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Kevin曹
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Kevin曹
02-25
$英伟达(NVDA)$
老王不为余力的努力推广、研发、值得 ai 时代投资者核心持有,我个人预计业绩将比预期更好,用实际行动投票支持,虽然都是正确废话,但好东西无需多言,问题是老虎支持 70 个字以上评论[开心] [财迷]
Kevin曹
02-12
$APP 20261120 360.0 PUT$
业绩好 但抵不过AI恐惧指数 这会是一个好嘅交易吗[财迷]
Kevin曹
02-12
$APP 20261120 360.0 PUT$
业绩好!但抵不过 ai恐慌 指数 这个是笔理想交易吗..time will tel us 了 .
Kevin曹
02-02
$Proshares二倍做空白银ETF(ZSL)$
多翻空,趋势为王,百年历史新高50,下行可期.
Kevin曹
01-30
$微软(MSFT)$
财报不差,ai大厂、综合能力起吗4边形战士 Google6边,雨露均沾一下 市场高低切、那就低位先布局一些
Kevin曹
01-30
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$
大跌牛刀小试 大涨先落袋为安 布局其他低位七公主
Kevin曹
01-30
$AGQ 20260206 340.0 PUT$
上升趋势📈到车接人 低位可冲sp
Kevin曹
01-29
$AGQ 20260206 340.0 PUT$
随趋势起舞 与央行共赢
Kevin曹
01-29
$AGQ 20260206 340.0 PUT$
与趋势起舞 和央行共赢
Kevin曹
01-27
[财迷]
Kevin曹
01-27
$LMT 20260130 540.0 PUT$
前辈指路,自己判断 就知道末日期权有没有 乱世 武器当道、9 折现价做末日期权应该风险不大。
Kevin曹
01-26
$TSLA 20260130 390.0 PUT$
感觉 tsl 荣耀时刻就要到了,短期 400 以下附近高 premium 的期权不怕尝试一下。
Kevin曹
01-24
$XOM 20260130 118.0 PUT$
nothing to say,提前平仓 close deal![鬼脸]
Kevin曹
01-23
$TSLA 20260130 390.0 PUT$
信仰可以变现 大跌考验信念 与 灵敏度
Kevin曹
01-23
$META 20260130 620.0 PUT$
好股票 越 vix 越快乐
Kevin曹
01-07
买入短期 or 中长期的 call 呢
Kevin曹
2025-12-09
2025.12.09 覆盘笔记 by Kevin曹
2025-12-09 成本 现价 浮动收益 Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRK.B) 10.07 9.94 +1.29% 终于找到合适价格加仓 先卖个put
2025.12.09 覆盘笔记 by Kevin曹
Kevin曹
2025-11-25
de
抱歉,原内容已删除
Kevin曹
2025-11-17
2025.11.17 覆盘笔记 by Kevin曹
2025-11-17 成本 现价 浮动收益 谷歌A(GOOGL) 284.71 292.72 +2.84% 互联网时代~AI时代的六边形战士 一直看好 在140~160之间做好多波期权 可惜一直无买到正股 这次巴老出手毫不犹豫,马上建仓 未来可期!
2025.11.17 覆盘笔记 by Kevin曹
Kevin曹
2025-10-05
$紫金黄金国际(02259)$
为了预估股价,我们先大致估算其利润水平再进行估值推算。由于公开资料中对未来盈利预测(尤其港股或其子公司)披露还较有限,我采用采用以下假设情景模型。 假设场景设定 我假设以下三个情景: 1. 乐观情景:黄金价格长时间维持高位(如 3,200–3,800 美元/盎司区间),公司产量提升 + 成本有所下降,且资本市场给予较高估值溢价。 2. 基准 / 中性情景:黄金价格维持中性偏强趋势,公司成本略有控制,产能边际提升,估值较为合理。 3. 悲观情景:黄金价格回落、中美利差拉大、美元走强,公司成本上升,矿山运营出现风险。 下面以对紫金黄金国际(其黄金业务在港股独立上市)及紫金整体估值为基准做盈利与估值模拟。 盈利假设(示例估算) (提示:以下数字是基于现有公开数据 + 假设的模型,可能与公司未来披露差距较大。) • 根据公开资料,紫金黄金国际子公司在 2023–2025 年上半年表现不错,其 2024 年净利润约为 34.20 亿元人民币(或等值港元)  • 设假设其未来两年黄金业务年利润年均复合增长率为: • 乐观情景:+30 % • 中性情景:+15 % • 悲观情景:-10 % • 此外,紫金矿业其他业务(铜、锌、有色金属)贡献部分利润,这里简单假定其与历史增速同步,中性情景可假设整体公司净利润年均增长 10% 左右,乐观 20%,悲观 0% 或略减。 举个示例(基准假设为 2025 年利润标尺为 100 单位): 估值倍数假设 基于国内与国际同行矿业 / 黄金公司估值水平,我假设紫金矿业或其黄金子公司在未来可能获得的估值倍数: • 乐观情景:PE 20–25 倍 • 中性情景:PE 12–18 倍 • 悲观情景:PE 6–10 倍 (矿业行业估值波
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.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/APP 20261120 360.0 PUT\">$APP 20261120 360.0 PUT$</a> 业绩好!但抵不过 ai恐慌 指数 这个是笔理想交易吗..time will tel us 了 .","text":"$APP 20261120 360.0 PUT$ 业绩好!但抵不过 ai恐慌 指数 这个是笔理想交易吗..time will tel us 了 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未来可期!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/501190869377216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":485900615307592,"gmtCreate":1759657072665,"gmtModify":1759658718949,"author":{"id":"3516191858732035","authorId":"3516191858732035","name":"Kevin曹","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9159e5a7d02a508c8fde8de1315c03d0","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3516191858732035","idStr":"3516191858732035"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02259\">$紫金黄金国际(02259)$</a> 为了预估股价,我们先大致估算其利润水平再进行估值推算。由于公开资料中对未来盈利预测(尤其港股或其子公司)披露还较有限,我采用采用以下假设情景模型。 假设场景设定 我假设以下三个情景: 1. 乐观情景:黄金价格长时间维持高位(如 3,200–3,800 美元/盎司区间),公司产量提升 + 成本有所下降,且资本市场给予较高估值溢价。 2. 基准 / 中性情景:黄金价格维持中性偏强趋势,公司成本略有控制,产能边际提升,估值较为合理。 3. 悲观情景:黄金价格回落、中美利差拉大、美元走强,公司成本上升,矿山运营出现风险。 下面以对紫金黄金国际(其黄金业务在港股独立上市)及紫金整体估值为基准做盈利与估值模拟。 盈利假设(示例估算) (提示:以下数字是基于现有公开数据 + 假设的模型,可能与公司未来披露差距较大。) • 根据公开资料,紫金黄金国际子公司在 2023–2025 年上半年表现不错,其 2024 年净利润约为 34.20 亿元人民币(或等值港元)  • 设假设其未来两年黄金业务年利润年均复合增长率为: • 乐观情景:+30 % • 中性情景:+15 % • 悲观情景:-10 % • 此外,紫金矿业其他业务(铜、锌、有色金属)贡献部分利润,这里简单假定其与历史增速同步,中性情景可假设整体公司净利润年均增长 10% 左右,乐观 20%,悲观 0% 或略减。 举个示例(基准假设为 2025 年利润标尺为 100 单位): 估值倍数假设 基于国内与国际同行矿业 / 黄金公司估值水平,我假设紫金矿业或其黄金子公司在未来可能获得的估值倍数: • 乐观情景:PE 20–25 倍 • 中性情景:PE 12–18 倍 • 悲观情景:PE 6–10 倍 (矿业行业估值波","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02259\">$紫金黄金国际(02259)$</a> 为了预估股价,我们先大致估算其利润水平再进行估值推算。由于公开资料中对未来盈利预测(尤其港股或其子公司)披露还较有限,我采用采用以下假设情景模型。 假设场景设定 我假设以下三个情景: 1. 乐观情景:黄金价格长时间维持高位(如 3,200–3,800 美元/盎司区间),公司产量提升 + 成本有所下降,且资本市场给予较高估值溢价。 2. 基准 / 中性情景:黄金价格维持中性偏强趋势,公司成本略有控制,产能边际提升,估值较为合理。 3. 悲观情景:黄金价格回落、中美利差拉大、美元走强,公司成本上升,矿山运营出现风险。 下面以对紫金黄金国际(其黄金业务在港股独立上市)及紫金整体估值为基准做盈利与估值模拟。 盈利假设(示例估算) (提示:以下数字是基于现有公开数据 + 假设的模型,可能与公司未来披露差距较大。) • 根据公开资料,紫金黄金国际子公司在 2023–2025 年上半年表现不错,其 2024 年净利润约为 34.20 亿元人民币(或等值港元)  • 设假设其未来两年黄金业务年利润年均复合增长率为: • 乐观情景:+30 % • 中性情景:+15 % • 悲观情景:-10 % • 此外,紫金矿业其他业务(铜、锌、有色金属)贡献部分利润,这里简单假定其与历史增速同步,中性情景可假设整体公司净利润年均增长 10% 左右,乐观 20%,悲观 0% 或略减。 举个示例(基准假设为 2025 年利润标尺为 100 单位): 估值倍数假设 基于国内与国际同行矿业 / 黄金公司估值水平,我假设紫金矿业或其黄金子公司在未来可能获得的估值倍数: • 乐观情景:PE 20–25 倍 • 中性情景:PE 12–18 倍 • 悲观情景:PE 6–10 倍 (矿业行业估值波","text":"$紫金黄金国际(02259)$ 为了预估股价,我们先大致估算其利润水平再进行估值推算。由于公开资料中对未来盈利预测(尤其港股或其子公司)披露还较有限,我采用采用以下假设情景模型。 假设场景设定 我假设以下三个情景: 1. 乐观情景:黄金价格长时间维持高位(如 3,200–3,800 美元/盎司区间),公司产量提升 + 成本有所下降,且资本市场给予较高估值溢价。 2. 基准 / 中性情景:黄金价格维持中性偏强趋势,公司成本略有控制,产能边际提升,估值较为合理。 3. 悲观情景:黄金价格回落、中美利差拉大、美元走强,公司成本上升,矿山运营出现风险。 下面以对紫金黄金国际(其黄金业务在港股独立上市)及紫金整体估值为基准做盈利与估值模拟。 盈利假设(示例估算) (提示:以下数字是基于现有公开数据 + 假设的模型,可能与公司未来披露差距较大。) • 根据公开资料,紫金黄金国际子公司在 2023–2025 年上半年表现不错,其 2024 年净利润约为 34.20 亿元人民币(或等值港元)  • 设假设其未来两年黄金业务年利润年均复合增长率为: • 乐观情景:+30 % • 中性情景:+15 % • 悲观情景:-10 % • 此外,紫金矿业其他业务(铜、锌、有色金属)贡献部分利润,这里简单假定其与历史增速同步,中性情景可假设整体公司净利润年均增长 10% 左右,乐观 20%,悲观 0% 或略减。 举个示例(基准假设为 2025 年利润标尺为 100 单位): 估值倍数假设 基于国内与国际同行矿业 / 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