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zxzxzx1122

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2021-07-23

$Globalstar(GSAT)$wts

2021-07-14

Good

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2021-07-13

Huat

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2021-07-08

Going up?

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2021-07-29

Wahhhh

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2021-07-20

Good

Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

2021-07-19

Wah ho seh

Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be "Hotter But Shorter" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>

2021-02-13

$Ichor Holdings Ltd.(ICHR)$ huat arh

2021-07-30

Good

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2021-07-27

Good

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2021-07-23

Wah

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2021-07-15

Good

Sight Sciences Bulks Up IPO, Targeting $1 Billion Valuation<blockquote>Sight Sciences扩大IPO规模，目标估值10亿美元</blockquote>

2021-07-07

Good

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2021-02-17

Wow

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2021-07-28

Okok

Fed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote>

2021-07-17

$Cemtrex(CETX)$jialat

2021-07-16

$Cemtrex(CETX)$gogogo

2021-07-12

Like please

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2021-07-05

Great

Here's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote>

2021-07-26

Okok

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21:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102922788","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases\n","content":"<p>Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases</p><p><blockquote>官员们正在寻求就如何以及何时最终减少资产购买达成共识</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b506b5e7aef3659e57731a13007a3078\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"859\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本月早些时候在参议院委员会听证会上发表讲话，承诺在减少证券购买之前会发出充分的通知。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin&nbsp;paring their asset purchases&nbsp;amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员将于周三恢复审议，讨论在供应链瓶颈和Covid-19病例增加的情况下，如何以及何时开始削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年年底表示，将继续每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，直到官员们认为他们在实现低失业率和通胀率达到2%的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于美国东部时间下午2点发布政策声明。大部分焦点可能集中在下午2:30主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的新闻发布会上。以下是值得关注的内容：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper timing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥度正时</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.</p><p><blockquote>官员们可能会收到正式的工作人员简报，内容涉及何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及以多快的速度减少或缩减这些购买量。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于2020年3月开始购买大量证券，当时Covid-19大流行引发金融市场几近崩溃。由于美联储的短期利率为零，购买旨在通过压低长期利率来提供额外的刺激。</blockquote></p><p> Some officials are concerned&nbsp;that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>一些官员担心，今年因与重新开放经济相关的瓶颈而引发的通胀爆发将比之前预期的更持久。这些政策制定者渴望开始缩减，部分原因是他们和他们的同事表示，在完成缩减资产购买之前，他们不太可能考虑将利率从接近零的水平上调。</blockquote></p><p> Another camp thinks recent&nbsp;price pressures will subside&nbsp;and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.</p><p><blockquote>另一个阵营认为，最近的价格压力将会消退，并可能使美联储陷入过去十年大部分时间所面临的境地，即即使利率处于历史低位，全球力量仍将通胀率保持在2%以下。他们担心，加速缩减资产购买计划可能会引发投资者对美联储实现经济目标承诺的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Because Mr. Powell has pledged&nbsp;to provide ample notice&nbsp;to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering&nbsp;to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.</p><p><blockquote>由于鲍威尔承诺在美联储开始缩减规模之前向金融市场发出充分通知，以避免让投资者措手不及，因此美联储现在或在9月份的下一次会议上似乎不太可能启动这一进程。鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到严格审查，以寻找官员如何判断近期经济进展的线索。4月份，他表示美联储距离缩减目标“还有很长的路要走”，6月份他称经济距离目标“还有很长的路要走”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Purchase pace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买节奏</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>官员们还必须考虑任何削减的速度。一些官员已经讨论过在2022年10月左右结束购买，以便如果复苏更强劲或通胀高于目前预期，他们可以在此后很快加息。</blockquote></p><p> During a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在2014年结束的上一次资产购买计划中，美联储在10个月内适度、等量地缩减了购买规模。然后又等了14个月才加息。</blockquote></p><p> Another tactical question centers on whether&nbsp;to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.</p><p><blockquote>另一个战术问题集中在是否同样降低美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的发行速度。一些官员对房价上涨表示担忧，并敦促尽快停止购买抵押贷款债券。</blockquote></p><p> But Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔和其他官员最近几周对这些担忧泼了冷水。他们表示，通过购买长期资产，抵押贷款购买提供了一种更广泛地刺激经济的方式，并且并不直接关注房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> “If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.</p><p><blockquote>前美联储高级经济学家、现任耶鲁大学管理学院教授威廉·英格利希(William English)表示：“如果房地产市场真的让你担心，那么这就是越来越快地缩减一切的理由。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflation outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀前景</b></blockquote></p><p> For a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter&nbsp;than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.</p><p><blockquote>6月份通胀连续第三个月高于许多经济学家的预期。美国劳工部的消费者价格指数同比上涨5.4%，为2008年8月以来的12个月最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell said two weeks ago that&nbsp;many of the elevated price pressures&nbsp;can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔两周前表示，许多价格上涨压力仍然可以追溯到受供应链瓶颈和其他大流行引发的动荡影响的商品和服务。因此，他表示，美联储放弃早先的预期，即物价将自行回到2%的目标，并加息以更快地冷却需求和降低通胀，还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔可能会面临以下问题：央行及其由12名成员组成的利率制定委员会认为需要多长时间才能重新审视他们的预测。过去一年通胀较低的一些经济领域（包括住宅租金）的价格压力在近几个月有所加剧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta variant</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株</b></blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔还可能面临压力，询问最近未接种疫苗人群中Covid-19病例的增加可能如何重塑央行今年剩余时间的增长预测。虽然与一年前相比，恢复停工和其他州政府强制的活动限制似乎不太可能，但消费者对恢复正常支出的犹豫可能会使经济前景复杂化。</blockquote></p><p> Since Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.</p><p><blockquote>自美联储官员6月上次开会以来，政府债券价格大幅上涨，这表明投资者对长期增长前景的信心减弱，对通胀的担忧也减弱。</blockquote></p><p> Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>受疫苗接种和财政刺激措施将刺激经济繁荣的预期提振，收益率在债券价格下跌时上升，今年早些时候大幅攀升。在3月底触及1.75%的13个月高点后，10年期国债收益率已下降——美联储结束上次会议后的6月16日跌至1.57%，并跌至五个月低点1.24%，周二美联储会议开始时。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-28 21:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases</p><p><blockquote>官员们正在寻求就如何以及何时最终减少资产购买达成共识</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b506b5e7aef3659e57731a13007a3078\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"859\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本月早些时候在参议院委员会听证会上发表讲话，承诺在减少证券购买之前会发出充分的通知。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin&nbsp;paring their asset purchases&nbsp;amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员将于周三恢复审议，讨论在供应链瓶颈和Covid-19病例增加的情况下，如何以及何时开始削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年年底表示，将继续每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，直到官员们认为他们在实现低失业率和通胀率达到2%的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于美国东部时间下午2点发布政策声明。大部分焦点可能集中在下午2:30主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的新闻发布会上。以下是值得关注的内容：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper timing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥度正时</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.</p><p><blockquote>官员们可能会收到正式的工作人员简报，内容涉及何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及以多快的速度减少或缩减这些购买量。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于2020年3月开始购买大量证券，当时Covid-19大流行引发金融市场几近崩溃。由于美联储的短期利率为零，购买旨在通过压低长期利率来提供额外的刺激。</blockquote></p><p> Some officials are concerned&nbsp;that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>一些官员担心，今年因与重新开放经济相关的瓶颈而引发的通胀爆发将比之前预期的更持久。这些政策制定者渴望开始缩减，部分原因是他们和他们的同事表示，在完成缩减资产购买之前，他们不太可能考虑将利率从接近零的水平上调。</blockquote></p><p> Another camp thinks recent&nbsp;price pressures will subside&nbsp;and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.</p><p><blockquote>另一个阵营认为，最近的价格压力将会消退，并可能使美联储陷入过去十年大部分时间所面临的境地，即即使利率处于历史低位，全球力量仍将通胀率保持在2%以下。他们担心，加速缩减资产购买计划可能会引发投资者对美联储实现经济目标承诺的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Because Mr. Powell has pledged&nbsp;to provide ample notice&nbsp;to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering&nbsp;to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.</p><p><blockquote>由于鲍威尔承诺在美联储开始缩减规模之前向金融市场发出充分通知，以避免让投资者措手不及，因此美联储现在或在9月份的下一次会议上似乎不太可能启动这一进程。鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到严格审查，以寻找官员如何判断近期经济进展的线索。4月份，他表示美联储距离缩减目标“还有很长的路要走”，6月份他称经济距离目标“还有很长的路要走”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Purchase pace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买节奏</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>官员们还必须考虑任何削减的速度。一些官员已经讨论过在2022年10月左右结束购买，以便如果复苏更强劲或通胀高于目前预期，他们可以在此后很快加息。</blockquote></p><p> During a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在2014年结束的上一次资产购买计划中，美联储在10个月内适度、等量地缩减了购买规模。然后又等了14个月才加息。</blockquote></p><p> Another tactical question centers on whether&nbsp;to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.</p><p><blockquote>另一个战术问题集中在是否同样降低美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的发行速度。一些官员对房价上涨表示担忧，并敦促尽快停止购买抵押贷款债券。</blockquote></p><p> But Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔和其他官员最近几周对这些担忧泼了冷水。他们表示，通过购买长期资产，抵押贷款购买提供了一种更广泛地刺激经济的方式，并且并不直接关注房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> “If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.</p><p><blockquote>前美联储高级经济学家、现任耶鲁大学管理学院教授威廉·英格利希(William English)表示：“如果房地产市场真的让你担心，那么这就是越来越快地缩减一切的理由。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflation outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀前景</b></blockquote></p><p> For a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter&nbsp;than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.</p><p><blockquote>6月份通胀连续第三个月高于许多经济学家的预期。美国劳工部的消费者价格指数同比上涨5.4%，为2008年8月以来的12个月最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell said two weeks ago that&nbsp;many of the elevated price pressures&nbsp;can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔两周前表示，许多价格上涨压力仍然可以追溯到受供应链瓶颈和其他大流行引发的动荡影响的商品和服务。因此，他表示，美联储放弃早先的预期，即物价将自行回到2%的目标，并加息以更快地冷却需求和降低通胀，还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔可能会面临以下问题：央行及其由12名成员组成的利率制定委员会认为需要多长时间才能重新审视他们的预测。过去一年通胀较低的一些经济领域（包括住宅租金）的价格压力在近几个月有所加剧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta variant</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株</b></blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔还可能面临压力，询问最近未接种疫苗人群中Covid-19病例的增加可能如何重塑央行今年剩余时间的增长预测。虽然与一年前相比，恢复停工和其他州政府强制的活动限制似乎不太可能，但消费者对恢复正常支出的犹豫可能会使经济前景复杂化。</blockquote></p><p> Since Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.</p><p><blockquote>自美联储官员6月上次开会以来，政府债券价格大幅上涨，这表明投资者对长期增长前景的信心减弱，对通胀的担忧也减弱。</blockquote></p><p> Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>受疫苗接种和财政刺激措施将刺激经济繁荣的预期提振，收益率在债券价格下跌时上升，今年早些时候大幅攀升。在3月底触及1.75%的13个月高点后，10年期国债收益率已下降——美联储结束上次会议后的6月16日跌至1.57%，并跌至五个月低点1.24%，周二美联储会议开始时。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-meeting-will-focus-on-tapering-timeline-11627464602?mod=hp_lead_pos2\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-meeting-will-focus-on-tapering-timeline-11627464602?mod=hp_lead_pos2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102922788","content_text":"Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.\nFederal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin paring their asset purchases amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.\nThe central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.\nThe Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:\nTaper timing\nOfficials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.\nThe Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.\nSome officials are concerned that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.\nAnother camp thinks recent price pressures will subside and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.\nBecause Mr. Powell has pledged to provide ample notice to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.\nPurchase pace\nOfficials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.\nDuring a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.\nAnother tactical question centers on whether to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.\nBut Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.\n“If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.\nInflation outlook\nFor a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.\nMr. Powell said two weeks ago that many of the elevated price pressures can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.\nBut Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.\nDelta variant\nMr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.\nSince Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.\nYields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1735,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801389264,"gmtCreate":1627482842858,"gmtModify":1631885686727,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSAT\">$Globalstar(GSAT)$</a>gg","listText":"<a 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626954531,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127427732?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 19:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127427732","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Julr 22) Stock futures advanced on Thursday, with investors looking to earnings and data for impetu","content":"<p>(Julr&nbsp;22)&nbsp;Stock futures advanced on Thursday, with investors looking to earnings and data for impetus to extend a 2-day rally that wiped out losses sustained during the worst trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>（7月22日）股指期货周四上涨，投资者寻求收益和数据的动力，以延续两天的涨势，抹去了2021年最糟糕交易日的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:54 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 47 points, or 0.14%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 6.5&nbsp;points, or 0.15% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis rose 28.75 points, or 0.19%.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午7:54，道指E-minis上涨47点，涨幅0.14%，标普500 E-minis上涨6.5点，涨幅0.15%，纳斯达克100 E-minis上涨28.75点，涨幅0.19%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f0ee7363c9fe8efde482515ffff79ac\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"538\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The turnaround from the Monday selloff shows “corporations have been very resilient through all this,”&nbsp;David Mazza, Direxion head of product, said on Bloomberg Television. “Earnings estimates are quite remarkable, probably some of the best on record. Even through all this, we have central-bank liquidity remaining very abundant, economic growth being robust.”</p><p><blockquote>Direxion产品主管David Mazza在彭博电视台表示，周一抛售的好转表明“企业在这一切中表现得非常有弹性”。“盈利预期相当出色，可能是有记录以来最好的之一。尽管如此，我们的央行流动性仍然非常充裕，经济增长强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Energy and mega-cap tech stocks gained ahead of a new batch of earnings reports, the latest initial claims data and the first ECB meeting to incorporate the bank's new strategic review.&nbsp;Energy stocks Chevron Corp, Exxon Mobil, Schlumberger NV, Occidental Petroleum and Marathon Petroleum Corp climbed between 0.1% and 1%, tracking crude prices.</p><p><blockquote>在新一批收益报告、最新的首次申请失业救济数据以及欧洲央行首次会议纳入该行新的战略评估之前，能源股和大型科技股上涨。能源股雪佛龙公司、埃克森美孚公司、斯伦贝谢公司、西方石油公司和马拉松石油公司上涨0.1%至1%，跟踪原油价格。</blockquote></p><p> Some other notable pre-market movers:</p><p><blockquote>其他一些值得注意的盘前推动者：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Didi Global (DIDI) drops 3% in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading after people familiar with the matter said Chinese regulators are considering serious, perhaps unprecedented, penalties for for the ride-hailing giant after its controversial initial public offering last month.</li>  <li>Texas Instruments (TXN) drops 4.8% after third-quarter sales and profit forecasts left analysts disappointed, with Barclays saying the “flat outlook leaves little to live for this late in the cycle.”</li>  <li>AT&amp;T (T) added 0.9% as the telecom operator beat analysts’ estimates for monthly phone bill paying subscriber additions in the second quarter, fueled by more Americans converting to 5G phones.</li>  <li>Dow (DOW) rose 1.3% after its second-quarter profit doubled from the first, as prices for its chemicals used in plastics and packaging rose on the back of strong consumer and industrial demand as well as lower inventories.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CEMI\">Chembio Diagnostics</a> (CEMI) gains 9.9% and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NURO\">NeuroMetrix</a> (NURO) surges 33% amid discussions on message boards at Reddit and StockTwits.</li> </ul> Elsewhere, the Labor Department’s report, due at 8:30 a.m. ET, is expected to show the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to 350K (from 360K) for the week ended July 17, amid rampant worker shortages. Investors have been closely following the health of the jobs market on which monetary policy hinges, especially after a series of higher inflation reading recently sparked fears about a sooner-than expected paring of policy support as the economy reopens.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>滴滴出行(DIDI)在盘前交易中下跌3%，此前知情人士表示，中国监管机构正在考虑对这家网约车巨头在上个月备受争议的首次公开募股后实施严厉的、或许是前所未有的处罚。</li><li>德州仪器(TXN)第三季度销售和利润预测令分析师失望，股价下跌4.8%，巴克莱银行表示“前景平淡，在周期后期几乎没有什么可生存的了”。</li><li>AT&amp;T(T)股价上涨0.9%，由于更多美国人转向5G手机，该电信运营商第二季度每月电话费支付用户数量超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>陶氏化学(DOW)第二季度利润较第一季度翻倍，上涨1.3%，因消费者和工业需求强劲以及库存下降导致其用于塑料和包装的化学品价格上涨。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CEMI\">化学诊断学</a>(CEMI)上涨9.9%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NURO\">神经度量</a>在Reddit和StockTwits留言板上的讨论中，(NURO)飙升33%。</li></ul>在其他地方，劳工部将于美国东部时间上午8:30发布的报告预计将显示，由于工人严重短缺，截至7月17日当周，美国新申请失业救济的人数从36万降至35万。投资者一直在密切关注货币政策所依赖的就业市场的健康状况，特别是在最近一系列较高的通胀数据引发了人们对经济重新开放时政策支持将比预期更早削减的担忧之后。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin briefly rose above $32,000 after getting a boost from Elon Musk, who said his space exploration company SpaceX owns the digital token.</p><p><blockquote>在获得埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的提振后，比特币股价短暂升破32,000美元，埃隆·马斯克表示，他的太空探索公司SpaceX拥有该数字代币。</blockquote></p><p> In commodities oil hung on to most of Wednesday's sharp price rise, its biggest one-day gain in three months. Brent crude futures were last 0.4% softer at $71.94 a barrel, but had gained more than 4% on Wednesday. Gold was steady at $1,801 an ounce and cryptocurrencies were firm after bouncing from lows when Tesla boss Elon Musk said the carmaker would likely restart accepting bitcoin payments after due diligence on its energy use.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品方面，石油延续了周三价格大幅上涨的大部分时间，创下三个月来最大单日涨幅。布伦特原油期货最近下跌0.4%，至每桶71.94美元，但周三上涨超过4%。金价稳定在每盎司1,801美元，加密货币在从低点反弹后坚挺，当时特斯拉老板Elon Musk表示，在对其能源使用进行尽职调查后，该汽车制造商可能会重新开始接受比特币付款。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-22 19:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Julr&nbsp;22)&nbsp;Stock futures advanced on Thursday, with investors looking to earnings and data for impetus to extend a 2-day rally that wiped out losses sustained during the worst trading day of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>（7月22日）股指期货周四上涨，投资者寻求收益和数据的动力，以延续两天的涨势，抹去了2021年最糟糕交易日的跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:54 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 47 points, or 0.14%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were up 6.5&nbsp;points, or 0.15% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis rose 28.75 points, or 0.19%.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午7:54，道指E-minis上涨47点，涨幅0.14%，标普500 E-minis上涨6.5点，涨幅0.15%，纳斯达克100 E-minis上涨28.75点，涨幅0.19%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f0ee7363c9fe8efde482515ffff79ac\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"538\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The turnaround from the Monday selloff shows “corporations have been very resilient through all this,”&nbsp;David Mazza, Direxion head of product, said on Bloomberg Television. “Earnings estimates are quite remarkable, probably some of the best on record. Even through all this, we have central-bank liquidity remaining very abundant, economic growth being robust.”</p><p><blockquote>Direxion产品主管David Mazza在彭博电视台表示，周一抛售的好转表明“企业在这一切中表现得非常有弹性”。“盈利预期相当出色，可能是有记录以来最好的之一。尽管如此，我们的央行流动性仍然非常充裕，经济增长强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Energy and mega-cap tech stocks gained ahead of a new batch of earnings reports, the latest initial claims data and the first ECB meeting to incorporate the bank's new strategic review.&nbsp;Energy stocks Chevron Corp, Exxon Mobil, Schlumberger NV, Occidental Petroleum and Marathon Petroleum Corp climbed between 0.1% and 1%, tracking crude prices.</p><p><blockquote>在新一批收益报告、最新的首次申请失业救济数据以及欧洲央行首次会议纳入该行新的战略评估之前，能源股和大型科技股上涨。能源股雪佛龙公司、埃克森美孚公司、斯伦贝谢公司、西方石油公司和马拉松石油公司上涨0.1%至1%，跟踪原油价格。</blockquote></p><p> Some other notable pre-market movers:</p><p><blockquote>其他一些值得注意的盘前推动者：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Didi Global (DIDI) drops 3% in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading after people familiar with the matter said Chinese regulators are considering serious, perhaps unprecedented, penalties for for the ride-hailing giant after its controversial initial public offering last month.</li>  <li>Texas Instruments (TXN) drops 4.8% after third-quarter sales and profit forecasts left analysts disappointed, with Barclays saying the “flat outlook leaves little to live for this late in the cycle.”</li>  <li>AT&amp;T (T) added 0.9% as the telecom operator beat analysts’ estimates for monthly phone bill paying subscriber additions in the second quarter, fueled by more Americans converting to 5G phones.</li>  <li>Dow (DOW) rose 1.3% after its second-quarter profit doubled from the first, as prices for its chemicals used in plastics and packaging rose on the back of strong consumer and industrial demand as well as lower inventories.</li>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CEMI\">Chembio Diagnostics</a> (CEMI) gains 9.9% and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NURO\">NeuroMetrix</a> (NURO) surges 33% amid discussions on message boards at Reddit and StockTwits.</li> </ul> Elsewhere, the Labor Department’s report, due at 8:30 a.m. ET, is expected to show the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to 350K (from 360K) for the week ended July 17, amid rampant worker shortages. Investors have been closely following the health of the jobs market on which monetary policy hinges, especially after a series of higher inflation reading recently sparked fears about a sooner-than expected paring of policy support as the economy reopens.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>滴滴出行(DIDI)在盘前交易中下跌3%，此前知情人士表示，中国监管机构正在考虑对这家网约车巨头在上个月备受争议的首次公开募股后实施严厉的、或许是前所未有的处罚。</li><li>德州仪器(TXN)第三季度销售和利润预测令分析师失望，股价下跌4.8%，巴克莱银行表示“前景平淡，在周期后期几乎没有什么可生存的了”。</li><li>AT&amp;T(T)股价上涨0.9%，由于更多美国人转向5G手机，该电信运营商第二季度每月电话费支付用户数量超出了分析师的预期。</li><li>陶氏化学(DOW)第二季度利润较第一季度翻倍，上涨1.3%，因消费者和工业需求强劲以及库存下降导致其用于塑料和包装的化学品价格上涨。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CEMI\">化学诊断学</a>(CEMI)上涨9.9%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NURO\">神经度量</a>在Reddit和StockTwits留言板上的讨论中，(NURO)飙升33%。</li></ul>在其他地方，劳工部将于美国东部时间上午8:30发布的报告预计将显示，由于工人严重短缺，截至7月17日当周，美国新申请失业救济的人数从36万降至35万。投资者一直在密切关注货币政策所依赖的就业市场的健康状况，特别是在最近一系列较高的通胀数据引发了人们对经济重新开放时政策支持将比预期更早削减的担忧之后。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin briefly rose above $32,000 after getting a boost from Elon Musk, who said his space exploration company SpaceX owns the digital token.</p><p><blockquote>在获得埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的提振后，比特币股价短暂升破32,000美元，埃隆·马斯克表示，他的太空探索公司SpaceX拥有该数字代币。</blockquote></p><p> In commodities oil hung on to most of Wednesday's sharp price rise, its biggest one-day gain in three months. Brent crude futures were last 0.4% softer at $71.94 a barrel, but had gained more than 4% on Wednesday. Gold was steady at $1,801 an ounce and cryptocurrencies were firm after bouncing from lows when Tesla boss Elon Musk said the carmaker would likely restart accepting bitcoin payments after due diligence on its energy use.</p><p><blockquote>大宗商品方面，石油延续了周三价格大幅上涨的大部分时间，创下三个月来最大单日涨幅。布伦特原油期货最近下跌0.4%，至每桶71.94美元，但周三上涨超过4%。金价稳定在每盎司1,801美元，加密货币在从低点反弹后坚挺，当时特斯拉老板Elon Musk表示，在对其能源使用进行尽职调查后，该汽车制造商可能会重新开始接受比特币付款。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127427732","content_text":"(Julr 22) Stock futures advanced on Thursday, with investors looking to earnings and data for impetus to extend a 2-day rally that wiped out losses sustained during the worst trading day of 2021.\nAt 7:54 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 47 points, or 0.14%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.15% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis rose 28.75 points, or 0.19%. \nThe turnaround from the Monday selloff shows “corporations have been very resilient through all this,” David Mazza, Direxion head of product, said on Bloomberg Television. “Earnings estimates are quite remarkable, probably some of the best on record. Even through all this, we have central-bank liquidity remaining very abundant, economic growth being robust.”\nEnergy and mega-cap tech stocks gained ahead of a new batch of earnings reports, the latest initial claims data and the first ECB meeting to incorporate the bank's new strategic review. Energy stocks Chevron Corp, Exxon Mobil, Schlumberger NV, Occidental Petroleum and Marathon Petroleum Corp climbed between 0.1% and 1%, tracking crude prices.\nSome other notable pre-market movers:\n\nDidi Global (DIDI) drops 3% in premarket trading after people familiar with the matter said Chinese regulators are considering serious, perhaps unprecedented, penalties for for the ride-hailing giant after its controversial initial public offering last month.\nTexas Instruments (TXN) drops 4.8% after third-quarter sales and profit forecasts left analysts disappointed, with Barclays saying the “flat outlook leaves little to live for this late in the cycle.”\nAT&T (T) added 0.9% as the telecom operator beat analysts’ estimates for monthly phone bill paying subscriber additions in the second quarter, fueled by more Americans converting to 5G phones.\nDow (DOW) rose 1.3% after its second-quarter profit doubled from the first, as prices for its chemicals used in plastics and packaging rose on the back of strong consumer and industrial demand as well as lower inventories.\nChembio Diagnostics (CEMI) gains 9.9% and NeuroMetrix (NURO) surges 33% amid discussions on message boards at Reddit and StockTwits.\n\nElsewhere, the Labor Department’s report, due at 8:30 a.m. ET, is expected to show the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to 350K (from 360K) for the week ended July 17, amid rampant worker shortages. Investors have been closely following the health of the jobs market on which monetary policy hinges, especially after a series of higher inflation reading recently sparked fears about a sooner-than expected paring of policy support as the economy reopens.\nBitcoin briefly rose above $32,000 after getting a boost from Elon Musk, who said his space exploration company SpaceX owns the digital token.\nIn commodities oil hung on to most of Wednesday's sharp price rise, its biggest one-day gain in three months. Brent crude futures were last 0.4% softer at $71.94 a barrel, but had gained more than 4% on Wednesday. Gold was steady at $1,801 an ounce and cryptocurrencies were firm after bouncing from lows when Tesla boss Elon Musk said the carmaker would likely restart accepting bitcoin payments after due diligence on its energy use.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172658675,"gmtCreate":1626960468897,"gmtModify":1631884352625,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CETX\">$Cemtrex(CETX)$</a>down","listText":"<a 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626781673,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107562561?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 19:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107562561","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 20) U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns ov","content":"<p>(July 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns over the spread of Covid-19 variants and potential setbacks to the economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>（7月20日）美国。由于担心Covid-19变种的传播和经济复苏的潜在挫折，主要股指周一暴跌，周二股指期货小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:46 a.m. ET,Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose 0.65%, suggesting a reversal for the blue-chip index that fell more than 700 points Monday in itsworst session since October. S&amp;P 500 futures and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> 100 futures also climbed about&nbsp;0.5%, pointing to gains for both the broad-market index and technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:46，与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的期货上涨0.65%，这表明该蓝筹股指数出现逆转，周一跌幅超过700点，创10月份以来最糟糕的交易日。标普500期货及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>100指数期货也攀升约0.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c7cf976c90c31e5beb9ae8a2d1ee346\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have grown concerned over the Delta coronavirus variant, prompting a reassessment of the economy’s prospects. Despite this, the three major stock indexes each closed only around 3% down from their all-time highs Monday, underscoring the strength of the rally that powered equity markets in the first half of the year.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>对德尔塔新冠病毒变异毒株的担忧日益加剧，促使人们重新评估经济前景。尽管如此，三大股指周一收盘仅较历史高点下跌约3%，凸显了今年上半年推动股市上涨的力度。</blockquote></p><p> “When you get a selloff like we had yesterday, there are certainly going to be some investors who are going to see that as an opportunity to invest for the longer term,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multiasset strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management. “Especially where the 10-year [Treasury] yields have gone, that still points to the default position for investors as long equities, because there are simply very few other options.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理多资产策略师基兰·加内什(Kiran Ganesh)表示：“当出现像昨天那样的抛售时，肯定会有一些投资者将其视为长期投资的机会。”“尤其是10年期[国债]收益率的走势，这仍然表明投资者的默认头寸是做多股票，因为其他选择很少。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Amazon</b>&nbsp;<b>-</b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> gains 0.6% in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading ahead of Jeff Bezos’s flight to space with his Blue Origin crew.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216266594038247%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Watch&nbsp;Live&lt;&lt;</b></a></p><p><blockquote><b>1）亚马逊</b> <b>-</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>在杰夫·贝索斯(Elon Musk)与蓝色起源(Blue Origin)机组人员飞往太空之前，盘前交易上涨0.6%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216266594038247%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>观看直播&lt;&lt;</b></a></blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a> gained 4.0% in premarket trading as brokerages raised their price targets on the stock following strong quarterly growth in the company’s cloud and consulting businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2) </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>在该公司云和咨询业务季度强劲增长后，券商提高了该股的目标价，盘前交易中上涨4.0%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Halliburton</b>&nbsp;-&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HAL\">Halliburton</a> added 2% after it posted a second-straight quarterly profit, as a rebound in crude prices from pandemic-lows buoyed demand for oilfield services.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）哈里伯顿</b> -  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HAL\">哈里伯顿</a>由于原油价格从大流行低点反弹提振了对油田服务的需求，该公司连续第二个季度实现盈利，股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> 4)&nbsp;<b>Energy stocks</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLB\">Schlumberger</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a> rose between 0.8% and 2.7%, as oil prices edged higher after the previous session’s 7% slide.</p><p><blockquote>4) <b>能源股</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLB\">斯伦贝谢</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">菲利普斯66</a>油价在前一交易日下跌7%后小幅走高，涨幅在0.8%至2.7%之间。</blockquote></p><p> 5)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a>&nbsp;-</b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a> slumps as much as 73% in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;after the FDA identified deficiencies on the company’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> Drug Application for</p><p><blockquote>5) <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a> -</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a>在FDA发现该公司的产品存在缺陷后，上市前股价暴跌73%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">新的</a>药品申请</blockquote></p><p> 6)&nbsp;Tenapanor for the Control of Serum Phosphorus. Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target to $4 from $14, adding that it struggles to see a path forward for Tenapanor.</p><p><blockquote>6)用于控制血清磷的Tenapanor。Piper Sandler将该股评级从买入下调至中性，并将目标价从14美元下调至4美元，并补充说它很难看到Tenapanor的前进道路。</blockquote></p><p> 7)&nbsp;Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks fall in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading after the selloff in Bitcoin accelerated and pushed the token below $30,000 for the first time in around a month. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">Marathon</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLR\">Digital</a> (MARA) slides 2.3% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) drops 2.4%, while Bit Digital (BTBT) falls 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>7)在比特币抛售加速并将代币推低至30,000美元左右后，加密货币敞口股票在盘前交易中下跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">马拉松</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLR\">数字的</a>(MARA)下跌2.3%，Riot Blockchain(RIOT)下跌2.4%，Bit Digital(BTBT)下跌1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 8)&nbsp;Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally in&nbsp;premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>8）航空股、邮轮股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c010156919e7a9a142d3f1526e159338\" tg-width=\"304\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">9)&nbsp;EV&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;are&nbsp;up&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ed864e7f35620844cc2cbbffe42e24b\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>9)电动汽车股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b> oil prices stabilized after slumping around 7% in the previous session due to worries about future demand and after an OPEC+ agreement to increase supply. Brent crude gained 0.7% to $69.11 a barrel. The U.S. crude contract for August delivery, which expires later on Tuesday, was up 0.9% at $66.64 a barrel. Spot gold fades Asia’s modest gains to trade near $1,815/oz after hitting a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-week low of $1,794.06 in the previous session. Base metals were mixed, LME lead and LME copper outperform; zinc drops as much as 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中，</b>由于对未来需求的担忧以及欧佩克+达成增加供应的协议，油价在前一交易日暴跌7%左右后企稳。布伦特原油上涨0.7%，至每桶69.11美元。周二晚些时候到期的美国8月原油合约上涨0.9%，至每桶66.64美元。现货黄金在触及1,815美元/盎司后，在亚洲小幅上涨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>-前一交易日触及一周低点1,794.06美元。基本金属涨跌互现，LME铅、LME铜跑赢大盘；锌跌幅高达0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> In a separate gauge of investor risk appetite, bitcoin fell below $30,000 for the first time since June 22.</p><p><blockquote>在另一项衡量投资者风险偏好的指标中，比特币自6月22日以来首次跌破3万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Meanwhile, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> reporting season is underway, with 41 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having reported. Of those, 90% have beaten consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv data. Focus is now on earnings reports from companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">Chipotle Mexican Grill</a> later in the day.</p><p><blockquote>同时，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>报告季正在进行中，标普500已有41家公司提交了报告。根据Refinitiv的数据，其中90%超出了普遍预期。现在的焦点是公司的收益报告，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>公司，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">墨西哥烤肉店</a>今天晚些时候。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the day ahead, the data highlights include US housing starts and building permits for June. From central banks, we’ll hear from the ECB’s Villeroy, while earnings releases include Netflix, Phillip Morris, HCA <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a>, Chipotle, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Airlines and Halliburton.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来一天，数据亮点包括美国6月份新屋开工和建筑许可。在央行方面，我们将听取欧洲央行Villeroy的发言，同时发布财报的包括Netflix、菲利普莫里斯、HCA<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>,墨西哥卷饼,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>航空公司和哈里伯顿公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-20 19:47</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns over the spread of Covid-19 variants and potential setbacks to the economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>（7月20日）美国。由于担心Covid-19变种的传播和经济复苏的潜在挫折，主要股指周一暴跌，周二股指期货小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:46 a.m. ET,Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;rose 0.65%, suggesting a reversal for the blue-chip index that fell more than 700 points Monday in itsworst session since October. S&amp;P 500 futures and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> 100 futures also climbed about&nbsp;0.5%, pointing to gains for both the broad-market index and technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:46，与道琼斯工业平均指数挂钩的期货上涨0.65%，这表明该蓝筹股指数出现逆转，周一跌幅超过700点，创10月份以来最糟糕的交易日。标普500期货及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>100指数期货也攀升约0.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c7cf976c90c31e5beb9ae8a2d1ee346\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have grown concerned over the Delta coronavirus variant, prompting a reassessment of the economy’s prospects. Despite this, the three major stock indexes each closed only around 3% down from their all-time highs Monday, underscoring the strength of the rally that powered equity markets in the first half of the year.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>对德尔塔新冠病毒变异毒株的担忧日益加剧，促使人们重新评估经济前景。尽管如此，三大股指周一收盘仅较历史高点下跌约3%，凸显了今年上半年推动股市上涨的力度。</blockquote></p><p> “When you get a selloff like we had yesterday, there are certainly going to be some investors who are going to see that as an opportunity to invest for the longer term,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multiasset strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management. “Especially where the 10-year [Treasury] yields have gone, that still points to the default position for investors as long equities, because there are simply very few other options.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银全球财富管理多资产策略师基兰·加内什(Kiran Ganesh)表示：“当出现像昨天那样的抛售时，肯定会有一些投资者将其视为长期投资的机会。”“尤其是10年期[国债]收益率的走势，这仍然表明投资者的默认头寸是做多股票，因为其他选择很少。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Amazon</b>&nbsp;<b>-</b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> gains 0.6% in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading ahead of Jeff Bezos’s flight to space with his Blue Origin crew.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216266594038247%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Watch&nbsp;Live&lt;&lt;</b></a></p><p><blockquote><b>1）亚马逊</b> <b>-</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>在杰夫·贝索斯(Elon Musk)与蓝色起源(Blue Origin)机组人员飞往太空之前，盘前交易上涨0.6%。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNLive&amp;rndata=%7B%22liveId%22:%2216266594038247%22%7D\" target=\"_blank\"><b>观看直播&lt;&lt;</b></a></blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a> gained 4.0% in premarket trading as brokerages raised their price targets on the stock following strong quarterly growth in the company’s cloud and consulting businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>2) </b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>在该公司云和咨询业务季度强劲增长后，券商提高了该股的目标价，盘前交易中上涨4.0%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Halliburton</b>&nbsp;-&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HAL\">Halliburton</a> added 2% after it posted a second-straight quarterly profit, as a rebound in crude prices from pandemic-lows buoyed demand for oilfield services.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）哈里伯顿</b> -  <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HAL\">哈里伯顿</a>由于原油价格从大流行低点反弹提振了对油田服务的需求，该公司连续第二个季度实现盈利，股价上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> 4)&nbsp;<b>Energy stocks</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLB\">Schlumberger</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">Phillips 66</a> rose between 0.8% and 2.7%, as oil prices edged higher after the previous session’s 7% slide.</p><p><blockquote>4) <b>能源股</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">雪佛龙</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLB\">斯伦贝谢</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">西方</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSX\">菲利普斯66</a>油价在前一交易日下跌7%后小幅走高，涨幅在0.8%至2.7%之间。</blockquote></p><p> 5)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a>&nbsp;-</b>&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a> slumps as much as 73% in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;after the FDA identified deficiencies on the company’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> Drug Application for</p><p><blockquote>5) <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a> -</b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARDX\">Ardelyx</a>在FDA发现该公司的产品存在缺陷后，上市前股价暴跌73%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">新的</a>药品申请</blockquote></p><p> 6)&nbsp;Tenapanor for the Control of Serum Phosphorus. Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target to $4 from $14, adding that it struggles to see a path forward for Tenapanor.</p><p><blockquote>6)用于控制血清磷的Tenapanor。Piper Sandler将该股评级从买入下调至中性，并将目标价从14美元下调至4美元，并补充说它很难看到Tenapanor的前进道路。</blockquote></p><p> 7)&nbsp;Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks fall in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading after the selloff in Bitcoin accelerated and pushed the token below $30,000 for the first time in around a month. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">Marathon</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLR\">Digital</a> (MARA) slides 2.3% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) drops 2.4%, while Bit Digital (BTBT) falls 1.6%.</p><p><blockquote>7)在比特币抛售加速并将代币推低至30,000美元左右后，加密货币敞口股票在盘前交易中下跌。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MPC\">马拉松</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DLR\">数字的</a>(MARA)下跌2.3%，Riot Blockchain(RIOT)下跌2.4%，Bit Digital(BTBT)下跌1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> 8)&nbsp;Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally in&nbsp;premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>8）航空股、邮轮股在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c010156919e7a9a142d3f1526e159338\" tg-width=\"304\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">9)&nbsp;EV&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;are&nbsp;up&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ed864e7f35620844cc2cbbffe42e24b\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>9)电动汽车股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,</b> oil prices stabilized after slumping around 7% in the previous session due to worries about future demand and after an OPEC+ agreement to increase supply. Brent crude gained 0.7% to $69.11 a barrel. The U.S. crude contract for August delivery, which expires later on Tuesday, was up 0.9% at $66.64 a barrel. Spot gold fades Asia’s modest gains to trade near $1,815/oz after hitting a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-week low of $1,794.06 in the previous session. Base metals were mixed, LME lead and LME copper outperform; zinc drops as much as 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中，</b>由于对未来需求的担忧以及欧佩克+达成增加供应的协议，油价在前一交易日暴跌7%左右后企稳。布伦特原油上涨0.7%，至每桶69.11美元。周二晚些时候到期的美国8月原油合约上涨0.9%，至每桶66.64美元。现货黄金在触及1,815美元/盎司后，在亚洲小幅上涨<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>-前一交易日触及一周低点1,794.06美元。基本金属涨跌互现，LME铅、LME铜跑赢大盘；锌跌幅高达0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> In a separate gauge of investor risk appetite, bitcoin fell below $30,000 for the first time since June 22.</p><p><blockquote>在另一项衡量投资者风险偏好的指标中，比特币自6月22日以来首次跌破3万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Meanwhile, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a> reporting season is underway, with 41 of the companies in the S&amp;P 500 having reported. Of those, 90% have beaten consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv data. Focus is now on earnings reports from companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a> Inc, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">Chipotle Mexican Grill</a> later in the day.</p><p><blockquote>同时，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTWO\">Q2</a>报告季正在进行中，标普500已有41家公司提交了报告。根据Refinitiv的数据，其中90%超出了普遍预期。现在的焦点是公司的收益报告，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>公司，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">菲利普·莫里斯</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CMG\">墨西哥烤肉店</a>今天晚些时候。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at the day ahead, the data highlights include US housing starts and building permits for June. From central banks, we’ll hear from the ECB’s Villeroy, while earnings releases include Netflix, Phillip Morris, HCA <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a>, Chipotle, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Airlines and Halliburton.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来一天，数据亮点包括美国6月份新屋开工和建筑许可。在央行方面，我们将听取欧洲央行Villeroy的发言，同时发布财报的包括Netflix、菲利普莫里斯、HCA<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>,墨西哥卷饼,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">团结的</a>航空公司和哈里伯顿公司。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107562561","content_text":"(July 20) U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday, after major indexes tumbled Monday on concerns over the spread of Covid-19 variants and potential setbacks to the economic recovery.\nAt 7:46 a.m. ET,Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.65%, suggesting a reversal for the blue-chip index that fell more than 700 points Monday in itsworst session since October. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures also climbed about 0.5%, pointing to gains for both the broad-market index and technology stocks.\n\nInvestors have grown concerned over the Delta coronavirus variant, prompting a reassessment of the economy’s prospects. Despite this, the three major stock indexes each closed only around 3% down from their all-time highs Monday, underscoring the strength of the rally that powered equity markets in the first half of the year.\n“When you get a selloff like we had yesterday, there are certainly going to be some investors who are going to see that as an opportunity to invest for the longer term,” said Kiran Ganesh, a multiasset strategist at UBS Global Wealth Management. “Especially where the 10-year [Treasury] yields have gone, that still points to the default position for investors as long equities, because there are simply very few other options.”\nStocks making the biggest moves premarket:\n1) Amazon - Amazon.com gains 0.6% in premarket trading ahead of Jeff Bezos’s flight to space with his Blue Origin crew. Watch Live<<\n2) IBM gained 4.0% in premarket trading as brokerages raised their price targets on the stock following strong quarterly growth in the company’s cloud and consulting businesses.\n3) Halliburton -  Halliburton added 2% after it posted a second-straight quarterly profit, as a rebound in crude prices from pandemic-lows buoyed demand for oilfield services.\n4) Energy stocks Chevron, Schlumberger, Occidental and Phillips 66 rose between 0.8% and 2.7%, as oil prices edged higher after the previous session’s 7% slide.\n5) Ardelyx - Ardelyx slumps as much as 73% in premarket after the FDA identified deficiencies on the company’s New Drug Application for\n6) Tenapanor for the Control of Serum Phosphorus. Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to neutral from buy and slashed its price target to $4 from $14, adding that it struggles to see a path forward for Tenapanor.\n7) Cryptocurrency-exposed stocks fall in premarket trading after the selloff in Bitcoin accelerated and pushed the token below $30,000 for the first time in around a month. Marathon Digital (MARA) slides 2.3% and Riot Blockchain (RIOT) drops 2.4%, while Bit Digital (BTBT) falls 1.6%.\n8) Airline stocks, Cruise Stocks rally in premarket trading.\n9) EV stocks are up in premarket trading.\nIn commodities, oil prices stabilized after slumping around 7% in the previous session due to worries about future demand and after an OPEC+ agreement to increase supply. Brent crude gained 0.7% to $69.11 a barrel. The U.S. crude contract for August delivery, which expires later on Tuesday, was up 0.9% at $66.64 a barrel. Spot gold fades Asia’s modest gains to trade near $1,815/oz after hitting a one-week low of $1,794.06 in the previous session. Base metals were mixed, LME lead and LME copper outperform; zinc drops as much as 0.7%.\nIn a separate gauge of investor risk appetite, bitcoin fell below $30,000 for the first time since June 22.\nMeanwhile, Q2 reporting season is underway, with 41 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 90% have beaten consensus estimates, according to Refinitiv data. Focus is now on earnings reports from companies including Netflix Inc, Philip Morris and Chipotle Mexican Grill later in the day.\nLooking at the day ahead, the data highlights include US housing starts and building permits for June. From central banks, we’ll hear from the ECB’s Villeroy, while earnings releases include Netflix, Phillip Morris, HCA Healthcare, Chipotle, United Airlines and Halliburton.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":268,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171992137,"gmtCreate":1626701483129,"gmtModify":1631890973677,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wah ho seh","listText":"Wah ho seh","text":"Wah ho seh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171992137","repostId":"1146536243","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146536243","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626683272,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146536243?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146536243","media":"zerohedge","summary":"This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","content":"<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Morgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley: This Cycle Will Be \"Hotter But Shorter\" Than Usual<blockquote>摩根士丹利：本轮周期将比往常“更热但更短”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 16:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为这个经济周期将是正常的、强劲的、短暂的。这些假设中的每一个都受到市场的激烈争论。每一项都是我们投资策略的关键。</blockquote></p><p> The debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.</p><p><blockquote>关于周期“常态”的争论是不言自明的。毫不夸张地说，疫情造成了有记录以来最大幅度的产出下降。随后，在政策支持的帮助下，经济活动迅速回升。将这种情况视为独特的，不同于其他周期性经历的理由是，这种暴力的下跌和上涨从未允许传统的“重置”。</blockquote></p><p> But 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.</p><p><blockquote>但市场中的“正常”是一个有趣的概念，记忆的粗糙边缘往往会随着时间的推移而变得光滑和抛光。2003-07年的周期以大萧条以来最大的银行和房地产危机结束。1992-2000年的周期以巨大的股票泡沫破裂、广泛的会计欺诈和难以言喻的悲剧而告终。“正常”周期在理论上很好，但在实践中更难。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.</p><p><blockquote>相反，让我们考虑一下为什么我们使用术语“周期”。经济和市场往往遵循周期性模式，这些模式往往会在市场表现中显现出来。我们关心的是那些模式，如果它们仍然适用，它们可以在不确定的地形中提供有用的指导。</blockquote></p><p> Was last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.</p><p><blockquote>去年的衰退之前是否存在收益率曲线倒挂、低波动性、低失业率、高消费者信心和股市广度收窄等周期后期条件？是的。由此产生的股票、信贷、收益率和收益率曲线的低谷是否符合市场和经济低点之间的通常节奏？他们做到了。随后反弹的领头羊是否是通常的早期周期赢家，如小型股和周期性股票、高收益信贷和工业金属？他们是。</blockquote></p><p> If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are.&nbsp;If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should&nbsp;<i>continue</i>&nbsp;to do so.</p><p><blockquote>如果它像鸭子一样走路，像鸭子一样嘎嘎叫，我们认为这是一个正常的循环。或者这些事情实际上是正常的。如果到目前为止已经发生了很多“正常”的循环行为，那么它应该<i>继续</i>这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see&nbsp;The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，这与市场复苏时的表现模式有关。随着复苏的推进，这些模式应该会发生变化。正如我的同事迈克尔·威尔逊所指出的，我们认为我们正在进入周期中期市场，尽管距离经济活动低点仅16个月。我们看到当前状况与2004年上半年有许多相似之处，2004年上半年是大幅通货再膨胀反弹之后的周期中期。重要的是，尽管最近对增长感到担忧，但我们认为全球复苏将继续推进（见增长恐慌周年纪念，2021年7月11日）。</blockquote></p><p> Because one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.<b>It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.</b></p><p><blockquote>因为人们总能找到适合他们特定周期观点的指标，所以我们长期以来一直是综合指数的粉丝。这就是我们的“周期模型”，它结合了美国宏观、信贷周期和企业侵略性的十个指标，以衡量我们在市场周期中的位置。在2019年6月进入周期后期“低迷”和2020年4月进入周期早期“修复”后，该指数飙升。<b>它上升得如此之快，以至于已经过了下一个阶段（“复苏”），直接进入了“扩张”。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41879c4f66b33597ee236bdd52841004\" tg-width=\"904\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Thisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',<b>and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends</b>. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.<b>It also hints at another possibility:&nbsp;this hotter cycle could be shorter.</b>This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.</p><p><blockquote>这很不寻常。“扩张”意味着捕捉“比正常情况更好且正在改善”的条件，<b>自1980年以来，“低迷”结束后平均需要35个月才能实现这一目标</b>它的迅速到来表明，在巨大的政策支持下，经济正在迅速复苏。<b>这也暗示了另一种可能性：这个更热的周期可能会更短。</b>这是我们的论点，它体现在我们的定量测量中。</blockquote></p><p> All this has a number of implications:</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都有许多含义：</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>The shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases</b>. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.</li>  <li><b>In many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low</b>. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.</li>  <li><b>In equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios</b>. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.</li>  <li><b>Interest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model</b>. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.</li> </ul> This cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>周期越短，信贷相对于其他风险资产越差；信贷从“繁荣”中获得的收益较少，如果下一次衰退提前到来，信贷就会面临风险，并且随着企业信心的增强，信贷将面临更多的供应</b>在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国IG和HY Credit N1200万超额回报分别比平均水平差29个基点和161个基点。</li><li><b>在其中许多时期，尽管违约率仍然很低，但信贷表现却参差不齐</b>投资者应该尝试承担违约风险而不是利差风险：我们的信用策略师喜欢持有CDX HY 0-15%，并用CDX IG付款人利差进行对冲。</li><li><b>在股票方面，我们认为我们的模型支持投资组合更加平衡</b>我们看好美国和欧洲的医疗保健行业，因为该行业具有几个良好的因素：质量、低估值、高利差和低波动性。从全球来看，欧洲和日本的股市往往跑赢“中期周期”，我们认为它们可以再次这样做。</li><li><b>利率对复苏过于悲观。在我们周期模型的“扩张”阶段，美国10年期国债1200万奈拉回报率比平均水平低97个基点</b>.Guneet Dhingra和我们的美国利率策略团队在全球资产配置中转移了跑输大盘美国10年期国债，而我们反过来又转移了跑输大盘政府债券。</li></ul>这种循环是不寻常的。大多数“正常”周期都是。我们认为复苏是可持续的，而且更有可能“更热、更短”。出售国债并相信扩张。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-cycle-will-be-hotter-shorter-usual","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146536243","content_text":"We think that this economic cycle will be normal, strong and short. Each of these assumptions is being hotly debated by the market. Each is key to our investment strategy.\nThe debate over cycle 'normalcy' is self-explanatory. The pandemic created, without exaggeration, the single sharpest decline in output in recorded history. Then activity raced back, helped by policy support. The case for viewing this situation as unique, and distinct from other cyclical experiences, is based on the view that a fall and rise this violent never allowed for a traditional 'reset'.\nBut 'normal' in markets is a funny concept, with the rough edges of memory often smoothed and polished by the passage of time. The cycle of 2003-07 ended with the largest banking and housing crisis since the Great Depression. The cycle of 1992-2000 ended with the bursting of an enormous equity bubble, widespread accounting fraud and unspeakable tragedy. 'Normal' cycles are nice in theory, harder in practice.\nInstead, let’s consider why we use the term ‘cycle’ at all. Economies and markets tend to follow cyclical patterns, patterns that tend to show up in market performance. It is those patterns we care about, and if they still apply, they can provide a useful guide in uncertain terrain.\nWas last year’s recession preceded by late-cycle conditions such as an inverted yield curve, low volatility, low unemployment, high consumer confidence and narrowing equity market breadth? It was. Did the resulting troughs in equities, credit, yields and yield curves match the usual cadence between market and economic lows? They did. And were the leaders of the ensuing rally the usual early-cycle winners, like small and cyclical stocks, high yield credit and industrial metals? They were.\nIf it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, we think that it’s a normal cycle. Or as normal as these things realistically are. If a lot of 'normal' cycle behavior has played out so far, it should continue to do so.\nSpecifically, this relates to patterns of performance as the market recovers. And as that recovery advances, those patterns should shift. As noted by my colleague Michael Wilson, we think that we are moving to a mid-cycle market, despite being just 16 months removed from the lows of economic activity. We see a number of similarities between current conditions and 1H04, a mid-cycle period that followed a large, reflationary rally. And importantly, despite recent fears about growth, we think that the global recovery will keep pushing on (see The Growth Scare Anniversary, July 11, 2021).\nBecause one can always find an indicator that fits their particular cycle view, we’ve long been fans of a composite. That’s our ‘cycle model’, which combines ten US metrics across macro, the credit cycle and corporate aggression to gauge where we are in the market cycle. After moving into late-cycle ‘downturn’ in June 2019, and early-cycle ‘repair’ in April 2020, it’s rocketed higher.It has risen so fast that it’s blown right past what should be the next phase ('recovery'), and moved right into ‘expansion’.\nThisis unusual. ‘Expansion’ is meant to capture conditions that are 'better than normal, and improving',and since 1980, it has taken an average of 35 months to get there after 'downturn' ends. Its speedy arrival speaks to a speedy recovery powered by enormous policy support.It also hints at another possibility: this hotter cycle could be shorter.This is our thesis, and it’s showing up in our quantitative measure.\nAll this has a number of implications:\n\nThe shorter the cycle, the worse for credit relative to other risky assets; credit enjoys fewer of the gains from the 'boom', is exposed if the next downturn is early, and faces more supply as corporate confidence increases. In the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model, US IG and HY credit N12M excess returns are 29bp and 161bp worse than average, respectively.\nIn many of those periods, more mixed credit performance occurs despite default rates remaining low. Investors should try to take default risk over spread risk: our credit strategists like owning CDX HY 0-15%, and hedging with CDX IG payer spreads.\nIn equities, we think that our model supports more balance in portfolios. We like healthcare in both the US and Europe as a sector with several nice factor exposures: quality, low valuation, high carry and low volatility. Globally, equities in Europe and Japan have tended to outperform 'mid-cycle', and we think that they can do so again.\nInterest rates are too pessimistic on the recovery. US 10-year Treasury N12M returns are 97bp worse than average during the ‘expansion’ phase of our cycle model. Guneet Dhingra and our US interest rate strategy team have moved underweight US 10-year Treasuries, and we in turn have moved back underweight government bonds in our global asset allocation.\n\nThis cycle is unusual. Most 'normal' cycles are. We think that the recovery is sustainable and more likely to be ‘hotter and shorter’. Sell Treasuries and trust the expansion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":386498265,"gmtCreate":1613229668357,"gmtModify":1631891429265,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ICHR\">$Ichor Holdings Ltd.(ICHR)$</a>&nbsp;huat arh","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ICHR\">$Ichor Holdings Ltd.(ICHR)$</a>&nbsp;huat arh","text":"$Ichor Holdings Ltd.(ICHR)$ huat arh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/386498265","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":806201699,"gmtCreate":1627655885411,"gmtModify":1631885780778,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/806201699","repostId":"1148228381","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1596,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809291025,"gmtCreate":1627370681367,"gmtModify":1631885780862,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809291025","repostId":"2154432996","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1830,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175470507,"gmtCreate":1627047972309,"gmtModify":1631890973663,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wah","listText":"Wah","text":"Wah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175470507","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147114461,"gmtCreate":1626341360553,"gmtModify":1631890973682,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147114461","repostId":"1146542368","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146542368","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626339754,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146542368?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 17:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sight Sciences Bulks Up IPO, Targeting $1 Billion Valuation<blockquote>Sight Sciences扩大IPO规模，目标估值10亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146542368","media":"Barrons","summary":"One day before it is scheduled to list its shares, Sight Sciences boosted the size of its initial pu","content":"<p>One day before it is scheduled to list its shares, Sight Sciences boosted the size of its initial public offering by 43% and increased the price range for the deal.</p><p><blockquote>在计划上市前一天，Sight Sciences将其首次公开募股的规模扩大了43%，并提高了交易的价格范围。</blockquote></p><p> The eye device company said in a prospectus on Wednesday it would sell 10 million shares at a price range of $23 to $24 each. It had filed on July 8 to offer 6.98 million shares at $20 to $23. Such increases are typically signs of strong demand.</p><p><blockquote>这家眼科设备公司周三在招股说明书中表示，将以每股23至24美元的价格出售1000万股股票。该公司于7月8日申请以20至23美元的价格发行698万股股票。这种增长通常是需求强劲的迹象。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sight Sciences Bulks Up IPO, Targeting $1 Billion Valuation<blockquote>Sight Sciences扩大IPO规模，目标估值10亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSight Sciences Bulks Up IPO, Targeting $1 Billion Valuation<blockquote>Sight Sciences扩大IPO规模，目标估值10亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-15 17:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One day before it is scheduled to list its shares, Sight Sciences boosted the size of its initial public offering by 43% and increased the price range for the deal.</p><p><blockquote>在计划上市前一天，Sight Sciences将其首次公开募股的规模扩大了43%，并提高了交易的价格范围。</blockquote></p><p> The eye device company said in a prospectus on Wednesday it would sell 10 million shares at a price range of $23 to $24 each. It had filed on July 8 to offer 6.98 million shares at $20 to $23. Such increases are typically signs of strong demand.</p><p><blockquote>这家眼科设备公司周三在招股说明书中表示，将以每股23至24美元的价格出售1000万股股票。该公司于7月8日申请以20至23美元的价格发行698万股股票。这种增长通常是需求强劲的迹象。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/sight-sciences-ipo-valuation-price-stock-51626279550?siteid=yhoof2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SGHT":"Sight Sciences, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/sight-sciences-ipo-valuation-price-stock-51626279550?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146542368","content_text":"One day before it is scheduled to list its shares, Sight Sciences boosted the size of its initial public offering by 43% and increased the price range for the deal.\nThe eye device company said in a prospectus on Wednesday it would sell 10 million shares at a price range of $23 to $24 each. It had filed on July 8 to offer 6.98 million shares at $20 to $23. Such increases are typically signs of strong demand.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SGHT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140624203,"gmtCreate":1625655851502,"gmtModify":1631893181147,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/140624203","repostId":"2149399705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":328,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":385718479,"gmtCreate":1613575683891,"gmtModify":1634553079456,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385718479","repostId":"1109567373","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801381014,"gmtCreate":1627482881238,"gmtModify":1631885780840,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okok","listText":"Okok","text":"Okok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801381014","repostId":"1102922788","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1102922788","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627479526,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1102922788?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 21:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1102922788","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases\n","content":"<p>Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases</p><p><blockquote>官员们正在寻求就如何以及何时最终减少资产购买达成共识</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b506b5e7aef3659e57731a13007a3078\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"859\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本月早些时候在参议院委员会听证会上发表讲话，承诺在减少证券购买之前会发出充分的通知。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin&nbsp;paring their asset purchases&nbsp;amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员将于周三恢复审议，讨论在供应链瓶颈和Covid-19病例增加的情况下，如何以及何时开始削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年年底表示，将继续每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，直到官员们认为他们在实现低失业率和通胀率达到2%的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于美国东部时间下午2点发布政策声明。大部分焦点可能集中在下午2:30主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的新闻发布会上。以下是值得关注的内容：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper timing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥度正时</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.</p><p><blockquote>官员们可能会收到正式的工作人员简报，内容涉及何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及以多快的速度减少或缩减这些购买量。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于2020年3月开始购买大量证券，当时Covid-19大流行引发金融市场几近崩溃。由于美联储的短期利率为零，购买旨在通过压低长期利率来提供额外的刺激。</blockquote></p><p> Some officials are concerned&nbsp;that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>一些官员担心，今年因与重新开放经济相关的瓶颈而引发的通胀爆发将比之前预期的更持久。这些政策制定者渴望开始缩减，部分原因是他们和他们的同事表示，在完成缩减资产购买之前，他们不太可能考虑将利率从接近零的水平上调。</blockquote></p><p> Another camp thinks recent&nbsp;price pressures will subside&nbsp;and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.</p><p><blockquote>另一个阵营认为，最近的价格压力将会消退，并可能使美联储陷入过去十年大部分时间所面临的境地，即即使利率处于历史低位，全球力量仍将通胀率保持在2%以下。他们担心，加速缩减资产购买计划可能会引发投资者对美联储实现经济目标承诺的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Because Mr. Powell has pledged&nbsp;to provide ample notice&nbsp;to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering&nbsp;to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.</p><p><blockquote>由于鲍威尔承诺在美联储开始缩减规模之前向金融市场发出充分通知，以避免让投资者措手不及，因此美联储现在或在9月份的下一次会议上似乎不太可能启动这一进程。鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到严格审查，以寻找官员如何判断近期经济进展的线索。4月份，他表示美联储距离缩减目标“还有很长的路要走”，6月份他称经济距离目标“还有很长的路要走”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Purchase pace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买节奏</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>官员们还必须考虑任何削减的速度。一些官员已经讨论过在2022年10月左右结束购买，以便如果复苏更强劲或通胀高于目前预期，他们可以在此后很快加息。</blockquote></p><p> During a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在2014年结束的上一次资产购买计划中，美联储在10个月内适度、等量地缩减了购买规模。然后又等了14个月才加息。</blockquote></p><p> Another tactical question centers on whether&nbsp;to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.</p><p><blockquote>另一个战术问题集中在是否同样降低美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的发行速度。一些官员对房价上涨表示担忧，并敦促尽快停止购买抵押贷款债券。</blockquote></p><p> But Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔和其他官员最近几周对这些担忧泼了冷水。他们表示，通过购买长期资产，抵押贷款购买提供了一种更广泛地刺激经济的方式，并且并不直接关注房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> “If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.</p><p><blockquote>前美联储高级经济学家、现任耶鲁大学管理学院教授威廉·英格利希(William English)表示：“如果房地产市场真的让你担心，那么这就是越来越快地缩减一切的理由。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflation outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀前景</b></blockquote></p><p> For a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter&nbsp;than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.</p><p><blockquote>6月份通胀连续第三个月高于许多经济学家的预期。美国劳工部的消费者价格指数同比上涨5.4%，为2008年8月以来的12个月最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell said two weeks ago that&nbsp;many of the elevated price pressures&nbsp;can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔两周前表示，许多价格上涨压力仍然可以追溯到受供应链瓶颈和其他大流行引发的动荡影响的商品和服务。因此，他表示，美联储放弃早先的预期，即物价将自行回到2%的目标，并加息以更快地冷却需求和降低通胀，还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔可能会面临以下问题：央行及其由12名成员组成的利率制定委员会认为需要多长时间才能重新审视他们的预测。过去一年通胀较低的一些经济领域（包括住宅租金）的价格压力在近几个月有所加剧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta variant</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株</b></blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔还可能面临压力，询问最近未接种疫苗人群中Covid-19病例的增加可能如何重塑央行今年剩余时间的增长预测。虽然与一年前相比，恢复停工和其他州政府强制的活动限制似乎不太可能，但消费者对恢复正常支出的犹豫可能会使经济前景复杂化。</blockquote></p><p> Since Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.</p><p><blockquote>自美联储官员6月上次开会以来，政府债券价格大幅上涨，这表明投资者对长期增长前景的信心减弱，对通胀的担忧也减弱。</blockquote></p><p> Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>受疫苗接种和财政刺激措施将刺激经济繁荣的预期提振，收益率在债券价格下跌时上升，今年早些时候大幅攀升。在3月底触及1.75%的13个月高点后，10年期国债收益率已下降——美联储结束上次会议后的6月16日跌至1.57%，并跌至五个月低点1.24%，周二美联储会议开始时。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Meeting Will Focus on Tapering Timeline.<blockquote>美联储会议将重点讨论缩减时间表。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-28 21:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases</p><p><blockquote>官员们正在寻求就如何以及何时最终减少资产购买达成共识</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b506b5e7aef3659e57731a13007a3078\" tg-width=\"1290\" tg-height=\"859\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔本月早些时候在参议院委员会听证会上发表讲话，承诺在减少证券购买之前会发出充分的通知。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin&nbsp;paring their asset purchases&nbsp;amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.</p><p><blockquote>美联储官员将于周三恢复审议，讨论在供应链瓶颈和Covid-19病例增加的情况下，如何以及何时开始削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.</p><p><blockquote>央行去年年底表示，将继续每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，直到官员们认为他们在实现低失业率和通胀率达到2%的目标方面取得了“实质性的进一步进展”。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:</p><p><blockquote>美联储将于美国东部时间下午2点发布政策声明。大部分焦点可能集中在下午2:30主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)的新闻发布会上。以下是值得关注的内容：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper timing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥度正时</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.</p><p><blockquote>官员们可能会收到正式的工作人员简报，内容涉及何时开始削减每月800亿美元国债和400亿美元抵押贷款证券的购买量，以及以多快的速度减少或缩减这些购买量。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储于2020年3月开始购买大量证券，当时Covid-19大流行引发金融市场几近崩溃。由于美联储的短期利率为零，购买旨在通过压低长期利率来提供额外的刺激。</blockquote></p><p> Some officials are concerned&nbsp;that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>一些官员担心，今年因与重新开放经济相关的瓶颈而引发的通胀爆发将比之前预期的更持久。这些政策制定者渴望开始缩减，部分原因是他们和他们的同事表示，在完成缩减资产购买之前，他们不太可能考虑将利率从接近零的水平上调。</blockquote></p><p> Another camp thinks recent&nbsp;price pressures will subside&nbsp;and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.</p><p><blockquote>另一个阵营认为，最近的价格压力将会消退，并可能使美联储陷入过去十年大部分时间所面临的境地，即即使利率处于历史低位，全球力量仍将通胀率保持在2%以下。他们担心，加速缩减资产购买计划可能会引发投资者对美联储实现经济目标承诺的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Because Mr. Powell has pledged&nbsp;to provide ample notice&nbsp;to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering&nbsp;to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.</p><p><blockquote>由于鲍威尔承诺在美联储开始缩减规模之前向金融市场发出充分通知，以避免让投资者措手不及，因此美联储现在或在9月份的下一次会议上似乎不太可能启动这一进程。鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到严格审查，以寻找官员如何判断近期经济进展的线索。4月份，他表示美联储距离缩减目标“还有很长的路要走”，6月份他称经济距离目标“还有很长的路要走”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Purchase pace</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买节奏</b></blockquote></p><p> Officials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.</p><p><blockquote>官员们还必须考虑任何削减的速度。一些官员已经讨论过在2022年10月左右结束购买，以便如果复苏更强劲或通胀高于目前预期，他们可以在此后很快加息。</blockquote></p><p> During a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在2014年结束的上一次资产购买计划中，美联储在10个月内适度、等量地缩减了购买规模。然后又等了14个月才加息。</blockquote></p><p> Another tactical question centers on whether&nbsp;to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.</p><p><blockquote>另一个战术问题集中在是否同样降低美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券的发行速度。一些官员对房价上涨表示担忧，并敦促尽快停止购买抵押贷款债券。</blockquote></p><p> But Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔和其他官员最近几周对这些担忧泼了冷水。他们表示，通过购买长期资产，抵押贷款购买提供了一种更广泛地刺激经济的方式，并且并不直接关注房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> “If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.</p><p><blockquote>前美联储高级经济学家、现任耶鲁大学管理学院教授威廉·英格利希(William English)表示：“如果房地产市场真的让你担心，那么这就是越来越快地缩减一切的理由。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Inflation outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>通胀前景</b></blockquote></p><p> For a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter&nbsp;than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.</p><p><blockquote>6月份通胀连续第三个月高于许多经济学家的预期。美国劳工部的消费者价格指数同比上涨5.4%，为2008年8月以来的12个月最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell said two weeks ago that&nbsp;many of the elevated price pressures&nbsp;can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔两周前表示，许多价格上涨压力仍然可以追溯到受供应链瓶颈和其他大流行引发的动荡影响的商品和服务。因此，他表示，美联储放弃早先的预期，即物价将自行回到2%的目标，并加息以更快地冷却需求和降低通胀，还为时过早。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔可能会面临以下问题：央行及其由12名成员组成的利率制定委员会认为需要多长时间才能重新审视他们的预测。过去一年通胀较低的一些经济领域（包括住宅租金）的价格压力在近几个月有所加剧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Delta variant</b></p><p><blockquote><b>德尔塔变异毒株</b></blockquote></p><p> Mr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔还可能面临压力，询问最近未接种疫苗人群中Covid-19病例的增加可能如何重塑央行今年剩余时间的增长预测。虽然与一年前相比，恢复停工和其他州政府强制的活动限制似乎不太可能，但消费者对恢复正常支出的犹豫可能会使经济前景复杂化。</blockquote></p><p> Since Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.</p><p><blockquote>自美联储官员6月上次开会以来，政府债券价格大幅上涨，这表明投资者对长期增长前景的信心减弱，对通胀的担忧也减弱。</blockquote></p><p> Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>受疫苗接种和财政刺激措施将刺激经济繁荣的预期提振，收益率在债券价格下跌时上升，今年早些时候大幅攀升。在3月底触及1.75%的13个月高点后，10年期国债收益率已下降——美联储结束上次会议后的6月16日跌至1.57%，并跌至五个月低点1.24%，周二美联储会议开始时。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-meeting-will-focus-on-tapering-timeline-11627464602?mod=hp_lead_pos2\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-meeting-will-focus-on-tapering-timeline-11627464602?mod=hp_lead_pos2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1102922788","content_text":"Officials are looking to forge consensus on how and when to eventually reduce their asset purchases\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell, who spoke at a Senate committee hearing earlier this month, has promised ample notice before reducing purchases of securities.\nFederal Reserve officials are set to resume deliberations Wednesday about how and when to begin paring their asset purchases amid an economic rebound clouded by supply-chain bottlenecks and rising Covid-19 cases.\nThe central bank at the end of last year said it would continue to purchase $120 billion in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities monthly until officials deemed they had achieved “substantial further progress” toward their goals of low unemployment and inflation reaching their 2% goal.\nThe Fed will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. EDT. Most of the focus is likely to center on Chairman Jerome Powell’s news conference at 2:30 p.m. Here’s what to watch:\nTaper timing\nOfficials are likely to receive a formal staff briefing around when to start paring their monthly purchases of $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage securities, and how quickly to reduce, or taper, them.\nThe Fed began buying large quantities of the securities in March 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic triggered a near-meltdown in financial markets. With the Fed’s short-term interest rate at zero, the purchases are designed to provide additional stimulus by holding down long-term interest rates.\nSome officials are concerned that a burst of inflation this year from bottlenecks associated with reopening the economy will prove more durable than previously anticipated. These policy makers are eager to start the taper, in part because they and their colleagues have said they aren’t likely to consider raising interest rates from near zero until they are done tapering the asset purchases.\nAnother camp thinks recent price pressures will subside and could leave the Fed in the same position that it faced for much of the past decade, in which global forces kept inflation below 2% even with historically low interest rates. They are worried that accelerating plans to wind down the asset purchases could raise questions among investors about the Fed’s commitment to achieving its economic goals.\nBecause Mr. Powell has pledged to provide ample notice to financial markets before the Fed starts tapering to avoid catching investors by surprise, the central bank looks unlikely to start the process now or at its next meeting in September. Mr. Powell’s press conference will be heavily scrutinized for clues on how officials judge recent economic progress. In April, he said the Fed was “a long way from” its tapering goals, and he characterized the economy as “still a ways off” from them in June.\nPurchase pace\nOfficials also must consider the pace of any reductions. Some officials have discussed concluding the purchases around October 2022 so they could lift rates soon thereafter if the recovery is stronger or inflation is higher than now anticipated.\nDuring a prior asset-purchase program that ended in 2014, the Fed shrank its purchases in modest, equal amounts over the course of 10 months. It then waited another 14 months before raising interest rates.\nAnother tactical question centers on whether to reduce the pace of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities equally. Some officials have raised concerns about rising home prices and are pressing to stop purchases of mortgage bonds sooner.\nBut Mr. Powell and other officials have poured cold water on those concerns in recent weeks. They have said mortgage buying, by purchasing longer-dated assets, provides a way to more broadly stimulate the economy and isn’t focused squarely on housing markets.\n“If the housing market has you really worried, that’s an argument for just tapering everything sooner and faster,” said William English, a former senior Fed economist who is now a professor at the Yale School of Management.\nInflation outlook\nFor a third straight month in June,inflation ran hotter than many economists had expected. The Labor Department’s consumer-price index increased 5.4% from a year ago, the highest 12-month rate since August 2008.\nMr. Powell said two weeks ago that many of the elevated price pressures can still be traced to goods and services affected by supply-chain bottlenecks and other pandemic-driven upheaval. As a result, he said it would be too soon for the Fed to abandon its earlier expectation that prices will return to their 2% target on their own and to raise rates to cool down demand and reduce inflation faster.\nBut Mr. Powell could face questions over how long the central bank and its 12-member rate-setting committee feels it would take to revisit their projections. Price pressures in some sectors of the economy where inflation had been subdued over the past year, including residential rents, have picked in recent months.\nDelta variant\nMr. Powell is also likely to be pressed on how the recent increase in Covid-19 cases among unvaccinated populations could reshape the central bank’s growth forecasts for the rest of the year. While a return to shutdowns and other state-mandated restrictions on activity seem less likely than a year ago, increased hesitancy on the part of consumers to return to normal spending routines could complicate the economic outlook.\nSince Fed officials last met in June, government-bond prices have jumped, a sign that investors are less confident about long-term growth prospects and less worried about inflation.\nYields, which rise when bond prices fall, climbed sharply earlier in the year, lifted by expectations that vaccinations and fiscal stimulus would spur an economic boom. After hitting a 13-month high of 1.75% at the end of March, the 10-year Treasury yield has declined—to 1.57% on June 16, after the Fed concluded its previous meeting, and to 1.24%, a five-month low, when the Fed’s meeting began on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1735,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179262265,"gmtCreate":1626535538757,"gmtModify":1631884352639,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CETX\">$Cemtrex(CETX)$</a>jialat","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CETX\">$Cemtrex(CETX)$</a>jialat","text":"$Cemtrex(CETX)$jialat","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/591c6714a12b65c7ac1c97163a780962","width":"1080","height":"2548"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179262265","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170515411,"gmtCreate":1626442460333,"gmtModify":1631884352647,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CETX\">$Cemtrex(CETX)$</a>gogogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CETX\">$Cemtrex(CETX)$</a>gogogo","text":"$Cemtrex(CETX)$gogogo","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/344562cf81328e1a1c5105677ba68c6f","width":"1080","height":"2449"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170515411","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146311018,"gmtCreate":1626053400834,"gmtModify":1631890973694,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146311018","repostId":"1114863871","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155627985,"gmtCreate":1625415386547,"gmtModify":1631893181197,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155627985","repostId":"1124717185","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124717185","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625371001,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124717185?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-04 11:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124717185","media":"investors","summary":"The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key","content":"<p>The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key for stock investors who want to take advantage of major price moves.</p><p><blockquote>供求规律表面上看起来很简单，但对于想要利用重大价格波动的股票投资者来说，理解其中的细微差别是关键。</blockquote></p><p> Supply and demand is one of the bedrock principles of business and economics. A simple recent example is how the price of lumber skyrocketed amid Covid-related shortages.</p><p><blockquote>供求是商业和经济学的基本原则之一。最近的一个简单例子是，在与Covid相关的短缺中，木材价格如何飙升。</blockquote></p><p> In the stock market, the companies seen as the best positioned by big money will see their share price driven higher as demand ramps up. When this happens, supply will also be constricted, as holders will be more reluctant to sell their shares. Thus, supply and demand is the S in IBD'sCAN SLIM investing method, and the subject of the fourth in an Investor's Corner series.</p><p><blockquote>在股市上，随着需求的增加，被大资金视为最佳定位的公司的股价将被推高。当这种情况发生时，供应也将受到限制，因为持有者将更不愿意出售他们的股票。因此，供给和需求是IBD的Can Slim投资方法中的S，也是投资者角系列第四篇的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Legendary IBD founder William O'Neil, writing in his classic tome, \"How to Make Money in Stocks,\" said supply and demand is \"more important than the opinions of all the analysts on Wall Street, no matter what schools they attended, what degrees they earned, or how high their IQs.\"</p><p><blockquote>IBD传奇创始人威廉·奥尼尔(William O'Neil)在他的经典著作《如何在股票中赚钱》中写道，供求关系“比华尔街所有分析师的意见更重要，无论他们上过什么学校，他们获得了什么学位，或者他们的智商有多高。”</blockquote></p><p> Float Size Matters</p><p><blockquote>浮子大小很重要</blockquote></p><p> A key point to bear in mind is whether the stock you are eying has a large or a small float: the number of shares available for trading. Getting locked into a stock with a small supply of shares means you can be taken on wild rides, both on the upside and the downside.</p><p><blockquote>要记住的关键点是您关注的股票的流通量是大还是小：可供交易的股票数量。锁定一只股票供应量较少的股票意味着您可能会陷入疯狂，无论是上涨还是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, investing in a big-cap name with a massive amount of shares outstanding means it is much more difficult for that stock to make big moves. On the plus side, this can also be less stressful on one's stomach.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，投资拥有大量流通股的大盘股意味着该股票更难做出大动作。从好的方面来说，这也可以减轻胃部的压力。</blockquote></p><p> The ideal is to find a happy medium — a stock that boasts strong earnings growth, and one that is still expanding by offering new products and services. Also look for one that is attracting the attention of institutional investors. Nevertheless, stocks of companies with any size of capitalization can be bought byCAN SLIM investors.</p><p><blockquote>理想的情况是找到一个快乐的媒介——一只拥有强劲盈利增长的股票，并且仍在通过提供新产品和服务进行扩张的股票。还要寻找一个吸引机构投资者注意的。尽管如此，任何资本规模的公司的股票都可以被瘦弱的投资者购买。</blockquote></p><p> Other encouraging signs to look for are companies that are buying back their stock, which reduces the supply of shares in the market.</p><p><blockquote>其他值得关注的令人鼓舞的迹象是公司正在回购股票，这减少了市场上的股票供应。</blockquote></p><p> How do you measure demand?</p><p><blockquote>你如何衡量需求？</blockquote></p><p> As is often the case when researching a stock, charts are key. Look at the average daily trading volume. Days where the number of shares traded is much higher, or lower, than normal are a key indicator.</p><p><blockquote>正如研究股票时经常出现的情况一样，图表是关键。看日均交易量。股票交易数量远高于或低于正常水平的天数是一个关键指标。</blockquote></p><p> When a share price spikes in big trading volume, this is a clear sign of institutional demand. It is a key indicator that mutual fund managers and other big money buyers, who account for most trading in the stock market, are snapping up a stock. This sort of accumulation is the main driver for big price moves.</p><p><blockquote>当股价在交易量大的情况下飙升时，这是机构需求的明显迹象。这是一个关键指标，表明占股市大部分交易的共同基金经理和其他大额买家正在抢购股票。这种积累是价格大幅波动的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> Piggybacking on such action is a proven way for the intelligent investor to succeed. But make sure to carefully study price charts to find stocks that arebreaking out of proper basesor rebounding from key chart levels. When a stock tops abuy point, ideally volume will be at least 40% above average.</p><p><blockquote>对于聪明的投资者来说，利用这种行动是一种行之有效的成功方式。但请务必仔细研究价格图表，以找到突破适当基础或从关键图表水平反弹的股票。当股票达到买入点时，理想情况下成交量将比平均水平高出至少40%。</blockquote></p><p> The IBD Stock Checkup is another key tool. Under the supply and demand section, you'll find pass or fail ratings for all key related criteria.</p><p><blockquote>IBD股票检查是另一个关键工具。在供应和需求部分，您可以找到所有关键相关标准的通过或失败评级。</blockquote></p><p> That includes information on a stock's market capitalization and itsAccumulation/Distribution Rating, which gauges institutional buying and selling over the previous 13 weeks. Also, the percentage change in funds owning a stock and the number of quarters of increasing fund ownership. Look for stocks flashing green lights in all of these areas.</p><p><blockquote>这包括有关股票市值及其累积/分配评级的信息，该评级衡量过去13周的机构买卖情况。此外，拥有股票的基金的百分比变化以及基金所有权增加的季度数。寻找在所有这些领域亮起绿灯的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610449120050","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's How The Laws Of Supply And Demand Lead To Major Moves For Growth Stocks<blockquote>以下是供求规律如何导致成长型股票的重大走势</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investors</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-04 11:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key for stock investors who want to take advantage of major price moves.</p><p><blockquote>供求规律表面上看起来很简单，但对于想要利用重大价格波动的股票投资者来说，理解其中的细微差别是关键。</blockquote></p><p> Supply and demand is one of the bedrock principles of business and economics. A simple recent example is how the price of lumber skyrocketed amid Covid-related shortages.</p><p><blockquote>供求是商业和经济学的基本原则之一。最近的一个简单例子是，在与Covid相关的短缺中，木材价格如何飙升。</blockquote></p><p> In the stock market, the companies seen as the best positioned by big money will see their share price driven higher as demand ramps up. When this happens, supply will also be constricted, as holders will be more reluctant to sell their shares. Thus, supply and demand is the S in IBD'sCAN SLIM investing method, and the subject of the fourth in an Investor's Corner series.</p><p><blockquote>在股市上，随着需求的增加，被大资金视为最佳定位的公司的股价将被推高。当这种情况发生时，供应也将受到限制，因为持有者将更不愿意出售他们的股票。因此，供给和需求是IBD的Can Slim投资方法中的S，也是投资者角系列第四篇的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Legendary IBD founder William O'Neil, writing in his classic tome, \"How to Make Money in Stocks,\" said supply and demand is \"more important than the opinions of all the analysts on Wall Street, no matter what schools they attended, what degrees they earned, or how high their IQs.\"</p><p><blockquote>IBD传奇创始人威廉·奥尼尔(William O'Neil)在他的经典著作《如何在股票中赚钱》中写道，供求关系“比华尔街所有分析师的意见更重要，无论他们上过什么学校，他们获得了什么学位，或者他们的智商有多高。”</blockquote></p><p> Float Size Matters</p><p><blockquote>浮子大小很重要</blockquote></p><p> A key point to bear in mind is whether the stock you are eying has a large or a small float: the number of shares available for trading. Getting locked into a stock with a small supply of shares means you can be taken on wild rides, both on the upside and the downside.</p><p><blockquote>要记住的关键点是您关注的股票的流通量是大还是小：可供交易的股票数量。锁定一只股票供应量较少的股票意味着您可能会陷入疯狂，无论是上涨还是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, investing in a big-cap name with a massive amount of shares outstanding means it is much more difficult for that stock to make big moves. On the plus side, this can also be less stressful on one's stomach.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，投资拥有大量流通股的大盘股意味着该股票更难做出大动作。从好的方面来说，这也可以减轻胃部的压力。</blockquote></p><p> The ideal is to find a happy medium — a stock that boasts strong earnings growth, and one that is still expanding by offering new products and services. Also look for one that is attracting the attention of institutional investors. Nevertheless, stocks of companies with any size of capitalization can be bought byCAN SLIM investors.</p><p><blockquote>理想的情况是找到一个快乐的媒介——一只拥有强劲盈利增长的股票，并且仍在通过提供新产品和服务进行扩张的股票。还要寻找一个吸引机构投资者注意的。尽管如此，任何资本规模的公司的股票都可以被瘦弱的投资者购买。</blockquote></p><p> Other encouraging signs to look for are companies that are buying back their stock, which reduces the supply of shares in the market.</p><p><blockquote>其他值得关注的令人鼓舞的迹象是公司正在回购股票，这减少了市场上的股票供应。</blockquote></p><p> How do you measure demand?</p><p><blockquote>你如何衡量需求？</blockquote></p><p> As is often the case when researching a stock, charts are key. Look at the average daily trading volume. Days where the number of shares traded is much higher, or lower, than normal are a key indicator.</p><p><blockquote>正如研究股票时经常出现的情况一样，图表是关键。看日均交易量。股票交易数量远高于或低于正常水平的天数是一个关键指标。</blockquote></p><p> When a share price spikes in big trading volume, this is a clear sign of institutional demand. It is a key indicator that mutual fund managers and other big money buyers, who account for most trading in the stock market, are snapping up a stock. This sort of accumulation is the main driver for big price moves.</p><p><blockquote>当股价在交易量大的情况下飙升时，这是机构需求的明显迹象。这是一个关键指标，表明占股市大部分交易的共同基金经理和其他大额买家正在抢购股票。这种积累是价格大幅波动的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> Piggybacking on such action is a proven way for the intelligent investor to succeed. But make sure to carefully study price charts to find stocks that arebreaking out of proper basesor rebounding from key chart levels. When a stock tops abuy point, ideally volume will be at least 40% above average.</p><p><blockquote>对于聪明的投资者来说，利用这种行动是一种行之有效的成功方式。但请务必仔细研究价格图表，以找到突破适当基础或从关键图表水平反弹的股票。当股票达到买入点时，理想情况下成交量将比平均水平高出至少40%。</blockquote></p><p> The IBD Stock Checkup is another key tool. Under the supply and demand section, you'll find pass or fail ratings for all key related criteria.</p><p><blockquote>IBD股票检查是另一个关键工具。在供应和需求部分，您可以找到所有关键相关标准的通过或失败评级。</blockquote></p><p> That includes information on a stock's market capitalization and itsAccumulation/Distribution Rating, which gauges institutional buying and selling over the previous 13 weeks. Also, the percentage change in funds owning a stock and the number of quarters of increasing fund ownership. Look for stocks flashing green lights in all of these areas.</p><p><blockquote>这包括有关股票市值及其累积/分配评级的信息，该评级衡量过去13周的机构买卖情况。此外，拥有股票的基金的百分比变化以及基金所有权增加的季度数。寻找在所有这些领域亮起绿灯的股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/how-to-invest/investors-corner/heres-how-the-laws-of-supply-and-demand-lead-to-major-moves-for-growth-stocks/?src=A00220\">investors</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/how-to-invest/investors-corner/heres-how-the-laws-of-supply-and-demand-lead-to-major-moves-for-growth-stocks/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124717185","content_text":"The laws of supply and demand seem simple on their face, but understanding the subtle nuances is key for stock investors who want to take advantage of major price moves.\nSupply and demand is one of the bedrock principles of business and economics. A simple recent example is how the price of lumber skyrocketed amid Covid-related shortages.\nIn the stock market, the companies seen as the best positioned by big money will see their share price driven higher as demand ramps up. When this happens, supply will also be constricted, as holders will be more reluctant to sell their shares. Thus, supply and demand is the S in IBD'sCAN SLIM investing method, and the subject of the fourth in an Investor's Corner series.\nLegendary IBD founder William O'Neil, writing in his classic tome, \"How to Make Money in Stocks,\" said supply and demand is \"more important than the opinions of all the analysts on Wall Street, no matter what schools they attended, what degrees they earned, or how high their IQs.\"\nFloat Size Matters\nA key point to bear in mind is whether the stock you are eying has a large or a small float: the number of shares available for trading. Getting locked into a stock with a small supply of shares means you can be taken on wild rides, both on the upside and the downside.\nOn the other hand, investing in a big-cap name with a massive amount of shares outstanding means it is much more difficult for that stock to make big moves. On the plus side, this can also be less stressful on one's stomach.\nThe ideal is to find a happy medium — a stock that boasts strong earnings growth, and one that is still expanding by offering new products and services. Also look for one that is attracting the attention of institutional investors. Nevertheless, stocks of companies with any size of capitalization can be bought byCAN SLIM investors.\nOther encouraging signs to look for are companies that are buying back their stock, which reduces the supply of shares in the market.\nHow do you measure demand?\nAs is often the case when researching a stock, charts are key. Look at the average daily trading volume. Days where the number of shares traded is much higher, or lower, than normal are a key indicator.\nWhen a share price spikes in big trading volume, this is a clear sign of institutional demand. It is a key indicator that mutual fund managers and other big money buyers, who account for most trading in the stock market, are snapping up a stock. This sort of accumulation is the main driver for big price moves.\nPiggybacking on such action is a proven way for the intelligent investor to succeed. But make sure to carefully study price charts to find stocks that arebreaking out of proper basesor rebounding from key chart levels. When a stock tops abuy point, ideally volume will be at least 40% above average.\nThe IBD Stock Checkup is another key tool. Under the supply and demand section, you'll find pass or fail ratings for all key related criteria.\nThat includes information on a stock's market capitalization and itsAccumulation/Distribution Rating, which gauges institutional buying and selling over the previous 13 weeks. Also, the percentage change in funds owning a stock and the number of quarters of increasing fund ownership. Look for stocks flashing green lights in all of these areas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800482161,"gmtCreate":1627312494953,"gmtModify":1631885780873,"author":{"id":"3554877919846619","authorId":"3554877919846619","name":"zxzxzx1122","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/defe85a1648f3345c4b09b4e94a33c4e","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554877919846619","idStr":"3554877919846619"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okok","listText":"Okok","text":"Okok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800482161","repostId":"2154957883","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}