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蚊子的倩影

蚊子的倩影

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蚊子的倩影

2021-10-20

$PayPal(PYPL)$为啥收购股价会跌，不好的话不收购不就可以吗

蚊子的倩影

2019-12-19

$特斯拉(TSLA)$为什么我买了就要降？？

蚊子的倩影

2021-03-30

$京东(JD)$ $苹果(AAPL)$nnvda 问下各位中概股会被退市吗？$标普500ETF(SPY)$n

蚊子的倩影

2020-03-10

$标普500ETF(SPY)$能交易了？

蚊子的倩影

2020-03-10

$特斯拉(TSLA)$现在能交易了吗

蚊子的倩影

2019-12-30

$特斯拉(TSLA)$亏死！准备不做了，

蚊子的倩影

2019-12-19

$特斯拉(TSLA)$这周要到420

蚊子的倩影

2021-03-30

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$请问中概股会被退市吗？

蚊子的倩影

2020-12-19

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 我去前所未见，这合法吗

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11:16","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"防御型股票能提供稳定的股息收入，美国银行力荐这些股","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186964429","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"根据美国银行的分析，数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司，而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元，相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。截至2024年，股价已上涨9.5%，并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。这与C类公司不同，C类公司需缴纳公司所得税，股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。今年，Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%，股息收益率为4.7%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>根据美国银行的分析，数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司，而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。</p><p>分析师Jean Ann Salisbury在10月17日的报告中表示：“在当前环境下，我们更青睐与天然气相关的公司，尤其是中游公司。”她补充说，天然气液化中的中游领域“相对具有防御性”。</p><p>她还表示：“短期内的天然气供应过剩掩盖了中期前景的改善；我们预计2025年数据中心开发和液化天然气（LNG）需求的出现将成为正面催化剂。”她补充说，市场尚未完全认识到这些公司创造自由现金流的潜力。</p><h2>以下是Salisbury团队推荐的一些买入评级的股票。</h2><h3>美国银行推荐的天然气股票</h3><table><colgroup><col/><col/><col/><col/></colgroup><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>代号</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>名称</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>股息收益率</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>年初至今涨幅 （%）</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>EPD</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a></strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.3%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>9.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>ET</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>18.3%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>KMI</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>4.7%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>39.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>WMB</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>3.6%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>50.2%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>TRGP</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRGP\">Targa Resources Corp</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>1.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>92.1%</strong></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><br/><em>来源: Bank of America, FactSet</em></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a> 位列其中。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元，相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61d769ef89fca79f8d5f37cb0332b17f\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>美国银行表示，Enterprise Products可以保持其在二叠纪盆地天然气液体增长中的市场份额，并增加了“亟需的”液化石油气/乙烷出口能力。</p><p>Salisbury团队表示：“如果资本支出在此次扩建结束时放缓（我们预计会放缓），潜在的现金流支付将非常庞大，超过每股3.3美元。”Salisbury 的团队还补充说，公司已经将债务减少到了同行业低端水平。</p><p>华尔街普遍对Enterprise Products持积极态度，根据LSEG的数据，19位分析师中有17位给出了买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>截至2024年，股价已上涨9.5%，并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。此外，Enterprise Products是一家有限合伙企业，享有特殊的税收待遇，允许它提供较高的股息收益。</p><p>有限合伙企业无需缴纳联邦所得税，但其有限合伙人——即投资者——需要对分配的收入缴税。这与C类公司不同，C类公司需缴纳公司所得税，股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。</p><p>由于这种优惠的税收待遇，这些合伙企业可以提供更高的收益率。然而，不利的一面是，投资者通常会收到一份K-1表格，详细列出其收入，使得报税季节变得复杂。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>是美国银行名单上另一只获得买入评级的管道公司。该公司的目标价为20美元，相较于周二的收盘价有22%的上涨空间。截至2024年，该公司股价已上涨18%，股息收益率为7.8%。它也是一家有限合伙企业。</p><p>Salisbury团队指出：“即便在油价走软的环境下，与其未来可支付的现金流相比，这只股票依然便宜，尤其是在资本支出或并购活动稍有放缓的情况下。”</p><p>美国银行还强调了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>的这些方面——“稳固的基础资产组合，在多个地区拥有独特资产，随着天然气液体/原油产量以低个位数增长，所需资本支出较低”。</p><p>Energy Transfer还在美国路易斯安那州的查尔斯湖开发一个液化天然气出口设施，Salisbury团队表示，如果项目推进，将为公司带来上涨潜力。</p><p>华尔街对Energy Transfer也颇为看好，根据LSEG的数据，94%的分析师对该股给予其买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>最后，美国银行提到了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> ，称其是“2025年美国天然气长期需求拐点的主要受益者之一”。该投行给予其的目标价为27美元，相较于周二的收盘价有近9%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20a4fd4f15e68a8bde72992b97d4d647\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>今年，Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%，股息收益率为4.7%。</p><p>随着天然气需求的上升，美国银行认为现有的天然气管道将迎来正面催化因素——即已经是现有设施一部分的管道，而不是新建的管道。</p><p>美国银行表示：“我们预计到2025年， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> 和Williams Companies将宣布多个有吸引力的项目，这些项目将推动亚利桑那州、德克萨斯州、中西部地区（针对Kinder Morgan）以及东海岸或太平洋西北地区（针对Williams Companies）的新需求建设。”</p><p><em>文章源自CNBC《Defensive stocks offer solid dividend yields. Bank of America likes these names》</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>防御型股票能提供稳定的股息收入，美国银行力荐这些股</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n防御型股票能提供稳定的股息收入，美国银行力荐这些股\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-10-24 11:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>根据美国银行的分析，数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司，而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。</p><p>分析师Jean Ann Salisbury在10月17日的报告中表示：“在当前环境下，我们更青睐与天然气相关的公司，尤其是中游公司。”她补充说，天然气液化中的中游领域“相对具有防御性”。</p><p>她还表示：“短期内的天然气供应过剩掩盖了中期前景的改善；我们预计2025年数据中心开发和液化天然气（LNG）需求的出现将成为正面催化剂。”她补充说，市场尚未完全认识到这些公司创造自由现金流的潜力。</p><h2>以下是Salisbury团队推荐的一些买入评级的股票。</h2><h3>美国银行推荐的天然气股票</h3><table><colgroup><col/><col/><col/><col/></colgroup><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>代号</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>名称</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>股息收益率</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>年初至今涨幅 （%）</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>EPD</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a></strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.3%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>9.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>ET</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>18.3%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>KMI</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>4.7%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>39.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>WMB</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>3.6%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>50.2%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>TRGP</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRGP\">Targa Resources Corp</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>1.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>92.1%</strong></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><br/><em>来源: Bank of America, FactSet</em></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a> 位列其中。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元，相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61d769ef89fca79f8d5f37cb0332b17f\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>美国银行表示，Enterprise Products可以保持其在二叠纪盆地天然气液体增长中的市场份额，并增加了“亟需的”液化石油气/乙烷出口能力。</p><p>Salisbury团队表示：“如果资本支出在此次扩建结束时放缓（我们预计会放缓），潜在的现金流支付将非常庞大，超过每股3.3美元。”Salisbury 的团队还补充说，公司已经将债务减少到了同行业低端水平。</p><p>华尔街普遍对Enterprise Products持积极态度，根据LSEG的数据，19位分析师中有17位给出了买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>截至2024年，股价已上涨9.5%，并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。此外，Enterprise Products是一家有限合伙企业，享有特殊的税收待遇，允许它提供较高的股息收益。</p><p>有限合伙企业无需缴纳联邦所得税，但其有限合伙人——即投资者——需要对分配的收入缴税。这与C类公司不同，C类公司需缴纳公司所得税，股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。</p><p>由于这种优惠的税收待遇，这些合伙企业可以提供更高的收益率。然而，不利的一面是，投资者通常会收到一份K-1表格，详细列出其收入，使得报税季节变得复杂。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>是美国银行名单上另一只获得买入评级的管道公司。该公司的目标价为20美元，相较于周二的收盘价有22%的上涨空间。截至2024年，该公司股价已上涨18%，股息收益率为7.8%。它也是一家有限合伙企业。</p><p>Salisbury团队指出：“即便在油价走软的环境下，与其未来可支付的现金流相比，这只股票依然便宜，尤其是在资本支出或并购活动稍有放缓的情况下。”</p><p>美国银行还强调了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>的这些方面——“稳固的基础资产组合，在多个地区拥有独特资产，随着天然气液体/原油产量以低个位数增长，所需资本支出较低”。</p><p>Energy Transfer还在美国路易斯安那州的查尔斯湖开发一个液化天然气出口设施，Salisbury团队表示，如果项目推进，将为公司带来上涨潜力。</p><p>华尔街对Energy Transfer也颇为看好，根据LSEG的数据，94%的分析师对该股给予其买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>最后，美国银行提到了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> ，称其是“2025年美国天然气长期需求拐点的主要受益者之一”。该投行给予其的目标价为27美元，相较于周二的收盘价有近9%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20a4fd4f15e68a8bde72992b97d4d647\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>今年，Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%，股息收益率为4.7%。</p><p>随着天然气需求的上升，美国银行认为现有的天然气管道将迎来正面催化因素——即已经是现有设施一部分的管道，而不是新建的管道。</p><p>美国银行表示：“我们预计到2025年， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> 和Williams Companies将宣布多个有吸引力的项目，这些项目将推动亚利桑那州、德克萨斯州、中西部地区（针对Kinder Morgan）以及东海岸或太平洋西北地区（针对Williams Companies）的新需求建设。”</p><p><em>文章源自CNBC《Defensive stocks offer solid dividend yields. Bank of America likes these names》</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c6de02b8edeeff7e4bd0c782fd557d6","relate_stocks":{"TRGP":"Targa Resources Corp","WMB":"威廉姆斯","KMI":"金德尔摩根","ET":"Energy Transfer LP"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186964429","content_text":"根据美国银行的分析，数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司，而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。分析师Jean Ann Salisbury在10月17日的报告中表示：“在当前环境下，我们更青睐与天然气相关的公司，尤其是中游公司。”她补充说，天然气液化中的中游领域“相对具有防御性”。她还表示：“短期内的天然气供应过剩掩盖了中期前景的改善；我们预计2025年数据中心开发和液化天然气（LNG）需求的出现将成为正面催化剂。”她补充说，市场尚未完全认识到这些公司创造自由现金流的潜力。以下是Salisbury团队推荐的一些买入评级的股票。美国银行推荐的天然气股票代号名称股息收益率年初至今涨幅 （%）EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P7.3%9.7%ETEnergy Transfer LP7.8%18.3%KMI金德尔摩根4.7%39.7%WMB威廉姆斯3.6%50.2%TRGPTarga Resources Corp1.8%92.1%来源: Bank of America, FactSetEnterprise Products Partners L.P 位列其中。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元，相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。美国银行表示，Enterprise Products可以保持其在二叠纪盆地天然气液体增长中的市场份额，并增加了“亟需的”液化石油气/乙烷出口能力。Salisbury团队表示：“如果资本支出在此次扩建结束时放缓（我们预计会放缓），潜在的现金流支付将非常庞大，超过每股3.3美元。”Salisbury 的团队还补充说，公司已经将债务减少到了同行业低端水平。华尔街普遍对Enterprise Products持积极态度，根据LSEG的数据，19位分析师中有17位给出了买入或强烈买入评级。截至2024年，股价已上涨9.5%，并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。此外，Enterprise Products是一家有限合伙企业，享有特殊的税收待遇，允许它提供较高的股息收益。有限合伙企业无需缴纳联邦所得税，但其有限合伙人——即投资者——需要对分配的收入缴税。这与C类公司不同，C类公司需缴纳公司所得税，股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。由于这种优惠的税收待遇，这些合伙企业可以提供更高的收益率。然而，不利的一面是，投资者通常会收到一份K-1表格，详细列出其收入，使得报税季节变得复杂。Energy Transfer LP是美国银行名单上另一只获得买入评级的管道公司。该公司的目标价为20美元，相较于周二的收盘价有22%的上涨空间。截至2024年，该公司股价已上涨18%，股息收益率为7.8%。它也是一家有限合伙企业。Salisbury团队指出：“即便在油价走软的环境下，与其未来可支付的现金流相比，这只股票依然便宜，尤其是在资本支出或并购活动稍有放缓的情况下。”美国银行还强调了 Energy Transfer LP的这些方面——“稳固的基础资产组合，在多个地区拥有独特资产，随着天然气液体/原油产量以低个位数增长，所需资本支出较低”。Energy Transfer还在美国路易斯安那州的查尔斯湖开发一个液化天然气出口设施，Salisbury团队表示，如果项目推进，将为公司带来上涨潜力。华尔街对Energy Transfer也颇为看好，根据LSEG的数据，94%的分析师对该股给予其买入或强烈买入评级。最后，美国银行提到了 金德尔摩根 ，称其是“2025年美国天然气长期需求拐点的主要受益者之一”。该投行给予其的目标价为27美元，相较于周二的收盘价有近9%的上涨空间。今年，Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%，股息收益率为4.7%。随着天然气需求的上升，美国银行认为现有的天然气管道将迎来正面催化因素——即已经是现有设施一部分的管道，而不是新建的管道。美国银行表示：“我们预计到2025年， 金德尔摩根 和Williams Companies将宣布多个有吸引力的项目，这些项目将推动亚利桑那州、德克萨斯州、中西部地区（针对Kinder Morgan）以及东海岸或太平洋西北地区（针对Williams Companies）的新需求建设。”文章源自CNBC《Defensive stocks offer solid dividend yields. Bank of America likes these names》","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ET":1.1,"WMB":1.1,"KMI":1.1,"TRGP":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2994,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853052902,"gmtCreate":1634744586152,"gmtModify":1634744586152,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3515668592526498","authorIdStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$</a>为啥收购股价会跌，不好的话不收购不就可以吗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$</a>为啥收购股价会跌，不好的话不收购不就可以吗","text":"$PayPal(PYPL)$为啥收购股价会跌，不好的话不收购不就可以吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853052902","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11064,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3548820442323795","authorId":"3548820442323795","name":"御香戏红尘","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3548820442323795","authorIdStr":"3548820442323795"},"content":"金融公司，收购以后现金流会下降。","text":"金融公司，收购以后现金流会下降。","html":"金融公司，收购以后现金流会下降。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355129433,"gmtCreate":1617038606722,"gmtModify":1617038606722,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3515668592526498","authorIdStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>请问中概股会被退市吗？","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>请问中概股会被退市吗？","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$请问中概股会被退市吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355129433","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355129237,"gmtCreate":1617038512929,"gmtModify":1617038512929,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3515668592526498","authorIdStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" 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大选前的最后一组民调显示：拜登在全国层面领先大约8个百分点，在战场州领先大约3个百分点。现在，无论战场州的结果如何，全国形势已经很明朗了：懂王仅仅落后1.6个百分点，与四年前相仿。高达6个百分点的错判，简直是不可饶恕的错误。 我们无需指出民调在部分战场州错的有多离谱——认为拜登在得克萨斯只落后2个百分点（导致他错误地在此投入大量资源）；认为懂王在俄亥俄与拜登是五五开（其实懂王干脆利落地赢了8个百分点）；认为拜登在铁锈地带的优势很稳固（其实三个州都处于胶着状态）…… 总而言之，这是一次民调失败的总记录，甚至比四年前的失败还彻底。四年前，民调机构还可以归咎于“十一月惊奇”（FBI重启邮件门调查），而今年没有这种惊奇了。过去四年，媒体和民调机构一直在反思自己的错误、改进民调取样方式，事实证明这一切都毫无作用；或许有副作用？ 当然，懂王还没有赢得选举。拜登完全有可能后来居上，依靠邮寄选票险胜。但是，即便如此，民调还是彻头彻尾地错了，因为他们期待的是一场“蓝色巨浪”。某些愚蠢的媒体甚至讨论过拜登能不能复制里根在1984年创造的奇迹，把懂王的铁票统统翻过来。想多了。 &nbsp;&nbsp; 538预测拜登的胜率高达89%，显然是严重高估了 千言万语，万语千言：民调不靠谱，谁信民调谁就傻了。那么，民调到底错在哪里了呢？换句话说，民调机构究竟应该如何改变，才能避免再次被羞辱呢？ 对于这个问题，本怪盗团团长比较有发言权，因为我做过很多草根调研，其中既有成功的，也有失败的。让我印象最深刻的一场失败发生在四年多以前，恰恰是懂王第一次选举前三个月。当时我就职于某外资投行（名字就不点了），往返于北京和香港之间，看着一大堆靠谱或不靠谱的A股+港股小股票。","listText":"无论拜登能不能依靠邮寄选票实现翻盘、从而赢得大选（这种情况大概会是2000年重演），2020年大选的民调机构都会被钉在历史的耻辱柱上，供后世耻笑。 大选前的最后一组民调显示：拜登在全国层面领先大约8个百分点，在战场州领先大约3个百分点。现在，无论战场州的结果如何，全国形势已经很明朗了：懂王仅仅落后1.6个百分点，与四年前相仿。高达6个百分点的错判，简直是不可饶恕的错误。 我们无需指出民调在部分战场州错的有多离谱——认为拜登在得克萨斯只落后2个百分点（导致他错误地在此投入大量资源）；认为懂王在俄亥俄与拜登是五五开（其实懂王干脆利落地赢了8个百分点）；认为拜登在铁锈地带的优势很稳固（其实三个州都处于胶着状态）…… 总而言之，这是一次民调失败的总记录，甚至比四年前的失败还彻底。四年前，民调机构还可以归咎于“十一月惊奇”（FBI重启邮件门调查），而今年没有这种惊奇了。过去四年，媒体和民调机构一直在反思自己的错误、改进民调取样方式，事实证明这一切都毫无作用；或许有副作用？ 当然，懂王还没有赢得选举。拜登完全有可能后来居上，依靠邮寄选票险胜。但是，即便如此，民调还是彻头彻尾地错了，因为他们期待的是一场“蓝色巨浪”。某些愚蠢的媒体甚至讨论过拜登能不能复制里根在1984年创造的奇迹，把懂王的铁票统统翻过来。想多了。 &nbsp;&nbsp; 538预测拜登的胜率高达89%，显然是严重高估了 千言万语，万语千言：民调不靠谱，谁信民调谁就傻了。那么，民调到底错在哪里了呢？换句话说，民调机构究竟应该如何改变，才能避免再次被羞辱呢？ 对于这个问题，本怪盗团团长比较有发言权，因为我做过很多草根调研，其中既有成功的，也有失败的。让我印象最深刻的一场失败发生在四年多以前，恰恰是懂王第一次选举前三个月。当时我就职于某外资投行（名字就不点了），往返于北京和香港之间，看着一大堆靠谱或不靠谱的A股+港股小股票。","text":"无论拜登能不能依靠邮寄选票实现翻盘、从而赢得大选（这种情况大概会是2000年重演），2020年大选的民调机构都会被钉在历史的耻辱柱上，供后世耻笑。 大选前的最后一组民调显示：拜登在全国层面领先大约8个百分点，在战场州领先大约3个百分点。现在，无论战场州的结果如何，全国形势已经很明朗了：懂王仅仅落后1.6个百分点，与四年前相仿。高达6个百分点的错判，简直是不可饶恕的错误。 我们无需指出民调在部分战场州错的有多离谱——认为拜登在得克萨斯只落后2个百分点（导致他错误地在此投入大量资源）；认为懂王在俄亥俄与拜登是五五开（其实懂王干脆利落地赢了8个百分点）；认为拜登在铁锈地带的优势很稳固（其实三个州都处于胶着状态）…… 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