马里奥超级牛的个人主页 - 老虎社区

马里奥超级牛

马里奥超级牛

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马里奥超级牛

2023-10-03

$第九城市(NCTY)$ **的缺德

马里奥超级牛

03-24

$法拉第未来(FFAI)$ 这个烂公司是怎么混到上市的

马里奥超级牛

11-10

$小马智行-W(02026)$ 狗篮子

马里奥超级牛

2022-02-27

人楼主没说错，如果按照文明做法，美国就不该在韩国日本欧洲等国家驻军，让他们国家人民自主选择自己的军事力量。世界人民应该讲道理而不是军事威慑。

基辛格八年前的预言：乌克兰危机将如何收场？

马里奥超级牛

11-14

$小马智行-W(02026)$ 史上最烂新股，亏30%

马里奥超级牛

2020-11-16

$合景悠活(03913)$跌出新高度

马里奥超级牛

2022-03-10

$爱奇艺(IQ)$ceo跳楼了吗？

马里奥超级牛

10-07

$嘉楠科技(CAN)$ 每天都高开低走

马里奥超级牛

2022-04-01

1450还真是无处不在，这点流量的软件也不放过，真是不嫌肉少啊！

异动 | 热门中概股集体短线拉升，滴滴涨超18%

马里奥超级牛

2022-03-14

$爱奇艺(IQ)$中概最烂就是你

马里奥超级牛

2020-07-08

$HYGIEIA GROUP(01650)$中签1600现在600块，我等你跌到1分钱

马里奥超级牛

11-07

$小马智行-W(02026)$ 垃圾

马里奥超级牛

03-11

$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFAI)$ 贾骗子是怎么活到现在的

马里奥超级牛

2022-05-20

$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$巴菲特好厉害，直接亏了7成

马里奥超级牛

2022-04-01

这是有什么大新闻吗

异动 | 热门中概股集体短线拉升，滴滴涨超18%

马里奥超级牛

2020-09-23

$乐享互动(06988)$没中，是不是幸运

马里奥超级牛

2020-07-10

$趣活(QH)$大家猜下开多少

马里奥超级牛

11-05

$小马智行-W(02026)$ 太恶心了吧

马里奥超级牛

07-18

$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc(FFAI)$ 贾骗子忽悠不下去了

马里奥超级牛

2022-01-11

$吉利汽车(00175)$是要倒闭了吗

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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贾骗子忽悠不下去了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/457990842839248","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":437469439000912,"gmtCreate":1747834882600,"gmtModify":1747835592351,"author":{"id":"3554545585761827","authorId":"3554545585761827","name":"马里奥超级牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f633d7062ff9e771e026cb4f2f01cd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554545585761827","authorIdStr":"3554545585761827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">$爱奇艺(IQ)$&nbsp;</a> 财报扑街了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">$爱奇艺(IQ)$&nbsp;</a> 财报扑街了","text":"$爱奇艺(IQ)$ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDL\">$叮咚买菜(DDL)$</a>这股是吃了大力丸吗","text":"$叮咚买菜(DDL)$这股是吃了大力丸吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619640847","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":619031321,"gmtCreate":1648812119296,"gmtModify":1648812119296,"author":{"id":"3554545585761827","authorId":"3554545585761827","name":"马里奥超级牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f633d7062ff9e771e026cb4f2f01cd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554545585761827","authorIdStr":"3554545585761827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1450还真是无处不在，这点流量的软件也不放过，真是不嫌肉少啊！","listText":"1450还真是无处不在，这点流量的软件也不放过，真是不嫌肉少啊！","text":"1450还真是无处不在，这点流量的软件也不放过，真是不嫌肉少啊！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619031321","repostId":"1197498822","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197498822","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1648806084,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197498822?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-01 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-01 17:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>4月1日，热门中概股集体短线拉升，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>涨超18%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>涨超5%，京东、蔚来涨超4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e170e34803d7a25a1c7c364bcf396eb\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"656\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","NTES":"网易","TME":"腾讯音乐","PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197498822","content_text":"4月1日，热门中概股集体短线拉升，滴滴涨超18%，拼多多涨超7%，网易、腾讯音乐、百度涨超6%，阿里巴巴涨超5%，京东、蔚来涨超4%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9,"NTES":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"TME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3468922502830096","authorId":"3468922502830096","name":"Tony大木","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3468922502830096","authorIdStr":"3468922502830096"},"content":"1450啥意思","text":"1450啥意思","html":"1450啥意思"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":619008762,"gmtCreate":1648806893680,"gmtModify":1648806893680,"author":{"id":"3554545585761827","authorId":"3554545585761827","name":"马里奥超级牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f633d7062ff9e771e026cb4f2f01cd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554545585761827","authorIdStr":"3554545585761827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这是有什么大新闻吗","listText":"这是有什么大新闻吗","text":"这是有什么大新闻吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619008762","repostId":"1197498822","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197498822","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1648806084,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197498822?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-01 17:41","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"异动 | 热门中概股集体短线拉升，滴滴涨超18%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197498822","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月1日，热门中概股集体短线拉升，滴滴涨超18%，拼多多涨超7%，网易、腾讯音乐、百度涨超6%，阿里巴巴涨超5%，京东、蔚来涨超4%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>4月1日，热门中概股集体短线拉升，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>涨超18%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>涨超5%，京东、蔚来涨超4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e170e34803d7a25a1c7c364bcf396eb\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"656\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-01 17:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>4月1日，热门中概股集体短线拉升，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>涨超18%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>涨超5%，京东、蔚来涨超4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e170e34803d7a25a1c7c364bcf396eb\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"656\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","NTES":"网易","TME":"腾讯音乐","PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197498822","content_text":"4月1日，热门中概股集体短线拉升，滴滴涨超18%，拼多多涨超7%，网易、腾讯音乐、百度涨超6%，阿里巴巴涨超5%，京东、蔚来涨超4%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9,"NTES":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"TME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":226667550384376,"gmtCreate":1696346826224,"gmtModify":1696346827098,"author":{"id":"3554545585761827","authorId":"3554545585761827","name":"马里奥超级牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f633d7062ff9e771e026cb4f2f01cd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554545585761827","idStr":"3554545585761827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">$第九城市(NCTY)$&nbsp;</a>**的缺德","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">$第九城市(NCTY)$&nbsp;</a>**的缺德","text":"$第九城市(NCTY)$ **的缺德","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/226667550384376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3920,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":416991260852528,"gmtCreate":1742823558986,"gmtModify":1742823560365,"author":{"id":"3554545585761827","authorId":"3554545585761827","name":"马里奥超级牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f633d7062ff9e771e026cb4f2f01cd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554545585761827","idStr":"3554545585761827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFAI\">$法拉第未来(FFAI)$</a> 这个烂公司是怎么混到上市的","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFAI\">$法拉第未来(FFAI)$</a> 这个烂公司是怎么混到上市的","text":"$法拉第未来(FFAI)$ 这个烂公司是怎么混到上市的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/416991260852528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":498641638966048,"gmtCreate":1762764397615,"gmtModify":1762764914824,"author":{"id":"3554545585761827","authorId":"3554545585761827","name":"马里奥超级牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f633d7062ff9e771e026cb4f2f01cd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554545585761827","idStr":"3554545585761827"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02026\">$小马智行-W(02026)$</a> 狗篮子","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02026\">$小马智行-W(02026)$</a> 狗篮子","text":"$小马智行-W(02026)$ 狗篮子","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/498641638966048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":636502425,"gmtCreate":1645965497553,"gmtModify":1645970326567,"author":{"id":"3554545585761827","authorId":"3554545585761827","name":"马里奥超级牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f633d7062ff9e771e026cb4f2f01cd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554545585761827","idStr":"3554545585761827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"人楼主没说错，如果按照文明做法，美国就不该在韩国日本欧洲等国家驻军，让他们国家人民自主选择自己的军事力量。世界人民应该讲道理而不是军事威慑。","listText":"人楼主没说错，如果按照文明做法，美国就不该在韩国日本欧洲等国家驻军，让他们国家人民自主选择自己的军事力量。世界人民应该讲道理而不是军事威慑。","text":"人楼主没说错，如果按照文明做法，美国就不该在韩国日本欧洲等国家驻军，让他们国家人民自主选择自己的军事力量。世界人民应该讲道理而不是军事威慑。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/636502425","repostId":"2214413665","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2214413665","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"投资银行在线 Investment Bank Online，一个资本与项目对接的平台，一个互联网金融的探索者和实践者。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"投资银行在线","id":"1099700137","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4331bef3d1642a1a43e1a1f2729cdaf"},"pubTimestamp":1645930860,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2214413665?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-27 11:01","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"基辛格八年前的预言：乌克兰危机将如何收场？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2214413665","media":"投资银行在线","summary":"关于乌克兰的公开讨论都是关于对抗的。然而，我们知道路向何方吗？","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>作者：基辛格（Henry Kissinger） </b><b>1973 年到1977年担任美国国务卿</b></p><p><b>本文发表于2014年3月6日《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WPO\">华盛顿邮报</a>》</b></p><p><b>翻译：洪灝</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f27bb9976e684c19a92f08383e802eb3\" tg-width=\"865\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>关于乌克兰的公开讨论都是关于对抗的。然而，我们知道路向何方吗？</p><p>在我的一生中，我看到的四场战争，都以极大的热情和公众的支持开始。我们并不知道如何结束所有这些战争，我们单方面撤出了其中三场战争。对政策的考验，是它如何结束，而不是如何开始。乌克兰问题常常是一种摊牌的姿态：乌克兰是加入东方，还是西方？但是，<b>如果乌克兰要生存和繁荣，它绝不能成为任何一方对抗另一方的前哨</b>——它应该充当它们之间的桥梁。</p><p>俄罗斯必须承认，试图迫使乌克兰进入卫星国地位，从而再次移动俄罗斯的边界，将使莫斯科注定要重蹈覆辙，进入与欧美相互施压、自我实现的死循环。而西方必须明白，对俄罗斯而言，乌克兰永远不可能只是一个外国。俄国历史开始于被称为基辅罗斯的地方，俄罗斯宗教从那里传播开来。几个世纪以来，乌克兰一直是俄罗斯的一部分，在此之前，它们的历史就交织在一起。从 1709 年的波尔塔瓦战役开始，俄罗斯争取自由的一些最重要的战役，都是在乌克兰领土上进行的。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fc2e2135d2549238d786a586a18e46e\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>黑海舰队——俄罗斯在地中海地区投射力量的手段——在克里米亚塞瓦斯托波尔长期驻扎。即使像亚历山大·索尔仁尼琴和约瑟夫·布罗茨基这样著名的持不同政见者也坚持认为，乌克兰是俄罗斯历史的一个组成部分，事实上就是俄罗斯的一部分。</p><p>欧盟必须认识到，<b>在乌克兰与欧洲关系的谈判中，欧盟官僚作风拖沓，战略因素从属于国内政治，导致谈判演变成危机。</b>外交政策是一门强调先后有别、轻重有分的艺术。乌克兰人是决定性因素。他们生活在一个历史复杂、通晓多种语言的国家。1939 年，乌克兰西线部分并入苏联，成为斯大林和希特勒瓜分的战利品。克里米亚 60 %的人口是俄罗斯人，直到 1954 年，乌克兰出生的尼基塔·赫鲁晓夫在庆祝俄罗斯与哥萨克达成协议 300 周年之际，才将克里米亚纳入乌克兰版图。乌克兰西部大部分是天主教徒，而东部大部分则是俄罗斯东正教。西乌克兰人说乌克兰语，而东乌克兰人主要说俄语。<b>乌克兰的任何一方试图支配另一方——这一直是一种惯用模式——将最终导致内战或分裂</b>。</p><p>将乌克兰视为东西方对抗的一部分，将使俄罗斯和西方——尤其是俄罗斯和欧洲进入一个合作性国际体系的前景在数十年内化为泡影。乌克兰独立只有 23 年，从 14 世纪开始就一直处于某种外国统治之下。毫不奇怪，它的领导人没有学会妥协的艺术，更不用说历史的视角了。独立后的乌克兰政治清楚地表明，问题的根源在于乌克兰政治家试图将自己的意愿强加于该国的顽抗地区，先是一派，然后是其对立派。这是亚努科维奇和他的主要政治对手季莫申科之间冲突的实质。他们代表着乌克兰的两翼，并不愿意分享权力。</p><p><b>一个明智的美国对乌克兰政策，是需要寻求一种让乌克兰的两个部分相互合作的方式</b>。我们应该寻求和解，而不是一个派别的统治。俄罗斯和西方，尤其是乌克兰的所有派别，都没有按照这一原则行事。每一个派别都使情况变得更糟。在俄罗斯的许多边界已经岌岌可危的时候，如果不统一自己，俄罗斯就无法强行实施军事解决办法。对西方来说，妖魔化普京不是一种政策，而是一种缺失的借口。<b>普京应该意识到，不管他有什么不满，军事强加政策都会导致另一场冷战</b>。</p><p>就美国而言，它需要避免把俄罗斯当作一个不正常的国家，耐心地接受华盛顿制定的行为准则。普京是一个严肃的战略家——以俄罗斯历史为前提。理解美国的价值观和心理学不是他的强项。了解俄罗斯历史和心理也不是美国决策者的强项。各方领导人都应该重新审视结果，而不是在摆姿态方面相互竞争。以下是我对于符合各方价值观和安全利益的结果的看法：</p><p>1）<b>乌克兰应有权自由选择其经济和政治联盟，包括与欧洲的联盟</b>。</p><p>2）<b>乌克兰不应该加入北约( NATO )，</b>这是我七年前提出的立场。</p><p>3）<b>乌克兰应自由建立符合其人民表达意愿的任何政府</b>。明智的乌克兰领导人会选择在他们国家不同地区之间实现和解的政策。实际上，他们应该追求一种堪比芬兰的姿态。毫无疑问，这个国家非常独立，在大多数领域都与西方合作，但却小心翼翼地避免对俄罗斯的体制性敌意。</p><p>4）<b>俄罗斯吞并克里米亚不符合现有世界秩序的规则</b>。但在一个不那么令人担忧的基础上处理克里米亚与乌克兰的关系应该是可能的。为此，俄罗斯将承认乌克兰对克里米亚的主权。在有国际观察员在场的情况下举行的选举中，乌克兰应该加强克里米亚的自治权。这一进程将包括消除有关塞瓦斯托波尔黑海舰队地位的任何模糊不清之处。</p><p>这些只是原则，不是药方。熟悉这一地区的人都知道，并非所有这些举措都能让各方满意。关键不在于各方绝对的满意，而是平衡不满意的各方。如果不能实现基于这些或类似条件的某种解决方案，乌克兰局势就会加速走向对抗。而这一时刻很快就会到来。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>基辛格八年前的预言：乌克兰危机将如何收场？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n基辛格八年前的预言：乌克兰危机将如何收场？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1099700137\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4331bef3d1642a1a43e1a1f2729cdaf);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">投资银行在线 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-27 11:01</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><b>作者：基辛格（Henry Kissinger） </b><b>1973 年到1977年担任美国国务卿</b></p><p><b>本文发表于2014年3月6日《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WPO\">华盛顿邮报</a>》</b></p><p><b>翻译：洪灝</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f27bb9976e684c19a92f08383e802eb3\" tg-width=\"865\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>关于乌克兰的公开讨论都是关于对抗的。然而，我们知道路向何方吗？</p><p>在我的一生中，我看到的四场战争，都以极大的热情和公众的支持开始。我们并不知道如何结束所有这些战争，我们单方面撤出了其中三场战争。对政策的考验，是它如何结束，而不是如何开始。乌克兰问题常常是一种摊牌的姿态：乌克兰是加入东方，还是西方？但是，<b>如果乌克兰要生存和繁荣，它绝不能成为任何一方对抗另一方的前哨</b>——它应该充当它们之间的桥梁。</p><p>俄罗斯必须承认，试图迫使乌克兰进入卫星国地位，从而再次移动俄罗斯的边界，将使莫斯科注定要重蹈覆辙，进入与欧美相互施压、自我实现的死循环。而西方必须明白，对俄罗斯而言，乌克兰永远不可能只是一个外国。俄国历史开始于被称为基辅罗斯的地方，俄罗斯宗教从那里传播开来。几个世纪以来，乌克兰一直是俄罗斯的一部分，在此之前，它们的历史就交织在一起。从 1709 年的波尔塔瓦战役开始，俄罗斯争取自由的一些最重要的战役，都是在乌克兰领土上进行的。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8fc2e2135d2549238d786a586a18e46e\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>黑海舰队——俄罗斯在地中海地区投射力量的手段——在克里米亚塞瓦斯托波尔长期驻扎。即使像亚历山大·索尔仁尼琴和约瑟夫·布罗茨基这样著名的持不同政见者也坚持认为，乌克兰是俄罗斯历史的一个组成部分，事实上就是俄罗斯的一部分。</p><p>欧盟必须认识到，<b>在乌克兰与欧洲关系的谈判中，欧盟官僚作风拖沓，战略因素从属于国内政治，导致谈判演变成危机。</b>外交政策是一门强调先后有别、轻重有分的艺术。乌克兰人是决定性因素。他们生活在一个历史复杂、通晓多种语言的国家。1939 年，乌克兰西线部分并入苏联，成为斯大林和希特勒瓜分的战利品。克里米亚 60 %的人口是俄罗斯人，直到 1954 年，乌克兰出生的尼基塔·赫鲁晓夫在庆祝俄罗斯与哥萨克达成协议 300 周年之际，才将克里米亚纳入乌克兰版图。乌克兰西部大部分是天主教徒，而东部大部分则是俄罗斯东正教。西乌克兰人说乌克兰语，而东乌克兰人主要说俄语。<b>乌克兰的任何一方试图支配另一方——这一直是一种惯用模式——将最终导致内战或分裂</b>。</p><p>将乌克兰视为东西方对抗的一部分，将使俄罗斯和西方——尤其是俄罗斯和欧洲进入一个合作性国际体系的前景在数十年内化为泡影。乌克兰独立只有 23 年，从 14 世纪开始就一直处于某种外国统治之下。毫不奇怪，它的领导人没有学会妥协的艺术，更不用说历史的视角了。独立后的乌克兰政治清楚地表明，问题的根源在于乌克兰政治家试图将自己的意愿强加于该国的顽抗地区，先是一派，然后是其对立派。这是亚努科维奇和他的主要政治对手季莫申科之间冲突的实质。他们代表着乌克兰的两翼，并不愿意分享权力。</p><p><b>一个明智的美国对乌克兰政策，是需要寻求一种让乌克兰的两个部分相互合作的方式</b>。我们应该寻求和解，而不是一个派别的统治。俄罗斯和西方，尤其是乌克兰的所有派别，都没有按照这一原则行事。每一个派别都使情况变得更糟。在俄罗斯的许多边界已经岌岌可危的时候，如果不统一自己，俄罗斯就无法强行实施军事解决办法。对西方来说，妖魔化普京不是一种政策，而是一种缺失的借口。<b>普京应该意识到，不管他有什么不满，军事强加政策都会导致另一场冷战</b>。</p><p>就美国而言，它需要避免把俄罗斯当作一个不正常的国家，耐心地接受华盛顿制定的行为准则。普京是一个严肃的战略家——以俄罗斯历史为前提。理解美国的价值观和心理学不是他的强项。了解俄罗斯历史和心理也不是美国决策者的强项。各方领导人都应该重新审视结果，而不是在摆姿态方面相互竞争。以下是我对于符合各方价值观和安全利益的结果的看法：</p><p>1）<b>乌克兰应有权自由选择其经济和政治联盟，包括与欧洲的联盟</b>。</p><p>2）<b>乌克兰不应该加入北约( NATO )，</b>这是我七年前提出的立场。</p><p>3）<b>乌克兰应自由建立符合其人民表达意愿的任何政府</b>。明智的乌克兰领导人会选择在他们国家不同地区之间实现和解的政策。实际上，他们应该追求一种堪比芬兰的姿态。毫无疑问，这个国家非常独立，在大多数领域都与西方合作，但却小心翼翼地避免对俄罗斯的体制性敌意。</p><p>4）<b>俄罗斯吞并克里米亚不符合现有世界秩序的规则</b>。但在一个不那么令人担忧的基础上处理克里米亚与乌克兰的关系应该是可能的。为此，俄罗斯将承认乌克兰对克里米亚的主权。在有国际观察员在场的情况下举行的选举中，乌克兰应该加强克里米亚的自治权。这一进程将包括消除有关塞瓦斯托波尔黑海舰队地位的任何模糊不清之处。</p><p>这些只是原则，不是药方。熟悉这一地区的人都知道，并非所有这些举措都能让各方满意。关键不在于各方绝对的满意，而是平衡不满意的各方。如果不能实现基于这些或类似条件的某种解决方案，乌克兰局势就会加速走向对抗。而这一时刻很快就会到来。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c892136e7fa5d90f7e88b80ab5b7968","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2214413665","content_text":"作者：基辛格（Henry Kissinger） 1973 年到1977年担任美国国务卿本文发表于2014年3月6日《华盛顿邮报》翻译：洪灝关于乌克兰的公开讨论都是关于对抗的。然而，我们知道路向何方吗？在我的一生中，我看到的四场战争，都以极大的热情和公众的支持开始。我们并不知道如何结束所有这些战争，我们单方面撤出了其中三场战争。对政策的考验，是它如何结束，而不是如何开始。乌克兰问题常常是一种摊牌的姿态：乌克兰是加入东方，还是西方？但是，如果乌克兰要生存和繁荣，它绝不能成为任何一方对抗另一方的前哨——它应该充当它们之间的桥梁。俄罗斯必须承认，试图迫使乌克兰进入卫星国地位，从而再次移动俄罗斯的边界，将使莫斯科注定要重蹈覆辙，进入与欧美相互施压、自我实现的死循环。而西方必须明白，对俄罗斯而言，乌克兰永远不可能只是一个外国。俄国历史开始于被称为基辅罗斯的地方，俄罗斯宗教从那里传播开来。几个世纪以来，乌克兰一直是俄罗斯的一部分，在此之前，它们的历史就交织在一起。从 1709 年的波尔塔瓦战役开始，俄罗斯争取自由的一些最重要的战役，都是在乌克兰领土上进行的。黑海舰队——俄罗斯在地中海地区投射力量的手段——在克里米亚塞瓦斯托波尔长期驻扎。即使像亚历山大·索尔仁尼琴和约瑟夫·布罗茨基这样著名的持不同政见者也坚持认为，乌克兰是俄罗斯历史的一个组成部分，事实上就是俄罗斯的一部分。欧盟必须认识到，在乌克兰与欧洲关系的谈判中，欧盟官僚作风拖沓，战略因素从属于国内政治，导致谈判演变成危机。外交政策是一门强调先后有别、轻重有分的艺术。乌克兰人是决定性因素。他们生活在一个历史复杂、通晓多种语言的国家。1939 年，乌克兰西线部分并入苏联，成为斯大林和希特勒瓜分的战利品。克里米亚 60 %的人口是俄罗斯人，直到 1954 年，乌克兰出生的尼基塔·赫鲁晓夫在庆祝俄罗斯与哥萨克达成协议 300 周年之际，才将克里米亚纳入乌克兰版图。乌克兰西部大部分是天主教徒，而东部大部分则是俄罗斯东正教。西乌克兰人说乌克兰语，而东乌克兰人主要说俄语。乌克兰的任何一方试图支配另一方——这一直是一种惯用模式——将最终导致内战或分裂。将乌克兰视为东西方对抗的一部分，将使俄罗斯和西方——尤其是俄罗斯和欧洲进入一个合作性国际体系的前景在数十年内化为泡影。乌克兰独立只有 23 年，从 14 世纪开始就一直处于某种外国统治之下。毫不奇怪，它的领导人没有学会妥协的艺术，更不用说历史的视角了。独立后的乌克兰政治清楚地表明，问题的根源在于乌克兰政治家试图将自己的意愿强加于该国的顽抗地区，先是一派，然后是其对立派。这是亚努科维奇和他的主要政治对手季莫申科之间冲突的实质。他们代表着乌克兰的两翼，并不愿意分享权力。一个明智的美国对乌克兰政策，是需要寻求一种让乌克兰的两个部分相互合作的方式。我们应该寻求和解，而不是一个派别的统治。俄罗斯和西方，尤其是乌克兰的所有派别，都没有按照这一原则行事。每一个派别都使情况变得更糟。在俄罗斯的许多边界已经岌岌可危的时候，如果不统一自己，俄罗斯就无法强行实施军事解决办法。对西方来说，妖魔化普京不是一种政策，而是一种缺失的借口。普京应该意识到，不管他有什么不满，军事强加政策都会导致另一场冷战。就美国而言，它需要避免把俄罗斯当作一个不正常的国家，耐心地接受华盛顿制定的行为准则。普京是一个严肃的战略家——以俄罗斯历史为前提。理解美国的价值观和心理学不是他的强项。了解俄罗斯历史和心理也不是美国决策者的强项。各方领导人都应该重新审视结果，而不是在摆姿态方面相互竞争。以下是我对于符合各方价值观和安全利益的结果的看法：1）乌克兰应有权自由选择其经济和政治联盟，包括与欧洲的联盟。2）乌克兰不应该加入北约( NATO )，这是我七年前提出的立场。3）乌克兰应自由建立符合其人民表达意愿的任何政府。明智的乌克兰领导人会选择在他们国家不同地区之间实现和解的政策。实际上，他们应该追求一种堪比芬兰的姿态。毫无疑问，这个国家非常独立，在大多数领域都与西方合作，但却小心翼翼地避免对俄罗斯的体制性敌意。4）俄罗斯吞并克里米亚不符合现有世界秩序的规则。但在一个不那么令人担忧的基础上处理克里米亚与乌克兰的关系应该是可能的。为此，俄罗斯将承认乌克兰对克里米亚的主权。在有国际观察员在场的情况下举行的选举中，乌克兰应该加强克里米亚的自治权。这一进程将包括消除有关塞瓦斯托波尔黑海舰队地位的任何模糊不清之处。这些只是原则，不是药方。熟悉这一地区的人都知道，并非所有这些举措都能让各方满意。关键不在于各方绝对的满意，而是平衡不满意的各方。如果不能实现基于这些或类似条件的某种解决方案，乌克兰局势就会加速走向对抗。而这一时刻很快就会到来。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2883,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":500109786509400,"gmtCreate":1763122746594,"gmtModify":1763122748382,"author":{"id":"3554545585761827","authorId":"3554545585761827","name":"马里奥超级牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f633d7062ff9e771e026cb4f2f01cd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554545585761827","idStr":"3554545585761827"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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每天都高开低走","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/486670914745144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":619031321,"gmtCreate":1648812119296,"gmtModify":1648812119296,"author":{"id":"3554545585761827","authorId":"3554545585761827","name":"马里奥超级牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f633d7062ff9e771e026cb4f2f01cd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554545585761827","idStr":"3554545585761827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1450还真是无处不在，这点流量的软件也不放过，真是不嫌肉少啊！","listText":"1450还真是无处不在，这点流量的软件也不放过，真是不嫌肉少啊！","text":"1450还真是无处不在，这点流量的软件也不放过，真是不嫌肉少啊！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619031321","repostId":"1197498822","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197498822","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1648806084,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197498822?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-01 17:41","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"异动 | 热门中概股集体短线拉升，滴滴涨超18%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197498822","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月1日，热门中概股集体短线拉升，滴滴涨超18%，拼多多涨超7%，网易、腾讯音乐、百度涨超6%，阿里巴巴涨超5%，京东、蔚来涨超4%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>4月1日，热门中概股集体短线拉升，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>涨超18%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>涨超5%，京东、蔚来涨超4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e170e34803d7a25a1c7c364bcf396eb\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"656\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-01 17:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>4月1日，热门中概股集体短线拉升，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>涨超18%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>涨超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>涨超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>涨超5%，京东、蔚来涨超4%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e170e34803d7a25a1c7c364bcf396eb\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"656\" 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referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","NTES":"网易","TME":"腾讯音乐","PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197498822","content_text":"4月1日，热门中概股集体短线拉升，滴滴涨超18%，拼多多涨超7%，网易、腾讯音乐、百度涨超6%，阿里巴巴涨超5%，京东、蔚来涨超4%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9,"NTES":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"TME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2111,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":975792829,"gmtCreate":1600825793061,"gmtModify":1703822594929,"author":{"id":"3554545585761827","authorId":"3554545585761827","name":"马里奥超级牛","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81f633d7062ff9e771e026cb4f2f01cd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554545585761827","idStr":"3554545585761827"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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