BJJH的个人主页 - 老虎社区

BJJH

BJJH

资深投资人

IP属地：北京

13关注

17粉丝

4主题

0勋章

07-01

我平仓了80.0股$爱彼迎(ABNB)$ ,长短有别[得意]

07-01

我开仓了5手$UBER 20250703 90.0 PUT$ ,回购

06-24

我平仓了600.0股$优步(UBER)$ ,快被遗忘的卖单

06-19

我开仓了80.0股$爱彼迎(ABNB)$ ,忘了撤单入手

05-29

我平仓了60.0股$爱彼迎(ABNB)$ ,有分红

05-28

我开仓了60.0股$爱彼迎(ABNB)$ ,好价格

05-23

我平仓了200.0股$优步(UBER)$ ,红包收下[得意]

05-23

我开仓了200.0股$优步(UBER)$ ,川普发红包？

05-22

我开仓了1手$NVDA 20250530 124.0 PUT$ ,财报来临，重在参与[可爱]

05-22

担心特斯拉？没必要！

马斯克：特斯拉没必要收购Uber

05-20

我平仓了160.0股$谷歌A(GOOGL)$ ,短线锁利

05-15

$AMZN 20250502 175.0 PUT$ 黄金坑

05-13

我开仓了120.0股$优步(UBER)$ ,卖出回补

05-02

我平仓了60.0股$爱彼迎(ABNB)$ ,小赚

04-29

我开仓了1手$AMZN 20250502 175.0 PUT$ ,物美价廉

04-23

我开仓了500.0股$优步(UBER)$ ,低吸

04-23

我平仓了500.0股$优步(UBER)$ ,高抛

04-21

我开仓了5手$UBER 20250425 71.0 PUT$ ,差价不错

04-10

我开仓了1手$ABNB 20250411 110.0 PUT$ ,不贵

04-10

我开仓了1手$C 20250411 60.0 PUT$ ,接回

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,忘了撤单入手","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/447426146345400","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":440051781223208,"gmtCreate":1748473426339,"gmtModify":1748482684882,"author":{"id":"3548681672386600","authorId":"3548681672386600","name":"BJJH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07f7dea8f72800ba9dcf7eca788320b1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3548681672386600","idStr":"3548681672386600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我平仓了60.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$爱彼迎(ABNB)$&nbsp;</a>,有分红","listText":"我平仓了60.0股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$爱彼迎(ABNB)$&nbsp;</a>,有分红","text":"我平仓了60.0股$爱彼迎(ABNB)$ 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08:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克：特斯拉没必要收购Uber","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2537496581","media":"三言科技","summary":"日前，马斯克接受采访时表示特斯拉“没必要”收购 Uber。他认为，未来人们无需使用 Uber，而可以召唤自动驾驶的特斯拉汽车来完成出行。特斯拉将拥有数百万辆自动驾驶汽车，形成由特斯拉自有车队和车主车辆共同组成的车队，车主可自由加入或退出，通过提供自动驾驶服务赚钱。","content":"<html><body><article><p>日前，马斯克接受采访时表示<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>“没必要”收购 Uber。他认为，未来人们无需使用 Uber，而可以召唤自动驾驶的特斯拉汽车来完成出行。特斯拉将拥有数百万辆自动驾驶汽车，形成由特斯拉自有车队和车主车辆共同组成的车队，车主可自由加入或退出，通过提供自动驾驶服务赚钱。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克：特斯拉没必要收购Uber</title>\n<style 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href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250522082641a6e80b5a&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SG9999014880.SGD":"大华全球优质成长基金Acc SGD","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00BFMHRM44.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN GLOBAL EQUITY MEGATRENDS \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","SG9999018857.SGD":"United Global Quality Growth Fd Cl Acc SGD-H","TSYW.SI":"TESLA 3xLongSG261006","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 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我对2024年市场并无特殊期望。市场永远充满变数，我从不对市场做出预测。我只是一个观察者，做好风控，耐心持有自己看好的公司股票而已。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a56c5937d05d136cdc9a85f4a6f7c15"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/250165688774944","repostId":"249584209281080","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":249584209281080,"gmtCreate":1701938824516,"gmtModify":1702005802017,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【股市时光机】假如时光倒流，哪些投资决策会改变？","htmlText":"股市就像一次跌宕起伏的梦想之旅，我们无时无刻不在应对扑朔迷离的行情，做出惊心动魄的抉择。时至年末，就让时光逆流到那些按下交易键的瞬间，回味暴涨的激爽，也咀嚼“错失”与“踩雷”的遗憾。在2023年即将结束之际，小虎君号召虎友们分享过去一年的投资经历，将宝贵的经验、教训、心得、感悟刻入时光，不负曾经。 活动期间，我们准备了诱人的奖励，包括虎币、股票优惠券和神秘的老虎周边等丰富品类。用你的故事，来换大家的共鸣与喝彩吧。【参与方式】在本帖评论区留言 或者在“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&amp;page=/theme/detail&amp;rndata={&quot;themeId&quot;:&quot;98e106332987453a927c67a6e1dc4351&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:0}\" target=\"_blank\">股市时光机</a>”主题下发帖，题材不限，如果不知道怎么写，可以参考以下任一角度：你在2023年的收益率如何？是否达到了目标？回顾2023年最超预期的股票 和最让你失望的股票是哪一个？假如时光倒流，你在2023年哪些投资决策会改变？你对2024年有哪些期望？友情提示：篇幅长的虎友可以在发帖时选择“写长帖’ 也可以使用老虎社区网页发帖可支持多图及长文格式哦：www.laohu8.com【活动奖品】为了鼓励您的参与，我们准备了丰厚的奖品！凡是参加活动，发表观点大于30字即可领取10虎币的阳光普照奖。一等奖：50美元代金券（5个）二等奖：20美元股票代金券（10个）三等奖：5美元股票代金券（20个）此外，我们还将从所有参与复盘活动的虎友中随机抽选出20名征文内容优质的幸运虎友，赠送我们最新款的周边商品。数量有限，先到先得哦！【评奖规则】客观评分（50%）：根据文章的字数、阅读、转","listText":"股市就像一次跌宕起伏的梦想之旅，我们无时无刻不在应对扑朔迷离的行情，做出惊心动魄的抉择。时至年末，就让时光逆流到那些按下交易键的瞬间，回味暴涨的激爽，也咀嚼“错失”与“踩雷”的遗憾。在2023年即将结束之际，小虎君号召虎友们分享过去一年的投资经历，将宝贵的经验、教训、心得、感悟刻入时光，不负曾经。 活动期间，我们准备了诱人的奖励，包括虎币、股票优惠券和神秘的老虎周边等丰富品类。用你的故事，来换大家的共鸣与喝彩吧。【参与方式】在本帖评论区留言 或者在“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&amp;page=/theme/detail&amp;rndata={&quot;themeId&quot;:&quot;98e106332987453a927c67a6e1dc4351&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:0}\" target=\"_blank\">股市时光机</a>”主题下发帖，题材不限，如果不知道怎么写，可以参考以下任一角度：你在2023年的收益率如何？是否达到了目标？回顾2023年最超预期的股票 和最让你失望的股票是哪一个？假如时光倒流，你在2023年哪些投资决策会改变？你对2024年有哪些期望？友情提示：篇幅长的虎友可以在发帖时选择“写长帖’ 也可以使用老虎社区网页发帖可支持多图及长文格式哦：www.laohu8.com【活动奖品】为了鼓励您的参与，我们准备了丰厚的奖品！凡是参加活动，发表观点大于30字即可领取10虎币的阳光普照奖。一等奖：50美元代金券（5个）二等奖：20美元股票代金券（10个）三等奖：5美元股票代金券（20个）此外，我们还将从所有参与复盘活动的虎友中随机抽选出20名征文内容优质的幸运虎友，赠送我们最新款的周边商品。数量有限，先到先得哦！【评奖规则】客观评分（50%）：根据文章的字数、阅读、转","text":"股市就像一次跌宕起伏的梦想之旅，我们无时无刻不在应对扑朔迷离的行情，做出惊心动魄的抉择。时至年末，就让时光逆流到那些按下交易键的瞬间，回味暴涨的激爽，也咀嚼“错失”与“踩雷”的遗憾。在2023年即将结束之际，小虎君号召虎友们分享过去一年的投资经历，将宝贵的经验、教训、心得、感悟刻入时光，不负曾经。 活动期间，我们准备了诱人的奖励，包括虎币、股票优惠券和神秘的老虎周边等丰富品类。用你的故事，来换大家的共鸣与喝彩吧。【参与方式】在本帖评论区留言 或者在“股市时光机”主题下发帖，题材不限，如果不知道怎么写，可以参考以下任一角度：你在2023年的收益率如何？是否达到了目标？回顾2023年最超预期的股票 和最让你失望的股票是哪一个？假如时光倒流，你在2023年哪些投资决策会改变？你对2024年有哪些期望？友情提示：篇幅长的虎友可以在发帖时选择“写长帖’ 也可以使用老虎社区网页发帖可支持多图及长文格式哦：www.laohu8.com【活动奖品】为了鼓励您的参与，我们准备了丰厚的奖品！凡是参加活动，发表观点大于30字即可领取10虎币的阳光普照奖。一等奖：50美元代金券（5个）二等奖：20美元股票代金券（10个）三等奖：5美元股票代金券（20个）此外，我们还将从所有参与复盘活动的虎友中随机抽选出20名征文内容优质的幸运虎友，赠送我们最新款的周边商品。数量有限，先到先得哦！【评奖规则】客观评分（50%）：根据文章的字数、阅读、转","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/667c28c9d87ec7ab138b97d4741d3800","width":"840","height":"540"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/249584209281080","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"元旦快乐！感谢支持！祝:2024年交大运，发大财！","text":"元旦快乐！感谢支持！祝:2024年交大运，发大财！","html":"元旦快乐！感谢支持！祝:2024年交大运，发大财！"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":320328327676168,"gmtCreate":1719237978104,"gmtModify":1719237979973,"author":{"id":"3548681672386600","authorId":"3548681672386600","name":"BJJH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07f7dea8f72800ba9dcf7eca788320b1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548681672386600","authorIdStr":"3548681672386600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"短期见顶","listText":"短期见顶","text":"短期见顶","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320328327676168","repostId":"1180762062","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1180762062","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1719234905,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1180762062?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-06-24 21:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"失守美股市值第一，英伟达是见顶还是回调？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180762062","media":"巴伦中文","summary":"问鼎“美股市值第一”后，英伟达股价连续两个交易日出现下跌，6月21日收跌3.22%至126.57美元，周内跌幅约4%——结束了此前八周涨势。年初至今，英伟达股价涨幅高达156%。“英伟达股价在3月初出现过类似走势，导致其股价短暂回调20%。”科技股或受冲击英伟达股价波动将影响整个市场。其中，英伟达市值占比约为7%。不过，有观点认为，只要英伟达的收入和利润以健康速度增长，公司及其他科技股就会继续攀升。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>如果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>或其他大型科技公司出现负面消息，整个市场都会崩溃。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">6月24日，英伟达股价周一一度下跌3.2%，连续第三个交易日走低，恐蒸发逾3,000亿美元的市值。目前英伟达市值低于微软和苹果。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/084afa00dd4b7092255b69f7aed0fa08\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">不过，短期下跌不算什么。年初至今，英伟达股价涨幅高达156%。相比之下，标普500指数和纳斯达克指数分别上涨15%和18%；而芯片制造商超微半导体今年上涨9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>年内下跌38%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">消息面上，英伟达CEO黄仁勋近期在出售公司股票——6月13日-6月18日共计售出48万股，总价值6310万美元，平均每股价格131.42美元。3月14日，黄仁勋通过10b5-1规则交易安排，将在2025年3月31日前出售最多60万股普通股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf6901d10a300c0cf7dd8a651d54d029\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"716\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>分析师如何看待？</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">总体而言，华尔街分析师对英伟达仍持乐观态度——即使该股未来会出现下跌。根据FactSet数据，多数分析师将英伟达股票评级为“买入”，平均目标价127.39美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">《巴伦周刊》副主编埃里克·萨维茨 (Eric Savitz) 认为，英伟达的反弹“不可持续”。“英伟达市值已经超过全球任何一家公司。如果再上涨20%，该股市值将达到4万亿美元，这是前所未有的里程碑。现在是时候冷静一下了。”萨维茨写道。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">萨维茨进一步补充：“英伟达的预期市盈率从去年底约25倍上涨至当前45倍。而根据华尔街预计，该股市盈率应为2026年1月财年预期收入的20倍。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“英伟达股价在3月初出现过类似走势，导致其股价短暂回调20%。”Renaissance Macro Research分析师凯文·丹普特（Kevin Dempter）表示，类似的20%调整将使英伟达股价回到6月初的110美元左右水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">也有分析师继续看涨英伟达。美银证券（BofA Securities）分析师维韦克·阿里亚 (Vivek Arya) 认为，英伟达股价的任何波动都将是暂时的。英伟达股价的大幅上涨……可能使其容易受到短期获利回吐的影响。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">阿里亚维持英伟达股票150美元目标价和“买入”评级，并称其为“首选”。他表示，人工智能硬件销售可能处于3-5年周期的第二阶段。此外，英伟达下一代AI芯片Blackwell即将到来，越来越多的芯片制造商正从软件服务中获利。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>科技股或受冲击</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">英伟达股价波动将影响整个市场。目前，英伟达、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>（MSFT）、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（AAPL）总市值占标普500指数20%的份额。其中，英伟达市值占比约为7%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">《巴伦周刊》高级市场分析作者保罗·拉莫尼卡（Paul La Monicas）指出，鉴于英伟达对标普500指数的影响巨大。如果该股回调将损害投资组合，对科技行业产生冲击——特别是如果公司暗示其半导体需求放缓的情况下。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">一方面，微软、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>（AMZN）、Alphabet（GOOGL）和 Meta（META）都是英伟达的大客户；另一方面，作为科技行业领头羊，英伟达任何疲软可能波及其他人工智能企业，例如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMCI\">超微电脑</a>（SMCI）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DELL\">戴尔</a>（DELL）。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“如果英伟达或其他大型科技公司出现负面消息，整个市场都会崩溃。”风险管理公司SimCorp应用研究总经理梅丽莎·布朗 (Melissa Brown) 表示，低波动性给投资者带来了一种虚假的安全感。人们不知道还能买什么，因此纷纷涌入科技和其他人工智能相关业务的交易，例如电力服务和数据中心。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“从历史经验来看，当市场集中度达到当前程度，并且某只股票或板块占据主导地位时，通常都不会产生‘好的结果’。”布朗坦言。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">不过，有观点认为，只要英伟达的收入和利润以健康速度增长，公司及其他科技股就会继续攀升。毕竟，当前科技领军企业都是盈利的。尽管估值昂贵，但它们的估值低于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">思科</a>系统（CSCO）等公司在2000年初（互联网泡沫破裂之前）估值。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“我们可能太快地回想起2000年初的情景。”Ritholtz Wealth Management首席市场策略师卡莉·考克斯（Callie Cox）对《巴伦周刊》表示，科技行业表现强劲，人工智能并不是一个疯狂的故事，英伟达也将不断提高其收入预期。但她也补充道，当前科技股集中度确实偏高，市场可能很快出现10%的回调。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>结语</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">由于市场不确定性，投资者需要更加多元化的配置。大型科技公司估值高得惊人，标普500指数、纳斯达克100指数等主要加权指数可能无法提供足够的差异化选择。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Acadian投资组合经理卢卡斯·波莫斯基（Lukasz Pomorski）表示，即使你认为“科技七巨头”的股票定价是合理的，也并不意味着只有它们才最重要。人们常说“这次会不同”——即使真的有点不同，模式依旧是相似的。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1718164085300","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>失守美股市值第一，英伟达是见顶还是回调？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n失守美股市值第一，英伟达是见顶还是回调？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-06-24 21:15 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LhIeiBwEt-QK37KlLt72XQ><strong>巴伦中文</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>如果英伟达或其他大型科技公司出现负面消息，整个市场都会崩溃。6月24日，英伟达股价周一一度下跌3.2%，连续第三个交易日走低，恐蒸发逾3,000亿美元的市值。目前英伟达市值低于微软和苹果。不过，短期下跌不算什么。年初至今，英伟达股价涨幅高达156%。相比之下，标普500指数和纳斯达克指数分别上涨15%和18%；而芯片制造商超微半导体今年上涨9%，英特尔年内下跌38%。消息面上，英伟达CEO黄仁勋...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LhIeiBwEt-QK37KlLt72XQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1c866c487eb9e101f73a62d4495ce9","relate_stocks":{"LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0080751232.USD":"富达环球多元动力基金A","BK4543":"AI","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU0127658192.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","NVDA":"英伟达","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU0238689110.USD":"贝莱德环球动力股票基金","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU0072462426.USD":"贝莱德全球配置 A2"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/LhIeiBwEt-QK37KlLt72XQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180762062","content_text":"如果英伟达或其他大型科技公司出现负面消息，整个市场都会崩溃。6月24日，英伟达股价周一一度下跌3.2%，连续第三个交易日走低，恐蒸发逾3,000亿美元的市值。目前英伟达市值低于微软和苹果。不过，短期下跌不算什么。年初至今，英伟达股价涨幅高达156%。相比之下，标普500指数和纳斯达克指数分别上涨15%和18%；而芯片制造商超微半导体今年上涨9%，英特尔年内下跌38%。消息面上，英伟达CEO黄仁勋近期在出售公司股票——6月13日-6月18日共计售出48万股，总价值6310万美元，平均每股价格131.42美元。3月14日，黄仁勋通过10b5-1规则交易安排，将在2025年3月31日前出售最多60万股普通股。分析师如何看待？总体而言，华尔街分析师对英伟达仍持乐观态度——即使该股未来会出现下跌。根据FactSet数据，多数分析师将英伟达股票评级为“买入”，平均目标价127.39美元。《巴伦周刊》副主编埃里克·萨维茨 (Eric Savitz) 认为，英伟达的反弹“不可持续”。“英伟达市值已经超过全球任何一家公司。如果再上涨20%，该股市值将达到4万亿美元，这是前所未有的里程碑。现在是时候冷静一下了。”萨维茨写道。萨维茨进一步补充：“英伟达的预期市盈率从去年底约25倍上涨至当前45倍。而根据华尔街预计，该股市盈率应为2026年1月财年预期收入的20倍。”“英伟达股价在3月初出现过类似走势，导致其股价短暂回调20%。”Renaissance Macro Research分析师凯文·丹普特（Kevin Dempter）表示，类似的20%调整将使英伟达股价回到6月初的110美元左右水平。也有分析师继续看涨英伟达。美银证券（BofA Securities）分析师维韦克·阿里亚 (Vivek Arya) 认为，英伟达股价的任何波动都将是暂时的。英伟达股价的大幅上涨……可能使其容易受到短期获利回吐的影响。阿里亚维持英伟达股票150美元目标价和“买入”评级，并称其为“首选”。他表示，人工智能硬件销售可能处于3-5年周期的第二阶段。此外，英伟达下一代AI芯片Blackwell即将到来，越来越多的芯片制造商正从软件服务中获利。科技股或受冲击英伟达股价波动将影响整个市场。目前，英伟达、微软（MSFT）、苹果（AAPL）总市值占标普500指数20%的份额。其中，英伟达市值占比约为7%。《巴伦周刊》高级市场分析作者保罗·拉莫尼卡（Paul La Monicas）指出，鉴于英伟达对标普500指数的影响巨大。如果该股回调将损害投资组合，对科技行业产生冲击——特别是如果公司暗示其半导体需求放缓的情况下。一方面，微软、亚马逊（AMZN）、Alphabet（GOOGL）和 Meta（META）都是英伟达的大客户；另一方面，作为科技行业领头羊，英伟达任何疲软可能波及其他人工智能企业，例如超微电脑（SMCI）和戴尔（DELL）。“如果英伟达或其他大型科技公司出现负面消息，整个市场都会崩溃。”风险管理公司SimCorp应用研究总经理梅丽莎·布朗 (Melissa Brown) 表示，低波动性给投资者带来了一种虚假的安全感。人们不知道还能买什么，因此纷纷涌入科技和其他人工智能相关业务的交易，例如电力服务和数据中心。“从历史经验来看，当市场集中度达到当前程度，并且某只股票或板块占据主导地位时，通常都不会产生‘好的结果’。”布朗坦言。不过，有观点认为，只要英伟达的收入和利润以健康速度增长，公司及其他科技股就会继续攀升。毕竟，当前科技领军企业都是盈利的。尽管估值昂贵，但它们的估值低于思科系统（CSCO）等公司在2000年初（互联网泡沫破裂之前）估值。“我们可能太快地回想起2000年初的情景。”Ritholtz Wealth Management首席市场策略师卡莉·考克斯（Callie Cox）对《巴伦周刊》表示，科技行业表现强劲，人工智能并不是一个疯狂的故事，英伟达也将不断提高其收入预期。但她也补充道，当前科技股集中度确实偏高，市场可能很快出现10%的回调。结语由于市场不确定性，投资者需要更加多元化的配置。大型科技公司估值高得惊人，标普500指数、纳斯达克100指数等主要加权指数可能无法提供足够的差异化选择。Acadian投资组合经理卢卡斯·波莫斯基（Lukasz Pomorski）表示，即使你认为“科技七巨头”的股票定价是合理的，也并不意味着只有它们才最重要。人们常说“这次会不同”——即使真的有点不同，模式依旧是相似的。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1772,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":349241389916272,"gmtCreate":1726293685346,"gmtModify":1726293687539,"author":{"id":"3548681672386600","authorId":"3548681672386600","name":"BJJH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07f7dea8f72800ba9dcf7eca788320b1","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548681672386600","authorIdStr":"3548681672386600"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">$优步(UBER)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">$优步(UBER)$ 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