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七风哥哥
03-27
$闪迪(SNDK)$
看多!!! 兄弟们大家一起干死空头!!!
七风哥哥
03-27
$闪迪(SNDK)$
看多!!! 看来今天空头要压到600以下!下周就好了!!!
七风哥哥
03-26
总结一句话,对储存厂商来说还是利好!!!没影响!没必要恐慌! KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。
谷歌发布KV缓存压缩技术,存储需求预期遭冲击,美股存储板块集体下挫
七风哥哥
03-26
$闪迪(SNDK)$
看多!!! 这个技术又不新鲜,对储存厂商来说反而是好事!!!没必要过度紧张 KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。
七风哥哥
03-26
对内存需求影响超级明显——KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。
谷歌发布KV缓存压缩技术,存储需求预期遭冲击,美股存储板块集体下挫
七风哥哥
03-03
一个新闻翻来覆去的炒[笑哭] 说明空头心慌了!
特斯拉加州自动驾驶出租车服务未获许可,测试里程连续六年为零
七风哥哥
02-26
小米也没超越特斯拉啊[笑哭] 看全球纯电单车销售还是特斯拉!
小米高管回应抢占特斯拉市场:多家围攻Model3/Y几年都打不动,既然出发已经晚了,干脆沉下心来压强投入挑战最难的,选择正面硬扛TBBA
七风哥哥
02-26
众所周知,比亚迪都是经销商在注册!车拿给经销商就算销量了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]
2026年1月比亚迪欧洲销量同比增近两倍 反超特斯拉
七风哥哥
02-15
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
新消息显示,美国众议院能源与商务委员会以12票赞成、11票反对 的微弱优势,通过了《SELF DRIVE Act》(2026自动驾驶车辆安全部署与研究促进法案)。这项法案的通过代表着:美国自动驾驶正从“技术试验阶段”,正式迈向“全国性商业应用全面应用阶段”。这也意味着:无方向盘、无踏板的车辆在美国运行合法化;无人驾驶运行车辆大规模增多;现行规定是:每家车企每年仅允许 2500辆自动驾驶车辆运行,而新法案将该限额提高至每年9万辆,这意味着自动驾驶的公司可以直接进入规模商业运营。 特斯拉要起飞了???
七风哥哥
02-11
招商证券是个什么品种???
研报掘金丨招商证券:下调特斯拉目标价至441美元,下调今明两年盈利预测
七风哥哥
02-11
你看反了哦?[笑哭]
七风哥哥
02-08
[开心]
特斯拉又输了一仗!
七风哥哥
02-05
吹牛逼不打草稿!
抱歉,原内容已删除
七风哥哥
02-04
小人思维[笑哭]
抵制马斯克电动车能否影响其航天布局?理性分析背后的真相与出路
七风哥哥
02-02
我信了[笑哭]
1月RatingDog中国制造业PMI升至50.3,维持扩张态势
七风哥哥
02-02
又在开始脱离实际吹牛逼了!真尼玛恶心!
2026物理AI浪潮来袭,黄仁勋预言成真,中国如何在全球竞赛中脱颖而出?
七风哥哥
02-01
Waymo和FSD差距至少在5年以上!按照FSD的迭代速度(因为特斯拉有自己的服务器群,数据和算力是越来越多的,集群越大,数据越多训练速度就会越快!)所以Waymo注定是会被淘汰的产物!!!
决战特斯拉:Waymo融资160亿美元、估值1100亿!
七风哥哥
02-01
3.8大于6!真是一群酒囊饭袋!
2026汽车销量榜大洗牌!比亚迪特斯拉领跑,小米SU7首秀即惊艳凭啥?
七风哥哥
01-31
放心,其他都是炒作!特斯拉才会走到最后!!!
中国车企和特斯拉的下一战,战场已定
七风哥哥
01-31
说完就被打脸!真爽!!!
特斯拉:SpaceX合并传闻不足以让我保持看涨态度
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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"gmtModify":1774624863515,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDK\">$闪迪(SNDK)$</a> 看多!!! 看来今天空头要压到600以下!下周就好了!!!","text":"$闪迪(SNDK)$ 看多!!! 看来今天空头要压到600以下!下周就好了!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/547213251424912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":546530592265256,"gmtCreate":1774454976226,"gmtModify":1774454983525,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"总结一句话,对储存厂商来说还是利好!!!没影响!没必要恐慌! KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。","listText":"总结一句话,对储存厂商来说还是利好!!!没影响!没必要恐慌! KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。","text":"总结一句话,对储存厂商来说还是利好!!!没影响!没必要恐慌! KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/546530592265256","repostId":"1127263408","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127263408","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1774448869,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127263408?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-03-25 22:27","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"谷歌发布KV缓存压缩技术,存储需求预期遭冲击,美股存储板块集体下挫","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127263408","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"Google Research近日推出全新的KV缓存压缩方法TurboQuant。据称,该技术可在不损失准确性的前提下,将大语言模型的缓存内存占用至少减少6倍,并实现最高8倍的加速,旨在解决AI推理与向量搜索中的内存瓶颈问题。受此消息影响,美股存储板块集体走低。截至收盘,闪迪跌6.5%,美光科技跌超4%,西部数据跌超4%,希捷科技跌超5%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Google Research近日推出全新的KV缓存压缩方法TurboQuant。据称,该技术可在不损失准确性的前提下,将大语言模型的缓存内存占用至少减少6倍,并实现最高8倍的加速,旨在解决AI推理与向量搜索中的内存瓶颈问题。</p><p>受此消息影响,美股存储板块集体走低。截至收盘,闪迪跌6.5%,美光科技跌超4%,西部数据跌超4%,希捷科技跌超5%。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1762389672944","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n谷歌发布KV缓存压缩技术,存储需求预期遭冲击,美股存储板块集体下挫\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-25 22:27 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3768391><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Google Research近日推出全新的KV缓存压缩方法TurboQuant。据称,该技术可在不损失准确性的前提下,将大语言模型的缓存内存占用至少减少6倍,并实现最高8倍的加速,旨在解决AI推理与向量搜索中的内存瓶颈问题。受此消息影响,美股存储板块集体走低。截至收盘,闪迪跌6.5%,美光科技跌超4%,西部数据跌超4%,希捷科技跌超5%。</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3768391\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46029346cc3e64319c2b318fd1af0381","relate_stocks":{"WDC":"西部数据","STX":"希捷科技","MU":"美光科技","SNDK":"闪迪"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3768391","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127263408","content_text":"Google Research近日推出全新的KV缓存压缩方法TurboQuant。据称,该技术可在不损失准确性的前提下,将大语言模型的缓存内存占用至少减少6倍,并实现最高8倍的加速,旨在解决AI推理与向量搜索中的内存瓶颈问题。受此消息影响,美股存储板块集体走低。截至收盘,闪迪跌6.5%,美光科技跌超4%,西部数据跌超4%,希捷科技跌超5%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STX":2,"SNDK":2,"WDC":2,"MU":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":546529581155856,"gmtCreate":1774454777562,"gmtModify":1774454784540,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDK\">$闪迪(SNDK)$</a> 看多!!! 这个技术又不新鲜,对储存厂商来说反而是好事!!!没必要过度紧张 KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDK\">$闪迪(SNDK)$</a> 看多!!! 这个技术又不新鲜,对储存厂商来说反而是好事!!!没必要过度紧张 KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。","text":"$闪迪(SNDK)$ 看多!!! 这个技术又不新鲜,对储存厂商来说反而是好事!!!没必要过度紧张 KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/546529581155856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":546528910379216,"gmtCreate":1774454637165,"gmtModify":1774454643975,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"对内存需求影响超级明显——KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。","listText":"对内存需求影响超级明显——KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。","text":"对内存需求影响超级明显——KV缓存压缩直接把GPU显存(HBM)需求砍掉大半。像NVIDIA的KVTC能压20倍,vLLM的FP8/NVFP4砍一半,MIT那个Attention Matching甚至50倍无损。结果呢? • 原来跑128k上下文得几百GB显存,现在轻松翻倍批次、拉长对话,单卡就能撑大模型推理。 • 整体内存用量降了,GPU集群扩容压力小,成本直线掉——2026年这已经是标配,谁不压谁吃亏。 但对美光、闪迪这种存储厂商?反而是利好! 为什么?压缩让KV缓存“活得长”,但长上下文+多轮对话还是会爆——GPU放不下,就得offload到DRAM或NVMe SSD。NVIDIA现在推多层存储(GPU → 系统内存 → 高速闪存),KV缓存直接变成“新存储需求”。 • 闪迪(SanDisk)Q2 FY2026营收爆了61%,数据中心SSD涨76%,他们说2027年KV缓存额外要75-100EB(exabytes),明年翻倍——这块儿现在是他们新增长点。 • 美光也火,HBM卖断货,DRAM库存紧,AI推理把存储需求推到天花板。分析师说2026年内存芯片短缺持续,价格飙70%。 一句话:显存省了,系统级存储(DRAM+NAND)反而更吃香——厂商们笑醒了。 你要是想投股,闪迪这波AI存储故事比纯HBM的还猛哦。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/546528910379216","repostId":"1127263408","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127263408","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1774448869,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127263408?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-03-25 22:27","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"谷歌发布KV缓存压缩技术,存储需求预期遭冲击,美股存储板块集体下挫","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127263408","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"Google Research近日推出全新的KV缓存压缩方法TurboQuant。据称,该技术可在不损失准确性的前提下,将大语言模型的缓存内存占用至少减少6倍,并实现最高8倍的加速,旨在解决AI推理与向量搜索中的内存瓶颈问题。受此消息影响,美股存储板块集体走低。截至收盘,闪迪跌6.5%,美光科技跌超4%,西部数据跌超4%,希捷科技跌超5%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Google Research近日推出全新的KV缓存压缩方法TurboQuant。据称,该技术可在不损失准确性的前提下,将大语言模型的缓存内存占用至少减少6倍,并实现最高8倍的加速,旨在解决AI推理与向量搜索中的内存瓶颈问题。</p><p>受此消息影响,美股存储板块集体走低。截至收盘,闪迪跌6.5%,美光科技跌超4%,西部数据跌超4%,希捷科技跌超5%。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1762389672944","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>谷歌发布KV缓存压缩技术,存储需求预期遭冲击,美股存储板块集体下挫</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3768391\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46029346cc3e64319c2b318fd1af0381","relate_stocks":{"WDC":"西部数据","STX":"希捷科技","MU":"美光科技","SNDK":"闪迪"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3768391","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127263408","content_text":"Google Research近日推出全新的KV缓存压缩方法TurboQuant。据称,该技术可在不损失准确性的前提下,将大语言模型的缓存内存占用至少减少6倍,并实现最高8倍的加速,旨在解决AI推理与向量搜索中的内存瓶颈问题。受此消息影响,美股存储板块集体走低。截至收盘,闪迪跌6.5%,美光科技跌超4%,西部数据跌超4%,希捷科技跌超5%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STX":2,"SNDK":2,"WDC":2,"MU":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3442814671585868","authorId":"3442814671585868","name":"朴丞相","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d588104ef9029566f955d3c86b329f11","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3442814671585868","idStr":"3442814671585868"},"content":"短期会放缓内存需求,长期产能上来了就没超额利润赚了。现在炒的预期不是内存最终用量,是这两年的供不应求,超高利润率","text":"短期会放缓内存需求,长期产能上来了就没超额利润赚了。现在炒的预期不是内存最终用量,是这两年的供不应求,超高利润率","html":"短期会放缓内存需求,长期产能上来了就没超额利润赚了。现在炒的预期不是内存最终用量,是这两年的供不应求,超高利润率"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":538622040749144,"gmtCreate":1772520409658,"gmtModify":1772520412417,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"一个新闻翻来覆去的炒[笑哭] 说明空头心慌了!","listText":"一个新闻翻来覆去的炒[笑哭] 说明空头心慌了!","text":"一个新闻翻来覆去的炒[笑哭] 说明空头心慌了!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/538622040749144","repostId":"2616392189","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2616392189","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1772509803,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2616392189?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-03-03 11:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉加州自动驾驶出租车服务未获许可,测试里程连续六年为零","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2616392189","media":"DoNews","summary":"根据加州机动车辆管理局记录,特斯拉2025年在加州道路的自动驾驶测试里程为0英里,已是连续第六年上报无人驾驶测试里程为零。自2016年以来,特斯拉在加州累计自动驾驶测试里程仅562英里,且从未申请高于入门级的自动驾驶测试许可;该入门许可要求驾驶位全程配备人类安全员。特斯拉尚未提交任何进阶许可申请,加州车管所证实其未达该门槛,亦未启动相关申请流程。","content":"<html><body><article><p>根据加州机动车辆管理局(DMV)记录,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>2025年在加州道路的自动驾驶测试里程为0英里,已是连续第六年上报无人驾驶测试里程为零。</p><p>自2016年以来,特斯拉在加州累计自动驾驶测试里程仅562英里,且从未申请高于入门级的自动驾驶测试许可;该入门许可要求驾驶位全程配备人类安全员。</p><p>加州商用自动驾驶出租车监管实行逐级许可制度:企业须先在有人类安全员监督下完成至少5万英里自动驾驶道路测试,方可申请无人驾驶测试许可。特斯拉尚未提交任何进阶许可申请,加州车管所证实其未达该门槛,亦未启动相关申请流程。</p><p>埃隆·马斯克多次将服务延误归因于加州审批流程,2024年10月称若2025年仍未获批将“非常震惊”。特斯拉在致车管所的书面文件中质疑最低里程要求、州内道路测试必要性及事故与故障上报义务,称其“过于繁重”。</p><p>南卡罗来纳大学自动驾驶法律教授布莱恩特・沃克・史密斯指出:“监管方已经准备就绪,是特斯拉自己没准备好。”</p><p>2025年7月,特斯拉在旧金山湾区推出的所谓“自动驾驶出租车服务”,按加州监管定义及用户披露,实为由员工驾驶、搭载FSD软件的代驾服务,使用运输包租许可证,法律强制要求配备人类司机,且无需上报系统接管记录或自动驾驶安全数据。</p><p>特斯拉在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>应用商店中将该服务标注为“驾驶位有安全员、使用FSD的非自动驾驶出行”,但应用名称仍为“Robotaxi”,说明仅见于小字条款。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉加州自动驾驶出租车服务未获许可,测试里程连续六年为零</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ 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padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉加州自动驾驶出租车服务未获许可,测试里程连续六年为零\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-03 11:50 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260303115617a69b9a64&s=b><strong>DoNews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>根据加州机动车辆管理局(DMV)记录,特斯拉2025年在加州道路的自动驾驶测试里程为0英里,已是连续第六年上报无人驾驶测试里程为零。自2016年以来,特斯拉在加州累计自动驾驶测试里程仅562英里,且从未申请高于入门级的自动驾驶测试许可;该入门许可要求驾驶位全程配备人类安全员。加州商用自动驾驶出租车监管实行逐级许可制度:企业须先在有人类安全员监督下完成至少5万英里自动驾驶道路测试,方可申请无人驾驶...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260303115617a69b9a64&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) 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INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A(离岸)美元"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260303115617a69b9a64&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2616392189","content_text":"根据加州机动车辆管理局(DMV)记录,特斯拉2025年在加州道路的自动驾驶测试里程为0英里,已是连续第六年上报无人驾驶测试里程为零。自2016年以来,特斯拉在加州累计自动驾驶测试里程仅562英里,且从未申请高于入门级的自动驾驶测试许可;该入门许可要求驾驶位全程配备人类安全员。加州商用自动驾驶出租车监管实行逐级许可制度:企业须先在有人类安全员监督下完成至少5万英里自动驾驶道路测试,方可申请无人驾驶测试许可。特斯拉尚未提交任何进阶许可申请,加州车管所证实其未达该门槛,亦未启动相关申请流程。埃隆·马斯克多次将服务延误归因于加州审批流程,2024年10月称若2025年仍未获批将“非常震惊”。特斯拉在致车管所的书面文件中质疑最低里程要求、州内道路测试必要性及事故与故障上报义务,称其“过于繁重”。南卡罗来纳大学自动驾驶法律教授布莱恩特・沃克・史密斯指出:“监管方已经准备就绪,是特斯拉自己没准备好。”2025年7月,特斯拉在旧金山湾区推出的所谓“自动驾驶出租车服务”,按加州监管定义及用户披露,实为由员工驾驶、搭载FSD软件的代驾服务,使用运输包租许可证,法律强制要求配备人类司机,且无需上报系统接管记录或自动驾驶安全数据。特斯拉在苹果应用商店中将该服务标注为“驾驶位有安全员、使用FSD的非自动驾驶出行”,但应用名称仍为“Robotaxi”,说明仅见于小字条款。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLW":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLA":1.96,"CRSH":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TLA":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TEST":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLG":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":536882775326944,"gmtCreate":1772095855429,"gmtModify":1772095858071,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"小米也没超越特斯拉啊[笑哭] 看全球纯电单车销售还是特斯拉!","listText":"小米也没超越特斯拉啊[笑哭] 看全球纯电单车销售还是特斯拉!","text":"小米也没超越特斯拉啊[笑哭] 看全球纯电单车销售还是特斯拉!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/536882775326944","repostId":"2614136290","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2614136290","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1772094157,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2614136290?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-26 16:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"小米高管回应抢占特斯拉市场:多家围攻Model3/Y几年都打不动,既然出发已经晚了,干脆沉下心来压强投入挑战最难的,选择正面硬扛TBBA","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2614136290","media":"江南都市报","summary":"2月26日,小米高管@潘九堂转发网友@战甲装研菌的微博,回应小米汽车抢占特斯拉市场。其表示:“当初小米SU7/YU7立项时,确实有几种路线之争,一派建议先做中大型SUV和走丰田路线,打大空间和经济实用,错位竞争,因为豪华运动轿车/SUV对品牌/技术/研发投入要求太高了,多家围攻特斯拉Model3/Y几年都打不动,另一派观点是既然出发晚了,干脆沉下心来压强投入挑战最难的,最终选择正面硬扛TBBA。”来源:新黄河大鱼财经值班编辑:肖哲","content":"<html><body><article><p>2月26日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XIACY\">小米</a>高管@潘九堂转发网友@战甲装研菌的微博,回应<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米</a>汽车抢占<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>市场。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/T3ap7mTGNSbBt2E3FVsXO1ic2J2LR3ViaDO3YUNKqrF1jjsYNCqobvRviaWBm3Ir6NmliaRfoYe1ia8Rl9iaKXdTaJXlwxMXHwuiaiaz8wN44UoFDbY/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p>其表示:“当初<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/81810\">小米</a>SU7/YU7立项时,确实有几种路线之争,一派建议先做中大型SUV和走丰田路线,打大空间和经济实用,错位竞争,因为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLX\">豪华</a>运动轿车/SUV对品牌/技术/研发投入要求太高了,多家围攻特斯拉Model3/Y几年都打不动,另一派观点是既然出发晚了,干脆沉下心来压强投入挑战最难的,最终选择正面硬扛TBBA。”</p><p>来源:新黄河大鱼财经</p><p>值班编辑:肖哲</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260226163808a7219f23&s=b><strong>江南都市报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2月26日,小米高管@潘九堂转发网友@战甲装研菌的微博,回应小米汽车抢占特斯拉市场。其表示:“当初小米SU7/YU7立项时,确实有几种路线之争,一派建议先做中大型SUV和走丰田路线,打大空间和经济实用,错位竞争,因为豪华运动轿车/SUV对品牌/技术/研发投入要求太高了,多家围攻特斯拉Model3/Y几年都打不动,另一派观点是既然出发晚了,干脆沉下心来压强投入挑战最难的,最终选择正面硬扛TBBA。”...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260226163808a7219f23&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","TSLO":"2倍上限加速TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4543":"AI","TSLP":"TSLA收益溢价策略ETF-Kurv","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","TSLQ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-Tradr","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY 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INC","BK4211":"区域性银行","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260226163808a7219f23&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2614136290","content_text":"2月26日,小米高管@潘九堂转发网友@战甲装研菌的微博,回应小米汽车抢占特斯拉市场。其表示:“当初小米SU7/YU7立项时,确实有几种路线之争,一派建议先做中大型SUV和走丰田路线,打大空间和经济实用,错位竞争,因为豪华运动轿车/SUV对品牌/技术/研发投入要求太高了,多家围攻特斯拉Model3/Y几年都打不动,另一派观点是既然出发晚了,干脆沉下心来压强投入挑战最难的,最终选择正面硬扛TBBA。”来源:新黄河大鱼财经值班编辑:肖哲","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSDD":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"XIACY":1.95,"TSLG":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TEST":0.6,"TLA":0.6,"TSLA":1.92,"TESL":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"01810":1.95}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":536857430423008,"gmtCreate":1772089626258,"gmtModify":1772089628608,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"众所周知,比亚迪都是经销商在注册!车拿给经销商就算销量了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] ","listText":"众所周知,比亚迪都是经销商在注册!车拿给经销商就算销量了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] ","text":"众所周知,比亚迪都是经销商在注册!车拿给经销商就算销量了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/536857430423008","repostId":"2614082678","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2614082678","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1772022575,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2614082678?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-25 20:29","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"2026年1月比亚迪欧洲销量同比增近两倍 反超特斯拉","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2614082678","media":"市场资讯","summary":"2026年1月,比亚迪在欧洲市场的新车注册量同比增长接近两倍,从2025年同期的6884辆跃升至18242辆,覆盖欧盟、英国以及冰岛、列支敦士登、挪威和瑞士等主要市场。相较之下,欧洲新能源车型需求持续增长,纯电动车销量同比增长近14%,混合动力车型增长6.4%,插电式混合动力车型增长32%,为比亚迪等新能源车企提供了增长空间。","content":"<html><body><article><p>2026年1月,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">比亚迪</a>在欧洲市场的新车注册量同比增长接近两倍,从2025年同期的6884辆跃升至18242辆,覆盖欧盟、英国以及冰岛、列支敦士登、挪威和瑞士等主要市场。</p><p>欧洲汽车制造商协会(ACEA)数据显示,1月欧洲整体乘用车注册量同比下降3.5%,欧盟市场下降3.9%,燃油车注册量下滑尤为明显,同比下降约26%。其中,法国下降幅度最大,达49%,德国下降幅度达30%。相较之下,欧洲新能源车型需求持续增长,纯电动车销量同比增长近14%,混合动力车型增长6.4%,插电式混合动力车型增长32%,为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>等新能源车企提供了增长空间。</p><p>同期,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>在欧洲的新车注册量同比下滑17%至8075辆,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01211\">比亚迪</a>销量实现反超。</p><p>近年来,比亚迪加快欧洲本地化布局与建设,推进匈牙利工厂建设,并规划在土耳其等地布局生产基地,以增强本地供应能力和成本竞争力。比亚迪执行副总裁李柯曾表示,欧洲市场是全球化战略的关键支点,未来将继续完善销售网络与服务体系,提升品牌影响力与本地化运营能力。</p><p>欧洲汽车工业正处于电动化转型的关键阶段,比亚迪的快速增长推动了当地电动化产品丰富度提升,也加剧了市场竞争,进一步巩固了其全球新能源龙头地位。</p><p>市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成,仅供参考,不构成个人投资建议。</p><p>财经频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>>责任编辑:钟离</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2026年1月比亚迪欧洲销量同比增近两倍 反超特斯拉\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-25 20:29 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260225204425a4c75506&s=b><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2026年1月,比亚迪在欧洲市场的新车注册量同比增长接近两倍,从2025年同期的6884辆跃升至18242辆,覆盖欧盟、英国以及冰岛、列支敦士登、挪威和瑞士等主要市场。欧洲汽车制造商协会(ACEA)数据显示,1月欧洲整体乘用车注册量同比下降3.5%,欧盟市场下降3.9%,燃油车注册量下滑尤为明显,同比下降约26%。其中,法国下降幅度最大,达49%,德国下降幅度达30%。相较之下,欧洲新能源车型需求...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260225204425a4c75506&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"81211":"比亚迪股份-R","LU0871576103.HKD":"HSBC GIF CHINESE EQUITY \"AC\" (HKD) ACC","LU1794554557.SGD":"Allianz All China Equity AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0865486749.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Equity Income AS SGD-H","LU1868837722.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL EMERGING MARKET EQUITIES \"2\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414551.USD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"C\" (USD) INC","LU0469268626.HKD":"AB FCP I-ASIA EX JAPAN 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特斯拉要起飞了???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/532980718446120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":531591069386336,"gmtCreate":1770803941749,"gmtModify":1770803944491,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"招商证券是个什么品种???","listText":"招商证券是个什么品种???","text":"招商证券是个什么品种???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/531591069386336","repostId":"2610988928","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2610988928","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1770790279,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2610988928?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-11 14:11","market":"nz","language":"zh","title":"研报掘金丨招商证券:下调特斯拉目标价至441美元,下调今明两年盈利预测","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2610988928","media":"格隆汇","summary":"招商证券发表研报指,特斯拉自动驾驶加速落地,另Optimus Gen 3有望本季落地,并于年底量产,料将成为公司的长期价值核心。不过,公司在汽车增长方面的可见度偏弱,第四季交货按季下滑,短期汽车业务收","content":"<html><body><p>招商证券发表研报指,特斯拉自动驾驶加速落地,另Optimus Gen 3有望本季落地,并于年底量产,料将成为公司的长期价值核心。不过,公司在汽车增长方面的可见度偏弱,第四季交货按季下滑,短期汽车业务收入与利润波动性上升,加上新车型缺乏明确指引,短期亦暂无其他新车型上市的计划,市场对汽车主业周期性修复保持观望态度。而且公司缺乏大规模现金流,市场或忧虑今年后进入烧钱模式。机器人规模化及Robotaxi现金流能力仍有待观察。该行下调公司2026至27年的盈利预测20%及39%,以反映汽车下行风险、研发费用大增及资本开支大幅提升,将目标价下调至441美元,维持“中性”评级。</p></body></html>","source":"live_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n研报掘金丨招商证券:下调特斯拉目标价至441美元,下调今明两年盈利预测\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-11 14:11 北京时间 <a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>招商证券发表研报指,特斯拉自动驾驶加速落地,另Optimus Gen 3有望本季落地,并于年底量产,料将成为公司的长期价值核心。不过,公司在汽车增长方面的可见度偏弱,第四季交货按季下滑,短期汽车业务收入与利润波动性上升,加上新车型缺乏明确指引,短期亦暂无其他新车型上市的计划,市场对汽车主业周期性修复保持观望态度。而且公司缺乏大规模现金流,市场或忧虑今年后进入烧钱模式。机器人规模化及Robotaxi...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","TSLQ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-Tradr","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","BK1564":"中资券商股","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD 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3有望本季落地,并于年底量产,料将成为公司的长期价值核心。不过,公司在汽车增长方面的可见度偏弱,第四季交货按季下滑,短期汽车业务收入与利润波动性上升,加上新车型缺乏明确指引,短期亦暂无其他新车型上市的计划,市场对汽车主业周期性修复保持观望态度。而且公司缺乏大规模现金流,市场或忧虑今年后进入烧钱模式。机器人规模化及Robotaxi现金流能力仍有待观察。该行下调公司2026至27年的盈利预测20%及39%,以反映汽车下行风险、研发费用大增及资本开支大幅提升,将目标价下调至441美元,维持“中性”评级。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLG":0.6,"TSLA":1.96,"TSLI":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSDD":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":531419433332752,"gmtCreate":1770761941001,"gmtModify":1770761943574,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"你看反了哦?[笑哭]","listText":"你看反了哦?[笑哭]","text":"你看反了哦?[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/531419433332752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":877,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":530400689140928,"gmtCreate":1770513244206,"gmtModify":1770513256902,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[开心] ","listText":"[开心] ","text":"[开心]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c219d95be57c66cd08218b4037df3cd"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/530400689140928","repostId":"2609524576","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2609524576","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1770508839,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2609524576?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-08 08:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉又输了一仗!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2609524576","media":"汽车大视件","summary":"最新的市场数据显示,特斯拉在欧洲又输了一仗:2025年大众汽车在欧洲的纯电动车销量正式超过了特斯拉,拿下了销冠位置!而特斯拉这边却有点不顺,销量下降了27%,最终以约23.6万辆的成绩被反超。就在不久前,特斯拉刚交出一份不太好看的全年财报,营收出现了史上首次年度下滑。本土品牌正在加速追赶,而特斯拉一枝独秀的时代,或许已经过去了。接下来,就看特斯拉如何应对这场全方位的挑战了。","content":"<html><body><article><p>最新的市场数据显示,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>在欧洲又输了一仗:2025年大众汽车在欧洲的纯电动车销量正式超过了特斯拉,拿下了销冠位置!</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260208080835208v163fmc9vd5om2o\"/><p>大众的胜利主要靠的是新款ID.7的强劲表现,推动品牌在欧洲的纯电销量大涨56%,卖出了超过27.4万辆。而特斯拉这边却有点不顺,销量下降了27%,最终以约23.6万辆的成绩被反超。</p><p>这两年特斯拉在欧洲遇冷,综合分析下来,背后主要有如下几个原因:</p><p>首先,产品线比较单一,主力车型Model 3和Model Y已征战多年,面对大众、奔驰等欧洲本土品牌不断推陈出新,以及中国电动车品牌的强势入场,竞争力有所下滑。</p><p>其次,CEO马斯克在欧洲的一些政治言论,也引起了一部分消费者的反感,影响了品牌形象。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260208080837320v163j9xiehicl5e\"/><p>就在不久前,特斯拉刚交出一份不太好看的全年财报,营收出现了史上首次年度下滑。马斯克现在的重心似乎已经转向了自动驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)和人形机器人Optimus,对传统电动车业务的投入和更新节奏可能有所放缓。</p><p>大众的这次反超,不仅是一家公司的胜利,也反映出欧洲电动车市场竞争格局的深刻变化。本土品牌正在加速追赶,而特斯拉一枝独秀的时代,或许已经过去了。接下来,就看特斯拉如何应对这场全方位的挑战了。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2026020808084595404616&s=b><strong>汽车大视件</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>最新的市场数据显示,特斯拉在欧洲又输了一仗:2025年大众汽车在欧洲的纯电动车销量正式超过了特斯拉,拿下了销冠位置!大众的胜利主要靠的是新款ID.7的强劲表现,推动品牌在欧洲的纯电销量大涨56%,卖出了超过27.4万辆。而特斯拉这边却有点不顺,销量下降了27%,最终以约23.6万辆的成绩被反超。这两年特斯拉在欧洲遇冷,综合分析下来,背后主要有如下几个原因:首先,产品线比较单一,主力车型Model ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2026020808084595404616&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) 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Y已征战多年,面对大众、奔驰等欧洲本土品牌不断推陈出新,以及中国电动车品牌的强势入场,竞争力有所下滑。其次,CEO马斯克在欧洲的一些政治言论,也引起了一部分消费者的反感,影响了品牌形象。就在不久前,特斯拉刚交出一份不太好看的全年财报,营收出现了史上首次年度下滑。马斯克现在的重心似乎已经转向了自动驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)和人形机器人Optimus,对传统电动车业务的投入和更新节奏可能有所放缓。大众的这次反超,不仅是一家公司的胜利,也反映出欧洲电动车市场竞争格局的深刻变化。本土品牌正在加速追赶,而特斯拉一枝独秀的时代,或许已经过去了。接下来,就看特斯拉如何应对这场全方位的挑战了。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TESL":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSLA":1.96,"TSLQ":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":529525484282072,"gmtCreate":1770299567006,"gmtModify":1770299735565,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"吹牛逼不打草稿!","listText":"吹牛逼不打草稿!","text":"吹牛逼不打草稿!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/529525484282072","repostId":"2609332078","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":528919213727928,"gmtCreate":1770161829852,"gmtModify":1770161832082,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"小人思维[笑哭] ","listText":"小人思维[笑哭] ","text":"小人思维[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528919213727928","repostId":"2608808473","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2608808473","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1770131820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2608808473?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-03 23:17","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"抵制马斯克电动车能否影响其航天布局?理性分析背后的真相与出路","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2608808473","media":"ITBEAR科技资讯","summary":"近年来,马斯克旗下的商业航天企业Space X在全球航天领域迅速崛起,但一系列事件也引发广泛关注。这意味着,消费者抵制特斯拉产品,难以直接影响Space X的运营资金或技术投入。若特斯拉与Space X合并,其财务与业务关联性将显著增强,届时抵制行为或产生间接影响。但业内人士指出,特斯拉作为上市公司,合并需面临复杂的财务审计与监管审查,短期内难以实现。","content":"<html><body><article><p>近年来,马斯克旗下的商业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000901\">航天</a>企业Space X在全球<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00031\">航天</a>领域迅速崛起,但一系列事件也引发广泛关注。其中,Space X的星链卫星曾两次近距离接近我国空间站,这一危险举动虽未造成实质损害,却迫使我国空间站采取紧急避轨措施。尽管我国已就此提出谴责,但此类行为仍引发公众对商业航天安全性的担忧,甚至有网友呼吁抵制<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>汽车,试图通过经济手段遏制Space X发展。</p><p>从法律层面看,Space X与特斯拉虽同属马斯克掌舵,但二者为独立运营实体。特斯拉作为纳斯达克上市公司,其财务状况、<span>股权结构</span>均受严格监管;而Space X作为未上市的私营企业,股权高度集中于马斯克及少数投资机构。这意味着,消费者抵制特斯拉产品,难以直接影响Space X的运营资金或技术投入。</p><p>然而,近期彭博社等媒体披露,马斯克正推动旗下企业整合,包括Space X、特斯拉及人工智能公司xAI。据报道,Space X已完成对xAI的收购,并计划申请发射100万颗卫星,构建太空数据中心以支持AI发展。若特斯拉与Space X合并,其财务与业务关联性将显著增强,届时抵制行为或产生间接影响。但业内人士指出,特斯拉作为上市公司,合并需面临复杂的财务审计与监管审查,短期内难以实现。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>抵制马斯克电动车能否影响其航天布局?理性分析背后的真相与出路</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n抵制马斯克电动车能否影响其航天布局?理性分析背后的真相与出路\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-03 23:17 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260203232626a6cf18c9&s=b><strong>ITBEAR科技资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>近年来,马斯克旗下的商业航天企业Space X在全球航天领域迅速崛起,但一系列事件也引发广泛关注。其中,Space X的星链卫星曾两次近距离接近我国空间站,这一危险举动虽未造成实质损害,却迫使我国空间站采取紧急避轨措施。尽管我国已就此提出谴责,但此类行为仍引发公众对商业航天安全性的担忧,甚至有网友呼吁抵制特斯拉汽车,试图通过经济手段遏制Space X发展。从法律层面看,Space X与特斯拉虽同属...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260203232626a6cf18c9&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSL":"1.25倍做多TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","TSLG":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","TSLI":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-ProShares","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","TSLL":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-Direxion","CRSH":"做空TSLA 期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","TSLO":"2倍上限加速TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH 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","text":"我信了[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528286876971640","repostId":"1154831344","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1154831344","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1769996924,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154831344?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-02 09:48","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"1月RatingDog中国制造业PMI升至50.3,维持扩张态势","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154831344","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"制造业景气度延续温和改善。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>2026年1月,RatingDog中国制造业PMl录得50.3,较2025年12月的50.1上升0.2,制造业景气度延续温和改善,读数表现强于去年同期水平50.1并持平于近一年均值50.3。</p><p>整体看,1月制造业扩张态势延续,内外需边际回暖成本向价格的传导初现,就业小幅改善。未来数月若成本压力持续而需求复苏力度有限,企业盈利空间仍将承压,制造业可能延续低增速扩张格局。政策层面需关注稳需求与降成本之间的平衡,财政发力支撑“两重两新”政策的延续,或在一定程度上巩固制造业的修复势头。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>1月RatingDog中国制造业PMI升至50.3,维持扩张态势</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n1月RatingDog中国制造业PMI升至50.3,维持扩张态势\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-02-02 09:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>2026年1月,RatingDog中国制造业PMl录得50.3,较2025年12月的50.1上升0.2,制造业景气度延续温和改善,读数表现强于去年同期水平50.1并持平于近一年均值50.3。</p><p>整体看,1月制造业扩张态势延续,内外需边际回暖成本向价格的传导初现,就业小幅改善。未来数月若成本压力持续而需求复苏力度有限,企业盈利空间仍将承压,制造业可能延续低增速扩张格局。政策层面需关注稳需求与降成本之间的平衡,财政发力支撑“两重两新”政策的延续,或在一定程度上巩固制造业的修复势头。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c95bdb75bbd57d223ce4095a2f438cc","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数","YANG":"三倍做空富时中国ETF-Direxion","YINN":"三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154831344","content_text":"2026年1月,RatingDog中国制造业PMl录得50.3,较2025年12月的50.1上升0.2,制造业景气度延续温和改善,读数表现强于去年同期水平50.1并持平于近一年均值50.3。整体看,1月制造业扩张态势延续,内外需边际回暖成本向价格的传导初现,就业小幅改善。未来数月若成本压力持续而需求复苏力度有限,企业盈利空间仍将承压,制造业可能延续低增速扩张格局。政策层面需关注稳需求与降成本之间的平衡,财政发力支撑“两重两新”政策的延续,或在一定程度上巩固制造业的修复势头。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":2,"399006":2,"000001.SH":2,"YANG":2,"YINN":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3558216639482033","authorId":"3558216639482033","name":"FocusMK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/402db424f2645807d6279fe3b1b92fc2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3558216639482033","idStr":"3558216639482033"},"content":"他说的是国企,国企确实加速扩张","text":"他说的是国企,国企确实加速扩张","html":"他说的是国企,国企确实加速扩张"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":528178459394632,"gmtCreate":1769970712677,"gmtModify":1769996298276,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"又在开始脱离实际吹牛逼了!真尼玛恶心!","listText":"又在开始脱离实际吹牛逼了!真尼玛恶心!","text":"又在开始脱离实际吹牛逼了!真尼玛恶心!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528178459394632","repostId":"2608188310","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2608188310","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769960455,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2608188310?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-01 23:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"2026物理AI浪潮来袭,黄仁勋预言成真,中国如何在全球竞赛中脱颖而出?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2608188310","media":"ITBEAR科技资讯","summary":"在2026年国际消费电子展上,英伟达创始人黄仁勋抛出一枚重磅炸弹:物理AI的“ChatGPT时刻”已然来临。当AI突破虚拟世界的边界,开始在物理世界中自主完成复杂任务时,人类正站在一个前所未有的转折点上。玩具行业被物理AI赋予了新的情感维度。在这场全球竞赛中,中国展现出独特的竞争优势。2026年的物理AI竞赛,本质上是技术、商业与想象力的综合较量。在这场变革中,机遇与挑战并存,唯有敢于拥抱变化的企业才能在这场淘汰赛中脱颖而出。","content":"<html><body><article><p>在2026年国际消费电子展(CES)上,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>创始人黄仁勋抛出一枚重磅炸弹:物理AI的“ChatGPT时刻”已然来临。这一论断不仅颠覆了科技界对人工智能的传统认知,更在全球商业领域掀起了一场关于未来十年技术主导权的激烈角逐。当AI突破虚拟世界的边界,开始在物理世界中自主完成复杂任务时,人类正站在一个前所未有的转折点上。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260202000418728d201748v1ol6z8u\"/><p>黄仁勋的演讲并非空谈,而是基于英伟达在算力领域的深厚积累。过去几年,生成式AI在内容创作领域大放异彩,但这些智能体始终被困在数字世界中。物理AI的崛起,标志着AI技术从“软”到“硬”的质变——未来的竞争将不再局限于算法的聪明程度,而是取决于智能体在物理世界中的执行能力和稳定性。数字经济应用实践专家骆仁童博士指出,物理AI的核心在于突破虚拟与现实的界限,通过机器人、自动驾驶等载体直接介入物流、制造、服务等核心经济环节,成为新的生产力工具。</p><p>这场变革正在多个领域引发连锁反应。自动驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)领域,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>旗下的萝卜快跑正展开激烈角逐。特斯拉计划于2026年4月量产L4级全自动驾驶出租车Cybercab,目标运营成本低至每公里0.2美元;而萝卜快跑已实现周订单量突破25万单,且100%为全无人订单,更将业务拓展至迪拜等海外市场。这场竞争不仅关乎技术突破,更是一场商业模式的终极验证——当无人驾驶成本低于人类司机,传统出行行业将面临彻底重构。</p><p>人形机器人领域同样迎来爆发式增长。智元、宇树科技和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09880\">优必选</a>等中国厂商的年出货量有望实现同比翻番,这些机器人不再局限于执行预设动作,而是通过视觉和触觉理解环境,完成复杂任务。资本市场也闻风而动,多家机器人企业计划在2026年上市。然而,这场盛宴背后是残酷的淘汰赛:缺乏闭环进化能力、仍停留在Demo阶段的企业将面临融资困境,最终被市场抛弃。</p><p>AI技术的渗透远不止于此。手机中的AI助手正从“问答机器人”升级为“个人智能伙伴”,用户无需手动操作应用,只需表达意图即可完成点餐、打车等复杂任务。这种变革引发了终端厂商与应用厂商的激烈博弈——当AI Agent能够自由穿透各个App时,流量分配权将成为新的战场。可穿戴设备领域则朝着“无感化”方向发展,AI耳机、智能戒指等新品通过ECG功能或毫米波雷达监测健康数据,让科技真正“隐形”。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20260202000429121d201l151xk64j46\"/><p>玩具行业被物理AI赋予了新的情感维度。2026年的AI玩具不再只是重复预设语音的“话痨”,而是具备本地长时记忆和情感计算能力,能够通过语调、表情分析情绪,实现拟人化互动。清洁电器领域则见证了具身智能的成熟应用:轮足式结构让扫地机器人突破立体空间障碍,仿生机械臂赋予其整理杂物、擦拭桌面的能力,服务场景从室内延伸至户外。</p><p>在这场全球竞赛中,中国展现出独特的竞争优势。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">百度</a>萝卜快跑的海外扩张、智元等厂商的机器人出货量领先,印证了中国在落地速度和市场广度上的优势。庞大的制造业基础和完善的供应链体系,为物理AI的量产和降本提供了有力支撑。同时,中国厂商在应用场景创新上表现出色,从AI耳机到智能玩具,总能精准捕捉消费者需求。但挑战依然存在:高端芯片、核心算法框架等领域仍存在“卡脖子”风险,物理AI的发展也带来了新的监管和伦理问题。</p><p>2026年的物理AI竞赛,本质上是技术、商业与想象力的综合较量。中国玩家已拿到入场券,但最终胜负取决于能否在核心技术上实现突破,以及能否持续创新应用场景。在这场变革中,机遇与挑战并存,唯有敢于拥抱变化的企业才能在这场淘汰赛中脱颖而出。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2026物理AI浪潮来袭,黄仁勋预言成真,中国如何在全球竞赛中脱颖而出?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2026物理AI浪潮来袭,黄仁勋预言成真,中国如何在全球竞赛中脱颖而出?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-01 23:40 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260202000430a46fdee4&s=b><strong>ITBEAR科技资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在2026年国际消费电子展(CES)上,英伟达创始人黄仁勋抛出一枚重磅炸弹:物理AI的“ChatGPT时刻”已然来临。这一论断不仅颠覆了科技界对人工智能的传统认知,更在全球商业领域掀起了一场关于未来十年技术主导权的激烈角逐。当AI突破虚拟世界的边界,开始在物理世界中自主完成复杂任务时,人类正站在一个前所未有的转折点上。黄仁勋的演讲并非空谈,而是基于英伟达在算力领域的深厚积累。过去几年,生成式AI在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260202000430a46fdee4&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1815333072.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"AUP\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z8W00.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU2065169927.USD":"M&G (LUX) GLOBAL MAXIMA \"A\" (USD) ACC","NVIW.SI":"NVDA 3xLongSG261006","LU0061474705.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","IE00BQXX3D17.EUR":"GUINNESS GLOBAL INNOVATORS \"C\" (EUR) ACC","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","NVDS":"1.5倍做空NVDA ETF-Tradr","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2089284900.SGD":"Allianz Global Sustainability Cl AM Dis H2-SGD","NVDU":"2倍做多NVDA ETF-Direxion","IE00BKDWB100.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5H\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0267386448.USD":"FIDELITY FIRST ALL COUNTRY WORLD 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NVIDIA"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260202000430a46fdee4&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2608188310","content_text":"在2026年国际消费电子展(CES)上,英伟达创始人黄仁勋抛出一枚重磅炸弹:物理AI的“ChatGPT时刻”已然来临。这一论断不仅颠覆了科技界对人工智能的传统认知,更在全球商业领域掀起了一场关于未来十年技术主导权的激烈角逐。当AI突破虚拟世界的边界,开始在物理世界中自主完成复杂任务时,人类正站在一个前所未有的转折点上。黄仁勋的演讲并非空谈,而是基于英伟达在算力领域的深厚积累。过去几年,生成式AI在内容创作领域大放异彩,但这些智能体始终被困在数字世界中。物理AI的崛起,标志着AI技术从“软”到“硬”的质变——未来的竞争将不再局限于算法的聪明程度,而是取决于智能体在物理世界中的执行能力和稳定性。数字经济应用实践专家骆仁童博士指出,物理AI的核心在于突破虚拟与现实的界限,通过机器人、自动驾驶等载体直接介入物流、制造、服务等核心经济环节,成为新的生产力工具。这场变革正在多个领域引发连锁反应。自动驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)领域,特斯拉与百度旗下的萝卜快跑正展开激烈角逐。特斯拉计划于2026年4月量产L4级全自动驾驶出租车Cybercab,目标运营成本低至每公里0.2美元;而萝卜快跑已实现周订单量突破25万单,且100%为全无人订单,更将业务拓展至迪拜等海外市场。这场竞争不仅关乎技术突破,更是一场商业模式的终极验证——当无人驾驶成本低于人类司机,传统出行行业将面临彻底重构。人形机器人领域同样迎来爆发式增长。智元、宇树科技和优必选等中国厂商的年出货量有望实现同比翻番,这些机器人不再局限于执行预设动作,而是通过视觉和触觉理解环境,完成复杂任务。资本市场也闻风而动,多家机器人企业计划在2026年上市。然而,这场盛宴背后是残酷的淘汰赛:缺乏闭环进化能力、仍停留在Demo阶段的企业将面临融资困境,最终被市场抛弃。AI技术的渗透远不止于此。手机中的AI助手正从“问答机器人”升级为“个人智能伙伴”,用户无需手动操作应用,只需表达意图即可完成点餐、打车等复杂任务。这种变革引发了终端厂商与应用厂商的激烈博弈——当AI Agent能够自由穿透各个App时,流量分配权将成为新的战场。可穿戴设备领域则朝着“无感化”方向发展,AI耳机、智能戒指等新品通过ECG功能或毫米波雷达监测健康数据,让科技真正“隐形”。玩具行业被物理AI赋予了新的情感维度。2026年的AI玩具不再只是重复预设语音的“话痨”,而是具备本地长时记忆和情感计算能力,能够通过语调、表情分析情绪,实现拟人化互动。清洁电器领域则见证了具身智能的成熟应用:轮足式结构让扫地机器人突破立体空间障碍,仿生机械臂赋予其整理杂物、擦拭桌面的能力,服务场景从室内延伸至户外。在这场全球竞赛中,中国展现出独特的竞争优势。百度萝卜快跑的海外扩张、智元等厂商的机器人出货量领先,印证了中国在落地速度和市场广度上的优势。庞大的制造业基础和完善的供应链体系,为物理AI的量产和降本提供了有力支撑。同时,中国厂商在应用场景创新上表现出色,从AI耳机到智能玩具,总能精准捕捉消费者需求。但挑战依然存在:高端芯片、核心算法框架等领域仍存在“卡脖子”风险,物理AI的发展也带来了新的监管和伦理问题。2026年的物理AI竞赛,本质上是技术、商业与想象力的综合较量。中国玩家已拿到入场券,但最终胜负取决于能否在核心技术上实现突破,以及能否持续创新应用场景。在这场变革中,机遇与挑战并存,唯有敢于拥抱变化的企业才能在这场淘汰赛中脱颖而出。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIPS":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVDQ":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVDA":1.5,"NVDS":0.6,"09880":0.9,"NVD2.UK":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"TSLA":0.9,"3NVD.UK":0.6,"NVII":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":528111614894664,"gmtCreate":1769954393218,"gmtModify":1769954395711,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Waymo和FSD差距至少在5年以上!按照FSD的迭代速度(因为特斯拉有自己的服务器群,数据和算力是越来越多的,集群越大,数据越多训练速度就会越快!)所以Waymo注定是会被淘汰的产物!!!","listText":"Waymo和FSD差距至少在5年以上!按照FSD的迭代速度(因为特斯拉有自己的服务器群,数据和算力是越来越多的,集群越大,数据越多训练速度就会越快!)所以Waymo注定是会被淘汰的产物!!!","text":"Waymo和FSD差距至少在5年以上!按照FSD的迭代速度(因为特斯拉有自己的服务器群,数据和算力是越来越多的,集群越大,数据越多训练速度就会越快!)所以Waymo注定是会被淘汰的产物!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/528111614894664","repostId":"2608200161","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2608200161","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769914980,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2608200161?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-01 11:03","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"决战特斯拉:Waymo融资160亿美元、估值1100亿!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2608200161","media":"车智","summary":"北京时间2月1日,根据外媒报道,Waymo正在计划以接近1100亿美元的估值,谋求新一轮的融资,融资金额高达160亿美元。同时,Waymo官方消息显示,完成了超过2000万次自动驾驶出行服务。距离Waymo在2024年10月完成的上一轮融资过去了将近15个月,彼时,Waymo的估值超过450亿美元,估值增加了144.4%。Robotaxi行业,终于有公司超过1000亿美元估值了!Waymo在2月份完成新一轮的融资后,想必是为了应对特斯拉的挑战。","content":"<html><body><article><p>北京时间2月1日,根据外媒报道,Waymo正在计划以接近1100亿美元的估值,谋求新一轮的融资,融资金额高达160亿美元。</p><p>其中,Waymo的母公司Alphabet计划继续注资130亿美元,包括红杉资本、数字天空技术集团、龙跃资本等投资人包揽了剩余的额度。</p><p>据悉,该轮融资计划在本月完成。同时,Waymo官方消息显示,完成了超过2000万次自动驾驶出行服务。</p><p>距离Waymo在2024年10月完成的上一轮融资过去了将近15个月,彼时,Waymo的估值超过450亿美元,估值增加了144.4%。</p><p>Robotaxi行业,终于有公司超过1000亿美元估值了!和大模型公司的估值不再是量级的差别。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/XWvFqHKejO12eGice6iaqB1613QOjB02ibYp940uq9X6Ysibia8HZYIQR5APL8WibEMXUqIQKmVPZyuYMc7p1T87NEzA/640?wx_fmt=webp&from=appmsg\"/><p>2024年Robotaxi遇到了前所未有的挑战。</p><p>Waymo在美国的唯一竞争对手Cruise因为2023年10月的致死事故暂停运营,2024年7月通用停止了Cruise专属无人驾驶车型Origin的研发,并在同年12月宣布退出Robotaxi市场。</p><p>但利好消息是2024年4月,马斯克在访华前突然宣布在当年8月8日(后来延期到10月10日)发布Robotaxi产品,并且最终发布了Cybercab。</p><p>如果没有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>的加入,Alphabet是否会继续坚定支持Waymo真的很难讲,因此。Waymo彼时完成的那轮融资,更像是一次续命的钱。</p><p>彼时,市场上的钱,都疯狂涌向了AI大模型,尤其是美国市场。</p><p>时间来到了2025年,Robotaxi的发展进入快车道。</p><p>特斯拉推出了Robotaxi服务,从2025年6月开始副驾驶还有安全员到2025年12月取消安全员,用时只有6个月,而2026年1月下旬,特斯拉在奥斯汀向公众开放无安全员Robotaxi服务。同时,特斯拉也宣布Robotaxi车型Cybercab开始规模量产。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/XWvFqHKejO12eGice6iaqB1613QOjB02ibYJBne7Pz8295DFuttW47YMIPBj4VWojUZYPrQt8QqTcuy7JZxuhUdmg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&from=appmsg\"/><p>对于Waymo来说,2025年更是商业化快速发展的一年,有消息显示,Waymo的年化收入达到了3.5亿美元,相比2024年收入接近翻倍。</p><p>为了扩大收入规模,Waymo在积极拓展自己的车队,包括和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00175\">吉利</a>集团<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZK\">极氪</a>合作的自动驾驶车型在2026年1月7日被命名为Ojai,搭载Waymo第六代自动驾驶系统,包括13个摄像头、4个激光雷达和6个毫米波雷达等。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/XWvFqHKejO12eGice6iaqB1613QOjB02ibYQ02NQtr8sz68lwN1Sfibx5RLibK4QXzG6bgodnY6Z4Ok46tobmm1MMbw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&from=appmsg\"/><p>相比特斯拉Cybercab的纯视觉路线,Waymo的硬件成本高不少,但美国的Robotaxi客单价高,足以覆盖这部分成本。</p><p>Waymo在2月份完成新一轮的融资后,想必是为了应对特斯拉的挑战。</p><p>美国Robotaxi市场,基本上也就是看Waymo和特斯拉了(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>都在推进),特斯拉的估值目前就基本上靠Robotaxi概念和Optimus概念支撑了,目前,特斯拉市值接近1.5万亿美元,这个角度看,Waymo估值1100亿美元,其实也是不贵的。</p><p>Waymo完成新一轮的融资后,对中国的Robotaxi市场也是极大的促进作用。</p><p>相比美国Robotaxi市场的双雄决战。中国Robotaxi的玩家多一些,包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>旗下的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">百度</a>Apollo萝卜快跑、港美股上市公司的文远知行和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PONY\">小马智行</a>,还有滴滴旗下的自动驾驶公司,还有出行平台、主机厂的玩家。其中,主机厂的玩家里面,小鹏要在2026年推出Robotaxi业务。</p><p>小鹏是学习特斯拉最像的,包括纯视觉的技术路线、涉足机器人业务、推出Robotaxi业务等等,当然了,小鹏还涉足飞行汽车,特斯拉都没有涉足,相比之下,小鹏的市值就比特斯拉小很多,就看二级市场愿意按照特斯拉的逻辑给小鹏估值。</p><p>Waymo完成新一轮的融资,也宣布开始进军国际市场。对百度Apollo来说,也应该要开启融资,寻求国际资本的支持,将目前在海外市场的触角拓展到更多市场。百度旗下的业务,度小满、昆仑芯都有独立融资或者拆分上市的计划,</p><p>Apollo也是百度在AI领域投入超过10年的成果,估值确实是不好定,毕竟现在的中美博弈下,软银都不太往中国投大钱了,不过,欧洲和中东的钱应该是很有兴趣的。</p><p>这点,可以看看进入2026年,外交线多忙就知道了。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>决战特斯拉:Waymo融资160亿美元、估值1100亿!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n决战特斯拉:Waymo融资160亿美元、估值1100亿!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-01 11:03 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260201153349a6c5b9fd&s=b><strong>车智</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>北京时间2月1日,根据外媒报道,Waymo正在计划以接近1100亿美元的估值,谋求新一轮的融资,融资金额高达160亿美元。其中,Waymo的母公司Alphabet计划继续注资130亿美元,包括红杉资本、数字天空技术集团、龙跃资本等投资人包揽了剩余的额度。据悉,该轮融资计划在本月完成。同时,Waymo官方消息显示,完成了超过2000万次自动驾驶出行服务。距离Waymo在2024年10月完成的上一轮...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260201153349a6c5b9fd&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","TESL":"Simplify Volt TSLA Revolution ETF","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","TSLZ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-T-Rex","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) 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INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260201153349a6c5b9fd&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2608200161","content_text":"北京时间2月1日,根据外媒报道,Waymo正在计划以接近1100亿美元的估值,谋求新一轮的融资,融资金额高达160亿美元。其中,Waymo的母公司Alphabet计划继续注资130亿美元,包括红杉资本、数字天空技术集团、龙跃资本等投资人包揽了剩余的额度。据悉,该轮融资计划在本月完成。同时,Waymo官方消息显示,完成了超过2000万次自动驾驶出行服务。距离Waymo在2024年10月完成的上一轮融资过去了将近15个月,彼时,Waymo的估值超过450亿美元,估值增加了144.4%。Robotaxi行业,终于有公司超过1000亿美元估值了!和大模型公司的估值不再是量级的差别。2024年Robotaxi遇到了前所未有的挑战。Waymo在美国的唯一竞争对手Cruise因为2023年10月的致死事故暂停运营,2024年7月通用停止了Cruise专属无人驾驶车型Origin的研发,并在同年12月宣布退出Robotaxi市场。但利好消息是2024年4月,马斯克在访华前突然宣布在当年8月8日(后来延期到10月10日)发布Robotaxi产品,并且最终发布了Cybercab。如果没有特斯拉的加入,Alphabet是否会继续坚定支持Waymo真的很难讲,因此。Waymo彼时完成的那轮融资,更像是一次续命的钱。彼时,市场上的钱,都疯狂涌向了AI大模型,尤其是美国市场。时间来到了2025年,Robotaxi的发展进入快车道。特斯拉推出了Robotaxi服务,从2025年6月开始副驾驶还有安全员到2025年12月取消安全员,用时只有6个月,而2026年1月下旬,特斯拉在奥斯汀向公众开放无安全员Robotaxi服务。同时,特斯拉也宣布Robotaxi车型Cybercab开始规模量产。对于Waymo来说,2025年更是商业化快速发展的一年,有消息显示,Waymo的年化收入达到了3.5亿美元,相比2024年收入接近翻倍。为了扩大收入规模,Waymo在积极拓展自己的车队,包括和吉利集团极氪合作的自动驾驶车型在2026年1月7日被命名为Ojai,搭载Waymo第六代自动驾驶系统,包括13个摄像头、4个激光雷达和6个毫米波雷达等。相比特斯拉Cybercab的纯视觉路线,Waymo的硬件成本高不少,但美国的Robotaxi客单价高,足以覆盖这部分成本。Waymo在2月份完成新一轮的融资后,想必是为了应对特斯拉的挑战。美国Robotaxi市场,基本上也就是看Waymo和特斯拉了(英伟达和亚马逊都在推进),特斯拉的估值目前就基本上靠Robotaxi概念和Optimus概念支撑了,目前,特斯拉市值接近1.5万亿美元,这个角度看,Waymo估值1100亿美元,其实也是不贵的。Waymo完成新一轮的融资后,对中国的Robotaxi市场也是极大的促进作用。相比美国Robotaxi市场的双雄决战。中国Robotaxi的玩家多一些,包括百度旗下的百度Apollo萝卜快跑、港美股上市公司的文远知行和小马智行,还有滴滴旗下的自动驾驶公司,还有出行平台、主机厂的玩家。其中,主机厂的玩家里面,小鹏要在2026年推出Robotaxi业务。小鹏是学习特斯拉最像的,包括纯视觉的技术路线、涉足机器人业务、推出Robotaxi业务等等,当然了,小鹏还涉足飞行汽车,特斯拉都没有涉足,相比之下,小鹏的市值就比特斯拉小很多,就看二级市场愿意按照特斯拉的逻辑给小鹏估值。Waymo完成新一轮的融资,也宣布开始进军国际市场。对百度Apollo来说,也应该要开启融资,寻求国际资本的支持,将目前在海外市场的触角拓展到更多市场。百度旗下的业务,度小满、昆仑芯都有独立融资或者拆分上市的计划,Apollo也是百度在AI领域投入超过10年的成果,估值确实是不好定,毕竟现在的中美博弈下,软银都不太往中国投大钱了,不过,欧洲和中东的钱应该是很有兴趣的。这点,可以看看进入2026年,外交线多忙就知道了。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLP":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"TSLA":1.95,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSYY":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1408,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3548665181418139","authorId":"3548665181418139","name":"王炸女神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a680106e60d4cdced54bd0f61f1cc44","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3548665181418139","idStr":"3548665181418139"},"content":"是的, 更何况物理AI, 依旧是要有物理基础; 硬件10 万美刀的成本, 还没有自己的核心制造和产能, 更别提成本控制, 软硬件兼容性和规模效应了, 很快见分晓! 资本用脚投票!","text":"是的, 更何况物理AI, 依旧是要有物理基础; 硬件10 万美刀的成本, 还没有自己的核心制造和产能, 更别提成本控制, 软硬件兼容性和规模效应了, 很快见分晓! 资本用脚投票!","html":"是的, 更何况物理AI, 依旧是要有物理基础; 硬件10 万美刀的成本, 还没有自己的核心制造和产能, 更别提成本控制, 软硬件兼容性和规模效应了, 很快见分晓! 资本用脚投票!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527944467153856,"gmtCreate":1769913588350,"gmtModify":1769913590662,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"3.8大于6!真是一群酒囊饭袋!","listText":"3.8大于6!真是一群酒囊饭袋!","text":"3.8大于6!真是一群酒囊饭袋!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527944467153856","repostId":"2608958077","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2608958077","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769883239,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2608958077?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-01 02:13","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"2026汽车销量榜大洗牌!比亚迪特斯拉领跑,小米SU7首秀即惊艳凭啥?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2608958077","media":"ITBEAR科技资讯","summary":"2026年首月汽车销量榜单揭晓,市场格局迎来剧烈震荡。比亚迪秦PLUS DM-i以3.8万辆月销量蝉联榜首,特斯拉Model Y以6.5万辆紧随其后,而首次入局的小米SU7凭借3.9万辆成绩空降第三,这一排名颠覆了传统车企的预期,更折射出消费市场的深层变革。特斯拉Model Y则继续扮演着行业颠覆者的角色。小米SU7的异军突起堪称现象级事件。这三款车型的热销,实质是三种消费价值观的碰撞。随着小米SU7的强势入局,2026年的汽车市场竞争已进入多维战场。","content":"<html><body><article><p>2026年首月汽车销量榜单揭晓,市场格局迎来剧烈震荡。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">比亚迪</a>秦PLUS DM-i以3.8万辆月销量蝉联榜首,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>Model Y以6.5万辆紧随其后,而首次入局的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XIACY\">小米</a>SU7凭借3.9万辆成绩空降第三,这一排名颠覆了传统车企的预期,更折射出消费市场的深层变革。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>秦PLUS DM-i的制胜法宝在于精准切入大众需求。这款定价10万元区间的混动车型,搭载DM-i超级混动系统,实测亏电油耗较同级燃油车降低30%,210公里纯电续航可满足一周通勤。更令人惊叹的是其2110公里综合续航能力,从北京到昆明中途无需补能。全系标配的L2级辅助驾驶与DiLink 6.0智能车机系统,让\"经济适用\"不再与\"技术落后\"划等号。车主调研显示,87%的用户将\"使用成本低\"列为首要购车因素,印证了务实消费主义的崛起。</p><p>特斯拉Model Y则继续扮演着行业颠覆者的角色。尽管内饰设计屡遭诟病,但其长续航版821公里的CLTC续航、4.3秒破百的性能表现,仍稳坐科技标杆地位。最新AI 4芯片带来720 TOPS算力,使自动驾驶辅助系统在复杂路况下的决策速度提升40%。值得关注的是,其前备箱+后备箱的立体储物空间设计,配合智能调光天幕等配置,成功将\"极简主义\"转化为实用优势。市场分析师指出,Model Y买家中有63%同时持有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>生态产品,印证了科技品牌忠诚度的跨界迁移。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">小米</a>SU7的异军突起堪称现象级事件。这款承载雷军\"最后一次创业\"雄心的产品,将手机行业经验完美移植到汽车领域:800V高压平台实现充电5分钟续航200公里,128线激光雷达与双<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>Orin芯片组合带来堪比旗舰手机的交互体验。更令传统车企震惊的是其配置策略——全系标配座椅按摩、25扬声器<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLB\">杜比</a>全景声系统,将<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLX\">豪华</a>配置下放至20万元级市场。消费者调研显示,45%的SU7车主同时使用3件以上<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/81810\">小米</a>智能设备,生态协同效应成为核心购买驱动力。</p><p>这三款车型的热销,实质是三种消费价值观的碰撞。秦PLUS DM-i代表的实用主义群体,将车辆视为降低生活成本的工具;Model Y吸引的科技信仰者,通过产品彰显前沿身份认同;而SU7的生态玩家,则在追求智能生活的无缝衔接。值得关注的是,三款车型在25-35岁主力消费群体中的渗透率均超过65%,预示着汽车消费正在从\"功能需求\"向\"价值主张\"转型。</p><p>随着小米SU7的强势入局,2026年的汽车市场竞争已进入多维战场。传统车企的供应链优势、新势力的技术锐度、科技公司的生态整合能力,正在重构行业评价标准。这场变革中,没有永恒的王者,只有不断进化的生存法则。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2026汽车销量榜大洗牌!比亚迪特斯拉领跑,小米SU7首秀即惊艳凭啥?</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2026汽车销量榜大洗牌!比亚迪特斯拉领跑,小米SU7首秀即惊艳凭啥?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-01 02:13 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260201025431a6c43bf1&s=b><strong>ITBEAR科技资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>2026年首月汽车销量榜单揭晓,市场格局迎来剧烈震荡。比亚迪秦PLUS DM-i以3.8万辆月销量蝉联榜首,特斯拉Model Y以6.5万辆紧随其后,而首次入局的小米SU7凭借3.9万辆成绩空降第三,这一排名颠覆了传统车企的预期,更折射出消费市场的深层变革。比亚迪秦PLUS DM-i的制胜法宝在于精准切入大众需求。这款定价10万元区间的混动车型,搭载DM-i超级混动系统,实测亏电油耗较同级燃油车...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260201025431a6c43bf1&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"81211":"比亚迪股份-R","81810":"小米集团-WR","LU0588546209.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - China Equity Fund AS SGD","SG9999003461.SGD":"United Asia Pacific Infrastructure SGD","LU0856984785.SGD":"HSBC GIF MANAGED SOLUTIONS ASIA FOCUSED GROWTH \"ACH\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0449515922.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"PC\" (USD)ACC","LU1188198961.HKD":"SCHRODER ISF CHINA OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) INC QV","LU0359201612.USD":"贝莱德中国基金A2","IE0034224299.USD":"PINEBRIDGE ASIA EX JAPAN EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK1539":"汽车股","LU0274383008.USD":"MANULIFE GF ASIAN SMALL CAP EQUITY \"AA\" (USD) INC","LU0605514214.HKD":"FIDELITY CHINA CONSUMER \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0797268264.HKD":"ALLIANZ TOTAL RETURN ASIAN EQUITY \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0348805143.USD":"ALLIANZ ENHANCED ALL CHINA EQUITY \"A\" (USD) 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6.0智能车机系统,让\"经济适用\"不再与\"技术落后\"划等号。车主调研显示,87%的用户将\"使用成本低\"列为首要购车因素,印证了务实消费主义的崛起。特斯拉Model Y则继续扮演着行业颠覆者的角色。尽管内饰设计屡遭诟病,但其长续航版821公里的CLTC续航、4.3秒破百的性能表现,仍稳坐科技标杆地位。最新AI 4芯片带来720 TOPS算力,使自动驾驶辅助系统在复杂路况下的决策速度提升40%。值得关注的是,其前备箱+后备箱的立体储物空间设计,配合智能调光天幕等配置,成功将\"极简主义\"转化为实用优势。市场分析师指出,Model Y买家中有63%同时持有苹果生态产品,印证了科技品牌忠诚度的跨界迁移。小米SU7的异军突起堪称现象级事件。这款承载雷军\"最后一次创业\"雄心的产品,将手机行业经验完美移植到汽车领域:800V高压平台实现充电5分钟续航200公里,128线激光雷达与双英伟达Orin芯片组合带来堪比旗舰手机的交互体验。更令传统车企震惊的是其配置策略——全系标配座椅按摩、25扬声器杜比全景声系统,将豪华配置下放至20万元级市场。消费者调研显示,45%的SU7车主同时使用3件以上小米智能设备,生态协同效应成为核心购买驱动力。这三款车型的热销,实质是三种消费价值观的碰撞。秦PLUS DM-i代表的实用主义群体,将车辆视为降低生活成本的工具;Model Y吸引的科技信仰者,通过产品彰显前沿身份认同;而SU7的生态玩家,则在追求智能生活的无缝衔接。值得关注的是,三款车型在25-35岁主力消费群体中的渗透率均超过65%,预示着汽车消费正在从\"功能需求\"向\"价值主张\"转型。随着小米SU7的强势入局,2026年的汽车市场竞争已进入多维战场。传统车企的供应链优势、新势力的技术锐度、科技公司的生态整合能力,正在重构行业评价标准。这场变革中,没有永恒的王者,只有不断进化的生存法则。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"81211":0.6,"81810":0.6,"TSLA":1.92,"XIACY":0.6,"HXXD.SI":0.6,"BYDDY":1.95,"MIUmain":0.6,"01810":0.9,"002594":1.95,"01211":1.95,"HYDD.SI":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":512,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527514848252960,"gmtCreate":1769808703019,"gmtModify":1769808705252,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"放心,其他都是炒作!特斯拉才会走到最后!!!","listText":"放心,其他都是炒作!特斯拉才会走到最后!!!","text":"放心,其他都是炒作!特斯拉才会走到最后!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527514848252960","repostId":"2607925025","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2607925025","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"有视角的商业资讯交流平台","home_visible":1,"media_name":"虎嗅APP","id":"101","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98669fe7974e42f3976b3db47528792d"},"pubTimestamp":1769781240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2607925025?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-30 21:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"中国车企和特斯拉的下一战,战场已定","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607925025","media":"虎嗅APP","summary":"不只有中国车企和特斯拉外想瓜分这片淘金地。而在两年前,他曾公开预测,未来全球只有十家车企能存活,分别是九家中国车企和特斯拉。从各家车企在机器人量产方面的规划来看,中国车企和特斯拉之间的“机器人战争”极有可能在2027年被点燃。好在,中国车企与特斯拉的机器人之战,也并非短时间内便会走到决战时刻。","content":"<html><body><div><p helvetica=\"\" hidden=\"\" initial=\"\" medium=\"\" neue=\"\" none=\"\" normal=\"\" rgb=\"\" start=\"\"><span helvetica=\"\" left=\"\" neue=\"\"><span leaf=\"\"><img helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f675b6107e4bafb3a0d9898bc2b3f0\" translatey=\"\"/></span></span><span leaf=\"\"><img helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f79e5ad3fe6a4b75ab9cb874b5ad3a0d\"/></span></p><p helvetica=\"\" hidden=\"\" initial=\"\" linear-gradient=\"\" medium=\"\" neue=\"\" none=\"\" normal=\"\" rgb=\"\" start=\"\"><span leaf=\"\"><img block=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff930a99ccd64c2f9c9c9530aa203a50\"/></span></p><p flex=\"\" flex-end=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\"><span helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" rgb=\"\" right=\"\"><span leaf=\"\">争夺25万亿美元的市场</span></span></p><p flex=\"\" flex-end=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" nodeleaf=\"\"><img helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d61b60d015419da0977227d76731d8\"/></p><span block=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\"><p><span label=\"备注\"><span leaf=\"\">出品|虎嗅汽车组</span></span></p><p><span label=\"备注\"><span leaf=\"\">作者|王亚骏</span><span leaf=\"\"></span></span></p><p><span label=\"备注\"><span leaf=\"\">头图|<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000681\">视觉中国</a></span></span></p></span><p><span leaf=\"\">在发布了“建设富足非凡世界”的新使命后,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>又用两款旗舰车型,来为这个新使命“祭旗”。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在Q4财报电话会开场白环节上,特斯拉CEO马斯克表示,是时候让Model S和Model X“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09998\">光荣</a>退役(honorable discharge)”了,这两款特斯拉的功勋车型将于下季度基本停产。</span></p><p nodeleaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e2bd773b8c04e5bac9b47c3279b5c7b\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\"><span leaf=\"\">Model S/X的成功,为特斯拉走辆车型Model 3/Y带来了研发资金。同时,它们还极大程度上促进了新能源汽车从\"环保政策工具\"向\"大型科技类消费品\"的跃迁。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">原本生产Model S和Model X的弗里蒙特工厂,将改为生产Optimus机器人。这款产品可以视为特斯拉新使命中最为重要的一环,马斯克认为未来特斯拉80%的市值都由Optimus机器人支撑。不过,他的梦想正面临着来自大洋彼岸的威胁。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在财报电话会上,马斯克直言,中国擅长AI,也擅长制造,在人形机器人领域,特斯拉最大的竞争肯定来自中国。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">从中国车企在人形机器人领域的动作来看,马斯克这番话并非什么“高情商”之语或杞人忧天。目前在国内,不管是新势力还是传统车企,均已在机器人产业进行了布局。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">同时,中国车企的入场步伐也在不断加快。在特斯拉发布财报的三天前,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>开了一次线上全员会,公司CEO李想表示,理想一定会做人形机器人,并会尽快让该产品落地亮相。</span></p><p nodeleaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48f0f3ed25845ba9c3d426fed09d3af\"/></p><p><span leaf=\"\">这意味着,在FSD尚未入华、双方智驾战还是“隔海叫阵”的情况下,中国车企和特斯拉的下一战已经确定将在机器人领域展开。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">中国车企和特斯拉,为何同时盯上了人形机器人?当下国内汽车行业的内卷式竞争,对战局又将有何影响?</span></p><p label=\"大标题\"><span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a3404e5159e45b095a66fab6f57b9ca\"/></span></span><span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cae558b08f74f0a80722c2223bc4eb2\"/></span><span><span leaf=\"\">低投入+高回报预期,让中美车企同时盯上这块蛋糕</span></span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16b9e73f01ce48e78542aa97f327a03f\"/></span></span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">车企做人形机器人,很难算“跨界”。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">首先,车企人形机器人专门搭建新的研发和制造团队。何小鹏曾表示,“车企70%的技术储备能直接复用到机器人身上。”</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">两者的技术复用度之所以如此之高,原因是在感知、决策、执行三大核心环节,智能汽车和人形机器人的技术架构高度重叠,甚至可以被视为“同一套技术栈的双线部署”。以Optimus机器人为例:</span></p><ul><li><p><span leaf=\"\">感知层,Optimus机器人直接使用了FSD(特斯拉完全自动驾驶)的纯视觉感知方案;</span></p></li><li><p><span leaf=\"\">决策层,两者的算法相似度60%(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002926\">华西证券</a>测算);</span></p></li><li><p><span leaf=\"\">执行层,Cybertruck的线控转向与Optimus关节驱动存在复用。</span></p></li></ul><p><span leaf=\"\">除了软件外,两者在硬件上也有着极高的关联度,比如传感器、芯片、雷达、摄像头等,这进一步推高了供应链重合度。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">中国电动汽车百人会副理事长兼秘书长张永伟认为,在供应链方面,智能汽车与人形机器人的重合度超过了60%(车企纷纷布局的飞行汽车也是同理)。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">同时,在制造方面,两者装配逻辑、质量控制体系等方面也具备一定的通用性。这意味着,车企完全可以将自己过剩的汽车生产线改装成人形机器人生产线,无需再找地建厂。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">如此高的关联度,让汽车不必因拓展人形机器人业务而损耗太多元气。而机器人市场的广阔前景,更是让车企在当下的布局有望变成一个“低成本、高回报”的投资。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>预测,到了2050年,全球机器人销售额达到25万亿美元,是2025年销售额的250倍。而在未来的25年,汽车销量恐怕难有如此规模的增长。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">不只有中国车企和特斯拉外想瓜分这片淘金地。日韩和欧洲车企也在人形领域进行了布局,其中进展最快的是现代汽车。 2021年6月,现代汽车收购了知名人形机器人公司波士顿动力。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">不过在财报电话会上,马斯克并未提及丰田现代们。而在两年前,他曾公开预测,未来全球只有十家车企能存活,分别是九家中国车企和特斯拉。</span></p><p label=\"大标题\"><span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94466b3beeae40cb941352371eea7ed3\"/></span></span><span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc73f0af1281409c99608a5f999227d9\"/></span><span><span leaf=\"\">这场仗会怎么打?</span></span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c044f124dc1b405ca2dd8a4bf93cbc6f\"/></span></span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">从各家车企在机器人量产方面的规划来看,中国车企和特斯拉之间的“机器人战争”极有可能在2027年被点燃。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在财报电话会上,马斯克表示特斯拉“可能会在几个月内发布Optimus 3。”在瑞士达沃斯世界经济论坛上,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克宣布,公司计划于2027年底前向公众销售其Optimus人形机器人。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在大洋彼岸,奇瑞已经开始交付首款人形机器人“墨茵”(2025年交付量超300台)。同时,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>也计划在2026年年底实现人形机器人的量产。</span></p><p nodeleaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b14181ed2c514c25a7fbe682e3e1705d\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\"><span leaf=\"\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">小鹏汽车</a>人形机器人IRON</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在这场竞争中,双方各有各的优势</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">得益于长期积累的自动驾驶AI算法和庞大的真实世界数据(数百万辆特斯拉汽车每天采集的端到端驾驶视频数据),特斯拉在技术上实现了领先。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">马斯克在财报电话会上详细解释了自身技术和数据带来的产品优势。目前,人形机器人有三大难点:打造像人手一样灵活的机械手(手是机器人身上最难的部分),其次是现实世界AI,最后是规模化生产。这三点是目前最大的难题,“我认为特斯拉是唯一一家同时具备这三大要素的公司。”</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">面对特斯拉的技术壁垒,中国车企并非没有还手之力。在智能汽车的竞争中,中国车企已经证明了自己的快速迭代和成本控制能力。摩根士丹利曾发布研报表示,中国在人形机器人产业供应链中占据主导地位,占比达到63%,“中国庞大的市场规模正在把人形机器人的制造成本打下来”。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在这种局面下,谁能吸引到更多更好的人才,谁的获胜概率就更大。何小鹏曾表示,吸引最顶尖人才,是做好人形机器人的关键。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">不过,当下汽车行业的价格战和内卷,一定程度上扯了中国车企招募人才的后腿。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在线上全员会中,李想在谈及人形机器人业务时表示,公司要招聘这方面最好的人才,要从机器人<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V03.SI\">创业公司</a>那里挖人。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">当下,车企和机器人公司之间的人才流动的确存在。但虎嗅汽车在与多位行业人士交流中发现,这种流动的主要方向却并非从机器人公司流向车企,而是反过来,从车企“逃到”机器人公司。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">车企员工们之所以选择逃离,重要原因之一便是为了躲避内卷。同时,由于汽车和机器人,他们跳槽后的学习和适应成本也比较低。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">与之对比,虽然特斯拉在2025年遭遇了业绩下滑,马斯克形象受损等风波,但这家新能源汽车先行者仍对人才保持了不俗的吸引力。据雇主品牌调研机构Universum调研,在2025年美国最具吸引力雇主排名中,特斯拉位列工程类学生就业选择第九名,是排名最高的汽车制造商(马斯克一直强调特斯拉是AI公司而非汽车公司,不过在2025年,汽车业务的收入仍占公司总收入的73.4%,为696亿美元)。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">从这方面来看,当下的汽车行业内卷,难以对人形机器人业务起到什幺正面作用。好在,中国车企与特斯拉的机器人之战,也并非短时间内便会走到决战时刻。</span></p><p helvetica=\"\" initial=\"\" neue=\"\" none=\"\" normal=\"\" rgb=\"\" start=\"\"><span leaf=\"\">本内容未经允许不得转载。授权事宜请联系 hezuo@huxiu.com。</span></p><p center=\"\" flex=\"\" helvetica=\"\" initial=\"\" medium=\"\" neue=\"\" none=\"\" normal=\"\" rgb=\"\" space-between=\"\" start=\"\"><span helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" rgb=\"\"></span><span helvetica=\"\" inline=\"\" neue=\"\" rgb=\"\" right=\"\"><span leaf=\"\">End</span></span></p><p><strong><em><span leaf=\"\">想涨知识 关注虎嗅视频号!</span></em></strong><span arial=\"\" gb=\"\" helvetica=\"\" justify=\"\" neue=\"\" sans=\"\" sans-serif=\"\" sc=\"\" ui=\"\" yahei=\"\"></span></p></div></body></html>","source":"weixin_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中国车企和特斯拉的下一战,战场已定\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/101\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/98669fe7974e42f3976b3db47528792d);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">虎嗅APP </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-01-30 21:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><div><p helvetica=\"\" hidden=\"\" initial=\"\" medium=\"\" neue=\"\" none=\"\" normal=\"\" rgb=\"\" start=\"\"><span helvetica=\"\" left=\"\" neue=\"\"><span leaf=\"\"><img helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f675b6107e4bafb3a0d9898bc2b3f0\" translatey=\"\"/></span></span><span leaf=\"\"><img helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f79e5ad3fe6a4b75ab9cb874b5ad3a0d\"/></span></p><p helvetica=\"\" hidden=\"\" initial=\"\" linear-gradient=\"\" medium=\"\" neue=\"\" none=\"\" normal=\"\" rgb=\"\" start=\"\"><span leaf=\"\"><img block=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff930a99ccd64c2f9c9c9530aa203a50\"/></span></p><p flex=\"\" flex-end=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\"><span helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" rgb=\"\" right=\"\"><span leaf=\"\">争夺25万亿美元的市场</span></span></p><p flex=\"\" flex-end=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" nodeleaf=\"\"><img helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d61b60d015419da0977227d76731d8\"/></p><span block=\"\" helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\"><p><span label=\"备注\"><span leaf=\"\">出品|虎嗅汽车组</span></span></p><p><span label=\"备注\"><span leaf=\"\">作者|王亚骏</span><span leaf=\"\"></span></span></p><p><span label=\"备注\"><span leaf=\"\">头图|<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000681\">视觉中国</a></span></span></p></span><p><span leaf=\"\">在发布了“建设富足非凡世界”的新使命后,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>又用两款旗舰车型,来为这个新使命“祭旗”。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在Q4财报电话会开场白环节上,特斯拉CEO马斯克表示,是时候让Model S和Model X“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09998\">光荣</a>退役(honorable discharge)”了,这两款特斯拉的功勋车型将于下季度基本停产。</span></p><p nodeleaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e2bd773b8c04e5bac9b47c3279b5c7b\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\"><span leaf=\"\">Model S/X的成功,为特斯拉走辆车型Model 3/Y带来了研发资金。同时,它们还极大程度上促进了新能源汽车从\"环保政策工具\"向\"大型科技类消费品\"的跃迁。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">原本生产Model S和Model X的弗里蒙特工厂,将改为生产Optimus机器人。这款产品可以视为特斯拉新使命中最为重要的一环,马斯克认为未来特斯拉80%的市值都由Optimus机器人支撑。不过,他的梦想正面临着来自大洋彼岸的威胁。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在财报电话会上,马斯克直言,中国擅长AI,也擅长制造,在人形机器人领域,特斯拉最大的竞争肯定来自中国。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">从中国车企在人形机器人领域的动作来看,马斯克这番话并非什么“高情商”之语或杞人忧天。目前在国内,不管是新势力还是传统车企,均已在机器人产业进行了布局。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">同时,中国车企的入场步伐也在不断加快。在特斯拉发布财报的三天前,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>开了一次线上全员会,公司CEO李想表示,理想一定会做人形机器人,并会尽快让该产品落地亮相。</span></p><p nodeleaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f48f0f3ed25845ba9c3d426fed09d3af\"/></p><p><span leaf=\"\">这意味着,在FSD尚未入华、双方智驾战还是“隔海叫阵”的情况下,中国车企和特斯拉的下一战已经确定将在机器人领域展开。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">中国车企和特斯拉,为何同时盯上了人形机器人?当下国内汽车行业的内卷式竞争,对战局又将有何影响?</span></p><p label=\"大标题\"><span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a3404e5159e45b095a66fab6f57b9ca\"/></span></span><span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8cae558b08f74f0a80722c2223bc4eb2\"/></span><span><span leaf=\"\">低投入+高回报预期,让中美车企同时盯上这块蛋糕</span></span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16b9e73f01ce48e78542aa97f327a03f\"/></span></span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">车企做人形机器人,很难算“跨界”。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">首先,车企人形机器人专门搭建新的研发和制造团队。何小鹏曾表示,“车企70%的技术储备能直接复用到机器人身上。”</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">两者的技术复用度之所以如此之高,原因是在感知、决策、执行三大核心环节,智能汽车和人形机器人的技术架构高度重叠,甚至可以被视为“同一套技术栈的双线部署”。以Optimus机器人为例:</span></p><ul><li><p><span leaf=\"\">感知层,Optimus机器人直接使用了FSD(特斯拉完全自动驾驶)的纯视觉感知方案;</span></p></li><li><p><span leaf=\"\">决策层,两者的算法相似度60%(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002926\">华西证券</a>测算);</span></p></li><li><p><span leaf=\"\">执行层,Cybertruck的线控转向与Optimus关节驱动存在复用。</span></p></li></ul><p><span leaf=\"\">除了软件外,两者在硬件上也有着极高的关联度,比如传感器、芯片、雷达、摄像头等,这进一步推高了供应链重合度。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">中国电动汽车百人会副理事长兼秘书长张永伟认为,在供应链方面,智能汽车与人形机器人的重合度超过了60%(车企纷纷布局的飞行汽车也是同理)。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">同时,在制造方面,两者装配逻辑、质量控制体系等方面也具备一定的通用性。这意味着,车企完全可以将自己过剩的汽车生产线改装成人形机器人生产线,无需再找地建厂。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">如此高的关联度,让汽车不必因拓展人形机器人业务而损耗太多元气。而机器人市场的广阔前景,更是让车企在当下的布局有望变成一个“低成本、高回报”的投资。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>预测,到了2050年,全球机器人销售额达到25万亿美元,是2025年销售额的250倍。而在未来的25年,汽车销量恐怕难有如此规模的增长。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">不只有中国车企和特斯拉外想瓜分这片淘金地。日韩和欧洲车企也在人形领域进行了布局,其中进展最快的是现代汽车。 2021年6月,现代汽车收购了知名人形机器人公司波士顿动力。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">不过在财报电话会上,马斯克并未提及丰田现代们。而在两年前,他曾公开预测,未来全球只有十家车企能存活,分别是九家中国车企和特斯拉。</span></p><p label=\"大标题\"><span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94466b3beeae40cb941352371eea7ed3\"/></span></span><span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc73f0af1281409c99608a5f999227d9\"/></span><span><span leaf=\"\">这场仗会怎么打?</span></span><span leaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c044f124dc1b405ca2dd8a4bf93cbc6f\"/></span></span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">从各家车企在机器人量产方面的规划来看,中国车企和特斯拉之间的“机器人战争”极有可能在2027年被点燃。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在财报电话会上,马斯克表示特斯拉“可能会在几个月内发布Optimus 3。”在瑞士达沃斯世界经济论坛上,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克宣布,公司计划于2027年底前向公众销售其Optimus人形机器人。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在大洋彼岸,奇瑞已经开始交付首款人形机器人“墨茵”(2025年交付量超300台)。同时,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>也计划在2026年年底实现人形机器人的量产。</span></p><p nodeleaf=\"\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b14181ed2c514c25a7fbe682e3e1705d\"/></p><p label=\"图片备注\"><span leaf=\"\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">小鹏汽车</a>人形机器人IRON</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在这场竞争中,双方各有各的优势</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">得益于长期积累的自动驾驶AI算法和庞大的真实世界数据(数百万辆特斯拉汽车每天采集的端到端驾驶视频数据),特斯拉在技术上实现了领先。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">马斯克在财报电话会上详细解释了自身技术和数据带来的产品优势。目前,人形机器人有三大难点:打造像人手一样灵活的机械手(手是机器人身上最难的部分),其次是现实世界AI,最后是规模化生产。这三点是目前最大的难题,“我认为特斯拉是唯一一家同时具备这三大要素的公司。”</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">面对特斯拉的技术壁垒,中国车企并非没有还手之力。在智能汽车的竞争中,中国车企已经证明了自己的快速迭代和成本控制能力。摩根士丹利曾发布研报表示,中国在人形机器人产业供应链中占据主导地位,占比达到63%,“中国庞大的市场规模正在把人形机器人的制造成本打下来”。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在这种局面下,谁能吸引到更多更好的人才,谁的获胜概率就更大。何小鹏曾表示,吸引最顶尖人才,是做好人形机器人的关键。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">不过,当下汽车行业的价格战和内卷,一定程度上扯了中国车企招募人才的后腿。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">在线上全员会中,李想在谈及人形机器人业务时表示,公司要招聘这方面最好的人才,要从机器人<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V03.SI\">创业公司</a>那里挖人。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">当下,车企和机器人公司之间的人才流动的确存在。但虎嗅汽车在与多位行业人士交流中发现,这种流动的主要方向却并非从机器人公司流向车企,而是反过来,从车企“逃到”机器人公司。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">车企员工们之所以选择逃离,重要原因之一便是为了躲避内卷。同时,由于汽车和机器人,他们跳槽后的学习和适应成本也比较低。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">与之对比,虽然特斯拉在2025年遭遇了业绩下滑,马斯克形象受损等风波,但这家新能源汽车先行者仍对人才保持了不俗的吸引力。据雇主品牌调研机构Universum调研,在2025年美国最具吸引力雇主排名中,特斯拉位列工程类学生就业选择第九名,是排名最高的汽车制造商(马斯克一直强调特斯拉是AI公司而非汽车公司,不过在2025年,汽车业务的收入仍占公司总收入的73.4%,为696亿美元)。</span></p><p><span leaf=\"\">从这方面来看,当下的汽车行业内卷,难以对人形机器人业务起到什幺正面作用。好在,中国车企与特斯拉的机器人之战,也并非短时间内便会走到决战时刻。</span></p><p helvetica=\"\" initial=\"\" neue=\"\" none=\"\" normal=\"\" rgb=\"\" start=\"\"><span leaf=\"\">本内容未经允许不得转载。授权事宜请联系 hezuo@huxiu.com。</span></p><p center=\"\" flex=\"\" helvetica=\"\" initial=\"\" medium=\"\" neue=\"\" none=\"\" normal=\"\" rgb=\"\" space-between=\"\" start=\"\"><span helvetica=\"\" neue=\"\" rgb=\"\"></span><span helvetica=\"\" inline=\"\" neue=\"\" rgb=\"\" right=\"\"><span leaf=\"\">End</span></span></p><p><strong><em><span leaf=\"\">想涨知识 关注虎嗅视频号!</span></em></strong><span arial=\"\" gb=\"\" helvetica=\"\" justify=\"\" neue=\"\" sans=\"\" sans-serif=\"\" sc=\"\" ui=\"\" yahei=\"\"></span></p></div></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLO":"2倍上限加速TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","TSLP":"TSLA收益溢价策略ETF-Kurv","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4604":"机器人概念","TSLQ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-Tradr","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ 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INC"},"source_url":"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MTQzMjE1NjQwMQ==&mid=2656148788&idx=3&sn=bbef24f2306f09996b3f10a74e272b61&chksm=6701ebd0341e92b7efcc5b2f54c8aa703f0be612e43d8d260850aa7503eed1ce55ff86fe4f84&scene=0#rd","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/ecd74548980bc5b366aa8f4b37ed0bd5","article_id":"2607925025","content_text":"争夺25万亿美元的市场出品|虎嗅汽车组作者|王亚骏头图|视觉中国在发布了“建设富足非凡世界”的新使命后,特斯拉又用两款旗舰车型,来为这个新使命“祭旗”。在Q4财报电话会开场白环节上,特斯拉CEO马斯克表示,是时候让Model S和Model X“光荣退役(honorable discharge)”了,这两款特斯拉的功勋车型将于下季度基本停产。Model S/X的成功,为特斯拉走辆车型Model 3/Y带来了研发资金。同时,它们还极大程度上促进了新能源汽车从\"环保政策工具\"向\"大型科技类消费品\"的跃迁。原本生产Model S和Model X的弗里蒙特工厂,将改为生产Optimus机器人。这款产品可以视为特斯拉新使命中最为重要的一环,马斯克认为未来特斯拉80%的市值都由Optimus机器人支撑。不过,他的梦想正面临着来自大洋彼岸的威胁。在财报电话会上,马斯克直言,中国擅长AI,也擅长制造,在人形机器人领域,特斯拉最大的竞争肯定来自中国。从中国车企在人形机器人领域的动作来看,马斯克这番话并非什么“高情商”之语或杞人忧天。目前在国内,不管是新势力还是传统车企,均已在机器人产业进行了布局。同时,中国车企的入场步伐也在不断加快。在特斯拉发布财报的三天前,理想汽车开了一次线上全员会,公司CEO李想表示,理想一定会做人形机器人,并会尽快让该产品落地亮相。这意味着,在FSD尚未入华、双方智驾战还是“隔海叫阵”的情况下,中国车企和特斯拉的下一战已经确定将在机器人领域展开。中国车企和特斯拉,为何同时盯上了人形机器人?当下国内汽车行业的内卷式竞争,对战局又将有何影响?低投入+高回报预期,让中美车企同时盯上这块蛋糕车企做人形机器人,很难算“跨界”。首先,车企人形机器人专门搭建新的研发和制造团队。何小鹏曾表示,“车企70%的技术储备能直接复用到机器人身上。”两者的技术复用度之所以如此之高,原因是在感知、决策、执行三大核心环节,智能汽车和人形机器人的技术架构高度重叠,甚至可以被视为“同一套技术栈的双线部署”。以Optimus机器人为例:感知层,Optimus机器人直接使用了FSD(特斯拉完全自动驾驶)的纯视觉感知方案;决策层,两者的算法相似度60%(华西证券测算);执行层,Cybertruck的线控转向与Optimus关节驱动存在复用。除了软件外,两者在硬件上也有着极高的关联度,比如传感器、芯片、雷达、摄像头等,这进一步推高了供应链重合度。中国电动汽车百人会副理事长兼秘书长张永伟认为,在供应链方面,智能汽车与人形机器人的重合度超过了60%(车企纷纷布局的飞行汽车也是同理)。同时,在制造方面,两者装配逻辑、质量控制体系等方面也具备一定的通用性。这意味着,车企完全可以将自己过剩的汽车生产线改装成人形机器人生产线,无需再找地建厂。如此高的关联度,让汽车不必因拓展人形机器人业务而损耗太多元气。而机器人市场的广阔前景,更是让车企在当下的布局有望变成一个“低成本、高回报”的投资。据摩根士丹利预测,到了2050年,全球机器人销售额达到25万亿美元,是2025年销售额的250倍。而在未来的25年,汽车销量恐怕难有如此规模的增长。不只有中国车企和特斯拉外想瓜分这片淘金地。日韩和欧洲车企也在人形领域进行了布局,其中进展最快的是现代汽车。 2021年6月,现代汽车收购了知名人形机器人公司波士顿动力。不过在财报电话会上,马斯克并未提及丰田现代们。而在两年前,他曾公开预测,未来全球只有十家车企能存活,分别是九家中国车企和特斯拉。这场仗会怎么打?从各家车企在机器人量产方面的规划来看,中国车企和特斯拉之间的“机器人战争”极有可能在2027年被点燃。在财报电话会上,马斯克表示特斯拉“可能会在几个月内发布Optimus 3。”在瑞士达沃斯世界经济论坛上,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克宣布,公司计划于2027年底前向公众销售其Optimus人形机器人。在大洋彼岸,奇瑞已经开始交付首款人形机器人“墨茵”(2025年交付量超300台)。同时,小鹏汽车也计划在2026年年底实现人形机器人的量产。小鹏汽车人形机器人IRON在这场竞争中,双方各有各的优势得益于长期积累的自动驾驶AI算法和庞大的真实世界数据(数百万辆特斯拉汽车每天采集的端到端驾驶视频数据),特斯拉在技术上实现了领先。马斯克在财报电话会上详细解释了自身技术和数据带来的产品优势。目前,人形机器人有三大难点:打造像人手一样灵活的机械手(手是机器人身上最难的部分),其次是现实世界AI,最后是规模化生产。这三点是目前最大的难题,“我认为特斯拉是唯一一家同时具备这三大要素的公司。”面对特斯拉的技术壁垒,中国车企并非没有还手之力。在智能汽车的竞争中,中国车企已经证明了自己的快速迭代和成本控制能力。摩根士丹利曾发布研报表示,中国在人形机器人产业供应链中占据主导地位,占比达到63%,“中国庞大的市场规模正在把人形机器人的制造成本打下来”。在这种局面下,谁能吸引到更多更好的人才,谁的获胜概率就更大。何小鹏曾表示,吸引最顶尖人才,是做好人形机器人的关键。不过,当下汽车行业的价格战和内卷,一定程度上扯了中国车企招募人才的后腿。在线上全员会中,李想在谈及人形机器人业务时表示,公司要招聘这方面最好的人才,要从机器人创业公司那里挖人。当下,车企和机器人公司之间的人才流动的确存在。但虎嗅汽车在与多位行业人士交流中发现,这种流动的主要方向却并非从机器人公司流向车企,而是反过来,从车企“逃到”机器人公司。车企员工们之所以选择逃离,重要原因之一便是为了躲避内卷。同时,由于汽车和机器人,他们跳槽后的学习和适应成本也比较低。与之对比,虽然特斯拉在2025年遭遇了业绩下滑,马斯克形象受损等风波,但这家新能源汽车先行者仍对人才保持了不俗的吸引力。据雇主品牌调研机构Universum调研,在2025年美国最具吸引力雇主排名中,特斯拉位列工程类学生就业选择第九名,是排名最高的汽车制造商(马斯克一直强调特斯拉是AI公司而非汽车公司,不过在2025年,汽车业务的收入仍占公司总收入的73.4%,为696亿美元)。从这方面来看,当下的汽车行业内卷,难以对人形机器人业务起到什幺正面作用。好在,中国车企与特斯拉的机器人之战,也并非短时间内便会走到决战时刻。本内容未经允许不得转载。授权事宜请联系 hezuo@huxiu.com。End想涨知识 关注虎嗅视频号!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLI":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLA":1.96,"TSLR":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLW":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":800,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":527456697025432,"gmtCreate":1769794602306,"gmtModify":1769794604551,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"说完就被打脸!真爽!!!","listText":"说完就被打脸!真爽!!!","text":"说完就被打脸!真爽!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/527456697025432","repostId":"2607017653","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2607017653","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769771474,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2607017653?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-30 19:11","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉:SpaceX合并传闻不足以让我保持看涨态度","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607017653","media":"美股研究社","summary":"财报发布后特斯拉股价下跌,这也反映出,投资者认为特斯拉在自动驾驶领域的承诺,尚不足以支撑其再创历史新高。2025 全年,特斯拉汽车业务营收同比下滑 10%。因此,无需过度解读这一决策,特斯拉的汽车业务仍将保持较大规模。同时,特斯拉 Robotaxi 的累计付费行驶里程正快速增长,预计随着落地范围的扩大,这一数据的增长速度还将进一步加快。","content":"<html><body><article><p>【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】</p><p>尽管<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>具备巨大的发展潜力,上行趋势也尚未被打破,分析师仍决定将其评级从<strong>买入下调至持有</strong>,当前对特斯拉持中性态度。财报发布后特斯拉股价下跌,这也反映出,投资者认为特斯拉在自动驾驶领域的承诺,尚不足以支撑其再创历史新高。</p><p>简而言之,分析师选择保持谨慎,希望看到自动驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)和擎天柱(Optimus)人形机器人项目取得更多实质性进展后,再做出最终判断。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLcPgia7DNCvbkZ2UW7icKia7iaEBYibLoBH9m2tvI6bkqbEh7NtGPic58BHcsA/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>SpaceX</strong></p><p><strong>与特斯拉合并的预期</strong></p><p><strong>若 SpaceX 与特斯拉合并,无疑将成为行业重磅事件,但坦率地说,这则最新消息并未改变分析师的核心观点,原因有三:</strong></p><p><strong>1.目前仅为传闻,落地概率极低</strong>:分析师坚信,SpaceX 与特斯拉独立上市的总市值,将高于合并后的市值 —— 部分愿意投资 SpaceX 的投资者,并不希望同时持有特斯拉。</p><p><strong>2.合并或引发多元化折价</strong>:特斯拉 CEO 埃隆・马斯克大概率不愿看到公司出现这一情况。所谓多元化折价,指市场对多元化企业的估值,往往低于其各业务板块独立估值之和,这通常源于企业财报披露的复杂性,或内部管理效率的低下。一旦合并,特斯拉出现多元化折价的可能性极高。</p><p><strong>3.双方无需合并即可实现协同</strong>:特斯拉与 SpaceX 即便不合并,也能展开深度合作、互利共赢。马斯克作为两家公司的所有者,早已能从双方的项目协作中获益,合并并非必要前提。</p><p>相较而言,SpaceX 与 xAI 的合并可能性更高:一方面 xAI 规模更小,合并后不易引发多元化折价;另一方面,马斯克虽未正面回应这一传闻,但在 X 平台的相关帖子下的回复,隐约透露出对这一合并的认可,不过这仍属于市场猜测。</p><p>只有当出现确凿证据(而非单纯传闻),证明 SpaceX 确实计划与特斯拉合并时,分析师的观点才会改变。届时合并预期或为特斯拉带来短期上涨动力,分析师也会考虑短期入场追涨,但目前来看,这一情况并不成立,且分析师并不认为二者会合并。</p><p>厘清这一问题后,我们来分析特斯拉 2025 年第四季度的财报表现。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLcrVAEs2bhwIEUP4FfvianI8UkwWsmGS8QGt9FUCfIVia1npfInK1SOWWQ/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>Q4财报表现不尽如人意</strong></p><p>特斯拉 2025 年第四季度营收 249 亿美元(超预期 1.4 亿美元),非 GAAP <span>每股收益</span> 0.50 美元(超预期 0.05 美元),但即便业绩超预期,核心财务数据仍显疲软:</p><p>· 营收<strong>同比下滑 3.1%</strong>,非 GAAP 每股收益<strong>同比下滑 17%</strong>;</p><p>· 经营活动现金流同比下降 21%,自由现金流大跌 30% 至 14.2 亿美元;</p><p>·核心的汽车业务营收同比暴跌 11% 至 176.93 亿美元,尽管能源生产与存储业务营收同比增长 25% 至 38.37 亿美元、服务及其他业务同比增长 18% 至 33.71 亿美元,但仍无法抵消汽车业务的下滑拖累。</p><p>财报中唯一的亮点是,尽管销量下滑,公司总毛利润仍同比增长 20%,毛利率从 16.3% 提升至 20.1%;但包括营业利润率、调整后 <span>EBITDA</span> 利润率、净利润率在内的其余盈利指标,均出现不同程度下滑。</p><p><strong>汽车业务正在走向衰落?</strong></p><p>特斯拉的汽车业务正缓慢衰落,但考虑到公司对 Robotaxi 的布局 —— 在其看来,这一业务会降低消费者的购车需求,特斯拉管理层或许对此并不担忧。</p><p>2025 全年,特斯拉汽车业务营收同比下滑 10%。诚然,经济不确定性会影响汽车销量,但这一表现远逊于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a> 1.3% 的同比降幅。尽管 2025 年 9 月 30 日 7500 美元的电动车税收抵免政策到期,但其并非特斯拉销量疲软的唯一原因,毕竟公司今年早些时候的销量表现就已不尽如人意。</p><p>此外,从个人角度来看,特斯拉多数车型的外观设计长期缺乏新意,这一点对汽车销量的影响不容忽视。即便是焕新后的 Model Y,外观也并无明显变化。</p><p>特斯拉在车型外观设计上的创新严重不足,而对于汽车销售而言,外观设计的重要性并不亚于技术创新。究其原因,或许是公司的精力全被机器人和 Robotaxi 项目占据,汽车业务已不再是发展重点。</p><p>这一说法并非夸大其词,马斯克明确表示,下一季度将逐步停产 Model S 和 Model X:</p><p>是时候让 Model S 和 Model X 项目体面落幕了…… 我们计划下一季度逐步停止这两款车型的生产,并将该产线改造为擎天柱机器人的生产工厂。长远来看,我们希望在弗里蒙特工厂的这一区域,实现擎天柱机器人年产 100 万台的目标。</p><p>未来,特斯拉将仅保留四款在售车型:Model Y、Model 3、赛博卡车和 Roadster。</p><p><strong>停产 Model S 和 Model X 影响几何?</strong></p><p>坦率地说,这一决策的影响并不大。市场上有看空观点认为,特斯拉是在牺牲盈利业务,投资尚未被验证的新项目,但实际情况是,Model 3 和 Model Y 仍会继续销售,且 2025 年这两款车型的产量占比已达 96.7%。</p><p>因此,无需过度解读这一决策,特斯拉的汽车业务仍将保持较大规模。分析师对该业务唯一的建议是,特斯拉应考虑对车型进行彻底的外观改款,而非简单的 “焕新升级”。</p><p><strong>布局未来是正确的选择</strong></p><p>正如前文所言,单看特斯拉第四季度的财报,很难让人感到满意,但我们也应客观看待:擎天柱机器人和 Robotaxi 确实具备巨大的发展潜力,特斯拉大举投资这两大领域合情合理,更何况公司具备充足的资金实力。</p><p>特斯拉管理层预计,2026 年资本开支将超 200 亿美元,较 2025 年的 85.27 亿美元大幅增长。</p><p>特斯拉首席财务官维巴夫・塔内加透露了资本开支的主要去向:</p><p>这些资金将用于 6 座工厂的建设,包括炼油厂、磷酸铁锂电池工厂、Cybercab 工厂、Semi 半挂卡车工厂、新的超级工厂以及擎天柱机器人工厂。此外,我们还将投入资金建设人工智能计算基础设施,持续升级现有工厂以提升产能,搭建相关配套基础设施,并进一步扩大 Robotaxi 和擎天柱机器人的研发与量产规模。</p><p>尽管资本开支数额庞大,但我们认为,这是公司为下一发展阶段布局的正确战略。正如马斯克所言,我们将以极高的资本效率推进这些投资。</p><p><strong>擎天柱机器人的发展潜力</strong></p><p>在 2025 年第四季度的股东报告中,特斯拉重点介绍了擎天柱机器人的研发进展,宣布计划于本季度发布第三代产品。据悉,第三代擎天柱在 2.5 代的基础上进行了重大升级,也是首款为大规模量产设计的机型。</p><p>公司目标是在 2026 年底前启动量产,并最终实现<strong>年产 100 万台</strong>的产能目标。</p><p>尽管特斯拉向来对项目进度过于乐观,但分析师并不怀疑其能在近期实现擎天柱机器人的大规模量产 —— 押注特斯拉的创新能力不足,向来不是明智的选择。</p><p><strong>Robotaxi 的发展潜力</strong></p><p>自 2025 年 12 月起,特斯拉的无人驾驶 Robotaxi 已在奥斯汀投入运营,本月更是在部分路段取消了随车安全监督员。有消息称,这些无人驾驶车辆仍有安全车随行,马斯克在此次财报电话会议中否认了这一说法:</p><p>大概从昨天开始,奥斯汀的 Robotaxi 已经完全没有安全车随行,这些车辆真正实现了车内无人、车外无跟随的纯无人驾驶。</p><p>无论是否相信马斯克的说法,分析师选择采信。若其所言属实,这将是特斯拉自动驾驶发展的重要里程碑。</p><p>同时,特斯拉 Robotaxi 的累计付费行驶里程正快速增长,预计随着落地范围的扩大,这一数据的增长速度还将进一步加快。特斯拉计划在 2026 年上半年,将 Robotaxi 的运营范围拓展至另外 7 座主要城市。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLczbSMU66CbrBjDq7jpr5zsiclLE4DkRGuL9TVwK0r2tbvibNaKK4AzxHw/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>对机器人与自动驾驶项目的看法</strong></p><p>尽管特斯拉的前沿项目落地进度慢于预期,但不可否认其正稳步推进,目前下最终结论仍为时过早,整体前景值得期待。分析师认为,到下一季度,我们就能更清晰地判断 Robotaxi 是否具备规模化运营的可行性:若奥斯汀的无监督无人驾驶能顺利放量,就证明这一模式是可行的;而一旦技术得到验证,以特斯拉的实力,后续的规模化落地将相对容易。如今特斯拉正临近这一关键转折点,其背后的商业价值巨大。</p><p>相较而言,擎天柱机器人的商业化落地需要更长时间,或许还需数个季度,我们才能看清其发展轨迹。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLciaWMQ0QPFPFmoNQtcVWichXhCuZB2x0BS879mNfIl6Lz8r5HIRlqLj6w/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>特斯拉的估值依旧高起</strong></p><p>谈及特斯拉,必然要提及其高得离谱的估值:过去 12 个月,公司每股收益仅 1.67 美元,静态市盈率高达 249 倍;静态自由现金流为 62.2 亿美元,对应 1.38 万亿美元的市值,自由现金流市盈率约 222 倍。</p><p>但市场几乎从未在意过这一估值水平,因为特斯拉的估值并非基于当前业绩,而是其未来的发展潜力 —— 这一潜力虽难以量化,却真实存在。例如,Precedence Research 的一项研究显示,全球 Robotaxi 市场规模 2024 年为 27.7 亿美元,2025 年预计增至 44.3 亿美元,2034 年或将达到 1889.1 亿美元,2025-2034 年的复合年增长率高达 52.54%。</p><p>而这还只是 Robotaxi 一个业务的市场潜力,因此,切勿以传统车企的估值逻辑来衡量特斯拉。</p><p>这也是特斯拉 2026 年豪掷 200 亿美元投资高增长项目的原因,正是这些前沿布局支撑着公司的高估值。一旦特斯拉将发展重点重新放回汽车业务,市场就会将其视作普通车企,届时公司股价或将遭遇暴跌。</p><p>市场情绪是推动特斯拉上涨的核心因素,相较单一的估值指标,我们更应关注情绪变化 —— 尽管分析师承认,当前市值已充分反映了公司的未来预期。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdJ3W4gruZ6lz6pj1cuQvXYHzFTgv6zBDxN3hjm1PtXPLNKCakI3eyW9mPqibvjCvXwDia0vaM9Nht8w/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>仍处上行趋势,</strong></p><p><strong>但预警信号已现</strong></p><p>从技术面来看,特斯拉仍在创造更高的高点和低点,最近的阶段性低点为 11 月 14 日的 382.78 美元,上行趋势在技术层面仍保持完好,分析师并不建议做空该股。</p><p>但当前已出现明确的预警信号:尽管管理层在财报电话会议中释放了诸多利好,但财报发布后特斯拉股价仍下跌 3.45%。在 Robotaxi 项目取得更明确的进展,且市场开始认可其价值之前,分析师并不建议<span>抄底</span>特斯拉。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdJ3W4gruZ6lz6pj1cuQvXYHhRRxZSMCgct6u1I78kxibwhqmibvLOuA21iarw6F4CrPibNXUWOK5PkdaQ/640?wx_fmt=png&from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>结论</strong></p><p>特斯拉目前正处于一个尴尬的境地:短期财务表现疲软,而长期前沿项目虽稳步推进、足以支撑股价,但现阶段仍难以做出确定性判断。如今的特斯拉,估值高企、未来尚存不确定性,且财报发布后的市场表现不尽如人意。</p><p>同时,分析师并不认为 SpaceX 与特斯拉的合并会落地,这一传闻不足以让分析师将其评级调回买入。此外,分析师去年 3 月提出的期权投资策略已完成兑现,当前特斯拉的风险收益比已出现不利变化。</p><p>基于以上原因,分析师将特斯拉的评级从<strong>买入下调至持有</strong>。目前,分析师会等待更多证据证明 Robotaxi 具备无监督规模化运营的能力,同时持续关注合并传闻的后续进展。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/dR7EpbvovdJlQNwm5fnHWnfblqB1P5B3gLTjg6j6dT5IyOFclcldYqPQickKMUqicdaXvibXdEb4OibV97CAwGO6TQ/640?wx_fmt=other&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&tp=webp#imgIndex=5\"/><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/dR7EpbvovdKnkt8t5QpwjNQOKyGlZz4SFiacicdM3aP4hZVCfGia7HbIYBoDxz2gubPAgoXDXhfrcLIfT2eG92icfw/640?wx_fmt=other&from=appmsg&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&tp=webp#imgIndex=6\"/><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/dR7EpbvovdLt0fplojSTcIf4vTY1fP5f5VhIsL3QI5iaHIficMHKVzpaxPOM0yB24Zgs1PJlLHXFs5UXKRic0iaTxA/640?wx_fmt=gif&from=appmsg&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&tp=webp#imgIndex=7\"/></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉:SpaceX合并传闻不足以让我保持看涨态度</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉:SpaceX合并传闻不足以让我保持看涨态度\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-30 19:11 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260130195832a6c02756&s=b><strong>美股研究社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】尽管特斯拉具备巨大的发展潜力,上行趋势也尚未被打破,分析师仍决定将其评级从买入下调至持有,当前对特斯拉持中性态度。财报发布后特斯拉股价下跌,这也反映出,投资者认为特斯拉在自动驾驶领域的承诺,尚不足以支撑其再创历史新高。简而言之,分析师选择保持谨慎,希望看到自动驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)和擎天柱(Optimus)人形机器人项目取得更多实质性进展后,再做出最终判断...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260130195832a6c02756&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) 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ETF-ProShares","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260130195832a6c02756&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2607017653","content_text":"【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】尽管特斯拉具备巨大的发展潜力,上行趋势也尚未被打破,分析师仍决定将其评级从买入下调至持有,当前对特斯拉持中性态度。财报发布后特斯拉股价下跌,这也反映出,投资者认为特斯拉在自动驾驶领域的承诺,尚不足以支撑其再创历史新高。简而言之,分析师选择保持谨慎,希望看到自动驾驶出租车(Robotaxi)和擎天柱(Optimus)人形机器人项目取得更多实质性进展后,再做出最终判断。SpaceX与特斯拉合并的预期若 SpaceX 与特斯拉合并,无疑将成为行业重磅事件,但坦率地说,这则最新消息并未改变分析师的核心观点,原因有三:1.目前仅为传闻,落地概率极低:分析师坚信,SpaceX 与特斯拉独立上市的总市值,将高于合并后的市值 —— 部分愿意投资 SpaceX 的投资者,并不希望同时持有特斯拉。2.合并或引发多元化折价:特斯拉 CEO 埃隆・马斯克大概率不愿看到公司出现这一情况。所谓多元化折价,指市场对多元化企业的估值,往往低于其各业务板块独立估值之和,这通常源于企业财报披露的复杂性,或内部管理效率的低下。一旦合并,特斯拉出现多元化折价的可能性极高。3.双方无需合并即可实现协同:特斯拉与 SpaceX 即便不合并,也能展开深度合作、互利共赢。马斯克作为两家公司的所有者,早已能从双方的项目协作中获益,合并并非必要前提。相较而言,SpaceX 与 xAI 的合并可能性更高:一方面 xAI 规模更小,合并后不易引发多元化折价;另一方面,马斯克虽未正面回应这一传闻,但在 X 平台的相关帖子下的回复,隐约透露出对这一合并的认可,不过这仍属于市场猜测。只有当出现确凿证据(而非单纯传闻),证明 SpaceX 确实计划与特斯拉合并时,分析师的观点才会改变。届时合并预期或为特斯拉带来短期上涨动力,分析师也会考虑短期入场追涨,但目前来看,这一情况并不成立,且分析师并不认为二者会合并。厘清这一问题后,我们来分析特斯拉 2025 年第四季度的财报表现。Q4财报表现不尽如人意特斯拉 2025 年第四季度营收 249 亿美元(超预期 1.4 亿美元),非 GAAP 每股收益 0.50 美元(超预期 0.05 美元),但即便业绩超预期,核心财务数据仍显疲软:· 营收同比下滑 3.1%,非 GAAP 每股收益同比下滑 17%;· 经营活动现金流同比下降 21%,自由现金流大跌 30% 至 14.2 亿美元;·核心的汽车业务营收同比暴跌 11% 至 176.93 亿美元,尽管能源生产与存储业务营收同比增长 25% 至 38.37 亿美元、服务及其他业务同比增长 18% 至 33.71 亿美元,但仍无法抵消汽车业务的下滑拖累。财报中唯一的亮点是,尽管销量下滑,公司总毛利润仍同比增长 20%,毛利率从 16.3% 提升至 20.1%;但包括营业利润率、调整后 EBITDA 利润率、净利润率在内的其余盈利指标,均出现不同程度下滑。汽车业务正在走向衰落?特斯拉的汽车业务正缓慢衰落,但考虑到公司对 Robotaxi 的布局 —— 在其看来,这一业务会降低消费者的购车需求,特斯拉管理层或许对此并不担忧。2025 全年,特斯拉汽车业务营收同比下滑 10%。诚然,经济不确定性会影响汽车销量,但这一表现远逊于通用汽车 1.3% 的同比降幅。尽管 2025 年 9 月 30 日 7500 美元的电动车税收抵免政策到期,但其并非特斯拉销量疲软的唯一原因,毕竟公司今年早些时候的销量表现就已不尽如人意。此外,从个人角度来看,特斯拉多数车型的外观设计长期缺乏新意,这一点对汽车销量的影响不容忽视。即便是焕新后的 Model Y,外观也并无明显变化。特斯拉在车型外观设计上的创新严重不足,而对于汽车销售而言,外观设计的重要性并不亚于技术创新。究其原因,或许是公司的精力全被机器人和 Robotaxi 项目占据,汽车业务已不再是发展重点。这一说法并非夸大其词,马斯克明确表示,下一季度将逐步停产 Model S 和 Model X:是时候让 Model S 和 Model X 项目体面落幕了…… 我们计划下一季度逐步停止这两款车型的生产,并将该产线改造为擎天柱机器人的生产工厂。长远来看,我们希望在弗里蒙特工厂的这一区域,实现擎天柱机器人年产 100 万台的目标。未来,特斯拉将仅保留四款在售车型:Model Y、Model 3、赛博卡车和 Roadster。停产 Model S 和 Model X 影响几何?坦率地说,这一决策的影响并不大。市场上有看空观点认为,特斯拉是在牺牲盈利业务,投资尚未被验证的新项目,但实际情况是,Model 3 和 Model Y 仍会继续销售,且 2025 年这两款车型的产量占比已达 96.7%。因此,无需过度解读这一决策,特斯拉的汽车业务仍将保持较大规模。分析师对该业务唯一的建议是,特斯拉应考虑对车型进行彻底的外观改款,而非简单的 “焕新升级”。布局未来是正确的选择正如前文所言,单看特斯拉第四季度的财报,很难让人感到满意,但我们也应客观看待:擎天柱机器人和 Robotaxi 确实具备巨大的发展潜力,特斯拉大举投资这两大领域合情合理,更何况公司具备充足的资金实力。特斯拉管理层预计,2026 年资本开支将超 200 亿美元,较 2025 年的 85.27 亿美元大幅增长。特斯拉首席财务官维巴夫・塔内加透露了资本开支的主要去向:这些资金将用于 6 座工厂的建设,包括炼油厂、磷酸铁锂电池工厂、Cybercab 工厂、Semi 半挂卡车工厂、新的超级工厂以及擎天柱机器人工厂。此外,我们还将投入资金建设人工智能计算基础设施,持续升级现有工厂以提升产能,搭建相关配套基础设施,并进一步扩大 Robotaxi 和擎天柱机器人的研发与量产规模。尽管资本开支数额庞大,但我们认为,这是公司为下一发展阶段布局的正确战略。正如马斯克所言,我们将以极高的资本效率推进这些投资。擎天柱机器人的发展潜力在 2025 年第四季度的股东报告中,特斯拉重点介绍了擎天柱机器人的研发进展,宣布计划于本季度发布第三代产品。据悉,第三代擎天柱在 2.5 代的基础上进行了重大升级,也是首款为大规模量产设计的机型。公司目标是在 2026 年底前启动量产,并最终实现年产 100 万台的产能目标。尽管特斯拉向来对项目进度过于乐观,但分析师并不怀疑其能在近期实现擎天柱机器人的大规模量产 —— 押注特斯拉的创新能力不足,向来不是明智的选择。Robotaxi 的发展潜力自 2025 年 12 月起,特斯拉的无人驾驶 Robotaxi 已在奥斯汀投入运营,本月更是在部分路段取消了随车安全监督员。有消息称,这些无人驾驶车辆仍有安全车随行,马斯克在此次财报电话会议中否认了这一说法:大概从昨天开始,奥斯汀的 Robotaxi 已经完全没有安全车随行,这些车辆真正实现了车内无人、车外无跟随的纯无人驾驶。无论是否相信马斯克的说法,分析师选择采信。若其所言属实,这将是特斯拉自动驾驶发展的重要里程碑。同时,特斯拉 Robotaxi 的累计付费行驶里程正快速增长,预计随着落地范围的扩大,这一数据的增长速度还将进一步加快。特斯拉计划在 2026 年上半年,将 Robotaxi 的运营范围拓展至另外 7 座主要城市。对机器人与自动驾驶项目的看法尽管特斯拉的前沿项目落地进度慢于预期,但不可否认其正稳步推进,目前下最终结论仍为时过早,整体前景值得期待。分析师认为,到下一季度,我们就能更清晰地判断 Robotaxi 是否具备规模化运营的可行性:若奥斯汀的无监督无人驾驶能顺利放量,就证明这一模式是可行的;而一旦技术得到验证,以特斯拉的实力,后续的规模化落地将相对容易。如今特斯拉正临近这一关键转折点,其背后的商业价值巨大。相较而言,擎天柱机器人的商业化落地需要更长时间,或许还需数个季度,我们才能看清其发展轨迹。特斯拉的估值依旧高起谈及特斯拉,必然要提及其高得离谱的估值:过去 12 个月,公司每股收益仅 1.67 美元,静态市盈率高达 249 倍;静态自由现金流为 62.2 亿美元,对应 1.38 万亿美元的市值,自由现金流市盈率约 222 倍。但市场几乎从未在意过这一估值水平,因为特斯拉的估值并非基于当前业绩,而是其未来的发展潜力 —— 这一潜力虽难以量化,却真实存在。例如,Precedence Research 的一项研究显示,全球 Robotaxi 市场规模 2024 年为 27.7 亿美元,2025 年预计增至 44.3 亿美元,2034 年或将达到 1889.1 亿美元,2025-2034 年的复合年增长率高达 52.54%。而这还只是 Robotaxi 一个业务的市场潜力,因此,切勿以传统车企的估值逻辑来衡量特斯拉。这也是特斯拉 2026 年豪掷 200 亿美元投资高增长项目的原因,正是这些前沿布局支撑着公司的高估值。一旦特斯拉将发展重点重新放回汽车业务,市场就会将其视作普通车企,届时公司股价或将遭遇暴跌。市场情绪是推动特斯拉上涨的核心因素,相较单一的估值指标,我们更应关注情绪变化 —— 尽管分析师承认,当前市值已充分反映了公司的未来预期。仍处上行趋势,但预警信号已现从技术面来看,特斯拉仍在创造更高的高点和低点,最近的阶段性低点为 11 月 14 日的 382.78 美元,上行趋势在技术层面仍保持完好,分析师并不建议做空该股。但当前已出现明确的预警信号:尽管管理层在财报电话会议中释放了诸多利好,但财报发布后特斯拉股价仍下跌 3.45%。在 Robotaxi 项目取得更明确的进展,且市场开始认可其价值之前,分析师并不建议抄底特斯拉。结论特斯拉目前正处于一个尴尬的境地:短期财务表现疲软,而长期前沿项目虽稳步推进、足以支撑股价,但现阶段仍难以做出确定性判断。如今的特斯拉,估值高企、未来尚存不确定性,且财报发布后的市场表现不尽如人意。同时,分析师并不认为 SpaceX 与特斯拉的合并会落地,这一传闻不足以让分析师将其评级调回买入。此外,分析师去年 3 月提出的期权投资策略已完成兑现,当前特斯拉的风险收益比已出现不利变化。基于以上原因,分析师将特斯拉的评级从买入下调至持有。目前,分析师会等待更多证据证明 Robotaxi 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难道盘前诱空,盘后盘中在拉升?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 难道盘前诱空,盘后盘中在拉升?","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 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一个没有核心技术,在一个没有制造优势和研发优势的环境下!纯纯的欺上瞒下!要技术没技术,要研发没研发!要产出没产出!一切都是幻影!!!纯割韭菜!设计莫深陷其中!见好就收!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/508638114820120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3913,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4203473202292562","authorId":"4203473202292562","name":"Gc大胖墩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df91d16ab0c1007c77bda6e5af36607c","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4203473202292562","idStr":"4203473202292562"},"content":"主要是钱太多没地方去,都知道是骗","text":"主要是钱太多没地方去,都知道是骗","html":"主要是钱太多没地方去,都知道是骗"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":406918936633624,"gmtCreate":1740372135129,"gmtModify":1740373932041,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"论吹牛逼,特斯拉远远不及,华为和比亚迪!!![喷血] [喷血] [喷血] ","listText":"论吹牛逼,特斯拉远远不及,华为和比亚迪!!![喷血] [喷血] [喷血] ","text":"论吹牛逼,特斯拉远远不及,华为和比亚迪!!![喷血] [喷血] [喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/406918936633624","repostId":"2513791011","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2513791011","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1740388895,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2513791011?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-02-24 17:21","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"华为、比亚迪、特斯拉齐聚机器人赛道:谁将称霸人形机器人未来?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2513791011","media":"蓝鲸财经","summary":"推动机器人在今年走入商用元年。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>\n<p>文|蛇眼财经v</p>\n</blockquote>\n<p>2025年,全球人形机器人产业迎来关键转折点,行业格局正经历着前所未有的变革。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>CEO马斯克“年产10亿台机器人”的豪言仍在耳畔回响,华为、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>等中国科技与制造业巨头,已悄然完成技术布局。</p>\n<p>蛇年新春的机器人表演,更是拉高了人们对智能人形机器人的期待,整个行业也站到了一个史无前例的关键转折点上,DeepSeek等AI技术的快速发展,也让困扰机器人许久的技术掣肘问题有了全新解决方案,这一切都在推动机器人在今年走入商用元年。</p>\n<p><strong>2025人形机器人开启商用元年</strong></p>\n<p>2025年被视作人形机器人商业化元年,这一赛道的爆发不仅是技术的飞跃,更是全球制造业格局的重塑。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600109\">国金证券</a>预测,2027年人形机器人可能进入大规模普及阶段。从数据来看,全球市场规模预计从2024年的21.58亿元(中国)大幅跃升至2030年的380亿元,复合增长率超61%。而在这背后来自资本、政策的多重推动,也让机器人行业坐上了高速列车。</p>\n<p>首先,机器人行业受到资本市场前所未有的热捧。比如,一家为华为、特斯拉、比亚迪供货的零部件企业,近期获79家机构抢筹21亿元。与此同时工业机器人、服务机器人、特种机器人和其他机器人等多种类型机器人概念爆发,受到了各类资本的一直青睐,在国内外的整个资本市场中,相关的机器人指数更是呈现出水涨船高的情况。</p>\n<p>其次,利好政策不断出台,让人形机器人从科幻概念迅速演变为万亿级产业风口。中国《人形机器人创新发展指导意见》及地方政策密集出台,工信部在《人形机器人创新发展指导意见》中明确,2025年初步建立创新体系,2027年综合实力达到国际先进水平。此外,北京、上海、深圳等地相继推出地方性支持政策,通过资金引导、场景开放、产业链整合等措施加速产业集聚。</p>\n<p>政策推动下,国内已形成覆盖“零部件-整机-应用”的全产业链布局。例如,华为联合超百家企业搭建具身智能生态圈,并在深圳设立全球创新中心;特斯拉、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09880\">优必选</a>等头部企业通过技术合作与示范项目,带动上下游协同发展。</p>\n<p>与此同时,一些高危领域的机器人应用已经走进现实,正式开始大规模商用。比如在江苏苏州,公布的财报中,江苏的减振器在2021年的总销量达到了250,000部,是2020年的两倍以上。不难预计,今年随着新技术的不断应用融合,国内各类机器人的商用速度还将进一步加快。</p>\n<p><strong>华为:全栈技术+生态联盟,打造“机器人安卓”</strong></p>\n<p>作为国内ICT产业龙头,华为延续其“根技术+生态聚合”的战略逻辑,在机器人领域构建起强大的竞争力。在根技术层面,华为凭借在人工智能、算法、芯片以及通信技术等多领域的深厚积累,为机器人赋予了“智慧的大脑”与“敏捷的神经”。</p>\n<p>技术上,华为实现了从感知到决策的全栈能力,自研升腾AI芯片、192线激光雷达(探测距离250米)、端到端与规则模型融合算法。生态方面,华为联合乐聚机器人、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/003021\">兆威机电</a>等超百家企业,覆盖减速器、执行器、云平台,形成完整的产业链条。</p>\n<p>通过提供标准化的接口与开发平台,降低了行业创新门槛,吸引众多合作伙伴共同参与机器人的研发与应用拓展。这不仅加速了机器人技术的迭代升级,更让不同领域的创新成果在华为搭建的生态舞台上相互碰撞、融合,催生出丰富多样的机器人应用场景,如智慧工厂中的智能协作机器人、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLGB\">智慧物流</a>中的仓储分拣机器人以及智慧医疗中的辅助诊疗机器人等,全面推动机器人产业迈向新的发展高度 ,在全球机器人赛道上持续领航。</p>\n<p>在场景应用上,华为通过5.5G网络实现远程操控与群体智能调度,主攻矿山、港口等封闭场景,定价超百万元,以技术溢价锁定高端市场。在矿山领域,华为与大型矿业集团合作,实现了无人采矿作业的高效运行,作业响应时间从传统方式的数秒缩短至毫秒级,极大提升了作业效率,设备年运行时长增加了20%,达到8000小时以上,每年可多开采矿石数百万吨。在港口场景,华为的智能调度系统大显身手,通过智能调度将港口内的自动化岸桥、场桥和集卡协同作业更加流畅,集装箱装卸效率提升了30%。</p>\n<p>与此同时,华为在东莞产业园投入72亿元,2025年量产目标直指工业与特种领域,其“云-边-端”协同架构有望成为行业标准,为其在高端市场的持续领先奠定基础。</p>\n<p><strong>特斯拉:端到端大模型的“激进赌局”</strong></p>\n<p>与华为不同,特斯拉Optimus的核心逻辑与FSD(完全自动驾驶)同源,采用极简硬件+极复杂算法的模式。尤其是端到端大模型的应用,已然成为行业焦点,而这一技术在特斯拉Optimus人形机器人上的延伸,更是引发了广泛关注与激烈讨论。</p>\n<p>从技术上来看,特斯拉人形机器人与FSD的同源,能够充分使用现有技术成果,让机器人与汽车,拥有在复杂环境下的超强适应力。这种模式下纯视觉方案结合端到端神经网络,摒弃了传统的模块化设计,致力于实现从传感器输入到直接生成动作指令的跨越,旨在让机器人和车辆在复杂的非结构化环境中,拥有更强的极限适应能力。</p>\n<p>在成本控制层面,特斯拉也在试图将其在汽车制造领域的经验,转变成降低人形机器人成本的密钥。比如,特斯拉CEO马斯克雄心勃勃地表示,人形机器人的目标将压缩至2万美元以下,并对外宣称“机器人数量未来超过人类”。言下之意,机器人注定将会大规模普及,既然如此特斯拉要做的就是加速这一时代的到来,按照以往特斯拉汽车的发展经验,只有将机器人的成本降低到一个人人可接受的范围之内,才能最终推动这个时代的到来。</p>\n<p>当然,特斯拉想要实现这一困局,面临的实质性困难并不少,首当其冲的就是本土化的困境。</p>\n<p>此前FSD因无法适应中国交通规则而迟迟未落地,导致Optimus算法训练数据匮乏,在中国市场面临来自中国友商的挑战。这一困境直接导致Optimus在中国市场缺乏足够的算法训练数据,使其在面对中国特色场景时,可能出现“水土不服”的情况。</p>\n<p>与此同时,在中国市场,特斯拉还面临着来自华为、比亚迪等本土巨头的激烈竞争。此外,端到端模型的“黑箱”特性,容易引发安全性质疑,若无法通过中美监管审查,特斯拉的人形机器人量产计划,可能遭受重挫。</p>\n<p><strong>比亚迪:成本屠夫的“供应链降维打击”</strong></p>\n<p>区别于华为和特斯拉,号称成本屠夫的比亚迪,在制造机器人方面显然有着自己的一套逻辑,垂直整合强项自然成了其进军人形机器人领域的一大有力抓手。</p>\n<p>首先,比亚迪在汽车制造领域的垂直整合能力,可以迁移到人形机器人领域。比亚迪在新能源汽车领域多年耕耘,积累了极为强大的直整合能力,这是其机器人战略的一大核心优势。在关键零部件方面,电机、电控、电池均实现自主研发生产。以电池为例,比亚迪自主研发的磷酸铁锂电池,尤其是刀片电池,凭借高安全性、长循环寿命以及成本优势,不仅在电动汽车领域广泛应用,更为机器人提供了稳定可靠的能源解决方案。在电机和电控系统上,其自主研发的永磁同步电机具备高效、轻量化和高功率密度的特性,搭配高度集成、智能化且安全性高的电控系统,为机器人赋予了强劲动力与精准控制能力。</p>\n<p>在减速器这一关键零部件上,比亚迪展现出突出的成本控制能力。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HLIT\">谐波</a>减速器成本比日系品牌低40%,行星滚柱丝杠成本降低30%。据市场数据显示,日系品牌的谐波减速器在高端应用场景下单价可达数千元,而比亚迪通过优化生产工艺、整合供应链等方式,将成本大幅降低 ,使得其在价格敏感型市场极具竞争力。</p>\n<p>其次,就应用场景来说,比亚迪本身就身处工业制造领域,其机器人产品可以优先应用于自身的产品制造。比如,目前比亚迪的类人形机器人,已在自有工厂用于装配与搬运,目前已投入使用的机器人数量逐步增加,在实际生产中不断优化升级。这些机器人能够适应工厂内复杂的生产环境,承担起重复性、高强度的工作任务,在提高生产效率的同时,也保证了生产的稳定性和产品质量的一致性。</p>\n<p>并且,比亚迪未来将机器人单价瞄准20万元以下,这一极具吸引力的价格定位,将主攻中小制造业企业市场。不过,比亚迪在技术上也存在短板,算法依赖Momenta、华为,感知层采用第三方方案,在高端市场可能沦为“代工之王”,其低毛利模式依赖持续扩产支撑,暗藏风险。</p>\n<p><strong>供应链暗战:谁掌控“关节”与“神经”,谁主宰未来</strong></p>\n<p>从行业来看,人形机器人的竞争本质,是核心零部件的军备竞赛。在减速器与丝杠领域,特斯拉供应链企业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603667\">五洲新春</a>,已实现谐波减速器量产,华为的升腾系列芯片则在算力方面表现突出,升腾910基于自研的达芬奇架构3D Cube技术,半精度算力达到320 TFLOPS ,整数精度算力达到640 TOPS,在人工智能计算领域具有很强的竞争力,为华为在机器人和智能驾驶领域的布局提供了坚实的算力基础。而比亚迪在传感器与芯片上依赖外部供应商,这使其在供应链的稳定性和技术自主性上面临风险。</p>\n<p>传感器与芯片是机器人感知外界环境并做出决策的“神经”与“大脑”。特斯拉采用自研的Dojo芯片,通过强大的算力为机器人的智能算法提供支持,让机器人在复杂环境下能快速处理大量数据,做出精准决策。</p>\n<p>在国产替代的进程中,6轴传感器、电子皮肤等关键部件虽在加速发展,但在高精度场景下,仍被博世、基恩士等国际巨头垄断。例如在工业检测、医疗手术辅助等对传感器精度要求极高的场景中,博世等企业的产品凭借多年的技术沉淀和市场口碑,占据了主导地位,国产产品要突破这一局面,还需在技术研发、产品质量和品牌建设上不断努力。</p>\n<p>灵巧手与运动控制决定了机器人操作的精准度和灵活性。特斯拉展示的12自由度灵巧手,能够完成如抓握、拧转等复杂动作,使其在人机协作、精细操作场景中更具优势。华为联合乐聚机器人开发仿生关节,通过整合双方在技术和研发上的优势,探索更灵活、更高效的运动控制解决方案,为机器人在复杂环境下的运动提供了更多可能。比亚迪则聚焦于基础功能的优化,不断提升机器人在搬运、装配等基础任务中的稳定性和可靠性。</p>\n<p>目前国内企业在技术路线上与国际存在差异,尚未形成统一标准。长远来看,人形机器人的战争,是技术深度、制造效率、生态广度的三维绞杀。华为的全栈可控、特斯拉的算法信仰、比亚迪的成本屠刀,代表了不同的产业哲学,长期来看唯有掌握核心技术和产业链话语权的玩家,才有望引领潮流。</p>\n</body></html>","source":"lanjinger_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华为、比亚迪、特斯拉齐聚机器人赛道:谁将称霸人形机器人未来?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-02-24 17:21 北京时间 <a href=https://www.lanjinger.com/d/251464><strong>蓝鲸财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>文|蛇眼财经v\n\n2025年,全球人形机器人产业迎来关键转折点,行业格局正经历着前所未有的变革。特斯拉CEO马斯克“年产10亿台机器人”的豪言仍在耳畔回响,华为、比亚迪等中国科技与制造业巨头,已悄然完成技术布局。\n蛇年新春的机器人表演,更是拉高了人们对智能人形机器人的期待,整个行业也站到了一个史无前例的关键转折点上,DeepSeek等AI技术的快速发展,也让困扰机器人许久的技术掣肘问题有了全新...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.lanjinger.com/d/251464\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4346e48ef893288058a5f66815826cbd","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","01211":"比亚迪股份"},"source_url":"https://www.lanjinger.com/d/251464","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2513791011","content_text":"文|蛇眼财经v\n\n2025年,全球人形机器人产业迎来关键转折点,行业格局正经历着前所未有的变革。特斯拉CEO马斯克“年产10亿台机器人”的豪言仍在耳畔回响,华为、比亚迪等中国科技与制造业巨头,已悄然完成技术布局。\n蛇年新春的机器人表演,更是拉高了人们对智能人形机器人的期待,整个行业也站到了一个史无前例的关键转折点上,DeepSeek等AI技术的快速发展,也让困扰机器人许久的技术掣肘问题有了全新解决方案,这一切都在推动机器人在今年走入商用元年。\n2025人形机器人开启商用元年\n2025年被视作人形机器人商业化元年,这一赛道的爆发不仅是技术的飞跃,更是全球制造业格局的重塑。国金证券预测,2027年人形机器人可能进入大规模普及阶段。从数据来看,全球市场规模预计从2024年的21.58亿元(中国)大幅跃升至2030年的380亿元,复合增长率超61%。而在这背后来自资本、政策的多重推动,也让机器人行业坐上了高速列车。\n首先,机器人行业受到资本市场前所未有的热捧。比如,一家为华为、特斯拉、比亚迪供货的零部件企业,近期获79家机构抢筹21亿元。与此同时工业机器人、服务机器人、特种机器人和其他机器人等多种类型机器人概念爆发,受到了各类资本的一直青睐,在国内外的整个资本市场中,相关的机器人指数更是呈现出水涨船高的情况。\n其次,利好政策不断出台,让人形机器人从科幻概念迅速演变为万亿级产业风口。中国《人形机器人创新发展指导意见》及地方政策密集出台,工信部在《人形机器人创新发展指导意见》中明确,2025年初步建立创新体系,2027年综合实力达到国际先进水平。此外,北京、上海、深圳等地相继推出地方性支持政策,通过资金引导、场景开放、产业链整合等措施加速产业集聚。\n政策推动下,国内已形成覆盖“零部件-整机-应用”的全产业链布局。例如,华为联合超百家企业搭建具身智能生态圈,并在深圳设立全球创新中心;特斯拉、优必选等头部企业通过技术合作与示范项目,带动上下游协同发展。\n与此同时,一些高危领域的机器人应用已经走进现实,正式开始大规模商用。比如在江苏苏州,公布的财报中,江苏的减振器在2021年的总销量达到了250,000部,是2020年的两倍以上。不难预计,今年随着新技术的不断应用融合,国内各类机器人的商用速度还将进一步加快。\n华为:全栈技术+生态联盟,打造“机器人安卓”\n作为国内ICT产业龙头,华为延续其“根技术+生态聚合”的战略逻辑,在机器人领域构建起强大的竞争力。在根技术层面,华为凭借在人工智能、算法、芯片以及通信技术等多领域的深厚积累,为机器人赋予了“智慧的大脑”与“敏捷的神经”。\n技术上,华为实现了从感知到决策的全栈能力,自研升腾AI芯片、192线激光雷达(探测距离250米)、端到端与规则模型融合算法。生态方面,华为联合乐聚机器人、兆威机电等超百家企业,覆盖减速器、执行器、云平台,形成完整的产业链条。\n通过提供标准化的接口与开发平台,降低了行业创新门槛,吸引众多合作伙伴共同参与机器人的研发与应用拓展。这不仅加速了机器人技术的迭代升级,更让不同领域的创新成果在华为搭建的生态舞台上相互碰撞、融合,催生出丰富多样的机器人应用场景,如智慧工厂中的智能协作机器人、智慧物流中的仓储分拣机器人以及智慧医疗中的辅助诊疗机器人等,全面推动机器人产业迈向新的发展高度 ,在全球机器人赛道上持续领航。\n在场景应用上,华为通过5.5G网络实现远程操控与群体智能调度,主攻矿山、港口等封闭场景,定价超百万元,以技术溢价锁定高端市场。在矿山领域,华为与大型矿业集团合作,实现了无人采矿作业的高效运行,作业响应时间从传统方式的数秒缩短至毫秒级,极大提升了作业效率,设备年运行时长增加了20%,达到8000小时以上,每年可多开采矿石数百万吨。在港口场景,华为的智能调度系统大显身手,通过智能调度将港口内的自动化岸桥、场桥和集卡协同作业更加流畅,集装箱装卸效率提升了30%。\n与此同时,华为在东莞产业园投入72亿元,2025年量产目标直指工业与特种领域,其“云-边-端”协同架构有望成为行业标准,为其在高端市场的持续领先奠定基础。\n特斯拉:端到端大模型的“激进赌局”\n与华为不同,特斯拉Optimus的核心逻辑与FSD(完全自动驾驶)同源,采用极简硬件+极复杂算法的模式。尤其是端到端大模型的应用,已然成为行业焦点,而这一技术在特斯拉Optimus人形机器人上的延伸,更是引发了广泛关注与激烈讨论。\n从技术上来看,特斯拉人形机器人与FSD的同源,能够充分使用现有技术成果,让机器人与汽车,拥有在复杂环境下的超强适应力。这种模式下纯视觉方案结合端到端神经网络,摒弃了传统的模块化设计,致力于实现从传感器输入到直接生成动作指令的跨越,旨在让机器人和车辆在复杂的非结构化环境中,拥有更强的极限适应能力。\n在成本控制层面,特斯拉也在试图将其在汽车制造领域的经验,转变成降低人形机器人成本的密钥。比如,特斯拉CEO马斯克雄心勃勃地表示,人形机器人的目标将压缩至2万美元以下,并对外宣称“机器人数量未来超过人类”。言下之意,机器人注定将会大规模普及,既然如此特斯拉要做的就是加速这一时代的到来,按照以往特斯拉汽车的发展经验,只有将机器人的成本降低到一个人人可接受的范围之内,才能最终推动这个时代的到来。\n当然,特斯拉想要实现这一困局,面临的实质性困难并不少,首当其冲的就是本土化的困境。\n此前FSD因无法适应中国交通规则而迟迟未落地,导致Optimus算法训练数据匮乏,在中国市场面临来自中国友商的挑战。这一困境直接导致Optimus在中国市场缺乏足够的算法训练数据,使其在面对中国特色场景时,可能出现“水土不服”的情况。\n与此同时,在中国市场,特斯拉还面临着来自华为、比亚迪等本土巨头的激烈竞争。此外,端到端模型的“黑箱”特性,容易引发安全性质疑,若无法通过中美监管审查,特斯拉的人形机器人量产计划,可能遭受重挫。\n比亚迪:成本屠夫的“供应链降维打击”\n区别于华为和特斯拉,号称成本屠夫的比亚迪,在制造机器人方面显然有着自己的一套逻辑,垂直整合强项自然成了其进军人形机器人领域的一大有力抓手。\n首先,比亚迪在汽车制造领域的垂直整合能力,可以迁移到人形机器人领域。比亚迪在新能源汽车领域多年耕耘,积累了极为强大的直整合能力,这是其机器人战略的一大核心优势。在关键零部件方面,电机、电控、电池均实现自主研发生产。以电池为例,比亚迪自主研发的磷酸铁锂电池,尤其是刀片电池,凭借高安全性、长循环寿命以及成本优势,不仅在电动汽车领域广泛应用,更为机器人提供了稳定可靠的能源解决方案。在电机和电控系统上,其自主研发的永磁同步电机具备高效、轻量化和高功率密度的特性,搭配高度集成、智能化且安全性高的电控系统,为机器人赋予了强劲动力与精准控制能力。\n在减速器这一关键零部件上,比亚迪展现出突出的成本控制能力。谐波减速器成本比日系品牌低40%,行星滚柱丝杠成本降低30%。据市场数据显示,日系品牌的谐波减速器在高端应用场景下单价可达数千元,而比亚迪通过优化生产工艺、整合供应链等方式,将成本大幅降低 ,使得其在价格敏感型市场极具竞争力。\n其次,就应用场景来说,比亚迪本身就身处工业制造领域,其机器人产品可以优先应用于自身的产品制造。比如,目前比亚迪的类人形机器人,已在自有工厂用于装配与搬运,目前已投入使用的机器人数量逐步增加,在实际生产中不断优化升级。这些机器人能够适应工厂内复杂的生产环境,承担起重复性、高强度的工作任务,在提高生产效率的同时,也保证了生产的稳定性和产品质量的一致性。\n并且,比亚迪未来将机器人单价瞄准20万元以下,这一极具吸引力的价格定位,将主攻中小制造业企业市场。不过,比亚迪在技术上也存在短板,算法依赖Momenta、华为,感知层采用第三方方案,在高端市场可能沦为“代工之王”,其低毛利模式依赖持续扩产支撑,暗藏风险。\n供应链暗战:谁掌控“关节”与“神经”,谁主宰未来\n从行业来看,人形机器人的竞争本质,是核心零部件的军备竞赛。在减速器与丝杠领域,特斯拉供应链企业五洲新春,已实现谐波减速器量产,华为的升腾系列芯片则在算力方面表现突出,升腾910基于自研的达芬奇架构3D Cube技术,半精度算力达到320 TFLOPS ,整数精度算力达到640 TOPS,在人工智能计算领域具有很强的竞争力,为华为在机器人和智能驾驶领域的布局提供了坚实的算力基础。而比亚迪在传感器与芯片上依赖外部供应商,这使其在供应链的稳定性和技术自主性上面临风险。\n传感器与芯片是机器人感知外界环境并做出决策的“神经”与“大脑”。特斯拉采用自研的Dojo芯片,通过强大的算力为机器人的智能算法提供支持,让机器人在复杂环境下能快速处理大量数据,做出精准决策。\n在国产替代的进程中,6轴传感器、电子皮肤等关键部件虽在加速发展,但在高精度场景下,仍被博世、基恩士等国际巨头垄断。例如在工业检测、医疗手术辅助等对传感器精度要求极高的场景中,博世等企业的产品凭借多年的技术沉淀和市场口碑,占据了主导地位,国产产品要突破这一局面,还需在技术研发、产品质量和品牌建设上不断努力。\n灵巧手与运动控制决定了机器人操作的精准度和灵活性。特斯拉展示的12自由度灵巧手,能够完成如抓握、拧转等复杂动作,使其在人机协作、精细操作场景中更具优势。华为联合乐聚机器人开发仿生关节,通过整合双方在技术和研发上的优势,探索更灵活、更高效的运动控制解决方案,为机器人在复杂环境下的运动提供了更多可能。比亚迪则聚焦于基础功能的优化,不断提升机器人在搬运、装配等基础任务中的稳定性和可靠性。\n目前国内企业在技术路线上与国际存在差异,尚未形成统一标准。长远来看,人形机器人的战争,是技术深度、制造效率、生态广度的三维绞杀。华为的全栈可控、特斯拉的算法信仰、比亚迪的成本屠刀,代表了不同的产业哲学,长期来看唯有掌握核心技术和产业链话语权的玩家,才有望引领潮流。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1.1,"01211":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1696,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":494120773329712,"gmtCreate":1761661753697,"gmtModify":1761661766036,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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有没有7块多买入,一直没卖的???","text":"$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$ 有没有7块多买入,一直没卖的???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/428011934503384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4193034873877942","authorId":"4193034873877942","name":"常清静","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23d09c357eb251788dd0e849cb06b561","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4193034873877942","idStr":"4193034873877942"},"content":"有啊,我啊","text":"有啊,我啊","html":"有啊,我啊"},{"author":{"id":"4204519708144622","authorId":"4204519708144622","name":"Big2x","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4204519708144622","idStr":"4204519708144622"},"content":"已经拉空我了,我要开始做多了","text":"已经拉空我了,我要开始做多了","html":"已经拉空我了,我要开始做多了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":348876136702232,"gmtCreate":1726202305888,"gmtModify":1726202308077,"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3500646460202211","idStr":"3500646460202211"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"东子好哥们[财迷] ","listText":"东子好哥们[财迷] ","text":"东子好哥们[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348876136702232","repostId":"1104379954","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104379954","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1726201630,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104379954?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-09-13 12:27","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"京东集团再次启动加薪,将用两年时间实现20薪","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104379954","media":"新浪科技","summary":"过去三年来,京东连续提升员工薪酬水平。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>京东官方“京东黑板号”今日发布消息,继2024年初和年中连续三轮加薪之后,9月13日,京东集团宣布再次启动加薪:<strong>自2024年10月1日起,京东零售集团和职能体系将用两年时间实现20薪,其他部门也将随后陆续启动加薪计划。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">官方表示,过去三年来,京东集团连续提升员工的薪酬水平:</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">2021年7月1日至2023年7月1日,京东用两年时间将员工平均年薪由14薪逐步涨至16薪。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">2024年1月1日起,京东采销等一线业务人员的年固定薪酬大幅上涨近100%,2024年初京东零售全员平均加薪不低于20%。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">2024年2月1日起,超2万名京东一线客服员工实现全年平均薪酬上涨超过30%。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">2024年7月1日起,通过一年半时间,京东采销年度固定薪酬由16薪提升至20薪,业绩激励上不封顶。</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">2024年8月,京东2025校园招聘全球启动,开放1.8万个岗位,同时将校招生薪酬再次大幅上调。(罗宁)</p></body></html>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>京东集团再次启动加薪,将用两年时间实现20薪</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n京东集团再次启动加薪,将用两年时间实现20薪\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-13 12:27 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/tob/2024-09-13/doc-incnyivw2611066.shtml><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>京东官方“京东黑板号”今日发布消息,继2024年初和年中连续三轮加薪之后,9月13日,京东集团宣布再次启动加薪:自2024年10月1日起,京东零售集团和职能体系将用两年时间实现20薪,其他部门也将随后陆续启动加薪计划。官方表示,过去三年来,京东集团连续提升员工的薪酬水平:2021年7月1日至2023年7月1日,京东用两年时间将员工平均年薪由14薪逐步涨至16薪。2024年1月1日起,京东采销等一线...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tob/2024-09-13/doc-incnyivw2611066.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf5337c9c7bc23ec872d30a10fe10327","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","JD":"京东"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tob/2024-09-13/doc-incnyivw2611066.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104379954","content_text":"京东官方“京东黑板号”今日发布消息,继2024年初和年中连续三轮加薪之后,9月13日,京东集团宣布再次启动加薪:自2024年10月1日起,京东零售集团和职能体系将用两年时间实现20薪,其他部门也将随后陆续启动加薪计划。官方表示,过去三年来,京东集团连续提升员工的薪酬水平:2021年7月1日至2023年7月1日,京东用两年时间将员工平均年薪由14薪逐步涨至16薪。2024年1月1日起,京东采销等一线业务人员的年固定薪酬大幅上涨近100%,2024年初京东零售全员平均加薪不低于20%。2024年2月1日起,超2万名京东一线客服员工实现全年平均薪酬上涨超过30%。2024年7月1日起,通过一年半时间,京东采销年度固定薪酬由16薪提升至20薪,业绩激励上不封顶。2024年8月,京东2025校园招聘全球启动,开放1.8万个岗位,同时将校招生薪酬再次大幅上调。(罗宁)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JD":1.1,"09618":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}