空谷之歌的个人主页 - 老虎社区

空谷之歌

空谷之歌

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IP属地：浙江

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2025-01-09

$九源基因(02566)$ 为啥跌跌不休？？？

2018-12-14

$优信(UXIN)$今晚又是不眠之夜

2023-11-28

$尚乘数科(HKD)$ 等你回来还是少年！

2018-12-18

$优信(UXIN)$盘前8.00补了仓，大补哦。

2019-09-30

$三倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion(NUGT)$做多亏了20%，终于改空单，看趋势跌破前期低点分分钟的事。

2019-01-04

$三倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion(NUGT)$江河横流，泥下俱下，唯有黄金，在寒冬发出奇目的光彩。

2019-01-17

$趣头条(QTT)$加仓赌一把尾盘拉升

2019-06-28

$中烟香港(06055)$ 如昨晚所言，开盘涨就加仓，问题是今天如果到12，是走是留？

2019-04-03

$老虎证券(TIGR)$有量没量都涨，完全不讲理

2019-01-12

$趣头条(QTT)$每隔12分钟一次放量下跌，在做游戏。[得意]

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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18:43","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"降息预期压倒通胀担忧，美国9月CPI难改美股乐观氛围","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2577308265","media":"智通财经","summary":"10月23日，投资者预计将无视本周五美国9月消费者价格指数报告中任何表明通胀仍顽固的迹象，因为市场情绪依然被对下周美联储降息的乐观预期所主导。经济学家目前预计，美国9月核心CPI环比上涨0.3%、同比上升3.1%，与上月持平，仍远高于美联储2%的目标。该行分析师指出，美国9月CPI公布当天美国股市的波动性可能“低于往常”，因为投资者预期美联储将在10月29日再次降息，这种信心可能抵消与通胀相关的担忧。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>10月23日，<strong>投资者预计将无视本周五美国9月消费者价格指数(CPI)报告中任何表明通胀仍顽固的迹象，因为市场情绪依然被对下周美联储降息的乐观预期所主导。</strong>经济学家目前预计，美国9月核心CPI(剔除波动较大的食品与能源价格)环比上涨0.3%、同比上升3.1%，与上月持平，仍远高于美联储2%的目标。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>的交易部门认为，即使经济学家预计通胀数据将高于预期，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数在数据公布后仍有约65%的几率上涨。该行分析师指出，美国9月CPI公布当天美国股市的波动性可能“低于往常”，因为投资者预期美联储将在10月29日再次降息，这种信心可能抵消与通胀相关的担忧。</p><p>摩根大通全球市场情报主管Andrew Tyler在周三的一份客户报告中表示：“我们同意市场的看法，认为除非出现极端尾部风险事件，否则美联储不会暂停行动。”</p><p>Andrew Tyler及其团队预测，如果CPI数据与预期一致或低于预期，标普500指数周五可能上涨最多1.5%。反之，如果核心通胀环比涨幅超过0.4%，则可能导致标普500指数下跌约2.3%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0611a535cdab1bc2eb97b7bdb18f5ffc\" tg-width=\"646\" tg-height=\"354\"/></p><p>本周五“姗姗来迟”的CPI数据将是自10月1日美国政府停摆以来发布的首份重要经济报告，因此对投资者来说意义重大。该数据将成为美联储下次利率会议前少数几个能反映经济状况的明确信号之一，并可能为年内余下时间的市场定下基调。</p><p>HighTower Advisors首席投资策略师兼投资组合经理Stephanie Link表示：“虽然这是滞后的信息，但在政府停摆导致经济数据稀缺的情况下，它仍将成为市场的重要参考。” 她认为，在降息、企业盈利增长以及季节性强劲的第四季度背景下，数据带来的任何波动都将是买入机会。</p><p>由于劳动力市场出现放缓迹象，华尔街普遍押注美联储今年将再降息两次，其中一次降息几乎已完全被市场计价在下周的美联储政策会议中。然而，若周五通胀数据大幅超出预期，可能使今年年底甚至2026年初的进一步降息前景变得复杂。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>投资研究院全球股票与实物资产主管Sameer Samana表示：“更高的通胀数据可能会让政策制定者们在12月会议上犹豫。但鉴于他们目前的重点在持续降温的劳动力市场，10月降息仍属明智之举。之后的情况将更具不确定性，不过我们仍认为他们也会在12月降息。”</p><p>自4月低点以来，标普500指数已累计上涨约35%。不过，美国股市的反弹开始显露疲态，高估值叠加经济前景不明与企业盈利表现分化使得市场动能减弱。</p><p>对此，Sameer Samana表示，虽然CPI数据可能引发短期波动，但宽松的货币政策预期将对冲冲击。他建议客户忽视噪音，继续买入高质量股票。他指出，投资者已认识到在劳动力市场降温的情况下美联储行动空间有限，这也是近期美股回调幅度浅且持续时间短的原因。</p><p>此外，美国政府停摆已进入第23天，是美国史上第二长的政府停摆，仅次于2018年特朗普任期内持续35天的那次。State Street宏观多资产策略师Cayla Seder指出，使得本次通胀数据更受关注的并非华盛顿的僵局，而是经济周期所处的阶段——劳动力市场正趋于放缓，而通胀仍然顽固偏高。</p><p>Cayla Seder表示，虽然周五较高的CPI读数不太可能对股市造成重大打击，但可能会逆转近期股市广泛上涨的趋势。她表示：“更高的通胀将限制美联储放松政策的能力，这将对市场的板块轮动与广度扩张构成阻力。这种情况将促使资金更多流向高质量、对利率变化不那么敏感的市场部分。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>降息预期压倒通胀担忧，美国9月CPI难改美股乐观氛围</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n降息预期压倒通胀担忧，美国9月CPI难改美股乐观氛围\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-10-23 18:43 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1358830.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>10月23日，投资者预计将无视本周五美国9月消费者价格指数(CPI)报告中任何表明通胀仍顽固的迹象，因为市场情绪依然被对下周美联储降息的乐观预期所主导。经济学家目前预计，美国9月核心CPI(剔除波动较大的食品与能源价格)环比上涨0.3%、同比上升3.1%，与上月持平，仍远高于美联储2%的目标。摩根大通的交易部门认为，即使经济学家预计通胀数据将高于预期，标普500指数在数据公布后仍有约65%的几率...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1358830.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a8642475395bb363eacb86148917e7b","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1358830.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2577308265","content_text":"10月23日，投资者预计将无视本周五美国9月消费者价格指数(CPI)报告中任何表明通胀仍顽固的迹象，因为市场情绪依然被对下周美联储降息的乐观预期所主导。经济学家目前预计，美国9月核心CPI(剔除波动较大的食品与能源价格)环比上涨0.3%、同比上升3.1%，与上月持平，仍远高于美联储2%的目标。摩根大通的交易部门认为，即使经济学家预计通胀数据将高于预期，标普500指数在数据公布后仍有约65%的几率上涨。该行分析师指出，美国9月CPI公布当天美国股市的波动性可能“低于往常”，因为投资者预期美联储将在10月29日再次降息，这种信心可能抵消与通胀相关的担忧。摩根大通全球市场情报主管Andrew Tyler在周三的一份客户报告中表示：“我们同意市场的看法，认为除非出现极端尾部风险事件，否则美联储不会暂停行动。”Andrew Tyler及其团队预测，如果CPI数据与预期一致或低于预期，标普500指数周五可能上涨最多1.5%。反之，如果核心通胀环比涨幅超过0.4%，则可能导致标普500指数下跌约2.3%。本周五“姗姗来迟”的CPI数据将是自10月1日美国政府停摆以来发布的首份重要经济报告，因此对投资者来说意义重大。该数据将成为美联储下次利率会议前少数几个能反映经济状况的明确信号之一，并可能为年内余下时间的市场定下基调。HighTower Advisors首席投资策略师兼投资组合经理Stephanie Link表示：“虽然这是滞后的信息，但在政府停摆导致经济数据稀缺的情况下，它仍将成为市场的重要参考。” 她认为，在降息、企业盈利增长以及季节性强劲的第四季度背景下，数据带来的任何波动都将是买入机会。由于劳动力市场出现放缓迹象，华尔街普遍押注美联储今年将再降息两次，其中一次降息几乎已完全被市场计价在下周的美联储政策会议中。然而，若周五通胀数据大幅超出预期，可能使今年年底甚至2026年初的进一步降息前景变得复杂。富国银行投资研究院全球股票与实物资产主管Sameer Samana表示：“更高的通胀数据可能会让政策制定者们在12月会议上犹豫。但鉴于他们目前的重点在持续降温的劳动力市场，10月降息仍属明智之举。之后的情况将更具不确定性，不过我们仍认为他们也会在12月降息。”自4月低点以来，标普500指数已累计上涨约35%。不过，美国股市的反弹开始显露疲态，高估值叠加经济前景不明与企业盈利表现分化使得市场动能减弱。对此，Sameer Samana表示，虽然CPI数据可能引发短期波动，但宽松的货币政策预期将对冲冲击。他建议客户忽视噪音，继续买入高质量股票。他指出，投资者已认识到在劳动力市场降温的情况下美联储行动空间有限，这也是近期美股回调幅度浅且持续时间短的原因。此外，美国政府停摆已进入第23天，是美国史上第二长的政府停摆，仅次于2018年特朗普任期内持续35天的那次。State Street宏观多资产策略师Cayla Seder指出，使得本次通胀数据更受关注的并非华盛顿的僵局，而是经济周期所处的阶段——劳动力市场正趋于放缓，而通胀仍然顽固偏高。Cayla 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