简单就好没错的个人主页 - 老虎社区

简单就好没错

简单就好没错

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简单就好没错

2024-12-03

中国石油？？？

高盛全球最佳股票名单出炉！三只股票被看好有超40%上涨潜力

简单就好没错

2022-07-15

居然又找到了一笔更大的亏损，6月1号2号是我亏损最为巨大最为迅速的两天。源于5月31日我高额盈利之后，飘了....... 不作就不会死，谨记‼️

简单就好没错

2022-07-15

还是spxw, 这是我日内亏损最巨大的一笔，立在这里作为纪念，时时提醒自己做好风险管理

简单就好没错

2022-07-15

继续，再接再厉。怎样才能降低老虎佣金？

简单就好没错

2022-07-09

交了太多学费，请让我慢慢累积经验值

简单就好没错

2022-01-04

港股过去几个月太惨了

@美股解毒师:2022年值得关注的十大港股！

简单就好没错

2021-12-24

$SOXL 20220121 63.33 CALL$ 成功抄底

简单就好没错

2021-12-18

$Direxion每日三倍做多標普生物(LABU)$$Direxion每日三倍做多標普生物(LABU)$今天真的该抄了

简单就好没错

2021-07-06

白大褂🥼&白手套

抱歉，原内容已删除

简单就好没错

2021-07-01

爱彼迎，解封收益

简单就好没错

2021-06-28

$愛彼迎(ABNB)$啥也不说了

简单就好没错

2021-06-26

盘子太大了，不知成长性能否阿尔法

抱歉，原内容已删除

简单就好没错

2021-06-25

$納指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$惨，纳指太强

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2021-06-24

上涨肯定是长期趋势

抱歉，原内容已删除

简单就好没错

2021-06-24

A股都涨了，港股好费劲

简单就好没错

2021-06-24

$四環醫藥(00460)$这也算是医美股了，很墨迹

简单就好没错

2021-06-24

历史新高，科技很牛

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2021-06-23

$Romeo Power, Inc.(RMO)$快解套了

简单就好没错

2021-06-23

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$仓位很轻

简单就好没错

2021-06-23

金融反弹，再持有一下

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Fraser）表示，诺沃内西斯2026年的预期市盈率为24倍，低于同行的25倍。她预测，随着“用生物基替代品替代传统石化产品”、市场扩张以及在高增长领域的应用，诺沃内西斯的有机销售额将翻一番，每股收益将增长25%。</p><p>高盛给出该股目标价为586丹麦克朗（约合82美元），预计上涨空间约为42%。</p><h4 id=\"id_2274003256\">2. 川崎重工业（Kawasaki Heavy Industries）</h4><p>川崎重工业是日本排名前三的重工业公司之一，涉足摩托车、航空航天及国防设备。高盛认为，川崎重工业的航空航天/国防业务将对其未来利润增长产生重要贡献，尤其是在日本政府更新防卫方针之后，该公司的业务将在航空航天系统和国防领域迎来稳步增长。</p><p>高盛分析师谏山（Yuichiro Isayama）指出，川崎重工今年以来股价表现较同行（三菱重工、IHI Corporation）低了80%至100%。鉴于公司在航空航天/国防领域的市场影响力，川崎重工当前的低估值为投资者提供了吸引力。</p><p>高盛对川崎重工业的目标价为8,000日元（约合53美元），预计上涨空间为43.2%。</p><h4 id=\"id_1752273924\">3. 中国石油（PetroChina）</h4><p>中国石油是一家全球领先的石油和天然气公司，高盛认为该股被低估，特别是在天然气方面的潜力。高盛分析师尼基尔·班达里（Nikhil Bhandari）认为，中国石油在上游天然气生产领域的影响力将使其从未来几年的强劲现金流中受益。</p><p>班达里还指出，预计到2025年，天然气将占到中石油上游产量的50%左右，勘探与生产部门的收入将更多依赖天然气收益，从而增强中国石油在全球油价波动中的盈利抵御能力。</p><p>高盛给出中国石油的目标价为8.1港元（约合1.04美元），预计上涨空间为47%。</p><h3 id=\"id_3531949178\">总结</h3><p>高盛的“强力买入股票名单中诺沃内西斯、川崎重工业和中国石油都被认为在未来有着较大上涨空间，尤其是在各自行业的领先地位和市场趋势推动下，投资者可以期待这些公司在未来获得较好的回报。</p><p>文章源自CNBC《Goldman Sachs just refreshed its conviction lists of global stocks, giving 3 over 40% upside》</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>高盛全球最佳股票名单出炉！三只股票被看好有超40%上涨潜力</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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*/\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n高盛全球最佳股票名单出炉！三只股票被看好有超40%上涨潜力\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-12-03 10:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>高盛更新全球最佳股票名单，三只股票被看好有超40%上涨潜力</strong></p><p>高盛近期更新了12月份的全球最佳股票名单，并对其中的一些股票进行了调整。高盛表示，这些候选股票由各个地区的委员会挑选，这些委员会与行业分析师合作，寻找那些具备坚实基本面、差异化视角并能提供优异回报的公司。</p><h3 id=\"id_3488336009\">被剔除的股票：</h3><ol start=\"1\" style=\"\"><li><p>新西兰软件公司Xero</p></li><li><p>联想（亚太地区的设备制造商）</p></li><li><p>法国工业气体供应商液化空气集团（Air Liquide）</p></li><li><p>欧洲户外广告商德高集团（JCDecaux）</p></li></ol><h3 id=\"id_4136158760\">新增的三只股票：</h3><p>高盛特别看好以下三只股票，预计未来12个月内这些股票可能会有超过40%的上涨潜力：</p><h4 id=\"id_3988276136\">1. 诺沃内西斯（Novonexis）</h4><p>诺沃内西斯是丹麦的一家生物科技公司，主要生产工业酶、微生物和生物制药成分。高盛认为，随着可持续性、健康和保健等结构性需求的增加，诺沃内西斯在酶和培养领域的市场份额、产品组合广度和研发投入均远高于同行，这支撑了公司良好的基本面前景。</p><p>高盛分析师乔治娜·弗雷泽（Georgina Fraser）表示，诺沃内西斯2026年的预期市盈率为24倍，低于同行的25倍。她预测，随着“用生物基替代品替代传统石化产品”、市场扩张以及在高增长领域的应用，诺沃内西斯的有机销售额将翻一番，每股收益将增长25%。</p><p>高盛给出该股目标价为586丹麦克朗（约合82美元），预计上涨空间约为42%。</p><h4 id=\"id_2274003256\">2. 川崎重工业（Kawasaki Heavy Industries）</h4><p>川崎重工业是日本排名前三的重工业公司之一，涉足摩托车、航空航天及国防设备。高盛认为，川崎重工业的航空航天/国防业务将对其未来利润增长产生重要贡献，尤其是在日本政府更新防卫方针之后，该公司的业务将在航空航天系统和国防领域迎来稳步增长。</p><p>高盛分析师谏山（Yuichiro Isayama）指出，川崎重工今年以来股价表现较同行（三菱重工、IHI Corporation）低了80%至100%。鉴于公司在航空航天/国防领域的市场影响力，川崎重工当前的低估值为投资者提供了吸引力。</p><p>高盛对川崎重工业的目标价为8,000日元（约合53美元），预计上涨空间为43.2%。</p><h4 id=\"id_1752273924\">3. 中国石油（PetroChina）</h4><p>中国石油是一家全球领先的石油和天然气公司，高盛认为该股被低估，特别是在天然气方面的潜力。高盛分析师尼基尔·班达里（Nikhil Bhandari）认为，中国石油在上游天然气生产领域的影响力将使其从未来几年的强劲现金流中受益。</p><p>班达里还指出，预计到2025年，天然气将占到中石油上游产量的50%左右，勘探与生产部门的收入将更多依赖天然气收益，从而增强中国石油在全球油价波动中的盈利抵御能力。</p><p>高盛给出中国石油的目标价为8.1港元（约合1.04美元），预计上涨空间为47%。</p><h3 id=\"id_3531949178\">总结</h3><p>高盛的“强力买入股票名单中诺沃内西斯、川崎重工业和中国石油都被认为在未来有着较大上涨空间，尤其是在各自行业的领先地位和市场趋势推动下，投资者可以期待这些公司在未来获得较好的回报。</p><p>文章源自CNBC《Goldman Sachs just refreshed its conviction lists of global stocks, giving 3 over 40% upside》</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{"00857":"中国石油股份"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136356542","content_text":"高盛更新全球最佳股票名单，三只股票被看好有超40%上涨潜力高盛近期更新了12月份的全球最佳股票名单，并对其中的一些股票进行了调整。高盛表示，这些候选股票由各个地区的委员会挑选，这些委员会与行业分析师合作，寻找那些具备坚实基本面、差异化视角并能提供优异回报的公司。被剔除的股票：新西兰软件公司Xero联想（亚太地区的设备制造商）法国工业气体供应商液化空气集团（Air Liquide）欧洲户外广告商德高集团（JCDecaux）新增的三只股票：高盛特别看好以下三只股票，预计未来12个月内这些股票可能会有超过40%的上涨潜力：1. 诺沃内西斯（Novonexis）诺沃内西斯是丹麦的一家生物科技公司，主要生产工业酶、微生物和生物制药成分。高盛认为，随着可持续性、健康和保健等结构性需求的增加，诺沃内西斯在酶和培养领域的市场份额、产品组合广度和研发投入均远高于同行，这支撑了公司良好的基本面前景。高盛分析师乔治娜·弗雷泽（Georgina Fraser）表示，诺沃内西斯2026年的预期市盈率为24倍，低于同行的25倍。她预测，随着“用生物基替代品替代传统石化产品”、市场扩张以及在高增长领域的应用，诺沃内西斯的有机销售额将翻一番，每股收益将增长25%。高盛给出该股目标价为586丹麦克朗（约合82美元），预计上涨空间约为42%。2. 川崎重工业（Kawasaki Heavy Industries）川崎重工业是日本排名前三的重工业公司之一，涉足摩托车、航空航天及国防设备。高盛认为，川崎重工业的航空航天/国防业务将对其未来利润增长产生重要贡献，尤其是在日本政府更新防卫方针之后，该公司的业务将在航空航天系统和国防领域迎来稳步增长。高盛分析师谏山（Yuichiro Isayama）指出，川崎重工今年以来股价表现较同行（三菱重工、IHI Corporation）低了80%至100%。鉴于公司在航空航天/国防领域的市场影响力，川崎重工当前的低估值为投资者提供了吸引力。高盛对川崎重工业的目标价为8,000日元（约合53美元），预计上涨空间为43.2%。3. 中国石油（PetroChina）中国石油是一家全球领先的石油和天然气公司，高盛认为该股被低估，特别是在天然气方面的潜力。高盛分析师尼基尔·班达里（Nikhil Bhandari）认为，中国石油在上游天然气生产领域的影响力将使其从未来几年的强劲现金流中受益。班达里还指出，预计到2025年，天然气将占到中石油上游产量的50%左右，勘探与生产部门的收入将更多依赖天然气收益，从而增强中国石油在全球油价波动中的盈利抵御能力。高盛给出中国石油的目标价为8.1港元（约合1.04美元），预计上涨空间为47%。总结高盛的“强力买入股票名单中诺沃内西斯、川崎重工业和中国石油都被认为在未来有着较大上涨空间，尤其是在各自行业的领先地位和市场趋势推动下，投资者可以期待这些公司在未来获得较好的回报。文章源自CNBC《Goldman Sachs just refreshed its conviction lists of global stocks, giving 3 over 40% upside》","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00857":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688796713,"gmtCreate":1657837253236,"gmtModify":1704868426307,"author":{"id":"3556938315267406","authorId":"3556938315267406","name":"简单就好没错","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f012b58646df639be52448ccbb9be1a7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556938315267406","authorIdStr":"3556938315267406"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"居然又找到了一笔更大的亏损，6月1号2号是我亏损最为巨大最为迅速的两天。源于5月31日我高额盈利之后，飘了....... 不作就不会死，谨记‼️","listText":"居然又找到了一笔更大的亏损，6月1号2号是我亏损最为巨大最为迅速的两天。源于5月31日我高额盈利之后，飘了....... 不作就不会死，谨记‼️","text":"居然又找到了一笔更大的亏损，6月1号2号是我亏损最为巨大最为迅速的两天。源于5月31日我高额盈利之后，飘了....... 不作就不会死，谨记‼️","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3762e44c666da855a3b5671f117e6f5e","width":"1242","height":"2448"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688796713","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688798763,"gmtCreate":1657837079454,"gmtModify":1704868424603,"author":{"id":"3556938315267406","authorId":"3556938315267406","name":"简单就好没错","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f012b58646df639be52448ccbb9be1a7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556938315267406","authorIdStr":"3556938315267406"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"还是spxw, 这是我日内亏损最巨大的一笔，立在这里作为纪念，时时提醒自己做好风险管理","listText":"还是spxw, 这是我日内亏损最巨大的一笔，立在这里作为纪念，时时提醒自己做好风险管理","text":"还是spxw, 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08:39","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"一封WSB散户的公开信： Melvin Capital和CNBC听好，这是狙你们的理由","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189643321","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"在美国散户抱团大战机构正酣之时，散户集中地wallstreetcbets论坛的一名用户发布一封公开信，写给被迫平仓游戏驿站空头头寸的对冲基金Melvin Capital、CNBC、二战结束后二十年内出生的婴儿潮一代以及所有WSB论坛用户。对于对冲基金Melvin Capital，我要说：你代表金融危机期间我仇恨的一切。","content":"<p>来源：华尔街见闻</p><p>在美国散户抱团大战机构正酣之时，散户集中地wallstreetcbets（WSB）论坛的一名用户发布一封公开信，写给被迫平仓游戏驿站空头头寸的对冲基金Melvin Capital、CNBC、二战结束后二十年内出生的婴儿潮一代以及所有WSB论坛用户。</p><p>信中，这名散户斥责以Melvin Capital为代表的华尔街机构，称他们在2008年的金融危机中给数以百万的普通民众制造了莫大的苦难，却没有受到任何惩罚，反而得到救助，如今又公然非法做空游戏驿站这样的个股，没有从危机中吸取丝毫教训。该散户指责CNBC这样的主流媒体收受大企业的赞助，为他们发声，将散户的热炒游戏驿站等个股妖魔化，称这类媒体吹捧机构是短视的牟利行为。</p><p>这名散户呼吁婴儿潮一代老年人不要受媒体的蛊惑，希望他们理解，现在遭散户攻击的华尔街机构正是当年金融危机期间让他们的子孙受苦的元凶，散户现在就是在把握一生难得一次的机会惩罚这些机构。最后，该散户感谢一道参与买入游戏驿站股票的WSB论坛用户，称他们实现了少有的劫富济贫。</p><p>这封公开信的全文如下：</p><blockquote>我十几岁的时候正赶上2008年金融危机。我清楚地记得，华尔街那帮人毫无顾忌的行动给我个人和我身边人的生活带来了多大的影响。我是幸运的，我父母为人谨慎，而且有点疑神疑鬼，他们存了些食物。危机来袭的时候，我们家保住了自己的小屋子，就靠松饼粉、奶粉、豆子和米饭过活，熬了一年。打那以后，我父母一直在有存食物的习惯，而且更新存货，保证存的是新鲜食品。</blockquote><blockquote>但我周围的那些亲朋好友就没那么幸运了。我阿姨搬过来和我们住在一起，给我家付一点房租，那时候，她在外面拼命找一切能干的活。有人知道用学校食堂里的番茄酱料包做的那种番茄汤是什么味道吗？我的朋友们被迫尝过。危机最严重的时候过后将近一年，我父亲才稳定了我们一家的收入来源，来得及去帮别人渡过难关。他请了我朋友的父亲打零工，帮忙做家事。其中有个人给我家的客厅做了一个新的壁橱，还有个人给我家院子打理花草。我永远都为有这样的父母感到骄傲，因为即使是在我怀疑自家的钱还紧巴巴的时候，他们也能留意到那些最需要帮助的人，并且热情地伸出援手。</blockquote><blockquote>对于对冲基金Melvin Capital，我要说：你代表金融危机期间我仇恨的一切。你是一家靠剥削别家公司和操纵市场以及媒体赚钱的公司。你的继续存在就等于在深刻提醒那些要为08年危机制造的苦难负责的人，他们没有因为当年的所作所为受到惩罚。你明目张胆地罔顾法律，不论是几个月前赤裸裸的非法卖空（告诉你的律师这是指控），还是最近无耻的市场操纵，都显示出，08年以来，你没有吸取任何教训。为什么会针对你？因为你们那些华尔街的家伙做了可怕的非法金融决策，改变了几百万人的生活，带来恶劣后果，却得到救助和奖赏。几天前我买了股票，我把积蓄掏出来买了游戏驿站（GME）的股票，用信用卡付了这个月的房租，把原本付房租的钱用来买了更多的GME股票（我不建议WSB的用户们这么做）。我现在持有这些股票。这是我个人的决定，也是其他几百万人的决定。你可以几小时内把GME的股价打压到120美元，我不会逃的。你可以花钱买几千个reddit论坛的机器人干扰，可我就是要持有。你可以让所有的主流媒体把我们（散户）丑化成妖魔鬼怪，我不在乎。我要尽一切能力让你痛苦。</blockquote><blockquote>对CNBC，我要说：你必须意识到，给机构的计划日程做宣传只能让你短期获利，只是短期的。你的固定观众会很快越来越年老，年纪太老之后不会再管你怎样，而我们几百万人——不仅是WSB的用户，还包括所有受08年危机影响、并且现在关注着GME的人，都会记得你是怎样为那些摧毁我们很多人的公司代言，而且还企图打垮小人物。我确信，我会记得。这里有一个链接地址，整理了CNBC的赞助者和合作伙伴清单。他们包括但不限于IBM、思科、T-Mobile、摩根大通、甲骨文和ZipRecruiter。CNBC的母公司是NBCUniversal，而它是由Comcast和通用电气控股的。</blockquote><blockquote>对婴儿潮一代和/或接近那个年纪的人，请注意这些“千禧一代人的博客文章”：你们会意识到，即使你没有受到08年崩盘的负面影响，你们的儿女以及可能还有孙辈最有可能都是受害者。我们不是你们的敌人，我们是同一个阵营。不要听信那些媒体说我们破坏市场就来攻击我们。我们只是拥有了一生中难得一次的机会，可以惩罚那帮十年前制造那么多苦痛和压力的家伙，我们在把握这个机会。你们的儿孙可能就因为我们在奋起反抗的那些机构而遭受过我所说的那些苦难。为了自己家人和朋友着想，你们真的想选择支持那帮人吗？我们并不是要求你们拿自己的401K养老金账户或者退休基金冒险，去买一只游戏驿站的股票。我们只是请你们理解，表示支持，不要支援那些十年前造成如此苦难的人。</blockquote><blockquote>对WSB论坛的朋友，我要说：你们大家都很棒。我能猜想到，我不是唯一一个采取个人行动的人。我读过很多人的帖子，讲述了你们都在08年崩盘中经历了什么。无论你是为了牟利，还是像我这样坚持的“钉子户”，或者只是可能随着市场波动的潮流参与其中，我都表示感谢。你们每一个人都是我们拥有这个机会的原因。我以前从未这样对未来感到乐观。摆在你们很多人面前的是能改变人生的庞大资金。将富人手中的财富重新分配给穷人，这是一个罕见的实例，参与其中就已经是惊人之举。我爱你们大家。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>一封WSB散户的公开信： Melvin Capital和CNBC听好，这是狙你们的理由</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ 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{color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n一封WSB散户的公开信： Melvin Capital和CNBC听好，这是狙你们的理由\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-29 08:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>来源：华尔街见闻</p><p>在美国散户抱团大战机构正酣之时，散户集中地wallstreetcbets（WSB）论坛的一名用户发布一封公开信，写给被迫平仓游戏驿站空头头寸的对冲基金Melvin Capital、CNBC、二战结束后二十年内出生的婴儿潮一代以及所有WSB论坛用户。</p><p>信中，这名散户斥责以Melvin Capital为代表的华尔街机构，称他们在2008年的金融危机中给数以百万的普通民众制造了莫大的苦难，却没有受到任何惩罚，反而得到救助，如今又公然非法做空游戏驿站这样的个股，没有从危机中吸取丝毫教训。该散户指责CNBC这样的主流媒体收受大企业的赞助，为他们发声，将散户的热炒游戏驿站等个股妖魔化，称这类媒体吹捧机构是短视的牟利行为。</p><p>这名散户呼吁婴儿潮一代老年人不要受媒体的蛊惑，希望他们理解，现在遭散户攻击的华尔街机构正是当年金融危机期间让他们的子孙受苦的元凶，散户现在就是在把握一生难得一次的机会惩罚这些机构。最后，该散户感谢一道参与买入游戏驿站股票的WSB论坛用户，称他们实现了少有的劫富济贫。</p><p>这封公开信的全文如下：</p><blockquote>我十几岁的时候正赶上2008年金融危机。我清楚地记得，华尔街那帮人毫无顾忌的行动给我个人和我身边人的生活带来了多大的影响。我是幸运的，我父母为人谨慎，而且有点疑神疑鬼，他们存了些食物。危机来袭的时候，我们家保住了自己的小屋子，就靠松饼粉、奶粉、豆子和米饭过活，熬了一年。打那以后，我父母一直在有存食物的习惯，而且更新存货，保证存的是新鲜食品。</blockquote><blockquote>但我周围的那些亲朋好友就没那么幸运了。我阿姨搬过来和我们住在一起，给我家付一点房租，那时候，她在外面拼命找一切能干的活。有人知道用学校食堂里的番茄酱料包做的那种番茄汤是什么味道吗？我的朋友们被迫尝过。危机最严重的时候过后将近一年，我父亲才稳定了我们一家的收入来源，来得及去帮别人渡过难关。他请了我朋友的父亲打零工，帮忙做家事。其中有个人给我家的客厅做了一个新的壁橱，还有个人给我家院子打理花草。我永远都为有这样的父母感到骄傲，因为即使是在我怀疑自家的钱还紧巴巴的时候，他们也能留意到那些最需要帮助的人，并且热情地伸出援手。</blockquote><blockquote>对于对冲基金Melvin Capital，我要说：你代表金融危机期间我仇恨的一切。你是一家靠剥削别家公司和操纵市场以及媒体赚钱的公司。你的继续存在就等于在深刻提醒那些要为08年危机制造的苦难负责的人，他们没有因为当年的所作所为受到惩罚。你明目张胆地罔顾法律，不论是几个月前赤裸裸的非法卖空（告诉你的律师这是指控），还是最近无耻的市场操纵，都显示出，08年以来，你没有吸取任何教训。为什么会针对你？因为你们那些华尔街的家伙做了可怕的非法金融决策，改变了几百万人的生活，带来恶劣后果，却得到救助和奖赏。几天前我买了股票，我把积蓄掏出来买了游戏驿站（GME）的股票，用信用卡付了这个月的房租，把原本付房租的钱用来买了更多的GME股票（我不建议WSB的用户们这么做）。我现在持有这些股票。这是我个人的决定，也是其他几百万人的决定。你可以几小时内把GME的股价打压到120美元，我不会逃的。你可以花钱买几千个reddit论坛的机器人干扰，可我就是要持有。你可以让所有的主流媒体把我们（散户）丑化成妖魔鬼怪，我不在乎。我要尽一切能力让你痛苦。</blockquote><blockquote>对CNBC，我要说：你必须意识到，给机构的计划日程做宣传只能让你短期获利，只是短期的。你的固定观众会很快越来越年老，年纪太老之后不会再管你怎样，而我们几百万人——不仅是WSB的用户，还包括所有受08年危机影响、并且现在关注着GME的人，都会记得你是怎样为那些摧毁我们很多人的公司代言，而且还企图打垮小人物。我确信，我会记得。这里有一个链接地址，整理了CNBC的赞助者和合作伙伴清单。他们包括但不限于IBM、思科、T-Mobile、摩根大通、甲骨文和ZipRecruiter。CNBC的母公司是NBCUniversal，而它是由Comcast和通用电气控股的。</blockquote><blockquote>对婴儿潮一代和/或接近那个年纪的人，请注意这些“千禧一代人的博客文章”：你们会意识到，即使你没有受到08年崩盘的负面影响，你们的儿女以及可能还有孙辈最有可能都是受害者。我们不是你们的敌人，我们是同一个阵营。不要听信那些媒体说我们破坏市场就来攻击我们。我们只是拥有了一生中难得一次的机会，可以惩罚那帮十年前制造那么多苦痛和压力的家伙，我们在把握这个机会。你们的儿孙可能就因为我们在奋起反抗的那些机构而遭受过我所说的那些苦难。为了自己家人和朋友着想，你们真的想选择支持那帮人吗？我们并不是要求你们拿自己的401K养老金账户或者退休基金冒险，去买一只游戏驿站的股票。我们只是请你们理解，表示支持，不要支援那些十年前造成如此苦难的人。</blockquote><blockquote>对WSB论坛的朋友，我要说：你们大家都很棒。我能猜想到，我不是唯一一个采取个人行动的人。我读过很多人的帖子，讲述了你们都在08年崩盘中经历了什么。无论你是为了牟利，还是像我这样坚持的“钉子户”，或者只是可能随着市场波动的潮流参与其中，我都表示感谢。你们每一个人都是我们拥有这个机会的原因。我以前从未这样对未来感到乐观。摆在你们很多人面前的是能改变人生的庞大资金。将富人手中的财富重新分配给穷人，这是一个罕见的实例，参与其中就已经是惊人之举。我爱你们大家。</blockquote>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fd8a158b2676a493c439f246cd1bb0a","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189643321","content_text":"来源：华尔街见闻在美国散户抱团大战机构正酣之时，散户集中地wallstreetcbets（WSB）论坛的一名用户发布一封公开信，写给被迫平仓游戏驿站空头头寸的对冲基金Melvin Capital、CNBC、二战结束后二十年内出生的婴儿潮一代以及所有WSB论坛用户。信中，这名散户斥责以Melvin Capital为代表的华尔街机构，称他们在2008年的金融危机中给数以百万的普通民众制造了莫大的苦难，却没有受到任何惩罚，反而得到救助，如今又公然非法做空游戏驿站这样的个股，没有从危机中吸取丝毫教训。该散户指责CNBC这样的主流媒体收受大企业的赞助，为他们发声，将散户的热炒游戏驿站等个股妖魔化，称这类媒体吹捧机构是短视的牟利行为。这名散户呼吁婴儿潮一代老年人不要受媒体的蛊惑，希望他们理解，现在遭散户攻击的华尔街机构正是当年金融危机期间让他们的子孙受苦的元凶，散户现在就是在把握一生难得一次的机会惩罚这些机构。最后，该散户感谢一道参与买入游戏驿站股票的WSB论坛用户，称他们实现了少有的劫富济贫。这封公开信的全文如下：我十几岁的时候正赶上2008年金融危机。我清楚地记得，华尔街那帮人毫无顾忌的行动给我个人和我身边人的生活带来了多大的影响。我是幸运的，我父母为人谨慎，而且有点疑神疑鬼，他们存了些食物。危机来袭的时候，我们家保住了自己的小屋子，就靠松饼粉、奶粉、豆子和米饭过活，熬了一年。打那以后，我父母一直在有存食物的习惯，而且更新存货，保证存的是新鲜食品。但我周围的那些亲朋好友就没那么幸运了。我阿姨搬过来和我们住在一起，给我家付一点房租，那时候，她在外面拼命找一切能干的活。有人知道用学校食堂里的番茄酱料包做的那种番茄汤是什么味道吗？我的朋友们被迫尝过。危机最严重的时候过后将近一年，我父亲才稳定了我们一家的收入来源，来得及去帮别人渡过难关。他请了我朋友的父亲打零工，帮忙做家事。其中有个人给我家的客厅做了一个新的壁橱，还有个人给我家院子打理花草。我永远都为有这样的父母感到骄傲，因为即使是在我怀疑自家的钱还紧巴巴的时候，他们也能留意到那些最需要帮助的人，并且热情地伸出援手。对于对冲基金Melvin Capital，我要说：你代表金融危机期间我仇恨的一切。你是一家靠剥削别家公司和操纵市场以及媒体赚钱的公司。你的继续存在就等于在深刻提醒那些要为08年危机制造的苦难负责的人，他们没有因为当年的所作所为受到惩罚。你明目张胆地罔顾法律，不论是几个月前赤裸裸的非法卖空（告诉你的律师这是指控），还是最近无耻的市场操纵，都显示出，08年以来，你没有吸取任何教训。为什么会针对你？因为你们那些华尔街的家伙做了可怕的非法金融决策，改变了几百万人的生活，带来恶劣后果，却得到救助和奖赏。几天前我买了股票，我把积蓄掏出来买了游戏驿站（GME）的股票，用信用卡付了这个月的房租，把原本付房租的钱用来买了更多的GME股票（我不建议WSB的用户们这么做）。我现在持有这些股票。这是我个人的决定，也是其他几百万人的决定。你可以几小时内把GME的股价打压到120美元，我不会逃的。你可以花钱买几千个reddit论坛的机器人干扰，可我就是要持有。你可以让所有的主流媒体把我们（散户）丑化成妖魔鬼怪，我不在乎。我要尽一切能力让你痛苦。对CNBC，我要说：你必须意识到，给机构的计划日程做宣传只能让你短期获利，只是短期的。你的固定观众会很快越来越年老，年纪太老之后不会再管你怎样，而我们几百万人——不仅是WSB的用户，还包括所有受08年危机影响、并且现在关注着GME的人，都会记得你是怎样为那些摧毁我们很多人的公司代言，而且还企图打垮小人物。我确信，我会记得。这里有一个链接地址，整理了CNBC的赞助者和合作伙伴清单。他们包括但不限于IBM、思科、T-Mobile、摩根大通、甲骨文和ZipRecruiter。CNBC的母公司是NBCUniversal，而它是由Comcast和通用电气控股的。对婴儿潮一代和/或接近那个年纪的人，请注意这些“千禧一代人的博客文章”：你们会意识到，即使你没有受到08年崩盘的负面影响，你们的儿女以及可能还有孙辈最有可能都是受害者。我们不是你们的敌人，我们是同一个阵营。不要听信那些媒体说我们破坏市场就来攻击我们。我们只是拥有了一生中难得一次的机会，可以惩罚那帮十年前制造那么多苦痛和压力的家伙，我们在把握这个机会。你们的儿孙可能就因为我们在奋起反抗的那些机构而遭受过我所说的那些苦难。为了自己家人和朋友着想，你们真的想选择支持那帮人吗？我们并不是要求你们拿自己的401K养老金账户或者退休基金冒险，去买一只游戏驿站的股票。我们只是请你们理解，表示支持，不要支援那些十年前造成如此苦难的人。对WSB论坛的朋友，我要说：你们大家都很棒。我能猜想到，我不是唯一一个采取个人行动的人。我读过很多人的帖子，讲述了你们都在08年崩盘中经历了什么。无论你是为了牟利，还是像我这样坚持的“钉子户”，或者只是可能随着市场波动的潮流参与其中，我都表示感谢。你们每一个人都是我们拥有这个机会的原因。我以前从未这样对未来感到乐观。摆在你们很多人面前的是能改变人生的庞大资金。将富人手中的财富重新分配给穷人，这是一个罕见的实例，参与其中就已经是惊人之举。我爱你们大家。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":853,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":163297308,"gmtCreate":1623885620004,"gmtModify":1623885620004,"author":{"id":"3556938315267406","authorId":"3556938315267406","name":"简单就好没错","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f012b58646df639be52448ccbb9be1a7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556938315267406","authorIdStr":"3556938315267406"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"多了解多关注","listText":"多了解多关注","text":"多了解多关注","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163297308","repostId":"1148768572","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1148768572","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623822306,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1148768572?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 13:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wish Stock: Patient Investors Could Soon See $20 Again","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148768572","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nWish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce tradi","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Wish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce trading at just 1.3x forward EV to Sales.</li>\n <li>Wish's latest partnership with PrestaShop will further accelerate international expansion and growth initiatives.</li>\n <li>While accurate data regarding its short interest is difficult to find as most of its float is still locked up, I estimate a short interest between 30-40%.</li>\n <li>I believe bear arguments including high marketing spend and stalling user numbers are already baked in the current share price.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/983667978a1675a8b256d7b0478a876c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"934\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>JuSun/iStock via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Overview</b></p>\n<p>ContextLogic (WISH) has been a wild ride for shareholders, as high volatility continues to cause significant price movements in recent weeks. The e-commerce platform initially went public in December at $20 per share before surging to an all-time high of $32 in February due to a momentum-driven rally. That said, shares have steadily plunged ever since, hitting an all-time low of just $7 in June, but are now recovering swiftly after increased interest from the retail trading sector. Here, the stock is favored due to its high volatility, short interest, and enormous upside potential.</p>\n<p>In this context, I believe that the high short interest has increasingly pushed shares below fair value and that patient investors could soon see $20 or more again as the company is working through logistic challenges and will soon return to economies of scale. In this regard, the e-commerce platform has a unique value proposition and is well-positioned to gain market share in a $6 trillion e-commerce industry.</p>\n<p><b>The Digital Dollar Tree</b></p>\n<p>Wish has been criticized heavily as an e-commerce platform, and I would almost argue that its image of being a third-party 'dropshipping' site for Chinese merchants has kept investors away from the stock so far. However, this may only be partially true. Essentially, Wish has inverted Amazon's(NASDAQ:AMZN)business model through low-priced (low-quality) products and sluggish delivery times that may lead to week-long delivery times. This is because Wish does not handle shipping itself, which is why it can offer these ultra-low prices of offering a hoodie for $2 plus $2 shipping.</p>\n<p>Frankly, Wish is still dependent on Chinese merchants, accounting for most of its product catalogs. This is unsurprising, considering that most goods are produced in China as the production costs are among the lowest in the world. Most of the goods being sold on Amazon or eBay(NASDAQ:EBAY)were also produced in China, although they earn a higher perception due to one-day delivery shipping programs or higher prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bea733440e86851af57559c6a5fd6bd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Now, I view Wish as the digital dollar tree, where online shoppers discover items that they want, not need. In the process, customers have more patience for products and are willing to wait longer for them to arrive. Wish is working towards addressing both of these issues (quality and merchant diversification) as its platform is gaining popularity. Here, it has been investing in logistics to offer quicker delivery, demonstrated by a 275% YoY increase in logistics revenue. Since these revenues provide low margins, its overall gross margins have decreased in accordance. However, once it achieves economies of scale in the segment, margin growth should reverse and trail back towards 70%.</p>\n<p>It is also addressing the second issue by continuously growing its international merchant base. Here, U.S. merchants increased by over 400% YoY, and a similar trend is to be seen in other countries. Moreover, it is growing Wish Local, a service connecting local businesses to the platform, accounting for 7% of all Wish orders. Wish local is mostly (or exclusively) available in the United States and thus increasingly mixes with other products on the website.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09eb88453d075db6b7b8edd21f981b4a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"381\"><span>Source: Sensor Tower</span></p>\n<p>I also like Wish's strategy to engage and retain users by utilizing an AI matching system that optimizes platform growth, user experience, and merchant return on investment. The strategy to create an interactive mobile shopping experience appears to be working well: Impressively, Wish gets over500,000reviews per day from users, surpassing even Amazon and other shopping sites in this regard, demonstrating just about how engaging the platform is. Around 80% of first-time shoppersreturnto buy again.</p>\n<p>Wish is, therefore, able to establish itself in the highly competitive E-commerce market that offers a tremendous runway for growth. Currently, around 40% of the E-commerce market share is owned just by Amazon. Compared to Amazon, its TAM may be limited as it concentrates on its lower-income niche, which is how it became popular in the first place. Still, this represents a +$3 trillion market opportunity for Wish to tap into. It is also worth noting that according toreports, Amazon tried to acquire Wish for $10 billion, yet Wish rejected, believing growing the business to $100 billion in annual sales, at which point it would be valued significantly higher.</p>\n<p><b>Negative Sentiment Baked In</b></p>\n<p>Wish's first two quarters have been slightly disappointing. While the company handily beat revenue estimates, the company burned through over $300 million in cash in order to invest in logistics. More importantly, however, is the fact that MAUs have dropped steadily, which the company blames on de-de-emphasizing advertising and customer acquisition as the company worked through logistics challenges it faced earlier in the year.</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Year</td>\n   <td>2020</td>\n   <td>2019</td>\n   <td>2018</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Revenue</td>\n   <td>$2.54B</td>\n   <td>$1.9B</td>\n   <td>$1.73B</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>Gross Profit</td>\n   <td>$1.59B</td>\n   <td>$1.46B</td>\n   <td>$1.45B</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1.71B (+17%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1.46B (-7%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>$1.57B</b></td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td>MAUs</td>\n   <td>107M (+19%)</td>\n   <td><p>90M (+10%)</p></td>\n   <td>82M</td>\n  </tr>\n  <tr>\n   <td><b>Active Buyers</b></td>\n   <td><b>64M (+3%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>62M (-3%)</b></td>\n   <td><b>64M</b></td>\n  </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>*Growth (Year-over-Year)</p>\n<p>The largest bear argument against Wish is its high marketing expenses, which account for 60% of its total revenues and over 100% of its gross profits. This is totally fine unless it grows its active buyers through marketing, which unfortunately has not been the case. This is a red flag and questions the long-term sustainability of Wish's business model. However, the company has been close to being cash flow positive, and it stated it already would be profitable if it weren't for its extensive marketing expense. That said, as long as Wish acquires new MAUs and increases value through logistic services, its marketing expenses pay off in the long run. Moreover, as a percentage of total revenues, Wish's marketing expenses have dropped to 60%, down from 67% in the year prior.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e18c23728274ee708d896923820b282\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"278\"><span>Source: Wish IR</span></p>\n<p>In terms of the outlook, this is what the company is essentially stressing. It believes marketing expenses can decrease to 40-45%, leading to EBITDA margins of 25% at the midpoint range. If it achieves these ambitious goals (which is very well possible), its profitability margins would be similar to those of eBay or MercadoLibre(NASDAQ:MELI). In either way, Wish's business model is not perfect, but all these concerns are more than baked in its current valuation, IMO (In My Opinion).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54029f94c37f301d26e93a11636280e7\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p>\n<p>Even after the latest +50% rise, shares are still trailing far behind peers such as Poshmark(NASDAQ:POSH), eBay, Amazon, and (Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)). At over $3 billion estimated revenues, Wish is trading at just 1.8x Price to Sales, just half of eBay's current valuation and much lower than Poshmark. Current estimates are calling for over $6 billion in revenues by 2025 and $1 billion in free cash flow, meaning that Wish trades at just 7x free cash flow estimates, or 1 times sales. In early 2021, its P/S ratio stood closer to 5x, so there is potential for a valuation expansion.</p>\n<p><b>What about the Lawsuits?</b></p>\n<p>Perhaps you've seen the news (especially on Yahoo Finance) regarding the class actionlawsuits. These lawsuits are extensively posted to remind investors of recovering incurred losses after its share price dropped in recent months. Such lawsuits are not unusual when stocks drop sharply in a short period of time and are likely of no concern to investors. These lawsuits have also included companies such asCloverHealth(NASDAQ:CLOV), Skillz(NYSE:SKLZ), Array Technologies(NASDAQ:ARRY), etc.</p>\n<p>Short Interest - Still High</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/875b3fdaf74f1ef639b51d77a3aac01f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: Fintel</span></p>\n<p>Wish has gained significant attraction from retail investors, as investors were looking for the next big short squeeze. Since most of Wish's shares have still been locked up, its exact short ratio was difficult to estimate. According to Seeking Alpha, the current short ratio stands at just 7%, but the figure is likely higher. Last week, its short interest as a percent of its equity float stood at roughly 48%, according to Bloomberg Terminal data. Other sources such as Fintel pin the current short volume at 20-30%. Now, it's difficult to give an exact estimate, but generally speaking, it's probably somewhere within this range, and many short calls are still to be covered. In the long term, the high-short interest could be an advantage, leading to a quicker acceleration if the stock begins trending upwards.</p>\n<p><b>The Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>I believe that Wish remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce, boasting over 100 million monthly users on its platform and connecting thousands of merchants from all over the world. The mobile shopping app continues to be one of the top downloaded shopping apps in the space and has a unique value proposition, which is smarter than it appears at first sight. Moreover, its latestpartnershipwith PrestaShop will give over 300,000 merchants free access to a direct integration that connects them directly to Wish's merchant dashboard, further driving growth. While there are risks to Wish's imperfect business model, such as lagging profitability, patient investors could be rewarded mightily.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wish Stock: Patient Investors Could Soon See $20 Again</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWish Stock: Patient Investors Could Soon See $20 Again\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-16 13:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434950-wish-stock-patient-investors-could-soon-see-20-again><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nWish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce trading at just 1.3x forward EV to Sales.\nWish's latest partnership with PrestaShop will further ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434950-wish-stock-patient-investors-could-soon-see-20-again\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434950-wish-stock-patient-investors-could-soon-see-20-again","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148768572","content_text":"Summary\n\nWish (ContextLogic) remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce trading at just 1.3x forward EV to Sales.\nWish's latest partnership with PrestaShop will further accelerate international expansion and growth initiatives.\nWhile accurate data regarding its short interest is difficult to find as most of its float is still locked up, I estimate a short interest between 30-40%.\nI believe bear arguments including high marketing spend and stalling user numbers are already baked in the current share price.\n\nJuSun/iStock via Getty Images\nOverview\nContextLogic (WISH) has been a wild ride for shareholders, as high volatility continues to cause significant price movements in recent weeks. The e-commerce platform initially went public in December at $20 per share before surging to an all-time high of $32 in February due to a momentum-driven rally. That said, shares have steadily plunged ever since, hitting an all-time low of just $7 in June, but are now recovering swiftly after increased interest from the retail trading sector. Here, the stock is favored due to its high volatility, short interest, and enormous upside potential.\nIn this context, I believe that the high short interest has increasingly pushed shares below fair value and that patient investors could soon see $20 or more again as the company is working through logistic challenges and will soon return to economies of scale. In this regard, the e-commerce platform has a unique value proposition and is well-positioned to gain market share in a $6 trillion e-commerce industry.\nThe Digital Dollar Tree\nWish has been criticized heavily as an e-commerce platform, and I would almost argue that its image of being a third-party 'dropshipping' site for Chinese merchants has kept investors away from the stock so far. However, this may only be partially true. Essentially, Wish has inverted Amazon's(NASDAQ:AMZN)business model through low-priced (low-quality) products and sluggish delivery times that may lead to week-long delivery times. This is because Wish does not handle shipping itself, which is why it can offer these ultra-low prices of offering a hoodie for $2 plus $2 shipping.\nFrankly, Wish is still dependent on Chinese merchants, accounting for most of its product catalogs. This is unsurprising, considering that most goods are produced in China as the production costs are among the lowest in the world. Most of the goods being sold on Amazon or eBay(NASDAQ:EBAY)were also produced in China, although they earn a higher perception due to one-day delivery shipping programs or higher prices.\n\nNow, I view Wish as the digital dollar tree, where online shoppers discover items that they want, not need. In the process, customers have more patience for products and are willing to wait longer for them to arrive. Wish is working towards addressing both of these issues (quality and merchant diversification) as its platform is gaining popularity. Here, it has been investing in logistics to offer quicker delivery, demonstrated by a 275% YoY increase in logistics revenue. Since these revenues provide low margins, its overall gross margins have decreased in accordance. However, once it achieves economies of scale in the segment, margin growth should reverse and trail back towards 70%.\nIt is also addressing the second issue by continuously growing its international merchant base. Here, U.S. merchants increased by over 400% YoY, and a similar trend is to be seen in other countries. Moreover, it is growing Wish Local, a service connecting local businesses to the platform, accounting for 7% of all Wish orders. Wish local is mostly (or exclusively) available in the United States and thus increasingly mixes with other products on the website.\nSource: Sensor Tower\nI also like Wish's strategy to engage and retain users by utilizing an AI matching system that optimizes platform growth, user experience, and merchant return on investment. The strategy to create an interactive mobile shopping experience appears to be working well: Impressively, Wish gets over500,000reviews per day from users, surpassing even Amazon and other shopping sites in this regard, demonstrating just about how engaging the platform is. Around 80% of first-time shoppersreturnto buy again.\nWish is, therefore, able to establish itself in the highly competitive E-commerce market that offers a tremendous runway for growth. Currently, around 40% of the E-commerce market share is owned just by Amazon. Compared to Amazon, its TAM may be limited as it concentrates on its lower-income niche, which is how it became popular in the first place. Still, this represents a +$3 trillion market opportunity for Wish to tap into. It is also worth noting that according toreports, Amazon tried to acquire Wish for $10 billion, yet Wish rejected, believing growing the business to $100 billion in annual sales, at which point it would be valued significantly higher.\nNegative Sentiment Baked In\nWish's first two quarters have been slightly disappointing. While the company handily beat revenue estimates, the company burned through over $300 million in cash in order to invest in logistics. More importantly, however, is the fact that MAUs have dropped steadily, which the company blames on de-de-emphasizing advertising and customer acquisition as the company worked through logistics challenges it faced earlier in the year.\n\n\n\nYear\n2020\n2019\n2018\n\n\nRevenue\n$2.54B\n$1.9B\n$1.73B\n\n\nGross Profit\n$1.59B\n$1.46B\n$1.45B\n\n\nSales and Marketing\n$1.71B (+17%)\n$1.46B (-7%)\n$1.57B\n\n\nMAUs\n107M (+19%)\n90M (+10%)\n82M\n\n\nActive Buyers\n64M (+3%)\n62M (-3%)\n64M\n\n\n\n*Growth (Year-over-Year)\nThe largest bear argument against Wish is its high marketing expenses, which account for 60% of its total revenues and over 100% of its gross profits. This is totally fine unless it grows its active buyers through marketing, which unfortunately has not been the case. This is a red flag and questions the long-term sustainability of Wish's business model. However, the company has been close to being cash flow positive, and it stated it already would be profitable if it weren't for its extensive marketing expense. That said, as long as Wish acquires new MAUs and increases value through logistic services, its marketing expenses pay off in the long run. Moreover, as a percentage of total revenues, Wish's marketing expenses have dropped to 60%, down from 67% in the year prior.\nSource: Wish IR\nIn terms of the outlook, this is what the company is essentially stressing. It believes marketing expenses can decrease to 40-45%, leading to EBITDA margins of 25% at the midpoint range. If it achieves these ambitious goals (which is very well possible), its profitability margins would be similar to those of eBay or MercadoLibre(NASDAQ:MELI). In either way, Wish's business model is not perfect, but all these concerns are more than baked in its current valuation, IMO (In My Opinion).\nData byYCharts\nEven after the latest +50% rise, shares are still trailing far behind peers such as Poshmark(NASDAQ:POSH), eBay, Amazon, and (Shopify(NYSE:SHOP)). At over $3 billion estimated revenues, Wish is trading at just 1.8x Price to Sales, just half of eBay's current valuation and much lower than Poshmark. Current estimates are calling for over $6 billion in revenues by 2025 and $1 billion in free cash flow, meaning that Wish trades at just 7x free cash flow estimates, or 1 times sales. In early 2021, its P/S ratio stood closer to 5x, so there is potential for a valuation expansion.\nWhat about the Lawsuits?\nPerhaps you've seen the news (especially on Yahoo Finance) regarding the class actionlawsuits. These lawsuits are extensively posted to remind investors of recovering incurred losses after its share price dropped in recent months. Such lawsuits are not unusual when stocks drop sharply in a short period of time and are likely of no concern to investors. These lawsuits have also included companies such asCloverHealth(NASDAQ:CLOV), Skillz(NYSE:SKLZ), Array Technologies(NASDAQ:ARRY), etc.\nShort Interest - Still High\nSource: Fintel\nWish has gained significant attraction from retail investors, as investors were looking for the next big short squeeze. Since most of Wish's shares have still been locked up, its exact short ratio was difficult to estimate. According to Seeking Alpha, the current short ratio stands at just 7%, but the figure is likely higher. Last week, its short interest as a percent of its equity float stood at roughly 48%, according to Bloomberg Terminal data. Other sources such as Fintel pin the current short volume at 20-30%. Now, it's difficult to give an exact estimate, but generally speaking, it's probably somewhere within this range, and many short calls are still to be covered. In the long term, the high-short interest could be an advantage, leading to a quicker acceleration if the stock begins trending upwards.\nThe Bottom Line\nI believe that Wish remains one of the most underappreciated assets within e-commerce, boasting over 100 million monthly users on its platform and connecting thousands of merchants from all over the world. The mobile shopping app continues to be one of the top downloaded shopping apps in the space and has a unique value proposition, which is smarter than it appears at first sight. Moreover, its latestpartnershipwith PrestaShop will give over 300,000 merchants free access to a direct integration that connects them directly to Wish's merchant dashboard, further driving growth. While there are risks to Wish's imperfect business model, such as lagging profitability, patient investors could be rewarded mightily.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WISH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}