abccooolc的个人主页 - 老虎社区

abccooolc

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：浙江

37关注

2粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2018-09-28

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 感觉开盘会有一波暴跌，然后再反弹。一定要忍住到那时再加仓。

2018-10-04

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 今天要涨了

2018-10-05

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 全仓买入。接下来都不看了，坐等收菜。

2018-09-04

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 自从买了阿里，每天都在跌…

2018-08-31

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ 10美元见

2020-09-01

$老虎证券(TIGR)$[汗颜] 这货连着阴跌了小半个月了，就是不涨吗

2018-09-18

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 舒服，继续低价买入~

2018-10-24

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 有点慌啊，我记得上次大家都唱多的是产量报告…然后产量符合大家预计了。然后就是连跌3天…

2018-10-10

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 站稳了那接下来应该就是涨了

2019-01-31

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 要翻红了？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3494402835244610","uuid":"3494402835244610","gmtCreate":1531308814244,"gmtModify":1531308814244,"name":"abccooolc","pinyin":"abccooolc","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":2,"headSize":37,"tweetSize":25,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":1,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.01.02","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"80.16%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"80.22%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"浙江","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":978971853,"gmtCreate":1599120272472,"gmtModify":1704221585024,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>符合预期的东西激动啥呢。忘了财报这么好是怎么跌的吗…[黑眼圈]&nbsp;[黑眼圈]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>符合预期的东西激动啥呢。忘了财报这么好是怎么跌的吗…[黑眼圈]&nbsp;[黑眼圈]&nbsp;","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$符合预期的东西激动啥呢。忘了财报这么好是怎么跌的吗…[黑眼圈] [黑眼圈]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/978971853","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3738,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":971622141,"gmtCreate":1598950051883,"gmtModify":1704220746884,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>[汗颜]&nbsp;这货连着阴跌了小半个月了，就是不涨吗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>[汗颜]&nbsp;这货连着阴跌了小半个月了，就是不涨吗","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$[汗颜] 这货连着阴跌了小半个月了，就是不涨吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/971622141","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":942909783,"gmtCreate":1596033159942,"gmtModify":1704210708819,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"走的好弱啊[难过]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;","listText":"走的好弱啊[难过]&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;","text":"走的好弱啊[难过] [难过]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/942909783","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":949923344,"gmtCreate":1594130560388,"gmtModify":1704204054262,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"都新高了还搁着说抄底呢","listText":"都新高了还搁着说抄底呢","text":"都新高了还搁着说抄底呢","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/949923344","repostId":"1157704176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157704176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1594127710,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157704176?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-07-07 21:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"“股神”巴菲特再出手，抄底美股的时机成熟了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157704176","media":"腾讯美股","summary":"这笔所谓大型交易，其实也没有多“大”，更谈不上说明巴菲特预计美股市场将从现在开始大幅走高。相反，这只是一笔就事论事的交易，一笔针对之前已经被打压很惨的天然气行业的小规模投资而已。\n\n\n在沉寂了许久之后","content":"<blockquote>\n <i><span>这笔所谓大型交易，其实也没有多“大”，更谈不上说明巴菲特预计美股市场将从现在开始大幅走高。相反，这只是一笔就事论事的交易，一笔针对之前已经被打压很惨的天然气行业的小规模投资而已。</span></i>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d73340bdec79b712f937cd0fa15bf89\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"369\"></p>\n<p>在沉寂了许久之后，“股神”巴菲特（Warren Buffett）终于动手了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦斥资40亿美元，收购了道明尼能源（Dominion Energy）旗下的天然气网络资产，交易的总规模达到97亿美元。那么，巴菲特终于结束了近四年按兵不动的状态，做出了2016年以来最大规模的交易，是否意味着他认为抄底美股的时机已经成熟呢？</p>\n<p><span>在许多观察家看来，这笔交易本身都是可圈可点，比如CFRA Research分析师赛弗特（Cathy Seifert）评价说，这次收购是“审慎之举，其正当性和合理性很容易证明，收购目标完全契合他们的既有商业模型”。彭博的分析师们也在研究报告当中指出，对于伯克希尔哈撒韦能源而言，交易“进一步巩固了他们在天然气行业的地位，考虑到能源价格今年的走势，以及一些行业玩家急切想要转向清洁能源的意愿，交易的时机可谓恰到好处”。</span></p>\n<p><span>问题在于，如果有人认为这笔交易标志着巴菲特的立场发生了改变，转向了牛派，那他们可就要大失所望了。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22e0196c0722c2139bb6adbba95c2931\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"311\"></p>\n<p><span>现在，美股已经重新涨回了接近历史最高点的水位，如果这时能够得到巴菲特认定股价依然被低估的加持，那美好的景象简直让人难以想象。事实上，最近一段时间，相信美股依然低估的人，在华尔街还真不是少数。他们的最重要根据之一就是，还有大量的现金在作壁上观——不必说，其中就包括伯克希尔的超过1370亿美元现金。</span></p>\n<p><span>诚然，美股近期的戏剧性上涨确实让越来越多人沉不住气，生怕错过进一步的涨势，在诱惑之中投身进来，而他们的资金入场，反过来又推动了股价的进一步上涨，由此形成了一个自我验证、自我完成的循环……短期内，估值的不断膨胀看似确实已经不可遏制了，但是，经历了几十年风雨的巴菲特，又怎么可能轻易被这种欣快症所蛊惑？</span></p>\n<p><span>第二季度盈利季节的大幕很快就要开启了，许多企业现在都干脆以变数为理由取消了今年的财测，而众所周知，要判断估值是否合理，最重要的参照就是营收、盈利等的实际表现和预期。这也就难怪，近期财经媒体在谈论投资者的行为时，广泛使用了“盲飞”这样的说法。没有任何实质性线索，全凭感觉行事，巴菲特显然不会这么做。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec0f872fa14943d608332b96d5b17a5d\" tg-width=\"544\" tg-height=\"368\"></p>\n<p><span>更加不必说，在众多估值评判指标当中，巴菲特最为看重的单一指标就是国内生产总值对股市总市值的比率，后者甚至被许多观察家称为“巴菲特指标”。如上图所示，虽然经历了3月以来的暴跌，但是整体来看，这一指标并没有发生什么根本性的变化，更谈不上发出股市已经低估的信号。相反，这一指标依然居于历史性的高水平。</span></p>\n<p><span>同样需要指出的是，伯克希尔近几年来一直没有什么大动作是不假，但是说巴菲特没有做过任何尝试，或者面对过任何机会，就未免有失妥当了。</span></p>\n<p><span>比如，早在3月崩盘前几个月，去年年底时，巴菲特就曾经试图收购软件和硬件分销商Tech Data，但是私募股权公司Apollo Global Management斜刺里杀了出来，巴菲特因为不愿意参与竞价大战而放弃了这次尝试。今年早些时候，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIF\">蒂芙尼</a>在最终接受路威酩轩的收购报价前，也曾经联络过伯克希尔，想要看看后者是否能够给出更高的价格，但是遭到了巴菲特的拒绝。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d40bcbef935c892a7cfbab11a6e863a\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"343\"></p>\n<p><span>还有，在非收购交易方面，伯克希尔其实一直相当活跃。比如，去年他们注资100亿美元，支持<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方石油</a>收购阿纳达科，获得了极为优厚的条件，气坏了西方石油的大股东伊坎（Carl Icahn），公开在媒体上炮轰巴菲特。</span></p>\n<p><span>总而言之，从这些记录不难看出，虽然表现略显沉寂，但巴菲特其实一直在按照自己的节奏和自己的标准行事，因此，对于这个最新的动作，也大可不必予以过分解读。当然，如果说伯克希尔进行了四年来首次大动作，什么都不说明，那也未免太过武断了。</span></p>\n<p><span>众所周知，过去几年以来，伯克希尔和巴菲特一直在持续囤积现金，使得后者的规模达到了1370亿美元，相当于伯克希尔4340亿美元总市值的31%。当一家企业30%的价值都配置在现金部位当中，其表现不及标普500指数，自然也就非常容易理解了。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efdf598befb1e1da6092bbe885f43b4a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"330\"></p>\n<p><span>哪怕伯克希尔收购道明尼天然气资产的交易是完全用现金完成，他们的军火库在这笔交易当中也不过只能消耗掉7%而已。更不必说，事实上，伯克希尔是承担了收购对象57亿美元的债务，自己直接出资只有40亿美元，这还不到伯克希尔现金储备的3%。</span></p>\n<p><span>换言之，这笔所谓大型交易，其实也没有多“大”，更谈不上说明巴菲特预计美股市场将从现在开始大幅走高。相反，这只是一笔就事论事的交易，一笔针对之前已经被打压很惨的天然气行业的小规模投资而已。</span></p>\n<p><span>不容争议的事实就是，3月大跌后，美股整体估值更低的那段日子里，巴菲特都没有做出任何像样的动作。如果非要说当前这笔规模有限的交易说明了什么，那恐怕只能是巴菲特依然在担心美股发生又一次大规模抛售的风险，不然他早就该火力全开了。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a20f1bfcb00ffa74bf72c80dd759c3f\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"369\"></p>\n<p><span>当然，巴菲特坚持持有大量现金的做法，近年来已经受到了众多批评家，乃至自己长期股东的指责，说他已经老了，落后于时代了，失去魔力了。可是，不要忘记，当初在全球金融危机爆发前，以及互联网泡沫破灭前，巴菲特也都曾经面对过这样的批评。</span></p>\n<p><span>众所周知，那两次笑到最后的都是巴菲特，而非他的批评者们。</span></p>","source":"txmg","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“股神”巴菲特再出手，抄底美股的时机成熟了？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“股神”巴菲特再出手，抄底美股的时机成熟了？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-07-07 21:15 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/L6bjGLMGEM1TkchGSBb0zg><strong>腾讯美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>这笔所谓大型交易，其实也没有多“大”，更谈不上说明巴菲特预计美股市场将从现在开始大幅走高。相反，这只是一笔就事论事的交易，一笔针对之前已经被打压很惨的天然气行业的小规模投资而已。\n\n\n在沉寂了许久之后，“股神”巴菲特（Warren Buffett）终于动手了。伯克希尔哈撒韦斥资40亿美元，收购了道明尼能源（Dominion Energy）旗下的天然气网络资产，交易的总规模达到97亿美元。那么，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/L6bjGLMGEM1TkchGSBb0zg\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1b9fef028787bba142fa31212ae49d2","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/L6bjGLMGEM1TkchGSBb0zg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157704176","content_text":"这笔所谓大型交易，其实也没有多“大”，更谈不上说明巴菲特预计美股市场将从现在开始大幅走高。相反，这只是一笔就事论事的交易，一笔针对之前已经被打压很惨的天然气行业的小规模投资而已。\n\n\n在沉寂了许久之后，“股神”巴菲特（Warren Buffett）终于动手了。伯克希尔哈撒韦斥资40亿美元，收购了道明尼能源（Dominion Energy）旗下的天然气网络资产，交易的总规模达到97亿美元。那么，巴菲特终于结束了近四年按兵不动的状态，做出了2016年以来最大规模的交易，是否意味着他认为抄底美股的时机已经成熟呢？\n在许多观察家看来，这笔交易本身都是可圈可点，比如CFRA Research分析师赛弗特（Cathy Seifert）评价说，这次收购是“审慎之举，其正当性和合理性很容易证明，收购目标完全契合他们的既有商业模型”。彭博的分析师们也在研究报告当中指出，对于伯克希尔哈撒韦能源而言，交易“进一步巩固了他们在天然气行业的地位，考虑到能源价格今年的走势，以及一些行业玩家急切想要转向清洁能源的意愿，交易的时机可谓恰到好处”。\n问题在于，如果有人认为这笔交易标志着巴菲特的立场发生了改变，转向了牛派，那他们可就要大失所望了。\n\n现在，美股已经重新涨回了接近历史最高点的水位，如果这时能够得到巴菲特认定股价依然被低估的加持，那美好的景象简直让人难以想象。事实上，最近一段时间，相信美股依然低估的人，在华尔街还真不是少数。他们的最重要根据之一就是，还有大量的现金在作壁上观——不必说，其中就包括伯克希尔的超过1370亿美元现金。\n诚然，美股近期的戏剧性上涨确实让越来越多人沉不住气，生怕错过进一步的涨势，在诱惑之中投身进来，而他们的资金入场，反过来又推动了股价的进一步上涨，由此形成了一个自我验证、自我完成的循环……短期内，估值的不断膨胀看似确实已经不可遏制了，但是，经历了几十年风雨的巴菲特，又怎么可能轻易被这种欣快症所蛊惑？\n第二季度盈利季节的大幕很快就要开启了，许多企业现在都干脆以变数为理由取消了今年的财测，而众所周知，要判断估值是否合理，最重要的参照就是营收、盈利等的实际表现和预期。这也就难怪，近期财经媒体在谈论投资者的行为时，广泛使用了“盲飞”这样的说法。没有任何实质性线索，全凭感觉行事，巴菲特显然不会这么做。\n\n更加不必说，在众多估值评判指标当中，巴菲特最为看重的单一指标就是国内生产总值对股市总市值的比率，后者甚至被许多观察家称为“巴菲特指标”。如上图所示，虽然经历了3月以来的暴跌，但是整体来看，这一指标并没有发生什么根本性的变化，更谈不上发出股市已经低估的信号。相反，这一指标依然居于历史性的高水平。\n同样需要指出的是，伯克希尔近几年来一直没有什么大动作是不假，但是说巴菲特没有做过任何尝试，或者面对过任何机会，就未免有失妥当了。\n比如，早在3月崩盘前几个月，去年年底时，巴菲特就曾经试图收购软件和硬件分销商Tech Data，但是私募股权公司Apollo Global Management斜刺里杀了出来，巴菲特因为不愿意参与竞价大战而放弃了这次尝试。今年早些时候，蒂芙尼在最终接受路威酩轩的收购报价前，也曾经联络过伯克希尔，想要看看后者是否能够给出更高的价格，但是遭到了巴菲特的拒绝。\n\n还有，在非收购交易方面，伯克希尔其实一直相当活跃。比如，去年他们注资100亿美元，支持西方石油收购阿纳达科，获得了极为优厚的条件，气坏了西方石油的大股东伊坎（Carl Icahn），公开在媒体上炮轰巴菲特。\n总而言之，从这些记录不难看出，虽然表现略显沉寂，但巴菲特其实一直在按照自己的节奏和自己的标准行事，因此，对于这个最新的动作，也大可不必予以过分解读。当然，如果说伯克希尔进行了四年来首次大动作，什么都不说明，那也未免太过武断了。\n众所周知，过去几年以来，伯克希尔和巴菲特一直在持续囤积现金，使得后者的规模达到了1370亿美元，相当于伯克希尔4340亿美元总市值的31%。当一家企业30%的价值都配置在现金部位当中，其表现不及标普500指数，自然也就非常容易理解了。\n\n哪怕伯克希尔收购道明尼天然气资产的交易是完全用现金完成，他们的军火库在这笔交易当中也不过只能消耗掉7%而已。更不必说，事实上，伯克希尔是承担了收购对象57亿美元的债务，自己直接出资只有40亿美元，这还不到伯克希尔现金储备的3%。\n换言之，这笔所谓大型交易，其实也没有多“大”，更谈不上说明巴菲特预计美股市场将从现在开始大幅走高。相反，这只是一笔就事论事的交易，一笔针对之前已经被打压很惨的天然气行业的小规模投资而已。\n不容争议的事实就是，3月大跌后，美股整体估值更低的那段日子里，巴菲特都没有做出任何像样的动作。如果非要说当前这笔规模有限的交易说明了什么，那恐怕只能是巴菲特依然在担心美股发生又一次大规模抛售的风险，不然他早就该火力全开了。\n\n当然，巴菲特坚持持有大量现金的做法，近年来已经受到了众多批评家，乃至自己长期股东的指责，说他已经老了，落后于时代了，失去魔力了。可是，不要忘记，当初在全球金融危机爆发前，以及互联网泡沫破灭前，巴菲特也都曾经面对过这样的批评。\n众所周知，那两次笑到最后的都是巴菲特，而非他的批评者们。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3834,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":917705415,"gmtCreate":1582055711537,"gmtModify":1704345633596,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>往40走了[财迷]","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">$Twitter(TWTR)$</a>往40走了[财迷]","text":"$Twitter(TWTR)$往40走了[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/917705415","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3850,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":392631,"gmtCreate":1548947685802,"gmtModify":1704788535150,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 要翻红了？","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 要翻红了？","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 要翻红了？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/392631","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":313816,"gmtCreate":1540395045420,"gmtModify":1704778611353,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 应该是个横盘等财报了。。","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 应该是个横盘等财报了。。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 应该是个横盘等财报了。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2884,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":313334,"gmtCreate":1540373782926,"gmtModify":1704778551613,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 有点慌啊，我记得上次大家都唱多的是产量报告…然后产量符合大家预计了。然后就是连跌3天…","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 有点慌啊，我记得上次大家都唱多的是产量报告…然后产量符合大家预计了。然后就是连跌3天…","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 有点慌啊，我记得上次大家都唱多的是产量报告…然后产量符合大家预计了。然后就是连跌3天…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313334","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":292849,"gmtCreate":1539100995536,"gmtModify":1704776617755,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 站稳了那接下来应该就是涨了","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 站稳了那接下来应该就是涨了","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 站稳了那接下来应该就是涨了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/292849","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5080,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":289211,"gmtCreate":1538671650218,"gmtModify":1704776179543,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 全仓买入。接下来都不看了，坐等收菜。","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 全仓买入。接下来都不看了，坐等收菜。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 全仓买入。接下来都不看了，坐等收菜。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/289211","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3493859211611088","authorId":"3493859211611088","name":"吉祥如意我喜欢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6313c7c6e81d259ab4b044fbe9a434a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3493859211611088","idStr":"3493859211611088"},"content":"别人做空，你做多，现在这趋势，你怎么赚钱啊","text":"别人做空，你做多，现在这趋势，你怎么赚钱啊","html":"别人做空，你做多，现在这趋势，你怎么赚钱啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":288578,"gmtCreate":1538646461671,"gmtModify":1704776104174,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 今天要涨了","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 今天要涨了","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 今天要涨了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/288578","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3483236531603328","authorId":"3483236531603328","name":"Andy2015","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3483236531603328","idStr":"3483236531603328"},"content":"今天大盘不太好啊","text":"今天大盘不太好啊","html":"今天大盘不太好啊"},{"author":{"id":"3445510636879519","authorId":"3445510636879519","name":"MARIODAD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33d78242c9d69a2bcee7d34139fac00c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3445510636879519","idStr":"3445510636879519"},"content":"别说，一说就要跌，哈哈哈","text":"别说，一说就要跌，哈哈哈","html":"别说，一说就要跌，哈哈哈"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":282982,"gmtCreate":1538123677928,"gmtModify":1704775419449,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 感觉开盘会有一波暴跌，然后再反弹。一定要忍住到那时再加仓。","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 感觉开盘会有一波暴跌，然后再反弹。一定要忍住到那时再加仓。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 感觉开盘会有一波暴跌，然后再反弹。一定要忍住到那时再加仓。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d84a7459b97c002e80a9bdd55899fb59"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/282982","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3489402614188869","authorId":"3489402614188869","name":"核桃渣滓","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a7832ce31973324956020fdcbee6da","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3489402614188869","idStr":"3489402614188869"},"content":"今天抢反弹的全部套牢，话撂这儿了","text":"今天抢反弹的全部套牢，话撂这儿了","html":"今天抢反弹的全部套牢，话撂这儿了"},{"author":{"id":"3454983875750583","authorId":"3454983875750583","name":"Void_seT","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02a0dc376d224dfd0b3030c44a5039f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3454983875750583","idStr":"3454983875750583"},"content":"记住今天是周五，消息释放不完全，下周一再看比较合适。","text":"记住今天是周五，消息释放不完全，下周一再看比较合适。","html":"记住今天是周五，消息释放不完全，下周一再看比较合适。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":271057,"gmtCreate":1537286372932,"gmtModify":1704773957451,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 舒服，继续低价买入~","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 舒服，继续低价买入~","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 舒服，继续低价买入~","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/271057","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2045,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3497655978428921","authorId":"3497655978428921","name":"碧春","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3497655978428921","idStr":"3497655978428921"},"content":"预期是多少？","text":"预期是多少？","html":"预期是多少？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":267438,"gmtCreate":1536932838983,"gmtModify":1704773497626,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$蔚来汽车(NIO)$ 开始了。收割了","listText":"$蔚来汽车(NIO)$ 开始了。收割了","text":"$蔚来汽车(NIO)$ 开始了。收割了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/267438","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":264477,"gmtCreate":1536760407466,"gmtModify":1704773112035,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 起飞吧~","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 起飞吧~","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 起飞吧~","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/264477","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":262582,"gmtCreate":1536586781088,"gmtModify":1704772868129,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 感觉又要开始之前的阴跌了。。唉，看着烦心，割肉了，","listText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 感觉又要开始之前的阴跌了。。唉，看着烦心，割肉了，","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 感觉又要开始之前的阴跌了。。唉，看着烦心，割肉了，","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/262582","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2135,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":259824,"gmtCreate":1536201744219,"gmtModify":1704772520830,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 看到好几次尾盘拉升，盘前诱多，然后开盘爆跌…","listText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 看到好几次尾盘拉升，盘前诱多，然后开盘爆跌…","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 看到好几次尾盘拉升，盘前诱多，然后开盘爆跌…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/259824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":259315,"gmtCreate":1536158976974,"gmtModify":1704772453607,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 睡觉了，可以不用看了，一觉起来中丐股又是一场暴跌~","listText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 睡觉了，可以不用看了，一觉起来中丐股又是一场暴跌~","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 睡觉了，可以不用看了，一觉起来中丐股又是一场暴跌~","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/259315","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":258042,"gmtCreate":1536074361432,"gmtModify":1704772290433,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 自从买了阿里，每天都在跌…","listText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 自从买了阿里，每天都在跌…","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 自从买了阿里，每天都在跌…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/258042","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":256111,"gmtCreate":1535722421589,"gmtModify":1704772042890,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 今晚能翻红吗？","listText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 今晚能翻红吗？","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 今晚能翻红吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256111","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":282982,"gmtCreate":1538123677928,"gmtModify":1704775419449,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 感觉开盘会有一波暴跌，然后再反弹。一定要忍住到那时再加仓。","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 感觉开盘会有一波暴跌，然后再反弹。一定要忍住到那时再加仓。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 感觉开盘会有一波暴跌，然后再反弹。一定要忍住到那时再加仓。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d84a7459b97c002e80a9bdd55899fb59"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/282982","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3489402614188869","authorId":"3489402614188869","name":"核桃渣滓","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a7832ce31973324956020fdcbee6da","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3489402614188869","idStr":"3489402614188869"},"content":"今天抢反弹的全部套牢，话撂这儿了","text":"今天抢反弹的全部套牢，话撂这儿了","html":"今天抢反弹的全部套牢，话撂这儿了"},{"author":{"id":"3454983875750583","authorId":"3454983875750583","name":"Void_seT","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02a0dc376d224dfd0b3030c44a5039f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3454983875750583","idStr":"3454983875750583"},"content":"记住今天是周五，消息释放不完全，下周一再看比较合适。","text":"记住今天是周五，消息释放不完全，下周一再看比较合适。","html":"记住今天是周五，消息释放不完全，下周一再看比较合适。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":288578,"gmtCreate":1538646461671,"gmtModify":1704776104174,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 今天要涨了","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 今天要涨了","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 今天要涨了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/288578","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3483236531603328","authorId":"3483236531603328","name":"Andy2015","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3483236531603328","idStr":"3483236531603328"},"content":"今天大盘不太好啊","text":"今天大盘不太好啊","html":"今天大盘不太好啊"},{"author":{"id":"3445510636879519","authorId":"3445510636879519","name":"MARIODAD","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/33d78242c9d69a2bcee7d34139fac00c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3445510636879519","idStr":"3445510636879519"},"content":"别说，一说就要跌，哈哈哈","text":"别说，一说就要跌，哈哈哈","html":"别说，一说就要跌，哈哈哈"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":289211,"gmtCreate":1538671650218,"gmtModify":1704776179543,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 全仓买入。接下来都不看了，坐等收菜。","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 全仓买入。接下来都不看了，坐等收菜。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 全仓买入。接下来都不看了，坐等收菜。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/289211","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3493859211611088","authorId":"3493859211611088","name":"吉祥如意我喜欢","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6313c7c6e81d259ab4b044fbe9a434a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3493859211611088","idStr":"3493859211611088"},"content":"别人做空，你做多，现在这趋势，你怎么赚钱啊","text":"别人做空，你做多，现在这趋势，你怎么赚钱啊","html":"别人做空，你做多，现在这趋势，你怎么赚钱啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":258042,"gmtCreate":1536074361432,"gmtModify":1704772290433,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 自从买了阿里，每天都在跌…","listText":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 自从买了阿里，每天都在跌…","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 自从买了阿里，每天都在跌…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/258042","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":256052,"gmtCreate":1535716242431,"gmtModify":1704772034765,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ 10美元见","listText":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ 10美元见","text":"$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$ 10美元见","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256052","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2737,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":971622141,"gmtCreate":1598950051883,"gmtModify":1704220746884,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>[汗颜]&nbsp;这货连着阴跌了小半个月了，就是不涨吗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>[汗颜]&nbsp;这货连着阴跌了小半个月了，就是不涨吗","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$[汗颜] 这货连着阴跌了小半个月了，就是不涨吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/971622141","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":271057,"gmtCreate":1537286372932,"gmtModify":1704773957451,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 舒服，继续低价买入~","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 舒服，继续低价买入~","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 舒服，继续低价买入~","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/271057","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2045,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3497655978428921","authorId":"3497655978428921","name":"碧春","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3497655978428921","idStr":"3497655978428921"},"content":"预期是多少？","text":"预期是多少？","html":"预期是多少？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":313334,"gmtCreate":1540373782926,"gmtModify":1704778551613,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 有点慌啊，我记得上次大家都唱多的是产量报告…然后产量符合大家预计了。然后就是连跌3天…","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 有点慌啊，我记得上次大家都唱多的是产量报告…然后产量符合大家预计了。然后就是连跌3天…","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 有点慌啊，我记得上次大家都唱多的是产量报告…然后产量符合大家预计了。然后就是连跌3天…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/313334","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":292849,"gmtCreate":1539100995536,"gmtModify":1704776617755,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 站稳了那接下来应该就是涨了","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 站稳了那接下来应该就是涨了","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 站稳了那接下来应该就是涨了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/292849","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5080,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":392631,"gmtCreate":1548947685802,"gmtModify":1704788535150,"author":{"id":"3494402835244610","authorId":"3494402835244610","name":"abccooolc","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3494402835244610","idStr":"3494402835244610"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 要翻红了？","listText":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 要翻红了？","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 要翻红了？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/392631","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}