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2021-08-08

Time to Long crude

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2021-07-13

Anyone invested in this stock ?

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2021-06-10

Fed is not going to increase rates till 2022 end

U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美股在通胀报告公布前收低</blockquote>

2021-06-01

Comment n reply pls

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2021-05-19

Stay out fm China stocks first

JD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>

2021-07-29

Here comes taper tantrum

Fed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote>

2021-05-19

Commodities will continue to outperform during 2021

$70 Oil, $200 Iron, $10,000 Copper: Commodities Smash Milestones<blockquote>石油70美元、铁200美元、铜10,000美元：大宗商品突破里程碑</blockquote>

2021-03-16

Just do it ...

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2021-02-10

Too much hype in EV vehicles

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2021-05-04

The fed Kees going Brrr

Is The US Economy A Virtual Reality?<blockquote>美国经济是虚拟现实吗？</blockquote>

2021-02-28

Ironically Chinese EVs fate seems to be linked to Tesla

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2021-02-25

So market dropped 3% because stamp dutywill increase by0.03%?

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2021-12-20

Good problem to have !

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2021-10-14

Will look to buy if falls to 125 lvl

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2021-09-06

Rich valuations

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2021-06-22

What happens if oil reaches $100?

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2021-04-17

All Greeks to me

$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>

2021-03-25

Take your money and run

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2021-02-19

Reputational damage to Robinhood . How it affectes their ipo will be interesting

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crude","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891761628","repostId":"2157901414","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806148465,"gmtCreate":1627644348557,"gmtModify":1633757505161,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dividend aristocrat&nbsp;","listText":"Dividend aristocrat&nbsp;","text":"Dividend aristocrat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806148465","repostId":"1167272826","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801162700,"gmtCreate":1627488567900,"gmtModify":1633764484837,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Here comes taper tantrum&nbsp;","listText":"Here comes taper tantrum&nbsp;","text":"Here comes taper tantrum","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801162700","repostId":"1102922788","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102922788","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627479526,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102922788?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 21:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102922788","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases\n","content":"<p>Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases</p><p><blockquote>官员们正在寻求就如何以及何时最终减少资产购买达成共识</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b506b5e7aef3659e57731a13007a3078\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"859\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本月早些时候在参议院委员会听证会上发表讲话，承诺在减少证券购买之前会发出充分的通知。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin&nbsp;paring their asset purchases&nbsp;amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员将于周三恢复审议，讨论在供应链瓶颈和Covid-19病例增加的情况下，如何以及何时开始削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年年底表示，将继续每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，直到官员们认为他们在实现低失业率和通胀率达到2%的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于美国东部时间下午2点发布政策声明。大部分焦点可能集中在下午2:30主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的新闻发布会上。以下是值得关注的内容：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper timing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥度正时</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.</p><p><blockquote>官员们可能会收到正式的工作人员简报，内容涉及何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及以多快的速度减少或缩减这些购买量。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于2020年3月开始大量购买这些证券，当时Covid-19大流行引发了金融市场几近崩溃。由于美联储的短期利率为零，购买旨在通过压低长期利率来提供额外的刺激。</blockquote></p><p> Some officials are concerned&nbsp;that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>一些官员担心，今年因与重新开放经济相关的瓶颈而引发的通胀爆发将比之前预期的更持久。这些政策制定者渴望开始缩减，部分原因是他们和他们的同事表示，在完成缩减资产购买之前，他们不太可能考虑将利率从接近零的水平上调。</blockquote></p><p> Another camp thinks recent&nbsp;price pressures will subside&nbsp;and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.</p><p><blockquote>另一个阵营认为，最近的价格压力将会消退，并可能使美联储陷入过去十年大部分时间所面临的境地，即即使利率处于历史低位，全球力量仍将通胀率保持在2%以下。他们担心，加速缩减资产购买计划可能会引发投资者对美联储实现经济目标承诺的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Because Mr. Powell has pledged&nbsp;to provide ample notice&nbsp;to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering&nbsp;to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.</p><p><blockquote>由于鲍威尔承诺在美联储开始缩减规模之前向金融市场发出充分通知，以避免让投资者措手不及，因此美联储现在或在9月份的下一次会议上似乎不太可能启动这一进程。鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到严格审查，以寻找官员如何判断近期经济进展的线索。4月份，他表示美联储距离缩减目标“还有很长的路要走”，6月份他称经济距离目标“还有很长的路要走”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Purchase pace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买节奏</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>官员们还必须考虑任何削减的速度。一些官员已经讨论过在2022年10月左右结束购买，以便如果复苏更强劲或通胀高于目前预期，他们可以在此后很快加息。</blockquote></p><p> During a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在2014年结束的上一次资产购买计划中，美联储在10个月内适度、等量地缩减了购买规模。然后又等了14个月才加息。</blockquote></p><p> Another tactical question centers on whether&nbsp;to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.</p><p><blockquote>另一个战术问题集中在是否同样降低美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的发行速度。一些官员对房价上涨表示担忧，并敦促尽快停止购买抵押贷款债券。</blockquote></p><p> But Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔和其他官员最近几周对这些担忧泼了冷水。他们表示，通过购买长期资产，抵押贷款购买提供了一种更广泛地刺激经济的方式，并且并不直接关注房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> “If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.</p><p><blockquote>前美联储高级经济学家、现任耶鲁大学管理学院教授威廉·英格利希(William English)表示：“如果房地产市场真的让你担心，那么这就是越来越快地缩减一切的理由。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflation outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀前景</b></blockquote></p><p> For a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter&nbsp;than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.</p><p><blockquote>6月份通胀连续第三个月高于许多经济学家的预期。美国劳工部的消费者价格指数同比上涨5.4%，为2008年8月以来的12个月最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell said two weeks ago that&nbsp;many of the elevated price pressures&nbsp;can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔两周前表示，许多价格上涨压力仍然可以追溯到受供应链瓶颈和其他大流行引发的动荡影响的商品和服务。因此，他表示，美联储放弃早先的预期，即物价将自行回到2%的目标，并加息以更快地冷却需求和降低通胀，还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔可能会面临以下问题：央行及其由12名成员组成的利率制定委员会认为需要多长时间才能重新审视他们的预测。过去一年通胀较低的一些经济领域（包括住宅租金）的价格压力在近几个月有所加剧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta variant</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株</b></blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔还可能面临压力，询问最近未接种疫苗人群中Covid-19病例的增加可能如何重塑央行今年剩余时间的增长预测。虽然与一年前相比，恢复停工和其他国家强制的活动限制似乎不太可能，但消费者对恢复正常支出的犹豫可能会使经济前景复杂化。</blockquote></p><p> Since Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.</p><p><blockquote>自美联储官员6月上次开会以来，政府债券价格大幅上涨，这表明投资者对长期增长前景的信心减弱，对通胀的担忧也减弱。</blockquote></p><p> Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>受疫苗接种和财政刺激措施将刺激经济繁荣的预期提振，收益率在债券价格下跌时上升，今年早些时候大幅攀升。在3月底触及1.75%的13个月高点后，10年期国债收益率已下降——美联储结束上次会议后的6月16日跌至1.57%，并跌至五个月低点1.24%，周二美联储会议开始时。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-28 21:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases</p><p><blockquote>官员们正在寻求就如何以及何时最终减少资产购买达成共识</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b506b5e7aef3659e57731a13007a3078\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"859\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本月早些时候在参议院委员会听证会上发表讲话，承诺在减少证券购买之前会发出充分的通知。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin&nbsp;paring their asset purchases&nbsp;amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员将于周三恢复审议，讨论在供应链瓶颈和Covid-19病例增加的情况下，如何以及何时开始削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年年底表示，将继续每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，直到官员们认为他们在实现低失业率和通胀率达到2%的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于美国东部时间下午2点发布政策声明。大部分焦点可能集中在下午2:30主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的新闻发布会上。以下是值得关注的内容：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper timing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥度正时</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.</p><p><blockquote>官员们可能会收到正式的工作人员简报，内容涉及何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及以多快的速度减少或缩减这些购买量。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于2020年3月开始大量购买这些证券，当时Covid-19大流行引发了金融市场几近崩溃。由于美联储的短期利率为零，购买旨在通过压低长期利率来提供额外的刺激。</blockquote></p><p> Some officials are concerned&nbsp;that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>一些官员担心，今年因与重新开放经济相关的瓶颈而引发的通胀爆发将比之前预期的更持久。这些政策制定者渴望开始缩减，部分原因是他们和他们的同事表示，在完成缩减资产购买之前，他们不太可能考虑将利率从接近零的水平上调。</blockquote></p><p> Another camp thinks recent&nbsp;price pressures will subside&nbsp;and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.</p><p><blockquote>另一个阵营认为，最近的价格压力将会消退，并可能使美联储陷入过去十年大部分时间所面临的境地，即即使利率处于历史低位，全球力量仍将通胀率保持在2%以下。他们担心，加速缩减资产购买计划可能会引发投资者对美联储实现经济目标承诺的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Because Mr. Powell has pledged&nbsp;to provide ample notice&nbsp;to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering&nbsp;to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.</p><p><blockquote>由于鲍威尔承诺在美联储开始缩减规模之前向金融市场发出充分通知，以避免让投资者措手不及，因此美联储现在或在9月份的下一次会议上似乎不太可能启动这一进程。鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到严格审查，以寻找官员如何判断近期经济进展的线索。4月份，他表示美联储距离缩减目标“还有很长的路要走”，6月份他称经济距离目标“还有很长的路要走”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Purchase pace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买节奏</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>官员们还必须考虑任何削减的速度。一些官员已经讨论过在2022年10月左右结束购买，以便如果复苏更强劲或通胀高于目前预期，他们可以在此后很快加息。</blockquote></p><p> During a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在2014年结束的上一次资产购买计划中，美联储在10个月内适度、等量地缩减了购买规模。然后又等了14个月才加息。</blockquote></p><p> Another tactical question centers on whether&nbsp;to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.</p><p><blockquote>另一个战术问题集中在是否同样降低美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的发行速度。一些官员对房价上涨表示担忧，并敦促尽快停止购买抵押贷款债券。</blockquote></p><p> But Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔和其他官员最近几周对这些担忧泼了冷水。他们表示，通过购买长期资产，抵押贷款购买提供了一种更广泛地刺激经济的方式，并且并不直接关注房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> “If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.</p><p><blockquote>前美联储高级经济学家、现任耶鲁大学管理学院教授威廉·英格利希(William English)表示：“如果房地产市场真的让你担心，那么这就是越来越快地缩减一切的理由。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflation outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀前景</b></blockquote></p><p> For a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter&nbsp;than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.</p><p><blockquote>6月份通胀连续第三个月高于许多经济学家的预期。美国劳工部的消费者价格指数同比上涨5.4%，为2008年8月以来的12个月最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell said two weeks ago that&nbsp;many of the elevated price pressures&nbsp;can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔两周前表示，许多价格上涨压力仍然可以追溯到受供应链瓶颈和其他大流行引发的动荡影响的商品和服务。因此，他表示，美联储放弃早先的预期，即物价将自行回到2%的目标，并加息以更快地冷却需求和降低通胀，还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔可能会面临以下问题：央行及其由12名成员组成的利率制定委员会认为需要多长时间才能重新审视他们的预测。过去一年通胀较低的一些经济领域（包括住宅租金）的价格压力在近几个月有所加剧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta variant</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株</b></blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔还可能面临压力，询问最近未接种疫苗人群中Covid-19病例的增加可能如何重塑央行今年剩余时间的增长预测。虽然与一年前相比，恢复停工和其他国家强制的活动限制似乎不太可能，但消费者对恢复正常支出的犹豫可能会使经济前景复杂化。</blockquote></p><p> Since Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.</p><p><blockquote>自美联储官员6月上次开会以来，政府债券价格大幅上涨，这表明投资者对长期增长前景的信心减弱，对通胀的担忧也减弱。</blockquote></p><p> Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>受疫苗接种和财政刺激措施将刺激经济繁荣的预期提振，收益率在债券价格下跌时上升，今年早些时候大幅攀升。在3月底触及1.75%的13个月高点后，10年期国债收益率已下降——美联储结束上次会议后的6月16日跌至1.57%，并跌至五个月低点1.24%，周二美联储会议开始时。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-meeting-will-focus-on-tapering-timeline-11627464602?mod=hp_lead_pos2\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-meeting-will-focus-on-tapering-timeline-11627464602?mod=hp_lead_pos2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102922788","content_text":"Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.\nFederal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin paring their asset purchases amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.\nThe central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.\nThe Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:\nTaper timing\nOfficials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.\nThe Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.\nSome officials are concerned that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.\nAnother camp thinks recent price pressures will subside and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.\nBecause Mr. Powell has pledged to provide ample notice to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.\nPurchase pace\nOfficials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.\nDuring a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.\nAnother tactical question centers on whether to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.\nBut Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.\n“If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.\nInflation outlook\nFor a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.\nMr. Powell said two weeks ago that many of the elevated price pressures can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.\nBut Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.\nDelta variant\nMr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.\nSince Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.\nYields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1981,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171165458,"gmtCreate":1626716897874,"gmtModify":1633924680452,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Earnings season&nbsp;","listText":"Earnings season&nbsp;","text":"Earnings season","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171165458","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142911543,"gmtCreate":1626120377382,"gmtModify":1633930003996,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Anyone invested in this stock ?&nbsp;","listText":"Anyone invested in this stock ?&nbsp;","text":"Anyone invested in this stock ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142911543","repostId":"1175879126","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1897,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158565395,"gmtCreate":1625156921017,"gmtModify":1633943029317,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy both&nbsp;","listText":"Buy both&nbsp;","text":"Buy both","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158565395","repostId":"1109264727","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126814879,"gmtCreate":1624550870091,"gmtModify":1634004448914,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Dyodd&nbsp;","listText":"Dyodd&nbsp;","text":"Dyodd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126814879","repostId":"2145704596","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":804,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128611199,"gmtCreate":1624513294311,"gmtModify":1634005000356,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128611199","repostId":"1115900977","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128619461,"gmtCreate":1624513237453,"gmtModify":1634005001173,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where is the new EV?&nbsp;","listText":"Where is the new EV?&nbsp;","text":"Where is the new EV?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128619461","repostId":"2145012292","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120428052,"gmtCreate":1624333404476,"gmtModify":1634007627592,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What happens if oil reaches $100?&nbsp;","listText":"What happens if oil reaches $100?&nbsp;","text":"What happens if oil reaches $100?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120428052","repostId":"1184835150","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164863285,"gmtCreate":1624192825747,"gmtModify":1631885483775,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to buy bank shares soon&nbsp;","listText":"Time to buy bank shares soon&nbsp;","text":"Time to buy bank shares soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164863285","repostId":"1119296361","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119296361","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624028454,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119296361?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119296361","media":"Barrons","summary":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier","content":"<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank Stocks Were Fed Day Winners. Why They’re Getting Crushed.<blockquote>银行股是美联储日的赢家。为什么他们会被压垮。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 23:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.</p><p><blockquote>当美联储发布6月份货币政策声明时，银行股上涨，该声明指出加息时间早于预期。周四，他们是市场最大的输家之一。</blockquote></p><p> There’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.</p><p><blockquote>这是有充分理由的。银行通常通过短期借钱和长期借钱来赚钱，并从利差中获利。当长期利率上升速度快于短期利率时，银行利润率通常会提高，而当情况相反时，利润会恶化。</blockquote></p><p> After Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&amp;P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%</p><p><blockquote>周三会议结束后，10年期国债收益率大幅反弹，上涨0.071%至1.569%，而两年期国债收益率上涨0.038个百分点至0.203%，两者利差达到1.366个百分点。这种扩大使得金融业，尤其是银行股成为少数几个对美联储周三的声明做出积极反应的行业之一。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF(KBE)上涨0.9%，摩根大通(JPM)上涨0.7%，尽管标准普尔500指数下跌0.5%，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.8%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.2%</blockquote></p><p> The market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&amp;P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>然而，市场已经改变了主意。10年期国债收益率跌至1.498%，两年期国债收益率升至0.238%，差距为1.26个百分点。对于银行等利率敏感行业来说，所谓的收益率曲线变平是个坏消息。SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF周四下跌4.5%，周五盘前交易下跌1%。摩根大通周四下跌2.9%，周五下跌约1%。周五标普500期货下跌0.6%，道指期货下跌0.8%。纳斯达克综合指数期货下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Why the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>市场为何大转变？为了让收益率继续上升，经济需要表明它正在迅速复苏。否则，投资者将押注美国在2008年金融危机后经历的缓慢增长。Evercore ISI策略师丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)表示，由于周四初请失业金人数大幅下降，并在六周下降后首次上升，市场决定关注后者，而不是前者。他写道：“相对于所有人之前的想法，经济前景面临的风险是急剧转向鹰派，同时劳动力市场并不像美联储假设的那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Until that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.</p><p><blockquote>在这种情况改变之前，银行股将很难反弹。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行","GS":"高盛","MS":"摩根士丹利","JPM":"摩根大通","BAC":"美国银行","C":"花旗"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/bank-stocks-were-fed-day-winners-why-theyre-getting-crushed-today-51623957525?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119296361","content_text":"Bank stocks rosewhen the Fed released its June monetary policy statement, one thatpointed to earlier than expected rate hikes. On Thursday, they were among the market’s biggest losers.\nThere’s a good reason for that. Banks generally make money by borrowing money short and lending it out long—andmaking a profit off the spread. When longer-term rates rise faster than shorter-term ones, bank margins generally get better, while the profits deteriorate when the opposite happens.\nAfter Wednesday’s meeting, the 10-year yield got a big bounce—it rose 0.071% to 1.569%—while thetwo-year yield rose0.038 percentage point to 0.203%, putting the spread between the two at 1.366 percentage points. That widening made the financial sector generally, and bank stocks specifically, one of the few sectors to react positively to the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. TheSPDR S&P Bank ETF(KBE) rose 0.9%, whileJPMorgan Chase(JPM) rose 0.7%, even as theS&P 500fell 0.5%, theDow Jones Industrial Averagedropped 0.8%, and theNasdaq Compositedeclined 0.2%\nThe market, however, has had a change of heart. The 10-year yield has fallen to 1.498%, while the two-year has risen to 0.238%, putting the gap at 1.26 percentage points. That so-called flattening of the yield curve is bad news for a rate-sensitive sector like banks. The SPDR S&P Bank ETF fell 4.5% on Thurdsay and 1% in premarket trading on Friday. JPMorgan dropped 2.9% on Thursday and is down about 1% on Friday. S&P 500 futures on Friday were down 0.6%, while Dow futures were down 0.8%. Futures for the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4%.\nWhy the about-face from the market? For yields to keep rising, the economy needs to show that it is recovering quickly. Otherwise, investors are going to bet on a repeat of the slow growth the U.S. experienced after the financial crisis of 2008. With jobless claims missing by a wide margin Thursday—and experiencing the first rise following six weeks of drops—the market decided to focus on the latter, not the former, says Evercore ISI strategist Dennis DeBusschere. “The risk to the economic outlook is the sharp turn to hawkish side, relative to what everyone previously thought, at the same time the labor market isn’t as strong as the Fed assumed,” he writes.\nUntil that changes, it will be hard for bank stocks to bounce back.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JPM":0.9,"C":0.9,"GS":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"MS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165610860,"gmtCreate":1624124026850,"gmtModify":1634010487159,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","listText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","text":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165610860","repostId":"1161408410","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1021,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169109512,"gmtCreate":1623819488936,"gmtModify":1634027585952,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Valuations are expensive&nbsp;","listText":"Valuations are expensive&nbsp;","text":"Valuations are expensive","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169109512","repostId":"2143975182","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":828,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184375406,"gmtCreate":1623686733605,"gmtModify":1634030042694,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not till 2022","listText":"Not till 2022","text":"Not till 2022","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184375406","repostId":"2143018780","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183083515,"gmtCreate":1623293774337,"gmtModify":1634034867006,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554042150050333","authorIdStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fed is not going to increase rates till 2022 end&nbsp;","listText":"Fed is not going to increase rates till 2022 end&nbsp;","text":"Fed is not going to increase rates till 2022 end","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183083515","repostId":"1142408805","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142408805","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623280126,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142408805?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美股在通胀报告公布前收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142408805","media":"reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants a","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售“模因股”热潮不减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转稍早涨势，但在缺乏任何明显市场催化剂的情况下仍维持区间震荡。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>印第安纳州哈蒙德地平线投资服务公司首席执行官查克·卡尔森表示：“新闻方面有一段平静期。”“我们已经过了财报期，人们正在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场好坏参半，主要股指没有采取太多行动。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的meme股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical飙升388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit聊天还帮助监狱运营商GEO Group和World Wrestling Entertainment的股价分别上涨38.4%和10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath&amp;Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>Vanda Research的数据显示，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地寻找下一个游戏驿站公司，即引发这一现象的股票，零售额已回到一月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“这感觉就像另类股票市场，”卡尔森补充道。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时间进入，你就可以成功，但随着时间的推移，很难成功地发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该阅读太多关于大盘的信息。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在发布财报之前任命马特·弗隆为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损为每股1.01美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>将从基础设施交易中受益的工业股下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面的法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在持续的芯片供应干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现已提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城SE半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在复苏的供需失衡中提供对通胀的另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否如美联储所称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌152.68点，或0.44%，报34447.14点；标普500下跌7.71点，或0.18%，报4,219.55点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌13.16点，跌幅0.09%，至13,911.75点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块中，医疗保健涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准美国国债收益率自5月以来首次跌破1.5%，令对利率敏感的金融股承压。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预期，导致其股价下跌6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司股价上涨2.3%，此前该公司宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约12亿美元的价格购买该公司约170万个疗程的实验性COVID-19治疗药物molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1；在纳斯达克，1.13比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下38个52周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为115.3亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为107.4亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美股在通胀报告公布前收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售“模因股”热潮不减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转稍早涨势，但在缺乏任何明显市场催化剂的情况下仍维持区间震荡。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>印第安纳州哈蒙德地平线投资服务公司首席执行官查克·卡尔森表示：“新闻方面有一段平静期。”“我们已经过了财报期，人们正在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场好坏参半，主要股指没有采取太多行动。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的meme股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical飙升388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit聊天还帮助监狱运营商GEO Group和World Wrestling Entertainment的股价分别上涨38.4%和10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath&amp;Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>Vanda Research的数据显示，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地寻找下一个游戏驿站公司，即引发这一现象的股票，零售额已回到一月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“这感觉就像另类股票市场，”卡尔森补充道。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时间进入，你就可以成功，但随着时间的推移，很难成功地发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该阅读太多关于大盘的信息。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在发布财报之前任命马特·弗隆为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损为每股1.01美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>将从基础设施交易中受益的工业股下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面的法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在持续的芯片供应干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现已提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城SE半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在复苏的供需失衡中提供对通胀的另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否如美联储所称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌152.68点，或0.44%，报34447.14点；标普500下跌7.71点，或0.18%，报4,219.55点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌13.16点，跌幅0.09%，至13,911.75点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块中，医疗保健涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准美国国债收益率自5月以来首次跌破1.5%，令对利率敏感的金融股承压。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预期，导致其股价下跌6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司股价上涨2.3%，此前该公司宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约12亿美元的价格购买该公司约170万个疗程的实验性COVID-19治疗药物molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1；在纳斯达克，1.13比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下38个52周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为115.3亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为107.4亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","AEMD":"Aethlon Medical Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142408805","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.\nThe retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.\n“There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”\nHeavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.\nReddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.\nHowever, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath & Beyond closed lower.\nRetail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.\n“It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”\n“I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”\nGameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.\nU.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.\nIndustrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.\nWashington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.\nEven so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.\nThe Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare gained the most.\nBenchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.\nCampbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.\nDrugmaker Merck & Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AEMD":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":891761628,"gmtCreate":1628431111464,"gmtModify":1631885101923,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to Long crude&nbsp;","listText":"Time to Long crude&nbsp;","text":"Time to Long crude","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891761628","repostId":"2157901414","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142911543,"gmtCreate":1626120377382,"gmtModify":1633930003996,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Anyone invested in this stock ?&nbsp;","listText":"Anyone invested in this stock ?&nbsp;","text":"Anyone invested in this stock ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142911543","repostId":"1175879126","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1897,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183083515,"gmtCreate":1623293774337,"gmtModify":1634034867006,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fed is not going to increase rates till 2022 end&nbsp;","listText":"Fed is not going to increase rates till 2022 end&nbsp;","text":"Fed is not going to increase rates till 2022 end","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183083515","repostId":"1142408805","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142408805","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623280126,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142408805?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美股在通胀报告公布前收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142408805","media":"reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants a","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售“模因股”热潮不减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转稍早涨势，但在缺乏任何明显市场催化剂的情况下仍维持区间震荡。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>印第安纳州哈蒙德地平线投资服务公司首席执行官查克·卡尔森表示：“新闻方面有一段平静期。”“我们已经过了财报期，人们正在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场好坏参半，主要股指没有采取太多行动。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的meme股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical飙升388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit聊天还帮助监狱运营商GEO Group和World Wrestling Entertainment的股价分别上涨38.4%和10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath&amp;Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>Vanda Research的数据显示，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地寻找下一个游戏驿站公司，即引发这一现象的股票，零售额已回到一月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“这感觉就像另类股票市场，”卡尔森补充道。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时间进入，你就可以成功，但随着时间的推移，很难成功地发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该阅读太多关于大盘的信息。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在发布财报之前任命马特·弗隆为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损为每股1.01美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>将从基础设施交易中受益的工业股下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面的法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在持续的芯片供应干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现已提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城SE半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在复苏的供需失衡中提供对通胀的另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否如美联储所称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌152.68点，或0.44%，报34447.14点；标普500下跌7.71点，或0.18%，报4,219.55点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌13.16点，跌幅0.09%，至13,911.75点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块中，医疗保健涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准美国国债收益率自5月以来首次跌破1.5%，令对利率敏感的金融股承压。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预期，导致其股价下跌6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司股价上涨2.3%，此前该公司宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约12亿美元的价格购买该公司约170万个疗程的实验性COVID-19治疗药物molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1；在纳斯达克，1.13比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下38个52周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为115.3亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为107.4亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks end lower ahead of inflation report<blockquote>美股在通胀报告公布前收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-华尔街周三收盘走低，市场参与者等待通胀数据，以寻找美联储何时可能收紧鸽派货币政策的线索。</blockquote></p><p> The retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.</p><p><blockquote>零售“模因股”热潮不减。</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均扭转稍早涨势，但在缺乏任何明显市场催化剂的情况下仍维持区间震荡。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”</p><p><blockquote>印第安纳州哈蒙德地平线投资服务公司首席执行官查克·卡尔森表示：“新闻方面有一段平静期。”“我们已经过了财报期，人们正在等待明天的通胀数据，因此市场好坏参半，主要股指没有采取太多行动。”</blockquote></p><p> Heavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.</p><p><blockquote>严重做空的meme股票延续了社交媒体推动的涨势，Aethlon Medical飙升388.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Reddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit聊天还帮助监狱运营商GEO Group和World Wrestling Entertainment的股价分别上涨38.4%和10.9%。</blockquote></p><p> However, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath &amp; Beyond closed lower.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Clover Health、AMC院线和Bed Bath&amp;Beyond等其他模因股票收盘走低。</blockquote></p><p> Retail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.</p><p><blockquote>Vanda Research的数据显示，随着社交媒体论坛争先恐后地寻找下一个游戏驿站公司，即引发这一现象的股票，零售额已回到一月份的峰值。</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”</p><p><blockquote>“这感觉就像另类股票市场，”卡尔森补充道。这是猜测的迹象。如果你在正确的时间进入，你就可以成功，但随着时间的推移，很难成功地发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”</p><p><blockquote>“我认为你不应该阅读太多关于大盘的信息。”</blockquote></p><p> GameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站在发布财报之前任命马特·弗隆为新任首席执行官，财报显示季度亏损为每股1.01美元。其股价在盘后交易中下跌超过4%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.</p><p><blockquote>在与参议员雪莱·卡皮托的一对一会谈破裂后，美国总统乔·拜登在正在进行的谈判中改变了路线，以就基础设施支出达成两党协议。</blockquote></p><p> Industrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.</p><p><blockquote>将从基础设施交易中受益的工业股下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p> Washington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿立法者通过了一项全面的法案，旨在提高美国与中国技术竞争的能力，在持续的芯片供应干旱的情况下为研究和半导体生产提供资金。该法案现已提交众议院。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，费城SE半导体指数仍下跌0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周四发布的消费者价格指数报告将在复苏的供需失衡中提供对通胀的另一种看法，因为投资者将确定通胀压力是否如美联储所称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&amp;P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌152.68点，或0.44%，报34447.14点；标普500下跌7.71点，或0.18%，报4,219.55点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌13.16点，跌幅0.09%，至13,911.75点。</blockquote></p><p> Among the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare gained the most.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块中，医疗保健涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Benchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.</p><p><blockquote>基准美国国债收益率自5月以来首次跌破1.5%，令对利率敏感的金融股承压。</blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤公司未达到季度利润预期，并下调了全年盈利预期，导致其股价下跌6.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Drugmaker Merck &amp; Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.</p><p><blockquote>制药商默克公司股价上涨2.3%，此前该公司宣布，如果该药物获得监管部门批准，美国政府已同意以约12亿美元的价格购买该公司约170万个疗程的实验性COVID-19治疗药物molnupiravir。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.12比1；在纳斯达克，1.13比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下38个52周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得126个新高和14个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为115.3亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为107.4亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","AEMD":"Aethlon Medical Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-u-s-stocks-end-lower-ahead-of-inflation-report-idUSL2N2NR2UG","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142408805","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street ended a see-saw session lower on Wednesday as market participants awaited inflation data for clues as to when the U.S. Federal Reserve might tighten its dovish monetary policy.\nThe retail “meme stock” craze continued unabated.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes reversed earlier gains, but remained range-bound in the absence of any clear market catalysts.\n“There’s a lull period in terms of news,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “We’re through earnings period and people are waiting for inflation numbers tomorrow, so you have a mixed market where the major averages aren’t doing much of anything.”\nHeavily shorted meme stocks extended their social media-driven rally, with Aethlon Medical soaring 388.2%.\nReddit chatter also helped to lift shares of prison operator GEO Group and World Wrestling Entertainment 38.4% and 10.9%, respectively.\nHowever, other meme stocks such as Clover Health, AMC Entertainment and Bed Bath & Beyond closed lower.\nRetail volume has returned to its January peak, according to Vanda Research, as social media forums scramble to identify the next GameStop Corp, the stock that kicked off the phenomenon.\n“It feels like alternative stock market,” Carlson added. It’s an indication of speculation. You can be successful if you get in at the right moment but it’s very difficult to play successfully over time.”\n“I don’t think you should read too much regarding the broader market.”\nGameStop named Matt Furlong as its new CEO ahead of its earnings report, which showed a quarterly loss of $1.01 per share. Its shares fell over 4% in after-hours trading.\nU.S. President Joe Biden changed course in ongoing negotiations to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending after one-on-one talks with Senator Shelley Capito broke down.\nIndustrial stocks, which stand to benefit from an infrastructure deal, slid by 1%.\nWashington lawmakers passed a sweeping bill designed to boost the United States’ ability to compete against Chinese technology, providing funds for research and semiconductor production amid an ongoing chip supply drought. The bill now heads to the House of Representatives.\nEven so, the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slipped 0.4%.\nThe Labor Department’s consumer price index report due out Thursday will provide another take on inflation amid the recovery’s demand/supply imbalance as investors determine whether inflationary pressures, as the Fed asserts, will be transitory.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 152.68 points, or 0.44%, to 34,447.14; the S&P 500 lost 7.71 points, or 0.18%, at 4,219.55; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 13.16 points, or 0.09%, to 13,911.75.\nAmong the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare gained the most.\nBenchmark Treasury yields dropped below 1.5% for the first time since May, weighing on interest-sensitive financials.\nCampbell Soup Co missed quarterly profit expectations and slashed its full-year earnings forecast, sending its shares down 6.5%.\nDrugmaker Merck & Co rose 2.3% on the heels of its announcement the U.S. government had agreed to buy about 1.7 million courses of the company’s experimental COVID-19 treatment, molnupiravir, for about $1.2 billion, if the drug meets regulatory approval.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancers on the NYSE by a 1.12-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.13-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 38 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 126 new highs and 14 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 11.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.74 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AEMD":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119066010,"gmtCreate":1622509207130,"gmtModify":1634101002716,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment n reply pls","listText":"Comment n reply pls","text":"Comment n reply pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119066010","repostId":"2139456580","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":631,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194842091,"gmtCreate":1621360312913,"gmtModify":1631884667143,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stay out fm China stocks first&nbsp;","listText":"Stay out fm China stocks first&nbsp;","text":"Stay out fm China stocks first","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194842091","repostId":"2135161248","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2135161248","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621343169,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2135161248?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 21:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2135161248","media":"Zacks","summary":"JD.com, Inc. is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.\nFor the first quarter, the","content":"<p><b>JD.com, Inc.</b>&nbsp;is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.</p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。</b>计划于5月19日公布2021年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> For the first quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $29.9 billion, indicating an improvement of 44.9% from the year-ago reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>对于第一季度，Zacks对收入的一致预期为299亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字提高了44.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 39 cents per share, indicating a 39.3% rise from the previous-year reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，普遍预期的盈利为每股39美分，比上一年报告的数字增长39.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 4.6% in the last reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司在上一季度的盈利意外增长了4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>JD.com, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1fed1c36f6a8ce20878c0d2e594f77c\" tg-width=\"534\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>JD.com, Inc. price-eps-surprise | JD.com, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>京东公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|京东公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Factors to Note</b></p><p><blockquote><b>需要注意的关键因素</b></blockquote></p><p> The company’s JD Retail segment, comprising the e-commerce business, is expected to have been the key catalyst in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的京东零售部门（包括电子商务业务）预计将成为第一季度的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> The launch of flagship stores of popular fashion and luxury brands like John Lobb, Stefano Ricci, Vivienne Westwoodon and Anya Hindmarch, among others, on JD.com is likely to have driven customer momentum, which in turn is expected to have aided the performance of JD Retail during the quarter-to-be-reported.</p><p><blockquote>John Lobb、Stefano Ricci、Vivienne Westwoodon和Anya Hindmarch等流行时尚和奢侈品牌在京东上开设旗舰店可能会推动客户势头，预计这反过来将有助于京东零售在待报告季度的表现。</blockquote></p><p> JD retail’s omni-channel initiatives are anticipated to have contributed well to top-line growth of the segment in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>京东零售的全渠道举措预计将为该细分市场第一季度的营收增长做出良好贡献。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the company’s collaboration with Italian luxury brands Prada and MiuMiu, which bolstered its omni-channel efforts, might have been a positive.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司与意大利奢侈品牌Prada和MiuMiu的合作可能是积极的，这加强了其全渠道努力。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, growing momentum of JD health that offers free online medical consultation and online pharmacy retail services is likely to get reflected in the company’s to-be-reported quarter’s results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，京东健康提供免费在线医疗咨询和在线药店零售服务的增长势头可能会反映在该公司即将报告的季度业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> Growing investments in research and development are also likely to have been encouraging for the company in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>在本季度，不断增长的研发投资也可能对该公司来说令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, the new businesses segment comprising technology, supply chain and logistics services is expected to have helped it in gaining traction across lower-tier cities in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由技术、供应链和物流服务组成的新业务部门预计将帮助其在第一季度在低线城市获得牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the well-performing Jingxi Business Group is expected to have aided JD.com’s performance in the lower-tier cities.</p><p><blockquote>此外，表现良好的京西业务集团预计将有助于京东在低线城市的表现。</blockquote></p><p> However, increasing fulfilment, marketing, and research and development expenses are likely to have been major risks to the company’s profitability in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>然而，履行、营销和研发费用的增加可能是公司本季度盈利能力的主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, increasing competitive pressure from Alibaba in the e-commerce market might be reflected in first-quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，阿里巴巴-SW在电子商务市场日益增长的竞争压力可能会反映在第一季度的业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Our Model Says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的模型所说的</b></blockquote></p><p> Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for JD.com this time around. The combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.</p><p><blockquote>我们经过验证的模型并没有最终预测京东这次的盈利会超出预期。正收益ESP和咤克斯排名#1（强力买入）、2（买入）或3（持有）的组合增加了收益超出预期的可能性。但这里的情况并非如此。您可以在使用我们的收益ESP过滤器报告之前发现最值得买入或卖出的股票。</blockquote></p><p> JD.com has an Earnings ESP of -14.83% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), at present.</p><p><blockquote>目前，京东的收益ESP为-14.83%，咤克斯排名第五（强力卖出）。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJD.com to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>京东将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-18 21:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>JD.com, Inc.</b>&nbsp;is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.</p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。</b>计划于5月19日公布2021年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> For the first quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $29.9 billion, indicating an improvement of 44.9% from the year-ago reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>对于第一季度，Zacks对收入的一致预期为299亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字提高了44.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Further, the consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 39 cents per share, indicating a 39.3% rise from the previous-year reported figure.</p><p><blockquote>此外，普遍预期的盈利为每股39美分，比上一年报告的数字增长39.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 4.6% in the last reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司在上一季度的盈利意外增长了4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>JD.com, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</b></p><p><blockquote><b>京东公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1fed1c36f6a8ce20878c0d2e594f77c\" tg-width=\"534\" tg-height=\"262\"><span>JD.com, Inc. price-eps-surprise | JD.com, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>京东公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|京东公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Key Factors to Note</b></p><p><blockquote><b>需要注意的关键因素</b></blockquote></p><p> The company’s JD Retail segment, comprising the e-commerce business, is expected to have been the key catalyst in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的京东零售部门（包括电子商务业务）预计将成为第一季度的关键催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> The launch of flagship stores of popular fashion and luxury brands like John Lobb, Stefano Ricci, Vivienne Westwoodon and Anya Hindmarch, among others, on JD.com is likely to have driven customer momentum, which in turn is expected to have aided the performance of JD Retail during the quarter-to-be-reported.</p><p><blockquote>John Lobb、Stefano Ricci、Vivienne Westwoodon和Anya Hindmarch等流行时尚和奢侈品牌在京东上开设旗舰店可能会推动客户势头，预计这反过来将有助于京东零售在待报告季度的表现。</blockquote></p><p> JD retail’s omni-channel initiatives are anticipated to have contributed well to top-line growth of the segment in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>京东零售的全渠道举措预计将为该细分市场第一季度的营收增长做出良好贡献。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the company’s collaboration with Italian luxury brands Prada and MiuMiu, which bolstered its omni-channel efforts, might have been a positive.</p><p><blockquote>此外，该公司与意大利奢侈品牌Prada和MiuMiu的合作可能是积极的，这加强了其全渠道努力。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, growing momentum of JD health that offers free online medical consultation and online pharmacy retail services is likely to get reflected in the company’s to-be-reported quarter’s results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，京东健康提供免费在线医疗咨询和在线药店零售服务的增长势头可能会反映在该公司即将报告的季度业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> Growing investments in research and development are also likely to have been encouraging for the company in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>在本季度，不断增长的研发投资也可能对该公司来说令人鼓舞。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, the new businesses segment comprising technology, supply chain and logistics services is expected to have helped it in gaining traction across lower-tier cities in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由技术、供应链和物流服务组成的新业务部门预计将帮助其在第一季度在低线城市获得牵引力。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the well-performing Jingxi Business Group is expected to have aided JD.com’s performance in the lower-tier cities.</p><p><blockquote>此外，表现良好的京西业务集团预计将有助于京东在低线城市的表现。</blockquote></p><p> However, increasing fulfilment, marketing, and research and development expenses are likely to have been major risks to the company’s profitability in the quarter under review.</p><p><blockquote>然而，履行、营销和研发费用的增加可能是公司本季度盈利能力的主要风险。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, increasing competitive pressure from Alibaba in the e-commerce market might be reflected in first-quarter results.</p><p><blockquote>此外，阿里巴巴-SW在电子商务市场日益增长的竞争压力可能会反映在第一季度的业绩中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Our Model Says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的模型所说的</b></blockquote></p><p> Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for JD.com this time around. The combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.</p><p><blockquote>我们经过验证的模型并没有最终预测京东这次的盈利会超出预期。正收益ESP和咤克斯排名#1（强力买入）、2（买入）或3（持有）的组合增加了收益超出预期的可能性。但这里的情况并非如此。您可以在使用我们的收益ESP过滤器报告之前发现最值得买入或卖出的股票。</blockquote></p><p> JD.com has an Earnings ESP of -14.83% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), at present.</p><p><blockquote>目前，京东的收益ESP为-14.83%，咤克斯排名第五（强力卖出）。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1541348/jdcom-jd-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID02-txt-1541348\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09618":"京东集团-SW","JD":"京东"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1541348/jdcom-jd-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID02-txt-1541348","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2135161248","content_text":"JD.com, Inc. is scheduled to report first-quarter 2021 results on May 19.\nFor the first quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $29.9 billion, indicating an improvement of 44.9% from the year-ago reported figure.\nFurther, the consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 39 cents per share, indicating a 39.3% rise from the previous-year reported figure.\nNotably, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 4.6% in the last reported quarter.\nJD.com, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise\nJD.com, Inc. price-eps-surprise | JD.com, Inc. Quote\nKey Factors to Note\nThe company’s JD Retail segment, comprising the e-commerce business, is expected to have been the key catalyst in the first quarter.\nThe launch of flagship stores of popular fashion and luxury brands like John Lobb, Stefano Ricci, Vivienne Westwoodon and Anya Hindmarch, among others, on JD.com is likely to have driven customer momentum, which in turn is expected to have aided the performance of JD Retail during the quarter-to-be-reported.\nJD retail’s omni-channel initiatives are anticipated to have contributed well to top-line growth of the segment in the first quarter.\nMoreover, the company’s collaboration with Italian luxury brands Prada and MiuMiu, which bolstered its omni-channel efforts, might have been a positive.\nFurthermore, growing momentum of JD health that offers free online medical consultation and online pharmacy retail services is likely to get reflected in the company’s to-be-reported quarter’s results.\nGrowing investments in research and development are also likely to have been encouraging for the company in the quarter under review.\nAdditionally, the new businesses segment comprising technology, supply chain and logistics services is expected to have helped it in gaining traction across lower-tier cities in the first quarter.\nMoreover, the well-performing Jingxi Business Group is expected to have aided JD.com’s performance in the lower-tier cities.\nHowever, increasing fulfilment, marketing, and research and development expenses are likely to have been major risks to the company’s profitability in the quarter under review.\nMoreover, increasing competitive pressure from Alibaba in the e-commerce market might be reflected in first-quarter results.\nWhat Our Model Says\nOur proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for JD.com this time around. The combination of a positiveEarnings ESPand a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.\nJD.com has an Earnings ESP of -14.83% and a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), at present.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JD":0.9,"09618":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801162700,"gmtCreate":1627488567900,"gmtModify":1633764484837,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Here comes taper tantrum&nbsp;","listText":"Here comes taper tantrum&nbsp;","text":"Here comes taper tantrum","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801162700","repostId":"1102922788","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102922788","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627479526,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102922788?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 21:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102922788","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases\n","content":"<p>Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases</p><p><blockquote>官员们正在寻求就如何以及何时最终减少资产购买达成共识</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b506b5e7aef3659e57731a13007a3078\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"859\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本月早些时候在参议院委员会听证会上发表讲话，承诺在减少证券购买之前会发出充分的通知。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin&nbsp;paring their asset purchases&nbsp;amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员将于周三恢复审议，讨论在供应链瓶颈和Covid-19病例增加的情况下，如何以及何时开始削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年年底表示，将继续每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，直到官员们认为他们在实现低失业率和通胀率达到2%的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于美国东部时间下午2点发布政策声明。大部分焦点可能集中在下午2:30主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的新闻发布会上。以下是值得关注的内容：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper timing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥度正时</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.</p><p><blockquote>官员们可能会收到正式的工作人员简报，内容涉及何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及以多快的速度减少或缩减这些购买量。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于2020年3月开始大量购买这些证券，当时Covid-19大流行引发了金融市场几近崩溃。由于美联储的短期利率为零，购买旨在通过压低长期利率来提供额外的刺激。</blockquote></p><p> Some officials are concerned&nbsp;that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>一些官员担心，今年因与重新开放经济相关的瓶颈而引发的通胀爆发将比之前预期的更持久。这些政策制定者渴望开始缩减，部分原因是他们和他们的同事表示，在完成缩减资产购买之前，他们不太可能考虑将利率从接近零的水平上调。</blockquote></p><p> Another camp thinks recent&nbsp;price pressures will subside&nbsp;and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.</p><p><blockquote>另一个阵营认为，最近的价格压力将会消退，并可能使美联储陷入过去十年大部分时间所面临的境地，即即使利率处于历史低位，全球力量仍将通胀率保持在2%以下。他们担心，加速缩减资产购买计划可能会引发投资者对美联储实现经济目标承诺的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Because Mr. Powell has pledged&nbsp;to provide ample notice&nbsp;to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering&nbsp;to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.</p><p><blockquote>由于鲍威尔承诺在美联储开始缩减规模之前向金融市场发出充分通知，以避免让投资者措手不及，因此美联储现在或在9月份的下一次会议上似乎不太可能启动这一进程。鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到严格审查，以寻找官员如何判断近期经济进展的线索。4月份，他表示美联储距离缩减目标“还有很长的路要走”，6月份他称经济距离目标“还有很长的路要走”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Purchase pace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买节奏</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>官员们还必须考虑任何削减的速度。一些官员已经讨论过在2022年10月左右结束购买，以便如果复苏更强劲或通胀高于目前预期，他们可以在此后很快加息。</blockquote></p><p> During a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在2014年结束的上一次资产购买计划中，美联储在10个月内适度、等量地缩减了购买规模。然后又等了14个月才加息。</blockquote></p><p> Another tactical question centers on whether&nbsp;to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.</p><p><blockquote>另一个战术问题集中在是否同样降低美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的发行速度。一些官员对房价上涨表示担忧，并敦促尽快停止购买抵押贷款债券。</blockquote></p><p> But Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔和其他官员最近几周对这些担忧泼了冷水。他们表示，通过购买长期资产，抵押贷款购买提供了一种更广泛地刺激经济的方式，并且并不直接关注房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> “If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.</p><p><blockquote>前美联储高级经济学家、现任耶鲁大学管理学院教授威廉·英格利希(William English)表示：“如果房地产市场真的让你担心，那么这就是越来越快地缩减一切的理由。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflation outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀前景</b></blockquote></p><p> For a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter&nbsp;than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.</p><p><blockquote>6月份通胀连续第三个月高于许多经济学家的预期。美国劳工部的消费者价格指数同比上涨5.4%，为2008年8月以来的12个月最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell said two weeks ago that&nbsp;many of the elevated price pressures&nbsp;can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔两周前表示，许多价格上涨压力仍然可以追溯到受供应链瓶颈和其他大流行引发的动荡影响的商品和服务。因此，他表示，美联储放弃早先的预期，即物价将自行回到2%的目标，并加息以更快地冷却需求和降低通胀，还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔可能会面临以下问题：央行及其由12名成员组成的利率制定委员会认为需要多长时间才能重新审视他们的预测。过去一年通胀较低的一些经济领域（包括住宅租金）的价格压力在近几个月有所加剧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta variant</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株</b></blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔还可能面临压力，询问最近未接种疫苗人群中Covid-19病例的增加可能如何重塑央行今年剩余时间的增长预测。虽然与一年前相比，恢复停工和其他国家强制的活动限制似乎不太可能，但消费者对恢复正常支出的犹豫可能会使经济前景复杂化。</blockquote></p><p> Since Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.</p><p><blockquote>自美联储官员6月上次开会以来，政府债券价格大幅上涨，这表明投资者对长期增长前景的信心减弱，对通胀的担忧也减弱。</blockquote></p><p> Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>受疫苗接种和财政刺激措施将刺激经济繁荣的预期提振，收益率在债券价格下跌时上升，今年早些时候大幅攀升。在3月底触及1.75%的13个月高点后，10年期国债收益率已下降——美联储结束上次会议后的6月16日跌至1.57%，并跌至五个月低点1.24%，周二美联储会议开始时。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-28 21:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases</p><p><blockquote>官员们正在寻求就如何以及何时最终减少资产购买达成共识</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b506b5e7aef3659e57731a13007a3078\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"859\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本月早些时候在参议院委员会听证会上发表讲话，承诺在减少证券购买之前会发出充分的通知。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin&nbsp;paring their asset purchases&nbsp;amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员将于周三恢复审议，讨论在供应链瓶颈和Covid-19病例增加的情况下，如何以及何时开始削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年年底表示，将继续每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，直到官员们认为他们在实现低失业率和通胀率达到2%的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于美国东部时间下午2点发布政策声明。大部分焦点可能集中在下午2:30主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的新闻发布会上。以下是值得关注的内容：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper timing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥度正时</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.</p><p><blockquote>官员们可能会收到正式的工作人员简报，内容涉及何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及以多快的速度减少或缩减这些购买量。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于2020年3月开始大量购买这些证券，当时Covid-19大流行引发了金融市场几近崩溃。由于美联储的短期利率为零，购买旨在通过压低长期利率来提供额外的刺激。</blockquote></p><p> Some officials are concerned&nbsp;that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>一些官员担心，今年因与重新开放经济相关的瓶颈而引发的通胀爆发将比之前预期的更持久。这些政策制定者渴望开始缩减，部分原因是他们和他们的同事表示，在完成缩减资产购买之前，他们不太可能考虑将利率从接近零的水平上调。</blockquote></p><p> Another camp thinks recent&nbsp;price pressures will subside&nbsp;and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.</p><p><blockquote>另一个阵营认为，最近的价格压力将会消退，并可能使美联储陷入过去十年大部分时间所面临的境地，即即使利率处于历史低位，全球力量仍将通胀率保持在2%以下。他们担心，加速缩减资产购买计划可能会引发投资者对美联储实现经济目标承诺的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Because Mr. Powell has pledged&nbsp;to provide ample notice&nbsp;to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering&nbsp;to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.</p><p><blockquote>由于鲍威尔承诺在美联储开始缩减规模之前向金融市场发出充分通知，以避免让投资者措手不及，因此美联储现在或在9月份的下一次会议上似乎不太可能启动这一进程。鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到严格审查，以寻找官员如何判断近期经济进展的线索。4月份，他表示美联储距离缩减目标“还有很长的路要走”，6月份他称经济距离目标“还有很长的路要走”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Purchase pace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买节奏</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>官员们还必须考虑任何削减的速度。一些官员已经讨论过在2022年10月左右结束购买，以便如果复苏更强劲或通胀高于目前预期，他们可以在此后很快加息。</blockquote></p><p> During a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在2014年结束的上一次资产购买计划中，美联储在10个月内适度、等量地缩减了购买规模。然后又等了14个月才加息。</blockquote></p><p> Another tactical question centers on whether&nbsp;to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.</p><p><blockquote>另一个战术问题集中在是否同样降低美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的发行速度。一些官员对房价上涨表示担忧，并敦促尽快停止购买抵押贷款债券。</blockquote></p><p> But Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔和其他官员最近几周对这些担忧泼了冷水。他们表示，通过购买长期资产，抵押贷款购买提供了一种更广泛地刺激经济的方式，并且并不直接关注房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> “If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.</p><p><blockquote>前美联储高级经济学家、现任耶鲁大学管理学院教授威廉·英格利希(William English)表示：“如果房地产市场真的让你担心，那么这就是越来越快地缩减一切的理由。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflation outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀前景</b></blockquote></p><p> For a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter&nbsp;than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.</p><p><blockquote>6月份通胀连续第三个月高于许多经济学家的预期。美国劳工部的消费者价格指数同比上涨5.4%，为2008年8月以来的12个月最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell said two weeks ago that&nbsp;many of the elevated price pressures&nbsp;can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔两周前表示，许多价格上涨压力仍然可以追溯到受供应链瓶颈和其他大流行引发的动荡影响的商品和服务。因此，他表示，美联储放弃早先的预期，即物价将自行回到2%的目标，并加息以更快地冷却需求和降低通胀，还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔可能会面临以下问题：央行及其由12名成员组成的利率制定委员会认为需要多长时间才能重新审视他们的预测。过去一年通胀较低的一些经济领域（包括住宅租金）的价格压力在近几个月有所加剧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta variant</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株</b></blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔还可能面临压力，询问最近未接种疫苗人群中Covid-19病例的增加可能如何重塑央行今年剩余时间的增长预测。虽然与一年前相比，恢复停工和其他国家强制的活动限制似乎不太可能，但消费者对恢复正常支出的犹豫可能会使经济前景复杂化。</blockquote></p><p> Since Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.</p><p><blockquote>自美联储官员6月上次开会以来，政府债券价格大幅上涨，这表明投资者对长期增长前景的信心减弱，对通胀的担忧也减弱。</blockquote></p><p> Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>受疫苗接种和财政刺激措施将刺激经济繁荣的预期提振，收益率在债券价格下跌时上升，今年早些时候大幅攀升。在3月底触及1.75%的13个月高点后，10年期国债收益率已下降——美联储结束上次会议后的6月16日跌至1.57%，并跌至五个月低点1.24%，周二美联储会议开始时。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-meeting-will-focus-on-tapering-timeline-11627464602?mod=hp_lead_pos2\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-meeting-will-focus-on-tapering-timeline-11627464602?mod=hp_lead_pos2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102922788","content_text":"Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.\nFederal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin paring their asset purchases amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.\nThe central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.\nThe Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:\nTaper timing\nOfficials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.\nThe Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.\nSome officials are concerned that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.\nAnother camp thinks recent price pressures will subside and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.\nBecause Mr. Powell has pledged to provide ample notice to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.\nPurchase pace\nOfficials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.\nDuring a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.\nAnother tactical question centers on whether to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.\nBut Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.\n“If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.\nInflation outlook\nFor a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.\nMr. Powell said two weeks ago that many of the elevated price pressures can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.\nBut Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.\nDelta variant\nMr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.\nSince Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.\nYields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1981,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194408539,"gmtCreate":1621390203721,"gmtModify":1634189541320,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Commodities will continue to outperform during 2021","listText":"Commodities will continue to outperform during 2021","text":"Commodities will continue to outperform during 2021","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194408539","repostId":"1194995023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194995023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621388815,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194995023?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-19 09:46","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"$70 Oil, $200 Iron, $10,000 Copper: Commodities Smash Milestones<blockquote>石油70美元、铁200美元、铜10,000美元：大宗商品突破里程碑</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194995023","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- When headline crude futures topped $70 a barrel on Tuesday, it was just the latest la","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- When headline crude futures topped $70 a barrel on Tuesday, it was just the latest landmark in a banner year for raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——当原油期货周二突破每桶70美元时，这只是原材料辉煌一年中的最新里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>From copper to iron ore and oil, prices have rallied broadly in 2021, as the global economy emerges from the depths of the coronavirus pandemic and fires up demand. The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index, which tracks a broad basket of raw materials, is up 21% since January, putting it on track for the best year since 2016.</p><p><blockquote>从铜到铁矿石和石油，随着全球经济走出冠状病毒大流行的深渊并刺激需求，2021年价格普遍上涨。跟踪一篮子广泛原材料的彭博商品现货指数自1月份以来上涨了21%，有望创下2016年以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p>Copper surged to an all-time high this month, bursting through $10,000 a ton in the process. Iron ore also hit a record recently with the steelmaking raw material surging as China churns out more of the alloy that ever. Now oil’s joining in, with Brent crude topping $70 a barrel, and retail gasoline prices above $3 a gallon in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>本月铜价飙升至历史新高，在此过程中突破了每吨10,000美元。铁矿石最近也创下了历史新高，随着中国生产的铁矿石比以往任何时候都多，炼钢原材料价格飙升。现在石油也加入进来，布伦特原油价格突破每桶70美元，美国汽油零售价格突破每加仑3美元。</blockquote></p><p>Together, they’re latest signs of a global economy that is starting to see inflationary forces at work. The prices of the raw materials used to make everything from houses to coffee are skyrocketing, underscoring the giant reflation trade that has gripped global markets this year.</p><p><blockquote>总之，它们是全球经济开始看到通胀力量发挥作用的最新迹象。用于制造从房屋到咖啡等各种产品的原材料价格正在飙升，突显出今年席卷全球市场的巨大通货再膨胀交易。</blockquote></p><p>“It’s driven by inflation concerns and demand,” said Giovanni Staunovo commodity analyst at UBS Group AG. “Commodities are reopening-and-reflation trades.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银集团大宗商品分析师Giovanni Staunovo表示：“这是由通胀担忧和需求推动的。”“大宗商品正在重新开放和再通胀交易。”</blockquote></p><p>Beyond of raw materials, there are wider booms underway across commodity markets. Argentina’s government is limiting exports of beef, a staple in the country, to try to contain runaway inflation that’s approaching 50% annually. Wheat, corn, and sugar all hit multiyear highs recently, while palm oil reached a record and soybean oil is trading near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>除了原材料之外，大宗商品市场也出现了更广泛的繁荣。阿根廷政府正在限制该国主食牛肉的出口，以试图遏制每年接近50%的失控通货膨胀。小麦、玉米和糖最近均触及多年高点，而棕榈油创下历史新高，豆油交易价格接近历史高点。</blockquote></p><p>Gold rose to the highest in more than three months, breaking out of a downtrend its held since August, on growing inflation concerns and assurances on monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>由于通胀担忧加剧和对货币政策的保证，金价升至三个多月来的最高水平，打破了自8月以来的下跌趋势。</blockquote></p><p>Economic Recovery</p><p><blockquote>经济复苏</blockquote></p><p>Copper has been one of the main beneficiaries of a broad economic recovery and vast stimulus programs around the world, but investors are also getting excited about the longer-term outlook.</p><p><blockquote>铜一直是全球广泛经济复苏和大规模刺激计划的主要受益者之一，但投资者也对长期前景感到兴奋。</blockquote></p><p>The metal is crucial for nearly all the technologies and infrastructure needed to decarbonize the global economy with supply struggling to keep pace with consumption. A lack of mine investment and paucity of new projects has prompted forecasts of shortages.</p><p><blockquote>由于供应难以跟上消费的步伐，这种金属对于全球经济脱碳所需的几乎所有技术和基础设施都至关重要。矿山投资的缺乏和新项目的缺乏引发了短缺的预测。</blockquote></p><p>There’s optimism among oil bulls that the crude market will keep running hot into the summer too. Continued restrictions on flying are likely to force people into their cars when they go on vacation, potentially proving to be a boon in road fuels demand. Meanwhile airlines are growing optimistic that some regions will be able to open their borders as vaccinations progress.</p><p><blockquote>石油多头乐观地认为，原油市场也将持续火热到夏季。对飞行的持续限制可能会迫使人们在度假时开车，这可能会对道路燃料需求有利。与此同时，航空公司越来越乐观地认为，随着疫苗接种的进展，一些地区将能够开放边境。</blockquote></p><p>As a result big banks have rolled out a wealth of bullish takes on the sector. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says a goldilocks scenario is forming for the commodities sector, with inflation starting to rise but monetary policy not yet tightening. Top trader Trafigura Group has talked up the prospects for copper to hit $15,000 a ton in the coming decade.</p><p><blockquote>因此，大银行对该行业推出了大量看涨观点。高盛集团表示，大宗商品行业正在形成金发姑娘情景，通胀开始上升，但货币政策尚未收紧。顶级交易商托克集团(Trafigura Group)谈到了未来十年铜价将达到每吨15,000美元的前景。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$70 Oil, $200 Iron, $10,000 Copper: Commodities Smash Milestones<blockquote>石油70美元、铁200美元、铜10,000美元：大宗商品突破里程碑</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$70 Oil, $200 Iron, $10,000 Copper: Commodities Smash Milestones<blockquote>石油70美元、铁200美元、铜10,000美元：大宗商品突破里程碑</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-19 09:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- When headline crude futures topped $70 a barrel on Tuesday, it was just the latest landmark in a banner year for raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——当原油期货周二突破每桶70美元时，这只是原材料辉煌一年中的最新里程碑。</blockquote></p><p>From copper to iron ore and oil, prices have rallied broadly in 2021, as the global economy emerges from the depths of the coronavirus pandemic and fires up demand. The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index, which tracks a broad basket of raw materials, is up 21% since January, putting it on track for the best year since 2016.</p><p><blockquote>从铜到铁矿石和石油，随着全球经济走出冠状病毒大流行的深渊并刺激需求，2021年价格普遍上涨。跟踪一篮子广泛原材料的彭博商品现货指数自1月份以来上涨了21%，有望创下2016年以来最好的一年。</blockquote></p><p>Copper surged to an all-time high this month, bursting through $10,000 a ton in the process. Iron ore also hit a record recently with the steelmaking raw material surging as China churns out more of the alloy that ever. Now oil’s joining in, with Brent crude topping $70 a barrel, and retail gasoline prices above $3 a gallon in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>本月铜价飙升至历史新高，在此过程中突破了每吨10,000美元。铁矿石最近也创下了历史新高，随着中国生产的铁矿石比以往任何时候都多，炼钢原材料价格飙升。现在石油也加入进来，布伦特原油价格突破每桶70美元，美国汽油零售价格突破每加仑3美元。</blockquote></p><p>Together, they’re latest signs of a global economy that is starting to see inflationary forces at work. The prices of the raw materials used to make everything from houses to coffee are skyrocketing, underscoring the giant reflation trade that has gripped global markets this year.</p><p><blockquote>总之，它们是全球经济开始看到通胀力量发挥作用的最新迹象。用于制造从房屋到咖啡等各种产品的原材料价格正在飙升，突显出今年席卷全球市场的巨大通货再膨胀交易。</blockquote></p><p>“It’s driven by inflation concerns and demand,” said Giovanni Staunovo commodity analyst at UBS Group AG. “Commodities are reopening-and-reflation trades.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银集团大宗商品分析师Giovanni Staunovo表示：“这是由通胀担忧和需求推动的。”“大宗商品正在重新开放和再通胀交易。”</blockquote></p><p>Beyond of raw materials, there are wider booms underway across commodity markets. Argentina’s government is limiting exports of beef, a staple in the country, to try to contain runaway inflation that’s approaching 50% annually. Wheat, corn, and sugar all hit multiyear highs recently, while palm oil reached a record and soybean oil is trading near an all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>除了原材料之外，大宗商品市场也出现了更广泛的繁荣。阿根廷政府正在限制该国主食牛肉的出口，以试图遏制每年接近50%的失控通货膨胀。小麦、玉米和糖最近均触及多年高点，而棕榈油创下历史新高，豆油交易价格接近历史高点。</blockquote></p><p>Gold rose to the highest in more than three months, breaking out of a downtrend its held since August, on growing inflation concerns and assurances on monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>由于通胀担忧加剧和对货币政策的保证，金价升至三个多月来的最高水平，打破了自8月以来的下跌趋势。</blockquote></p><p>Economic Recovery</p><p><blockquote>经济复苏</blockquote></p><p>Copper has been one of the main beneficiaries of a broad economic recovery and vast stimulus programs around the world, but investors are also getting excited about the longer-term outlook.</p><p><blockquote>铜一直是全球广泛经济复苏和大规模刺激计划的主要受益者之一，但投资者也对长期前景感到兴奋。</blockquote></p><p>The metal is crucial for nearly all the technologies and infrastructure needed to decarbonize the global economy with supply struggling to keep pace with consumption. A lack of mine investment and paucity of new projects has prompted forecasts of shortages.</p><p><blockquote>由于供应难以跟上消费的步伐，这种金属对于全球经济脱碳所需的几乎所有技术和基础设施都至关重要。矿山投资的缺乏和新项目的缺乏引发了短缺的预测。</blockquote></p><p>There’s optimism among oil bulls that the crude market will keep running hot into the summer too. Continued restrictions on flying are likely to force people into their cars when they go on vacation, potentially proving to be a boon in road fuels demand. Meanwhile airlines are growing optimistic that some regions will be able to open their borders as vaccinations progress.</p><p><blockquote>石油多头乐观地认为，原油市场也将持续火热到夏季。对飞行的持续限制可能会迫使人们在度假时开车，这可能会对道路燃料需求有利。与此同时，航空公司越来越乐观地认为，随着疫苗接种的进展，一些地区将能够开放边境。</blockquote></p><p>As a result big banks have rolled out a wealth of bullish takes on the sector. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says a goldilocks scenario is forming for the commodities sector, with inflation starting to rise but monetary policy not yet tightening. Top trader Trafigura Group has talked up the prospects for copper to hit $15,000 a ton in the coming decade.</p><p><blockquote>因此，大银行对该行业推出了大量看涨观点。高盛集团表示，大宗商品行业正在形成金发姑娘情景，通胀开始上升，但货币政策尚未收紧。顶级交易商托克集团(Trafigura Group)谈到了未来十年铜价将达到每吨15,000美元的前景。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/70-oil-200-iron-10-102506006.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/70-oil-200-iron-10-102506006.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194995023","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- When headline crude futures topped $70 a barrel on Tuesday, it was just the latest landmark in a banner year for raw materials.From copper to iron ore and oil, prices have rallied broadly in 2021, as the global economy emerges from the depths of the coronavirus pandemic and fires up demand. The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index, which tracks a broad basket of raw materials, is up 21% since January, putting it on track for the best year since 2016.Copper surged to an all-time high this month, bursting through $10,000 a ton in the process. Iron ore also hit a record recently with the steelmaking raw material surging as China churns out more of the alloy that ever. Now oil’s joining in, with Brent crude topping $70 a barrel, and retail gasoline prices above $3 a gallon in the U.S.Together, they’re latest signs of a global economy that is starting to see inflationary forces at work. The prices of the raw materials used to make everything from houses to coffee are skyrocketing, underscoring the giant reflation trade that has gripped global markets this year.“It’s driven by inflation concerns and demand,” said Giovanni Staunovo commodity analyst at UBS Group AG. “Commodities are reopening-and-reflation trades.”Beyond of raw materials, there are wider booms underway across commodity markets. Argentina’s government is limiting exports of beef, a staple in the country, to try to contain runaway inflation that’s approaching 50% annually. Wheat, corn, and sugar all hit multiyear highs recently, while palm oil reached a record and soybean oil is trading near an all-time high.Gold rose to the highest in more than three months, breaking out of a downtrend its held since August, on growing inflation concerns and assurances on monetary policy.Economic RecoveryCopper has been one of the main beneficiaries of a broad economic recovery and vast stimulus programs around the world, but investors are also getting excited about the longer-term outlook.The metal is crucial for nearly all the technologies and infrastructure needed to decarbonize the global economy with supply struggling to keep pace with consumption. A lack of mine investment and paucity of new projects has prompted forecasts of shortages.There’s optimism among oil bulls that the crude market will keep running hot into the summer too. Continued restrictions on flying are likely to force people into their cars when they go on vacation, potentially proving to be a boon in road fuels demand. Meanwhile airlines are growing optimistic that some regions will be able to open their borders as vaccinations progress.As a result big banks have rolled out a wealth of bullish takes on the sector. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says a goldilocks scenario is forming for the commodities sector, with inflation starting to rise but monetary policy not yet tightening. Top trader Trafigura Group has talked up the prospects for copper to hit $15,000 a ton in the coming decade.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325664372,"gmtCreate":1615895685196,"gmtModify":1703494620943,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just do it ...","listText":"Just do it ...","text":"Just do it ...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325664372","repostId":"1158145856","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":381854402,"gmtCreate":1612955822106,"gmtModify":1703767425222,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too much hype in EV vehicles&nbsp;","listText":"Too much hype in EV vehicles&nbsp;","text":"Too much hype in EV vehicles","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/381854402","repostId":"1149185230","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106251478,"gmtCreate":1620127159294,"gmtModify":1634207627461,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The fed Kees going Brrr","listText":"The fed Kees going Brrr","text":"The fed Kees going Brrr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106251478","repostId":"1197943594","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197943594","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620124996,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197943594?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 18:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is The US Economy A Virtual Reality?<blockquote>美国经济是虚拟现实吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197943594","media":"zerohedge","summary":"An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously sti","content":"<p>An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously still survives, thanks to vast infusions of government money to cover his rent and upkeep and sustain essential employees. He is looking forward to reopening but is<b>having a hard time finding employees. Many have moved to Florida. Others, he said, “are happy to live off government money rather than work.”</b></p><p><blockquote>酒吧的一位老板向我解释说，他已经关门整整一年了，但奇迹般地仍然活了下来，这要归功于政府注入的大量资金来支付他的租金和维护费用，并维持重要的员工。他期待着重新开业，但<b>很难找到员工。许多人已经搬到了佛罗里达。他说，其他人“很乐意靠政府的钱生活，而不是工作。”</b></blockquote></p><p> His main puzzle is how it can be true that the government has the resources to sustain so many businesses in a full year of lockdowns. The money is falling like manna from heaven.</p><p><blockquote>他的主要困惑是，政府怎么可能真的有资源在一整年的封锁中维持这么多企业。钱像吗哪一样从天而降。</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“From all my years in business, every instinct tells me that this can’t be right. It might work for a little while but someone has to pay these bills. There is no magic money tree out there to achieve such things.”</b></i>  <b>The tree might not be magic but it does exist.</b></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“从我多年的商业生涯来看，每一种直觉都告诉我，这不可能是对的。它可能会在一段时间内奏效，但必须有人支付这些账单。没有神奇的摇钱树可以实现这些事情。”</b></i><b>这棵树可能不是魔法，但它确实存在。</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s called the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote>它被称为美联储。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the alarming chart of the broadest definition of national money, which reveals an<b>unprecedented increase in the money supply</b>over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>这是一张令人震惊的图表，显示了国家货币最广泛的定义，它揭示了一个<b>货币供应量空前增加</b>在过去一年里。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b33ab7f69ce98140d3c8541540f2ef5\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"191\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The effects of such a thing can be&nbsp;difficult to trace. And much depends on factors outside the Fed’s control. Even the attempt to reign in the long-run effects could fail. Even so, the short-term effects, combined with unprecedented increases in government spending, have been to create the appearance of near full recovery.</p><p><blockquote>这种事情的影响可能很难追踪。这在很大程度上取决于美联储无法控制的因素。即使是控制长期影响的尝试也可能失败。即便如此，短期影响，加上政府支出前所未有的增加，造成了接近全面复苏的表象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>By the aggregated data alone, the US economy seems almost back to normal.</b>Gross Domestic Product is higher now than pre-pandemic and poised to roar much higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>仅从综合数据来看，美国经济似乎几乎恢复正常。</b>现在的国内生产总值高于疫情之前，并且有望飙升得更高。</blockquote></p><p>   “What’s amazing,”&nbsp;writes&nbsp;the&nbsp;  <i>Wall Street Journal</i>, “is that U.S. output is nearly what it was in the fourth-quarter of 2019 even with payrolls being about 5% smaller.  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4660a898da3119fd8c2e1fe52ec0d676\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Consumer spending on durable goods is through the roof with a 41% increase for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“太神奇了，”<i>华尔街日报</i>尽管就业人数减少了约5%，但美国产出几乎与2019年第四季度持平。本季度消费者在耐用品上的支出激增41%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c109802e57d3dabd71e6122ef30cc88\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"156\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Private residential investment, which is to say consumer spending on housing, has blown past the point at which the last housing bubble blew up.</p><p><blockquote>私人住宅投资，即消费者在住房上的支出，已经超过了上一次房地产泡沫破裂的时候。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c33caf9df98a0feeafa86ca8bcea97c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i><b>Is Valhalla really around the corner? New riches? What’s the downside?</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>瓦尔哈拉真的就在眼前吗？新财富？有什么坏处？</b></i></blockquote></p><p> Following a lockdown collapse in prices, the consumer price index is pointing toward inflationary signs. The Everyday Price Index is&nbsp;climbing&nbsp;at an annualized double-digit rates.</p><p><blockquote>在封锁导致价格暴跌后，消费者价格指数显示出通胀迹象。日常价格指数正以年化两位数的速度攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a23206631fdd85121a1cd11843355ac6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"176\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">No question that much of<b>this “growth” is fueled by historically high increases in government spending,</b>producing charts we’ve never seen before.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问<b>这种“增长”是由政府支出的历史高位增长推动的，</b>制作我们从未见过的图表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3534eb09f534aa3ac9615ee5f6299582\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">These increases were not paid out of some resource reserve sitting in DC.<b>They are paid by astronomical increases in borrowing.</b>Here are the increases in the public debt to GDP ratio.</p><p><blockquote>这些增长并不是从DC的一些资源储备中支付的。<b>他们通过借贷的天文数字增长来支付。</b>以下是公共债务与GDP比率的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebf7c01e4270b2641020471739787110\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">What all this aggregate data misses is the huge dislocations, distortions, and outright destruction that occurred because of the unprecedented use of extreme lockdowns in 2020. The<i>New York Times</i>&nbsp;provides a helpful analysis of existing sectors relative to what might have happened outside the pandemic lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些汇总数据都忽略了由于2020年前所未有地使用极端封锁而发生的巨大混乱、扭曲和彻底破坏。The<i>纽约时报</i>提供了与疫情封锁之外可能发生的情况相关的现有部门的有用分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/249fca0e9740cccfe032a35635a8d811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Thus are some sectors of the US economy booming to new highs, while others are still in deep depression.</b>The sectors that were locked down (entertainment, art, food, hotels, recreation), and those other sectors indirectly affected by lockdowns (exports, transportation, energy) are still wallowing in misery, having been battered by compulsory shutdowns that wrecked so many business models or otherwise forced them onto the government dole.</p><p><blockquote><b>因此，美国经济的一些部门正在蓬勃发展，达到新高，而另一些部门仍处于深度萧条之中。</b>被封锁的行业（娱乐、艺术、食品、酒店、休闲）以及间接受到封锁影响的其他行业（出口、运输、能源）仍在痛苦中挣扎，遭受了强制关闭的打击，这些关闭摧毁了如此多的商业模式或以其他方式迫使它们接受政府救济。</blockquote></p><p> One of the figures that fascinates me is the one on health care. It is still down 5.9% from what it might have been without the pandemic. Historians of the future will surely be amazed by such data. In a pandemic with such tremendous sickness and death, one would expect spending on health care to rocket higher than ever before.</p><p><blockquote>让我着迷的一个数字是关于医疗保健的。与没有大流行的情况相比，仍下降了5.9%。未来的历史学家肯定会对这样的数据感到惊讶。在一个疾病和死亡如此之多的大流行中，人们预计医疗保健支出将比以往任何时候都高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Instead, what we see in health care is a collapse of fully 18% in the worst months of the pandemic, a statement that sounds ridiculous in the saying.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>相反，我们在医疗保健领域看到的是，在疫情最糟糕的几个月里，医疗保健崩溃了整整18%，这种说法听起来很荒谬。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c109802e57d3dabd71e6122ef30cc88\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"156\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> What this illustrates is one of the least-talked-about aspects of government policy over the past year: state government’s interventions in the medical system that essentially reserved most if not all hospital space for Covid patients. Routine medical care and “elective surgery” was put on hold. Dentistry services&nbsp;collapsed a year ago by 70%.</p><p><blockquote>这说明了过去一年政府政策中最少被谈论的方面之一：州政府对医疗系统的干预，基本上为Covid患者保留了大部分（如果不是全部）医院空间。常规医疗和“择期手术”被搁置。牙科服务一年前下降了70%。</blockquote></p><p> This meant missed cancer screenings, routine checkups, and normal doctor’s visits, not only because people were afraid but also because medical services faced a brutal form of central planning that had never previously happened. Thus do we get the most perverse results one can imagine: a collapse of spending on health care during a pandemic. It’s hard to isolate one piece of data that best captures the folly of government pandemic policy but perhaps this one is it.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着错过癌症筛查、常规检查和正常的医生就诊，不仅因为人们害怕，还因为医疗服务面临着前所未有的残酷形式的中央计划。因此，我们得到了人们能想象到的最反常的结果：疫情期间医疗保健支出的崩溃。很难找出一个数据最能捕捉到政府疫情政策的愚蠢，但也许这一个就是它。</blockquote></p><p> It’s impossible to know precisely what the future portends for all these unprecedented policy shocks over the last year, from money supply and spending bonanzas to lockdowns to sky-high debt accumulation.<b>But because a thing called cause-and-effect still operates in this world – we do not live in virtual reality – it seems wise to look at the seemingly great aggregate data with a gravely skeptical eye. We might be in the midst of the calm before the real storm hits.</b></p><p><blockquote>对于过去一年所有这些前所未有的政策冲击，从货币供应和支出繁荣到封锁再到天价债务积累，我们不可能准确知道未来会发生什么。<b>但因为一种叫做因果的东西仍然在这个世界上运作——我们不是生活在虚拟现实中——所以用严重怀疑的眼光看待看似巨大的汇总数据似乎是明智的。在真正的风暴来袭之前，我们可能正处于平静之中。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is The US Economy A Virtual Reality?<blockquote>美国经济是虚拟现实吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs The US Economy A Virtual Reality?<blockquote>美国经济是虚拟现实吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-04 18:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously still survives, thanks to vast infusions of government money to cover his rent and upkeep and sustain essential employees. He is looking forward to reopening but is<b>having a hard time finding employees. Many have moved to Florida. Others, he said, “are happy to live off government money rather than work.”</b></p><p><blockquote>酒吧的一位老板向我解释说，他已经关门整整一年了，但奇迹般地仍然活了下来，这要归功于政府注入的大量资金来支付他的租金和维护费用，并维持重要的员工。他期待着重新开业，但<b>很难找到员工。许多人已经搬到了佛罗里达。他说，其他人“很乐意靠政府的钱生活，而不是工作。”</b></blockquote></p><p> His main puzzle is how it can be true that the government has the resources to sustain so many businesses in a full year of lockdowns. The money is falling like manna from heaven.</p><p><blockquote>他的主要困惑是，政府怎么可能真的有资源在一整年的封锁中维持这么多企业。钱像吗哪一样从天而降。</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“From all my years in business, every instinct tells me that this can’t be right. It might work for a little while but someone has to pay these bills. There is no magic money tree out there to achieve such things.”</b></i>  <b>The tree might not be magic but it does exist.</b></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“从我多年的商业生涯来看，每一种直觉都告诉我，这不可能是对的。它可能会在一段时间内奏效，但必须有人支付这些账单。没有神奇的摇钱树可以实现这些事情。”</b></i><b>这棵树可能不是魔法，但它确实存在。</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s called the Federal Reserve.</p><p><blockquote>它被称为美联储。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the alarming chart of the broadest definition of national money, which reveals an<b>unprecedented increase in the money supply</b>over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>这是一张令人震惊的图表，显示了国家货币最广泛的定义，它揭示了一个<b>货币供应量空前增加</b>在过去一年里。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b33ab7f69ce98140d3c8541540f2ef5\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"191\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The effects of such a thing can be&nbsp;difficult to trace. And much depends on factors outside the Fed’s control. Even the attempt to reign in the long-run effects could fail. Even so, the short-term effects, combined with unprecedented increases in government spending, have been to create the appearance of near full recovery.</p><p><blockquote>这种事情的影响可能很难追踪。这在很大程度上取决于美联储无法控制的因素。即使是控制长期影响的尝试也可能失败。即便如此，短期影响，加上政府支出前所未有的增加，造成了接近全面复苏的表象。</blockquote></p><p> <b>By the aggregated data alone, the US economy seems almost back to normal.</b>Gross Domestic Product is higher now than pre-pandemic and poised to roar much higher.</p><p><blockquote><b>仅从综合数据来看，美国经济似乎几乎恢复正常。</b>现在的国内生产总值高于疫情之前，并且有望飙升得更高。</blockquote></p><p>   “What’s amazing,”&nbsp;writes&nbsp;the&nbsp;  <i>Wall Street Journal</i>, “is that U.S. output is nearly what it was in the fourth-quarter of 2019 even with payrolls being about 5% smaller.  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4660a898da3119fd8c2e1fe52ec0d676\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"178\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Consumer spending on durable goods is through the roof with a 41% increase for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“太神奇了，”<i>华尔街日报</i>尽管就业人数减少了约5%，但美国产出几乎与2019年第四季度持平。本季度消费者在耐用品上的支出激增41%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c109802e57d3dabd71e6122ef30cc88\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"156\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Private residential investment, which is to say consumer spending on housing, has blown past the point at which the last housing bubble blew up.</p><p><blockquote>私人住宅投资，即消费者在住房上的支出，已经超过了上一次房地产泡沫破裂的时候。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c33caf9df98a0feeafa86ca8bcea97c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"157\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i><b>Is Valhalla really around the corner? New riches? What’s the downside?</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>瓦尔哈拉真的就在眼前吗？新财富？有什么坏处？</b></i></blockquote></p><p> Following a lockdown collapse in prices, the consumer price index is pointing toward inflationary signs. The Everyday Price Index is&nbsp;climbing&nbsp;at an annualized double-digit rates.</p><p><blockquote>在封锁导致价格暴跌后，消费者价格指数显示出通胀迹象。日常价格指数正以年化两位数的速度攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a23206631fdd85121a1cd11843355ac6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"176\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">No question that much of<b>this “growth” is fueled by historically high increases in government spending,</b>producing charts we’ve never seen before.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问<b>这种“增长”是由政府支出的历史高位增长推动的，</b>制作我们从未见过的图表。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3534eb09f534aa3ac9615ee5f6299582\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">These increases were not paid out of some resource reserve sitting in DC.<b>They are paid by astronomical increases in borrowing.</b>Here are the increases in the public debt to GDP ratio.</p><p><blockquote>这些增长并不是从DC的一些资源储备中支付的。<b>他们通过借贷的天文数字增长来支付。</b>以下是公共债务与GDP比率的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebf7c01e4270b2641020471739787110\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"174\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">What all this aggregate data misses is the huge dislocations, distortions, and outright destruction that occurred because of the unprecedented use of extreme lockdowns in 2020. The<i>New York Times</i>&nbsp;provides a helpful analysis of existing sectors relative to what might have happened outside the pandemic lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些汇总数据都忽略了由于2020年前所未有地使用极端封锁而发生的巨大混乱、扭曲和彻底破坏。The<i>纽约时报</i>提供了与疫情封锁之外可能发生的情况相关的现有部门的有用分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/249fca0e9740cccfe032a35635a8d811\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"453\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Thus are some sectors of the US economy booming to new highs, while others are still in deep depression.</b>The sectors that were locked down (entertainment, art, food, hotels, recreation), and those other sectors indirectly affected by lockdowns (exports, transportation, energy) are still wallowing in misery, having been battered by compulsory shutdowns that wrecked so many business models or otherwise forced them onto the government dole.</p><p><blockquote><b>因此，美国经济的一些部门正在蓬勃发展，达到新高，而另一些部门仍处于深度萧条之中。</b>被封锁的行业（娱乐、艺术、食品、酒店、休闲）以及间接受到封锁影响的其他行业（出口、运输、能源）仍在痛苦中挣扎，遭受了强制关闭的打击，这些关闭摧毁了如此多的商业模式或以其他方式迫使它们接受政府救济。</blockquote></p><p> One of the figures that fascinates me is the one on health care. It is still down 5.9% from what it might have been without the pandemic. Historians of the future will surely be amazed by such data. In a pandemic with such tremendous sickness and death, one would expect spending on health care to rocket higher than ever before.</p><p><blockquote>让我着迷的一个数字是关于医疗保健的。与没有大流行的情况相比，仍下降了5.9%。未来的历史学家肯定会对这样的数据感到惊讶。在一个疾病和死亡如此之多的大流行中，人们预计医疗保健支出将比以往任何时候都高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Instead, what we see in health care is a collapse of fully 18% in the worst months of the pandemic, a statement that sounds ridiculous in the saying.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>相反，我们在医疗保健领域看到的是，在疫情最糟糕的几个月里，医疗保健崩溃了整整18%，这种说法听起来很荒谬。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7c109802e57d3dabd71e6122ef30cc88\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"156\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> What this illustrates is one of the least-talked-about aspects of government policy over the past year: state government’s interventions in the medical system that essentially reserved most if not all hospital space for Covid patients. Routine medical care and “elective surgery” was put on hold. Dentistry services&nbsp;collapsed a year ago by 70%.</p><p><blockquote>这说明了过去一年政府政策中最少被谈论的方面之一：州政府对医疗系统的干预，基本上为Covid患者保留了大部分（如果不是全部）医院空间。常规医疗和“择期手术”被搁置。牙科服务一年前下降了70%。</blockquote></p><p> This meant missed cancer screenings, routine checkups, and normal doctor’s visits, not only because people were afraid but also because medical services faced a brutal form of central planning that had never previously happened. Thus do we get the most perverse results one can imagine: a collapse of spending on health care during a pandemic. It’s hard to isolate one piece of data that best captures the folly of government pandemic policy but perhaps this one is it.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着错过癌症筛查、常规检查和正常的医生就诊，不仅因为人们害怕，还因为医疗服务面临着前所未有的残酷形式的中央计划。因此，我们得到了人们能想象到的最反常的结果：疫情期间医疗保健支出的崩溃。很难找出一个数据最能捕捉到政府疫情政策的愚蠢，但也许这一个就是它。</blockquote></p><p> It’s impossible to know precisely what the future portends for all these unprecedented policy shocks over the last year, from money supply and spending bonanzas to lockdowns to sky-high debt accumulation.<b>But because a thing called cause-and-effect still operates in this world – we do not live in virtual reality – it seems wise to look at the seemingly great aggregate data with a gravely skeptical eye. We might be in the midst of the calm before the real storm hits.</b></p><p><blockquote>对于过去一年所有这些前所未有的政策冲击，从货币供应和支出繁荣到封锁再到天价债务积累，我们不可能准确知道未来会发生什么。<b>但因为一种叫做因果的东西仍然在这个世界上运作——我们不是生活在虚拟现实中——所以用严重怀疑的眼光看待看似巨大的汇总数据似乎是明智的。在真正的风暴来袭之前，我们可能正处于平静之中。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-economy-virtual-reality\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-economy-virtual-reality","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197943594","content_text":"An owner of the bar explained to me that he has been closed for a full year and yet miraculously still survives, thanks to vast infusions of government money to cover his rent and upkeep and sustain essential employees. He is looking forward to reopening but ishaving a hard time finding employees. Many have moved to Florida. Others, he said, “are happy to live off government money rather than work.”\nHis main puzzle is how it can be true that the government has the resources to sustain so many businesses in a full year of lockdowns. The money is falling like manna from heaven.\n\n“From all my years in business, every instinct tells me that this can’t be right. It might work for a little while but someone has to pay these bills. There is no magic money tree out there to achieve such things.”\n\nThe tree might not be magic but it does exist.\nIt’s called the Federal Reserve.\nHere is the alarming chart of the broadest definition of national money, which reveals anunprecedented increase in the money supplyover the last year.\nThe effects of such a thing can be difficult to trace. And much depends on factors outside the Fed’s control. Even the attempt to reign in the long-run effects could fail. Even so, the short-term effects, combined with unprecedented increases in government spending, have been to create the appearance of near full recovery.\nBy the aggregated data alone, the US economy seems almost back to normal.Gross Domestic Product is higher now than pre-pandemic and poised to roar much higher.\n\n “What’s amazing,” writes the \n Wall Street Journal, “is that U.S. output is nearly what it was in the fourth-quarter of 2019 even with payrolls being about 5% smaller.\n\nConsumer spending on durable goods is through the roof with a 41% increase for the quarter.\nPrivate residential investment, which is to say consumer spending on housing, has blown past the point at which the last housing bubble blew up.\nIs Valhalla really around the corner? New riches? What’s the downside?\nFollowing a lockdown collapse in prices, the consumer price index is pointing toward inflationary signs. The Everyday Price Index is climbing at an annualized double-digit rates.\nNo question that much ofthis “growth” is fueled by historically high increases in government spending,producing charts we’ve never seen before.\nThese increases were not paid out of some resource reserve sitting in DC.They are paid by astronomical increases in borrowing.Here are the increases in the public debt to GDP ratio.\nWhat all this aggregate data misses is the huge dislocations, distortions, and outright destruction that occurred because of the unprecedented use of extreme lockdowns in 2020. TheNew York Times provides a helpful analysis of existing sectors relative to what might have happened outside the pandemic lockdowns.\nThus are some sectors of the US economy booming to new highs, while others are still in deep depression.The sectors that were locked down (entertainment, art, food, hotels, recreation), and those other sectors indirectly affected by lockdowns (exports, transportation, energy) are still wallowing in misery, having been battered by compulsory shutdowns that wrecked so many business models or otherwise forced them onto the government dole.\nOne of the figures that fascinates me is the one on health care. It is still down 5.9% from what it might have been without the pandemic. Historians of the future will surely be amazed by such data. In a pandemic with such tremendous sickness and death, one would expect spending on health care to rocket higher than ever before.\nInstead, what we see in health care is a collapse of fully 18% in the worst months of the pandemic, a statement that sounds ridiculous in the saying.\n\nWhat this illustrates is one of the least-talked-about aspects of government policy over the past year: state government’s interventions in the medical system that essentially reserved most if not all hospital space for Covid patients. Routine medical care and “elective surgery” was put on hold. Dentistry services collapsed a year ago by 70%.\nThis meant missed cancer screenings, routine checkups, and normal doctor’s visits, not only because people were afraid but also because medical services faced a brutal form of central planning that had never previously happened. Thus do we get the most perverse results one can imagine: a collapse of spending on health care during a pandemic. It’s hard to isolate one piece of data that best captures the folly of government pandemic policy but perhaps this one is it.\nIt’s impossible to know precisely what the future portends for all these unprecedented policy shocks over the last year, from money supply and spending bonanzas to lockdowns to sky-high debt accumulation.But because a thing called cause-and-effect still operates in this world – we do not live in virtual reality – it seems wise to look at the seemingly great aggregate data with a gravely skeptical eye. We might be in the midst of the calm before the real storm hits.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":382,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366501609,"gmtCreate":1614501191501,"gmtModify":1703477888124,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ironically Chinese EVs fate seems to be linked to Tesla&nbsp;","listText":"Ironically Chinese EVs fate seems to be linked to Tesla&nbsp;","text":"Ironically Chinese EVs fate seems to be linked to Tesla","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366501609","repostId":"2114340125","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"246737441473300","authorId":"246737441473300","name":"门_7322","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3129ecbf58055ffa98abaa42cf62fbee","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"246737441473300","idStr":"246737441473300"},"content":"如果没有特斯拉开道，中国新能源再推十年也不稀奇。","text":"如果没有特斯拉开道，中国新能源再推十年也不稀奇。","html":"如果没有特斯拉开道，中国新能源再推十年也不稀奇。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361954767,"gmtCreate":1614191765359,"gmtModify":1634550784234,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So market dropped 3% because stamp dutywill increase by0.03%?","listText":"So market dropped 3% because stamp dutywill increase by0.03%?","text":"So market dropped 3% because stamp dutywill increase by0.03%?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361954767","repostId":"2113363773","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":693382268,"gmtCreate":1639971412370,"gmtModify":1639971418149,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good problem to have !&nbsp;","listText":"Good problem to have !&nbsp;","text":"Good problem to have !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693382268","repostId":"2192076079","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822554883,"gmtCreate":1634155422859,"gmtModify":1634155422976,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will look to buy if falls to 125 lvl&nbsp;","listText":"Will look to buy if falls to 125 lvl&nbsp;","text":"Will look to buy if falls to 125 lvl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822554883","repostId":"1182958686","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3891,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817041346,"gmtCreate":1630893378085,"gmtModify":1632905293244,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rich valuations&nbsp;","listText":"Rich valuations&nbsp;","text":"Rich valuations","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817041346","repostId":"2165180292","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120428052,"gmtCreate":1624333404476,"gmtModify":1634007627592,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What happens if oil reaches $100?&nbsp;","listText":"What happens if oil reaches $100?&nbsp;","text":"What happens if oil reaches $100?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120428052","repostId":"1184835150","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370251176,"gmtCreate":1618589375095,"gmtModify":1634291875193,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All Greeks to me&nbsp;","listText":"All Greeks to me&nbsp;","text":"All Greeks to me","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370251176","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175692875?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四（甚至三）巫术日，但今天的大量每周期权将到期，其中可能一文不值，其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%，高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言，单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期，其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期对于平值（ATM）期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要，因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克（Vishal Vivek）所写，在重大到期时，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行（执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权，则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者，如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩（即VIX处于新低），现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生，但随着VIX（即隐含波动率）的逆转，反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位，隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确！）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购空头对冲，从而推动反弹。SG的结论是：目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外，当IV较低时，伽马较高，因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440亿美元期权今天到期：以下是将发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这不是四（甚至三）巫术日，但今天的大量每周期权将到期，其中可能一文不值，其他期权将为基础价格提供支持“引脚”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4月份每日期权交易量增长了70%，高于3月30日年初至今24亿美元的低点。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总体而言，单个股票中有5440亿美元的期权将于今天到期，其中包括3050亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期对于平值（ATM）期权持有大量未平仓合约的股票可能很重要，因为做市商对其异常大的期权投资组合进行delta对冲将会很活跃。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的维沙尔·维韦克（Vishal Vivek）所写，在重大到期时，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约即将到期。</b>在平价执行（执行价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中存在大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，delta对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对其头寸进行delta对冲的期权交易者是净多头ATM期权，则与到期相关的流量可能会产生抑制股价走势的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约在行权附近结算。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大型投资者来说是理想的情况。或者，如果delta对冲者是ATM期权的净空头（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致具有大量ATM未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助寻求日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，列出了今天到期的ATM未平仓合约较大的可能焦点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约占股票交易量的很大一部分，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在SpotGamma的朋友写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的几乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙“突破”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，例如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，我们将在一篇更长的文章中发布。”</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动率现在已经压缩（即VIX处于新低），现在“长期”波动的潜力更大。回想一下最近市场的任何剧烈下跌都是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些大幅走低与创纪录的VIX飙升同时发生，但随着VIX（即隐含波动率）的逆转，反射性的snap回调将带来同等力度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma的另一个奇怪观察：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动率非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或抓住支撑位，隐含波动率就会迅速反转走低。<b>我们经常想到这样一个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确！）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含波动率就会下降。</b>正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购空头对冲，从而推动反弹。SG的结论是：目前较低的隐含波动率水平给了市场更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始会“减缓”反应性的“snap回”购买机制。此外，当IV较低时，伽马较高，因此伽马翻转可能有更多的果汁。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX  (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.  Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.  Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351586475,"gmtCreate":1616603482697,"gmtModify":1634524948544,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Take your money and run&nbsp;","listText":"Take your money and run&nbsp;","text":"Take your money and run","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351586475","repostId":"2121457670","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3575141057639271","authorId":"3575141057639271","name":"Daveb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61df162e1597f1b5a6a6bfb13d7d92f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575141057639271","idStr":"3575141057639271"},"content":"No. buy and HOLD. these stocks will literally rocket a provide an awesome return. if you sell you loose and the hedgies win. Stand United ✊🏿✊🏿🚀🚀💎","text":"No. buy and HOLD. these stocks will literally rocket a provide an awesome return. if you sell you loose and the hedgies win. Stand United ✊🏿✊🏿🚀🚀💎","html":"No. buy and HOLD. these stocks will literally rocket a provide an awesome return. if you sell you loose and the hedgies win. Stand United ✊🏿✊🏿🚀🚀💎"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":387905488,"gmtCreate":1613705703544,"gmtModify":1634552571757,"author":{"id":"3554042150050333","authorId":"3554042150050333","name":"Iinus","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554042150050333","idStr":"3554042150050333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Reputational&nbsp;damage to Robinhood . How it affectes their ipo will be interesting&nbsp;","listText":"Reputational&nbsp;damage to Robinhood . How it affectes their ipo will be interesting&nbsp;","text":"Reputational damage to Robinhood . How it affectes their ipo will be interesting","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387905488","repostId":"1185112339","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}