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Chinleong
2021-09-18
A potential hike in corporate taxes, inflation and consumer sentiments weigh on markets
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Chinleong
2021-09-27
Buy Google when stock is undervalued
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Chinleong
2021-08-12
Inflation growth is tied to upbeat in economic growth, indicating stocks price have advanced to the peak too
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Chinleong
2021-07-28
Two of the Faang stocks reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that surpassed Wall Street analysts' expectations
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Chinleong
2021-07-23
Tech stocks are on the rise
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Chinleong
2021-07-03
Use Dollar Cost Averaging to invest in stocks of sound fundamental and undervalued
Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>
Chinleong
2021-07-18
Yes
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Chinleong
2021-09-06
US stock market is closed on Labor Day
Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>美国股市在劳动节开市吗?</blockquote>
Chinleong
2021-08-18
These 3 stocks stand strong and perform better during pandemic period
3 Software-As-Service Leaders Set For Strong Earnings As Q2 Season Winds Down<blockquote>随着第二季度季度结束,3 家软件即服务领导者将实现强劲盈利</blockquote>
Chinleong
2021-08-14
Space invention is on the rising trend. Can buy this stock as long as the company is fundamentally good and undervalued
Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河股票会在哪里?</blockquote>
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buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/878078439","repostId":"1195119060","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871888969,"gmtCreate":1637051531971,"gmtModify":1637051532767,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Trade with caution","listText":"Trade with caution","text":"Trade with caution","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871888969","repostId":"1185802687","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185802687","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637047831,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1185802687?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-16 15:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 PEG Ratio Is Low: Why It's A Bearish Sign<blockquote>标普500联系汇率较低:为什么这是一个看跌迹象</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185802687","media":"Benzinga","summary":"The price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is a fundamental valuation metric that assesses a stock’","content":"<p><div> The price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is a fundamental valuation metric that assesses a stock’s price relative to its earnings and expected earnings growth rate. In theory, the lower the PEG, ...</p><p><blockquote><div>市盈率(PEG)是一个基本的估值指标,用于评估股票价格相对于其收益和预期收益增长率的关系。理论上,挂钩越低,...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-peg-ratio-low-215508667.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-peg-ratio-low-215508667.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 PEG Ratio Is Low: Why It's A Bearish Sign<blockquote>标普500联系汇率较低:为什么这是一个看跌迹象</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 PEG Ratio Is Low: Why It's A Bearish Sign<blockquote>标普500联系汇率较低:为什么这是一个看跌迹象</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-16 15:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is a fundamental valuation metric that assesses a stock’s price relative to its earnings and expected earnings growth rate. In theory, the lower the PEG, ...</p><p><blockquote><div>市盈率(PEG)是一个基本的估值指标,用于评估股票价格相对于其收益和预期收益增长率的关系。理论上,挂钩越低,...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-peg-ratio-low-215508667.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-peg-ratio-low-215508667.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-peg-ratio-low-215508667.html\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/p-500-peg-ratio-low-215508667.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185802687","content_text":"The price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio is a fundamental valuation metric that assesses a stock’s price relative to its earnings and expected earnings growth rate. In theory, the lower the PEG, the more value a stock holds.\nThe S&P 500 currently has a forward PEG of just 1.11, 21% below its historical average. But Bank of America analyst Savita Subramanian said Monday that most fundamental valuation metrics suggest the stock market is overvalued, and the low PEG ratio may actually be just one more sign of irrational market exuberance.\nThe Numbers:Subramanian said the S&P 500 is statistically expensive based on 15 of 20 fundamental metrics he tracks, including a Shiller PE that’s 122.9% above historical norms and an S&P 500 Market Cap/GDP ratio that’s 170.3% above historical averages.\nIn fact, Subramanian said the only reason the S&P 500’s PEG is so low is because analysts have such high expectations for future earnings growth.\n“The attractive P/E to [long-term growth] ratio, or ‘PEG ratio,’ of the S&P 500 is due to lofty growth expectations, not low valuations,” he said.\nHigh Expectations:Analysts are currently projecting long-term S&P 500 earnings growth of 19%, even higher than peak dot-com bubble growth expectations. Like many economic and market sentiment measures, Subramanian said long-term growth expectations have historically been a better contrary indicator than positive indicator. In fact, of the 87 companies that had long-term earnings growth expectations back in 2000, only 15 actually delivered at least 20% LTG over the next five years, Subramanian said.\nLTG projections have historically had a negative 40% correlation to 12-month forward S&P 500 returns. If that correlation were to hold over the next 12 months, it would suggest about 20% downside for theSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(NYSE:SPY) by November 2022.\nBenzinga’s Take:Predicting market moves is far more complicated than analyzing one or even a handful of metrics, such as LTG projections or PEG. However, if 75% of Bank of America’s valuation metrics currently suggest stock valuations are historically high, investors should be prepared for the possibility of a steep correction if the Federal Reserve begins raising interest rates in 2022.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866312266,"gmtCreate":1632733967155,"gmtModify":1632798225704,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy Google when stock is undervalued","listText":"Buy Google when stock is undervalued","text":"Buy Google when stock is undervalued","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866312266","repostId":"1199525738","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":869291848,"gmtCreate":1632288310184,"gmtModify":1632801465914,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"The US stocks are declining in value before the Fed’s announcement.","listText":"The US stocks are declining in value before the Fed’s announcement.","text":"The US stocks are declining in value before the Fed’s announcement.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869291848","repostId":"1116388717","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116388717","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632281770,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1116388717?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-22 11:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's why the Fed won't announce tapering this week<blockquote>这就是美联储本周不会宣布缩减规模的原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116388717","media":"CNN","summary":"New York (CNN Business)The Federal Reserve is unlikely to take its foot off the stimulus gas pedal t","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)The Federal Reserve is unlikely to take its foot off the stimulus gas pedal this week as the recovery has run into some roadblocks.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(CNN Business)美联储本周不太可能松开刺激油门,因为复苏遇到了一些障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Most notably: the Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>最著名的是:德尔塔变异毒株。</blockquote></p><p> Mere weeks ago, investors were convinced the central bank would announce a tapering of its massive pandemic stimulus program at its September meeting, which began Tuesday. But some somber economic data, including a very disappointing jobs report and changes in consumer sentiment on the back of rising Covid-19 cases, have pushed back expectations for the taper timeline.</p><p><blockquote>就在几周前,投资者还相信央行将在周二开始的 9 月份会议上宣布缩减大规模流行病刺激计划。但一些黯淡的经济数据,包括非常令人失望的就业报告以及 Covid-19 病例上升导致消费者信心的变化,推迟了对缩减时间表的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"Given the uncertainty about the pandemic, fiscal policy and economic data, it seems unlikely that they will make any significant announcement,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Funds.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通基金首席全球策略师大卫·凯利表示:“鉴于疫情、财政政策和经济数据的不确定性,他们似乎不太可能发布任何重大公告。”</blockquote></p><p> The Fed's next policy update comes out Wednesday at 2pm ET, followed by a press conference with Chairman Jerome Powell at 2:30 pm ET.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的下一次政策更新将于美国东部时间周三下午 2 点发布,随后将于美国东部时间下午 2:30 与主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔举行新闻发布会。</blockquote></p><p> Kelly expects the central bank to announce a stimulus rollback in November that would start in December.</p><p><blockquote>凯利预计央行将于 11 月宣布从 12 月开始缩减刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed currently buys $120 billion worth of assets every month — $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>美联储目前每月购买价值 1200 亿美元的资产——其中 800 亿美元是国债,400 亿美元是抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p> The idea behind cutting back the purchases was that the economy wouldn't need this kind of stimulus given that the recovery was chugging along on its own. The labor market was improving at a fast pace over most of the summer and inflation spiked to a 13-year high, signaling there might be too much stimulus in the system.</p><p><blockquote>削减购买背后的想法是,鉴于经济复苏正在自行推进,经济不需要这种刺激。劳动力市场在夏季的大部分时间里都在快速改善,通货膨胀率飙升至 13 年来的最高水平,这表明该体系可能有太多的刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed kept saying the high inflation will be temporary, but it also hinted it might soon cut back on its monthly buying spree. Recently, consumer price inflation has come off its peak. Yet it remains at an uncomfortably high level compared to pre-pandemic times.</p><p><blockquote>美联储一直表示高通胀将是暂时的,但也暗示可能很快会削减每月的购买热潮。最近,消费者价格通胀已经脱离了峰值。然而,与大流行前相比,它仍然处于令人不安的高水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's why the Fed won't announce tapering this week<blockquote>这就是美联储本周不会宣布缩减规模的原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's why the Fed won't announce tapering this week<blockquote>这就是美联储本周不会宣布缩减规模的原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-22 11:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)The Federal Reserve is unlikely to take its foot off the stimulus gas pedal this week as the recovery has run into some roadblocks.</p><p><blockquote>纽约(CNN Business)美联储本周不太可能松开刺激油门,因为复苏遇到了一些障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Most notably: the Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>最著名的是:德尔塔变异毒株。</blockquote></p><p> Mere weeks ago, investors were convinced the central bank would announce a tapering of its massive pandemic stimulus program at its September meeting, which began Tuesday. But some somber economic data, including a very disappointing jobs report and changes in consumer sentiment on the back of rising Covid-19 cases, have pushed back expectations for the taper timeline.</p><p><blockquote>就在几周前,投资者还相信央行将在周二开始的 9 月份会议上宣布缩减大规模流行病刺激计划。但一些黯淡的经济数据,包括非常令人失望的就业报告以及 Covid-19 病例上升导致消费者信心的变化,推迟了对缩减时间表的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"Given the uncertainty about the pandemic, fiscal policy and economic data, it seems unlikely that they will make any significant announcement,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Funds.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通基金首席全球策略师大卫·凯利表示:“鉴于疫情、财政政策和经济数据的不确定性,他们似乎不太可能发布任何重大公告。”</blockquote></p><p> The Fed's next policy update comes out Wednesday at 2pm ET, followed by a press conference with Chairman Jerome Powell at 2:30 pm ET.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的下一次政策更新将于美国东部时间周三下午 2 点发布,随后将于美国东部时间下午 2:30 与主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔举行新闻发布会。</blockquote></p><p> Kelly expects the central bank to announce a stimulus rollback in November that would start in December.</p><p><blockquote>凯利预计央行将于 11 月宣布从 12 月开始缩减刺激计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed currently buys $120 billion worth of assets every month — $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>美联储目前每月购买价值 1200 亿美元的资产——其中 800 亿美元是国债,400 亿美元是抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p> The idea behind cutting back the purchases was that the economy wouldn't need this kind of stimulus given that the recovery was chugging along on its own. The labor market was improving at a fast pace over most of the summer and inflation spiked to a 13-year high, signaling there might be too much stimulus in the system.</p><p><blockquote>削减购买背后的想法是,鉴于经济复苏正在自行推进,经济不需要这种刺激。劳动力市场在夏季的大部分时间里都在快速改善,通货膨胀率飙升至 13 年来的最高水平,这表明该体系可能有太多的刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed kept saying the high inflation will be temporary, but it also hinted it might soon cut back on its monthly buying spree. Recently, consumer price inflation has come off its peak. Yet it remains at an uncomfortably high level compared to pre-pandemic times.</p><p><blockquote>美联储一直表示高通胀将是暂时的,但也暗示可能很快会削减每月的购买热潮。最近,消费者价格通胀已经脱离了峰值。然而,与大流行前相比,它仍然处于令人不安的高水平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/09/21/economy/federal-reserve-tapering-delta/index.html\">CNN</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/09/21/economy/federal-reserve-tapering-delta/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116388717","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)The Federal Reserve is unlikely to take its foot off the stimulus gas pedal this week as the recovery has run into some roadblocks.\nMost notably: the Delta variant.\nMere weeks ago, investors were convinced the central bank would announce a tapering of its massive pandemic stimulus program at its September meeting, which began Tuesday. But some somber economic data, including a very disappointing jobs report and changes in consumer sentiment on the back of rising Covid-19 cases, have pushed back expectations for the taper timeline.\n\"Given the uncertainty about the pandemic, fiscal policy and economic data, it seems unlikely that they will make any significant announcement,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Funds.\nThe Fed's next policy update comes out Wednesday at 2pm ET, followed by a press conference with Chairman Jerome Powell at 2:30 pm ET.\nKelly expects the central bank to announce a stimulus rollback in November that would start in December.\nThe Fed currently buys $120 billion worth of assets every month — $80 billion in Treasury securities and $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities.\nThe idea behind cutting back the purchases was that the economy wouldn't need this kind of stimulus given that the recovery was chugging along on its own. The labor market was improving at a fast pace over most of the summer and inflation spiked to a 13-year high, signaling there might be too much stimulus in the system.\nThe Fed kept saying the high inflation will be temporary, but it also hinted it might soon cut back on its monthly buying spree. Recently, consumer price inflation has come off its peak. Yet it remains at an uncomfortably high level compared to pre-pandemic times.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860960465,"gmtCreate":1632122557857,"gmtModify":1632802698962,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Can buy Netflix when it is undervalued ","listText":"Can buy Netflix when it is undervalued ","text":"Can buy Netflix when it is undervalued","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860960465","repostId":"2168501699","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3394,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887313061,"gmtCreate":1631974537653,"gmtModify":1632805013658,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"A potential hike in corporate taxes, inflation and consumer sentiments weigh on markets","listText":"A potential hike in corporate taxes, inflation and consumer sentiments weigh on markets","text":"A potential hike in corporate taxes, inflation and consumer sentiments weigh on markets","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887313061","repostId":"2168716185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886731334,"gmtCreate":1631624712528,"gmtModify":1631890082319,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Google is expanding its technologies on cloud and cybersecurity. ","listText":"Google is expanding its technologies on cloud and cybersecurity. ","text":"Google is expanding its technologies on cloud and cybersecurity.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886731334","repostId":"2167555852","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883487344,"gmtCreate":1631263419688,"gmtModify":1631884166231,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"GameStop is very volatile, not suitable for long term value investment","listText":"GameStop is very volatile, not suitable for long term value investment","text":"GameStop is very volatile, not suitable for long term value investment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883487344","repostId":"1184086591","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880796566,"gmtCreate":1631079276755,"gmtModify":1631884166418,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"GameStop is a cyclical stock","listText":"GameStop is a cyclical stock","text":"GameStop is a cyclical stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880796566","repostId":"2165623369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":805,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817397280,"gmtCreate":1630904453840,"gmtModify":1631890082332,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"US stock market is closed on Labor Day","listText":"US stock market is closed on Labor Day","text":"US stock market is closed on Labor Day","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817397280","repostId":"1126654067","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126654067","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630885254,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1126654067?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>美国股市在劳动节开市吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126654067","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be cl","content":"<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.</p><p><blockquote>对于华尔街投资者来说,这是非正式的夏季最后一次欢呼。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.</p><p><blockquote>美国金融市场将于 9 月 6 日星期一劳动节休市,标志着美国为期三天的周末,此前股市经历了大部分精彩的表现。尽管人们对冠状病毒德尔塔变异毒株的传播感到担忧,并且对美联储在去年疫情爆发时实施的宽松货币政策最终撤销的时间表感到不安,但股市还是出现了上涨。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.</p><p><blockquote>周一,美国证券交易所,包括洲际交易所(Intercontinental Exchange Inc.)和纳斯达克公司旗下的纽约证券交易所(New York Stock Exchange Inc.)将休市,因此不要关注道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数或纳斯达克综合指数等个股或指数的任何波动。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数在 2021 年已创下 54 个收盘历史新高,并有望在周五创下第 55 个收盘历史新高,而纳斯达克综合指数有望创下今年第 35 个历史新高。周五下午三点左右,道琼斯指数较 8 月 16 日的纪录上涨不到一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Sifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益证券行业贸易组织Sifma也建议劳动节债券市场休市,包括交易10年期国债,在美国8月就业报告弱于预期后,10年期国债收益率约为1.33%。</blockquote></p><p> However, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>然而,美国劳工部的就业报告显示,8 月份新增就业岗位 23.5 万个,远低于预期的 70 多万个,但未能降低主权债务投资者对美联储近期宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元国债和抵押贷款支持证券购买规模的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Trading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所大多数商品期货交易,包括 Nymex 原油和 Comex 黄金,也将于周一停止交易。</blockquote></p><p> Is there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?</p><p><blockquote>除了在美国度假和烧烤之外,这个假期对普通投资者来说还有什么意义吗?</blockquote></p><p> Probably not.</p><p><blockquote>可能不会。</blockquote></p><p> But the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.</p><p><blockquote>但道琼斯市场数据显示,近年来五月阵亡将士纪念日至九月劳动节期间对投资者来说是一个看涨时期。例如,道琼斯指数在此期间上涨了约 2%,平均上涨 1.3%,65% 的时间都创下了上涨纪录。道琼斯指数目前在过去六个阵亡将士纪念日/劳动节期间取得连胜,这是自1989年以来最长的连胜纪录。去年,市场在此期间上涨了近 15%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f0f061a4ddd2ca31c53f8aa68e3cce\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>标普500也取得了类似的连胜势头,在阵亡将士纪念日-劳动节期间迄今已上涨近 8%。过去几年同期上涨了 70% 以上,平均涨幅为 1.7%。2020 年同期,大盘指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c780a46e32d055feb3e3f5e10fc987f\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.</p><p><blockquote>但如果说劳动节交易有一个真正的趋势,那可能就是 MarketWatch 的史蒂夫-戈尔茨坦(Steve Goldstein)援引雷蒙德-詹姆斯(Raymond James)策略师塔维斯-麦考特(Tavis McCourt)的话说,在过去两年中,节后股市存在很大的价值和周期性偏差,2018 年,市场在夏季结束后基本上崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p> It is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.</p><p><blockquote>不可能知道这次股市上涨是否会类似地消失,但华尔街越来越认为估值过高,股指将从当前高点回调至少 5% 或更多。</blockquote></p><p> Markets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.</p><p><blockquote>周二市场将恢复正常交易,当然,包括伦敦富时 100 指数和泛欧斯托克欧洲 600 指数在内的欧洲证券交易所将于周一开盘,亚洲市场、日经 225 指数、香港恒生指数和上证综合指数也将开盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>美国股市在劳动节开市吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>美国股市在劳动节开市吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-06 07:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.</p><p><blockquote>对于华尔街投资者来说,这是非正式的夏季最后一次欢呼。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.</p><p><blockquote>美国金融市场将于 9 月 6 日星期一劳动节休市,标志着美国为期三天的周末,此前股市经历了大部分精彩的表现。尽管人们对冠状病毒德尔塔变异毒株的传播感到担忧,并且对美联储在去年疫情爆发时实施的宽松货币政策最终撤销的时间表感到不安,但股市还是出现了上涨。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.</p><p><blockquote>周一,美国证券交易所,包括洲际交易所(Intercontinental Exchange Inc.)和纳斯达克公司旗下的纽约证券交易所(New York Stock Exchange Inc.)将休市,因此不要关注道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数或纳斯达克综合指数等个股或指数的任何波动。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数在 2021 年已创下 54 个收盘历史新高,并有望在周五创下第 55 个收盘历史新高,而纳斯达克综合指数有望创下今年第 35 个历史新高。周五下午三点左右,道琼斯指数较 8 月 16 日的纪录上涨不到一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Sifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益证券行业贸易组织Sifma也建议劳动节债券市场休市,包括交易10年期国债,在美国8月就业报告弱于预期后,10年期国债收益率约为1.33%。</blockquote></p><p> However, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>然而,美国劳工部的就业报告显示,8 月份新增就业岗位 23.5 万个,远低于预期的 70 多万个,但未能降低主权债务投资者对美联储近期宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元国债和抵押贷款支持证券购买规模的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Trading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所大多数商品期货交易,包括 Nymex 原油和 Comex 黄金,也将于周一停止交易。</blockquote></p><p> Is there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?</p><p><blockquote>除了在美国度假和烧烤之外,这个假期对普通投资者来说还有什么意义吗?</blockquote></p><p> Probably not.</p><p><blockquote>可能不会。</blockquote></p><p> But the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.</p><p><blockquote>但道琼斯市场数据显示,近年来五月阵亡将士纪念日至九月劳动节期间对投资者来说是一个看涨时期。例如,道琼斯指数在此期间上涨了约 2%,平均上涨 1.3%,65% 的时间都创下了上涨纪录。道琼斯指数目前在过去六个阵亡将士纪念日/劳动节期间取得连胜,这是自1989年以来最长的连胜纪录。去年,市场在此期间上涨了近 15%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f0f061a4ddd2ca31c53f8aa68e3cce\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>标普500也取得了类似的连胜势头,在阵亡将士纪念日-劳动节期间迄今已上涨近 8%。过去几年同期上涨了 70% 以上,平均涨幅为 1.7%。2020 年同期,大盘指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c780a46e32d055feb3e3f5e10fc987f\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.</p><p><blockquote>但如果说劳动节交易有一个真正的趋势,那可能就是 MarketWatch 的史蒂夫-戈尔茨坦(Steve Goldstein)援引雷蒙德-詹姆斯(Raymond James)策略师塔维斯-麦考特(Tavis McCourt)的话说,在过去两年中,节后股市存在很大的价值和周期性偏差,2018 年,市场在夏季结束后基本上崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p> It is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.</p><p><blockquote>不可能知道这次股市上涨是否会类似地消失,但华尔街越来越认为估值过高,股指将从当前高点回调至少 5% 或更多。</blockquote></p><p> Markets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.</p><p><blockquote>周二市场将恢复正常交易,当然,包括伦敦富时 100 指数和泛欧斯托克欧洲 600 指数在内的欧洲证券交易所将于周一开盘,亚洲市场、日经 225 指数、香港恒生指数和上证综合指数也将开盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ICE":"洲际交易所",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126654067","content_text":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.\nOn Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.\nThe S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.\nSifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.\nHowever, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.\nTrading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.\nIs there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?\nProbably not.\nBut the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nThe S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nBut if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.\nIt is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.\nMarkets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ICE":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814193048,"gmtCreate":1630786815084,"gmtModify":1631890082340,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tech stocks are still on the rise. ","listText":"Tech stocks are still on the rise. ","text":"Tech stocks are still on the rise.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814193048","repostId":"2164803577","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1048,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815568063,"gmtCreate":1630697992952,"gmtModify":1631890082360,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Bitcoin continues to push higher. ","listText":"Bitcoin continues to push higher. ","text":"Bitcoin continues to push higher.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815568063","repostId":"1105876391","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1043,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818173445,"gmtCreate":1630389749487,"gmtModify":1704959565915,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Create opportunity to buy stocks which are undervalued. ","listText":"Create opportunity to buy stocks which are undervalued. ","text":"Create opportunity to buy stocks which are undervalued.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818173445","repostId":"1166823756","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1182,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813773934,"gmtCreate":1630259655328,"gmtModify":1704957506688,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cryptocurrency investment is on the rising trend.","listText":"Cryptocurrency investment is on the rising trend.","text":"Cryptocurrency investment is on the rising trend.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813773934","repostId":"2162733980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810348229,"gmtCreate":1629947469061,"gmtModify":1631890082388,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Biotech innovation stocks are on the limelight and need our consideration whether to accumulate these stocks","listText":"Biotech innovation stocks are on the limelight and need our consideration whether to accumulate these stocks","text":"Biotech innovation stocks are on the limelight and need our consideration whether to accumulate these stocks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/810348229","repostId":"1124672679","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1009,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837808629,"gmtCreate":1629870220461,"gmtModify":1631890082400,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"This act is to maintain an equilibrium on demand and supply of cash and uplift the market sentiment. ","listText":"This act is to maintain an equilibrium on demand and supply of cash and uplift the market sentiment. ","text":"This act is to maintain an equilibrium on demand and supply of cash and uplift the market sentiment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837808629","repostId":"2162109036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":984,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834628880,"gmtCreate":1629799410440,"gmtModify":1631890082408,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"More and more digital currencies are used in payment","listText":"More and more digital currencies are used in payment","text":"More and more digital currencies are used in payment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834628880","repostId":"1114602446","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114602446","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629798695,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1114602446?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 17:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin down, other cryptocurrencies mixed early Tuesday morning<blockquote>比特币下跌,其他加密货币周二早盘涨跌互现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114602446","media":"FOX Business","summary":"Ethereum and Dogecoin were trading around $3,338 (+0.07%) and 31.5 cents (-3.23%), respectively, per","content":"<p><i>Ethereum and Dogecoin were trading around $3,338 (+0.07%) and 31.5 cents (-3.23%), respectively, per coin.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>以太币和狗狗币的交易价格分别约为每枚 3,338 美元(+0.07%)和 31.5 美分(-3.23%)。</i></blockquote></p><p> The price of Bitcoin was lower by more than 1% Tuesday morning as other major cryptocurrencies were mixed.</p><p><blockquote>由于其他主要加密货币涨跌互现,比特币的价格周二上午下跌了1%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The price was around $49,740 per coin, while rivals Ethereum and Dogecoin were trading around $3,338 (+0.07%) and 31.5 cents (-3.23%) per coin, respectively, according to Coindesk.</p><p><blockquote>根据Coindesk的数据,每枚硬币的价格约为49,740美元,而竞争对手以太币和狗狗币的交易价格分别约为3338美元(+0.07%)和31.5美分(-3.23%)。</blockquote></p><p> In cryptocurrency news early Tuesday, a high-severity security issue in the code of Ethereum’s most popular software client, Geth, was released earlier in the day, Coindesk reported.</p><p><blockquote>据 Coindesk 报道,周二早些时候的加密货币新闻中,以太币最受欢迎的软件客户端 Geth 的代码中出现了一个严重的安全问题。</blockquote></p><p> Details of the fixes weren’t disclosed \"to give node operators and dependent downstream projects time to update their nodes and software,\" according to a posting on the release page.</p><p><blockquote>根据发布页面上的一篇帖子,修复的细节没有披露,“是为了给节点运营商和依赖的下游项目时间更新他们的节点和软件”。</blockquote></p><p> China’s digital yuan has been used to pay storage fees to a delivery warehouse in the Chinese city of Dalian, marking the first use of its kind within the domestic futures market.</p><p><blockquote>中国的数字人民币已被用于向中国大连市的一个交割仓库支付仓储费,这标志着中国期货市场首次使用数字人民币。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5675681f61f2c43e38e8e64c1b7478f3\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The price of Bitcoin was lower by more than 1% on Tuesday. Aug. 24 2021, as other major cryptocurrencies were mixed.(iStock / iStock)</p><p><blockquote>比特币的价格周二下跌了1%以上。2021 年 8 月 24 日,其他主要加密货币涨跌互现。(iStock / iStock)</blockquote></p><p> According to a report in The China Securities Journal Monday, the Dalian Commodity Exchange had paid the fees to Dalian Liangyun Group Storage and Transportation Co., Ltd.</p><p><blockquote>据《中国证券报》周一报道,大连商品交易所已向大连良运集团储运有限公司支付了费用。</blockquote></p><p> Local branches of the Bank of Communications and the Dalian branch of the Bank of China assisted in the transaction, Coindesk reported.</p><p><blockquote>据 Coindesk 报道,交通银行当地分行和中国银行大连分行协助了这笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> China's digital yuan, digital renminbi, or e-CNY is a digital version of the country's physical notes issued by the People's Bank of China (PBoC).</p><p><blockquote>中国的数字人民币、数字人民币或e-CNY是中国人民银行(PBoC)发行的中国实体纸币的数字版本。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1602566126337","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin down, other cryptocurrencies mixed early Tuesday morning<blockquote>比特币下跌,其他加密货币周二早盘涨跌互现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin down, other cryptocurrencies mixed early Tuesday morning<blockquote>比特币下跌,其他加密货币周二早盘涨跌互现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">FOX Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-24 17:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>Ethereum and Dogecoin were trading around $3,338 (+0.07%) and 31.5 cents (-3.23%), respectively, per coin.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>以太币和狗狗币的交易价格分别约为每枚 3,338 美元(+0.07%)和 31.5 美分(-3.23%)。</i></blockquote></p><p> The price of Bitcoin was lower by more than 1% Tuesday morning as other major cryptocurrencies were mixed.</p><p><blockquote>由于其他主要加密货币涨跌互现,比特币的价格周二上午下跌了1%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The price was around $49,740 per coin, while rivals Ethereum and Dogecoin were trading around $3,338 (+0.07%) and 31.5 cents (-3.23%) per coin, respectively, according to Coindesk.</p><p><blockquote>根据Coindesk的数据,每枚硬币的价格约为49,740美元,而竞争对手以太币和狗狗币的交易价格分别约为3338美元(+0.07%)和31.5美分(-3.23%)。</blockquote></p><p> In cryptocurrency news early Tuesday, a high-severity security issue in the code of Ethereum’s most popular software client, Geth, was released earlier in the day, Coindesk reported.</p><p><blockquote>据 Coindesk 报道,周二早些时候的加密货币新闻中,以太币最受欢迎的软件客户端 Geth 的代码中出现了一个严重的安全问题。</blockquote></p><p> Details of the fixes weren’t disclosed \"to give node operators and dependent downstream projects time to update their nodes and software,\" according to a posting on the release page.</p><p><blockquote>根据发布页面上的一篇帖子,修复的细节没有披露,“是为了给节点运营商和依赖的下游项目时间更新他们的节点和软件”。</blockquote></p><p> China’s digital yuan has been used to pay storage fees to a delivery warehouse in the Chinese city of Dalian, marking the first use of its kind within the domestic futures market.</p><p><blockquote>中国的数字人民币已被用于向中国大连市的一个交割仓库支付仓储费,这标志着中国期货市场首次使用数字人民币。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5675681f61f2c43e38e8e64c1b7478f3\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The price of Bitcoin was lower by more than 1% on Tuesday. Aug. 24 2021, as other major cryptocurrencies were mixed.(iStock / iStock)</p><p><blockquote>比特币的价格周二下跌了1%以上。2021 年 8 月 24 日,其他主要加密货币涨跌互现。(iStock / iStock)</blockquote></p><p> According to a report in The China Securities Journal Monday, the Dalian Commodity Exchange had paid the fees to Dalian Liangyun Group Storage and Transportation Co., Ltd.</p><p><blockquote>据《中国证券报》周一报道,大连商品交易所已向大连良运集团储运有限公司支付了费用。</blockquote></p><p> Local branches of the Bank of Communications and the Dalian branch of the Bank of China assisted in the transaction, Coindesk reported.</p><p><blockquote>据 Coindesk 报道,交通银行当地分行和中国银行大连分行协助了这笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> China's digital yuan, digital renminbi, or e-CNY is a digital version of the country's physical notes issued by the People's Bank of China (PBoC).</p><p><blockquote>中国的数字人民币、数字人民币或e-CNY是中国人民银行(PBoC)发行的中国实体纸币的数字版本。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/bitcoin-down-other-cryptocurrencies-mixed-early-tuesday-morning\">FOX Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/bitcoin-down-other-cryptocurrencies-mixed-early-tuesday-morning","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114602446","content_text":"Ethereum and Dogecoin were trading around $3,338 (+0.07%) and 31.5 cents (-3.23%), respectively, per coin.\nThe price of Bitcoin was lower by more than 1% Tuesday morning as other major cryptocurrencies were mixed.\nThe price was around $49,740 per coin, while rivals Ethereum and Dogecoin were trading around $3,338 (+0.07%) and 31.5 cents (-3.23%) per coin, respectively, according to Coindesk.\nIn cryptocurrency news early Tuesday, a high-severity security issue in the code of Ethereum’s most popular software client, Geth, was released earlier in the day, Coindesk reported.\nDetails of the fixes weren’t disclosed \"to give node operators and dependent downstream projects time to update their nodes and software,\" according to a posting on the release page.\nChina’s digital yuan has been used to pay storage fees to a delivery warehouse in the Chinese city of Dalian, marking the first use of its kind within the domestic futures market.\n\nThe price of Bitcoin was lower by more than 1% on Tuesday. Aug. 24 2021, as other major cryptocurrencies were mixed.(iStock / iStock)\nAccording to a report in The China Securities Journal Monday, the Dalian Commodity Exchange had paid the fees to Dalian Liangyun Group Storage and Transportation Co., Ltd.\nLocal branches of the Bank of Communications and the Dalian branch of the Bank of China assisted in the transaction, Coindesk reported.\nChina's digital yuan, digital renminbi, or e-CNY is a digital version of the country's physical notes issued by the People's Bank of China (PBoC).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":887313061,"gmtCreate":1631974537653,"gmtModify":1632805013658,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"A potential hike in corporate taxes, inflation and consumer sentiments weigh on markets","listText":"A potential hike in corporate taxes, inflation and consumer sentiments weigh on markets","text":"A potential hike in corporate taxes, inflation and consumer sentiments weigh on markets","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887313061","repostId":"2168716185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4239,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":866312266,"gmtCreate":1632733967155,"gmtModify":1632798225704,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Buy Google when stock is undervalued","listText":"Buy Google when stock is undervalued","text":"Buy Google when stock is undervalued","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866312266","repostId":"1199525738","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":895615381,"gmtCreate":1628738538943,"gmtModify":1631892674924,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Inflation growth is tied to upbeat in economic growth, indicating stocks price have advanced to the peak too","listText":"Inflation growth is tied to upbeat in economic growth, indicating stocks price have advanced to the peak too","text":"Inflation growth is tied to upbeat in economic growth, indicating stocks price have advanced to the peak too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895615381","repostId":"2158235575","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803723131,"gmtCreate":1627465604123,"gmtModify":1631888966785,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Two of the Faang stocks reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that surpassed Wall Street analysts' expectations","listText":"Two of the Faang stocks reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that surpassed Wall Street analysts' expectations","text":"Two of the Faang stocks reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that surpassed Wall Street analysts' expectations","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803723131","repostId":"2154405999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175219375,"gmtCreate":1627033594397,"gmtModify":1633768607366,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tech stocks are on the rise","listText":"Tech stocks are on the rise","text":"Tech stocks are on the rise","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175219375","repostId":"1164478982","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152535890,"gmtCreate":1625309148310,"gmtModify":1633941559174,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Use Dollar Cost Averaging to invest in stocks of sound fundamental and undervalued","listText":"Use Dollar Cost Averaging to invest in stocks of sound fundamental and undervalued","text":"Use Dollar Cost Averaging to invest in stocks of sound fundamental and undervalued","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152535890","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1188153141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让包括苏兹-奥曼(Suze Orman)在内的投资专家感到担忧,她甚至表示自己现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一个著名指标——被称为巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对这种担忧从何而来的解释,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏兹·奥曼怎么想?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>媒体打孔/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>苏兹·奥曼几十年来一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼在 CNBC 的一段视频中说:”我不喜欢我现在在市场上看到的情况。“经济形势很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样简单,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激检查仍在进行中,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍然担心冠状病毒会带来什么——尤其是在新变种不断涌现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得自从上次撞车以来,已经太久了,不能再在这个高度停留太久了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说:”这让我再次想起了 2000 年。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特(Warren Buffett)经常用来评估市场的一个指标,以他的名字命名,这个指标已经出现了足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑它是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但巴菲特指标(衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出之比的指标)继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士不禁要问,这是否是我们即将迎来一场硬着陆的征兆。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为撞车做好准备Freedomz / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 低买入</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等备受关注的股票感到非常不安,部分原因是它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“她说:”你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面。“你只想让这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金是在 401(k) 或 IRA 计划中用于退休投资。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年都不打算动用这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低价买入。这样,您的美元现在将走得更远,为未来 20、30 或 40 年的增长留下充足的空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡特延 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然奥曼更喜欢低价买入,但她并不建议您在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的起伏之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济衰退欢呼可能是你获得更多利润丰厚投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在 2007 年和 2008 年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说:”当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费买到东西。“现在看看 15 年后的他们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议您制定美元成本平均策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,您都要定期等额投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易在目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中实现。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至还有一些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的备用零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助抵御市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过对许多不同类型资产和经济部门的投资来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法可以让你购买一家大牌公司的股份,否则你将买不起这部分股份。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在不受欢迎的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的任何人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼说:”越早开始,你的钱就越多。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该非常高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的股票”。</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股份越多,20 年、40 年、50 年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在 CNBC 视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否迫在眉睫,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择罗斯账户,无论是 401(k) 还是 IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>当您从退休账户中提取资金时,这将帮助您避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的缴款是在税后进行的。另一方面,传统的 IRA 在您供款时无需缴税,因此您最终会在以后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果你发现你需要更多的指导,与专业的财务顾问合作,可以帮助你指出正确的方向,这样你就可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离航向或过度纠正时,你将牢牢掌握在驾驶座上,计划着你的夕阳西下。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>苏兹·奥曼 (Suze Orman) 担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让包括苏兹-奥曼(Suze Orman)在内的投资专家感到担忧,她甚至表示自己现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一个著名指标——被称为巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对这种担忧从何而来的解释,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏兹·奥曼怎么想?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>媒体打孔/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>苏兹·奥曼几十年来一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼在 CNBC 的一段视频中说:”我不喜欢我现在在市场上看到的情况。“经济形势很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨”。</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样简单,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激检查仍在进行中,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍然担心冠状病毒会带来什么——尤其是在新变种不断涌现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得自从上次撞车以来,已经太久了,不能再在这个高度停留太久了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说:”这让我再次想起了 2000 年。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦-巴菲特(Warren Buffett)经常用来评估市场的一个指标,以他的名字命名,这个指标已经出现了足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑它是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但巴菲特指标(衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出之比的指标)继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士不禁要问,这是否是我们即将迎来一场硬着陆的征兆。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为撞车做好准备Freedomz / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 低买入</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等备受关注的股票感到非常不安,部分原因是它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“她说:”你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面。“你只想让这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金是在 401(k) 或 IRA 计划中用于退休投资。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年都不打算动用这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低价买入。这样,您的美元现在将走得更远,为未来 20、30 或 40 年的增长留下充足的空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡特延 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然奥曼更喜欢低价买入,但她并不建议您在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的起伏之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济衰退欢呼可能是你获得更多利润丰厚投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在 2007 年和 2008 年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥尔曼说:”当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费买到东西。“现在看看 15 年后的他们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议您制定美元成本平均策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,您都要定期等额投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易在目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中实现。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至还有一些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的备用零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助抵御市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过对许多不同类型资产和经济部门的投资来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法可以让你购买一家大牌公司的股份,否则你将买不起这部分股份。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在不受欢迎的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的任何人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“奥曼说:”越早开始,你的钱就越多。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该非常高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的股票”。</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股份越多,20 年、40 年、50 年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹 / Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在 CNBC 视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否迫在眉睫,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>首先,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择罗斯账户,无论是 401(k) 还是 IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>当您从退休账户中提取资金时,这将帮助您避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的缴款是在税后进行的。另一方面,传统的 IRA 在您供款时无需缴税,因此您最终会在以后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果你发现你需要更多的指导,与专业的财务顾问合作,可以帮助你指出正确的方向,这样你就可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离航向或过度纠正时,你将牢牢掌握在驾驶座上,计划着你的夕阳西下。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173375622,"gmtCreate":1626623978066,"gmtModify":1633925430278,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173375622","repostId":"1123523681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817397280,"gmtCreate":1630904453840,"gmtModify":1631890082332,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"US stock market is closed on Labor Day","listText":"US stock market is closed on Labor Day","text":"US stock market is closed on Labor Day","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817397280","repostId":"1126654067","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126654067","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630885254,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1126654067?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 07:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>美国股市在劳动节开市吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126654067","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be cl","content":"<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.</p><p><blockquote>对于华尔街投资者来说,这是非正式的夏季最后一次欢呼。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.</p><p><blockquote>美国金融市场将于 9 月 6 日星期一劳动节休市,标志着美国为期三天的周末,此前股市经历了大部分精彩的表现。尽管人们对冠状病毒德尔塔变异毒株的传播感到担忧,并且对美联储在去年疫情爆发时实施的宽松货币政策最终撤销的时间表感到不安,但股市还是出现了上涨。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.</p><p><blockquote>周一,美国证券交易所,包括洲际交易所(Intercontinental Exchange Inc.)和纳斯达克公司旗下的纽约证券交易所(New York Stock Exchange Inc.)将休市,因此不要关注道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数或纳斯达克综合指数等个股或指数的任何波动。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数在 2021 年已创下 54 个收盘历史新高,并有望在周五创下第 55 个收盘历史新高,而纳斯达克综合指数有望创下今年第 35 个历史新高。周五下午三点左右,道琼斯指数较 8 月 16 日的纪录上涨不到一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Sifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益证券行业贸易组织Sifma也建议劳动节债券市场休市,包括交易10年期国债,在美国8月就业报告弱于预期后,10年期国债收益率约为1.33%。</blockquote></p><p> However, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>然而,美国劳工部的就业报告显示,8 月份新增就业岗位 23.5 万个,远低于预期的 70 多万个,但未能降低主权债务投资者对美联储近期宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元国债和抵押贷款支持证券购买规模的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Trading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所大多数商品期货交易,包括 Nymex 原油和 Comex 黄金,也将于周一停止交易。</blockquote></p><p> Is there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?</p><p><blockquote>除了在美国度假和烧烤之外,这个假期对普通投资者来说还有什么意义吗?</blockquote></p><p> Probably not.</p><p><blockquote>可能不会。</blockquote></p><p> But the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.</p><p><blockquote>但道琼斯市场数据显示,近年来五月阵亡将士纪念日至九月劳动节期间对投资者来说是一个看涨时期。例如,道琼斯指数在此期间上涨了约 2%,平均上涨 1.3%,65% 的时间都创下了上涨纪录。道琼斯指数目前在过去六个阵亡将士纪念日/劳动节期间取得连胜,这是自1989年以来最长的连胜纪录。去年,市场在此期间上涨了近 15%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f0f061a4ddd2ca31c53f8aa68e3cce\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>标普500也取得了类似的连胜势头,在阵亡将士纪念日-劳动节期间迄今已上涨近 8%。过去几年同期上涨了 70% 以上,平均涨幅为 1.7%。2020 年同期,大盘指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c780a46e32d055feb3e3f5e10fc987f\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.</p><p><blockquote>但如果说劳动节交易有一个真正的趋势,那可能就是 MarketWatch 的史蒂夫-戈尔茨坦(Steve Goldstein)援引雷蒙德-詹姆斯(Raymond James)策略师塔维斯-麦考特(Tavis McCourt)的话说,在过去两年中,节后股市存在很大的价值和周期性偏差,2018 年,市场在夏季结束后基本上崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p> It is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.</p><p><blockquote>不可能知道这次股市上涨是否会类似地消失,但华尔街越来越认为估值过高,股指将从当前高点回调至少 5% 或更多。</blockquote></p><p> Markets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.</p><p><blockquote>周二市场将恢复正常交易,当然,包括伦敦富时 100 指数和泛欧斯托克欧洲 600 指数在内的欧洲证券交易所将于周一开盘,亚洲市场、日经 225 指数、香港恒生指数和上证综合指数也将开盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>美国股市在劳动节开市吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs the U.S. stock market open on Labor Day?<blockquote>美国股市在劳动节开市吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-06 07:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.</p><p><blockquote>对于华尔街投资者来说,这是非正式的夏季最后一次欢呼。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.</p><p><blockquote>美国金融市场将于 9 月 6 日星期一劳动节休市,标志着美国为期三天的周末,此前股市经历了大部分精彩的表现。尽管人们对冠状病毒德尔塔变异毒株的传播感到担忧,并且对美联储在去年疫情爆发时实施的宽松货币政策最终撤销的时间表感到不安,但股市还是出现了上涨。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.</p><p><blockquote>周一,美国证券交易所,包括洲际交易所(Intercontinental Exchange Inc.)和纳斯达克公司旗下的纽约证券交易所(New York Stock Exchange Inc.)将休市,因此不要关注道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数或纳斯达克综合指数等个股或指数的任何波动。</blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.</p><p><blockquote>标普500指数在 2021 年已创下 54 个收盘历史新高,并有望在周五创下第 55 个收盘历史新高,而纳斯达克综合指数有望创下今年第 35 个历史新高。周五下午三点左右,道琼斯指数较 8 月 16 日的纪录上涨不到一个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Sifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>固定收益证券行业贸易组织Sifma也建议劳动节债券市场休市,包括交易10年期国债,在美国8月就业报告弱于预期后,10年期国债收益率约为1.33%。</blockquote></p><p> However, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.</p><p><blockquote>然而,美国劳工部的就业报告显示,8 月份新增就业岗位 23.5 万个,远低于预期的 70 多万个,但未能降低主权债务投资者对美联储近期宣布缩减每月 1200 亿美元国债和抵押贷款支持证券购买规模的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Trading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所大多数商品期货交易,包括 Nymex 原油和 Comex 黄金,也将于周一停止交易。</blockquote></p><p> Is there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?</p><p><blockquote>除了在美国度假和烧烤之外,这个假期对普通投资者来说还有什么意义吗?</blockquote></p><p> Probably not.</p><p><blockquote>可能不会。</blockquote></p><p> But the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.</p><p><blockquote>但道琼斯市场数据显示,近年来五月阵亡将士纪念日至九月劳动节期间对投资者来说是一个看涨时期。例如,道琼斯指数在此期间上涨了约 2%,平均上涨 1.3%,65% 的时间都创下了上涨纪录。道琼斯指数目前在过去六个阵亡将士纪念日/劳动节期间取得连胜,这是自1989年以来最长的连胜纪录。去年,市场在此期间上涨了近 15%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3f0f061a4ddd2ca31c53f8aa68e3cce\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>标普500也取得了类似的连胜势头,在阵亡将士纪念日-劳动节期间迄今已上涨近 8%。过去几年同期上涨了 70% 以上,平均涨幅为 1.7%。2020 年同期,大盘指数上涨了 16%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c780a46e32d055feb3e3f5e10fc987f\" tg-width=\"699\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>DOW JONES MARKET DATA</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>道琼斯市场数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.</p><p><blockquote>但如果说劳动节交易有一个真正的趋势,那可能就是 MarketWatch 的史蒂夫-戈尔茨坦(Steve Goldstein)援引雷蒙德-詹姆斯(Raymond James)策略师塔维斯-麦考特(Tavis McCourt)的话说,在过去两年中,节后股市存在很大的价值和周期性偏差,2018 年,市场在夏季结束后基本上崩溃了。</blockquote></p><p> It is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.</p><p><blockquote>不可能知道这次股市上涨是否会类似地消失,但华尔街越来越认为估值过高,股指将从当前高点回调至少 5% 或更多。</blockquote></p><p> Markets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.</p><p><blockquote>周二市场将恢复正常交易,当然,包括伦敦富时 100 指数和泛欧斯托克欧洲 600 指数在内的欧洲证券交易所将于周一开盘,亚洲市场、日经 225 指数、香港恒生指数和上证综合指数也将开盘。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ICE":"洲际交易所",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-the-u-s-stock-market-open-on-labor-day-11630697597?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126654067","content_text":"It is unofficially summer’s last hurrah for Wall Street investors.\nU.S. financial markets will be closed for Labor Day on Monday, Sept. 6, marking a three-day weekend in the U.S., following what has been a mostly spectacular run for the stock market. The rally came despite concerns about the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus and unease about the timetable for an eventual rollback of easy-money policies implemented by the Federal Reserve at the onset of the pandemic last year.\nOn Monday, U.S. stock exchanges, including the Intercontinental Exchange Inc. -owned New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Inc.,will be closed, so don’t look for any action in individual stocks or indexes including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite indexes.\nThe S&P 500 has already notched 54 record closing highs in 2021 and was looking for its 55th on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite was on track to book its 35th all-time high of the year. The Dow stood less than a percentage point from its Aug. 16 record, mid-afternoon Friday.\nSifma, the securities-industry trade group for fixed-income, also has recommended the bond market close on Labor Day, including trading in the 10-year Treasury note,which was yielding around 1.33% after the U.S. August jobs report came in weaker than expected.\nHowever, the Labor Department’s employment report,which showed that 235,000 jobs were created in August, far below expectations for more than 700,000, failed to dull expectations among sovereign debt investors for a near-term announcement of tapering of the Fed’s $120 billion in monthly purchases in Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.\nTrading in most commodity futures, including Nymex crude-oil and Comex gold,on U.S. exchanges will also be halted Monday.\nIs there any significance to the holiday for average investors, besides the time off in the U.S. and the barbecues?\nProbably not.\nBut the May Memorial Day to September Labor Day period in recent years has proven a bullish stretch one for investors, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The Dow, for example, is up by about 2% over that period and averages a gain of 1.3%, producing a winning record 65% of the time. The Dow is currently enjoying a win streak, over the past six Memorial Day/Labor Day periods, representing the longest win streak since 1989. Last year, the markets gained nearly 15% over that time.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nThe S&P 500 is on a similar win streak and is up nearly 8% so far this Memorial Day-Labor Day period. It has risen more than 70% over that period in past years and averages a 1.7% gain. The broad-market index rose 16% during that time in 2020.\nDOW JONES MARKET DATA\nBut if there is a bona fide trend in the Labor Day trading it may be this one that MarketWatch’s Steve Goldstein reports, quoting Raymond James strategist Tavis McCourt, who says that in the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after the holiday, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close.\nIt is impossible to know if the stock market rally will peter out similarly this time around but there is a growing sense on Wall Street that valuations are too lofty and equity indexes are due for a pullback of at least 5% or better from current heights.\nMarkets will be back to business as usual on Tuesday and, of course, European bourses, including London’s FTSE 100 index and the pan-European Stoxx Europe 600 will be open on Monday, as well as Asian markets, the Nikkei 225,Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite Index.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ICE":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831946697,"gmtCreate":1629283292619,"gmtModify":1631890082424,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"These 3 stocks stand strong and perform better during pandemic period","listText":"These 3 stocks stand strong and perform better during pandemic period","text":"These 3 stocks stand strong and perform better during pandemic period","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831946697","repostId":"1114089066","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114089066","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629280201,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1114089066?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 17:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Software-As-Service Leaders Set For Strong Earnings As Q2 Season Winds Down<blockquote>随着第二季度季度结束,3 家软件即服务领导者将实现强劲盈利</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114089066","media":"investing.com","summary":"Wall Street’s second quarter earnings season has all but wound down, but results in the coming weeks","content":"<p><div> Wall Street’s second quarter earnings season has all but wound down, but results in the coming weeks are due from a variety of cloud-computing Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) companies. The sector sold ...</p><p><blockquote><div>华尔街第二季度财报季即将结束,但未来几周的业绩将来自各种云计算软件即服务(SaaS)公司。该部门出售……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.investing.com/analysis/3-softwareasservice-leaders-set-for-strong-earnings-as-q2-season-winds-down-200599181\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.investing.com/analysis/3-softwareasservice-leaders-set-for-strong-earnings-as-q2-season-winds-down-200599181\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1594375853987","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Software-As-Service Leaders Set For Strong Earnings As Q2 Season Winds Down<blockquote>随着第二季度季度结束,3 家软件即服务领导者将实现强劲盈利</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Software-As-Service Leaders Set For Strong Earnings As Q2 Season Winds Down<blockquote>随着第二季度季度结束,3 家软件即服务领导者将实现强劲盈利</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">investing.com</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-18 17:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Wall Street’s second quarter earnings season has all but wound down, but results in the coming weeks are due from a variety of cloud-computing Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) companies. The sector sold ...</p><p><blockquote><div>华尔街第二季度财报季即将结束,但未来几周的业绩将来自各种云计算软件即服务(SaaS)公司。该部门出售……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.investing.com/analysis/3-softwareasservice-leaders-set-for-strong-earnings-as-q2-season-winds-down-200599181\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.investing.com/analysis/3-softwareasservice-leaders-set-for-strong-earnings-as-q2-season-winds-down-200599181\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.investing.com/analysis/3-softwareasservice-leaders-set-for-strong-earnings-as-q2-season-winds-down-200599181\">investing.com</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OKTA":"Okta Inc.","SKYY":"First Trust Cloud Computing ETF","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","DOCU":"Docusign"},"source_url":"https://www.investing.com/analysis/3-softwareasservice-leaders-set-for-strong-earnings-as-q2-season-winds-down-200599181","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114089066","content_text":"Wall Street’s second quarter earnings season has all but wound down, but results in the coming weeks are due from a variety of cloud-computing Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) companies.\nThe sector sold off sharply earlier this year amid valuation concerns, before it regained its footing, with the First Trust ISE Cloud Computing Index Fund rising to its highest level on record earlier this month.\nSKYY ETF Daily Chart\nBelow we highlight three SaaS leaders well worth considering ahead of their upcoming quarterly earnings reports.\n1. CrowdStrike Holdings\n\nEarnings Date: Tuesday, Aug. 31\nEPS Growth Estimate: +166.6% Y-o-Y\nRevenue Growth Estimate: +62.4% Y-o-Y\nYear-To-Date Performance: +9.9%\nMarket Cap: $52.5 Billion\n\nCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.—which has beaten Wall Street’s sales estimates in every quarter since going public in June 2019—is scheduled to report its latest financial results after the U.S. market closes on Tuesday, Aug. 31.\nConsensus expectations call for the cloud-based cybersecurity specialist, whose technology is used to detect and prevent security breaches, to post earnings per share (EPS) of $0.08 for the second quarter, improving roughly 167% from EPS of $0.03 in the year-ago period.\nMeanwhile, revenue is forecast to jump around 62% year-over-year to an all-time high of $323.3 million, reflecting the ongoing surge in demand for its Falcon cybersecurity platform.\nBeyond the top-and-bottom line numbers, investors will keep an eye on growth in CrowdStrike’s total subscription customers. The endpoint security leader—which counts nearly half of the Fortune 100 companies as clients—said it had a total of 11,420 customers as of the end of its last quarter, up 82% year-over-year.\nMarket players will also pay close attention to the cyber company’s outlook for the rest of the year as it looks to be one of the main beneficiaries of the ongoing increase in cybersecurity spending amid the rampant surge in cyberattacks.\nCRWD Daily Stock Chart\nShares of the Sunnyvale, California-based company, which soared 324% in 2020 thanks to a growing wave of enterprise cybersecurity spending during the COVID pandemic, have seen their ascent slow this year, climbing just 9.9% in 2021.\nCRWD stock ended Tuesday’s session at $232.64, earning the company a valuation of $52.5 billion. At current levels, shares remain about 14.5% below their all-time high of $272.63 reached on July 23.\n2. Okta\n\nEarnings Date: Wednesday, Sept. 1\nEPS Growth Estimate: -600% Y-o-Y\nRevenue Growth Estimate: +48% Y-o-Y\nYear-To-Date Performance: -9.3%\nMarket Cap: $35.3 Billion\n\nOkta Inc., which beat expectations for earnings and revenue for its last quarter in late May, but provided weak guidance and announced the departure of its chief financial officer, is slated to next report financial results after the closing bell on Wednesday, Sept. 1.\nConsensus calls for a loss per share of $0.35 for the second quarter, compared to earnings of $0.07 per share in the year-ago period, due mostly to the impact of its recent $6.5 billion acquisition of Auth0, which provides an identity management platform for application builders.\nRevenue is forecast to jump 48% year-over-year to an all-time high of $296.7 million, thanks to strong demand from large enterprises for its cloud-based identity and access management software.\nAs such, investors will focus on Okta’s subscription software revenue, which grew 38% in the last quarter to $240 million, amid the shift to remote work during the ongoing health crisis.\nIn addition to EPS and revenue, market participants will scrutinize the company’s update regarding its outlook for the months ahead. The identity-and-access management specialist projected a loss in a range of $1.13 to $1.16 per share for fiscal 2022 in the last quarter. It forecast full-year revenue of $1.22 billion at its midpoint of guidance, representing growth of 46% year-over-year.\nOKTA Daily Chart\nOKTA stock closed at $230.56 last night, roughly 22% below its record peak of $294.00 touched in mid-February. At current levels, the San Francisco, California-based cybersecurity company has a market cap of $35.3 billion.\nAfter seeing its stock surge 120% in 2020 thanks to robust demand for its cybersecurity platform, Okta shares are down nearly 9% year-to-date as investor sentiment cooled on high-growth tech shares which rallied throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.\n3. DocuSign\n\nEarnings Date: Thursday, Sept. 2\nEPS Growth Estimate: +135.3% Y-o-Y\nRevenue Growth Estimate: +42.8% Y-o-Y\nYear-To-Date Performance: +28.5%\nMarket Cap: $55.6 Billion\n\nDocusign—which shattered profit and sales records in the last quarter because of soaring demand for its e-signature platform—is projected to report financial results for its fiscal second quarter on Thursday, Sept. 2 after the close.\nConsensus estimates call for the software-as-a-service company to post earnings per share of $0.40, improving 135% from EPS of $0.17 in the year-ago period.\nRevenue is expected to jump about 43% year-over-year to a record $488.7 million, thanks to strong demand for its Agreement Cloud e-signature platform amid the shift to remote work.\nIn addition to the top- and bottom-line numbers, market players will also focus on DocuSign’s update regarding its enterprise customer additions to see if it can maintain its torrid pace of growth. The company announced in its Q1 earnings report that clients with annual contract values of greater than $300,000 grew roughly 30% from the year-ago period to 673.\nInvestors will also concentrate on comments from DocuSign’s management regarding the outlook for the current quarter and beyond, as the existing operating environment has created a perfect backdrop for the e-signature giant to thrive.\nDOCU Daily Chart\nDOCU stock, which reached a record high of $314.49 on Aug. 10, ended at $285.58 yesterday, earning the San Francisco, California-based tech company a valuation of $55.6 billion.\nDocuSign shares have been a big winner amid the pandemic, rising 200% in 2020, as the shift to the work-from-home environment led to more companies signing contracts electronically over the internet. Year-to-date, DOCU has gained another 28.5%, easily outperforming the broader market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OKTA":0.9,"SKYY":0.9,"DOCU":0.9,"CRWD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":819,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897592455,"gmtCreate":1628937219377,"gmtModify":1631892674913,"author":{"id":"3559098973692807","authorId":"3559098973692807","name":"Chinleong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6dbcd389c42e41aa06c692b423858c4c","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3559098973692807","idStr":"3559098973692807"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Space invention is on the rising trend. Can buy this stock as long as the company is fundamentally good and undervalued","listText":"Space invention is on the rising trend. Can buy this stock as long as the company is fundamentally good and undervalued","text":"Space invention is on the rising trend. Can buy this stock as long as the company is fundamentally good and undervalued","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897592455","repostId":"1149823415","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149823415","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628909753,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1149823415?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-14 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河股票会在哪里?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149823415","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nVirgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"d","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Virgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.</li> <li>However, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.</li> <li>We would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.</li> <li>Lastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00922c9874a28954c08c613b8dbf378b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"493\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nastco/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>维珍银河财报公布后下跌超过 30%,原因是市场对影响其私人商业收入服务推出的“延迟”感到失望。</li><li>然而,我们认为该公司的“延迟”对于其纠正供应限制并满足该公司正在经历的巨大需求是必要的。</li><li>我们还将详细讨论公司的长期机遇和威胁,以及投资者未来需要监控的内容。</li><li>最后,我们为考虑增加维珍银河敞口的长期投资者提出了我们的估值论点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nastco/iStock 来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Back in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.</p><p><blockquote>早在 5 月份,当我们发表上一篇关于维珍银河 (SPCE) 的文章(链接到此处的文章)时,我们明确强调,我们认为华尔街的共识对维珍银河的收入预测过于乐观,因为我们认为这些预测在很大程度上夸大了未来 10 年亚轨道太空旅游的市场机会,基于我们咨询了多个来源的研究,我们提交了修订后的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from late Q3'CY22.</p><p><blockquote>此后,华尔街下调了近期预测,因为该公司最近表示,他们预计要到 2022 年第三季度末才开始商业服务。</blockquote></p><p> This article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.</p><p><blockquote>本文将讨论导致维珍银河“推迟”发射的情况、长期机遇以及维珍在亚轨道太空旅游领域寻求领导地位所面临的竞争威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.</p><p><blockquote>最后,我们将为现在考虑增加股票敞口的长期投资者提出我们的估值论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维珍银河平均共识估计的修订</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e15e65a740bf4a03405cd6f31e82bfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>May's consensus revenue estimates & Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>5 月份的共识收入预期和 8 月份的共识收入预期。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149d99203d29b3a3e785096ccc509c57\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>修订估计数的规模(5月至8月估计数之间)。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够清楚地了解到,近期共识预测较 5 月份影响 21 财年至 25 财年的预测有所下调。然而,我们认为投资者需要注意的重要一点是,华尔街从 CY26 大幅上调了其预期,以反映 SPCE 在最近的财报看涨期权上强调的强劲需求,我们认为这表明了该公司对长期强劲收入的信心,我们将在后续章节中详细讨论这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Private Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预计从 2022 年第三季度开始提供私人商业全额收入服务</b></blockquote></p><p> SPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.</p><p><blockquote>自 8 月 5 日发布财报以来,SPCE 的价值已下跌约 33%,我们认为这在很大程度上是由于 VSS Unity 和母舰 VMS Eve 提出的关键增强措施导致其商业服务推出“延迟”,从而导致近期不利因素显着增加了飞行和维护之间的周转时间。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.</p><p><blockquote>由于与意大利空军完成 Unity 23 创收飞行后将进行增强,该公司预计仅从 2022 年第三季度末开始其私人商业全额收入服务,我们认为这可能会让投资者感到惊讶,因为虽然市场预计全面商业服务将于 2022 年开始,但他们没想到会迟到第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> However, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>然而,我们认为市场再次选择关注近期收入服务延迟带来的不确定性,而忽视了预计将显着缩短 VMS Eve 周转时间的增强功能的重要性,以至于维珍银河强调:</blockquote></p><p> These enhancements <i>could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections</i>. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships. In addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"</p><p><blockquote>这些增强<i>可能允许夏娃在重大维护检查之间飞行 100 次航班</i>这比今天主要检查之间10次飞行的间隔有所增加。在我们制造更多母舰的过程中,这将是早期商业服务时期极其重要的成功因素。此外,该公司还强调,通过这些增强功能,该公司还“目标是将 Unity 航班之间的周转航班缩短至 4 至 5 周,这低于 VSS Unity 最多 7 至 8 周的时间。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>华尔街和市场当然对这一声明感到失望,因为分析师下调了近期预测并下调了评级,摩根士丹利也强调:“在这个繁重的维护期间,维珍银河将无法进行任何太空飞行,直到2022年夏天。”</blockquote></p><p> Sure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:</p><p><blockquote>当然,没有航班。我们当然不担心,因为该公司重申了这些增强功能的重要性:</blockquote></p><p> These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and <i>that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today</i>.\" If investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:</p><p><blockquote>这些都是对Eve的相当稳健的修改。但是我们为Eve的这个增强期采取额外的范围和额外的时间的原因是因为我们将在这个增强期之后从Eve得出的飞行率是我们计划建立的。大检查和我们现在所做的差不多是10倍。这将使我们有能力更频繁地驾驶夏娃<i>这对我们未来的第一批宇航员以及我们从今天开始报名的人来说非常重要</i>.”如果投资者能够清楚地理解该公司在上述句子中使用的语言,那么该公司显然正在这样做,因为他们预计对其太空飞行服务的需求如此强劲,我们认为这可能已经超过了该公司最初的计划。因此,虽然最近与理查德·布兰森爵士举行的发布会在很大程度上被视为一次重大的公关政变,但它无疑让公司能够衡量感兴趣的客户的反应,而且该公司已经明确表示,他们看到了如此强劲的需求,以至于他们需要尽快打开优先列表正如首席执行官 Michael Colglazier 所说:</blockquote></p><p> Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here. We are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).</p><p><blockquote>利用我们对我们网站的巨大需求,我很高兴地宣布,我们将很快为希望成为下一个太空旅行者开放一个优先名单。在我们的宇航员转换过程结束后,我们将首先联系这份清单,提供任何可用的库存。该名单的注册将很快在我们的网站上提供……我们对整个潜在市场充满信心,这一点从对[理查德·布兰森爵士]Unity 22的反应中可以看出。因此,我们不会吸收所有这些,但我们确实认为我们可以在这里向前迈出一大步。我们不确定市场和其他投资者的想法。尽管如此,该公司仍需要找到一种方法来应对明显严重供应紧张的需求。他们在短期内要做的下一个最好的事情是对VMS Eve和VSS Unity进行必要的修改,以确保这些高价值的潜在客户不会去敲杰夫·贝佐斯的蓝色起源(BORGN)的门。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真的有那么多客户迫不及待地想加入VSS Unity吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"</p><p><blockquote>是的,想到该公司期待着这么多迫不及待地想加入的客户,真是令人难以置信。风险投资公司 Hemisphere Ventures 的执行合伙人丽莎·里奇 (Lisa Rich) 表示:“……这些年来,我见过很多维珍 [银河] 机票持有者。顺便说一句,他们每个人都告诉我,他们花了 25 万美元等待已经收回了 10 倍,因为他们多年来分享的经验。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该清楚地了解,致力于维珍银河飞行服务的 600 名未来宇航员社区多年来形成了一个紧密团结的团体,正如该公司所强调的那样:“我认为,除了现有的未来宇航员之外,有一件事可能不太为人所知,那就是维珍银河的秘密武器之一就是我们的宇航员办公室。这是一群人将这 600 人聚集在一起,形成了一个真正的社区。”</blockquote></p><p> The company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调,这些客户非常重视实现飞行体验的旅程,因为这些客户认为这是一次“人生转型之旅”。他们认为维珍银河所做的事情非常有价值,以至于该公司强调,他们的客户认为加入该公司汇集的社区是“首要任务,而且非常强大”。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是,该公司还强调,他们已经向通过该公司的“一小步”计划注册的1000名“宇航员”社区开放了门票销售,价格从每个座位45万美元起,远高于最初600名未来宇航员注册的每个座位20万至25万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Virgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience<b><i>.</i></b>And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河认为,这些未来的宇航员将成为公司的“销售大使”,因为他们拥有公司精心打造的强大而紧密团结的宇航员社区的经验:“……所以我认为你可以从几个方面来思考终身价值。其中之一是,当人们从未来的宇航员毕业生进入宇航员社区时,我认为他们会回来,我认为人们分享这种经历是非常自然的。<b><i>.</i></b>我认为他们分享这段经历不仅会让人们说那是多么美妙,还会给人类太空飞行的概念带来常态。因此,当我们把这群人带进来时,他们的终身价值是全面的需求,并随着他们走出去分享他们所做的事情,继续增加整个潜在市场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage</b></p><p><blockquote><b>强劲的需求证明快速扩大规模以实现强大的运营杠杆是合理的</b></blockquote></p><p> Astute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.</p><p><blockquote>精明的投资者会清楚地认识到,如果该公司仅仅依靠 VSS Unity 或 VSS Imagine 的机队来主导亚轨道太空旅游市场,那么这在很大程度上是不够的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的指导和华尔街的估计,在不对 VMS Eve 进行修改的情况下,该公司最初由 600 名未来宇航员组成的社区至少需要几年时间。</blockquote></p><p> The initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.</p><p><blockquote>2022年的初始节奏(修改前)是最多10个收入航班,总共包括60名乘客。展望 2023 年,该公司每年最多只能飞行 24 至 36 次航班,这将允许他们最多搭载 144 至 216 名宇航员。因此,到2025年,维珍银河可能至少还需要两年时间才能开始处理1000名宇航员社区的订单,我们认为到那时,至少他们中的一些人会去蓝色起源。因此,最初的节奏确实不起作用,特别是该公司准备很快为 Unity 22 公关活动产生的兴趣制定优先列表,他们需要快速处理 1,600 名未来宇航员,这将在不久的将来通过 Eve 的修改来解决,因为它允许 SPCE 在重大检查之间的飞行次数增加 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而,该公司仍然认为这仍然不足以满足他们所经历的需求水平。因此,他们宣布将制造下一代 Delta 级车辆,“能够每隔 1 周启动一次”。随着时间的推移,此类船舶预计将构成该公司未来运力的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason that the company needed to raise the $500M equity offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近需要筹集 5 亿美元股权发行的部分原因是,他们已准备好开始开发和制造 Delta 级车辆,这将极大地有助于满足其长期容量和节奏,VSS Unity 和 VSS Imagine 永远无法满足。</blockquote></p><p> Crucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是,该公司强调,通过 Delta 级提升产量和运力,他们将能够实现显著的运营杠杆,正如维珍银河所强调的那样:“.....这就是为什么我们如此专注于获得下一代母舰的 Delta 级。这才是我们真正获得效率的地方。这才是我们获得规模的地方。这才是你真正看到流量的地方,因为我们将有一个固定的成本基础,这对我们来说很容易沟通,也很容易为未来的效率做出贡献。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competing Against Blue Origin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与蓝色起源竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> We think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为运营杠杆将是这里的游戏名称,维珍银河清楚地认识到,对于该公司来说,以其需求驱动因素所证明的足够规模运营对于与蓝色起源进行强有力的竞争至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不认为蓝色起源的主要游戏是亚轨道太空旅游,但正如杰夫·贝索斯之前强调的那样:“我们选择的架构和技术对于亚轨道旅游任务来说完全是矫枉过正。”</blockquote></p><p> We think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"</p><p><blockquote>我们认为,蓝色起源的主要市场肯定超出了摩根士丹利强调的亚轨道太空旅游,“贝佐斯先生的公司正在太空市场寻求业务,到 2040 年,该市场的规模将扩大两倍,年销售额将超过 1 万亿美元,前提是技术的快速发展能够实现常规登月、小行星采矿和太空旅游”。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.</p><p><blockquote>因此,虽然蓝色起源专注于建立其太空殖民地的长期愿景,但我们认为他们肯定能够快速提高产量并获得显着的运营杠杆。关键是这些优势如何在短期内转化为其亚轨道太空旅游领域,这将是决定维珍银河领先地位的关键。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.</p><p><blockquote>有一点是肯定的。两家公司预计,随着生产规模的扩大和技术的进步,亚轨道太空旅游门票的价格将随着时间的推移大幅下降。因此,维珍银河在这个市场上的领导地位和生存的关键是尽快获得运营杠杆以建立这些优势,而蓝色起源则忙于整个领域的各种项目。</blockquote></p><p> Virgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河希望让亚轨道太空旅游更容易获得,而实现这一目标的关键是通过提高产量实现的运营杠杆来降低价格。因此,我们认为该公司的 Delta class 计划对于维珍银河对抗蓝色起源的领导地位至关重要,并强烈鼓励投资者密切关注这些计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Forecast & Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流预测和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48be5e8da375fdc72591e31b96a223f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EBITDA margin forecast & CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EBITDA 利润率预测和资本支出利润率预测。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57509b52b1c0ac46a44e7a0dd619bd97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA 趋势。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.</p><p><blockquote>尽管推迟到 2022 年第三季度推出全面收入服务,但华尔街预计该公司将从 2024 财年末开始实现自由现金流盈利。我们认为这很重要,因为它展示了该公司业务在这个市场的长期现金流潜力,目前只有 BORGN 和 SPCE 是该市场的明显领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.</p><p><blockquote>然而,到 2030 年底,估值看起来仍然很昂贵,为 18.5 倍,比航空航天和国防同行的平均薪酬 13.61 倍高出 36%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1084f3186f9732fad8d28b824c65de2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Street's mean price target. Source: TIKR</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Street 的平均价格目标。资料来源:TIKR</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也不太乐观,因为平均目标价 35.55 美元仅比最后收盘价高出 13.5%,因为分析师关注的是 SPCE 将其收入服务转移到 2022 年第三季度的近期“逆风”,我们认为这对其长期竞争优势非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们对该公司的长期前景以及将亚轨道太空旅游带给世界的雄心感到非常兴奋,但我们对维珍银河看起来昂贵的估值不太确定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SPCE 股票价格走势和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f872b3e8670eac6d5ca4d8afce15200\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然鉴于其昂贵的估值,我们认为 SPCE 不是一只适合长期投资者的股票,但我们认为头寸交易者仍然可能会发现这只股票潜伏的机会。</blockquote></p><p> SPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.</p><p><blockquote>SPCE 受到 50 周移动平均线动态支撑位的强力支撑,该支撑位自 2020 年以来一直保持强劲,包括最近 5 月份出现的下行(熊市陷阱)的假突破。因此,我们希望,一旦价格走势在未来几周内自行解决,热衷于交易该股票的头寸交易者可能会找到机会。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>总之,对于长期投资者,我们给予 SPCE 中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河股票会在哪里?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Virgin Galactic Stock Be In 10 Years?<blockquote>10年后维珍银河股票会在哪里?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-14 10:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Virgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.</li> <li>However, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.</li> <li>We would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.</li> <li>Lastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00922c9874a28954c08c613b8dbf378b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"493\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nastco/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>维珍银河财报公布后下跌超过 30%,原因是市场对影响其私人商业收入服务推出的“延迟”感到失望。</li><li>然而,我们认为该公司的“延迟”对于其纠正供应限制并满足该公司正在经历的巨大需求是必要的。</li><li>我们还将详细讨论公司的长期机遇和威胁,以及投资者未来需要监控的内容。</li><li>最后,我们为考虑增加维珍银河敞口的长期投资者提出了我们的估值论点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Nastco/iStock 来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Back in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.</p><p><blockquote>早在 5 月份,当我们发表上一篇关于维珍银河 (SPCE) 的文章(链接到此处的文章)时,我们明确强调,我们认为华尔街的共识对维珍银河的收入预测过于乐观,因为我们认为这些预测在很大程度上夸大了未来 10 年亚轨道太空旅游的市场机会,基于我们咨询了多个来源的研究,我们提交了修订后的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Since then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from late Q3'CY22.</p><p><blockquote>此后,华尔街下调了近期预测,因为该公司最近表示,他们预计要到 2022 年第三季度末才开始商业服务。</blockquote></p><p> This article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.</p><p><blockquote>本文将讨论导致维珍银河“推迟”发射的情况、长期机遇以及维珍在亚轨道太空旅游领域寻求领导地位所面临的竞争威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.</p><p><blockquote>最后,我们将为现在考虑增加股票敞口的长期投资者提出我们的估值论点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates</b></p><p><blockquote><b>维珍银河平均共识估计的修订</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e15e65a740bf4a03405cd6f31e82bfc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>May's consensus revenue estimates & Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>5 月份的共识收入预期和 8 月份的共识收入预期。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/149d99203d29b3a3e785096ccc509c57\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>修订估计数的规模(5月至8月估计数之间)。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Investors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该能够清楚地了解到,近期共识预测较 5 月份影响 21 财年至 25 财年的预测有所下调。然而,我们认为投资者需要注意的重要一点是,华尔街从 CY26 大幅上调了其预期,以反映 SPCE 在最近的财报看涨期权上强调的强劲需求,我们认为这表明了该公司对长期强劲收入的信心,我们将在后续章节中详细讨论这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Private Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>预计从 2022 年第三季度开始提供私人商业全额收入服务</b></blockquote></p><p> SPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.</p><p><blockquote>自 8 月 5 日发布财报以来,SPCE 的价值已下跌约 33%,我们认为这在很大程度上是由于 VSS Unity 和母舰 VMS Eve 提出的关键增强措施导致其商业服务推出“延迟”,从而导致近期不利因素显着增加了飞行和维护之间的周转时间。</blockquote></p><p> As a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.</p><p><blockquote>由于与意大利空军完成 Unity 23 创收飞行后将进行增强,该公司预计仅从 2022 年第三季度末开始其私人商业全额收入服务,我们认为这可能会让投资者感到惊讶,因为虽然市场预计全面商业服务将于 2022 年开始,但他们没想到会迟到第三季度。</blockquote></p><p> However, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:</p><p><blockquote>然而,我们认为市场再次选择关注近期收入服务延迟带来的不确定性,而忽视了预计将显着缩短 VMS Eve 周转时间的增强功能的重要性,以至于维珍银河强调:</blockquote></p><p> These enhancements <i>could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections</i>. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships. In addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"</p><p><blockquote>这些增强<i>可能允许夏娃在重大维护检查之间飞行 100 次航班</i>这比今天主要检查之间10次飞行的间隔有所增加。在我们制造更多母舰的过程中,这将是早期商业服务时期极其重要的成功因素。此外,该公司还强调,通过这些增强功能,该公司还“目标是将 Unity 航班之间的周转航班缩短至 4 至 5 周,这低于 VSS Unity 最多 7 至 8 周的时间。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>华尔街和市场当然对这一声明感到失望,因为分析师下调了近期预测并下调了评级,摩根士丹利也强调:“在这个繁重的维护期间,维珍银河将无法进行任何太空飞行,直到2022年夏天。”</blockquote></p><p> Sure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:</p><p><blockquote>当然,没有航班。我们当然不担心,因为该公司重申了这些增强功能的重要性:</blockquote></p><p> These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and <i>that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today</i>.\" If investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:</p><p><blockquote>这些都是对Eve的相当稳健的修改。但是我们为Eve的这个增强期采取额外的范围和额外的时间的原因是因为我们将在这个增强期之后从Eve得出的飞行率是我们计划建立的。大检查和我们现在所做的差不多是10倍。这将使我们有能力更频繁地驾驶夏娃<i>这对我们未来的第一批宇航员以及我们从今天开始报名的人来说非常重要</i>.”如果投资者能够清楚地理解该公司在上述句子中使用的语言,那么该公司显然正在这样做,因为他们预计对其太空飞行服务的需求如此强劲,我们认为这可能已经超过了该公司最初的计划。因此,虽然最近与理查德·布兰森爵士举行的发布会在很大程度上被视为一次重大的公关政变,但它无疑让公司能够衡量感兴趣的客户的反应,而且该公司已经明确表示,他们看到了如此强劲的需求,以至于他们需要尽快打开优先列表正如首席执行官 Michael Colglazier 所说:</blockquote></p><p> Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here. We are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).</p><p><blockquote>利用我们对我们网站的巨大需求,我很高兴地宣布,我们将很快为希望成为下一个太空旅行者开放一个优先名单。在我们的宇航员转换过程结束后,我们将首先联系这份清单,提供任何可用的库存。该名单的注册将很快在我们的网站上提供……我们对整个潜在市场充满信心,这一点从对[理查德·布兰森爵士]Unity 22的反应中可以看出。因此,我们不会吸收所有这些,但我们确实认为我们可以在这里向前迈出一大步。我们不确定市场和其他投资者的想法。尽管如此,该公司仍需要找到一种方法来应对明显严重供应紧张的需求。他们在短期内要做的下一个最好的事情是对VMS Eve和VSS Unity进行必要的修改,以确保这些高价值的潜在客户不会去敲杰夫·贝佐斯的蓝色起源(BORGN)的门。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Are There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>真的有那么多客户迫不及待地想加入VSS Unity吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> Yes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"</p><p><blockquote>是的,想到该公司期待着这么多迫不及待地想加入的客户,真是令人难以置信。风险投资公司 Hemisphere Ventures 的执行合伙人丽莎·里奇 (Lisa Rich) 表示:“……这些年来,我见过很多维珍 [银河] 机票持有者。顺便说一句,他们每个人都告诉我,他们花了 25 万美元等待已经收回了 10 倍,因为他们多年来分享的经验。”</blockquote></p><p> Investors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"</p><p><blockquote>投资者应该清楚地了解,致力于维珍银河飞行服务的 600 名未来宇航员社区多年来形成了一个紧密团结的团体,正如该公司所强调的那样:“我认为,除了现有的未来宇航员之外,有一件事可能不太为人所知,那就是维珍银河的秘密武器之一就是我们的宇航员办公室。这是一群人将这 600 人聚集在一起,形成了一个真正的社区。”</blockquote></p><p> The company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调,这些客户非常重视实现飞行体验的旅程,因为这些客户认为这是一次“人生转型之旅”。他们认为维珍银河所做的事情非常有价值,以至于该公司强调,他们的客户认为加入该公司汇集的社区是“首要任务,而且非常强大”。</blockquote></p><p> Importantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是,该公司还强调,他们已经向通过该公司的“一小步”计划注册的1000名“宇航员”社区开放了门票销售,价格从每个座位45万美元起,远高于最初600名未来宇航员注册的每个座位20万至25万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Virgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience<b><i>.</i></b>And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河认为,这些未来的宇航员将成为公司的“销售大使”,因为他们拥有公司精心打造的强大而紧密团结的宇航员社区的经验:“……所以我认为你可以从几个方面来思考终身价值。其中之一是,当人们从未来的宇航员毕业生进入宇航员社区时,我认为他们会回来,我认为人们分享这种经历是非常自然的。<b><i>.</i></b>我认为他们分享这段经历不仅会让人们说那是多么美妙,还会给人类太空飞行的概念带来常态。因此,当我们把这群人带进来时,他们的终身价值是全面的需求,并随着他们走出去分享他们所做的事情,继续增加整个潜在市场。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage</b></p><p><blockquote><b>强劲的需求证明快速扩大规模以实现强大的运营杠杆是合理的</b></blockquote></p><p> Astute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.</p><p><blockquote>精明的投资者会清楚地认识到,如果该公司仅仅依靠 VSS Unity 或 VSS Imagine 的机队来主导亚轨道太空旅游市场,那么这在很大程度上是不够的。</blockquote></p><p> Based on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.</p><p><blockquote>根据该公司的指导和华尔街的估计,在不对 VMS Eve 进行修改的情况下,该公司最初由 600 名未来宇航员组成的社区至少需要几年时间。</blockquote></p><p> The initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.</p><p><blockquote>2022年的初始节奏(修改前)是最多10个收入航班,总共包括60名乘客。展望 2023 年,该公司每年最多只能飞行 24 至 36 次航班,这将允许他们最多搭载 144 至 216 名宇航员。因此,到2025年,维珍银河可能至少还需要两年时间才能开始处理1000名宇航员社区的订单,我们认为到那时,至少他们中的一些人会去蓝色起源。因此,最初的节奏确实不起作用,特别是该公司准备很快为 Unity 22 公关活动产生的兴趣制定优先列表,他们需要快速处理 1,600 名未来宇航员,这将在不久的将来通过 Eve 的修改来解决,因为它允许 SPCE 在重大检查之间的飞行次数增加 10 倍。</blockquote></p><p> However, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.</p><p><blockquote>然而,该公司仍然认为这仍然不足以满足他们所经历的需求水平。因此,他们宣布将制造下一代 Delta 级车辆,“能够每隔 1 周启动一次”。随着时间的推移,此类船舶预计将构成该公司未来运力的大部分。</blockquote></p><p> Part of the reason that the company needed to raise the $500M equity offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近需要筹集 5 亿美元股权发行的部分原因是,他们已准备好开始开发和制造 Delta 级车辆,这将极大地有助于满足其长期容量和节奏,VSS Unity 和 VSS Imagine 永远无法满足。</blockquote></p><p> Crucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"</p><p><blockquote>至关重要的是,该公司强调,通过 Delta 级提升产量和运力,他们将能够实现显著的运营杠杆,正如维珍银河所强调的那样:“.....这就是为什么我们如此专注于获得下一代母舰的 Delta 级。这才是我们真正获得效率的地方。这才是我们获得规模的地方。这才是你真正看到流量的地方,因为我们将有一个固定的成本基础,这对我们来说很容易沟通,也很容易为未来的效率做出贡献。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competing Against Blue Origin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>与蓝色起源竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> We think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为运营杠杆将是这里的游戏名称,维珍银河清楚地认识到,对于该公司来说,以其需求驱动因素所证明的足够规模运营对于与蓝色起源进行强有力的竞争至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们不认为蓝色起源的主要游戏是亚轨道太空旅游,但正如杰夫·贝索斯之前强调的那样:“我们选择的架构和技术对于亚轨道旅游任务来说完全是矫枉过正。”</blockquote></p><p> We think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"</p><p><blockquote>我们认为,蓝色起源的主要市场肯定超出了摩根士丹利强调的亚轨道太空旅游,“贝佐斯先生的公司正在太空市场寻求业务,到 2040 年,该市场的规模将扩大两倍,年销售额将超过 1 万亿美元,前提是技术的快速发展能够实现常规登月、小行星采矿和太空旅游”。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.</p><p><blockquote>因此,虽然蓝色起源专注于建立其太空殖民地的长期愿景,但我们认为他们肯定能够快速提高产量并获得显着的运营杠杆。关键是这些优势如何在短期内转化为其亚轨道太空旅游领域,这将是决定维珍银河领先地位的关键。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.</p><p><blockquote>有一点是肯定的。两家公司预计,随着生产规模的扩大和技术的进步,亚轨道太空旅游门票的价格将随着时间的推移大幅下降。因此,维珍银河在这个市场上的领导地位和生存的关键是尽快获得运营杠杆以建立这些优势,而蓝色起源则忙于整个领域的各种项目。</blockquote></p><p> Virgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.</p><p><blockquote>维珍银河希望让亚轨道太空旅游更容易获得,而实现这一目标的关键是通过提高产量实现的运营杠杆来降低价格。因此,我们认为该公司的 Delta class 计划对于维珍银河对抗蓝色起源的领导地位至关重要,并强烈鼓励投资者密切关注这些计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Free Cash Flow Forecast & Valuations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>自由现金流预测和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48be5e8da375fdc72591e31b96a223f4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EBITDA margin forecast & CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EBITDA 利润率预测和资本支出利润率预测。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57509b52b1c0ac46a44e7a0dd619bd97\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV / Fwd EBITDA 趋势。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.</p><p><blockquote>尽管推迟到 2022 年第三季度推出全面收入服务,但华尔街预计该公司将从 2024 财年末开始实现自由现金流盈利。我们认为这很重要,因为它展示了该公司业务在这个市场的长期现金流潜力,目前只有 BORGN 和 SPCE 是该市场的明显领导者。</blockquote></p><p> However, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.</p><p><blockquote>然而,到 2030 年底,估值看起来仍然很昂贵,为 18.5 倍,比航空航天和国防同行的平均薪酬 13.61 倍高出 36%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1084f3186f9732fad8d28b824c65de2a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"472\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Street's mean price target. Source: TIKR</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Street 的平均价格目标。资料来源:TIKR</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也不太乐观,因为平均目标价 35.55 美元仅比最后收盘价高出 13.5%,因为分析师关注的是 SPCE 将其收入服务转移到 2022 年第三季度的近期“逆风”,我们认为这对其长期竞争优势非常重要。</blockquote></p><p> While we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.</p><p><blockquote>虽然我们对该公司的长期前景以及将亚轨道太空旅游带给世界的雄心感到非常兴奋,但我们对维珍银河看起来昂贵的估值不太确定。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>SPCE 股票价格走势和趋势分析</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f872b3e8670eac6d5ca4d8afce15200\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> While we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.</p><p><blockquote>虽然鉴于其昂贵的估值,我们认为 SPCE 不是一只适合长期投资者的股票,但我们认为头寸交易者仍然可能会发现这只股票潜伏的机会。</blockquote></p><p> SPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.</p><p><blockquote>SPCE 受到 50 周移动平均线动态支撑位的强力支撑,该支撑位自 2020 年以来一直保持强劲,包括最近 5 月份出现的下行(熊市陷阱)的假突破。因此,我们希望,一旦价格走势在未来几周内自行解决,热衷于交易该股票的头寸交易者可能会找到机会。</blockquote></p><p> In summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.</p><p><blockquote>总之,对于长期投资者,我们给予 SPCE 中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449270-virgin-galactic-stock-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPCE":"维珍银河"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4449270-virgin-galactic-stock-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149823415","content_text":"Summary\n\nVirgin Galactic fell more than 30% post-earnings as the market was disappointed with the \"delay\" affecting the launch of its private commercial revenue service.\nHowever, we think the company's \"delay\" is necessary for it to rectify its supply constraints and meet the huge demand that the company is experiencing.\nWe would also discuss in detail the company's long-term opportunities and threats, and what investors need to monitor moving forward.\nLastly, we present our valuation arguments for long-term investors who are considering adding exposure to Virgin Galactic.\n\nNastco/iStock via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nBack in May, when we published our previous article (link to article appendedhere) on Virgin Galactic (SPCE), we clearly highlighted that we think the Street's consensus has been too optimistic about Virgin Galactic's revenue estimates as we thought the projections overstated the market opportunity for suborbital space tourism over the next 10 years to a large extent, based on our research that consulted multiple sources, and we submitted a revised projection.\nSince then, the Street has revised its near-term projections downwards as the company recently indicated that they are expecting to commence commercial service only from late Q3'CY22.\nThis article will discuss the circumstances leading to Virgin Galactic's \"delayed\" launch, the long-term opportunities, and the competitive threat facing Virgin's leadership quest in suborbital space tourism.\nLastly, we would present our valuation argument for long-term investors considering adding exposure to the stock right now.\nRevisions to Virgin Galactic's Mean Consensus Estimates\nMay's consensus revenue estimates & Aug's consensus revenue estimates. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nScale of revised estimates (Between May and Aug estimates). Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nInvestors should be able to glean clearly that near-term consensus estimates were revised downwards from May's projections that affected CY21 to CY25. However, we think what's important for investors to note is that the Street revised its estimates meaningfully upwards from CY26 to reflect the strong demand that SPCE highlighted during its recent earnings call, which we think demonstrates the company's confidence in a strong revenue runway for the long term, which we would discuss in detail in the subsequent sections.\nPrivate Commercial Full Revenue Service is Expected from Q3'CY22\nSPCE has since lost about 33% of its value since its earnings release on Aug 5, which we think is largely attributed to the near term headwinds resulting from its \"delay\" on commercial service launch as a result of proposed critical enhancements to VSS Unity and the mothership VMS Eve to increase their turnaround time between flights and maintenance significantly.\nAs a result of the enhancements that would take place after the completion of Unity 23 revenue-generating flight with the Italian Air Force, the company expects to commence its private commercial full revenue service only from late Q3'CY22, which we think may have taken investors aback as while the market expected full commercial service to begin in 2022, they did not expect it to be as late as Q3.\nHowever, we think the market has once again chosen to focus on the uncertainty resulting from the near-term revenue service delay and ignore the importance of the enhancements that are expected to improve VMS Eve's turnaround time so significantly that Virgin Galactic emphasized:\n\n These enhancements\n could potentially allow Eve to fly 100 flights between major maintenance inspections. This is up from the current interval of 10 flights between major inspections today. This will be an incredibly important success factor during the early commercial service period while we are in process of manufacturing additional motherships.\n\nIn addition, the company also highlighted that with the enhancements, the company is also \"targeting a reduced turnaround flight between Unity flights of 4 to 5 weeks, and that's down from what has at best, been 7 to 8 weeks for VSS Unity.\"\nThe Street and the market were certainly disappointed with the announcement, as analysts cut near-term forecasts and downgraded ratings, and Morgan Stanley also emphasized: \"During this heavy maintenance period, Virgin Galactic will not be able to conduct any space flights until summer of 2022.\"\nSure, no flights. We are certainly not concerned, as the company reiterated the significance of these enhancements:\n\n These are reasonably robust modifications to Eve. But the reason we are taking the additional scope and the additional time for this enhancement period of Eve is because the flight rate that we will derive from Eve following this enhancement period is we plan to build that to effect. It's almost 10x greater between major inspections and what we've been doing now. That will give us an ability to fly Eve much more frequently, and\n that's really important to our initial group of future astronauts as well as the people that we're going to be signing up starting today.\"\n\nIf investors could clearly glean the language used by the company in the above sentence, the company is clearly doing it because they are expecting such a robust demand for its space flight services that we think may have exceeded what the company had initially planned for. So while the recent launch event with Sir Richard Branson was largely seen as a major PR coup, it certainly allowed the company to measure the response from interested customers, and the company has clearly indicated that they see such robust demand that they needed to open up a priority list as soon as possible as CEO Michael Colglazier articulated:\n\n Leveraging the substantial demand we have seen to our website, I am pleased to announce that we will soon open a priority list for future space travelers who wish to be next in line. We will reach out first to this list with any available inventory following the conclusion of our spacefarer conversion process. Registration for this list will soon be made available on our website...We have an enormous amount of confidence in the total addressable market that's been kind of shown from the response to [Sir Richard Branson's] Unity 22. So we won't be absorbing all of it, but we do think we can make a major step forward here.\n\nWe are not sure what the market and other investors think. Still, the company needs to find a way to cope with the demand from what's obviously a heavily supply-constrained situation. The next best thing they would do in the near term is to make the necessary modifications to VMS Eve and VSS Unity to ensure these highly valued potential customers don't go knocking on the door of Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin (BORGN).\nAre There Really So Many Customers Who Couldn't Wait to Get On Board VSS Unity?\nYes, it's pretty incredible to think that the company is expecting so many customers who couldn't wait to get on board. Lisa Rich, the Managing Partner at the venture capital firm Hemisphere Ventures, articulated: \"...I've met so many Virgin [Galactic] ticket holders over the years. And by the way, every one of them has told me that the $250,000 they've spent waiting has paid for itself 10 times over because of the experiences that they have shared over the years.\"\nInvestors should clearly understand that the community of 600 future astronauts that have committed to Virgin Galactic's flight services formed a tight-knit group over the years as the company emphasized: \"I think one thing that probably [is] not well known outside of the existing future astronaut is one of the secret weapons of Virgin Galactic is our astronaut office. This is a group of people who have brought together these 600 people into a true community.\"\nThe company emphasized that these customers really value the journey towards realizing the flight experience as these customers consider it a \"life-transitional journey.\" They see so much value in what Virgin Galactic is doing that the company emphasized that their customers consider joining the community that the company brought together is \"[a] top, top of mind [priority] and very powerful.\"\nImportantly, the company also highlighted that they have opened up ticket sales to their 1000-strong \"Spacefarer\" community who has signed up through the company's \"One Small Step\" program, with a price starting from $450K per seat, that's way higher than the $200K to $250K per seat that the initial 600 future astronauts signed up for.\nVirgin Galactic believes that these future astronauts are going to be the \"sales ambassadors\" for the company because of the experience of the strong and tight-knit astronaut community that the company has painstakingly built up: \"...And so I think you can think about lifetime value in several ways. One of them is as people move through being a future astronaut graduate into the astronaut community, I think they're going to come back, and I think it will just be very natural in how people will share the experience.And I think them sharing the experience will not only let people say how wonderful it was, but it will also bring normalcy to the concept of human spaceflight. So this group of people as we bring them in, the lifetime value is all-around demand and continuing to increase the total addressable market as they go out there and share what they've done.\"\nStrong Demand Justifies Rapid Scaling Up To Achieve Strong Operating Leverage\nAstute investors would clearly have recognized that if the company relied on just the fleet of VSS Unity or VSS Imagine to dominate the market for suborbital space tourism, it would have been largely insufficient.\nBased on the company's guidance and the Street's estimates, working through the company's initial community of 600 future astronauts would take a few years at least without the modifications to VMS Eve.\nThe initial cadence (before modifications) for 2022 is a maximum of 10 revenue flights comprising 60 passengers in total. Moving on to 2023, the company could also only fly a maximum of 24 to 36 flights annually, which would allow them to fly a maximum of 144 to 216 astronauts. Thus, it may be at least another 2 years until 2025 before Virgin Galactic could start to work through the order book from the 1000 Spacefarer community, and we think by then, at least some of them would have gone over to Blue Origin. Therefore, the initial cadence really doesn't work, especially with the company preparing to draw up its priority list soon for the interest generated from the Unity 22 PR campaign, and they need to work through the 1,600 future astronauts fast, which in the near term would be solved by Eve's modifications since it allows SPCE to fly 10x more in between major inspections.\nHowever, the company still thinks that would still be insufficient to cater to the level of demand that they have been experiencing. As a result, they announced that they would be building their next-gen Delta class vehicles \"that are capable of turning on a 1-week interval.\" This class of ships is expected to form the majority of the company's future capacity over time.\nPart of the reason that the company needed to raise the $500M equity offering recently is that they are ready to start developing and build the Delta class vehicles that would be highly instrumental towards meeting their long term capacity and cadence, that VSS Unity and VSS Imagine would never be able to meet sufficiently.\nCrucially, the company highlighted that by ramping production and capacity through the Delta class, they would be able to achieve significant operating leverage as Virgin Galactic emphasized: \"...And that's why we're so focused on getting the Delta class with next generation of mothership. That's where we really get efficiency. That's where we get scale. That's where you'll really see the flow-through come because we'll have a fixed cost basis that is easy for us to communicate and easy for us to contribute the trade for efficiency down the road.\"\nCompeting Against Blue Origin\nWe think operating leverage will be the name of the game here, and Virgin Galactic clearly recognizes that it would be vital for the company to operate at a sufficient scale justified by its demand drivers to compete strongly against Blue Origin.\nWhile we don't think Blue Origin's main game is in suborbital space tourism, as Jeff Bezos also highlighted previously that: \"The architecture and the technology we have chosen is complete overkill for a suborbital tourism mission.”\nWe think Blue Origin's main market certainly goes beyond suborbital space tourism that Morgan Stanley highlighted that \"Mr. Bezos’ company is seeking business in a space market that will triple in size to more than $1 trillion in annual sales by 2040, assuming rapid technological developments enable routine moon landings, asteroid mining and space tourism.\"\nTherefore, while Blue Origin focuses on building up its Space colonies' vision over the long term, we think they would most certainly be able to ramp their production quickly and gain significant operating leverage. The key is how those advantages translate to its suborbital space tourism segment in the near term would be key to determine Virgin Galactic's leadership.\nOne thing is for sure. Both companies expect the price for the suborbital space tourism tickets to come down substantially over time as production scales up and technologies improve. Thus, the key for Virgin Galactic's leadership and survival in this market is to gain operating leverage as quickly as possible to build up those advantages while Blue Origin has its plate full with its various projects across the entire spectrum.\nVirgin Galactic wants to make suborbital space tourism much more accessible, and the key to achieving that is to drive prices down through operating leverage achieved by ramping up production. As a result, we think the company's Delta class plans are highly pivotal to Virgin Galactic's leadership against Blue Origin and highly encourage investors to keep their eyes closely focused on these plans.\nFree Cash Flow Forecast & Valuations\nEBITDA margin forecast & CapEx margin forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEV / Fwd EBITDA trend. Data Source: S&P Capital IQ\nDespite the delay in launching full revenue service to Q3'22, the Street's estimates expect the company to be FCF profitable from the end of FY24. We think that's important as it demonstrates the long-term cash flow potential for the company's business in this market, where only BORGN and SPCE are the clear leaders right now.\nHowever, the valuations still look expensive at 18.5x by the end of 2030, 36% above its aerospace and defense peers comp set mean of 13.61x.\nStreet's mean price target. Source: TIKR\nThe Street is also not too optimistic, as the mean target price of $35.55 is a mere 13.5% above the last closing price, as analysts focused on SPCE's near term \"headwind\" of moving its revenue service to Q3'CY22, which we think is highly important to its long term competitive advantage.\nWhile we are really excited about the company's long-term prospects, as well as its ambition to bring suborbital space tourism to the world, we are not so sure about Virgin Galactic's expensively-looking valuation.\nSPCE Stock Price Action and Trend Analysis\nSource: TradingView\nWhile we don't think SPCE would be a suitable stock for long-term investors given its expensive valuation, we think position traders may still find an opportunity lurking around the horizon with this stock.\nSPCE is strongly supported along its 50-week moving average dynamic support level that has held strongly since 2020, including the recent false break to the downside (bear trap) it saw in May. Therefore, position traders keen to trade this stock may find an opportunity once the price action resolves itself in the next couple of weeks, we hope.\nIn summary, we assign a neutral rating to SPCE for long-term investors.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPCE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}