长春粉丝的个人主页 - 老虎社区

长春粉丝

长春粉丝

一个俗人

IP属地：湖北

8关注

7粉丝

1主题

0勋章

2020-07-01

回顾2020上半年的投资记录，有什么心得感悟？1、美股市比某国股市讲究，对违法违纪零容忍，宽进严出，对投资者来说是主心骨；2、美股大多数定期分红，甚至一年分红几次，即使亏损都分红，比某国股市强太多了；3、相见恨晚。2020上半年，你的收益如何？你曾做了哪些“神操作”？上半年收益75%，主要是得益于进场时机较好，处于3月末4月初，美股处于谷底之时。如果说有哪些神操作，那就是买入巨大折价的房产抵押信托公司股票，获得一定收益。2020上半年，哪次失败的投资让你记忆犹新？为什么？如果说最惨痛的投资那就是做空跟谁学，赔的一塌糊涂，还好及时止损。2020年下半年，你的期望收益率是多少？下半年我期望收益率100%，当然我也不希望我的股票长得太快，因为我打算长期定投[龇牙] 2020年下半年，你最看好哪个行业？你的投资策略又是什么？下半年我打算尝试期权交易，以小博大，加大杠杆，当然我只投资CALL，至于行业我想传统行业和高科技行业都会关注和尝试。最后一句心得：不要轻易尝试做空美股！

2020-07-24

$景顺抵押资本(IVR)$要起飞了，请大家坐好扶稳扎上安全带

2020-05-19

$景顺抵押资本(IVR)$看谁能拿住2年[微笑]

2021-02-11

从这站名就略知一二

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-08-07

$老虎证券(TIGR)$10万手挂单这是要托底吗？

2021-02-23

$老虎证券(TIGR)$咋能拿住？只能是忘了密码[龇牙]

2021-02-11

$克莱瑞恩(CLSN)$我最近这几天是反向指标，卖啥啥暴涨

2021-02-09

$克莱瑞恩(CLSN)$大家猜猜哪天能过3块？

2020-10-29

红旗早就月产量超5000了

蔚来盘前涨超5%，量产车单月下线首次突破5000台

2020-08-14

$蔚来(NIO)$我的Call，kao了[傲娇]

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>盘前股价大涨超5%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae3113ef3b7ed3ef0f4db082b0986730\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"497\"></p><p>2020年10月29日，蔚来本月第5,000台整车在合肥先进制造基地量产下线。这是蔚来量产车单月下线首次突破5,000台，也是中国第一次有高端汽车品牌月产达到5,000台。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0090cc485ea4ba6d267489389e83608b","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161179026","content_text":"周四，蔚来盘前股价大涨超5%。2020年10月29日，蔚来本月第5,000台整车在合肥先进制造基地量产下线。这是蔚来量产车单月下线首次突破5,000台，也是中国第一次有高端汽车品牌月产达到5,000台。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":301674989,"gmtCreate":1603499824141,"gmtModify":1703830157367,"author":{"id":"3547955490563293","authorId":"3547955490563293","name":"长春粉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b80087502c22297c9867ccfbfe8549a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547955490563293","idStr":"3547955490563293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"港股打新不一定赚，我大A股打新没有赔的","listText":"港股打新不一定赚，我大A股打新没有赔的","text":"港股打新不一定赚，我大A股打新没有赔的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/301674989","repostId":"1190974874","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190974874","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1603453738,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190974874?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-10-23 19:48","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"蚂蚁集团上市：史上最不能错过的一场打新","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190974874","media":"智通财经","summary":"定了!离整栋楼欢呼不到100天的时间，蚂蚁集团终于通过港交所聆讯——从7月20日的官宣上市，到8月25日的递交招股书，再到10月21日通过聆讯，这一只万众瞩目的“靴子”，终于落地。\n与蚂蚁集团港股上市","content":"<p>定了!离整栋楼欢呼不到100天的时间，蚂蚁集团终于通过港交所聆讯——从7月20日的官宣上市，到8月25日的递交招股书，再到10月21日通过聆讯，这一只万众瞩目的“靴子”，终于落地。</p>\n<p>与蚂蚁集团港股上市一起牵紧大众神经的，还有它A股的上市进程。</p>\n<p>10月21日晚间，证监会披露同意蚂蚁集团科创板IPO注册，为了欢迎这一只巨无霸，证监会用一串寓意深刻的数字——“688688”给足排面。据悉，蚂蚁集团科创板发行初步询价时间为10月23日，申购时间为10月29日，缴款日期为11月2日，具体上市日期尚未确定。</p>\n<p>毋庸置疑，作为一家拥有十亿用户、百亿利润的支付巨无霸，随着蚂蚁集团上市的脚步逐渐临近，这一场资本的盛宴即将开始。</p>\n<p><b>估值2万亿，全球最大IPO</b></p>\n<p>2018年6月，蚂蚁集团完成最后一轮融资，创下1500亿美元的高价估值，而2年时间过去了，市场给予它的估值就不止这点了。</p>\n<p>今年8月份，随着蚂蚁集团A+H股上市消息尘埃落定，市场普遍相信，蚂蚁集团将大概率是近年来全球最大规模的IPO之一，IPO估值至少为2000亿美元，换算成人民币的话，大约是1.4万亿元的高价估值。</p>\n<p>但当主流券商一番预测推算后，1.4万亿元的估值水平还是有点低了。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002736\">国信证券</a>通过绝对估值法和相对估值法，给出的蚂蚁估值范围是1.7万亿至2.5万亿元。晨星股票研究发表报告对蚂蚁集团的估值为2.45万亿港元(折合2.1万亿人民币)。而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600918\">中泰证券</a>在结合可比公司估值，及蚂蚁模式的稀缺性，同时考虑金融业务利润占比后，给予蚂蚁集团的PE为45-60倍，对应2020年目标市值1.8万亿至2.5万亿元。</p>\n<p><b>没有最高，只有更高的估值水平，是市场对于这一只金融巨无霸的美好期待。</b></p>\n<p>值得一提的是，按10月22日收盘价计算，目前市值最高的公司是2.1万亿元的消费龙头股——<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600519\">贵州茅台</a>，这意味着蚂蚁集团上市后，轻轻松松就可以拿下贵州茅台市值第一的宝座。</p>\n<p>但比起拿下市值第一，蚂蚁集团的上市还有更深层次的意义。</p>\n<p>一般来说，头部互联网公司对股市有着积极带动作用，美股中以“FAAMG”为代表的头部科技公司，既是美股的压舱石企业，又是美国经济和企业盈利增长。但遗憾的是，A股市值前10中科技公司的数量为0，而美股市值前10中则有包括“FAAMG”在内7家科技公司;港股市值前10中则有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>、美团、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>4家科技公司。因此外界认为<b>，蚂蚁登陆科创板后，有望扭转这一局面——成为A股首个中国版“FAAMG”。</b></p>\n<p>基于这一深刻意义，蚂蚁这一只金融巨无霸注定在资本市场吸睛无数。</p>\n<p>据招股意向书(A股)显示，按照1:1的首发规模，蚂蚁集团将分别在A股和H股发行不超过16.7亿股的新股，A+H发行的新股数量合计不超过发行后(绿鞋前)公司总股本的11%。目前，阿里巴巴集团的全资子公司浙江天猫技术有限公司将作为战略投资者参与本次发行上市的战略配售，认购7.3亿股。华夏3年封闭运作战略配售，易方达3年封闭运作战略配售等。</p>\n<p>同时，蚂蚁集团科创板IPO还吸引了包括中投公司、社保基金、新加坡淡马锡、新加坡政府投资公司、阿布达比投资局、沙特公共投资基金等全球十大主权基金中的六家。此外，蚂蚁集团还在初始发行安排中，留出3.34亿股供机构和个人投资者“打新”。按照市场预估的2万亿元估值计算，面向A股市场的“打新”规模将超过200亿元。</p>\n<p>作为几十年一遇的超级IPO，蚂蚁集团在A股意义深远——A股首家互联网科技公司，叠加科技股的赚钱效应，蚂蚁这一支巨无霸大概率会在科创板涨飞了，毕竟科大<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688027\">国盾量子</a>上市首日10倍涨幅的神话还历历在目。<b>而对于蚂蚁港股而言亦是如此，在千亿营收、百亿利润、现金流充裕等多重光环下，其成为资本疯抢的“香饽饽”是没跑的了。</b></p>\n<p>可以预见的是，无论是在A股，还是港股，蚂蚁集团这一场打新将会出现“万人空巷”的场面。</p>\n<p><b>“高利润”VS“不差钱”</b></p>\n<p><b>蚂蚁集团，从一只小小的“蚂蚁”发展成为一头吨位吓人的“大象”，主要还是在于其强悍的吸金能力。</b></p>\n<p>那么，蚂蚁集团究竟有多吸金呢?</p>\n<p>据招股书数据显示，蚂蚁集团2019年全年实现营收1206亿元，归属母公司净利润169.6亿元。2020年上半年实现营收725亿元，归属母公司净利润212亿元，净利润率高达30%。<b>今年上半年净利就已经超过去年全年，赚钱能力可见一斑。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a07fecf09ad619d8f1c1d4ce8436392\" tg-width=\"740\" tg-height=\"441\"></p>\n<p>(数据来源：蚂蚁集团招股书)</p>\n<p>如果这还不够直观，那就再来看一组数据。据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300033\">同花顺</a>数据显示，2020年上半年，A股有30家归母净利润过百亿的企业，其中蚂蚁集团排在第15名，它前面的就是“股王”茅台，净利润为226.02亿元。</p>\n<p><b>而除了能赚钱之外，从现金流的表现来看，蚂蚁集团也不差钱。</b>招股书披露，截至2020年6月底，其经营活动产生的现金净额为270.13亿元，期末现金及现金等价物余额为714.13亿元。</p>\n<p>一般来讲，互联网企业均很容易遇到流量的天花板，进而促使增长速度放缓。但从蚂蚁集团这几年的业绩增速来看，目前该公司似乎仍没有遇到增长瓶颈，而这或许是市场愿意给予它如此高估值的原因之一。</p>\n<p>据智通财经APP观察，2018年至2020年上半年，其营收分别同比增长31.08%、40.72%、38.04%，而归母净利润则分别同比增长-90.40%、2442.06%、1459.75%。撇开2018年监管对现金贷行业整顿带来的利润受挫，近两年蚂蚁集团的增长状态力依然十分能打。</p>\n<p>拆分业务来看，似乎更可以窥出蚂蚁集团的增长动能源自哪里。</p>\n<p>具体而言，蚂蚁的收入结构主要包括数字支付与商家服务、数字金融科技平台(包括微贷科技、理财科技和保险科技)、创新业务及其他这三大板块。其中，招股书披露，数字支付服务和数字金融科技平台是该公司的主要收入支柱，截至2020年上半年，分别占收入比例为35.9%和63.4%，实现收入为260.11亿元、459.72亿元。</p>\n<p><b>由此可见，基于支付宝APP上的数字支付、花呗及余额宝等服务，仍然是蚂蚁集团维持稳健增长的主要动能。</b></p>\n<p><b>手握“三大王牌”</b></p>\n<p>投资一家公司不仅仅只是看见眼前的增长，最重要的还是其未来的发展前景。</p>\n<p>当然，对于蚂蚁集团来说，这一点不用担心。从它手里握着的“三大王牌”来看，已经可以窥出其未来的增长路径。</p>\n<p><b>王牌1：逆天的支付宝数据。</b></p>\n<p>截至2020年上半年，蚂蚁集团的支付宝APP年活用户超10亿，月活用户超7.11亿，结合中国的庞大人口来看，几乎所有有消费行为的国人都是支付宝活跃用户。另外，其还连接商家数超8000万，合作金融机构超过2000多家，支付交易量为118万亿元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18b4a0756eaf58c8a93077e5cba33caa\" tg-width=\"650\" tg-height=\"455\"></p>\n<p>(图片来源：蚂蚁集团招股书)</p>\n<p>凭借庞大的用户规模，支付宝目前是移动支付界的“NO.1”。2019年，银行共处理电子支付业务2233.88亿笔，金额2607.04万亿元。其中移动支付这一模式增长最快，支付1014.31亿笔，金额347.11万亿元，同比分别增长67.57%和25.13%。基于移动支付业务快速增长背景下，市场份额排第一的支付宝躺着赚手续费就能盆满钵满。</p>\n<p><b>王牌2：强大的生态系统</b></p>\n<p>目前而言，蚂蚁集团的数字支付、数字金融及数字生活服务已形成了共同支持活跃用户增加及互相促进业务增长的良性循环，并共同构建了一个连接用户、商家、金融机构及其他企业的平生态系统，即连接超过10亿用户、超过8000万商家及超过2000家金融机构合作伙伴。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d64306b5f2f7818f9efdcf1411d1ed8b\" tg-width=\"722\" tg-height=\"358\"></p>\n<p>(图片来源：中泰证券)</p>\n<p>基于这一强大的生态系统，蚂蚁集团就等于拥有了一个不会“枯竭”的流量池——支付宝吸引了大量用户流量，庞大的流量吸引更多商家和金融机构入驻，平台上提供服务和选择越来越多，这反过来吸引更多用户和提高用户的粘性，周而复始，这一良性循环将会使其保持领先竞争优势及增加变现渠道。</p>\n<p><b>王牌3：最大的小贷业务</b></p>\n<p>据招股书披露，蚂蚁集团的各种小贷业务，均为全国第一。其中，消费信贷规模达到1732亿元，小微经营者信贷规模达到422亿元，而资产管理规模则为4099亿元。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a030d9b73e871e2b4ce71e3ee1b2f921\" tg-width=\"769\" tg-height=\"348\"></p>\n<p>(数据来源：蚂蚁集团招股书)</p>\n<p>而上述的各种小贷行业，在国内还有很大的提升空间。就拿小微企业的信贷需求来说，其市场空间仍十分广阔，奥纬预期中国单笔金额低于50万元的在线小微市场规模将从2019年的2万亿增长至2025年的16万亿元，复合增长率为40.8%。基于这一背景，蚂蚁集团的增长空间还很大，而在马太效应的作用下，其有望吃透行业红利。</p>\n<p>当然，像这种小贷业务还需要警惕政策风险和系统性金融风险，但在眼前巨大行业空间的利好下，这点风险就不算什么了。</p>\n<p>综上可知，蚂蚁集团的增值空间是不容置疑的，而这也注定其会成为史上最不能错过的一场打新。</p>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>蚂蚁集团上市：史上最不能错过的一场打新</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n蚂蚁集团上市：史上最不能错过的一场打新\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-10-23 19:48 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/350715.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>定了!离整栋楼欢呼不到100天的时间，蚂蚁集团终于通过港交所聆讯——从7月20日的官宣上市，到8月25日的递交招股书，再到10月21日通过聆讯，这一只万众瞩目的“靴子”，终于落地。\n与蚂蚁集团港股上市一起牵紧大众神经的，还有它A股的上市进程。\n10月21日晚间，证监会披露同意蚂蚁集团科创板IPO注册，为了欢迎这一只巨无霸，证监会用一串寓意深刻的数字——“688688”给足排面。据悉，蚂蚁集团科创板...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/350715.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1684aaaa06891b8d2dd04a9941acb502","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/350715.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"1190974874","content_text":"定了!离整栋楼欢呼不到100天的时间，蚂蚁集团终于通过港交所聆讯——从7月20日的官宣上市，到8月25日的递交招股书，再到10月21日通过聆讯，这一只万众瞩目的“靴子”，终于落地。\n与蚂蚁集团港股上市一起牵紧大众神经的，还有它A股的上市进程。\n10月21日晚间，证监会披露同意蚂蚁集团科创板IPO注册，为了欢迎这一只巨无霸，证监会用一串寓意深刻的数字——“688688”给足排面。据悉，蚂蚁集团科创板发行初步询价时间为10月23日，申购时间为10月29日，缴款日期为11月2日，具体上市日期尚未确定。\n毋庸置疑，作为一家拥有十亿用户、百亿利润的支付巨无霸，随着蚂蚁集团上市的脚步逐渐临近，这一场资本的盛宴即将开始。\n估值2万亿，全球最大IPO\n2018年6月，蚂蚁集团完成最后一轮融资，创下1500亿美元的高价估值，而2年时间过去了，市场给予它的估值就不止这点了。\n今年8月份，随着蚂蚁集团A+H股上市消息尘埃落定，市场普遍相信，蚂蚁集团将大概率是近年来全球最大规模的IPO之一，IPO估值至少为2000亿美元，换算成人民币的话，大约是1.4万亿元的高价估值。\n但当主流券商一番预测推算后，1.4万亿元的估值水平还是有点低了。\n国信证券通过绝对估值法和相对估值法，给出的蚂蚁估值范围是1.7万亿至2.5万亿元。晨星股票研究发表报告对蚂蚁集团的估值为2.45万亿港元(折合2.1万亿人民币)。而中泰证券在结合可比公司估值，及蚂蚁模式的稀缺性，同时考虑金融业务利润占比后，给予蚂蚁集团的PE为45-60倍，对应2020年目标市值1.8万亿至2.5万亿元。\n没有最高，只有更高的估值水平，是市场对于这一只金融巨无霸的美好期待。\n值得一提的是，按10月22日收盘价计算，目前市值最高的公司是2.1万亿元的消费龙头股——贵州茅台，这意味着蚂蚁集团上市后，轻轻松松就可以拿下贵州茅台市值第一的宝座。\n但比起拿下市值第一，蚂蚁集团的上市还有更深层次的意义。\n一般来说，头部互联网公司对股市有着积极带动作用，美股中以“FAAMG”为代表的头部科技公司，既是美股的压舱石企业，又是美国经济和企业盈利增长。但遗憾的是，A股市值前10中科技公司的数量为0，而美股市值前10中则有包括“FAAMG”在内7家科技公司;港股市值前10中则有阿里巴巴、腾讯、美团、京东4家科技公司。因此外界认为，蚂蚁登陆科创板后，有望扭转这一局面——成为A股首个中国版“FAAMG”。\n基于这一深刻意义，蚂蚁这一只金融巨无霸注定在资本市场吸睛无数。\n据招股意向书(A股)显示，按照1:1的首发规模，蚂蚁集团将分别在A股和H股发行不超过16.7亿股的新股，A+H发行的新股数量合计不超过发行后(绿鞋前)公司总股本的11%。目前，阿里巴巴集团的全资子公司浙江天猫技术有限公司将作为战略投资者参与本次发行上市的战略配售，认购7.3亿股。华夏3年封闭运作战略配售，易方达3年封闭运作战略配售等。\n同时，蚂蚁集团科创板IPO还吸引了包括中投公司、社保基金、新加坡淡马锡、新加坡政府投资公司、阿布达比投资局、沙特公共投资基金等全球十大主权基金中的六家。此外，蚂蚁集团还在初始发行安排中，留出3.34亿股供机构和个人投资者“打新”。按照市场预估的2万亿元估值计算，面向A股市场的“打新”规模将超过200亿元。\n作为几十年一遇的超级IPO，蚂蚁集团在A股意义深远——A股首家互联网科技公司，叠加科技股的赚钱效应，蚂蚁这一支巨无霸大概率会在科创板涨飞了，毕竟科大国盾量子上市首日10倍涨幅的神话还历历在目。而对于蚂蚁港股而言亦是如此，在千亿营收、百亿利润、现金流充裕等多重光环下，其成为资本疯抢的“香饽饽”是没跑的了。\n可以预见的是，无论是在A股，还是港股，蚂蚁集团这一场打新将会出现“万人空巷”的场面。\n“高利润”VS“不差钱”\n蚂蚁集团，从一只小小的“蚂蚁”发展成为一头吨位吓人的“大象”，主要还是在于其强悍的吸金能力。\n那么，蚂蚁集团究竟有多吸金呢?\n据招股书数据显示，蚂蚁集团2019年全年实现营收1206亿元，归属母公司净利润169.6亿元。2020年上半年实现营收725亿元，归属母公司净利润212亿元，净利润率高达30%。今年上半年净利就已经超过去年全年，赚钱能力可见一斑。\n\n(数据来源：蚂蚁集团招股书)\n如果这还不够直观，那就再来看一组数据。据同花顺数据显示，2020年上半年，A股有30家归母净利润过百亿的企业，其中蚂蚁集团排在第15名，它前面的就是“股王”茅台，净利润为226.02亿元。\n而除了能赚钱之外，从现金流的表现来看，蚂蚁集团也不差钱。招股书披露，截至2020年6月底，其经营活动产生的现金净额为270.13亿元，期末现金及现金等价物余额为714.13亿元。\n一般来讲，互联网企业均很容易遇到流量的天花板，进而促使增长速度放缓。但从蚂蚁集团这几年的业绩增速来看，目前该公司似乎仍没有遇到增长瓶颈，而这或许是市场愿意给予它如此高估值的原因之一。\n据智通财经APP观察，2018年至2020年上半年，其营收分别同比增长31.08%、40.72%、38.04%，而归母净利润则分别同比增长-90.40%、2442.06%、1459.75%。撇开2018年监管对现金贷行业整顿带来的利润受挫，近两年蚂蚁集团的增长状态力依然十分能打。\n拆分业务来看，似乎更可以窥出蚂蚁集团的增长动能源自哪里。\n具体而言，蚂蚁的收入结构主要包括数字支付与商家服务、数字金融科技平台(包括微贷科技、理财科技和保险科技)、创新业务及其他这三大板块。其中，招股书披露，数字支付服务和数字金融科技平台是该公司的主要收入支柱，截至2020年上半年，分别占收入比例为35.9%和63.4%，实现收入为260.11亿元、459.72亿元。\n由此可见，基于支付宝APP上的数字支付、花呗及余额宝等服务，仍然是蚂蚁集团维持稳健增长的主要动能。\n手握“三大王牌”\n投资一家公司不仅仅只是看见眼前的增长，最重要的还是其未来的发展前景。\n当然，对于蚂蚁集团来说，这一点不用担心。从它手里握着的“三大王牌”来看，已经可以窥出其未来的增长路径。\n王牌1：逆天的支付宝数据。\n截至2020年上半年，蚂蚁集团的支付宝APP年活用户超10亿，月活用户超7.11亿，结合中国的庞大人口来看，几乎所有有消费行为的国人都是支付宝活跃用户。另外，其还连接商家数超8000万，合作金融机构超过2000多家，支付交易量为118万亿元。\n\n(图片来源：蚂蚁集团招股书)\n凭借庞大的用户规模，支付宝目前是移动支付界的“NO.1”。2019年，银行共处理电子支付业务2233.88亿笔，金额2607.04万亿元。其中移动支付这一模式增长最快，支付1014.31亿笔，金额347.11万亿元，同比分别增长67.57%和25.13%。基于移动支付业务快速增长背景下，市场份额排第一的支付宝躺着赚手续费就能盆满钵满。\n王牌2：强大的生态系统\n目前而言，蚂蚁集团的数字支付、数字金融及数字生活服务已形成了共同支持活跃用户增加及互相促进业务增长的良性循环，并共同构建了一个连接用户、商家、金融机构及其他企业的平生态系统，即连接超过10亿用户、超过8000万商家及超过2000家金融机构合作伙伴。\n\n(图片来源：中泰证券)\n基于这一强大的生态系统，蚂蚁集团就等于拥有了一个不会“枯竭”的流量池——支付宝吸引了大量用户流量，庞大的流量吸引更多商家和金融机构入驻，平台上提供服务和选择越来越多，这反过来吸引更多用户和提高用户的粘性，周而复始，这一良性循环将会使其保持领先竞争优势及增加变现渠道。\n王牌3：最大的小贷业务\n据招股书披露，蚂蚁集团的各种小贷业务，均为全国第一。其中，消费信贷规模达到1732亿元，小微经营者信贷规模达到422亿元，而资产管理规模则为4099亿元。\n\n(数据来源：蚂蚁集团招股书)\n而上述的各种小贷行业，在国内还有很大的提升空间。就拿小微企业的信贷需求来说，其市场空间仍十分广阔，奥纬预期中国单笔金额低于50万元的在线小微市场规模将从2019年的2万亿增长至2025年的16万亿元，复合增长率为40.8%。基于这一背景，蚂蚁集团的增长空间还很大，而在马太效应的作用下，其有望吃透行业红利。\n当然，像这种小贷业务还需要警惕政策风险和系统性金融风险，但在眼前巨大行业空间的利好下，这点风险就不算什么了。\n综上可知，蚂蚁集团的增值空间是不容置疑的，而这也注定其会成为史上最不能错过的一场打新。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"90016":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":978745371,"gmtCreate":1599520835693,"gmtModify":1703818639360,"author":{"id":"3547955490563293","authorId":"3547955490563293","name":"长春粉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b80087502c22297c9867ccfbfe8549a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547955490563293","idStr":"3547955490563293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"为什么我9000股一股没中？","listText":"为什么我9000股一股没中？","text":"为什么我9000股一股没中？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/978745371","repostId":"2065297580","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2065297580","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1599433800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2065297580?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-09-07 07:10","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"农夫山泉公开发售获超购1148.3倍，每股发售价21.5港元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2065297580","media":"智通财经网","summary":"农夫山泉(09633)发布公告，发售价厘定为每股21.50港元，公司估计将收取全球发售所得款项净额约81.49亿港元。预期H股将于2020年9月8日上午9时正开始在联交所主板买卖。H股将以每手200股...","content":"<p>9月7日讯，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09633\">农夫山泉</a>发布公告，发售价厘定为每股21.50港元，公司估计将收取全球发售所得款项净额约81.49亿港元。预期H股将于2020年9月8日上午9时正开始在联交所主板买卖。H股将以每手200股H股为买卖单位。</p><p>公司公布的中签结果显示，农夫山泉一手中签率12%，认购150手稳中一手。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68c30b8d9d5a1905758ddc2e27ad27fc\" tg-width=\"709\" tg-height=\"175\"></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0a70e755b389556128658d7675e8a14\" tg-width=\"601\" tg-height=\"168\"></p><p>公开发售阶段农夫山泉获1148.3倍认购，分配至公开发售的发售股份最终数目约1.05亿股，占发售股份总数的约27%（任何超额配股权获行使前）。合共接获707532份有效申请，一手中签率12%，认购150手稳中一手。</p><p>此外，国际发售获超额认购，发售股份最终数目约为2.83亿股，相当于发售股份总数的约73%。</p><p>合共接获70.75万份根据香港公开发售提出的有效申请，认购合共312.07亿股香港发售股份，相当于香港公开发售项下初步可供认购香港发售股份总数2717.64万股的约1148.3倍。</p><p>由于根据香港公开发售有效申请的发售股份数目相当于香港公开发售项下初步可供认购的发售股份总数94倍以上，因此已应用招股章程所披露的重新分配程序，并自国际发售重新分配7764.62万股发售股份至香港公开发售。香港公开发售项下发售股份的最终数目为1.05亿股发售股份，相当于全球发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约27%(任何超额配股权获行使前)。</p><p>据公告披露，国际发售项下初步提呈发售的发售股份获超额认购约60倍。7764.62万股发售股份已由国际发售重新分配至香港公开发售，而超额分配的股份为5823.46万股发售股份。国际发售项下分配予承配人的发售股份最终数目为2.83亿股发售股份，相当于全球发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约73%(任何超额配股权获行使前)。国际发售项下承配人的总数为554名。</p><p>2141.32万股发售股份已根据国际雇员优先发售配发予352名合资格雇员，相当于全球发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约5.5%(任何超额配股权获行使前)。</p><p>就全球发售而言，公司已向国际包销商授出超额配股权，可由联席全球协调人于上市日期起至2020年9月27日期间任何时间行使，以要求公司根据国际发售按发售价额外配发及发行最多合共5823.46万股发售股份，以补足国际发售的超额分配。国际发售中已超额分配5823.46万股发售股份，且有关超额分配将透过与根据国际发售获提呈发售发售股份的投资者的延迟交付安排补足。</p><p>根据与基石投资者订立的基石投资协议，基石投资者认购的发售股份数目已获厘定。Fidelity International已认购3604.84万股H股股份，Coatue已认购2883.86万股H股股份，GIC已认购2523.38万股H股股份，国调基金及诚通中信农业基金已分别认购1514.02万股及288.38万股H股股份，ORIX Asia Consumer Trend已认购720.96万股H股股份，总数为1.15亿股H股股份，合共相当于全球发售后的公司已发行股总数约1.03%；及全球发售的发售股份数目约29.71%。</p><p>公司已委任中国证券登记结算(香港)有限公司作为公司70名股东(境内参与股东)所持合计45.88亿股境内未上市股份转换的H股(每股面值人民币0.1元)的名义持有人。于2020年9月7日，香港中央证券登记有限公司将就该45.88亿股转换H股发行一张以“中国结算香港”名字登记的H股股票，并将于当日将该等股份集中存管于香港结算。此等转换H股将于2020年9月8日上午9时正开始在联交所上市，</p>","source":"stock_eastmoney","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>农夫山泉公开发售获超购1148.3倍，每股发售价21.5港元</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n农夫山泉公开发售获超购1148.3倍，每股发售价21.5港元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-09-07 07:10 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202009071621967381.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>9月7日讯，农夫山泉发布公告，发售价厘定为每股21.50港元，公司估计将收取全球发售所得款项净额约81.49亿港元。预期H股将于2020年9月8日上午9时正开始在联交所主板买卖。H股将以每手200股H股为买卖单位。公司公布的中签结果显示，农夫山泉一手中签率12%，认购150手稳中一手。公开发售阶段农夫山泉获1148.3倍认购，分配至公开发售的发售股份最终数目约1.05亿股，占发售股份总数的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202009071621967381.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c73365999f228bdf66df7f52d79a4b4","relate_stocks":{"09633":"农夫山泉"},"source_url":"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202009071621967381.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2065297580","content_text":"9月7日讯，农夫山泉发布公告，发售价厘定为每股21.50港元，公司估计将收取全球发售所得款项净额约81.49亿港元。预期H股将于2020年9月8日上午9时正开始在联交所主板买卖。H股将以每手200股H股为买卖单位。公司公布的中签结果显示，农夫山泉一手中签率12%，认购150手稳中一手。公开发售阶段农夫山泉获1148.3倍认购，分配至公开发售的发售股份最终数目约1.05亿股，占发售股份总数的约27%（任何超额配股权获行使前）。合共接获707532份有效申请，一手中签率12%，认购150手稳中一手。此外，国际发售获超额认购，发售股份最终数目约为2.83亿股，相当于发售股份总数的约73%。合共接获70.75万份根据香港公开发售提出的有效申请，认购合共312.07亿股香港发售股份，相当于香港公开发售项下初步可供认购香港发售股份总数2717.64万股的约1148.3倍。由于根据香港公开发售有效申请的发售股份数目相当于香港公开发售项下初步可供认购的发售股份总数94倍以上，因此已应用招股章程所披露的重新分配程序，并自国际发售重新分配7764.62万股发售股份至香港公开发售。香港公开发售项下发售股份的最终数目为1.05亿股发售股份，相当于全球发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约27%(任何超额配股权获行使前)。据公告披露，国际发售项下初步提呈发售的发售股份获超额认购约60倍。7764.62万股发售股份已由国际发售重新分配至香港公开发售，而超额分配的股份为5823.46万股发售股份。国际发售项下分配予承配人的发售股份最终数目为2.83亿股发售股份，相当于全球发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约73%(任何超额配股权获行使前)。国际发售项下承配人的总数为554名。2141.32万股发售股份已根据国际雇员优先发售配发予352名合资格雇员，相当于全球发售项下初步可供认购发售股份总数的约5.5%(任何超额配股权获行使前)。就全球发售而言，公司已向国际包销商授出超额配股权，可由联席全球协调人于上市日期起至2020年9月27日期间任何时间行使，以要求公司根据国际发售按发售价额外配发及发行最多合共5823.46万股发售股份，以补足国际发售的超额分配。国际发售中已超额分配5823.46万股发售股份，且有关超额分配将透过与根据国际发售获提呈发售发售股份的投资者的延迟交付安排补足。根据与基石投资者订立的基石投资协议，基石投资者认购的发售股份数目已获厘定。Fidelity 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>盘前股价大涨超5%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae3113ef3b7ed3ef0f4db082b0986730\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"497\"></p><p>2020年10月29日，蔚来本月第5,000台整车在合肥先进制造基地量产下线。这是蔚来量产车单月下线首次突破5,000台，也是中国第一次有高端汽车品牌月产达到5,000台。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0090cc485ea4ba6d267489389e83608b","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161179026","content_text":"周四，蔚来盘前股价大涨超5%。2020年10月29日，蔚来本月第5,000台整车在合肥先进制造基地量产下线。这是蔚来量产车单月下线首次突破5,000台，也是中国第一次有高端汽车品牌月产达到5,000台。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3179,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":947794107,"gmtCreate":1597412931409,"gmtModify":1704215796266,"author":{"id":"3547955490563293","authorId":"3547955490563293","name":"长春粉丝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b80087502c22297c9867ccfbfe8549a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3547955490563293","idStr":"3547955490563293"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>我的Call，kao了[傲娇]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>我的Call，kao了[傲娇]&nbsp;","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$我的Call，kao了[傲娇]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/947794107","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}