BuffettShan的个人主页 - 老虎社区

BuffettShan

BuffettShan

芝麻开花

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14关注

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3主题

0勋章

2020-07-08

$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$35卖了，有卖的报道喽

2020-07-04

$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$有没有打此股的？

2020-06-10

$优克联(UCL)$24.75卖了[龇牙]

2020-06-10

$优克联(UCL)$中签的报道，我中了10股[笑哭]

2020-07-13

$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$35出了，现在20能不能接回来？

2020-07-16

投机没有好下场

让空头血本无归的特斯拉，还能入场吗？

2020-05-08

$金山云(KC)$中了112股，到账50股？

2021-01-21

1块的时候你怎么不说话？

大和：蔚来商业模式具创新，予目标价100美元

2020-05-09

$金山云(KC)$21卖了好难过😭

2020-10-09

$洪恩教育(IH)$200中5

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n紫金黄金国际港交所上市招股认购结果出炉\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-09-26 19:31 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250926193530a69ffe72&s=b><strong>新浪财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>来源：观点地产网观点网讯：9月26日，紫金黄金国际公布新股认购结果。该股为紫金矿业国际金矿业务分拆上市标的，于9月25日结束认购，券商陆续向投资者发出中签通知。据券商数据显示，投资者需斥资506万元认购700手（7万股）方可确保中签，获分配4手。顶头槌飞（最高申购档）投资者投入12.6亿元认购1744.95万股，最终获派188手。乙组申购中，百万股级别认购获派2300股至1.77万股不等。社交平台...</p>\n\n<a 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[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342151162","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4241,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":354170115,"gmtCreate":1617154409737,"gmtModify":1617154409737,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354170115","repostId":"1125167322","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1125167322","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616996555,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125167322?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-29 13:42","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"教培整顿风暴山雨欲来","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125167322","media":"北京商报","summary":"中国的教育公平，一边在校内努力修正，一边在校外加速扭曲。\n\n被称为史上最严的教培行业整顿风暴，正在经历“山雨欲来”的动荡时刻。\n连日来，几份网传文件虽未得到官方证实，却在民间社交平台广为流传。文件要害","content":"<div>\n<p>中国的教育公平，一边在校内努力修正，一边在校外加速扭曲。\n\n被称为史上最严的教培行业整顿风暴，正在经历“山雨欲来”的动荡时刻。\n连日来，几份网传文件虽未得到官方证实，却在民间社交平台广为流传。文件要害在于，校外工作上聚焦“三限”，即限培训机构数量、限时间、限价格。甚至在一段网络录音中，有执法人员称6岁以下儿童禁止进行学科培训。\n先声夺人。这些未被官方证实的传言，联想到一段时间来围绕教培与学区房监管...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/An6i-xvWHr8B01RhH89hKA\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"BJSB","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>教培整顿风暴山雨欲来</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n教培整顿风暴山雨欲来\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-29 13:42 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/An6i-xvWHr8B01RhH89hKA><strong>北京商报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>中国的教育公平，一边在校内努力修正，一边在校外加速扭曲。\n\n被称为史上最严的教培行业整顿风暴，正在经历“山雨欲来”的动荡时刻。\n连日来，几份网传文件虽未得到官方证实，却在民间社交平台广为流传。文件要害在于，校外工作上聚焦“三限”，即限培训机构数量、限时间、限价格。甚至在一段网络录音中，有执法人员称6岁以下儿童禁止进行学科培训。\n先声夺人。这些未被官方证实的传言，联想到一段时间来围绕教培与学区房监管...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/An6i-xvWHr8B01RhH89hKA\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70a6f78103f56f244e3677b9f33b75e","relate_stocks":{"EDU":"新东方","GSX":"Tradr 2X Long GS Daily ETF","09901":"新东方-S","TAL":"好未来"},"source_url":"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/An6i-xvWHr8B01RhH89hKA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125167322","content_text":"中国的教育公平，一边在校内努力修正，一边在校外加速扭曲。\n\n被称为史上最严的教培行业整顿风暴，正在经历“山雨欲来”的动荡时刻。\n连日来，几份网传文件虽未得到官方证实，却在民间社交平台广为流传。文件要害在于，校外工作上聚焦“三限”，即限培训机构数量、限时间、限价格。甚至在一段网络录音中，有执法人员称6岁以下儿童禁止进行学科培训。\n先声夺人。这些未被官方证实的传言，联想到一段时间来围绕教培与学区房监管的招招数数，进一步催化了市场上的焦虑情绪，整个教培行业风声鹤唳。北京时间3月27日美股盘后，三大补习培训巨头好未来、新东方、跟谁学市值蒸发数百亿。\n校内减负，校外补。长期以来，以校园为分界线，中国的教育公平，一边在校内努力修正，一边在校外加速扭曲。不安的机构、迷茫的家长、背后的学校，被一同卷入其中，各为中心又互为中心，成为多个风暴眼，随之引发了关于中国教育议题的全民大讨论。\n减负的大背景下，能够跑赢对手的超纲教育，没有悬念地被寄望于教培机构。而大量以盈利为目的，完全市场化的教培机构也踊跃担起重任，加大投入，聘请优质师资，蜂拥而至。它们一边成全课业以外，家长们愿意额外买单的超纲教育，一边努力填补“学前”空白，让没上学的孩子可以学到更多。\n由此而来的，校外教育也被贴上精英化、内卷化、拉美化等标签。几年前，就有专家撰文警示，中国公立教育陷入“拉美”陷阱。越是教育资源集中之地，越是教培机构的兵家必争之地，大量中高收入家长逃离公共教育体系，在校外以更高的价格购买更高水准的教育服务，公立教育机构面临沦为“低质化”的考问。\n教培市场玩出了花样，也玩出了火。市场变大，门槛走低，“预付款”“退费难”“卷钱跑路”层出不穷。最严监管在情理之中，意在抑制教育领域的投资过热和走火入魔，防范系统性风险，守住城市中不同群体间教育公平的底线。\n划定红线，其实是教育领域的“去杠杆”和“再平衡”。对于现金流良好的教育巨头来说，可以坚持活下来并随时准备扩大规模，而对于现金流有点问题的巨头及中小机构来说，加速出清可能是为数不多的出路。\n如今，教培机构所经历的起伏变迁，无不清晰地透露出全社会无处安放的教育焦虑。伴随着低生育和子女数量减少，让父母们经不起一点无论是健康还是失败方面的风险。\n这些年，我们努力倡导，尊重个体，尊重个体差异的教育，希望教育是一场超越自我的修行。但留给类似期许的空间，依旧相对逼仄，相对狭小。家长们最大的努力方向，仍是现实而 “保险”的，即通过获得更好的教育，赢在起跑线上，赢过别人。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09901":0.9,"TAL":0.9,"GSX":0.9,"EDU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":324229692,"gmtCreate":1615996233916,"gmtModify":1703496202128,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"拼多多以前挺好，现在喜欢玩套路，而且越陷越深","listText":"拼多多以前挺好，现在喜欢玩套路，而且越陷越深","text":"拼多多以前挺好，现在喜欢玩套路，而且越陷越深","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324229692","repostId":"2120180869","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2120180869","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615994460,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2120180869?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-17 23:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"拼多多暴跌背后：GMV不及预期、毛利率断崖，黄峥辞职","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2120180869","media":"砍柴网","summary":"拼多多财报发布后，盘前股价开始下跌，开盘后更是一度大跌10%。虽然拼多多重点强调本次用户数的增长，但投资者没有买账的原因在于，首先GMV不及预期。本季度GMV增长约为5800亿，同比增长了57%，不仅是历史最低，也低于市场预期。本季度拼多多的人均客单价为2115.2元，增速同样在下降，由此可见，拼多多用户的购买频率并没有得到提升。","content":"<html><body><article><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>财报发布后，盘前股价开始下跌，开盘后更是一度大跌10%。虽然拼多多重点强调本次用户数的增长，但投资者没有买账的原因在于，首先GMV不及预期。本季度GMV增长约为5800亿，同比增长了57%，不仅是历史最低，也低于市场预期。本季度拼多多的人均客单价为2115.2元，增速同样在下降，由此可见，拼多多用户的购买频率并没有得到提升。在4季度传统的电商旺季，加上拼多多之前大力投入了社区团购这样高频次购买的业务，现在数据显然让市场失望了。</p><p>更令投资者忧虑的是，社区团购不仅拉低了拼多多的平均客单价，并且新增的购买用户也没有带来整个平台更强的购买频次。如果抛开社区团购这个高频的购买，去计算整体平台的粘性，也没有拼多多日活显示的那么高，（并且这部分日活还要计入拼多多砍一刀，和游戏带来的点击量）用户上个季度仍然在淘宝或者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>上买东西的时间更多。</p><p>还有一个拼多多长期无法解决的问题，就是用户质量持续低下——拼多多的ARPU长期徘徊在2000RMB左右，虽然用了百亿补贴的品牌战略想要提升，但显然没有收到更好的效果，本次财报电话会拼多多也提到了自己的自营项目，在我们看来，这是拼多多为了提升用户质量的一个举措，但这个行为无疑是一个重<span>资产</span>的投入，拼多多由自己擅长的轻资产，要投入京东那样的重资产了吗？这个行为看起来让很多投资者难以理解，更像是拼多多在自乱阵脚。</p><p>在财报后的电话会上，拼多多又强调未来将进一步对物流和仓储进行投入，加上自营模式，会更加拉低拼多多的毛利率，这已经在本次财报中体现出来，毛利率出现了断崖式的下跌，背后又是营业成本的大幅增加了466%，按照拼多多在投资者电话会上的说法，未来仍然将加大投入，那么最致命的问题出现了。当拼多多的用户量和淘宝持平时，也就同时到达了增长的天花板，未来投资者必然要更加注重拼多多的盈利能力，而本次财报拼多多的利润表现不佳，毛利率又显示出下降的趋势，那么未来拼多多的故事将如何讲述下去？</p><p>最后一点，创始人黄峥的辞职，他手中的超级投票权也将失效，这对一间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V03.SI\">创业公司</a>来说，创始人的掌控力被削弱，甚至远离核心管理层，未来拼多多的战略执行力很大程度上将大打折扣，今天投资者已经用实际行动，给出了他们的态度。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n拼多多暴跌背后：GMV不及预期、毛利率断崖，黄峥辞职\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-17 23:21 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103172322117d3aedbc&s=b><strong>砍柴网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>拼多多财报发布后，盘前股价开始下跌，开盘后更是一度大跌10%。虽然拼多多重点强调本次用户数的增长，但投资者没有买账的原因在于，首先GMV不及预期。本季度GMV增长约为5800亿，同比增长了57%，不仅是历史最低，也低于市场预期。本季度拼多多的人均客单价为2115.2元，增速同样在下降，由此可见，拼多多用户的购买频率并没有得到提升。在4季度传统的电商旺季，加上拼多多之前大力投入了社区团购这样高频次...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103172322117d3aedbc&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ad0916074d4fd8a0d19716314c632dc","relate_stocks":{"PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103172322117d3aedbc&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2120180869","content_text":"拼多多财报发布后，盘前股价开始下跌，开盘后更是一度大跌10%。虽然拼多多重点强调本次用户数的增长，但投资者没有买账的原因在于，首先GMV不及预期。本季度GMV增长约为5800亿，同比增长了57%，不仅是历史最低，也低于市场预期。本季度拼多多的人均客单价为2115.2元，增速同样在下降，由此可见，拼多多用户的购买频率并没有得到提升。在4季度传统的电商旺季，加上拼多多之前大力投入了社区团购这样高频次购买的业务，现在数据显然让市场失望了。更令投资者忧虑的是，社区团购不仅拉低了拼多多的平均客单价，并且新增的购买用户也没有带来整个平台更强的购买频次。如果抛开社区团购这个高频的购买，去计算整体平台的粘性，也没有拼多多日活显示的那么高，（并且这部分日活还要计入拼多多砍一刀，和游戏带来的点击量）用户上个季度仍然在淘宝或者京东上买东西的时间更多。还有一个拼多多长期无法解决的问题，就是用户质量持续低下——拼多多的ARPU长期徘徊在2000RMB左右，虽然用了百亿补贴的品牌战略想要提升，但显然没有收到更好的效果，本次财报电话会拼多多也提到了自己的自营项目，在我们看来，这是拼多多为了提升用户质量的一个举措，但这个行为无疑是一个重资产的投入，拼多多由自己擅长的轻资产，要投入京东那样的重资产了吗？这个行为看起来让很多投资者难以理解，更像是拼多多在自乱阵脚。在财报后的电话会上，拼多多又强调未来将进一步对物流和仓储进行投入，加上自营模式，会更加拉低拼多多的毛利率，这已经在本次财报中体现出来，毛利率出现了断崖式的下跌，背后又是营业成本的大幅增加了466%，按照拼多多在投资者电话会上的说法，未来仍然将加大投入，那么最致命的问题出现了。当拼多多的用户量和淘宝持平时，也就同时到达了增长的天花板，未来投资者必然要更加注重拼多多的盈利能力，而本次财报拼多多的利润表现不佳，毛利率又显示出下降的趋势，那么未来拼多多的故事将如何讲述下去？最后一点，创始人黄峥的辞职，他手中的超级投票权也将失效，这对一间创业公司来说，创始人的掌控力被削弱，甚至远离核心管理层，未来拼多多的战略执行力很大程度上将大打折扣，今天投资者已经用实际行动，给出了他们的态度。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PDD":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318317295,"gmtCreate":1611844210117,"gmtModify":1703754822171,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美国散户？散户难道能组织起来？不相信","listText":"美国散户？散户难道能组织起来？不相信","text":"美国散户？散户难道能组织起来？不相信","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318317295","repostId":"1103935924","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":337751774,"gmtCreate":1611215144798,"gmtModify":1703748837753,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1块的时候你怎么不说话？","listText":"1块的时候你怎么不说话？","text":"1块的时候你怎么不说话？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/337751774","repostId":"1152343939","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":334080324,"gmtCreate":1610672560068,"gmtModify":1703746104472,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"此厮死有余辜，希望它卸任之后住几十年板房","listText":"此厮死有余辜，希望它卸任之后住几十年板房","text":"此厮死有余辜，希望它卸任之后住几十年板房","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334080324","repostId":"1120129269","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391066928,"gmtCreate":1606442532364,"gmtModify":1703843078339,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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11:27","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大华继显：中芯国际(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2079694835","media":"财华社","summary":"大华继显发布报告，中芯国际(00981-HK)股价刚上穿主要阻力位21.45港元，而正在上升的10天(橙色)移动平均线正发挥支持作用。日线图RSI稳企于50%的中性水平上，并正走高。MACD正在0水平...","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>\r\n                原标题：大华继显：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMI\">中芯国际</a>(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元\r\n            </p>\n<p><img border=\"0\" height=\"276\" src=\"https://webquoteklinepic.eastmoney.com/GetPic.aspx?nid=116.00981&amp;imageType=k&amp;token=28dfeb41d35cc81d84b4664d7c23c49f&amp;at=1\" width=\"578\"/></p><p>　　大华继显发布<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/报告\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">报告</span>，<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688981\">中芯国际</a></span>(00981-HK)股价刚上穿主要阻力位21.45<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/港元\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">港元</span>，而正在上升的10天(橙色)移动平<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/均线\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">均线</span>正发挥支持作用。日<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/线图\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">线图</span>RSI稳企于50%的中性水平上，并正走高。MACD正在0水平以下转向上。</p><div></div><p>　　<span href=\"http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/116.00981\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a></span>买入区间为21.85港元至22港元，只要守住16.74港元，可望进一步上升至24.10港元及26.40港元。倘下破16.74港元，则表示上穿为假突破，故<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/投资\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">投资</span>者应<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/平仓\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">平仓</span>以控制<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/风险\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">风险</span>。预期平均时限：约2周。</p><p>（文章来源：财华社）</p>\n<p>\r\n                (责任编辑：DF537)\r\n            </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"stock_eastmoney","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大华继显：中芯国际(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-10-29 11:27 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202010291681256481.html><strong>财华社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题：大华继显：中芯国际(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元\r\n            \n　　大华继显发布报告，中芯国际(00981-HK)股价刚上穿主要阻力位21.45港元，而正在上升的10天(橙色)移动平均线正发挥支持作用。日线图RSI稳企于50%的中性水平上，并正走高。MACD正在0水平以下转向上。　　中芯国际买入区间为21.85港元至22港元，只要守住16.74港元，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202010291681256481.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"688981":"中芯国际","00981":"中芯国际","SMI":"VanEck HIP Sustainable Muni ETF"},"source_url":"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202010291681256481.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2079694835","content_text":"原标题：大华继显：中芯国际(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元\r\n            \n　　大华继显发布报告，中芯国际(00981-HK)股价刚上穿主要阻力位21.45港元，而正在上升的10天(橙色)移动平均线正发挥支持作用。日线图RSI稳企于50%的中性水平上，并正走高。MACD正在0水平以下转向上。　　中芯国际买入区间为21.85港元至22港元，只要守住16.74港元，可望进一步上升至24.10港元及26.40港元。倘下破16.74港元，则表示上穿为假突破，故投资者应平仓以控制风险。预期平均时限：约2周。（文章来源：财华社）\n\r\n                (责任编辑：DF537)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"688981":1,"00981":1,"SMI":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3199,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":300246190,"gmtCreate":1602249752410,"gmtModify":1703826230642,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>200中5","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>200中5","text":"$洪恩教育(IH)$200中5","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/300246190","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547760058269543","authorId":"3547760058269543","name":"一路向上冲","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a55c27ae3963a6d98e8a31041909b5b","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3547760058269543","idStr":"3547760058269543"},"content":"今天早了？","text":"今天早了？","html":"今天早了？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":978876082,"gmtCreate":1599200232646,"gmtModify":1704221979531,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"那你好好做空吧，到时再火烧你们[贱笑]&nbsp;","listText":"那你好好做空吧，到时再火烧你们[贱笑]&nbsp;","text":"那你好好做空吧，到时再火烧你们[贱笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/978876082","repostId":"2064264351","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2064264351","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1599179157,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2064264351?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-09-04 08:25","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉(TSLA.US)电池遭空头质疑：目标价只有19美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2064264351","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，9月3日，特斯拉(TSLA.US)空头Gordon Johnson参加了一场与《特斯拉日报》Rob Maurer的现场辩论。Johnson表示，对特斯拉及其电动汽车持怀疑态度，他认","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP获悉，9月3日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA.US)空头Gordon Johnson参加了一场与《特斯拉日报》Rob Maurer的现场辩论。</p><p>Johnson表示，对特斯拉及其电动汽车持怀疑态度，他认为该公司股价的目标价为19美元。在这场辩论中，Johnson最具争议的观点是特斯拉在电池方面没有技术优势，而且它的续航里程评级是“误导性的”。</p><p>Johnson认为，特斯拉的电池是由松下、LG化学和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a>生产的，任何汽车制造商都能买到。但Maurer反驳称，如果其他汽车制造商都能买到电池，那么其他汽车公司却没有能够在电动车续航里程上与特斯拉相提并论。</p><p>Johnson则继续反驳，特斯拉的优势其实并不存在，其续航里程评级是“误导性的”。当用户实际驾驶特斯拉的时候，续航里程并没有像宣传所说的标准。</p><p>据悉，外界普遍认为，特斯拉的汽车续航里程要远远超出市面上的其他竞争对手。Model  S目前获得了监管部门EPA给出的最高电动汽车续航里程评估，达到402英里。Johnson透露，尽管Lucid等其他汽车厂商获得的EPA续航里程评估要好于Model  S，但这些汽车尚未面市。Lucid Air最近得到的续航里程评估达到517英里，但这款车的发布日期要等到9月9日。</p><p>事实上，EPA估计的车辆续航里程受某些条件制约，与真实驾驶环境并不完全相同，但就车主每次充电可以获得的续航里程数来说，这个估计相对准确。在进行评估时，EPA会要求车辆以不同速度行驶，并开启空调等其他耗电的功能。此外车主已经证明，特斯拉确实能达到宣传的续航里程数，有时甚至能够超过。</p><p>特斯拉股价周四收跌9.02%，报407美元，美股盘后续跌6.54%。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉(TSLA.US)电池遭空头质疑：目标价只有19美元</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉(TSLA.US)电池遭空头质疑：目标价只有19美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-09-04 08:25 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/334663.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，9月3日，特斯拉(TSLA.US)空头Gordon Johnson参加了一场与《特斯拉日报》Rob Maurer的现场辩论。Johnson表示，对特斯拉及其电动汽车持怀疑态度，他认为该公司股价的目标价为19美元。在这场辩论中，Johnson最具争议的观点是特斯拉在电池方面没有技术优势，而且它的续航里程评级是“误导性的”。Johnson认为，特斯拉的电池是由松下、LG化学和宁德...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/334663.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9749762c5ee11a52030b4c66a89c8026","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/334663.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2064264351","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，9月3日，特斯拉(TSLA.US)空头Gordon Johnson参加了一场与《特斯拉日报》Rob Maurer的现场辩论。Johnson表示，对特斯拉及其电动汽车持怀疑态度，他认为该公司股价的目标价为19美元。在这场辩论中，Johnson最具争议的观点是特斯拉在电池方面没有技术优势，而且它的续航里程评级是“误导性的”。Johnson认为，特斯拉的电池是由松下、LG化学和宁德时代生产的，任何汽车制造商都能买到。但Maurer反驳称，如果其他汽车制造商都能买到电池，那么其他汽车公司却没有能够在电动车续航里程上与特斯拉相提并论。Johnson则继续反驳，特斯拉的优势其实并不存在，其续航里程评级是“误导性的”。当用户实际驾驶特斯拉的时候，续航里程并没有像宣传所说的标准。据悉，外界普遍认为，特斯拉的汽车续航里程要远远超出市面上的其他竞争对手。Model  S目前获得了监管部门EPA给出的最高电动汽车续航里程评估，达到402英里。Johnson透露，尽管Lucid等其他汽车厂商获得的EPA续航里程评估要好于Model  S，但这些汽车尚未面市。Lucid Air最近得到的续航里程评估达到517英里，但这款车的发布日期要等到9月9日。事实上，EPA估计的车辆续航里程受某些条件制约，与真实驾驶环境并不完全相同，但就车主每次充电可以获得的续航里程数来说，这个估计相对准确。在进行评估时，EPA会要求车辆以不同速度行驶，并开启空调等其他耗电的功能。此外车主已经证明，特斯拉确实能达到宣传的续航里程数，有时甚至能够超过。特斯拉股价周四收跌9.02%，报407美元，美股盘后续跌6.54%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":947361199,"gmtCreate":1597210310711,"gmtModify":1704214902916,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"中国股市的把戏被洋鬼子学会了","listText":"中国股市的把戏被洋鬼子学会了","text":"中国股市的把戏被洋鬼子学会了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/947361199","repostId":"2058054258","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941260290,"gmtCreate":1594911819210,"gmtModify":1704207437988,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"投机没有好下场","listText":"投机没有好下场","text":"投机没有好下场","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941260290","repostId":"1188775292","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188775292","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1594896086,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188775292?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-07-16 18:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"让空头血本无归的特斯拉，还能入场吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188775292","media":"Stansberry贝瑞...","summary":"说起特斯拉的股票，我总想起一句话：没有最精彩，只有更精彩！","content":"<p><b>前言：风口浪尖的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>，买不买？你一看就会的特斯拉期权策略。</b></p><p>说起特斯拉的股票，我总想起一句话：没有最精彩，只有更精彩！最近特斯拉的表现让我再次想起这句话，当然，还有下半句：好戏在后头。</p><p>这一年内特斯拉股票有多疯狂，我就不赘述了，咱们边看数据边说：</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11d3de44394343506606e802a78bf1b\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"158\"></p><p>(数据来源：marketchameleon)</p><p>截止到美国时间7月13日，特斯拉一年内涨幅达到634%，13号单日振幅超过20%，换手率高达26%，成交量是90天日均成交量的2.49倍，20天历史波动率达到80.2。就这行情，看盘的时候都得带着速效救心丸。</p><p>特斯拉近日的三高（高价，高换手率和高成交量）意味着什么，肯定不止一种解读。但是有一点很肯定：多空分歧进一步加剧。其实“进一步加剧”这几个字有点轻描淡写了，完全不足以描述这里面的血雨腥风。空头这几个月被打得血流成河，几百亿的资金灰飞烟灭，但仍有大量的空头前仆后继。而多头更是把特斯拉当成一种信仰。</p><p>信仰是什么？信仰就是：我相信，我看见。</p><p>一边是信仰，一边是复仇大联盟，那些不那么坚决的投资者接下来该怎么操作呢？</p><p>我这里想和大家探讨一下straddle（跨式期权）和strangle（鞍式期权）的运用。其实straddle and strangle本身都是高风险的策略，血本无归的情况经常发生。</p><p><b>但是，为什么我会在现在提出来这种策略呢？原因有三：</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ee457253ed26294845a55e036a45e4f\" tg-width=\"775\" tg-height=\"275\"></p><p><b>为股价波动性而生的straddle期权</b></p><p>做美股交易的朋友对期权应该都不太陌生。基本的期权分为两种：call option （看涨期权）和put option （看跌期权）。这两种期权分别有两种交易方向，买和卖。</p><p>买入看涨期权是指投资者支付期权对价，获得以执行价格在合约期内买入一定数量股票的权利。</p><p>举个例子说，股票A的当前价格是99块钱，如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看涨期权，到期日是两周以后。那么，在期权合同结束之前的任一天，不论当天股价涨到了110还是220，你都可以选择以100元的价格买入股票A。也就是说，如果股价超过107元，你就盈利了。如果股价低于100元，不论是90还是50，你的损失都是7元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25d33b4d4ebd288286f1c7bbd71e0c30\" tg-width=\"393\" tg-height=\"214\"></p><p>同理，买入看跌期权，就是预期股票会跌，股票下跌时投资者获利。买入看跌期权是指投资者支付期权对价，获得以执行价格在合约期内卖出一定数量股票的权利。</p><p>以上面的例子说，股票A的当前价格是99块钱，如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看跌期权，到期日是两周以后。那么，在期权合同结束之前的任一天，不论当天股价跌到了90还是60，你都可以选择以100元的价格卖出股票A。也就是说，如果股价低于93元，你就盈利了。如果股价高于100元，不论是110还是220，你的损失都是7元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f2f5c930d1880a5bde7dcb8d99fa7cb\" tg-width=\"533\" tg-height=\"293\"></p><p>看涨期权和看跌期权是投资者对股价有一定的上涨或下跌的方向判断时做的投资策略。可是，如果，我们对上涨还是下跌心里没谱怎么办？特斯拉这一年内的历史波动率是74.5，股价一路上蹿下跳，仅7月13日一个交易日就从涨16%直线下落到跌3%，涨跌幅度就有323.88美元。</p><p><b>因此，当我们不确定股价的方向，但是确定他的波动性时，我们可以考虑在预测其波动性上投资一笔，也就是我们期权交易中的straddle策略。</b>买入straddle就是投资者同时买入相同执行价、相同到期日的看涨期权和看跌期权的交易策略。接下来，让我们来看看基于当下的特斯拉走势，如何构建一个straddle模型。</p><p><b>如何为TSLA构建Straddle策略</b></p><p>下图是我在美国时间7月12日建立的straddle, 当天收盘价是$1547.31，我同时买入一个call和一个put，合约期都是到7月24日，行权价都是$1550。期权价格的计算相当复杂，但是和波动性是正相关的关系，近期特斯拉的期权价格也是涨到了天上。我们可以看到一个call的价格是$142.9，一个put的价格是$144.6，都相当贵。注意，这不是一份期权合约（100 call）的价格哦。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c200b180538c13dcef47538c82d2da0\" tg-width=\"864\" tg-height=\"262\"></p><p>如图所示，持有一份straddle的总成本是$287.50，如果股价超过$1837.5或者跌破$1262.5，这个straddle模型就会盈利。反之，如果股价在$1262.5到$1837.5之间波动，投资者就会亏损，亏损的具体金额可以从上图看出，价格越接近行权价，亏损越大，最大亏损为$287.50。</p><p>$287.5贵不贵？贵。可是放在单日振幅$323.88面前就不显得那么吓人了。<b>高波动率是买入期权的基本条件。</b></p><p>那么，下一个问题：</p><p><b>买入何时的期权合约？</b></p><p>交易活跃的股票期权的合约期通常以周为单位向后滚动，到期日离得越远的期权，价格越贵。选择离得近的期权，好处是成本相对来说低一些，但是时间风险很大。要知道，期权到期后如果没有达到行权价就是废纸一张，不像股票，你可以长期持有，以时间换空间。</p><p>那我为什么选择7月24日到期的期权呢？原因很简单：因为7月22日是特斯拉公布Q2财报的日子。通常来说，公布财报后股价都有可能大幅波动。这里我选取过去四个季度财报公布当天或次日（如果是盘后公布）的股价表现，可以看出此时的股价波动幅度明显大于均值。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a85871e4079af349db9c64386dc836c\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"291\"></p><p>除了对财报公布后的震荡预期外，再结合今年宏观环境下市场对于特斯拉的期望来看：</p><p>这一次全球遭遇前所未有的经济停摆，特斯拉在这种大环境下的业绩表现对投资者尤为重要。特斯拉今年二季度生产82272辆电动汽车，向消费者交付90650辆，交付量高于一季度的88400辆，也超出了分析师的预期，市场预期这个季度有可能实现季度盈利。如果是这样，那不管是股价还是期权价格本身都会大涨。反之，如果财报出来不如预期，股价会应声向下。总之，震荡行情有望延续。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4993c2d087425831848fee026cb1983\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"206\"></p><p>（数据来源：特斯拉官网）</p><p>除了公布财报，四年一次的美国大选，公布并购决定，股票被做空等事件驱动都是适合建立straddle的时机。</p><p><b>Strangle和Straddle的区别</b></p><p>Strangle中文叫做鞍式期权，和straddle不同的是，买入的call和put的行权价格不同。好处是成本相对低一些，缺点是达到盈亏平衡点的幅度更宽。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241938c8024a4fd4e5363b2a0557020d\" tg-width=\"864\" tg-height=\"289\"></p><p>上面是我建立的strangle模型，到期日都是7月24日，call的行权价是$1700，put的行权价是1400。由于行权价离当日股价有一定偏离，这两个期权的价格相对较低，这样可以把成本降到$166.08，盈亏平衡点相对往外扩展$30左右。看起来好像更合适，但是，一定记得，当股价在$1400到$1700之间波动时，你是血本无归的。</p><p><b>至于选择straddle还是strangle，说到底还是你对股价波动率和振幅的预期。而预期这个东西，在特斯拉身上，你敢随便说吗？</b></p>","source":"lsy1577199619107","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>让空头血本无归的特斯拉，还能入场吗？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n让空头血本无归的特斯拉，还能入场吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-07-16 18:41 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_j5dFY3Vjza0krjktZwpWg><strong>Stansberry贝瑞...</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>前言：风口浪尖的特斯拉，买不买？你一看就会的特斯拉期权策略。说起特斯拉的股票，我总想起一句话：没有最精彩，只有更精彩！最近特斯拉的表现让我再次想起这句话，当然，还有下半句：好戏在后头。这一年内特斯拉股票有多疯狂，我就不赘述了，咱们边看数据边说：(数据来源：marketchameleon)截止到美国时间7月13日，特斯拉一年内涨幅达到634%，13号单日振幅超过20%，换手率高达26%，成交量是90...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_j5dFY3Vjza0krjktZwpWg\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/968c7f56416ea450ba452ed25e324d2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_j5dFY3Vjza0krjktZwpWg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188775292","content_text":"前言：风口浪尖的特斯拉，买不买？你一看就会的特斯拉期权策略。说起特斯拉的股票，我总想起一句话：没有最精彩，只有更精彩！最近特斯拉的表现让我再次想起这句话，当然，还有下半句：好戏在后头。这一年内特斯拉股票有多疯狂，我就不赘述了，咱们边看数据边说：(数据来源：marketchameleon)截止到美国时间7月13日，特斯拉一年内涨幅达到634%，13号单日振幅超过20%，换手率高达26%，成交量是90天日均成交量的2.49倍，20天历史波动率达到80.2。就这行情，看盘的时候都得带着速效救心丸。特斯拉近日的三高（高价，高换手率和高成交量）意味着什么，肯定不止一种解读。但是有一点很肯定：多空分歧进一步加剧。其实“进一步加剧”这几个字有点轻描淡写了，完全不足以描述这里面的血雨腥风。空头这几个月被打得血流成河，几百亿的资金灰飞烟灭，但仍有大量的空头前仆后继。而多头更是把特斯拉当成一种信仰。信仰是什么？信仰就是：我相信，我看见。一边是信仰，一边是复仇大联盟，那些不那么坚决的投资者接下来该怎么操作呢？我这里想和大家探讨一下straddle（跨式期权）和strangle（鞍式期权）的运用。其实straddle and strangle本身都是高风险的策略，血本无归的情况经常发生。但是，为什么我会在现在提出来这种策略呢？原因有三：为股价波动性而生的straddle期权做美股交易的朋友对期权应该都不太陌生。基本的期权分为两种：call option （看涨期权）和put option （看跌期权）。这两种期权分别有两种交易方向，买和卖。买入看涨期权是指投资者支付期权对价，获得以执行价格在合约期内买入一定数量股票的权利。举个例子说，股票A的当前价格是99块钱，如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看涨期权，到期日是两周以后。那么，在期权合同结束之前的任一天，不论当天股价涨到了110还是220，你都可以选择以100元的价格买入股票A。也就是说，如果股价超过107元，你就盈利了。如果股价低于100元，不论是90还是50，你的损失都是7元。同理，买入看跌期权，就是预期股票会跌，股票下跌时投资者获利。买入看跌期权是指投资者支付期权对价，获得以执行价格在合约期内卖出一定数量股票的权利。以上面的例子说，股票A的当前价格是99块钱，如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看跌期权，到期日是两周以后。那么，在期权合同结束之前的任一天，不论当天股价跌到了90还是60，你都可以选择以100元的价格卖出股票A。也就是说，如果股价低于93元，你就盈利了。如果股价高于100元，不论是110还是220，你的损失都是7元。看涨期权和看跌期权是投资者对股价有一定的上涨或下跌的方向判断时做的投资策略。可是，如果，我们对上涨还是下跌心里没谱怎么办？特斯拉这一年内的历史波动率是74.5，股价一路上蹿下跳，仅7月13日一个交易日就从涨16%直线下落到跌3%，涨跌幅度就有323.88美元。因此，当我们不确定股价的方向，但是确定他的波动性时，我们可以考虑在预测其波动性上投资一笔，也就是我们期权交易中的straddle策略。买入straddle就是投资者同时买入相同执行价、相同到期日的看涨期权和看跌期权的交易策略。接下来，让我们来看看基于当下的特斯拉走势，如何构建一个straddle模型。如何为TSLA构建Straddle策略下图是我在美国时间7月12日建立的straddle, 当天收盘价是$1547.31，我同时买入一个call和一个put，合约期都是到7月24日，行权价都是$1550。期权价格的计算相当复杂，但是和波动性是正相关的关系，近期特斯拉的期权价格也是涨到了天上。我们可以看到一个call的价格是$142.9，一个put的价格是$144.6，都相当贵。注意，这不是一份期权合约（100 call）的价格哦。如图所示，持有一份straddle的总成本是$287.50，如果股价超过$1837.5或者跌破$1262.5，这个straddle模型就会盈利。反之，如果股价在$1262.5到$1837.5之间波动，投资者就会亏损，亏损的具体金额可以从上图看出，价格越接近行权价，亏损越大，最大亏损为$287.50。$287.5贵不贵？贵。可是放在单日振幅$323.88面前就不显得那么吓人了。高波动率是买入期权的基本条件。那么，下一个问题：买入何时的期权合约？交易活跃的股票期权的合约期通常以周为单位向后滚动，到期日离得越远的期权，价格越贵。选择离得近的期权，好处是成本相对来说低一些，但是时间风险很大。要知道，期权到期后如果没有达到行权价就是废纸一张，不像股票，你可以长期持有，以时间换空间。那我为什么选择7月24日到期的期权呢？原因很简单：因为7月22日是特斯拉公布Q2财报的日子。通常来说，公布财报后股价都有可能大幅波动。这里我选取过去四个季度财报公布当天或次日（如果是盘后公布）的股价表现，可以看出此时的股价波动幅度明显大于均值。除了对财报公布后的震荡预期外，再结合今年宏观环境下市场对于特斯拉的期望来看：这一次全球遭遇前所未有的经济停摆，特斯拉在这种大环境下的业绩表现对投资者尤为重要。特斯拉今年二季度生产82272辆电动汽车，向消费者交付90650辆，交付量高于一季度的88400辆，也超出了分析师的预期，市场预期这个季度有可能实现季度盈利。如果是这样，那不管是股价还是期权价格本身都会大涨。反之，如果财报出来不如预期，股价会应声向下。总之，震荡行情有望延续。（数据来源：特斯拉官网）除了公布财报，四年一次的美国大选，公布并购决定，股票被做空等事件驱动都是适合建立straddle的时机。Strangle和Straddle的区别Strangle中文叫做鞍式期权，和straddle不同的是，买入的call和put的行权价格不同。好处是成本相对低一些，缺点是达到盈亏平衡点的幅度更宽。上面是我建立的strangle模型，到期日都是7月24日，call的行权价是$1700，put的行权价是1400。由于行权价离当日股价有一定偏离，这两个期权的价格相对较低，这样可以把成本降到$166.08，盈亏平衡点相对往外扩展$30左右。看起来好像更合适，但是，一定记得，当股价在$1400到$1700之间波动时，你是血本无归的。至于选择straddle还是strangle，说到底还是你对股价波动率和振幅的预期。而预期这个东西，在特斯拉身上，你敢随便说吗？","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3496279146355479","authorId":"3496279146355479","name":"麦香鸡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3496279146355479","idStr":"3496279146355479"},"content":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的","text":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的","html":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":949645715,"gmtCreate":1594222874937,"gmtModify":1704204638986,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>35出了，现在20能不能接回来？","text":"$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$35出了，现在20能不能接回来？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/943588322","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941260290,"gmtCreate":1594911819210,"gmtModify":1704207437988,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"投机没有好下场","listText":"投机没有好下场","text":"投机没有好下场","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941260290","repostId":"1188775292","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188775292","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1594896086,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188775292?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-07-16 18:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"让空头血本无归的特斯拉，还能入场吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188775292","media":"Stansberry贝瑞...","summary":"说起特斯拉的股票，我总想起一句话：没有最精彩，只有更精彩！","content":"<p><b>前言：风口浪尖的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>，买不买？你一看就会的特斯拉期权策略。</b></p><p>说起特斯拉的股票，我总想起一句话：没有最精彩，只有更精彩！最近特斯拉的表现让我再次想起这句话，当然，还有下半句：好戏在后头。</p><p>这一年内特斯拉股票有多疯狂，我就不赘述了，咱们边看数据边说：</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11d3de44394343506606e802a78bf1b\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"158\"></p><p>(数据来源：marketchameleon)</p><p>截止到美国时间7月13日，特斯拉一年内涨幅达到634%，13号单日振幅超过20%，换手率高达26%，成交量是90天日均成交量的2.49倍，20天历史波动率达到80.2。就这行情，看盘的时候都得带着速效救心丸。</p><p>特斯拉近日的三高（高价，高换手率和高成交量）意味着什么，肯定不止一种解读。但是有一点很肯定：多空分歧进一步加剧。其实“进一步加剧”这几个字有点轻描淡写了，完全不足以描述这里面的血雨腥风。空头这几个月被打得血流成河，几百亿的资金灰飞烟灭，但仍有大量的空头前仆后继。而多头更是把特斯拉当成一种信仰。</p><p>信仰是什么？信仰就是：我相信，我看见。</p><p>一边是信仰，一边是复仇大联盟，那些不那么坚决的投资者接下来该怎么操作呢？</p><p>我这里想和大家探讨一下straddle（跨式期权）和strangle（鞍式期权）的运用。其实straddle and strangle本身都是高风险的策略，血本无归的情况经常发生。</p><p><b>但是，为什么我会在现在提出来这种策略呢？原因有三：</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ee457253ed26294845a55e036a45e4f\" tg-width=\"775\" tg-height=\"275\"></p><p><b>为股价波动性而生的straddle期权</b></p><p>做美股交易的朋友对期权应该都不太陌生。基本的期权分为两种：call option （看涨期权）和put option （看跌期权）。这两种期权分别有两种交易方向，买和卖。</p><p>买入看涨期权是指投资者支付期权对价，获得以执行价格在合约期内买入一定数量股票的权利。</p><p>举个例子说，股票A的当前价格是99块钱，如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看涨期权，到期日是两周以后。那么，在期权合同结束之前的任一天，不论当天股价涨到了110还是220，你都可以选择以100元的价格买入股票A。也就是说，如果股价超过107元，你就盈利了。如果股价低于100元，不论是90还是50，你的损失都是7元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25d33b4d4ebd288286f1c7bbd71e0c30\" tg-width=\"393\" tg-height=\"214\"></p><p>同理，买入看跌期权，就是预期股票会跌，股票下跌时投资者获利。买入看跌期权是指投资者支付期权对价，获得以执行价格在合约期内卖出一定数量股票的权利。</p><p>以上面的例子说，股票A的当前价格是99块钱，如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看跌期权，到期日是两周以后。那么，在期权合同结束之前的任一天，不论当天股价跌到了90还是60，你都可以选择以100元的价格卖出股票A。也就是说，如果股价低于93元，你就盈利了。如果股价高于100元，不论是110还是220，你的损失都是7元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f2f5c930d1880a5bde7dcb8d99fa7cb\" tg-width=\"533\" tg-height=\"293\"></p><p>看涨期权和看跌期权是投资者对股价有一定的上涨或下跌的方向判断时做的投资策略。可是，如果，我们对上涨还是下跌心里没谱怎么办？特斯拉这一年内的历史波动率是74.5，股价一路上蹿下跳，仅7月13日一个交易日就从涨16%直线下落到跌3%，涨跌幅度就有323.88美元。</p><p><b>因此，当我们不确定股价的方向，但是确定他的波动性时，我们可以考虑在预测其波动性上投资一笔，也就是我们期权交易中的straddle策略。</b>买入straddle就是投资者同时买入相同执行价、相同到期日的看涨期权和看跌期权的交易策略。接下来，让我们来看看基于当下的特斯拉走势，如何构建一个straddle模型。</p><p><b>如何为TSLA构建Straddle策略</b></p><p>下图是我在美国时间7月12日建立的straddle, 当天收盘价是$1547.31，我同时买入一个call和一个put，合约期都是到7月24日，行权价都是$1550。期权价格的计算相当复杂，但是和波动性是正相关的关系，近期特斯拉的期权价格也是涨到了天上。我们可以看到一个call的价格是$142.9，一个put的价格是$144.6，都相当贵。注意，这不是一份期权合约（100 call）的价格哦。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c200b180538c13dcef47538c82d2da0\" tg-width=\"864\" tg-height=\"262\"></p><p>如图所示，持有一份straddle的总成本是$287.50，如果股价超过$1837.5或者跌破$1262.5，这个straddle模型就会盈利。反之，如果股价在$1262.5到$1837.5之间波动，投资者就会亏损，亏损的具体金额可以从上图看出，价格越接近行权价，亏损越大，最大亏损为$287.50。</p><p>$287.5贵不贵？贵。可是放在单日振幅$323.88面前就不显得那么吓人了。<b>高波动率是买入期权的基本条件。</b></p><p>那么，下一个问题：</p><p><b>买入何时的期权合约？</b></p><p>交易活跃的股票期权的合约期通常以周为单位向后滚动，到期日离得越远的期权，价格越贵。选择离得近的期权，好处是成本相对来说低一些，但是时间风险很大。要知道，期权到期后如果没有达到行权价就是废纸一张，不像股票，你可以长期持有，以时间换空间。</p><p>那我为什么选择7月24日到期的期权呢？原因很简单：因为7月22日是特斯拉公布Q2财报的日子。通常来说，公布财报后股价都有可能大幅波动。这里我选取过去四个季度财报公布当天或次日（如果是盘后公布）的股价表现，可以看出此时的股价波动幅度明显大于均值。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a85871e4079af349db9c64386dc836c\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"291\"></p><p>除了对财报公布后的震荡预期外，再结合今年宏观环境下市场对于特斯拉的期望来看：</p><p>这一次全球遭遇前所未有的经济停摆，特斯拉在这种大环境下的业绩表现对投资者尤为重要。特斯拉今年二季度生产82272辆电动汽车，向消费者交付90650辆，交付量高于一季度的88400辆，也超出了分析师的预期，市场预期这个季度有可能实现季度盈利。如果是这样，那不管是股价还是期权价格本身都会大涨。反之，如果财报出来不如预期，股价会应声向下。总之，震荡行情有望延续。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4993c2d087425831848fee026cb1983\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"206\"></p><p>（数据来源：特斯拉官网）</p><p>除了公布财报，四年一次的美国大选，公布并购决定，股票被做空等事件驱动都是适合建立straddle的时机。</p><p><b>Strangle和Straddle的区别</b></p><p>Strangle中文叫做鞍式期权，和straddle不同的是，买入的call和put的行权价格不同。好处是成本相对低一些，缺点是达到盈亏平衡点的幅度更宽。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241938c8024a4fd4e5363b2a0557020d\" tg-width=\"864\" tg-height=\"289\"></p><p>上面是我建立的strangle模型，到期日都是7月24日，call的行权价是$1700，put的行权价是1400。由于行权价离当日股价有一定偏离，这两个期权的价格相对较低，这样可以把成本降到$166.08，盈亏平衡点相对往外扩展$30左右。看起来好像更合适，但是，一定记得，当股价在$1400到$1700之间波动时，你是血本无归的。</p><p><b>至于选择straddle还是strangle，说到底还是你对股价波动率和振幅的预期。而预期这个东西，在特斯拉身上，你敢随便说吗？</b></p>","source":"lsy1577199619107","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>让空头血本无归的特斯拉，还能入场吗？</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n让空头血本无归的特斯拉，还能入场吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-07-16 18:41 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_j5dFY3Vjza0krjktZwpWg><strong>Stansberry贝瑞...</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>前言：风口浪尖的特斯拉，买不买？你一看就会的特斯拉期权策略。说起特斯拉的股票，我总想起一句话：没有最精彩，只有更精彩！最近特斯拉的表现让我再次想起这句话，当然，还有下半句：好戏在后头。这一年内特斯拉股票有多疯狂，我就不赘述了，咱们边看数据边说：(数据来源：marketchameleon)截止到美国时间7月13日，特斯拉一年内涨幅达到634%，13号单日振幅超过20%，换手率高达26%，成交量是90...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_j5dFY3Vjza0krjktZwpWg\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/968c7f56416ea450ba452ed25e324d2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_j5dFY3Vjza0krjktZwpWg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188775292","content_text":"前言：风口浪尖的特斯拉，买不买？你一看就会的特斯拉期权策略。说起特斯拉的股票，我总想起一句话：没有最精彩，只有更精彩！最近特斯拉的表现让我再次想起这句话，当然，还有下半句：好戏在后头。这一年内特斯拉股票有多疯狂，我就不赘述了，咱们边看数据边说：(数据来源：marketchameleon)截止到美国时间7月13日，特斯拉一年内涨幅达到634%，13号单日振幅超过20%，换手率高达26%，成交量是90天日均成交量的2.49倍，20天历史波动率达到80.2。就这行情，看盘的时候都得带着速效救心丸。特斯拉近日的三高（高价，高换手率和高成交量）意味着什么，肯定不止一种解读。但是有一点很肯定：多空分歧进一步加剧。其实“进一步加剧”这几个字有点轻描淡写了，完全不足以描述这里面的血雨腥风。空头这几个月被打得血流成河，几百亿的资金灰飞烟灭，但仍有大量的空头前仆后继。而多头更是把特斯拉当成一种信仰。信仰是什么？信仰就是：我相信，我看见。一边是信仰，一边是复仇大联盟，那些不那么坚决的投资者接下来该怎么操作呢？我这里想和大家探讨一下straddle（跨式期权）和strangle（鞍式期权）的运用。其实straddle and strangle本身都是高风险的策略，血本无归的情况经常发生。但是，为什么我会在现在提出来这种策略呢？原因有三：为股价波动性而生的straddle期权做美股交易的朋友对期权应该都不太陌生。基本的期权分为两种：call option （看涨期权）和put option （看跌期权）。这两种期权分别有两种交易方向，买和卖。买入看涨期权是指投资者支付期权对价，获得以执行价格在合约期内买入一定数量股票的权利。举个例子说，股票A的当前价格是99块钱，如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看涨期权，到期日是两周以后。那么，在期权合同结束之前的任一天，不论当天股价涨到了110还是220，你都可以选择以100元的价格买入股票A。也就是说，如果股价超过107元，你就盈利了。如果股价低于100元，不论是90还是50，你的损失都是7元。同理，买入看跌期权，就是预期股票会跌，股票下跌时投资者获利。买入看跌期权是指投资者支付期权对价，获得以执行价格在合约期内卖出一定数量股票的权利。以上面的例子说，股票A的当前价格是99块钱，如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看跌期权，到期日是两周以后。那么，在期权合同结束之前的任一天，不论当天股价跌到了90还是60，你都可以选择以100元的价格卖出股票A。也就是说，如果股价低于93元，你就盈利了。如果股价高于100元，不论是110还是220，你的损失都是7元。看涨期权和看跌期权是投资者对股价有一定的上涨或下跌的方向判断时做的投资策略。可是，如果，我们对上涨还是下跌心里没谱怎么办？特斯拉这一年内的历史波动率是74.5，股价一路上蹿下跳，仅7月13日一个交易日就从涨16%直线下落到跌3%，涨跌幅度就有323.88美元。因此，当我们不确定股价的方向，但是确定他的波动性时，我们可以考虑在预测其波动性上投资一笔，也就是我们期权交易中的straddle策略。买入straddle就是投资者同时买入相同执行价、相同到期日的看涨期权和看跌期权的交易策略。接下来，让我们来看看基于当下的特斯拉走势，如何构建一个straddle模型。如何为TSLA构建Straddle策略下图是我在美国时间7月12日建立的straddle, 当天收盘价是$1547.31，我同时买入一个call和一个put，合约期都是到7月24日，行权价都是$1550。期权价格的计算相当复杂，但是和波动性是正相关的关系，近期特斯拉的期权价格也是涨到了天上。我们可以看到一个call的价格是$142.9，一个put的价格是$144.6，都相当贵。注意，这不是一份期权合约（100 call）的价格哦。如图所示，持有一份straddle的总成本是$287.50，如果股价超过$1837.5或者跌破$1262.5，这个straddle模型就会盈利。反之，如果股价在$1262.5到$1837.5之间波动，投资者就会亏损，亏损的具体金额可以从上图看出，价格越接近行权价，亏损越大，最大亏损为$287.50。$287.5贵不贵？贵。可是放在单日振幅$323.88面前就不显得那么吓人了。高波动率是买入期权的基本条件。那么，下一个问题：买入何时的期权合约？交易活跃的股票期权的合约期通常以周为单位向后滚动，到期日离得越远的期权，价格越贵。选择离得近的期权，好处是成本相对来说低一些，但是时间风险很大。要知道，期权到期后如果没有达到行权价就是废纸一张，不像股票，你可以长期持有，以时间换空间。那我为什么选择7月24日到期的期权呢？原因很简单：因为7月22日是特斯拉公布Q2财报的日子。通常来说，公布财报后股价都有可能大幅波动。这里我选取过去四个季度财报公布当天或次日（如果是盘后公布）的股价表现，可以看出此时的股价波动幅度明显大于均值。除了对财报公布后的震荡预期外，再结合今年宏观环境下市场对于特斯拉的期望来看：这一次全球遭遇前所未有的经济停摆，特斯拉在这种大环境下的业绩表现对投资者尤为重要。特斯拉今年二季度生产82272辆电动汽车，向消费者交付90650辆，交付量高于一季度的88400辆，也超出了分析师的预期，市场预期这个季度有可能实现季度盈利。如果是这样，那不管是股价还是期权价格本身都会大涨。反之，如果财报出来不如预期，股价会应声向下。总之，震荡行情有望延续。（数据来源：特斯拉官网）除了公布财报，四年一次的美国大选，公布并购决定，股票被做空等事件驱动都是适合建立straddle的时机。Strangle和Straddle的区别Strangle中文叫做鞍式期权，和straddle不同的是，买入的call和put的行权价格不同。好处是成本相对低一些，缺点是达到盈亏平衡点的幅度更宽。上面是我建立的strangle模型，到期日都是7月24日，call的行权价是$1700，put的行权价是1400。由于行权价离当日股价有一定偏离，这两个期权的价格相对较低，这样可以把成本降到$166.08，盈亏平衡点相对往外扩展$30左右。看起来好像更合适，但是，一定记得，当股价在$1400到$1700之间波动时，你是血本无归的。至于选择straddle还是strangle，说到底还是你对股价波动率和振幅的预期。而预期这个东西，在特斯拉身上，你敢随便说吗？","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3496279146355479","authorId":"3496279146355479","name":"麦香鸡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3496279146355479","idStr":"3496279146355479"},"content":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的","text":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的","html":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":927572907,"gmtCreate":1588946334309,"gmtModify":1704179003395,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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15:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大和：蔚来商业模式具创新，予目标价100美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152343939","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月21日讯，大和发表报告，看好蔚来汽车，重申买入评级，目标价上望100美元。\n\n\n该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式（BaaS、ADaaS），进一步打入豪华汽车领域；且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛，得到用户青睐，且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务（ADaaS）实收率保持乐观，相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向，这有别于其他传统的整车厂，有助于提高用户的忠诚度，进一步树立品牌口碑，达到刺激新车销售的作用。","content":"<p>1月21日讯，大和发表报告，看好蔚来汽车，重申买入评级，目标价上望100美元。</p>\n<p>该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式（BaaS、ADaaS），进一步打入豪华汽车领域；且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛，得到用户青睐，且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务（ADaaS）实收率保持乐观，相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向，这有别于其他传统的整车厂，有助于提高用户的忠诚度，进一步树立品牌口碑，达到刺激新车销售的作用。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfe674f2cbd5642d7e2f86c0702cfb03\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-21 15:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>1月21日讯，大和发表报告，看好蔚来汽车，重申买入评级，目标价上望100美元。</p>\n<p>该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式（BaaS、ADaaS），进一步打入豪华汽车领域；且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛，得到用户青睐，且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务（ADaaS）实收率保持乐观，相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向，这有别于其他传统的整车厂，有助于提高用户的忠诚度，进一步树立品牌口碑，达到刺激新车销售的作用。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfe674f2cbd5642d7e2f86c0702cfb03\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3380231cb191ca9bea37a0c70765537d","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152343939","content_text":"1月21日讯，大和发表报告，看好蔚来汽车，重申买入评级，目标价上望100美元。\n该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式（BaaS、ADaaS），进一步打入豪华汽车领域；且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛，得到用户青睐，且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务（ADaaS）实收率保持乐观，相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向，这有别于其他传统的整车厂，有助于提高用户的忠诚度，进一步树立品牌口碑，达到刺激新车销售的作用。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":927797758,"gmtCreate":1588987592774,"gmtModify":1704179161073,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547610539049078","idStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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