+关注
TorisQ
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:中国香港
316
关注
58
粉丝
24
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
TorisQ
07-30
interesting
TorisQ
07-30
interesting
高通的底牌:当手机不再是主场
TorisQ
06-09
$SWKS 20260618 62.5 CALL$
一直很看好 阶段性的买入call跟了 几乎是多频次的 每次下跌都会盯一盯 大家跟跟看看
TorisQ
05-22
ibm雄起
特朗普政府将向九家量子计算公司提供20亿美元拨款,并持有股份
TorisQ
05-22
$IBM 20260529 230.0 CALL$
舒服 蹲到了
TorisQ
05-11
真牛👍
TorisQ
05-10
还会继续涨
TorisQ
05-10
持续看好
TorisQ
2025-10-22
$CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL$
买了点这个 技术线往上趋势明显 应该大肉 可以跟
TorisQ
2025-10-22
$BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL$
卖掉1/4止盈了 后面放着飞
TorisQ
2025-07-02
COOL
24小时不间断交易,Bybit、Robinhood、Kraken 同日启动,美股代币化汹涌来袭
TorisQ
2025-03-17
$道琼斯(.DJI)$
为啥那么多看空?勇敢点行不
TorisQ
2025-02-13
看好啊
@躺平指数:Applovin四季报:正式剥离游戏!拓展电商广告
TorisQ
2025-02-11
wow...
抱歉,原内容已删除
TorisQ
2024-12-10
$IBM 20241220 220.0 CALL$
还会继续么
TorisQ
2024-06-18
$SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL$
喜悦
TorisQ
2024-05-14
$AMC 20240531 3.0 CALL$
蹲到了...
TorisQ
2023-08-08
wow
美联储哈克暗示加息已结束,但称短期内不太可能降息
TorisQ
2023-07-21
wow 可以可以 有机会了
特斯拉盘中跌超7%,二季度毛利率创近四年新低
TorisQ
2023-07-18
蛮牛
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3549118574070267","uuid":"3549118574070267","gmtCreate":1586024551543,"gmtModify":1677620211302,"name":"TorisQ","pinyin":"torisq","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d74dcc2cd4f8a347d0fe15c68026c85f","hatId":"shopping-8a9f53a21b41fb62ea835d3c9bb0fd08","hatName":"永涨头像框","vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":58,"headSize":316,"tweetSize":519,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":24,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":76,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"ed59ff8abb2e40a58b8c1442c70110e3-1","templateUuid":"ed59ff8abb2e40a58b8c1442c70110e3","name":"2026元宝x1","description":"2026年度投资收益超越10万美金","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6201d4617e1ae2ee84d4a42681c4161","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c30c473ad357518e9fa3b534ab6b31ef","grayImgUrl":null,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.05.18","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":6001,"isScarce":1,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":{"bgColor":{"dark":"#2f2a1f","tint":"#fcf6e5"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#dea95e","tint":"#885600"}},"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"9df0feab09f641fbb7250e9d275b592d-1","templateUuid":"9df0feab09f641fbb7250e9d275b592d","name":"2025百万美金","description":"2025年度投资收益超越100万美金","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00e8617cb071ed97ce3beab8b2d42f70","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00e8617cb071ed97ce3beab8b2d42f70","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d86cdc6208765232493ea0a0f2697ebd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":2,"allocatedDate":"2026.01.29","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":6002,"isScarce":1,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":1,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":{"bgColor":{"dark":"#2f2a1f","tint":"#fcf6e5"},"fontColor":{"dark":"#dea95e","tint":"#885600"}},"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.09.27","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"02aa7f16703b4ce4ace6f1a7665789cc-2","templateUuid":"02aa7f16703b4ce4ace6f1a7665789cc","name":"知识探索家","description":"观看学堂课程满20节","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63cc10a4789c3eaa019b225a55136cf9","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1f0cbf3ae1b0a4593ddb3434df74ce0","grayImgUrl":null,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.05","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":2006,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.05","exceedPercentage":"93.68%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.04%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":8,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.46%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"location":"中国香港","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":17,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":591383338987992,"gmtCreate":1785408868542,"gmtModify":1785408877340,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"interesting","listText":"interesting","text":"interesting","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f621dd3df3066ca938a59dd4965511b","width":"856","height":"9938"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/591383338987992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":86,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":591383391216984,"gmtCreate":1785408849902,"gmtModify":1785408851623,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"interesting","listText":"interesting","text":"interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/591383391216984","repostId":"2655449178","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2655449178","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1785408053,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2655449178?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-30 18:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"高通的底牌:当手机不再是主场","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2655449178","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"高通正经历结构性转型:受存储涨价与苹果订单加速流失影响,手机业务营收大跌,主场权重持续稀释。但其“底牌”已浮出水面:汽车芯片创纪录增长,兜住中期确定性;数据中心业务全面铺开,决定未来估值上限。年底至明年初将是其各业务线成效的关键验证期。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">7月29日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>交了一份让市场不知道该怎么给分的卷子。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">财报显示,2026财年第三财季(截至2026年6月28日),高通营收99.5亿美元,同比降4%,微超华尔街预期的96.2亿。Non-GAAP每股收益2.21美元,同比降20%,比预期低了1美分。盘后股价先跌后收窄,目前仍跌超5%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b6f106e6bac4910dfc95f0bc8a2a276e\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"613\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这份财报的拧巴之处在于:<strong>看手机,收入同比暴跌20%,50亿美元出头,是近年最差的一个季度;看汽车,61%的增长创了纪录;看数据中心,公司确认定制芯片今年底开始发货。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">同一家公司,三张完全不同的成绩单。该信哪张?</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">手机:高通的旧地基在塌,但没有塌完</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">手机芯片收入50.86亿美元,同比掉20%。从FY25Q1的76亿峰值到现在,三个季度少了三分之一。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根因不在需求端。全球智能手机出货量确实在跌——IDC数据,二季度同比降6.7%,连续两个季度下滑——但不是断崖式的。真正掐住高通的,是存储芯片。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">本季度内存芯片成本同比涨了约300%。AI数据中心把HBM和DRAM的产能吸走了,手机OEM拿不到量、付不起价。结果就是减产清库存,连带高通芯片订单被砍。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高通CEO Cristiano在电话会上说得挺直白:<strong>消费者开始买高端里的低配,或者干脆买去年的旧款。连高通最稳的那块高端安卓基本盘,也在松动。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但事情没那么线性。管理层明确说了,中国OEM的订单在三季度触底,四季度会回到两位数环比增长。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>Galaxy S26系列还是高通定制版骁龙8 Elite Gen 5。高端机这个基本盘没有崩,只是被存储涨价暂时压住了。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">手机收入占QCT的比重从一年前的67%掉到了60%。按公司投资者日的路标,2029财年这个数字会降到三分之一。手机不会消失,但它在高通的权重正在被系统性稀释。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">汽车:不是概念验证,是真在赚钱了</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">财报显示,汽车芯片收入15.88亿美元,同比涨61%。连续好几个季度刷新纪录。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">年化收入已经跑到63.5亿美元。三个月前公司设定的年度目标是70亿,当时不少分析师私下觉得偏乐观。现在看来,阿蒙的数字大概率能摸到。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">逻辑不复杂。<strong>燃油车单车芯片价值大概100美元,智能电动车做数字座舱加ADAS方案,单车能推到500到1500美元。</strong>高通手里的骁龙数字座舱和Snapdragon Ride平台,刚好卡在这个跃迁的咽喉上。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这个季度新签了宝马和Stellantis。之前已经量产的客户包括奔驰、通用、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>、本田、现代、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">比亚迪</a>。设计win管线堆到了650亿美元。收入的可预见性很高。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>唯一让人有点犹豫的是毛利率。</strong>汽车芯片的定制化程度高,验证周期长,毛利率比手机芯片低5到10个点。汽车收入占比从17%继续往上走,会拖QCT整体毛利率。这个问题不大,但需要持续盯。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">管理层把2029财年汽车收入目标从80亿调到了100亿。以现在的增速和设计win转化节奏,不算夸张。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">数据中心:愿景够大,但窗户纸还没捅破</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在6月24日的投资者日上,高通把2029财年非手机收入目标从220亿美元直接拉到400亿,其中数据中心分走150亿。这笔账拆开看是三步走:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>第一,定制芯片。</strong>两家超大规模云厂商的多代订单已经签了,首款产品年底前出货。管理层管这叫“多年的合作伙伴关系”,不是一锤子买卖。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>第二,标准芯片。</strong>Dragonfly C1000服务器CPU在投资者日上亮了相,自研Oryon架构,主打能效。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a>是第一批客户,但量产要到2028年。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>第三,软件。</strong>收了Modular(估值39亿美元),它的MAX推理平台和Mojo语言要对标<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>的CUDA。去年底收的Alphawave Semi(24亿美元),补了高速互联这块拼图。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>摊子铺得很大,但节奏是个问题。</strong>连接芯片今年就能贡献收入,定制芯片明年开始,通用AI加速器要到明年下半年,服务器CPU更要等到后年下半年。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>在投资者日后给了个“中性”评级,12个月目标价145美元,比当前股价还低。它的原话是:<strong>早期合作与大规模收入之间仍有很长的距离。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">坦率说,这个判断不保守。市场给数据中心业务的估值,押的是2028年到2029年,中间两年执行窗口,任何一个环节出问题都会打折。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>:这个利空比想象中来得快</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在所有让高通头疼的事情里,苹果自研基带的进度是最被市场低估的。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高通这次财报首次明确警告:<strong>苹果产品收入在加速流失。</strong>管理层在电话会上说,即将发布的iPhone上高通基带的份额会“远低于此前20%的预期”,四季度苹果收入可能环比腰斩。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">过去五年关于“苹果什么时候踢掉高通基带”的讨论一直没断过,每次都被技术难度拖住了。现在,这个进程正在实质性加速。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>算一笔账:</strong>苹果每季度给高通贡献15到20亿美元的芯片收入(基带加射频前端)。份额从原来大约20%掉到10%以下,每年就是60到80亿美元的高毛利收入没了。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Amon的应对是:FY2027非手机QCT收入增速超过60%,直接覆盖苹果流失的影响。汽车、IoT、数据中心三条线得同时跑起来。信不信取决于你对这三块业务增速的判断。我个人觉得汽车那条线最稳,数据中心变数最大。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">提价:一次没什么退路的测试</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高通宣布9月1日起全线提价,幅度两位数百分比。阿蒙的措辞是这样的:“成本上去了,价格就得跟着涨。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这不是高通第一次涨价,但这回不太一样。<strong>以前提价靠制程升级,新产品卖贵点顺理成章。这次是晶圆、封装、存储、材料全面涨价,内部已经吃不下去了。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>高通在安卓旗舰芯片上确实有定价权。</strong>三星、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XIACY\">小米</a>、OPPO、vivo、荣耀的旗舰机离开骁龙几乎没有替代选项。这批客户大概率会接受涨价,再转嫁给消费者。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但有个反身性问题。<strong>存储涨300%、芯片涨两位数、终端再涨一轮,中低端手机可能涨300到500块人民币。</strong>中低端市场本来就对价格敏感,量会不会进一步萎缩?</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">量价之间在互相拉扯。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">财报显示,FY26Q3毛利率53.77%,一年前是55.56%。<strong>提价效果要两个季度后才能看清,最早到FY27Q1才有答案。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高通现在大概1800亿美元的市值,手机撑着下限,汽车和IoT兜住了中期确定性,数据中心决定了估值能弹多高。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">三块业务处在完全不同的阶段,但都在年底到明年初集中迎来验证节点。<strong>十二月那个季度,手机会不会如管理层说的那样触底反弹,定制芯片能不能准时出货</strong>——这两件事的答案,比投资者日上任一个目标数字都更有分量。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高通的底牌:当手机不再是主场</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高通的底牌:当手机不再是主场\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-30 18:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">7月29日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">高通</a>交了一份让市场不知道该怎么给分的卷子。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">财报显示,2026财年第三财季(截至2026年6月28日),高通营收99.5亿美元,同比降4%,微超华尔街预期的96.2亿。Non-GAAP每股收益2.21美元,同比降20%,比预期低了1美分。盘后股价先跌后收窄,目前仍跌超5%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b6f106e6bac4910dfc95f0bc8a2a276e\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"613\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这份财报的拧巴之处在于:<strong>看手机,收入同比暴跌20%,50亿美元出头,是近年最差的一个季度;看汽车,61%的增长创了纪录;看数据中心,公司确认定制芯片今年底开始发货。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">同一家公司,三张完全不同的成绩单。该信哪张?</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">手机:高通的旧地基在塌,但没有塌完</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">手机芯片收入50.86亿美元,同比掉20%。从FY25Q1的76亿峰值到现在,三个季度少了三分之一。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根因不在需求端。全球智能手机出货量确实在跌——IDC数据,二季度同比降6.7%,连续两个季度下滑——但不是断崖式的。真正掐住高通的,是存储芯片。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">本季度内存芯片成本同比涨了约300%。AI数据中心把HBM和DRAM的产能吸走了,手机OEM拿不到量、付不起价。结果就是减产清库存,连带高通芯片订单被砍。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高通CEO Cristiano在电话会上说得挺直白:<strong>消费者开始买高端里的低配,或者干脆买去年的旧款。连高通最稳的那块高端安卓基本盘,也在松动。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但事情没那么线性。管理层明确说了,中国OEM的订单在三季度触底,四季度会回到两位数环比增长。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">三星</a>Galaxy S26系列还是高通定制版骁龙8 Elite Gen 5。高端机这个基本盘没有崩,只是被存储涨价暂时压住了。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">手机收入占QCT的比重从一年前的67%掉到了60%。按公司投资者日的路标,2029财年这个数字会降到三分之一。手机不会消失,但它在高通的权重正在被系统性稀释。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">汽车:不是概念验证,是真在赚钱了</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">财报显示,汽车芯片收入15.88亿美元,同比涨61%。连续好几个季度刷新纪录。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">年化收入已经跑到63.5亿美元。三个月前公司设定的年度目标是70亿,当时不少分析师私下觉得偏乐观。现在看来,阿蒙的数字大概率能摸到。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">逻辑不复杂。<strong>燃油车单车芯片价值大概100美元,智能电动车做数字座舱加ADAS方案,单车能推到500到1500美元。</strong>高通手里的骁龙数字座舱和Snapdragon Ride平台,刚好卡在这个跃迁的咽喉上。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这个季度新签了宝马和Stellantis。之前已经量产的客户包括奔驰、通用、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">福特</a>、本田、现代、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">比亚迪</a>。设计win管线堆到了650亿美元。收入的可预见性很高。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>唯一让人有点犹豫的是毛利率。</strong>汽车芯片的定制化程度高,验证周期长,毛利率比手机芯片低5到10个点。汽车收入占比从17%继续往上走,会拖QCT整体毛利率。这个问题不大,但需要持续盯。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">管理层把2029财年汽车收入目标从80亿调到了100亿。以现在的增速和设计win转化节奏,不算夸张。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">数据中心:愿景够大,但窗户纸还没捅破</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在6月24日的投资者日上,高通把2029财年非手机收入目标从220亿美元直接拉到400亿,其中数据中心分走150亿。这笔账拆开看是三步走:</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>第一,定制芯片。</strong>两家超大规模云厂商的多代订单已经签了,首款产品年底前出货。管理层管这叫“多年的合作伙伴关系”,不是一锤子买卖。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>第二,标准芯片。</strong>Dragonfly C1000服务器CPU在投资者日上亮了相,自研Oryon架构,主打能效。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta</a>是第一批客户,但量产要到2028年。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>第三,软件。</strong>收了Modular(估值39亿美元),它的MAX推理平台和Mojo语言要对标<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>的CUDA。去年底收的Alphawave Semi(24亿美元),补了高速互联这块拼图。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>摊子铺得很大,但节奏是个问题。</strong>连接芯片今年就能贡献收入,定制芯片明年开始,通用AI加速器要到明年下半年,服务器CPU更要等到后年下半年。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>在投资者日后给了个“中性”评级,12个月目标价145美元,比当前股价还低。它的原话是:<strong>早期合作与大规模收入之间仍有很长的距离。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">坦率说,这个判断不保守。市场给数据中心业务的估值,押的是2028年到2029年,中间两年执行窗口,任何一个环节出问题都会打折。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>:这个利空比想象中来得快</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">在所有让高通头疼的事情里,苹果自研基带的进度是最被市场低估的。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高通这次财报首次明确警告:<strong>苹果产品收入在加速流失。</strong>管理层在电话会上说,即将发布的iPhone上高通基带的份额会“远低于此前20%的预期”,四季度苹果收入可能环比腰斩。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">过去五年关于“苹果什么时候踢掉高通基带”的讨论一直没断过,每次都被技术难度拖住了。现在,这个进程正在实质性加速。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>算一笔账:</strong>苹果每季度给高通贡献15到20亿美元的芯片收入(基带加射频前端)。份额从原来大约20%掉到10%以下,每年就是60到80亿美元的高毛利收入没了。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Amon的应对是:FY2027非手机QCT收入增速超过60%,直接覆盖苹果流失的影响。汽车、IoT、数据中心三条线得同时跑起来。信不信取决于你对这三块业务增速的判断。我个人觉得汽车那条线最稳,数据中心变数最大。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">提价:一次没什么退路的测试</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高通宣布9月1日起全线提价,幅度两位数百分比。阿蒙的措辞是这样的:“成本上去了,价格就得跟着涨。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这不是高通第一次涨价,但这回不太一样。<strong>以前提价靠制程升级,新产品卖贵点顺理成章。这次是晶圆、封装、存储、材料全面涨价,内部已经吃不下去了。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>高通在安卓旗舰芯片上确实有定价权。</strong>三星、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XIACY\">小米</a>、OPPO、vivo、荣耀的旗舰机离开骁龙几乎没有替代选项。这批客户大概率会接受涨价,再转嫁给消费者。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但有个反身性问题。<strong>存储涨300%、芯片涨两位数、终端再涨一轮,中低端手机可能涨300到500块人民币。</strong>中低端市场本来就对价格敏感,量会不会进一步萎缩?</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">量价之间在互相拉扯。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">财报显示,FY26Q3毛利率53.77%,一年前是55.56%。<strong>提价效果要两个季度后才能看清,最早到FY27Q1才有答案。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">高通现在大概1800亿美元的市值,手机撑着下限,汽车和IoT兜住了中期确定性,数据中心决定了估值能弹多高。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">三块业务处在完全不同的阶段,但都在年底到明年初集中迎来验证节点。<strong>十二月那个季度,手机会不会如管理层说的那样触底反弹,定制芯片能不能准时出货</strong>——这两件事的答案,比投资者日上任一个目标数字都更有分量。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/685375f07e8e901be0e3fd1bc7a412ac","relate_stocks":{"BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4512":"苹果概念","LU1035775433.USD":"AB SICAV I - AMERICAN GROWTH PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (USD) INC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU1496350502.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED DYNAMIC \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1823568750.SGD":"Fidelity Global Technology A-ACC SGD","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1084165304.USD":"FIDELITY WORLD \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2023250504.SGD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU1917777945.USD":"安联专题基金Cl AT Acc","QCMD":"1倍做空QCOM ETF-Direxion","BK4141":"半导体产品","LU0081259029.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - TECH OPPORTUNITY \"P\" (USD) ACC","SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout USD","LU1244550221.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) INC (M)","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","QCML":"2倍做多QCOM ETF-GraniteShares","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","BK4575":"芯片概念","SG9999002224.SGD":"Allianz Global High Payout SGD","LU1119994496.HKD":"FIDELITY WORLD \"A\" (HKD) ACC","QCMU":"2倍做多QCOM ETF-Direxion","LU0942090050.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) INC","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC","LU2106854487.HKD":"ALLIANZ THEMATICA \"AMG\" (HKD) INC","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4612":"AI芯片","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","IE00BVYPNQ40.USD":"GUINNESS ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"C\" (USD) ACC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","QCOM":"高通","BK4579":"人工智能","SG9999001424.SGD":"United E-Commerce Fund SGD","LU0868494708.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) INC","IE00BVYPNP33.GBP":"GUINNESS ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"C\" (GBP) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4605":"半导体精选","LU2247934214.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS SUSTAINABLE FUTURE CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0868494617.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - US TOTAL YIELD SUSTAINABLE \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1046421795.USD":"富达环球科技A-ACC","TDV":"ProShares S&P Technology Dividend Aristocrats ETF","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1974910355.USD":"Allianz Thematica Cl AMg DIS USD","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","FTXL":"First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF","LU1244550577.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Global Multi-Asset Income A (Mdis) SGD-H1","LU1069344957.HKD":"AB SICAV I - AMERICAN GROWTH PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (HKD) INC","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","BK4573":"虚拟现实","IE00BGHQDM52.EUR":"GUINNESS ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"C\" (EUR) ACC","BK4604":"机器人概念"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3778291","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2655449178","content_text":"7月29日,高通交了一份让市场不知道该怎么给分的卷子。财报显示,2026财年第三财季(截至2026年6月28日),高通营收99.5亿美元,同比降4%,微超华尔街预期的96.2亿。Non-GAAP每股收益2.21美元,同比降20%,比预期低了1美分。盘后股价先跌后收窄,目前仍跌超5%。这份财报的拧巴之处在于:看手机,收入同比暴跌20%,50亿美元出头,是近年最差的一个季度;看汽车,61%的增长创了纪录;看数据中心,公司确认定制芯片今年底开始发货。同一家公司,三张完全不同的成绩单。该信哪张?手机:高通的旧地基在塌,但没有塌完手机芯片收入50.86亿美元,同比掉20%。从FY25Q1的76亿峰值到现在,三个季度少了三分之一。根因不在需求端。全球智能手机出货量确实在跌——IDC数据,二季度同比降6.7%,连续两个季度下滑——但不是断崖式的。真正掐住高通的,是存储芯片。本季度内存芯片成本同比涨了约300%。AI数据中心把HBM和DRAM的产能吸走了,手机OEM拿不到量、付不起价。结果就是减产清库存,连带高通芯片订单被砍。高通CEO Cristiano在电话会上说得挺直白:消费者开始买高端里的低配,或者干脆买去年的旧款。连高通最稳的那块高端安卓基本盘,也在松动。但事情没那么线性。管理层明确说了,中国OEM的订单在三季度触底,四季度会回到两位数环比增长。三星Galaxy S26系列还是高通定制版骁龙8 Elite Gen 5。高端机这个基本盘没有崩,只是被存储涨价暂时压住了。手机收入占QCT的比重从一年前的67%掉到了60%。按公司投资者日的路标,2029财年这个数字会降到三分之一。手机不会消失,但它在高通的权重正在被系统性稀释。汽车:不是概念验证,是真在赚钱了财报显示,汽车芯片收入15.88亿美元,同比涨61%。连续好几个季度刷新纪录。年化收入已经跑到63.5亿美元。三个月前公司设定的年度目标是70亿,当时不少分析师私下觉得偏乐观。现在看来,阿蒙的数字大概率能摸到。逻辑不复杂。燃油车单车芯片价值大概100美元,智能电动车做数字座舱加ADAS方案,单车能推到500到1500美元。高通手里的骁龙数字座舱和Snapdragon Ride平台,刚好卡在这个跃迁的咽喉上。这个季度新签了宝马和Stellantis。之前已经量产的客户包括奔驰、通用、福特、本田、现代、比亚迪。设计win管线堆到了650亿美元。收入的可预见性很高。唯一让人有点犹豫的是毛利率。汽车芯片的定制化程度高,验证周期长,毛利率比手机芯片低5到10个点。汽车收入占比从17%继续往上走,会拖QCT整体毛利率。这个问题不大,但需要持续盯。管理层把2029财年汽车收入目标从80亿调到了100亿。以现在的增速和设计win转化节奏,不算夸张。数据中心:愿景够大,但窗户纸还没捅破在6月24日的投资者日上,高通把2029财年非手机收入目标从220亿美元直接拉到400亿,其中数据中心分走150亿。这笔账拆开看是三步走:第一,定制芯片。两家超大规模云厂商的多代订单已经签了,首款产品年底前出货。管理层管这叫“多年的合作伙伴关系”,不是一锤子买卖。第二,标准芯片。Dragonfly C1000服务器CPU在投资者日上亮了相,自研Oryon架构,主打能效。Meta是第一批客户,但量产要到2028年。第三,软件。收了Modular(估值39亿美元),它的MAX推理平台和Mojo语言要对标英伟达的CUDA。去年底收的Alphawave Semi(24亿美元),补了高速互联这块拼图。摊子铺得很大,但节奏是个问题。连接芯片今年就能贡献收入,定制芯片明年开始,通用AI加速器要到明年下半年,服务器CPU更要等到后年下半年。高盛在投资者日后给了个“中性”评级,12个月目标价145美元,比当前股价还低。它的原话是:早期合作与大规模收入之间仍有很长的距离。坦率说,这个判断不保守。市场给数据中心业务的估值,押的是2028年到2029年,中间两年执行窗口,任何一个环节出问题都会打折。苹果:这个利空比想象中来得快在所有让高通头疼的事情里,苹果自研基带的进度是最被市场低估的。高通这次财报首次明确警告:苹果产品收入在加速流失。管理层在电话会上说,即将发布的iPhone上高通基带的份额会“远低于此前20%的预期”,四季度苹果收入可能环比腰斩。过去五年关于“苹果什么时候踢掉高通基带”的讨论一直没断过,每次都被技术难度拖住了。现在,这个进程正在实质性加速。算一笔账:苹果每季度给高通贡献15到20亿美元的芯片收入(基带加射频前端)。份额从原来大约20%掉到10%以下,每年就是60到80亿美元的高毛利收入没了。Amon的应对是:FY2027非手机QCT收入增速超过60%,直接覆盖苹果流失的影响。汽车、IoT、数据中心三条线得同时跑起来。信不信取决于你对这三块业务增速的判断。我个人觉得汽车那条线最稳,数据中心变数最大。提价:一次没什么退路的测试高通宣布9月1日起全线提价,幅度两位数百分比。阿蒙的措辞是这样的:“成本上去了,价格就得跟着涨。”这不是高通第一次涨价,但这回不太一样。以前提价靠制程升级,新产品卖贵点顺理成章。这次是晶圆、封装、存储、材料全面涨价,内部已经吃不下去了。高通在安卓旗舰芯片上确实有定价权。三星、小米、OPPO、vivo、荣耀的旗舰机离开骁龙几乎没有替代选项。这批客户大概率会接受涨价,再转嫁给消费者。但有个反身性问题。存储涨300%、芯片涨两位数、终端再涨一轮,中低端手机可能涨300到500块人民币。中低端市场本来就对价格敏感,量会不会进一步萎缩?量价之间在互相拉扯。财报显示,FY26Q3毛利率53.77%,一年前是55.56%。提价效果要两个季度后才能看清,最早到FY27Q1才有答案。高通现在大概1800亿美元的市值,手机撑着下限,汽车和IoT兜住了中期确定性,数据中心决定了估值能弹多高。三块业务处在完全不同的阶段,但都在年底到明年初集中迎来验证节点。十二月那个季度,手机会不会如管理层说的那样触底反弹,定制芯片能不能准时出货——这两件事的答案,比投资者日上任一个目标数字都更有分量。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QCOM":2.1,"FTXL":0.6,"QCMD":0.6,"QCMU":0.6,"QCML":0.6,"TDV":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":573200094356776,"gmtCreate":1780976600622,"gmtModify":1780979113698,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SWKS 20260618 62.5 CALL\">$SWKS 20260618 62.5 CALL$</a> 一直很看好 阶段性的买入call跟了 几乎是多频次的 每次下跌都会盯一盯 大家跟跟看看","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SWKS 20260618 62.5 CALL\">$SWKS 20260618 62.5 CALL$</a> 一直很看好 阶段性的买入call跟了 几乎是多频次的 每次下跌都会盯一盯 大家跟跟看看","text":"$SWKS 20260618 62.5 CALL$ 一直很看好 阶段性的买入call跟了 几乎是多频次的 每次下跌都会盯一盯 大家跟跟看看","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a05ef3242bc8bef49cd58624fe400c5e","width":"1038","height":"1618"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/573200094356776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":566968230733640,"gmtCreate":1779441252005,"gmtModify":1779441406252,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"ibm雄起","listText":"ibm雄起","text":"ibm雄起","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/566968230733640","repostId":"1148326456","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1148326456","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"个股异动一手消息解读","home_visible":1,"media_name":"异动解读","id":"1092702339","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390"},"pubTimestamp":1779358551,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1148326456?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-21 18:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特朗普政府将向九家量子计算公司提供20亿美元拨款,并持有股份","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148326456","media":"异动解读","summary":"这无疑为公司未来的发展注入了强劲动力。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据华尔街日报报道,美国商务部表示,特朗普政府将向九家量子计算公司提供总额为20亿美元的拨款,相关协议还包括美国政府持有股权。此举加速了政府推动这一新兴产业发展的计划,该行业近几个月来已吸引了一波来自投资者和企业的投资热潮。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据悉,商务部已同意将该计划中的10亿美元拨给IBM,该公司在利用量子力学制造计算机的竞赛中处于领先地位,这类计算机解决问题的能力远超传统超级计算机。此外,芯片制造商GlobalFoundries将获得3.75亿美元的资金支持。其余公司预计将获得1亿美元,不过初创企业Diraq预计会获得3800万美元。一批致力于量子计算不同领域的公司预计也将获得资金支持,其中包括上市公司D-Wave Quantum、Rigetti Computing和Infleqition。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">量子计算概念股周四盘前集体大涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INFQ\">Infleqtion</a>涨超19%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RGTI\">Rigetti Computing</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GFS\">GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.</a>涨11%,涨超 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QUBT\">Quantum Computing Inc.</a>10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QBTS\">D-Wave Quantum Inc.</a>涨近10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>涨8%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ac2289c89598d600c72f44dbe9f7647\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"159\"/><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d577f4c998a32655c5ce2eb684874bf\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"159\"/><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83b6521b7796b49157cc8f82ebe9ae45\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"162\"/><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4721ef025fd7ecd6ec5223b3fe92084b\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"159\"/><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcbf449cc9c7600087bd1d87688b2969\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"165\"/><span></span></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特朗普政府将向九家量子计算公司提供20亿美元拨款,并持有股份</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特朗普政府将向九家量子计算公司提供20亿美元拨款,并持有股份\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1092702339\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a81accab1e7ee4144dc051f71903a390);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">异动解读 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-05-21 18:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据华尔街日报报道,美国商务部表示,特朗普政府将向九家量子计算公司提供总额为20亿美元的拨款,相关协议还包括美国政府持有股权。此举加速了政府推动这一新兴产业发展的计划,该行业近几个月来已吸引了一波来自投资者和企业的投资热潮。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">据悉,商务部已同意将该计划中的10亿美元拨给IBM,该公司在利用量子力学制造计算机的竞赛中处于领先地位,这类计算机解决问题的能力远超传统超级计算机。此外,芯片制造商GlobalFoundries将获得3.75亿美元的资金支持。其余公司预计将获得1亿美元,不过初创企业Diraq预计会获得3800万美元。一批致力于量子计算不同领域的公司预计也将获得资金支持,其中包括上市公司D-Wave Quantum、Rigetti Computing和Infleqition。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">量子计算概念股周四盘前集体大涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INFQ\">Infleqtion</a>涨超19%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RGTI\">Rigetti Computing</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GFS\">GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.</a>涨11%,涨超 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QUBT\">Quantum Computing Inc.</a>10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QBTS\">D-Wave Quantum Inc.</a>涨近10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>涨8%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ac2289c89598d600c72f44dbe9f7647\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"159\"/><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d577f4c998a32655c5ce2eb684874bf\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"159\"/><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83b6521b7796b49157cc8f82ebe9ae45\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"162\"/><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4721ef025fd7ecd6ec5223b3fe92084b\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"159\"/><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcbf449cc9c7600087bd1d87688b2969\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"165\"/><span></span></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/985a3ac607766f860df3913f8141a075","relate_stocks":{"INFQ":"Infleqtion","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","QUBT":"Quantum Computing Inc.","QBTX":"2倍做多QBTS ETF-Tradr","RGTZ":"2倍做空RGTI ETF-Defiance","QBTZ":"2倍做空QBTS ETF-Defiance","RGYY":"GraniteShares YieldBoost RGTI ETF","RGTI":"Rigetti Computing","LAES":"SEALSQ Corp","ARQQ":"Arqit Quantum Inc.","IONL":"2倍做多IONQ ETF-GraniteShares","QBTS":"D-Wave Quantum Inc.","QBY":"GraniteShares YieldBoost QBTS ETF","IONQ":"IONQ Inc.","QUBX":"2倍做多QUBT ETF-Tradr","IONX":"2倍做多IONQ ETF-Defiance","IONZ":"2倍做空IONQ ETF-Defiance","RGTX":"2倍做多RGTI ETF-Defiance","IBM":"IBM","QMCO":"昆腾","RGTU":"2倍做多RGTI ETF-Tradr","IOYY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST IONQ ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148326456","content_text":"据华尔街日报报道,美国商务部表示,特朗普政府将向九家量子计算公司提供总额为20亿美元的拨款,相关协议还包括美国政府持有股权。此举加速了政府推动这一新兴产业发展的计划,该行业近几个月来已吸引了一波来自投资者和企业的投资热潮。据悉,商务部已同意将该计划中的10亿美元拨给IBM,该公司在利用量子力学制造计算机的竞赛中处于领先地位,这类计算机解决问题的能力远超传统超级计算机。此外,芯片制造商GlobalFoundries将获得3.75亿美元的资金支持。其余公司预计将获得1亿美元,不过初创企业Diraq预计会获得3800万美元。一批致力于量子计算不同领域的公司预计也将获得资金支持,其中包括上市公司D-Wave Quantum、Rigetti Computing和Infleqition。量子计算概念股周四盘前集体大涨,Infleqtion涨超19%,Rigetti Computing、GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.涨11%,涨超 Quantum Computing Inc.10%,D-Wave Quantum Inc.涨近10%,IBM涨8%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RGTI":2,"GFS":2,"QBTZ":0.6,"INFQ":2,"RGTX":0.6,"QBTS":2,"QBY":0.6,"IONQ":2,"RGYY":0.6,"QUBX":0.6,"LAES":2,"RGTU":0.6,"QUBT":2,"IOYY":0.6,"IBM":1,"IONZ":0.6,"QBTX":0.6,"IONX":0.6,"QMCO":2,"IONL":0.6,"ARQQ":2,"RGTZ":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":830,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":566836119106672,"gmtCreate":1779422050937,"gmtModify":1779422062922,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/IBM 20260529 230.0 CALL\">$IBM 20260529 230.0 CALL$</a> 舒服 蹲到了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/IBM 20260529 230.0 CALL\">$IBM 20260529 230.0 CALL$</a> 舒服 蹲到了","text":"$IBM 20260529 230.0 CALL$ 舒服 蹲到了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79d21adfe18991d2366d14615c2a97a9","width":"1038","height":"1618"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/566836119106672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":563094519850856,"gmtCreate":1778502877364,"gmtModify":1778506630744,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"真牛👍","listText":"真牛👍","text":"真牛👍","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82c6021ca02a169be06b344a14297e72","width":"1284","height":"1983"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/563094519850856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":929,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":562631077569016,"gmtCreate":1778389654288,"gmtModify":1778395528526,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"还会继续涨","listText":"还会继续涨","text":"还会继续涨","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b99c9b9eb58d51ed45c3ffb69f3414b","width":"1284","height":"2229"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/562631077569016","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":821,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":562630900565504,"gmtCreate":1778389632552,"gmtModify":1778395529194,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"持续看好","listText":"持续看好","text":"持续看好","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7080becdeecd68963204cf5c3879babd","width":"1284","height":"2583"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/562630900565504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":996,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492025705988584,"gmtCreate":1761144059761,"gmtModify":1761144071908,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL\">$CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL$ </a> 买了点这个 技术线往上趋势明显 应该大肉 可以跟","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL\">$CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL$ </a> 买了点这个 技术线往上趋势明显 应该大肉 可以跟","text":"$CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL$ 买了点这个 技术线往上趋势明显 应该大肉 可以跟","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627fc4fb460fbf9c8f380416ce2fc6e4","width":"906","height":"1475"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492025705988584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492010931712208,"gmtCreate":1761140717004,"gmtModify":1761140728892,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL\">$BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL$ </a> 卖掉1/4止盈了 后面放着飞","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL\">$BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL$ </a> 卖掉1/4止盈了 后面放着飞","text":"$BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL$ 卖掉1/4止盈了 后面放着飞","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98b0933d7c9d4a8c3cc73435dd6345ee","width":"906","height":"1475"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492010931712208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"38637229394370","authorId":"38637229394370","name":"果子哥家老汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12d5c82e54917164a75cf6baa009bf55","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"38637229394370","idStr":"38637229394370"},"content":"牛啊!你应该用它制作一个相框🖼,以此作为你人生中的一个纪念。毕竟这种机会可遇不可求。非常渺茫。","text":"牛啊!你应该用它制作一个相框🖼,以此作为你人生中的一个纪念。毕竟这种机会可遇不可求。非常渺茫。","html":"牛啊!你应该用它制作一个相框🖼,以此作为你人生中的一个纪念。毕竟这种机会可遇不可求。非常渺茫。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":452330390356200,"gmtCreate":1751438268564,"gmtModify":1751438270130,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"COOL","listText":"COOL","text":"COOL","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/452330390356200","repostId":"2548649859","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2548649859","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点,精选影响您财富的资讯,投资理财必备神器!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1751432724,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2548649859?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-07-02 13:05","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"24小时不间断交易,Bybit、Robinhood、Kraken 同日启动,美股代币化汹涌来袭","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2548649859","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"三大平台同步推出美股代币化服务,利用区块链实现苹果、英伟达等股票7×24小时交易,Robinhood还计划纳入OpenAI等私有公司。麦肯锡更是预测2030年实物资产上链市场将达2万亿美元。但挑战依然严峻,美国监管模糊致服务多首发于海外,且当前代币化股票总市值仅3.88亿美元,不足传统股市0.003%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>三大平台同步推出美股代币化服务,利用区块链实现苹果、英伟达等股票7×24小时交易,Robinhood还计划纳入OpenAI等私有公司。麦肯锡更是预测2030年实物资产上链市场将达2万亿美元。但挑战依然严峻,美国监管模糊致服务多首发于海外,且当前代币化股票总市值仅3.88亿美元,不足传统股市0.003%。</p></blockquote><p>传统股票市场与加密货币世界的边界正在加速模糊。</p><p>美股代币化迎来史无前例的集中爆发。6月30日,美国在线券商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOOD\">Robinhood</a>与知名加密交易平台Bybit、Kraken同日宣布启动美股代币化服务,为用户提供7×24小时不间断的股票交易体验。</p><p>据路透社报道,Robinhood周一宣布为欧盟用户推出基于Arbitrum网络的股票代币交易服务,<strong>支持超过200种美股和ETF交易,其中包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>等</strong>。同日,<strong>Bybit与Kraken上线由瑞士合规资产代币化平台Backed Finance提供的“xStocks”(股票代币化)产品</strong>,覆盖约60种股票和ETF代币。</p><p>Backed Finance联合创始人Adam Levi表示:“xStocks代表了金融市场准入民主化的巨大飞跃。”</p><blockquote><p>通过将熟悉的资产以前所未有的可及性引入区块链,我们不仅在连接传统金融和DeFi,更在为真正开放、高效、包容的全球金融系统构建基础。</p></blockquote><p>这些代币化股票由真实股票1:1支撑,并支持全天候交易。Robinhood的服务为每周5天24小时,并计划最终扩展至7天24小时。</p><p>在此消息推动下,Robinhood股价创下历史新高,涨幅近10%。该公司高管还表示,计划推出与私人公司股票挂钩的代币,首先从Sam Altman的OpenAI和马斯克的SpaceX开始。</p><h2 id=\"id_1638347600\">三大平台各显神通,技术路径差异明显</h2><p>主流加密交易平台的美股交易方案呈现不同模式。</p><p>加密交易所Bybit和Kraken作为接入平台提供撮合服务,其采用第三方发行模式,接入Backed Finance发行的代币,部署在Solana链上实现链上转账与DeFi应用集成。用户可7×24全天候交易并享有相应经济权益(如分红)。该模式的合规责任主要由发行方承担,交易所本身多数不持有证券牌照,服务范围通常排除美国用户。</p><p>Robinhood则选择持牌券商自建链路径,基于Arbitrum网络直接发行股票代币并托管底层资产。据路透社报道,Robinhood计划推出自有Layer 2区块链Robinhood Chain,实现发行、清算与结算全流程链上整合。</p><p>Robinhood首席执行官在法国主题活动中表示,“代币化将开启大规模交易革命”。该公司计划年底前将可交易股票代币数量扩展至“数千种”,并逐步实现24/7全天候交易。</p><h2 id=\"id_4226003714\">监管环境渐趋明朗,股票代币化再度兴起</h2><p>华尔街见闻此前文章曾提到,股票代币化曾在Mirror Protocol等平台短暂兴起,但因监管和市场波动而沉寂。如今随着世界资产代币化(RWA)监管框架推进,以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>为代表的传统<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">金融机构</a>和加密货币机构正积极游说监管层。</p><p>在特朗普上任之后,美国加密货币监管也逐渐放松,美股代币化或将成为一个大热点。</p><p>国盛证券报告显示,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>正寻求美国证券交易委员会批准向用户提供代币化股票交易服务。据CoinDesk报道,该公司已向SEC提交试点申请,若获得无异议函或豁免许可,将成为首批在美国落地代币化美股服务的合规平台之一。</p><p>据路透社报道,专家认为代币化股票可能彻底改变证券投资格局。代币化股票融合传统金融与加密交易特性,因更好的市场准入、灵活交易时间和更低成本而获得国际投资者青睐。</p><p><strong>据美股代币化服务不仅拓宽了加密货币投资者的资产配置渠道,更可能成为稳定币的重要应用场景。稳定币作为链上“法币”,在美股代币化交易中发挥基础设施工具作用。</strong></p><p>国盛证券报告预计,美股市场的庞大规模足以推动稳定币需求快速扩张。</p><h2 id=\"id_3292945083\">万亿美元市场前景可期</h2><p>据麦肯锡预测,<strong>将实物金融资产转移到区块链上的市场到2030年可能达到2万亿美元。</strong>目前在链上美国国债等相对简单资产的代币化已取得明显成功,由Securitize和Ondo等公司主导的市场规模已达数十亿美元。</p><p>特朗普的当选提升了支持者对监管环境改善的期望。SEC加密货币工作组负责人Hester Peirce最近对代币化表示支持,建议通过“沙盒结构”进行试点,让创新公司能够在放宽规则下快速进入市场测试新模式。</p><p>VanEck Ventures的Wyatt Lonergan表示,加密货币原生投资者“希望在他们的数字生态系统中获得苹果股票等资产的安全感”,特别是在加密货币市场波动期间。然而,对于普通美国投资者而言,碎股交易和一日结算已成为标准,这引发了是否存在真正可扩展需求的核心问题。</p><h2 id=\"id_1147506935\">代币化股票挑战仍存</h2><p>尽管前景看似光明,代币化股票仍面临重大挑战。据彭博6月27日报道,专家认为代币化股票在美国缺乏监管清晰度,大多数此类服务首先在美国之外的司法管辖区推出。</p><p>卡内基梅隆大学Tepper商学院金融学副教授Bryan Routledge指出:“你在改变交易方式,不仅仅是改变资产格式。”他预测这将与整个交易所和经纪商生态系统形成竞争。</p><p>据RWA.xyz数据显示,<strong>目前代币化股票市场总规模仅为3.88亿美元,相比全球股市超过120万亿美元的规模微不足道。</strong></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>24小时不间断交易,Bybit、Robinhood、Kraken 同日启动,美股代币化汹涌来袭</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n24小时不间断交易,Bybit、Robinhood、Kraken 同日启动,美股代币化汹涌来袭\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-07-02 13:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>三大平台同步推出美股代币化服务,利用区块链实现苹果、英伟达等股票7×24小时交易,Robinhood还计划纳入OpenAI等私有公司。麦肯锡更是预测2030年实物资产上链市场将达2万亿美元。但挑战依然严峻,美国监管模糊致服务多首发于海外,且当前代币化股票总市值仅3.88亿美元,不足传统股市0.003%。</p></blockquote><p>传统股票市场与加密货币世界的边界正在加速模糊。</p><p>美股代币化迎来史无前例的集中爆发。6月30日,美国在线券商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HOOD\">Robinhood</a>与知名加密交易平台Bybit、Kraken同日宣布启动美股代币化服务,为用户提供7×24小时不间断的股票交易体验。</p><p>据路透社报道,Robinhood周一宣布为欧盟用户推出基于Arbitrum网络的股票代币交易服务,<strong>支持超过200种美股和ETF交易,其中包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>等</strong>。同日,<strong>Bybit与Kraken上线由瑞士合规资产代币化平台Backed Finance提供的“xStocks”(股票代币化)产品</strong>,覆盖约60种股票和ETF代币。</p><p>Backed Finance联合创始人Adam Levi表示:“xStocks代表了金融市场准入民主化的巨大飞跃。”</p><blockquote><p>通过将熟悉的资产以前所未有的可及性引入区块链,我们不仅在连接传统金融和DeFi,更在为真正开放、高效、包容的全球金融系统构建基础。</p></blockquote><p>这些代币化股票由真实股票1:1支撑,并支持全天候交易。Robinhood的服务为每周5天24小时,并计划最终扩展至7天24小时。</p><p>在此消息推动下,Robinhood股价创下历史新高,涨幅近10%。该公司高管还表示,计划推出与私人公司股票挂钩的代币,首先从Sam Altman的OpenAI和马斯克的SpaceX开始。</p><h2 id=\"id_1638347600\">三大平台各显神通,技术路径差异明显</h2><p>主流加密交易平台的美股交易方案呈现不同模式。</p><p>加密交易所Bybit和Kraken作为接入平台提供撮合服务,其采用第三方发行模式,接入Backed Finance发行的代币,部署在Solana链上实现链上转账与DeFi应用集成。用户可7×24全天候交易并享有相应经济权益(如分红)。该模式的合规责任主要由发行方承担,交易所本身多数不持有证券牌照,服务范围通常排除美国用户。</p><p>Robinhood则选择持牌券商自建链路径,基于Arbitrum网络直接发行股票代币并托管底层资产。据路透社报道,Robinhood计划推出自有Layer 2区块链Robinhood Chain,实现发行、清算与结算全流程链上整合。</p><p>Robinhood首席执行官在法国主题活动中表示,“代币化将开启大规模交易革命”。该公司计划年底前将可交易股票代币数量扩展至“数千种”,并逐步实现24/7全天候交易。</p><h2 id=\"id_4226003714\">监管环境渐趋明朗,股票代币化再度兴起</h2><p>华尔街见闻此前文章曾提到,股票代币化曾在Mirror Protocol等平台短暂兴起,但因监管和市场波动而沉寂。如今随着世界资产代币化(RWA)监管框架推进,以<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>为代表的传统<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">金融机构</a>和加密货币机构正积极游说监管层。</p><p>在特朗普上任之后,美国加密货币监管也逐渐放松,美股代币化或将成为一个大热点。</p><p>国盛证券报告显示,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>正寻求美国证券交易委员会批准向用户提供代币化股票交易服务。据CoinDesk报道,该公司已向SEC提交试点申请,若获得无异议函或豁免许可,将成为首批在美国落地代币化美股服务的合规平台之一。</p><p>据路透社报道,专家认为代币化股票可能彻底改变证券投资格局。代币化股票融合传统金融与加密交易特性,因更好的市场准入、灵活交易时间和更低成本而获得国际投资者青睐。</p><p><strong>据美股代币化服务不仅拓宽了加密货币投资者的资产配置渠道,更可能成为稳定币的重要应用场景。稳定币作为链上“法币”,在美股代币化交易中发挥基础设施工具作用。</strong></p><p>国盛证券报告预计,美股市场的庞大规模足以推动稳定币需求快速扩张。</p><h2 id=\"id_3292945083\">万亿美元市场前景可期</h2><p>据麦肯锡预测,<strong>将实物金融资产转移到区块链上的市场到2030年可能达到2万亿美元。</strong>目前在链上美国国债等相对简单资产的代币化已取得明显成功,由Securitize和Ondo等公司主导的市场规模已达数十亿美元。</p><p>特朗普的当选提升了支持者对监管环境改善的期望。SEC加密货币工作组负责人Hester Peirce最近对代币化表示支持,建议通过“沙盒结构”进行试点,让创新公司能够在放宽规则下快速进入市场测试新模式。</p><p>VanEck Ventures的Wyatt Lonergan表示,加密货币原生投资者“希望在他们的数字生态系统中获得苹果股票等资产的安全感”,特别是在加密货币市场波动期间。然而,对于普通美国投资者而言,碎股交易和一日结算已成为标准,这引发了是否存在真正可扩展需求的核心问题。</p><h2 id=\"id_1147506935\">代币化股票挑战仍存</h2><p>尽管前景看似光明,代币化股票仍面临重大挑战。据彭博6月27日报道,专家认为代币化股票在美国缺乏监管清晰度,大多数此类服务首先在美国之外的司法管辖区推出。</p><p>卡内基梅隆大学Tepper商学院金融学副教授Bryan Routledge指出:“你在改变交易方式,不仅仅是改变资产格式。”他预测这将与整个交易所和经纪商生态系统形成竞争。</p><p>据RWA.xyz数据显示,<strong>目前代币化股票市场总规模仅为3.88亿美元,相比全球股市超过120万亿美元的规模微不足道。</strong></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/318dced6c8505427ba4c5a73eb4a7981","relate_stocks":{"HOOD":"Robinhood","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4539":"次新股"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3750245","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2548649859","content_text":"三大平台同步推出美股代币化服务,利用区块链实现苹果、英伟达等股票7×24小时交易,Robinhood还计划纳入OpenAI等私有公司。麦肯锡更是预测2030年实物资产上链市场将达2万亿美元。但挑战依然严峻,美国监管模糊致服务多首发于海外,且当前代币化股票总市值仅3.88亿美元,不足传统股市0.003%。传统股票市场与加密货币世界的边界正在加速模糊。美股代币化迎来史无前例的集中爆发。6月30日,美国在线券商Robinhood与知名加密交易平台Bybit、Kraken同日宣布启动美股代币化服务,为用户提供7×24小时不间断的股票交易体验。据路透社报道,Robinhood周一宣布为欧盟用户推出基于Arbitrum网络的股票代币交易服务,支持超过200种美股和ETF交易,其中包括英伟达、苹果和微软等。同日,Bybit与Kraken上线由瑞士合规资产代币化平台Backed Finance提供的“xStocks”(股票代币化)产品,覆盖约60种股票和ETF代币。Backed Finance联合创始人Adam Levi表示:“xStocks代表了金融市场准入民主化的巨大飞跃。”通过将熟悉的资产以前所未有的可及性引入区块链,我们不仅在连接传统金融和DeFi,更在为真正开放、高效、包容的全球金融系统构建基础。这些代币化股票由真实股票1:1支撑,并支持全天候交易。Robinhood的服务为每周5天24小时,并计划最终扩展至7天24小时。在此消息推动下,Robinhood股价创下历史新高,涨幅近10%。该公司高管还表示,计划推出与私人公司股票挂钩的代币,首先从Sam Altman的OpenAI和马斯克的SpaceX开始。三大平台各显神通,技术路径差异明显主流加密交易平台的美股交易方案呈现不同模式。加密交易所Bybit和Kraken作为接入平台提供撮合服务,其采用第三方发行模式,接入Backed Finance发行的代币,部署在Solana链上实现链上转账与DeFi应用集成。用户可7×24全天候交易并享有相应经济权益(如分红)。该模式的合规责任主要由发行方承担,交易所本身多数不持有证券牌照,服务范围通常排除美国用户。Robinhood则选择持牌券商自建链路径,基于Arbitrum网络直接发行股票代币并托管底层资产。据路透社报道,Robinhood计划推出自有Layer 2区块链Robinhood Chain,实现发行、清算与结算全流程链上整合。Robinhood首席执行官在法国主题活动中表示,“代币化将开启大规模交易革命”。该公司计划年底前将可交易股票代币数量扩展至“数千种”,并逐步实现24/7全天候交易。监管环境渐趋明朗,股票代币化再度兴起华尔街见闻此前文章曾提到,股票代币化曾在Mirror Protocol等平台短暂兴起,但因监管和市场波动而沉寂。如今随着世界资产代币化(RWA)监管框架推进,以贝莱德为代表的传统金融机构和加密货币机构正积极游说监管层。在特朗普上任之后,美国加密货币监管也逐渐放松,美股代币化或将成为一个大热点。国盛证券报告显示,Coinbase正寻求美国证券交易委员会批准向用户提供代币化股票交易服务。据CoinDesk报道,该公司已向SEC提交试点申请,若获得无异议函或豁免许可,将成为首批在美国落地代币化美股服务的合规平台之一。据路透社报道,专家认为代币化股票可能彻底改变证券投资格局。代币化股票融合传统金融与加密交易特性,因更好的市场准入、灵活交易时间和更低成本而获得国际投资者青睐。据美股代币化服务不仅拓宽了加密货币投资者的资产配置渠道,更可能成为稳定币的重要应用场景。稳定币作为链上“法币”,在美股代币化交易中发挥基础设施工具作用。国盛证券报告预计,美股市场的庞大规模足以推动稳定币需求快速扩张。万亿美元市场前景可期据麦肯锡预测,将实物金融资产转移到区块链上的市场到2030年可能达到2万亿美元。目前在链上美国国债等相对简单资产的代币化已取得明显成功,由Securitize和Ondo等公司主导的市场规模已达数十亿美元。特朗普的当选提升了支持者对监管环境改善的期望。SEC加密货币工作组负责人Hester Peirce最近对代币化表示支持,建议通过“沙盒结构”进行试点,让创新公司能够在放宽规则下快速进入市场测试新模式。VanEck Ventures的Wyatt Lonergan表示,加密货币原生投资者“希望在他们的数字生态系统中获得苹果股票等资产的安全感”,特别是在加密货币市场波动期间。然而,对于普通美国投资者而言,碎股交易和一日结算已成为标准,这引发了是否存在真正可扩展需求的核心问题。代币化股票挑战仍存尽管前景看似光明,代币化股票仍面临重大挑战。据彭博6月27日报道,专家认为代币化股票在美国缺乏监管清晰度,大多数此类服务首先在美国之外的司法管辖区推出。卡内基梅隆大学Tepper商学院金融学副教授Bryan Routledge指出:“你在改变交易方式,不仅仅是改变资产格式。”他预测这将与整个交易所和经纪商生态系统形成竞争。据RWA.xyz数据显示,目前代币化股票市场总规模仅为3.88亿美元,相比全球股市超过120万亿美元的规模微不足道。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HOOD":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":414456344363280,"gmtCreate":1742196572605,"gmtModify":1742196573906,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>为啥那么多看空?勇敢点行不","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>为啥那么多看空?勇敢点行不","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 为啥那么多看空?勇敢点行不","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/414456344363280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3122,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":403208592732192,"gmtCreate":1739457827199,"gmtModify":1739457828893,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"看好啊","listText":"看好啊","text":"看好啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/403208592732192","repostId":"403203726950616","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":403203726950616,"gmtCreate":1739457153027,"gmtModify":1739457355449,"author":{"id":"3526437230772528","authorId":"3526437230772528","name":"躺平指数","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c500a27501e73e9bde05437de1974e50","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3526437230772528","idStr":"3526437230772528"},"themes":[],"title":"Applovin四季报:正式剥离游戏!拓展电商广告","htmlText":"在这篇文章中你能看到: ApplovinQ4业绩的重点分析; 重要业务变化——剥离游戏并专注拓展电商广告; 和港股中与之类似的标的介绍。 看完AI大热公司Applovin全面超越预期的四季报,我总有一种不真实感:一家专做游戏广告的公司,四季度开始转型拓客电商,然后业绩一下就爆,一个季度转型就成功了? 可事实就是如此。 从市场预期差上看,四季度Applovin实现营收13.7亿美元,同比增44%,市场预期是12.6亿美元;净利润6亿美元,同比暴增248%,每股收益1.73美元,市场预期1.26美元;经调整EBITDA为7.8亿美元,市场预期7.6亿美元,经调整EBITDA率为62%,去年同期则为50%。 转型期都有这种业绩质量,难怪会在盘后和夜盘飙涨27个百分点。在发布会上,公司CEO强调,2024年四季度是公司的转型期,以推动Applovin的广告平台从游戏客户推广至电商客户,并表示“四季度的业绩突破只是一个开始”,潜在企业客户群体超过一千万家。 不仅如此,一季度的业绩指引也是水涨船高。预计2025年Q1广告部门的收入为10.3亿至10.5亿美元,经调整EBITDA预计在8.05亿美元至8.25亿美元之间,利润率为78%-79%。营收中位数13.7亿美元,高于分析师预期的13.2亿美元;EBITDA中位数8.7亿美元,高于分析师预期的7.95亿美元。 很显然,光凭游戏广告收入,支撑不起这么大的增长,更支撑不起这么高的经调整EBITDA率。敢做出这种指引,公司管理层的底气就在电商广告上。不过,电商市场虽然更加广阔,但复杂程度远胜游戏,且竞争会更加激烈,Applovin在自助服务工具和自动化方面必须持续进步,才能保持现在的高收入和高利润。 而Q4这次更炸裂的业绩之后,公司盘前股价也顺利创下历史新高,站在这个估值看未来,公司2025年Q1的成绩只能继续全面超越预期。就像那句老话所","listText":"在这篇文章中你能看到: ApplovinQ4业绩的重点分析; 重要业务变化——剥离游戏并专注拓展电商广告; 和港股中与之类似的标的介绍。 看完AI大热公司Applovin全面超越预期的四季报,我总有一种不真实感:一家专做游戏广告的公司,四季度开始转型拓客电商,然后业绩一下就爆,一个季度转型就成功了? 可事实就是如此。 从市场预期差上看,四季度Applovin实现营收13.7亿美元,同比增44%,市场预期是12.6亿美元;净利润6亿美元,同比暴增248%,每股收益1.73美元,市场预期1.26美元;经调整EBITDA为7.8亿美元,市场预期7.6亿美元,经调整EBITDA率为62%,去年同期则为50%。 转型期都有这种业绩质量,难怪会在盘后和夜盘飙涨27个百分点。在发布会上,公司CEO强调,2024年四季度是公司的转型期,以推动Applovin的广告平台从游戏客户推广至电商客户,并表示“四季度的业绩突破只是一个开始”,潜在企业客户群体超过一千万家。 不仅如此,一季度的业绩指引也是水涨船高。预计2025年Q1广告部门的收入为10.3亿至10.5亿美元,经调整EBITDA预计在8.05亿美元至8.25亿美元之间,利润率为78%-79%。营收中位数13.7亿美元,高于分析师预期的13.2亿美元;EBITDA中位数8.7亿美元,高于分析师预期的7.95亿美元。 很显然,光凭游戏广告收入,支撑不起这么大的增长,更支撑不起这么高的经调整EBITDA率。敢做出这种指引,公司管理层的底气就在电商广告上。不过,电商市场虽然更加广阔,但复杂程度远胜游戏,且竞争会更加激烈,Applovin在自助服务工具和自动化方面必须持续进步,才能保持现在的高收入和高利润。 而Q4这次更炸裂的业绩之后,公司盘前股价也顺利创下历史新高,站在这个估值看未来,公司2025年Q1的成绩只能继续全面超越预期。就像那句老话所","text":"在这篇文章中你能看到: ApplovinQ4业绩的重点分析; 重要业务变化——剥离游戏并专注拓展电商广告; 和港股中与之类似的标的介绍。 看完AI大热公司Applovin全面超越预期的四季报,我总有一种不真实感:一家专做游戏广告的公司,四季度开始转型拓客电商,然后业绩一下就爆,一个季度转型就成功了? 可事实就是如此。 从市场预期差上看,四季度Applovin实现营收13.7亿美元,同比增44%,市场预期是12.6亿美元;净利润6亿美元,同比暴增248%,每股收益1.73美元,市场预期1.26美元;经调整EBITDA为7.8亿美元,市场预期7.6亿美元,经调整EBITDA率为62%,去年同期则为50%。 转型期都有这种业绩质量,难怪会在盘后和夜盘飙涨27个百分点。在发布会上,公司CEO强调,2024年四季度是公司的转型期,以推动Applovin的广告平台从游戏客户推广至电商客户,并表示“四季度的业绩突破只是一个开始”,潜在企业客户群体超过一千万家。 不仅如此,一季度的业绩指引也是水涨船高。预计2025年Q1广告部门的收入为10.3亿至10.5亿美元,经调整EBITDA预计在8.05亿美元至8.25亿美元之间,利润率为78%-79%。营收中位数13.7亿美元,高于分析师预期的13.2亿美元;EBITDA中位数8.7亿美元,高于分析师预期的7.95亿美元。 很显然,光凭游戏广告收入,支撑不起这么大的增长,更支撑不起这么高的经调整EBITDA率。敢做出这种指引,公司管理层的底气就在电商广告上。不过,电商市场虽然更加广阔,但复杂程度远胜游戏,且竞争会更加激烈,Applovin在自助服务工具和自动化方面必须持续进步,才能保持现在的高收入和高利润。 而Q4这次更炸裂的业绩之后,公司盘前股价也顺利创下历史新高,站在这个估值看未来,公司2025年Q1的成绩只能继续全面超越预期。就像那句老话所","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/477b3305f52f68a472f23cfa8cba3e60","width":"1080","height":"617"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/403203726950616","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":402490971738560,"gmtCreate":1739283203803,"gmtModify":1739283206076,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow...","listText":"wow...","text":"wow...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/402490971738560","repostId":"2500129773","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379930580381800,"gmtCreate":1733781914341,"gmtModify":1733792152329,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/IBM 20241220 220.0 CALL\">$IBM 20241220 220.0 CALL$</a> 还会继续么","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/IBM 20241220 220.0 CALL\">$IBM 20241220 220.0 CALL$</a> 还会继续么","text":"$IBM 20241220 220.0 CALL$ 还会继续么","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0076f076eb672843c0508a23c1be9d16","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379930580381800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318207560519904,"gmtCreate":1718726014468,"gmtModify":1718726494361,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL\">$SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL$</a> 喜悦","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL\">$SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL$</a> 喜悦","text":"$SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL$ 喜悦","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de3fb99da9a58a515ddca9af899212cd","width":"1086","height":"1713"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318207560519904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5999,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":305824561074464,"gmtCreate":1715698878559,"gmtModify":1715768316223,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMC 20240531 3.0 CALL\">$AMC 20240531 3.0 CALL$</a> 蹲到了...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AMC 20240531 3.0 CALL\">$AMC 20240531 3.0 CALL$</a> 蹲到了...","text":"$AMC 20240531 3.0 CALL$ 蹲到了...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebeeeed30cade52d65c183c7864d7e46","width":"1086","height":"1713"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/305824561074464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":206744584908968,"gmtCreate":1691504250526,"gmtModify":1691504251799,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/206744584908968","repostId":"1139515773","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139515773","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1691502688,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1139515773?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-08-08 21:51","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储哈克暗示加息已结束,但称短期内不太可能降息","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139515773","media":"智通财经网","summary":"美联储可能已接近当前升息周期的尾声。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>作者: 魏昊铭</p><p>美联储2023年票委、费城联储主席哈克表示,除非经济出现意外,否则美联储可能会停止加息,不过利率需要在目前的高水平上保持一段时间。哈克周二表示:“从现在到9月中旬,如果没有任何令人担忧的新数据,我相信我们可能处在一个可以保持耐心、保持利率稳定、让我们已经采取的货币政策行动发挥作用的时刻。如果我们处于能够保持稳定的地步,我们将需要在那里维持一段时间。我没有预见到任何可能立即放松政策利率的情况。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">哈克指出,他预计美联储关注的通胀指标——核心个人消费支出(core PCE)价格指数,到2023年底将降至略低于4%的年率,到明年降至3%以下,到2025年达到美联储2%的目标。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美联储7月份将基准联邦基金利率上调25个基点至5.25% - 5.5%的目标区间,为22年来的最高水平。在此之前,美联储在6月份决定维持利率不变。官员们表示,此举是在利率接近峰值之际放慢加息步伐的策略的一部分。美联储将于9月19日至20日召开下一次利率会议。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">纽约联储主席威廉姆斯周一也表示,加息可能已经结束。不过,并非所有官员都一致认为,美联储可能很快就会停止加息。美联储理事鲍曼周一重申了她的观点,即他们可能需要进一步加息,以完全恢复物价稳定。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在9月份的政策会议之前,官员们将有更多的关键经济数据在手,包括定于周四公布的最新消费者价格指数报告。根据期货合约价格,投资者目前普遍预计今年不会再加息。CME“美联储观察工具”还显示,市场预期美联储在9月19日至20日的会议上维持利率不变的可能性超过85%,最早可能在2024年3月首次降息。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/622fbf692d5f5b88adc6c2be91427cb3\" title=\"image.png\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"258\"/><span>image.png</span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管许多经济学家担心加息举措可能会将经济拖入衰退,但哈克表示,他相信通胀将逐步向美联储2%的目标迈进,失业率只会“小幅”上升,经济增长应该会“略低于”2023年迄今为止的水平。美国第一季度GDP年化增长率为2%,第二季度为2.4%。他指出,美国在抗击通胀和增强经济信心方面取得了进展。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他说:“我预计经济活动只会适度放缓,同时出现缓慢但肯定会出现的通胀下降。换句话说,我确实看到我们正走在软着陆的道路上,我们都希望软着陆,尽管这在过去被证明是相当难以实现的。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">不过,哈克表达了一些对商业房地产的担忧,以及恢复学生贷款支付将对更广泛经济产生的影响。</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美联储哈克暗示加息已结束,但称短期内不太可能降息</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储哈克暗示加息已结束,但称短期内不太可能降息\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-08-08 21:51 北京时间 <a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/972491.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者: 魏昊铭美联储2023年票委、费城联储主席哈克表示,除非经济出现意外,否则美联储可能会停止加息,不过利率需要在目前的高水平上保持一段时间。哈克周二表示:“从现在到9月中旬,如果没有任何令人担忧的新数据,我相信我们可能处在一个可以保持耐心、保持利率稳定、让我们已经采取的货币政策行动发挥作用的时刻。如果我们处于能够保持稳定的地步,我们将需要在那里维持一段时间。我没有预见到任何可能立即放松政策利率...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/972491.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/972491.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"1139515773","content_text":"作者: 魏昊铭美联储2023年票委、费城联储主席哈克表示,除非经济出现意外,否则美联储可能会停止加息,不过利率需要在目前的高水平上保持一段时间。哈克周二表示:“从现在到9月中旬,如果没有任何令人担忧的新数据,我相信我们可能处在一个可以保持耐心、保持利率稳定、让我们已经采取的货币政策行动发挥作用的时刻。如果我们处于能够保持稳定的地步,我们将需要在那里维持一段时间。我没有预见到任何可能立即放松政策利率的情况。”哈克指出,他预计美联储关注的通胀指标——核心个人消费支出(core PCE)价格指数,到2023年底将降至略低于4%的年率,到明年降至3%以下,到2025年达到美联储2%的目标。美联储7月份将基准联邦基金利率上调25个基点至5.25% - 5.5%的目标区间,为22年来的最高水平。在此之前,美联储在6月份决定维持利率不变。官员们表示,此举是在利率接近峰值之际放慢加息步伐的策略的一部分。美联储将于9月19日至20日召开下一次利率会议。纽约联储主席威廉姆斯周一也表示,加息可能已经结束。不过,并非所有官员都一致认为,美联储可能很快就会停止加息。美联储理事鲍曼周一重申了她的观点,即他们可能需要进一步加息,以完全恢复物价稳定。在9月份的政策会议之前,官员们将有更多的关键经济数据在手,包括定于周四公布的最新消费者价格指数报告。根据期货合约价格,投资者目前普遍预计今年不会再加息。CME“美联储观察工具”还显示,市场预期美联储在9月19日至20日的会议上维持利率不变的可能性超过85%,最早可能在2024年3月首次降息。image.png尽管许多经济学家担心加息举措可能会将经济拖入衰退,但哈克表示,他相信通胀将逐步向美联储2%的目标迈进,失业率只会“小幅”上升,经济增长应该会“略低于”2023年迄今为止的水平。美国第一季度GDP年化增长率为2%,第二季度为2.4%。他指出,美国在抗击通胀和增强经济信心方面取得了进展。他说:“我预计经济活动只会适度放缓,同时出现缓慢但肯定会出现的通胀下降。换句话说,我确实看到我们正走在软着陆的道路上,我们都希望软着陆,尽管这在过去被证明是相当难以实现的。”不过,哈克表达了一些对商业房地产的担忧,以及恢复学生贷款支付将对更广泛经济产生的影响。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":200148634534048,"gmtCreate":1689896509487,"gmtModify":1689896510830,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow 可以可以 有机会了","listText":"wow 可以可以 有机会了","text":"wow 可以可以 有机会了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/200148634534048","repostId":"2352605421","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2352605421","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1689864302,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2352605421?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-07-20 22:45","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉盘中跌超7%,二季度毛利率创近四年新低","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2352605421","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"马斯克说,他对特斯拉的长期价值有着“非常高的信心”。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周五,截至发稿特斯拉跌幅扩大至7.24%,为三个月来最大跌幅。<strong>特斯拉二季度业绩的强劲势头出乎市场意料,相比备受降价打击的一季度,二季度一扫颓势,收入和利润双双两位数大增,但降价还在冲击盈利,毛利率超预期下降,跌破20%。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1531142ba8331b27730b37abc7e0178\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会上说,牺牲车辆利润率来换取更多产量“是说得通的”。若经济环境恶化,特斯拉还将降价。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">马斯克说,他对特斯拉的长期价值有着“非常高的信心”。他认为,公司价值有望达到现有规模的五倍、甚至十倍。他还建议像巴菲特价值投资那样持有特斯拉,称特斯拉有长期投资的价值,如果市场恐慌,就买入。</p><h2 id=\"id_1079924644\">二季度营收增速几为一季度两倍 EPS盈利一季度降21%后大增20% </h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美东时间7 月19日周三美股盘后,特斯拉公布,今年第二季度,营业收入超预期增长近50%,刷新去年第四季度所创的单季最高纪录,每股收益(EPS)更是在一季度锐减逾20%后猛增20%:</p><ul><li><p>二季度营业收入为249.27亿美元,较去年四季度所创的纪录高2.5%,同比增长47%,几乎是一季度同比增速24%的两倍,分析师预期同比增44.7%至245.1亿美元,一季度营收环比降4%。</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b73cb9a9513a361799dee492e53fa32\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"426\"/></p><ul><li><p>二季度非美国通用会计准则(GAAP)口径下调整后EPS为0.91美元,同比增长20%,分析师预期同比增6.6%至0.81美元,而一季度调整后EPS同比降21%,为2019年三季度以来首次同比下滑。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉表示,二季度的产量、交付量和营收都创了最高纪录,单季营收首次接近250亿美元,这些纪录是在当前宏观经济环境下取得的成绩,公司感到激动。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea0bb3ae96b76d7a7d006d34f8d46d81\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得一提的是,特斯拉以往盈利的一大推手——“卖碳”的收入明显缩水,未能成为营收增长的助力。二季度特斯拉通过出售碳排放信用额度获得收入2.82亿美元,较一季度的5.21亿美元剧减45.9%,跌至2021年三季度以来低位。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10cca31c6d6247aa2495b403f436977a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"563\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_993967191\">二季度毛利率超预期下降至18.2% 自由现金流不到预期一半</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报显示,特斯拉二季度利润率持续下降,毛利率超预期降至四年来低位,凸显了降价等促销手段的打击:</p><ul><li><p>二季度营业利润为23.99亿美元,同比下降3%,环比一季度降9.9%;二季度营业利润率为9.6%,同比下降493个基点,一季度同比降近780个基点至11.4%。</p></li><li><p>二季度GAAP口径下总体毛利率为18.2%,为16个季度来最低水平,低于分析师预期的18.8%,同比下降682个基点,环比一季度下降约110个基点,一季度毛利率同比下降977个基点。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉评价,虽然一季度和二季度初都有汽车降价,但二季度的营业利润率还保持在约为10%的健康水平。这反映了持续削减成本的努力,柏林和得州工厂继续生产爬坡,以及能源和服务等其他业务的强劲表现。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">二季度自由现金流10.05亿美元,同比增长62%,虽然较一季度创两年新低的4.41亿美元大幅回升,约一季度自由现金流的2.3倍,但还远不及分析师预期的21.8亿美元,不到分析师预期的一半。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63b6c3dfba449cca6c928f98f03929fd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"538\" tg-height=\"626\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_3523299153\">汽车售价下跌打击盈利和收入 外汇对营收负面影响6亿美元、连降两季</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报中,特斯拉总结了一些影响二季度营收和盈利能力的因素,有正面影响的因素包括:</p><ul><li><p>汽车交付量增长(尽管存在新工厂利用率低的盈利逆风因素);</p></li><li><p>汽车以外公司其他业务的收入和毛利增长;</p></li><li><p>每辆车的平均成本下降,包括原材料成本下降和IRA碳积分。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">负面影响因素包括:</p><ul><li><p>剔除外汇影响后,汽车平均售价(ASP)同比下跌;</p></li><li><p>4680电池生产爬坡的成本及其他相关费用;</p></li><li><p>电动皮卡Cybertruck、AI及其他大项目的营业费用增加;</p></li><li><p>外汇对营收的负面影响为6亿美元。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华尔街见闻注意到,外汇、即美元走强对特斯拉营收的负面影响已经连续两个季度减轻,二季度的影响金额6亿美元较一季度的8亿美元减少25%,远低于去年第四季度的14亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉总结,公司将专注于削减成本、能实现未来增长的新产品开发、研发方面的投入、更好的汽车融资选择、持续的产品改进,以及产生自由现金流。特斯拉指出,当前不确定性时期的挑战并未结束。</p><h2 id=\"id_3603162239\">重申上海工厂数月接近满负荷生产 有望今年初步生产Cybertruck</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本月初特斯拉公布二季度交付超过46.61万辆车,生产汽车47.97万辆,产量和交付量均创单季新高。财报中,特斯拉将此成绩归功于新工厂的持续扩大生产,以及上海和加州超级工厂的强劲表现。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">和前两个季度一样,特斯拉指出,上海工厂已有数月以接近100%的产能利用率生产,同时特斯拉预计,上海工厂的单周产量不会大幅增长,重申上海工厂仍是公司的主要出口中心。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">上周末特斯拉披露,首辆电动皮卡Cybertruck在得州的超级工厂下线。Cybertruck是特斯拉今年最令人期待的车型。因严重依赖Model 3和Model Y提振销量,Cybertruck被外界视为特斯拉未来增长的关键。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉此前公布,计划今年第三季度末左右开始交付。本周三的财报中提到,得州的超级工厂正在进行生产Cybertruck的工设备安装,仍处于今年实现初步生产的正轨。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会上说,他迫不及待地要在今年稍晚开始交付Cybertruck。</p><h2 id=\"id_2041158030\">重申今年产量目标180万辆 增速高于50%的长期目标</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">和此前一样,特斯拉本次财报继续重申,</p><blockquote>计划尽快扩大生产,和公司2021年初设定的目标——50%的复合年均增长率(CAGR)保持一致。有些年份,公司的产量增长可能更快,有些年份可能更慢,这要视多种因素而定。2023年,公司仍预计,会领先于50%的长期CAGR目标,年产量约180万辆。</blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉盘中跌超7%,二季度毛利率创近四年新低</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉盘中跌超7%,二季度毛利率创近四年新低\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-07-20 22:45 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3693650><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>周五,截至发稿特斯拉跌幅扩大至7.24%,为三个月来最大跌幅。特斯拉二季度业绩的强劲势头出乎市场意料,相比备受降价打击的一季度,二季度一扫颓势,收入和利润双双两位数大增,但降价还在冲击盈利,毛利率超预期下降,跌破20%。特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会上说,牺牲车辆利润率来换取更多产量“是说得通的”。若经济环境恶化,特斯拉还将降价。马斯克说,他对特斯拉的长期价值有着“非常高的信心”。他认为,公司价值...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3693650\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e0d9f23e003547a93295253f05b6a55","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3693650","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2352605421","content_text":"周五,截至发稿特斯拉跌幅扩大至7.24%,为三个月来最大跌幅。特斯拉二季度业绩的强劲势头出乎市场意料,相比备受降价打击的一季度,二季度一扫颓势,收入和利润双双两位数大增,但降价还在冲击盈利,毛利率超预期下降,跌破20%。特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会上说,牺牲车辆利润率来换取更多产量“是说得通的”。若经济环境恶化,特斯拉还将降价。马斯克说,他对特斯拉的长期价值有着“非常高的信心”。他认为,公司价值有望达到现有规模的五倍、甚至十倍。他还建议像巴菲特价值投资那样持有特斯拉,称特斯拉有长期投资的价值,如果市场恐慌,就买入。二季度营收增速几为一季度两倍 EPS盈利一季度降21%后大增20% 美东时间7 月19日周三美股盘后,特斯拉公布,今年第二季度,营业收入超预期增长近50%,刷新去年第四季度所创的单季最高纪录,每股收益(EPS)更是在一季度锐减逾20%后猛增20%:二季度营业收入为249.27亿美元,较去年四季度所创的纪录高2.5%,同比增长47%,几乎是一季度同比增速24%的两倍,分析师预期同比增44.7%至245.1亿美元,一季度营收环比降4%。二季度非美国通用会计准则(GAAP)口径下调整后EPS为0.91美元,同比增长20%,分析师预期同比增6.6%至0.81美元,而一季度调整后EPS同比降21%,为2019年三季度以来首次同比下滑。特斯拉表示,二季度的产量、交付量和营收都创了最高纪录,单季营收首次接近250亿美元,这些纪录是在当前宏观经济环境下取得的成绩,公司感到激动。值得一提的是,特斯拉以往盈利的一大推手——“卖碳”的收入明显缩水,未能成为营收增长的助力。二季度特斯拉通过出售碳排放信用额度获得收入2.82亿美元,较一季度的5.21亿美元剧减45.9%,跌至2021年三季度以来低位。二季度毛利率超预期下降至18.2% 自由现金流不到预期一半财报显示,特斯拉二季度利润率持续下降,毛利率超预期降至四年来低位,凸显了降价等促销手段的打击:二季度营业利润为23.99亿美元,同比下降3%,环比一季度降9.9%;二季度营业利润率为9.6%,同比下降493个基点,一季度同比降近780个基点至11.4%。二季度GAAP口径下总体毛利率为18.2%,为16个季度来最低水平,低于分析师预期的18.8%,同比下降682个基点,环比一季度下降约110个基点,一季度毛利率同比下降977个基点。特斯拉评价,虽然一季度和二季度初都有汽车降价,但二季度的营业利润率还保持在约为10%的健康水平。这反映了持续削减成本的努力,柏林和得州工厂继续生产爬坡,以及能源和服务等其他业务的强劲表现。二季度自由现金流10.05亿美元,同比增长62%,虽然较一季度创两年新低的4.41亿美元大幅回升,约一季度自由现金流的2.3倍,但还远不及分析师预期的21.8亿美元,不到分析师预期的一半。汽车售价下跌打击盈利和收入 外汇对营收负面影响6亿美元、连降两季财报中,特斯拉总结了一些影响二季度营收和盈利能力的因素,有正面影响的因素包括:汽车交付量增长(尽管存在新工厂利用率低的盈利逆风因素);汽车以外公司其他业务的收入和毛利增长;每辆车的平均成本下降,包括原材料成本下降和IRA碳积分。负面影响因素包括:剔除外汇影响后,汽车平均售价(ASP)同比下跌;4680电池生产爬坡的成本及其他相关费用;电动皮卡Cybertruck、AI及其他大项目的营业费用增加;外汇对营收的负面影响为6亿美元。华尔街见闻注意到,外汇、即美元走强对特斯拉营收的负面影响已经连续两个季度减轻,二季度的影响金额6亿美元较一季度的8亿美元减少25%,远低于去年第四季度的14亿美元。特斯拉总结,公司将专注于削减成本、能实现未来增长的新产品开发、研发方面的投入、更好的汽车融资选择、持续的产品改进,以及产生自由现金流。特斯拉指出,当前不确定性时期的挑战并未结束。重申上海工厂数月接近满负荷生产 有望今年初步生产Cybertruck本月初特斯拉公布二季度交付超过46.61万辆车,生产汽车47.97万辆,产量和交付量均创单季新高。财报中,特斯拉将此成绩归功于新工厂的持续扩大生产,以及上海和加州超级工厂的强劲表现。和前两个季度一样,特斯拉指出,上海工厂已有数月以接近100%的产能利用率生产,同时特斯拉预计,上海工厂的单周产量不会大幅增长,重申上海工厂仍是公司的主要出口中心。上周末特斯拉披露,首辆电动皮卡Cybertruck在得州的超级工厂下线。Cybertruck是特斯拉今年最令人期待的车型。因严重依赖Model 3和Model Y提振销量,Cybertruck被外界视为特斯拉未来增长的关键。特斯拉此前公布,计划今年第三季度末左右开始交付。本周三的财报中提到,得州的超级工厂正在进行生产Cybertruck的工设备安装,仍处于今年实现初步生产的正轨。特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会上说,他迫不及待地要在今年稍晚开始交付Cybertruck。重申今年产量目标180万辆 增速高于50%的长期目标和此前一样,特斯拉本次财报继续重申,计划尽快扩大生产,和公司2021年初设定的目标——50%的复合年均增长率(CAGR)保持一致。有些年份,公司的产量增长可能更快,有些年份可能更慢,这要视多种因素而定。2023年,公司仍预计,会领先于50%的长期CAGR目标,年产量约180万辆。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":199336480399392,"gmtCreate":1689689853487,"gmtModify":1689689854838,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3549118574070267","idStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"蛮牛","listText":"蛮牛","text":"蛮牛","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199336480399392","repostId":"1191579559","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":878949367,"gmtCreate":1637142181151,"gmtModify":1637214793966,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549118574070267","authorIdStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YQ\">$一起教育科技(YQ)$</a>市场恐慌的时候,冷静加仓 一步步试水 有小惊喜","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YQ\">$一起教育科技(YQ)$</a>市场恐慌的时候,冷静加仓 一步步试水 有小惊喜","text":"$一起教育科技(YQ)$市场恐慌的时候,冷静加仓 一步步试水 有小惊喜","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caa69e6c9b2bfb2e099f426bb4601598","width":"1242","height":"2448"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":41,"commentSize":28,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878949367","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":10479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3496875184649920","authorId":"3496875184649920","name":"阳光总在風雨后","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/520a456d0397b5810c0f55c66a1000d8","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3496875184649920","authorIdStr":"3496875184649920"},"content":"你可真逗,合股都能说成惊喜,[汗颜]","text":"你可真逗,合股都能说成惊喜,[汗颜]","html":"你可真逗,合股都能说成惊喜,[汗颜]"},{"author":{"id":"3559199832739852","authorId":"3559199832739852","name":"丁心","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d18ba201cb032d4cc44571b8b6a2ad2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3559199832739852","authorIdStr":"3559199832739852"},"content":"看看你的股票市值,多了还是少了?","text":"看看你的股票市值,多了还是少了?","html":"看看你的股票市值,多了还是少了?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492025705988584,"gmtCreate":1761144059761,"gmtModify":1761144071908,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549118574070267","authorIdStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL\">$CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL$ </a> 买了点这个 技术线往上趋势明显 应该大肉 可以跟","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL\">$CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL$ </a> 买了点这个 技术线往上趋势明显 应该大肉 可以跟","text":"$CCL 20251121 30.0 CALL$ 买了点这个 技术线往上趋势明显 应该大肉 可以跟","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627fc4fb460fbf9c8f380416ce2fc6e4","width":"906","height":"1475"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492025705988584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":635264525,"gmtCreate":1647013387867,"gmtModify":1647013387867,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549118574070267","authorIdStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YQ\">$一起教育科技(YQ)$</a>我每次晒都以为到顶了...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YQ\">$一起教育科技(YQ)$</a>我每次晒都以为到顶了...","text":"$一起教育科技(YQ)$我每次晒都以为到顶了...","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/699769b70f7263192ddafe3b9a81c80c","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/635264525","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2997,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3484043790060224","authorId":"3484043790060224","name":"燕儿在凌稍","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac06d07a5cf0ce554ca083fd0fc7b572","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3484043790060224","authorIdStr":"3484043790060224"},"content":"兄弟,买了多少股?天天炫!这里面大多是亏了九成以上的兄弟们!","text":"兄弟,买了多少股?天天炫!这里面大多是亏了九成以上的兄弟们!","html":"兄弟,买了多少股?天天炫!这里面大多是亏了九成以上的兄弟们!"},{"author":{"id":"3463114370494976","authorId":"3463114370494976","name":"497956.","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e84d0cd1c2bf9299bd01975ccfdf18ea","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3463114370494976","authorIdStr":"3463114370494976"},"content":"这种靠运气买的迟早跌回去,你买的也不能太多,估计也就几千块。员工都撤了,没有未来了","text":"这种靠运气买的迟早跌回去,你买的也不能太多,估计也就几千块。员工都撤了,没有未来了","html":"这种靠运气买的迟早跌回去,你买的也不能太多,估计也就几千块。员工都撤了,没有未来了"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":667291756,"gmtCreate":1668791457475,"gmtModify":1668791459337,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549118574070267","authorIdStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">$RLX科技(RLX)$ </a>止盈1/2","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RLX\">$RLX科技(RLX)$ </a>止盈1/2","text":"$RLX科技(RLX)$ 止盈1/2","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd24ad8dcc0047de2575d54e7268166f","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":3,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/667291756","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318207560519904,"gmtCreate":1718726014468,"gmtModify":1718726494361,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549118574070267","authorIdStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL\">$SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL$</a> 喜悦","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL\">$SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL$</a> 喜悦","text":"$SWKS 20240621 95.0 CALL$ 喜悦","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de3fb99da9a58a515ddca9af899212cd","width":"1086","height":"1713"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318207560519904","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5999,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":617886759,"gmtCreate":1654170397975,"gmtModify":1704859043744,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549118574070267","authorIdStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MF\">$每日优鲜(MF)$</a>熬着熬着就赚了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MF\">$每日优鲜(MF)$</a>熬着熬着就赚了","text":"$每日优鲜(MF)$熬着熬着就赚了","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1149a2778710d266f3fe2bb12e9bece3","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/617886759","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":492010931712208,"gmtCreate":1761140717004,"gmtModify":1761140728892,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549118574070267","authorIdStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL\">$BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL$ </a> 卖掉1/4止盈了 后面放着飞","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL\">$BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL$ </a> 卖掉1/4止盈了 后面放着飞","text":"$BYND 20251031 1.0 CALL$ 卖掉1/4止盈了 后面放着飞","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98b0933d7c9d4a8c3cc73435dd6345ee","width":"906","height":"1475"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/492010931712208","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"38637229394370","authorId":"38637229394370","name":"果子哥家老汉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12d5c82e54917164a75cf6baa009bf55","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"38637229394370","authorIdStr":"38637229394370"},"content":"牛啊!你应该用它制作一个相框🖼,以此作为你人生中的一个纪念。毕竟这种机会可遇不可求。非常渺茫。","text":"牛啊!你应该用它制作一个相框🖼,以此作为你人生中的一个纪念。毕竟这种机会可遇不可求。非常渺茫。","html":"牛啊!你应该用它制作一个相框🖼,以此作为你人生中的一个纪念。毕竟这种机会可遇不可求。非常渺茫。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":200148634534048,"gmtCreate":1689896509487,"gmtModify":1689896510830,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549118574070267","authorIdStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"wow 可以可以 有机会了","listText":"wow 可以可以 有机会了","text":"wow 可以可以 有机会了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/200148634534048","repostId":"2352605421","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2352605421","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1689864302,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2352605421?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-07-20 22:45","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉盘中跌超7%,二季度毛利率创近四年新低","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2352605421","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"马斯克说,他对特斯拉的长期价值有着“非常高的信心”。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周五,截至发稿特斯拉跌幅扩大至7.24%,为三个月来最大跌幅。<strong>特斯拉二季度业绩的强劲势头出乎市场意料,相比备受降价打击的一季度,二季度一扫颓势,收入和利润双双两位数大增,但降价还在冲击盈利,毛利率超预期下降,跌破20%。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1531142ba8331b27730b37abc7e0178\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会上说,牺牲车辆利润率来换取更多产量“是说得通的”。若经济环境恶化,特斯拉还将降价。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">马斯克说,他对特斯拉的长期价值有着“非常高的信心”。他认为,公司价值有望达到现有规模的五倍、甚至十倍。他还建议像巴菲特价值投资那样持有特斯拉,称特斯拉有长期投资的价值,如果市场恐慌,就买入。</p><h2 id=\"id_1079924644\">二季度营收增速几为一季度两倍 EPS盈利一季度降21%后大增20% </h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美东时间7 月19日周三美股盘后,特斯拉公布,今年第二季度,营业收入超预期增长近50%,刷新去年第四季度所创的单季最高纪录,每股收益(EPS)更是在一季度锐减逾20%后猛增20%:</p><ul><li><p>二季度营业收入为249.27亿美元,较去年四季度所创的纪录高2.5%,同比增长47%,几乎是一季度同比增速24%的两倍,分析师预期同比增44.7%至245.1亿美元,一季度营收环比降4%。</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b73cb9a9513a361799dee492e53fa32\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"426\"/></p><ul><li><p>二季度非美国通用会计准则(GAAP)口径下调整后EPS为0.91美元,同比增长20%,分析师预期同比增6.6%至0.81美元,而一季度调整后EPS同比降21%,为2019年三季度以来首次同比下滑。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉表示,二季度的产量、交付量和营收都创了最高纪录,单季营收首次接近250亿美元,这些纪录是在当前宏观经济环境下取得的成绩,公司感到激动。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea0bb3ae96b76d7a7d006d34f8d46d81\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得一提的是,特斯拉以往盈利的一大推手——“卖碳”的收入明显缩水,未能成为营收增长的助力。二季度特斯拉通过出售碳排放信用额度获得收入2.82亿美元,较一季度的5.21亿美元剧减45.9%,跌至2021年三季度以来低位。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10cca31c6d6247aa2495b403f436977a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"563\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_993967191\">二季度毛利率超预期下降至18.2% 自由现金流不到预期一半</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报显示,特斯拉二季度利润率持续下降,毛利率超预期降至四年来低位,凸显了降价等促销手段的打击:</p><ul><li><p>二季度营业利润为23.99亿美元,同比下降3%,环比一季度降9.9%;二季度营业利润率为9.6%,同比下降493个基点,一季度同比降近780个基点至11.4%。</p></li><li><p>二季度GAAP口径下总体毛利率为18.2%,为16个季度来最低水平,低于分析师预期的18.8%,同比下降682个基点,环比一季度下降约110个基点,一季度毛利率同比下降977个基点。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉评价,虽然一季度和二季度初都有汽车降价,但二季度的营业利润率还保持在约为10%的健康水平。这反映了持续削减成本的努力,柏林和得州工厂继续生产爬坡,以及能源和服务等其他业务的强劲表现。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">二季度自由现金流10.05亿美元,同比增长62%,虽然较一季度创两年新低的4.41亿美元大幅回升,约一季度自由现金流的2.3倍,但还远不及分析师预期的21.8亿美元,不到分析师预期的一半。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63b6c3dfba449cca6c928f98f03929fd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"538\" tg-height=\"626\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_3523299153\">汽车售价下跌打击盈利和收入 外汇对营收负面影响6亿美元、连降两季</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报中,特斯拉总结了一些影响二季度营收和盈利能力的因素,有正面影响的因素包括:</p><ul><li><p>汽车交付量增长(尽管存在新工厂利用率低的盈利逆风因素);</p></li><li><p>汽车以外公司其他业务的收入和毛利增长;</p></li><li><p>每辆车的平均成本下降,包括原材料成本下降和IRA碳积分。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">负面影响因素包括:</p><ul><li><p>剔除外汇影响后,汽车平均售价(ASP)同比下跌;</p></li><li><p>4680电池生产爬坡的成本及其他相关费用;</p></li><li><p>电动皮卡Cybertruck、AI及其他大项目的营业费用增加;</p></li><li><p>外汇对营收的负面影响为6亿美元。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华尔街见闻注意到,外汇、即美元走强对特斯拉营收的负面影响已经连续两个季度减轻,二季度的影响金额6亿美元较一季度的8亿美元减少25%,远低于去年第四季度的14亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉总结,公司将专注于削减成本、能实现未来增长的新产品开发、研发方面的投入、更好的汽车融资选择、持续的产品改进,以及产生自由现金流。特斯拉指出,当前不确定性时期的挑战并未结束。</p><h2 id=\"id_3603162239\">重申上海工厂数月接近满负荷生产 有望今年初步生产Cybertruck</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本月初特斯拉公布二季度交付超过46.61万辆车,生产汽车47.97万辆,产量和交付量均创单季新高。财报中,特斯拉将此成绩归功于新工厂的持续扩大生产,以及上海和加州超级工厂的强劲表现。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">和前两个季度一样,特斯拉指出,上海工厂已有数月以接近100%的产能利用率生产,同时特斯拉预计,上海工厂的单周产量不会大幅增长,重申上海工厂仍是公司的主要出口中心。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">上周末特斯拉披露,首辆电动皮卡Cybertruck在得州的超级工厂下线。Cybertruck是特斯拉今年最令人期待的车型。因严重依赖Model 3和Model Y提振销量,Cybertruck被外界视为特斯拉未来增长的关键。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉此前公布,计划今年第三季度末左右开始交付。本周三的财报中提到,得州的超级工厂正在进行生产Cybertruck的工设备安装,仍处于今年实现初步生产的正轨。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会上说,他迫不及待地要在今年稍晚开始交付Cybertruck。</p><h2 id=\"id_2041158030\">重申今年产量目标180万辆 增速高于50%的长期目标</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">和此前一样,特斯拉本次财报继续重申,</p><blockquote>计划尽快扩大生产,和公司2021年初设定的目标——50%的复合年均增长率(CAGR)保持一致。有些年份,公司的产量增长可能更快,有些年份可能更慢,这要视多种因素而定。2023年,公司仍预计,会领先于50%的长期CAGR目标,年产量约180万辆。</blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉盘中跌超7%,二季度毛利率创近四年新低</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉盘中跌超7%,二季度毛利率创近四年新低\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-07-20 22:45 北京时间 <a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3693650><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>周五,截至发稿特斯拉跌幅扩大至7.24%,为三个月来最大跌幅。特斯拉二季度业绩的强劲势头出乎市场意料,相比备受降价打击的一季度,二季度一扫颓势,收入和利润双双两位数大增,但降价还在冲击盈利,毛利率超预期下降,跌破20%。特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会上说,牺牲车辆利润率来换取更多产量“是说得通的”。若经济环境恶化,特斯拉还将降价。马斯克说,他对特斯拉的长期价值有着“非常高的信心”。他认为,公司价值...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3693650\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e0d9f23e003547a93295253f05b6a55","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3693650","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2352605421","content_text":"周五,截至发稿特斯拉跌幅扩大至7.24%,为三个月来最大跌幅。特斯拉二季度业绩的强劲势头出乎市场意料,相比备受降价打击的一季度,二季度一扫颓势,收入和利润双双两位数大增,但降价还在冲击盈利,毛利率超预期下降,跌破20%。特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会上说,牺牲车辆利润率来换取更多产量“是说得通的”。若经济环境恶化,特斯拉还将降价。马斯克说,他对特斯拉的长期价值有着“非常高的信心”。他认为,公司价值有望达到现有规模的五倍、甚至十倍。他还建议像巴菲特价值投资那样持有特斯拉,称特斯拉有长期投资的价值,如果市场恐慌,就买入。二季度营收增速几为一季度两倍 EPS盈利一季度降21%后大增20% 美东时间7 月19日周三美股盘后,特斯拉公布,今年第二季度,营业收入超预期增长近50%,刷新去年第四季度所创的单季最高纪录,每股收益(EPS)更是在一季度锐减逾20%后猛增20%:二季度营业收入为249.27亿美元,较去年四季度所创的纪录高2.5%,同比增长47%,几乎是一季度同比增速24%的两倍,分析师预期同比增44.7%至245.1亿美元,一季度营收环比降4%。二季度非美国通用会计准则(GAAP)口径下调整后EPS为0.91美元,同比增长20%,分析师预期同比增6.6%至0.81美元,而一季度调整后EPS同比降21%,为2019年三季度以来首次同比下滑。特斯拉表示,二季度的产量、交付量和营收都创了最高纪录,单季营收首次接近250亿美元,这些纪录是在当前宏观经济环境下取得的成绩,公司感到激动。值得一提的是,特斯拉以往盈利的一大推手——“卖碳”的收入明显缩水,未能成为营收增长的助力。二季度特斯拉通过出售碳排放信用额度获得收入2.82亿美元,较一季度的5.21亿美元剧减45.9%,跌至2021年三季度以来低位。二季度毛利率超预期下降至18.2% 自由现金流不到预期一半财报显示,特斯拉二季度利润率持续下降,毛利率超预期降至四年来低位,凸显了降价等促销手段的打击:二季度营业利润为23.99亿美元,同比下降3%,环比一季度降9.9%;二季度营业利润率为9.6%,同比下降493个基点,一季度同比降近780个基点至11.4%。二季度GAAP口径下总体毛利率为18.2%,为16个季度来最低水平,低于分析师预期的18.8%,同比下降682个基点,环比一季度下降约110个基点,一季度毛利率同比下降977个基点。特斯拉评价,虽然一季度和二季度初都有汽车降价,但二季度的营业利润率还保持在约为10%的健康水平。这反映了持续削减成本的努力,柏林和得州工厂继续生产爬坡,以及能源和服务等其他业务的强劲表现。二季度自由现金流10.05亿美元,同比增长62%,虽然较一季度创两年新低的4.41亿美元大幅回升,约一季度自由现金流的2.3倍,但还远不及分析师预期的21.8亿美元,不到分析师预期的一半。汽车售价下跌打击盈利和收入 外汇对营收负面影响6亿美元、连降两季财报中,特斯拉总结了一些影响二季度营收和盈利能力的因素,有正面影响的因素包括:汽车交付量增长(尽管存在新工厂利用率低的盈利逆风因素);汽车以外公司其他业务的收入和毛利增长;每辆车的平均成本下降,包括原材料成本下降和IRA碳积分。负面影响因素包括:剔除外汇影响后,汽车平均售价(ASP)同比下跌;4680电池生产爬坡的成本及其他相关费用;电动皮卡Cybertruck、AI及其他大项目的营业费用增加;外汇对营收的负面影响为6亿美元。华尔街见闻注意到,外汇、即美元走强对特斯拉营收的负面影响已经连续两个季度减轻,二季度的影响金额6亿美元较一季度的8亿美元减少25%,远低于去年第四季度的14亿美元。特斯拉总结,公司将专注于削减成本、能实现未来增长的新产品开发、研发方面的投入、更好的汽车融资选择、持续的产品改进,以及产生自由现金流。特斯拉指出,当前不确定性时期的挑战并未结束。重申上海工厂数月接近满负荷生产 有望今年初步生产Cybertruck本月初特斯拉公布二季度交付超过46.61万辆车,生产汽车47.97万辆,产量和交付量均创单季新高。财报中,特斯拉将此成绩归功于新工厂的持续扩大生产,以及上海和加州超级工厂的强劲表现。和前两个季度一样,特斯拉指出,上海工厂已有数月以接近100%的产能利用率生产,同时特斯拉预计,上海工厂的单周产量不会大幅增长,重申上海工厂仍是公司的主要出口中心。上周末特斯拉披露,首辆电动皮卡Cybertruck在得州的超级工厂下线。Cybertruck是特斯拉今年最令人期待的车型。因严重依赖Model 3和Model Y提振销量,Cybertruck被外界视为特斯拉未来增长的关键。特斯拉此前公布,计划今年第三季度末左右开始交付。本周三的财报中提到,得州的超级工厂正在进行生产Cybertruck的工设备安装,仍处于今年实现初步生产的正轨。特斯拉CEO马斯克在业绩电话会上说,他迫不及待地要在今年稍晚开始交付Cybertruck。重申今年产量目标180万辆 增速高于50%的长期目标和此前一样,特斯拉本次财报继续重申,计划尽快扩大生产,和公司2021年初设定的目标——50%的复合年均增长率(CAGR)保持一致。有些年份,公司的产量增长可能更快,有些年份可能更慢,这要视多种因素而定。2023年,公司仍预计,会领先于50%的长期CAGR目标,年产量约180万辆。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":685281599,"gmtCreate":1659669186212,"gmtModify":1659669597226,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549118574070267","authorIdStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"漏洞百出啊 单位错了“2019年至2021年最近三年的收入分别是:14,554万港元、167,547万港元和195,816万港元,利润分别为2154.4万港元、1.58亿港元及1.72亿港元。”","listText":"漏洞百出啊 单位错了“2019年至2021年最近三年的收入分别是:14,554万港元、167,547万港元和195,816万港元,利润分别为2154.4万港元、1.58亿港元及1.72亿港元。”","text":"漏洞百出啊 单位错了“2019年至2021年最近三年的收入分别是:14,554万港元、167,547万港元和195,816万港元,利润分别为2154.4万港元、1.58亿港元及1.72亿港元。”","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685281599","repostId":"1114619873","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2685,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":685491788,"gmtCreate":1659798597945,"gmtModify":1659834138768,"author":{"id":"3549118574070267","authorId":"3549118574070267","name":"TorisQ","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/890d40f6aedd0e6f741426de5300dc5e","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549118574070267","authorIdStr":"3549118574070267"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"漏洞百出 单位错了“该公司2019年至2021年最近三年的收入分别是:14,554万港元、167,547万港元和195,816万港元,利润分别为2154.4万港元、1.58亿港元及1.72亿港元。”千和万搞错了","listText":"漏洞百出 单位错了“该公司2019年至2021年最近三年的收入分别是:14,554万港元、167,547万港元和195,816万港元,利润分别为2154.4万港元、1.58亿港元及1.72亿港元。”千和万搞错了","text":"漏洞百出 单位错了“该公司2019年至2021年最近三年的收入分别是:14,554万港元、167,547万港元和195,816万港元,利润分别为2154.4万港元、1.58亿港元及1.72亿港元。”千和万搞错了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/685491788","repostId":"1114619873","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4686,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}