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2021-12-03

Tell me your opinion about this news...

DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.<blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市并在香港上市。</blockquote>

2021-12-03

Zz

DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.<blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市并在香港上市。</blockquote>

2021-12-01

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-29

Okok

Here's what the Black Friday carnage may mean for the stock market's trade Monday, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，黑色星期五大屠杀对周一股市交易可能意味着什么</blockquote>

2021-11-18

Ok

NIO Stock Forecast: What To Watch For In 2022<blockquote>蔚来股票预测：2022年值得关注</blockquote>

2021-11-18

K

Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading after ending five consecutive suns<blockquote>Rivian在结束五连阳后，盘前交易中继续下跌近6%</blockquote>

2021-11-17

Ya

Greed outpacing fear in world markets, Goldman Sachs CEO says<blockquote>高盛首席执行官表示，世界市场的贪婪超过了恐惧</blockquote>

2021-11-10

Don allow shorting, solve the problem

The Fed thinks meme stocks threaten the financial structure<blockquote>美联储认为模因股票威胁金融结构</blockquote>

2021-11-08

K

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-08

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-04

Ok

Moderna stock plunged 9% after reporting quarterly results<blockquote>Moderna公布季度业绩后股价暴跌9%</blockquote>

2021-11-02

Lol

Tesla stock dipped more than 6% in premarket trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌超过6%</blockquote>

2021-11-01

L

Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>

2021-10-27

Wt

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-25

L

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-23

K

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-23

Ook

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-20

Ok

Investor bullishness is lowest in a year even as the stock market nears record highs<blockquote>尽管股市接近历史新高，但投资者的看涨情绪仍处于一年来最低水平</blockquote>

2021-10-20

Ok

What actually happened during GameStop mania?<blockquote>游戏驿站狂热期间到底发生了什么？</blockquote>

2021-10-19

Ok

Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

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(NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders.</p><p><blockquote>全球领先的移动出行技术平台滴滴出行（纽约证券交易所代码：DIDI）今天宣布，其董事会（“董事会”）已授权并支持公司履行必要程序并提交相关申请，将公司的美国存托凭证从纽约证券交易所退市，同时确保美国存托凭证可在美国存托凭证持有人选择时在另一家国际认可的证券交易所转换为公司的自由流通股份。</blockquote></p><p> The Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vote on the above matter at an appropriate time in the future, following necessary procedures. The Board has also authorized the Company to pursue a listing of its class A ordinary shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><blockquote>公司将在未来适当时机，按照必要程序组织召开股东大会对上述事项进行表决。董事会亦已授权本公司寻求其A类普通股于香港联交所主板上市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101828151","content_text":"DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.\nDiDi Global Inc. (NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders.\nThe Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vote on the above matter at an appropriate time in the future, following necessary procedures. The Board has also authorized the Company to pursue a listing of its class A ordinary shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601327797,"gmtCreate":1638493527208,"gmtModify":1638496319480,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Zz","listText":"Zz","text":"Zz","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601327797","repostId":"1101828151","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1101828151","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638493297,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101828151?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 09:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.<blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市并在香港上市。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101828151","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.\nDiDi Global Inc. (NYSE: DIDI), th","content":"<p>DIDI&nbsp;prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and&nbsp;to list in Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市并在香港上市。</blockquote></p><p> DiDi Global Inc. (NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders.</p><p><blockquote>全球领先的移动出行技术平台滴滴出行（纽约证券交易所代码：DIDI）今天宣布，其董事会（“董事会”）已授权并支持公司履行必要程序并提交相关申请，将公司的美国存托凭证从纽约证券交易所退市，同时确保美国存托凭证可在美国存托凭证持有人选择时在另一家国际认可的证券交易所转换为公司的自由流通股份。</blockquote></p><p> The Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vote on the above matter at an appropriate time in the future, following necessary procedures. The Board has also authorized the Company to pursue a listing of its class A ordinary shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><blockquote>公司将在未来适当时机，按照必要程序组织召开股东大会对上述事项进行表决。董事会亦已授权本公司寻求其A类普通股于香港联交所主板上市。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.<blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市并在香港上市。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.<blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市并在香港上市。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-03 09:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>DIDI&nbsp;prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and&nbsp;to list in Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴准备从美股退市并在香港上市。</blockquote></p><p> DiDi Global Inc. (NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders.</p><p><blockquote>全球领先的移动出行技术平台滴滴出行（纽约证券交易所代码：DIDI）今天宣布，其董事会（“董事会”）已授权并支持公司履行必要程序并提交相关申请，将公司的美国存托凭证从纽约证券交易所退市，同时确保美国存托凭证可在美国存托凭证持有人选择时在另一家国际认可的证券交易所转换为公司的自由流通股份。</blockquote></p><p> The Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vote on the above matter at an appropriate time in the future, following necessary procedures. The Board has also authorized the Company to pursue a listing of its class A ordinary shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><blockquote>公司将在未来适当时机，按照必要程序组织召开股东大会对上述事项进行表决。董事会亦已授权本公司寻求其A类普通股于香港联交所主板上市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101828151","content_text":"DIDI prepares to delist from U.S. stocks and to list in Hong Kong.\nDiDi Global Inc. (NYSE: DIDI), the world’s leading mobility technology platform, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has authorized and supports the Company to undertake the necessary procedures and file the relevant application(s) for the delisting of the Company’s ADSs from the New York Stock Exchange, while ensuring that ADSs will be convertible into freely tradable shares of the Company on another internationally recognized stock exchange at the election of ADS holders.\nThe Company will organize a shareholders meeting to vote on the above matter at an appropriate time in the future, following necessary procedures. The Board has also authorized the Company to pursue a listing of its class A ordinary shares on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609274831,"gmtCreate":1638289915214,"gmtModify":1638289915374,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609274831","repostId":"2187817235","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600417230,"gmtCreate":1638187095329,"gmtModify":1638187095726,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okok","listText":"Okok","text":"Okok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600417230","repostId":"2187329491","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2187329491","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1638140520,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2187329491?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's what the Black Friday carnage may mean for the stock market's trade Monday, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，黑色星期五大屠杀对周一股市交易可能意味着什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2187329491","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The new, fast-spreading B.1.1.529 strain of coronavirus declared a variant of concern by the World Health Organization roiled global markets on Black Friday, raising concerns about how the economy and Wall Street may perform in the coming week, following a selloff that wiped out November gains for the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite and sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by the most in a day since Oct. 28, 2020.What isn't clear is whether the latest coronavirus development will do","content":"<p>OMG, omicron!</p><p><blockquote>天哪，奥密克戎！</blockquote></p><p> The new, fast-spreading B.1.1.529 strain of coronavirus declared a variant of concern by the World Health Organization roiled global markets on Black Friday, raising concerns about how the economy and Wall Street may perform in the coming week, following a selloff that wiped out November gains for the S&amp;P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite and sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by the most in a day since Oct. 28, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>世界卫生组织宣布的新型快速传播的B.1.1.529冠状病毒变种在黑色星期五扰乱了全球市场，引发了人们对未来一周经济和华尔街表现的担忧。标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数11月份的涨幅被抹去，道琼斯工业平均指数创下2020年10月28日以来的最大单日跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> WHO said that the omicron variant, which has been detected in Belgium, Israel, and Hong Kong and was first identified in southern parts of Africa, is more transmissible than the delta strain that is currently dominant world-wide, and other variants.</p><p><blockquote>世卫组织表示，已在比利时、以色列和香港发现并首先在非洲南部地区发现的奥密克戎变种比目前在全球范围内占主导地位的德尔塔毒株和其他变种更具传播性。</blockquote></p><p> The emergence of the new strain led to the White House announcing restrictions, starting on Monday, on travel for non-U.S. citizens and residents from South Africa, as well as from Botswana, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Lesotho, Eswatini, Mozambique, and Malawi, joining the European Union, the U.K., Singapore and Japan, which also announced similar travel bans.</p><p><blockquote>新毒株的出现导致白宫宣布从周一开始限制来自南非以及博茨瓦纳、津巴布韦、纳米比亚、莱索托、斯威士兰、莫桑比克和马拉维的非美国公民和居民的旅行，加入了欧盟、英国、新加坡和日本的行列，这些国家也宣布了类似的旅行禁令。</blockquote></p><p> The market selloff during the abbreviated Black Friday session and the commensurate flight to assets that investors hope will perform better amid fresh mobility restrictions, helped to overshadow the usual focus on retail, on a day associated with heavy consumer spending ahead of the Christmas holiday. Friday's downturn also offered a crystal clear reminder that the path of the market and economy hinges on the course of COVID.</p><p><blockquote>短暂的黑色星期五交易期间的市场抛售，以及投资者希望在新的流动性限制中表现更好的资产的相应外逃，有助于掩盖通常对零售业的关注，而这一天与圣诞节假期前消费者支出旺盛有关。周五的低迷也清楚地提醒人们，市场和经济的发展取决于新冠疫情的进程。</blockquote></p><p> What isn't clear is whether the latest coronavirus development will do lasting harm to the complexion of the market. Omicron comes at a fragile time for optimistic investors, with bears pointing to lofty stock market valuations, inflation worries and global economic growth concerns as reasons to expect a drawdown in equities that have managed to avoid a decline from a peak of more than 5%.</p><p><blockquote>目前尚不清楚的是，冠状病毒的最新发展是否会对市场格局造成持久损害。对于乐观的投资者来说，奥密克戎正值脆弱时期，空头指出，股市估值过高、通胀担忧和全球经济增长担忧是预计股市将下跌的理由，而股市已成功避免了从超过5%的峰值下跌。</blockquote></p><p> In theory, Friday's post-Thanksgiving environment is traditionally lightly traded and therefore more susceptible to outsize price swings.</p><p><blockquote>理论上，周五感恩节后的环境传统上交易清淡，因此更容易受到价格大幅波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq saw its lowest volume of the year on Black Friday, with 3.479 billion shares trading hands, well below the year-to-date average of 5.099 billion. The total composite volume, including trading on Intercontinental Exchange&nbsp;-owned NYSE platforms, was 8.760 billion, compared with an year-to-date average of 11.196 billion, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克在黑色星期五创下今年最低成交量，交易量为34.79亿股，远低于今年迄今50.99亿股的平均水平。根据道琼斯市场数据，包括洲际交易所旗下纽约证券交易所平台的交易在内的综合交易量为87.60亿美元，而今年迄今的平均交易量为111.96亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Still, only time will tell whether the reaction to omicron is a textbook, knee-jerk selloff or something more sinister.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，只有时间才能证明对奥密克戎的反应是教科书式的、下意识的抛售还是更险恶的东西。</blockquote></p><p> MarketWatch's Bill Watts wrote, citing Friday research from Mark Arbeter of Arbeter Investments, that the next level of support to watch for the S&amp;P 500 after closing at 4,594,62 on Friday is at 4,570, the 50-day exponential average; 4,566, the 38.2% retracement of the rally; and 4,550, a previous high from early September.</p><p><blockquote>MarketWatch的Bill Watts援引Arbeter Investments的Mark Arbeter周五的研究写道，在周五收于4,594, 62点后，标普500值得关注的下一个支撑位是4,570点，即50天指数平均线；4,566，反弹38.2%回撤位；4550，为9月初以来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> \"It is too early to know to what extent the new variant will affect economies and markets, and Friday's market moves have probably been exacerbated by reduced liquidity owing to the US Thanksgiving holiday, and the risk that further bad news emerges over the weekend,\" writes Jonas Goltermann senior markets economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday research note.</p><p><blockquote>“现在知道新变种将在多大程度上影响经济和市场还为时过早，周五的市场走势可能因美国感恩节假期导致流动性减少以及周末出现进一步坏消息的风险而加剧，”凯投宏观高级市场经济学家乔纳斯·戈尔特曼(Jonas Goltermann)在周五的一份研究报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> J.C. Parets of the All Star Charts blog writes that things could get dicey if the S&amp;P 500 is driven below 4,500, with little support beneath that point.</p><p><blockquote>J.C.All Star Charts博客的Parets写道，如果标普500跌破4,500点，事情可能会变得危险，并且低于该点几乎没有支撑。</blockquote></p><p> \"You know how parents always tell you nothing good ever happens after midnight? Well in the S&amp;P 500, nothing good happens below 4500,\" he writes in a Friday blog.</p><p><blockquote>“你知道父母总是告诉你午夜之后就不会有好事发生吗？在标普500，低于4500点就不会有好事发生，”他在周五的博客中写道。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccfdc3ebd8825870bc713469baf0d1b2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>All Star Charts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全明星图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> \"If we're below that then there is a probably a much bigger problem out there, and the heaviest cash positions in 18 months would be warranted,\" Parets writes.</p><p><blockquote>帕雷茨写道：“如果我们低于这个水平，那么可能存在更大的问题，18个月内最重的现金头寸将是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts say that there are legitimate reasons for unease, on the public health front.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析人士表示，在公共卫生方面，有合理的理由感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> \"The fact that this variant seems to be spreading much faster than previous versions (including the Delta variant) bears very careful monitoring,\" wrote Michael Strobaek, global chief investment officer at Credit Suisse, in a research note. There are some questions about the effectiveness of existing COVID vaccines from Pfizer&nbsp;and Moderna&nbsp;due to the number of mutations that the omicron variant bears on the spike protein. The spike protein is the part of the virus targeted by COVID-19 vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷全球首席投资官Michael Strobaek在一份研究报告中写道：“这种变种似乎比以前的版本（包括德尔塔变异毒株）传播得更快，这一事实值得非常仔细的监控。”由于奥密克戎变种在刺突蛋白上携带的突变数量，辉瑞和Moderna现有新冠疫苗的有效性存在一些疑问。刺突蛋白是新冠肺炎疫苗针对的病毒部分。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst at Jefferies led by analyst Sean Darby note that risk-appetite was already edging lower before Black Friday and the selloff may have been a \"tipping point\" in favor of caution and risk moderation.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师肖恩·达比(Sean Darby)领导的分析师指出，在黑色星期五之前，风险偏好已经小幅走低，抛售可能是有利于谨慎和风险适度的“转折点”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The news of a new or not so new COVID variant spreading in Southern Africaappears to have been the tipping point in altering risk appetite in the past 24 hours,\" the Jefferies analyst wrote.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞分析师写道：“一种新的或不那么新的新冠病毒变种在南部非洲传播的消息似乎是过去24小时内改变风险偏好的转折点。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"However, there has been a sea change in risk variables over the past month -- anincreasing number of 'tailed treasury auctions', declining equity market breadth andthe imperceptible change in US retail appetite that seems to have gone unnoticed.Positioning in global equities is one of the most aggressive in US history,\" according to Darby and his colleagues.</p><p><blockquote>“然而，过去一个月风险变量发生了翻天覆地的变化——‘尾部国债拍卖’数量不断增加，股市广度下降，以及美国散户兴趣似乎没有被注意到的难以察觉的变化。全球股市的定位是美国历史上最激进的之一，”达比和他的同事表示。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies research suggests that investors are now expecting that the Federal Reserve, under renominated Chairman Jerome Powell, will hasten the pace of reductions in the central bank's asset purchases, which will lead to tighter financial conditions that could prove unfavorable to risky assets. Goldman Sachs sees the Fed stepping up tapering to $30 billion a month from a reduction of $15 billion, and estimates three policy interest rate increases in 2022, up from two.</p><p><blockquote>Jefferies research表示，投资者现在预计，在重新提名的主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的领导下，美联储将加快缩减央行资产购买的步伐，这将导致金融状况收紧，可能对风险资产不利。高盛预计美联储将从每月减少150亿美元的缩减规模增加到300亿美元，并预计2022年将加息三次，高于两次。</blockquote></p><p> \"Ultimately the Sharpe ratio -- a measure of return per unit of risk -- isturning for global equities. We expect the gap between the performance of risky and safe haven assets to diminish,\" Jefferies wrote.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞写道：“最终，全球股市的夏普比率（衡量单位风险回报的指标）正在发生变化。我们预计风险资产和避险资产表现之间的差距将缩小。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a2b6cd6fadb4dd80d04e06539404155\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"203\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>via Jefferies</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通过杰弗里斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The situation could still prove a buying opportunity for bold investors, however.</p><p><blockquote>然而，对于大胆的投资者来说，这种情况仍然可能是一个买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> Strobaek wrote that \"risk assets such as equities are likely to give back some strength, but we would see this as an opportunity in selective and specific areas.\"</p><p><blockquote>Strobaek写道，“股票等风险资产可能会恢复一些实力，但我们认为这是选择性和特定领域的机会。”</blockquote></p><p> \"At this point, we reiterate our assessment from the latest Investment Committee report, i.e. keeping equities at a small overweight in portfolios and government bonds at an underweight,\" the Credit Suisse CIO writes.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷首席信息官写道：“目前，我们重申投资委员会最新报告中的评估，即将投资组合中的股票保持在较小的跑赢大盘，将政府债券保持在跑输大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at Citigroup also said that \"we would buy into any dip,\" noting that its bearish checklist doesn't indicate significant red flags. \"Valuations look stretched, but other factors (credit spreads, fund flows) are not yet especially extended,\" Citi writes, with 7.5 out of 18 red flags triggered in its measures of global markets while the U.S. is seeing 9.5 of 18.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团分析师还表示，“我们会逢低买入”，并指出其看跌清单并未表明重大危险信号。花旗写道：“估值看起来很高，但其他因素（信用利差、资金流）尚未特别扩大。”在其对全球市场的衡量中，18个危险信号中有7.5个被触发，而美国的危险信号中有9.5个被触发。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4fba734970a8c977a13d6972402b65f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Citi Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>花旗研究</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments in Port Chester, NY says that the end-of-week selling may have resulted in a Black Friday sale for stock-market investors.</p><p><blockquote>纽约州切斯特港AXS Investments首席执行官格雷格·巴苏克(Greg Bassuk)表示，周末的抛售可能导致股市投资者出现黑色星期五抛售。</blockquote></p><p> \"Black Friday is typically the unofficial kick-off to the annual holiday shopping season. But we believe the real shopping is for stocks that are beaten-down from Covid infection spikes, inflation fears, and supply chain woes, but that still possess strong fundamentals that will drive their gains as the economy ultimately reopens,\" he wrote</p><p><blockquote>“黑色星期五通常是一年一度的假日购物季的非正式开始。但我们认为，真正的购物是那些因新冠感染激增、通胀担忧和供应链困境而遭受重创，但仍拥有强劲基本面的股票。随着经济最终重新开放，这将推动他们的上涨，”他写道</blockquote></p><p> That said, some analysts note that the lockdowns playing out in Europe and the spread of COVID, even before the omicron declaration, were reasons to be cautious since they will impact the global growth outlook.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，一些分析师指出，即使在《奥密克戎宣言》发表之前，欧洲的封锁和新冠病毒的传播也是保持谨慎的理由，因为它们将影响全球增长前景。</blockquote></p><p> Either way, it seems that a degree of caveat emptor may be in force next week and could color trading for the remainder of the 2021.</p><p><blockquote>不管怎样，某种程度的买者自负似乎可能会在下周生效，并可能影响2021年剩余时间的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Trading on Monday will help determine whether bullishness persists or if a bearish phase is crystallizing.</p><p><blockquote>周一的交易将有助于确定看涨情绪是否持续，或者看跌阶段是否正在具体化。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a week focused on the state of employment, with the November U.S. jobs report due at the end of the week and Powell and others offering their final thoughts before a media blackout period starting ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee's final meeting of 2021 on Dec. 14-15.</p><p><blockquote>这将是关注就业状况的一周，11月美国就业报告将于本周末发布，鲍威尔和其他人将在联邦公开市场委员会2021年最后一次会议之前开始的媒体封锁期之前发表最终想法12月14日至15日。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's what the Black Friday carnage may mean for the stock market's trade Monday, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，黑色星期五大屠杀对周一股市交易可能意味着什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's what the Black Friday carnage may mean for the stock market's trade Monday, analysts say<blockquote>分析师表示，黑色星期五大屠杀对周一股市交易可能意味着什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-29 07:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>OMG, omicron!</p><p><blockquote>天哪，奥密克戎！</blockquote></p><p> The new, fast-spreading B.1.1.529 strain of coronavirus declared a variant of concern by the World Health Organization roiled global markets on Black Friday, raising concerns about how the economy and Wall Street may perform in the coming week, following a selloff that wiped out November gains for the S&amp;P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite and sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by the most in a day since Oct. 28, 2020.</p><p><blockquote>世界卫生组织宣布的新型快速传播的B.1.1.529冠状病毒变种在黑色星期五扰乱了全球市场，引发了人们对未来一周经济和华尔街表现的担忧。标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数11月份的涨幅被抹去，道琼斯工业平均指数创下2020年10月28日以来的最大单日跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> WHO said that the omicron variant, which has been detected in Belgium, Israel, and Hong Kong and was first identified in southern parts of Africa, is more transmissible than the delta strain that is currently dominant world-wide, and other variants.</p><p><blockquote>世卫组织表示，已在比利时、以色列和香港发现并首先在非洲南部地区发现的奥密克戎变种比目前在全球范围内占主导地位的德尔塔毒株和其他变种更具传播性。</blockquote></p><p> The emergence of the new strain led to the White House announcing restrictions, starting on Monday, on travel for non-U.S. citizens and residents from South Africa, as well as from Botswana, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Lesotho, Eswatini, Mozambique, and Malawi, joining the European Union, the U.K., Singapore and Japan, which also announced similar travel bans.</p><p><blockquote>新毒株的出现导致白宫宣布从周一开始限制来自南非以及博茨瓦纳、津巴布韦、纳米比亚、莱索托、斯威士兰、莫桑比克和马拉维的非美国公民和居民的旅行，加入了欧盟、英国、新加坡和日本的行列，这些国家也宣布了类似的旅行禁令。</blockquote></p><p> The market selloff during the abbreviated Black Friday session and the commensurate flight to assets that investors hope will perform better amid fresh mobility restrictions, helped to overshadow the usual focus on retail, on a day associated with heavy consumer spending ahead of the Christmas holiday. Friday's downturn also offered a crystal clear reminder that the path of the market and economy hinges on the course of COVID.</p><p><blockquote>短暂的黑色星期五交易期间的市场抛售，以及投资者希望在新的流动性限制中表现更好的资产的相应外逃，有助于掩盖通常对零售业的关注，而这一天与圣诞节假期前消费者支出旺盛有关。周五的低迷也清楚地提醒人们，市场和经济的发展取决于新冠疫情的进程。</blockquote></p><p> What isn't clear is whether the latest coronavirus development will do lasting harm to the complexion of the market. Omicron comes at a fragile time for optimistic investors, with bears pointing to lofty stock market valuations, inflation worries and global economic growth concerns as reasons to expect a drawdown in equities that have managed to avoid a decline from a peak of more than 5%.</p><p><blockquote>目前尚不清楚的是，冠状病毒的最新发展是否会对市场格局造成持久损害。对于乐观的投资者来说，奥密克戎正值脆弱时期，空头指出，股市估值过高、通胀担忧和全球经济增长担忧是预计股市将下跌的理由，而股市已成功避免了从超过5%的峰值下跌。</blockquote></p><p> In theory, Friday's post-Thanksgiving environment is traditionally lightly traded and therefore more susceptible to outsize price swings.</p><p><blockquote>理论上，周五感恩节后的环境传统上交易清淡，因此更容易受到价格大幅波动的影响。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq saw its lowest volume of the year on Black Friday, with 3.479 billion shares trading hands, well below the year-to-date average of 5.099 billion. The total composite volume, including trading on Intercontinental Exchange&nbsp;-owned NYSE platforms, was 8.760 billion, compared with an year-to-date average of 11.196 billion, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克在黑色星期五创下今年最低成交量，交易量为34.79亿股，远低于今年迄今50.99亿股的平均水平。根据道琼斯市场数据，包括洲际交易所旗下纽约证券交易所平台的交易在内的综合交易量为87.60亿美元，而今年迄今的平均交易量为111.96亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Still, only time will tell whether the reaction to omicron is a textbook, knee-jerk selloff or something more sinister.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，只有时间才能证明对奥密克戎的反应是教科书式的、下意识的抛售还是更险恶的东西。</blockquote></p><p> MarketWatch's Bill Watts wrote, citing Friday research from Mark Arbeter of Arbeter Investments, that the next level of support to watch for the S&amp;P 500 after closing at 4,594,62 on Friday is at 4,570, the 50-day exponential average; 4,566, the 38.2% retracement of the rally; and 4,550, a previous high from early September.</p><p><blockquote>MarketWatch的Bill Watts援引Arbeter Investments的Mark Arbeter周五的研究写道，在周五收于4,594, 62点后，标普500值得关注的下一个支撑位是4,570点，即50天指数平均线；4,566，反弹38.2%回撤位；4550，为9月初以来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> \"It is too early to know to what extent the new variant will affect economies and markets, and Friday's market moves have probably been exacerbated by reduced liquidity owing to the US Thanksgiving holiday, and the risk that further bad news emerges over the weekend,\" writes Jonas Goltermann senior markets economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday research note.</p><p><blockquote>“现在知道新变种将在多大程度上影响经济和市场还为时过早，周五的市场走势可能因美国感恩节假期导致流动性减少以及周末出现进一步坏消息的风险而加剧，”凯投宏观高级市场经济学家乔纳斯·戈尔特曼(Jonas Goltermann)在周五的一份研究报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> J.C. Parets of the All Star Charts blog writes that things could get dicey if the S&amp;P 500 is driven below 4,500, with little support beneath that point.</p><p><blockquote>J.C.All Star Charts博客的Parets写道，如果标普500跌破4,500点，事情可能会变得危险，并且低于该点几乎没有支撑。</blockquote></p><p> \"You know how parents always tell you nothing good ever happens after midnight? Well in the S&amp;P 500, nothing good happens below 4500,\" he writes in a Friday blog.</p><p><blockquote>“你知道父母总是告诉你午夜之后就不会有好事发生吗？在标普500，低于4500点就不会有好事发生，”他在周五的博客中写道。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccfdc3ebd8825870bc713469baf0d1b2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>All Star Charts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全明星图表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> \"If we're below that then there is a probably a much bigger problem out there, and the heaviest cash positions in 18 months would be warranted,\" Parets writes.</p><p><blockquote>帕雷茨写道：“如果我们低于这个水平，那么可能存在更大的问题，18个月内最重的现金头寸将是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Some analysts say that there are legitimate reasons for unease, on the public health front.</p><p><blockquote>一些分析人士表示，在公共卫生方面，有合理的理由感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> \"The fact that this variant seems to be spreading much faster than previous versions (including the Delta variant) bears very careful monitoring,\" wrote Michael Strobaek, global chief investment officer at Credit Suisse, in a research note. There are some questions about the effectiveness of existing COVID vaccines from Pfizer&nbsp;and Moderna&nbsp;due to the number of mutations that the omicron variant bears on the spike protein. The spike protein is the part of the virus targeted by COVID-19 vaccines.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷全球首席投资官Michael Strobaek在一份研究报告中写道：“这种变种似乎比以前的版本（包括德尔塔变异毒株）传播得更快，这一事实值得非常仔细的监控。”由于奥密克戎变种在刺突蛋白上携带的突变数量，辉瑞和Moderna现有新冠疫苗的有效性存在一些疑问。刺突蛋白是新冠肺炎疫苗针对的病毒部分。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst at Jefferies led by analyst Sean Darby note that risk-appetite was already edging lower before Black Friday and the selloff may have been a \"tipping point\" in favor of caution and risk moderation.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞(Jefferies)分析师肖恩·达比(Sean Darby)领导的分析师指出，在黑色星期五之前，风险偏好已经小幅走低，抛售可能是有利于谨慎和风险适度的“转折点”。</blockquote></p><p> \"The news of a new or not so new COVID variant spreading in Southern Africaappears to have been the tipping point in altering risk appetite in the past 24 hours,\" the Jefferies analyst wrote.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞分析师写道：“一种新的或不那么新的新冠病毒变种在南部非洲传播的消息似乎是过去24小时内改变风险偏好的转折点。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"However, there has been a sea change in risk variables over the past month -- anincreasing number of 'tailed treasury auctions', declining equity market breadth andthe imperceptible change in US retail appetite that seems to have gone unnoticed.Positioning in global equities is one of the most aggressive in US history,\" according to Darby and his colleagues.</p><p><blockquote>“然而，过去一个月风险变量发生了翻天覆地的变化——‘尾部国债拍卖’数量不断增加，股市广度下降，以及美国散户兴趣似乎没有被注意到的难以察觉的变化。全球股市的定位是美国历史上最激进的之一，”达比和他的同事表示。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies research suggests that investors are now expecting that the Federal Reserve, under renominated Chairman Jerome Powell, will hasten the pace of reductions in the central bank's asset purchases, which will lead to tighter financial conditions that could prove unfavorable to risky assets. Goldman Sachs sees the Fed stepping up tapering to $30 billion a month from a reduction of $15 billion, and estimates three policy interest rate increases in 2022, up from two.</p><p><blockquote>Jefferies research表示，投资者现在预计，在重新提名的主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的领导下，美联储将加快缩减央行资产购买的步伐，这将导致金融状况收紧，可能对风险资产不利。高盛预计美联储将从每月减少150亿美元的缩减规模增加到300亿美元，并预计2022年将加息三次，高于两次。</blockquote></p><p> \"Ultimately the Sharpe ratio -- a measure of return per unit of risk -- isturning for global equities. We expect the gap between the performance of risky and safe haven assets to diminish,\" Jefferies wrote.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞写道：“最终，全球股市的夏普比率（衡量单位风险回报的指标）正在发生变化。我们预计风险资产和避险资产表现之间的差距将缩小。”</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a2b6cd6fadb4dd80d04e06539404155\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"203\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>via Jefferies</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>通过杰弗里斯</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The situation could still prove a buying opportunity for bold investors, however.</p><p><blockquote>然而，对于大胆的投资者来说，这种情况仍然可能是一个买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> Strobaek wrote that \"risk assets such as equities are likely to give back some strength, but we would see this as an opportunity in selective and specific areas.\"</p><p><blockquote>Strobaek写道，“股票等风险资产可能会恢复一些实力，但我们认为这是选择性和特定领域的机会。”</blockquote></p><p> \"At this point, we reiterate our assessment from the latest Investment Committee report, i.e. keeping equities at a small overweight in portfolios and government bonds at an underweight,\" the Credit Suisse CIO writes.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷首席信息官写道：“目前，我们重申投资委员会最新报告中的评估，即将投资组合中的股票保持在较小的跑赢大盘，将政府债券保持在跑输大盘。”</blockquote></p><p> Analysts at Citigroup also said that \"we would buy into any dip,\" noting that its bearish checklist doesn't indicate significant red flags. \"Valuations look stretched, but other factors (credit spreads, fund flows) are not yet especially extended,\" Citi writes, with 7.5 out of 18 red flags triggered in its measures of global markets while the U.S. is seeing 9.5 of 18.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团分析师还表示，“我们会逢低买入”，并指出其看跌清单并未表明重大危险信号。花旗写道：“估值看起来很高，但其他因素（信用利差、资金流）尚未特别扩大。”在其对全球市场的衡量中，18个危险信号中有7.5个被触发，而美国的危险信号中有9.5个被触发。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4fba734970a8c977a13d6972402b65f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"417\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Citi Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>花旗研究</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Greg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments in Port Chester, NY says that the end-of-week selling may have resulted in a Black Friday sale for stock-market investors.</p><p><blockquote>纽约州切斯特港AXS Investments首席执行官格雷格·巴苏克(Greg Bassuk)表示，周末的抛售可能导致股市投资者出现黑色星期五抛售。</blockquote></p><p> \"Black Friday is typically the unofficial kick-off to the annual holiday shopping season. But we believe the real shopping is for stocks that are beaten-down from Covid infection spikes, inflation fears, and supply chain woes, but that still possess strong fundamentals that will drive their gains as the economy ultimately reopens,\" he wrote</p><p><blockquote>“黑色星期五通常是一年一度的假日购物季的非正式开始。但我们认为，真正的购物是那些因新冠感染激增、通胀担忧和供应链困境而遭受重创，但仍拥有强劲基本面的股票。随着经济最终重新开放，这将推动他们的上涨，”他写道</blockquote></p><p> That said, some analysts note that the lockdowns playing out in Europe and the spread of COVID, even before the omicron declaration, were reasons to be cautious since they will impact the global growth outlook.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，一些分析师指出，即使在《奥密克戎宣言》发表之前，欧洲的封锁和新冠病毒的传播也是保持谨慎的理由，因为它们将影响全球增长前景。</blockquote></p><p> Either way, it seems that a degree of caveat emptor may be in force next week and could color trading for the remainder of the 2021.</p><p><blockquote>不管怎样，某种程度的买者自负似乎可能会在下周生效，并可能影响2021年剩余时间的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Trading on Monday will help determine whether bullishness persists or if a bearish phase is crystallizing.</p><p><blockquote>周一的交易将有助于确定看涨情绪是否持续，或者看跌阶段是否正在具体化。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a week focused on the state of employment, with the November U.S. jobs report due at the end of the week and Powell and others offering their final thoughts before a media blackout period starting ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee's final meeting of 2021 on Dec. 14-15.</p><p><blockquote>这将是关注就业状况的一周，11月美国就业报告将于本周末发布，鲍威尔和其他人将在联邦公开市场委员会2021年最后一次会议之前开始的媒体封锁期之前发表最终想法12月14日至15日。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-black-friday-carnage-may-mean-for-the-stock-markets-trade-monday-analysts-say-11638021516?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4139":"生物科技","PFE":"辉瑞","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","ICE":"洲际交易所","BK4007":"制药",".DJI":"道琼斯","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","BK4568":"美国抗疫概念"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-what-the-black-friday-carnage-may-mean-for-the-stock-markets-trade-monday-analysts-say-11638021516?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2187329491","content_text":"OMG, omicron!\nThe new, fast-spreading B.1.1.529 strain of coronavirus declared a variant of concern by the World Health Organization roiled global markets on Black Friday, raising concerns about how the economy and Wall Street may perform in the coming week, following a selloff that wiped out November gains for the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Composite and sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by the most in a day since Oct. 28, 2020.\nWHO said that the omicron variant, which has been detected in Belgium, Israel, and Hong Kong and was first identified in southern parts of Africa, is more transmissible than the delta strain that is currently dominant world-wide, and other variants.\nThe emergence of the new strain led to the White House announcing restrictions, starting on Monday, on travel for non-U.S. citizens and residents from South Africa, as well as from Botswana, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Lesotho, Eswatini, Mozambique, and Malawi, joining the European Union, the U.K., Singapore and Japan, which also announced similar travel bans.\nThe market selloff during the abbreviated Black Friday session and the commensurate flight to assets that investors hope will perform better amid fresh mobility restrictions, helped to overshadow the usual focus on retail, on a day associated with heavy consumer spending ahead of the Christmas holiday. Friday's downturn also offered a crystal clear reminder that the path of the market and economy hinges on the course of COVID.\nWhat isn't clear is whether the latest coronavirus development will do lasting harm to the complexion of the market. Omicron comes at a fragile time for optimistic investors, with bears pointing to lofty stock market valuations, inflation worries and global economic growth concerns as reasons to expect a drawdown in equities that have managed to avoid a decline from a peak of more than 5%.\nIn theory, Friday's post-Thanksgiving environment is traditionally lightly traded and therefore more susceptible to outsize price swings.\nThe Nasdaq saw its lowest volume of the year on Black Friday, with 3.479 billion shares trading hands, well below the year-to-date average of 5.099 billion. The total composite volume, including trading on Intercontinental Exchange -owned NYSE platforms, was 8.760 billion, compared with an year-to-date average of 11.196 billion, according to Dow Jones Market Data.\nStill, only time will tell whether the reaction to omicron is a textbook, knee-jerk selloff or something more sinister.\nMarketWatch's Bill Watts wrote, citing Friday research from Mark Arbeter of Arbeter Investments, that the next level of support to watch for the S&P 500 after closing at 4,594,62 on Friday is at 4,570, the 50-day exponential average; 4,566, the 38.2% retracement of the rally; and 4,550, a previous high from early September.\n\"It is too early to know to what extent the new variant will affect economies and markets, and Friday's market moves have probably been exacerbated by reduced liquidity owing to the US Thanksgiving holiday, and the risk that further bad news emerges over the weekend,\" writes Jonas Goltermann senior markets economist at Capital Economics, in a Friday research note.\nJ.C. Parets of the All Star Charts blog writes that things could get dicey if the S&P 500 is driven below 4,500, with little support beneath that point.\n\"You know how parents always tell you nothing good ever happens after midnight? Well in the S&P 500, nothing good happens below 4500,\" he writes in a Friday blog.\nAll Star Charts\n\"If we're below that then there is a probably a much bigger problem out there, and the heaviest cash positions in 18 months would be warranted,\" Parets writes.\nSome analysts say that there are legitimate reasons for unease, on the public health front.\n\"The fact that this variant seems to be spreading much faster than previous versions (including the Delta variant) bears very careful monitoring,\" wrote Michael Strobaek, global chief investment officer at Credit Suisse, in a research note. There are some questions about the effectiveness of existing COVID vaccines from Pfizer and Moderna due to the number of mutations that the omicron variant bears on the spike protein. The spike protein is the part of the virus targeted by COVID-19 vaccines.\nAnalyst at Jefferies led by analyst Sean Darby note that risk-appetite was already edging lower before Black Friday and the selloff may have been a \"tipping point\" in favor of caution and risk moderation.\n\"The news of a new or not so new COVID variant spreading in Southern Africaappears to have been the tipping point in altering risk appetite in the past 24 hours,\" the Jefferies analyst wrote.\n\"However, there has been a sea change in risk variables over the past month -- anincreasing number of 'tailed treasury auctions', declining equity market breadth andthe imperceptible change in US retail appetite that seems to have gone unnoticed.Positioning in global equities is one of the most aggressive in US history,\" according to Darby and his colleagues.\nJefferies research suggests that investors are now expecting that the Federal Reserve, under renominated Chairman Jerome Powell, will hasten the pace of reductions in the central bank's asset purchases, which will lead to tighter financial conditions that could prove unfavorable to risky assets. Goldman Sachs sees the Fed stepping up tapering to $30 billion a month from a reduction of $15 billion, and estimates three policy interest rate increases in 2022, up from two.\n\"Ultimately the Sharpe ratio -- a measure of return per unit of risk -- isturning for global equities. We expect the gap between the performance of risky and safe haven assets to diminish,\" Jefferies wrote.\nvia Jefferies\nThe situation could still prove a buying opportunity for bold investors, however.\nStrobaek wrote that \"risk assets such as equities are likely to give back some strength, but we would see this as an opportunity in selective and specific areas.\"\n\"At this point, we reiterate our assessment from the latest Investment Committee report, i.e. keeping equities at a small overweight in portfolios and government bonds at an underweight,\" the Credit Suisse CIO writes.\nAnalysts at Citigroup also said that \"we would buy into any dip,\" noting that its bearish checklist doesn't indicate significant red flags. \"Valuations look stretched, but other factors (credit spreads, fund flows) are not yet especially extended,\" Citi writes, with 7.5 out of 18 red flags triggered in its measures of global markets while the U.S. is seeing 9.5 of 18.\nCiti Research\nGreg Bassuk, CEO at AXS Investments in Port Chester, NY says that the end-of-week selling may have resulted in a Black Friday sale for stock-market investors.\n\"Black Friday is typically the unofficial kick-off to the annual holiday shopping season. But we believe the real shopping is for stocks that are beaten-down from Covid infection spikes, inflation fears, and supply chain woes, but that still possess strong fundamentals that will drive their gains as the economy ultimately reopens,\" he wrote\nThat said, some analysts note that the lockdowns playing out in Europe and the spread of COVID, even before the omicron declaration, were reasons to be cautious since they will impact the global growth outlook.\nEither way, it seems that a degree of caveat emptor may be in force next week and could color trading for the remainder of the 2021.\nTrading on Monday will help determine whether bullishness persists or if a bearish phase is crystallizing.\nIt will be a week focused on the state of employment, with the November U.S. jobs report due at the end of the week and Powell and others offering their final thoughts before a media blackout period starting ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee's final meeting of 2021 on Dec. 14-15.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ICE":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"END":0.9,"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878730988,"gmtCreate":1637230192929,"gmtModify":1637230193150,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878730988","repostId":"1124378970","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124378970","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637229476,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124378970?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-18 17:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Stock Forecast: What To Watch For In 2022<blockquote>蔚来股票预测：2022年值得关注</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124378970","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"NIO is one of the leading pure-play new electric vehicle makers in China.We also discuss whether investors should add NIO stock now.NIO posted weak October deliveries. Nonetheless, the company is still leading total deliveries YTD among its leading pure-play peers. The competition is very close, but NIO continues to grow rapidly. The scale and immense opportunities of the Chinese market made Elon Musk famously proclaim that China will be Tesla's  largest factory and market.NIO stock has had a su","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is one of the leading pure-play new electric vehicle makers in China.</li>  <li>The company is estimated to grow rapidly, as it expands aggressively into Europe next year.</li>  <li>We discuss what investors should expect moving ahead in 2022 and beyond.</li>  <li>We also discuss whether investors should add NIO stock now.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffccc5b06bd64a029e813af7f0627d6e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1152\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andy Feng/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来是国内领先的纯电动汽车制造商之一。</li><li>该公司预计将快速增长，因为它明年将积极向欧洲扩张。</li><li>我们讨论了投资者在2022年及以后应该期待什么。</li><li>我们还讨论投资者现在是否应该添加蔚来股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Andy Feng/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading new electric vehicle (NEV) players. Despite almost&nbsp;going bankrupt&nbsp;a few years ago, the pure-play NEV player has made a tremendous comeback.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是国内领先的新型电动汽车（NEV）企业之一。尽管几年前差点破产，但这家纯新能源汽车公司已经卷土重来。</blockquote></p><p> NIO posted weak October deliveries. Nonetheless, the company is still leading total deliveries YTD among its leading pure-play peers. The competition is very close, but NIO continues to grow rapidly. The scale and immense opportunities of the Chinese market made Elon Musk famously proclaim that China will be Tesla's (TSLA) largest factory and market.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来10月份交付量疲软。尽管如此，该公司年初至今的总交付量仍在领先的纯业务同行中领先。竞争非常激烈，但蔚来继续快速增长。中国市场的规模和巨大机遇让Elon Musk宣布中国将成为特斯拉(TSLA)最大的工厂和市场。</blockquote></p><p> Amid NIO stock's relatively weak performance in 2021 so far, we discuss whether it's time for investors to add the stock.</p><p><blockquote>在蔚来股票2021年迄今为止表现相对疲软的情况下，我们讨论投资者是否是时候增持该股票了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Stock YTD Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来股票年初至今表现</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c286d28256f44ca6fa6deb496e6e2c98\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO stock YTD performance (as of 15 November 21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来股票年初至今表现（截至21年11月15日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO stock has had a subpar year in 2021. While it had started the year strongly, its upward momentum collapsed following the rotation from growth to value stock in February 2021. Despite making a remarkable recovery in May, it has remained in a consolidation phase. In contrast, its Chinese NEV peers have managed better performances so far. NIO stock is currently underperforming its leading Chinese NEV peers, and Tesla stock with a YTD return of -16.8%</p><p><blockquote>蔚来股价在2021年表现不佳。尽管该股今年开局强劲，但在2021年2月从成长股转向价值股后，其上升势头崩溃。尽管5月份出现了显着复苏，但仍处于盘整阶段。相比之下，中国新能源汽车同行迄今为止的表现更好。蔚来股票目前表现落后于中国领先的新能源汽车同行，特斯拉股票年初至今的回报率为-16.8%</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Operates in the World's Largest EV Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来在全球最大的电动汽车市场运营</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite NIO's surprising struggles, the company can count on its home market, China to support its growth. China is the #1 EV market globally, retaking the lead&nbsp;it briefly lost to Europe in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>尽管蔚来遭遇了令人惊讶的困境，但该公司可以依靠其本土市场中国来支持其增长。中国是全球第一大电动汽车市场，夺回了2020年短暂输给欧洲的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> BloombergNEF estimated that EV share of total China car sales will reach 25% in 2025, up from just 6% in 2020. China's government projections are slightly more conservative,putting it at 20% by 2025. However, China's EV sales outperformed these estimates as EV share of total sales&nbsp;reached 17.5% in September&nbsp;and averaged 13% YTD through September.</p><p><blockquote>彭博新能源财经估计，到2025年，电动汽车在中国汽车总销量中的份额将达到25%，高于2020年的6%。中国政府的预测稍微保守一些，预计到2025年将达到20%。然而，中国电动汽车销量超出了这些预期，9月份电动汽车占总销量的份额达到17.5%，年初至今至9月份平均为13%。</blockquote></p><p> Hence, we believe the massive secular tailwinds underpinned by China's national agenda in EV adoption will continue driving growth for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们相信，中国电动汽车采用国家议程所支撑的巨大长期推动力将继续推动蔚来的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company expects China to be its most important market even as it charts its European (the world #2 EV market) expansion. NIO CEO William Li emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司预计中国将成为其最重要的市场，尽管它正在规划其欧洲（世界第二大电动汽车市场）的扩张。蔚来首席执行官William Li强调：</blockquote></p><p>   If we look at the global market, we can see that  <i>China is still the biggest auto market and the biggest premium market</i>, so China will still be the most important market for us. But I believe for the markets outside of China in the long term, they should account for around 50% of the -- of all sales of our product. (from NIO's FQ3'21 earnings call)  Therefore, we expect China to continue driving the growth of the company moving forward as it scales. NIO highlighted that it currently has a maximum annual production capacity of 600K. Therefore, the company has positioned itself very well to scale its production moving forward. Considering its current YTD deliveries, we believe NIO's market opportunity is still in the early innings.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们放眼全球市场，我们可以看到<i>中国仍然是最大的汽车市场和最大的高端市场</i>，所以中国仍将是我们最重要的市场。但我相信，从长远来看，对于中国以外的市场，它们应该占我们产品总销售额的50%左右。（来自蔚来21年第三季度盈利看涨期权）因此，我们预计随着公司规模的扩大，中国将继续推动公司的增长。蔚来强调，目前最大年产能为60万辆。因此，该公司已经做好了扩大生产规模的准备。考虑到目前年初至今的交付量，我们认为蔚来的市场机会仍处于早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO's Fledgling Market Opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来刚刚起步的市场机遇</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01decb5c7ce129cf9fc59b2b13ccba85\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>China's leading NEV makers YTD October 21 deliveries. Data source: Various company filings, China Passenger Car Association</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国领先的新能源汽车制造商年初至今10月21日交付量。数据来源：各企业备案，中国乘联会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BYD Company Limited (OTCPK:BYDDF) is China's leading NEV maker. Its YTD deliveries (through October 21) highlight the company's undisputed leadership. We also&nbsp;discussed BYD's thesis in a recent article. Notwithstanding, NIO continues to lead its pure-play peers on YTD deliveries. However, the competition is very close. Nonetheless, we believe that China's massive tailwinds driving EV adoptions would continue to benefit NIO and its peers.</p><p><blockquote>比亚迪股份有限公司（OTCPK：BYDDF）是中国领先的新能源汽车制造商。其年初至今的交付量（截至10月21日）凸显了该公司无可争议的领导地位。我们还在最近的一篇文章中讨论了比亚迪的论文。尽管如此，蔚来今年迄今的交付量继续领先于纯同行。然而，竞争非常激烈。尽管如此，我们相信中国推动电动汽车采用的巨大推动力将继续使蔚来及其同行受益。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, even though NIO reported underwhelming October delivery numbers, we don't believe it's a cause of concern. We will touch more on that later.</p><p><blockquote>此外，尽管蔚来公布的10月份交付数据令人印象深刻，但我们认为这并不令人担忧。我们稍后将详细讨论这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1d6d8b43b9aff12d916fdb0327e8974\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO YTD October 21 deliveries by month. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来年初至今10月21日每月交付量。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28ea81aba6c5ceedc67d354d0fe0f604\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO quarterly deliveries by model. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来按型号划分的季度交付量。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Readers can observe the \"abnormally\" weak October delivery numbers of 3.67K. However, we are not unduly concerned about October's numbers. The company telegraphed it needed some downtime to adjust its manufacturing processes to scale ET7 (NIO's upcoming flagship sedan). Notably, the company emphasized that it has \"resumed normal production since late October.\" Li articulated (edited for brevity):</p><p><blockquote>读者可以观察到3.67 K的“异常”疲软的10月份交付数据。然而，我们并不过度担心10月份的数字。该公司表示，需要一些停机时间来调整其制造流程，以扩大ET7（蔚来即将推出的旗舰轿车）的规模。值得注意的是，该公司强调“自10月下旬以来已恢复正常生产”。李阐述（为简洁起见，编辑）：</blockquote></p><p>   ...To prepare for further capacity expansion and new product introductions including ET7, we implemented upgrades and the restructuring of the manufacturing lines at the Hefei JAC-NIO Advanced Manufacturing Center.  <i>Affected by the upgrades and the restructuring, we delivered 3,667 vehicles in October</i>. The plant has resumed normal production since late October. (from NIO's FQ3'21 earnings call)  Therefore, we are not too concerned with October's problems. The company guided Q4 deliveries to be between 23.5K to 25.5K. Hence, Q4 deliveries are estimated to be about 24.5K at the midpoint of NIO's guidance. Therefore, QoQ growth is estimated to be flat. Notwithstanding, if we account for October's \"abnormally\" weak numbers, the company expects strong deliveries in November and December. On average, the company expects to deliver about 10.42K units each month for November and December, respectively. That would place it in line with September's record month of 10.63K deliveries. Therefore, the worries about October's weakness have been overblown.</p><p><blockquote>为进一步扩大产能及推出ET7等新产品，我们对蔚来先进制造中心的生产线进行了升级改造。<i>受升级及重组影响，我们于10月交付3,667辆</i>该工厂自10月下旬起已恢复正常生产。（来自蔚来21年第三季度收益看涨期权）因此，我们并不太关心10月份的问题。该公司预计第四季度交付量在23,500至25,500之间。因此，第四季度的交付量估计约为24.5万辆，处于蔚来指导的中点。因此，环比增长预计持平。尽管如此，如果我们考虑到10月份“异常”疲软的数据，该公司预计11月和12月的交付量将强劲。平均而言，该公司预计11月和12月每月分别交付约10,42万台。这将使其与9月份创纪录的10.63万辆交付量持平。因此，对10月疲软的担忧被夸大了。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's expected deliveries for FY21 would amount to about 90.9K units. Compared to its annual production capacity of 600K units, it's clear that NIO expects to ramp production rapidly moving forward. While it might take some time to reach the 600K annualized run rate, NIO is preparing to launch 3 new products (including ET7) based on its NIO Technology Platform 2.0 in 2022. Therefore, the company is actively refreshing its slate and expects to continue its rapid delivery growth next year.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来预计2021财年的交付量约为9.09万辆。与60万辆的年产能相比，蔚来显然希望未来迅速提高产量。虽然达到60万的年化运行率可能需要一段时间，但蔚来正准备在2022年推出3款基于其蔚来技术平台2.0的新产品（包括ET7）。因此，该公司正在积极刷新其名单，并预计明年将继续其快速的交付增长。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company also expects to navigate the chip supply crunch well. It has also impacted NIO in the near term. However, NIO demonstrated its capabilities on its in-house technology as Li explained that they have managed to get around those problems. Li added:</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司还预计能够很好地应对芯片供应紧缩。它在短期内也影响了蔚来。然而，蔚来展示了其内部技术的能力，李解释说他们已经设法解决了这些问题。李补充道：</blockquote></p><p>   I would like to specifically mention that because the  <i>many domain controllers in our vehicles are actually developed by ourselves in-house</i>. So if there is a shortage of certain chips in the domain controllers, our teams have the capability to quickly find the alternative and do the rapid validation and faster production of those vehicles and the chips. So because of these capabilities, we have already  <i>resolved some chip shortage situations happened to our vehicles</i>. (from NIO's FQ3 earnings call)  <b>Consensus Estimates Also Agree With NIO's Rapid Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote>我想特别提一下，因为<i>我们车辆中的许多域控制器实际上都是我们自己内部开发的</i>因此，如果域控制器中的某些芯片短缺，我们的团队有能力快速找到替代方案，并对这些车辆和芯片进行快速验证和更快的生产。所以因为这些能力，我们已经<i>解决了我们车辆出现的一些芯片短缺情况</i>.（摘自蔚来第三季度财报看涨期权）<b>共识估计也与蔚来的快速扩张一致</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75908e4cc1b0e008a565a8faaa67a434\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO LTM revenue &amp; operating margins. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来LTM收入和营业利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/956abb3d98a0a3907c217e0c2e4b00c9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO est. revenue mean consensus &amp; est. EBIT margins. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来东部。收入平均值共识和估计值。息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Readers can quickly glean from the first chart above that NIO has expanded its top line rapidly. Notably, it has also managed to improve its operating leverage tremendously as it scales. As explained, we believe that NIO is very early on in its profitability growth. Given that it has an annualized production capacity of 600K, NIO is still expected to grow rapidly. The company is estimated to grow its top line by a phenomenal CAGR of 77.7% through FY23.</p><p><blockquote>读者可以从上面的第一张图表中很快发现，蔚来的营收迅速扩大。值得注意的是，随着规模的扩大，它还成功地极大地提高了运营杠杆。正如所解释的，我们认为蔚来的盈利增长还处于早期阶段。鉴于其拥有60万的年化产能，蔚来仍有望快速增长。据估计，通过2023财年，该公司的营收将以惊人的77.7%的复合年增长率增长。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, its EBIT consensus estimates also point to a lower EBIT loss margin of 2.1% in FY22. NIO is estimated to turn EBIT profitable by FY23, with an est. EBIT margin of 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，其息税前利润共识估计还表明，2022财年息税前利润损失率较低，为2.1%。2023财年预计蔚来将使息税前利润实现盈利。息税前利润率为3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, NIO investors can continue to expect the company to gain traction in its European journey and its home market. In addition, we encourage investors to pay close attention to its new product launches in 2022 as the company expects a strong delivery cadence moving forward. Notwithstanding, based on FQ4'21's guidance, November and December delivery numbers should also be impressive.</p><p><blockquote>因此，蔚来投资者可以继续期待该公司在欧洲之旅和本土市场获得关注。此外，我们鼓励投资者密切关注其2022年的新产品发布，因为该公司预计未来的交付节奏将强劲。尽管如此，根据21年第四季度的指导，11月和12月的交付数量也应该令人印象深刻。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So, is NIO Stock a Buy Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么，蔚来股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b943b23fe0e9f66e7db0040c15948ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO stock EV/NTM Revenue 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来股票EV/NTM收入3年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO stock is trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 7.9x. It has come a long way down from its January highs. Moreover, it's also just about 14% above its 3Y mean. Therefore, we believe that NIO stock's valuation seems attractive now. It's a much stronger company than it was three years ago. In addition, it has also significantly improved its operating leverage. Coupled with strong secular drivers underpinning its rapid growth ahead, we believe long-term investors would do well to sit on it. If NIO can continue to build on its delivery cadence, we think that the stock will be re-rated moving ahead in FY22. Therefore, investors should capitalize on its weakness now to add NIO stock to their portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来股票的EV/NTM收入为7.9倍。它已经从一月份的高点下跌了很长一段时间。此外，它也比3年平均水平高出约14%。因此，我们认为蔚来股票的估值现在看起来很有吸引力。这是一家比三年前强大得多的公司。此外，还显著提升了经营杠杆。再加上支撑其未来快速增长的强大长期驱动因素，我们相信长期投资者最好坐以待毙。如果蔚来能够继续提高其交付节奏，我们认为该股将在2022财年重新评级。因此，投资者现在应该利用其疲软的机会将蔚来股票添加到他们的投资组合中。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, we<i>rate NIO stock at Buy</i>.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们<i>蔚来股票评级为买入</i>.</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Stock Forecast: What To Watch For In 2022<blockquote>蔚来股票预测：2022年值得关注</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Stock Forecast: What To Watch For In 2022<blockquote>蔚来股票预测：2022年值得关注</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-18 17:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>NIO is one of the leading pure-play new electric vehicle makers in China.</li>  <li>The company is estimated to grow rapidly, as it expands aggressively into Europe next year.</li>  <li>We discuss what investors should expect moving ahead in 2022 and beyond.</li>  <li>We also discuss whether investors should add NIO stock now.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffccc5b06bd64a029e813af7f0627d6e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1152\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Andy Feng/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>蔚来是国内领先的纯电动汽车制造商之一。</li><li>该公司预计将快速增长，因为它明年将积极向欧洲扩张。</li><li>我们讨论了投资者在2022年及以后应该期待什么。</li><li>我们还讨论投资者现在是否应该添加蔚来股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Andy Feng/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading new electric vehicle (NEV) players. Despite almost&nbsp;going bankrupt&nbsp;a few years ago, the pure-play NEV player has made a tremendous comeback.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）是国内领先的新型电动汽车（NEV）企业之一。尽管几年前差点破产，但这家纯新能源汽车公司已经卷土重来。</blockquote></p><p> NIO posted weak October deliveries. Nonetheless, the company is still leading total deliveries YTD among its leading pure-play peers. The competition is very close, but NIO continues to grow rapidly. The scale and immense opportunities of the Chinese market made Elon Musk famously proclaim that China will be Tesla's (TSLA) largest factory and market.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来10月份交付量疲软。尽管如此，该公司年初至今的总交付量仍在领先的纯业务同行中领先。竞争非常激烈，但蔚来继续快速增长。中国市场的规模和巨大机遇让Elon Musk宣布中国将成为特斯拉(TSLA)最大的工厂和市场。</blockquote></p><p> Amid NIO stock's relatively weak performance in 2021 so far, we discuss whether it's time for investors to add the stock.</p><p><blockquote>在蔚来股票2021年迄今为止表现相对疲软的情况下，我们讨论投资者是否是时候增持该股票了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Stock YTD Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来股票年初至今表现</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c286d28256f44ca6fa6deb496e6e2c98\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO stock YTD performance (as of 15 November 21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来股票年初至今表现（截至21年11月15日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> NIO stock has had a subpar year in 2021. While it had started the year strongly, its upward momentum collapsed following the rotation from growth to value stock in February 2021. Despite making a remarkable recovery in May, it has remained in a consolidation phase. In contrast, its Chinese NEV peers have managed better performances so far. NIO stock is currently underperforming its leading Chinese NEV peers, and Tesla stock with a YTD return of -16.8%</p><p><blockquote>蔚来股价在2021年表现不佳。尽管该股今年开局强劲，但在2021年2月从成长股转向价值股后，其上升势头崩溃。尽管5月份出现了显着复苏，但仍处于盘整阶段。相比之下，中国新能源汽车同行迄今为止的表现更好。蔚来股票目前表现落后于中国领先的新能源汽车同行，特斯拉股票年初至今的回报率为-16.8%</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Operates in the World's Largest EV Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来在全球最大的电动汽车市场运营</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite NIO's surprising struggles, the company can count on its home market, China to support its growth. China is the #1 EV market globally, retaking the lead&nbsp;it briefly lost to Europe in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>尽管蔚来遭遇了令人惊讶的困境，但该公司可以依靠其本土市场中国来支持其增长。中国是全球第一大电动汽车市场，夺回了2020年短暂输给欧洲的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> BloombergNEF estimated that EV share of total China car sales will reach 25% in 2025, up from just 6% in 2020. China's government projections are slightly more conservative,putting it at 20% by 2025. However, China's EV sales outperformed these estimates as EV share of total sales&nbsp;reached 17.5% in September&nbsp;and averaged 13% YTD through September.</p><p><blockquote>彭博新能源财经估计，到2025年，电动汽车在中国汽车总销量中的份额将达到25%，高于2020年的6%。中国政府的预测稍微保守一些，预计到2025年将达到20%。然而，中国电动汽车销量超出了这些预期，9月份电动汽车占总销量的份额达到17.5%，年初至今至9月份平均为13%。</blockquote></p><p> Hence, we believe the massive secular tailwinds underpinned by China's national agenda in EV adoption will continue driving growth for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们相信，中国电动汽车采用国家议程所支撑的巨大长期推动力将继续推动蔚来的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company expects China to be its most important market even as it charts its European (the world #2 EV market) expansion. NIO CEO William Li emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司预计中国将成为其最重要的市场，尽管它正在规划其欧洲（世界第二大电动汽车市场）的扩张。蔚来首席执行官William Li强调：</blockquote></p><p>   If we look at the global market, we can see that  <i>China is still the biggest auto market and the biggest premium market</i>, so China will still be the most important market for us. But I believe for the markets outside of China in the long term, they should account for around 50% of the -- of all sales of our product. (from NIO's FQ3'21 earnings call)  Therefore, we expect China to continue driving the growth of the company moving forward as it scales. NIO highlighted that it currently has a maximum annual production capacity of 600K. Therefore, the company has positioned itself very well to scale its production moving forward. Considering its current YTD deliveries, we believe NIO's market opportunity is still in the early innings.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们放眼全球市场，我们可以看到<i>中国仍然是最大的汽车市场和最大的高端市场</i>，所以中国仍将是我们最重要的市场。但我相信，从长远来看，对于中国以外的市场，它们应该占我们产品总销售额的50%左右。（来自蔚来21年第三季度盈利看涨期权）因此，我们预计随着公司规模的扩大，中国将继续推动公司的增长。蔚来强调，目前最大年产能为60万辆。因此，该公司已经做好了扩大生产规模的准备。考虑到目前年初至今的交付量，我们认为蔚来的市场机会仍处于早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO's Fledgling Market Opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来刚刚起步的市场机遇</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01decb5c7ce129cf9fc59b2b13ccba85\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>China's leading NEV makers YTD October 21 deliveries. Data source: Various company filings, China Passenger Car Association</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国领先的新能源汽车制造商年初至今10月21日交付量。数据来源：各企业备案，中国乘联会</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BYD Company Limited (OTCPK:BYDDF) is China's leading NEV maker. Its YTD deliveries (through October 21) highlight the company's undisputed leadership. We also&nbsp;discussed BYD's thesis in a recent article. Notwithstanding, NIO continues to lead its pure-play peers on YTD deliveries. However, the competition is very close. Nonetheless, we believe that China's massive tailwinds driving EV adoptions would continue to benefit NIO and its peers.</p><p><blockquote>比亚迪股份有限公司（OTCPK：BYDDF）是中国领先的新能源汽车制造商。其年初至今的交付量（截至10月21日）凸显了该公司无可争议的领导地位。我们还在最近的一篇文章中讨论了比亚迪的论文。尽管如此，蔚来今年迄今的交付量继续领先于纯同行。然而，竞争非常激烈。尽管如此，我们相信中国推动电动汽车采用的巨大推动力将继续使蔚来及其同行受益。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, even though NIO reported underwhelming October delivery numbers, we don't believe it's a cause of concern. We will touch more on that later.</p><p><blockquote>此外，尽管蔚来公布的10月份交付数据令人印象深刻，但我们认为这并不令人担忧。我们稍后将详细讨论这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1d6d8b43b9aff12d916fdb0327e8974\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO YTD October 21 deliveries by month. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来年初至今10月21日每月交付量。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28ea81aba6c5ceedc67d354d0fe0f604\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO quarterly deliveries by model. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来按型号划分的季度交付量。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Readers can observe the \"abnormally\" weak October delivery numbers of 3.67K. However, we are not unduly concerned about October's numbers. The company telegraphed it needed some downtime to adjust its manufacturing processes to scale ET7 (NIO's upcoming flagship sedan). Notably, the company emphasized that it has \"resumed normal production since late October.\" Li articulated (edited for brevity):</p><p><blockquote>读者可以观察到3.67 K的“异常”疲软的10月份交付数据。然而，我们并不过度担心10月份的数字。该公司表示，需要一些停机时间来调整其制造流程，以扩大ET7（蔚来即将推出的旗舰轿车）的规模。值得注意的是，该公司强调“自10月下旬以来已恢复正常生产”。李阐述（为简洁起见，编辑）：</blockquote></p><p>   ...To prepare for further capacity expansion and new product introductions including ET7, we implemented upgrades and the restructuring of the manufacturing lines at the Hefei JAC-NIO Advanced Manufacturing Center.  <i>Affected by the upgrades and the restructuring, we delivered 3,667 vehicles in October</i>. The plant has resumed normal production since late October. (from NIO's FQ3'21 earnings call)  Therefore, we are not too concerned with October's problems. The company guided Q4 deliveries to be between 23.5K to 25.5K. Hence, Q4 deliveries are estimated to be about 24.5K at the midpoint of NIO's guidance. Therefore, QoQ growth is estimated to be flat. Notwithstanding, if we account for October's \"abnormally\" weak numbers, the company expects strong deliveries in November and December. On average, the company expects to deliver about 10.42K units each month for November and December, respectively. That would place it in line with September's record month of 10.63K deliveries. Therefore, the worries about October's weakness have been overblown.</p><p><blockquote>为进一步扩大产能及推出ET7等新产品，我们对蔚来先进制造中心的生产线进行了升级改造。<i>受升级及重组影响，我们于10月交付3,667辆</i>该工厂自10月下旬起已恢复正常生产。（来自蔚来21年第三季度收益看涨期权）因此，我们并不太关心10月份的问题。该公司预计第四季度交付量在23,500至25,500之间。因此，第四季度的交付量估计约为24.5万辆，处于蔚来指导的中点。因此，环比增长预计持平。尽管如此，如果我们考虑到10月份“异常”疲软的数据，该公司预计11月和12月的交付量将强劲。平均而言，该公司预计11月和12月每月分别交付约10,42万台。这将使其与9月份创纪录的10.63万辆交付量持平。因此，对10月疲软的担忧被夸大了。</blockquote></p><p> NIO's expected deliveries for FY21 would amount to about 90.9K units. Compared to its annual production capacity of 600K units, it's clear that NIO expects to ramp production rapidly moving forward. While it might take some time to reach the 600K annualized run rate, NIO is preparing to launch 3 new products (including ET7) based on its NIO Technology Platform 2.0 in 2022. Therefore, the company is actively refreshing its slate and expects to continue its rapid delivery growth next year.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来预计2021财年的交付量约为9.09万辆。与60万辆的年产能相比，蔚来显然希望未来迅速提高产量。虽然达到60万的年化运行率可能需要一段时间，但蔚来正准备在2022年推出3款基于其蔚来技术平台2.0的新产品（包括ET7）。因此，该公司正在积极刷新其名单，并预计明年将继续其快速的交付增长。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, the company also expects to navigate the chip supply crunch well. It has also impacted NIO in the near term. However, NIO demonstrated its capabilities on its in-house technology as Li explained that they have managed to get around those problems. Li added:</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司还预计能够很好地应对芯片供应紧缩。它在短期内也影响了蔚来。然而，蔚来展示了其内部技术的能力，李解释说他们已经设法解决了这些问题。李补充道：</blockquote></p><p>   I would like to specifically mention that because the  <i>many domain controllers in our vehicles are actually developed by ourselves in-house</i>. So if there is a shortage of certain chips in the domain controllers, our teams have the capability to quickly find the alternative and do the rapid validation and faster production of those vehicles and the chips. So because of these capabilities, we have already  <i>resolved some chip shortage situations happened to our vehicles</i>. (from NIO's FQ3 earnings call)  <b>Consensus Estimates Also Agree With NIO's Rapid Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote>我想特别提一下，因为<i>我们车辆中的许多域控制器实际上都是我们自己内部开发的</i>因此，如果域控制器中的某些芯片短缺，我们的团队有能力快速找到替代方案，并对这些车辆和芯片进行快速验证和更快的生产。所以因为这些能力，我们已经<i>解决了我们车辆出现的一些芯片短缺情况</i>.（摘自蔚来第三季度财报看涨期权）<b>共识估计也与蔚来的快速扩张一致</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75908e4cc1b0e008a565a8faaa67a434\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO LTM revenue &amp; operating margins. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来LTM收入和营业利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/956abb3d98a0a3907c217e0c2e4b00c9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO est. revenue mean consensus &amp; est. EBIT margins. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来东部。收入平均值共识和估计值。息税前利润率。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Readers can quickly glean from the first chart above that NIO has expanded its top line rapidly. Notably, it has also managed to improve its operating leverage tremendously as it scales. As explained, we believe that NIO is very early on in its profitability growth. Given that it has an annualized production capacity of 600K, NIO is still expected to grow rapidly. The company is estimated to grow its top line by a phenomenal CAGR of 77.7% through FY23.</p><p><blockquote>读者可以从上面的第一张图表中很快发现，蔚来的营收迅速扩大。值得注意的是，随着规模的扩大，它还成功地极大地提高了运营杠杆。正如所解释的，我们认为蔚来的盈利增长还处于早期阶段。鉴于其拥有60万的年化产能，蔚来仍有望快速增长。据估计，通过2023财年，该公司的营收将以惊人的77.7%的复合年增长率增长。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, its EBIT consensus estimates also point to a lower EBIT loss margin of 2.1% in FY22. NIO is estimated to turn EBIT profitable by FY23, with an est. EBIT margin of 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，其息税前利润共识估计还表明，2022财年息税前利润损失率较低，为2.1%。2023财年预计蔚来将使息税前利润实现盈利。息税前利润率为3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, NIO investors can continue to expect the company to gain traction in its European journey and its home market. In addition, we encourage investors to pay close attention to its new product launches in 2022 as the company expects a strong delivery cadence moving forward. Notwithstanding, based on FQ4'21's guidance, November and December delivery numbers should also be impressive.</p><p><blockquote>因此，蔚来投资者可以继续期待该公司在欧洲之旅和本土市场获得关注。此外，我们鼓励投资者密切关注其2022年的新产品发布，因为该公司预计未来的交付节奏将强劲。尽管如此，根据21年第四季度的指导，11月和12月的交付数量也应该令人印象深刻。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So, is NIO Stock a Buy Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么，蔚来股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b943b23fe0e9f66e7db0040c15948ce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>NIO stock EV/NTM Revenue 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来股票EV/NTM收入3年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO stock is trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 7.9x. It has come a long way down from its January highs. Moreover, it's also just about 14% above its 3Y mean. Therefore, we believe that NIO stock's valuation seems attractive now. It's a much stronger company than it was three years ago. In addition, it has also significantly improved its operating leverage. Coupled with strong secular drivers underpinning its rapid growth ahead, we believe long-term investors would do well to sit on it. If NIO can continue to build on its delivery cadence, we think that the stock will be re-rated moving ahead in FY22. Therefore, investors should capitalize on its weakness now to add NIO stock to their portfolios.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来股票的EV/NTM收入为7.9倍。它已经从一月份的高点下跌了很长一段时间。此外，它也比3年平均水平高出约14%。因此，我们认为蔚来股票的估值现在看起来很有吸引力。这是一家比三年前强大得多的公司。此外，还显著提升了经营杠杆。再加上支撑其未来快速增长的强大长期驱动因素，我们相信长期投资者最好坐以待毙。如果蔚来能够继续提高其交付节奏，我们认为该股将在2022财年重新评级。因此，投资者现在应该利用其疲软的机会将蔚来股票添加到他们的投资组合中。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, we<i>rate NIO stock at Buy</i>.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们<i>蔚来股票评级为买入</i>.</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4470158-nio-stock-forecast\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4470158-nio-stock-forecast","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124378970","content_text":"Summary\n\nNIO is one of the leading pure-play new electric vehicle makers in China.\nThe company is estimated to grow rapidly, as it expands aggressively into Europe next year.\nWe discuss what investors should expect moving ahead in 2022 and beyond.\nWe also discuss whether investors should add NIO stock now.\n\nAndy Feng/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nNIO Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading new electric vehicle (NEV) players. Despite almost going bankrupt a few years ago, the pure-play NEV player has made a tremendous comeback.\nNIO posted weak October deliveries. Nonetheless, the company is still leading total deliveries YTD among its leading pure-play peers. The competition is very close, but NIO continues to grow rapidly. The scale and immense opportunities of the Chinese market made Elon Musk famously proclaim that China will be Tesla's (TSLA) largest factory and market.\nAmid NIO stock's relatively weak performance in 2021 so far, we discuss whether it's time for investors to add the stock.\nNIO Stock YTD Performance\nNIO stock YTD performance (as of 15 November 21).\nNIO stock has had a subpar year in 2021. While it had started the year strongly, its upward momentum collapsed following the rotation from growth to value stock in February 2021. Despite making a remarkable recovery in May, it has remained in a consolidation phase. In contrast, its Chinese NEV peers have managed better performances so far. NIO stock is currently underperforming its leading Chinese NEV peers, and Tesla stock with a YTD return of -16.8%\nNIO Operates in the World's Largest EV Market\nDespite NIO's surprising struggles, the company can count on its home market, China to support its growth. China is the #1 EV market globally, retaking the lead it briefly lost to Europe in 2020.\nBloombergNEF estimated that EV share of total China car sales will reach 25% in 2025, up from just 6% in 2020. China's government projections are slightly more conservative,putting it at 20% by 2025. However, China's EV sales outperformed these estimates as EV share of total sales reached 17.5% in September and averaged 13% YTD through September.\nHence, we believe the massive secular tailwinds underpinned by China's national agenda in EV adoption will continue driving growth for NIO.\nNotably, the company expects China to be its most important market even as it charts its European (the world #2 EV market) expansion. NIO CEO William Li emphasized:\n\n If we look at the global market, we can see that\n China is still the biggest auto market and the biggest premium market, so China will still be the most important market for us. But I believe for the markets outside of China in the long term, they should account for around 50% of the -- of all sales of our product. (from NIO's FQ3'21 earnings call)\n\nTherefore, we expect China to continue driving the growth of the company moving forward as it scales. NIO highlighted that it currently has a maximum annual production capacity of 600K. Therefore, the company has positioned itself very well to scale its production moving forward. Considering its current YTD deliveries, we believe NIO's market opportunity is still in the early innings.\nNIO's Fledgling Market Opportunity\nChina's leading NEV makers YTD October 21 deliveries. Data source: Various company filings, China Passenger Car Association\nBYD Company Limited (OTCPK:BYDDF) is China's leading NEV maker. Its YTD deliveries (through October 21) highlight the company's undisputed leadership. We also discussed BYD's thesis in a recent article. Notwithstanding, NIO continues to lead its pure-play peers on YTD deliveries. However, the competition is very close. Nonetheless, we believe that China's massive tailwinds driving EV adoptions would continue to benefit NIO and its peers.\nIn addition, even though NIO reported underwhelming October delivery numbers, we don't believe it's a cause of concern. We will touch more on that later.\nNIO YTD October 21 deliveries by month. Data source: Company filings\nNIO quarterly deliveries by model. Data source: Company filings\nReaders can observe the \"abnormally\" weak October delivery numbers of 3.67K. However, we are not unduly concerned about October's numbers. The company telegraphed it needed some downtime to adjust its manufacturing processes to scale ET7 (NIO's upcoming flagship sedan). Notably, the company emphasized that it has \"resumed normal production since late October.\" Li articulated (edited for brevity):\n\n ...To prepare for further capacity expansion and new product introductions including ET7, we implemented upgrades and the restructuring of the manufacturing lines at the Hefei JAC-NIO Advanced Manufacturing Center.\n Affected by the upgrades and the restructuring, we delivered 3,667 vehicles in October. The plant has resumed normal production since late October. (from NIO's FQ3'21 earnings call)\n\nTherefore, we are not too concerned with October's problems. The company guided Q4 deliveries to be between 23.5K to 25.5K. Hence, Q4 deliveries are estimated to be about 24.5K at the midpoint of NIO's guidance. Therefore, QoQ growth is estimated to be flat. Notwithstanding, if we account for October's \"abnormally\" weak numbers, the company expects strong deliveries in November and December. On average, the company expects to deliver about 10.42K units each month for November and December, respectively. That would place it in line with September's record month of 10.63K deliveries. Therefore, the worries about October's weakness have been overblown.\nNIO's expected deliveries for FY21 would amount to about 90.9K units. Compared to its annual production capacity of 600K units, it's clear that NIO expects to ramp production rapidly moving forward. While it might take some time to reach the 600K annualized run rate, NIO is preparing to launch 3 new products (including ET7) based on its NIO Technology Platform 2.0 in 2022. Therefore, the company is actively refreshing its slate and expects to continue its rapid delivery growth next year.\nNotably, the company also expects to navigate the chip supply crunch well. It has also impacted NIO in the near term. However, NIO demonstrated its capabilities on its in-house technology as Li explained that they have managed to get around those problems. Li added:\n\n I would like to specifically mention that because the\n many domain controllers in our vehicles are actually developed by ourselves in-house. So if there is a shortage of certain chips in the domain controllers, our teams have the capability to quickly find the alternative and do the rapid validation and faster production of those vehicles and the chips. So because of these capabilities, we have already\n resolved some chip shortage situations happened to our vehicles. (from NIO's FQ3 earnings call)\n\nConsensus Estimates Also Agree With NIO's Rapid Expansion\nNIO LTM revenue & operating margins. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nNIO est. revenue mean consensus & est. EBIT margins. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nReaders can quickly glean from the first chart above that NIO has expanded its top line rapidly. Notably, it has also managed to improve its operating leverage tremendously as it scales. As explained, we believe that NIO is very early on in its profitability growth. Given that it has an annualized production capacity of 600K, NIO is still expected to grow rapidly. The company is estimated to grow its top line by a phenomenal CAGR of 77.7% through FY23.\nNotably, its EBIT consensus estimates also point to a lower EBIT loss margin of 2.1% in FY22. NIO is estimated to turn EBIT profitable by FY23, with an est. EBIT margin of 3.2%.\nTherefore, NIO investors can continue to expect the company to gain traction in its European journey and its home market. In addition, we encourage investors to pay close attention to its new product launches in 2022 as the company expects a strong delivery cadence moving forward. Notwithstanding, based on FQ4'21's guidance, November and December delivery numbers should also be impressive.\nSo, is NIO Stock a Buy Now?\nNIO stock EV/NTM Revenue 3Y mean.\nNIO stock is trading at an EV/NTM Revenue of 7.9x. It has come a long way down from its January highs. Moreover, it's also just about 14% above its 3Y mean. Therefore, we believe that NIO stock's valuation seems attractive now. It's a much stronger company than it was three years ago. In addition, it has also significantly improved its operating leverage. Coupled with strong secular drivers underpinning its rapid growth ahead, we believe long-term investors would do well to sit on it. If NIO can continue to build on its delivery cadence, we think that the stock will be re-rated moving ahead in FY22. Therefore, investors should capitalize on its weakness now to add NIO stock to their portfolios.\nConsequently, werate NIO stock at Buy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878797566,"gmtCreate":1637230141744,"gmtModify":1637230141864,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878797566","repostId":"1162579269","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1162579269","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637226751,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162579269?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-18 17:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading after ending five consecutive suns<blockquote>Rivian在结束五连阳后，盘前交易中继续下跌近6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162579269","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading. Rivian's stock price plunged 15% to close ","content":"<p>Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c513f39317e5d61a9562ed17e8e4c735\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">&nbsp;Rivian's stock price plunged 15% to close at $146.07 on Wednesday, shares at&nbsp;one&nbsp;point on Tuesday were more than double the company's IPO pricing of $78 from last week. The stock hit an intraday high of $179.47onTuesday.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian在盘前交易中继续下跌近6%。Rivian股价周三暴跌15%，收于146.07美元，周二股价一度较上周该公司78美元的IPO定价高出一倍多。该股周二触及179.47美元的盘中高点。</blockquote></p><p> For perspective, Rivian's market cap at its peak eclipsed that of auto giant Volkswagen. Rivian has barely shipped any of its electric trucks, and has lost more than $2.4 billion from 2019 through 2021.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，Rivian的市值在巅峰时期超过了汽车巨头大众汽车。Rivian几乎没有出货任何电动卡车，从2019年到2021年损失超过24亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Some strategists like Maley thought&nbsp;the eye-popping gains in Rivian and Lucid underscore the continued high levels of liquidity in the market, in large part fueled by low interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>马利等一些策略师认为，Rivian和Lucid令人瞠目结舌的涨幅凸显了市场流动性持续高水平，这在很大程度上是由低利率推动的。</blockquote></p><p> Maley&nbsp;explained, \"Just like 1999 when Amazon [stock] got way, way, way ahead of itself — it's a great company and changed the world — but the stock had to come down. I am not saying we are going to have the same problems next year that we had in 200 with a major bear market. But this market is being run by liquidity, and much less so than on economic growth or earnings growth. This liquidity is going to become less plentiful and people need to be preparing for how they will react when this market starts to come down at point. It's inevitable, and I think will come down at some point in the next 12 months.\"</p><p><blockquote>马利解释说，“就像1999年亚马逊（股票）远远领先于自己——它是一家伟大的公司，改变了世界——但股票不得不下跌。我并不是说我们会遇到同样的问题明年我们会遇到200年大熊市时遇到的问题。但这个市场是由流动性驱动的，而不是经济增长或盈利增长。这种流动性将变得不那么充裕，人们需要准备好当市场开始下跌时他们将如何反应。这是不可避免的，我认为它会在未来12个月的某个时候下降。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading after ending five consecutive suns<blockquote>Rivian在结束五连阳后，盘前交易中继续下跌近6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading after ending five consecutive suns<blockquote>Rivian在结束五连阳后，盘前交易中继续下跌近6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-18 17:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c513f39317e5d61a9562ed17e8e4c735\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"562\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">&nbsp;Rivian's stock price plunged 15% to close at $146.07 on Wednesday, shares at&nbsp;one&nbsp;point on Tuesday were more than double the company's IPO pricing of $78 from last week. The stock hit an intraday high of $179.47onTuesday.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian在盘前交易中继续下跌近6%。Rivian股价周三暴跌15%，收于146.07美元，周二股价一度较上周该公司78美元的IPO定价高出一倍多。该股周二触及179.47美元的盘中高点。</blockquote></p><p> For perspective, Rivian's market cap at its peak eclipsed that of auto giant Volkswagen. Rivian has barely shipped any of its electric trucks, and has lost more than $2.4 billion from 2019 through 2021.</p><p><blockquote>从长远来看，Rivian的市值在巅峰时期超过了汽车巨头大众汽车。Rivian几乎没有出货任何电动卡车，从2019年到2021年损失超过24亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Some strategists like Maley thought&nbsp;the eye-popping gains in Rivian and Lucid underscore the continued high levels of liquidity in the market, in large part fueled by low interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>马利等一些策略师认为，Rivian和Lucid令人瞠目结舌的涨幅凸显了市场流动性持续高水平，这在很大程度上是由低利率推动的。</blockquote></p><p> Maley&nbsp;explained, \"Just like 1999 when Amazon [stock] got way, way, way ahead of itself — it's a great company and changed the world — but the stock had to come down. I am not saying we are going to have the same problems next year that we had in 200 with a major bear market. But this market is being run by liquidity, and much less so than on economic growth or earnings growth. This liquidity is going to become less plentiful and people need to be preparing for how they will react when this market starts to come down at point. It's inevitable, and I think will come down at some point in the next 12 months.\"</p><p><blockquote>马利解释说，“就像1999年亚马逊（股票）远远领先于自己——它是一家伟大的公司，改变了世界——但股票不得不下跌。我并不是说我们会遇到同样的问题明年我们会遇到200年大熊市时遇到的问题。但这个市场是由流动性驱动的，而不是经济增长或盈利增长。这种流动性将变得不那么充裕，人们需要准备好当市场开始下跌时他们将如何反应。这是不可避免的，我认为它会在未来12个月的某个时候下降。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162579269","content_text":"Rivian continued to slide nearly 6% in premarket trading. Rivian's stock price plunged 15% to close at $146.07 on Wednesday, shares at one point on Tuesday were more than double the company's IPO pricing of $78 from last week. The stock hit an intraday high of $179.47onTuesday.\nFor perspective, Rivian's market cap at its peak eclipsed that of auto giant Volkswagen. Rivian has barely shipped any of its electric trucks, and has lost more than $2.4 billion from 2019 through 2021.\nSome strategists like Maley thought the eye-popping gains in Rivian and Lucid underscore the continued high levels of liquidity in the market, in large part fueled by low interest rates.\nMaley explained, \"Just like 1999 when Amazon [stock] got way, way, way ahead of itself — it's a great company and changed the world — but the stock had to come down. I am not saying we are going to have the same problems next year that we had in 200 with a major bear market. But this market is being run by liquidity, and much less so than on economic growth or earnings growth. This liquidity is going to become less plentiful and people need to be preparing for how they will react when this market starts to come down at point. It's inevitable, and I think will come down at some point in the next 12 months.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":878339147,"gmtCreate":1637146868173,"gmtModify":1637146868325,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ya","listText":"Ya","text":"Ya","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878339147","repostId":"1135928739","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135928739","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637144052,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135928739?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-17 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Greed outpacing fear in world markets, Goldman Sachs CEO says<blockquote>高盛首席执行官表示，世界市场的贪婪超过了恐惧</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135928739","media":"Reuters","summary":"Greed is outpacing fear in world financial markets as investors respond to the pandemic recovery, Go","content":"<p>Greed is outpacing fear in world financial markets as investors respond to the pandemic recovery, Goldman Sachs(GS.N)Chief Executive David Solomon says, adding that such periods of exuberance are usually not long-lived.</p><p><blockquote>高盛（GS.N）首席执行官大卫·所罗门表示，随着投资者对疫情复苏的反应，世界金融市场的贪婪正在超过恐惧，并补充说，这种繁荣时期通常不会持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Solomon told Bloomberg's New Economy Forum in Singapore on Wednesday the global economy was facing a 'complicated time' as activity began to strengthen after the sudden shutdown in many parts of the world in 2020 because of coronavirus.</p><p><blockquote>所罗门周三在新加坡举行的彭博新经济论坛上表示，全球经济正面临一个“复杂的时期”，在2020年世界许多地区因冠状病毒突然关闭后，经济活动开始加强。</blockquote></p><p> The unprecedented levels of stimulus ordered by governments and central banks, he said, had led to exuberance in certain markets.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，各国政府和央行前所未有的刺激措施导致了某些市场的繁荣。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think markets generally when I step back and I think about my 40 year career, there's been periods of time when greed has far outpaced fear. We were in one of those periods of time,\" Solomon told the Singapore event.</p><p><blockquote>所罗门在新加坡活动中表示：“我认为市场总体而言，当我退后一步，想想我40年的职业生涯时，有时贪婪远远超过恐惧。我们正处于其中一个时期。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We were in one of those periods of time and generally speaking, my experience says that, you know, those periods are not long-lived.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于其中一个时期，一般来说，我的经验表明，你知道，这些时期不会持续很长时间。”</blockquote></p><p> Solomon said the expectation of rising interest rates could reduce the heat in some asset markets.</p><p><blockquote>所罗门表示，加息预期可能会降低部分资产市场的热度。</blockquote></p><p> \"Something will rebalance it and bring a little bit more perspective. And given it feels like inflation is running above trend, chances are interest rates will move up and that will take some of the exuberance out of certain markets,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“有些事情会重新平衡它，并带来更多的视角。鉴于通胀似乎高于趋势，利率很可能会上升，这将消除某些市场的一些繁荣。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Greed outpacing fear in world markets, Goldman Sachs CEO says<blockquote>高盛首席执行官表示，世界市场的贪婪超过了恐惧</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGreed outpacing fear in world markets, Goldman Sachs CEO says<blockquote>高盛首席执行官表示，世界市场的贪婪超过了恐惧</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-17 18:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Greed is outpacing fear in world financial markets as investors respond to the pandemic recovery, Goldman Sachs(GS.N)Chief Executive David Solomon says, adding that such periods of exuberance are usually not long-lived.</p><p><blockquote>高盛（GS.N）首席执行官大卫·所罗门表示，随着投资者对疫情复苏的反应，世界金融市场的贪婪正在超过恐惧，并补充说，这种繁荣时期通常不会持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> Solomon told Bloomberg's New Economy Forum in Singapore on Wednesday the global economy was facing a 'complicated time' as activity began to strengthen after the sudden shutdown in many parts of the world in 2020 because of coronavirus.</p><p><blockquote>所罗门周三在新加坡举行的彭博新经济论坛上表示，全球经济正面临一个“复杂的时期”，在2020年世界许多地区因冠状病毒突然关闭后，经济活动开始加强。</blockquote></p><p> The unprecedented levels of stimulus ordered by governments and central banks, he said, had led to exuberance in certain markets.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，各国政府和央行前所未有的刺激措施导致了某些市场的繁荣。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think markets generally when I step back and I think about my 40 year career, there's been periods of time when greed has far outpaced fear. We were in one of those periods of time,\" Solomon told the Singapore event.</p><p><blockquote>所罗门在新加坡活动中表示：“我认为市场总体而言，当我退后一步，想想我40年的职业生涯时，有时贪婪远远超过恐惧。我们正处于其中一个时期。”</blockquote></p><p> \"We were in one of those periods of time and generally speaking, my experience says that, you know, those periods are not long-lived.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们正处于其中一个时期，一般来说，我的经验表明，你知道，这些时期不会持续很长时间。”</blockquote></p><p> Solomon said the expectation of rising interest rates could reduce the heat in some asset markets.</p><p><blockquote>所罗门表示，加息预期可能会降低部分资产市场的热度。</blockquote></p><p> \"Something will rebalance it and bring a little bit more perspective. And given it feels like inflation is running above trend, chances are interest rates will move up and that will take some of the exuberance out of certain markets,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示：“有些事情会重新平衡它，并带来更多的视角。鉴于通胀似乎高于趋势，利率很可能会上升，这将消除某些市场的一些繁荣。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/greed-outpacing-fear-world-markets-goldman-sachs-ceo-says-2021-11-17/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/greed-outpacing-fear-world-markets-goldman-sachs-ceo-says-2021-11-17/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135928739","content_text":"Greed is outpacing fear in world financial markets as investors respond to the pandemic recovery, Goldman Sachs(GS.N)Chief Executive David Solomon says, adding that such periods of exuberance are usually not long-lived.\nSolomon told Bloomberg's New Economy Forum in Singapore on Wednesday the global economy was facing a 'complicated time' as activity began to strengthen after the sudden shutdown in many parts of the world in 2020 because of coronavirus.\nThe unprecedented levels of stimulus ordered by governments and central banks, he said, had led to exuberance in certain markets.\n\"I think markets generally when I step back and I think about my 40 year career, there's been periods of time when greed has far outpaced fear. We were in one of those periods of time,\" Solomon told the Singapore event.\n\"We were in one of those periods of time and generally speaking, my experience says that, you know, those periods are not long-lived.\"\nSolomon said the expectation of rising interest rates could reduce the heat in some asset markets.\n\"Something will rebalance it and bring a little bit more perspective. And given it feels like inflation is running above trend, chances are interest rates will move up and that will take some of the exuberance out of certain markets,\" he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847269141,"gmtCreate":1636524858678,"gmtModify":1636525101600,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don allow shorting, solve the problem","listText":"Don allow shorting, solve the problem","text":"Don allow shorting, solve the problem","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847269141","repostId":"1156695981","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1156695981","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636514367,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1156695981?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-10 11:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Fed thinks meme stocks threaten the financial structure<blockquote>美联储认为模因股票威胁金融结构</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156695981","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"After some detailed research, the Federal Reserve said on Monday thatit is beginning to worrythat th","content":"<p>After some detailed research, the Federal Reserve said on Monday thatit is beginning to worrythat the recent and unprecedented volatility in meme stocks like GameStop&nbsp;and AMC Entertainment&nbsp;are creating pockets of risk inside markets that could create real problems for the entire U.S. financial system.</p><p><blockquote>经过一些详细研究后，美联储周一表示，它开始担心游戏驿站和AMC院线等模因股票最近前所未有的波动正在市场内制造风险，可能会给整个美国金融体系带来真正的问题。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, many of the self-professed “Apes” who created that volatility reacted to the Fed’s concern about meme stocks in a way best represented by, well, a meme:</p><p><blockquote>周二，许多自称制造波动的“猿类”对美联储对模因股票的担忧做出了反应，模因最能代表这一点：</blockquote></p><p> Based on actual textfrom the Fed’s most recent financial stability report, zero-commission trading apps and investors using social media to coordinate their trades have created a weaponized “echo chamber in which retail investors find themselves communicating most frequently with others with similar interests and views.”</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储最新金融稳定报告的实际文本，零佣金交易应用程序和使用社交媒体协调交易的投资者创造了一个武器化的“回音室”，散户投资者发现自己最频繁地与具有相似兴趣和观点的其他人进行交流。”</blockquote></p><p> In turn, the report found, those like-minded investors create huge waves of volatility and risk that could create real issues for the markets and the financial system in a downturn, especially with so many of these mostly younger retail investors exposing themselves to massive losses using leverage and options to execute their trades.</p><p><blockquote>报告发现，反过来，那些志同道合的投资者制造了巨大的波动和风险，可能会在经济低迷时期给市场和金融体系带来真正的问题，特别是在许多年轻散户投资者面临巨大损失的情况下。使用杠杆和期权执行交易。</blockquote></p><p> But that risk also can be felt elsewhere. Fed Gov. Lael Brainard wrote in a statement accompanying the report that it has already been seen inthe Archegos Capital Management meltdownsaga and could spread.</p><p><blockquote>但这种风险也可以在其他地方感受到。美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)在报告附带的一份声明中写道，这种情况已经在Archegos Capital Management的崩溃传奇中出现，并且可能会蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> “It highlights the potential for nonbank financial institutions such as hedge funds and other leveraged investors to generate large losses in the financial system,” Brainard wrote on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>布雷纳德周一写道：“这凸显了对冲基金和其他杠杆投资者等非银行金融机构在金融体系中造成巨额损失的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> But while that warning — whichwasn’t Brainard’s first timeringing the alarm on the topic — might have been of concern for Wall Street, retail investors were unshaken.</p><p><blockquote>不过，尽管这一警告——这并不是布雷纳德第一次就这个话题发出警报——可能会引起华尔街的担忧，但散户投资者并没有动摇。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, many retail investors on social media spent Tuesday telling the Fed that using stocks to upend the existing structure of the financial system, by making hedge funds bleed, has been one of their goals all along, using the volatility to reveal what they see as widespread corruption.</p><p><blockquote>相反，社交媒体上的许多散户投资者周二告诉美联储，利用股票通过让对冲基金流血来颠覆金融体系的现有结构，一直是他们的目标之一，利用波动性来揭示他们所看到的普遍腐败。</blockquote></p><p> After all, it’s been no secret that Reddit’s Apes would like nothing more than to see hedge funds crippled by their own actions. Many individuals also expect the end result of that destruction to be a fairer system in which the little guy can thrive.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，众所周知，Reddit的猿类最希望看到对冲基金因自己的行为而瘫痪。许多人还期望这种破坏的最终结果是一个更公平的系统，在这个系统中，小人物可以茁壮成长。</blockquote></p><p> “How is it that the ultra rich can basically GAMBLE in the stock market with over-leveraged positions, Dark Pools, insider information, etc. for YEARS and there is nothing to worry about,” read one very popular post on subreddit r/Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>subreddit r/Superstonk上的一篇非常受欢迎的帖子写道：“为什么超级富豪基本上可以用过度杠杆头寸、暗池、内幕信息等在股市上赌博多年，没有什么可担心的。”</blockquote></p><p> “Yeah, these are pretty big words coming from an entity that printed 33% of money into existence in a year and then claimed that it wouldn’t lead to long term inflation,” opined user doned_mest_up. “They don’t quite yield the power over the economy that Reddit does, I suppose.”</p><p><blockquote>用户doned_mest_up表示：“是的，对于一个在一年内印刷了33%的货币，然后声称这不会导致长期通货膨胀的实体来说，这是相当大的言论。”“我想，它们并没有像Reddit那样对经济产生影响力。”</blockquote></p><p> But regardless of how Redditors or other retail investors feel, it is worth noting that Brainard’s involvement in the report should not be taken lightly. It has been recently reported thatshe has interviewed for the top job at the Fedand her chairmanship could include a much closer look at retail trading than Chairman Jerome Powell’s has so far.</p><p><blockquote>但无论Redditors或其他散户投资者的感受如何，值得注意的是，布雷纳德在报告中的参与不应掉以轻心。最近有报道称，她已经参加了美联储最高职位的面试，她的主席任期可能会比主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔迄今为止更密切地关注零售交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Fed thinks meme stocks threaten the financial structure<blockquote>美联储认为模因股票威胁金融结构</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Fed thinks meme stocks threaten the financial structure<blockquote>美联储认为模因股票威胁金融结构</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-10 11:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After some detailed research, the Federal Reserve said on Monday thatit is beginning to worrythat the recent and unprecedented volatility in meme stocks like GameStop&nbsp;and AMC Entertainment&nbsp;are creating pockets of risk inside markets that could create real problems for the entire U.S. financial system.</p><p><blockquote>经过一些详细研究后，美联储周一表示，它开始担心游戏驿站和AMC院线等模因股票最近前所未有的波动正在市场内制造风险，可能会给整个美国金融体系带来真正的问题。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, many of the self-professed “Apes” who created that volatility reacted to the Fed’s concern about meme stocks in a way best represented by, well, a meme:</p><p><blockquote>周二，许多自称制造波动的“猿类”对美联储对模因股票的担忧做出了反应，模因最能代表这一点：</blockquote></p><p> Based on actual textfrom the Fed’s most recent financial stability report, zero-commission trading apps and investors using social media to coordinate their trades have created a weaponized “echo chamber in which retail investors find themselves communicating most frequently with others with similar interests and views.”</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储最新金融稳定报告的实际文本，零佣金交易应用程序和使用社交媒体协调交易的投资者创造了一个武器化的“回音室”，散户投资者发现自己最频繁地与具有相似兴趣和观点的其他人进行交流。”</blockquote></p><p> In turn, the report found, those like-minded investors create huge waves of volatility and risk that could create real issues for the markets and the financial system in a downturn, especially with so many of these mostly younger retail investors exposing themselves to massive losses using leverage and options to execute their trades.</p><p><blockquote>报告发现，反过来，那些志同道合的投资者制造了巨大的波动和风险，可能会在经济低迷时期给市场和金融体系带来真正的问题，特别是在许多年轻散户投资者面临巨大损失的情况下。使用杠杆和期权执行交易。</blockquote></p><p> But that risk also can be felt elsewhere. Fed Gov. Lael Brainard wrote in a statement accompanying the report that it has already been seen inthe Archegos Capital Management meltdownsaga and could spread.</p><p><blockquote>但这种风险也可以在其他地方感受到。美联储理事莱尔·布雷纳德(Lael Brainard)在报告附带的一份声明中写道，这种情况已经在Archegos Capital Management的崩溃传奇中出现，并且可能会蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> “It highlights the potential for nonbank financial institutions such as hedge funds and other leveraged investors to generate large losses in the financial system,” Brainard wrote on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>布雷纳德周一写道：“这凸显了对冲基金和其他杠杆投资者等非银行金融机构在金融体系中造成巨额损失的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> But while that warning — whichwasn’t Brainard’s first timeringing the alarm on the topic — might have been of concern for Wall Street, retail investors were unshaken.</p><p><blockquote>不过，尽管这一警告——这并不是布雷纳德第一次就这个话题发出警报——可能会引起华尔街的担忧，但散户投资者并没有动摇。</blockquote></p><p> Instead, many retail investors on social media spent Tuesday telling the Fed that using stocks to upend the existing structure of the financial system, by making hedge funds bleed, has been one of their goals all along, using the volatility to reveal what they see as widespread corruption.</p><p><blockquote>相反，社交媒体上的许多散户投资者周二告诉美联储，利用股票通过让对冲基金流血来颠覆金融体系的现有结构，一直是他们的目标之一，利用波动性来揭示他们所看到的普遍腐败。</blockquote></p><p> After all, it’s been no secret that Reddit’s Apes would like nothing more than to see hedge funds crippled by their own actions. Many individuals also expect the end result of that destruction to be a fairer system in which the little guy can thrive.</p><p><blockquote>毕竟，众所周知，Reddit的猿类最希望看到对冲基金因自己的行为而瘫痪。许多人还期望这种破坏的最终结果是一个更公平的系统，在这个系统中，小人物可以茁壮成长。</blockquote></p><p> “How is it that the ultra rich can basically GAMBLE in the stock market with over-leveraged positions, Dark Pools, insider information, etc. for YEARS and there is nothing to worry about,” read one very popular post on subreddit r/Superstonk.</p><p><blockquote>subreddit r/Superstonk上的一篇非常受欢迎的帖子写道：“为什么超级富豪基本上可以用过度杠杆头寸、暗池、内幕信息等在股市上赌博多年，没有什么可担心的。”</blockquote></p><p> “Yeah, these are pretty big words coming from an entity that printed 33% of money into existence in a year and then claimed that it wouldn’t lead to long term inflation,” opined user doned_mest_up. “They don’t quite yield the power over the economy that Reddit does, I suppose.”</p><p><blockquote>用户doned_mest_up表示：“是的，对于一个在一年内印刷了33%的货币，然后声称这不会导致长期通货膨胀的实体来说，这是相当大的言论。”“我想，它们并没有像Reddit那样对经济产生影响力。”</blockquote></p><p> But regardless of how Redditors or other retail investors feel, it is worth noting that Brainard’s involvement in the report should not be taken lightly. It has been recently reported thatshe has interviewed for the top job at the Fedand her chairmanship could include a much closer look at retail trading than Chairman Jerome Powell’s has so far.</p><p><blockquote>但无论Redditors或其他散户投资者的感受如何，值得注意的是，布雷纳德在报告中的参与不应掉以轻心。最近有报道称，她已经参加了美联储最高职位的面试，她的主席任期可能会比主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔迄今为止更密切地关注零售交易。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-thinks-meme-stocks-threaten-the-financial-structure-retail-investors-say-thats-kind-of-the-point-11636498740?mod=home-page\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-thinks-meme-stocks-threaten-the-financial-structure-retail-investors-say-thats-kind-of-the-point-11636498740?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156695981","content_text":"After some detailed research, the Federal Reserve said on Monday thatit is beginning to worrythat the recent and unprecedented volatility in meme stocks like GameStop and AMC Entertainment are creating pockets of risk inside markets that could create real problems for the entire U.S. financial system.\nOn Tuesday, many of the self-professed “Apes” who created that volatility reacted to the Fed’s concern about meme stocks in a way best represented by, well, a meme:\nBased on actual textfrom the Fed’s most recent financial stability report, zero-commission trading apps and investors using social media to coordinate their trades have created a weaponized “echo chamber in which retail investors find themselves communicating most frequently with others with similar interests and views.”\nIn turn, the report found, those like-minded investors create huge waves of volatility and risk that could create real issues for the markets and the financial system in a downturn, especially with so many of these mostly younger retail investors exposing themselves to massive losses using leverage and options to execute their trades.\nBut that risk also can be felt elsewhere. Fed Gov. Lael Brainard wrote in a statement accompanying the report that it has already been seen inthe Archegos Capital Management meltdownsaga and could spread.\n“It highlights the potential for nonbank financial institutions such as hedge funds and other leveraged investors to generate large losses in the financial system,” Brainard wrote on Monday.\nBut while that warning — whichwasn’t Brainard’s first timeringing the alarm on the topic — might have been of concern for Wall Street, retail investors were unshaken.\nInstead, many retail investors on social media spent Tuesday telling the Fed that using stocks to upend the existing structure of the financial system, by making hedge funds bleed, has been one of their goals all along, using the volatility to reveal what they see as widespread corruption.\nAfter all, it’s been no secret that Reddit’s Apes would like nothing more than to see hedge funds crippled by their own actions. Many individuals also expect the end result of that destruction to be a fairer system in which the little guy can thrive.\n“How is it that the ultra rich can basically GAMBLE in the stock market with over-leveraged positions, Dark Pools, insider information, etc. for YEARS and there is nothing to worry about,” read one very popular post on subreddit r/Superstonk.\n“Yeah, these are pretty big words coming from an entity that printed 33% of money into existence in a year and then claimed that it wouldn’t lead to long term inflation,” opined user doned_mest_up. “They don’t quite yield the power over the economy that Reddit does, I suppose.”\nBut regardless of how Redditors or other retail investors feel, it is worth noting that Brainard’s involvement in the report should not be taken lightly. It has been recently reported thatshe has interviewed for the top job at the Fedand her chairmanship could include a much closer look at retail trading than Chairman Jerome Powell’s has so far.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845491569,"gmtCreate":1636358140947,"gmtModify":1636358141322,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845491569","repostId":"1151903485","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845491889,"gmtCreate":1636358107131,"gmtModify":1636358136140,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845491889","repostId":"1151903485","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848473492,"gmtCreate":1636024413220,"gmtModify":1636024413601,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848473492","repostId":"1101079537","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101079537","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1636023902,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101079537?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-04 19:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna stock plunged 9% after reporting quarterly results<blockquote>Moderna公布季度业绩后股价暴跌9%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101079537","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Moderna stock plunged 9% after it cut its Covid-19 vaccine sales forecast for the year and missed ea","content":"<p>Moderna stock plunged 9% after it cut its Covid-19 vaccine sales forecast for the year and missed earnings and revenue expectations for the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna下调了今年Covid-19疫苗销售预期，第三季度盈利和收入未达到预期，股价暴跌9%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Moderna Q3 revenue $4.969 bln vs. $157 mln a year ago; FactSet consensus $6.200 bln;</li> </ul> <ul>  <li>Moderna Q3 EPS $7.70 vs loss 59 cents a share a year ago; FactSet consensus $9.09;</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e0e9dd869aaa4060fdee9429041a910\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"621\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Moderna第三季度营收为49.69亿美元，去年同期为1.57亿美元；FactSet共识62亿美元；</li></ul><ul><li>Moderna第三季度每股收益7.70美元，而一年前每股亏损59美分；FactSet共识9.09美元；</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Moderna, Inc.&nbsp;today reported financial results and provided business updates for the third quarter of fiscal year 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna，Inc.今天报告了2021财年第三季度的财务业绩并提供了业务更新。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Q3 total revenue of$5.0 billion, net income of$3.3 billionand diluted EPS of$7.70</i></p><p><blockquote><i>第三季度总收入50亿美元，净利润33亿美元，稀释后每股收益7.70美元</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>U.S.FDA granted Priority Review to the Biologics License Application for Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine</i></p><p><blockquote><i>美国FDA授予Moderna新冠疫苗生物制品许可申请优先审查</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Interim data from Phase 2/3 KidCOVE study of mRNA-1273 in children ages 6 to under 12 years shows vaccine efficacy of 100% two weeks after first dose of mRNA-1273 at 50 µg dose level</i></p><p><blockquote><i>mRNA-1273在6至12岁以下儿童中进行的2/3期KidCOVE研究的中期数据显示，在50 μ g剂量水平的mRNA-1273首次给药后两周，疫苗效力为100%</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>First participants dosed in Phase 3 study of cytomegalovirus (CMV) vaccine candidate (mRNA-1647)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>巨细胞病毒(CMV)候选疫苗(mRNA-1647)3期研究中的第一批参与者接受给药</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Introducing inhaled pulmonary therapeutics modality:Vertex andModernacystic fibrosis mRNA therapeutic (VXc-522) IND-enabling first-in-human studies ongoing</i></p><p><blockquote><i>介绍吸入性肺部治疗方式：Vertex和现代囊性纤维化mRNA治疗剂(VXc-522)正在进行首次人体研究</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Company continues to scale with 37 programs in development, including 21 in ongoing clinical studies</i></p><p><blockquote><i>公司继续扩大规模，有37个项目正在开发中，其中21个项目正在进行临床研究</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Updates and recent progress include:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>更新和最近的进展包括：</b></blockquote></p><p> <i>COVID-19 Vaccine Development</i></p><p><blockquote><i>COVID-19疫苗研发</i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Moderna COVID-19 Vaccine (SpikevaxTM): Received Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) from theU.S. Food and Drug Administration(U.S.FDA), and approvals by theEuropean CommissionandSwissmedicfor a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level</li>  <li>U.S.FDA granted Priority Review to the Biologics License Application (BLA) for the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine</li>  <li>New data from Phase 2/3 KidCOVE study of mRNA-1273 in children ages 6 to under 12 years shows vaccine efficacy of 100% two weeks after first dose of mRNA-1273 at 50 µg dose level, using the Phase 3 COVE study primary case definition for COVID-19</li>  <li>The Phase 1 study of next-generation vaccine candidate against COVID-19 (mRNA-1283) is fully enrolled;Modernaexpects to begin Phase 2 study of mRNA-1283 soon; mRNA-1283 is being developed as a potential refrigerator-stable mRNA vaccine</li> </ul> <i>Respiratory Vaccines</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>现代新冠肺炎疫苗（SpikevaxTM）：获得美国紧急使用授权（EUA）美国食品和药物管理局(U.S.FDA)以及欧盟委员会和SwissMedic批准50µg剂量水平的Moderna COVID-19疫苗加强剂量</li><li>美国FDA授予Moderna COVID-19疫苗生物制品许可申请（BLA）优先审查</li><li>mRNA-1273在6岁至12岁以下儿童中的2/3期KidCOVE研究的新数据显示，使用3期COVE研究COVID-19的主要病例定义，在50µg剂量水平的mRNA-1273首次给药后两周，疫苗效力为100%</li><li>针对新冠肺炎的下一代候选疫苗（mRNA-1283）的1期研究已全面入组；Moderna预计很快开始mRNA-1283的2期研究；mRNA-1283正在被开发为一种潜在的冰箱稳定mRNA疫苗</li></ul><i>呼吸道疫苗</i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Phase 1 portion of the Phase 1/2 study of quadrivalent seasonal flu vaccine candidate (mRNA-1010) fully enrolled, preparations for Phase 2 portion of the study are ongoing</li>  <li>Pivotal Phase 2/3 study of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine candidate (mRNA-1345) in older adults expected to begin in 2021; study expected to enroll approximately 34,000 participants, subject to agreement with regulatory authorities</li>  <li>New combination respiratory vaccines: Moderna COVID-19 vaccine + flu vaccine candidate (mRNA-1073) and pediatric RSV + hMPV vaccine candidate (mRNA-1365)</li> </ul> <i>Latent Vaccines</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>四价季节性流感候选疫苗（mRNA-1010）1/2期研究的1期部分已全面入组，该研究的2期部分正在筹备中</li><li>老年人呼吸道合胞病毒（RSV）候选疫苗（mRNA-1345）的关键2/3期研究预计将于2021年开始；研究预计将招募约34,000名参与者，但须与监管机构达成协议</li><li>新型联合呼吸道疫苗：Moderna COVID-19疫苗+流感候选疫苗（mRNA-1073）和儿科RSV+hMPV候选疫苗（mRNA-1365）</li></ul><i>潜在疫苗</i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First participants dosed in Phase 3 study of cytomegalovirus (CMV) vaccine candidate (mRNA-1647)</li>  <li>Phase 1 study of EBV vaccine candidate (mRNA-1189)expected to start soon</li>  <li>New EBV therapeutic vaccine candidate (mRNA-1195)</li> </ul> <i>Therapeutics</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>巨细胞病毒(CMV)候选疫苗(mRNA-1647)3期研究中的第一批参与者接受给药</li><li>EBV候选疫苗（mRNA-1189）的1期研究预计即将开始</li><li>新型EBV治疗候选疫苗（mRNA-1195）</li></ul><i>治疗学</i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Phase 2 randomized, placebo-controlled study of personalized cancer vaccine (PCV) (mRNA-4157) in combination with Merck’s pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA®), compared to pembrolizumab alone, for the adjuvant treatment of high-risk resected melanoma is fully enrolled; data readout expected in the fourth quarter of 2022</li>  <li>Enrollment of the first cohort in Propionic Acidemia candidate (mRNA-3927) Phase 1/2Paramountstudy is complete</li>  <li>First patient dosed in Phase 1 study of Methylmalonic Acidemia (MMA) candidate (mRNA-3705)</li>  <li>Investigational New Drug application (IND) open and Orphan Drug Designation granted byU.S.FDA for GSD1a program (mRNA-3745)</li>  <li>Providing investigational mRNA Crigler-Najjar Syndrome Type 1 (CN-1) therapy (mRNA-3351) toInstitute for Life Changing Medicines(ILCM) free of charge; CN-1 is an ultra-rare disease</li>  <li>Introducing inhaled pulmonary therapeutics modality; IND-enabling first-in-human studies of Vertex andModernamRNA cystic fibrosis (CF) therapeutic (VXc-522) are ongoing in new pulmonary modality</li> </ul> Moderna&nbsp;continues to scale, now with 37 programs in development across 34 development candidates1, including 21 in ongoing clinical studies. The Company’s updated pipeline can be found atwww.modernatx.com/pipeline.Modernaand collaborators have published nearly 100 peer reviewed manuscripts.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>个性化癌症疫苗（PCV）（mRNA-4157）联合默克公司的派姆单抗（KEYTRUDA®），与帕博利珠单抗单药相比，用于高危切除黑色素瘤的辅助治疗已完全入组；预计将于2022年第四季度公布数据</li><li>丙酸血症候选药物（mRNA-3927）1/2期PARAMOUNT研究首个队列的入组已完成</li><li>甲基丙二酸血症（MMA）候选药物（mRNA-3705）1期研究中的首例患者给药</li><li>美国FDA授予GSD1a项目(mRNA-3745)的新药研究申请(IND)开放和孤儿药资格</li><li>向改变生活药物研究所（ILCM）免费提供研究性mRNA克里格勒-纳贾尔综合征1型（CN-1）疗法（mRNA-3351）；CN-1是一种极其罕见的疾病</li><li>介绍吸入性肺部治疗模式；Vertex和ModernamRNA囊性纤维化(CF)治疗剂(VXc-522)的首次人体研究正在以新的肺部模式进行</li></ul>Moderna继续扩大规模，目前有37个项目正在开发中，涉及34个开发候选项目1，其中21个项目正在进行临床研究。该公司更新的管道可在www.modernatx.com/pipeline.moderna上找到，合作者已发表近100篇同行评审手稿。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2021 Updated Financial Framework</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年更新财务框架</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>For Expected Delivery in Fiscal Year (FY) 2021:</b>Expected to realize product sales for FY 2021 between$15 billionand$18 billion.</li>  <li></li>  <li><b>Vaccine Dose Deliveries for FY 2021:</b>The Company expects deliveries of its COVID-19 vaccine in FY 2021 to be between 700 million and 800 million doses at the 100 µg dose level. Key variables impacting output include longer delivery lead times for international shipments and exports that may shift deliveries to early 2022, temporary impact from expansion of fill/finish capacity and ramp up of product release to market.</li>  <li><b>Cost of Sales:</b>Cost of sales as percentage of product sales are expected to be between 16-17% for FY 2021.</li>  <li><b>2021 Research &amp; Development (R&amp;D) and Selling, General &amp; Administrative (SG&amp;A) Expenses:</b>Continue to expect quarter over quarter cost increases in R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses during 2021 as commercial and research and development activities and expenses ramp up.</li>  <li><b>Tax Rate:</b>The Company now expects the effective tax rate for 2021 to be in the high single digit range as a result of the forecasted global sales mix and utilization of the accumulated net operating loss carry-forward of$2.3 billion.</li>  <li><b>Capital Expenditures:</b>Expect approximately$0.4 billionof capital investments for 2021.</li>  <li><b>Share Repurchase Program:</b>The Board of Directors has authorized a share repurchase program of up to$1 billionover a two-year period to return excess capital to shareholders. No shares were repurchased through the end of the third quarter.</li> </ul> <b>2022 Revenue Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>对于2021财年(FY)的预期交付：</b>预计2021财年产品销售额将在150亿美元至180亿美元之间。</li><li></li><li><b>2021财年疫苗剂量交付：</b>该公司预计2021财年100µg剂量水平的COVID-19疫苗的交付量将在7亿至8亿剂之间。影响产量的关键变量包括国际运输和出口的交付周期较长（可能将交付时间推迟到2022年初）、灌装/精加工产能扩张以及产品投放市场的增加带来的暂时影响。</li><li><b>销售成本：</b>2021财年，销售成本占产品销售额的百分比预计在16-17%之间。</li><li><b>2021年研发(R&amp;D)以及销售、一般和行政(SG&amp;A)费用：</b>随着商业和研发活动及费用的增加，预计2021年研发和SG&amp;A费用的成本将逐季增加。</li><li><b>税率：</b>由于预测的全球销售组合以及23亿美元累计净运营亏损结转的利用，该公司目前预计2021年的有效税率将处于高个位数范围。</li><li><b>资本开支：</b>预计2021年资本投资约为4亿美元。</li><li><b>股份回购计划：</b>董事会已授权在两年内实施高达10亿美元的股票回购计划，以向股东返还多余资本。截至第三季度末，没有回购任何股票。</li></ul><b>2022年收入驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> They expect several dynamics will drive 2022 revenues:</p><p><blockquote>他们预计有几种动态将推动2022年的收入：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>APAs Signed:</b>The Company has signed approximately$17 billionof advance purchase agreements (APAs) for delivery in 2022.</li>  <li><b>APAs with Options:</b>The Company anticipates the exercise of options under 2022 APAs of up to$3 billion.</li>  <li><b>U.S.Fall 2022 Booster Market:</b>Subject to receipt of a BLA or sBLA for boosters prior to the fall booster season, the Company anticipates commercial booster market sales could be up to$2 billion.</li> </ul> Based on these three revenue drivers, the Company believes 2022 sales could be in the range of$17 billionto$22 billion. The Company continues to have discussions for 2022 APAs with governments and international organizations, including COVAX, thePan American Health Organization(PAHO) and theAfrican Union.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>APA签署人：</b>该公司已签署约170亿美元的预购协议(APA)，将于2022年交付。</li><li><b>带选项的APA：</b>该公司预计根据2022年APA行使的期权金额高达30亿美元。</li><li><b>美国。2022年秋季助推器市场：</b>如果在秋季助推器季节之前收到助推器的BLA或sBLA，该公司预计商业助推器市场销售额可能高达20亿美元。</li></ul>基于这三个收入驱动因素，该公司认为2022年销售额可能在170亿至220亿美元之间。该公司继续与各国政府和国际组织（包括COVAX、泛美卫生组织(PAHO)和非洲联盟）讨论2022年APA。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna stock plunged 9% after reporting quarterly results<blockquote>Moderna公布季度业绩后股价暴跌9%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna stock plunged 9% after reporting quarterly results<blockquote>Moderna公布季度业绩后股价暴跌9%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-04 19:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Moderna stock plunged 9% after it cut its Covid-19 vaccine sales forecast for the year and missed earnings and revenue expectations for the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna下调了今年Covid-19疫苗销售预期，第三季度盈利和收入未达到预期，股价暴跌9%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Moderna Q3 revenue $4.969 bln vs. $157 mln a year ago; FactSet consensus $6.200 bln;</li> </ul> <ul>  <li>Moderna Q3 EPS $7.70 vs loss 59 cents a share a year ago; FactSet consensus $9.09;</li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e0e9dd869aaa4060fdee9429041a910\" tg-width=\"847\" tg-height=\"621\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Moderna第三季度营收为49.69亿美元，去年同期为1.57亿美元；FactSet共识62亿美元；</li></ul><ul><li>Moderna第三季度每股收益7.70美元，而一年前每股亏损59美分；FactSet共识9.09美元；</li></ul></blockquote></p><p> Moderna, Inc.&nbsp;today reported financial results and provided business updates for the third quarter of fiscal year 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna，Inc.今天报告了2021财年第三季度的财务业绩并提供了业务更新。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Q3 total revenue of$5.0 billion, net income of$3.3 billionand diluted EPS of$7.70</i></p><p><blockquote><i>第三季度总收入50亿美元，净利润33亿美元，稀释后每股收益7.70美元</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>U.S.FDA granted Priority Review to the Biologics License Application for Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine</i></p><p><blockquote><i>美国FDA授予Moderna新冠疫苗生物制品许可申请优先审查</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Interim data from Phase 2/3 KidCOVE study of mRNA-1273 in children ages 6 to under 12 years shows vaccine efficacy of 100% two weeks after first dose of mRNA-1273 at 50 µg dose level</i></p><p><blockquote><i>mRNA-1273在6至12岁以下儿童中进行的2/3期KidCOVE研究的中期数据显示，在50 μ g剂量水平的mRNA-1273首次给药后两周，疫苗效力为100%</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>First participants dosed in Phase 3 study of cytomegalovirus (CMV) vaccine candidate (mRNA-1647)</i></p><p><blockquote><i>巨细胞病毒(CMV)候选疫苗(mRNA-1647)3期研究中的第一批参与者接受给药</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Introducing inhaled pulmonary therapeutics modality:Vertex andModernacystic fibrosis mRNA therapeutic (VXc-522) IND-enabling first-in-human studies ongoing</i></p><p><blockquote><i>介绍吸入性肺部治疗方式：Vertex和现代囊性纤维化mRNA治疗剂(VXc-522)正在进行首次人体研究</i></blockquote></p><p> <i>Company continues to scale with 37 programs in development, including 21 in ongoing clinical studies</i></p><p><blockquote><i>公司继续扩大规模，有37个项目正在开发中，其中21个项目正在进行临床研究</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Updates and recent progress include:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>更新和最近的进展包括：</b></blockquote></p><p> <i>COVID-19 Vaccine Development</i></p><p><blockquote><i>COVID-19疫苗研发</i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Moderna COVID-19 Vaccine (SpikevaxTM): Received Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) from theU.S. Food and Drug Administration(U.S.FDA), and approvals by theEuropean CommissionandSwissmedicfor a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level</li>  <li>U.S.FDA granted Priority Review to the Biologics License Application (BLA) for the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine</li>  <li>New data from Phase 2/3 KidCOVE study of mRNA-1273 in children ages 6 to under 12 years shows vaccine efficacy of 100% two weeks after first dose of mRNA-1273 at 50 µg dose level, using the Phase 3 COVE study primary case definition for COVID-19</li>  <li>The Phase 1 study of next-generation vaccine candidate against COVID-19 (mRNA-1283) is fully enrolled;Modernaexpects to begin Phase 2 study of mRNA-1283 soon; mRNA-1283 is being developed as a potential refrigerator-stable mRNA vaccine</li> </ul> <i>Respiratory Vaccines</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>现代新冠肺炎疫苗（SpikevaxTM）：获得美国紧急使用授权（EUA）美国食品和药物管理局(U.S.FDA)以及欧盟委员会和SwissMedic批准50µg剂量水平的Moderna COVID-19疫苗加强剂量</li><li>美国FDA授予Moderna COVID-19疫苗生物制品许可申请（BLA）优先审查</li><li>mRNA-1273在6岁至12岁以下儿童中的2/3期KidCOVE研究的新数据显示，使用3期COVE研究COVID-19的主要病例定义，在50µg剂量水平的mRNA-1273首次给药后两周，疫苗效力为100%</li><li>针对新冠肺炎的下一代候选疫苗（mRNA-1283）的1期研究已全面入组；Moderna预计很快开始mRNA-1283的2期研究；mRNA-1283正在被开发为一种潜在的冰箱稳定mRNA疫苗</li></ul><i>呼吸道疫苗</i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Phase 1 portion of the Phase 1/2 study of quadrivalent seasonal flu vaccine candidate (mRNA-1010) fully enrolled, preparations for Phase 2 portion of the study are ongoing</li>  <li>Pivotal Phase 2/3 study of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine candidate (mRNA-1345) in older adults expected to begin in 2021; study expected to enroll approximately 34,000 participants, subject to agreement with regulatory authorities</li>  <li>New combination respiratory vaccines: Moderna COVID-19 vaccine + flu vaccine candidate (mRNA-1073) and pediatric RSV + hMPV vaccine candidate (mRNA-1365)</li> </ul> <i>Latent Vaccines</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>四价季节性流感候选疫苗（mRNA-1010）1/2期研究的1期部分已全面入组，该研究的2期部分正在筹备中</li><li>老年人呼吸道合胞病毒（RSV）候选疫苗（mRNA-1345）的关键2/3期研究预计将于2021年开始；研究预计将招募约34,000名参与者，但须与监管机构达成协议</li><li>新型联合呼吸道疫苗：Moderna COVID-19疫苗+流感候选疫苗（mRNA-1073）和儿科RSV+hMPV候选疫苗（mRNA-1365）</li></ul><i>潜在疫苗</i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First participants dosed in Phase 3 study of cytomegalovirus (CMV) vaccine candidate (mRNA-1647)</li>  <li>Phase 1 study of EBV vaccine candidate (mRNA-1189)expected to start soon</li>  <li>New EBV therapeutic vaccine candidate (mRNA-1195)</li> </ul> <i>Therapeutics</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>巨细胞病毒(CMV)候选疫苗(mRNA-1647)3期研究中的第一批参与者接受给药</li><li>EBV候选疫苗（mRNA-1189）的1期研究预计即将开始</li><li>新型EBV治疗候选疫苗（mRNA-1195）</li></ul><i>治疗学</i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Phase 2 randomized, placebo-controlled study of personalized cancer vaccine (PCV) (mRNA-4157) in combination with Merck’s pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA®), compared to pembrolizumab alone, for the adjuvant treatment of high-risk resected melanoma is fully enrolled; data readout expected in the fourth quarter of 2022</li>  <li>Enrollment of the first cohort in Propionic Acidemia candidate (mRNA-3927) Phase 1/2Paramountstudy is complete</li>  <li>First patient dosed in Phase 1 study of Methylmalonic Acidemia (MMA) candidate (mRNA-3705)</li>  <li>Investigational New Drug application (IND) open and Orphan Drug Designation granted byU.S.FDA for GSD1a program (mRNA-3745)</li>  <li>Providing investigational mRNA Crigler-Najjar Syndrome Type 1 (CN-1) therapy (mRNA-3351) toInstitute for Life Changing Medicines(ILCM) free of charge; CN-1 is an ultra-rare disease</li>  <li>Introducing inhaled pulmonary therapeutics modality; IND-enabling first-in-human studies of Vertex andModernamRNA cystic fibrosis (CF) therapeutic (VXc-522) are ongoing in new pulmonary modality</li> </ul> Moderna&nbsp;continues to scale, now with 37 programs in development across 34 development candidates1, including 21 in ongoing clinical studies. The Company’s updated pipeline can be found atwww.modernatx.com/pipeline.Modernaand collaborators have published nearly 100 peer reviewed manuscripts.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>个性化癌症疫苗（PCV）（mRNA-4157）联合默克公司的派姆单抗（KEYTRUDA®），与帕博利珠单抗单药相比，用于高危切除黑色素瘤的辅助治疗已完全入组；预计将于2022年第四季度公布数据</li><li>丙酸血症候选药物（mRNA-3927）1/2期PARAMOUNT研究首个队列的入组已完成</li><li>甲基丙二酸血症（MMA）候选药物（mRNA-3705）1期研究中的首例患者给药</li><li>美国FDA授予GSD1a项目(mRNA-3745)的新药研究申请(IND)开放和孤儿药资格</li><li>向改变生活药物研究所（ILCM）免费提供研究性mRNA克里格勒-纳贾尔综合征1型（CN-1）疗法（mRNA-3351）；CN-1是一种极其罕见的疾病</li><li>介绍吸入性肺部治疗模式；Vertex和ModernamRNA囊性纤维化(CF)治疗剂(VXc-522)的首次人体研究正在以新的肺部模式进行</li></ul>Moderna继续扩大规模，目前有37个项目正在开发中，涉及34个开发候选项目1，其中21个项目正在进行临床研究。该公司更新的管道可在www.modernatx.com/pipeline.moderna上找到，合作者已发表近100篇同行评审手稿。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2021 Updated Financial Framework</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年更新财务框架</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>For Expected Delivery in Fiscal Year (FY) 2021:</b>Expected to realize product sales for FY 2021 between$15 billionand$18 billion.</li>  <li></li>  <li><b>Vaccine Dose Deliveries for FY 2021:</b>The Company expects deliveries of its COVID-19 vaccine in FY 2021 to be between 700 million and 800 million doses at the 100 µg dose level. Key variables impacting output include longer delivery lead times for international shipments and exports that may shift deliveries to early 2022, temporary impact from expansion of fill/finish capacity and ramp up of product release to market.</li>  <li><b>Cost of Sales:</b>Cost of sales as percentage of product sales are expected to be between 16-17% for FY 2021.</li>  <li><b>2021 Research &amp; Development (R&amp;D) and Selling, General &amp; Administrative (SG&amp;A) Expenses:</b>Continue to expect quarter over quarter cost increases in R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses during 2021 as commercial and research and development activities and expenses ramp up.</li>  <li><b>Tax Rate:</b>The Company now expects the effective tax rate for 2021 to be in the high single digit range as a result of the forecasted global sales mix and utilization of the accumulated net operating loss carry-forward of$2.3 billion.</li>  <li><b>Capital Expenditures:</b>Expect approximately$0.4 billionof capital investments for 2021.</li>  <li><b>Share Repurchase Program:</b>The Board of Directors has authorized a share repurchase program of up to$1 billionover a two-year period to return excess capital to shareholders. No shares were repurchased through the end of the third quarter.</li> </ul> <b>2022 Revenue Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>对于2021财年(FY)的预期交付：</b>预计2021财年产品销售额将在150亿美元至180亿美元之间。</li><li></li><li><b>2021财年疫苗剂量交付：</b>该公司预计2021财年100µg剂量水平的COVID-19疫苗的交付量将在7亿至8亿剂之间。影响产量的关键变量包括国际运输和出口的交付周期较长（可能将交付时间推迟到2022年初）、灌装/精加工产能扩张以及产品投放市场的增加带来的暂时影响。</li><li><b>销售成本：</b>2021财年，销售成本占产品销售额的百分比预计在16-17%之间。</li><li><b>2021年研发(R&amp;D)以及销售、一般和行政(SG&amp;A)费用：</b>随着商业和研发活动及费用的增加，预计2021年研发和SG&amp;A费用的成本将逐季增加。</li><li><b>税率：</b>由于预测的全球销售组合以及23亿美元累计净运营亏损结转的利用，该公司目前预计2021年的有效税率将处于高个位数范围。</li><li><b>资本开支：</b>预计2021年资本投资约为4亿美元。</li><li><b>股份回购计划：</b>董事会已授权在两年内实施高达10亿美元的股票回购计划，以向股东返还多余资本。截至第三季度末，没有回购任何股票。</li></ul><b>2022年收入驱动因素</b></blockquote></p><p> They expect several dynamics will drive 2022 revenues:</p><p><blockquote>他们预计有几种动态将推动2022年的收入：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>APAs Signed:</b>The Company has signed approximately$17 billionof advance purchase agreements (APAs) for delivery in 2022.</li>  <li><b>APAs with Options:</b>The Company anticipates the exercise of options under 2022 APAs of up to$3 billion.</li>  <li><b>U.S.Fall 2022 Booster Market:</b>Subject to receipt of a BLA or sBLA for boosters prior to the fall booster season, the Company anticipates commercial booster market sales could be up to$2 billion.</li> </ul> Based on these three revenue drivers, the Company believes 2022 sales could be in the range of$17 billionto$22 billion. The Company continues to have discussions for 2022 APAs with governments and international organizations, including COVAX, thePan American Health Organization(PAHO) and theAfrican Union.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>APA签署人：</b>该公司已签署约170亿美元的预购协议(APA)，将于2022年交付。</li><li><b>带选项的APA：</b>该公司预计根据2022年APA行使的期权金额高达30亿美元。</li><li><b>美国。2022年秋季助推器市场：</b>如果在秋季助推器季节之前收到助推器的BLA或sBLA，该公司预计商业助推器市场销售额可能高达20亿美元。</li></ul>基于这三个收入驱动因素，该公司认为2022年销售额可能在170亿至220亿美元之间。该公司继续与各国政府和国际组织（包括COVAX、泛美卫生组织(PAHO)和非洲联盟）讨论2022年APA。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101079537","content_text":"Moderna stock plunged 9% after it cut its Covid-19 vaccine sales forecast for the year and missed earnings and revenue expectations for the third quarter.\n\nModerna Q3 revenue $4.969 bln vs. $157 mln a year ago; FactSet consensus $6.200 bln;\n\n\nModerna Q3 EPS $7.70 vs loss 59 cents a share a year ago; FactSet consensus $9.09;\n\n\nModerna, Inc. today reported financial results and provided business updates for the third quarter of fiscal year 2021.\nQ3 total revenue of$5.0 billion, net income of$3.3 billionand diluted EPS of$7.70\nU.S.FDA granted Priority Review to the Biologics License Application for Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine\nInterim data from Phase 2/3 KidCOVE study of mRNA-1273 in children ages 6 to under 12 years shows vaccine efficacy of 100% two weeks after first dose of mRNA-1273 at 50 µg dose level\nFirst participants dosed in Phase 3 study of cytomegalovirus (CMV) vaccine candidate (mRNA-1647)\nIntroducing inhaled pulmonary therapeutics modality:Vertex andModernacystic fibrosis mRNA therapeutic (VXc-522) IND-enabling first-in-human studies ongoing\nCompany continues to scale with 37 programs in development, including 21 in ongoing clinical studies\nUpdates and recent progress include:\nCOVID-19 Vaccine Development\n\nModerna COVID-19 Vaccine (SpikevaxTM): Received Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) from theU.S. Food and Drug Administration(U.S.FDA), and approvals by theEuropean CommissionandSwissmedicfor a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level\nU.S.FDA granted Priority Review to the Biologics License Application (BLA) for the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine\nNew data from Phase 2/3 KidCOVE study of mRNA-1273 in children ages 6 to under 12 years shows vaccine efficacy of 100% two weeks after first dose of mRNA-1273 at 50 µg dose level, using the Phase 3 COVE study primary case definition for COVID-19\nThe Phase 1 study of next-generation vaccine candidate against COVID-19 (mRNA-1283) is fully enrolled;Modernaexpects to begin Phase 2 study of mRNA-1283 soon; mRNA-1283 is being developed as a potential refrigerator-stable mRNA vaccine\n\nRespiratory Vaccines\n\nPhase 1 portion of the Phase 1/2 study of quadrivalent seasonal flu vaccine candidate (mRNA-1010) fully enrolled, preparations for Phase 2 portion of the study are ongoing\nPivotal Phase 2/3 study of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine candidate (mRNA-1345) in older adults expected to begin in 2021; study expected to enroll approximately 34,000 participants, subject to agreement with regulatory authorities\nNew combination respiratory vaccines: Moderna COVID-19 vaccine + flu vaccine candidate (mRNA-1073) and pediatric RSV + hMPV vaccine candidate (mRNA-1365)\n\nLatent Vaccines\n\nFirst participants dosed in Phase 3 study of cytomegalovirus (CMV) vaccine candidate (mRNA-1647)\nPhase 1 study of EBV vaccine candidate (mRNA-1189)expected to start soon\nNew EBV therapeutic vaccine candidate (mRNA-1195)\n\nTherapeutics\n\nPhase 2 randomized, placebo-controlled study of personalized cancer vaccine (PCV) (mRNA-4157) in combination with Merck’s pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA®), compared to pembrolizumab alone, for the adjuvant treatment of high-risk resected melanoma is fully enrolled; data readout expected in the fourth quarter of 2022\nEnrollment of the first cohort in Propionic Acidemia candidate (mRNA-3927) Phase 1/2Paramountstudy is complete\nFirst patient dosed in Phase 1 study of Methylmalonic Acidemia (MMA) candidate (mRNA-3705)\nInvestigational New Drug application (IND) open and Orphan Drug Designation granted byU.S.FDA for GSD1a program (mRNA-3745)\nProviding investigational mRNA Crigler-Najjar Syndrome Type 1 (CN-1) therapy (mRNA-3351) toInstitute for Life Changing Medicines(ILCM) free of charge; CN-1 is an ultra-rare disease\nIntroducing inhaled pulmonary therapeutics modality; IND-enabling first-in-human studies of Vertex andModernamRNA cystic fibrosis (CF) therapeutic (VXc-522) are ongoing in new pulmonary modality\n\nModerna continues to scale, now with 37 programs in development across 34 development candidates1, including 21 in ongoing clinical studies. The Company’s updated pipeline can be found atwww.modernatx.com/pipeline.Modernaand collaborators have published nearly 100 peer reviewed manuscripts.\n2021 Updated Financial Framework\n\nFor Expected Delivery in Fiscal Year (FY) 2021:Expected to realize product sales for FY 2021 between$15 billionand$18 billion.\n\nVaccine Dose Deliveries for FY 2021:The Company expects deliveries of its COVID-19 vaccine in FY 2021 to be between 700 million and 800 million doses at the 100 µg dose level. Key variables impacting output include longer delivery lead times for international shipments and exports that may shift deliveries to early 2022, temporary impact from expansion of fill/finish capacity and ramp up of product release to market.\nCost of Sales:Cost of sales as percentage of product sales are expected to be between 16-17% for FY 2021.\n2021 Research & Development (R&D) and Selling, General & Administrative (SG&A) Expenses:Continue to expect quarter over quarter cost increases in R&D and SG&A expenses during 2021 as commercial and research and development activities and expenses ramp up.\nTax Rate:The Company now expects the effective tax rate for 2021 to be in the high single digit range as a result of the forecasted global sales mix and utilization of the accumulated net operating loss carry-forward of$2.3 billion.\nCapital Expenditures:Expect approximately$0.4 billionof capital investments for 2021.\nShare Repurchase Program:The Board of Directors has authorized a share repurchase program of up to$1 billionover a two-year period to return excess capital to shareholders. No shares were repurchased through the end of the third quarter.\n\n2022 Revenue Drivers\nThey expect several dynamics will drive 2022 revenues:\n\nAPAs Signed:The Company has signed approximately$17 billionof advance purchase agreements (APAs) for delivery in 2022.\nAPAs with Options:The Company anticipates the exercise of options under 2022 APAs of up to$3 billion.\nU.S.Fall 2022 Booster Market:Subject to receipt of a BLA or sBLA for boosters prior to the fall booster season, the Company anticipates commercial booster market sales could be up to$2 billion.\n\nBased on these three revenue drivers, the Company believes 2022 sales could be in the range of$17 billionto$22 billion. The Company continues to have discussions for 2022 APAs with governments and international organizations, including COVAX, thePan American Health Organization(PAHO) and theAfrican Union.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":815,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843534442,"gmtCreate":1635840715838,"gmtModify":1635840715966,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843534442","repostId":"1119852155","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119852155","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635844360,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119852155?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-02 17:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla stock dipped more than 6% in premarket trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌超过6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119852155","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla stock dipped more than 6% in premarket trading Tuesday after four consecutive days of gains.El","content":"<p>Tesla stock dipped more&nbsp;than&nbsp;6% in premarket trading&nbsp;Tuesday&nbsp;after four consecutive days of gains.Elon Musk said&nbsp;Tesla Inc.&nbsp;hasn’t yet signed a contract with&nbsp;Hertz Global Holdings Inc..In additionTesla rival Rivian seeks to raise $8.4 billion in IPO.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在连续四天上涨后，周二盘前交易中下跌超过6%。Elon Musk表示，特斯拉公司尚未与赫兹全球控股公司签署合同。此外，特斯拉的竞争对手Rivian寻求通过IPO筹集84亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8355cee0e2871b4c60c1b78ebd98a7fd\" tg-width=\"848\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Musk was replying to a tweet from an account named Tesla Silicon Valley Club, which showed a chart ofTesla’s rising stock price along with a thank you to the company’s chief executive officer, the world’s&nbsp;richest person.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克正在回复一个名为特斯拉硅谷俱乐部的账户的推文，该推文显示了特斯拉股价上涨的图表，并向该公司首席执行官、世界首富表示感谢。</blockquote></p><p> News ofHertz’s order&nbsp;on Oct. 25, only around four months after the company emerged from bankruptcy, sent Tesla’s shares up 13% on the day and its market value past $1 trillion for the first time. The rally has continued, with the stock closing at a&nbsp;record high&nbsp;in New York Monday. Hertz, which trades over the counter ahead of a relisting on the Nasdaq Stock Market, has climbed 38% since the start of last week.</p><p><blockquote>10月25日，距离赫兹摆脱破产仅四个月左右，特斯拉股价当天上涨13%，市值首次突破1万亿美元。涨势仍在继续，该股周一在纽约收盘创下历史新高。赫兹在纳斯达克股市重新上市之前进行场外交易，自上周初以来已上涨38%。</blockquote></p><p> The order for 100,000 vehicles is equivalent to about a tenth of what Tesla can produce annually. Florida-based Hertz said it would be paying full price.</p><p><blockquote>10万辆的订单相当于特斯拉年产量的十分之一左右。总部位于佛罗里达州的赫兹表示将支付全价。</blockquote></p><p> “The initial interest is exceeding our expectations,” Hertz’s interim CEO Mark Fields said last week as traffic to the company’s&nbsp;website soared, especially for its Tesla rental portal. “It shows that our message got through.”</p><p><blockquote>“最初的兴趣超出了我们的预期，”赫兹临时首席执行官Mark Fields上周表示，该公司网站的流量飙升，尤其是其特斯拉租赁门户网站的流量。“这表明我们的信息被传达了。”</blockquote></p><p> Hertz has hired seven-time Super Bowl-winning quarterback Tom Brady to star in advertisements showcasing the new Teslas.</p><p><blockquote>赫兹聘请了七次赢得超级碗冠军的四分卫汤姆·布雷迪(Tom Brady)主演展示新款特斯拉的广告。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla stock dipped more than 6% in premarket trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌超过6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla stock dipped more than 6% in premarket trading<blockquote>特斯拉股价在盘前交易中下跌超过6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-02 17:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla stock dipped more&nbsp;than&nbsp;6% in premarket trading&nbsp;Tuesday&nbsp;after four consecutive days of gains.Elon Musk said&nbsp;Tesla Inc.&nbsp;hasn’t yet signed a contract with&nbsp;Hertz Global Holdings Inc..In additionTesla rival Rivian seeks to raise $8.4 billion in IPO.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在连续四天上涨后，周二盘前交易中下跌超过6%。Elon Musk表示，特斯拉公司尚未与赫兹全球控股公司签署合同。此外，特斯拉的竞争对手Rivian寻求通过IPO筹集84亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8355cee0e2871b4c60c1b78ebd98a7fd\" tg-width=\"848\" tg-height=\"617\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Musk was replying to a tweet from an account named Tesla Silicon Valley Club, which showed a chart ofTesla’s rising stock price along with a thank you to the company’s chief executive officer, the world’s&nbsp;richest person.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克正在回复一个名为特斯拉硅谷俱乐部的账户的推文，该推文显示了特斯拉股价上涨的图表，并向该公司首席执行官、世界首富表示感谢。</blockquote></p><p> News ofHertz’s order&nbsp;on Oct. 25, only around four months after the company emerged from bankruptcy, sent Tesla’s shares up 13% on the day and its market value past $1 trillion for the first time. The rally has continued, with the stock closing at a&nbsp;record high&nbsp;in New York Monday. Hertz, which trades over the counter ahead of a relisting on the Nasdaq Stock Market, has climbed 38% since the start of last week.</p><p><blockquote>10月25日，距离赫兹摆脱破产仅四个月左右，特斯拉股价当天上涨13%，市值首次突破1万亿美元。涨势仍在继续，该股周一在纽约收盘创下历史新高。赫兹在纳斯达克股市重新上市之前进行场外交易，自上周初以来已上涨38%。</blockquote></p><p> The order for 100,000 vehicles is equivalent to about a tenth of what Tesla can produce annually. Florida-based Hertz said it would be paying full price.</p><p><blockquote>10万辆的订单相当于特斯拉年产量的十分之一左右。总部位于佛罗里达州的赫兹表示将支付全价。</blockquote></p><p> “The initial interest is exceeding our expectations,” Hertz’s interim CEO Mark Fields said last week as traffic to the company’s&nbsp;website soared, especially for its Tesla rental portal. “It shows that our message got through.”</p><p><blockquote>“最初的兴趣超出了我们的预期，”赫兹临时首席执行官Mark Fields上周表示，该公司网站的流量飙升，尤其是其特斯拉租赁门户网站的流量。“这表明我们的信息被传达了。”</blockquote></p><p> Hertz has hired seven-time Super Bowl-winning quarterback Tom Brady to star in advertisements showcasing the new Teslas.</p><p><blockquote>赫兹聘请了七次赢得超级碗冠军的四分卫汤姆·布雷迪(Tom Brady)主演展示新款特斯拉的广告。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119852155","content_text":"Tesla stock dipped more than 6% in premarket trading Tuesday after four consecutive days of gains.Elon Musk said Tesla Inc. hasn’t yet signed a contract with Hertz Global Holdings Inc..In additionTesla rival Rivian seeks to raise $8.4 billion in IPO.\n\nMusk was replying to a tweet from an account named Tesla Silicon Valley Club, which showed a chart ofTesla’s rising stock price along with a thank you to the company’s chief executive officer, the world’s richest person.\nNews ofHertz’s order on Oct. 25, only around four months after the company emerged from bankruptcy, sent Tesla’s shares up 13% on the day and its market value past $1 trillion for the first time. The rally has continued, with the stock closing at a record high in New York Monday. Hertz, which trades over the counter ahead of a relisting on the Nasdaq Stock Market, has climbed 38% since the start of last week.\nThe order for 100,000 vehicles is equivalent to about a tenth of what Tesla can produce annually. Florida-based Hertz said it would be paying full price.\n“The initial interest is exceeding our expectations,” Hertz’s interim CEO Mark Fields said last week as traffic to the company’s website soared, especially for its Tesla rental portal. “It shows that our message got through.”\nHertz has hired seven-time Super Bowl-winning quarterback Tom Brady to star in advertisements showcasing the new Teslas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":834,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849205346,"gmtCreate":1635756544775,"gmtModify":1635756544917,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"L","listText":"L","text":"L","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849205346","repostId":"2179250221","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2179250221","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635721559,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2179250221?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-01 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2179250221","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set th","content":"<p><div> The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美联储即将召开的货币政策会议将成为本周的焦点，并可能为期待已久的资产购买缩减公告奠定基础。与此同时，交易者也将...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-01 07:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美联储即将召开的货币政策会议将成为本周的焦点，并可能为期待已久的资产购买缩减公告奠定基础。与此同时，交易者也将...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EL":"雅诗兰黛","APO":"阿波罗全球管理","COP":"康菲石油","BLMN":"Bloomin' Brands","PFE":"辉瑞","ATVI":"动视暴雪","CLX":"高乐氏",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","CRSR":"Corsair Gaming, Inc.","RL":"拉夫劳伦","UBER":"优步"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2179250221","content_text":"The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also await more data on the U.S. economic recovery with the Labor Department's monthly jobs report later this week.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) November meeting will take place from Tuesday to Wednesday, with the policy statement and press conference from the meeting serving as the central bank's penultimate opportunity this year to announce formal plans to begin rolling back its crisis-era quantitative easing program. For the past year-and-a-half, the central bank has been purchasing $120 billion per month in agency mortgage-backed securities and Treasuries, as one major tool to support the economy during the pandemic.\nIn late September, the FOMC's latest monetary policy statement and press conference from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested the central bank was apt to announce the start of tapering before year-end, and continue the tapering process until \"around the middle of next year.\"\n\"The upcoming FOMC meeting will be important for three reasons: 1) the announcement of tapering; 2) guidance around what tapering means for the path of hikes; and 3) nuanced changes in views around inflation risks given recent data,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note.\n\"The statement that announces the new pace of asset purchases will be followed by a note regarding flexibility stating that asset purchases are not on a pre-set course and will depend on the outlook for the labor market and inflation as well as an assessment of the efficacy of asset purchases,\" she predicted.\nShe noted that Powell may also use the press conference to reiterate that the end of tapering would not necessarily indicate the start of rate hikes, and that both policy actions are distinct. In previous public remarks, Powell has already made a similar point in previous public remarks, saying, \"the timing and pace of the coming reduction in asset purchases will not be intended to carry a direct signal regarding the timing of interest rate liftoff.\"\nGiven the market has been anticipating the start to tapering for months now, speculation around when the Fed will make a move on interest rates has become a point of particular interest to investors. Investors and economists have mulled whether the Fed may need to act more quickly than previously telegraphed on adjusting interest rates to stave off inflation, which has proven more long-lasting than some had suggested.\nWASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 24: Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell testifies during a Senate Banking Committee hearing on Capitol Hill on September 24, 2020 in Washington, DC. Powell and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin are testifying about the CARES Act and the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)Drew Angerer via Getty Images\nIn September, core personal consumption expenditures — the Fed's preferred gauge of underlying inflation — rose 3.6% over last year for a fourth consecutive month, coming in at the fastest clip since 1991. And earlier this month, Powell acknowledged in public remarks that the supply chain constraints and shortages that spurred the latest rise in prices are \"likely to last longer than previously expected, likely well into next year.\"\nWhile the central bank will not release an updated Summary of Economic Projections with their policy statement on Wednesday, the latest projections from the September meeting suggested the committee was split on rate hikes for 2022, with nine members seeing no rate hikes by the end of next year while the other nine members saw at least one hike.\n\"I think the Fed has pretty well determined to start the taper pretty quickly. We expect them to announce it next week and then start it soon thereafter, so that's pretty well carved in stone,\" Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab chief fixed income strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live last week. \"I think the big debate now is how quickly the Fed moves toward actually raising rates. The expectation in the market has really shifted to expecting as many as two rate hikes in 2022 and 2023 ... that’s a pretty aggressive pace of tightening.\"\nOctober jobs report\nOne of this week's most closely watched pieces of economic data will be the October jobs report, which is due for release on Friday from the Labor Department.\nEconomists are looking to see a pick-up in the pace of hiring for October after a disappointing print in September, when just 194,000 non-farm payrolls returned versus the half million expected. Over the past two months, payroll gains averaged at just 280,000. The unemployment rate is expected to take another small step toward pre-pandemic levels in October as well, with the jobless rate anticipated to dip to 4.7% from 4.8% the prior month.\nStill, the labor market has still fallen short its pre-pandemic conditions on a number of fronts. The unemployment rate has yet to return to its 50-year low of 3.5% from February 2020. And as of September, the civilian labor force was still down by about 3.1 million individuals from pre-virus levels.\nOne factor weighing on the labor market in August and September was the Delta variant, which may have deterred some workers from seeking employment in person for risk of infection. And an ongoing element dragging on the labor market's recovery has been a mismatch of supply and demand, with employers struggling to fill a near-record number of job openings while voluntary quits jumped to a historically high level.\n\"Next week’s October payrolls report will shed light on whether supply eased on diminishing constraints or if the labor market continues to face headwinds for now,\" wrote Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, in a note last week.\nBut some data from the past couple weeks has reflected favorably on conditions in the labor market in October. Weekly new unemployment claims broke below 300,000 for the first time since the start of the pandemic during the survey week for the October jobs report, or the week that includes the 12th of the month. And in the Conference Board's October Consumer Confidence Index, just 10.6% of consumers said jobs were \"hard to get,\" down from 13.0% in September. That brought the Conference Board's closely watched labor market differential, or percentage of consumers saying jobs are \"hard to get\" subtracted from the percentage saying jobs \"are plentiful,\" to 45, or its highest level since 2000.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, Oct. final (59.3 expected, 59.2 in September); Constructing spending, month-over-month, September (0.4% expected, 0.0% in August); ISM Manufacturing Index, Oct. (60.5 expected, 61.1 in September)\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Oct. 29 (0.3% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, Oct. (400,000 expected, 568,000 in September); ISM Services Index, October (62.0 expected, 61.9 in September); Factory Orders, September (-0.1% expected, 1.2% in August); Durable goods orders, September final (-0.4% in prior print; Durable goods orders excluding transportation, September final (0.4% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, September final (0.8% in prior print); Markit U.S. Services PMI, October final (58.2 expected, 58.2 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, October final (57.3 in prior print); Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy decision\nThursday: Challenger job cuts, year-over-year, October (-84.9% in September); Initial jobless claims, week ended Oct. 30 (275,000 expected, 281,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 23 (2.147 million expected, 2.243 million during prior week); Non-farm productivity, Q3 preliminary (-3.2% expected, 2.1% in Q2); Unit Labor Costs, Q3 preliminary (6.9% expected, 1.3% in Q2); Trade balance, September (-$80.1 billion expected, -$73.3 billion in August)\nFriday: Change in non-farm payrolls, October (450,000 expected, 194,000 in September); Unemployment rate, October (4.7% expected, 4.8% in September); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, October (4.7% expected, 4.8% in September); Average hourly earnings, year-over-year, October (4.9% expected, 4.6% in September); Labor Force Participation Rate, October (61.8% expected, 61.6% in September); Consumer Credit, September ($16.200 billion expected, $14.379 million in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Clorox (CLX), Avis Budget Group (CAR), ZoomInfo Technologies (ZI), Chegg Inc. (CHGG), Diamondback Energy (FANG), The Simon Property Group (SPG) after market close\nTuesday: Under Armour (UAA), Estee Lauder (EL), Ralph Lauren (RL), Apollo Global Management (APO), Corsair Gaming (CRSR), Bloomin' Brands (BLMN), ConocoPhillips (COP), Pfizer (PFE), Groupon (GPN), Marathon Petroleum (MPC) before market open; Mondelez (MDLZ), T-Mobile (TMUS), Akamai (AKAM), Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Lyft (LYFT), Match Group (MTCH), Devon Energy (DVN), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), Coursera (COUR), Zillow Group (ZG), Amgen (AMGN) after market close\nWednesday: Humana (HUM), Discovery Inc. (DISCA), The New York Times (NYT), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), Marriott International (MAR), CVS Health Corp. (CVS), Sinclair Broadcast Group (SBGI) before market open; Booking Holdings (BKNG), Qorvo (QRVO), The Allstate Corp. (ALL), MGM Resorts International (MGM), $Take-Two Interactive Software(TTWO)$ (TTWO), Electronic Arts (EA), Vimeo (VMEO), Etsy (ETSY), GoDaddy (GDDY), Marathon Oil Corp. (MRO), Roku (ROKU), Qualcomm (QCOM) after market close\nThursday: Cigna (CI), Wayfair (W), ViacomCBS (VIAC), Nikola (NKLA), Duke Energy (DUK), Citrix Systems (CTXS), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), Hanesbrands (HBI), Moderna (MRNA), Planet Fitness (PLNT), Vulcan Material (VMC), Kellogg (K), Square (SQ), Cloudflare (NET), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Uber Technologies (UBER), American International Group (AIG), Shake Shack (SHAK), iHeartMedia (IHRT), Novavax (NVAX), IAC Interactive Corp. (IAC), Peloton (PTON), Dropbox (DBX), DataDog (DDOG), Pinterest (PINS), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), Expedia (EXPE), Rocket Cos. (RKT), Live Nation Entertainment (LYV), Airbnb (ABNB)\nFriday: Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Dish Networks (DISH), Dominion Energy (D), DraftKings (DKNG), Goodyear Tire and Rubber (GT), Cinemark Holdings (CNK) before market open","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"RL":0.9,"BLMN":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"CLX":0.9,"EL":0.9,"ATVI":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"COP":0.9,"APO":0.9,"CRSR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855965111,"gmtCreate":1635325774305,"gmtModify":1635325792583,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wt","listText":"Wt","text":"Wt","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855965111","repostId":"1137943402","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":815,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856993769,"gmtCreate":1635137501671,"gmtModify":1635137502021,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"L","listText":"L","text":"L","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856993769","repostId":"1167039476","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851469875,"gmtCreate":1634922846428,"gmtModify":1634922846796,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851469875","repostId":"1176524145","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1025,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851469905,"gmtCreate":1634922805334,"gmtModify":1634922805741,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ook","listText":"Ook","text":"Ook","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851469905","repostId":"2177167834","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859522465,"gmtCreate":1634714797060,"gmtModify":1634714797435,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859522465","repostId":"1190644735","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190644735","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634713501,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190644735?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 15:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investor bullishness is lowest in a year even as the stock market nears record highs<blockquote>尽管股市接近历史新高，但投资者的看涨情绪仍处于一年来最低水平</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190644735","media":"Business Insider","summary":"Even as stocks near record highs, investors remain skeptical, according to a survey from Bank of Ame","content":"<p><ul>  <li><b>Even as stocks near record highs, investors remain skeptical, according to a survey from Bank of America.</b></li>  <li><b>Investor bullishness is sitting at a 1-year low amid concerns of rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.</b></li>  <li><b>But third-quarter earnings are beating estimates and the S&amp;P 500 is just 1% away from record highs.</b></li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4543ab2a83de0720c4f37bc917cf8d3\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Traders have been cheered by earnings but are still concerned about inflation.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>美国银行的一项调查显示，即使股市接近历史新高，投资者仍持怀疑态度。</b></li><li><b>由于担心通胀上升和供应链中断，投资者的看涨情绪处于一年来的最低点。</b></li><li><b>但第三季度盈利超出预期，标普500距离历史新高仅1%。</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>交易员对盈利感到高兴，但仍对通胀感到担忧。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors are skeptical of an October rally that has seen the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;recover from a 5% decline and near record-highs, according to&nbsp;Bank of America's&nbsp;fund manager survey.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国银行的基金经理调查，投资者对10月份的反弹持怀疑态度，10月份标准普尔500指数从5%的跌幅中恢复过来，并接近历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> The survey found bullish sentiment currently sits at a one-year low while cash levels have jumped to a one-year high amid ongoing concerns about rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>调查发现，由于对通胀上升和供应链中断的持续担忧，看涨情绪目前处于一年低点，而现金水平已跃升至一年高点。</blockquote></p><p> The bearish investor sentiment readings from BofA echoes other indicators that have&nbsp;displayed depressed bullishness among investors in recent weeks.Both the CNN Fear and Greed Index and AAII sentiment readings were at subdued levels earlier this month. Additionally, Google search trends for \"Dow Jones\" continues to decline, which typically means consumer confidence is on the rise, according to DataTrek.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的看跌投资者情绪数据与最近几周显示投资者看涨情绪低迷的其他指标相呼应。本月早些时候，CNN恐惧和贪婪指数和AAII情绪读数均处于低迷水平。此外，根据DataTrek的数据，“道琼斯”的谷歌搜索趋势持续下降，这通常意味着消费者信心正在上升。</blockquote></p><p> According to the BofA survey, the biggest risks the market faces are inflation, China's ongoing regulatory crackdown, COVID-19, and the Fed tapering its monthly bond purchasing program, among others. The survey found that the most crowded trades among investors include long technology stocks, long ESG, and short China and emerging markets.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国银行的调查，市场面临的最大风险是通胀、中国持续的监管打压、COVID-19以及美联储缩减每月债券购买计划等。调查发现，投资者中最拥挤的交易包括做多科技股、做多ESG、做空中国和新兴市场。</blockquote></p><p> While bullish sentiment is down for stocks, investors are still putting their cash to work in areas like commodities, the survey found. Commodities are often viewed as a reliable inflationary hedge among investors, which remains top of mind.</p><p><blockquote>调查发现，尽管股市看涨情绪有所下降，但投资者仍将现金投入大宗商品等领域。大宗商品通常被投资者视为可靠的通胀对冲工具，这仍然是投资者最关心的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, the survey found that most investors expect at least one Fed interest rate increase next year, even as the Fed dot plot leans closer to 2023 for the start of its interest rate hike plans.</p><p><blockquote>最后，调查发现，大多数投资者预计美联储明年至少会加息一次，尽管美联储点阵图更倾向于2023年开始加息计划。</blockquote></p><p> The bearish investor sentiment is ultimately a buy signal for contrarian investors, as it can often represent fuel for stocks to climb a wall of worry as fears dissipate, favorable seasonality begins to pick up during the last three months of the year, and skeptical investors throw in the towel and buy.</p><p><blockquote>对于逆向投资者来说，看跌的投资者情绪最终是一个买入信号，因为随着恐惧消散、有利的季节性在今年最后三个月开始回升以及持怀疑态度的投资者，它通常可以成为股市爬上担忧墙的燃料。认输并购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investor bullishness is lowest in a year even as the stock market nears record highs<blockquote>尽管股市接近历史新高，但投资者的看涨情绪仍处于一年来最低水平</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestor bullishness is lowest in a year even as the stock market nears record highs<blockquote>尽管股市接近历史新高，但投资者的看涨情绪仍处于一年来最低水平</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Business Insider</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-20 15:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li><b>Even as stocks near record highs, investors remain skeptical, according to a survey from Bank of America.</b></li>  <li><b>Investor bullishness is sitting at a 1-year low amid concerns of rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.</b></li>  <li><b>But third-quarter earnings are beating estimates and the S&amp;P 500 is just 1% away from record highs.</b></li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4543ab2a83de0720c4f37bc917cf8d3\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Traders have been cheered by earnings but are still concerned about inflation.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>美国银行的一项调查显示，即使股市接近历史新高，投资者仍持怀疑态度。</b></li><li><b>由于担心通胀上升和供应链中断，投资者的看涨情绪处于一年来的最低点。</b></li><li><b>但第三季度盈利超出预期，标普500距离历史新高仅1%。</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>交易员对盈利感到高兴，但仍对通胀感到担忧。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors are skeptical of an October rally that has seen the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;recover from a 5% decline and near record-highs, according to&nbsp;Bank of America's&nbsp;fund manager survey.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国银行的基金经理调查，投资者对10月份的反弹持怀疑态度，10月份标准普尔500指数从5%的跌幅中恢复过来，并接近历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> The survey found bullish sentiment currently sits at a one-year low while cash levels have jumped to a one-year high amid ongoing concerns about rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>调查发现，由于对通胀上升和供应链中断的持续担忧，看涨情绪目前处于一年低点，而现金水平已跃升至一年高点。</blockquote></p><p> The bearish investor sentiment readings from BofA echoes other indicators that have&nbsp;displayed depressed bullishness among investors in recent weeks.Both the CNN Fear and Greed Index and AAII sentiment readings were at subdued levels earlier this month. Additionally, Google search trends for \"Dow Jones\" continues to decline, which typically means consumer confidence is on the rise, according to DataTrek.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的看跌投资者情绪数据与最近几周显示投资者看涨情绪低迷的其他指标相呼应。本月早些时候，CNN恐惧和贪婪指数和AAII情绪读数均处于低迷水平。此外，根据DataTrek的数据，“道琼斯”的谷歌搜索趋势持续下降，这通常意味着消费者信心正在上升。</blockquote></p><p> According to the BofA survey, the biggest risks the market faces are inflation, China's ongoing regulatory crackdown, COVID-19, and the Fed tapering its monthly bond purchasing program, among others. The survey found that the most crowded trades among investors include long technology stocks, long ESG, and short China and emerging markets.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国银行的调查，市场面临的最大风险是通胀、中国持续的监管打压、COVID-19以及美联储缩减每月债券购买计划等。调查发现，投资者中最拥挤的交易包括做多科技股、做多ESG、做空中国和新兴市场。</blockquote></p><p> While bullish sentiment is down for stocks, investors are still putting their cash to work in areas like commodities, the survey found. Commodities are often viewed as a reliable inflationary hedge among investors, which remains top of mind.</p><p><blockquote>调查发现，尽管股市看涨情绪有所下降，但投资者仍将现金投入大宗商品等领域。大宗商品通常被投资者视为可靠的通胀对冲工具，这仍然是投资者最关心的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, the survey found that most investors expect at least one Fed interest rate increase next year, even as the Fed dot plot leans closer to 2023 for the start of its interest rate hike plans.</p><p><blockquote>最后，调查发现，大多数投资者预计美联储明年至少会加息一次，尽管美联储点阵图更倾向于2023年开始加息计划。</blockquote></p><p> The bearish investor sentiment is ultimately a buy signal for contrarian investors, as it can often represent fuel for stocks to climb a wall of worry as fears dissipate, favorable seasonality begins to pick up during the last three months of the year, and skeptical investors throw in the towel and buy.</p><p><blockquote>对于逆向投资者来说，看跌的投资者情绪最终是一个买入信号，因为随着恐惧消散、有利的季节性在今年最后三个月开始回升以及持怀疑态度的投资者，它通常可以成为股市爬上担忧墙的燃料。认输并购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-sentiment-investors-skeptical-stocks-record-highs-sp500-bofa-2021-10\">Business Insider</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-sentiment-investors-skeptical-stocks-record-highs-sp500-bofa-2021-10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190644735","content_text":"Even as stocks near record highs, investors remain skeptical, according to a survey from Bank of America.\nInvestor bullishness is sitting at a 1-year low amid concerns of rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.\nBut third-quarter earnings are beating estimates and the S&P 500 is just 1% away from record highs.\n\nTraders have been cheered by earnings but are still concerned about inflation.\nInvestors are skeptical of an October rally that has seen the S&P 500 recover from a 5% decline and near record-highs, according to Bank of America's fund manager survey.\nThe survey found bullish sentiment currently sits at a one-year low while cash levels have jumped to a one-year high amid ongoing concerns about rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.\nThe bearish investor sentiment readings from BofA echoes other indicators that have displayed depressed bullishness among investors in recent weeks.Both the CNN Fear and Greed Index and AAII sentiment readings were at subdued levels earlier this month. Additionally, Google search trends for \"Dow Jones\" continues to decline, which typically means consumer confidence is on the rise, according to DataTrek.\nAccording to the BofA survey, the biggest risks the market faces are inflation, China's ongoing regulatory crackdown, COVID-19, and the Fed tapering its monthly bond purchasing program, among others. The survey found that the most crowded trades among investors include long technology stocks, long ESG, and short China and emerging markets.\nWhile bullish sentiment is down for stocks, investors are still putting their cash to work in areas like commodities, the survey found. Commodities are often viewed as a reliable inflationary hedge among investors, which remains top of mind.\nFinally, the survey found that most investors expect at least one Fed interest rate increase next year, even as the Fed dot plot leans closer to 2023 for the start of its interest rate hike plans.\nThe bearish investor sentiment is ultimately a buy signal for contrarian investors, as it can often represent fuel for stocks to climb a wall of worry as fears dissipate, favorable seasonality begins to pick up during the last three months of the year, and skeptical investors throw in the towel and buy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859522827,"gmtCreate":1634714772792,"gmtModify":1634714773162,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859522827","repostId":"1123194504","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123194504","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634699967,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123194504?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 11:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What actually happened during GameStop mania?<blockquote>游戏驿站狂热期间到底发生了什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123194504","media":"CNN Business","summary":"London (CNN Business) - In late January, there was one question on the minds of investors: How did a","content":"<p><b>London (CNN Business)&nbsp;-&nbsp;</b>In late January, there was one question on the minds of investors: How did a struggling mall-based video game retailer became&nbsp;Wall Street's hottest stock, seemingly overnight?</p><p><blockquote><b>伦敦（CNN商业）——</b>一月底，投资者心中有一个问题：一家陷入困境的购物中心视频游戏零售商如何在一夜之间成为华尔街最热门的股票？</blockquote></p><p> Now, after months of research, the industry's top regulator has answers — and its findings could pave the way for major reforms to how financial markets function as amateur traders&nbsp;remain a powerful force.</p><p><blockquote>现在，经过数月的研究，该行业的最高监管机构已经找到了答案——其研究结果可能为金融市场如何运作的重大改革铺平道路，因为业余交易者仍然是一股强大的力量。</blockquote></p><p> What's happening: The US Securities and Exchange Commission just released a44-page reportexaminingGameStop(GME)mania, the early 2021 phenomenon in which the company's shares, plugged by enthusiasts on social media, rocketed about 2,700% in a matter of weeks.</p><p><blockquote>正在发生的事情：美国证券交易委员会刚刚发布了一份长达44页的报告，审查GameStop(GME)狂热，这是2021年初的一种现象，该公司的股价在社交媒体上受到爱好者的炒作，在几周内飙升了约2,700%。</blockquote></p><p> Other companies, including movie theater chain&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC), electronics company&nbsp;Koss(KOSS)&nbsp;and clothing chain&nbsp;Express(EXPR), also logged astronomical gains as online hype reached a fever pitch.</p><p><blockquote>随着网络炒作达到白热化，连锁影院AMC院线（AMC）、电子公司科斯（KOSS）和服装连锁店Express（EXPR）等其他公司也录得天文数字的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The report is full of interesting findings about the so-called \"meme stock\" craze. Here are some of the highlights.</p><p><blockquote>该报告充满了关于所谓“模因股票”热潮的有趣发现。以下是一些亮点。</blockquote></p><p> It really was wild.The SEC found that the number of unique accounts trading GameStop on a given day rose to nearly 900,000 by Jan. 27, up from fewer than 10,000 at the beginning of the month.</p><p><blockquote>真的很疯狂。SEC发现，截至1月27日，某一天交易游戏驿站的独立账户数量从本月初的不到10,000个增至近90万个。</blockquote></p><p> And the volume of stock changing hands was massive. Between Jan. 13 and Jan. 29, an average of 100 million GameStop shares were traded per day, up 1,400% from the 2020 average.</p><p><blockquote>股票易手量巨大。1月13日至1月29日期间，游戏驿站股票平均每天交易量为1亿股，较2020年平均水平增长1,400%。</blockquote></p><p> The action wasn't just limited to GameStop. More than 100 stocks \"experienced large price moves or increased trading volume that significantly exceeded broader market movements,\" the SEC said.</p><p><blockquote>这一行动不仅限于游戏驿站。SEC表示，100多只股票“经历了大幅价格波动或交易量增加，大大超过了大盘波动”。</blockquote></p><p> Some theories were off. One reason GameStop generated so much attention was because it fit a compelling David versus Goliath narrative, in which a band of renegade traders coordinating on platforms like Reddit successfully took on big hedge funds that had placed bets against GameStop. When the company's share price rose dramatically, those hedge funds allegedly had to buy stock in the company to cover their positions, triggering even bigger gains.</p><p><blockquote>有些理论被搁置。游戏驿站引起如此多关注的原因之一是，它符合引人注目的大卫与歌利亚的叙事，其中一群叛逆的交易员在Reddit等平台上协调，成功地对抗了做空游戏驿站的大型对冲基金。据称，当该公司股价大幅上涨时，这些对冲基金不得不购买该公司的股票来补仓，从而引发更大的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> That did happen. But the SEC found that \"such buying was a small fraction of overall buy volume,\" and that it was \"positive sentiment, not the buying-to-cover, that sustained the weeks-long price appreciation of GameStop stock.\"</p><p><blockquote>确实发生了。但美国证券交易委员会发现，“此类购买仅占总体购买量的一小部分”，并且“积极情绪，而不是买入对冲，维持了游戏驿站股票长达数周的价格上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> Robinhood is under the microscope. The SEC thinks regulators should take a closer look at how popular trading apps function. That could put pressure on the company, which&nbsp;went public in July.</p><p><blockquote>罗宾汉在显微镜下。美国证券交易委员会认为监管机构应该仔细研究流行交易应用程序的运作方式。这可能会给该公司带来压力，该公司于7月上市。</blockquote></p><p> \"Consideration should be given to whether game-like features and celebratory animations that are likely intended to create positive feedback from trading lead investors to trade more than they would otherwise,\" the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“应该考虑可能旨在从交易中创造积极反馈的类似游戏的功能和庆祝动画是否会导致投资者进行比其他方式更多的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> The SEC also said the practice at the center of Robinhood's business model, known as \"payment for order flow,\" could compel the company to find \"novel ways to increase customer trading.\"</p><p><blockquote>SEC还表示，Robinhood商业模式的核心做法，即“订单流支付”，可能会迫使该公司寻找“增加客户交易的新方法”。</blockquote></p><p> When an investor places an order to buy a stock on its app, Robinhood routes the order to a market maker like Citadel Securities, which then handles execution — and pays Robinhood for that privilege. SEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously indicated he's skeptical of payment for order flow.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者在其应用程序上下单购买股票时，Robinhood会将订单发送给Citadel Securities等做市商，然后由该做市商处理执行，并向Robinhood支付该特权费用。SEC主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)此前曾表示，他对订单流的支付持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> Big picture: The report didn't include specific policy recommendations. But it could help Gensler's SEC eventually make changes to how markets function.</p><p><blockquote>大图：该报告没有包括具体的政策建议。但它可以帮助Gensler的SEC最终改变市场的运作方式。</blockquote></p><p> \"January's events gave us an opportunity to consider how we can further our efforts to make the equity markets as fair, orderly and efficient as possible,\" Gensler, who was nominated by President Joe Biden, said in a statement Monday.</p><p><blockquote>由总统乔·拜登提名的詹斯勒周一在一份声明中表示：“一月份的事件让我们有机会考虑如何进一步努力，使股市尽可能公平、有序和高效。”</blockquote></p><p> But SEC Commissioners Hester Peirce and Elad Roisman, who are Republican appointees, said in a separate statement that the report went too far.</p><p><blockquote>但共和党任命的SEC委员赫斯特·皮尔斯和埃拉德·罗斯曼在另一份声明中表示，该报告走得太远了。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the wake of an anomalous market event, it can be tempting to identify a convenient scapegoat and leverage the event to pursue regulatory actions without regard to the factual record,\" they said, adding that the report, \"finds no causal connection between the meme stock volatility\" and a practice such as payment for order flow \"that has drawn recent popular attention.\"</p><p><blockquote>他们表示：“在异常市场事件发生后，人们很容易找到一个方便的替罪羊，并利用该事件采取监管行动，而不考虑事实记录。”他们补充说，该报告“没有发现两者之间存在因果关系”。模因股票波动”和“为订单流付费”等做法“最近引起了广泛关注”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What actually happened during GameStop mania?<blockquote>游戏驿站狂热期间到底发生了什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat actually happened during GameStop mania?<blockquote>游戏驿站狂热期间到底发生了什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-20 11:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>London (CNN Business)&nbsp;-&nbsp;</b>In late January, there was one question on the minds of investors: How did a struggling mall-based video game retailer became&nbsp;Wall Street's hottest stock, seemingly overnight?</p><p><blockquote><b>伦敦（CNN商业）——</b>一月底，投资者心中有一个问题：一家陷入困境的购物中心视频游戏零售商如何在一夜之间成为华尔街最热门的股票？</blockquote></p><p> Now, after months of research, the industry's top regulator has answers — and its findings could pave the way for major reforms to how financial markets function as amateur traders&nbsp;remain a powerful force.</p><p><blockquote>现在，经过数月的研究，该行业的最高监管机构已经找到了答案——其研究结果可能为金融市场如何运作的重大改革铺平道路，因为业余交易者仍然是一股强大的力量。</blockquote></p><p> What's happening: The US Securities and Exchange Commission just released a44-page reportexaminingGameStop(GME)mania, the early 2021 phenomenon in which the company's shares, plugged by enthusiasts on social media, rocketed about 2,700% in a matter of weeks.</p><p><blockquote>正在发生的事情：美国证券交易委员会刚刚发布了一份长达44页的报告，审查GameStop(GME)狂热，这是2021年初的一种现象，该公司的股价在社交媒体上受到爱好者的炒作，在几周内飙升了约2,700%。</blockquote></p><p> Other companies, including movie theater chain&nbsp;AMC Entertainment(AMC), electronics company&nbsp;Koss(KOSS)&nbsp;and clothing chain&nbsp;Express(EXPR), also logged astronomical gains as online hype reached a fever pitch.</p><p><blockquote>随着网络炒作达到白热化，连锁影院AMC院线（AMC）、电子公司科斯（KOSS）和服装连锁店Express（EXPR）等其他公司也录得天文数字的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The report is full of interesting findings about the so-called \"meme stock\" craze. Here are some of the highlights.</p><p><blockquote>该报告充满了关于所谓“模因股票”热潮的有趣发现。以下是一些亮点。</blockquote></p><p> It really was wild.The SEC found that the number of unique accounts trading GameStop on a given day rose to nearly 900,000 by Jan. 27, up from fewer than 10,000 at the beginning of the month.</p><p><blockquote>真的很疯狂。SEC发现，截至1月27日，某一天交易游戏驿站的独立账户数量从本月初的不到10,000个增至近90万个。</blockquote></p><p> And the volume of stock changing hands was massive. Between Jan. 13 and Jan. 29, an average of 100 million GameStop shares were traded per day, up 1,400% from the 2020 average.</p><p><blockquote>股票易手量巨大。1月13日至1月29日期间，游戏驿站股票平均每天交易量为1亿股，较2020年平均水平增长1,400%。</blockquote></p><p> The action wasn't just limited to GameStop. More than 100 stocks \"experienced large price moves or increased trading volume that significantly exceeded broader market movements,\" the SEC said.</p><p><blockquote>这一行动不仅限于游戏驿站。SEC表示，100多只股票“经历了大幅价格波动或交易量增加，大大超过了大盘波动”。</blockquote></p><p> Some theories were off. One reason GameStop generated so much attention was because it fit a compelling David versus Goliath narrative, in which a band of renegade traders coordinating on platforms like Reddit successfully took on big hedge funds that had placed bets against GameStop. When the company's share price rose dramatically, those hedge funds allegedly had to buy stock in the company to cover their positions, triggering even bigger gains.</p><p><blockquote>有些理论被搁置。游戏驿站引起如此多关注的原因之一是，它符合引人注目的大卫与歌利亚的叙事，其中一群叛逆的交易员在Reddit等平台上协调，成功地对抗了做空游戏驿站的大型对冲基金。据称，当该公司股价大幅上涨时，这些对冲基金不得不购买该公司的股票来补仓，从而引发更大的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> That did happen. But the SEC found that \"such buying was a small fraction of overall buy volume,\" and that it was \"positive sentiment, not the buying-to-cover, that sustained the weeks-long price appreciation of GameStop stock.\"</p><p><blockquote>确实发生了。但美国证券交易委员会发现，“此类购买仅占总体购买量的一小部分”，并且“积极情绪，而不是买入对冲，维持了游戏驿站股票长达数周的价格上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> Robinhood is under the microscope. The SEC thinks regulators should take a closer look at how popular trading apps function. That could put pressure on the company, which&nbsp;went public in July.</p><p><blockquote>罗宾汉在显微镜下。美国证券交易委员会认为监管机构应该仔细研究流行交易应用程序的运作方式。这可能会给该公司带来压力，该公司于7月上市。</blockquote></p><p> \"Consideration should be given to whether game-like features and celebratory animations that are likely intended to create positive feedback from trading lead investors to trade more than they would otherwise,\" the report said.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“应该考虑可能旨在从交易中创造积极反馈的类似游戏的功能和庆祝动画是否会导致投资者进行比其他方式更多的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> The SEC also said the practice at the center of Robinhood's business model, known as \"payment for order flow,\" could compel the company to find \"novel ways to increase customer trading.\"</p><p><blockquote>SEC还表示，Robinhood商业模式的核心做法，即“订单流支付”，可能会迫使该公司寻找“增加客户交易的新方法”。</blockquote></p><p> When an investor places an order to buy a stock on its app, Robinhood routes the order to a market maker like Citadel Securities, which then handles execution — and pays Robinhood for that privilege. SEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously indicated he's skeptical of payment for order flow.</p><p><blockquote>当投资者在其应用程序上下单购买股票时，Robinhood会将订单发送给Citadel Securities等做市商，然后由该做市商处理执行，并向Robinhood支付该特权费用。SEC主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)此前曾表示，他对订单流的支付持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p> Big picture: The report didn't include specific policy recommendations. But it could help Gensler's SEC eventually make changes to how markets function.</p><p><blockquote>大图：该报告没有包括具体的政策建议。但它可以帮助Gensler的SEC最终改变市场的运作方式。</blockquote></p><p> \"January's events gave us an opportunity to consider how we can further our efforts to make the equity markets as fair, orderly and efficient as possible,\" Gensler, who was nominated by President Joe Biden, said in a statement Monday.</p><p><blockquote>由总统乔·拜登提名的詹斯勒周一在一份声明中表示：“一月份的事件让我们有机会考虑如何进一步努力，使股市尽可能公平、有序和高效。”</blockquote></p><p> But SEC Commissioners Hester Peirce and Elad Roisman, who are Republican appointees, said in a separate statement that the report went too far.</p><p><blockquote>但共和党任命的SEC委员赫斯特·皮尔斯和埃拉德·罗斯曼在另一份声明中表示，该报告走得太远了。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the wake of an anomalous market event, it can be tempting to identify a convenient scapegoat and leverage the event to pursue regulatory actions without regard to the factual record,\" they said, adding that the report, \"finds no causal connection between the meme stock volatility\" and a practice such as payment for order flow \"that has drawn recent popular attention.\"</p><p><blockquote>他们表示：“在异常市场事件发生后，人们很容易找到一个方便的替罪羊，并利用该事件采取监管行动，而不考虑事实记录。”他们补充说，该报告“没有发现两者之间存在因果关系”。模因股票波动”和“为订单流付费”等做法“最近引起了广泛关注”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/19/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html\">CNN Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/19/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123194504","content_text":"London (CNN Business) - In late January, there was one question on the minds of investors: How did a struggling mall-based video game retailer became Wall Street's hottest stock, seemingly overnight?\nNow, after months of research, the industry's top regulator has answers — and its findings could pave the way for major reforms to how financial markets function as amateur traders remain a powerful force.\nWhat's happening: The US Securities and Exchange Commission just released a44-page reportexaminingGameStop(GME)mania, the early 2021 phenomenon in which the company's shares, plugged by enthusiasts on social media, rocketed about 2,700% in a matter of weeks.\nOther companies, including movie theater chain AMC Entertainment(AMC), electronics company Koss(KOSS) and clothing chain Express(EXPR), also logged astronomical gains as online hype reached a fever pitch.\nThe report is full of interesting findings about the so-called \"meme stock\" craze. Here are some of the highlights.\nIt really was wild.The SEC found that the number of unique accounts trading GameStop on a given day rose to nearly 900,000 by Jan. 27, up from fewer than 10,000 at the beginning of the month.\nAnd the volume of stock changing hands was massive. Between Jan. 13 and Jan. 29, an average of 100 million GameStop shares were traded per day, up 1,400% from the 2020 average.\nThe action wasn't just limited to GameStop. More than 100 stocks \"experienced large price moves or increased trading volume that significantly exceeded broader market movements,\" the SEC said.\nSome theories were off. One reason GameStop generated so much attention was because it fit a compelling David versus Goliath narrative, in which a band of renegade traders coordinating on platforms like Reddit successfully took on big hedge funds that had placed bets against GameStop. When the company's share price rose dramatically, those hedge funds allegedly had to buy stock in the company to cover their positions, triggering even bigger gains.\nThat did happen. But the SEC found that \"such buying was a small fraction of overall buy volume,\" and that it was \"positive sentiment, not the buying-to-cover, that sustained the weeks-long price appreciation of GameStop stock.\"\nRobinhood is under the microscope. The SEC thinks regulators should take a closer look at how popular trading apps function. That could put pressure on the company, which went public in July.\n\"Consideration should be given to whether game-like features and celebratory animations that are likely intended to create positive feedback from trading lead investors to trade more than they would otherwise,\" the report said.\nThe SEC also said the practice at the center of Robinhood's business model, known as \"payment for order flow,\" could compel the company to find \"novel ways to increase customer trading.\"\nWhen an investor places an order to buy a stock on its app, Robinhood routes the order to a market maker like Citadel Securities, which then handles execution — and pays Robinhood for that privilege. SEC Chair Gary Gensler has previously indicated he's skeptical of payment for order flow.\nBig picture: The report didn't include specific policy recommendations. But it could help Gensler's SEC eventually make changes to how markets function.\n\"January's events gave us an opportunity to consider how we can further our efforts to make the equity markets as fair, orderly and efficient as possible,\" Gensler, who was nominated by President Joe Biden, said in a statement Monday.\nBut SEC Commissioners Hester Peirce and Elad Roisman, who are Republican appointees, said in a separate statement that the report went too far.\n\"In the wake of an anomalous market event, it can be tempting to identify a convenient scapegoat and leverage the event to pursue regulatory actions without regard to the factual record,\" they said, adding that the report, \"finds no causal connection between the meme stock volatility\" and a practice such as payment for order flow \"that has drawn recent popular attention.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":699,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859937364,"gmtCreate":1634649969230,"gmtModify":1634649969594,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859937364","repostId":"1193102851","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193102851","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634645497,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193102851?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-19 20:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193102851","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter ear","content":"<p>U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter earnings, easing concerns that persistent Covid cases and rising costs would derail corporate America’s profit recovery.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二上涨，主要公司继续公布强劲的第三季度收益，缓解了人们对持续的新冠病例和成本上升将破坏美国企业利润复苏的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 171 points, or 0.49%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 22.75 points, or 0.51%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 66.50 points, or 0.43%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道指e-mini上涨171点，涨幅0.49%，标普500 e-mini上涨22.75点，涨幅0.51%，纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨66.50点，涨幅0.43%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/808d838d8c69e95f270f0d5e41a549df\" tg-width=\"283\" tg-height=\"118\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crypto stocks in spotlight as Bitcoin continued its climb toward all-time highs, bolstered by optimism over the launch of the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. on Tuesday.Hive Blockchain (HIVE US) +1.8%, Riot Blockchain (RIOT US) +2.3%, Marathon Digital (MARA US) +0.9%, Bitfarms (BITF US) +3.9%</li>  <li>AgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS US) shares rise as much as 16% in U.S.&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;after the provider of drones, sensors and software entered into a definitive agreement to buy Sensefly from Parrot at a valuation of $23m in cash and stock</li>  <li>Steel Dynamics (STLD US) +1.5% in U.S.&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading after it reported 3Q adj. EPS above average analyst estimate</li>  <li>Frontline (FRO US) jumps 6.5% in U.S.&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading, helped by rising oil prices</li>  <li>Apple (AAPL US) marginally higher Tuesday&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;after analysts were upbeat on the company following an event where it showcased a revamp of its MacBook Pro laptops, along with new audio products</li>  <li>EverQuote (EVER US) shares slipped Monday postmarket after co. cut 3Q revenue outlook</li>  <li>TaskUS (TAS US) fell 6.8% Monday postmarket after holders offered shares via Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan</li> </ul> <b>In FX,&nbsp;</b>a downbeat session for the Dollar thus far as the index retreats further from the 94.000 mark to extend the lower bound of a two-week range. There has been little in terms of fundamental catalysts to trigger the selloff as yields remain elevated (albeit off recent highs), and market sentiment remains tentative. State-side, there is a lack of developments Capitol Hill, with US President Biden stating that he is </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>受周二在美国推出首只比特币期货交易所交易基金的乐观情绪提振，比特币继续攀升至历史新高，加密货币股票成为焦点。Hive Blockchain(HIVE US)+1.8%，Riot Blockchain(RIOT US)+2.3%，Marathon Digital(MARA US)+0.9%，Bitfarms(BITF US)+3.9%</li><li>无人机、传感器和软件提供商AgEagle Aerial Systems(UAVS US)达成最终协议，以2300万美元现金和股票从Parrot手中收购Sensefly，股价在美国盘前上涨16%</li><li>Steel Dynamics(STLD US)公布第三季度调整后，在美国盘前交易中上涨1.5%。每股收益高于分析师平均预期</li><li>受油价上涨的推动，Frontline(FRO US)在美国盘前交易中上涨6.5%</li><li>苹果(AAPL US)周二盘前小幅走高，此前分析师对该公司持乐观态度，此前该公司展示了改进后的MacBook Pro笔记本电脑以及新音频产品</li><li>EverQuote(EVER US)下调第三季度收入预期后，股价周一盘后下跌</li><li>股东通过高盛、摩根大通发行股票后，TaskUS(TAS)周一盘后下跌6.8%</li></ul><b>在FX中，</b>到目前为止，美元是一个悲观的交易日，因为该指数从94.000关口进一步回落，扩大了两周区间的下限。由于收益率仍然很高（尽管低于近期高点），而且市场情绪仍处于试探性状态，因此几乎没有什么基本面催化剂可以引发抛售。在州方面，国会山缺乏进展，美国总统拜登表示他正在</blockquote></p><p> \"right now\" going to try for a deal with Moderate Democratic Senator Manchin, while it was separately reported that Senator Manchin said he does not see how a deal on Biden's agenda will happen by October 31st.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>“现在”将尝试与温和派民主党参议员曼钦达成协议，而另有报道称，参议员曼钦表示，他不认为拜登议程上的协议将如何在10月31日之前达成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,&nbsp;</b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are nursing yesterday’s wounds and prices remain elevated despite a lack of fresh catalysts and with the macro landscape little changed as of late. The themes remain a) OPEC+ supply, b) supply crunch in the natural gas, LNG, electricity, and coal markets and c) winter demand. Elsewhere, the White House said it is continuing to press OPEC members to address the oil supply issue and is also addressing logistics of supply. Furthermore, the White House will use every lever at its disposal and the FTC is also looking at possible price gouging.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中，</b>WTI和布伦特原油近月期货正在愈合昨天的伤口，尽管缺乏新的催化剂，而且最近宏观形势几乎没有变化，但价格仍然很高。主题仍然是a)欧佩克+供应，b)天然气、液化天然气、电力和煤炭市场的供应紧缩，以及c)冬季需求。在其他地方，白宫表示将继续向欧佩克成员国施压，要求其解决石油供应问题，同时也在解决供应物流问题。此外，白宫将动用一切可用的手段，联邦贸易委员会也在调查可能的价格欺诈行为。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-19 20:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter earnings, easing concerns that persistent Covid cases and rising costs would derail corporate America’s profit recovery.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二上涨，主要公司继续公布强劲的第三季度收益，缓解了人们对持续的新冠病例和成本上升将破坏美国企业利润复苏的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 171 points, or 0.49%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 22.75 points, or 0.51%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 66.50 points, or 0.43%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:00，道指e-mini上涨171点，涨幅0.49%，标普500 e-mini上涨22.75点，涨幅0.51%，纳斯达克100 e-mini上涨66.50点，涨幅0.43%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/808d838d8c69e95f270f0d5e41a549df\" tg-width=\"283\" tg-height=\"118\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Crypto stocks in spotlight as Bitcoin continued its climb toward all-time highs, bolstered by optimism over the launch of the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. on Tuesday.Hive Blockchain (HIVE US) +1.8%, Riot Blockchain (RIOT US) +2.3%, Marathon Digital (MARA US) +0.9%, Bitfarms (BITF US) +3.9%</li>  <li>AgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS US) shares rise as much as 16% in U.S.&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;after the provider of drones, sensors and software entered into a definitive agreement to buy Sensefly from Parrot at a valuation of $23m in cash and stock</li>  <li>Steel Dynamics (STLD US) +1.5% in U.S.&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading after it reported 3Q adj. EPS above average analyst estimate</li>  <li>Frontline (FRO US) jumps 6.5% in U.S.&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading, helped by rising oil prices</li>  <li>Apple (AAPL US) marginally higher Tuesday&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;after analysts were upbeat on the company following an event where it showcased a revamp of its MacBook Pro laptops, along with new audio products</li>  <li>EverQuote (EVER US) shares slipped Monday postmarket after co. cut 3Q revenue outlook</li>  <li>TaskUS (TAS US) fell 6.8% Monday postmarket after holders offered shares via Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan</li> </ul> <b>In FX,&nbsp;</b>a downbeat session for the Dollar thus far as the index retreats further from the 94.000 mark to extend the lower bound of a two-week range. There has been little in terms of fundamental catalysts to trigger the selloff as yields remain elevated (albeit off recent highs), and market sentiment remains tentative. State-side, there is a lack of developments Capitol Hill, with US President Biden stating that he is </p><p><blockquote><ul><li>受周二在美国推出首只比特币期货交易所交易基金的乐观情绪提振，比特币继续攀升至历史新高，加密货币股票成为焦点。Hive Blockchain(HIVE US)+1.8%，Riot Blockchain(RIOT US)+2.3%，Marathon Digital(MARA US)+0.9%，Bitfarms(BITF US)+3.9%</li><li>无人机、传感器和软件提供商AgEagle Aerial Systems(UAVS US)达成最终协议，以2300万美元现金和股票从Parrot手中收购Sensefly，股价在美国盘前上涨16%</li><li>Steel Dynamics(STLD US)公布第三季度调整后，在美国盘前交易中上涨1.5%。每股收益高于分析师平均预期</li><li>受油价上涨的推动，Frontline(FRO US)在美国盘前交易中上涨6.5%</li><li>苹果(AAPL US)周二盘前小幅走高，此前分析师对该公司持乐观态度，此前该公司展示了改进后的MacBook Pro笔记本电脑以及新音频产品</li><li>EverQuote(EVER US)下调第三季度收入预期后，股价周一盘后下跌</li><li>股东通过高盛、摩根大通发行股票后，TaskUS(TAS)周一盘后下跌6.8%</li></ul><b>在FX中，</b>到目前为止，美元是一个悲观的交易日，因为该指数从94.000关口进一步回落，扩大了两周区间的下限。由于收益率仍然很高（尽管低于近期高点），而且市场情绪仍处于试探性状态，因此几乎没有什么基本面催化剂可以引发抛售。在州方面，国会山缺乏进展，美国总统拜登表示他正在</blockquote></p><p> \"right now\" going to try for a deal with Moderate Democratic Senator Manchin, while it was separately reported that Senator Manchin said he does not see how a deal on Biden's agenda will happen by October 31st.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>“现在”将尝试与温和派民主党参议员曼钦达成协议，而另有报道称，参议员曼钦表示，他不认为拜登议程上的协议将如何在10月31日之前达成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>In commodities,&nbsp;</b>WTI and Brent front-month futures are nursing yesterday’s wounds and prices remain elevated despite a lack of fresh catalysts and with the macro landscape little changed as of late. The themes remain a) OPEC+ supply, b) supply crunch in the natural gas, LNG, electricity, and coal markets and c) winter demand. Elsewhere, the White House said it is continuing to press OPEC members to address the oil supply issue and is also addressing logistics of supply. Furthermore, the White House will use every lever at its disposal and the FTC is also looking at possible price gouging.</p><p><blockquote><b>在大宗商品中，</b>WTI和布伦特原油近月期货正在愈合昨天的伤口，尽管缺乏新的催化剂，而且最近宏观形势几乎没有变化，但价格仍然很高。主题仍然是a)欧佩克+供应，b)天然气、液化天然气、电力和煤炭市场的供应紧缩，以及c)冬季需求。在其他地方，白宫表示将继续向欧佩克成员国施压，要求其解决石油供应问题，同时也在解决供应物流问题。此外，白宫将动用一切可用的手段，联邦贸易委员会也在调查可能的价格欺诈行为。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193102851","content_text":"U.S. stock futures gained on Tuesday as major companies continued to report strong third-quarter earnings, easing concerns that persistent Covid cases and rising costs would derail corporate America’s profit recovery.\nAt 8:00 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 171 points, or 0.49%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 22.75 points, or 0.51%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 66.50 points, or 0.43%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\n\nCrypto stocks in spotlight as Bitcoin continued its climb toward all-time highs, bolstered by optimism over the launch of the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. on Tuesday.Hive Blockchain (HIVE US) +1.8%, Riot Blockchain (RIOT US) +2.3%, Marathon Digital (MARA US) +0.9%, Bitfarms (BITF US) +3.9%\nAgEagle Aerial Systems (UAVS US) shares rise as much as 16% in U.S. premarket after the provider of drones, sensors and software entered into a definitive agreement to buy Sensefly from Parrot at a valuation of $23m in cash and stock\nSteel Dynamics (STLD US) +1.5% in U.S. premarket trading after it reported 3Q adj. EPS above average analyst estimate\nFrontline (FRO US) jumps 6.5% in U.S. premarket trading, helped by rising oil prices\nApple (AAPL US) marginally higher Tuesday premarket after analysts were upbeat on the company following an event where it showcased a revamp of its MacBook Pro laptops, along with new audio products\nEverQuote (EVER US) shares slipped Monday postmarket after co. cut 3Q revenue outlook\nTaskUS (TAS US) fell 6.8% Monday postmarket after holders offered shares via Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan\n\nIn FX, a downbeat session for the Dollar thus far as the index retreats further from the 94.000 mark to extend the lower bound of a two-week range. There has been little in terms of fundamental catalysts to trigger the selloff as yields remain elevated (albeit off recent highs), and market sentiment remains tentative. State-side, there is a lack of developments Capitol Hill, with US President Biden stating that he is \n\"right now\" going to try for a deal with Moderate Democratic Senator Manchin, while it was separately reported that Senator Manchin said he does not see how a deal on Biden's agenda will happen by October 31st. \nIn commodities, WTI and Brent front-month futures are nursing yesterday’s wounds and prices remain elevated despite a lack of fresh catalysts and with the macro landscape little changed as of late. The themes remain a) OPEC+ supply, b) supply crunch in the natural gas, LNG, electricity, and coal markets and c) winter demand. Elsewhere, the White House said it is continuing to press OPEC members to address the oil supply issue and is also addressing logistics of supply. Furthermore, the White House will use every lever at its disposal and the FTC is also looking at possible price gouging.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":167260556,"gmtCreate":1624271237775,"gmtModify":1634008624003,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help to like and comment trending","listText":"Help to like and comment trending","text":"Help to like and comment trending","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167260556","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":859522465,"gmtCreate":1634714797060,"gmtModify":1634714797435,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859522465","repostId":"1190644735","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190644735","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634713501,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190644735?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-20 15:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investor bullishness is lowest in a year even as the stock market nears record highs<blockquote>尽管股市接近历史新高，但投资者的看涨情绪仍处于一年来最低水平</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190644735","media":"Business Insider","summary":"Even as stocks near record highs, investors remain skeptical, according to a survey from Bank of Ame","content":"<p><ul>  <li><b>Even as stocks near record highs, investors remain skeptical, according to a survey from Bank of America.</b></li>  <li><b>Investor bullishness is sitting at a 1-year low amid concerns of rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.</b></li>  <li><b>But third-quarter earnings are beating estimates and the S&amp;P 500 is just 1% away from record highs.</b></li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4543ab2a83de0720c4f37bc917cf8d3\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Traders have been cheered by earnings but are still concerned about inflation.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>美国银行的一项调查显示，即使股市接近历史新高，投资者仍持怀疑态度。</b></li><li><b>由于担心通胀上升和供应链中断，投资者的看涨情绪处于一年来的最低点。</b></li><li><b>但第三季度盈利超出预期，标普500距离历史新高仅1%。</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>交易员对盈利感到高兴，但仍对通胀感到担忧。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors are skeptical of an October rally that has seen the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;recover from a 5% decline and near record-highs, according to&nbsp;Bank of America's&nbsp;fund manager survey.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国银行的基金经理调查，投资者对10月份的反弹持怀疑态度，10月份标准普尔500指数从5%的跌幅中恢复过来，并接近历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> The survey found bullish sentiment currently sits at a one-year low while cash levels have jumped to a one-year high amid ongoing concerns about rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>调查发现，由于对通胀上升和供应链中断的持续担忧，看涨情绪目前处于一年低点，而现金水平已跃升至一年高点。</blockquote></p><p> The bearish investor sentiment readings from BofA echoes other indicators that have&nbsp;displayed depressed bullishness among investors in recent weeks.Both the CNN Fear and Greed Index and AAII sentiment readings were at subdued levels earlier this month. Additionally, Google search trends for \"Dow Jones\" continues to decline, which typically means consumer confidence is on the rise, according to DataTrek.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的看跌投资者情绪数据与最近几周显示投资者看涨情绪低迷的其他指标相呼应。本月早些时候，CNN恐惧和贪婪指数和AAII情绪读数均处于低迷水平。此外，根据DataTrek的数据，“道琼斯”的谷歌搜索趋势持续下降，这通常意味着消费者信心正在上升。</blockquote></p><p> According to the BofA survey, the biggest risks the market faces are inflation, China's ongoing regulatory crackdown, COVID-19, and the Fed tapering its monthly bond purchasing program, among others. The survey found that the most crowded trades among investors include long technology stocks, long ESG, and short China and emerging markets.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国银行的调查，市场面临的最大风险是通胀、中国持续的监管打压、COVID-19以及美联储缩减每月债券购买计划等。调查发现，投资者中最拥挤的交易包括做多科技股、做多ESG、做空中国和新兴市场。</blockquote></p><p> While bullish sentiment is down for stocks, investors are still putting their cash to work in areas like commodities, the survey found. Commodities are often viewed as a reliable inflationary hedge among investors, which remains top of mind.</p><p><blockquote>调查发现，尽管股市看涨情绪有所下降，但投资者仍将现金投入大宗商品等领域。大宗商品通常被投资者视为可靠的通胀对冲工具，这仍然是投资者最关心的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, the survey found that most investors expect at least one Fed interest rate increase next year, even as the Fed dot plot leans closer to 2023 for the start of its interest rate hike plans.</p><p><blockquote>最后，调查发现，大多数投资者预计美联储明年至少会加息一次，尽管美联储点阵图更倾向于2023年开始加息计划。</blockquote></p><p> The bearish investor sentiment is ultimately a buy signal for contrarian investors, as it can often represent fuel for stocks to climb a wall of worry as fears dissipate, favorable seasonality begins to pick up during the last three months of the year, and skeptical investors throw in the towel and buy.</p><p><blockquote>对于逆向投资者来说，看跌的投资者情绪最终是一个买入信号，因为随着恐惧消散、有利的季节性在今年最后三个月开始回升以及持怀疑态度的投资者，它通常可以成为股市爬上担忧墙的燃料。认输并购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investor bullishness is lowest in a year even as the stock market nears record highs<blockquote>尽管股市接近历史新高，但投资者的看涨情绪仍处于一年来最低水平</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestor bullishness is lowest in a year even as the stock market nears record highs<blockquote>尽管股市接近历史新高，但投资者的看涨情绪仍处于一年来最低水平</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Business Insider</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-20 15:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li><b>Even as stocks near record highs, investors remain skeptical, according to a survey from Bank of America.</b></li>  <li><b>Investor bullishness is sitting at a 1-year low amid concerns of rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.</b></li>  <li><b>But third-quarter earnings are beating estimates and the S&amp;P 500 is just 1% away from record highs.</b></li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4543ab2a83de0720c4f37bc917cf8d3\" tg-width=\"790\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Traders have been cheered by earnings but are still concerned about inflation.</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>美国银行的一项调查显示，即使股市接近历史新高，投资者仍持怀疑态度。</b></li><li><b>由于担心通胀上升和供应链中断，投资者的看涨情绪处于一年来的最低点。</b></li><li><b>但第三季度盈利超出预期，标普500距离历史新高仅1%。</b></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>交易员对盈利感到高兴，但仍对通胀感到担忧。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors are skeptical of an October rally that has seen the&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;recover from a 5% decline and near record-highs, according to&nbsp;Bank of America's&nbsp;fund manager survey.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国银行的基金经理调查，投资者对10月份的反弹持怀疑态度，10月份标准普尔500指数从5%的跌幅中恢复过来，并接近历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> The survey found bullish sentiment currently sits at a one-year low while cash levels have jumped to a one-year high amid ongoing concerns about rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.</p><p><blockquote>调查发现，由于对通胀上升和供应链中断的持续担忧，看涨情绪目前处于一年低点，而现金水平已跃升至一年高点。</blockquote></p><p> The bearish investor sentiment readings from BofA echoes other indicators that have&nbsp;displayed depressed bullishness among investors in recent weeks.Both the CNN Fear and Greed Index and AAII sentiment readings were at subdued levels earlier this month. Additionally, Google search trends for \"Dow Jones\" continues to decline, which typically means consumer confidence is on the rise, according to DataTrek.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的看跌投资者情绪数据与最近几周显示投资者看涨情绪低迷的其他指标相呼应。本月早些时候，CNN恐惧和贪婪指数和AAII情绪读数均处于低迷水平。此外，根据DataTrek的数据，“道琼斯”的谷歌搜索趋势持续下降，这通常意味着消费者信心正在上升。</blockquote></p><p> According to the BofA survey, the biggest risks the market faces are inflation, China's ongoing regulatory crackdown, COVID-19, and the Fed tapering its monthly bond purchasing program, among others. The survey found that the most crowded trades among investors include long technology stocks, long ESG, and short China and emerging markets.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国银行的调查，市场面临的最大风险是通胀、中国持续的监管打压、COVID-19以及美联储缩减每月债券购买计划等。调查发现，投资者中最拥挤的交易包括做多科技股、做多ESG、做空中国和新兴市场。</blockquote></p><p> While bullish sentiment is down for stocks, investors are still putting their cash to work in areas like commodities, the survey found. Commodities are often viewed as a reliable inflationary hedge among investors, which remains top of mind.</p><p><blockquote>调查发现，尽管股市看涨情绪有所下降，但投资者仍将现金投入大宗商品等领域。大宗商品通常被投资者视为可靠的通胀对冲工具，这仍然是投资者最关心的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, the survey found that most investors expect at least one Fed interest rate increase next year, even as the Fed dot plot leans closer to 2023 for the start of its interest rate hike plans.</p><p><blockquote>最后，调查发现，大多数投资者预计美联储明年至少会加息一次，尽管美联储点阵图更倾向于2023年开始加息计划。</blockquote></p><p> The bearish investor sentiment is ultimately a buy signal for contrarian investors, as it can often represent fuel for stocks to climb a wall of worry as fears dissipate, favorable seasonality begins to pick up during the last three months of the year, and skeptical investors throw in the towel and buy.</p><p><blockquote>对于逆向投资者来说，看跌的投资者情绪最终是一个买入信号，因为随着恐惧消散、有利的季节性在今年最后三个月开始回升以及持怀疑态度的投资者，它通常可以成为股市爬上担忧墙的燃料。认输并购买。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-sentiment-investors-skeptical-stocks-record-highs-sp500-bofa-2021-10\">Business Insider</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-sentiment-investors-skeptical-stocks-record-highs-sp500-bofa-2021-10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190644735","content_text":"Even as stocks near record highs, investors remain skeptical, according to a survey from Bank of America.\nInvestor bullishness is sitting at a 1-year low amid concerns of rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.\nBut third-quarter earnings are beating estimates and the S&P 500 is just 1% away from record highs.\n\nTraders have been cheered by earnings but are still concerned about inflation.\nInvestors are skeptical of an October rally that has seen the S&P 500 recover from a 5% decline and near record-highs, according to Bank of America's fund manager survey.\nThe survey found bullish sentiment currently sits at a one-year low while cash levels have jumped to a one-year high amid ongoing concerns about rising inflation and supply chain disruptions.\nThe bearish investor sentiment readings from BofA echoes other indicators that have displayed depressed bullishness among investors in recent weeks.Both the CNN Fear and Greed Index and AAII sentiment readings were at subdued levels earlier this month. Additionally, Google search trends for \"Dow Jones\" continues to decline, which typically means consumer confidence is on the rise, according to DataTrek.\nAccording to the BofA survey, the biggest risks the market faces are inflation, China's ongoing regulatory crackdown, COVID-19, and the Fed tapering its monthly bond purchasing program, among others. The survey found that the most crowded trades among investors include long technology stocks, long ESG, and short China and emerging markets.\nWhile bullish sentiment is down for stocks, investors are still putting their cash to work in areas like commodities, the survey found. Commodities are often viewed as a reliable inflationary hedge among investors, which remains top of mind.\nFinally, the survey found that most investors expect at least one Fed interest rate increase next year, even as the Fed dot plot leans closer to 2023 for the start of its interest rate hike plans.\nThe bearish investor sentiment is ultimately a buy signal for contrarian investors, as it can often represent fuel for stocks to climb a wall of worry as fears dissipate, favorable seasonality begins to pick up during the last three months of the year, and skeptical investors throw in the towel and buy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172857553,"gmtCreate":1626954539072,"gmtModify":1633769437510,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172857553","repostId":"2153477496","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133954998,"gmtCreate":1621689190514,"gmtModify":1634187137404,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help me like and comment","listText":"Help me like and comment","text":"Help me like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133954998","repostId":"2137907575","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":849205346,"gmtCreate":1635756544775,"gmtModify":1635756544917,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"L","listText":"L","text":"L","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849205346","repostId":"2179250221","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2179250221","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635721559,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2179250221?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-01 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2179250221","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set th","content":"<p><div> The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美联储即将召开的货币政策会议将成为本周的焦点，并可能为期待已久的资产购买缩减公告奠定基础。与此同时，交易者也将...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"yahoofinance_au","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Federal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFederal Reserve decision, October jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>美联储决定、十月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-01 07:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also ...</p><p><blockquote><div>美联储即将召开的货币政策会议将成为本周的焦点，并可能为期待已久的资产购买缩减公告奠定基础。与此同时，交易者也将...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EL":"雅诗兰黛","APO":"阿波罗全球管理","COP":"康菲石油","BLMN":"Bloomin' Brands","PFE":"辉瑞","ATVI":"动视暴雪","CLX":"高乐氏",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","CRSR":"Corsair Gaming, Inc.","RL":"拉夫劳伦","UBER":"优步"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/federal-reserve-meeting-october-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-151259921.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2179250221","content_text":"The Federal Reserve's forthcoming monetary policy meeting will be in focus this week, and may set the stage for a long-awaited announcement of asset-purchase tapering. Meanwhile, traders will also await more data on the U.S. economic recovery with the Labor Department's monthly jobs report later this week.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) November meeting will take place from Tuesday to Wednesday, with the policy statement and press conference from the meeting serving as the central bank's penultimate opportunity this year to announce formal plans to begin rolling back its crisis-era quantitative easing program. For the past year-and-a-half, the central bank has been purchasing $120 billion per month in agency mortgage-backed securities and Treasuries, as one major tool to support the economy during the pandemic.\nIn late September, the FOMC's latest monetary policy statement and press conference from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested the central bank was apt to announce the start of tapering before year-end, and continue the tapering process until \"around the middle of next year.\"\n\"The upcoming FOMC meeting will be important for three reasons: 1) the announcement of tapering; 2) guidance around what tapering means for the path of hikes; and 3) nuanced changes in views around inflation risks given recent data,\" wrote Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer in a note.\n\"The statement that announces the new pace of asset purchases will be followed by a note regarding flexibility stating that asset purchases are not on a pre-set course and will depend on the outlook for the labor market and inflation as well as an assessment of the efficacy of asset purchases,\" she predicted.\nShe noted that Powell may also use the press conference to reiterate that the end of tapering would not necessarily indicate the start of rate hikes, and that both policy actions are distinct. In previous public remarks, Powell has already made a similar point in previous public remarks, saying, \"the timing and pace of the coming reduction in asset purchases will not be intended to carry a direct signal regarding the timing of interest rate liftoff.\"\nGiven the market has been anticipating the start to tapering for months now, speculation around when the Fed will make a move on interest rates has become a point of particular interest to investors. Investors and economists have mulled whether the Fed may need to act more quickly than previously telegraphed on adjusting interest rates to stave off inflation, which has proven more long-lasting than some had suggested.\nWASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 24: Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell testifies during a Senate Banking Committee hearing on Capitol Hill on September 24, 2020 in Washington, DC. Powell and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin are testifying about the CARES Act and the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)Drew Angerer via Getty Images\nIn September, core personal consumption expenditures — the Fed's preferred gauge of underlying inflation — rose 3.6% over last year for a fourth consecutive month, coming in at the fastest clip since 1991. And earlier this month, Powell acknowledged in public remarks that the supply chain constraints and shortages that spurred the latest rise in prices are \"likely to last longer than previously expected, likely well into next year.\"\nWhile the central bank will not release an updated Summary of Economic Projections with their policy statement on Wednesday, the latest projections from the September meeting suggested the committee was split on rate hikes for 2022, with nine members seeing no rate hikes by the end of next year while the other nine members saw at least one hike.\n\"I think the Fed has pretty well determined to start the taper pretty quickly. We expect them to announce it next week and then start it soon thereafter, so that's pretty well carved in stone,\" Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab chief fixed income strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live last week. \"I think the big debate now is how quickly the Fed moves toward actually raising rates. The expectation in the market has really shifted to expecting as many as two rate hikes in 2022 and 2023 ... that’s a pretty aggressive pace of tightening.\"\nOctober jobs report\nOne of this week's most closely watched pieces of economic data will be the October jobs report, which is due for release on Friday from the Labor Department.\nEconomists are looking to see a pick-up in the pace of hiring for October after a disappointing print in September, when just 194,000 non-farm payrolls returned versus the half million expected. Over the past two months, payroll gains averaged at just 280,000. The unemployment rate is expected to take another small step toward pre-pandemic levels in October as well, with the jobless rate anticipated to dip to 4.7% from 4.8% the prior month.\nStill, the labor market has still fallen short its pre-pandemic conditions on a number of fronts. The unemployment rate has yet to return to its 50-year low of 3.5% from February 2020. And as of September, the civilian labor force was still down by about 3.1 million individuals from pre-virus levels.\nOne factor weighing on the labor market in August and September was the Delta variant, which may have deterred some workers from seeking employment in person for risk of infection. And an ongoing element dragging on the labor market's recovery has been a mismatch of supply and demand, with employers struggling to fill a near-record number of job openings while voluntary quits jumped to a historically high level.\n\"Next week’s October payrolls report will shed light on whether supply eased on diminishing constraints or if the labor market continues to face headwinds for now,\" wrote Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, in a note last week.\nBut some data from the past couple weeks has reflected favorably on conditions in the labor market in October. Weekly new unemployment claims broke below 300,000 for the first time since the start of the pandemic during the survey week for the October jobs report, or the week that includes the 12th of the month. And in the Conference Board's October Consumer Confidence Index, just 10.6% of consumers said jobs were \"hard to get,\" down from 13.0% in September. That brought the Conference Board's closely watched labor market differential, or percentage of consumers saying jobs are \"hard to get\" subtracted from the percentage saying jobs \"are plentiful,\" to 45, or its highest level since 2000.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, Oct. final (59.3 expected, 59.2 in September); Constructing spending, month-over-month, September (0.4% expected, 0.0% in August); ISM Manufacturing Index, Oct. (60.5 expected, 61.1 in September)\nTuesday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended Oct. 29 (0.3% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, Oct. (400,000 expected, 568,000 in September); ISM Services Index, October (62.0 expected, 61.9 in September); Factory Orders, September (-0.1% expected, 1.2% in August); Durable goods orders, September final (-0.4% in prior print; Durable goods orders excluding transportation, September final (0.4% in prior print); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, September final (0.8% in prior print); Markit U.S. Services PMI, October final (58.2 expected, 58.2 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, October final (57.3 in prior print); Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy decision\nThursday: Challenger job cuts, year-over-year, October (-84.9% in September); Initial jobless claims, week ended Oct. 30 (275,000 expected, 281,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended Oct. 23 (2.147 million expected, 2.243 million during prior week); Non-farm productivity, Q3 preliminary (-3.2% expected, 2.1% in Q2); Unit Labor Costs, Q3 preliminary (6.9% expected, 1.3% in Q2); Trade balance, September (-$80.1 billion expected, -$73.3 billion in August)\nFriday: Change in non-farm payrolls, October (450,000 expected, 194,000 in September); Unemployment rate, October (4.7% expected, 4.8% in September); Average hourly earnings, month-over-month, October (4.7% expected, 4.8% in September); Average hourly earnings, year-over-year, October (4.9% expected, 4.6% in September); Labor Force Participation Rate, October (61.8% expected, 61.6% in September); Consumer Credit, September ($16.200 billion expected, $14.379 million in August)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: Clorox (CLX), Avis Budget Group (CAR), ZoomInfo Technologies (ZI), Chegg Inc. (CHGG), Diamondback Energy (FANG), The Simon Property Group (SPG) after market close\nTuesday: Under Armour (UAA), Estee Lauder (EL), Ralph Lauren (RL), Apollo Global Management (APO), Corsair Gaming (CRSR), Bloomin' Brands (BLMN), ConocoPhillips (COP), Pfizer (PFE), Groupon (GPN), Marathon Petroleum (MPC) before market open; Mondelez (MDLZ), T-Mobile (TMUS), Akamai (AKAM), Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Lyft (LYFT), Match Group (MTCH), Devon Energy (DVN), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), Coursera (COUR), Zillow Group (ZG), Amgen (AMGN) after market close\nWednesday: Humana (HUM), Discovery Inc. (DISCA), The New York Times (NYT), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), Marriott International (MAR), CVS Health Corp. (CVS), Sinclair Broadcast Group (SBGI) before market open; Booking Holdings (BKNG), Qorvo (QRVO), The Allstate Corp. (ALL), MGM Resorts International (MGM), $Take-Two Interactive Software(TTWO)$ (TTWO), Electronic Arts (EA), Vimeo (VMEO), Etsy (ETSY), GoDaddy (GDDY), Marathon Oil Corp. (MRO), Roku (ROKU), Qualcomm (QCOM) after market close\nThursday: Cigna (CI), Wayfair (W), ViacomCBS (VIAC), Nikola (NKLA), Duke Energy (DUK), Citrix Systems (CTXS), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN), Hanesbrands (HBI), Moderna (MRNA), Planet Fitness (PLNT), Vulcan Material (VMC), Kellogg (K), Square (SQ), Cloudflare (NET), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Uber Technologies (UBER), American International Group (AIG), Shake Shack (SHAK), iHeartMedia (IHRT), Novavax (NVAX), IAC Interactive Corp. (IAC), Peloton (PTON), Dropbox (DBX), DataDog (DDOG), Pinterest (PINS), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), Expedia (EXPE), Rocket Cos. (RKT), Live Nation Entertainment (LYV), Airbnb (ABNB)\nFriday: Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Dish Networks (DISH), Dominion Energy (D), DraftKings (DKNG), Goodyear Tire and Rubber (GT), Cinemark Holdings (CNK) before market open","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"RL":0.9,"BLMN":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"CLX":0.9,"EL":0.9,"ATVI":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"COP":0.9,"APO":0.9,"CRSR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":937,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":373967858,"gmtCreate":1618813226874,"gmtModify":1634290733540,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help like comment","listText":"Help like comment","text":"Help like comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373967858","repostId":"2128525488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346748347,"gmtCreate":1618118032289,"gmtModify":1634294809897,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment pls help","listText":"Comment pls help","text":"Comment pls help","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346748347","repostId":"1142324412","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":822854257,"gmtCreate":1634118366231,"gmtModify":1634118366332,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822854257","repostId":"1105309681","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105309681","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634116916,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105309681?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-13 17:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SAP stock jumped 5.2% in premarket trading<blockquote>SAP股价在盘前交易中上涨5.2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105309681","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"SAP stock jumped 5.2% in premarket trading lifting full-year outlook as more customers shift to clou","content":"<p>SAP stock jumped 5.2% in premarket trading&nbsp;lifting full-year outlook as more customers shift to cloud.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的客户转向云，SAP股价在盘前交易中上涨5.2%，提升了全年前景。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9cc95867ca81ed622ab084c79dfeb42\" tg-width=\"849\" tg-height=\"621\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> German business software group SAP raised its full-year outlook for a third time on the back of a strong showing in the third quarter as more customers shift their IT operations to the cloud.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的客户将IT运营转移到云，德国商业软件集团SAP在第三季度表现强劲的基础上第三次上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> SAP now expects cloud revenue to grow by 16%-19% in the year as a whole, helping its overall cloud and software revenue to gain by 2%-4%, it said in a statement late on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>SAP在周二晚间的一份声明中表示，目前预计全年云收入将增长16%-19%，帮助其整体云和软件收入增长2%-4%。</blockquote></p><p> Operating profit is expected to be flat to down 2% for the year, an improvement from its earlier forecast of unchanged to down 4%.</p><p><blockquote>预计今年营业利润将持平至下降2%，较此前预测的持平至下降4%有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> SAP, which is moving to subscription-based cloud services from software licences with up-front fees, launched Rise with SAP, an all-in-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> digital transformation package in January.</p><p><blockquote>SAP正在从预付费用的软件许可证转向基于订阅的云服务，推出了Rise with SAP，这是一个一体化的-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>一月份的数字化转型包。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see record adoption of our applications and our platform,\" Chief Executive Officer Christian Klein said in a statement. \"This has resulted in strong acceleration of our cloud growth.\"</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官克里斯蒂安·克莱因(Christian Klein)在一份声明中表示：“我们的应用程序和平台的采用率创历史新高。”“这导致我们的云增长强劲加速。”</blockquote></p><p> SAP raised its forecast for cloud and software revenue for the full year by 200 million euros to 23.8 billion-24.2 billion euros.</p><p><blockquote>SAP将全年云及软件收入预期上调2亿欧元至238亿-242亿欧元。</blockquote></p><p> The cloud backlog for flagship database S/4HANA was up 58% at constant currencies and current cloud backlog - a measure of incoming business - reported a 22% growth during the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>按固定汇率计算，旗舰数据库S/4HANA的云积压增长了58%，当前云积压（衡量新业务的指标）在第三季度增长了22%。</blockquote></p><p> Adjusted revenue rose 5% to 6.68 billion euros ($7.70 billion) for the third quarter ended Sept. 30, the company reported in a preliminary earnings statement. SAP is expected to release full results on Oct. 21.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在初步收益表中报告称，截至9月30日的第三季度调整后收入增长5%，达到66.8亿欧元（77亿美元）。SAP预计将于10月21日发布完整业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Adjusted earnings per share rose 2% to 1.74 euros, backed again by its profitable venture capital investments, Sapphire Ventures.</p><p><blockquote>调整后每股收益上涨2%至1.74欧元，再次受到其盈利风险投资Sapphire Ventures的支持。</blockquote></p><p> ($1 = 0.8672 euros)</p><p><blockquote>（1美元=0.8672欧元）</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SAP stock jumped 5.2% in premarket trading<blockquote>SAP股价在盘前交易中上涨5.2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSAP stock jumped 5.2% in premarket trading<blockquote>SAP股价在盘前交易中上涨5.2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-13 17:21</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SAP stock jumped 5.2% in premarket trading&nbsp;lifting full-year outlook as more customers shift to cloud.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的客户转向云，SAP股价在盘前交易中上涨5.2%，提升了全年前景。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9cc95867ca81ed622ab084c79dfeb42\" tg-width=\"849\" tg-height=\"621\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> German business software group SAP raised its full-year outlook for a third time on the back of a strong showing in the third quarter as more customers shift their IT operations to the cloud.</p><p><blockquote>随着越来越多的客户将IT运营转移到云，德国商业软件集团SAP在第三季度表现强劲的基础上第三次上调了全年预期。</blockquote></p><p> SAP now expects cloud revenue to grow by 16%-19% in the year as a whole, helping its overall cloud and software revenue to gain by 2%-4%, it said in a statement late on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>SAP在周二晚间的一份声明中表示，目前预计全年云收入将增长16%-19%，帮助其整体云和软件收入增长2%-4%。</blockquote></p><p> Operating profit is expected to be flat to down 2% for the year, an improvement from its earlier forecast of unchanged to down 4%.</p><p><blockquote>预计今年营业利润将持平至下降2%，较此前预测的持平至下降4%有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> SAP, which is moving to subscription-based cloud services from software licences with up-front fees, launched Rise with SAP, an all-in-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> digital transformation package in January.</p><p><blockquote>SAP正在从预付费用的软件许可证转向基于订阅的云服务，推出了Rise with SAP，这是一个一体化的-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>一月份的数字化转型包。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see record adoption of our applications and our platform,\" Chief Executive Officer Christian Klein said in a statement. \"This has resulted in strong acceleration of our cloud growth.\"</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官克里斯蒂安·克莱因(Christian Klein)在一份声明中表示：“我们的应用程序和平台的采用率创历史新高。”“这导致我们的云增长强劲加速。”</blockquote></p><p> SAP raised its forecast for cloud and software revenue for the full year by 200 million euros to 23.8 billion-24.2 billion euros.</p><p><blockquote>SAP将全年云及软件收入预期上调2亿欧元至238亿-242亿欧元。</blockquote></p><p> The cloud backlog for flagship database S/4HANA was up 58% at constant currencies and current cloud backlog - a measure of incoming business - reported a 22% growth during the third quarter.</p><p><blockquote>按固定汇率计算，旗舰数据库S/4HANA的云积压增长了58%，当前云积压（衡量新业务的指标）在第三季度增长了22%。</blockquote></p><p> Adjusted revenue rose 5% to 6.68 billion euros ($7.70 billion) for the third quarter ended Sept. 30, the company reported in a preliminary earnings statement. SAP is expected to release full results on Oct. 21.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在初步收益表中报告称，截至9月30日的第三季度调整后收入增长5%，达到66.8亿欧元（77亿美元）。SAP预计将于10月21日发布完整业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Adjusted earnings per share rose 2% to 1.74 euros, backed again by its profitable venture capital investments, Sapphire Ventures.</p><p><blockquote>调整后每股收益上涨2%至1.74欧元，再次受到其盈利风险投资Sapphire Ventures的支持。</blockquote></p><p> ($1 = 0.8672 euros)</p><p><blockquote>（1美元=0.8672欧元）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SAP":"SAP SE"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105309681","content_text":"SAP stock jumped 5.2% in premarket trading lifting full-year outlook as more customers shift to cloud.\n\nGerman business software group SAP raised its full-year outlook for a third time on the back of a strong showing in the third quarter as more customers shift their IT operations to the cloud.\nSAP now expects cloud revenue to grow by 16%-19% in the year as a whole, helping its overall cloud and software revenue to gain by 2%-4%, it said in a statement late on Tuesday.\nOperating profit is expected to be flat to down 2% for the year, an improvement from its earlier forecast of unchanged to down 4%.\nSAP, which is moving to subscription-based cloud services from software licences with up-front fees, launched Rise with SAP, an all-in-one digital transformation package in January.\n\"We see record adoption of our applications and our platform,\" Chief Executive Officer Christian Klein said in a statement. \"This has resulted in strong acceleration of our cloud growth.\"\nSAP raised its forecast for cloud and software revenue for the full year by 200 million euros to 23.8 billion-24.2 billion euros.\nThe cloud backlog for flagship database S/4HANA was up 58% at constant currencies and current cloud backlog - a measure of incoming business - reported a 22% growth during the third quarter.\nAdjusted revenue rose 5% to 6.68 billion euros ($7.70 billion) for the third quarter ended Sept. 30, the company reported in a preliminary earnings statement. SAP is expected to release full results on Oct. 21.\nAdjusted earnings per share rose 2% to 1.74 euros, backed again by its profitable venture capital investments, Sapphire Ventures.\n($1 = 0.8672 euros)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SAP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173518140,"gmtCreate":1626669176680,"gmtModify":1633925059062,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173518140","repostId":"1197809141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1197809141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626666663,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1197809141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 11:51","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Evergrande Shares, Bonds Slump After Unit’s Bank Deposit Frozen<blockquote>恒大银行存款被冻结后股价、债券暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1197809141","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- China Evergrande Group’s shares and dollar bonds slumped after a court ordered the fr","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- China Evergrande Group’s shares and dollar bonds slumped after a court ordered the freezing of a bank deposit held by its onshore division, raising concern over the company’s ability to repay debts.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——中国恒大集团的股票和美元债券暴跌，此前法院下令冻结其在岸部门持有的银行存款，引发了人们对该公司偿还债务能力的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The stock tumbled almost 7% on Monday in Hong Kong trading, while Evergrande’s dollar bond due 2025 fell 2.3 cents on the dollar to 62.7 cents, set for its biggest drop in nearly two weeks, Bloomberg-compiled prices show.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社编制的价格显示，该股周一在香港交易中下跌近7%，而恒大2025年到期的美元债券兑美元汇率下跌2.3美分，至62.7美分，创下近两周来的最大跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> A court in Jiangsu province ordered the freezing of a 132 million yuan ($20 million) bank deposit held by Hengda Real Estate Group and its unit at the request of China Guangfa Bank Co., according to a court ruling released on July 13 that circulated among traders over the weekend. China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co., the country’s largest credit risk assessor, previously added Hengda Real Estate to a watch list, partly because of past-due commercial bill payments.</p><p><blockquote>根据7月13日发布的一份法院裁决，应广发银行股份有限公司的要求，江苏省一家法院下令冻结恒大地产集团及其子公司持有的1.32亿元人民币（2000万美元）银行存款。周末在交易员中流传。中国最大的信用风险评估机构中诚信国际资信评估有限公司此前将恒大地产列入观察名单，部分原因是商业票据逾期付款。</blockquote></p><p> The news deepens concern over the financial health of China’s most indebted developer as Beijing cracks down on excess leverage in the property sector. Founder Hui Ka Yan met last month with officials from the country’s top financial regulator, who urged him to solve Evergrande’s cashflow problems as quickly as possible.</p><p><blockquote>随着北京方面打击房地产行业的过度杠杆，这一消息加深了人们对中国负债最重的开发商财务健康状况的担忧。创始人许家印上个月会见了中国最高金融监管机构的官员，后者敦促他尽快解决恒大的现金流问题。</blockquote></p><p> “Evergrande is on the brink of a crisis,” said Shen Chen, a partner at Shanghai Maoliang Investment Management LLP. “The application for asset freezing and the recent overdue commercial bills indicate that Evergrande’s debt and liquidity situation is deteriorating. The company may find it more difficult to raise funding in the future, whether in public bond markets or shadow banking activities such as trust loans.”</p><p><blockquote>“恒大正处于危机的边缘，”上海茂量投资管理有限责任公司合伙人沈晨表示。“资产冻结申请和近期商业票据逾期表明恒大的债务和流动性状况正在恶化。无论是在公开债券市场还是信托贷款等影子银行活动中，公司未来可能会发现融资更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p> Evergrande’s main onshore subsidiary had about $32 billion of commercial bills outstanding as of December, the most of any major Chinese real estate company. Some bills issued by its units were earlier this month trading in the secondary market at implied yields as high as 36%, after a series of missed payments this year.</p><p><blockquote>截至12月，恒大主要在岸子公司的未偿商业票据约为320亿美元，是中国主要房地产公司中最多的。在今年发生一系列拖欠付款后，其子公司发行的一些票据本月早些时候在二级市场交易，隐含收益率高达36%。</blockquote></p><p> Guangfa Bank said “the situation is urgent and its legal interest will be irrevocably damaged if it doesn’t immediately file the asset freeze petition,” according to the ruling.</p><p><blockquote>根据裁决，广发银行表示，“情况紧急，如果不立即提交资产冻结申请，其合法利益将受到不可挽回的损害”。</blockquote></p><p> A representative for Evergrande didn’t immediately respond to an emailed request for comment on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>恒大的代表周一没有立即回复通过电子邮件发送的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> The latest news also triggered speculation Evergrande may struggle to get approval for a special dividend at a meeting next week. The stock had jumped almost 10% on Friday after Evergrande said it will consider an additional payout to shore up its share price, which has been trading near a four-year low.</p><p><blockquote>最新消息还引发了人们的猜测，恒大可能难以在下周的会议上获得特别股息的批准。在恒大表示将考虑额外派息以支撑股价后，该股周五上涨了近10%，目前该股的交易价格已接近四年低点。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has fallen 33% in the past three months to lead declines on the MSCI China Real Estate Index. The shares last last traded down 4.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该股过去三个月下跌33%，领跌MSCI中国房地产指数。该股最近下跌4.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Evergrande Shares, Bonds Slump After Unit’s Bank Deposit Frozen<blockquote>恒大银行存款被冻结后股价、债券暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEvergrande Shares, Bonds Slump After Unit’s Bank Deposit Frozen<blockquote>恒大银行存款被冻结后股价、债券暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 11:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- China Evergrande Group’s shares and dollar bonds slumped after a court ordered the freezing of a bank deposit held by its onshore division, raising concern over the company’s ability to repay debts.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——中国恒大集团的股票和美元债券暴跌，此前法院下令冻结其在岸部门持有的银行存款，引发了人们对该公司偿还债务能力的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The stock tumbled almost 7% on Monday in Hong Kong trading, while Evergrande’s dollar bond due 2025 fell 2.3 cents on the dollar to 62.7 cents, set for its biggest drop in nearly two weeks, Bloomberg-compiled prices show.</p><p><blockquote>彭博社编制的价格显示，该股周一在香港交易中下跌近7%，而恒大2025年到期的美元债券兑美元汇率下跌2.3美分，至62.7美分，创下近两周来的最大跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> A court in Jiangsu province ordered the freezing of a 132 million yuan ($20 million) bank deposit held by Hengda Real Estate Group and its unit at the request of China Guangfa Bank Co., according to a court ruling released on July 13 that circulated among traders over the weekend. China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co., the country’s largest credit risk assessor, previously added Hengda Real Estate to a watch list, partly because of past-due commercial bill payments.</p><p><blockquote>根据7月13日发布的一份法院裁决，应广发银行股份有限公司的要求，江苏省一家法院下令冻结恒大地产集团及其子公司持有的1.32亿元人民币（2000万美元）银行存款。周末在交易员中流传。中国最大的信用风险评估机构中诚信国际资信评估有限公司此前将恒大地产列入观察名单，部分原因是商业票据逾期付款。</blockquote></p><p> The news deepens concern over the financial health of China’s most indebted developer as Beijing cracks down on excess leverage in the property sector. Founder Hui Ka Yan met last month with officials from the country’s top financial regulator, who urged him to solve Evergrande’s cashflow problems as quickly as possible.</p><p><blockquote>随着北京方面打击房地产行业的过度杠杆，这一消息加深了人们对中国负债最重的开发商财务健康状况的担忧。创始人许家印上个月会见了中国最高金融监管机构的官员，后者敦促他尽快解决恒大的现金流问题。</blockquote></p><p> “Evergrande is on the brink of a crisis,” said Shen Chen, a partner at Shanghai Maoliang Investment Management LLP. “The application for asset freezing and the recent overdue commercial bills indicate that Evergrande’s debt and liquidity situation is deteriorating. The company may find it more difficult to raise funding in the future, whether in public bond markets or shadow banking activities such as trust loans.”</p><p><blockquote>“恒大正处于危机的边缘，”上海茂量投资管理有限责任公司合伙人沈晨表示。“资产冻结申请和近期商业票据逾期表明恒大的债务和流动性状况正在恶化。无论是在公开债券市场还是信托贷款等影子银行活动中，公司未来可能会发现融资更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p> Evergrande’s main onshore subsidiary had about $32 billion of commercial bills outstanding as of December, the most of any major Chinese real estate company. Some bills issued by its units were earlier this month trading in the secondary market at implied yields as high as 36%, after a series of missed payments this year.</p><p><blockquote>截至12月，恒大主要在岸子公司的未偿商业票据约为320亿美元，是中国主要房地产公司中最多的。在今年发生一系列拖欠付款后，其子公司发行的一些票据本月早些时候在二级市场交易，隐含收益率高达36%。</blockquote></p><p> Guangfa Bank said “the situation is urgent and its legal interest will be irrevocably damaged if it doesn’t immediately file the asset freeze petition,” according to the ruling.</p><p><blockquote>根据裁决，广发银行表示，“情况紧急，如果不立即提交资产冻结申请，其合法利益将受到不可挽回的损害”。</blockquote></p><p> A representative for Evergrande didn’t immediately respond to an emailed request for comment on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>恒大的代表周一没有立即回复通过电子邮件发送的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> The latest news also triggered speculation Evergrande may struggle to get approval for a special dividend at a meeting next week. The stock had jumped almost 10% on Friday after Evergrande said it will consider an additional payout to shore up its share price, which has been trading near a four-year low.</p><p><blockquote>最新消息还引发了人们的猜测，恒大可能难以在下周的会议上获得特别股息的批准。在恒大表示将考虑额外派息以支撑股价后，该股周五上涨了近10%，目前该股的交易价格已接近四年低点。</blockquote></p><p> The stock has fallen 33% in the past three months to lead declines on the MSCI China Real Estate Index. The shares last last traded down 4.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该股过去三个月下跌33%，领跌MSCI中国房地产指数。该股最近下跌4.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/evergrande-shares-bonds-slump-unit-022737268.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"03333":"中国恒大"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/evergrande-shares-bonds-slump-unit-022737268.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1197809141","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- China Evergrande Group’s shares and dollar bonds slumped after a court ordered the freezing of a bank deposit held by its onshore division, raising concern over the company’s ability to repay debts.\nThe stock tumbled almost 7% on Monday in Hong Kong trading, while Evergrande’s dollar bond due 2025 fell 2.3 cents on the dollar to 62.7 cents, set for its biggest drop in nearly two weeks, Bloomberg-compiled prices show.\nA court in Jiangsu province ordered the freezing of a 132 million yuan ($20 million) bank deposit held by Hengda Real Estate Group and its unit at the request of China Guangfa Bank Co., according to a court ruling released on July 13 that circulated among traders over the weekend. China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co., the country’s largest credit risk assessor, previously added Hengda Real Estate to a watch list, partly because of past-due commercial bill payments.\nThe news deepens concern over the financial health of China’s most indebted developer as Beijing cracks down on excess leverage in the property sector. Founder Hui Ka Yan met last month with officials from the country’s top financial regulator, who urged him to solve Evergrande’s cashflow problems as quickly as possible.\n“Evergrande is on the brink of a crisis,” said Shen Chen, a partner at Shanghai Maoliang Investment Management LLP. “The application for asset freezing and the recent overdue commercial bills indicate that Evergrande’s debt and liquidity situation is deteriorating. The company may find it more difficult to raise funding in the future, whether in public bond markets or shadow banking activities such as trust loans.”\nEvergrande’s main onshore subsidiary had about $32 billion of commercial bills outstanding as of December, the most of any major Chinese real estate company. Some bills issued by its units were earlier this month trading in the secondary market at implied yields as high as 36%, after a series of missed payments this year.\nGuangfa Bank said “the situation is urgent and its legal interest will be irrevocably damaged if it doesn’t immediately file the asset freeze petition,” according to the ruling.\nA representative for Evergrande didn’t immediately respond to an emailed request for comment on Monday.\nThe latest news also triggered speculation Evergrande may struggle to get approval for a special dividend at a meeting next week. The stock had jumped almost 10% on Friday after Evergrande said it will consider an additional payout to shore up its share price, which has been trading near a four-year low.\nThe stock has fallen 33% in the past three months to lead declines on the MSCI China Real Estate Index. The shares last last traded down 4.5%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"03333":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173995410,"gmtCreate":1626595270130,"gmtModify":1633925583127,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok comment me pls","listText":"Ok comment me pls","text":"Ok comment me pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173995410","repostId":"1183956332","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162747234,"gmtCreate":1624077907928,"gmtModify":1634010959048,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help like and comment pls","listText":"Help like and comment pls","text":"Help like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162747234","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":335,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110889826,"gmtCreate":1622438235065,"gmtModify":1634101457261,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yea like and comment","listText":"Yea like and comment","text":"Yea like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110889826","repostId":"2139438981","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132698282,"gmtCreate":1622083373446,"gmtModify":1634183996079,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132698282","repostId":"2138149518","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880143001,"gmtCreate":1631027139103,"gmtModify":1631892086889,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"okk","listText":"okk","text":"okk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880143001","repostId":"1130130857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130130857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631007146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130130857?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and  a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会超过增长，周期性会超过防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 17:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会超过增长，周期性会超过防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816975093,"gmtCreate":1630463771312,"gmtModify":1631892086896,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy zoom","listText":"Buy zoom","text":"Buy zoom","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816975093","repostId":"2164869989","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":745,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153227184,"gmtCreate":1625028995448,"gmtModify":1633945642634,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153227184","repostId":"2147585034","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181292192,"gmtCreate":1623394949116,"gmtModify":1634033798798,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment for me","listText":"Like and comment for me","text":"Like and comment for me","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181292192","repostId":"1153926665","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192126782,"gmtCreate":1621166020846,"gmtModify":1634193638633,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192126782","repostId":"1163454382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163454382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621004581,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163454382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163454382","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million. First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinat","content":"<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在再次融资后，AMC投资者有理由更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的股价上涨是在该公司宣布筹集4.28亿美元后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）发布了一份关于当前健康和安全协议的新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持身体距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这将使电影院能够满负荷开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影顾客的理想目的地。同样在昨天，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）宣布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是积极的，但迪士尼也报告称其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体订阅量的下降对影院业务来说可能是一个积极的信号。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，以及疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在不戴口罩的情况下与人群聚集在室内，剧院的上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动。在一年多的时间里，电影院可能会成为人们最喜欢的目的地。在另一次融资之后，AMC投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的未来之路。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-14 23:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在再次融资后，AMC投资者有理由更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的股价上涨是在该公司宣布筹集4.28亿美元后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）发布了一份关于当前健康和安全协议的新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持身体距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这将使电影院能够满负荷开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影顾客的理想目的地。同样在昨天，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）宣布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是积极的，但迪士尼也报告称其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体订阅量的下降对影院业务来说可能是一个积极的信号。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，以及疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在不戴口罩的情况下与人群聚集在室内，剧院的上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动。在一年多的时间里，电影院可能会成为人们最喜欢的目的地。在另一次融资之后，AMC投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的未来之路。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163454382","content_text":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million\nFirst, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.\nThis should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.\nNow what\nLower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.\nVaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344323911,"gmtCreate":1618378096133,"gmtModify":1634293354943,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Help like and comment","listText":"Help like and comment","text":"Help like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344323911","repostId":"2127045633","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342656252,"gmtCreate":1618214338276,"gmtModify":1634294391666,"author":{"id":"3555908735229300","authorId":"3555908735229300","name":"Vin309","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ca4de1ca05f1d625f1bcdbc1d790726","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3555908735229300","idStr":"3555908735229300"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment","listText":"Please comment","text":"Please comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342656252","repostId":"1146559507","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146559507","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1618214005,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146559507?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-12 15:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla Is Facing Legal Action Threats From Solar Roof Customers<blockquote>为什么特斯拉面临太阳能屋顶客户的法律诉讼威胁</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146559507","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Tesla Inc.TSLAis facing the prospects of legal action from customers after the company sharply incre","content":"<p><b>Tesla Inc.</b>TSLAis facing the prospects of legal action from customers after the company sharply increased the price of solar roofs even for customers who have signed installation contracts over a year ago, Electrek&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Sunday.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉公司。</b>据Electrek周日报道，TSLA大幅提高了太阳能屋顶的价格，即使对于一年多前签署了安装合同的客户来说，该公司也面临着客户采取法律行动的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>Customers were informed by Tesla of price increases of around 30% or more above the previous agreed-upon pricing, according to the report. The price increases also seem to apply to Tesla Powerwall installations, with the cost of those being hiked by about 30%.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>报告称，特斯拉告知客户价格比之前商定的价格上涨了约30%或更多。价格上涨似乎也适用于特斯拉Powerwall安装，成本上涨了约30%。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Tesla reportedly said it “will be prioritizing customers based on the order in which they accept their updated agreements.” This means customers could face more delays in solar roof installations if they do not sign the new agreements as soon as possible.</p><p><blockquote>此外，据报道，特斯拉表示“将根据客户接受更新协议的顺序优先考虑客户”。这意味着，如果客户不尽快签署新协议，他们可能会面临太阳能屋顶安装的更多延误。</blockquote></p><p> A thread on the&nbsp;Tesla Motors Club&nbsp;also provided details about the massive price increases for the solar roof installations, with some of the customers indicating the possibility of legal action against Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉俱乐部的一个帖子还提供了有关太阳能屋顶安装价格大幅上涨的详细信息，一些客户表示可能会对特斯拉采取法律行动。</blockquote></p><p> According to the Electrek report, Tesla’s primary reason for increased prices is the “roof complexity” factor, which takes into account how difficult it would be to install solar on a particular home’s roof and will be factored into the final purchase price.</p><p><blockquote>根据Electrek的报告，特斯拉涨价的主要原因是“屋顶复杂性”因素，该因素考虑了在特定家庭的屋顶上安装太阳能的难度，并将计入最终购买价格。</blockquote></p><p> However, Tesla’s price hike does not seem to track accurately with either roof complexity or a recent price spike in construction materials, as per the report.</p><p><blockquote>然而，根据该报告，特斯拉的价格上涨似乎并没有准确跟踪屋顶的复杂性或最近建筑材料价格的飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>Tesla's solar business, born out of its 2016 acquisition of SolarCity, installs rooftop photovoltaics, carport and ground-based solar energy systems. However, Tesla has been slow with solar roof installations and customers have urged the company to improve its sales and customer service.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>特斯拉的太阳能业务诞生于2016年收购SolarCity，安装屋顶光伏、车库和地面太阳能系统。然而，特斯拉在太阳能屋顶安装方面进展缓慢，客户敦促该公司改善销售和客户服务。</blockquote></p><p> It was&nbsp;reported&nbsp;in October last year that Tesla was sued by a solar roof customer over allegations it misreported a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) as a loan the latter had undertaken.</p><p><blockquote>去年10月有报道称，特斯拉被一名太阳能屋顶客户起诉，指控其将购电协议（PPA）误报为后者承担的贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has also been accused of failing to communicate accurately with customers over fire risks in its solar installations. Retail giant&nbsp;<b>Walmart Inc</b>.&nbsp;filed a lawsuit&nbsp;against Tesla in August 2019, claiming that \"no fewer than seven\" stores experienced a fire due to Tesla's solar panels. However, the companies settled their lawsuit in November 2019.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉还被指控未能就其太阳能装置的火灾风险与客户进行准确沟通。零售巨头<b>沃尔玛公司</b>.2019年8月对特斯拉提起诉讼，声称“不少于7家”商店因特斯拉的太阳能电池板而发生火灾。然而，两家公司于2019年11月解决了诉讼。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action</b>: Tesla shares closed almost 1% lower on Friday at $677.02.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为</b>：特斯拉股价周五收盘下跌近1%，至677.02美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla Is Facing Legal Action Threats From Solar Roof Customers<blockquote>为什么特斯拉面临太阳能屋顶客户的法律诉讼威胁</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla Is Facing Legal Action Threats From Solar Roof Customers<blockquote>为什么特斯拉面临太阳能屋顶客户的法律诉讼威胁</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-12 15:53</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Tesla Inc.</b>TSLAis facing the prospects of legal action from customers after the company sharply increased the price of solar roofs even for customers who have signed installation contracts over a year ago, Electrek&nbsp;reported&nbsp;Sunday.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉公司。</b>据Electrek周日报道，TSLA大幅提高了太阳能屋顶的价格，即使对于一年多前签署了安装合同的客户来说，该公司也面临着客户采取法律行动的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>Customers were informed by Tesla of price increases of around 30% or more above the previous agreed-upon pricing, according to the report. The price increases also seem to apply to Tesla Powerwall installations, with the cost of those being hiked by about 30%.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>报告称，特斯拉告知客户价格比之前商定的价格上涨了约30%或更多。价格上涨似乎也适用于特斯拉Powerwall安装，成本上涨了约30%。</blockquote></p><p> Further, Tesla reportedly said it “will be prioritizing customers based on the order in which they accept their updated agreements.” This means customers could face more delays in solar roof installations if they do not sign the new agreements as soon as possible.</p><p><blockquote>此外，据报道，特斯拉表示“将根据客户接受更新协议的顺序优先考虑客户”。这意味着，如果客户不尽快签署新协议，他们可能会面临太阳能屋顶安装的更多延误。</blockquote></p><p> A thread on the&nbsp;Tesla Motors Club&nbsp;also provided details about the massive price increases for the solar roof installations, with some of the customers indicating the possibility of legal action against Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉俱乐部的一个帖子还提供了有关太阳能屋顶安装价格大幅上涨的详细信息，一些客户表示可能会对特斯拉采取法律行动。</blockquote></p><p> According to the Electrek report, Tesla’s primary reason for increased prices is the “roof complexity” factor, which takes into account how difficult it would be to install solar on a particular home’s roof and will be factored into the final purchase price.</p><p><blockquote>根据Electrek的报告，特斯拉涨价的主要原因是“屋顶复杂性”因素，该因素考虑了在特定家庭的屋顶上安装太阳能的难度，并将计入最终购买价格。</blockquote></p><p> However, Tesla’s price hike does not seem to track accurately with either roof complexity or a recent price spike in construction materials, as per the report.</p><p><blockquote>然而，根据该报告，特斯拉的价格上涨似乎并没有准确跟踪屋顶的复杂性或最近建筑材料价格的飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>Tesla's solar business, born out of its 2016 acquisition of SolarCity, installs rooftop photovoltaics, carport and ground-based solar energy systems. However, Tesla has been slow with solar roof installations and customers have urged the company to improve its sales and customer service.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>特斯拉的太阳能业务诞生于2016年收购SolarCity，安装屋顶光伏、车库和地面太阳能系统。然而，特斯拉在太阳能屋顶安装方面进展缓慢，客户敦促该公司改善销售和客户服务。</blockquote></p><p> It was&nbsp;reported&nbsp;in October last year that Tesla was sued by a solar roof customer over allegations it misreported a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) as a loan the latter had undertaken.</p><p><blockquote>去年10月有报道称，特斯拉被一名太阳能屋顶客户起诉，指控其将购电协议（PPA）误报为后者承担的贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has also been accused of failing to communicate accurately with customers over fire risks in its solar installations. Retail giant&nbsp;<b>Walmart Inc</b>.&nbsp;filed a lawsuit&nbsp;against Tesla in August 2019, claiming that \"no fewer than seven\" stores experienced a fire due to Tesla's solar panels. However, the companies settled their lawsuit in November 2019.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉还被指控未能就其太阳能装置的火灾风险与客户进行准确沟通。零售巨头<b>沃尔玛公司</b>.2019年8月对特斯拉提起诉讼，声称“不少于7家”商店因特斯拉的太阳能电池板而发生火灾。然而，两家公司于2019年11月解决了诉讼。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action</b>: Tesla shares closed almost 1% lower on Friday at $677.02.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格行为</b>：特斯拉股价周五收盘下跌近1%，至677.02美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146559507","content_text":"Tesla Inc.TSLAis facing the prospects of legal action from customers after the company sharply increased the price of solar roofs even for customers who have signed installation contracts over a year ago, Electrek reported Sunday.\nWhat Happened:Customers were informed by Tesla of price increases of around 30% or more above the previous agreed-upon pricing, according to the report. The price increases also seem to apply to Tesla Powerwall installations, with the cost of those being hiked by about 30%.\nFurther, Tesla reportedly said it “will be prioritizing customers based on the order in which they accept their updated agreements.” This means customers could face more delays in solar roof installations if they do not sign the new agreements as soon as possible.\nA thread on the Tesla Motors Club also provided details about the massive price increases for the solar roof installations, with some of the customers indicating the possibility of legal action against Tesla.\nAccording to the Electrek report, Tesla’s primary reason for increased prices is the “roof complexity” factor, which takes into account how difficult it would be to install solar on a particular home’s roof and will be factored into the final purchase price.\nHowever, Tesla’s price hike does not seem to track accurately with either roof complexity or a recent price spike in construction materials, as per the report.\nWhy It Matters:Tesla's solar business, born out of its 2016 acquisition of SolarCity, installs rooftop photovoltaics, carport and ground-based solar energy systems. However, Tesla has been slow with solar roof installations and customers have urged the company to improve its sales and customer service.\nIt was reported in October last year that Tesla was sued by a solar roof customer over allegations it misreported a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) as a loan the latter had undertaken.\nTesla has also been accused of failing to communicate accurately with customers over fire risks in its solar installations. Retail giant Walmart Inc. filed a lawsuit against Tesla in August 2019, claiming that \"no fewer than seven\" stores experienced a fire due to Tesla's solar panels. However, the companies settled their lawsuit in November 2019.\nPrice Action: Tesla shares closed almost 1% lower on Friday at $677.02.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}