上强复苏,更谈不上过热的情况。因此,从数据上来说,市场交易的亢奋情绪被证伪也就可以理解。</p>\n<p>此外,从政策的角度来看,二季度的数据表明,经济在继续恢复。下半年的货币政策,目前看依然没有必要继续放水。货币政策保持稳定从而边际趋近的判断不变。</p>\n<p>总体来看,下半年的市场,仍然维持此前文章里的观点,也即是,市场没有全面大牛市的基础。近期的上涨更多是“补涨”的行情,板块轮动后,市场依然会陷入震荡拉扯的局面。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>经济数据出炉,股市却跌了!如何解读?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n经济数据出炉,股市却跌了!如何解读?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/88\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/14624778b9ca4a51b885db2ee3ac7208);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">秦小明 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-07-16 10:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>刚刚,中国国家统计局公布了2020年第二季度经济数据。其中,</p>\n<p>GDP同比增长3.2%,预期3%;</p>\n<p>6月社会消费品零售总额同比增长-1.8%,预期0.3%;</p>\n<p>1-6月固定资产投资增-3.1%,预期-3.3%;</p>\n<p>6月城镇调查失业率5.7%,预期6%。</p>\n<p>重要的分项数据中,</p>\n<p>1-6月制造业投资下降11.7%,降幅收窄3.1个百分点;</p>\n<p>基础设施投资同比下降2.7%,降幅比1—5月份收窄3.6个百分点。</p>\n<p>1-6月份,全国房地产开发投资62780亿元,同比增长1.9%, 1-5月份为下降0.3%</p>\n<p>从数据中可以得出以下结论:</p>\n<p><b>1)整体数据基本符合市场预期,但结构上并不理想。</b></p>\n<p>二季度GDP数据出炉之前,市场普遍预期中国经济将录得3%左右的季度增长。与实际公布的3.2%不大。</p>\n<p>但从结构上来看,经济的同比转正,主要得益于投资的反弹,特别是房地产的开发投资,仍然一如既往地扮演了增长压舱石的角色。其在投资的分项中国,同比增长率先转正。</p>\n<p>消费的增长低于市场预期,仍然录得月度负增长。扣除价格因素,同比下降幅度更大这,说明经济增长在消费侧的表现不佳。原因主要是居民的收入(预期)发生较大变化,收入增长前景承压,边际消费倾向下降所致。</p>\n<p><b>2)经济的恢复主要靠“供给侧”,“需求侧”的压力依然较大。</b></p>\n<p>从细分的工业增加值,固定资产投资等可以看出,经济的持续恢复目前主要还靠政府主导的供给侧发力。而制造业,消费等市场自发的需求力量,目前的恢复情况依然没有特别乐观。</p>\n<p><b>3)对资本市场的影响属于“利好兑现”式的利空。</b></p>\n<p>数据公布后,股市转跌,且跌幅较大。截至发稿,中国股市三大指数跌幅均超1%,为连续第三天下跌。</p>\n<p>经济数据总量上本身并不差,但从结构上,的确没有达到市场市场预期。此外,之前A股的突飞猛进,很大程度上也是将中国经济的恢复和增长,预期打得非常满。市场此前的交易逻辑,从经济弱复苏交易到强复苏,甚至有点过热的苗头。</p>\n<p>数据的公布,证实了经济继续复苏的结论,但还谈不上强复苏,更谈不上过热的情况。因此,从数据上来说,市场交易的亢奋情绪被证伪也就可以理解。</p>\n<p>此外,从政策的角度来看,二季度的数据表明,经济在继续恢复。下半年的货币政策,目前看依然没有必要继续放水。货币政策保持稳定从而边际趋近的判断不变。</p>\n<p>总体来看,下半年的市场,仍然维持此前文章里的观点,也即是,市场没有全面大牛市的基础。近期的上涨更多是“补涨”的行情,板块轮动后,市场依然会陷入震荡拉扯的局面。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198536853","content_text":"刚刚,中国国家统计局公布了2020年第二季度经济数据。其中,\nGDP同比增长3.2%,预期3%;\n6月社会消费品零售总额同比增长-1.8%,预期0.3%;\n1-6月固定资产投资增-3.1%,预期-3.3%;\n6月城镇调查失业率5.7%,预期6%。\n重要的分项数据中,\n1-6月制造业投资下降11.7%,降幅收窄3.1个百分点;\n基础设施投资同比下降2.7%,降幅比1—5月份收窄3.6个百分点。\n1-6月份,全国房地产开发投资62780亿元,同比增长1.9%, 1-5月份为下降0.3%\n从数据中可以得出以下结论:\n1)整体数据基本符合市场预期,但结构上并不理想。\n二季度GDP数据出炉之前,市场普遍预期中国经济将录得3%左右的季度增长。与实际公布的3.2%不大。\n但从结构上来看,经济的同比转正,主要得益于投资的反弹,特别是房地产的开发投资,仍然一如既往地扮演了增长压舱石的角色。其在投资的分项中国,同比增长率先转正。\n消费的增长低于市场预期,仍然录得月度负增长。扣除价格因素,同比下降幅度更大这,说明经济增长在消费侧的表现不佳。原因主要是居民的收入(预期)发生较大变化,收入增长前景承压,边际消费倾向下降所致。\n2)经济的恢复主要靠“供给侧”,“需求侧”的压力依然较大。\n从细分的工业增加值,固定资产投资等可以看出,经济的持续恢复目前主要还靠政府主导的供给侧发力。而制造业,消费等市场自发的需求力量,目前的恢复情况依然没有特别乐观。\n3)对资本市场的影响属于“利好兑现”式的利空。\n数据公布后,股市转跌,且跌幅较大。截至发稿,中国股市三大指数跌幅均超1%,为连续第三天下跌。\n经济数据总量上本身并不差,但从结构上,的确没有达到市场市场预期。此外,之前A股的突飞猛进,很大程度上也是将中国经济的恢复和增长,预期打得非常满。市场此前的交易逻辑,从经济弱复苏交易到强复苏,甚至有点过热的苗头。\n数据的公布,证实了经济继续复苏的结论,但还谈不上强复苏,更谈不上过热的情况。因此,从数据上来说,市场交易的亢奋情绪被证伪也就可以理解。\n此外,从政策的角度来看,二季度的数据表明,经济在继续恢复。下半年的货币政策,目前看依然没有必要继续放水。货币政策保持稳定从而边际趋近的判断不变。\n总体来看,下半年的市场,仍然维持此前文章里的观点,也即是,市场没有全面大牛市的基础。近期的上涨更多是“补涨”的行情,板块轮动后,市场依然会陷入震荡拉扯的局面。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1814,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3535778335748585","authorId":"3535778335748585","name":"心泪俱碎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17bc5c234965a34b529679dff13bedb2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3535778335748585","idStr":"3535778335748585"},"content":"哈哈哈哈哈可以!","text":"哈哈哈哈哈可以!","html":"哈哈哈哈哈可以!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":955864950,"gmtCreate":1592372910770,"gmtModify":1704199040273,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"刚和印度发生冲突就出现这种文章,有本事出兵干它啊,听说我方死亡人数还比印度多,丢人啊,打架都打不过别人,中国的高层真的是怂到骨子里了","listText":"刚和印度发生冲突就出现这种文章,有本事出兵干它啊,听说我方死亡人数还比印度多,丢人啊,打架都打不过别人,中国的高层真的是怂到骨子里了","text":"刚和印度发生冲突就出现这种文章,有本事出兵干它啊,听说我方死亡人数还比印度多,丢人啊,打架都打不过别人,中国的高层真的是怂到骨子里了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/955864950","repostId":"1133325301","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3485423040271412","authorId":"3485423040271412","name":"MathSpirit","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3485423040271412","idStr":"3485423040271412"},"content":"你听谁说的?","text":"你听谁说的?","html":"你听谁说的?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639057007,"gmtCreate":1643096432646,"gmtModify":1643096432646,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>昨晚跌5個點拉回來是演習,今天是真的要跌5個點,恐慌指數還沒有暴漲,等恐慌指數漲到40左右就差不多了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>昨晚跌5個點拉回來是演習,今天是真的要跌5個點,恐慌指數還沒有暴漲,等恐慌指數漲到40左右就差不多了","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 昨晚跌5個點拉回來是演習,今天是真的要跌5個點,恐慌指數還沒有暴漲,等恐慌指數漲到40左右就差不多了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639057007","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3523107283085079","authorId":"3523107283085079","name":"Alphabet","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3523107283085079","idStr":"3523107283085079"},"content":"牛逼 演习都能冒出来了 没有白军训","text":"牛逼 演习都能冒出来了 没有白军训","html":"牛逼 演习都能冒出来了 没有白军训"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":616743146,"gmtCreate":1652051632185,"gmtModify":1652051632185,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$ </a>现在整个市场都在唱衰美股,美股的泡沫已经破裂,反弹已经不远了,做空者需非常谨慎,个人觉得纳斯达克在11000左右应该会开启新的牛市","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$ </a>现在整个市场都在唱衰美股,美股的泡沫已经破裂,反弹已经不远了,做空者需非常谨慎,个人觉得纳斯达克在11000左右应该会开启新的牛市","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2206(NQmain)$ 现在整个市场都在唱衰美股,美股的泡沫已经破裂,反弹已经不远了,做空者需非常谨慎,个人觉得纳斯达克在11000左右应该会开启新的牛市","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/616743146","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7862,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3434046638438343","authorId":"3434046638438343","name":"旭阳特别帅","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/bbe12234effaffbb31106d837a04c53f","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3434046638438343","idStr":"3434046638438343"},"content":"7000点[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]","text":"7000点[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]","html":"7000点[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":694385883,"gmtCreate":1641820195218,"gmtModify":1641820195218,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>这次回调的话2月份大概率就不会回调了,因为恐慌情绪已经过去,即使真的加息市场也应该不会有很大的反应","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>这次回调的话2月份大概率就不会回调了,因为恐慌情绪已经过去,即使真的加息市场也应该不会有很大的反应","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 这次回调的话2月份大概率就不会回调了,因为恐慌情绪已经过去,即使真的加息市场也应该不会有很大的反应","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694385883","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3506153078214938","authorId":"3506153078214938","name":"雪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51161e985eca732d547e36570f5522dc","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3506153078214938","idStr":"3506153078214938"},"content":"没准是一直调到3月 会议结束,才拉了。","text":"没准是一直调到3月 会议结束,才拉了。","html":"没准是一直调到3月 会议结束,才拉了。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":336900889,"gmtCreate":1610003023341,"gmtModify":1703741942057,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"以我看来美国很快会变成社会主义国家,移美的华人真是苦逼,刚逃离粪坑又跳进粪坑,看看这次美国媒体的行为和国内媒体真是如出一辙","listText":"以我看来美国很快会变成社会主义国家,移美的华人真是苦逼,刚逃离粪坑又跳进粪坑,看看这次美国媒体的行为和国内媒体真是如出一辙","text":"以我看来美国很快会变成社会主义国家,移美的华人真是苦逼,刚逃离粪坑又跳进粪坑,看看这次美国媒体的行为和国内媒体真是如出一辙","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/336900889","repostId":"1191765233","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":638790681,"gmtCreate":1645518379290,"gmtModify":1645518379290,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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兄弟"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633327570,"gmtCreate":1643793540320,"gmtModify":1643793540320,"author":{"id":"3444016586296070","authorId":"3444016586296070","name":"哈利波特長","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ac994ad69614ee393c7c08aca3a38","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3444016586296070","idStr":"3444016586296070"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>谷歌财报超预期,今晚妥妥3个点","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ </a>谷歌财报超预期,今晚妥妥3个点","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2203(NQmain)$ 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