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老虎认证: 煤炭贸易 财务管理
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小金历险记
08-15 09:05
$联合健康(UNH)$
[流泪] [笑哭] 基本面没有发生变化,就是伯克希尔买入了就大涨哈哈,昨晚刚好也买入伯克希尔。 过一段时间不懂伯克希尔会不会卖掉它?
小金历险记
08-15 16:53
我开仓了
$拼多多(PDD)$
,把以前卖掉的 pdd 买回来了[捂脸] ,比当时卖掉时候贵一丢丢,可以接受
小金历险记
03-14
维升药业赴港IPO:能否复制港股医药股逆袭神话?
一、公司定位:内分泌赛道的“技术黑马” 维升药业(02561.HK)成立于2018年,专注于内分泌疾病创新疗法研发,核心产品包括全球首个优效于日制剂的长效生长激素隆培促生长素(已提交中国上市申请),以及两款处于临床后期的突破性药物。公司依托丹麦Ascendis Pharma的TransCon长效技术平台,通过“暂时连接”分子设计延长药物半衰期,解决传统激素治疗需频繁注射的痛点,覆盖生长激素缺乏症、甲状旁腺功能减退症等适应症。 差异化优势: 技术壁垒:TransCon平台已获欧美药监局认可,隆培促生长素海外销售额达1.97亿欧元(2024年) 管线稀缺性:国内唯一针对软骨发育不全病因的那韦培肽,潜在填补50亿市场空白 商业化加速:上海、苏州生产基地已投产,B轮融资后估值超10亿美元 二、赛道潜力:非糖尿病内分泌市场的“隐形金矿” 中国内分泌药物市场呈现“一超多强”格局:糖尿病药物占据80%份额,而生长激素、甲状旁腺疾病等细分领域增速达15%-20%,2030年规模预计突破740亿元。 维升药业避开内卷的肿瘤赛道,主攻三大蓝海领域: 生长激素市场:长春高新垄断75%份额,但长效剂型渗透率仅30%(vs 欧美60%),隆培促生长素的每周一次注射优势显著 甲状旁腺功能减退症:国内尚无替代疗法,帕罗培特立帕肽作为全球首个FIC药物,3期试验达标 软骨发育不全:患者约9万人,现有疗法仅缓解症状,那韦培肽可靶向FGFR3通路 三、打新亮点:高胜率要素拆解 行业热度:医药股2024年港股打新首日平均涨幅28%(vs 全市场19%),生物医药占超购TOP10的40% 市场热度:蜜雪集团,毛戈平,老铺黄金次新股大涨,中概腾讯,小米,阿里巴巴也引领一波上涨 保荐人:摩根士丹利+富瑞金融保荐,大摩稳价会出一点力,如果大跌他会装死 估值锚定:发行价对应PE 32倍,较长春高新(45倍)折价29%,较
维升药业赴港IPO:能否复制港股医药股逆袭神话?
小金历险记
2024-10-22
华润饮料:一手中签率25%,甲尾30万股中签8200股,乙头40万股中签5800股。今年目前为止的冻资王,也看了一圈消息,看涨情绪比较浓,恭喜中签的朋友! 个人卖出策略:如果涨幅低于10%就多卖点,涨幅高于10%就会少卖点。分批出
$华润饮料(02460)$
小金历险记
08-14 20:24
我开仓了
$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$
,最近想持仓打新,慢慢增加一点股票持仓
小金历险记
2023-11-15
$腾讯控股(00700)$
三天这个收益很满足了,今晚看腾讯表演。想买的自己想想万一高开低走愿不愿意当股东
小金历险记
08-15 10:51
Replying to
@Inmoretion
:之前伯克希尔买过 ULTA,短期暴涨后面跑了😂//
@Inmoretion
:应该是不会的,伯克希尔不是短线
@小金历险记:
$联合健康(UNH)$
[流泪] [笑哭] 基本面没有发生变化,就是伯克希尔买入了就大涨哈哈,昨晚刚好也买入伯克希尔。 过一段时间不懂伯克希尔会不会卖掉它?
小金历险记
2023-05-27
哈哈还不错吧
@小虎活动:【有奖活动】AI 自画像,画出__样的自己?
小金历险记
2023-11-17
我平仓了
$腾讯控股(00700)$
,看不懂这个市场,难受得一批,先走了。
小金历险记
2023-12-04
我开仓了
$腾讯控股(00700)$
,又买回来了,上次要是没有老马减持腾讯应该会卖得更好,卖出是为了躲风险。现在美股涨了那么多,激进的都有预期明年3月开始降息,敢不敢溢出一点流动性到港股?
小金历险记
07-29
我开仓了
$联合健康(UNH)$
,270 建仓第一笔,如果跌到 250 和 230 再加。 这个风险有点大,不熟,这阵子太火了才去了解的。 用亏得起的钱试试
小金历险记
2024-12-31
$布鲁可(00325)$
出 100 倍了,继续冲吧,这次竞争还是很激烈
小金历险记
2023-11-06
我平仓了
$腾讯控股(00700)$
,本来想等公布业绩,涨上来了先卖了,后面看看有没有机会再接回来
小金历险记
2024-12-12
$草姬集团(02593)$
听说老虎放 100 倍额度了,快抢吧,问题还是拿不到货,顶头锤应该也就 2 手,如果小金额的就别参加了,拿不到货凑个热闹而已。
小金历险记
2023-10-31
我开仓了
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
,200以下买点,如果有150左右价格会继续买。长期票
小金历险记
05-12
我平仓了
$谷歌(GOOG)$
,[捂脸] 打新差点钱
小金历险记
2023-11-13
我开仓了
$腾讯控股(00700)$
,买回来了,赌下财报,到时候跌就割~
小金历险记
2023-11-08
我开仓了1手
$BIDU 20231117 121.0 CALL$
,手痒买一手赌一下好财报
小金历险记
03-13
【投票贴】不知不觉也快 2k 关注了,感谢。 好久没分享交易了,25 年会把重心放在港股打新上,争取在这方面拿个大结果。当然有觉得比较合适买卖交易时候我也会分享[贱笑] 。大家觉得 25 年港股 打新会有牛市吗?
$蜜雪集团(02097)$
$毛戈平(01318)$
$老铺黄金(06181)$
小金历险记
2024-11-08
我开仓了
$拼多多(PDD)$
,买点 pdd,一直纠结买 pdd 还是买阿里,干脆都买 点,特斯拉卖飞后总要买点啥
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>,把以前卖掉的 pdd 买回来了[捂脸] ,比当时卖掉时候贵一丢丢,可以接受","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>,把以前卖掉的 pdd 买回来了[捂脸] ,比当时卖掉时候贵一丢丢,可以接受","text":"我开仓了$拼多多(PDD)$ ,把以前卖掉的 pdd 买回来了[捂脸] 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小资金散户被迫退出乙组竞争:以蜜雪乙头(500万港元申购)为例,新规下需冻结50万港元现金(10%保证金+利息),而此前仅需5万港元。这将导致乙组人数从 3.89 万人(旧规)缩减至 1 万 人(新规),大资金投资者中签率显著提升。 2. 收益分配逻辑重构 甲组“普惠分配”弱化 蜜雪旧规下甲组一手中签率仅8%,新规后,甲组人数从26.4万会变成29万,甲尾和大甲中签率会升高,大部分人都在小甲和一手,一手中签率可能降至4%-5%。 乙组“资金为王”强化 新规后乙组参与门槛提升至500万港元自有资金,头部投资者(如顶头槌)可集中资源抢占更高配额。以蜜雪为例,顶头槌申购需1700万港元本金(旧规仅需170万港元),但中签手数可能从2-3手增至5-10手,收益翻2-3倍 三、策略调整建议, 散户生存法则 聚焦“现金+多户”组合 小资金需通过10-20个账户分散申购(每户投入1-2万港元,剩余资金组1-2个户留20-50万(中甲、甲尾、乙头),看个人资金情况) 锁定低杠杆高确定性标的 &n","listText":"根据港交所2025年3月20日生效的融资新规(最高10倍杠杆),结合蜜雪集团的打新历史数据,以下是政策对港股打新策略、收益分配及市场格局的深度分析: 一、新规对打新人群的核心影响 1. 散户分化加剧:多账户策略效率骤降 杠杆限制压缩资金效率 此前200倍杠杆下,申购蜜雪冰城甲尾(405万港元)仅需本金2万港元,但新规后需自备40.5万港元(10%保证金),散户无法通过“拼人头”实现低成本大额申购。多账户策略的边际收益大幅下降,例如原需10个账户分摊的杠杆需求,现需100个账户才能达到同等效果,操作成本陡增。 资金门槛筛选用户 小资金散户被迫退出乙组竞争:以蜜雪乙头(500万港元申购)为例,新规下需冻结50万港元现金(10%保证金+利息),而此前仅需5万港元。这将导致乙组人数从 3.89 万人(旧规)缩减至 1 万 人(新规),大资金投资者中签率显著提升。 2. 收益分配逻辑重构 甲组“普惠分配”弱化 蜜雪旧规下甲组一手中签率仅8%,新规后,甲组人数从26.4万会变成29万,甲尾和大甲中签率会升高,大部分人都在小甲和一手,一手中签率可能降至4%-5%。 乙组“资金为王”强化 新规后乙组参与门槛提升至500万港元自有资金,头部投资者(如顶头槌)可集中资源抢占更高配额。以蜜雪为例,顶头槌申购需1700万港元本金(旧规仅需170万港元),但中签手数可能从2-3手增至5-10手,收益翻2-3倍 三、策略调整建议, 散户生存法则 聚焦“现金+多户”组合 小资金需通过10-20个账户分散申购(每户投入1-2万港元,剩余资金组1-2个户留20-50万(中甲、甲尾、乙头),看个人资金情况) 锁定低杠杆高确定性标的 &n","text":"根据港交所2025年3月20日生效的融资新规(最高10倍杠杆),结合蜜雪集团的打新历史数据,以下是政策对港股打新策略、收益分配及市场格局的深度分析: 一、新规对打新人群的核心影响 1. 散户分化加剧:多账户策略效率骤降 杠杆限制压缩资金效率 此前200倍杠杆下,申购蜜雪冰城甲尾(405万港元)仅需本金2万港元,但新规后需自备40.5万港元(10%保证金),散户无法通过“拼人头”实现低成本大额申购。多账户策略的边际收益大幅下降,例如原需10个账户分摊的杠杆需求,现需100个账户才能达到同等效果,操作成本陡增。 资金门槛筛选用户 小资金散户被迫退出乙组竞争:以蜜雪乙头(500万港元申购)为例,新规下需冻结50万港元现金(10%保证金+利息),而此前仅需5万港元。这将导致乙组人数从 3.89 万人(旧规)缩减至 1 万 人(新规),大资金投资者中签率显著提升。 2. 收益分配逻辑重构 甲组“普惠分配”弱化 蜜雪旧规下甲组一手中签率仅8%,新规后,甲组人数从26.4万会变成29万,甲尾和大甲中签率会升高,大部分人都在小甲和一手,一手中签率可能降至4%-5%。 乙组“资金为王”强化 新规后乙组参与门槛提升至500万港元自有资金,头部投资者(如顶头槌)可集中资源抢占更高配额。以蜜雪为例,顶头槌申购需1700万港元本金(旧规仅需170万港元),但中签手数可能从2-3手增至5-10手,收益翻2-3倍 三、策略调整建议, 散户生存法则 聚焦“现金+多户”组合 小资金需通过10-20个账户分散申购(每户投入1-2万港元,剩余资金组1-2个户留20-50万(中甲、甲尾、乙头),看个人资金情况) 锁定低杠杆高确定性标的 &n","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9137ea679d08a22dcd692dfcc45dc06","width":"200","height":"200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/415557110686056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":14257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":415544446668984,"gmtCreate":1742480330629,"gmtModify":1742480334738,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"疯狂过后一地鸡毛,现在打新只能 10 倍融资了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] ,有钱人会越来越有钱(能上乙组的),剩下资金不多的人在甲组内卷。","listText":"疯狂过后一地鸡毛,现在打新只能 10 倍融资了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] ,有钱人会越来越有钱(能上乙组的),剩下资金不多的人在甲组内卷。","text":"疯狂过后一地鸡毛,现在打新只能 10 倍融资了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] ,有钱人会越来越有钱(能上乙组的),剩下资金不多的人在甲组内卷。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d4fe7c93519866cf04ec012ad1e7856","width":"656","height":"486"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/415544446668984","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":415472724746520,"gmtCreate":1742459487625,"gmtModify":1742463823792,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"title":"舒宝国际:能否借势母婴消费回暖逆袭?","htmlText":"一、公司基本情况:深耕俄罗斯市场的“ODM隐形冠军” 舒宝国际(股票代码:02569.HK)成立于2010年,总部位于福建晋江,是中国领先的一次性卫生用品制造商,核心业务覆盖婴童护理(纸尿裤/学步裤)、女性护理(经期裤)及成人失禁用品三大领域。公司以ODM代工+自有品牌双轮驱动,2023年营收6.55亿元,其中俄罗斯市场贡献57.7%(3.77亿元),位列中国对俄婴童护理用品出口第二(市占率3.7%)。 二、赛道潜力:地缘红利与消费升级的双重驱动 全球一次性卫生用品市场规模达2400亿美元(2023年),俄罗斯市场因国际品牌撤离催生结构性机会: 1. 替代空间:俄婴童护理用品进口额中,中国占比从2021年15%升至2023年38% 2. 价格优势:舒宝ODM产品单价较欧美品牌低30%-50%,契合卢布贬值后的消费降级趋势; 3. 本土化壁垒:俄零售商渠道渗透率超90%,舒宝已建立物流仓储网络(7层自动化仓库,存储量5000万件)。 风险对冲:加速拓展东南亚市场(2024年收入占比11.1%),女性护理产品国内收入占比升至31.4%。 三、打新亮点:低估值与高博弈性并存 1、行业热度:母婴消费板块受政策刺激(中国育儿补贴+俄罗斯生育激励),恒安国际近2个月涨10% 2、市场热度:最近打新市场因为蜜雪集团变得火热,次新股毛戈平和老铺黄金也都在新高附近。市场热度较高,可以观察明天下午维升药业的暗盘情况。 3、估值锚定:发行价0.5-0.6港元,按0.55对应PE8.69倍(恒安国际PE8.43倍),估值并没有很便宜,市值仅5-6亿港元。 4资金博弈:无基石投资者,但绿鞋机制覆盖15%超额配售,散户若触发50倍超购可获50%回拨, 四、风险预警:地缘黑天鹅与内卷化挑战 1. 俄罗斯依赖症: 俄出生率已降至6.4‰(2023年),婴童护理需求萎缩导致2024年前三季度对俄收入同比降3","listText":"一、公司基本情况:深耕俄罗斯市场的“ODM隐形冠军” 舒宝国际(股票代码:02569.HK)成立于2010年,总部位于福建晋江,是中国领先的一次性卫生用品制造商,核心业务覆盖婴童护理(纸尿裤/学步裤)、女性护理(经期裤)及成人失禁用品三大领域。公司以ODM代工+自有品牌双轮驱动,2023年营收6.55亿元,其中俄罗斯市场贡献57.7%(3.77亿元),位列中国对俄婴童护理用品出口第二(市占率3.7%)。 二、赛道潜力:地缘红利与消费升级的双重驱动 全球一次性卫生用品市场规模达2400亿美元(2023年),俄罗斯市场因国际品牌撤离催生结构性机会: 1. 替代空间:俄婴童护理用品进口额中,中国占比从2021年15%升至2023年38% 2. 价格优势:舒宝ODM产品单价较欧美品牌低30%-50%,契合卢布贬值后的消费降级趋势; 3. 本土化壁垒:俄零售商渠道渗透率超90%,舒宝已建立物流仓储网络(7层自动化仓库,存储量5000万件)。 风险对冲:加速拓展东南亚市场(2024年收入占比11.1%),女性护理产品国内收入占比升至31.4%。 三、打新亮点:低估值与高博弈性并存 1、行业热度:母婴消费板块受政策刺激(中国育儿补贴+俄罗斯生育激励),恒安国际近2个月涨10% 2、市场热度:最近打新市场因为蜜雪集团变得火热,次新股毛戈平和老铺黄金也都在新高附近。市场热度较高,可以观察明天下午维升药业的暗盘情况。 3、估值锚定:发行价0.5-0.6港元,按0.55对应PE8.69倍(恒安国际PE8.43倍),估值并没有很便宜,市值仅5-6亿港元。 4资金博弈:无基石投资者,但绿鞋机制覆盖15%超额配售,散户若触发50倍超购可获50%回拨, 四、风险预警:地缘黑天鹅与内卷化挑战 1. 俄罗斯依赖症: 俄出生率已降至6.4‰(2023年),婴童护理需求萎缩导致2024年前三季度对俄收入同比降3","text":"一、公司基本情况:深耕俄罗斯市场的“ODM隐形冠军” 舒宝国际(股票代码:02569.HK)成立于2010年,总部位于福建晋江,是中国领先的一次性卫生用品制造商,核心业务覆盖婴童护理(纸尿裤/学步裤)、女性护理(经期裤)及成人失禁用品三大领域。公司以ODM代工+自有品牌双轮驱动,2023年营收6.55亿元,其中俄罗斯市场贡献57.7%(3.77亿元),位列中国对俄婴童护理用品出口第二(市占率3.7%)。 二、赛道潜力:地缘红利与消费升级的双重驱动 全球一次性卫生用品市场规模达2400亿美元(2023年),俄罗斯市场因国际品牌撤离催生结构性机会: 1. 替代空间:俄婴童护理用品进口额中,中国占比从2021年15%升至2023年38% 2. 价格优势:舒宝ODM产品单价较欧美品牌低30%-50%,契合卢布贬值后的消费降级趋势; 3. 本土化壁垒:俄零售商渠道渗透率超90%,舒宝已建立物流仓储网络(7层自动化仓库,存储量5000万件)。 风险对冲:加速拓展东南亚市场(2024年收入占比11.1%),女性护理产品国内收入占比升至31.4%。 三、打新亮点:低估值与高博弈性并存 1、行业热度:母婴消费板块受政策刺激(中国育儿补贴+俄罗斯生育激励),恒安国际近2个月涨10% 2、市场热度:最近打新市场因为蜜雪集团变得火热,次新股毛戈平和老铺黄金也都在新高附近。市场热度较高,可以观察明天下午维升药业的暗盘情况。 3、估值锚定:发行价0.5-0.6港元,按0.55对应PE8.69倍(恒安国际PE8.43倍),估值并没有很便宜,市值仅5-6亿港元。 4资金博弈:无基石投资者,但绿鞋机制覆盖15%超额配售,散户若触发50倍超购可获50%回拨, 四、风险预警:地缘黑天鹅与内卷化挑战 1. 俄罗斯依赖症: 俄出生率已降至6.4‰(2023年),婴童护理需求萎缩导致2024年前三季度对俄收入同比降3","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e128c34a75455d1007727f532f1a354","width":"879","height":"841"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/415472724746520","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3080,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":415100200641000,"gmtCreate":1742361397123,"gmtModify":1742364311130,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"title":"南山铝业国际打新分析:是机会还是风险?","htmlText":"1. 基本概况 南山铝业国际(股票代码:02610.HK)是中国铝业巨头分拆的东南亚业务主体,主营氧化铝生产。本次港股IPO发行价区间为26.60-31.50港元/股,每手入场费约3182港元,预计3月25日上市,由华泰国际保荐。公司自称是东南亚第二大氧化铝制造商,年产能200万吨,2021-2023年业绩增长迅猛(营收年复合增长98%)。 亮点: 资源整合能力强 扎根印尼,利用当地低价铝土矿和煤炭资源,成本控制优势明显,毛利率从25.9%提升至46.3%。 行业地位稳固 东南亚市场份额占比34.9%,产品技术(低温拜耳法工艺)和客户资源稳定(如马来西亚Press Metal贡献50%收入)。 基石投资者“撑场” 嘉能可、厦门象屿等产业资本参与,认购超9亿港元股份,占发行规模的36%。 风险: 行业寒冬已至 氧化铝价格自2024年高点暴跌42%,需求疲软(如中国电解铝产能过剩),2025年业绩或大幅下滑。(如果没有下滑的话,那现在的估值合理偏低) 业务单一无护城河 收入100%依赖氧化铝,缺乏上下游延伸,抗价格波动能力弱。 关联交易与治理问题 基石投资者嘉能可、厦门象屿既是股东又是大客户,作为基石不是很加分。有水分。 保荐人历史“坑多” 华泰国际近年保荐项目破发率超60%,过往表现差,投资者需警惕护盘能力。 建议: 稳健者可以放弃申购 激进者可以继续关注孖展倍数,现在是2.15倍,如果截止前孖展倍数接近15倍不超过15倍的话可以小摸一点。 不申购原因:短期行业周期下行、业绩拐点风险大,保荐人华泰减大分。 舒宝国际(02569.HK)也在招股期,后面也会出一篇分析 大家可以点点关注。点关注的话会及时推送消息 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02610\">$南山铝业国际(02610)$ </a> ","listText":"1. 基本概况 南山铝业国际(股票代码:02610.HK)是中国铝业巨头分拆的东南亚业务主体,主营氧化铝生产。本次港股IPO发行价区间为26.60-31.50港元/股,每手入场费约3182港元,预计3月25日上市,由华泰国际保荐。公司自称是东南亚第二大氧化铝制造商,年产能200万吨,2021-2023年业绩增长迅猛(营收年复合增长98%)。 亮点: 资源整合能力强 扎根印尼,利用当地低价铝土矿和煤炭资源,成本控制优势明显,毛利率从25.9%提升至46.3%。 行业地位稳固 东南亚市场份额占比34.9%,产品技术(低温拜耳法工艺)和客户资源稳定(如马来西亚Press Metal贡献50%收入)。 基石投资者“撑场” 嘉能可、厦门象屿等产业资本参与,认购超9亿港元股份,占发行规模的36%。 风险: 行业寒冬已至 氧化铝价格自2024年高点暴跌42%,需求疲软(如中国电解铝产能过剩),2025年业绩或大幅下滑。(如果没有下滑的话,那现在的估值合理偏低) 业务单一无护城河 收入100%依赖氧化铝,缺乏上下游延伸,抗价格波动能力弱。 关联交易与治理问题 基石投资者嘉能可、厦门象屿既是股东又是大客户,作为基石不是很加分。有水分。 保荐人历史“坑多” 华泰国际近年保荐项目破发率超60%,过往表现差,投资者需警惕护盘能力。 建议: 稳健者可以放弃申购 激进者可以继续关注孖展倍数,现在是2.15倍,如果截止前孖展倍数接近15倍不超过15倍的话可以小摸一点。 不申购原因:短期行业周期下行、业绩拐点风险大,保荐人华泰减大分。 舒宝国际(02569.HK)也在招股期,后面也会出一篇分析 大家可以点点关注。点关注的话会及时推送消息 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02610\">$南山铝业国际(02610)$ </a> ","text":"1. 基本概况 南山铝业国际(股票代码:02610.HK)是中国铝业巨头分拆的东南亚业务主体,主营氧化铝生产。本次港股IPO发行价区间为26.60-31.50港元/股,每手入场费约3182港元,预计3月25日上市,由华泰国际保荐。公司自称是东南亚第二大氧化铝制造商,年产能200万吨,2021-2023年业绩增长迅猛(营收年复合增长98%)。 亮点: 资源整合能力强 扎根印尼,利用当地低价铝土矿和煤炭资源,成本控制优势明显,毛利率从25.9%提升至46.3%。 行业地位稳固 东南亚市场份额占比34.9%,产品技术(低温拜耳法工艺)和客户资源稳定(如马来西亚Press Metal贡献50%收入)。 基石投资者“撑场” 嘉能可、厦门象屿等产业资本参与,认购超9亿港元股份,占发行规模的36%。 风险: 行业寒冬已至 氧化铝价格自2024年高点暴跌42%,需求疲软(如中国电解铝产能过剩),2025年业绩或大幅下滑。(如果没有下滑的话,那现在的估值合理偏低) 业务单一无护城河 收入100%依赖氧化铝,缺乏上下游延伸,抗价格波动能力弱。 关联交易与治理问题 基石投资者嘉能可、厦门象屿既是股东又是大客户,作为基石不是很加分。有水分。 保荐人历史“坑多” 华泰国际近年保荐项目破发率超60%,过往表现差,投资者需警惕护盘能力。 建议: 稳健者可以放弃申购 激进者可以继续关注孖展倍数,现在是2.15倍,如果截止前孖展倍数接近15倍不超过15倍的话可以小摸一点。 不申购原因:短期行业周期下行、业绩拐点风险大,保荐人华泰减大分。 舒宝国际(02569.HK)也在招股期,后面也会出一篇分析 大家可以点点关注。点关注的话会及时推送消息 $南山铝业国际(02610)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/415100200641000","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":414472908812800,"gmtCreate":1742227618961,"gmtModify":1742228070740,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"维升药业最终认购分析 维升药业认购将于18号早上截止,第一篇关于维升药业文章也说了,这票就是博弈票,看机构会不会炒,目前来看容易小赚大亏,我本来想等这票孖展倍数超100倍再多申购点,现在超过50不满100,其实不是一个好的情况,不冷不热的票散户筹码多,砸起来都是自己砸自己。 博弈的话,比较好的情况当然是孖展倍数接近50不满50,或者孖展倍数远远超过100倍。 结论:博弈票,看目前的预测孖展倍数,胜率不高,放弃申购。 新上了一个南山铝业国际,虽然保荐人是华泰(华泰保荐真的是减大分,一定要慎重),但是这个公司我还是有点兴趣的,后续会写一篇南山铝业国际的分析。 大家可以点点关注。点关注的话会及时推送消息 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02561\">$维升药业-B(02561)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02610\">$南山铝业国际(02610)$ </a> ","listText":"维升药业最终认购分析 维升药业认购将于18号早上截止,第一篇关于维升药业文章也说了,这票就是博弈票,看机构会不会炒,目前来看容易小赚大亏,我本来想等这票孖展倍数超100倍再多申购点,现在超过50不满100,其实不是一个好的情况,不冷不热的票散户筹码多,砸起来都是自己砸自己。 博弈的话,比较好的情况当然是孖展倍数接近50不满50,或者孖展倍数远远超过100倍。 结论:博弈票,看目前的预测孖展倍数,胜率不高,放弃申购。 新上了一个南山铝业国际,虽然保荐人是华泰(华泰保荐真的是减大分,一定要慎重),但是这个公司我还是有点兴趣的,后续会写一篇南山铝业国际的分析。 大家可以点点关注。点关注的话会及时推送消息 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02561\">$维升药业-B(02561)$ </a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02610\">$南山铝业国际(02610)$ </a> ","text":"维升药业最终认购分析 维升药业认购将于18号早上截止,第一篇关于维升药业文章也说了,这票就是博弈票,看机构会不会炒,目前来看容易小赚大亏,我本来想等这票孖展倍数超100倍再多申购点,现在超过50不满100,其实不是一个好的情况,不冷不热的票散户筹码多,砸起来都是自己砸自己。 博弈的话,比较好的情况当然是孖展倍数接近50不满50,或者孖展倍数远远超过100倍。 结论:博弈票,看目前的预测孖展倍数,胜率不高,放弃申购。 新上了一个南山铝业国际,虽然保荐人是华泰(华泰保荐真的是减大分,一定要慎重),但是这个公司我还是有点兴趣的,后续会写一篇南山铝业国际的分析。 大家可以点点关注。点关注的话会及时推送消息 $维升药业-B(02561)$ $南山铝业国际(02610)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/414472908812800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8024,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"21347731130544","authorIdStr":"21347731130544"},"content":"我也没打,不过最近生物医药行情很好","text":"我也没打,不过最近生物医药行情很好","html":"我也没打,不过最近生物医药行情很好"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":414036918501568,"gmtCreate":1742112970947,"gmtModify":1742115241390,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"title":"拍脑袋估一下茅台合理价格应该是多少?","htmlText":"事先声明,本人持有茅台,本文内容纯属个人观点,不作为投资建议。 先说下茅台优点: 1极致的产品力与品牌护城河 2暴利商业模式 3供不应求的市场格局 4财务稳健性与增长确定性 我们需要确认一下茅台合理的市盈率应该是多少,茅台十年平均pe是32.74,24年是26,苹果现在34,英伟达41,腾讯27,阿里20,25年茅台拍脑袋给个25pe算是合理,应该没问题吧。( 还叠加今年港股大涨,无风险收益也一直降) 然后就是已知24年茅台净利润是857亿,857*25=21425亿,21425亿除以总股本12.56亿=1705元,再来点安全边际,打个85折就是1449元,打个九折1534元。 最后拍脑袋算一下到25年底茅台应该值多少,茅台近十年利润复合增速18.6%,25年机构预测是10%-15%,我们按10%算,利润预测是940亿,940*25/12.56=1871元。 再来点安全边际,打个85折就是1590元,打个九折1683元。 如果你很追求安全边际,现在茅台只适合持有,不适合买入,1500以下的茅台是真香。但是我觉得茅台涨到1900也就合理,现在无风险利率下行,风险偏好可以适当高一点。 如果茅台现在退市了,以现在的价格,你愿意当茅台的股东吗? 再次声明,本人持有茅台,本文内容纯属个人观点,不作为投资建议。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">$贵州茅台(600519)$ </a>","listText":"事先声明,本人持有茅台,本文内容纯属个人观点,不作为投资建议。 先说下茅台优点: 1极致的产品力与品牌护城河 2暴利商业模式 3供不应求的市场格局 4财务稳健性与增长确定性 我们需要确认一下茅台合理的市盈率应该是多少,茅台十年平均pe是32.74,24年是26,苹果现在34,英伟达41,腾讯27,阿里20,25年茅台拍脑袋给个25pe算是合理,应该没问题吧。( 还叠加今年港股大涨,无风险收益也一直降) 然后就是已知24年茅台净利润是857亿,857*25=21425亿,21425亿除以总股本12.56亿=1705元,再来点安全边际,打个85折就是1449元,打个九折1534元。 最后拍脑袋算一下到25年底茅台应该值多少,茅台近十年利润复合增速18.6%,25年机构预测是10%-15%,我们按10%算,利润预测是940亿,940*25/12.56=1871元。 再来点安全边际,打个85折就是1590元,打个九折1683元。 如果你很追求安全边际,现在茅台只适合持有,不适合买入,1500以下的茅台是真香。但是我觉得茅台涨到1900也就合理,现在无风险利率下行,风险偏好可以适当高一点。 如果茅台现在退市了,以现在的价格,你愿意当茅台的股东吗? 再次声明,本人持有茅台,本文内容纯属个人观点,不作为投资建议。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">$贵州茅台(600519)$ </a>","text":"事先声明,本人持有茅台,本文内容纯属个人观点,不作为投资建议。 先说下茅台优点: 1极致的产品力与品牌护城河 2暴利商业模式 3供不应求的市场格局 4财务稳健性与增长确定性 我们需要确认一下茅台合理的市盈率应该是多少,茅台十年平均pe是32.74,24年是26,苹果现在34,英伟达41,腾讯27,阿里20,25年茅台拍脑袋给个25pe算是合理,应该没问题吧。( 还叠加今年港股大涨,无风险收益也一直降) 然后就是已知24年茅台净利润是857亿,857*25=21425亿,21425亿除以总股本12.56亿=1705元,再来点安全边际,打个85折就是1449元,打个九折1534元。 最后拍脑袋算一下到25年底茅台应该值多少,茅台近十年利润复合增速18.6%,25年机构预测是10%-15%,我们按10%算,利润预测是940亿,940*25/12.56=1871元。 再来点安全边际,打个85折就是1590元,打个九折1683元。 如果你很追求安全边际,现在茅台只适合持有,不适合买入,1500以下的茅台是真香。但是我觉得茅台涨到1900也就合理,现在无风险利率下行,风险偏好可以适当高一点。 如果茅台现在退市了,以现在的价格,你愿意当茅台的股东吗? 再次声明,本人持有茅台,本文内容纯属个人观点,不作为投资建议。 $贵州茅台(600519)$ ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/414036918501568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3447,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"21347731130544","authorIdStr":"21347731130544"},"content":"白酒有可能触底了","text":"白酒有可能触底了","html":"白酒有可能触底了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":414017891537120,"gmtCreate":1742108358567,"gmtModify":1742108360149,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"夏天还没到就拿着一杯蜜雪冰城在街上走,会不会太招摇了?🤔<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02097\">$蜜雪集团(02097)$ </a> ","listText":"夏天还没到就拿着一杯蜜雪冰城在街上走,会不会太招摇了?🤔<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02097\">$蜜雪集团(02097)$ </a> ","text":"夏天还没到就拿着一杯蜜雪冰城在街上走,会不会太招摇了?🤔$蜜雪集团(02097)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/414017891537120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":467774413144120,"gmtCreate":1755219902226,"gmtModify":1755226121879,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">$联合健康(UNH)$ </a> [流泪] [笑哭] 基本面没有发生变化,就是伯克希尔买入了就大涨哈哈,昨晚刚好也买入伯克希尔。 过一段时间不懂伯克希尔会不会卖掉它?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">$联合健康(UNH)$ </a> [流泪] [笑哭] 基本面没有发生变化,就是伯克希尔买入了就大涨哈哈,昨晚刚好也买入伯克希尔。 过一段时间不懂伯克希尔会不会卖掉它?","text":"$联合健康(UNH)$ [流泪] [笑哭] 基本面没有发生变化,就是伯克希尔买入了就大涨哈哈,昨晚刚好也买入伯克希尔。 过一段时间不懂伯克希尔会不会卖掉它?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20b0f4f13ae99d3d3903cc7992b26738","width":"1068","height":"1655"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467774413144120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3551582423321711","authorId":"3551582423321711","name":"杜王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5bbc4cbb88817f4bcc48bf85d62088f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3551582423321711","authorIdStr":"3551582423321711"},"content":"伯克希尔应该是不会炒短线,而且这类保险相关业务,价值股,也是他们能理解的公司","text":"伯克希尔应该是不会炒短线,而且这类保险相关业务,价值股,也是他们能理解的公司","html":"伯克希尔应该是不会炒短线,而且这类保险相关业务,价值股,也是他们能理解的公司"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467890734973280,"gmtCreate":1755247988614,"gmtModify":1755288236189,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>,把以前卖掉的 pdd 买回来了[捂脸] ,比当时卖掉时候贵一丢丢,可以接受","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>,把以前卖掉的 pdd 买回来了[捂脸] ,比当时卖掉时候贵一丢丢,可以接受","text":"我开仓了$拼多多(PDD)$ ,把以前卖掉的 pdd 买回来了[捂脸] ,比当时卖掉时候贵一丢丢,可以接受","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467890734973280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1081,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4198529490393670","authorId":"4198529490393670","name":"小猫变身","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4198529490393670","authorIdStr":"4198529490393670"},"content":"是不是看到f13很多机构大佬都增持了,感觉有潜力","text":"是不是看到f13很多机构大佬都增持了,感觉有潜力","html":"是不是看到f13很多机构大佬都增持了,感觉有潜力"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":413425809088712,"gmtCreate":1741963345268,"gmtModify":1741963781265,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"title":"维升药业赴港IPO:能否复制港股医药股逆袭神话?","htmlText":"一、公司定位:内分泌赛道的“技术黑马” 维升药业(02561.HK)成立于2018年,专注于内分泌疾病创新疗法研发,核心产品包括全球首个优效于日制剂的长效生长激素隆培促生长素(已提交中国上市申请),以及两款处于临床后期的突破性药物。公司依托丹麦Ascendis Pharma的TransCon长效技术平台,通过“暂时连接”分子设计延长药物半衰期,解决传统激素治疗需频繁注射的痛点,覆盖生长激素缺乏症、甲状旁腺功能减退症等适应症。 差异化优势: 技术壁垒:TransCon平台已获欧美药监局认可,隆培促生长素海外销售额达1.97亿欧元(2024年) 管线稀缺性:国内唯一针对软骨发育不全病因的那韦培肽,潜在填补50亿市场空白 商业化加速:上海、苏州生产基地已投产,B轮融资后估值超10亿美元 二、赛道潜力:非糖尿病内分泌市场的“隐形金矿” 中国内分泌药物市场呈现“一超多强”格局:糖尿病药物占据80%份额,而生长激素、甲状旁腺疾病等细分领域增速达15%-20%,2030年规模预计突破740亿元。 维升药业避开内卷的肿瘤赛道,主攻三大蓝海领域: 生长激素市场:长春高新垄断75%份额,但长效剂型渗透率仅30%(vs 欧美60%),隆培促生长素的每周一次注射优势显著 甲状旁腺功能减退症:国内尚无替代疗法,帕罗培特立帕肽作为全球首个FIC药物,3期试验达标 软骨发育不全:患者约9万人,现有疗法仅缓解症状,那韦培肽可靶向FGFR3通路 三、打新亮点:高胜率要素拆解 行业热度:医药股2024年港股打新首日平均涨幅28%(vs 全市场19%),生物医药占超购TOP10的40% 市场热度:蜜雪集团,毛戈平,老铺黄金次新股大涨,中概腾讯,小米,阿里巴巴也引领一波上涨 保荐人:摩根士丹利+富瑞金融保荐,大摩稳价会出一点力,如果大跌他会装死 估值锚定:发行价对应PE 32倍,较长春高新(45倍)折价29%,较","listText":"一、公司定位:内分泌赛道的“技术黑马” 维升药业(02561.HK)成立于2018年,专注于内分泌疾病创新疗法研发,核心产品包括全球首个优效于日制剂的长效生长激素隆培促生长素(已提交中国上市申请),以及两款处于临床后期的突破性药物。公司依托丹麦Ascendis Pharma的TransCon长效技术平台,通过“暂时连接”分子设计延长药物半衰期,解决传统激素治疗需频繁注射的痛点,覆盖生长激素缺乏症、甲状旁腺功能减退症等适应症。 差异化优势: 技术壁垒:TransCon平台已获欧美药监局认可,隆培促生长素海外销售额达1.97亿欧元(2024年) 管线稀缺性:国内唯一针对软骨发育不全病因的那韦培肽,潜在填补50亿市场空白 商业化加速:上海、苏州生产基地已投产,B轮融资后估值超10亿美元 二、赛道潜力:非糖尿病内分泌市场的“隐形金矿” 中国内分泌药物市场呈现“一超多强”格局:糖尿病药物占据80%份额,而生长激素、甲状旁腺疾病等细分领域增速达15%-20%,2030年规模预计突破740亿元。 维升药业避开内卷的肿瘤赛道,主攻三大蓝海领域: 生长激素市场:长春高新垄断75%份额,但长效剂型渗透率仅30%(vs 欧美60%),隆培促生长素的每周一次注射优势显著 甲状旁腺功能减退症:国内尚无替代疗法,帕罗培特立帕肽作为全球首个FIC药物,3期试验达标 软骨发育不全:患者约9万人,现有疗法仅缓解症状,那韦培肽可靶向FGFR3通路 三、打新亮点:高胜率要素拆解 行业热度:医药股2024年港股打新首日平均涨幅28%(vs 全市场19%),生物医药占超购TOP10的40% 市场热度:蜜雪集团,毛戈平,老铺黄金次新股大涨,中概腾讯,小米,阿里巴巴也引领一波上涨 保荐人:摩根士丹利+富瑞金融保荐,大摩稳价会出一点力,如果大跌他会装死 估值锚定:发行价对应PE 32倍,较长春高新(45倍)折价29%,较","text":"一、公司定位:内分泌赛道的“技术黑马” 维升药业(02561.HK)成立于2018年,专注于内分泌疾病创新疗法研发,核心产品包括全球首个优效于日制剂的长效生长激素隆培促生长素(已提交中国上市申请),以及两款处于临床后期的突破性药物。公司依托丹麦Ascendis Pharma的TransCon长效技术平台,通过“暂时连接”分子设计延长药物半衰期,解决传统激素治疗需频繁注射的痛点,覆盖生长激素缺乏症、甲状旁腺功能减退症等适应症。 差异化优势: 技术壁垒:TransCon平台已获欧美药监局认可,隆培促生长素海外销售额达1.97亿欧元(2024年) 管线稀缺性:国内唯一针对软骨发育不全病因的那韦培肽,潜在填补50亿市场空白 商业化加速:上海、苏州生产基地已投产,B轮融资后估值超10亿美元 二、赛道潜力:非糖尿病内分泌市场的“隐形金矿” 中国内分泌药物市场呈现“一超多强”格局:糖尿病药物占据80%份额,而生长激素、甲状旁腺疾病等细分领域增速达15%-20%,2030年规模预计突破740亿元。 维升药业避开内卷的肿瘤赛道,主攻三大蓝海领域: 生长激素市场:长春高新垄断75%份额,但长效剂型渗透率仅30%(vs 欧美60%),隆培促生长素的每周一次注射优势显著 甲状旁腺功能减退症:国内尚无替代疗法,帕罗培特立帕肽作为全球首个FIC药物,3期试验达标 软骨发育不全:患者约9万人,现有疗法仅缓解症状,那韦培肽可靶向FGFR3通路 三、打新亮点:高胜率要素拆解 行业热度:医药股2024年港股打新首日平均涨幅28%(vs 全市场19%),生物医药占超购TOP10的40% 市场热度:蜜雪集团,毛戈平,老铺黄金次新股大涨,中概腾讯,小米,阿里巴巴也引领一波上涨 保荐人:摩根士丹利+富瑞金融保荐,大摩稳价会出一点力,如果大跌他会装死 估值锚定:发行价对应PE 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4088626949262520\">@Inmoretion</a>:应该是不会的,伯克希尔不是短线","listText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4088626949262520\">@Inmoretion</a>:之前伯克希尔买过 ULTA,短期暴涨后面跑了😂//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/4088626949262520\">@Inmoretion</a>:应该是不会的,伯克希尔不是短线","text":"Replying to @Inmoretion:之前伯克希尔买过 ULTA,短期暴涨后面跑了😂//@Inmoretion:应该是不会的,伯克希尔不是短线","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467799664316536","repostId":"467774413144120","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":467774413144120,"gmtCreate":1755219902226,"gmtModify":1755226121879,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">$联合健康(UNH)$ </a> [流泪] [笑哭] 基本面没有发生变化,就是伯克希尔买入了就大涨哈哈,昨晚刚好也买入伯克希尔。 过一段时间不懂伯克希尔会不会卖掉它?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">$联合健康(UNH)$ </a> [流泪] [笑哭] 基本面没有发生变化,就是伯克希尔买入了就大涨哈哈,昨晚刚好也买入伯克希尔。 过一段时间不懂伯克希尔会不会卖掉它?","text":"$联合健康(UNH)$ [流泪] [笑哭] 基本面没有发生变化,就是伯克希尔买入了就大涨哈哈,昨晚刚好也买入伯克希尔。 过一段时间不懂伯克希尔会不会卖掉它?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/20b0f4f13ae99d3d3903cc7992b26738","width":"1068","height":"1655"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467774413144120","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":85,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":655337655,"gmtCreate":1685189960177,"gmtModify":1685190131541,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哈哈还不错吧","listText":"哈哈还不错吧","text":"哈哈还不错吧","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71ae5cf57dd6e1ca99394f6ebd60af9d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/655337655","repostId":"180467622141992","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":180467622141992,"gmtCreate":1685081051013,"gmtModify":1685089124227,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【有奖活动】AI 自画像,画出__样的自己?","htmlText":"虎友们,你曾想过用艺术的方式展示出你内心世界的美丽吗?现在,我们为你带来了一个令人兴奋的机会,让你以全新的方式探索自己的创造力与想象力。欢迎参加“AI 自画像,画出__样的自己”活动!在评论区分享你利用AI软件设计的个性化自画像。通过AI技术的助力,你可以以前所未有的方式捕捉并表达你的独特风格。无论你是喜欢明亮色彩的艳丽风格,还是追求细腻纹理的现实主义风格,都可以在AI软件的帮助下找到与众不同的艺术表达方式。【参与方式】在评论区分享自己的AI 自画像,同时转发本贴!你的作品可以是这样的(赚钱的内心世界)也可以是这样的 (Casino,Rich Tiger, All in)或者这样的(日本动漫风虎妞)发挥你的想象力!题材不限,快艾特你的朋友一起来参与活动!【AI 绘画教程】小虎君尝试了一遍时下最火的AI绘画软件,首推几个操作相对比较简单,输入文字描述,即可生成图片的网站百度的文心大模型 https://wenxin.baidu.com/ernie-vilg微软bing https://www.bing.com/create?toWww=1&redig=E4DD0D97F6A0480F97AD92B87E43AA57Huggingface https://huggingface.co/spaces/PaddlePaddle/ERNIE-ViLGDreamstudio https://beta.dreamstudio.ai/dream当然如果追求画质且有一些代码基础的小伙伴,也可以试试Midjourney https://www.midjourney.com/homeDisco Diffusion https://colab.research.google.com/github/alembics/disco-diffusion【活动时间】活动持续到6月2日【活动奖品】凡是","listText":"虎友们,你曾想过用艺术的方式展示出你内心世界的美丽吗?现在,我们为你带来了一个令人兴奋的机会,让你以全新的方式探索自己的创造力与想象力。欢迎参加“AI 自画像,画出__样的自己”活动!在评论区分享你利用AI软件设计的个性化自画像。通过AI技术的助力,你可以以前所未有的方式捕捉并表达你的独特风格。无论你是喜欢明亮色彩的艳丽风格,还是追求细腻纹理的现实主义风格,都可以在AI软件的帮助下找到与众不同的艺术表达方式。【参与方式】在评论区分享自己的AI 自画像,同时转发本贴!你的作品可以是这样的(赚钱的内心世界)也可以是这样的 (Casino,Rich Tiger, All in)或者这样的(日本动漫风虎妞)发挥你的想象力!题材不限,快艾特你的朋友一起来参与活动!【AI 绘画教程】小虎君尝试了一遍时下最火的AI绘画软件,首推几个操作相对比较简单,输入文字描述,即可生成图片的网站百度的文心大模型 https://wenxin.baidu.com/ernie-vilg微软bing https://www.bing.com/create?toWww=1&redig=E4DD0D97F6A0480F97AD92B87E43AA57Huggingface https://huggingface.co/spaces/PaddlePaddle/ERNIE-ViLGDreamstudio https://beta.dreamstudio.ai/dream当然如果追求画质且有一些代码基础的小伙伴,也可以试试Midjourney https://www.midjourney.com/homeDisco Diffusion https://colab.research.google.com/github/alembics/disco-diffusion【活动时间】活动持续到6月2日【活动奖品】凡是","text":"虎友们,你曾想过用艺术的方式展示出你内心世界的美丽吗?现在,我们为你带来了一个令人兴奋的机会,让你以全新的方式探索自己的创造力与想象力。欢迎参加“AI 自画像,画出__样的自己”活动!在评论区分享你利用AI软件设计的个性化自画像。通过AI技术的助力,你可以以前所未有的方式捕捉并表达你的独特风格。无论你是喜欢明亮色彩的艳丽风格,还是追求细腻纹理的现实主义风格,都可以在AI软件的帮助下找到与众不同的艺术表达方式。【参与方式】在评论区分享自己的AI 自画像,同时转发本贴!你的作品可以是这样的(赚钱的内心世界)也可以是这样的 (Casino,Rich Tiger, All in)或者这样的(日本动漫风虎妞)发挥你的想象力!题材不限,快艾特你的朋友一起来参与活动!【AI 绘画教程】小虎君尝试了一遍时下最火的AI绘画软件,首推几个操作相对比较简单,输入文字描述,即可生成图片的网站百度的文心大模型 https://wenxin.baidu.com/ernie-vilg微软bing https://www.bing.com/create?toWww=1&redig=E4DD0D97F6A0480F97AD92B87E43AA57Huggingface https://huggingface.co/spaces/PaddlePaddle/ERNIE-ViLGDreamstudio https://beta.dreamstudio.ai/dream当然如果追求画质且有一些代码基础的小伙伴,也可以试试Midjourney https://www.midjourney.com/homeDisco Diffusion https://colab.research.google.com/github/alembics/disco-diffusion【活动时间】活动持续到6月2日【活动奖品】凡是","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d2457428a605af44b4c3d113eeb7da8","width":"1158","height":"1066"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2063daa714b68c4add7c212ad92998f0","width":"1024","height":"1024"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67c57f009005f6d27f8e50636bbe6a00","width":"1264","height":"1216"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180467622141992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":242333757989168,"gmtCreate":1700184803993,"gmtModify":1720499169107,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$ </a>,看不懂这个市场,难受得一批,先走了。","listText":"我平仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$ </a>,看不懂这个市场,难受得一批,先走了。","text":"我平仓了$腾讯控股(00700)$ ,看不懂这个市场,难受得一批,先走了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/242333757989168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010321","authorId":"10000000000010321","name":"冲向外太空","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18a097dcd397020c367413ebbab699d7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"10000000000010321","authorIdStr":"10000000000010321"},"content":"很正常楼主 经常有逆着市场的行为了","text":"很正常楼主 经常有逆着市场的行为了","html":"很正常楼主 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">$联合健康(UNH)$ </a>,270 建仓第一笔,如果跌到 250 和 230 再加。 这个风险有点大,不熟,这阵子太火了才去了解的。 用亏得起的钱试试","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">$联合健康(UNH)$ </a>,270 建仓第一笔,如果跌到 250 和 230 再加。 这个风险有点大,不熟,这阵子太火了才去了解的。 用亏得起的钱试试","text":"我开仓了$联合健康(UNH)$ ,270 建仓第一笔,如果跌到 250 和 230 再加。 这个风险有点大,不熟,这阵子太火了才去了解的。 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为啥给这么高杠杆"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":236229377347672,"gmtCreate":1698695201986,"gmtModify":1720499168950,"author":{"id":"3545362064796184","authorId":"3545362064796184","name":"小金历险记","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8587473a2225fadefc934e61ecd3d7f8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3545362064796184","authorIdStr":"3545362064796184"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>,200以下买点,如果有150左右价格会继续买。长期票","listText":"我开仓了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>,200以下买点,如果有150左右价格会继续买。长期票","text":"我开仓了$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 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