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gdudhfjjfjzh

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03-03 10:22

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 均值回归，没有只跌不涨的资产，市盈率已经跌破20，性价比出来了

2025-11-12

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 不把小散洗出去，机构怎么能有机会加仓国内的AI龙一龙二[可爱]

2025-02-24

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 财报炸裂+SEC利空出尽+本土合规优势+竞争对手出错+已连续多日深度调整

2025-10-11

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 大幅加仓好时机。Ai和芯片业务去漂亮国化是利多，电商业务会受影响但漂亮国贸易不超过15%，有大把市场例如欧盟产品可以替代。所以是黄金坑

2025-10-10

当然是加仓好机会，AI+工业制造+芯片，只买不卖，300以上见

2023-03-21

这结果已经很漂亮了，要考虑到12月的群免，有几个人有欲望消费？再说物流都快停摆了。这回只能让投机者下车，赚不到未来持久性的收益。

预期过高的拼多多遭失望反噬

2022-07-13

通胀面前最脆弱的一类人群之一就是已经或即将退休的人…粗暴加息“股市-退休金”缩水，无异于打击他们的生活质量…

7月加息100基点？美国通胀“破9”，分析师火速解读来了！

2022-05-11

看不上PDD的人多，但是离不开PDD的人更多。离不开PDD的人能有多少比例在互联网投资平台上发声？中国的生鲜运转模式远没被颠覆，宽容度极大，而且复购率高。

又慢又“穷”的拼多多，如何打一场输不起的仗

2025-09-12

当然看好阿里啊，达子市值都多大了，还有多少成长性？阿里量产以后你觉得天朝还可能再用米国货吗？？

2022-12-28

$拼多多(PDD)$ 给自己百亿补贴？好便宜加上。疫情+Temu用户增长+美通胀，全都是利好消息.。坐等新一**力反弹

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上次白某宫打压完又涨回去了，这次也一样，给华尔街抄底创造条件罢了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/532355299460064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":528258952160200,"gmtCreate":1769990367032,"gmtModify":1769990369058,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"抛的都是不得已去杠杆的，现货需求依然强劲","listText":"抛的都是不得已去杠杆的，现货需求依然强劲","text":"抛的都是不得已去杠杆的，现货需求依然强劲","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528258952160200","repostId":"1155558090","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1155558090","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769989905,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155558090?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-02 07:51","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"贵金属抛售潮仍在持续！后市如何演绎？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155558090","media":"券商中国","summary":"贵金属市场抛售潮仍在持续。地缘局势方面，当地时间2月1日，美国总统特朗普在海湖庄园回答记者有关伊朗问题时表示，希望“能够达成协议”。加密货币市场亦遭遇猛烈抛售，继上周五大跌之后，比特币上周六日内跌幅一度达到10%，最低触及75709.88美元，重回2025年4月后的水平。有分析指出，这场始于美国总统特朗普提名凯文·沃什出任美联储主席的抛售潮，不仅重创加密货币，也逆转了黄金白银的涨势，市场对美元贬值的押注正在瓦解。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>贵金属市场抛售潮仍在持续。</p><p>今日早间，现货黄金、白银价格再度跳水，现货白银盘初一度大跌超7%，现货黄金一度大跌近4%。美股期货亚市盘初走低，纳斯达克100指数期货一度跌超1%，标普500指数期货跌0.6%；布伦特原油期货一度大跌2.4%至每桶67.78美元。</p><p>地缘局势方面，当地时间2月1日，美国总统特朗普在海湖庄园回答记者有关伊朗问题时表示，希望“能够达成协议”。另据美国高级官员透露，特朗普政府已通过多个渠道向伊朗方面明确表示，美方愿意举行会面，就达成协议展开谈判。</p><h2 id=\"id_4277904135\">开盘大跌</h2><p>北京时间2月2日早间，现货黄金、白银跳水，现货白银盘初一度大跌超7%，现货黄金一度大跌近4%，截至发稿，跌幅分别为4.14%、2.52%，分别报4742美元/盎司，81.19美元/盎司。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/177a7cb91897784191dbad2e41c1d560\" tg-width=\"855\" tg-height=\"204\"/></p><p>前一交易日，贵金属市场遭遇史诗级暴跌，Wind数据显示，截至上周五收盘，现货黄金暴跌9.25%，报4880.034美元/盎司，盘中一度暴跌12.92%，最低触及4682美元/盎司；现货白银价格盘中一度暴跌35.89%，最终收跌26.42%，报85.259美元/盎司；COMEX白银期货暴跌25.5%，报85.25美元/盎司，1月份累涨20.10%。</p><p>加密货币市场亦遭遇猛烈抛售，继上周五大跌之后，比特币上周六日内跌幅一度达到10%，最低触及75709.88美元，重回2025年4月后的水平。今日，比特币价格继续走低，截至发稿，日内大跌超4%，报76390美元；以太坊暴跌超8%，报2245美元。</p><p>有分析指出，这场始于美国总统特朗普提名凯文·沃什出任美联储主席的抛售潮，不仅重创加密货币，也逆转了黄金白银的涨势，市场对美元贬值的押注正在瓦解。</p><p>地缘局势方面，据央视新闻，当地时间2月1日，美国总统特朗普在海湖庄园回答记者有关伊朗问题时表示，希望“能够达成协议”。</p><p>特朗普就伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊有关“美方若发动打击将引发地区战争”的警告作出回应，称如果无法达成协议，“那我们就会看看他（哈梅内伊）说的是否正确”。特朗普对记者强调，美方在相关地区部署了“世界上最大、最强大的舰艇”。</p><h2 id=\"id_1432526602\">后市如何演绎？</h2><p>高盛交易部门负责人Mark Wilson表示，尽管市场近期出现剧烈波动，但投资者不应过度解读这场“持仓清洗”，因为年初至今推动市场的核心驱动因素并未发生实质性改变。</p><p>Mark Wilson认为，这场调整的直接诱因是投资者持仓过度拥挤。总敞口已处于99百分位数的极端水平，系统化量化策略的表现显示拥挤度成为突出问题。此次快速回调更多是技术性调整，而非基本面逻辑的转变。</p><p>美国银行首席投资策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中表示，对于投资者而言，这意味着尽管短期波动剧烈，但驱动黄金和实物资产上涨的宏观逻辑依然牢固。除非发生比当前宏观叙事更具破坏力的“更大事件”，否则这场由货币贬值驱动的牛市难以轻易终结。然而，投资者必须警惕上半年可能出现的流动性去杠杆风险，这将是对“贪婪”情绪的一次剧烈清洗。</p><p>尽管黄金价格近期呈现出“泡沫化”特征，甚至在上周五经历了大幅回调，但Michael Hartnett认为这并未改变大局。2020年代的投资趋势是由战争、通胀、保护主义和财富再分配主导的。目前，黄金的价格水平暗示美国实际利率为负，这与市场普遍预期的流动性过剩、美元贬值以及美国经济在选举前繁荣的基本情境相吻合。</p><p>另外，瑞银也在此前大幅上调了黄金目标价——将2026年3月、6月和9月的黄金价格目标上调至每盎司6200美元，该行此前的预测为5000美元，理由是投资增加带动的需求强于预期。</p><p>瑞银同时给出了金价的极端情景预测：黄金的上行情景目标为7200美元/盎司，下行情景目标为4600美元/盎司。</p><p>瑞银表示，若美联储货币政策转向鹰派，或将对金价形成压制；而若地缘政治紧张局势急剧升级，则可能推动金价进一步上涨。</p></body></html>","source":"cszg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>贵金属抛售潮仍在持续！后市如何演绎？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n贵金属抛售潮仍在持续！后市如何演绎？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-02 07:51 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/edstUqoLrFLHkjqiUKAhNQ><strong>券商中国</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>贵金属市场抛售潮仍在持续。今日早间，现货黄金、白银价格再度跳水，现货白银盘初一度大跌超7%，现货黄金一度大跌近4%。美股期货亚市盘初走低，纳斯达克100指数期货一度跌超1%，标普500指数期货跌0.6%；布伦特原油期货一度大跌2.4%至每桶67.78美元。地缘局势方面，当地时间2月1日，美国总统特朗普在海湖庄园回答记者有关伊朗问题时表示，希望“能够达成协议”。另据美国高级官员透露，特朗普政府已通过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/edstUqoLrFLHkjqiUKAhNQ\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a710f0e16d2fb84784400d545feef76f","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/edstUqoLrFLHkjqiUKAhNQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155558090","content_text":"贵金属市场抛售潮仍在持续。今日早间，现货黄金、白银价格再度跳水，现货白银盘初一度大跌超7%，现货黄金一度大跌近4%。美股期货亚市盘初走低，纳斯达克100指数期货一度跌超1%，标普500指数期货跌0.6%；布伦特原油期货一度大跌2.4%至每桶67.78美元。地缘局势方面，当地时间2月1日，美国总统特朗普在海湖庄园回答记者有关伊朗问题时表示，希望“能够达成协议”。另据美国高级官员透露，特朗普政府已通过多个渠道向伊朗方面明确表示，美方愿意举行会面，就达成协议展开谈判。开盘大跌北京时间2月2日早间，现货黄金、白银跳水，现货白银盘初一度大跌超7%，现货黄金一度大跌近4%，截至发稿，跌幅分别为4.14%、2.52%，分别报4742美元/盎司，81.19美元/盎司。前一交易日，贵金属市场遭遇史诗级暴跌，Wind数据显示，截至上周五收盘，现货黄金暴跌9.25%，报4880.034美元/盎司，盘中一度暴跌12.92%，最低触及4682美元/盎司；现货白银价格盘中一度暴跌35.89%，最终收跌26.42%，报85.259美元/盎司；COMEX白银期货暴跌25.5%，报85.25美元/盎司，1月份累涨20.10%。加密货币市场亦遭遇猛烈抛售，继上周五大跌之后，比特币上周六日内跌幅一度达到10%，最低触及75709.88美元，重回2025年4月后的水平。今日，比特币价格继续走低，截至发稿，日内大跌超4%，报76390美元；以太坊暴跌超8%，报2245美元。有分析指出，这场始于美国总统特朗普提名凯文·沃什出任美联储主席的抛售潮，不仅重创加密货币，也逆转了黄金白银的涨势，市场对美元贬值的押注正在瓦解。地缘局势方面，据央视新闻，当地时间2月1日，美国总统特朗普在海湖庄园回答记者有关伊朗问题时表示，希望“能够达成协议”。特朗普就伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊有关“美方若发动打击将引发地区战争”的警告作出回应，称如果无法达成协议，“那我们就会看看他（哈梅内伊）说的是否正确”。特朗普对记者强调，美方在相关地区部署了“世界上最大、最强大的舰艇”。后市如何演绎？高盛交易部门负责人Mark Wilson表示，尽管市场近期出现剧烈波动，但投资者不应过度解读这场“持仓清洗”，因为年初至今推动市场的核心驱动因素并未发生实质性改变。Mark Wilson认为，这场调整的直接诱因是投资者持仓过度拥挤。总敞口已处于99百分位数的极端水平，系统化量化策略的表现显示拥挤度成为突出问题。此次快速回调更多是技术性调整，而非基本面逻辑的转变。美国银行首席投资策略师Michael Hartnett在最新发布的报告中表示，对于投资者而言，这意味着尽管短期波动剧烈，但驱动黄金和实物资产上涨的宏观逻辑依然牢固。除非发生比当前宏观叙事更具破坏力的“更大事件”，否则这场由货币贬值驱动的牛市难以轻易终结。然而，投资者必须警惕上半年可能出现的流动性去杠杆风险，这将是对“贪婪”情绪的一次剧烈清洗。尽管黄金价格近期呈现出“泡沫化”特征，甚至在上周五经历了大幅回调，但Michael Hartnett认为这并未改变大局。2020年代的投资趋势是由战争、通胀、保护主义和财富再分配主导的。目前，黄金的价格水平暗示美国实际利率为负，这与市场普遍预期的流动性过剩、美元贬值以及美国经济在选举前繁荣的基本情境相吻合。另外，瑞银也在此前大幅上调了黄金目标价——将2026年3月、6月和9月的黄金价格目标上调至每盎司6200美元，该行此前的预测为5000美元，理由是投资增加带动的需求强于预期。瑞银同时给出了金价的极端情景预测：黄金的上行情景目标为7200美元/盎司，下行情景目标为4600美元/盎司。瑞银表示，若美联储货币政策转向鹰派，或将对金价形成压制；而若地缘政治紧张局势急剧升级，则可能推动金价进一步上涨。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SImain":2,"PAmain":2,"SIL2603":2,"PLmain":2,"MGC2602":2,"XAGUSD.FOREX":2,"XAUUSD.FOREX":2,"MHGmain":2,"GCmain":2,"SILmain":2,"HGmain":2,"MGCmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":298,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":525849384682520,"gmtCreate":1769407871475,"gmtModify":1769407872899,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 三波浪把散户洗出局，机构就可以开始拉高了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 三波浪把散户洗出局，机构就可以开始拉高了","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 三波浪把散户洗出局，机构就可以开始拉高了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/525849384682520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1035,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":524746383651208,"gmtCreate":1769138505868,"gmtModify":1769138508116,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 很多人刚回成本线就撤出，大风大浪都过来了，筹码就这么吐出去了。。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 很多人刚回成本线就撤出，大风大浪都过来了，筹码就这么吐出去了。。","text":"$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 很多人刚回成本线就撤出，大风大浪都过来了，筹码就这么吐出去了。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/524746383651208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":829,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":520080837763744,"gmtCreate":1767956343467,"gmtModify":1767956345440,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"保护企业利润，好事。消费者要多掏腰包了","listText":"保护企业利润，好事。消费者要多掏腰包了","text":"保护企业利润，好事。消费者要多掏腰包了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/520080837763744","repostId":"1130731374","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130731374","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1767949306,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130731374?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-09 17:01","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室对外卖行业竞争状况开展调查评估","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130731374","media":"国家市场监督管...","summary":"有关负责同志答记者问。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>据央视新闻，近日，国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室对外卖平台服务行业市场竞争状况开展调查、评估。对此，国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室有关负责同志答记者问。</p><p>问：请介绍一下国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室宣布对外卖平台服务行业开展市场竞争状况调查评估的相关背景和主要考虑？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">答：党中央、国务院高度重视平台经济创新和健康发展。外卖平台服务行业作为我国平台经济的重要组成部分，在促进消费、扩大就业、推动创新等方面发挥了重要作用。但近段时间以来，外卖平台服务行业拼补贴、拼价格、控流量等问题突出，挤压实体经济，加剧行业“内卷式”竞争，社会各方面反映强烈。为推动外卖平台依法合规经营、公平有序竞争，形成优质优价、良性竞争的市场秩序，国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室（以下简称委员会办公室）依据《中华人民共和国反垄断法》规定，决定对外卖平台服务行业市场竞争状况开展调查、评估。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本次调查评估是委员会办公室表达竞争关注、评估垄断风险、规范市场秩序的重要举措，将通过现场核实、当面访谈、问卷调查等方式，深入了解外卖平台竞争行为，广泛听取平台内经营者、新就业群体、消费者等各方意见，全面调查市场竞争状况，组织开展分析论证，传导监管压力，提出处置措施。外卖平台要积极配合市场调查、评估工作，严格落实反垄断合规主体责任，有效防范化解垄断风险，公平参与市场竞争，促进外卖平台服务行业创新和健康发展。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1625649646390","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室对外卖行业竞争状况开展调查评估</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室对外卖行业竞争状况开展调查评估\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-09 17:01 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.samr.gov.cn/xw/zj/art/2026/art_a41bece706204a9d839c9d5c33fc0b06.html><strong>国家市场监督管...</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>据央视新闻，近日，国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室对外卖平台服务行业市场竞争状况开展调查、评估。对此，国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室有关负责同志答记者问。问：请介绍一下国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室宣布对外卖平台服务行业开展市场竞争状况调查评估的相关背景和主要考虑？答：党中央、国务院高度重视平台经济创新和健康发展。外卖平台服务行业作为我国平台经济的重要组成部分，在促进消费、扩大就业...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.samr.gov.cn/xw/zj/art/2026/art_a41bece706204a9d839c9d5c33fc0b06.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c972a78fbe34096796ada872b683e450","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","03690":"美团-W","09618":"京东集团-SW","BABA":"阿里巴巴","JD":"京东"},"source_url":"https://www.samr.gov.cn/xw/zj/art/2026/art_a41bece706204a9d839c9d5c33fc0b06.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130731374","content_text":"据央视新闻，近日，国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室对外卖平台服务行业市场竞争状况开展调查、评估。对此，国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室有关负责同志答记者问。问：请介绍一下国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室宣布对外卖平台服务行业开展市场竞争状况调查评估的相关背景和主要考虑？答：党中央、国务院高度重视平台经济创新和健康发展。外卖平台服务行业作为我国平台经济的重要组成部分，在促进消费、扩大就业、推动创新等方面发挥了重要作用。但近段时间以来，外卖平台服务行业拼补贴、拼价格、控流量等问题突出，挤压实体经济，加剧行业“内卷式”竞争，社会各方面反映强烈。为推动外卖平台依法合规经营、公平有序竞争，形成优质优价、良性竞争的市场秩序，国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会办公室（以下简称委员会办公室）依据《中华人民共和国反垄断法》规定，决定对外卖平台服务行业市场竞争状况开展调查、评估。本次调查评估是委员会办公室表达竞争关注、评估垄断风险、规范市场秩序的重要举措，将通过现场核实、当面访谈、问卷调查等方式，深入了解外卖平台竞争行为，广泛听取平台内经营者、新就业群体、消费者等各方意见，全面调查市场竞争状况，组织开展分析论证，传导监管压力，提出处置措施。外卖平台要积极配合市场调查、评估工作，严格落实反垄断合规主体责任，有效防范化解垄断风险，公平参与市场竞争，促进外卖平台服务行业创新和健康发展。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09618":2,"JD":2,"09988":2,"03690":2,"BABA":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":519207090811024,"gmtCreate":1767734827632,"gmtModify":1767734829919,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 今天这波完全是被H200的消息给带下去的。外资还是不懂东大，要不是顾及双方面子且自己基本做出来了，怎可能放开？26是国产chips的大年，拭目以待。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 今天这波完全是被H200的消息给带下去的。外资还是不懂东大，要不是顾及双方面子且自己基本做出来了，怎可能放开？26是国产chips的大年，拭目以待。","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 今天这波完全是被H200的消息给带下去的。外资还是不懂东大，要不是顾及双方面子且自己基本做出来了，怎可能放开？26是国产chips的大年，拭目以待。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/519207090811024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4897,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":516055007134200,"gmtCreate":1767010756411,"gmtModify":1767010758968,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"假戏，真扶持国产是真","listText":"假戏，真扶持国产是真","text":"假戏，真扶持国产是真","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/516055007134200","repostId":"1120895346","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1120895346","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"全球快讯第一时间播报","home_visible":1,"media_name":"美股速递","id":"1004306016","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3bf6d02ad1a6e9e7377eebbb162346a"},"pubTimestamp":1765361426,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120895346?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-10 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18:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>官员与阿里巴巴、字节跳动和腾讯的代表召开了一系列会议，要求他们评估H200的需求。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"89988":"阿里巴巴-WR","LU2125909916.SGD":"Natixis Thematics Safety R/A SGD","LU0251132253.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS  GLOBAL THEMATIC OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","LU2023250504.SGD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","LU1868837136.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"8\" (USD) ACC","LU0882574139.USD":"富达环球消费行业基金A ACC","LU0067412154.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND -  CHINA OPPORTUNITY \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0353189763.USD":"ALLSPRING  US ALL CAP GROWTH FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1152091754.HKD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - CHINA OPPORTUNITY (USD) \"PM\" (HKD) INC","LU1868836591.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"1U\"(USD) ACC","LU0965508806.USD":"AB 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均值回归，没有只跌不涨的资产，市盈率已经跌破20，性价比出来了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/538556645302560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3519104676971503","authorId":"3519104676971503","name":"逃离A股啊哈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cb0f76320cc94a64a1ac39a740900eb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3519104676971503","idStr":"3519104676971503"},"content":"哈哈，你是没见识到金融坟地的威力","text":"哈哈，你是没见识到金融坟地的威力","html":"哈哈，你是没见识到金融坟地的威力"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":499117447783184,"gmtCreate":1762879806889,"gmtModify":1762879808620,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a> 不把小散洗出去，机构怎么能有机会加仓国内的AI龙一龙二[可爱]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a> 不把小散洗出去，机构怎么能有机会加仓国内的AI龙一龙二[可爱]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 不把小散洗出去，机构怎么能有机会加仓国内的AI龙一龙二[可爱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/499117447783184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3519104676971503","authorId":"3519104676971503","name":"逃离A股啊哈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cb0f76320cc94a64a1ac39a740900eb","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3519104676971503","idStr":"3519104676971503"},"content":"狗头差不多，还龙头[捂脸]","text":"狗头差不多，还龙头[捂脸]","html":"狗头差不多，还龙头[捂脸]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":407017711239640,"gmtCreate":1740388319353,"gmtModify":1740388897513,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; 财报炸裂+SEC利空出尽+本土合规优势+竞争对手出错+已连续多日深度调整","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>&nbsp; 财报炸裂+SEC利空出尽+本土合规优势+竞争对手出错+已连续多日深度调整","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 财报炸裂+SEC利空出尽+本土合规优势+竞争对手出错+已连续多日深度调整","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a8084b9a23b1bd6fa40e791ff6d0db","width":"1290","height":"2796"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/832db44922dd0c60b3c63418752d789f","width":"1290","height":"2796"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fcab1240e192e838ed484ef42612c8f","width":"1290","height":"2796"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":13,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/407017711239640","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":487822045712848,"gmtCreate":1760124553572,"gmtModify":1760133420358,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 大幅加仓好时机。Ai和芯片业务去漂亮国化是利多，电商业务会受影响但漂亮国贸易不超过15%，有大把市场例如欧盟产品可以替代。所以是黄金坑","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 大幅加仓好时机。Ai和芯片业务去漂亮国化是利多，电商业务会受影响但漂亮国贸易不超过15%，有大把市场例如欧盟产品可以替代。所以是黄金坑","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 大幅加仓好时机。Ai和芯片业务去漂亮国化是利多，电商业务会受影响但漂亮国贸易不超过15%，有大把市场例如欧盟产品可以替代。所以是黄金坑","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/487822045712848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3544572238091832","authorId":"3544572238091832","name":"zeroxu666","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3544572238091832","idStr":"3544572238091832"},"content":"盟友也会反制","text":"盟友也会反制","html":"盟友也会反制"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":487712605991064,"gmtCreate":1760078602042,"gmtModify":1760078647621,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"当然是加仓好机会，AI+工业制造+芯片，只买不卖，300以上见","listText":"当然是加仓好机会，AI+工业制造+芯片，只买不卖，300以上见","text":"当然是加仓好机会，AI+工业制造+芯片，只买不卖，300以上见","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/487712605991064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3539460113719171","authorId":"3539460113719171","name":"老农民八戒","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2441bcf22d78f3233c9471d653ebfe46","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3539460113719171","idStr":"3539460113719171"},"content":"美国EO14117法案要生效了","text":"美国EO14117法案要生效了","html":"美国EO14117法案要生效了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":650407725,"gmtCreate":1679409391767,"gmtModify":1679409393649,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这结果已经很漂亮了，要考虑到12月的群免，有几个人有欲望消费？再说物流都快停摆了。这回只能让投机者下车，赚不到未来持久性的收益。","listText":"这结果已经很漂亮了，要考虑到12月的群免，有几个人有欲望消费？再说物流都快停摆了。这回只能让投机者下车，赚不到未来持久性的收益。","text":"这结果已经很漂亮了，要考虑到12月的群免，有几个人有欲望消费？再说物流都快停摆了。这回只能让投机者下车，赚不到未来持久性的收益。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":15,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/650407725","repostId":"2321667647","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2321667647","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"坚守初心，不随俗流。用一颗匠子心打造一个具有广度、深度、高度、温度的港股交流圈。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"丫丫港股圈","id":"34","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/114bba396d364a71a322b5748847d493"},"pubTimestamp":1679399588,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2321667647?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-03-21 19:53","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"预期过高的拼多多遭失望反噬","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321667647","media":"丫丫港股圈","summary":"3月20日，拼多多公布了2022年Q4财报，在中概股四季度均超市场预期的表现下，拼多多反倒成唯一一个低于市场预期的。在昨夜财报公布后，拼多多大跌14.17%，跌近5个月以来的低位，此前由于京东百亿补贴","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>3月20日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>公布了2022年Q4财报，在中概股四季度均超市场预期的表现下，拼多多反倒成唯一一个低于市场预期的。</p><p>在昨夜财报公布后，拼多多大跌14.17%，跌近5个月以来的低位，此前由于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>百亿补贴带来的冲击并不强，拼多多的走势优于京东，但为什么昨夜财报一发，就引起了股价大跌？ </p><p>财报显示，22Q4总营收为398.2亿元，同比增长46.2%，环比增长12.2%。此前彭博一致预期为419.48亿元，预期增速将达50%，但这次明显低于该数据。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fa119ca11a84effab5f0f664bb59a4c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"489\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>22Q4 Non-GAAP归母净利润为121.1亿元，同比增长43.4%，环比下滑2.7%。此前彭博一致预期为111.7亿元，实际高于市场预期的8.4%。</p><p>在去年消费形势严峻的Q2和Q3季度下，拼多多仍有大超市场预期的表现，这让机构对拼多多在Q4的表现增多了想象空间。尤其是在去年阿里和京东市场份额下滑的情况下，大家对市场份额增多的拼多多抱有更大期待。</p><p>拼多多这次财报未能达到大家的预期，有个最直观的原因有两个。</p><p>一是拼多多为了高速扩展海外版拼多多Temu业务，在营销上花了不少钱揽客，拼多多原本优秀的成本控制环节有所放松。</p><p>22Q4营销费用支出为177亿元，同比大增56%，比营收增速还高。管理费用从21年Q4同期的2.24亿元增长至16.4亿，其中股权激励费用占12.8亿，这是拼多多为激励Temu员工所致的。研发费用为24亿，处于拼多多的正常水平，并无增多。</p><p>第二个是去年Q4的11月和12月深受疫情困扰，消费受阻，大家对药品类的需求激增。而有药房配送业务的阿里和京东受益于此，但拼多多却没有这项业务。</p><p>若不考虑药品带来的高增长，实际上阿里和京东的消费品营收也并不好看。这两家也在Q4财报中提到，药品高增长抵消了其他品类消费的下滑。拼多多由于没这项业务，即没有抵消其他品类营收下滑的缓冲垫。</p><p>从业务细分来看，22Q4在线营销服务收入为310亿元，同比增长38%，增速慢于22Q3的58%，且低于市场45-50%的较高预期值。但该项收入是京东同期该项收入的125%，为阿里同期该项收入的43.5%。</p><p>虽然去年Q4的11至12月是居家时间，对拼多多的日用品销售也有好处，但网购始终需要有人把货品送到家，而去年两个月中，很多地区的物流配送并不是那么顺畅，履约率恶化也是影响消费的因素。</p><p>22Q4佣金收入为88亿元，同比增长86%，但增速低于22Q3增长的102%，该项业务收入超市场预期的82亿元。</p><p>22Q4毛利率为77.6%，略高于市场预期的76.6%，其实毛利率并未有下滑。毛利润为309亿元，低于市场预期的319亿，这主要还是由于营收少了，及营销费用增多所致。</p><p>整体而言，市场对拼多多去年Q2和Q3超预期表现过于乐观，导致对Q4业绩期待过高。</p><p>而阿里和京东在Q4表现不错，与我们上述所说的一样，但主要得益于药品类销售增长。除去药品类外，其他消费品类营收实际下滑。阿里和京东有饿了么和京东到家等线下配送能力，在居家消费需求高涨的情况下占据优势。相比之下，拼多多没有线下配送药品能力。</p><p>值得注意的是，京东已经打响了所谓的百亿补贴战两周时间。</p><p>但从消费者反馈来看，并没有感受到京东宣传中所说的价格优势。例如，“价格不比拼多多和天猫低就赔三倍”的承诺并未兑现。在个别品类上，京东价格略低于拼多多；但从整体品类来看，拼多多给消费者更大力度。</p><p>拼多多CEO陈磊表示，行业内的竞争非常激烈，我们相信良性的竞争对于消费者以及整个行业而言，都是有利的，但有事随着竞争的激烈，这种竞争也会出现不同程度的异化。服务好消费者是创造长期价值的关键所在。</p><p><b>在电话会中，有一段话应是投资者关心的：拼多多高管提及到，公司的每一笔投资都会经过审慎考量，如果这笔投资能够为公司带来长期的高质量发展，将毫不犹豫地进行投资。</b></p><p><b>在过去，不仅是阿里和京东，或是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>的高速增长期时，都会有时候做一些莫名其妙的投资。而这项投资对公司产生的反馈并不好，这导致公司即花费了钱也花费了精力做一些比较差的投资，这是互联网公司经常会犯的错。</b></p><p><b>这也是段永平之前称为什么无法重手买腾讯的原因之一，腾讯也会做一些奇奇怪怪令股东难以理解的投资。</b></p><p>当然，拼多多的体量仍不能跟腾讯相提并论，但在企业高速发展期中，做好投资是公司未来发展更好的重要基石，例如拼多多扩展海外Temu业务。</p><p>陈磊表示，目前Temu业务仍处于早期的阶段，目前对财报的影响还相对较小。但我们从22Q4这次财报上看，未来拼多多的营销支出应该是会陆续增加，会影响至财报的表现。</p><p><b>结语</b></p><p>这次财报并非差劲之作，而是市场预期过高导致失望反噬。</p><p>目前京东打响价格战，并未动摇拼多多低价优势。若就是现在的价格力度，相信靠低价策略出身的拼多多能守好擂台。</p><p>药品类销售增长为京东其他营收下滑提供缓冲作用，但药品类属于“一次性”收入来源，并不能为京东带来持续发展。</p><p>因此23年Q1报尤为重要，它将反映出在疫情结束后首个消费复苏季度中消费者忠诚度如何分布。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>预期过高的拼多多遭失望反噬</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n预期过高的拼多多遭失望反噬\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/34\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/114bba396d364a71a322b5748847d493);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">丫丫港股圈 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-21 19:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>3月20日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>公布了2022年Q4财报，在中概股四季度均超市场预期的表现下，拼多多反倒成唯一一个低于市场预期的。</p><p>在昨夜财报公布后，拼多多大跌14.17%，跌近5个月以来的低位，此前由于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>百亿补贴带来的冲击并不强，拼多多的走势优于京东，但为什么昨夜财报一发，就引起了股价大跌？ </p><p>财报显示，22Q4总营收为398.2亿元，同比增长46.2%，环比增长12.2%。此前彭博一致预期为419.48亿元，预期增速将达50%，但这次明显低于该数据。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fa119ca11a84effab5f0f664bb59a4c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"489\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>22Q4 Non-GAAP归母净利润为121.1亿元，同比增长43.4%，环比下滑2.7%。此前彭博一致预期为111.7亿元，实际高于市场预期的8.4%。</p><p>在去年消费形势严峻的Q2和Q3季度下，拼多多仍有大超市场预期的表现，这让机构对拼多多在Q4的表现增多了想象空间。尤其是在去年阿里和京东市场份额下滑的情况下，大家对市场份额增多的拼多多抱有更大期待。</p><p>拼多多这次财报未能达到大家的预期，有个最直观的原因有两个。</p><p>一是拼多多为了高速扩展海外版拼多多Temu业务，在营销上花了不少钱揽客，拼多多原本优秀的成本控制环节有所放松。</p><p>22Q4营销费用支出为177亿元，同比大增56%，比营收增速还高。管理费用从21年Q4同期的2.24亿元增长至16.4亿，其中股权激励费用占12.8亿，这是拼多多为激励Temu员工所致的。研发费用为24亿，处于拼多多的正常水平，并无增多。</p><p>第二个是去年Q4的11月和12月深受疫情困扰，消费受阻，大家对药品类的需求激增。而有药房配送业务的阿里和京东受益于此，但拼多多却没有这项业务。</p><p>若不考虑药品带来的高增长，实际上阿里和京东的消费品营收也并不好看。这两家也在Q4财报中提到，药品高增长抵消了其他品类消费的下滑。拼多多由于没这项业务，即没有抵消其他品类营收下滑的缓冲垫。</p><p>从业务细分来看，22Q4在线营销服务收入为310亿元，同比增长38%，增速慢于22Q3的58%，且低于市场45-50%的较高预期值。但该项收入是京东同期该项收入的125%，为阿里同期该项收入的43.5%。</p><p>虽然去年Q4的11至12月是居家时间，对拼多多的日用品销售也有好处，但网购始终需要有人把货品送到家，而去年两个月中，很多地区的物流配送并不是那么顺畅，履约率恶化也是影响消费的因素。</p><p>22Q4佣金收入为88亿元，同比增长86%，但增速低于22Q3增长的102%，该项业务收入超市场预期的82亿元。</p><p>22Q4毛利率为77.6%，略高于市场预期的76.6%，其实毛利率并未有下滑。毛利润为309亿元，低于市场预期的319亿，这主要还是由于营收少了，及营销费用增多所致。</p><p>整体而言，市场对拼多多去年Q2和Q3超预期表现过于乐观，导致对Q4业绩期待过高。</p><p>而阿里和京东在Q4表现不错，与我们上述所说的一样，但主要得益于药品类销售增长。除去药品类外，其他消费品类营收实际下滑。阿里和京东有饿了么和京东到家等线下配送能力，在居家消费需求高涨的情况下占据优势。相比之下，拼多多没有线下配送药品能力。</p><p>值得注意的是，京东已经打响了所谓的百亿补贴战两周时间。</p><p>但从消费者反馈来看，并没有感受到京东宣传中所说的价格优势。例如，“价格不比拼多多和天猫低就赔三倍”的承诺并未兑现。在个别品类上，京东价格略低于拼多多；但从整体品类来看，拼多多给消费者更大力度。</p><p>拼多多CEO陈磊表示，行业内的竞争非常激烈，我们相信良性的竞争对于消费者以及整个行业而言，都是有利的，但有事随着竞争的激烈，这种竞争也会出现不同程度的异化。服务好消费者是创造长期价值的关键所在。</p><p><b>在电话会中，有一段话应是投资者关心的：拼多多高管提及到，公司的每一笔投资都会经过审慎考量，如果这笔投资能够为公司带来长期的高质量发展，将毫不犹豫地进行投资。</b></p><p><b>在过去，不仅是阿里和京东，或是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>的高速增长期时，都会有时候做一些莫名其妙的投资。而这项投资对公司产生的反馈并不好，这导致公司即花费了钱也花费了精力做一些比较差的投资，这是互联网公司经常会犯的错。</b></p><p><b>这也是段永平之前称为什么无法重手买腾讯的原因之一，腾讯也会做一些奇奇怪怪令股东难以理解的投资。</b></p><p>当然，拼多多的体量仍不能跟腾讯相提并论，但在企业高速发展期中，做好投资是公司未来发展更好的重要基石，例如拼多多扩展海外Temu业务。</p><p>陈磊表示，目前Temu业务仍处于早期的阶段，目前对财报的影响还相对较小。但我们从22Q4这次财报上看，未来拼多多的营销支出应该是会陆续增加，会影响至财报的表现。</p><p><b>结语</b></p><p>这次财报并非差劲之作，而是市场预期过高导致失望反噬。</p><p>目前京东打响价格战，并未动摇拼多多低价优势。若就是现在的价格力度，相信靠低价策略出身的拼多多能守好擂台。</p><p>药品类销售增长为京东其他营收下滑提供缓冲作用，但药品类属于“一次性”收入来源，并不能为京东带来持续发展。</p><p>因此23年Q1报尤为重要，它将反映出在疫情结束后首个消费复苏季度中消费者忠诚度如何分布。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e42c16a083ab273c19aaae21cdb697a0","relate_stocks":{"PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2321667647","content_text":"3月20日，拼多多公布了2022年Q4财报，在中概股四季度均超市场预期的表现下，拼多多反倒成唯一一个低于市场预期的。在昨夜财报公布后，拼多多大跌14.17%，跌近5个月以来的低位，此前由于京东百亿补贴带来的冲击并不强，拼多多的走势优于京东，但为什么昨夜财报一发，就引起了股价大跌？ 财报显示，22Q4总营收为398.2亿元，同比增长46.2%，环比增长12.2%。此前彭博一致预期为419.48亿元，预期增速将达50%，但这次明显低于该数据。22Q4 Non-GAAP归母净利润为121.1亿元，同比增长43.4%，环比下滑2.7%。此前彭博一致预期为111.7亿元，实际高于市场预期的8.4%。在去年消费形势严峻的Q2和Q3季度下，拼多多仍有大超市场预期的表现，这让机构对拼多多在Q4的表现增多了想象空间。尤其是在去年阿里和京东市场份额下滑的情况下，大家对市场份额增多的拼多多抱有更大期待。拼多多这次财报未能达到大家的预期，有个最直观的原因有两个。一是拼多多为了高速扩展海外版拼多多Temu业务，在营销上花了不少钱揽客，拼多多原本优秀的成本控制环节有所放松。22Q4营销费用支出为177亿元，同比大增56%，比营收增速还高。管理费用从21年Q4同期的2.24亿元增长至16.4亿，其中股权激励费用占12.8亿，这是拼多多为激励Temu员工所致的。研发费用为24亿，处于拼多多的正常水平，并无增多。第二个是去年Q4的11月和12月深受疫情困扰，消费受阻，大家对药品类的需求激增。而有药房配送业务的阿里和京东受益于此，但拼多多却没有这项业务。若不考虑药品带来的高增长，实际上阿里和京东的消费品营收也并不好看。这两家也在Q4财报中提到，药品高增长抵消了其他品类消费的下滑。拼多多由于没这项业务，即没有抵消其他品类营收下滑的缓冲垫。从业务细分来看，22Q4在线营销服务收入为310亿元，同比增长38%，增速慢于22Q3的58%，且低于市场45-50%的较高预期值。但该项收入是京东同期该项收入的125%，为阿里同期该项收入的43.5%。虽然去年Q4的11至12月是居家时间，对拼多多的日用品销售也有好处，但网购始终需要有人把货品送到家，而去年两个月中，很多地区的物流配送并不是那么顺畅，履约率恶化也是影响消费的因素。22Q4佣金收入为88亿元，同比增长86%，但增速低于22Q3增长的102%，该项业务收入超市场预期的82亿元。22Q4毛利率为77.6%，略高于市场预期的76.6%，其实毛利率并未有下滑。毛利润为309亿元，低于市场预期的319亿，这主要还是由于营收少了，及营销费用增多所致。整体而言，市场对拼多多去年Q2和Q3超预期表现过于乐观，导致对Q4业绩期待过高。而阿里和京东在Q4表现不错，与我们上述所说的一样，但主要得益于药品类销售增长。除去药品类外，其他消费品类营收实际下滑。阿里和京东有饿了么和京东到家等线下配送能力，在居家消费需求高涨的情况下占据优势。相比之下，拼多多没有线下配送药品能力。值得注意的是，京东已经打响了所谓的百亿补贴战两周时间。但从消费者反馈来看，并没有感受到京东宣传中所说的价格优势。例如，“价格不比拼多多和天猫低就赔三倍”的承诺并未兑现。在个别品类上，京东价格略低于拼多多；但从整体品类来看，拼多多给消费者更大力度。拼多多CEO陈磊表示，行业内的竞争非常激烈，我们相信良性的竞争对于消费者以及整个行业而言，都是有利的，但有事随着竞争的激烈，这种竞争也会出现不同程度的异化。服务好消费者是创造长期价值的关键所在。在电话会中，有一段话应是投资者关心的：拼多多高管提及到，公司的每一笔投资都会经过审慎考量，如果这笔投资能够为公司带来长期的高质量发展，将毫不犹豫地进行投资。在过去，不仅是阿里和京东，或是腾讯的高速增长期时，都会有时候做一些莫名其妙的投资。而这项投资对公司产生的反馈并不好，这导致公司即花费了钱也花费了精力做一些比较差的投资，这是互联网公司经常会犯的错。这也是段永平之前称为什么无法重手买腾讯的原因之一，腾讯也会做一些奇奇怪怪令股东难以理解的投资。当然，拼多多的体量仍不能跟腾讯相提并论，但在企业高速发展期中，做好投资是公司未来发展更好的重要基石，例如拼多多扩展海外Temu业务。陈磊表示，目前Temu业务仍处于早期的阶段，目前对财报的影响还相对较小。但我们从22Q4这次财报上看，未来拼多多的营销支出应该是会陆续增加，会影响至财报的表现。结语这次财报并非差劲之作，而是市场预期过高导致失望反噬。目前京东打响价格战，并未动摇拼多多低价优势。若就是现在的价格力度，相信靠低价策略出身的拼多多能守好擂台。药品类销售增长为京东其他营收下滑提供缓冲作用，但药品类属于“一次性”收入来源，并不能为京东带来持续发展。因此23年Q1报尤为重要，它将反映出在疫情结束后首个消费复苏季度中消费者忠诚度如何分布。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PDD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3580820422981796","authorId":"3580820422981796","name":"姚姚会理财","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3580820422981796","idStr":"3580820422981796"},"content":"你干嘛要说真话，我希望它继续往下砸，我好建仓","text":"你干嘛要说真话，我希望它继续往下砸，我好建仓","html":"你干嘛要说真话，我希望它继续往下砸，我好建仓"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688532792,"gmtCreate":1657718839218,"gmtModify":1704868103590,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"通胀面前最脆弱的一类人群之一就是已经或即将退休的人…粗暴加息“股市-退休金”缩水，无异于打击他们的生活质量…","listText":"通胀面前最脆弱的一类人群之一就是已经或即将退休的人…粗暴加息“股市-退休金”缩水，无异于打击他们的生活质量…","text":"通胀面前最脆弱的一类人群之一就是已经或即将退休的人…粗暴加息“股市-退休金”缩水，无异于打击他们的生活质量…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688532792","repostId":"1188823862","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188823862","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657717841,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188823862?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-13 21:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"7月加息100基点？美国通胀“破9”，分析师火速解读来了！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188823862","media":"金十数据 ","summary":"美联储观察显示，美国联邦基金利率期货显示美联储有80%的可能在9月再次加息75个基点。互换市场显示美联储7月加息100基点的概率有三分之一。而在数据公布前，美联储互换市场就充分定价美联储7月加息75个","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>美联储观察显示，美国联邦基金利率期货显示美联储有80%的可能在9月再次加息75个基点。互换市场显示美联储7月加息100基点的概率有三分之一。而在数据公布前，美联储互换市场就充分定价美联储7月加息75个基点。</blockquote><p>北京时间7月13日20:30，市场瞩目的美国6月CPI数据公布。</p><p>美国6月未季调CPI年率录得9.1%，为<b>1981年11月以来最大增幅</b>，预期8.80%，前值8.60%。美国6月季调后CPI月率1.3%，创2005年9月以来新高，预期1.10%，前值1.00%。这反映出美国汽油、住房和食品成本上涨。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2520d00bd90aa275551197b5e4261de4\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>然而，实际工资却连续第15个月下降。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c7b1329b4daa8d75f0799eaa7965711\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>美国CPI数据公布后，美股股指期货直线下挫，美元指数短线拉升近50点，非美货币集体走低；现货黄金短线跳水17美元，跌穿1720美元/盎司，创2021年8月9日以来新低。</p><p>华尔街日报此前指出，一些投行已警告称，美国总体通胀率恐达9%，甚至更高。若果真如此，则很可能利空美股，尤其是包括Meta Platforms、苹果和亚马逊在内的成长股。</p><p>美国国债大跌。分析师Michael MacKenzie指出，在CPI高于预期之后，美国国债收益率飙升。可以理解的是，随着报告显示美联储将进一步收紧货币政策，前端利率先采取行动，</p><p>市场定价美联储7月加息100基点的概率</p><p>分析师Chris Anstey指出，无论从整体数据还是核心数据的环比涨幅来看，这都是一个<b>显著的涨幅</b>。这巩固美联储在7月会议上加息75个基点的预期。白宫不会给（CPI数据高企）这件事裹上糖衣。那些过时的、落后的解释不会让公众满意。</p><p><b>美联储观察显示，美国联邦基金利率期货显示美联储有80%的可能在9月再次加息75个基点</b>。<b>互换市场显示美联储7月加息100基点的概率有三分之一</b>。数据公布后，7月合约的利率一度升至2.416％，比当前有效联邦基金利率高出约83.6个基点。这意味着市场认为加息幅度达到75个基点已经确定无疑，而且加息整整一个百分点的概率大约三分之一。</p><p>此前在数据公布前，美联储互换市场就充分定价美联储7月加息75个基点，押注美国将需要加快货币紧缩步伐，以遏制通胀。瑞穗集团全球宏观策略交易主管Peter Chatwell表示：</p><blockquote>美联储现在需要保持激进，这样它才能在9月份评估形势，并可能在第四季度采取不那么激进的紧缩路线。</blockquote><p><b>超9%的数据意味着通胀还未见顶？</b></p><p>分析师Katia Dmitrieva指出，对美联储和美国人来说，一个不受欢迎的信号是，通胀仍然广泛存在。虽然能源和食品价格是物价上涨的主要原因，但其他商品和服务价格继续承压。</p><p>从细分数据来看，分析师Katia Dmitrie指出，食品指数的上升速度比前一个月慢。但增幅相当大，6月份较5月份增长1%。全年差不多都在以这个速度增长。</p><p>另一个导致CPI大涨的因素是油价，根据美国汽车协会AAA的数据，美国汽油价格在6月创下历史新高，平均超过每加仑5美元，不过汽油价格已经从峰值下跌，周三平均为每加仑4.631美元，这可能会减轻消费者的一些压力。目前高通胀和不断上升的借贷成本引发了人们对明年初经济衰退的担忧。</p><p>财经网站Forexlive指出，美国的通货膨胀正在加剧。联邦基金期货市场迅速定价美联储加息100个基点的几率为23%的预期。当月CPI能源指数上涨7.5%，贡献了总涨幅的近一半。能源价格同比上涨41.6%。除此之外，汽车行业也令人担忧，因为它仍处于高位，租金继续攀升。二手车数据尤其令人惊讶。<b>「CPI超过9%」这个数字对普通民众来说并不好看，美联储要想软化立场将会很困难</b>。</p><p>彭博经济学家Anna指出，尽管所有人都预期6月份CPI数据会上升，但这一意外上升包含了一个市场尚未消化的重要信号：<b>这意味着通胀仍未见顶</b>。即使由于大宗商品价格下跌导致下一份数据会走软，但今年夏天晚些时候，通胀年率可能会再次上升。美联储一直在寻找通胀正在减速的「清晰而令人信服」的迹象，但除非经济开始以更快的速度降温，否则这种情况不会发生。</p></body></html>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7月加息100基点？美国通胀“破9”，分析师火速解读来了！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-13 21:10 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/details/96983><strong>金十数据 </strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美联储观察显示，美国联邦基金利率期货显示美联储有80%的可能在9月再次加息75个基点。互换市场显示美联储7月加息100基点的概率有三分之一。而在数据公布前，美联储互换市场就充分定价美联储7月加息75个基点。北京时间7月13日20:30，市场瞩目的美国6月CPI数据公布。美国6月未季调CPI年率录得9.1%，为1981年11月以来最大增幅，预期8.80%，前值8.60%。美国6月季调后CPI月率...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/96983\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/96983","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188823862","content_text":"美联储观察显示，美国联邦基金利率期货显示美联储有80%的可能在9月再次加息75个基点。互换市场显示美联储7月加息100基点的概率有三分之一。而在数据公布前，美联储互换市场就充分定价美联储7月加息75个基点。北京时间7月13日20:30，市场瞩目的美国6月CPI数据公布。美国6月未季调CPI年率录得9.1%，为1981年11月以来最大增幅，预期8.80%，前值8.60%。美国6月季调后CPI月率1.3%，创2005年9月以来新高，预期1.10%，前值1.00%。这反映出美国汽油、住房和食品成本上涨。然而，实际工资却连续第15个月下降。美国CPI数据公布后，美股股指期货直线下挫，美元指数短线拉升近50点，非美货币集体走低；现货黄金短线跳水17美元，跌穿1720美元/盎司，创2021年8月9日以来新低。华尔街日报此前指出，一些投行已警告称，美国总体通胀率恐达9%，甚至更高。若果真如此，则很可能利空美股，尤其是包括Meta Platforms、苹果和亚马逊在内的成长股。美国国债大跌。分析师Michael MacKenzie指出，在CPI高于预期之后，美国国债收益率飙升。可以理解的是，随着报告显示美联储将进一步收紧货币政策，前端利率先采取行动，市场定价美联储7月加息100基点的概率分析师Chris Anstey指出，无论从整体数据还是核心数据的环比涨幅来看，这都是一个显著的涨幅。这巩固美联储在7月会议上加息75个基点的预期。白宫不会给（CPI数据高企）这件事裹上糖衣。那些过时的、落后的解释不会让公众满意。美联储观察显示，美国联邦基金利率期货显示美联储有80%的可能在9月再次加息75个基点。互换市场显示美联储7月加息100基点的概率有三分之一。数据公布后，7月合约的利率一度升至2.416％，比当前有效联邦基金利率高出约83.6个基点。这意味着市场认为加息幅度达到75个基点已经确定无疑，而且加息整整一个百分点的概率大约三分之一。此前在数据公布前，美联储互换市场就充分定价美联储7月加息75个基点，押注美国将需要加快货币紧缩步伐，以遏制通胀。瑞穗集团全球宏观策略交易主管Peter Chatwell表示：美联储现在需要保持激进，这样它才能在9月份评估形势，并可能在第四季度采取不那么激进的紧缩路线。超9%的数据意味着通胀还未见顶？分析师Katia Dmitrieva指出，对美联储和美国人来说，一个不受欢迎的信号是，通胀仍然广泛存在。虽然能源和食品价格是物价上涨的主要原因，但其他商品和服务价格继续承压。从细分数据来看，分析师Katia Dmitrie指出，食品指数的上升速度比前一个月慢。但增幅相当大，6月份较5月份增长1%。全年差不多都在以这个速度增长。另一个导致CPI大涨的因素是油价，根据美国汽车协会AAA的数据，美国汽油价格在6月创下历史新高，平均超过每加仑5美元，不过汽油价格已经从峰值下跌，周三平均为每加仑4.631美元，这可能会减轻消费者的一些压力。目前高通胀和不断上升的借贷成本引发了人们对明年初经济衰退的担忧。财经网站Forexlive指出，美国的通货膨胀正在加剧。联邦基金期货市场迅速定价美联储加息100个基点的几率为23%的预期。当月CPI能源指数上涨7.5%，贡献了总涨幅的近一半。能源价格同比上涨41.6%。除此之外，汽车行业也令人担忧，因为它仍处于高位，租金继续攀升。二手车数据尤其令人惊讶。「CPI超过9%」这个数字对普通民众来说并不好看，美联储要想软化立场将会很困难。彭博经济学家Anna指出，尽管所有人都预期6月份CPI数据会上升，但这一意外上升包含了一个市场尚未消化的重要信号：这意味着通胀仍未见顶。即使由于大宗商品价格下跌导致下一份数据会走软，但今年夏天晚些时候，通胀年率可能会再次上升。美联储一直在寻找通胀正在减速的「清晰而令人信服」的迹象，但除非经济开始以更快的速度降温，否则这种情况不会发生。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1792,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":612195192,"gmtCreate":1652207411016,"gmtModify":1652207411016,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"看不上PDD的人多，但是离不开PDD的人更多。离不开PDD的人能有多少比例在互联网投资平台上发声？中国的生鲜运转模式远没被颠覆，宽容度极大，而且复购率高。","listText":"看不上PDD的人多，但是离不开PDD的人更多。离不开PDD的人能有多少比例在互联网投资平台上发声？中国的生鲜运转模式远没被颠覆，宽容度极大，而且复购率高。","text":"看不上PDD的人多，但是离不开PDD的人更多。离不开PDD的人能有多少比例在互联网投资平台上发声？中国的生鲜运转模式远没被颠覆，宽容度极大，而且复购率高。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/612195192","repostId":"1171831757","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1171831757","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1652061847,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171831757?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-05-09 10:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"又慢又“穷”的拼多多，如何打一场输不起的仗","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171831757","media":"雪豹财经社","summary":"切不动的万亿蛋糕黄峥离开一年多之后，新CEO陈磊掌舵下的拼多多新招频出，但见效颇缓。在农业和直播电商领域尚未掀起水花的拼多多，近日开始涉足即时零售，卷入“万物到家”的新战场。雪豹财经社了解到，4月28","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>切不动的万亿蛋糕</b></blockquote><p>黄峥离开一年多之后，新CEO陈磊掌舵下的拼多多新招频出，但见效颇缓。</p><p>在农业和直播电商领域尚未掀起水花的拼多多，近日开始涉足即时零售，卷入“万物到家”的新战场。雪豹财经社了解到，4月28日，拼多多课堂上线同城配送功能操作手册，辅导有意愿的商家入驻。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/019a70c4b760aa684214f75a9efae7bc\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>即时零售是块潜力巨大的蛋糕，但这条赛道早已硝烟弥漫。阿里、京东、美团三足鼎立，迟到的拼多多再次以搅局者的姿态出现，却面临运力欠缺、行动迟缓的尴尬现状。</p><p>如今的拼多多，还能否重现7年前在阿里和京东两大巨头的“铁幕”之下撕开裂口的奇迹？</p><p><b>即时不及时</b></p><p>从未如此渴盼物资及时抵达的上海，成为拼多多试水即时零售的第一个试炼场。</p><p>目前，拼多多即时零售已在上海地区运行，但页面入口藏得很深，App首页尚没有一级入口。据拼多多官方客服介绍，用户需主动搜索“上海48小时发货”，才能找到相关商品。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18dacdacc40f9f6297b04a8b5775c7a3\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>据拼多多同城配送功能手册介绍，其即时零售项目未来主要在北上广深开展，支持虚拟行业以外的所有行业入驻，尤其适合水果、礼品鲜花、低温奶、定制蛋糕等行业。</p><p>对于试图入局即时零售的拼多多而言，这无疑也是个不错的时机。</p><p>中泰证券研报分析称，始于2008年前后的餐饮外卖的即时零售，在2019年后进入成熟发展阶段，需求场景不断丰富。2020年以来，快递及线下消费受疫情影响，又一次促进了即时零售发展。</p><p>国家邮政局数据显示，3月，全国快递业务量和业务收入分别同比下降3.1%和4.2%。央视新闻则报道称，3月全国停发快件的快递网点超过2000个。在这种情况下，无需跨省市、依托同城配送的即时零售获得较快发展。</p><p>据美团数据，3月，美团闪购在北京、深圳、天津等城市的订单量同比增长超70%。这也让线下商家对入驻即时零售平台有强烈愿望。达达集团招股书显示，2019年，全行业中，即时零售在超市等商家中的渗透率为1.4%，预计2023年将提升至10.6%。</p><p>然而，抓住了天时与地利，并不意味着拼多多胜券在握。</p><p>时效是即时零售的生命线，但对于没有自营物流、缺乏终端配送能力的拼多多而言，这恰恰是最大的短板。</p><p>据艾瑞咨询数据，2020年，美团配送市占率为47.2%，阿里旗下的“蜂鸟即配”和“点我达”市占率为20.7%，京东合作的达达快送占据4.1%的市场份额。拼多多则没有专属配送队伍，需商家自己解决配送问题。因此，拼多多即时零售承诺的配送时间长达24小时，在上海地区目前只送到小区门口；而美团、京东等即时零售平台的配送时间多为30分钟到1小时。</p><p>更致命的“慢半拍”在于，拼多多入场“搅局”之际，阿里、京东、美团早已在即时零售行业布局多年。</p><p>除了美团买菜，美团旗下的即时零售平台美团闪购已上线3年多。2021年，美团闪购在没有额外流量扶持下，日订单量突破400万单，CFO陈少晖在财报电话会上展望称，闪购未来日订单将破千万。同一年，京东旗下即时零售业态京东到家，合作的门店突破15万家。阿里的同城零售业态盒马鲜生和淘鲜达，则分别诞生于2016年和2017年。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b89e08117ee3181aee2f163e72864a6\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"604\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>错过直播电商红利的拼多多再次姗姗来迟，但新战场与新机遇不容错失。</p><p><b>不能输的战争</b></p><p>从“Everything Store（万货商店）”变迁至“Everything Now（万物到家）”的未来战场上，拼多多不能缺席，也不能输。</p><p>即时零售可以简单地理解为外卖配送的升级版，追求时效性，但配送的商品已不局限于餐饮，而是包罗万象。埃森哲《聚焦中国95后消费群体》报告显示，超过50%的95后消费者希望能当天甚至半天就收到商品，7%的消费者希望在两个小时内收到商品。</p><p>据艾瑞咨询预估，即时零售市场2019-2023年的年复合增速将达到69.5%，到2024年将达到9000亿元的市场规模，是2020年的4.5倍。与之对比，据国家统计局，2021年网上零售增速仅为14.1%。</p><p>华泰证券甚至在一份研报中预判，这个未来的万亿市场是电商的下半场，将重新定义整个电商行业。</p><p>对于股价下滑、流量见顶、告别高增长时代的拼多多而言，这一仗不得不打。</p><p>2021年四个季度，拼多多营收分别为222亿、230亿、214亿元、272亿元，增速显著放缓，其中Q1和Q3两个季度环比下降。截至2021年Q4，拼多多年度活跃买家为8.687亿，环比Q3新增140万，远低于Q1的新增3500万。这也是自2018年7月上市以来，拼多多年度活跃买家数增长最少的一个季度。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99773aec0412d978329f2c76eb78163e\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"822\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77fcbed2c671174b9295661bec61ab6a\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"822\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>陈磊在Q4财报电话会上承认，长期保持快速增长已不可能。如何持续服务好现有的8.7亿用户，高速发展的即时零售或许是一个切入口。</p><p>此外，拼多多发展即时零售，还可以与旗下已具规模的社区团购“多多买菜”形成业务协同。多多买菜的生鲜品类优势可以为即时零售的供货和仓储环节提供助力，多多买菜遍布全国的团长也可兼职成为社区内的送货骑手。</p><p>这种做法已有先例。4月下旬，美团的社区团购项目美团优选暂停北京地区运营，被合并到美团买菜，其供应链资源、团长及配送能力转而为美团买菜服务。</p><p>问题在于，拼多多还有后来居上的机会吗？</p><p><b>不烧钱，怎么打？</b></p><p>本地生活是块人人垂涎的巨大蛋糕，但要想打好这场仗，强大的供应链能力、成熟的配送体系、丰沛的流量入口，以及高黏性的用户群体，缺一不可。</p><p>对于后黄峥时代的拼多多，利润是个无法回避的关键词。目前即时零售整个行业都处于亏损当中，拼多多入局即时零售，也需要熬过相当一段时间的业务亏损阶段。但是，拼多多已有耗资巨大的“百亿农研专项”计划，2021年二三四季度利润均投入其中。而农业是一个需长期投入、且短期难见效的行业。</p><p>况且，相比对手们，拼多多本就现金流不充沛。截至2021年末，拼多多现金、现金等价物及短期投资约为929亿元人民币，低于即时零售三巨头阿里（4949亿元）、京东（1853亿元）与美团（1168亿元）。</p><p>如何在农业投资之余，再挤出资金注入持续亏损的即时零售项目，也是一个难题。</p><p>目前，即时零售主要有两种模式。阿里的盒马鲜生和天猫超市采取自营模式，京东、美团和新入局的拼多多，则以平台模式为主。所谓平台模式，即平台依托消费者的即时性需求，整合线下门店的商品资源。平台模式对商品质量、配送效率和售后服务的管控能力逊色于自营模式，但好处是避开了自营模式的高投入。</p><p>拼多多的短板在于，缺乏连接商家和消费者的配送体系。这也意味着，拼多多并无意愿承担持续高企的配送人力成本。</p><p>但拼多多省下的成本不会凭空消失，而是落到了提供配送服务的线下门店头上。</p><p>据《IT时报》援引业内人士说法称，一个大型超市要想覆盖10公里的片区，需要配备近百名专职骑手，每月支出近百万元。即使在单量充足的情况下，这仍然极大地蚕食了实体店本就微薄的利润空间。规模相对较小的便利店和社区商店，更难以支撑配送带来的人力成本。</p><p>这意味着，面对京东、美团等入驻门槛更低、服务体系更完善的竞争对手，拼多多对商户的吸引力并不大。</p><p>截至2021年9月，美团闪购覆盖的城镇数量达到2800个，合作社区生鲜店超1.5万家、菜市场超3万家、连锁商超逾150家。拼多多想从美团的盘中夺食，不是件容易的事。</p><p>美团尚未覆盖的空白市场，会是拼多多撕开裂口的机遇窗口吗？</p><p>据华泰证券2月研报，即时零售正在由一二线向低线城市下沉，而拼多多的基本盘正是下沉市场。但难题仍在：拼多多的客群对价格较敏感，即时零售主打时效，很难做到极致性价比。</p><p>又一道异常艰难的必考题摆在了拼多多面前。这一次，陈磊会交出什么样的答卷？</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1634697401643","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n又慢又“穷”的拼多多，如何打一场输不起的仗\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-09 10:04 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/PpRb0-JAaP8W1wV0O5Fp6Q><strong>雪豹财经社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>切不动的万亿蛋糕黄峥离开一年多之后，新CEO陈磊掌舵下的拼多多新招频出，但见效颇缓。在农业和直播电商领域尚未掀起水花的拼多多，近日开始涉足即时零售，卷入“万物到家”的新战场。雪豹财经社了解到，4月28日，拼多多课堂上线同城配送功能操作手册，辅导有意愿的商家入驻。即时零售是块潜力巨大的蛋糕，但这条赛道早已硝烟弥漫。阿里、京东、美团三足鼎立，迟到的拼多多再次以搅局者的姿态出现，却面临运力欠缺、行动迟缓...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/PpRb0-JAaP8W1wV0O5Fp6Q\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03e00fc5a5a157f3b632137c5f2ce307","relate_stocks":{"PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/PpRb0-JAaP8W1wV0O5Fp6Q","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171831757","content_text":"切不动的万亿蛋糕黄峥离开一年多之后，新CEO陈磊掌舵下的拼多多新招频出，但见效颇缓。在农业和直播电商领域尚未掀起水花的拼多多，近日开始涉足即时零售，卷入“万物到家”的新战场。雪豹财经社了解到，4月28日，拼多多课堂上线同城配送功能操作手册，辅导有意愿的商家入驻。即时零售是块潜力巨大的蛋糕，但这条赛道早已硝烟弥漫。阿里、京东、美团三足鼎立，迟到的拼多多再次以搅局者的姿态出现，却面临运力欠缺、行动迟缓的尴尬现状。如今的拼多多，还能否重现7年前在阿里和京东两大巨头的“铁幕”之下撕开裂口的奇迹？即时不及时从未如此渴盼物资及时抵达的上海，成为拼多多试水即时零售的第一个试炼场。目前，拼多多即时零售已在上海地区运行，但页面入口藏得很深，App首页尚没有一级入口。据拼多多官方客服介绍，用户需主动搜索“上海48小时发货”，才能找到相关商品。据拼多多同城配送功能手册介绍，其即时零售项目未来主要在北上广深开展，支持虚拟行业以外的所有行业入驻，尤其适合水果、礼品鲜花、低温奶、定制蛋糕等行业。对于试图入局即时零售的拼多多而言，这无疑也是个不错的时机。中泰证券研报分析称，始于2008年前后的餐饮外卖的即时零售，在2019年后进入成熟发展阶段，需求场景不断丰富。2020年以来，快递及线下消费受疫情影响，又一次促进了即时零售发展。国家邮政局数据显示，3月，全国快递业务量和业务收入分别同比下降3.1%和4.2%。央视新闻则报道称，3月全国停发快件的快递网点超过2000个。在这种情况下，无需跨省市、依托同城配送的即时零售获得较快发展。据美团数据，3月，美团闪购在北京、深圳、天津等城市的订单量同比增长超70%。这也让线下商家对入驻即时零售平台有强烈愿望。达达集团招股书显示，2019年，全行业中，即时零售在超市等商家中的渗透率为1.4%，预计2023年将提升至10.6%。然而，抓住了天时与地利，并不意味着拼多多胜券在握。时效是即时零售的生命线，但对于没有自营物流、缺乏终端配送能力的拼多多而言，这恰恰是最大的短板。据艾瑞咨询数据，2020年，美团配送市占率为47.2%，阿里旗下的“蜂鸟即配”和“点我达”市占率为20.7%，京东合作的达达快送占据4.1%的市场份额。拼多多则没有专属配送队伍，需商家自己解决配送问题。因此，拼多多即时零售承诺的配送时间长达24小时，在上海地区目前只送到小区门口；而美团、京东等即时零售平台的配送时间多为30分钟到1小时。更致命的“慢半拍”在于，拼多多入场“搅局”之际，阿里、京东、美团早已在即时零售行业布局多年。除了美团买菜，美团旗下的即时零售平台美团闪购已上线3年多。2021年，美团闪购在没有额外流量扶持下，日订单量突破400万单，CFO陈少晖在财报电话会上展望称，闪购未来日订单将破千万。同一年，京东旗下即时零售业态京东到家，合作的门店突破15万家。阿里的同城零售业态盒马鲜生和淘鲜达，则分别诞生于2016年和2017年。错过直播电商红利的拼多多再次姗姗来迟，但新战场与新机遇不容错失。不能输的战争从“Everything Store（万货商店）”变迁至“Everything Now（万物到家）”的未来战场上，拼多多不能缺席，也不能输。即时零售可以简单地理解为外卖配送的升级版，追求时效性，但配送的商品已不局限于餐饮，而是包罗万象。埃森哲《聚焦中国95后消费群体》报告显示，超过50%的95后消费者希望能当天甚至半天就收到商品，7%的消费者希望在两个小时内收到商品。据艾瑞咨询预估，即时零售市场2019-2023年的年复合增速将达到69.5%，到2024年将达到9000亿元的市场规模，是2020年的4.5倍。与之对比，据国家统计局，2021年网上零售增速仅为14.1%。华泰证券甚至在一份研报中预判，这个未来的万亿市场是电商的下半场，将重新定义整个电商行业。对于股价下滑、流量见顶、告别高增长时代的拼多多而言，这一仗不得不打。2021年四个季度，拼多多营收分别为222亿、230亿、214亿元、272亿元，增速显著放缓，其中Q1和Q3两个季度环比下降。截至2021年Q4，拼多多年度活跃买家为8.687亿，环比Q3新增140万，远低于Q1的新增3500万。这也是自2018年7月上市以来，拼多多年度活跃买家数增长最少的一个季度。陈磊在Q4财报电话会上承认，长期保持快速增长已不可能。如何持续服务好现有的8.7亿用户，高速发展的即时零售或许是一个切入口。此外，拼多多发展即时零售，还可以与旗下已具规模的社区团购“多多买菜”形成业务协同。多多买菜的生鲜品类优势可以为即时零售的供货和仓储环节提供助力，多多买菜遍布全国的团长也可兼职成为社区内的送货骑手。这种做法已有先例。4月下旬，美团的社区团购项目美团优选暂停北京地区运营，被合并到美团买菜，其供应链资源、团长及配送能力转而为美团买菜服务。问题在于，拼多多还有后来居上的机会吗？不烧钱，怎么打？本地生活是块人人垂涎的巨大蛋糕，但要想打好这场仗，强大的供应链能力、成熟的配送体系、丰沛的流量入口，以及高黏性的用户群体，缺一不可。对于后黄峥时代的拼多多，利润是个无法回避的关键词。目前即时零售整个行业都处于亏损当中，拼多多入局即时零售，也需要熬过相当一段时间的业务亏损阶段。但是，拼多多已有耗资巨大的“百亿农研专项”计划，2021年二三四季度利润均投入其中。而农业是一个需长期投入、且短期难见效的行业。况且，相比对手们，拼多多本就现金流不充沛。截至2021年末，拼多多现金、现金等价物及短期投资约为929亿元人民币，低于即时零售三巨头阿里（4949亿元）、京东（1853亿元）与美团（1168亿元）。如何在农业投资之余，再挤出资金注入持续亏损的即时零售项目，也是一个难题。目前，即时零售主要有两种模式。阿里的盒马鲜生和天猫超市采取自营模式，京东、美团和新入局的拼多多，则以平台模式为主。所谓平台模式，即平台依托消费者的即时性需求，整合线下门店的商品资源。平台模式对商品质量、配送效率和售后服务的管控能力逊色于自营模式，但好处是避开了自营模式的高投入。拼多多的短板在于，缺乏连接商家和消费者的配送体系。这也意味着，拼多多并无意愿承担持续高企的配送人力成本。但拼多多省下的成本不会凭空消失，而是落到了提供配送服务的线下门店头上。据《IT时报》援引业内人士说法称，一个大型超市要想覆盖10公里的片区，需要配备近百名专职骑手，每月支出近百万元。即使在单量充足的情况下，这仍然极大地蚕食了实体店本就微薄的利润空间。规模相对较小的便利店和社区商店，更难以支撑配送带来的人力成本。这意味着，面对京东、美团等入驻门槛更低、服务体系更完善的竞争对手，拼多多对商户的吸引力并不大。截至2021年9月，美团闪购覆盖的城镇数量达到2800个，合作社区生鲜店超1.5万家、菜市场超3万家、连锁商超逾150家。拼多多想从美团的盘中夺食，不是件容易的事。美团尚未覆盖的空白市场，会是拼多多撕开裂口的机遇窗口吗？据华泰证券2月研报，即时零售正在由一二线向低线城市下沉，而拼多多的基本盘正是下沉市场。但难题仍在：拼多多的客群对价格较敏感，即时零售主打时效，很难做到极致性价比。又一道异常艰难的必考题摆在了拼多多面前。这一次，陈磊会交出什么样的答卷？","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PDD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2956,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3522054114320634","authorId":"3522054114320634","name":"renyi122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9eb84dd80d4a7247aa54a20a74c9fa8f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3522054114320634","idStr":"3522054114320634"},"content":"拼多多可以的","text":"拼多多可以的","html":"拼多多可以的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":477905928818808,"gmtCreate":1757686482733,"gmtModify":1757686484852,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"当然看好阿里啊，达子市值都多大了，还有多少成长性？阿里量产以后你觉得天朝还可能再用米国货吗？？","listText":"当然看好阿里啊，达子市值都多大了，还有多少成长性？阿里量产以后你觉得天朝还可能再用米国货吗？？","text":"当然看好阿里啊，达子市值都多大了，还有多少成长性？阿里量产以后你觉得天朝还可能再用米国货吗？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477905928818808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":621687876,"gmtCreate":1672242102295,"gmtModify":1672242103359,"author":{"id":"3493041815189173","authorId":"3493041815189173","name":"gdudhfjjfjzh","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3493041815189173","idStr":"3493041815189173"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>给自己百亿补贴？好便宜加上。疫情+Temu用户增长+美通胀，全都是利好消息.。坐等新一**力反弹","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>给自己百亿补贴？好便宜加上。疫情+Temu用户增长+美通胀，全都是利好消息.。坐等新一**力反弹","text":"$拼多多(PDD)$ 给自己百亿补贴？好便宜加上。疫情+Temu用户增长+美通胀，全都是利好消息.。坐等新一**力反弹","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/621687876","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}