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Whyeloon
2021-11-05
$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$
Yippie sofi….
Whyeloon
2021-11-02
$Sunrun(RUN)$
If only i put in usd10k
Whyeloon
2021-10-14
SoFi is so fine. 😀
SoFi stock rose 3.6% in premarket trading<blockquote>SoFi 股价在盘前交易中上涨 3.6%</blockquote>
Whyeloon
2021-10-14
Hmmm sgx not up 😥
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Whyeloon
2021-09-10
Cmon tiger up up and away…
@hotspicy:
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
good
Whyeloon
2021-07-26
Hmmm guess time for me to buy into Bitcoin as i have been procrastinating….
Amazon is said looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year<blockquote>据称亚马逊希望在今年年底前接受比特币支付</blockquote>
Whyeloon
2021-06-27
Nio for me…will be volatile but have bigger upside and downside as well….
Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来?最终判决</blockquote>
Whyeloon
2021-06-20
Time for Palantir shares to take off…😀
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Whyeloon
2021-06-18
Agree…time to accumulate BABA shares…if drop more, buy more…
Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>
Whyeloon
2021-06-18
Shopping time for baba stock….😀
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Whyeloon
2021-06-17
Phew…added biontech last night…but should havebought more 😥
Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.<blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>
Whyeloon
2021-06-17
Tesla running out of juice ???
Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>
Whyeloon
2021-06-16
Maybe this will cool off the inflation figures….
'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多 Stimmies”——美国 5 月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>
Whyeloon
2021-06-15
About time…i have been nursing losses on this stock for a while now..onwards and upwards, please…💰💰💰
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Whyeloon
2021-06-14
Could be a lot better for shareholders if the shareprice is around usd3.5k…😀
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Whyeloon
2021-06-13
Great…onwards and upwards…🚀
Snowflake Is a Growth Juggernaut. Wall Street Is Thinking About Stock Value.<blockquote>雪花是一个增长巨头。华尔街正在考虑股票价值。</blockquote>
Whyeloon
2021-06-12
Oops i sold some of my NIO stocks already…guessi will hold on to the remaining stocks until it reached 50$
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Whyeloon
2021-06-11
Timely news whic clearly help to boost the share price which has been drifting…👍🏻
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Whyeloon
2021-06-09
I sold docusign as well earlier this week 😀
Cathie Wood Sells Snapchat, DocuSign For Second Straight Day, Buys Spotify<blockquote>Cathie Wood 连续第二天出售 Snapchat、DocuSign,并收购 Spotify</blockquote>
Whyeloon
2021-06-07
With their dominant positions, i am sure it shld be easy for them to pass on the additional costs to consumer.
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a> Yippie sofi….","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a> Yippie sofi….","text":"$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ Yippie sofi….","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/944c573698409510b65a236bfd8efd37","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846367962","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843990103,"gmtCreate":1635787897311,"gmtModify":1635787897589,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RUN\">$Sunrun(RUN)$</a> If only i put in usd10k","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RUN\">$Sunrun(RUN)$</a> If only i put in usd10k","text":"$Sunrun(RUN)$ If only i put in usd10k","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/291ef4f8831ca895a0b409aeccb22103","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843990103","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825351652,"gmtCreate":1634204288011,"gmtModify":1634204288249,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"SoFi is so fine. 😀","listText":"SoFi is so fine. 😀","text":"SoFi is so fine. 😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825351652","repostId":"1139633978","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139633978","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634201918,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1139633978?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 16:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SoFi stock rose 3.6% in premarket trading<blockquote>SoFi 股价在盘前交易中上涨 3.6%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139633978","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"SoFi stock rose 3.6% in premarket trading as Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of SoFi with an Overw","content":"<p>SoFi stock rose 3.6% in premarket trading as Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of SoFi with an Overweight (i.e. Buy) rating and $25 price target.</p><p><blockquote>SoFi 股票在盘前交易中上涨 3.6%,摩根士丹利开始对 SoFi 给予跑赢大盘(即买入)评级和 25 美元目标价。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07a5b9f3453324b84a0e3eff89ec6199\" tg-width=\"848\" tg-height=\"620\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The hardest part of consumer finance, according to Morgan Stanley’s Betsy Graseck, is lending. Outlining the bullish case for SoFi Technologies (<b>SOFI</b>), the company being a specialist in this specific segment is a major differentiator.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的贝琪-格拉塞克(Betsy Graseck)认为,消费金融最难的部分是放贷。概述 SoFi Technologies 的看涨理由(<b>索菲</b>),该公司是这一特定领域的专家是一个主要优势。</blockquote></p><p> “SoFi is unique,” says Graseck. “It is a challenger consumer finance company that is leading with lending; specifically refinancing a high yield student loan into a lower rate.”</p><p><blockquote>“格拉塞克说:”索菲是独一无二的。“这是一家具有挑战性的消费金融公司,在贷款方面处于领先地位;特别是将高收益学生贷款以较低的利率再融资”。</blockquote></p><p> Lending is particularly difficult as it requires understanding of credit and demands a high level of customer service. But helping to solve a consumer’s cash flow issue and leaving them with more cash on tap, rewards with “higher customer loyalty.” This lending first model “generates customer leads for SoFi’s other services,” of which there are plenty.</p><p><blockquote>贷款尤其困难,因为它需要了解信用并要求高水平的客户服务。但是,帮助解决消费者的现金流问题,让他们有更多的现金,就能获得 “更高的客户忠诚度”。这种贷款优先模式 “为 SoFi 的其他服务创造客户线索”,而 SoFi 的其他服务有很多。</blockquote></p><p> Graseck uses the case of a post grad professional – HENRY – a “High Earner, Not Rich Yet customer,” who represents SOFI’s current core customer but is on “everyone’s target customer list.”</p><p><blockquote>格拉塞克以研究生专业人士亨利为例,亨利是一位 “高收入者,还不富有的客户”,他代表了 SOFI 目前的核心客户,但却在 “每个人的目标客户名单”上。</blockquote></p><p> Getting HENRY a “higher cash flow post a student loan refi,” has impacted his life. Now HENRY is “receptive to cross-buy opportunities into SoFi’s growing Financial Services product set, particularly brokerage, card, and mortgage.”</p><p><blockquote>亨利的 “学生贷款再融资后获得更高的现金流 ”影响了他的生活。现在,亨利 “乐于在 SoFi 不断增长的金融服务产品系列中获得交叉购买机会,尤其是经纪、信用卡和抵押贷款”。</blockquote></p><p> This is not just fiction, the data backs up the story. SoFi’s customers have been “ramping their cross buy,” and now make up 24% of SoFi’s total products.</p><p><blockquote>这不仅仅是虚构的,数据支持了这个故事。SoFi 的客户一直在 “增加交叉购买”,目前已占 SoFi 产品总量的 24%。</blockquote></p><p> And after more than doubling the customer base over the past year from 1.2 million to 2.6 million, over the next two years, Graseck expects it to double again and reach 5.3 million. As the customer set doubles and SoFi “expands its product offerings,” the analyst believes Financial Services revenue growth will increase at a ~150% CAGR (compound annual growth rate) over the next 2 years.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一年客户群从 120 万增加到 260 万之后,Graseck 预计未来两年将再次翻一番,达到 530 万。随着客户群的翻倍和 SoFi “扩大其产品范围”,这位分析师认为,未来两年金融服务收入增长将以约 150% 的 CAGR(复合年增长率)增长。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to the bull case, the next 6 months could see two meaningful catalysts drive “faster revenue growth and positive revisions to management guidance.”</p><p><blockquote>除了牛市之外,未来 6 个月可能会有两个有意义的催化剂推动 “更快的收入增长和对管理指导的积极修订”。</blockquote></p><p> First off, a surge in student loan volumes – a 70% increase, according to Graseck – should follow the expiration of the government’s student loan deferment program.</p><p><blockquote>首先,政府的学生贷款延期计划到期后,学生贷款额将激增--根据格拉塞克的说法,学生贷款额将增加 70%。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, there’s the prospective approval of SoFi’s bank charter. “This alone could boost total revenues by ~10% in its first full year given benefits to NIM (net interest margin),” the analyst noted.</p><p><blockquote>其次,SoFi 的银行章程有望获得批准。“分析师指出:”考虑到净息差(NIM)的好处,仅此一项就能在第一个全年将总收入提高约 10%。</blockquote></p><p> Accordingly, Graseck initiated coverage of SoFi with an Overweight (i.e. Buy) rating and $25 price target. Investors could be pocketing gains of ~33%, should Graseck’s forecast hit the mark over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>因此,Graseck 开始对 SoFi 进行跑赢大盘(即买入)评级,目标价为 25 美元。如果格拉塞克的预测在未来 12 个月内达到这一目标,投资者可能会获得约 33% 的收益。</blockquote></p><p> The rest of the Street is almost just as effusive, projecting 12-month returns of ~31%, given the average price target clocks in at $24.58. Barring 1 Hold, all 5 other recent reviews are to Buy, culminating in the stock’s Strong Buy consensus rating.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的其他地方几乎同样热情洋溢,鉴于平均目标价为 24.58 美元,预计 12 个月回报率约为 31%。除了 1 条持有外,最近的其他 5 条评论都是买入,最终该股获得了强烈买入的共识评级。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6c91925bf747fb093b6ec6942bde326\" tg-width=\"1207\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SoFi stock rose 3.6% in premarket trading<blockquote>SoFi 股价在盘前交易中上涨 3.6%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSoFi stock rose 3.6% in premarket trading<blockquote>SoFi 股价在盘前交易中上涨 3.6%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-14 16:58</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SoFi stock rose 3.6% in premarket trading as Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of SoFi with an Overweight (i.e. Buy) rating and $25 price target.</p><p><blockquote>SoFi 股票在盘前交易中上涨 3.6%,摩根士丹利开始对 SoFi 给予跑赢大盘(即买入)评级和 25 美元目标价。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07a5b9f3453324b84a0e3eff89ec6199\" tg-width=\"848\" tg-height=\"620\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The hardest part of consumer finance, according to Morgan Stanley’s Betsy Graseck, is lending. Outlining the bullish case for SoFi Technologies (<b>SOFI</b>), the company being a specialist in this specific segment is a major differentiator.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的贝琪-格拉塞克(Betsy Graseck)认为,消费金融最难的部分是放贷。概述 SoFi Technologies 的看涨理由(<b>索菲</b>),该公司是这一特定领域的专家是一个主要优势。</blockquote></p><p> “SoFi is unique,” says Graseck. “It is a challenger consumer finance company that is leading with lending; specifically refinancing a high yield student loan into a lower rate.”</p><p><blockquote>“格拉塞克说:”索菲是独一无二的。“这是一家具有挑战性的消费金融公司,在贷款方面处于领先地位;特别是将高收益学生贷款以较低的利率再融资”。</blockquote></p><p> Lending is particularly difficult as it requires understanding of credit and demands a high level of customer service. But helping to solve a consumer’s cash flow issue and leaving them with more cash on tap, rewards with “higher customer loyalty.” This lending first model “generates customer leads for SoFi’s other services,” of which there are plenty.</p><p><blockquote>贷款尤其困难,因为它需要了解信用并要求高水平的客户服务。但是,帮助解决消费者的现金流问题,让他们有更多的现金,就能获得 “更高的客户忠诚度”。这种贷款优先模式 “为 SoFi 的其他服务创造客户线索”,而 SoFi 的其他服务有很多。</blockquote></p><p> Graseck uses the case of a post grad professional – HENRY – a “High Earner, Not Rich Yet customer,” who represents SOFI’s current core customer but is on “everyone’s target customer list.”</p><p><blockquote>格拉塞克以研究生专业人士亨利为例,亨利是一位 “高收入者,还不富有的客户”,他代表了 SOFI 目前的核心客户,但却在 “每个人的目标客户名单”上。</blockquote></p><p> Getting HENRY a “higher cash flow post a student loan refi,” has impacted his life. Now HENRY is “receptive to cross-buy opportunities into SoFi’s growing Financial Services product set, particularly brokerage, card, and mortgage.”</p><p><blockquote>亨利的 “学生贷款再融资后获得更高的现金流 ”影响了他的生活。现在,亨利 “乐于在 SoFi 不断增长的金融服务产品系列中获得交叉购买机会,尤其是经纪、信用卡和抵押贷款”。</blockquote></p><p> This is not just fiction, the data backs up the story. SoFi’s customers have been “ramping their cross buy,” and now make up 24% of SoFi’s total products.</p><p><blockquote>这不仅仅是虚构的,数据支持了这个故事。SoFi 的客户一直在 “增加交叉购买”,目前已占 SoFi 产品总量的 24%。</blockquote></p><p> And after more than doubling the customer base over the past year from 1.2 million to 2.6 million, over the next two years, Graseck expects it to double again and reach 5.3 million. As the customer set doubles and SoFi “expands its product offerings,” the analyst believes Financial Services revenue growth will increase at a ~150% CAGR (compound annual growth rate) over the next 2 years.</p><p><blockquote>在过去一年客户群从 120 万增加到 260 万之后,Graseck 预计未来两年将再次翻一番,达到 530 万。随着客户群的翻倍和 SoFi “扩大其产品范围”,这位分析师认为,未来两年金融服务收入增长将以约 150% 的 CAGR(复合年增长率)增长。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to the bull case, the next 6 months could see two meaningful catalysts drive “faster revenue growth and positive revisions to management guidance.”</p><p><blockquote>除了牛市之外,未来 6 个月可能会有两个有意义的催化剂推动 “更快的收入增长和对管理指导的积极修订”。</blockquote></p><p> First off, a surge in student loan volumes – a 70% increase, according to Graseck – should follow the expiration of the government’s student loan deferment program.</p><p><blockquote>首先,政府的学生贷款延期计划到期后,学生贷款额将激增--根据格拉塞克的说法,学生贷款额将增加 70%。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, there’s the prospective approval of SoFi’s bank charter. “This alone could boost total revenues by ~10% in its first full year given benefits to NIM (net interest margin),” the analyst noted.</p><p><blockquote>其次,SoFi 的银行章程有望获得批准。“分析师指出:”考虑到净息差(NIM)的好处,仅此一项就能在第一个全年将总收入提高约 10%。</blockquote></p><p> Accordingly, Graseck initiated coverage of SoFi with an Overweight (i.e. Buy) rating and $25 price target. Investors could be pocketing gains of ~33%, should Graseck’s forecast hit the mark over the next 12 months.</p><p><blockquote>因此,Graseck 开始对 SoFi 进行跑赢大盘(即买入)评级,目标价为 25 美元。如果格拉塞克的预测在未来 12 个月内达到这一目标,投资者可能会获得约 33% 的收益。</blockquote></p><p> The rest of the Street is almost just as effusive, projecting 12-month returns of ~31%, given the average price target clocks in at $24.58. Barring 1 Hold, all 5 other recent reviews are to Buy, culminating in the stock’s Strong Buy consensus rating.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的其他地方几乎同样热情洋溢,鉴于平均目标价为 24.58 美元,预计 12 个月回报率约为 31%。除了 1 条持有外,最近的其他 5 条评论都是买入,最终该股获得了强烈买入的共识评级。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6c91925bf747fb093b6ec6942bde326\" tg-width=\"1207\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139633978","content_text":"SoFi stock rose 3.6% in premarket trading as Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of SoFi with an Overweight (i.e. Buy) rating and $25 price target.\n\nThe hardest part of consumer finance, according to Morgan Stanley’s Betsy Graseck, is lending. Outlining the bullish case for SoFi Technologies (SOFI), the company being a specialist in this specific segment is a major differentiator.\n“SoFi is unique,” says Graseck. “It is a challenger consumer finance company that is leading with lending; specifically refinancing a high yield student loan into a lower rate.”\nLending is particularly difficult as it requires understanding of credit and demands a high level of customer service. But helping to solve a consumer’s cash flow issue and leaving them with more cash on tap, rewards with “higher customer loyalty.” This lending first model “generates customer leads for SoFi’s other services,” of which there are plenty.\nGraseck uses the case of a post grad professional – HENRY – a “High Earner, Not Rich Yet customer,” who represents SOFI’s current core customer but is on “everyone’s target customer list.”\nGetting HENRY a “higher cash flow post a student loan refi,” has impacted his life. Now HENRY is “receptive to cross-buy opportunities into SoFi’s growing Financial Services product set, particularly brokerage, card, and mortgage.”\nThis is not just fiction, the data backs up the story. SoFi’s customers have been “ramping their cross buy,” and now make up 24% of SoFi’s total products.\nAnd after more than doubling the customer base over the past year from 1.2 million to 2.6 million, over the next two years, Graseck expects it to double again and reach 5.3 million. As the customer set doubles and SoFi “expands its product offerings,” the analyst believes Financial Services revenue growth will increase at a ~150% CAGR (compound annual growth rate) over the next 2 years.\nAdding to the bull case, the next 6 months could see two meaningful catalysts drive “faster revenue growth and positive revisions to management guidance.”\nFirst off, a surge in student loan volumes – a 70% increase, according to Graseck – should follow the expiration of the government’s student loan deferment program.\nSecondly, there’s the prospective approval of SoFi’s bank charter. “This alone could boost total revenues by ~10% in its first full year given benefits to NIM (net interest margin),” the analyst noted.\nAccordingly, Graseck initiated coverage of SoFi with an Overweight (i.e. Buy) rating and $25 price target. Investors could be pocketing gains of ~33%, should Graseck’s forecast hit the mark over the next 12 months.\nThe rest of the Street is almost just as effusive, projecting 12-month returns of ~31%, given the average price target clocks in at $24.58. Barring 1 Hold, all 5 other recent reviews are to Buy, culminating in the stock’s Strong Buy consensus rating.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SOFI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825054534,"gmtCreate":1634181711815,"gmtModify":1634181712066,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm sgx not up 😥","listText":"Hmmm sgx not up 😥","text":"Hmmm sgx not up 😥","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825054534","repostId":"2175615162","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":883738367,"gmtCreate":1631271835859,"gmtModify":1631888003854,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cmon tiger up up and away…","listText":"Cmon tiger up up and away…","text":"Cmon tiger up up and away…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883738367","repostId":"883792915","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":883792915,"gmtCreate":1631271070337,"gmtModify":1631883662706,"author":{"id":"3584308394767333","authorId":"3584308394767333","name":"hotspicy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46bd203ea680ec738ca37be1176f511","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584308394767333","authorIdStr":"3584308394767333"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>good ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>good ","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/844c49929e88c59aedf5a88b28a8b2aa","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883792915","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800930037,"gmtCreate":1627270165629,"gmtModify":1631888003855,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hmmm guess time for me to buy into Bitcoin as i have been procrastinating….","listText":"Hmmm guess time for me to buy into Bitcoin as i have been procrastinating….","text":"Hmmm guess time for me to buy into Bitcoin as i have been procrastinating….","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800930037","repostId":"1187084507","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187084507","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627265195,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1187084507?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 10:06","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Amazon is said looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year<blockquote>据称亚马逊希望在今年年底前接受比特币支付</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187084507","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Amazon.com is said to be looking to accept bitcoin (BTC-USD) payments by the end of the year and its","content":"<p><ul> <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> is said to be looking to accept bitcoin (BTC-USD) payments by the end of the year and its exploring its own token for next year.</li> <li>Amazon has been working on the plan since 2019, according to a City A.M.report, which cites an unidentified insider. After bitcoin, the e-commerce behemoth is expected to accept ethereum (ETH-USD), cardano (ADA-USD) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH-USD) before the company brings another eight or so of the most popular cryptocurrencies online.</li> <li>The City A.M. report comes after a Friday report that anAmazon job posting signals potential plan to accept cryptocurrency.</li> <li>Earlier,Bitcoin rises nears $35K level in days following Musk, Wood, Dorsey comments.</li> </ul> <ul></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>据称,该公司希望在今年年底前接受比特币(BTC-USD)支付,并在明年探索自己的代币。</li><li>据 City A.M. 报道援引一位身份不明的内部人士的话称,亚马逊自 2019 年以来一直在制定该计划。继比特币之后,这家电子商务巨头预计将接受以太币(ETH-USD)、卡尔达诺(ADA-USD)和比特币现金(BCH-USD),然后该公司将另外八种左右最受欢迎的加密货币上线。</li><li>《城市上午》的报道是在周五有报道称 anAmazon 招聘信息表明可能计划接受加密货币之后发布的。</li><li>早些时候,在马斯克、伍德、多尔西发表评论后,比特币在几天内升至接近 35,000 美元的水平。</li></ul><ul></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon is said looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year<blockquote>据称亚马逊希望在今年年底前接受比特币支付</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon is said looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year<blockquote>据称亚马逊希望在今年年底前接受比特币支付</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-26 10:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul> <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> is said to be looking to accept bitcoin (BTC-USD) payments by the end of the year and its exploring its own token for next year.</li> <li>Amazon has been working on the plan since 2019, according to a City A.M.report, which cites an unidentified insider. After bitcoin, the e-commerce behemoth is expected to accept ethereum (ETH-USD), cardano (ADA-USD) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH-USD) before the company brings another eight or so of the most popular cryptocurrencies online.</li> <li>The City A.M. report comes after a Friday report that anAmazon job posting signals potential plan to accept cryptocurrency.</li> <li>Earlier,Bitcoin rises nears $35K level in days following Musk, Wood, Dorsey comments.</li> </ul> <ul></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>据称,该公司希望在今年年底前接受比特币(BTC-USD)支付,并在明年探索自己的代币。</li><li>据 City A.M. 报道援引一位身份不明的内部人士的话称,亚马逊自 2019 年以来一直在制定该计划。继比特币之后,这家电子商务巨头预计将接受以太币(ETH-USD)、卡尔达诺(ADA-USD)和比特币现金(BCH-USD),然后该公司将另外八种左右最受欢迎的加密货币上线。</li><li>《城市上午》的报道是在周五有报道称 anAmazon 招聘信息表明可能计划接受加密货币之后发布的。</li><li>早些时候,在马斯克、伍德、多尔西发表评论后,比特币在几天内升至接近 35,000 美元的水平。</li></ul><ul></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3718834-amazon-is-said-looking-to-accept-bitcoin-payments-by-the-end-of-the-year\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3718834-amazon-is-said-looking-to-accept-bitcoin-payments-by-the-end-of-the-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187084507","content_text":"Amazon.com is said to be looking to accept bitcoin (BTC-USD) payments by the end of the year and its exploring its own token for next year.\nAmazon has been working on the plan since 2019, according to a City A.M.report, which cites an unidentified insider. After bitcoin, the e-commerce behemoth is expected to accept ethereum (ETH-USD), cardano (ADA-USD) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH-USD) before the company brings another eight or so of the most popular cryptocurrencies online.\nThe City A.M. report comes after a Friday report that anAmazon job posting signals potential plan to accept cryptocurrency.\nEarlier,Bitcoin rises nears $35K level in days following Musk, Wood, Dorsey comments.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2669,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124767748,"gmtCreate":1624794845584,"gmtModify":1631888003856,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nio for me…will be volatile but have bigger upside and downside as well….","listText":"Nio for me…will be volatile but have bigger upside and downside as well….","text":"Nio for me…will be volatile but have bigger upside and downside as well….","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124767748","repostId":"1137119316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137119316","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624754401,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137119316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来?最终判决</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137119316","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.With Ford launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li> <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li> <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在增进对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解,同时突出市场地位和机遇的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多,高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特公司(F)在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势,中国电动汽车制造商蔚来(蔚来)未来将面临另一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值,哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易?我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来,并在最后给出最终结论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特与蔚来:全球电动汽车市场之争正在升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别,但两家公司都将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场展开较量。福特的车队还没有以电动汽车为重点,但这种情况将会改变: 福特感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温,因此表示将加快其电气化计划,在 2025 年前投资 300 亿美元用于电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求投资 220 亿美元用于零排放汽车。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标:未来十年,其全球销量的 40% 将是电动汽车,皮卡车销量的 33% 将是电动汽车。目前,电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的 1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机,它将在 2040 年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,全球电动汽车销量为320万辆,市场份额仅为4.2%。然而,2020 年,中国购买了全球 41% 的电动汽车。去年,中国买家购买了 130 万辆电动汽车,随着北京寻求促进电动汽车的普及,销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲,占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是全球第三大插电式电动汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:维基百科)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止,中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场,尽管欧洲正在迅速迎头赶上,部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用,以及对欧洲范围内充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来正处于进军欧洲市场的风口浪尖,希望在竞争准备就绪之前扩大其在世界第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>中国政府是蔚来汽车工业电气化的推动者: 中国政府希望到 2025 年,电动汽车在新车销售中所占份额达到 20%,这将推动电动汽车在中国本土市场的普及。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:施罗德)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策,这些市场将迎来世界上最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模,中国不仅是最大的市场,而且预计到2030年,电动汽车销量将超过全球所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:麦肯锡)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长和更有利的监管框架,这里的赢家将是:蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有百年的制造经验。但到目前为止,福特的产品阵容中只有一款与蔚来相比的全电动汽车:野马 Mach-E SUV。2022 年,福特将开始销售全电动 F-150 Lightening,该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录,包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑车SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来只专注于生产电动汽车,并且占据了一个非常小且明确的利基市场,这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验,可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商希望实现的速度更快地提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国是特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手,而且在国外也是蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划,它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议斥资 300 亿美元用于车队电气化,这将加速其转型,并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>这里的赢家:福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化与BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在这个市场中的重要性,随着时间的推移,这个市场只会变得更加竞争,这就是为什么两家公司都在一个相关领域大力投资,这个领域可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场的主导地位:电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司 SK Innovation 成立一家合资企业,以确保牵引电池芯和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加快电池交付速度,年产量约为 60 GWh,足以满足福特到 2030 年预计年能源需求的 25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术,并组建了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特不同的是,蔚来的电池投资战略围绕着电池订阅模式,也称为 “电池即服务 ”,这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了一个强大的长期收入机会。在这种 “BaaS” 模式下,用户购买蔚来电动汽车可获得 7 万元人民币的初始折扣,折合 1.08 万美元,并可签约包月租赁 70 千瓦时的可充电电池。然后可以在蔚来的换电站更换电池,这些换电站在中国大多数大城市都有。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币,相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处:由于前期折扣,从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠,订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和随着时间的推移更好的性能。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩,为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入流。“BaaS ”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/换电站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户绑定到蔚来,从而潜在地增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特和蔚来增加资本配置,它们有望从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池,性能将会提高,成本将会下降,这应该会推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车比内燃机乘用车更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建部分商业模式,蔚来可能会比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德提供的信息,自 2014 年以来,电动汽车的电池成本已下降 70%,并且本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:施罗德)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS ”模式是天才之作,从长远来看,它可能会发展成为蔚来每年 5 亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资,但这一类别的赢家是:蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特 5 月份的销量同比增长 4.1%,但电动汽车销量(包括混合动力汽车)同比激增 184%,福特 5 月份售出了创纪录的 10,364 辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified 和 Explorer Hybrid 的销量分别同比增长 125% 和 132%,显示出强劲的客户吸引力。蔚来上个月交付了 6,711 辆汽车,其中包括 3,017 辆 ES6、1,412 辆 ES8 和 2,282 辆 EC6。5 月份总交付量同比增长 95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销量是蔚来汽车的54倍,这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来之间的估值差异就像黑夜和白天之间的差异。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别实现了爆炸式增长,但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商,预计企业销量增长将达到中低位数。福特预计到 2025 财年(基准年:2020 财年)收入将增长 33%,蔚来将增长 808%!</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于销售增长的这些差异,蔚来与福特完全相反,至少就估值而言是这样。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近 100%,由于蔚来只销售电动汽车,蔚来的市值与销量之比远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:作者)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来有更大的风险……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业,但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。与福特相比,蔚来的全球总销售额增长潜力更大,因为它的营收基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如,与可以依赖全球服务和分销网络的福特相比,由于生产缺陷导致的召回对于蔚来来说将是一个更大的挑战。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险,因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓,将对财务状况造成更大影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最终判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更 “性感 ”的汽车制造商。在中国和欧洲的强劲采用率和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩,堪称天才。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价,但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展,随着该汽车制造商车队电气化,电动汽车销量的比例也将不断增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大,但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低,福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力,请购买蔚来。如果你相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力,又不喜欢太大的风险,那就买福特吧。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来?最终判决</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来?最终判决</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li> <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li> <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在增进对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解,同时突出市场地位和机遇的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多,高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特公司(F)在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势,中国电动汽车制造商蔚来(蔚来)未来将面临另一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值,哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易?我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来,并在最后给出最终结论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特与蔚来:全球电动汽车市场之争正在升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别,但两家公司都将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场展开较量。福特的车队还没有以电动汽车为重点,但这种情况将会改变: 福特感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温,因此表示将加快其电气化计划,在 2025 年前投资 300 亿美元用于电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求投资 220 亿美元用于零排放汽车。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标:未来十年,其全球销量的 40% 将是电动汽车,皮卡车销量的 33% 将是电动汽车。目前,电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的 1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机,它将在 2040 年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,全球电动汽车销量为320万辆,市场份额仅为4.2%。然而,2020 年,中国购买了全球 41% 的电动汽车。去年,中国买家购买了 130 万辆电动汽车,随着北京寻求促进电动汽车的普及,销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲,占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是全球第三大插电式电动汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:维基百科)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止,中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场,尽管欧洲正在迅速迎头赶上,部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用,以及对欧洲范围内充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来正处于进军欧洲市场的风口浪尖,希望在竞争准备就绪之前扩大其在世界第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>中国政府是蔚来汽车工业电气化的推动者: 中国政府希望到 2025 年,电动汽车在新车销售中所占份额达到 20%,这将推动电动汽车在中国本土市场的普及。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:施罗德)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策,这些市场将迎来世界上最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模,中国不仅是最大的市场,而且预计到2030年,电动汽车销量将超过全球所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:麦肯锡)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长和更有利的监管框架,这里的赢家将是:蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有百年的制造经验。但到目前为止,福特的产品阵容中只有一款与蔚来相比的全电动汽车:野马 Mach-E SUV。2022 年,福特将开始销售全电动 F-150 Lightening,该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录,包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑车SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来只专注于生产电动汽车,并且占据了一个非常小且明确的利基市场,这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验,可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商希望实现的速度更快地提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国是特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手,而且在国外也是蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划,它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议斥资 300 亿美元用于车队电气化,这将加速其转型,并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>这里的赢家:福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化与BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在这个市场中的重要性,随着时间的推移,这个市场只会变得更加竞争,这就是为什么两家公司都在一个相关领域大力投资,这个领域可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场的主导地位:电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司 SK Innovation 成立一家合资企业,以确保牵引电池芯和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加快电池交付速度,年产量约为 60 GWh,足以满足福特到 2030 年预计年能源需求的 25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术,并组建了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特不同的是,蔚来的电池投资战略围绕着电池订阅模式,也称为 “电池即服务 ”,这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了一个强大的长期收入机会。在这种 “BaaS” 模式下,用户购买蔚来电动汽车可获得 7 万元人民币的初始折扣,折合 1.08 万美元,并可签约包月租赁 70 千瓦时的可充电电池。然后可以在蔚来的换电站更换电池,这些换电站在中国大多数大城市都有。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币,相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处:由于前期折扣,从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠,订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和随着时间的推移更好的性能。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩,为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入流。“BaaS ”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/换电站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户绑定到蔚来,从而潜在地增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特和蔚来增加资本配置,它们有望从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池,性能将会提高,成本将会下降,这应该会推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车比内燃机乘用车更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建部分商业模式,蔚来可能会比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德提供的信息,自 2014 年以来,电动汽车的电池成本已下降 70%,并且本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:施罗德)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS ”模式是天才之作,从长远来看,它可能会发展成为蔚来每年 5 亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资,但这一类别的赢家是:蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特 5 月份的销量同比增长 4.1%,但电动汽车销量(包括混合动力汽车)同比激增 184%,福特 5 月份售出了创纪录的 10,364 辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified 和 Explorer Hybrid 的销量分别同比增长 125% 和 132%,显示出强劲的客户吸引力。蔚来上个月交付了 6,711 辆汽车,其中包括 3,017 辆 ES6、1,412 辆 ES8 和 2,282 辆 EC6。5 月份总交付量同比增长 95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销量是蔚来汽车的54倍,这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来之间的估值差异就像黑夜和白天之间的差异。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别实现了爆炸式增长,但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商,预计企业销量增长将达到中低位数。福特预计到 2025 财年(基准年:2020 财年)收入将增长 33%,蔚来将增长 808%!</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于销售增长的这些差异,蔚来与福特完全相反,至少就估值而言是这样。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近 100%,由于蔚来只销售电动汽车,蔚来的市值与销量之比远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:作者)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来有更大的风险……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业,但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。与福特相比,蔚来的全球总销售额增长潜力更大,因为它的营收基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如,与可以依赖全球服务和分销网络的福特相比,由于生产缺陷导致的召回对于蔚来来说将是一个更大的挑战。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险,因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓,将对财务状况造成更大影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最终判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更 “性感 ”的汽车制造商。在中国和欧洲的强劲采用率和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩,堪称天才。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价,但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展,随着该汽车制造商车队电气化,电动汽车销量的比例也将不断增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大,但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低,福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力,请购买蔚来。如果你相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力,又不喜欢太大的风险,那就买福特吧。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137119316","content_text":"Summary\n\nI am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.\nThe comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.\nNIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nWith Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.\nFord vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up\nAlthough there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.\nMarket opportunity\nIn 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.\n(Source: Wikipedia)\nChina, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.\nBeijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.\n(Source:Schroders)\nTurning to growth projections.\nWith more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.\n(Source:McKinsey)\nSince China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.\nScale and manufacturing competence\nFord has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.\nSince NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.\nWinner here: Ford.\nDifferentiation and BaaS revenue model\nBoth Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.\nFord is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.\nThe difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.\nThe BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.\nFord and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.\nBattery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.\n(Source: Schroders)\nThe “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.\nSales growth and valuation\nFord’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.\nFord's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.\nData by YCharts\nThe difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!\nDue to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has larger risks...\nNIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.\nFinal verdict\nNIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.\nFord’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.\nIf you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3057,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164338697,"gmtCreate":1624170536719,"gmtModify":1631885483807,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Time for Palantir shares to take off…😀","listText":"Time for Palantir shares to take off…😀","text":"Time for Palantir shares to take off…😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164338697","repostId":"1192473918","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3216,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166976172,"gmtCreate":1623990044196,"gmtModify":1631888003862,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Agree…time to accumulate BABA shares…if drop more, buy more…","listText":"Agree…time to accumulate BABA shares…if drop more, buy more…","text":"Agree…time to accumulate BABA shares…if drop more, buy more…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166976172","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li> <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li> <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li> <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中拥有多种增长动力,这使得其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会随着潜在的双底价格行动信号而转向看涨。</li><li>我们将讨论公司的多重增长动力,让投资者自己判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永元/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自 11 月 20 日初蚂蚁金服 IPO 被撤销以来,阿里巴巴-SW的股价经历了可怕的 8 个月,该股在低迷中萎靡不振,较高点下跌了 34%。在考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时,很明显,阿里巴巴具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差,并且在其关键的 50W 均线上总体上得到了良好的支撑。在过去 4 年中,它唯一一次失去关键的 50W MA 支撑位是在 2018 年熊市期间,当时阿里巴巴下跌了约 40%,但仍在重要的 200W MA 上方得到良好支撑,我们通常认为这是 “最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况:下跌34%,失去了50W MA,但看起来在200W MA以上得到了很好的支撑。除此之外,价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨:潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底,就像 2018 年熊市期间一样,随后强劲反弹。因此,阿里巴巴目前的水平可能是一个可能的技术性买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点:快速扩张的增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度电子商务收入。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV从1.68吨人民币增长到7.49吨人民币,仅用了7年时间,复合年增长率达到了23.8%,增长率着实惊人。我们还看到其 GMV 增长转化为收入增长,其中国商业收入从 76.7 亿元人民币增长到 473.68 亿元人民币,过去 10 年的复合年增长率为 51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然小得多,但在过去10年中,其CAGR仍以30.42%的速度增长,这绝不是缓慢的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度预计将大幅放缓,复合年增长率为 12.4%,从 2021 年的 13.8 万亿元人民币(相当于 2.16 万亿元人民币)下降到 2024 年的 19.6 万亿元人民币(相当于 3.06 万亿元人民币),但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源:Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将中国市场的增长率和规模与美国电子商务市场进行比较时,我们可以看到它们在规模和增长率上的巨大差异,因为美国电子商务市场从 2021 年到 2025 年的复合年增长率预计仅为 4.67%,大大低于中国的 12.4%。此外,美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约 5630 亿美元,相当于届时中国市场预期价值的 18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自其快速增长的主要竞争对手京东(纳斯达克股票代码:JD)和拼多多(纳斯达克股票代码:PDD)的越来越大的竞争压力,但阿里巴巴已经经营着一项利润更高的业务(息税前税前利润和自由现金流),并且预计将继续实现强劲的盈利能力展望未来,这将为该公司提供巨大的灵活性,以与京东和PDD正面竞争,以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到,阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到了其 SG&A 中反映的 27.82 亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响,因此其息税前利润率向下倾斜。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个重要举措是公司决定进一步投资社区市场,这是 PDD 的主要电子商务战略,PDD 在最近一个季度共获得了 8.23 亿 AAC,而阿里巴巴的 8.91 亿 AAC。考虑到 2017 年第二季度 PDD 的 AAC 数量仅为 1 亿,而同期阿里巴巴的 AAC 数量为 4.66 亿,PDD 的 AAC 增长确实惊人。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此,增长势头肯定已经转移到社区市场领域,阿里巴巴需要拿出它的大枪(它已经拥有)来与PDD和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源:艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到 2022 年 1020 亿元人民币的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴 21 财年中国商业收入的 21.5% 左右,但阿里巴巴不能错过 2019 年至 2022 年 3 年间 44.22% 的快速复合年增长率。虽然这个市场还比较小,但阿里巴巴不能让这个市场目前的领头羊:PDD在众人不知情的情况下,如此轻易地占据主导地位,吞噬早期的高增长率。当然,阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取其在这一领域的地位,并争取早期领导地位,以防止PDD扩大其领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中我们可以观察到,PDD 预计将在未来几年继续快速增长其收入,尽管预计随后将恢复正常。更重要的是,PDD 预计未来还将不断提高其息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力。这表明,社区市场是一个非常重要的增长动力,阿里巴巴必须利用其优势加以利用,才能在游戏初期否认 PDD 无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公共云支出。来源:中国互联网观察;通道</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源:CAICT;新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公共云市场占有 40% 的份额,远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而,值得注意的是,尽管阿里巴巴处于领先地位,但阿里巴巴仍处于大量投资模式,以继续扩大其市场份额,因为中国公共云市场预计将从 2017 年的 264.8 亿元人民币增长到 2023 年的 2307.4 亿元人民币,复合年增长率将达到 43.4%,这是一个令人难以置信的惊人增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率(见下文)进行比较时,这一点尤为明显,因为全球公共云支出预计将从 2017 年的 1450 亿美元增长到 2022 年的 3970 亿美元,复合年增长率将达到 22.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源:Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。资料来源:CnTechPost;高德纳</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此,阿里云在 2020 年以 9.5% 的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOGL)(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOG)GCP 的领先优势,我并不感到惊讶。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场的明显领导者,但随着公共云支出的持续扩大,其市场份额大幅下降,这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位,我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。虽然阿里巴巴的云业务尚未实现息税前利润(21 财年息税前利润率:-15%,20 财年息税前利润率:-17.5%),但值得注意的是,Alphabet的 GCP 也没有实现盈利(20 财年息税前利润率:-42.9%,19 财年息税前利润率:-52%)。因此,我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务,预计阿里巴巴将在这些地区拥有更强大的领导地位,使其能够更快地增长,投资者应该预计随着时间的推移,这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常有说服力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/息税前利润3年范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/前轮驱动息税前利润和电动汽车/前轮驱动转速趋势。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑到阿里巴巴的 TEV / EBIT 历史范围(3 年平均值为 33.54 倍)时,阿里巴巴的 EV / Fwd EBIT 趋势无疑意味着该股被严重低估,因为阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍有望快速增长。不过,由于我们希望更清楚地了解阿里巴巴的息税前利润是如何估值的,因此我们认为,如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值,这将是有用的,如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史息税前利润和远期息税前利润,我们可以看到,与基准公司的一组观察值的中值相比,阿里巴巴的电动汽车/息税前利润看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴在区间中点的公允价值区间为 294.98 美元,基于当前 210 美元的股价,这代表着 40.5% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在,看着 Mr.市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣,就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源,而事实上,其商业部门、新的市场计划和不断增长的阿里云部门等仍有很大的潜在上涨空间。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因仅仅是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该认识到这种风险是非常真实的,有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查(事实上这并不是什么新鲜事)。关键在于,中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有巨大的影响力,而这些行为和行动有时在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性,因此他们可能因此大幅打折阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性,那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而,如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长征程中的一个昙花一现,那么你一定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力,再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续交付稳健的业绩,证明了该公司良好执行的强大能力。由于公司将继续在一个拥有众多增长动力的市场中运营,这些增长动力有望推动公司未来的增长,投资者应该会发现目前的估值极具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li> <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li> <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li> <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中拥有多种增长动力,这使得其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会随着潜在的双底价格行动信号而转向看涨。</li><li>我们将讨论公司的多重增长动力,让投资者自己判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永元/iStock 未通过 Getty Images 发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自 11 月 20 日初蚂蚁金服 IPO 被撤销以来,阿里巴巴-SW的股价经历了可怕的 8 个月,该股在低迷中萎靡不振,较高点下跌了 34%。在考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时,很明显,阿里巴巴具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差,并且在其关键的 50W 均线上总体上得到了良好的支撑。在过去 4 年中,它唯一一次失去关键的 50W MA 支撑位是在 2018 年熊市期间,当时阿里巴巴下跌了约 40%,但仍在重要的 200W MA 上方得到良好支撑,我们通常认为这是 “最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况:下跌34%,失去了50W MA,但看起来在200W MA以上得到了很好的支撑。除此之外,价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨:潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底,就像 2018 年熊市期间一样,随后强劲反弹。因此,阿里巴巴目前的水平可能是一个可能的技术性买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点:快速扩张的增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度电子商务收入。数据来源:公司文件</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV从1.68吨人民币增长到7.49吨人民币,仅用了7年时间,复合年增长率达到了23.8%,增长率着实惊人。我们还看到其 GMV 增长转化为收入增长,其中国商业收入从 76.7 亿元人民币增长到 473.68 亿元人民币,过去 10 年的复合年增长率为 51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然小得多,但在过去10年中,其CAGR仍以30.42%的速度增长,这绝不是缓慢的。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度预计将大幅放缓,复合年增长率为 12.4%,从 2021 年的 13.8 万亿元人民币(相当于 2.16 万亿元人民币)下降到 2024 年的 19.6 万亿元人民币(相当于 3.06 万亿元人民币),但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源:Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们将中国市场的增长率和规模与美国电子商务市场进行比较时,我们可以看到它们在规模和增长率上的巨大差异,因为美国电子商务市场从 2021 年到 2025 年的复合年增长率预计仅为 4.67%,大大低于中国的 12.4%。此外,美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约 5630 亿美元,相当于届时中国市场预期价值的 18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自其快速增长的主要竞争对手京东(纳斯达克股票代码:JD)和拼多多(纳斯达克股票代码:PDD)的越来越大的竞争压力,但阿里巴巴已经经营着一项利润更高的业务(息税前税前利润和自由现金流),并且预计将继续实现强劲的盈利能力展望未来,这将为该公司提供巨大的灵活性,以与京东和PDD正面竞争,以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到,阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到了其 SG&A 中反映的 27.82 亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响,因此其息税前利润率向下倾斜。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>其中一个重要举措是公司决定进一步投资社区市场,这是 PDD 的主要电子商务战略,PDD 在最近一个季度共获得了 8.23 亿 AAC,而阿里巴巴的 8.91 亿 AAC。考虑到 2017 年第二季度 PDD 的 AAC 数量仅为 1 亿,而同期阿里巴巴的 AAC 数量为 4.66 亿,PDD 的 AAC 增长确实惊人。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此,增长势头肯定已经转移到社区市场领域,阿里巴巴需要拿出它的大枪(它已经拥有)来与PDD和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源:艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到 2022 年 1020 亿元人民币的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴 21 财年中国商业收入的 21.5% 左右,但阿里巴巴不能错过 2019 年至 2022 年 3 年间 44.22% 的快速复合年增长率。虽然这个市场还比较小,但阿里巴巴不能让这个市场目前的领头羊:PDD在众人不知情的情况下,如此轻易地占据主导地位,吞噬早期的高增长率。当然,阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取其在这一领域的地位,并争取早期领导地位,以防止PDD扩大其领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>从上图中我们可以观察到,PDD 预计将在未来几年继续快速增长其收入,尽管预计随后将恢复正常。更重要的是,PDD 预计未来还将不断提高其息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力。这表明,社区市场是一个非常重要的增长动力,阿里巴巴必须利用其优势加以利用,才能在游戏初期否认 PDD 无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公共云支出。来源:中国互联网观察;通道</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源:CAICT;新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公共云市场占有 40% 的份额,远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而,值得注意的是,尽管阿里巴巴处于领先地位,但阿里巴巴仍处于大量投资模式,以继续扩大其市场份额,因为中国公共云市场预计将从 2017 年的 264.8 亿元人民币增长到 2023 年的 2307.4 亿元人民币,复合年增长率将达到 43.4%,这是一个令人难以置信的惊人增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率(见下文)进行比较时,这一点尤为明显,因为全球公共云支出预计将从 2017 年的 1450 亿美元增长到 2022 年的 3970 亿美元,复合年增长率将达到 22.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源:Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。资料来源:CnTechPost;高德纳</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此,阿里云在 2020 年以 9.5% 的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOGL)(纳斯达克股票代码:GOOG)GCP 的领先优势,我并不感到惊讶。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场的明显领导者,但随着公共云支出的持续扩大,其市场份额大幅下降,这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位,我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。虽然阿里巴巴的云业务尚未实现息税前利润(21 财年息税前利润率:-15%,20 财年息税前利润率:-17.5%),但值得注意的是,Alphabet的 GCP 也没有实现盈利(20 财年息税前利润率:-42.9%,19 财年息税前利润率:-52%)。因此,我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务,预计阿里巴巴将在这些地区拥有更强大的领导地位,使其能够更快地增长,投资者应该预计随着时间的推移,这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常有说服力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/息税前利润3年范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>电动汽车/前轮驱动息税前利润和电动汽车/前轮驱动转速趋势。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑到阿里巴巴的 TEV / EBIT 历史范围(3 年平均值为 33.54 倍)时,阿里巴巴的 EV / Fwd EBIT 趋势无疑意味着该股被严重低估,因为阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍有望快速增长。不过,由于我们希望更清楚地了解阿里巴巴的息税前利润是如何估值的,因此我们认为,如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值,这将是有用的,如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源:S&P Capital IQ</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史息税前利润和远期息税前利润,我们可以看到,与基准公司的一组观察值的中值相比,阿里巴巴的电动汽车/息税前利润看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴在区间中点的公允价值区间为 294.98 美元,基于当前 210 美元的股价,这代表着 40.5% 的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在,看着 Mr.市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣,就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源,而事实上,其商业部门、新的市场计划和不断增长的阿里云部门等仍有很大的潜在上涨空间。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因仅仅是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该认识到这种风险是非常真实的,有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查(事实上这并不是什么新鲜事)。关键在于,中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有巨大的影响力,而这些行为和行动有时在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性,因此他们可能因此大幅打折阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性,那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而,如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长征程中的一个昙花一现,那么你一定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力,再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切都包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续交付稳健的业绩,证明了该公司良好执行的强大能力。由于公司将继续在一个拥有众多增长动力的市场中运营,这些增长动力有望推动公司未来的增长,投资者应该会发现目前的估值极具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168920425,"gmtCreate":1623947308967,"gmtModify":1631888003862,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Shopping time for baba stock….😀","listText":"Shopping time for baba stock….😀","text":"Shopping time for baba stock….😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168920425","repostId":"1127088935","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161287769,"gmtCreate":1623929056051,"gmtModify":1631888003859,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Phew…added biontech last night…but should havebought more 😥","listText":"Phew…added biontech last night…but should havebought more 😥","text":"Phew…added biontech last night…but should havebought more 😥","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161287769","repostId":"1147243421","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147243421","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623918768,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1147243421?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 16:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.<blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147243421","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.\nNovavax,Moderna and BioNTech shares were up bewt","content":"<p>Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax,Moderna and BioNTech shares were up bewteen 1% and 5%.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax、Moderna 和 BioNTech 的股价上涨了 1% 至 5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf7ccd098da30e231e2f93a2600de4a\" tg-width=\"1291\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.<blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.<blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-17 16:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax,Moderna and BioNTech shares were up bewteen 1% and 5%.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax、Moderna 和 BioNTech 的股价上涨了 1% 至 5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf7ccd098da30e231e2f93a2600de4a\" tg-width=\"1291\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNTX":"BioNTech SE","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147243421","content_text":"Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.\nNovavax,Moderna and BioNTech shares were up bewteen 1% and 5%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVAX":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163832223,"gmtCreate":1623867486362,"gmtModify":1631888003857,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tesla running out of juice ??? ","listText":"Tesla running out of juice ??? ","text":"Tesla running out of juice ???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163832223","repostId":"1105892749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105892749","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623809672,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105892749?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105892749","media":"Barrons","summary":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bu","content":"<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价(股票代码:TSLA)今年迄今已下跌约 15%,较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看,特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商:通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)分析师亚当-乔纳斯(Adam Jonas)在周一晚间的一份报告中写道:”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始,作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元,比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道:”即使是看涨者也应该承认,2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的,但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振,特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说:”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说,他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后,他预测从现在到本十年中期,特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计,特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck,但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂:住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统,以客户为中心的连接性,将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合,”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观,但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级,但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外,他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元,这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看,高盛分析师马克-德莱尼(Mark Delaney)上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻,但他指出,售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入,目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月,这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利,只要同时没有坏消息,这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%,至 599.36 美元,本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价(股票代码:TSLA)今年迄今已下跌约 15%,较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看,特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商:通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)分析师亚当-乔纳斯(Adam Jonas)在周一晚间的一份报告中写道:”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始,作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元,比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道:”即使是看涨者也应该承认,2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的,但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振,特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说:”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说,他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后,他预测从现在到本十年中期,特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计,特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck,但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂:住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统,以客户为中心的连接性,将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合,”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观,但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级,但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外,他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元,这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看,高盛分析师马克-德莱尼(Mark Delaney)上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻,但他指出,售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入,目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月,这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利,只要同时没有坏消息,这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%,至 599.36 美元,本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105892749","content_text":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.\nTesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.\nThat performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.\nTesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.\n“The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.\nJonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.\nCanaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.\nDorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.\nLooking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.\nDelaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.\nNew production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.\nTesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160690809,"gmtCreate":1623791790601,"gmtModify":1631888003870,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Maybe this will cool off the inflation figures….","listText":"Maybe this will cool off the inflation figures….","text":"Maybe this will cool off the inflation figures….","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160690809","repostId":"1175229651","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175229651","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623761854,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175229651?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 20:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多 Stimmies”——美国 5 月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175229651","media":"zerohedge","summary":"With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in ret","content":"<p>With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (<i>confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions</i>), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...</p><p><blockquote>由于缺乏维持消费梦想的动力,分析师预计零售额将下降 0.8%(<i>证实美国银行最近的完美预测</i>),但数据更糟,暴跌1.3%……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b8615441c602f54053c2e255ce180a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Given the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,<b>a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,</b>tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)</p><p><blockquote>鉴于芯片短缺对汽车的预期影响,<b>“更干净”的前汽车印刷品数量也是一场灾难,</b>环比下跌 0.7%(比预期的 0.4% 改善要差得多)</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29613437d5cc305349ea8b7f9b50ab0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> BofA's forecasts nailed it again:</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的预测再次证明了这一点:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>BofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%</li> <li>BofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%</li> </ul> Building Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国银行表示零售总体利率为 -1.4%,最终为 -1.4%</li><li>美国银行表示,除汽车外零售额为 -0.6%,最终为 -0.7%</li></ul>建筑材料和机动车辆跌幅最大(如上所述)。非商店零售商(在线)的销售额也有所下降……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d94f95a16decd0cf5893fd4408feb6c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"435\">As the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...</p><p><blockquote>随着基数效应的消失,疯狂的同比竞争也会缓解……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/049936d252903cc97f3b4cd8abec9044\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Finally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...</p><p><blockquote>最后,我们注意到零售库存(供应)相对于零售销售(需求)已达到历史新低……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70b0549aa7160c7d4b2b96a17a25d15d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> How will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?</p><p><blockquote>美联储将如何解读?暂时性供应短缺?</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多 Stimmies”——美国 5 月份零售额暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多 Stimmies”——美国 5 月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 20:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (<i>confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions</i>), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...</p><p><blockquote>由于缺乏维持消费梦想的动力,分析师预计零售额将下降 0.8%(<i>证实美国银行最近的完美预测</i>),但数据更糟,暴跌1.3%……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b8615441c602f54053c2e255ce180a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Given the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,<b>a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,</b>tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)</p><p><blockquote>鉴于芯片短缺对汽车的预期影响,<b>“更干净”的前汽车印刷品数量也是一场灾难,</b>环比下跌 0.7%(比预期的 0.4% 改善要差得多)</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29613437d5cc305349ea8b7f9b50ab0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> BofA's forecasts nailed it again:</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的预测再次证明了这一点:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>BofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%</li> <li>BofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%</li> </ul> Building Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国银行表示零售总体利率为 -1.4%,最终为 -1.4%</li><li>美国银行表示,除汽车外零售额为 -0.6%,最终为 -0.7%</li></ul>建筑材料和机动车辆跌幅最大(如上所述)。非商店零售商(在线)的销售额也有所下降……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d94f95a16decd0cf5893fd4408feb6c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"435\">As the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...</p><p><blockquote>随着基数效应的消失,疯狂的同比竞争也会缓解……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/049936d252903cc97f3b4cd8abec9044\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Finally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...</p><p><blockquote>最后,我们注意到零售库存(供应)相对于零售销售(需求)已达到历史新低……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70b0549aa7160c7d4b2b96a17a25d15d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> How will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?</p><p><blockquote>美联储将如何解读?暂时性供应短缺?</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/gonna-need-more-stimmies-us-retail-sales-plunged-may\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/gonna-need-more-stimmies-us-retail-sales-plunged-may","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175229651","content_text":"With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...\nSource: Bloomberg\nGiven the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)\nSource: Bloomberg\nBofA's forecasts nailed it again:\n\nBofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%\nBofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%\n\nBuilding Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...\nAs the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...\nSource: Bloomberg\nFinally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...\nSource: Bloomberg\nHow will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187962555,"gmtCreate":1623735450577,"gmtModify":1631888003871,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"About time…i have been nursing losses on this stock for a while now..onwards and upwards, please…💰💰💰","listText":"About time…i have been nursing losses on this stock for a while now..onwards and upwards, please…💰💰💰","text":"About time…i have been nursing losses on this stock for a while now..onwards and upwards, please…💰💰💰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187962555","repostId":"2143609782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185676899,"gmtCreate":1623649189411,"gmtModify":1631888003869,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":" Could be a lot better for shareholders if the shareprice is around usd3.5k…😀","listText":" Could be a lot better for shareholders if the shareprice is around usd3.5k…😀","text":"Could be a lot better for shareholders if the shareprice is around usd3.5k…😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185676899","repostId":"1146011836","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":964,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182035950,"gmtCreate":1623546483670,"gmtModify":1631888003865,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great…onwards and upwards…🚀","listText":"Great…onwards and upwards…🚀","text":"Great…onwards and upwards…🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182035950","repostId":"1189143522","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189143522","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623513679,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1189143522?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-13 00:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Snowflake Is a Growth Juggernaut. Wall Street Is Thinking About Stock Value.<blockquote>雪花是一个增长巨头。华尔街正在考虑股票价值。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189143522","media":"Barron's","summary":"Snowflake remains one of the best growth stories in the history of the software business, and that h","content":"<p>Snowflake remains one of the best growth stories in the history of the software business, and that has Wall Street talking about the stock’s valuation.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 仍然是软件行业历史上最好的增长故事之一,这也让华尔街开始谈论该股的估值。</blockquote></p><p> In meeting with analysts on Thursday,the cloud-data software company provided an ambitious goalof reaching $10 billion in product revenue in the January 2029 fiscal year. That compares to $554 million forthe January 2021 fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>在周四与分析师的会议上, 这家云数据软件公司提出了一个雄心勃勃的目标, 即在 2029 年 1 月财年产品收入达到 100 亿美元。相比之下,2021 年 1 月财年为 5.54 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake (ticker: SNOW) should still be growing 30% at the top-line at that point, according to chief financial officer Mike Scarpelli, while generating 10% operating margins and free cash flow margins of 15% or better. He also said the company now sees a total addressable market of $90 billion, an expansion of more than 10% from the $81 billion estimated market size cited during its IPO roadshow in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官 Mike Scarpelli 表示,届时 Snowflake(股票代码:SNOW)的营收仍应增长 30%,同时产生 10% 的营业利润率和 15% 或更高的自由现金流利润率。他还表示,该公司目前的潜在市场总额为 900 亿美元,比 2020 年 IPO 路演期间估计的 810 亿美元市场规模扩大了 10% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> The long-term growth goals help frame the huge opportunity that Snowflake has ahead, but did nothing to change the fundamental debate about the stock: Does the impressive growth rate—120% in product revenue in the latest year— justify the massive valuation? In afternoon trading Friday, shares were off 4.4%, to $237.84.</p><p><blockquote>长期增长目标有助于塑造 Snowflake 未来的巨大机遇,但并没有改变有关该股的基本争论:令人印象深刻的增长率(最近一年产品收入为 120%)是否证明了巨大的估值是合理的?周五下午交易中,股价下跌 4.4%,至 237.84 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord Genuity analyst David Hynes notes that if Snowflake hits its $10 billion target, it would be the fastest that a software company has reached that size. Hynes adds that the history of the management team, led by CEO Frank Slootman, suggests Snowflake could reach its target early.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord Genuity 分析师 David Hynes 指出,如果 Snowflake 达到 100 亿美元的目标,这将是软件公司达到该规模的最快速度。Hynes 补充说,由首席执行官 Frank Slootman 领导的管理团队的历史表明 Snowflake 可以提前实现目标。</blockquote></p><p> But Hynes nonetheless is sticking with his Hold rating and $240 target price. “There’s no doubt that this is an exceptional business, but in our view, the stock’s current valuation”—about 47 times estimated calendar 2022 revenues—“fully reflects it.” He adds that as estimates move higher and the stock grinds sideways, he’s “getting closer to an upgrade,” but isn’t there yet. “We’re content to wait for more of the excess to burn off.”</p><p><blockquote>但海因斯仍然坚持持有评级和 240 美元的目标价。“毫无疑问,这是一项特殊的业务,但在我们看来,该股目前的估值”--约是 2022 年预计收入的 47 倍--“充分反映了这一点”。他补充说,随着估值走高和股票横盘整理,他 “离升级越来越近了”,但还没有到那一步。“我们满足于等待更多的多余燃烧殆尽”。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss writes in a research note that given the 120% product growth in fiscal 2021, the $10 billion target might be conservative. He adds that “the harder part of the equation may be justifying the valuation based on these targets.” Weiss says the model that Snowflake laid out implies $1.6 billion in free cash flow in fiscal 2029, which values the stock at 51 times free cash flow 8 years out. “While very impressed by the market opportunity …and Snowflake’s opportunity,” he says valuation keeps him on the sidelines. Weiss repeats his Equal Weigh rating and $270 price target.</p><p><blockquote>同样,摩根士丹利分析师基思·韦斯 (Keith Weiss) 在一份研究报告中写道,鉴于 2021 财年产品增长 120%,100 亿美元的目标可能比较保守。他补充说,“等式中更困难的部分可能是根据这些目标来证明估值的合理性”。Weiss 表示,Snowflake 提出的模型意味着 2029 财年将有 16 亿美元的自由现金流,这意味着该股 8 年后自由现金流的 51 倍。“他说,虽然市场机会.和雪花的机会给他留下了深刻的印象,”估值让他一直在观望。韦斯重申了他的同等权重评级和 270 美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Snowflake Is a Growth Juggernaut. Wall Street Is Thinking About Stock Value.<blockquote>雪花是一个增长巨头。华尔街正在考虑股票价值。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSnowflake Is a Growth Juggernaut. Wall Street Is Thinking About Stock Value.<blockquote>雪花是一个增长巨头。华尔街正在考虑股票价值。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-13 00:01</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Snowflake remains one of the best growth stories in the history of the software business, and that has Wall Street talking about the stock’s valuation.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake 仍然是软件行业历史上最好的增长故事之一,这也让华尔街开始谈论该股的估值。</blockquote></p><p> In meeting with analysts on Thursday,the cloud-data software company provided an ambitious goalof reaching $10 billion in product revenue in the January 2029 fiscal year. That compares to $554 million forthe January 2021 fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>在周四与分析师的会议上, 这家云数据软件公司提出了一个雄心勃勃的目标, 即在 2029 年 1 月财年产品收入达到 100 亿美元。相比之下,2021 年 1 月财年为 5.54 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake (ticker: SNOW) should still be growing 30% at the top-line at that point, according to chief financial officer Mike Scarpelli, while generating 10% operating margins and free cash flow margins of 15% or better. He also said the company now sees a total addressable market of $90 billion, an expansion of more than 10% from the $81 billion estimated market size cited during its IPO roadshow in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>首席财务官 Mike Scarpelli 表示,届时 Snowflake(股票代码:SNOW)的营收仍应增长 30%,同时产生 10% 的营业利润率和 15% 或更高的自由现金流利润率。他还表示,该公司目前的潜在市场总额为 900 亿美元,比 2020 年 IPO 路演期间估计的 810 亿美元市场规模扩大了 10% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> The long-term growth goals help frame the huge opportunity that Snowflake has ahead, but did nothing to change the fundamental debate about the stock: Does the impressive growth rate—120% in product revenue in the latest year— justify the massive valuation? In afternoon trading Friday, shares were off 4.4%, to $237.84.</p><p><blockquote>长期增长目标有助于塑造 Snowflake 未来的巨大机遇,但并没有改变有关该股的基本争论:令人印象深刻的增长率(最近一年产品收入为 120%)是否证明了巨大的估值是合理的?周五下午交易中,股价下跌 4.4%,至 237.84 美元。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord Genuity analyst David Hynes notes that if Snowflake hits its $10 billion target, it would be the fastest that a software company has reached that size. Hynes adds that the history of the management team, led by CEO Frank Slootman, suggests Snowflake could reach its target early.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord Genuity 分析师 David Hynes 指出,如果 Snowflake 达到 100 亿美元的目标,这将是软件公司达到该规模的最快速度。Hynes 补充说,由首席执行官 Frank Slootman 领导的管理团队的历史表明 Snowflake 可以提前实现目标。</blockquote></p><p> But Hynes nonetheless is sticking with his Hold rating and $240 target price. “There’s no doubt that this is an exceptional business, but in our view, the stock’s current valuation”—about 47 times estimated calendar 2022 revenues—“fully reflects it.” He adds that as estimates move higher and the stock grinds sideways, he’s “getting closer to an upgrade,” but isn’t there yet. “We’re content to wait for more of the excess to burn off.”</p><p><blockquote>但海因斯仍然坚持持有评级和 240 美元的目标价。“毫无疑问,这是一项特殊的业务,但在我们看来,该股目前的估值”--约是 2022 年预计收入的 47 倍--“充分反映了这一点”。他补充说,随着估值走高和股票横盘整理,他 “离升级越来越近了”,但还没有到那一步。“我们满足于等待更多的多余燃烧殆尽”。</blockquote></p><p> Likewise, Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss writes in a research note that given the 120% product growth in fiscal 2021, the $10 billion target might be conservative. He adds that “the harder part of the equation may be justifying the valuation based on these targets.” Weiss says the model that Snowflake laid out implies $1.6 billion in free cash flow in fiscal 2029, which values the stock at 51 times free cash flow 8 years out. “While very impressed by the market opportunity …and Snowflake’s opportunity,” he says valuation keeps him on the sidelines. Weiss repeats his Equal Weigh rating and $270 price target.</p><p><blockquote>同样,摩根士丹利分析师基思·韦斯 (Keith Weiss) 在一份研究报告中写道,鉴于 2021 财年产品增长 120%,100 亿美元的目标可能比较保守。他补充说,“等式中更困难的部分可能是根据这些目标来证明估值的合理性”。Weiss 表示,Snowflake 提出的模型意味着 2029 财年将有 16 亿美元的自由现金流,这意味着该股 8 年后自由现金流的 51 倍。“他说,虽然市场机会.和雪花的机会给他留下了深刻的印象,”估值让他一直在观望。韦斯重申了他的同等权重评级和 270 美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/snowflake-is-a-growth-juggernaut-wall-street-is-thinking-about-stock-value-51623432689?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNOW":"Snowflake"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/snowflake-is-a-growth-juggernaut-wall-street-is-thinking-about-stock-value-51623432689?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189143522","content_text":"Snowflake remains one of the best growth stories in the history of the software business, and that has Wall Street talking about the stock’s valuation.\nIn meeting with analysts on Thursday,the cloud-data software company provided an ambitious goalof reaching $10 billion in product revenue in the January 2029 fiscal year. That compares to $554 million forthe January 2021 fiscal year.\nSnowflake (ticker: SNOW) should still be growing 30% at the top-line at that point, according to chief financial officer Mike Scarpelli, while generating 10% operating margins and free cash flow margins of 15% or better. He also said the company now sees a total addressable market of $90 billion, an expansion of more than 10% from the $81 billion estimated market size cited during its IPO roadshow in 2020.\nThe long-term growth goals help frame the huge opportunity that Snowflake has ahead, but did nothing to change the fundamental debate about the stock: Does the impressive growth rate—120% in product revenue in the latest year— justify the massive valuation? In afternoon trading Friday, shares were off 4.4%, to $237.84.\nCanaccord Genuity analyst David Hynes notes that if Snowflake hits its $10 billion target, it would be the fastest that a software company has reached that size. Hynes adds that the history of the management team, led by CEO Frank Slootman, suggests Snowflake could reach its target early.\nBut Hynes nonetheless is sticking with his Hold rating and $240 target price. “There’s no doubt that this is an exceptional business, but in our view, the stock’s current valuation”—about 47 times estimated calendar 2022 revenues—“fully reflects it.” He adds that as estimates move higher and the stock grinds sideways, he’s “getting closer to an upgrade,” but isn’t there yet. “We’re content to wait for more of the excess to burn off.”\nLikewise, Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss writes in a research note that given the 120% product growth in fiscal 2021, the $10 billion target might be conservative. He adds that “the harder part of the equation may be justifying the valuation based on these targets.” Weiss says the model that Snowflake laid out implies $1.6 billion in free cash flow in fiscal 2029, which values the stock at 51 times free cash flow 8 years out. “While very impressed by the market opportunity …and Snowflake’s opportunity,” he says valuation keeps him on the sidelines. Weiss repeats his Equal Weigh rating and $270 price target.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNOW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188286792,"gmtCreate":1623448657016,"gmtModify":1631888003863,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Oops i sold some of my NIO stocks already…guessi will hold on to the remaining stocks until it reached 50$","listText":"Oops i sold some of my NIO stocks already…guessi will hold on to the remaining stocks until it reached 50$","text":"Oops i sold some of my NIO stocks already…guessi will hold on to the remaining stocks until it reached 50$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188286792","repostId":"1146386859","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181090468,"gmtCreate":1623365865454,"gmtModify":1631888003864,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Timely news whic clearly help to boost the share price which has been drifting…👍🏻","listText":"Timely news whic clearly help to boost the share price which has been drifting…👍🏻","text":"Timely news whic clearly help to boost the share price which has been drifting…👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181090468","repostId":"2142322934","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180469888,"gmtCreate":1623220407444,"gmtModify":1631888003870,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"I sold docusign as well earlier this week 😀","listText":"I sold docusign as well earlier this week 😀","text":"I sold docusign as well earlier this week 😀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180469888","repostId":"1183830906","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183830906","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623216866,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1183830906?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-09 13:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Sells Snapchat, DocuSign For Second Straight Day, Buys Spotify<blockquote>Cathie Wood 连续第二天出售 Snapchat、DocuSign,并收购 Spotify</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183830906","media":"benzinga","summary":"Cathie Wood-led Ark Investment Management on Monday booked profit in DocuSign Inc for a second strai","content":"<p><div> Cathie Wood-led Ark Investment Management on Monday booked profit in DocuSign Inc for a second straight day, after boosting confidence in the e-signature company's ability to draw more customers.Ark ...</p><p><blockquote><div>凯西·伍德领导的方舟投资管理公司周一连续第二天公布DocuSign Inc.的利润,此前人们对这家电子签名公司吸引更多客户的能力充满信心。方舟……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/21/06/21485239/cathie-wood-sells-snapchat-docusign-for-second-straight-day-buys-spotify\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/21/06/21485239/cathie-wood-sells-snapchat-docusign-for-second-straight-day-buys-spotify\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Sells Snapchat, DocuSign For Second Straight Day, Buys Spotify<blockquote>Cathie Wood 连续第二天出售 Snapchat、DocuSign,并收购 Spotify</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Sells Snapchat, DocuSign For Second Straight Day, Buys Spotify<blockquote>Cathie Wood 连续第二天出售 Snapchat、DocuSign,并收购 Spotify</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-09 13:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Cathie Wood-led Ark Investment Management on Monday booked profit in DocuSign Inc for a second straight day, after boosting confidence in the e-signature company's ability to draw more customers.Ark ...</p><p><blockquote><div>凯西·伍德领导的方舟投资管理公司周一连续第二天公布DocuSign Inc.的利润,此前人们对这家电子签名公司吸引更多客户的能力充满信心。方舟……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/21/06/21485239/cathie-wood-sells-snapchat-docusign-for-second-straight-day-buys-spotify\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/21/06/21485239/cathie-wood-sells-snapchat-docusign-for-second-straight-day-buys-spotify\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/21/06/21485239/cathie-wood-sells-snapchat-docusign-for-second-straight-day-buys-spotify\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNAP":"Snap Inc","SPOT":"Spotify Technology S.A."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/21/06/21485239/cathie-wood-sells-snapchat-docusign-for-second-straight-day-buys-spotify","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183830906","content_text":"Cathie Wood-led Ark Investment Management on Monday booked profit in DocuSign Inc for a second straight day, after boosting confidence in the e-signature company's ability to draw more customers.Ark Invest sold 46,938 shares, estimated to be worth about $11.37 million, in DocuSign as shares of the San Francisco, California-based company closed 0.56% higher at $242.32 on Tuesday. Shares of DocuSign have risen about 4% since Friday.Wood's firm said on Friday, after market hours, DocuSignappears to be gaining tractionin international markets and the growth in its Agreement Cloud amid COVID-19 is not a temporary shift.Wood’s firm sold the shares in DocuSign via the Ark Innovation ETF . Ark also holds a stake in the company via the Ark Next Generation Internet ETF.The popular investment firm’s holding in DocuSign, whose worth is estimated to be about $592.9 million based on Tuesday’s closing price, is now down to 2.46 million shares.The investment firm also sold 77,407 shares, estimated to be worth about $4.65 million, in Snapchat parent Snap Inc .Shares of the social media company closed 1.99% lower at $60.15 on Tuesday.Wood’s firm sold the shares in Snap via ARKW and also holds a stake in the company via the Ark Fintech Innovation ETF . Ark’s stake in Snap is now down to 2.75 million shares, lowering its estimated value to about $168.55 million, as of Tuesday.The New York-based investment firm also bought 60,383 shares, estimated to be worth $14.64 million, in Spotify Technology , its second straight buy in the digital music streaming company.Shares of Spotify closed marginally down at $242.51 on Tuesday.ARKK made the purchase. It held about 3.12 million shares, worth about $758.4 million, in the company ahead of Tuesday's trade. ARKW too has a stake in Spotify.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPOT":0.9,"SNAP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114877174,"gmtCreate":1623069988798,"gmtModify":1631888003866,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"With their dominant positions, i am sure it shld be easy for them to pass on the additional costs to consumer. ","listText":"With their dominant positions, i am sure it shld be easy for them to pass on the additional costs to consumer. ","text":"With their dominant positions, i am sure it shld be easy for them to pass on the additional costs to consumer.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114877174","repostId":"1126396501","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":163832223,"gmtCreate":1623867486362,"gmtModify":1631888003857,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tesla running out of juice ??? ","listText":"Tesla running out of juice ??? ","text":"Tesla running out of juice ???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163832223","repostId":"1105892749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105892749","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623809672,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1105892749?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 10:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105892749","media":"Barrons","summary":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bu","content":"<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价(股票代码:TSLA)今年迄今已下跌约 15%,较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看,特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商:通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)分析师亚当-乔纳斯(Adam Jonas)在周一晚间的一份报告中写道:”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始,作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元,比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道:”即使是看涨者也应该承认,2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的,但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振,特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说:”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说,他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后,他预测从现在到本十年中期,特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计,特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck,但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂:住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统,以客户为中心的连接性,将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合,”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观,但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级,但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外,他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元,这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看,高盛分析师马克-德莱尼(Mark Delaney)上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻,但他指出,售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入,目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月,这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利,只要同时没有坏消息,这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%,至 599.36 美元,本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Bulls Look for Stock Catalysts. They Found Three.<blockquote>特斯拉多头寻找股票催化剂。他们找到了三个。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 10:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票的疲软表现让看涨的分析师感到失望。他们正在寻找催化剂来打破近期的恐慌情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价(股票代码:TSLA)今年迄今已下跌约 15%,较 1 月份 900.40 美元的 52 周高点下跌约 50%。从股票的角度来看,特斯拉已经将领先地位拱手让给了传统汽车制造商:通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车公司 (F) 的股价今年迄今分别上涨了 45% 和 70%。</blockquote></p><p> That performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.</p><p><blockquote>这一表现让特斯拉公牛队感到困惑。“摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)分析师亚当-乔纳斯(Adam Jonas)在周一晚间的一份报告中写道:”让我们从健康的知识诚实开始,作为股票的起点。他给予特斯拉看涨股票买入评级。他对该股的目标价为每股 900 美元,比近期水平高出近 50%。“他写道:”即使是看涨者也应该承认,2020 年下半年股价的上涨虽然在原则上是理所应当的,但却是在一个高度集中的时间框架内实现的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.</p><p><blockquote>受强劲盈利、强劲交付以及该股被纳入标普500的提振,特斯拉股价在 2020 年下半年上涨了 227%。</blockquote></p><p> “The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.</p><p><blockquote>“乔纳斯补充说:”该股在大约五个月内就取得了五年来的大部分表现。他说,他的客户现在正在寻找下一件可以推动股票再次上涨的大事。他的想法包括扩大德克萨斯州和德国的产能。此后,他预测从现在到本十年中期,特斯拉将再开设五家工厂。</blockquote></p><p> Jonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Jonas 还在寻找特斯拉推出另一款新车型。据他估计,特斯拉的Y、X、3和S车型仅覆盖了汽车行业总潜在市场的15%左右。模型扩展将是积极的。虽然该公司将于 2021 年晚些时候交付 Cybertruck,但这并不在近期内。</blockquote></p><p> Canaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.</p><p><blockquote>Canaccord 分析师 Jonathan Dorsheimer 正在寻找不同领域的催化剂:住宅太阳能。他看好的部分原因是 “特斯拉正在创建一个能源品牌和一个苹果式的产品生态系统,以客户为中心的连接性,将汽车、太阳能和备用电源无缝结合,”他在周日发布的一份报告中写道。</blockquote></p><p> Dorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.</p><p><blockquote>多尔斯海默很乐观,但最近感觉有点沮丧。他仍然给予该股买入评级,但在报告中将目标价从 974 美元下调至 812 美元。除此之外,他对电池延迟感到失望。特斯拉计划使用更大的电池单元,这有望提供更好的续航里程、充电时间和成本。这些电池还没有上市。</blockquote></p><p> Looking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.</p><p><blockquote>再往前看,高盛分析师马克-德莱尼(Mark Delaney)上周正在观看特斯拉的 Model S Plaid 交付活动。Plaid 可以在不到两秒的时间内从零加速到 60 英里/小时。德莱尼对这项技术印象深刻,但他指出,售价约为 13 万美元的 Plaid 是一款小众汽车。他希望2021年的交付量能够超出预期。德莱尼将在2021年为特斯拉建造875,000辆汽车。华尔街共识数字接近82.5万。</blockquote></p><p> Delaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.</p><p><blockquote>德莱尼将股票评级为买入,目标价为 860 美元。</blockquote></p><p> New production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.</p><p><blockquote>未来几个月,这三家公司将关注新产量的增加、强劲的交付和不断增长的太阳能业务。如果一切顺利,只要同时没有坏消息,这些催化剂应该足以推动特斯拉股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周二下跌 3%,至 599.36 美元,本周小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-bulls-look-for-stock-catalysts-they-found-three-51623774479?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105892749","content_text":"Weak performance from Tesla stock has bullish analysts feeling disappointed these days. They are looking for catalysts to break shares out of their recent funk.\nTesla stock (ticker: TSLA) is down about 15% year to date and off about 50% from its January 52-week high of $900.40. Tesla has ceded leadership—from a stock perspective—back to traditional auto makers: General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor (F) shares are up 45% and 70% year to date, respectively.\nThat performance is flummoxing Tesla bulls. “Let’s begin with a healthy dose of intellectual honesty on the starting point for the stock,” writes Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas in a Monday evening report. He is a Tesla bull rating shares Buy. His price target for the stock is $900 a share, almost 50% higher than recent levels. “Even bulls should admit that the rise in the stock price during the second half of 2020, while perhaps deserved in principle, was packed into a highly concentrated time frame,” he writes.\nTesla shares rose 227% in the second half of 2020, buoyed by strong earnings, strong deliveries, and the stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500.\n“The stock had the better part of five years-worth of performance packed into about five month,” Jonas adds. He says his clients are now looking for the next big thing that can drive the stock forward again. His ideas include capacity expansion in Texas and Germany. After that, he predicts Tesla will open up five more plants between now and the middle of this decade.\nJonas is also looking for Tesla to unveil another new vehicle model. By his estimation, Tesla covers only about 15% of the total addressable market for the auto industry with its Y, X, 3, and S models. Model expansion will be a positive. That isn’t on the near-term horizon, though the company is due to deliver its Cybertruck later in 2021.\nCanaccord analyst Jonathan Dorsheimer is looking in a different area for a catalyst: residential solar power. Part of the reason he is bullish is that “Tesla is creating an energy brand and an Apple-esque ecosystem of products with customer focused connectivity, seamlessly marrying car, solar, and back-up power,” he wrote in a report released Sunday.\nDorsheimer is bullish, but feeling a little down lately. He still rates the stock Buy, but he cut his price target to $812 from $974 in his report. Among other things, he is disappointed by battery delays. Tesla is planning to use larger battery cells that promise better range, charge time, and costs. Those batteries aren’t available yet.\nLooking a little further back, Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney was watching Tesla’s Model S Plaid delivery event last week. The Plaid can go zero to 60 miles per hour in less than two seconds. Delaney was impressed by the technology, but pointed out the Plaid, at roughly $130,000, is a niche vehicle. He is looking for 2021 deliveries to exceed expectations. Delaney is modeling 875,000 vehicles for Tesla in 2021. The Wall Street consensus number is closer to 825,000.\nDelaney rates shares Buy and has an $860 price target.\nNew production ramping up, strong deliveries, and a growing solar business is what these three will watch for in coming months. If all goes well, those catalysts should be enough to drive Tesla stock higher, as long as there is no bad news in the meantime.\nTesla stock was down 3% to $599.36 on Tuesday, and down slightly for the week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883738367,"gmtCreate":1631271835859,"gmtModify":1631888003854,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Cmon tiger up up and away…","listText":"Cmon tiger up up and away…","text":"Cmon tiger up up and away…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883738367","repostId":"883792915","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":883792915,"gmtCreate":1631271070337,"gmtModify":1631883662706,"author":{"id":"3584308394767333","authorId":"3584308394767333","name":"hotspicy","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46bd203ea680ec738ca37be1176f511","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584308394767333","authorIdStr":"3584308394767333"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>good ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>good ","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/844c49929e88c59aedf5a88b28a8b2aa","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883792915","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114877174,"gmtCreate":1623069988798,"gmtModify":1631888003866,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"With their dominant positions, i am sure it shld be easy for them to pass on the additional costs to consumer. ","listText":"With their dominant positions, i am sure it shld be easy for them to pass on the additional costs to consumer. ","text":"With their dominant positions, i am sure it shld be easy for them to pass on the additional costs to consumer.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114877174","repostId":"1126396501","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109997191,"gmtCreate":1619657914113,"gmtModify":1631893566945,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow this was unexpected...luckily I didn’t sell before the results were out","listText":"Wow this was unexpected...luckily I didn’t sell before the results were out","text":"Wow this was unexpected...luckily I didn’t sell before the results were out","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109997191","repostId":"1137964402","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137964402","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619651546,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137964402?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 07:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告另一个井喷季度销售额增长 54%,授权回购 900 亿美元股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137964402","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65","content":"<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了一个井喷的季度,宣布全公司销售额比去年增长 54%,利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至 6 月份的季度预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了一个井喷的季度,宣布全公司销售额比去年增长 54%,利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过 4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales did better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad sales growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称,其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长,其最重要的产品线 iPhone 比去年增长了 65.5%。其 Mac 和 iPad 销量表现更好,电脑销量同比增长 70.1%,iPad 销量同比增长近 79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示,将把股息提高 7%,达到每股 0.22 美元,并授权回购 900 亿美元的股票,大大高于去年的 500 亿美元支出和 2019 年的 750 亿美元支出。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果的表现与路孚特的估计:</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>: $1.40 vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>: $89.58 billion vs. $77.36 billion estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>: $47.94 billion vs. $41.43 billion estimated, up 65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>: $16.90 billion vs. $15.57 billion estimated, up 26.7% year over year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>: $7.83 billion vs. $7.79 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>: $9.10 billion vs. $6.86 billion estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>: $7.80 billion vs. $5.58 billion estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>: 42.5% vs. 39.8% estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty. This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>每股收益</b>:1.40美元对比。估计 0.99 美元</li><li><b>收入</b>:895.8 亿美元 vs.预计773.6亿美元,同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>:479.4亿美元 vs.预计414.3亿美元,同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>:169.0 亿美元 vs.预计155.7亿美元,同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收入</b>:78.3 亿美元 vs.预计77.9亿美元,同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>:91亿美元 vs.预计68.6亿美元,同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>:78 亿美元 vs.预计55.8亿美元,同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>:42.5% vs. 估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至 6 月份的季度预期发布官方指引。自大流行病开始以来,该公司一直没有提供收入指引,理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度所有产品类别都实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官卢卡-马埃斯特里(Luca Maestri)告诉分析师,该公司预计 6 月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数,尽管由于全球芯片短缺,该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers and businesses bought computers to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果近几个月来表示,随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐,疫情提振了其业务。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明,随着更多经济体的开放,这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者,正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆-库克(Tim Cook)在一份声明中所说: “本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式,也反映了消费者似乎对我们所有人未来更美好的日子感到乐观”。</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac laptops that used its own M1 chips for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by Intel. iPad sales were up nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac 销量增长了 70%,库克说,这一结果 “得益于 ”该公司推出的 Mac 笔记本电脑使用自己的 M1 芯片,而不是英特尔销售的处理器,从而延长了电池寿命。iPad 销量同比增长近 79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those results include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这些结果都不包括该公司 3 月份宣布的 iPad Pro 或 iMac 型号,预计这将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac … it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that … it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>“库克告诉 CNBC 的乔希-利普顿(Josh Lipton):”我们看到 Mac 的首次购买者强劲.它的购买率继续徘徊在 50% 以下。“在中国,这一比例甚至更高.三分之二左右。这说明人们更喜欢在 Mac 上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的 iPhone 本季度也公布了强劲的业绩,平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年,苹果发布了采用全新外观设计和 5G 支持的 iPhone,许多投资者认为这可能会引发一次重大升级周期,本季度的业绩也表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, Apple’s revenue increased over 87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic. Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括中国大陆、中国香港和台湾地区在内的大中华区,苹果的收入同比增长超过 87%,达到 177.3 亿美元,但与去年的一个季度相比,去年中国在大流行病初期基本上处于停摆状态。包括美洲和欧洲在内的所有其他地区的收入也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s high-margin services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务,包括 iCloud、App Store 和苹果音乐等订阅服务,也实现了 26.7% 的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量,其中不仅包括苹果一号等自己的订阅,还包括通过其应用商店的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“库克告诉 CNBC:”我们现在平台上所有服务的付费订阅量超过 6.6 亿,比上一季度增加了 4000 万,比上一季度的 3500 万有所加快。</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而,苹果的 App Store 一直受到立法者和公司的质疑,他们认为它成本太高,权力太大。备受关注的堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games关于应用商店政策的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store 是一个经济奇迹。据估计,去年有超过 5 万亿美元的经济活动因为 App Store 而产生。因此,这不仅改变了美国的经济游戏规则,也改变了世界上几个国家的经济游戏规则。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们拭目以待。但是,我们很有信心,”库克告诉 CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度,利润率往往在 38% 至 39% 之间,但在截至 3 月份的季度,苹果报告的利润率为 42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告另一个井喷季度销售额增长 54%,授权回购 900 亿美元股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告另一个井喷季度销售额增长 54%,授权回购 900 亿美元股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-29 07:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了一个井喷的季度,宣布全公司销售额比去年增长 54%,利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至 6 月份的季度预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了一个井喷的季度,宣布全公司销售额比去年增长 54%,利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过 4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales did better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad sales growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称,其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长,其最重要的产品线 iPhone 比去年增长了 65.5%。其 Mac 和 iPad 销量表现更好,电脑销量同比增长 70.1%,iPad 销量同比增长近 79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示,将把股息提高 7%,达到每股 0.22 美元,并授权回购 900 亿美元的股票,大大高于去年的 500 亿美元支出和 2019 年的 750 亿美元支出。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果的表现与路孚特的估计:</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>: $1.40 vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>: $89.58 billion vs. $77.36 billion estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>: $47.94 billion vs. $41.43 billion estimated, up 65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>: $16.90 billion vs. $15.57 billion estimated, up 26.7% year over year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>: $7.83 billion vs. $7.79 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>: $9.10 billion vs. $6.86 billion estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>: $7.80 billion vs. $5.58 billion estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>: 42.5% vs. 39.8% estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty. This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>每股收益</b>:1.40美元对比。估计 0.99 美元</li><li><b>收入</b>:895.8 亿美元 vs.预计773.6亿美元,同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>:479.4亿美元 vs.预计414.3亿美元,同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>:169.0 亿美元 vs.预计155.7亿美元,同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收入</b>:78.3 亿美元 vs.预计77.9亿美元,同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>:91亿美元 vs.预计68.6亿美元,同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>:78 亿美元 vs.预计55.8亿美元,同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>:42.5% vs. 估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至 6 月份的季度预期发布官方指引。自大流行病开始以来,该公司一直没有提供收入指引,理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度所有产品类别都实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官卢卡-马埃斯特里(Luca Maestri)告诉分析师,该公司预计 6 月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数,尽管由于全球芯片短缺,该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers and businesses bought computers to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果近几个月来表示,随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐,疫情提振了其业务。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明,随着更多经济体的开放,这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者,正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆-库克(Tim Cook)在一份声明中所说: “本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式,也反映了消费者似乎对我们所有人未来更美好的日子感到乐观”。</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac laptops that used its own M1 chips for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by Intel. iPad sales were up nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac 销量增长了 70%,库克说,这一结果 “得益于 ”该公司推出的 Mac 笔记本电脑使用自己的 M1 芯片,而不是英特尔销售的处理器,从而延长了电池寿命。iPad 销量同比增长近 79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those results include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这些结果都不包括该公司 3 月份宣布的 iPad Pro 或 iMac 型号,预计这将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac … it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that … it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>“库克告诉 CNBC 的乔希-利普顿(Josh Lipton):”我们看到 Mac 的首次购买者强劲.它的购买率继续徘徊在 50% 以下。“在中国,这一比例甚至更高.三分之二左右。这说明人们更喜欢在 Mac 上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的 iPhone 本季度也公布了强劲的业绩,平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年,苹果发布了采用全新外观设计和 5G 支持的 iPhone,许多投资者认为这可能会引发一次重大升级周期,本季度的业绩也表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, Apple’s revenue increased over 87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic. Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括中国大陆、中国香港和台湾地区在内的大中华区,苹果的收入同比增长超过 87%,达到 177.3 亿美元,但与去年的一个季度相比,去年中国在大流行病初期基本上处于停摆状态。包括美洲和欧洲在内的所有其他地区的收入也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s high-margin services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务,包括 iCloud、App Store 和苹果音乐等订阅服务,也实现了 26.7% 的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量,其中不仅包括苹果一号等自己的订阅,还包括通过其应用商店的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“库克告诉 CNBC:”我们现在平台上所有服务的付费订阅量超过 6.6 亿,比上一季度增加了 4000 万,比上一季度的 3500 万有所加快。</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而,苹果的 App Store 一直受到立法者和公司的质疑,他们认为它成本太高,权力太大。备受关注的堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games关于应用商店政策的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store 是一个经济奇迹。据估计,去年有超过 5 万亿美元的经济活动因为 App Store 而产生。因此,这不仅改变了美国的经济游戏规则,也改变了世界上几个国家的经济游戏规则。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们拭目以待。但是,我们很有信心,”库克告诉 CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度,利润率往往在 38% 至 39% 之间,但在截至 3 月份的季度,苹果报告的利润率为 42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137964402","content_text":"KEY POINTSApple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales did better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad sales growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay and 2019′s $75 billion.Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:EPS: $1.40 vs. $0.99 estimatedRevenue: $89.58 billion vs. $77.36 billion estimated, up 53.7% year-over-yeariPhone revenue: $47.94 billion vs. $41.43 billion estimated, up 65.5% year-over-yearServices revenue: $16.90 billion vs. $15.57 billion estimated, up 26.7% year over yearOther Products revenue: $7.83 billion vs. $7.79 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-yearMac revenue: $9.10 billion vs. $6.86 billion estimated, up 70.1% year-over-yeariPad revenue: $7.80 billion vs. $5.58 billion estimated, up 78.9% year-over-yearGross margin: 42.5% vs. 39.8% estimatedApple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty. This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers and businesses bought computers to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies open up.Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days ahead for all of us.”Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac laptops that used its own M1 chips for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by Intel. iPad sales were up nearly 79% year-over-year.Neither of those results include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac … it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that … it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, Apple’s revenue increased over 87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic. Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.Apple’s high-margin services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":854,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124767748,"gmtCreate":1624794845584,"gmtModify":1631888003856,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nio for me…will be volatile but have bigger upside and downside as well….","listText":"Nio for me…will be volatile but have bigger upside and downside as well….","text":"Nio for me…will be volatile but have bigger upside and downside as well….","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124767748","repostId":"1137119316","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137119316","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624754401,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137119316?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 08:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来?最终判决</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137119316","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.With Ford launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li> <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li> <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在增进对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解,同时突出市场地位和机遇的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多,高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特公司(F)在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势,中国电动汽车制造商蔚来(蔚来)未来将面临另一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值,哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易?我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来,并在最后给出最终结论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特与蔚来:全球电动汽车市场之争正在升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别,但两家公司都将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场展开较量。福特的车队还没有以电动汽车为重点,但这种情况将会改变: 福特感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温,因此表示将加快其电气化计划,在 2025 年前投资 300 亿美元用于电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求投资 220 亿美元用于零排放汽车。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标:未来十年,其全球销量的 40% 将是电动汽车,皮卡车销量的 33% 将是电动汽车。目前,电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的 1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机,它将在 2040 年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,全球电动汽车销量为320万辆,市场份额仅为4.2%。然而,2020 年,中国购买了全球 41% 的电动汽车。去年,中国买家购买了 130 万辆电动汽车,随着北京寻求促进电动汽车的普及,销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲,占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是全球第三大插电式电动汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:维基百科)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止,中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场,尽管欧洲正在迅速迎头赶上,部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用,以及对欧洲范围内充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来正处于进军欧洲市场的风口浪尖,希望在竞争准备就绪之前扩大其在世界第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>中国政府是蔚来汽车工业电气化的推动者: 中国政府希望到 2025 年,电动汽车在新车销售中所占份额达到 20%,这将推动电动汽车在中国本土市场的普及。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:施罗德)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策,这些市场将迎来世界上最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模,中国不仅是最大的市场,而且预计到2030年,电动汽车销量将超过全球所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:麦肯锡)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长和更有利的监管框架,这里的赢家将是:蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有百年的制造经验。但到目前为止,福特的产品阵容中只有一款与蔚来相比的全电动汽车:野马 Mach-E SUV。2022 年,福特将开始销售全电动 F-150 Lightening,该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录,包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑车SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来只专注于生产电动汽车,并且占据了一个非常小且明确的利基市场,这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验,可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商希望实现的速度更快地提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国是特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手,而且在国外也是蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划,它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议斥资 300 亿美元用于车队电气化,这将加速其转型,并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>这里的赢家:福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化与BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在这个市场中的重要性,随着时间的推移,这个市场只会变得更加竞争,这就是为什么两家公司都在一个相关领域大力投资,这个领域可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场的主导地位:电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司 SK Innovation 成立一家合资企业,以确保牵引电池芯和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加快电池交付速度,年产量约为 60 GWh,足以满足福特到 2030 年预计年能源需求的 25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术,并组建了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特不同的是,蔚来的电池投资战略围绕着电池订阅模式,也称为 “电池即服务 ”,这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了一个强大的长期收入机会。在这种 “BaaS” 模式下,用户购买蔚来电动汽车可获得 7 万元人民币的初始折扣,折合 1.08 万美元,并可签约包月租赁 70 千瓦时的可充电电池。然后可以在蔚来的换电站更换电池,这些换电站在中国大多数大城市都有。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币,相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处:由于前期折扣,从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠,订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和随着时间的推移更好的性能。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩,为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入流。“BaaS ”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/换电站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户绑定到蔚来,从而潜在地增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特和蔚来增加资本配置,它们有望从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池,性能将会提高,成本将会下降,这应该会推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车比内燃机乘用车更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建部分商业模式,蔚来可能会比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德提供的信息,自 2014 年以来,电动汽车的电池成本已下降 70%,并且本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:施罗德)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS ”模式是天才之作,从长远来看,它可能会发展成为蔚来每年 5 亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资,但这一类别的赢家是:蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特 5 月份的销量同比增长 4.1%,但电动汽车销量(包括混合动力汽车)同比激增 184%,福特 5 月份售出了创纪录的 10,364 辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified 和 Explorer Hybrid 的销量分别同比增长 125% 和 132%,显示出强劲的客户吸引力。蔚来上个月交付了 6,711 辆汽车,其中包括 3,017 辆 ES6、1,412 辆 ES8 和 2,282 辆 EC6。5 月份总交付量同比增长 95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销量是蔚来汽车的54倍,这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来之间的估值差异就像黑夜和白天之间的差异。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别实现了爆炸式增长,但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商,预计企业销量增长将达到中低位数。福特预计到 2025 财年(基准年:2020 财年)收入将增长 33%,蔚来将增长 808%!</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于销售增长的这些差异,蔚来与福特完全相反,至少就估值而言是这样。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近 100%,由于蔚来只销售电动汽车,蔚来的市值与销量之比远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:作者)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来有更大的风险……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业,但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。与福特相比,蔚来的全球总销售额增长潜力更大,因为它的营收基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如,与可以依赖全球服务和分销网络的福特相比,由于生产缺陷导致的召回对于蔚来来说将是一个更大的挑战。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险,因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓,将对财务状况造成更大影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最终判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更 “性感 ”的汽车制造商。在中国和欧洲的强劲采用率和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩,堪称天才。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价,但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展,随着该汽车制造商车队电气化,电动汽车销量的比例也将不断增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大,但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低,福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力,请购买蔚来。如果你相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力,又不喜欢太大的风险,那就买福特吧。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ford Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来?最终判决</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFord Or NIO? The Final Verdict<blockquote>福特还是蔚来?最终判决</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 08:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>I am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.</li> <li>The comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.</li> <li>NIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5033fa117d7852799244b8275bc1000f\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"886\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>我在不同的类别中比较福特和蔚来。</li><li>此次比较旨在增进对福特和蔚来增长潜力的了解,同时突出市场地位和机遇的差异。</li><li>蔚来的增长速度比福特快得多,高估值可能是合理的。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>peterschreiber.media/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> With Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特公司(F)在电动汽车市场发起重大攻势,中国电动汽车制造商蔚来(蔚来)未来将面临另一个竞争对手争夺销量。根据市场机会、规模、收入模式、增长前景和估值,哪家汽车制造商提供了最好的交易?我将在每个类别中比较福特和蔚来,并在最后给出最终结论。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>福特与蔚来:全球电动汽车市场之争正在升温</b></blockquote></p><p> Although there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.</p><p><blockquote>尽管福特和蔚来之间存在天壤之别,但两家公司都将在快速增长的全球电动汽车市场展开较量。福特的车队还没有以电动汽车为重点,但这种情况将会改变: 福特感觉到电动汽车竞赛正在升温,因此表示将加快其电气化计划,在 2025 年前投资 300 亿美元用于电动汽车制造能力。福特之前的资本计划要求投资 220 亿美元用于零排放汽车。福特还设定了一个雄心勃勃的销售目标:未来十年,其全球销量的 40% 将是电动汽车,皮卡车销量的 33% 将是电动汽车。目前,电动汽车销量仅占福特销量的 1%。随着福特逐步淘汰内燃机,它将在 2040 年发展成为一家全电动汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market opportunity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,全球电动汽车销量为320万辆,市场份额仅为4.2%。然而,2020 年,中国购买了全球 41% 的电动汽车。去年,中国买家购买了 130 万辆电动汽车,随着北京寻求促进电动汽车的普及,销量将快速增长。电动汽车的第二大市场是欧洲,占全球电动汽车销量的42%。美国只是全球第三大插电式电动汽车市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b48c23b32134542f51227d9b1b612887\" tg-width=\"1083\" tg-height=\"863\"><span>(Source: Wikipedia)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:维基百科)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> China, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止,中国是世界上增长最快的电动汽车市场,尽管欧洲正在迅速迎头赶上,部分原因是立法努力增加零排放乘用车的采用,以及对欧洲范围内充电站网络的大量投资。蔚来正处于进军欧洲市场的风口浪尖,希望在竞争准备就绪之前扩大其在世界第二大电动汽车市场的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p> Beijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.</p><p><blockquote>中国政府是蔚来汽车工业电气化的推动者: 中国政府希望到 2025 年,电动汽车在新车销售中所占份额达到 20%,这将推动电动汽车在中国本土市场的普及。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9871e44eaf69adb27151425887870ace\" tg-width=\"739\" tg-height=\"454\"><span>(Source:Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:施罗德)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Turning to growth projections.</p><p><blockquote>转向增长预测。</blockquote></p><p> With more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.</p><p><blockquote>随着中国和欧洲等地政府对电动汽车制造商采取更有利的政策,这些市场将迎来世界上最快的销售增长和最高的电动汽车采用率。由于人口规模,中国不仅是最大的市场,而且预计到2030年,电动汽车销量将超过全球所有其他市场。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d19dff2f34e2d8828aca854e85d84a\" tg-width=\"825\" tg-height=\"565\"><span>(Source:McKinsey)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:麦肯锡)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>由于中国拥有更大的总市场规模、更高的电动汽车采用率、更强劲的预期销售增长和更有利的监管框架,这里的赢家将是:蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scale and manufacturing competence</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模和制造能力</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.</p><p><blockquote>福特拥有百年的制造经验。但到目前为止,福特的产品阵容中只有一款与蔚来相比的全电动汽车:野马 Mach-E SUV。2022 年,福特将开始销售全电动 F-150 Lightening,该车建立在福特最畅销皮卡车的成功基础上。蔚来已经拥有更强大的产品目录,包括5座ES6 SUV、5座轿跑车SUV EC6以及6座和7座全尺寸SUV ES8。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Since NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.</p><p><blockquote>由于蔚来只专注于生产电动汽车,并且占据了一个非常小且明确的利基市场,这家中国公司在电动汽车制造专业知识方面具有优势。问题是这种优势能持续多久。福特在制造汽车方面拥有丰富的经验,可以利用全球制造基地以比任何利基电动汽车制造商希望实现的速度更快地提高电动汽车产量。这使得福特不仅在美国是特斯拉(TSLA)的有力竞争对手,而且在国外也是蔚来的有力竞争对手。福特正在加速其电气化计划,它有资源和雄心在未来十年内成为电动汽车的领导者。福特提议斥资 300 亿美元用于车队电气化,这将加速其转型,并使福特成为其他电动汽车制造商的长期威胁。</blockquote></p><p> Winner here: Ford.</p><p><blockquote>这里的赢家:福特。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Differentiation and BaaS revenue model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>差异化与BaaS收入模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来都知道差异化在这个市场中的重要性,随着时间的推移,这个市场只会变得更加竞争,这就是为什么两家公司都在一个相关领域大力投资,这个领域可以打破或巩固电动汽车市场的主导地位:电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Ford is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.</p><p><blockquote>福特正在与韩国电池技术公司 SK Innovation 成立一家合资企业,以确保牵引电池芯和阵列模块的供应。该合资企业旨在加快电池交付速度,年产量约为 60 GWh,足以满足福特到 2030 年预计年能源需求的 25%。蔚来也在投资电池技术,并组建了自己的合资企业来确保电池供应。</blockquote></p><p> The difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.</p><p><blockquote>与福特不同的是,蔚来的电池投资战略围绕着电池订阅模式,也称为 “电池即服务 ”,这为这家中国汽车制造商创造了一个强大的长期收入机会。在这种 “BaaS” 模式下,用户购买蔚来电动汽车可获得 7 万元人民币的初始折扣,折合 1.08 万美元,并可签约包月租赁 70 千瓦时的可充电电池。然后可以在蔚来的换电站更换电池,这些换电站在中国大多数大城市都有。电池订阅费用为每月980元人民币,相当于150美元。</blockquote></p><p> The BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.</p><p><blockquote>BaaS模式对汽车制造商和用户都有几个好处:由于前期折扣,从蔚来购买电动汽车变得更加实惠,订阅模式确保用户受益于电池技术的进步和随着时间的推移更好的性能。将电池成本与汽车价格脱钩,为蔚来创造了一个全新的订阅收入流。“BaaS ”订阅的收入可用于增加蔚来充电/换电站网络的密度。电池订阅模式还将客户绑定到蔚来,从而潜在地增加客户的终身价值。</blockquote></p><p> Ford and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>随着福特和蔚来增加资本配置,它们有望从电动汽车电池成本下降中受益。随着越来越多的投资流入开发更高效的电池,性能将会提高,成本将会下降,这应该会推动电动汽车的采用并使所有电动汽车制造商受益。这是因为较低的电池价格使电动汽车比内燃机乘用车更具竞争力。但由于蔚来明确围绕电池订阅构建部分商业模式,蔚来可能会比福特受益更多。</blockquote></p><p> Battery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.</p><p><blockquote>根据投资公司施罗德提供的信息,自 2014 年以来,电动汽车的电池成本已下降 70%,并且本十年还将进一步下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c42acb75905affe7570a2f399ea3192f\" tg-width=\"758\" tg-height=\"449\"><span>(Source: Schroders)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:施罗德)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.</p><p><blockquote>“BaaS ”模式是天才之作,从长远来看,它可能会发展成为蔚来每年 5 亿美元的收入机会。尽管福特正在加大对电池技术的投资,但这一类别的赢家是:蔚来。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sales growth and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Ford’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.</p><p><blockquote>福特 5 月份的销量同比增长 4.1%,但电动汽车销量(包括混合动力汽车)同比激增 184%,福特 5 月份售出了创纪录的 10,364 辆电动汽车/混合动力汽车。Escape electrified 和 Explorer Hybrid 的销量分别同比增长 125% 和 132%,显示出强劲的客户吸引力。蔚来上个月交付了 6,711 辆汽车,其中包括 3,017 辆 ES6、1,412 辆 ES8 和 2,282 辆 EC6。5 月份总交付量同比增长 95.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.</p><p><blockquote>福特的销量是蔚来汽车的54倍,这为蔚来创造了更多的销售增长和重估潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df5a0a393e44ed74241c5effcdd92350\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!</p><p><blockquote>福特和蔚来之间的估值差异就像黑夜和白天之间的差异。这是因为尽管电动汽车类别实现了爆炸式增长,但福特仍被视为一家成熟的汽车制造商,预计企业销量增长将达到中低位数。福特预计到 2025 财年(基准年:2020 财年)收入将增长 33%,蔚来将增长 808%!</blockquote></p><p> Due to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.</p><p><blockquote>由于销售增长的这些差异,蔚来与福特完全相反,至少就估值而言是这样。这家中国电动汽车制造商预计今年的销量和交付量将增长接近 100%,由于蔚来只销售电动汽车,蔚来的市值与销量之比远高于福特。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/817605c6b1e82c03d0473ea570d32b8f\" tg-width=\"506\" tg-height=\"406\"><span>(Source: Author)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(来源:作者)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO has larger risks...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来有更大的风险……</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来是风险更大的企业,但也是最有希望的企业。政府政策有利于蔚来等电动汽车制造商。与福特相比,蔚来的全球总销售额增长潜力更大,因为它的营收基础较小。但也有一些事情对蔚来不利。例如,与可以依赖全球服务和分销网络的福特相比,由于生产缺陷导致的召回对于蔚来来说将是一个更大的挑战。蔚来的估值也并非没有风险,因为生产受挫导致销售增长意外放缓,将对财务状况造成更大影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最终判决</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来绝对是更 “性感 ”的汽车制造商。在中国和欧洲的强劲采用率和销售增长支持了蔚来。其超级智能BaaS模型将车辆购买价格与电池成本脱钩,堪称天才。你为这种增长付出了高昂的代价,但蔚来的市场机会是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Ford’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.</p><p><blockquote>福特的电动汽车销量正在蓬勃发展,随着该汽车制造商车队电气化,电动汽车销量的比例也将不断增加。福特在电动汽车市场潜力巨大,但由于电动汽车销量占总销量的比例仍然相对较低,福特需要很长时间才能完成转型。</blockquote></p><p> If you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.</p><p><blockquote>如果您相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力,请购买蔚来。如果你相信全球电动汽车市场的潜力,又不喜欢太大的风险,那就买福特吧。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"F":"福特汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436600-ford-or-nio-the-final-verdict","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137119316","content_text":"Summary\n\nI am comparing Ford against NIO in different categories.\nThe comparison is intended to improve the understanding of Ford's and NIO's growth potential while highlighting differences in market position and opportunities.\nNIO is growing a lot faster than Ford and the high valuation may be justified.\n\npeterschreiber.media/iStock via Getty Images\nWith Ford (F) launching a major offensive in the market for electric vehicles, Chinese EV maker NIO (NIO) will face one more rival competing for sales in the future. Which vehicle maker offers the best deal based on market opportunity, scale, revenue model, growth prospects and valuation? I will compare Ford against NIO in each category and issue a final verdict at the end.\nFord vs. NIO: The battle for the global electric vehicle market is heating up\nAlthough there is a world of difference between Ford and NIO, both companies are set to go toe-to-toe in the rapidly growing global electric vehicle market. Ford’s fleet is not yet EV-focused but this is going to change: Feeling that the EV race is heating up, Ford said it is accelerating its electrification plan by investing $30B into its EV manufacturing capabilities until 2025. Ford’s previous capital plan called for a $22B investment in zero-emission vehicles. Ford also set an ambitious sales goal: 40% of its global sales will be electric within the next decade and 33% of pickup truck sales. Electric vehicle sales account for just 1% of Ford's sales today. As Ford is phasing out combustion engines, it is set to evolve into an all-electric vehicle maker by 2040.\nMarket opportunity\nIn 2020, 3.2m electric vehicles were sold in the world which represented a small market share of just 4.2%. China, however, was responsible for buying 41% of all electric vehicles in the world in 2020. Chinese buyers purchased 1.3m electric vehicles last year and sales are set to grow fast as Beijing seeks to boost EV adoption. The second largest market for electric vehicles was Europe which accounted for 42% of global EV sales. The US is only the third-largest market for plug-in electric vehicles in the world.\n(Source: Wikipedia)\nChina, by far, is the fastest growing EV market in the world, although Europe is catching up fast, in part due to a legislative efforts to increase adoption of zero-emission passenger vehicles and because of massive investments in a Europe-wide charging station network. NIO is on the cusp of entering the European market in a bid to grow market share in the world’s second-largest EV market before the competition is ready.\nBeijing is a driver behind the electrification of the Chinese auto industry: The government wants to see a twenty percent share of electric vehicles for new car sales by 2025 which will drive EV penetration in NIO’s home market.\n(Source:Schroders)\nTurning to growth projections.\nWith more favorable government policies for EV makers in places like China and Europe, these markets are poised to see the fastest sales growth and the highest EV adoption rates in the world. China is not only the largest market due to population size but is also expected to outperform all other markets in the world in EV sales until 2030.\n(Source:McKinsey)\nSince China has a larger total market size, a higher EV adoption rate, stronger expected sales growth and a more favorable regulatory framework, the winner here would be: NIO.\nScale and manufacturing competence\nFord has a century’s worth of manufacturing experience. But Ford, so far, has only one all-electric vehicle in its product line-up that compares to NIO: The Mustang Mach-E SUV. In 2022, Ford will begin to sell the all-electric F-150 Lightening which builds on the success of Ford’s best-selling pick-up truck. NIO already has a stronger product catalog including the 5-seater ES6 SUV, the 5-seater coupe SUV EC6 and the ES8, a 6-seater and 7-seater full-sized SUV.\nSince NIO is solely focused on producing EVs and occupies a very small and defined niche, the Chinese firm has an advantage as far as EV-manufacturing expertise goes. The question is how long this advantage can last. Ford has extensive experience in building cars and can leverage a global manufacturing base to ramp up EV production faster than any niche EV maker could ever hope to achieve. This makes Ford a very serious rival not only to Tesla (TSLA) in the US, but also to NIO abroad. Ford is accelerating its electrification plans and it has the resources and the ambition to become a leader in EVs within the next decade. Ford’s proposed $30B spending on the electrification of its fleet will accelerate its transformation and turn Ford into a long term threat to other EV makers.\nWinner here: Ford.\nDifferentiation and BaaS revenue model\nBoth Ford and NIO know about the importance of differentiation in a market that will only get more competitive over time, which is why both companies are investing heavily in a related field that can break or solidify dominance in the EV market: Battery technology.\nFord is forming a joint venture with South Korean battery technology company SK Innovation to secure supply of traction battery cells and array modules. The joint venture is meant to accelerate battery deliveries and will produce approximately 60 GWh annually, enough to cover 25% of Ford’s estimated annual energy demand by 2030. NIO is also investing in battery technology and has formed its own joint venture to secure battery supply.\nThe difference to Ford is that NIO’s battery investment strategy revolves around a battery subscription model, also called “battery-as-a-service”, which creates a strong, long term revenue opportunity for the Chinese vehicle maker. Under this “BaaS” model, users who buy a NIO electric vehicle get a 70,000 RMB initial discount, equivalent to $10,800, and can sign up for a monthly subscription to rent a rechargeable 70 kWh battery. Batteries can then be exchanged at one of NIO’s battery-swapping stations which can be found in most big Chinese cities. A battery subscription costs 980 RMB monthly which is the equivalent of $150.\nThe BaaS model has a couple of benefits for both the vehicle maker and the user: Purchasing an electric vehicle from NIO gets a lot more affordable due to the up-front discount and the subscription model ensures that users benefit from advancement in battery technology and better performance over time. Decoupling battery costs from vehicle prices creates an entirely new revenue stream on a subscription basis for NIO. Revenues from “BaaS” subscriptions could be used to increase the density of NIO’s network of charging/replacement stations. The battery subscription model also binds customers to NIO, potentially increasing customer lifetime value.\nFord and NIO are primed to benefit from falling battery costs for electric vehicles as they ramp up capital allocations. As more investments flow into developing more efficient batteries, performance will go up and costs will go down which should drive EV adoption and benefit all EV makers. This is because lower battery prices make EVs more competitive to passenger vehicles with combustion engines. But since NIO is structuring a part of its business model explicitly around battery subscriptions, NIO could benefit more than Ford.\nBattery costs for EVs have decreased 70% since 2014, based on information provided by investment firm Schroders, and are set to decrease more this decade.\n(Source: Schroders)\nThe “BaaS” model is genius and could develop into a $500M a year revenue opportunity for NIO long term. Although Ford is ramping up its investments in battery technology, the winner in this category is: NIO.\nSales growth and valuation\nFord’s sales in May grew 4.1% Y/Y but electrified vehicle sales (including hybrids) surged 184% Y/Y as Ford sold a record 10,364 EVs/hybrids in May. Escape electrified sales and Explorer Hybrid grew sales at 125% and 132% Y/Y showing strong customer uptake. NIO delivered 6,711 vehicles last month including 3,017 ES6s, 1,412 ES8s and 2,282 EC6s. Total Y/Y delivery growth for May was 95.3%.\nFord's sales are fifty-four times larger than NIO's which creates more sales growth and revaluation potential for NIO.\nData by YCharts\nThe difference in valuation between Ford and NIO is like the difference between night and day. This is because Ford is still seen as a mature vehicle maker with expected enterprise sales growth in the low-to-mid digits, despite explosive growth in the EV category. Ford is expected to grow revenues by 33% until FY 2025 (base year: FY 2020) and NIO by 808%!\nDue to these differences in sales growth, NIO is the complete opposite of Ford, at least as far as valuation goes. The Chinese EV-maker is expected to see sales and delivery growth close to 100% this year and since NIO is only dealing in EVs, NIO gets a much higher market-cap-to-sales ratio than Ford.\n(Source: Author)\nNIO has larger risks...\nNIO is the more risky venture, but also the one that offers the most promise. Government policy favors EV-makers like NIO. The potential for total global sales growth is larger for NIO as it operates from a smaller revenue base compared to Ford. But there are also a few things that work against NIO. For example, recalls due to production defects would be a much bigger challenge for NIO to overcome than for Ford which can rely on a global service and distribution network. NIO’s valuation is also not without risk as an unexpected slowing of sales growth due to production setbacks would leave a much larger dent in the financials.\nFinal verdict\nNIO is definitely the more “sexy” vehicle maker. Strong adoption and sales growth in China and Europe support NIO. Its super smart BaaS model which decouples vehicle purchase prices from battery costs is genius. You pay a high price for this growth but the market opportunity for NIO is immense.\nFord’s EV sales are booming and the percentage of EV sales will increase as the vehicle maker electrifies its fleet. Ford has a lot of potential in the EV market but since EV sales are still a relatively low percentage of total sales, it will take a long time for Ford to complete its transformation.\nIf you believe in the potential of the global EV market, buy NIO. If you believe in the potential of the global EV market and don’t like much risk, buy Ford.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"F":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3057,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161287769,"gmtCreate":1623929056051,"gmtModify":1631888003859,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Phew…added biontech last night…but should havebought more 😥","listText":"Phew…added biontech last night…but should havebought more 😥","text":"Phew…added biontech last night…but should havebought more 😥","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161287769","repostId":"1147243421","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147243421","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623918768,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1147243421?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 16:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.<blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147243421","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.\nNovavax,Moderna and BioNTech shares were up bewt","content":"<p>Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax,Moderna and BioNTech shares were up bewteen 1% and 5%.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax、Moderna 和 BioNTech 的股价上涨了 1% 至 5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf7ccd098da30e231e2f93a2600de4a\" tg-width=\"1291\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.<blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.<blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-17 16:32</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗板块股票在盘前交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Novavax,Moderna and BioNTech shares were up bewteen 1% and 5%.</p><p><blockquote>Novavax、Moderna 和 BioNTech 的股价上涨了 1% 至 5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bcf7ccd098da30e231e2f93a2600de4a\" tg-width=\"1291\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNTX":"BioNTech SE","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147243421","content_text":"Vaccine sector stocks gained in pre-market trading.\nNovavax,Moderna and BioNTech shares were up bewteen 1% and 5%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVAX":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"MRNA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192142619,"gmtCreate":1621169209331,"gmtModify":1631891122664,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"About time snowflake got an upgrade albeit a minor one...","listText":"About time snowflake got an upgrade albeit a minor one...","text":"About time snowflake got an upgrade albeit a minor one...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192142619","repostId":"1103478451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":808,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196854442,"gmtCreate":1621044180086,"gmtModify":1631893566865,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"And the Ant keeps on marching...","listText":"And the Ant keeps on marching...","text":"And the Ant keeps on marching...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196854442","repostId":"1100135820","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104705188,"gmtCreate":1620413910344,"gmtModify":1631893566925,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Yes, finally.....now to save the world","listText":"Yes, finally.....now to save the world","text":"Yes, finally.....now to save the world","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104705188","repostId":"2133688507","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2133688507","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1620398076,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2133688507?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 22:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pfizer, BioNTech Seek Full FDA Approval For Covid Vaccine; Shares Pop<blockquote>辉瑞、BioNTech 寻求 FDA 对 Covid 疫苗的全面批准;股票流行</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2133688507","media":"Investors","summary":"Pfizer and BioNTech asked for full Food and Drug Administration approval of their Covid vaccine on Friday, leading BioNTech stock to pop. That followed patent questions that hurt shares.","content":"<p><b>Pfizer</b> and <b>BioNTech</b> asked for full Food and Drug Administration approval of their Covid vaccine on Friday, leading BioNTech stock to pop.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>和<b>生物技术</b>周五,美国食品和药物管理局要求全面批准他们的 Covid 疫苗,导致 BioNTech 股票上涨。</blockquote></p><p>The vaccine is already authorized for emergency use in people ages 16 and older. But if approved, the vaccine could stay on the market after the pandemic ends. The companies could also market directly to consumers and change the price.</p><p><blockquote>该疫苗已经被授权在16岁及以上的人群中紧急使用。但如果获得批准,该疫苗可能会在疫情结束后留在市场上。这些公司还可以直接向消费者推销并改变价格。</blockquote></p><p>\"Following the successful delivery of more than 170 million doses to the U.S. population in just a few months, the (application) submission is an important cornerstone of achieving long-term herd immunity and containing Covid-19 in the future,\" BioNTech Chief Executive Ugur Sahin said in a written statement.</p><p><blockquote>BioNTech 首席执行官乌古尔·沙欣 (Ugur Sahin) 表示:“在短短几个月内成功向美国民众交付了超过 1.7 亿剂疫苗后,(申请)提交是未来实现长期群体免疫和遏制 Covid-19 的重要基石。”在一份书面声明中。</blockquote></p><p>In morning trading on today's stock market, BioNTech stock jumped 5.6% near 177.40. Pfizer stock rose 0.9% near 39.60.</p><p><blockquote>在今天的股市早盘交易中,BioNTech 股价上涨 5.6%,接近 177.40 点。辉瑞股价上涨 0.9%,接近 39.60。</blockquote></p><p><h2>BioNTech Stock Pops On FDA Submission</h2>Pfizer and BioNTech gained emergency authorization for their Covid vaccine in December. At that time, the FDA said it would require at least six months of follow-up data in vaccinated volunteers before considering a full approval.</p><p><blockquote><h2>BioNTech 股票在 FDA 提交后上涨</h2>辉瑞和 BioNTech 于 12 月获得了 Covid 疫苗的紧急授权。当时,FDA表示,在考虑全面批准之前,需要对接种疫苗的志愿者进行至少六个月的随访数据。</blockquote></p><p>The data submitted Friday to the FDA include the most recent analysis from Phase 3 testing. The companies' observed the vaccine's safety and effectiveness for up to six months after the second dose, Pfizer and BioNTech said in a news release.</p><p><blockquote>周五提交给FDA的数据包括3期测试的最新分析。辉瑞和 BioNTech 在一份新闻稿中表示,两家公司在接种第二剂疫苗后长达六个月的时间里观察了疫苗的安全性和有效性。</blockquote></p><p>\"We look forward to working with the FDA to complete this rolling submission and support their review, with the goal of securing full regulatory approval of the vaccine in the coming months,\" Pfizer Chief Executive Albert Bourla said in a written statement.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞首席执行官阿尔伯特·布尔拉在一份书面声明中表示:“我们期待与 FDA 合作完成这一滚动提交并支持他们的审查,目标是在未来几个月内确保疫苗获得监管部门的全面批准。”</blockquote></p><p>Next, the FDA must decide whether the accept or reject the application. Then, the agency will set a date to review it. That could also stoke BioNTech stock.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,FDA必须决定是接受还是拒绝该申请。然后,该机构将设定一个日期来审查它。这也可能提振 BioNTech 股票。</blockquote></p><p><h2>Vaccine Shares Recover</h2>The news Friday was a breath of fresh air for BioNTech stock.</p><p><blockquote><h2>疫苗股回升</h2>周五的消息为 BioNTech 股票带来了一股新鲜空气。</blockquote></p><p>Earlier this week, shares were under pressure after President Joe Biden and his administration voiced support for waiving patent rights for Covid vaccines. The goal is to help other countries make their own vaccines. BioNTech stock lost nearly 20% this week, as of Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>本周早些时候,在乔·拜登总统及其政府表示支持放弃新冠疫苗专利权后,股市面临压力。目标是帮助其他国家制造自己的疫苗。截至周四收盘,BioNTech 股价本周下跌近 20%。</blockquote></p><p>On Thursday, though, German Chancellor Angela Merkel opposed waiving patent protection for vaccines. That helped BioNTech, which is based in Mainz, Germany, pare much deeper losses. At <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> point, BioNTech stock was off by 15%.</p><p><blockquote>不过,周四,德国总理安格拉·默克尔反对放弃疫苗专利保护。这帮助总部位于德国美因茨的 BioNTech 减少了更严重的损失。在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>点,BioNTech 股票下跌了 15%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pfizer, BioNTech Seek Full FDA Approval For Covid Vaccine; Shares Pop<blockquote>辉瑞、BioNTech 寻求 FDA 对 Covid 疫苗的全面批准;股票流行</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPfizer, BioNTech Seek Full FDA Approval For Covid Vaccine; Shares Pop<blockquote>辉瑞、BioNTech 寻求 FDA 对 Covid 疫苗的全面批准;股票流行</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-07 22:34</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Pfizer</b> and <b>BioNTech</b> asked for full Food and Drug Administration approval of their Covid vaccine on Friday, leading BioNTech stock to pop.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>和<b>生物技术</b>周五,美国食品和药物管理局要求全面批准他们的 Covid 疫苗,导致 BioNTech 股票上涨。</blockquote></p><p>The vaccine is already authorized for emergency use in people ages 16 and older. But if approved, the vaccine could stay on the market after the pandemic ends. The companies could also market directly to consumers and change the price.</p><p><blockquote>该疫苗已经被授权在16岁及以上的人群中紧急使用。但如果获得批准,该疫苗可能会在疫情结束后留在市场上。这些公司还可以直接向消费者推销并改变价格。</blockquote></p><p>\"Following the successful delivery of more than 170 million doses to the U.S. population in just a few months, the (application) submission is an important cornerstone of achieving long-term herd immunity and containing Covid-19 in the future,\" BioNTech Chief Executive Ugur Sahin said in a written statement.</p><p><blockquote>BioNTech 首席执行官乌古尔·沙欣 (Ugur Sahin) 表示:“在短短几个月内成功向美国民众交付了超过 1.7 亿剂疫苗后,(申请)提交是未来实现长期群体免疫和遏制 Covid-19 的重要基石。”在一份书面声明中。</blockquote></p><p>In morning trading on today's stock market, BioNTech stock jumped 5.6% near 177.40. Pfizer stock rose 0.9% near 39.60.</p><p><blockquote>在今天的股市早盘交易中,BioNTech 股价上涨 5.6%,接近 177.40 点。辉瑞股价上涨 0.9%,接近 39.60。</blockquote></p><p><h2>BioNTech Stock Pops On FDA Submission</h2>Pfizer and BioNTech gained emergency authorization for their Covid vaccine in December. At that time, the FDA said it would require at least six months of follow-up data in vaccinated volunteers before considering a full approval.</p><p><blockquote><h2>BioNTech 股票在 FDA 提交后上涨</h2>辉瑞和 BioNTech 于 12 月获得了 Covid 疫苗的紧急授权。当时,FDA表示,在考虑全面批准之前,需要对接种疫苗的志愿者进行至少六个月的随访数据。</blockquote></p><p>The data submitted Friday to the FDA include the most recent analysis from Phase 3 testing. The companies' observed the vaccine's safety and effectiveness for up to six months after the second dose, Pfizer and BioNTech said in a news release.</p><p><blockquote>周五提交给FDA的数据包括3期测试的最新分析。辉瑞和 BioNTech 在一份新闻稿中表示,两家公司在接种第二剂疫苗后长达六个月的时间里观察了疫苗的安全性和有效性。</blockquote></p><p>\"We look forward to working with the FDA to complete this rolling submission and support their review, with the goal of securing full regulatory approval of the vaccine in the coming months,\" Pfizer Chief Executive Albert Bourla said in a written statement.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞首席执行官阿尔伯特·布尔拉在一份书面声明中表示:“我们期待与 FDA 合作完成这一滚动提交并支持他们的审查,目标是在未来几个月内确保疫苗获得监管部门的全面批准。”</blockquote></p><p>Next, the FDA must decide whether the accept or reject the application. Then, the agency will set a date to review it. That could also stoke BioNTech stock.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,FDA必须决定是接受还是拒绝该申请。然后,该机构将设定一个日期来审查它。这也可能提振 BioNTech 股票。</blockquote></p><p><h2>Vaccine Shares Recover</h2>The news Friday was a breath of fresh air for BioNTech stock.</p><p><blockquote><h2>疫苗股回升</h2>周五的消息为 BioNTech 股票带来了一股新鲜空气。</blockquote></p><p>Earlier this week, shares were under pressure after President Joe Biden and his administration voiced support for waiving patent rights for Covid vaccines. The goal is to help other countries make their own vaccines. BioNTech stock lost nearly 20% this week, as of Thursday's close.</p><p><blockquote>本周早些时候,在乔·拜登总统及其政府表示支持放弃新冠疫苗专利权后,股市面临压力。目标是帮助其他国家制造自己的疫苗。截至周四收盘,BioNTech 股价本周下跌近 20%。</blockquote></p><p>On Thursday, though, German Chancellor Angela Merkel opposed waiving patent protection for vaccines. That helped BioNTech, which is based in Mainz, Germany, pare much deeper losses. At <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> point, BioNTech stock was off by 15%.</p><p><blockquote>不过,周四,德国总理安格拉·默克尔反对放弃疫苗专利保护。这帮助总部位于德国美因茨的 BioNTech 减少了更严重的损失。在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>点,BioNTech 股票下跌了 15%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2133688507","content_text":"Pfizer and BioNTech asked for full Food and Drug Administration approval of their Covid vaccine on Friday, leading BioNTech stock to pop.The vaccine is already authorized for emergency use in people ages 16 and older. But if approved, the vaccine could stay on the market after the pandemic ends. The companies could also market directly to consumers and change the price.\"Following the successful delivery of more than 170 million doses to the U.S. population in just a few months, the (application) submission is an important cornerstone of achieving long-term herd immunity and containing Covid-19 in the future,\" BioNTech Chief Executive Ugur Sahin said in a written statement.In morning trading on today's stock market, BioNTech stock jumped 5.6% near 177.40. Pfizer stock rose 0.9% near 39.60.BioNTech Stock Pops On FDA SubmissionPfizer and BioNTech gained emergency authorization for their Covid vaccine in December. At that time, the FDA said it would require at least six months of follow-up data in vaccinated volunteers before considering a full approval.The data submitted Friday to the FDA include the most recent analysis from Phase 3 testing. The companies' observed the vaccine's safety and effectiveness for up to six months after the second dose, Pfizer and BioNTech said in a news release.\"We look forward to working with the FDA to complete this rolling submission and support their review, with the goal of securing full regulatory approval of the vaccine in the coming months,\" Pfizer Chief Executive Albert Bourla said in a written statement.Next, the FDA must decide whether the accept or reject the application. Then, the agency will set a date to review it. That could also stoke BioNTech stock.Vaccine Shares RecoverThe news Friday was a breath of fresh air for BioNTech stock.Earlier this week, shares were under pressure after President Joe Biden and his administration voiced support for waiving patent rights for Covid vaccines. The goal is to help other countries make their own vaccines. BioNTech stock lost nearly 20% this week, as of Thursday's close.On Thursday, though, German Chancellor Angela Merkel opposed waiving patent protection for vaccines. That helped BioNTech, which is based in Mainz, Germany, pare much deeper losses. At one point, BioNTech stock was off by 15%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":953,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":846367962,"gmtCreate":1636057644416,"gmtModify":1636057645180,"author":{"id":"3559128077154435","authorId":"3559128077154435","name":"Whyeloon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44cc3fba457549bd6dbe449c8aa6c640","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559128077154435","authorIdStr":"3559128077154435"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a> Yippie sofi….","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\">$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$</a> Yippie sofi….","text":"$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ Yippie sofi….","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/944c573698409510b65a236bfd8efd37","width":"1284","height":"2538"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846367962","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}