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稳定压倒一切皆有可能

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

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稳定压倒一切皆有可能

02-20 11:53

$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ 春节发红包，股东来买单。

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

02-18

最大的变数在字节。字节现在产品力惊人，打江山的企业战斗力真强，都是等着吃肉的人。霸业已成的组织相形见绌。

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

02-13

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 春晚跳水彩排

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

02-13

这不是骂人吗？

小摩：料腾讯控股(00700)最受惠DeepSeek新版本迭代

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

02-13

$恒生科技ETF(03032)$ $阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ $美团-W(03690)$ $快手-W(01024)$

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

02-12

$美团-W(03690)$ $阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 阿里自宫，顺便斩杀了美团

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

01-17

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 没错就是他。帅不过三秒。

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

01-13

国内到底选哪个？

谷歌市值突破4万亿美元，苹果选择Gemini来驱动人工智能Siri

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-11-18

$Figma(FIG)$ 目标价3块

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-10-14

卖菜大妈都会用豆包了

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-09-08

$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$ 稳扎稳打

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-09-03

$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ 画个圈圈诅咒你

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-08-28

$寒武纪(688256)$ 怎么空

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-08-28

$拼多多(PDD)$

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-07-23

$农夫山泉(09633)$ 粪水有功

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-06-26

天罡北斗阵，到底赢过没

阿里合伙人名单最新变动：张勇、戴珊、俞永福等9人已退出

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-02-28

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 跌这么多，不太理解怎么期权波动不大呀？

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-02-12

答案是：1.低开高走 2.胜券在握 3.踏空 4.收阳 5 .阿里巴巴[财迷][开心]

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2025-02-06

引蛇出洞

德银重磅报告：Deepseek爆火之后，整个中国资产都将重估！

稳定压倒一切皆有可能

2024-11-27

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 高开低走

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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春节发红包，股东来买单。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/534686684951648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":534063127451080,"gmtCreate":1771407399591,"gmtModify":1771407402086,"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"最大的变数在字节。字节现在产品力惊人，打江山的企业战斗力真强，都是等着吃肉的人。霸业已成的组织相形见绌。","listText":"最大的变数在字节。字节现在产品力惊人，打江山的企业战斗力真强，都是等着吃肉的人。霸业已成的组织相形见绌。","text":"最大的变数在字节。字节现在产品力惊人，打江山的企业战斗力真强，都是等着吃肉的人。霸业已成的组织相形见绌。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/534063127451080","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":532353677475864,"gmtCreate":1770990028015,"gmtModify":1770990029719,"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a> 春晚跳水彩排","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a> 春晚跳水彩排","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 春晚跳水彩排","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/532353677475864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":34,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":532126193447816,"gmtCreate":1770934507299,"gmtModify":1770934509731,"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这不是骂人吗？&nbsp;","listText":"这不是骂人吗？&nbsp;","text":"这不是骂人吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/532126193447816","repostId":"2610912712","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2610912712","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1770879141,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2610912712?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-02-12 14:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"小摩：料腾讯控股(00700)最受惠DeepSeek新版本迭代","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2610912712","media":"智通财经","summary":"如果DeepSeek新版本在农历新年期间发布，真正重要的影响主要体现在可能释放平台经济效益。对互联网平台而言，该行认为腾讯控股最有可能从潜在的DeepSeek新版本中受惠最大，其次是垂直领域龙头，如携程集团-S、快手-W、贝壳-W，而对阿里巴巴-W和百度集团-SW影响较为参差。DeepSeek一直倾向于开源优先而非短期商业化最大化，因此它的竞争效应往往通过模型质量的认知以及它所验证的技术方向来传导。","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP获悉，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>发布研报称，农历新年仍是中国消费科技领域最密集、历史上最具效力的发布窗口。如果DeepSeek新版本在农历新年期间发布，真正重要的影响主要体现在可能释放平台经济效益。如果这次迭代能在推理成本上实现效率优先的显著下降，AI就将变得经济可行，能直接嵌入高频消费产品，而不再局限于独立的聊天机器人形态。</p><p>对互联网平台而言，该行认为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯控股</a>(00700)最有可能从潜在的DeepSeek新版本中受惠最大，其次是垂直领域龙头，如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">携程</a>集团-S(09961)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">快手-W</a>(01024)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02423\">贝壳-W</a>(02423)，而对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴-W</a>(09988)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">百度集团-SW</a>(09888)影响较为参差。</p><p>对于独立模型厂商如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02513\">智谱</a>(02513)、MiniMax-WP(00100)，这些厂商同样有旗舰模型已发布或即将发布，其直接影响通常不在于立即抢夺客户，而更多体现在能力信号和技术外溢。DeepSeek一直倾向于开源优先而非短期商业化最大化，因此它的竞争效应往往通过模型质量的认知以及它所验证的技术方向来传导。如果此次发布包含真正的效率或系统性突破，这些方法会在生态中快速扩散——抬高同行基准、压缩迭代周期。在此背景下，该行重申对智普AI、MiniMax的正面看法，其能力提升最直接体现于API变现进程。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小摩：料腾讯控股(00700)最受惠DeepSeek新版本迭代</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小摩：料腾讯控股(00700)最受惠DeepSeek新版本迭代\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-12 14:52 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1404601.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，农历新年仍是中国消费科技领域最密集、历史上最具效力的发布窗口。如果DeepSeek新版本在农历新年期间发布，真正重要的影响主要体现在可能释放平台经济效益。如果这次迭代能在推理成本上实现效率优先的显著下降，AI就将变得经济可行，能直接嵌入高频消费产品，而不再局限于独立的聊天机器人形态。对互联网平台而言，该行认为腾讯控股(00700)最有可能从潜在的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1404601.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1404601.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2610912712","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，农历新年仍是中国消费科技领域最密集、历史上最具效力的发布窗口。如果DeepSeek新版本在农历新年期间发布，真正重要的影响主要体现在可能释放平台经济效益。如果这次迭代能在推理成本上实现效率优先的显著下降，AI就将变得经济可行，能直接嵌入高频消费产品，而不再局限于独立的聊天机器人形态。对互联网平台而言，该行认为腾讯控股(00700)最有可能从潜在的DeepSeek新版本中受惠最大，其次是垂直领域龙头，如携程集团-S(09961)、快手-W(01024)、贝壳-W(02423)，而对阿里巴巴-W(09988)和百度集团-SW(09888)影响较为参差。对于独立模型厂商如智谱(02513)、MiniMax-WP(00100)，这些厂商同样有旗舰模型已发布或即将发布，其直接影响通常不在于立即抢夺客户，而更多体现在能力信号和技术外溢。DeepSeek一直倾向于开源优先而非短期商业化最大化，因此它的竞争效应往往通过模型质量的认知以及它所验证的技术方向来传导。如果此次发布包含真正的效率或系统性突破，这些方法会在生态中快速扩散——抬高同行基准、压缩迭代周期。在此背景下，该行重申对智普AI、MiniMax的正面看法，其能力提升最直接体现于API变现进程。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TCHmain":1.5,"00700":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":66,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":532038849779152,"gmtCreate":1770913193257,"gmtModify":1770913196265,"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03032\">$恒生科技ETF(03032)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; &nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03032\">$恒生科技ETF(03032)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; &nbsp;","text":"$恒生科技ETF(03032)$ $阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ $腾讯控股(00700)$ $美团-W(03690)$ $快手-W(01024)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/532038849779152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":531850342299240,"gmtCreate":1770867241115,"gmtModify":1770867243072,"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a> 阿里自宫，顺便斩杀了美团","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-W(09988)$&nbsp;</a> 阿里自宫，顺便斩杀了美团","text":"$美团-W(03690)$ $阿里巴巴-W(09988)$ 阿里自宫，顺便斩杀了美团","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/531850342299240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"content":"恒生科技都是老登内斗，科技新势力已登场。资本换阵营。","text":"恒生科技都是老登内斗，科技新势力已登场。资本换阵营。","html":"恒生科技都是老登内斗，科技新势力已登场。资本换阵营。"},{"author":{"id":"4202710567979362","authorId":"4202710567979362","name":"一切责任都在美方","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4202710567979362","authorIdStr":"4202710567979362"},"content":"为啥这么暴跌","text":"为啥这么暴跌","html":"为啥这么暴跌"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":522632523719264,"gmtCreate":1768619237845,"gmtModify":1768619240897,"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a> 没错就是他。帅不过三秒。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$&nbsp;</a> 没错就是他。帅不过三秒。","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 没错就是他。帅不过三秒。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/522632523719264","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1058,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":521387523895320,"gmtCreate":1768265978540,"gmtModify":1768265980843,"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"国内到底选哪个？","listText":"国内到底选哪个？","text":"国内到底选哪个？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/521387523895320","repostId":"1171265777","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171265777","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1768231451,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171265777?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-12 23:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"谷歌市值突破4万亿美元，苹果选择Gemini来驱动人工智能Siri","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171265777","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"谷歌盘中直线拉升。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周一， <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a> 盘中直线拉升，由跌转涨，创历史新高，总市值突破4万亿美元！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a> 选择谷歌的Gemini来驱动今年推出的人工智能Siri。</strong></p><p>一份声明显示，这项为期数年的合作伙伴关系将依托谷歌的 Gemini 模型和云技术，来构建苹果未来的基础模型。 苹果在声明中写道：“<strong>经过仔细评估，我们认定谷歌的技术为‘苹果基础模型（Apple Foundation Models）’提供了最强大的基础。我们非常期待这一合作为用户开启的创新体验。</strong>”</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15a8171738277fd77e7b37c384fedd27\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>谷歌市值突破4万亿美元，苹果选择Gemini来驱动人工智能Siri</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-01-12 23:24</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>周一， <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a> 盘中直线拉升，由跌转涨，创历史新高，总市值突破4万亿美元！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a> 选择谷歌的Gemini来驱动今年推出的人工智能Siri。</strong></p><p>一份声明显示，这项为期数年的合作伙伴关系将依托谷歌的 Gemini 模型和云技术，来构建苹果未来的基础模型。 苹果在声明中写道：“<strong>经过仔细评估，我们认定谷歌的技术为‘苹果基础模型（Apple Foundation Models）’提供了最强大的基础。我们非常期待这一合作为用户开启的创新体验。</strong>”</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15a8171738277fd77e7b37c384fedd27\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" 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19:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>6月26日消息，阿里巴巴2025财年年报例行披露了最新合伙人信息，其中戴珊、方永新、彭蕾、宋洁、孙利军、武卫、俞永福、张勇、朱顺炎9人已退出合伙人之列。</p><p>每年阿里合伙人名单都会略有调整，当工作岗位变动或者年龄变化，都会自动退出合伙人。2025财年最新阿里合伙人名单，共17人：樊路远、蒋凡、蒋芳、蒋江伟、刘振飞、马云、邵晓锋、童文红、蔡崇信、万霖、王磊、闻佳、吴泳铭、吴泽明、俞思瑛、张建锋、郑俊芳。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2e0eb6c0d2386d465d375504e74c84e","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187075190","content_text":"6月26日消息，阿里巴巴2025财年年报例行披露了最新合伙人信息，其中戴珊、方永新、彭蕾、宋洁、孙利军、武卫、俞永福、张勇、朱顺炎9人已退出合伙人之列。每年阿里合伙人名单都会略有调整，当工作岗位变动或者年龄变化，都会自动退出合伙人。2025财年最新阿里合伙人名单，共17人：樊路远、蒋凡、蒋芳、蒋江伟、刘振飞、马云、邵晓锋、童文红、蔡崇信、万霖、王磊、闻佳、吴泳铭、吴泽明、俞思瑛、张建锋、郑俊芳。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":1.1,"09988":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4210988463171542","authorId":"4210988463171542","name":"招财女牛神","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002e08b18c1a2e4f9aa5fcbdd1bcbb24","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4210988463171542","authorIdStr":"4210988463171542"},"content":"阿里没人了，还在用出轨男","text":"阿里没人了，还在用出轨男","html":"阿里没人了，还在用出轨男"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":408247815053528,"gmtCreate":1740691657850,"gmtModify":1740691659329,"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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跌这么多，不太理解怎么期权波动不大呀？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/408247815053528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3494197652627607","authorId":"3494197652627607","name":"Rs","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3494197652627607","authorIdStr":"3494197652627607"},"content":"看空人太多了[捂脸]我做前天入的228-128put才涨70%","text":"看空人太多了[捂脸]我做前天入的228-128put才涨70%","html":"看空人太多了[捂脸]我做前天入的228-128put才涨70%"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":402827085730120,"gmtCreate":1739364929066,"gmtModify":1739364930576,"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"答案是：1.低开高走 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16:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"德银重磅报告：Deepseek爆火之后，整个中国资产都将重估！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176790745","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"中国股票的“估值折价”将消失，牛市将超越此前高点。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>德银认为，中国制造业和服务业占据全球领先地位，而DeepSeek的推出更像是中国的“斯普特尼克”时刻，预计中国股票的“估值折价”将消失，盈利能力可能因政策支持消费和金融自由化而超出预期。<strong>港股/A股的牛市始于2024年，预计会在中期内超过之前的高点。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Deepseek爆火之后，要重估的或是整个中国资产。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5018ae0b867b07f5f62ec6c7f74f562\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1271\" tg-height=\"824\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在2月5日的最新报告中，德意志银行唱多称，2<strong>025年是中国超越其他国家的一年，预计中国股票“估值折价”将消失，A股/港股牛市将继续并超过此前高点。德银表示：</strong></p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2025年被视为投资界意识到中国在全球竞争中领先的一年。越来越难以不承认，中国企业在多个制造和服务业领域提供高性价比和优质产品。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">我们预计中国股票的“估值折价”将消失，盈利能力可能因政策支持消费和金融自由化而超出预期。港股/A股的牛市始于2024年，预计会在中期内超过之前的高点。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">具体来看，德银表示，中国制造业和服务业占据全球两线地位，而DeepSeek更像是中国的“斯普特尼克”时刻</p><blockquote><p>中国在服装、纺织品、玩具、基础电子、钢铁、造船等领域，以及电信设备、核能、国防和高速铁路等复杂行业中也占据领导地位。而在2025年，中国在一周内推出了世界上第一架第六代战斗机和其低成本的人工智能系统DeepSeek。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">马克·安德森将DeepSeek的推出称为“人工智能的斯普特尼克时刻”，但这更像是中国的斯普特尼克时刻，中国知识产权得到了认可。中国在高附加值领域表现出色并主导供应链的领域列表，正在以前所未有的速度扩展。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德银认为，如今中国正处于1980年代初期的日本</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">人们开始意识到，中国现在所处的位置不是1989年的日本，<strong>而是1980年代初期的日本，当时日本价值链正在迅速攀升，以更低的价格提供更高质量的产品，并且不断创新。</strong></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，德银乐观地指出，中美贸易问题可能会带来正面惊喜，而且贸易和市场并非那么紧密相关：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着中国企业在全球范围内的主导地位不断巩固，估值折扣似乎最终应该转变为溢价。我们相信投资者将不得不在中期内迅速转向中国，并且在不推高股价的情况下很难获得中国股票。</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_3845138230\">中国制造业优势日益凸显</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">近年来，中国制造业在全球范围内的优势日益凸显。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德银表示：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从最初在服装、纺织品和玩具领域的崛起，到如今在基础电子、钢铁、造船等领域占据主导地位，中国制造业的发展轨迹令人瞩目。特别是在白色家电、太阳能等领域，中国企业的表现更是异军突起。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是，中国在电信设备、核电、国防和高速铁路等复杂行业中的崛起，展现了其强大的技术实力。2024年底，中国在汽车出口领域的快速崛起引起全球关注，其高性能、外观吸引人且价格具有竞争力的电动汽车（EV）成功打入国际市场。<strong>2025年，中国更是在短短一周内推出了世界上第一架第六代战斗机和低成本人工智能系统DeepSeek，这被视为中国知识产权得到认可的重要标志。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7df470403c07a39a2539bdf755d3937\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1210\" tg-height=\"491\"/></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中国制造业的实力可以从以下几个方面得到印证：</p><blockquote><ol start=\"1\" style=\"\"><li><p>出口规模：中国的商品出口额是美国的两倍，贡献了全球制造业增加值的30%。</p></li><li><p>专利申请：2023年，中国占全球专利申请的近一半。在电动汽车领域，中国拥有约70%的专利，5G和6G电信设备领域也有类似优势。</p></li><li><p>人才储备：除印度外，中国拥有比世界其他国家更多的STEM（科学、技术、工程和数学）毕业生。</p></li><li><p>产业集群：中国为关键行业创造了类似硅谷的本地专业集群，并与大学在研究方面紧密合作。</p></li></ol></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_2310943148\">中国更像1980年代初期的日本</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德银认为，中国更像1980年代初期的日本：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">日本增长是通过利用丰富的廉价劳动力、资本的密集使用以及生产力的提高来实现的。国内投资占GDP的30%以上，这得益于保持低利率的金融抑制政策。日本通过合资企业获取新技术。储蓄在1970年代初占GDP的40%，然后在1980年代初降至近30%。日本在1970年代开始在海外设立工厂以避免贸易摩擦，中国最近才开始采取这样的行动。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07a5cb422fa74e663e78bca4d0a58321\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"919\" tg-height=\"442\"/></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德银还表示：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">自由化金融体系对促进消费是有帮助的，通过正常化利率，从而结束从存款人到企业的资金转移。这将减少过度投资和过度竞争，因为资本得到了配给，这将有利于提高国有企业回报率。我们预计，随着国有企业提高回报率，将要求缓解过度竞争以提高股票价值。我们预计这将在2025年成为一个关键话题，该因素将成为推动牛市的关键因素。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，中国经济和出口仍保持较快增长。2024年，中国出口增长7%，对巴西、阿联酋和沙特阿拉伯的出口分别增长23%、19%和18%，对&#34;一带一路&#34;中的东盟国家增长13%。中国对东盟和金砖国家的出口现已相当于对美国和欧盟的出口总和，且过去五年中，对这些目的地的出口市场份额每年增长两个百分点。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中国经济增长的动力来自几个方面：</p><blockquote><ol start=\"1\" style=\"\"><li><p>制造业优势：在几乎所有行业中，中国都拥有世界领先的公司，并不断抢占市场份额。</p></li><li><p>&#34;一带一路&#34;倡议：该倡议打开了中亚、西亚、中东和北非等地区，扩大了中国的潜在市场。</p></li><li><p>自动化领先：约70%的工业机器人安装在中国，推动了生产力优势。</p></li><li><p>内需潜力：家庭存款增长放缓至名义GDP增长率的两倍，但自2020年以来，储蓄增加了10万亿美元，预计这些储蓄将在中期内流入消费和股票市场。</p></li></ol></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_2606004207\">中美贸易问题可能带来正面惊喜，贸易和市场并非那么紧密相关</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据央视新闻此前报道，美国总统特朗普2月1日签署行政令，<strong>对进口自中国的商品加征10%的关税</strong>。但德银认为，实际情况可能比预期更为有利。特朗普政府似乎更看重战术上的胜利，而非坚持难以获得支持的意识形态立场。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">DeepSeek的推出动摇了世界对中国可以被遏制的信念。更好的做法可能是通过降低监管、提供廉价能源和相对较低的进口中间产品壁垒来刺激商业。预计在中期选举前，更倾向于贸易的立场最终将成为发展中的&#34;美国优先&#34;议程的一部分。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德银分析认为，一个快速达成的中美贸易协议可能涉及有限的关税、撤销一些当前的限制，以及美国和中国公司之间的一些大型合同。如果这种情况发生，预计中国股市将会上涨。</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>出口下降可能在一段时间内反而推动股市上涨。中国在各行业的主导地位是通过在许多领域的过度投资实现的。如果能够限制供应，可能对股票有利，并释放一些资本用于国内消费。</strong></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">整体来看，德银认为，随着中国企业在全球范围内的主导地位不断巩固，投资者可能需要迅速调整策略，增加对中国市场的配置。预计香港/中国股市将在中期内继续领先全球市场，延续2024年的强劲表现。</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>我们认为全球投资者往往严重低配中国，就像他们几年前回避化石燃料一样，直到市场惩罚了那些做出非市场决策的人。我们看到今天基金对中国的持仓与此相似。喜欢领先公司、拥有护城河的投资者不能忽视，如今是中国公司拥有宽广和深厚的护城河，而不是西方公司。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着中国企业在全球范围内的主导地位不断巩固，中国故事估值折价似乎最终应该转变为溢价。我们相信投资者将不得不在中期内迅速转向中国，并且在不推高股价的情况下很难获得中国股票。我们之前一直看好，但对于找到什么因素会促使世界觉醒并购买感到困扰，我们相信中国的“斯普特尼克时刻”（或电动汽车领域的主导地位）就是这个因素。</p></blockquote></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>德银重磅报告：Deepseek爆火之后，整个中国资产都将重估！</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n德银重磅报告：Deepseek爆火之后，整个中国资产都将重估！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-02-06 16:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>德银认为，中国制造业和服务业占据全球领先地位，而DeepSeek的推出更像是中国的“斯普特尼克”时刻，预计中国股票的“估值折价”将消失，盈利能力可能因政策支持消费和金融自由化而超出预期。<strong>港股/A股的牛市始于2024年，预计会在中期内超过之前的高点。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Deepseek爆火之后，要重估的或是整个中国资产。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5018ae0b867b07f5f62ec6c7f74f562\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1271\" tg-height=\"824\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在2月5日的最新报告中，德意志银行唱多称，2<strong>025年是中国超越其他国家的一年，预计中国股票“估值折价”将消失，A股/港股牛市将继续并超过此前高点。德银表示：</strong></p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2025年被视为投资界意识到中国在全球竞争中领先的一年。越来越难以不承认，中国企业在多个制造和服务业领域提供高性价比和优质产品。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">我们预计中国股票的“估值折价”将消失，盈利能力可能因政策支持消费和金融自由化而超出预期。港股/A股的牛市始于2024年，预计会在中期内超过之前的高点。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">具体来看，德银表示，中国制造业和服务业占据全球两线地位，而DeepSeek更像是中国的“斯普特尼克”时刻</p><blockquote><p>中国在服装、纺织品、玩具、基础电子、钢铁、造船等领域，以及电信设备、核能、国防和高速铁路等复杂行业中也占据领导地位。而在2025年，中国在一周内推出了世界上第一架第六代战斗机和其低成本的人工智能系统DeepSeek。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">马克·安德森将DeepSeek的推出称为“人工智能的斯普特尼克时刻”，但这更像是中国的斯普特尼克时刻，中国知识产权得到了认可。中国在高附加值领域表现出色并主导供应链的领域列表，正在以前所未有的速度扩展。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德银认为，如今中国正处于1980年代初期的日本</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">人们开始意识到，中国现在所处的位置不是1989年的日本，<strong>而是1980年代初期的日本，当时日本价值链正在迅速攀升，以更低的价格提供更高质量的产品，并且不断创新。</strong></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，德银乐观地指出，中美贸易问题可能会带来正面惊喜，而且贸易和市场并非那么紧密相关：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着中国企业在全球范围内的主导地位不断巩固，估值折扣似乎最终应该转变为溢价。我们相信投资者将不得不在中期内迅速转向中国，并且在不推高股价的情况下很难获得中国股票。</p></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_3845138230\">中国制造业优势日益凸显</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">近年来，中国制造业在全球范围内的优势日益凸显。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德银表示：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从最初在服装、纺织品和玩具领域的崛起，到如今在基础电子、钢铁、造船等领域占据主导地位，中国制造业的发展轨迹令人瞩目。特别是在白色家电、太阳能等领域，中国企业的表现更是异军突起。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是，中国在电信设备、核电、国防和高速铁路等复杂行业中的崛起，展现了其强大的技术实力。2024年底，中国在汽车出口领域的快速崛起引起全球关注，其高性能、外观吸引人且价格具有竞争力的电动汽车（EV）成功打入国际市场。<strong>2025年，中国更是在短短一周内推出了世界上第一架第六代战斗机和低成本人工智能系统DeepSeek，这被视为中国知识产权得到认可的重要标志。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7df470403c07a39a2539bdf755d3937\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1210\" tg-height=\"491\"/></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中国制造业的实力可以从以下几个方面得到印证：</p><blockquote><ol start=\"1\" style=\"\"><li><p>出口规模：中国的商品出口额是美国的两倍，贡献了全球制造业增加值的30%。</p></li><li><p>专利申请：2023年，中国占全球专利申请的近一半。在电动汽车领域，中国拥有约70%的专利，5G和6G电信设备领域也有类似优势。</p></li><li><p>人才储备：除印度外，中国拥有比世界其他国家更多的STEM（科学、技术、工程和数学）毕业生。</p></li><li><p>产业集群：中国为关键行业创造了类似硅谷的本地专业集群，并与大学在研究方面紧密合作。</p></li></ol></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_2310943148\">中国更像1980年代初期的日本</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德银认为，中国更像1980年代初期的日本：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">日本增长是通过利用丰富的廉价劳动力、资本的密集使用以及生产力的提高来实现的。国内投资占GDP的30%以上，这得益于保持低利率的金融抑制政策。日本通过合资企业获取新技术。储蓄在1970年代初占GDP的40%，然后在1980年代初降至近30%。日本在1970年代开始在海外设立工厂以避免贸易摩擦，中国最近才开始采取这样的行动。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07a5cb422fa74e663e78bca4d0a58321\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"919\" tg-height=\"442\"/></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德银还表示：</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">自由化金融体系对促进消费是有帮助的，通过正常化利率，从而结束从存款人到企业的资金转移。这将减少过度投资和过度竞争，因为资本得到了配给，这将有利于提高国有企业回报率。我们预计，随着国有企业提高回报率，将要求缓解过度竞争以提高股票价值。我们预计这将在2025年成为一个关键话题，该因素将成为推动牛市的关键因素。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此外，中国经济和出口仍保持较快增长。2024年，中国出口增长7%，对巴西、阿联酋和沙特阿拉伯的出口分别增长23%、19%和18%，对&#34;一带一路&#34;中的东盟国家增长13%。中国对东盟和金砖国家的出口现已相当于对美国和欧盟的出口总和，且过去五年中，对这些目的地的出口市场份额每年增长两个百分点。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中国经济增长的动力来自几个方面：</p><blockquote><ol start=\"1\" style=\"\"><li><p>制造业优势：在几乎所有行业中，中国都拥有世界领先的公司，并不断抢占市场份额。</p></li><li><p>&#34;一带一路&#34;倡议：该倡议打开了中亚、西亚、中东和北非等地区，扩大了中国的潜在市场。</p></li><li><p>自动化领先：约70%的工业机器人安装在中国，推动了生产力优势。</p></li><li><p>内需潜力：家庭存款增长放缓至名义GDP增长率的两倍，但自2020年以来，储蓄增加了10万亿美元，预计这些储蓄将在中期内流入消费和股票市场。</p></li></ol></blockquote><h2 id=\"id_2606004207\">中美贸易问题可能带来正面惊喜，贸易和市场并非那么紧密相关</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据央视新闻此前报道，美国总统特朗普2月1日签署行政令，<strong>对进口自中国的商品加征10%的关税</strong>。但德银认为，实际情况可能比预期更为有利。特朗普政府似乎更看重战术上的胜利，而非坚持难以获得支持的意识形态立场。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">DeepSeek的推出动摇了世界对中国可以被遏制的信念。更好的做法可能是通过降低监管、提供廉价能源和相对较低的进口中间产品壁垒来刺激商业。预计在中期选举前，更倾向于贸易的立场最终将成为发展中的&#34;美国优先&#34;议程的一部分。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">德银分析认为，一个快速达成的中美贸易协议可能涉及有限的关税、撤销一些当前的限制，以及美国和中国公司之间的一些大型合同。如果这种情况发生，预计中国股市将会上涨。</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>出口下降可能在一段时间内反而推动股市上涨。中国在各行业的主导地位是通过在许多领域的过度投资实现的。如果能够限制供应，可能对股票有利，并释放一些资本用于国内消费。</strong></p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">整体来看，德银认为，随着中国企业在全球范围内的主导地位不断巩固，投资者可能需要迅速调整策略，增加对中国市场的配置。预计香港/中国股市将在中期内继续领先全球市场，延续2024年的强劲表现。</p><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>我们认为全球投资者往往严重低配中国，就像他们几年前回避化石燃料一样，直到市场惩罚了那些做出非市场决策的人。我们看到今天基金对中国的持仓与此相似。喜欢领先公司、拥有护城河的投资者不能忽视，如今是中国公司拥有宽广和深厚的护城河，而不是西方公司。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着中国企业在全球范围内的主导地位不断巩固，中国故事估值折价似乎最终应该转变为溢价。我们相信投资者将不得不在中期内迅速转向中国，并且在不推高股价的情况下很难获得中国股票。我们之前一直看好，但对于找到什么因素会促使世界觉醒并购买感到困扰，我们相信中国的“斯普特尼克时刻”（或电动汽车领域的主导地位）就是这个因素。</p></blockquote></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68da0043a3f7932eb6870829ddb8962d","relate_stocks":{"CWEB":"两倍做多沪深中国互联网股票ETF-Direxion","KWEB":"中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares","YINN":"三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176790745","content_text":"德银认为，中国制造业和服务业占据全球领先地位，而DeepSeek的推出更像是中国的“斯普特尼克”时刻，预计中国股票的“估值折价”将消失，盈利能力可能因政策支持消费和金融自由化而超出预期。港股/A股的牛市始于2024年，预计会在中期内超过之前的高点。Deepseek爆火之后，要重估的或是整个中国资产。在2月5日的最新报告中，德意志银行唱多称，2025年是中国超越其他国家的一年，预计中国股票“估值折价”将消失，A股/港股牛市将继续并超过此前高点。德银表示：2025年被视为投资界意识到中国在全球竞争中领先的一年。越来越难以不承认，中国企业在多个制造和服务业领域提供高性价比和优质产品。我们预计中国股票的“估值折价”将消失，盈利能力可能因政策支持消费和金融自由化而超出预期。港股/A股的牛市始于2024年，预计会在中期内超过之前的高点。具体来看，德银表示，中国制造业和服务业占据全球两线地位，而DeepSeek更像是中国的“斯普特尼克”时刻中国在服装、纺织品、玩具、基础电子、钢铁、造船等领域，以及电信设备、核能、国防和高速铁路等复杂行业中也占据领导地位。而在2025年，中国在一周内推出了世界上第一架第六代战斗机和其低成本的人工智能系统DeepSeek。马克·安德森将DeepSeek的推出称为“人工智能的斯普特尼克时刻”，但这更像是中国的斯普特尼克时刻，中国知识产权得到了认可。中国在高附加值领域表现出色并主导供应链的领域列表，正在以前所未有的速度扩展。德银认为，如今中国正处于1980年代初期的日本人们开始意识到，中国现在所处的位置不是1989年的日本，而是1980年代初期的日本，当时日本价值链正在迅速攀升，以更低的价格提供更高质量的产品，并且不断创新。此外，德银乐观地指出，中美贸易问题可能会带来正面惊喜，而且贸易和市场并非那么紧密相关：随着中国企业在全球范围内的主导地位不断巩固，估值折扣似乎最终应该转变为溢价。我们相信投资者将不得不在中期内迅速转向中国，并且在不推高股价的情况下很难获得中国股票。中国制造业优势日益凸显近年来，中国制造业在全球范围内的优势日益凸显。德银表示：从最初在服装、纺织品和玩具领域的崛起，到如今在基础电子、钢铁、造船等领域占据主导地位，中国制造业的发展轨迹令人瞩目。特别是在白色家电、太阳能等领域，中国企业的表现更是异军突起。值得注意的是，中国在电信设备、核电、国防和高速铁路等复杂行业中的崛起，展现了其强大的技术实力。2024年底，中国在汽车出口领域的快速崛起引起全球关注，其高性能、外观吸引人且价格具有竞争力的电动汽车（EV）成功打入国际市场。2025年，中国更是在短短一周内推出了世界上第一架第六代战斗机和低成本人工智能系统DeepSeek，这被视为中国知识产权得到认可的重要标志。中国制造业的实力可以从以下几个方面得到印证：出口规模：中国的商品出口额是美国的两倍，贡献了全球制造业增加值的30%。专利申请：2023年，中国占全球专利申请的近一半。在电动汽车领域，中国拥有约70%的专利，5G和6G电信设备领域也有类似优势。人才储备：除印度外，中国拥有比世界其他国家更多的STEM（科学、技术、工程和数学）毕业生。产业集群：中国为关键行业创造了类似硅谷的本地专业集群，并与大学在研究方面紧密合作。中国更像1980年代初期的日本德银认为，中国更像1980年代初期的日本：日本增长是通过利用丰富的廉价劳动力、资本的密集使用以及生产力的提高来实现的。国内投资占GDP的30%以上，这得益于保持低利率的金融抑制政策。日本通过合资企业获取新技术。储蓄在1970年代初占GDP的40%，然后在1980年代初降至近30%。日本在1970年代开始在海外设立工厂以避免贸易摩擦，中国最近才开始采取这样的行动。德银还表示：自由化金融体系对促进消费是有帮助的，通过正常化利率，从而结束从存款人到企业的资金转移。这将减少过度投资和过度竞争，因为资本得到了配给，这将有利于提高国有企业回报率。我们预计，随着国有企业提高回报率，将要求缓解过度竞争以提高股票价值。我们预计这将在2025年成为一个关键话题，该因素将成为推动牛市的关键因素。此外，中国经济和出口仍保持较快增长。2024年，中国出口增长7%，对巴西、阿联酋和沙特阿拉伯的出口分别增长23%、19%和18%，对\"一带一路\"中的东盟国家增长13%。中国对东盟和金砖国家的出口现已相当于对美国和欧盟的出口总和，且过去五年中，对这些目的地的出口市场份额每年增长两个百分点。中国经济增长的动力来自几个方面：制造业优势：在几乎所有行业中，中国都拥有世界领先的公司，并不断抢占市场份额。\"一带一路\"倡议：该倡议打开了中亚、西亚、中东和北非等地区，扩大了中国的潜在市场。自动化领先：约70%的工业机器人安装在中国，推动了生产力优势。内需潜力：家庭存款增长放缓至名义GDP增长率的两倍，但自2020年以来，储蓄增加了10万亿美元，预计这些储蓄将在中期内流入消费和股票市场。中美贸易问题可能带来正面惊喜，贸易和市场并非那么紧密相关据央视新闻此前报道，美国总统特朗普2月1日签署行政令，对进口自中国的商品加征10%的关税。但德银认为，实际情况可能比预期更为有利。特朗普政府似乎更看重战术上的胜利，而非坚持难以获得支持的意识形态立场。DeepSeek的推出动摇了世界对中国可以被遏制的信念。更好的做法可能是通过降低监管、提供廉价能源和相对较低的进口中间产品壁垒来刺激商业。预计在中期选举前，更倾向于贸易的立场最终将成为发展中的\"美国优先\"议程的一部分。德银分析认为，一个快速达成的中美贸易协议可能涉及有限的关税、撤销一些当前的限制，以及美国和中国公司之间的一些大型合同。如果这种情况发生，预计中国股市将会上涨。出口下降可能在一段时间内反而推动股市上涨。中国在各行业的主导地位是通过在许多领域的过度投资实现的。如果能够限制供应，可能对股票有利，并释放一些资本用于国内消费。整体来看，德银认为，随着中国企业在全球范围内的主导地位不断巩固，投资者可能需要迅速调整策略，增加对中国市场的配置。预计香港/中国股市将在中期内继续领先全球市场，延续2024年的强劲表现。我们认为全球投资者往往严重低配中国，就像他们几年前回避化石燃料一样，直到市场惩罚了那些做出非市场决策的人。我们看到今天基金对中国的持仓与此相似。喜欢领先公司、拥有护城河的投资者不能忽视，如今是中国公司拥有宽广和深厚的护城河，而不是西方公司。随着中国企业在全球范围内的主导地位不断巩固，中国故事估值折价似乎最终应该转变为溢价。我们相信投资者将不得不在中期内迅速转向中国，并且在不推高股价的情况下很难获得中国股票。我们之前一直看好，但对于找到什么因素会促使世界觉醒并购买感到困扰，我们相信中国的“斯普特尼克时刻”（或电动汽车领域的主导地位）就是这个因素。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CWEB":1.1,"YINN":1.1,"KWEB":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1463,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":375522636800192,"gmtCreate":1732711233422,"gmtModify":1732711234588,"author":{"id":"3549871285956389","authorId":"3549871285956389","name":"稳定压倒一切皆有可能","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfd513996b2ed568c822a25e7a5f7284","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549871285956389","authorIdStr":"3549871285956389"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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