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赵韵文
2020-04-21
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看
抱歉，原内容已删除
赵韵文
2020-04-18
这篇文章不错，转发给大家看
@小十一eleven:USO实际损耗到底是多少
赵韵文
2020-04-07
美股的牛市是常态，熊市是短暂的…中国的熊市是常态牛市是短暂的…这反应的是中美二级市场中一个很普遍很基础的市场差异…
抱歉，原内容已删除
赵韵文
2020-04-07
哈哈哈
抱歉，原内容已删除
赵韵文
2020-03-17
见证历史的时刻…四次熔断，我见识了三次…
赵韵文
2020-03-12
股市是一个金融投资的地方，不是游戏娱乐的地方，港美股你好，我来了！！！
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a> 作为一个金融小白，最近想抄底石油，想长期拿住6-12个月，直到油价回暖。研究了一圈可以抄底的标的，中意的标的有两个，一个是<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a>，一个是直接买石油巨头的股票 ，如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOT\">$道达尔(TOT)$</a>和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">$埃克森美孚(XOM)$</a>，可是考虑到美股大盘的风险，我认为USO可以更好的跟踪油价。但我对它真实的损耗，一直弄不明白，看各路大神各种分析，但到最后都没能给出个准确的答案 - 长期持有USO的损耗到底是多少？所以我用了最笨的方法来计算它的实际损耗，如果有我没有考虑到的点，请不要犹豫的指出，大家一起讨论。 计算方法：我拉出了USO 和WTI从2008年年初到今天每天的价格，加以比较，算出USO/WTI比（因为数据太多，我从表中拉出每半年的数据方便查看）。从下图可以看到，08年年初USO/WTI比是58%，但到16年年中降到22%。这代表了什么？代表08年的时候如果油价是100元，USO价格是58元，但是到了2016年，如果油价是100元，USO的价格只有22元。按照9年平均来算，每年的损耗是10.2%。但是另一方面，从下图也可以看出，从2016年年中到今日，将近4年的时间里，USO/WTI比都稳定在20%左右区间，没有加深损耗，我觉得原因之一是因为这段时间油价的波动率与之前年份相比较小 - 换句话就是说，油价越稳定","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a> 作为一个金融小白，最近想抄底石油，想长期拿住6-12个月，直到油价回暖。研究了一圈可以抄底的标的，中意的标的有两个，一个是<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USO\">$美国原油ETF(USO)$</a>，一个是直接买石油巨头的股票 ，如<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOT\">$道达尔(TOT)$</a>和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">$埃克森美孚(XOM)$</a>，可是考虑到美股大盘的风险，我认为USO可以更好的跟踪油价。但我对它真实的损耗，一直弄不明白，看各路大神各种分析，但到最后都没能给出个准确的答案 - 长期持有USO的损耗到底是多少？所以我用了最笨的方法来计算它的实际损耗，如果有我没有考虑到的点，请不要犹豫的指出，大家一起讨论。 计算方法：我拉出了USO 和WTI从2008年年初到今天每天的价格，加以比较，算出USO/WTI比（因为数据太多，我从表中拉出每半年的数据方便查看）。从下图可以看到，08年年初USO/WTI比是58%，但到16年年中降到22%。这代表了什么？代表08年的时候如果油价是100元，USO价格是58元，但是到了2016年，如果油价是100元，USO的价格只有22元。按照9年平均来算，每年的损耗是10.2%。但是另一方面，从下图也可以看出，从2016年年中到今日，将近4年的时间里，USO/WTI比都稳定在20%左右区间，没有加深损耗，我觉得原因之一是因为这段时间油价的波动率与之前年份相比较小 - 换句话就是说，油价越稳定","text":"$美国原油ETF(USO)$ 作为一个金融小白，最近想抄底石油，想长期拿住6-12个月，直到油价回暖。研究了一圈可以抄底的标的，中意的标的有两个，一个是$美国原油ETF(USO)$，一个是直接买石油巨头的股票 ，如$道达尔(TOT)$和$埃克森美孚(XOM)$，可是考虑到美股大盘的风险，我认为USO可以更好的跟踪油价。但我对它真实的损耗，一直弄不明白，看各路大神各种分析，但到最后都没能给出个准确的答案 - 长期持有USO的损耗到底是多少？所以我用了最笨的方法来计算它的实际损耗，如果有我没有考虑到的点，请不要犹豫的指出，大家一起讨论。 计算方法：我拉出了USO 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