中国股市只会闪崩的个人主页 - 老虎社区

中国股市只会闪崩

中国股市只会闪崩

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中国股市只会闪崩

07-10

$A50指数主连 2507(CNmain)$ 中国巨崩是必然性的，不要以为拉拉银行股撑住假指数，就能诈骗到更多韭菜

中国股市只会闪崩

2021-05-28

一般对外升值，对内贬值，什么有利于进来？我看有利于有钱的移民吧！。。。和躺平的老百姓毛关系没有

抱歉，原内容已删除

中国股市只会闪崩

08-27

$富时中国H50指数主连 2509(FCHmain)$ A股是什么东西你们最好清楚点

中国股市只会闪崩

09-08

$A50指数主连 2509(CNmain)$ 今年诈骗不一样，涨的眼花缭乱晕头转向。老百姓依然不消费，一群赌徒

中国股市只会闪崩

06-25

$黄金/美元(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ 中国股市即将全面闪崩，下半年看吧！不要被最近虚假炒作手法。拉指数，拉基金等欺骗！

中国股市只会闪崩

09-18

$富时中国H50指数主连 2509(FCHmain)$ 没有退市赔偿，没有个股卖空，只是一个收割市场

中国股市只会闪崩

06-20

$A50指数2506(CN2506)$ 中国专业基金公司，比比皆是亏损50%，不用负责，不用看假指数！各行各业都能榨取干净！

中国股市只会闪崩

06-20

$A50指数2506(CN2506)$ 诈骗成性，暗无天日！相信这样的市场就是自寻死路！

中国股市只会闪崩

04-23

$黄金/美元(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ 特朗普不玩了。拥抱美国三大股指，远离A股指数牛市，全面闪崩还在A股！唯一不看好的依旧A股！

中国股市只会闪崩

2020-12-22

只允许国家的镰刀割百姓！A股昨天的新高，今天的白酒。腐败国

社区团购“九不得”新规出台

中国股市只会闪崩

09-09

$黄金/美元(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ 被迫上5000美元

中国股市只会闪崩

06-23

$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ A股50继续崩盘才对，指数诈骗也不可持续。投资中国损失惨重是必然的，玩不过他们

中国股市只会闪崩

09-02

特朗普真没啥成绩！就是炒币的总统

WLFI短暂上扬后急挫，特朗普家族“核心代币”遭遇信任危机？

中国股市只会闪崩

2021-07-28

这帮人坏的狠，吃饱就让你抄底，必崩，这两天也就是预热崩，早着呢！巨崩缩量再来看多！啥市场心里有逼数

抱歉，原内容已删除

中国股市只会闪崩

2020-10-22

中国人民关注美国大选，但从来不关注中国自己谁领导

定音之锤！美国大选最后一场辩论该看什么？

中国股市只会闪崩

2022-03-16

中概股才牛，上下都不稳

地缘局势利好！欧美股市集体大反弹

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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21:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>据报道，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）正推动允许股票像加密货币一样进行交易，计划允许加密代币代表股票股份。</p><p>知情人士透露，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）正制定一项计划，允许股票像加密货币一样在区块链上进行交易，但该计划正面临来自城堡证券（Citadel Securities）等传统金融机构的强烈反对。目前，SEC 工作人员正与业内人士沟通。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9712b6f035d7a01dae3855140d621802","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170901993","content_text":"据报道，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）正推动允许股票像加密货币一样进行交易，计划允许加密代币代表股票股份。知情人士透露，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）正制定一项计划，允许股票像加密货币一样在区块链上进行交易，但该计划正面临来自城堡证券（Citadel Securities）等传统金融机构的强烈反对。目前，SEC 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12:50","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"港股期权｜腾讯认沽期权成交持续活跃；阿里巴巴半日期权成交超4.6万张，","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131059694","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"二、异动观察腾讯控股股价微涨，期权半日成交近7.2万张，认沽期权成交活跃，其中，其中于10月10日到期660港元行使价的认沽期权成交居前，成交近1.9张；$阿里巴巴$收涨近1%，期权半日成交超4.6万张，认购期权成交活跃，其中，其中于10月3日到期177.50港元行使价的认购期权成交居前，成交超2000张；$摩根士丹利$近日上调了$阿里巴巴$美国存托凭证的目标价，看好其云计算业务增长前景。","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_757833838\">一、股票期权成交量</h2><p>9月30日，港股上午盘三大指数冲高回落，恒生指数、国企指数转跌至0.1%及0.13%，恒生科技指数维持涨势，午间收涨0.55%，三大指数走势出现分化。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/365e8451195f97c8bf947cc7e49709ac\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"150\"/></p><p>截止午间收盘，港股期权半日成交4.63万张，较前一交易日大幅下降；其中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>成交量居首，期权成交近7.2万张；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴-W</a>名列次席，期权成交超4.6万张；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米集团-W</a>位居第三，期权成交超3.1万张。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad345698a0e3b422d7610c8f92e0ff2b\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"2277\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_3841206934\">二、异动观察</h2><p>腾讯控股股价微涨，期权半日成交近7.2万张，认沽期权成交活跃，其中，其中于10月10日到期660港元行使价的认沽期权成交居前，成交近1.9张；</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef3a2445da4c290b3b958755afed813f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"2277\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>涨近1%，期权半日成交超4.6万张，认购期权成交活跃，其中，其中于10月3日到期177.50港元行使价的认购期权成交居前，成交超2000张；</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a1682a0f37beccb4e3a2819aa9659ac\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"2277\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>近日上调了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>美国存托凭证（ADR）的目标价，看好其云计算业务增长前景。</p><p>受资本支出增加、模型升级、战略合作伙伴关系拓展及国际扩张加速推动，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>基于对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴</a>云计算业务增长预期的上调，将阿里巴巴ADR目标价从165美元上调至200美元，维持“增持”评级。</p><p>此次评级上调反映了摩根士丹利对阿里巴巴云计算业务增长的乐观预期。分析师Gary Yu等在报告中表示：“在云栖大会之后，我们对阿里云的前景愈发看好”。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>港股期权｜腾讯认沽期权成交持续活跃；阿里巴巴半日期权成交超4.6万张，</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n港股期权｜腾讯认沽期权成交持续活跃；阿里巴巴半日期权成交超4.6万张，\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-09-30 12:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h2 id=\"id_757833838\">一、股票期权成交量</h2><p>9月30日，港股上午盘三大指数冲高回落，恒生指数、国企指数转跌至0.1%及0.13%，恒生科技指数维持涨势，午间收涨0.55%，三大指数走势出现分化。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/365e8451195f97c8bf947cc7e49709ac\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"150\"/></p><p>截止午间收盘，港股期权半日成交4.63万张，较前一交易日大幅下降；其中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>成交量居首，期权成交近7.2万张；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴-W</a>名列次席，期权成交超4.6万张；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米集团-W</a>位居第三，期权成交超3.1万张。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad345698a0e3b422d7610c8f92e0ff2b\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"2277\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_3841206934\">二、异动观察</h2><p>腾讯控股股价微涨，期权半日成交近7.2万张，认沽期权成交活跃，其中，其中于10月10日到期660港元行使价的认沽期权成交居前，成交近1.9张；</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef3a2445da4c290b3b958755afed813f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"2277\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>涨近1%，期权半日成交超4.6万张，认购期权成交活跃，其中，其中于10月3日到期177.50港元行使价的认购期权成交居前，成交超2000张；</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a1682a0f37beccb4e3a2819aa9659ac\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1179\" tg-height=\"2277\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>近日上调了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>美国存托凭证（ADR）的目标价，看好其云计算业务增长前景。</p><p>受资本支出增加、模型升级、战略合作伙伴关系拓展及国际扩张加速推动，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>基于对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴</a>云计算业务增长预期的上调，将阿里巴巴ADR目标价从165美元上调至200美元，维持“增持”评级。</p><p>此次评级上调反映了摩根士丹利对阿里巴巴云计算业务增长的乐观预期。分析师Gary Yu等在报告中表示：“在云栖大会之后，我们对阿里云的前景愈发看好”。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1cb237e736a4e03c939622e7b71e8e7","relate_stocks":{"SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0228659784.USD":"施罗德金砖四国基金","LU0516422366.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Focus Equities A Acc 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ACC","LU0823426308.USD":"法巴中国股票基金"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131059694","content_text":"一、股票期权成交量9月30日，港股上午盘三大指数冲高回落，恒生指数、国企指数转跌至0.1%及0.13%，恒生科技指数维持涨势，午间收涨0.55%，三大指数走势出现分化。截止午间收盘，港股期权半日成交4.63万张，较前一交易日大幅下降；其中，腾讯控股成交量居首，期权成交近7.2万张；阿里巴巴-W名列次席，期权成交超4.6万张；小米集团-W位居第三，期权成交超3.1万张。二、异动观察腾讯控股股价微涨，期权半日成交近7.2万张，认沽期权成交活跃，其中，其中于10月10日到期660港元行使价的认沽期权成交居前，成交近1.9张；阿里巴巴涨近1%，期权半日成交超4.6万张，认购期权成交活跃，其中，其中于10月3日到期177.50港元行使价的认购期权成交居前，成交超2000张；摩根士丹利近日上调了阿里巴巴美国存托凭证（ADR）的目标价，看好其云计算业务增长前景。受资本支出增加、模型升级、战略合作伙伴关系拓展及国际扩张加速推动，摩根士丹利基于对阿里巴巴云计算业务增长预期的上调，将阿里巴巴ADR目标价从165美元上调至200美元，维持“增持”评级。此次评级上调反映了摩根士丹利对阿里巴巴云计算业务增长的乐观预期。分析师Gary 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这能真装啊就不崩指数，一点信用没有了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/483832264466696","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":168,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":482799352587056,"gmtCreate":1758899828614,"gmtModify":1758902129728,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"中国股市只会闪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3f25808bbc56ad4b78fbe0295b1a86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464587978783849","authorIdStr":"3464587978783849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"收割","listText":"收割","text":"收割","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/482799352587056","repostId":"1119190652","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1119190652","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1758897075,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119190652?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-09-26 22:31","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌超2%，金山云跌超11%，大全新能源跌8%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119190652","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"阿里巴巴、百度跌约3%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周五，中概股整体回调，截至发稿，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HXC\">纳斯达克中国金龙指数</a> 跌超2%。个股中， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">金山云</a> 跌超11%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DQ\">大全新能源</a> 跌8%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WRD\">文远知行</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GDS\">万国数据</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a> 跌超6%，晶科能源、哔哩哔哩跌超5%，知乎、世纪互联、迅雷、禾赛、小牛电动跌超4%，理想汽车跌3.5%，阿里巴巴、百度跌约3%，京东跌2.6%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bb408a19474e68921d3236a7ea2e0c1\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d22a86dc2fa110bb5b2682e4760564b\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌超2%，金山云跌超11%，大全新能源跌8%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-09-26 22:31</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>周五，中概股整体回调，截至发稿，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HXC\">纳斯达克中国金龙指数</a> 跌超2%。个股中， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">金山云</a> 跌超11%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DQ\">大全新能源</a> 跌8%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WRD\">文远知行</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GDS\">万国数据</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a> 跌超6%，晶科能源、哔哩哔哩跌超5%，知乎、世纪互联、迅雷、禾赛、小牛电动跌超4%，理想汽车跌3.5%，阿里巴巴、百度跌约3%，京东跌2.6%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bb408a19474e68921d3236a7ea2e0c1\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d22a86dc2fa110bb5b2682e4760564b\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d43d7160155112fc82742b6856d7558d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b823fa6c7d674b719a54def9b76b7c88","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","DQ":"大全新能源","HXC":"纳斯达克中国金龙指数","KC":"金山云"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119190652","content_text":"周五，中概股整体回调，截至发稿，纳斯达克中国金龙指数 跌超2%。个股中， 金山云 跌超11%， 大全新能源 跌8%， 文远知行 、 万国数据 、 蔚来 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没有退市赔偿，没有个股卖空，只是一个收割市场","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/479967172767744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":479862166504288,"gmtCreate":1758177730825,"gmtModify":1758178347482,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"中国股市只会闪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3f25808bbc56ad4b78fbe0295b1a86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464587978783849","authorIdStr":"3464587978783849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/FCHmain\">$富时中国H50指数主连 2509(FCHmain)$ </a>从不看多","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/FCHmain\">$富时中国H50指数主连 2509(FCHmain)$ </a>从不看多","text":"$富时中国H50指数主连 2509(FCHmain)$ 从不看多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/479862166504288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":476798944527120,"gmtCreate":1757428436371,"gmtModify":1757429352136,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"中国股市只会闪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3f25808bbc56ad4b78fbe0295b1a86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464587978783849","authorIdStr":"3464587978783849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HXC\">$纳斯达克中国金龙指数(HXC)$&nbsp;</a> A股都崩了你们还在涨？这是？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HXC\">$纳斯达克中国金龙指数(HXC)$&nbsp;</a> A股都崩了你们还在涨？这是？","text":"$纳斯达克中国金龙指数(HXC)$ A股都崩了你们还在涨？这是？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/476798944527120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":403,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":476735186362728,"gmtCreate":1757413067302,"gmtModify":1757413340467,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"中国股市只会闪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3f25808bbc56ad4b78fbe0295b1a86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464587978783849","authorIdStr":"3464587978783849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"直播的鼻祖，可惜了！","listText":"直播的鼻祖，可惜了！","text":"直播的鼻祖，可惜了！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/476735186362728","repostId":"1171417432","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1171417432","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1757408813,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171417432?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-09-09 17:06","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"挚文集团二季度营收26.2亿元，月活跃用户同比下滑21%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171417432","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"二季度净营收26.2亿元人民币。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MOMO\">挚文集团</a> 第二季度净营收26.2亿元人民币，预估26.1亿元人民币。</p><p>第二季度月活跃用户1,020万，同比下滑21%。</p><p>挚文集团预计第三季度净营收25.9亿元人民币至26.9亿元人民币。这一区间的下限低于第二季度的实际表现，公司可能面临业务增长放缓的压力。</p><p>挚文集团盘前重挫，一度跌超10%，截至发稿跌幅超6%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0fb1302b7b029d812e756df01dad743\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1296\" tg-height=\"415\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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特朗普不玩了。拥抱美国三大股指，远离A股指数牛市，全面闪崩还在A股！唯一不看好的依旧A股！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/427482621345888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":330243940,"gmtCreate":1608638150680,"gmtModify":1703735884491,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"中国股市只会闪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3f25808bbc56ad4b78fbe0295b1a86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464587978783849","authorIdStr":"3464587978783849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"只允许国家的镰刀割百姓！A股昨天的新高，今天的白酒。腐败国","listText":"只允许国家的镰刀割百姓！A股昨天的新高，今天的白酒。腐败国","text":"只允许国家的镰刀割百姓！A股昨天的新高，今天的白酒。腐败国","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/330243940","repostId":"1174334877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174334877","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1608630926,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174334877?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-12-22 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-12-22 17:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>12月22日讯，市场监管总局联合商务部22日召开规范社区团购秩序行政指导会，阿里、腾讯、京东、美团、拼多多、滴滴6家互联网平台企业参加。</p><p>为严格规范社区团购经营行为，会议要求互联网平台企业严格遵守“九不得”：</p><p>一是不得通过低价倾销、价格串通、哄抬价格、价格欺诈等方式滥用自主定价权。</p><p>二是不得违法达成、实施固定价格、限制商品生产或销售数量、分割市场等任何形式的垄断协议。</p><p>三是不得实施没有正当理由的掠夺性定价、拒绝交易、搭售等滥用市场支配地位行为。</p><p>四是不得违法实施经营者集中，排除、限制竞争。</p><p>五是不得实施商业混淆、虚假宣传、商业诋毁等不正当竞争行为，危害公平竞争市场环境。</p><p>六是不得利用数据优势“杀熟”，损害消费者合法权益。</p><p>七是不得利用技术手段损害竞争秩序，妨碍其他市场主体正常经营。</p><p>八是不得非法收集、使用消费者个人信息，给消费者带来安全隐患。</p><p>九是不得销售假冒伪劣商品，危害安全放心的消费环境。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a5212c9d3a7218a2bb30026ccad897f\" tg-width=\"1158\" tg-height=\"1074\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/099212af0a8bdd6097902fb1c82cd1b7","relate_stocks":{"03690":"美团-W","BABA":"阿里巴巴","09618":"京东集团-SW","00700":"腾讯控股","JD":"京东","PDD":"拼多多","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174334877","content_text":"12月22日讯，市场监管总局联合商务部22日召开规范社区团购秩序行政指导会，阿里、腾讯、京东、美团、拼多多、滴滴6家互联网平台企业参加。为严格规范社区团购经营行为，会议要求互联网平台企业严格遵守“九不得”：一是不得通过低价倾销、价格串通、哄抬价格、价格欺诈等方式滥用自主定价权。二是不得违法达成、实施固定价格、限制商品生产或销售数量、分割市场等任何形式的垄断协议。三是不得实施没有正当理由的掠夺性定价、拒绝交易、搭售等滥用市场支配地位行为。四是不得违法实施经营者集中，排除、限制竞争。五是不得实施商业混淆、虚假宣传、商业诋毁等不正当竞争行为，危害公平竞争市场环境。六是不得利用数据优势“杀熟”，损害消费者合法权益。七是不得利用技术手段损害竞争秩序，妨碍其他市场主体正常经营。八是不得非法收集、使用消费者个人信息，给消费者带来安全隐患。九是不得销售假冒伪劣商品，危害安全放心的消费环境。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00700":0.9,"03690":0.9,"09618":0.9,"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"JD":0.9,"PDD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3497567224744614","authorId":"3497567224744614","name":"吃肉的兔子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3497567224744614","authorIdStr":"3497567224744614"},"content":"就一点，这些姓私不姓公，不允许这些人庞大到左右国家，危害国家安全。","text":"就一点，这些姓私不姓公，不允许这些人庞大到左右国家，危害国家安全。","html":"就一点，这些姓私不姓公，不允许这些人庞大到左右国家，危害国家安全。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":476701531955800,"gmtCreate":1757385496945,"gmtModify":1757387608109,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"中国股市只会闪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3f25808bbc56ad4b78fbe0295b1a86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464587978783849","authorIdStr":"3464587978783849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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A股50继续崩盘才对，指数诈骗也不可持续。投资中国损失惨重是必然的，玩不过他们","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/448991056498968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1057,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":474060894003344,"gmtCreate":1756769383205,"gmtModify":1756776675256,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"中国股市只会闪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3f25808bbc56ad4b78fbe0295b1a86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464587978783849","authorIdStr":"3464587978783849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"特朗普真没啥成绩！就是炒币的总统","listText":"特朗普真没啥成绩！就是炒币的总统","text":"特朗普真没啥成绩！就是炒币的总统","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/474060894003344","repostId":"1103413084","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1103413084","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1756768889,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103413084?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-09-02 07:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"WLFI短暂上扬后急挫，特朗普家族“核心代币”遭遇信任危机？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103413084","media":"券商中国","summary":"特朗普家族“核心代币”突然暴跌。加密货币市场迎来重磅事件——特朗普家族“核心代币”WLFI正式开始交易，备受市场关注。在开始交易后不久，WLFI代币便遭遇猛烈抛售，价格一度暴跌超20%。特朗普3月6日签署行政令，设立战略比特币储备。此外，虽否认入股传闻，但特朗普家族与币安等交易所密切互动，政策倾向愈发明显。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>特朗普家族“核心代币”突然暴跌。</strong></p><p>加密货币市场迎来重磅事件——特朗普家族“核心代币”WLFI正式开始交易，备受市场关注。在开始交易后不久，WLFI代币便遭遇猛烈抛售，价格一度暴跌超20%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得一提的是，特朗普家族在该项目中占据核心位置，美国总统特朗普本人在项目网站上被列为“荣休”成员及“首席加密货币倡导者”。另外，一个与特朗普家族关联的实体DT Marks DEFI LLC，拥有世界自由金融公司（WLF）38%的股份，并持有225亿枚WLFI代币，享有代币销售收益75%的分成。</p><blockquote><h2 id=\"id_618642038\">突然暴跌</h2></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">北京时间9月1日晚间，WLF平台旗下治理代币WLFI正式开始交易。CoinGlass数据显示，在交易后不久，WLFI代币价格一度短暂冲高，随后直线跳水。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">WLF是由特朗普家族公开支持的去中心化金融项目，WLFI将通过一个名为“Lockbox”的系统进行分发，在币安、Coinbase等主流加密货币交易所进行，加密货币市场对此高度关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">WLFI总供应量为1000亿枚，该项目于2024年9月由美国房地产巨头Steve Witkoff及其儿子Zach指导创立，联合创始人包括加密领域的活跃人士Chase Herro和Zak Folkman。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据悉，特朗普本人在项目网站上被列为“荣休”成员及“首席加密货币倡导者”，其子Donald Trump Jr.和Eric Trump则担任“Web3大使”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">除了特朗普家族实体外，据Accountable.US与彭博社联合披露的信息，波场创始人孙宇晨也是该项目最大的独立投资人之一。其控制的TRON DAO于2024年11月以3000万美元认购了30亿枚WLFI代币，成交价为0.01美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">有分析指出，WLFI在设计和叙事层面与特朗普币有所不同，结合了DeFi架构、治理机制和个人品牌效应，试图打造一个兼具功能与话题性的代币。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">因此，市场对WLFI的估值预期非常高。WLFI代币在2024年10月和2025年1月的两轮代币销售中，价格分别为0.015美元和0.05美元，共筹集资金5.5亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">该项目技术团队也颇具看点，包括稳定币公司Paxos创始人Rich Teo、DeFi平台Dolomite联合创始人Corey Caplan等资深人士。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">根据规定，除了特朗普家族以外的、以0.015美元和0.05美元购买该代币的早期投资者，能够解锁并出售其所持代币总量的20%，这部分代币约占总供应量的5%。剩余80%将受社区治理约束，创始人、顾问和合作伙伴的分配仍处于锁定状态。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">WLF负责人德瑞欧（Vincent Deriu）表示，较大的股东希望能坚持WLFI涨至1美元或更高的价格再抛售。而对于散户投资者而言，他们的持有计划各不相同。一项针对WLFI Discord集团的调查发现，如果价格达到47美分，许多散户持有者计划出售至少100万个WLFI代币。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">对于为何此次仅解锁20%卖出限额，Messari分析师贝恩称，这是 “一种标准的浮动管理策略”，通过限制早期流动性，项目方可以减少短期抛售压力，从而保持价格稳定，并提升市场观感。</p><blockquote><h2 id=\"id_2768071312\">特朗普持续影响加密货币市场</h2></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">有分析指出，特朗普家族在加密货币领域影响力正日益增长。据观察者网消息，自去年美国大选以来，特朗普家族频繁参与加密货币相关项目。据美媒报道，公开数据显示，特朗普家族已涉足非同质化代币（NFT）、比特币“挖矿”、发布个人加密货币等业务，并通过这些项目获得近10亿美元账面收益。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在入主白宫后，特朗普随即任命了加密货币支持者保罗·阿特金斯为美国证券交易委员会（SEC）主席，推动行业宽松监管。2025年1月，特朗普签署行政令，要求建立政府主导的比特币储备，旨在增强美元竞争力并吸引矿企支持。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随后，他还推动《天才法案》通过，明确稳定币监管框架，要求储备资产透明化，并试图以此巩固美元数字霸权。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">同期，特朗普推出个人代币——特朗普币（$TRUMP），基于Solana区块链，总市值一度飙升150亿美元，20%代币由特朗普家族关联公司持有。另外，他还推出梅拉尼娅币（$MELANIA）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特朗普3月6日签署行政令，设立战略比特币储备。特朗普表示，美国联邦政府今后将不会再出售所掌握的多达20万枚比特币。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，特朗普家族还深度参与比特币挖矿业务，于2025年3月宣布成立合资公司，专注于比特币挖矿，计划整合特朗普家族资源与矿企技术，目标成为美国挖矿行业核心参与者。随后，特朗普集团执行副总裁埃里克·特朗普（Eric Trump）还通过收购上市公司Hut 8矿企部分资产，合作成立比特币挖矿公司“美国比特币”（American Bitcoin）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">文件显示，埃里克·特朗普是该公司的联合创始人兼首席战略官，持有9.3%的股份。此外，虽否认入股传闻，但特朗普家族与币安等交易所密切互动，政策倾向愈发明显。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">针对这一系列举动，外界批评人士认为，家族在总统任期内大举涉足加密货币产业，可能造成监管与利益之间的严重冲突。</p></body></html>","source":"cszg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WLFI短暂上扬后急挫，特朗普家族“核心代币”遭遇信任危机？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWLFI短暂上扬后急挫，特朗普家族“核心代币”遭遇信任危机？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-09-02 07:21 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/CSL7gsBXrdUSuvQdzG9Avw><strong>券商中国</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>特朗普家族“核心代币”突然暴跌。加密货币市场迎来重磅事件——特朗普家族“核心代币”WLFI正式开始交易，备受市场关注。在开始交易后不久，WLFI代币便遭遇猛烈抛售，价格一度暴跌超20%。值得一提的是，特朗普家族在该项目中占据核心位置，美国总统特朗普本人在项目网站上被列为“荣休”成员及“首席加密货币倡导者”。另外，一个与特朗普家族关联的实体DT Marks DEFI LLC，拥有世界自由金融公司（...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/CSL7gsBXrdUSuvQdzG9Avw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e478d6b07d07cb89a4d4d7ae1e56f5a","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/CSL7gsBXrdUSuvQdzG9Avw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103413084","content_text":"特朗普家族“核心代币”突然暴跌。加密货币市场迎来重磅事件——特朗普家族“核心代币”WLFI正式开始交易，备受市场关注。在开始交易后不久，WLFI代币便遭遇猛烈抛售，价格一度暴跌超20%。值得一提的是，特朗普家族在该项目中占据核心位置，美国总统特朗普本人在项目网站上被列为“荣休”成员及“首席加密货币倡导者”。另外，一个与特朗普家族关联的实体DT Marks DEFI LLC，拥有世界自由金融公司（WLF）38%的股份，并持有225亿枚WLFI代币，享有代币销售收益75%的分成。突然暴跌北京时间9月1日晚间，WLF平台旗下治理代币WLFI正式开始交易。CoinGlass数据显示，在交易后不久，WLFI代币价格一度短暂冲高，随后直线跳水。WLF是由特朗普家族公开支持的去中心化金融项目，WLFI将通过一个名为“Lockbox”的系统进行分发，在币安、Coinbase等主流加密货币交易所进行，加密货币市场对此高度关注。WLFI总供应量为1000亿枚，该项目于2024年9月由美国房地产巨头Steve Witkoff及其儿子Zach指导创立，联合创始人包括加密领域的活跃人士Chase Herro和Zak Folkman。据悉，特朗普本人在项目网站上被列为“荣休”成员及“首席加密货币倡导者”，其子Donald Trump Jr.和Eric Trump则担任“Web3大使”。除了特朗普家族实体外，据Accountable.US与彭博社联合披露的信息，波场创始人孙宇晨也是该项目最大的独立投资人之一。其控制的TRON DAO于2024年11月以3000万美元认购了30亿枚WLFI代币，成交价为0.01美元。有分析指出，WLFI在设计和叙事层面与特朗普币有所不同，结合了DeFi架构、治理机制和个人品牌效应，试图打造一个兼具功能与话题性的代币。因此，市场对WLFI的估值预期非常高。WLFI代币在2024年10月和2025年1月的两轮代币销售中，价格分别为0.015美元和0.05美元，共筹集资金5.5亿美元。该项目技术团队也颇具看点，包括稳定币公司Paxos创始人Rich Teo、DeFi平台Dolomite联合创始人Corey Caplan等资深人士。根据规定，除了特朗普家族以外的、以0.015美元和0.05美元购买该代币的早期投资者，能够解锁并出售其所持代币总量的20%，这部分代币约占总供应量的5%。剩余80%将受社区治理约束，创始人、顾问和合作伙伴的分配仍处于锁定状态。WLF负责人德瑞欧（Vincent Deriu）表示，较大的股东希望能坚持WLFI涨至1美元或更高的价格再抛售。而对于散户投资者而言，他们的持有计划各不相同。一项针对WLFI Discord集团的调查发现，如果价格达到47美分，许多散户持有者计划出售至少100万个WLFI代币。对于为何此次仅解锁20%卖出限额，Messari分析师贝恩称，这是 “一种标准的浮动管理策略”，通过限制早期流动性，项目方可以减少短期抛售压力，从而保持价格稳定，并提升市场观感。特朗普持续影响加密货币市场有分析指出，特朗普家族在加密货币领域影响力正日益增长。据观察者网消息，自去年美国大选以来，特朗普家族频繁参与加密货币相关项目。据美媒报道，公开数据显示，特朗普家族已涉足非同质化代币（NFT）、比特币“挖矿”、发布个人加密货币等业务，并通过这些项目获得近10亿美元账面收益。在入主白宫后，特朗普随即任命了加密货币支持者保罗·阿特金斯为美国证券交易委员会（SEC）主席，推动行业宽松监管。2025年1月，特朗普签署行政令，要求建立政府主导的比特币储备，旨在增强美元竞争力并吸引矿企支持。随后，他还推动《天才法案》通过，明确稳定币监管框架，要求储备资产透明化，并试图以此巩固美元数字霸权。同期，特朗普推出个人代币——特朗普币（$TRUMP），基于Solana区块链，总市值一度飙升150亿美元，20%代币由特朗普家族关联公司持有。另外，他还推出梅拉尼娅币（$MELANIA）。特朗普3月6日签署行政令，设立战略比特币储备。特朗普表示，美国联邦政府今后将不会再出售所掌握的多达20万枚比特币。此外，特朗普家族还深度参与比特币挖矿业务，于2025年3月宣布成立合资公司，专注于比特币挖矿，计划整合特朗普家族资源与矿企技术，目标成为美国挖矿行业核心参与者。随后，特朗普集团执行副总裁埃里克·特朗普（Eric Trump）还通过收购上市公司Hut 8矿企部分资产，合作成立比特币挖矿公司“美国比特币”（American Bitcoin）。文件显示，埃里克·特朗普是该公司的联合创始人兼首席战略官，持有9.3%的股份。此外，虽否认入股传闻，但特朗普家族与币安等交易所密切互动，政策倾向愈发明显。针对这一系列举动，外界批评人士认为，家族在总统任期内大举涉足加密货币产业，可能造成监管与利益之间的严重冲突。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4203134758685802","authorId":"4203134758685802","name":"机智的骁总","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/574c07dc2b26d1c01e1522a040e611cb","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4203134758685802","authorIdStr":"4203134758685802"},"content":"兄弟你这个ID，不好吧","text":"兄弟你这个ID，不好吧","html":"兄弟你这个ID，不好吧"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":803567611,"gmtCreate":1627449647933,"gmtModify":1627449647933,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"中国股市只会闪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3f25808bbc56ad4b78fbe0295b1a86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464587978783849","authorIdStr":"3464587978783849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这帮人坏的狠，吃饱就让你抄底，必崩，这两天也就是预热崩，早着呢！巨崩缩量再来看多！啥市场心里有逼数","listText":"这帮人坏的狠，吃饱就让你抄底，必崩，这两天也就是预热崩，早着呢！巨崩缩量再来看多！啥市场心里有逼数","text":"这帮人坏的狠，吃饱就让你抄底，必崩，这两天也就是预热崩，早着呢！巨崩缩量再来看多！啥市场心里有逼数","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803567611","repostId":"1114345027","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1059,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301105673,"gmtCreate":1603378926692,"gmtModify":1703829776841,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"中国股市只会闪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3f25808bbc56ad4b78fbe0295b1a86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464587978783849","authorIdStr":"3464587978783849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"中国人民关注美国大选，但从来不关注中国自己谁领导","listText":"中国人民关注美国大选，但从来不关注中国自己谁领导","text":"中国人民关注美国大选，但从来不关注中国自己谁领导","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301105673","repostId":"1194456568","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194456568","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1603377237,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194456568?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-10-22 22:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"定音之锤！美国大选最后一场辩论该看什么？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194456568","media":"金十数据","summary":"12小时后，2020年美国总统大选前的最后一场辩论将拉开序幕，现任总统特朗普和民主党总统候选人拜登交锋在即。全球目光已经开始锁定，各路资金也蠢蠢欲动。作为一个交易员，我们该为此作何准备，又该如何解读这","content":"<p>12小时后，2020年美国总统大选前的最后一场辩论将拉开序幕，现任总统特朗普和民主党总统候选人拜登交锋在即。</p><p>全球目光已经开始锁定，各路资金也蠢蠢欲动。作为一个交易员，我们该为此作何准备，又该如何解读这场年度盛事？</p><p>今天，DATA交易室就告诉你，<b>如何从交易的角度，解读大选前的最后一辩。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2471c9172779d37ce1ee67bf57d19e2a\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"221\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dba296afe39cf6beb482ff29019d4fe2\" tg-width=\"729\" tg-height=\"978\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c66b3e2d98050ea00243fab5342c14df\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"220\"></p><p>原定于10月15日举行的第二场总统辩论被取消后，将在周五（10月23日）早上举行的这场辩论将成为实际意义上的<b>第二场辩论</b>和大选前的<b>最后一场辩论</b>。</p><p>按照传统，所有美国主要电视台和有线电视网都会直播这场难得的辩论盛事。2020年首场总统辩论已经吸引了约6470万美国电视观众，创下美国史上总统候选人首场辩论的第三高收视率。毫无疑问，将于明日早上举行的最后一场辩论将更受瞩目。</p><p><b>作为交易员，看热闹是一回事，但大家更关心的肯定是：市场行情是否会受到扰动，如何其能抓住其中的投资时机呢？</b></p><p>别急，且听D哥给你慢慢道来。</p><p><b>在各项资产中，受总统辩论等政治性事件影响最大的资产无疑是美股。</b></p><p>DATA统计了1960年以来，美国总统大选前首场辩论结束后，标准普尔500指数在不同时间区间的收益率表现，并得出了几个有趣的答案。</p><blockquote><b>★ 其实总统辩论利多美股。</b></blockquote><p>尽管市面上大部分的分析都把总统辩论看作是一个利空事件，依据是辩论后美股的平均收益率为负值。</p><p><b>但是D哥却发现，这一数据可能极大地受到了2008年金融危机的干扰。</b>2008年的三场总统辩论分别安排在9月26日，10月7日，10月15日举行，当时恰是次贷危机爆发，美股下挫最严重的那段时期。</p><p><b>因此，D哥认为并不能把这段时间的美股下跌当作是总统辩论带来的结果，而应该看作是一个异常值。</b></p><blockquote>如下图所示，在去除2008年的异常值后，美股在首场辩论后的次日平均收益率（0.5%），5日平均收益率（0.0%），10日平均收益率（0.6%），1个月平均收益率（0.7%）均为非负数。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1f2aabfdd07ce961c92ee35faded404\" tg-width=\"1780\" tg-height=\"1031\"></p><blockquote>★ <b>对于第三场辩论，行情的大小取决于其能否影响大选。</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/214048803cff16566b3e252d837784c9\" tg-width=\"1568\" tg-height=\"713\"></p><p>如上图所示，第三场辩论也不时每一次都能引发大型的市场波动。</p><p>深挖一番后，D哥发现，对于第三场辩论，市场波动的大小似乎取决于该场辩论能否分出明显的胜负，<b>用更准确的话来说应该是，将取决于该场辩论将在何种程度上影响大选的结果。</b></p><p>总统辩论本身一般没有明确输赢，因为在寻常的总统辩论，两位候选人往往表现得旗鼓相当。</p><blockquote><b>但在总统辩论的历史上，也有几位公认的赢家，例如：1960年靠“漂亮脸蛋”扭转乾坤并当选的肯尼迪，1980年和1984年两次靠幽默和气度获胜的里根。</b></blockquote><p>相应地，在这些年份，大批交易员会在观看了辩论后，集体变更或加大对大选结果的押注，美股行情也会因此呈现较大幅度的波动。</p><p>这一规律也同样适用于其他两场辩论。例如：</p><blockquote>对于今年的首场辩论，媒体最统一的评价就是两位竞选人表现得一样糟糕，“不相上下”，因此也没能对民调或者市场行情造成较大的影响。</blockquote><p><b>那么，关键来了，明日的那场辩论能否左右大选？答案是肯定的。</b></p><blockquote><b>★大部分选民在做出最终决定前会以辩论为参考，但是辩论能影响的民调并不多。</b>★ <b>所幸，特朗普和拜登的民调差距并不大！</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053e34c3000d85c0c63f7096b8b2b98b\" tg-width=\"1537\" tg-height=\"1032\"></p><p>如上图所示，DATA统计显示<b>，自1988年以来，将近60%美国民众认为总统辩论对选举决策有帮助，超过10%的摇摆选民会在总统辩论后才做出决定。</b></p><p>如此看来总统辩论似乎十分关键。但是从最终结果来看，故事又是一个样子。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa0c35f04215fd31f5ece7af8d6936f2\" tg-width=\"1540\" tg-height=\"1035\"></p><p>如上图所示，<b>有74％的选民会观看辩论，但只有13％的人认为结果会影响他们的观点。</b><u>与之相符的是，尽管摇摆选民倾向于在观看了总统辩论后再做出决定，但是结果同样显示，大部分的选民依旧习惯于坚持最初的观点。</u></p><p><b>总体而言，辩论对大选的影响是有限的。</b>因此，要衡量最后一场辩论的重要性，还需要看看总统候选人之间的支持率的差距。</p><p><b>如果两者民调差距很大，那么辩论也无法带来逆转。但如果两者差距很小，总统辩论则可能成为最关键一场战局。而这一次的情况恰好属于后者。</b></p><blockquote>从21日的民调支持率看，42.4%的美国选民支持特朗普，51.3%的选民支持拜登。</blockquote><p>如今，虽然超过2600万张选票已经尘埃落定，但是仍有相当大部分的摇摆选民还未投票。</p><blockquote>入主白宫门槛是取得半数选举人票（270张），其中关键的摇摆6州（威斯康辛、密西根、宾夕法尼亚州，亚利桑那、佛罗里达、北卡罗来纳州）共占了101张选票。</blockquote><p><b>换句话说，无论特朗普或拜登，很可能都需要拿下其中至少3州，才能掌握多数选举人票。</b>如此可见，明日的这场辩论还是十分关键的，<b>更有不少媒体认为这次辩论是特朗普扭转局势的最后机会。</b></p><p>虽然拜登不仅在全国民调领先特朗普约10个百分点，在6大主要摇摆州也全数领先。<b>但是对特朗普来说，只要定音之锤还未敲下，就仍有逆转机会。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69e01d99d8e25ed4a55cb3a4abc6f3da\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"221\"></p><p>然而，对于2020年的大选而言，辩论的意义还不仅限于“预测总统是谁”那么简单。辩论前后，两位总统候选人放出的那些只言片语可能更具有爆炸性的威力。</p><p>实际上，今年的首场总统辩论就出现了这样的幺蛾子。</p><blockquote>在首次辩论前几天的一次采访中，特朗普表示， <b><u>邮寄投票比在选举日亲自投票更容易发生舞弊的情况。如果拜登赢得大选，他不会承诺和平地进行权力交接。</u></b></blockquote><p>其实，这并不是特朗普第一次表态拒绝承认大选结果。但随着时间流逝，拜登保持优势并获胜的可能性越来越高，更多的人开始担心这只黑天鹅真的会起飞<b><u>（历史上的确曾经出现选举结果不被认可，甚至被推翻的场景，当时也是引起了市场波动的暴涨）。</u></b></p><p>因此，在首场辩论结束后，就有人预知：</p><blockquote>★ <b>无论辩论结果如何，今年的大选日恐怕都将迎来一场“恐怖的”波动。</b></blockquote><p><u><b>其中D哥发现，VIX期货市场或是最先对于大选夜将出现恐怖波动发出警讯的地方。</b></u></p><blockquote>★ <b>首场总统辩论没能阻止市场持续押注不确定性，VIX期货合约价上升。</b></blockquote><p>其实，在大选年，由于市场担心不确定，波动率都会出现不同程度的上涨，但是随着总统辩论的进行，大选的形势变得清晰，市场的这种恐惧将得到舒缓。</p><p><b>然而，今年的首场总统辩论似乎并未能安抚到这群不安的交易者，特朗普的那些话反而激起了他们心底的某种担忧，部分对风险敏感的交易者已经开始进行对冲大选月可能出现的“恐怖波动”。</b></p><blockquote>据芝加哥期权交易所，截止至9月23日，10月VIX期货合约的未平仓合约已超过100000。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fee1d9530b7fcfeb92d7860b1f79e71\" tg-width=\"1334\" tg-height=\"769\"></p><p>如上图所示，在首场辩论结束后的第二天，市场加倍疯狂地买进VIX期货，多个月份的VIX期货合约的价格携手上涨，10月（大选月）VIX期货合约的未平仓合约和结算价更是异常高企。</p><p>更值得注意的是，VIX期货市场传递出的另一个信号。</p><blockquote>★ <b>9月-10月VIX期货合约价差持续处于高位，选举日后到期的合约涨势最猛。</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d12ba844e404c6993580b7859c91d631\" tg-width=\"1190\" tg-height=\"878\"></p><p>如上图所示，与过去四个选举年相比，今年9月和10月合约的价差异常高企：<u>2012年10月VIX期货的定价为21.20，而2020年10月VIX期货定价屡次超30。</u></p><p>不仅如此，在11月3日（选举日）之后到期的合约增长最大。</p><p><u>没错，以上种种信号均自首场辩论开始出现，并暗示了交易员正在押注同一个预期：</u><b>今年的大选可能不会一帆风顺地过去，市场甚至可能要花好几周才能完全消化大选的冲击。</b></p><blockquote>★ <b>另一个重要的预警讯号来自华尔街对交易量的预期。</b></blockquote><p>技术咨询公司ITRS Group的数据显示，<b><u>由于两党势均力敌，11月3日的交易量可能会飙升至正常水平的8倍。</u></b></p><p>更有投行指出，如此大的交易量已经开始对华尔街那些大型银行进行施压，<b>它们开始测试自身的处理技术，以确保届时他们能够快速提供额外的流动性。</b></p><blockquote><b>如果说上述第一点最有可能带来的波动风险是</b> <b>“踩踏事故”</b> <b>（因同时兑现某一意外事故，市场交易拥挤，进而引发踩踏行情），那么第二点将带来的就是</b> <b>“流动性风险”</b> <b>（银行无法同时满足所有订单的流动性需求，进而导致订单无法成交或者行情闪崩）。</b></blockquote><p>如果你还记得今年3月份的黄金点差异常事故，你就知道缺失流动性可比突发的基本面变故可怕多了。</p><p>那么，交易员最该注意哪几个市场？</p><p>从资金面上看，美股、美债、金银以及原油市场纷纷呈现出“拜登行情”（即押注拜登当选）。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55585fc5d15b379d6e535bebd5f5eae4\" tg-width=\"1329\" tg-height=\"745\"></p><blockquote><b>★金银，原油多仓占主导；油市空仓占主导；美债空仓占主导；美股贪婪情绪升温，拜登利好的股票大涨。</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/73876ed7061476006988a047e4b4a939\" tg-width=\"1318\" tg-height=\"1008\"></p><p>从仓位水平来看，交易者尤其需要注意被空头极端押注的美债。</p><p>CFTC截至10月13日的数据显示，较长期美国国债期货的头寸达到了极端水平，美国国债市场未平仓合约达120万份，为仅次于2月高位的纪录次高水平：</p><blockquote><b>资产管理者</b>持有的挂钩15-25年到期美国国债的期货 <b>多头</b>头寸已增加至纪录最高水平。同时， <b>杠杆基金</b>持有的 <b>净空头头寸</b>也达到最高纪录。</blockquote><p><b>台上，决战的号角即将吹响，对特朗普和拜登而言，都该背水一“辩”了。</b></p><p><b>台下，一样如火如荼。有人已经做出了押注，有人正在观望跃跃欲试。</b></p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>定音之锤！美国大选最后一场辩论该看什么？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n定音之锤！美国大选最后一场辩论该看什么？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-10-22 22:33 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/66027><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>12小时后，2020年美国总统大选前的最后一场辩论将拉开序幕，现任总统特朗普和民主党总统候选人拜登交锋在即。全球目光已经开始锁定，各路资金也蠢蠢欲动。作为一个交易员，我们该为此作何准备，又该如何解读这场年度盛事？今天，DATA交易室就告诉你，如何从交易的角度，解读大选前的最后一辩。原定于10月15日举行的第二场总统辩论被取消后，将在周五（10月23日）早上举行的这场辩论将成为实际意义上的第二场辩论...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/66027\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ef044d2851bedadba3f0e79fc44e147","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/66027","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194456568","content_text":"12小时后，2020年美国总统大选前的最后一场辩论将拉开序幕，现任总统特朗普和民主党总统候选人拜登交锋在即。全球目光已经开始锁定，各路资金也蠢蠢欲动。作为一个交易员，我们该为此作何准备，又该如何解读这场年度盛事？今天，DATA交易室就告诉你，如何从交易的角度，解读大选前的最后一辩。原定于10月15日举行的第二场总统辩论被取消后，将在周五（10月23日）早上举行的这场辩论将成为实际意义上的第二场辩论和大选前的最后一场辩论。按照传统，所有美国主要电视台和有线电视网都会直播这场难得的辩论盛事。2020年首场总统辩论已经吸引了约6470万美国电视观众，创下美国史上总统候选人首场辩论的第三高收视率。毫无疑问，将于明日早上举行的最后一场辩论将更受瞩目。作为交易员，看热闹是一回事，但大家更关心的肯定是：市场行情是否会受到扰动，如何其能抓住其中的投资时机呢？别急，且听D哥给你慢慢道来。在各项资产中，受总统辩论等政治性事件影响最大的资产无疑是美股。DATA统计了1960年以来，美国总统大选前首场辩论结束后，标准普尔500指数在不同时间区间的收益率表现，并得出了几个有趣的答案。★ 其实总统辩论利多美股。尽管市面上大部分的分析都把总统辩论看作是一个利空事件，依据是辩论后美股的平均收益率为负值。但是D哥却发现，这一数据可能极大地受到了2008年金融危机的干扰。2008年的三场总统辩论分别安排在9月26日，10月7日，10月15日举行，当时恰是次贷危机爆发，美股下挫最严重的那段时期。因此，D哥认为并不能把这段时间的美股下跌当作是总统辩论带来的结果，而应该看作是一个异常值。如下图所示，在去除2008年的异常值后，美股在首场辩论后的次日平均收益率（0.5%），5日平均收益率（0.0%），10日平均收益率（0.6%），1个月平均收益率（0.7%）均为非负数。★ 对于第三场辩论，行情的大小取决于其能否影响大选。如上图所示，第三场辩论也不时每一次都能引发大型的市场波动。深挖一番后，D哥发现，对于第三场辩论，市场波动的大小似乎取决于该场辩论能否分出明显的胜负，用更准确的话来说应该是，将取决于该场辩论将在何种程度上影响大选的结果。总统辩论本身一般没有明确输赢，因为在寻常的总统辩论，两位候选人往往表现得旗鼓相当。但在总统辩论的历史上，也有几位公认的赢家，例如：1960年靠“漂亮脸蛋”扭转乾坤并当选的肯尼迪，1980年和1984年两次靠幽默和气度获胜的里根。相应地，在这些年份，大批交易员会在观看了辩论后，集体变更或加大对大选结果的押注，美股行情也会因此呈现较大幅度的波动。这一规律也同样适用于其他两场辩论。例如：对于今年的首场辩论，媒体最统一的评价就是两位竞选人表现得一样糟糕，“不相上下”，因此也没能对民调或者市场行情造成较大的影响。那么，关键来了，明日的那场辩论能否左右大选？答案是肯定的。★大部分选民在做出最终决定前会以辩论为参考，但是辩论能影响的民调并不多。★ 所幸，特朗普和拜登的民调差距并不大！如上图所示，DATA统计显示，自1988年以来，将近60%美国民众认为总统辩论对选举决策有帮助，超过10%的摇摆选民会在总统辩论后才做出决定。如此看来总统辩论似乎十分关键。但是从最终结果来看，故事又是一个样子。如上图所示，有74％的选民会观看辩论，但只有13％的人认为结果会影响他们的观点。与之相符的是，尽管摇摆选民倾向于在观看了总统辩论后再做出决定，但是结果同样显示，大部分的选民依旧习惯于坚持最初的观点。总体而言，辩论对大选的影响是有限的。因此，要衡量最后一场辩论的重要性，还需要看看总统候选人之间的支持率的差距。如果两者民调差距很大，那么辩论也无法带来逆转。但如果两者差距很小，总统辩论则可能成为最关键一场战局。而这一次的情况恰好属于后者。从21日的民调支持率看，42.4%的美国选民支持特朗普，51.3%的选民支持拜登。如今，虽然超过2600万张选票已经尘埃落定，但是仍有相当大部分的摇摆选民还未投票。入主白宫门槛是取得半数选举人票（270张），其中关键的摇摆6州（威斯康辛、密西根、宾夕法尼亚州，亚利桑那、佛罗里达、北卡罗来纳州）共占了101张选票。换句话说，无论特朗普或拜登，很可能都需要拿下其中至少3州，才能掌握多数选举人票。如此可见，明日的这场辩论还是十分关键的，更有不少媒体认为这次辩论是特朗普扭转局势的最后机会。虽然拜登不仅在全国民调领先特朗普约10个百分点，在6大主要摇摆州也全数领先。但是对特朗普来说，只要定音之锤还未敲下，就仍有逆转机会。然而，对于2020年的大选而言，辩论的意义还不仅限于“预测总统是谁”那么简单。辩论前后，两位总统候选人放出的那些只言片语可能更具有爆炸性的威力。实际上，今年的首场总统辩论就出现了这样的幺蛾子。在首次辩论前几天的一次采访中，特朗普表示， 邮寄投票比在选举日亲自投票更容易发生舞弊的情况。如果拜登赢得大选，他不会承诺和平地进行权力交接。其实，这并不是特朗普第一次表态拒绝承认大选结果。但随着时间流逝，拜登保持优势并获胜的可能性越来越高，更多的人开始担心这只黑天鹅真的会起飞（历史上的确曾经出现选举结果不被认可，甚至被推翻的场景，当时也是引起了市场波动的暴涨）。因此，在首场辩论结束后，就有人预知：★ 无论辩论结果如何，今年的大选日恐怕都将迎来一场“恐怖的”波动。其中D哥发现，VIX期货市场或是最先对于大选夜将出现恐怖波动发出警讯的地方。★ 首场总统辩论没能阻止市场持续押注不确定性，VIX期货合约价上升。其实，在大选年，由于市场担心不确定，波动率都会出现不同程度的上涨，但是随着总统辩论的进行，大选的形势变得清晰，市场的这种恐惧将得到舒缓。然而，今年的首场总统辩论似乎并未能安抚到这群不安的交易者，特朗普的那些话反而激起了他们心底的某种担忧，部分对风险敏感的交易者已经开始进行对冲大选月可能出现的“恐怖波动”。据芝加哥期权交易所，截止至9月23日，10月VIX期货合约的未平仓合约已超过100000。如上图所示，在首场辩论结束后的第二天，市场加倍疯狂地买进VIX期货，多个月份的VIX期货合约的价格携手上涨，10月（大选月）VIX期货合约的未平仓合约和结算价更是异常高企。更值得注意的是，VIX期货市场传递出的另一个信号。★ 9月-10月VIX期货合约价差持续处于高位，选举日后到期的合约涨势最猛。如上图所示，与过去四个选举年相比，今年9月和10月合约的价差异常高企：2012年10月VIX期货的定价为21.20，而2020年10月VIX期货定价屡次超30。不仅如此，在11月3日（选举日）之后到期的合约增长最大。没错，以上种种信号均自首场辩论开始出现，并暗示了交易员正在押注同一个预期：今年的大选可能不会一帆风顺地过去，市场甚至可能要花好几周才能完全消化大选的冲击。★ 另一个重要的预警讯号来自华尔街对交易量的预期。技术咨询公司ITRS Group的数据显示，由于两党势均力敌，11月3日的交易量可能会飙升至正常水平的8倍。更有投行指出，如此大的交易量已经开始对华尔街那些大型银行进行施压，它们开始测试自身的处理技术，以确保届时他们能够快速提供额外的流动性。如果说上述第一点最有可能带来的波动风险是 “踩踏事故” （因同时兑现某一意外事故，市场交易拥挤，进而引发踩踏行情），那么第二点将带来的就是 “流动性风险” （银行无法同时满足所有订单的流动性需求，进而导致订单无法成交或者行情闪崩）。如果你还记得今年3月份的黄金点差异常事故，你就知道缺失流动性可比突发的基本面变故可怕多了。那么，交易员最该注意哪几个市场？从资金面上看，美股、美债、金银以及原油市场纷纷呈现出“拜登行情”（即押注拜登当选）。★金银，原油多仓占主导；油市空仓占主导；美债空仓占主导；美股贪婪情绪升温，拜登利好的股票大涨。从仓位水平来看，交易者尤其需要注意被空头极端押注的美债。CFTC截至10月13日的数据显示，较长期美国国债期货的头寸达到了极端水平，美国国债市场未平仓合约达120万份，为仅次于2月高位的纪录次高水平：资产管理者持有的挂钩15-25年到期美国国债的期货 多头头寸已增加至纪录最高水平。同时， 杠杆基金持有的 净空头头寸也达到最高纪录。台上，决战的号角即将吹响，对特朗普和拜登而言，都该背水一“辩”了。台下，一样如火如荼。有人已经做出了押注，有人正在观望跃跃欲试。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3552626351640219","authorId":"3552626351640219","name":"OMG买它","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3552626351640219","authorIdStr":"3552626351640219"},"content":"还关注台湾大选","text":"还关注台湾大选","html":"还关注台湾大选"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634840190,"gmtCreate":1647440640769,"gmtModify":1647440640769,"author":{"id":"3464587978783849","authorId":"3464587978783849","name":"中国股市只会闪崩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b3f25808bbc56ad4b78fbe0295b1a86","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3464587978783849","authorIdStr":"3464587978783849"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"中概股才牛，上下都不稳","listText":"中概股才牛，上下都不稳","text":"中概股才牛，上下都不稳","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634840190","repostId":"1154032972","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154032972","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1647440382,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154032972?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-16 22:19","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"地缘局势利好！欧美股市集体大反弹","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154032972","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月16日，美股短线拉升，道指涨超500点，纳指涨2.8%，标普500指数涨近2%；欧股涨幅扩大，欧洲斯托克50指数、法国CAC40指数涨近5%，德国DAX指数涨4.23%。据央视新闻报道，当地时间1","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>3月16日，美股短线拉升，道指涨超500点，纳指涨2.8%，标普500指数涨近2%；欧股涨幅扩大，欧洲斯托克50指数、法国CAC40指数涨近5%，德国DAX指数涨4.23%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdc72abba4cfb5dad3b8b0e4d52c219c\" tg-width=\"944\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>据央视新闻报道，当地时间16日，俄乌双方准备好了一份在乌克兰保持中立、裁军的前提下实施的停火撤军计划。</p><p>据英国金融时报：乌克兰和俄罗斯在暂定的15点和平计划上取得了重大进展，其中包括停火以及如果基辅宣布中立并接受对其武装力量的限制，俄罗斯将撤出乌克兰。</p><p>原油期货短线下挫；现货黄金短线走低6美元，报1904美元/盎司；现货白银日内跌幅扩大至1.5%，最低报24.45美元/盎司。</p><p>能源股走弱，煤炭股方面，Warrior Met Coal跌7.29%，Romaco Resources跌5.85%，Alpha Metallurgical Resources跌4.85%；原油股方面，Nine Energy Service跌9.33%，RPC和US Well Service跌超7%，Baker Hughes等跟跌。</p><p>黄金股大跌，Paramount Gold Nevada跌8.37%，Great Panther Mining和Hycrotf Mining跌超7%，黄金资源跌5.71%，赫克拉矿业和SSR Mning跟跌。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f49e120c817bae1141ca16fdb53772\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"823\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b51f36d5641064d6c9567ee1f798cc06\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"821\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff022e885f270ab250854ab73c7e262d\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>地缘局势利好！欧美股市集体大反弹</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n地缘局势利好！欧美股市集体大反弹\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-16 22:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>3月16日，美股短线拉升，道指涨超500点，纳指涨2.8%，标普500指数涨近2%；欧股涨幅扩大，欧洲斯托克50指数、法国CAC40指数涨近5%，德国DAX指数涨4.23%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cdc72abba4cfb5dad3b8b0e4d52c219c\" tg-width=\"944\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>据央视新闻报道，当地时间16日，俄乌双方准备好了一份在乌克兰保持中立、裁军的前提下实施的停火撤军计划。</p><p>据英国金融时报：乌克兰和俄罗斯在暂定的15点和平计划上取得了重大进展，其中包括停火以及如果基辅宣布中立并接受对其武装力量的限制，俄罗斯将撤出乌克兰。</p><p>原油期货短线下挫；现货黄金短线走低6美元，报1904美元/盎司；现货白银日内跌幅扩大至1.5%，最低报24.45美元/盎司。</p><p>能源股走弱，煤炭股方面，Warrior Met Coal跌7.29%，Romaco Resources跌5.85%，Alpha Metallurgical Resources跌4.85%；原油股方面，Nine Energy Service跌9.33%，RPC和US Well Service跌超7%，Baker Hughes等跟跌。</p><p>黄金股大跌，Paramount Gold Nevada跌8.37%，Great Panther Mining和Hycrotf Mining跌超7%，黄金资源跌5.71%，赫克拉矿业和SSR Mning跟跌。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f49e120c817bae1141ca16fdb53772\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"823\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b51f36d5641064d6c9567ee1f798cc06\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"821\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff022e885f270ab250854ab73c7e262d\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"820\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/082208e3c37780dd55878056410ffa43","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154032972","content_text":"3月16日，美股短线拉升，道指涨超500点，纳指涨2.8%，标普500指数涨近2%；欧股涨幅扩大，欧洲斯托克50指数、法国CAC40指数涨近5%，德国DAX指数涨4.23%。据央视新闻报道，当地时间16日，俄乌双方准备好了一份在乌克兰保持中立、裁军的前提下实施的停火撤军计划。据英国金融时报：乌克兰和俄罗斯在暂定的15点和平计划上取得了重大进展，其中包括停火以及如果基辅宣布中立并接受对其武装力量的限制，俄罗斯将撤出乌克兰。原油期货短线下挫；现货黄金短线走低6美元，报1904美元/盎司；现货白银日内跌幅扩大至1.5%，最低报24.45美元/盎司。能源股走弱，煤炭股方面，Warrior Met Coal跌7.29%，Romaco Resources跌5.85%，Alpha Metallurgical Resources跌4.85%；原油股方面，Nine Energy Service跌9.33%，RPC和US Well Service跌超7%，Baker Hughes等跟跌。黄金股大跌，Paramount Gold Nevada跌8.37%，Great Panther Mining和Hycrotf Mining跌超7%，黄金资源跌5.71%，赫克拉矿业和SSR Mning跟跌。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":954,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}